Introduction to Futures Tim Barry, VP Product Development, ICE Futures U.S. Trading Places, 1983 - Paramount Pictures ICE: Commodity & Derivative Markets Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is a leading global exchange operator with regulated futures exchanges and clearing houses for energy, agriculture, equity index and FX markets. ICE also operates leading OTC energy and credit derivatives markets. ICE offices in Asia, Canada, Europe & the U.S. GLOBAL DISTRIBUTION • Screens distributed around the globe • Regulated futures exchanges and clearing houses in the U.S., Europe, Canada and Asia, as well as Global OTC markets DIVERSIFIED MARKETS • Energy, agriculture, equity index, FX, metals interest rates and equities • Futures, OTC and options • Electronic and brokered LEADING EDGE TECHNOLOGY • Scalable infrastructure, highly accessible platform • 3 millisecond execution time 3 Serving Global Markets ICE operates 11 regulated exchanges and 5 clearing houses for the global financial and commodity markets. 4 ICE: Commodity & Derivative Markets ICE Regulated Futures Exchanges U.S. & CANADA AGS & ENERGY FINANCIALS Currency Pairs Cocoa U.S. Dollar Index Coffee Russell Indexes Cotton Credit Indexes Sugar Orange Juice Barley Canola Wheat Corn Soybeans North American Nat Gas North American Power RINs ICE OTC ICE Data & Services OTC CONTRACTS MARKET DATA OTC Credit – Creditex CDS – Indexes, Single Names, Structured Products, Sovereigns Real-time Prices/Screens Indices and End of Day Reports Tick-data, Time and Sales Market Price Validations Forward Curves EUROPE ENERGY & FERROUS METALS Brent & Brent NX Crude WTI Crude Gasoil & LS Gasoil ASCI Crude Refined Oil Products Natural Gas Liquids Liquefied Natural Gas European Natural Gas European Power Coal Emissions Iron Ore Freight OTC Energy – Physical Energy Contracts SERVICES BRIX – Brazilian Power Markets WebICE & ICE Mobile ICE eConfirm ICE Link ICE Chat ICE Match Chatham Energy Coffee Grading Trade Vault Global Clearing Houses ICE Clear U.S., ICE Clear Canada ICE Clear Europe Integrated Markets, Clearing and Technology 5 ICE Clear Credit, The Clearing Corp ICE Futures U.S. › The Business ICE Futures U.S., Inc. is the original futures exchange of New York, a whole-owned subsidiary of Intercontinental Exchange® (NYSE: ICE), a leading global marketplace for price discovery and risk management. › Soft Commodity Products Futures and Options contracts on a variety of soft commodities; Sugar No. 11® Coffee “C” ® Cocoa Cotton No. 2 Frozen Concentrated OJ (FCOJ) · Financial Products - Russell Stock Indexes ,Currency Pairs and USDX · Energy Products – Financial Natural Gas, Power and Emissions 6 ICE Agricultural Products Usage › Softs futures volumes rose 9% in 2013 to 50.2m lots › Softs options volume fell 7% in 2013 to 9.9m lots › Total softs volume rose 6% on year 7 What Is a Futures Contract? Standardized, legally enforceable contracts obligating a buyer and seller to perform certain functions within pre-set time frames. Nearly all terms are pre-determined: quantity, quality, delivery time frame, delivery location, etc. Seller is obligated to make delivery, Buyer is obligated to take delivery; Only 2 ways to satisfy a future contract: Make/Take Delivery; or Execute an opposing trade in the same contract before the delivery period. 8 Futures Contracts Offer Two Benefits Price Discovery › › › 9 What is the value of a pound of commodity-style coffee today, for delivery at various points in time in the future Takes place in a centralized marketplace open to widest potential set of buyers/sellers Generates a stream of price data that is readily usable by any interested market observer Futures Contracts Offer Two Benefits Price Discovery – who should care? › › › › Producers/exporters of the product End users/importers of the product Merchants who help cash product move between the two sets of participants Bank Financers, lenders, governments, NGO’s – anyone concerned about price levels for a product 10 Futures Contracts Offer Two Benefits Risk Shifting, or Hedging › › › 11 Taking a futures or options position equal and opposite to your cash position. As market price fluctuates, Hedge position gains offset Cash position losses. Works if there is a sufficiently close relationship between Cash and Futures market prices over time. Futures Contracts Offer Two Benefits Risk Shifting, or Hedging – again, who should care? › Producers/exporters – concerned about decline in value before they can exit cash position. › End users/importers – concerned about increase in value before they can obtain needed product. › Merchants – who can have net risk on their cash books. › Commodity financers. 12 Who Uses Futures Contracts? Hedgers – any commercial market participant with price risk who uses futures to limit or manage that risk? Speculators – all other traders, who use futures to take on price risk with the intent of making a trading profit. 13 ICE Coffee “C” Futures: The World Benchmark for Arabica Coffee Trading 14 Contract months: March, May, July, September and December Contract size: 37,500 pounds Tick size: 5/100 cent per pound= $18.75 per contract Trading Hours: 3:30 a.m. – 2:00 p.m. ET Origins: 19 origins, including Colombia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Peru, Brazil , Nicaragua, Uganda, Rwanda, India Delivery Points: New York, Miami, New Orleans, Houston, Bremen/Hamburg, Antwerp and Barcelona Options Contracts are related but different Legally enforceable contracts obligating a buyer and seller to perform certain functions within pre-set time frames. Give the Buyer the right (but not the obligation) to convert the option into a future. Obligate the Seller to convert the option into a future if the Buyer exercises his right. 15 Options Contracts are related but different 3 ways to satisfy an option contract: Exercise the Option into a Future Execute an opposing trade in the same contract before the option expiration Allow the Option to Expire 16 ICE Coffee “C” Options Contract: Key Terms Contract months: Regular Months: March, May, July, September and December Serial Months: all other months Contract size: Each option covers one futures contract Premium: Tick size: Option Types: paid in full by buyer/to seller up front 1/100 cent per pound= $3.75 per Call Option – lets buyer convert option into a long future Put Option – lets buyer convert option into a short future 17 ICE Agricultural Products Usage › Softs futures volumes rose 9% in 2013 to 50.2m lots › Softs options volume fell 7% in 2013 to 9.9m lots › Total softs volume rose 6% on year 18 Quick Facts - 2013 › Notional value of soft commodity contracts traded on ICE in 2013 was $1.643 Trillion USD › Coffee “C” traded the equivalent of 28 times global coffee production › Cotton #2 traded the equivalent of 7.4 times global cotton production (but just under 22 times global exports) › Sugar #11 traded the equivalent of 10 times global sugar production › Cocoa traded the equivalent of 18 times global cocoa production 19 20 21
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