weekend the business times www.businesstimes.com.sg | JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 | S$1.00 | MCI (P) 052/08/2014 | the raffles conversation MIT PRESIDENT RAFAEL REIF | 8-9 labour Redundancies on the rise RESTRUCTURING pains continue to bite, with more workers laid off in 2014 than the year before. | 2 finance KL tycoon extends RM2b loan ANANDA Krishnan is understood to have agreed to lend 1MDB as much as RM2 billion to a debt that falls due on Jan 31. | 3 media Singtel forms streaming JV IT teams up with Sony Pictures Television and Warner Bros Entertainment to offer regional video streaming service. | 6 equities January market cap rises 2.2% THE value of Singapore’s stock market is up for the third month in a row with low-oil beneficiaries and real estate counters leading the way. | 10 technology Google spending spree takes a toll IT ramps up spending on new technologies even as its Web-advertising business falls short of estimates. | 19 LIVING Time’s a-changing L2-4 | OPINION The business of creative industries | 26-27 | WEALTH Asia’s hot, young hedge funds | 28-29 Dec bank loans growth slows to near 5-yr low Hit comes from a sharp 6.4 per cent fall in manufacturing loans compared to a month ago By Jamie Lee [email protected] @JamieLeeBT Singapore B ANK lending in December grew at 5.9 per cent from a year ago – the slowest pace since March 2010 – preliminary data from the Monetary Authority of Singapore showed on Friday. Compared to November, it actually stagnated amid weak business loans, which have been contracting for most of the second half of 2014. Loans through the domestic banking unit – which mainly reflect Singapore-dollar lending – stood at S$608 billion in December. Business loans, which have shown clear weakness in the later part of last year, contracted 0.4 per cent to S$372 billion in December compared to a month ago. This reversed from the 0.8 per cent growth posted in November. The hit in December came from a sharp 6.4 per cent fall in manufacturing loans compared to a month ago, reversing from slight gains made in November. Trade loans also declined for the fourth straight month. On a yearly comparison, trade-loan growth eased to a four-year low. SOFT MARKET Sustainable improvement in consumer and housing loans looks doubtful. FILE PHOTO While construction loans – which make up the single-largest part, or about a quarter, of all business loans – were up 0.9 per cent in December, this was weaker than the 1.6 per cent growth posted in November. On a yearly comparison, business loans grew just 6.4 per cent – a level not seen since August 2010. “Key drivers of business loans are facing more subdued growth prospects going ahead,” said Selena Ling, head of treasury research & strategy at OCBC Bank. Consumer loans edged up slightly by 0.5 per cent from a month ago to S$236 billion in December. This mostly reflects higher housing loans, which make up three-quar- ter of loans to individuals. The gain compared with a 0.4 per cent lift in November. With analysts’ expectations for further softness in the domestic property market amid cooling measures and the rising interest rate environment, Ms Ling said it may be premature to conclude a sustainable improvement in consumer and housing loans is on the cards. For 13 months now, year-on-year growth in consumer loans has been in single-digit territory, reflecting the raft of cooling measures introduced by the government. The total debt servicing ratio, which limits borrowings to 60 per cent of a person’s gross monthly income, was put in place in 2013. Cortina Watch pushes ahead with expansion plans By Chuang Peck Ming [email protected] Singapore CORTINA Watch is not taking a breather, even after opening the world’s biggest Patek Philippe boutique in Taiwan. Neither is the Swiss currency shock or a soft market going to slow it. The Singapore-listed watch retail chain is pushing ahead with expansion plans this year, which includes opening a giant Rolex flagship shop in Marina Square and a multi-brand boutique in Capitol Building as well as expanding its existing Patek Philippe boutique in ION and multi-brand outlet in Paragon. The Rolex shop will be the single biggest project, involving 5,500 square feet of space for watch displays and events. Renovation costs alone could work out to around S$4 million, according to Cortina’s chief operat- ing officer Jeremy Lim. The shop, which will probably be the biggest Rolex boutique in Singapore, is likely to be ready by year-end. The multi-brand boutique at the luxury hotel and shopping development at The Capitol is about 3,000 sq ft. It will incur renovation costs of probably S$2 million. The Patek Philippe boutique at ION will triple its present 800-square-feet size to about 2,900 square feet in July. Renovation is estimated to cost around S$2.5 million to S$3 million. Meanwhile, the Paragon store, which carries brands like Vacheron Constantin, Omega, Longines and Jaeger LeCoultre, will grow from 2,000 sq ft to 2,800 sq ft, Mr Lim said, adding that Cortina may also refurbish its multi-brand outlet at Raffles City. Continued on Page 5 45 Cortina’s >> S$4m investment pays off, Page 5 TOP WATCHMEN From left: Jeremy Lim; Anthony Lim, chairman and CEO of Cortina; Thierry Stern, president of Patek Philippe; Raymond Lim, deputy chairman and deputy CEO of Cortina 2 top stories THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 CONTENTS NEWS Top Stories 2-7 Raffles Conversation 8-9 Companies & Markets 10-14 Real Estate 15-16 Banking & Finance 17 Energy & Commodities 18 Technology 19 Consumer 20 Transport 21 Govt & Economy 22-25 Opinion 26-27 Wealth 28-30 Life & Culture 31 MARKETS LIVING Watches Dining Design L2-5 L6-9 L10-11 HSTI STOCKS 3,391.20 (-27.85) HSTI FUTURES 3,390.00 (-29.00) HSIMSCI 380.23 (-2.50) HSIMSCI FUTURES Home & Garden Motoring Sports L12-13 L14-15 L16 380.20 (-2.80) Friday Change KL COMP NIKKEI 225 HANG SENG SET JAKARTA MANILA KOSPI SHENZHEN B MUMBAI IND 1,781.26 17,674.39 24,507.05 1,581.25 5,289.40 7,689.91 1,949.26 1,070.04 29,182.95 -0.92 +68.17 -88.80 -5.15 +26.69 +72.61 -1.76 +3.48 -498.82 11am EST Change DOW NASDAQ 17,318.65 4,664.79 -98.20 -18.61 More redundancies in 2014 due to restructuring Increase in layoffs stems primarily from the services sector By Kelly Tay [email protected] @KellyTayBT Singapore RESTRUCTURING pains continue to bite, with more workers laid off in 2014 than the year before. Still, labour market conditions remain tight – unemployment averaged just 2 per cent for the whole of last year. Wage pressures persist as well, with Singapore’s real median income rising by 1.4 per cent in 2014. The pace of growth, however, was slower than 2013’s “exceptionally high increase” of 4.6 per cent (when bigger increments likely kicked in due to the Wage Credit Scheme). So said the Ministry of Manpower (MOM) on Friday in its 25-page Employment Situation 2014 report, which revealed that 12,800 workers were made redundant in 2014 – up from 11,560 in 2013 – amid ongoing business restructuring. The increase in layoffs stemmed primarily from the services sector, which made up more than half (7,100) of all redundancies last year (compared to 5,430 in 2013). Layoffs from the construction sector also rose to 1,500 from 1,120, while redundancies in manufacturing declined to 4,200 from 5,000. Despite the increase in layoffs, recruitment experts remain unfazed. Said Femke Hellemons, country manager, Adecco Singapore: “We see an increase in layoffs but it’s nothing too concerning. The job market remains healthy and employment is still growing strongly.” MOM’s preliminary estimates showed that the overall seasonally adjusted unemployment rate declined from 2 per cent in September to 1.9 per cent in Decem- ber – even lower than the consensus expectation of 2 per cent. For the whole of 2014, unemployment stayed low, averaging 2 per cent overall, 2.7 per cent for residents, and 2.9 per cent for citizens – broadly unchanged from 2013. Meanwhile, employment growth among locals rose over 2014 as foreign employment growth continued to moderate. The services sector (118,600) formed the bulk of employment gains, followed by construction (14,500). Manufacturing jobs, however, fell by 4,600. MOM said the employed pool is estimated to have grown by 129,000 over the entire year of 2014 – lower than the 136,200 in 2013 and similar to the 129,100 in 2012. Said Nomura research analysts Euben Paracuelles and Brian Tan: “As hiring locals becomes more challenging, employ- ment growth will likely fall further. Unless policymakers ease restrictions on foreign labour, the burden of driving GDP growth will increasingly fall on productivity growth, which has been disappointing so far. “The pressure to see more visible results from the productivity drive is