Capstocks Equity Research Company Analysis 21st Jan 2015 _____________________________________________________________________________________ Capstocks Research Team Reiterate Buy Target Holding Period : ` 464 : ` 545 : 3 Months Conviction Ideas - 153 Nilkamal COMPANY OVERVIEW: Nilkamal is the undisputed leader in the Indian market for moulded Plastic Furniture, being the largest manufacturer and marketer of moulded plastic chairs in India. Promoted by the Parekh family, Nilkamal Plastics, incorporated in Dec.'85 as Creamer Plastic a private limited company, converted into a public limited company in Jul.90. In Aug.'90, the name was changed to the present one. The Company has 8 large manufacturing plants in India: North – Samba (Jammu & Kashmir) and Greater Noida (Uttar Pradesh) * East - Barjora (West Bengal) * West - Sinnar, Nashik (Maharashtra) and Silvassa (Union Territory of Dadra & Nagar Haveli) (2 plants) * South – Pondicherry (Union Territory) and Hosur (Tamilnadu). Occupying a massive total constructed area of 1 million Sq. ft; all of Nilkamal’s manufacturing plants are ISO 9001/2008 Certified and practice 6 Sigma manufacturing process. This extensive manufacturing infrastructure is ably supported by their wide and strong sales network of 400+ technocommercial experts, operating through 39 Regional Offices and 41 Warehouses spread across India. All the Nilkamal plants, warehouses and offices are connected to the Head Office in real time by ERP, SAP-R3. BUSINESS: Nilkamal is engaged in the business of moulded furniture, material handling solutions and mattress. The company also runs home store retail chain. The company is the largest manufacturer and marketer of moulded plastic chairs. They manufacture and sell plastic moulded chairs in Indian markets, along with sofas as well as ready to assemble furniture too. In Material Handling, Nilkamal is a "One Stop Shop for Material Handling Solutions" and offers a comprehensive product mix right from bins, crates, pallets, Material Handling Equipment ranging from Pallet Trucks to Stackers, Forklifts, Shelving and Racking plus all equipment required for every type of industry which is growing at a rapid pace in India. The Company's New Venture @home, the Mega Home Retail Chain is recognized as a pioneer and leader in this category in India. @home is spread across the country with 16 large format retail stores with an average of 25,000 Sq.ft. per store. @home, positioned as a Home Maker store, is a perfect onestop solution store for home planning, with finest quality furniture, soft furnishing, home accessories and a plethora of a whole lot of services to enhance your indoor and outdoor spaces. The designs @home are contemporary yet practical, mirroring Indian taste & finesse. The company has consistently won many prestigious export awards and recognitions since past years. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS: 2013 FY 2014 Net Sales Cr. FY 2012 1508.5 1745.0 1693.8 Net Profit Cr. 61.8 37.8 47.5 EPS Rs. 40.9 Book Value Rs. 24.8 298.1 31.5 277.5 326.6 4 4 4 Dividend Rs. ____________________________________________________________________________________ Please see the disclaimer at the end For Private circulation only 1 Capstocks Equity Research Company Analysis 21st Jan 2015 _____________________________________________________________________________________ INVESTMENT RATIONALE: Nilkamal manufactures wide range of moulded furniture and material handling containers. The company products are well accepted in both