Shift in China's import policy.....The Financial

11/19/2014
Shift in China’s import policy, global glut to hit domestic cotton market | The Financial Express
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COMMODITIES
Shift in China’s import policy,
global glut to hit domestic
cotton market
November 18, 2014 2:45 am
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SUMMARY
To boost demand for domestic cotton, China, the world’s top consumer of cotton, will
slash its import quotas for 2015.
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Maharashtra mills to
with an expected bumper crop in the current harvesting
seek relief package from
season. Consequently, the yarn prices, too, is expected to
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on the Indian cotton market. The domestic cotton price,
Currently, the demand for cotton from domestic yarn mills
Sluggish demand likely to
is on the lower side on account of the higher domestic
weaken coconut oil
cotton price as compared with international prices,
prices
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demand-likely-toas existing high inventory with yarn mills, said a study
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prices/)
GALLERIES (/PICTURE-GALLERYSECTION/BUSINESS-GALLERY/)
Further, the demand for cotton in international market is
sliding, which can be largely linked to China’s new cotton policy, as China
constitutes about 60% of the India’s cotton exports. Cotton export from India is
estimated to fall from high of 11 million bales in 2013-14 to 6-7 million bales in
2014-15.
To boost demand for domestic cotton, China, the world’s top consumer of cotton,
will slash its import quotas for 2015. China will provide import quotas next year
only for the 894,000 tonne that it is required to offer at low duties under
commitments with the World Trade Organization (WTO) and no additional quota
would be made available as it was made previously. Non-quota imports are
subject to a 40% tariff, so the restricted availability of import quotas will dampen
Chinese demand for foreign cotton and the same will hurt Indian exports, said the
study.
The Chinese government will also end the three-year- long programme to
stockpile domestic cotton to support local growers and instead offer subsidies
direct to farmers. As the Chinese government offloads its three year reserve stock
of cotton, mills will get access to cheaper cotton from the local market and the
same will reduce their dependence on imports. So, China is unlikely to be an
aggressive buyer this year and its imports are expected to decline significantly.
Over the past few years, India has achieved significant growth in cotton
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1/3
11/19/2014
Shift in China’s import policy, global glut to hit domestic cotton market | The Financial Express
Over the past few years, India has achieved significant growth in cotton
production. India’s cotton production has grown from 14 million bales (of 170 kg)
in 2000-01 to 37.5 million bales during 2013-14. The growth in cotton production is
driven by increase in area under cotton cultivation as well as growth in yield. The
area under cotton cultivation in India has increased from 85.76 lakh hectares in
2000-01 to 115.53 lakh hectares in 2013-14, while yield has grown from 278 kg per
hectare to 518 kg per hectare during the same period.
According to the study, during the current year (2014-15), the area under cotton
cultivation in India has further increased to reach a record level of 125 lakh
hectares. There has been sharp increase in cotton acreage in Gujarat,
Maharashtra, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh.
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