therefore rising, and we expect Budget 2015 to announce another fiscal deficit of 0.3 per cent of GDP to support the restructuring agenda of boosting productivity.” OCBC economist Selena Ling also noted that the slower employment growth “may suggest that labour force growth through the return of housewives and retirees may have peaked”. In a separate report by MOM, also released on Friday, data showed that Singapore’s labour force participation rate for residents rose to a new high of 67 per cent in 2014, driven by continued PRIME RATES FOREX SINGAPORE MALAYSIA HONG KONG INDONESIA TAIWAN JAPAN KOREA BRITAIN US CANADA SWITZERLAND INDIA 5.35 6.85 5.00 14.424 5.036 1.475 9.33 0.50 3.25 2.85 0.50 14.75 Source: Bloomberg US$ S$ US$ (S$ per US$) – 1.350 £ (US$/S$ per £) 1.507 2.036 EURO (US$/S$/€ ) 1.134 1.531 Foreign currency per US$ YEN RM HK$ BAHT RUPIAH RENMINBI INDIAN RUPEE A$ NZ$ S$ 117.90 3.625 7.752 32.71 12,650 6.248 61.79 1.286 1.374 87.30 2.684 5.740 24.22 9,367 4.626 45.76 0.952 1.017 More layoffs Redundancies by sector 25,000 (Number of workers) 20,000 15,000 Total 10,000 Services Manufacturing 5,000 Construction 0 2006 Total 13,090 Manufacturing 8,860 Construction 490 Services 3,670 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 8,590 5,500 70 2,990 16,880 10,430 540 5,870 23,430 13,640 980 8,720 9,800 4,490 1,350 3,960 9,990 4,460 1,050 4,430 11,010 4,050 650 6,300 2013 2014* 11,560 5,000 1,120 5,430 12,800 4,200 1,500 7,100 *2014 figures based on preliminary estimates Source: Labour Market Survey, MOM increases for women and older residents. Coupled with the fact that the labour market stayed tight with low unemployment, the employment rate of residents aged 25 to 64 rose to another high of 79.7 per cent, up from 79 per cent in 2013 and 72.3 per cent in 2004. There was also a sustained growth in incomes over the last five years; from 2009 to 2014, the median income increased by 10 per cent or 1.9 per cent per an- num after adjusting for inflation. But higher consumer prices meant that this was lower than the gains of 13 per cent or 2.5 per cent per annum in the earlier five years. As for lower-wage workers at the 20th percentile of full-time employed residents, the income increase over 2009 to 2014 (after adjusting for inflation) was 12 per cent or 2.4 per cent per annum. MOM said this was faster than the gains of 3.4 per cent or 0.7 per cent per annum from 2004 to 2009. latest us data | Q4 GDP growth slows on weak business spending Washington US economic growth slowed sharply in the fourth quarter as weak business spending and a wider trade deficit offset the fastest pace of consumer spending since 2006. Gross domestic product (GDP) expanded at a 2.6 per cent annual pace after the third quarter’s spectacular 5 per cent rate, the Commerce Department said in its first GDP snapshot on Friday. The slowdown, which follows two back-to-back quarters of very strong growth, is likely to be short-lived given the enormous tailwind from lower petrol prices. Most economists believe that fundamentals in the United States are strong enough to cushion the blow on growth from weakening overseas economies. Even with the moderation in the fourth quarter, growth remained above the 2.5 per cent pace, which is considered to be the economy’s potential. Economists had expected the economy to expand at a 3 per cent rate in the fourth quarter. For all of 2014, the economy grew 2.4 per cent compared with 2.2 per cent in 2013. The report came two days after the Federal Reserve said that the economy was expanding at a “solid pace”, an upgraded assessment that keeps it on track to start raising interest rates this year. Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of US economic activity, advanced at a 4.3 per cent pace in the fourth quarter – the fastest since the first quarter of 2006 and an acceleration from the third quarter’s 3.2 per cent pace. According to government data, petrol prices have plunged 43 per cent since June, leaving Americans with more money for discretionary spending. A strengthening labour market, despite sluggish wage growth, is also a boost. The strong pace of consumer spending, however, was overshadowed by a drop in capital expenditure. Business spending on equipment fell at a 1.9 per cent rate. Reuters top stories 3 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Malaysian tycoon to help 1MDB repay loan Ananda Krishnan is said to have agreed to lend firm RM2b to settle its debt obligation to Maybank and RHB Bank By Anita Gabriel [email protected] @AnitaGabrielBT Singapore THE deal that was trumpeted as a mark of Malaysian tycoon Ananda Krishnan’s corporate prowess when he unloaded his ageing power assets at a hefty price of RM8.5 billion (S$3.16 billion) to state-owned 1Malaysia Development Bhd (1MDB) three years ago appears to be causing him distress of late. Mr Krishnan, Malaysia’s second richest man who owns a sprawling empire of media, telecommunications, real estate and oil and gas businesses, is understood to have agreed to lend 1MDB as much as RM2 billion to settle the latter’s debt obligation to Maybank and RHB Bank which falls due on Jan 31. That outcome – the details are still being worked out and yet to be finalised – is an “interim solution”, says a source, for a sticky situation that arose from the billionaire having provided a RM2 billion “contingent equity support” or guarantee – as requested by the lenders Maybank and RHB Bank – for a RM6.17 billion bridging loan provided to 1MDB in 2012 to fund the purchase of the power assets. In turn, a deal was struck then for Mr Krishnan to either subscribe for new shares in 1MDB’s energy firm or receive MR KRISHNAN Insiders say he may have agreed to guarantee the loan as it had seemed like a straightforward case. PHOTO: THE STAR cash settlement. The bridging facility was in fact rolled over in May last year when it fell due and was restructured into two tranches – RM3.5 billion to be repaid over 10 years and RM2 billion to be settled by last November. It is the latter tranche that 1MDB appears to be facing difficulties paying up as it has since been rolled over twice – from November to December last year and once again to end of January this year. Insiders say that 1MDB is pushing for a “broader deal” for Mr Krishnan to pick up a stake in the energy firm, whose initial public offering has been delayed but is still on the cards. The businessman, however, has yet to warm up to the deal while the clock is ticking on the controversial fund’s RM2 billion debt due. “AK’s advisers are scratching their heads as he is caught between a rock and a hard place. The loan amount is high as the assets were acquired at a high price and he is unlikely to want to take up a stake at such a valuation. On the other hand, there’s this huge liability that’s outstanding,” says a market watcher. Insiders say Mr Krishnan may have agreed to guarantee the loan as it had seemed like a straightforward case – 1MDB would float its energy assets, raise the much-needed funds and repay the loan. But it didn’t play out that way – the stock offering slated for second quarter last year has been delayed with no fixed timeline for now and 1MDB, which forked out a hefty RM2.4 billion in finance costs in fiscal 2014 alone, may now be in a bind. “Usually, the seller would want a clean break but this was done on a fairly convoluted structure. It didn’t help that the speed of which things have changed (for 1MDB) has caught everyone by surprise. There was always the notion that there would be support from the forthcoming IPO but now, AK is left carrying the baby,” said an observer. More than Mr Krishnan’s quandary, the latest development highlights the financial dilemma of 1MDB whose borrowings have ballooned to RM41.9 billion in 2014; the fund suffered losses of RM665 million over that period. The fund’s newly-appointed chief Arul Kandasamy had reportedly said in early January that the fund was a “responsible borrower”. “We need to manage the use of our cash in the most efficient way for the company,” he had explained in response to concerns over 1MDB’s move to seek an extension to settle its debt. But observers find that hard to swallow now. “What is efficient about managing cash when the fund has to borrow from a private businessman to repay a debt?”noted a source. Insiders say that 1MDB had sought a third extension from its lender over the week but was turned away, which could have led to the eleventh-hour loan deal struck with Mr Krishnan. “1MDB needs to resolve this outstanding payment and the loan by Ananda is supposed to address that while it works towards a long-term agreement,” said a source. AirAsia X plans rights issue, overhauls management By Nisha Ramchandani [email protected] @Nisha_BT Singapore LONG-HAUL budget carrier