domestic and international. They also export to major markets in Europe and Americas which are known for being sticklers for quality. Due to slowdown in economy and high raw material prices, the last few years’ performance of the company was lackluster. With expected improvement in domestic economy, the company is set to do well. The recent sharp fall in crude oil prices will reduce cost as most of their raw materials are crude oil derivatives. The loss making @home retail chain business has turnaround and shown profit in FY14 which will aid overall performance of the company. We expect operating performance of the company to improve well in the near future on lower raw material costs, less interest outgo and lower depreciation charges. Valuation of the stock looks attractive even after the current run up, the stock has witnessed. Considering its brand, quality, market acceptability for its products we advise investors to buy Nilkamal at current levels for decent return with medium term perspective. SHAREHOLDING PATTERN AS ON Sep 2014 PROMOTERS India % STOCKS DETAILS . NSE SYMBOL NILKAMAL 63.57 FACE VALUE Rs. INSTITUTIONS Mutual funds FII Bodies Corporate Public and Others 7.41 0.87 4.32 23.83 10 EPS Rs. 31.5 MARKET PRICE Rs. 464 P/E 14.7 ____________________________________________________________________________________ Please see the disclaimer at the end For Private circulation only 2 Capstocks Equity Research Company Analysis 21st Jan 2015 _____________________________________________________________________________________ P revious Conviction Ideas: Sl. No. Recommendation Date Target CMP Status & Price Price 152 Tata Motors 14-Jan-15 ` 523 ` 590 550 151 Castrol ` 521 ` 590 07-Jan-15 500 150 Federal Bank ` 146 ` 170 25-Dec-14 143 149 Zensar Tech ` 585 ` 690 18-Dec-14 672 148 JM Financials 11-Dec-14 ` 50 ` 57 50 ` 500 ` 575 147 Canfin Homes 03-Dec-14 704 Target Achieved 146 Bharat Electronics ` 2300 ` 2650 26-Nov-14 3140 Target Achieved 145 Tata Coffee ` 980 ` 1150 20-Nov-14 1011 144 Centum ` 558 ` 675 12-Nov-14 740 Target Achieved ` 25.3 ` 32 143 PNB Gilts 5-Nov-14 32 Target Achieved 142 Sanghi Industries ` 61 ` 75 15-Oct-14 58 ` 452 ` 520 141 Canfin Homes 8-Oct-14 704 Target Achieved 140 LG Balakrishnan 1-Oct-14 ` 704 ` 790 639 Target Achieved 139 Castrol India ` 434 ` 490 24-Sep-14 500 Target Achieved 138 Garware Wallropes ` 180 ` 218 10-Sep-14 208 Target Achieved 137 V-Mart ` 432 ` 490 27-Aug-14 492 Target Achieved 136 Amararaja Batteries 13-Aug-14 ` 532 ` 625 825 Target Achieved 135 Gujarat Alkalies ` 201 ` 245 30-July-14 191 134 Hindustan Zinc ` 169 ` 195 23-July-14 163 133 Aarti Industries ` 204 ` 245 16-July-14 274 Target Achieved 132 Nilkamal ` 392 ` 475 2-July-14 457 Target Achieved ` 415 ` 476 131 Zensar Tech 25-June-14 672 Target Achieved 130 JK Tyres ` 56 ` 65 11-June-14 122 Target Achieved 129 M&M Financials ` 304 ` 352 28-May-14 268 128 JMC Projects 21-May-14 ` 149 ` 185 178 Target Achieved 127 LG Balakrishnan ` 233 ` 263 7-May-14 639 Target Achieved 126 Amararaja Batteries ` 490 30-April-14 ` 422 825 Target Achieved 125 Atul ` 520 ` 590 23-Apr-14 1367 Target Achieved 124 Canfin Homes 16-Apr-14 ` 240 ` 280 704 Target Achieved 123 TVS Srichakra ` 304 ` 345 2-Apr-14 1674 Target Achieved 122 Styrolution ABS ` 475 ` 555 25-Mar-14 715 Target Achieved 121 SKF India ` 795 ` 890 19-Mar-14 1377 Target Achieved 120 Cox & Kings ` 152 ` 175 12-Mar-14 319 Target Achieved 119 Crompton Greaves ` 134 ` 150 5-Mar-14 194 Target Achieved 118 L G Balakrishnan ` 163 ` 187 19-Feb-14 639 