Core therapeutic areas - Luke Miels (PDF1067kb)

Core therapeutic areas
Platforms for growth
Luke Miels, Executive Vice President, Global Portfolio & Product Strategy and
Corporate Affairs
Current business is led by core therapeutic areas
Sales 9M 2014
Infection, Neuroscience,
Gastrointestinal
31%
12%
Oncology
19%
RIA
69%
CVMD
38%
Note:
RIA: Respiratory, Inflammation & Autoimmunity
CVMD: Cardiovascular & Metabolic Disease
2 – Core therapeutic areas
Broad geographical presence; Emerging Markets strength
US
39% of sales
Europe
25% of sales
Emerging Markets
(ex-China)
13% of sales
Note:
Sales 9M 2014
3 – Core therapeutic areas
China
9% of sales
Japan
9% of sales
ROW
Established
(ex-Japan)
5% of sales
Respiratory, Inflammation & Autoimmunity (RIA)
Cardiovascular & Metabolic Disease (CVMD)
Oncology
4 – Core therapeutic areas
Respiratory:
Unique position in bringing leading medicines to patients
Large & small molecules
with compelling science
Diversity in formulation to
enable unique combinations
Leading devices &
choice for patients
5 – Core therapeutic areas
Respiratory:
Unmet need remains in asthma and COPD
Asthma
COPD
Active patients, millions, 2014
GINA step
4-5
1-3
1.8m severe,
inadequately
controlled despite
compliance
60
44
GOLD-defined patients, millions, 2014
GOLD stage
3-4
1.6m severe,
inadequately
controlled despite
compliance
1-2
44
38
24
19
Note: G7 markets = US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan
Source: Decision Resources; Adelphi DSP 2012; other
6 – Core therapeutic areas
Poor control
Treated
Diagnosed
9
COPD
prevalence
Poor control
Treated
Diagnosed
Asthma
prevalence
11
COPD:
Affects ~300 million* people; highest prevalence in developing countries
Male smoking prevalence trends by region (2011)
Lifetime male smoking prevalence:
60% and above
50-59.9%
40-49.9%
30-39.9%
20-29.9%
Below 20%
No Data
* Global estimate of diagnosed and undiagnosed patients
Source: Decision Resources; Adelphi DSP 2012; AZ internal analysis of G8 and ROW uplift
7 – Core therapeutic areas
Symbicort & Pulmicort:
Growth by EM / Japan, new indications & new devices
Emerging Markets /
Japan
New indications
New devices
Market growth driven by:
 COPD label updates
 Intelligent device EU
 Improving diagnosis
 COPD exacerbations
US
 Symbicort pMDI EU
 Improving access to
drug treatment
 Environmental factors
and smoking
 Asthma SMART
labelling
 Mild asthma: Ex-US
‘as needed’
 Symbicort / PT001
‘open triple’
Source: UN Population Database, IMS Midas, other forecasts
8 – Core therapeutic areas
 Symbicort BAI
 Symbicort Pearl
co-suspension
 Pulmicort nebuliser
expansion and Pearl
co-formulation
Symbicort:
Resilience driven by devices
Negative impact of switch is well
documented*
Successful treatment
Change in SABA
dose
Partially successful treatment
Unsuccessful treatment
Proportion of patients (%)
0.40
19.7
34.3
80
60
0.20
29.6
27.8
40
20
0.20
0.10
0
50.7
37.9
-0.10
-0.20
Mean 95% CI change in SABA daily
dose
100
Device has a very strong impact
on prescription decision**,***
57-69% of healthcare providers rate device as
having very significant impact
32%
23%
13% 11%
6%
0%
0%
1
2
2%
4%
3
4
5
9%
6
7
8
9
0
Switch
(n=824)
Non-switch
(n=824)
Healthcare providers switch device typically in
<10% of consultations
• Thomas M, Price D, Chrystyn H, et al. Inhaled corticosteroids for asthma: Impact of practice level device switching on asthma control. BMC
Pulm Med 2009; 9: 1.