AirAsia X – which is planning to raise some RM395 million (S$146.97 million) via a rights issue – has appointed new senior management, confirming reports earlier this week that chief executive Azran Osman-Rani was on his way out. AirAsia X announced that AirAsia director Kamarudin Meranun has been made AirAsia X’s group chief executive; and named AirAsia’s former head of corporate development and investor relations, Benyamin Ismail, as AirAsia X’s acting chief executive. Mr Azran steps down as chief executive effective Jan 30 due to “mutual separation”, AirAsia X said in an announcement to the Bursa Malaysia. Meanwhile, the budget carrier plans to use the proceeds from the rights issue – Correction IN “Tuan Sing’s Q4 profit dips 4% to S$24.3m” (BT, Jan 30), we wrongly reported that Tuan Sing’s share of results of equity accounted investees was a bigger loss of S$20 million, from 2013’s S$14.8 million. It should be a bigger profit. We are sorry for the error. which will come together with free warrants – to repay borrowings and to fund general working capital. This comes after it was reported in November last year that the budget carrier was having trouble meeting wage payments for staff salaries and allowances. As group chief, Mr Kamarudin will oversee strategy for the AirAsia X group, which also includes AirAsia X Thailand and Indonesia AirAsia X, as the beleaguered carrier seeks to turn itself around. Mr Kamarudin said: “Over the past few months, we saw the company facing challenges in a difficult environment. After a thorough review, a decisive turnaround plan was initiated to put the company on substantially better financial footing to ensure we bring back confidence to the market.” He added: “With this robust plan in place, AirAsia X will advance to the next chapter of growth and uphold its leadership position in the long-haul, low-cost market.” Shares in AirAsia X were suspended from trading, ahead of the announcement. For the quarter ended Sept 30, 2014, AirAsia X posted a net loss RM210.85 million, its third straight quarter of losses as the bottom line was hit by steeper operating expenses and higher forex losses. In the corresponding quarter a year earlier, it registered a net profit of RM26.44 million. MR AZRAN Will step down as chief executive effective Jan 30 due to “mutual separation”. PHOTO: BLOOMBERG 4 top stories THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Manufacturing, services firms downbeat on H1 outlook Companies in the transport engineering cluster were the least optimistic By Prisca Ang [email protected] Singapore THE recent slump in global oil prices has weakened expectations of many manufacturing firms as they anticipate a fall in revenue. According to results of the latest government surveys released on Friday, a net weighted balance of 3 per cent of manufacturers expect business conditions to deteriorate from the fourth quarter of last year. The net balance is calculated by deducting the proportion of those with negative business expectations from those with positive expectations. Firms in the transport engineering cluster were the least optimistic about prospects for January to June 2015, with a net weighted balance of 20 per cent expecting poorer business. In particular, the marine and offshore engineering segment foresees declining orders as oil and drilling firms cut back on capital expenditure due to falling oil prices. Employment in the sector is also set to decline, with all except the biomedical manufacturing and transport engineering clusters expecting to hire fewer workers in the first quarter of 2015. However, other manufacturing firms have a more rosy outlook for H1. A net weighted balance of 12 per cent of firms in the chemicals cluster, for instance, expect improved business conditions due to lower operating costs as crude oil and feedstock prices decline. OIL SHOCK The marine and offshore engineering segment foresees declining orders as oil and drilling firms cut back on capital expenditure. FILE PHOTO The positive sentiment of the general manufacturing industries cluster is fuelled by expectations of rising domestic demand during the Chinese New Year season, especially in the food, beverage and tobacco segments. Similar to manufacturers, firms in the services sector are also sceptical about business prospects in the months ahead. A net weighted 4 per cent of firms in the services sector expect poorer business in the six-month period ending June 2015. Firms in the real estate industry experienced an especially sharp decline in business confidence for H1, citing a slew of government measures including the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) and To- tal Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) as the primary reasons for their negative sentiments. “Interestingly, although the real estate sector remains in the doldrums for overall business outlook and operating receipts, its employment forecast has actually improved due to increased demand for management services of residential, commercial and industrial properties,” said economist Selena Ling, head of Treasury Research and Strategy at OCBC bank. On the other hand, the accommodation and food & beverages services industries expect to reduce hiring, anticipating lower business activity in the first quarter of 2015 after the year-end holidays. in parliament | Bill passed to ban late-night alcohol sale, consumption By Malminderjit Singh [email protected] @MalminderjitBT Singapore PARLIAMENT passed a law on Friday to ban the sale and consumption of alcohol in public areas between 10.30pm and 7am to control the negative consequences of public consumption of alcohol in Singapore. Second Minister for Home Affairs S Iswaran revealed that in 2014 alone, there were 47 cases of rioting and 115 cases of serious hurt, including stabbings, linked to the consumption of liquor. “In other words, on average, there was one rioting incident and two cases of serious hurt each week that was liquor-related,” Mr Iswaran said. Nine out of 10 of these cases occurred after 10.30pm, he added, responding to queries from some MPs during the second reading of the Liquor Control (Supply and Consumption) Bill, who asked why this time period had been chosen for the ban. In his wrap-up speech in Parliament, Mr Iswaran said the data had shown that action needed to be taken, which his parliamentary colleagues have agreed to in principle. “After all this granularity, data sharing and fine-tuning, I think we need to come to a consensus. Is there a need to take action with regard to this matter? I think the spirit of the debate in this House has been to confirm that there is a need to do so. The question then arises: how do we go about it?” Mr Iswaran explained that the government’s guiding principles in approaching this issue have been two-fold. “The first is to make sure that we minimise the disamenities and threats to public order that would arise from public consumption of liquor. Second, in terms of our approach, we have endeavoured to be balanced, trying to reconcile quite diverse views and interests, in order to achieve a pathway forward where we can all commit to and achieve some level of unanimity and take steps according to that.” He reiterated that the Ministry of Home Affairs had consulted widely on the Bill, including with all stakeholders, and that it is based on the operational needs of the ground. MPs Foo Mee Har and Baey Yam Keng were among those who asked if the public consumption ban could not be restricted to only a few areas instead of being island-wide. Mr Iswaran explained that a geographic ban may be counter-productive, as it may be difficult to enforce and could also exacerbate displacement effects. “Dividing up a typical area which has residential units, some common areas such as void decks, playgrounds and neighbourhood parks, and some F&B and commercial outlets, into multiple finely drawn liquor control zones (LCZs) would lead to confusion and make compliance and enforcement more difficult,” Mr Iswaran explained. “The displacement is real and can be difficult to manage. So having a series of LCZs will simply exacerbate the problem in housing estates. The greater the gradient of measures in different locations, the greater the propensity for displacement.” Govt will help but SMEs must actively seek growth opportunities By Mindy Tan [email protected] @MindyTanBT Singapore THE government will continue to provide strong support for restructuring. Meanwhile, companies have to actively seek growth opportunities through innovation and internationalisation. Speaking at the 28th annual Singapore 1000, SME 1000, and Singapore International 100 Awards Ceremony on Friday night, Minister of State for Trade and Industry, Teo Ser Luck, noted that there are “positive” signs that firms are seeking these growth opportunities. They have also actively tapped on government grants and schemes to help them stay ahead. To date, more than 22,000 companies have benefited from the productivity initiatives introduced by the National Productivity Council (NPC), which has supported the training and upgrading of workers, and the adoption of technology and infocomm solutions. In 2013, 53,000 companies took advantage of the Productivity and Innovation Credit (PIC) to help them defray the costs involved in MR TEO capability up- 75 per cent of SMEs grading. are pursuing Citing DP In- innovation, with an formation increasing proportion Group’s 2014 investing in technology SME Development Survey, Mr Teo noted that 75 per cent of SMEs are pursuing innovation of some form, with an increasing proportion of SMEs investing in technology. The same survey also found that the proportion of SMEs planning to expand overseas rose from 14 per cent in 2013 to 20 per cent in 2014, indicating increasing interest in internationalisation. “Singapore celebrates our 50th year of independence this year. We have thrived and prospered as a nation in large part because of the ingenuity and ‘can-do’ spirit of our entrepreneurs. As we continue on our journey of economic restructuring, I have faith that this ‘can-do’ spirit will see us through to a successful conclusion,” Mr Teo said. The awards are ranked and published by DP Information Group, and co-produced with EY. The key sponsors are ANZ Singapore and DHL Express Singapore. top stories 5 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Cortina wows with S$4m investment Its Patek Philippe boutique in Taipei is the world’s biggest, with China tourists the main target By Chuang Peck Ming [email protected] Singapore IT cost Cortina Watch around S$4 million and nearly two years of planning to get the world’s biggest Patek Philippe boutique up and running, according to Raymond Lim, Cortina’s deputy chairman and deputy chief executive officer. The luxury watch boutique is located in Taiwan and Mr Lim had to travel there often to supervise its opening. It’s huge, easily twice the size of Cortina’s biggest Patek Philippe boutique at Marina Bay Sands in Singapore. “It’s the first time I see something that big for Patek,” exclaimed Thierry Stern, president of the Swiss family-owned Patek Philippe, at the opening of the 4,500 square feet boutique last month in Taipei 101, a landmark building at the heart of Taiwan’s capital. “It’s fantastic (that) we could do it,” he said. “(It’s) not only about the watches but also the right partner. You get somebody you can trust, very professional and willing to invest to do something like this.” Taipei 101, which houses most of the high-fashion brands and luxury watch boutiques, was the world’s tallest building before the appearance of Burj Khalifa in Dubai in 2010. But it remains a must-see tourist attraction. Bus-loads of tourists from mainland China are seen to stop by at Taipei 101 daily. Chinese tourists in fact were very much MEGA MALL The 4,500 sq ft boutique carries some of Patek Philippe’s latest and most desirable models in Cortina’s mind when it moved to open the Patek Philippe boutique there, where it once had a multi-brand watch shop, Mr Lim said. The Chinese are the biggest spenders on luxury timepieces in recent years. While they have cut back demand at home, Mr Lim said the Chinese are still buying big-time when they travel overseas. Patek Philippe is arguably the biggest name in upscale watches and Cortina’s new boutique in Taiwan carries some of Cortina Watch pushes ahead with expansion plans << Continued from Page 1 The retail chain, which made an after-tax profit of S$19 million in its last financial year ending March 2014, could easily spend up to S$10 million or more upfront this year for expansion. Mr Lim said Cortina has already secured the leases for the new outlets and the added space for expansion. The expansion comes at a challenging time, but Mr Lim said these are long-term commitments and cyclical swings in the market as well as day-to-day currency fluctuations – including the unexpected surge in the Swiss franc two weeks ago – should not disrupt Cortina’s plans. He thinks customers, fanned by media reports, have over-reacted when they rushed to buy watches in the wake of the rise in the Swiss currency. They had feared prices of luxury Swiss timepieces would also increase, but Mr Lim said this has not happened – and his Swiss suppliers have assured him they have no intentions of raising prices in Asia. As for the economic uncertainty, which affects spending, he said Cortina’s current expansion reflects a more proactive and targeted approach which the retail chain is taking to draw customers into its shops. “We can’t just open the door and wait for them to come in anymore,” Mr Lim said. The bigger boutiques will give Cortina space to hold watch events for invited guests and soft sell directly to big spenders and wealthy customers. “The advantage of this is we get to know more people and, hopefully, they get to know us,” Mr Lim said. “The disadvantage is more work for backend people and we got to have a separate budget for it.” Cortina has adopted the approach at the multi-brand shops but found its effort “diluted” by too many brands, which could cause distractions. It decided to do it in its single-brand boutiques instead. The problem was these were small. The Patek Philippe boutique at Marina Bay Sands was big enough for functions – and they proved to be successful. But Mr Lim said the location was not popular with the local customers. Thus the move to expand the Patek Philippe boutique in ION and open a big Rolex flagship store in Marina Square. its most desirable models. At its grand opening last month, the boutique unveiled the 6002G Sky Moon Tourbillon, a rare and artistic complication that’s very much in demand. It also introduced several new Patek Philippe creations, including the Multi-Scale Chronograph launched to celebrate the brand’s 175th anniversary last October. The boutique, designed in consultation with Patek Philippe, features iconic materials like Birdseye maple wood and Indian rosewood, combined with modern brass in vintage burnished finishes. There’s an exclusive Patek Philippe chandelier and table lamps which were built in collaboration with Baccarat. “The boutique is further accentuated with custom-made accessories such as the Calatrava Cross panels, floor rugs, timeline exposition and identifiable visuals that help facilitate the organisation of the sales area while enhancing the luxurious intimacy of the VIP room,” said a statement issued by Patek Philippe. 6 top stories THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 FIRM FAVOURITES Hooq will have more than 10,000 movies and TV series in its catalogue, including (from far left) Harry Potter, Friends and Spider Man Singtel sets up streaming video venture It partners Sony Pictures Television and Warner Bros Entertainment; regional rollout to start from this quarter By Amit Roy Choudhury [email protected] @AmitRoyCBT Singapore SINGTEL has teamed up with Sony Pictures Television and Warner Bros Entertainment to establish a startup that will stream the best of Hollywood and regional entertainment on any device of the consumer’s choice and at their chosen time. Aptly named Hooq, the startup promises to be a regional Netflix kind of service but Singaporeans will have to wait a while before getting hooked, maybe till the later part of this year. Hooq will offer over-the-top (OTT) video service in Asia and will be rolled out progressively in the Singtel group’s Asian footprint, including Indonesia, the Philippines, India and Thailand, from the first quarter of 2015. OTT refers to the delivery of rich media content, such as movies and TV shows, over the Internet without the involvement of the Internet Service Provider (ISP). Singapore will get the service after this rollout. Speaking to The Business Times, Jonathan Auerbach, chief executive officer of Singtel Group Digital L!fe, said that the telco has a 65 per cent stake in Hooq with Sony and Warner Bros each holding 17.5 per cent. While the studios will provide their premium content and know-how, Singtel will provide market access – its customer base through its regional subsidiaries and partners. Mr Auerbach noted that Hooq is an important part of Singtel’s digital strategy. “We have unique assets that give us a right to play in this space, and with our partnership with Sony Pictures Television and Warner Bros Entertainment, we will achieve our vision to be the largest OTT video service in the region.” He added that demand for OTT video has been growing and is poised for even higher growth in the targeted markets, fuelled by better data