Target Achieved 117 TV Today ` 113 ` 140 12-Feb-14 230 Target Achieved 116 Accelya Kale 29-Jan-14 ` 750 ` 845 1043 Target Achieved 115 NIIT Tech ` 413 ` 475 22-Jan-14 369 Target Achieved ____________________________________________________________________________________ Please see the disclaimer at the end For Private circulation only 3 Company Name Capstocks Equity Research Company Analysis 21st Jan 2015 _____________________________________________________________________________________ 114 JK Tyre 113 Gujarat Pipavav 112 NIIT Ltd 111 V-Mart 110 Atul 109 FDC 108 TVS Motor 107 Gujrat Gas 106 Infotech Enter. 105 Tata Steel 104 VST Tillers 103 Avanti Feeds 102 Amararaja Battery 101 Alembic Pharma 99 Gujrat Gas 98 Atul 97 Bajaj Corp 96 Biocon 95 Indraprastha Gas 94 Accelya Kale 93 Avanti Feeds 92 Hindalco 91 Pfizer 90 Avanti Feeds 89 Amararaja Batt. 88 Sundaram Finance 87 NDTV 86 JK Tyre 85 Jammu & Kashmir 84 JK Lakshmi 83 Bajaj Corp 82 ITC 81 GIPCL 79 Yes bank 78 Chettinad Cement 76 ABirla Nuvo 75 JB Chemicals 74 Vijaya Bank 73 NMDC 72 HIL Limited 15-Jan-14 8-Jan-14 01-Jan-13 26-Dec-13 04-Dec-13 27-Nov-13 20-Nov-13 13-Nov-13 06-Nov-13 23-Oct-13 09-Oct-13 03-Oct-13 18-Sep-13 11-Sep-13 21-Aug-13 14-Aug-13 07-Aug-13 31-Jul-13 17-Jul-13 10-Jul-13 03-Jul-13 26-Jun-13 12-Jun-13 05-Jun-13 29-May-13 22-May-13 15-May-13 09-May-13 02-May-13 17-Apr-13 03-Apr-13 13-Mar-13 06-Mar-13 13-Feb-13 06-Feb-13 23-Jan-13 16-Jan-13 09-Jan-13 02-Jan-13 26-Dec-12 ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` 33.4 63 28 220 430 101 50.3 289 250 335 460 225 297 141 207 313 245 318 305 557 160 97 1061 130 274 560 93 23.2 137 90 243 300 71 522 910 1170 90 66 170 490 ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` 38.8 72 36 260 475 118 58 330 285 390 536 258 345 162 237 360 276 375 345 625 185 112 1220 155 305 650 110 27 152 104 275 330 82 575 1090 1290 104 77 196 575 122 204 45 492 1367 157 300 719 547 396 1526 1585 825 468 719 1367 409 428 476 1043 1585 143 2128 1585 825 856 114 122 156 413 409 350 86 856 710 1846 199 50 138 658 Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Booked Loss Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved ____________________________________________________________________________________ Please see the disclaimer at the end For Private circulation only 4 Capstocks Equity Research Company Analysis 21st Jan 2015 _____________________________________________________________________________________ 71 70 69 68 67 66 65 64 63 62 61 60 58 57 56 55 54 53 52 51 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 Tata Motor DVR LIC Housing Gujarat Alkalies Texmaco Rail Bajaj Auto Sundaram Finance IDFC Karur Vysya Bank JB Chemicals Cairn India Zensar Tech Bajaj Corp JKTyre Kale Consultants Goodricke Group Orient Paper Ceat Venky’s Tata Sponge * Cera Sanitaryware Mangalam Cement Alembic Pharma IDFC FDC Force Motor Chettinad Cement Automobile Corp Everest Industries Goodricke Group Amararaja Battery HSIL Limited Goodyear Tyres Gateway Distriparks Sundaram Finance Raymond Hydrabad Industries Cera Sanitaryware Zensar Tech NIIT Tech Fag Bearings Escorts 19-Dec-12 12-Dec-12 03-Dec-12 29-Nov-12 22-Nov-12 15-Nov-12 31-Oct-12 10-Oct-12 03-Oct-12 26-Sep-12 12-Sep-12 05-Sep-12 22-Aug-12 16-Aug-12 08-Aug-12 01-Aug-12 25-Jul-12 18-Jul-12 11-Jul-12 04-Jul-12 20-Jun-12 13-Jun-12 06-Jun-12 30-May-12 23-May-12 16-May-12 09-May-12 02-May-12 24-Apr-12 18-Apr-12 11-Apr-12 04-Apr-12 28-Mar-12 21-Mar-12 14-Mar-12 29-Feb-12 22-Feb-12 15-Feb-12 09-Feb-12 01-Feb-12 25-Jan-12 ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` ` 174 274 141 64 1830 480 161 433 75 335 270 185 23.2 168 145 64* 96 458 339 287 122 52 126 81 458 700 350 160 155 158 165 365 150 320 400 345 219 181 240 1199 84 ` 195 ` 314 ` 171 ` 74 ` 2050 ` 575 ` 180 ` 495 ` 90 ` 375 ` 305 ` 220 ` 25.6 ` 192 ` 175 ` 78 ` 114 ` 520 ` 375 ` 330 ` 152 ` 62 ` 153 ` 95 ` 550 ` 875 ` 425 ` 205 ` 175 ` 188 ` 205 ` 440 ` 180 ` 363 ` 460 ` 420 ` 260 ` 215 ` 310 ` 1430 ` 102 360 483 191 138 2433 1432 170 599 199 238 672 409 122 1043 153 27 816 388 635 2050 335 468 170 157 1187 710 516 343 153 825 407 618 399 1432 532 658 2050 672 369 3590 133 Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved ____________________________________________________________________________________ Please see the disclaimer at the end For Private circulation only 5 Capstocks Equity Research Company Analysis 21st Jan 2015 _____________________________________________________________________________________ 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Oracle Financial Tata Motors Zensar Tech Manglore chemicals Amararaja Battery LIC Housing Raymond Grindwell Norton FDC Biocon United Phosphorus Gujarat Industries Ashok Leyland Gateway Distriparks Balmer Lawrie Wyeth L.G. Balakrishnan CRISIL ITC Sundaram Finance Yes Bank Goodyear Tyres IDFC City Union Bank Ineos ABS IGL GMDC Amararaja Batteries 18-Jan-12 11-Jan-12 05-Jan-12 30-Nov-11 17-Nov-11 02-Nov-11 20-Oct-11 12-Oct-11 05-Oct-11 28-Sep-11 21-Sep-11 14-Sep-11 07-Sep-11 24-Aug-11 17-Aug-11 10-Aug-11 03-Aug-11 27-Jul-11 20-Jul-11 13-Jul-11 06-Jul-11 29-Jun-11 22-Jun-11 15-Jun-11 08-Jun-11 01-Jun-11 25-May-11 18-May-11 ` 2020 ` 205 ` 135 ` 33 ` 112 ` 235 ` 356 ` 235 ` 89 ` 345 ` 155 ` 76 ` 27 ` 130 ` 377 ` 1016 ` 145 ` 870 ` 205 ` 276 ` 325 ` 322 ` 122 ` 45 ` 595 ` 342 ` 138 ` 104 ` 2280 ` 240 ` 165 ` 40 ` 130 ` 275 ` 415 ` 268 ` 106 ` 385 ` 179 ` 86 ` 32 ` 150 ` 428 ` 1150 ` 170 ` 960 ` 226 ` 320 ` 374 ` 396 ` 154 ` 54 ` 690 ` 409 ` 180 ` 128 3353 550 672 91 825 483 532 607 157 428 361 86 63 399 596 1344 639 2031 350 1432 856 618 170 95 715 476 129 825 Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved Target Achieved • Tata Sponge adjusted buy price post open offer is 285 • Model Portfolio was given in Conviction Idea 50 , 59 ,77 ,80 • * 55 Demerged • Some stocks have achieved target after the holding period mentioned in our report Prepared By: Capstocks Research Team Capstocks & Securities (India) Pvt. Ltd Tel: 0471-4093361 | E-mail: [email protected] www.capstocks.com ************************************************************************************************************ Disclaimer: Capstocks & Securities India (Pvt) Ltd do not accept responsibility for consequences of financial decisions taken by readers on the basis of information provided herein. The aim is to provide a reasonably accurate picture of financial and related opportunities based on information available with us. Issued by the Equity Research & Analysis Department of Capstocks & Securities India (Pvt) Ltd, Capstocks Towers, Thakaraparambu Road, Trivandrum 695023, Kerala. Please note that Capstocks, its directors and associates may have trading or investment positions in the securities mentioned herein ****************************************************************************************** ____________________________________________________________________________________ Please see the disclaimer at the end For Private circulation only 6
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