1. No category

WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN-DAY PERIOD
VALID 13TH TO 19TH JAN 2015
Issue Date: 12/01/2015
Review of weather for the last seven-day period
5th to 11th Jan, 2015):
 Narok in the south rift recorded the highest rainfall of
Forecast for the next seven days (13th to 19th
Jan 2015):
The forecast indicates:
51.2mm.

Dry weather is to be experienced throughout the
Ref No: KMD/FCST/11-2013/FD/47
The rest of the stations that reported had less that
entire country for the entirety of the forecast period.
10mm of rainfall.
Day-time temperatures generally decreased over most
parts of the country except few areas.
Night-time temperatures generally increased over most
areas except few areas over the coast.



1.
SUMMARY
2. Weather Review for the last seven days 5th to 11th Jan, 2015
Rainfall Review
2.1
Rainfall categories
Range
Category
<5 mm
5 - 20mm
20 - 50mm
Light
Moderate
Heavy
>50mm
Very heavy
During the review period, Narok in the south rift recorded the highest rainfall
of 51.2mm. The rest of the stations that reported had less that 10mm of
rainfall. Figure 1 depicts the seven-day rainfall totals as experienced from 5th
to 11th Jan, 2015.
60.0
50.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
LODWAR
MARSABIT
MOYALE
GARISSA
WAJIR
MANDERA
KITALE
KAKAMEGA
ELDORET
ELDORT A/P
KABARNET
BUTERE
SHIKOTI
SUBA
KERICHO
KISII
KISUMU
NYAHURURU
NAKURU
NAROK
KABARAK
KARURUMO
IYEGO
TUTHU
WRMA KERUGOYA
MIAD MWEA
GITUGI
KANGEMA
NYERI
EMBU
MERU
LAIKIPIA
M.A.B.
DAGORETTI
WILSON
JKIA
THIKA
KABETE
NGONG
MACHAKOS
MAKINDU
VOI
MUTOMO
KITUI
SHIGHARO
WUNDANYI
WERUGHA
LAMU
MALINDI
MSABAHA
MTWAPA
MOMBASA
KILINDINI
RAINFALL (MM)
40.0
FIGURE 1:SEVEN-DAY RAINFALL 5TH TO 11TH JAN, 2015
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Figure 2 depicts the spatial distribution of the rainfall totals for the seven-day review period 5th to 11th
Jan, 2015) over the country while
Fig 2: Spatial map of the 5th to 11th Jan, 2015 rainfall totals
2.2
Temperature
During the review period, day-time (maximum) temperatures generally decreased over most parts of
the country except few areas. Night-time (minimum) temperatures generally increased over most areas
except few areas over the coast.
Wajir Meteorological Stations recorded the highest daily maximum temperature of 38.8°C on 11th
January 2015 while Nyahururu Meteorological Station recorded the lowest daily minimum temperature
of 4.9°C on 5th. Wajir Meteorological station recorded the highest seven-day average maximum
temperature of 37.4°C while Nyahururu Meteorological Station recorded the lowest seven-day average
minimum temperature of 6.3°C. (See Figure 4 below)
40.0
MIN
MAX
35.0
30.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
MOMBASA
MTWAPA
MSABAHA
MALINDI
LAMU
VOI
MAKINDU
THIKA
JKIA
MACHAKOS
STATION
WILSON
MERU
NYERI
NAKURU
NYAHURURU
KISUMU
KERICHO
ELDORET
KAKAMEGA
KITALE
WAJIR
MOYALE
0.0
LODWAR
TEMPERATURE IN oC
25.0
FIG4 SEVEN - DAY MAXIMUM & MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FROM 5TH TO 11TH JAN, 2015
2
3. FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS FROM 13TH TO 19TH JAN 2015
The forecast indicates:
 Dry weather condition is to be experienced throughout the entire country for the entire
forecast period.
DETAILED REGIONAL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS 13TH TO 19TH JAN 2015
The Lake Victoria Basin, Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Central and South Rift Valley
(counties of Siaya, Kisumu, Homabay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Transnzoia, Baringo,
Uasingishu, Elgeyo-Marakwet, Nandi, Laikipia, Nakuru, Narok, Kajiado, Kericho, Bomet,
Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma and Busia are expected to experience sunny intervals the entire day
throughout the forecast period. The extreme south Rift Valley is however likely to receive
afternoon showers and thunderstorms scattered over few places at the beginning of the period;
Northwestern (counties of Turkana, West Pokot and Samburu) are expected to experience
sunny intervals the entire day throughout the forecast period;
Central Highlands including, Nairobi area (counties of Nairobi, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Kirinyaga,
Murang'a, Kiambu, Meru, Embu, and Tharaka) are expected to experience sunny intervals the
entire day throughout the forecast period;
Northeastern (counties of Marsabit, Mandera, Wajir, Garissa and Isiolo) are expected to
experience sunny intervals the entire day throughout the forecast period;
Southeastern (counties of Kitui, Makueni, Machakos and Taita Taveta) are expected to
experience sunny intervals the entire day throughout the forecast period;
The Coastal strip (counties of Mombasa, Tana River, Kilifi, Lamu and Kwale) are expected
to experience sunny intervals the entire day throughout the forecast period.
N.B: This forecast should be used in conjunction with the daily (24-hour) forecast issued by
this Department.
KEY OF SCIENTIFIC WORDS USED
Most Places: Between 66% and 100%.
Several Places: Between 33% and 66%
Few Places: Between 0 and 33%
P. NYING’URO
FOR DIRECTOR OF METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
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