networks and the growing supply of affordable devices. “There is a more than S$1 billion opportunity in our markets. With Hooq, we are bringing together key elements of technology, service and content to deliver the full Internet experience to customers.” He added: “We have 500 million subscribers across our associate markets. We have a real understanding of those customers and what are the services they really like and where they want to go in the types of things they want to do with the Internet. “We also see mobile Internet growing enormously and we are incredibly well positioned in that regard. And customers increasingly want to watch video over mobile networks and that’s why we believe this is a natural business for us to grow into.” He said that Singtel was prepared to make the necessary initial investment to succeed in this venture. “We will be investing in the early years to build out the service and make it available to a billion-and-a-half potential customers in these markets. And we see this as a value-creating business for us over time after the first few years.” Peter Bithos, CEO of Hooq, said that the company would have more than 10,000 movies and TV series in its catalogue including blockbusters such as Spider Man and Harry Potter as well as TV favourites such as Friends and Gossip Girl. “Customers can also look forward to an extensive selection of regional content. We have approached local content providers and we will launch with regional content agreements in place. We are combining the best of Hollywood with the best of the local markets.” Mr Bithos added that Hooq would be available on every single screen, from smartphones, tablets to TVs. “We will have Aps for every major mobile OS (operating system) and will be present in devices such as Chromecast.” Hooq will also extensively use data analytics to provide recommendations to users. On the pricing front, the Hooq chief noted that global OTT services such as Netflix usually charge in the region of US$10 a month. “This will not work in the emerging markets that we are targeting. In order to make it affordable, you need to charge only a few dollars a month and have innovative pricing models such as pay by the day or weekly packages. When we roll out, we will do that as we have been able to get content to provide affordability.” Hooq will also have various payment options, ranging from credit cards to scratch cards and pre-paid phone cards to post-paid bills. “At launch, we are going to have a wide range of different payment types, we will seek to plug in as many billing options as possible,” Mr Bithos said. He added that as an independent OTT company, Hooq will strike a billing relationship with each partner on a commercial basis. Thomas Gewecke, chief digital officer and executive vice-president for strategy and business development at Warner Bros Entertainment, said: “We’re thrilled to partner Singtel and Sony Pictures Television to help grow the OTT video business across Asia. The combination of Singtel’s expertise and our world-class content is a winning combination for entertainment fans in the region.” George Chien, executive vie-president, networks, Asia-Pacific for Sony Pictures Television, added: “Consumers expect premium entertainment content to be available to them at their convenience and as a result, OTT delivery has become an important part of our business. Through this partnership, we hope to create a service to meet that demand as it grows in Asia.” SIT, SMF ink pact to upgrade manufacturing manpower capabilities By Mindy Tan [email protected] @MindyTanBT Singapore THE Singapore Institute of Technology (SIT) and the Singapore Manufacturing Federation (SMF) have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to enhance SIT students’ career opportunities and upgrade manpower capabilities in the manufacturing sector. Under the terms of the MOU, SMF will provide more opportunities through SIT’s Integrated Work Study Programme (IWSP). This will be in the form of increased IWSP opportunities in 10 companies under SMF’s umbrella. In addition, SMF will extend 10 positions in its Business Immersion Programme for SIT students. SIT has also agreed to partner SMF to identify gaps in national manpower skills in the manufacturing industry and to collaborate on productivity enhancement projects. “There is a need to be more focused on applied learning and technical skills,” said Douglas Foo, SMF president. “Through this MOU, we will facilitate better alignment of the supply of and demand for skills in the manufacturing sector, and will also help to draw in new talents to the industry.” SIT has actively engaged the various associations and federations in Singapore to reach out to its members. In November last year, it signed an MOU with the Association of Small and Medium Enterprises (ASME) to boost the technology and management capabilities of Singapore’s SMEs. top stories 7 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Japan Dec jobless rate falls to lowest since ’97 Tightening labour markets point to upward pressure on wages and inflation By Anthony Rowley [email protected] Tokyo JAPAN’S unemployment rate fell last month to its lowest level since 1997, while job availability rose to its highest level in 22 years as labour markets continued to tighten at an increasingly rapid pace, pointing to upward pressure on wages and inflation. Even though the economy as a whole has been slow in picking up, labour shortages are becoming acute in a number of sectors such as construction and service industries, putting upward pressure on wages in parts of the economy. This pressure is expected to become more intense and widespread from March onwards as the country’s business in gen- eral responds to strong pressure from the government and labour unions to raise basic pay scales in the world’s third-largest economy. That in turn, analysts say, should put upward pressure on inflation, which is running at only half the target level of 2 per cent annually. Core consumer prices meanwhile rose by 2.5 per cent nationwide in December from their level a year earlier – slightly slower than predicted by economists. But price rises are expected to accelerate in the second half of fiscal 2015 as the impact of the dramatic drop in oil prices, which began around June last year, works it way through the system. A lack of upward pressure on wages has been a major factor in restraining inflation pressures despite two rounds of aggressive monetary easing by the Bank of Japan since Haruhiko Kuroda took over as governor of the central bank in March 2013. Nearly two decades of continuing deflation up to that time had made Japanese firms reluctant to raise basic pay, or even eager to cut pay scales. Company employees and trade unions have been equally reluctant to demand higher pay, for fear of losing their jobs. But with a steady, if slow, pick up in the economy and with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s government actively pushing firms to raise basic pay scales by around 2 per cent annually at the spring round of national wage bargaining in March, wage infla- M’sian business sentiment down on falling ringgit, rising costs By Pauline Ng [email protected] Kuala Lumpur DENTED by the sharp depreciation in the ringgit and additional operating costs, Malaysia’s business confidence has gotten a bit wobbly. Increasing worries were made worse by the government’s recent move to introduce mandatory online services for the recruitment of unskilled foreign labour and the extension of work permits. Indeed, the weaker sentiments were already evident in Q4 when the Malaysian Institute of Economic Research’s (MIER) business conditions index (BCI) registered a score of 86.4, a 9.5 percentage point drop from the 95.9 mark in the quarter before. The Q4 score – significantly lower than the 100 point threshold – was last registered for Q1 2009 triggered by the global financial crisis. In truth, the BCI would likely drop a notch in the current quarter given the unhappiness over recent outsourcing to the private sector – moves the authorities maintain will simplify procedures and tighten up the screening process for unskilled foreign workers, but businesses contend only adds to their burden. On Wednesday, 30 business associations and chambers of commerce decried the concessions given to private companies My EG Services Bhd to handle permit renewals for foreign workers, and privately held Bestinet Sdn Bhd for the processing of work visas and biometric health checks. Given the country’s near total dependency on unskilled foreign labour – there are an estimated two to three million registered unskilled foreign workers and likely as many unregistered – the concessions are seen to be extremely lucrative. Allegations of cronyism