** Qual MR ; 70 HCP and 149 Patient Depth Interviews; Chn, Jpn, Ge, Sp & USA; Q1 2014 Fast Forward Research
*** Quant MR; 882 Physician On-line survey; Chn Jpn, Ge, Sp & USA; Q1 2014 IPSOS
9 – Core therapeutic areas
10
Inflammation & Autoimmunity:
Strategy
Progressing pipeline of first-in-class, best-in-class medicines
Rheumatology
• Gout
Dermatology
Gastrointestinal
• Co-development
with Amgen
• Co-development
with Amgen
• Psoriasis and
psoriatic arthritis
• Crohn’s disease
• Lupus
• Rheumatoid
arthritis
10 – Core therapeutic areas
• Ulcerative colitis
Inflammation & Autoimmunity:
Significant growth potential
Global markets for rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis,
lupus, ulcerative colitis, Crohn’s disease and gout
$bn
60
$50bn
50
40
30
$30bn
20
10
0
Now
RA
PsO&PsA
Source: IMS, biologic and novel oral brand sales by indication; Decision Resources
11 – Core therapeutic areas
Future
Lupus
UC&CD
Gout
Respiratory, Inflammation & Autoimmunity (RIA)
Cardiovascular & Metabolic Disease (CVMD)
Oncology
12 – Core therapeutic areas
Diabetes:
Significant T2D disease burden exists globally
380 million people with diabetes
worldwide
Anticipated to grow to
590 million by 2035
• 55% increase in prevalence
• Lower T2D mortality
• Significant increase in
Emerging Markets
Source: International Diabetes Foundation Atlas 6 edition, International Diabetes federation 2013
13 – Core therapeutic areas
Diabetes:
Non-insulin diabetes market to continue endemic growth
Expected revenues for insulin and other diabetes products
$bn
47.3
5.5
6.4
8.8
27.8
4.2
3.2
9.8
8.5
16.7
11.8
2013
Other
2022
SGLT-2
Source: Decision Resources (2014), Type 2 Diabetes Therapy
14 – Core therapeutic areas
GLP-1
DPP-4
Insulin
Diabetes:
Innovative portfolio spanning all non-insulin classes
Orals
DPP-4
SGLT-2
Injectables
FDC
SGLT-2 /
DPP-4
15 – Core therapeutic areas
GLP-1
Amylin
analogue
saxa-dapa
Brilinta:
Strengthening momentum
Ticagrelor also increases
adenosine, augments
vasodilation, coronary flow,
inhibition of platelet function,
and dyspnoea
ATLANTIC
“Ambulance as
effective as Cath-Lab”
ESC, ATLANTIC
& APOLLO
Europe label
change
Q3 2014
DOJ
closure
APOLLO: “~1 in 5 patients
will suffer an MI, stroke or
CV death within the first
year after an MI”
16 – Core therapeutic areas
PEGASUS
headline
Q4 2014
New AHA
guidelines
AHA
Ticagrelor >clopidogrel
for ischaemic guided and
early invasive NSTE-ACS
patients
Respiratory, Inflammation & Autoimmunity (RIA)
Cardiovascular & Metabolic Disease (CVMD)
Oncology
17 – Core therapeutic areas
Oncology:
Cancer incidence a global healthcare challenge
Breast cancer treated patients
• Over 8.2m adults die each year from
cancer
800,000
600,000
400,000
• Over 13m people are predicted to die
from cancer in 2030
200,000
0
2015
2025
US
NSCLC 1L treated patients
JP
CN
Ovarian cancer 1L treated patients
1,200,000
100,000
1,000,000
80,000
800,000
EU5
60,000
600,000
40,000
400,000
20,000
200,000
0
0
2015
US
2025
EU5
JP
CN
Source: NSCLC: Kantar Health Patient Metrics (US, UK, Spain, Italy), AZ internal sources (France, Germany, Japan and China)
Breast: Kantar Health Patient Metrics (US, EU5, Japan), AZ internal sources (China)
Ovarian: Kantar Health Patient Metrics (US, EU5, Japan); Decision Resources (China, Urban)
Global Incidence and Mortality Numbers: Globocan 2012 (IARC) Projection. Population forecasts taken from UN, World Populations
Prospects (2012 revision) Forecast market size Decision Resources Pharmaview
18 – Core therapeutic areas
2015
US
2025
EU5
JP
CN
Increasing importance of specialty care
Primary care vs specialty care sales over time
Future
Now
Primary Care
19 – Core therapeutic areas
Specialty Care
Confidence in strategy
20 – Core therapeutic areas
•
Core therapeutic areas platform for growth
•
Broad geographical presence with strong EMs
•
Aligned with pipeline
•
Pipeline driving a balance of primary and
specialty care
Core therapeutic areas
Platforms for growth
Luke Miels, Executive Vice President, Global Portfolio & Product Strategy and
Corporate Affairs