have surfaced since the concession companies appear politically linked and the contracts were not open to tender. Opposition politicians also contend private companies should not be in possession of such extensive data. Attempts to justify various fee increases – biometrics has to be introduced for instance – has seen little buy-in. Rumblings have also been felt in two of Malaysia’s biggest source countries for unskilled workers. According to a report by The Star, Indonesia and Nepal have threatened to stop the flow of workers to Malaysia as they say the significant hikes in visa processing and medical check-up fees will invariably be borne by their citizens. Anger at not being consulted aside, perhaps what rankles the most with the business community is the absence of alternatives. “What is the purpose of having the Malaysian Competition Act if the government endorses such a monopolistic situation?” queried the Associated Chinese Chambers of Commerce and Industry deputy secretary-general Teo Chiang Kok. Bursa Malaysia-listed My EG is a concessionaire for the government’s e-services which “builds, operates and owns the electronic channel to deliver services from various government agencies” to Malaysians and businesses. Following the brouhaha, the home ministry suspended Bestinet’s foreign workers centralised system and biometric health checks on Friday. As no explanation was offered, the reprieve could be temporary. MIER’s survey indicated prices for local products are likely to rise in the current quarter, despite higher inventories and a slow-down in most manufacturing activities. The ringgit is at a six-year low; over the past six months, it has depreciated by 15 per cent against the US dollar. More challenges lie ahead, including the next minimum wage review and a 6 per cent Goods & Services Tax in April. tion should pick up soon, analysts say. Job availability in Japan rose in December to its best level in 22 years, while the unemployment rate improved to 3.4 per cent, suggesting that companies are willing to hire more workers as corporate profits recover, official sources said on Friday. The ratio of employment offers to seekers climbed for the third straight month to 1.15, the highest level since March 1992, from 1.12 in November, the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare said, according to Kyodo news service. As a result of the improved trends, unemployment rate fell 0.1 point from 3.5 per cent the previous month to the lowest level since August 1997, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said in a preliminary report. The number of unemployed people was a seasonally adjusted 2.28 million, down 0.4 per cent from the previous month, while the number of people holding jobs increased 0.7 per cent to 63.88 million. Japan’s job market “has continued picking up”, an official at the ministry said. In December, the jobless rate for men was 3.6 per cent and that for women was 3.2 per cent, the ministry added. By industry, the information and communications industry and the healthcare and welfare sector added jobs, but the transport and postal service industry and the manufacturing sector reduced jobs. 4 appointed to MPA board By Jacquelyn Cheok [email protected] @JacCheokBT Singapore FOUR new members have been appointed to the Maritime Port Authority of Singapore (MPA) board by Transport Minister Lui Tuck Yew, the Ministry of Transport (MOT) said on Friday. They are: 45 Carl Krogh Arnet, chief executive officer, BW Offshore; 45 Luke Goh, senior director, PS21 Office, Public Service Division, Prime Minister's Office and institute director (Institute of Governance and Policy), Civil Service College; 45 Kam Soon Huat, general secretary and chief operating officer, Singapore Organisation of Seamen; and 45 Quek Bin Hwee, vice-chairman (markets and industries), Asia Pacific Clients and Markets Leader, PricewaterhouseCoopers. Their appointments will be for a period of three years and will effect from Feb 2, save for Mrs Quek, who according to MOT, will serve as board member from April 1, 2015 to Feb 1, 2018. Jude Benny, senior partner at law firm Joseph Tan Jude Benny and a current board member of MPA, will have his appointment extended to March 31, 2015, so as to facilitate closure of the MPA 2014 annual accounts and a smooth handover of the chairmanship of the Audit Review Committee. Meanwhile, the following board members will be stepping down on Feb 2, 2015: 45 Thomas Tay, emeritus general secretary, Singapore Maritime Officers’ Union; 45 James Wong, deputy secretary (policy), Public Service Division, Prime Minister’s Office; and 45 Robert Yap, executive chairman, YCH Group. The MPA board – chaired by Lucien Wong, chairman and senior partner at Allen & Gledhill – is responsible for providing strategic direction to help develop Singapore as a premier global hub port and an international maritime centre. Ex-navy chief to take over reins at CPF Board By Jacquelyn Cheok [email protected] @JacCheokBT Singapore NG Chee Peng, currently deputy secretary (special projects) at the Ministry of Manpower, will take over as chief executive of the Central Provident Fund Board from March 15, 2015. He will succeed Yee Ping Yi, who had assumed the role in January 2011. Mr Yee will return to the civil service where he will assume another leadership position, MOM said on Friday. Mr Ng was the Chief of Navy before joining MOM. He holds a Bachelor of Arts (Honours First Class) in Philosophy, Politics and Economics from the University of Oxford, as well as a Master of Public Administration from Har- vard University. In the course of his career, he has held, among others, the appointments of director (policy) in the Ministry of Defence, chief of staff-naval staff, and chief of staff-joint staff in the Singapore Armed Forces. MOM, via its permanent secretary Loh Khum Yean, expressed its deep appreciation to Mr Yee for his contributions during his tenure at CPF Board. 8 raffles conversation THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 ● raffles conversation 9 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 ● ings, and they learn to overcome the silly biases they have that they grew up with.” How to do well by doing good Ahead of the game As president of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Rafael Reif upholds a firm belief in using one’s huge talents for a larger purpose. By Kenneth Lim W HAT is better? When you have the power to influence one of the world’s most concentrated populations of geniuses, that philosophical question takes on some very real consequences. Professor Rafael Reif is the president of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), where some of the most intelligent students in the world mingle with astronauts and Nobel Prize winners along infinite corridors. That wealth of talent compels Prof Reif to direct his charges toward doing better. And so, back to the original question: What is better? For Prof Reif, doing better means fearlessly embracing oversized ambitions and attacking some of the most daunting, pressing and challenging problems of our times. But above all, better is knowing the difference between doing well and doing good. “Personally, I always felt that it’s better to try to do good with whatever talents you have,” Prof Reif says. “If you do something good, it’s almost permanent. When you accomplish something good and society benefits, it’s not going to go back, or typically doesn’t go back. If you try to do well for yourself, maybe I’ll be more comfortable, instead of having two cars I’ll have three or four cars or maybe a yacht or something. But it doesn’t bring any irreversible benefit to society. So I prefer the doing good part.” Born in 1950 to Jewish refugees in Venezuela, Prof Reif was the youngest of four brothers. The family was not well off – Prof Reif’s father made ends meet by taking on a variety of menial jobs. But Prof Reif, following in the footsteps of his elder brothers, bucked the neighbourhood norm and enrolled in high school and eventually college in Venezuela. Electrical engineering was his degree of choice. “Like anybody who comes from a poor family, I need to get a job. So I got a degree in engineering, which I chose as a career because I thought it was something practical. You could get a job as an engineer at the time,” says Prof Reif. But after experiencing the actual work of an engineer during his practical training stint, Prof Reif decided that while the work was interesting, it was not quite his cup of tea. So he tried teaching at a local university in Venezuela. “I enjoyed that, I enjoyed being with students, I enjoyed teaching, I enjoyed doing projects with them. So I thought very quickly, if I wanted that as a career, I’d better get a graduate degree. And I thought that the way to secure that was to get a PhD. A master’s probably would not be enough to get me a very good, steady job in Venezuela.” Prof Reif found himself at Stanford University in California on the West Coast of the United States. He completed his master’s degree and received his doctorate, and was all set to head back to Venezuela to resume his teaching career there when a chance reunion with a former colleague who had moved to MIT set off a recruitment campaign by the East Coast institution. “At the end of the day it was a very intense recruitment period,” he recalls. “I was initially uninterested. But I went to visit MIT and I just saw a place that I didn’t know existed. I didn’t think that such a place, really, could be on this Earth. And when I saw that I said, I got to try being here for two or three years. I didn’t go back to Venezuela and I never went back.” The MIT DNA MIT is a most peculiar place. In just over 150 years of history, the university has produced or hired 80 Nobel Laureates, or one every two years; 56 National Medal of Science winners; 43 MacArthur “Genius” Fellows; and 28 National Medal of Technology and Innovation winners. The school received almost 19,000 undergraduate freshman applications in 2013 and accepted only 1,548, or less than a twelfth. But those numbers are just the symptoms, the signs that something special is happening. How those numbers came to be, and what won Prof Reif over, is the culture PHOTO: MIT L RAFAEL REIF President, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1950 Born Aug 21 in Venezuela 1973 Bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering, Universidad de Carabobo, Valencia, Venezuela 1979 Doctorate in electrical engineering, Stanford University 1978-1979 Visiting associate professor, electrical engineering, Stanford University 1980-1983: Assistant professor of electrical engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) 1983-1988 Associate professor of electrical engineering, MIT 1985 Earned tenure at MIT 1988 to date Professor, MIT 2004 Named Fariborz Maseeh Professor of Emerging Technology 2004-2005 Head of the department of electrical engineering and computer science 2005-2012 Provost, MIT 2012 to date President, MIT other milestones 1984 United States Presidential Young Investigator award 1993 Fellow of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) 2000 Aristotle Award, Semiconductor Research Corp that drives life at MIT. Ingenuity and smarts are celebrated. University lore is not filled with outstanding athletes or graduates who struck it rich, but with “hacks” – anonymous, complex pranks, the more complicated the better. And as long as you had the goods, it did not matter where you came from. “I knew quite a few universities, where I got my PhD and a few others in the area, so I knew them very well,” Prof Reif says. “It was relatively homogenous in terms of the kind of people you would see, the kind of professors you would see. It almost gave you the idea that if a professor behaves this way or looks this way, that’s what’s being smart. And then I go to MIT, which I’d only heard of – I was scared of MIT, MIT had this reputation of unachievable smartness – so I go there and I just meet these professors who’d interviewed me. I meet everybody, everything. People from Turkey, from India, from Pakistan, from Greece, from – you name it – from China. “When I saw all these people, then I realised, this is it. This is meritocracy. Because they don’t look alike, they don’t behave alike, they had completely different cultures, and they’re working with each other, and all of them very humble. They’re all people with reputations. I studied from their books, I studied from their papers, I thought they lived on pedestals. I meet them and they’re just regular people, and they’re all culturally different. I could not believe that there was a place like that in the world. “And I said, this is where I want to be.” But beyond the intelligence and the diversity, there is also a strong sense of civic duty that permeates the walls of MIT, a sense that one has a responsibility to put one’s skills to use for a larger purpose. It is in explaining that culture that Prof Reif raises the distinction between doing well for oneself versus doing good for all. “In many institutions, in a subtle way or more obvious way they teach students to figure out how to do well in society,” he says. “The MIT kids, by and large, what they want is to do good. They want to do something impactful. They realise their talent and they want to work with others to do something good. “If by doing something good they do well, so much the better, but the driving force is to do something good. That’s also a big, big, big difference. And I don’t know if that’s an aspiration of other colleges, but that is unavoidable. That’s the DNA of the place.” When people serve a greater purpose, they appreciate others based on their ability and willingness to contribute to that goal, and so they learn to move past the old way of judging people. “There are so strong ethnic biases, and people in one society from one country may not like that other society because of something that happened a thousand years ago,” Prof Reif says. “We have lots of that problem in the world, which is really unfortunate. You throw these people at MIT, you put to them a problem that is much bigger than themselves, that is important for the world, and they work together. And they learn to recognise each other as human be- Of course, Prof Reif’s challenge is not simply finding feel-good projects of scale. Strategically, the projects also need to be relevant, and must help MIT to retain its reputation as an institution at the cutting edge of innovation and technology. “You have to imagine where we’re going, where the future is going to be in 10 years and 20 years and be prepared to get us there. And that is a good chunk of my job, to get us there,” he says. Prof Reif believes that MIT rests on three pillars: Education, innovation and research. The school needs to teach its students well, it needs to be creative, and it needs to seek answers to big problems. Online education has become Prof Reif’s way of uniting those three aspects of the school. He led the development of MITx and edX, initiatives that offer full courses from MIT and other universities for free on the Internet, and in the process challenged the traditional residential model of universities where students have to live and take classes around a campus. The basic idea behind online courses was to improve access to the knowledge at MIT. The school’s limited capacity on campus means that many worthy candidates do not get to become MIT students. “If you’re in a high school in a little town in the middle of nowhere, and another 40 or 50 kids in your class, you may be one of the smartest kids in the class in the way you learn material, but you don’t know how smart you are,” Prof Reif says. “You have no idea. But if you take a course that is global, one of these MITx courses that are very high quality, and you do well, all of a sudden you realise you get a whole lot of self-confidence. You are as good as the best, and the sky is the limit for you. You don’t think that way if you are in a small little town without access to much. Those are the kind of things that I want to empower.” Offering good-as-being-there courses online for free would seem to be self-defeating from a business perspective, but it your school’s culture as Prof Reif, that seems like an ideal arena in which to play. “By sharing our content and making it available, that creates a baseline,” Prof Reif says. “If you’re a professor and you teach a course that is on MITx, you have two choices. Either come up with a better one, or use ours. So that’s a baseline. Nothing’s going to be worse than that. So that’s what I wanted to do. Why not share it? “But once you have that, what do you do with it? If you and I have the same material now, because we make it available, I can use that in a classroom in a different way. I can have a discussion with a student in a different way. That’s my value added. You may use a different value added. And then we compete in the value added game, but we have the same base structure, and that’s what I wanted.” Doing and seeing big Beyond online education, Prof Reif has also picked a few major areas of focus for the university. “The easiest one to identify in my mind that I would like us to do more work on, is basically the health of the planet,” he says, highlighting fresh water and food security as particular areas of interest. “We only live in this one planet. I heard a speech by Elon Musk at MIT, the founder of SpaceX and the Tesla Motor, and he was saying that we have to start thinking about colonising Mars just in case something happens with Planet Earth, and that’s a grandiose idea, but I’d rather we stay fixed on Planet Earth and not have to go and colonise Mars.” Healthcare and healthcare costs are also being looked at closely, as is using innovation to create jobs. Looking at such big-picture issues as an administrator is a far cry from Prof Reif’s days as a teacher and researcher. “I do miss doing research in that I do enjoy very much working with students,” he says. “It’s the refreshing part. Students are always asking questions and making your brain be young. So I miss that part, but at the same time I still work with students, but I work in different kinds of challenges with students, and I still am surrounded by them and they still come to my office and they still refresh me with thoughts and they’re still very candid with me and I enjoy that. So I do miss the research part, but...with the position that I have now, I can just influence things in a much bigger way.” Prof Reif admits that his work leaves him with little spare time for recreation. “I still try to work out and go jogging and on occasion I try to swim, but I haven’t found a way to do it in a regimented way so that I know on Monday, Wednesday, Friday I can do this,” Prof Reif says. “That has not been possible. I’m not complaining, I love what I’m doing, but that’s part of my personal life that hasn’t been fixed.” Is all that work worth it? Without a doubt, according to Prof Reif. “To be leading a place that can do so much good, with the people of MIT, and to try to channel all that tremendous talent to do something good for the world is an amazing privilege,” he says. “People in one society from one country may not like that other society because of something that happened a thousand years ago. You throw these people at MIT, you put to them a problem that is much bigger than themselves, that is important for the world, and they work together. And they learn to recognise each other as human beings.” is in fact a rather shrewd strategic move, whether by coincidence or design. By providing universal access to lessons from the top universities, MITx and edX have made it tougher for lesser colleges to attract students with lessons that are of lower quality. Universities will now have to compete on their intangibles, the stuff that they offer to students beyond simply a lecture on calculus. And when you feel as good about [email protected] @KennethLimBT 10 companies & markets Market cap summary As at Jan 31, 2014 biggest $ gainers JMH USD Singtel HongkongLand USD JSH USD Keppel Land Prudential USD SIA ThaiBev CapitaLand ComfortDelGro gain (s$ m) 4,021.4 2,868.1 2,484.8 2,267.6 1,729.8 1,480.4 1,259.9 753.3 727.4 579.5 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Total S$978.1b biggest $ losers UOB DBS Grp Sembcorp Marine Golden Agri-Res Noble Pan Ocean Keppel Corp Sembcorp Ind OCBC Bank CityDev +2.2% m-o-m loss (s$ m) -2,179.7 -2,007.2 -543.2 -513.5 -507.2 -330.3 -272 -250.5 -239.5 -200 M&A, low-oil winners lift January market cap by 2.2% Price changes were the main factor, with no new listings so far By Kenneth Lim [email protected] @KennethLimBT Singapore THE value of Singapore’s stock market rose for the third month in a row with low-oil beneficiaries and real estate counters leading the way. The total market capitalisation of Singapore-listed stocks increased by 2.2 per cent to S$978.1 billion on Friday as January ended in positive territory. It was the third month-on-month increase in a row, and represented a 12 per cent year-on-year gain. Price changes were the main factor during the month, with no new listings so far in 2015. Sectoral themes were more pronounced during the month, with the continuing slump in oil prices playing a major part in guiding stock prices. The major rigbuilders, Keppel Corp and Sembcorp Marine, were among the biggest losers in January. Keppel’s market cap fell 1.7 per cent, or S$272 million, to S$15.8 billion while SembMarine’s market valuation dropped 8 per cent, or S$543.2 million, to S$6.3 billion. On the other side of the oil equation, fuel-consuming air carrier Singapore Airlines gained 9.1 per cent, or S$1.3 billion, in market cap to a worth of S$15.2 billion. Shipping company Neptune Orient Lines added S$441.2 million, or 20.2 per cent, to lift its market cap to S$2.6 billion. Tech manufacturer Venture Corp also benefited from the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s surprise easing of monetary policy earlier in the week as investors expected exporters to gain from a less aggressively appreciating Singapore dollar. Venture’s market cap rose 3.3 per cent, or S$71.7 million, to S$2.2 billion. “We’ve told people that other than just shorting the losers of low oil, you can also buy winners of low oil,” UOB KayHian head of research Andrew Chow said. Beyond the oil plays, mergers and acquisitions also helped to lift the property counters as Keppel Corp mounted a takeover bid for Keppel Land. Keppel Land’s market cap jumped 32.7 per cent, or S$1.7 billion, to hit S$7 billion in January. “There are some slight themes for people to nibble on,” Mr Chow said. “In terms of M&A, after Keppel Land, there’s a lot of excitement and people looking at other potential targets.” Beyond industry segments, larger companies also tended to do better than the smaller ones. The market cap of the largest 10 per cent of companies gained 2.2 per cent, easily outpacing the 4.3 per cent decline among the smallest 10 per cent of counters. “For the small and mid-caps, firstly confidence hasn’t returned post the Asiasons, Blumont, LionGold fiasco (from 2013),” Mr Chow said. “Secondly, among the small and mid-cap companies in play, a lot last year was driven by interest in the oil and gas sector, and that one has taken a big beating,” he said. Mr Chow expects the market to be volatile in the months ahead. “Investors should carefully buy into good quality big caps, but don’t write off the small caps,” he said. “Some of them that have been sold off so much, I think some of them are interesting now.” Investors seek 8.2% returns but raise cash holdings: survey By Genevieve Cua [email protected] @GencuaBT Singapore SINGAPORE investors expect average investment returns of 8.2 per cent in 2015, but they risk disappointment as they continue to hold high levels of cash, a survey by Manulife has found. Although investors expect equities to be the top performing asset class, they also say they will “invest” more in cash than in any other asset in the next six months. The findings are part of the latest Manulife Investor Sentiment Index. Nine out of 10 respondents said they held cash as an investment, and the proportion in cash has climbed steadily in recent quarters. The allocation to cash averages 36 per cent of the total asset allocation, excluding their home. This is equivalent to 46 months of income, which is significantly higher than the Asian average of 24 months. Naveed Irshad, president and chief executive of Manulife Singapore, said: “With interest rates likely to remain low in 2015, cash deposits will not give investors the returns they hope for. Portfolio diversification will be critical so that investors aren’t overly exposed to unexpected market events, or to a single asset class or market that can’t outperform given the current economic conditions.’’ About two-thirds of respondents were not happy with their 2014 performance. Of these more than half said this was because of unexpected market events. Almost a third said they took too much risk and a quarter said they failed to seek professional advice. After cash, the second most popular asset class for the next six months was equities. Twentyone per cent of investors aimed to raise their holding. About 8 per cent intended to invest more in fixed income. Saving more continued to be a top financial goal this year, even though Singaporeans are already saving 17 per cent of their income on average. The main purpose of saving was for retirement which was named as the top financial goal. Mr Irshad said: “Investors often think, at their peril, that saving alone is the bullet to a comfortable retirement. Long term retirement planning is multi-dimensional, and depending on an individual’s circumstances, could entail wealth creation, healthcare needs and preserving wealth.’’ Investors also believe that it’s not a good time to invest in an investment property, with sentiment down five points to minus two in the last quarter. The reasons cited were that prices were too high and a correction was expected in 2015. Property, however, is third highest on the list of top performing assets, and third on the list of assets to invest more in this year. Jill Smith, Manulife Asset Management (Singapore) senior managing director, said that while cash may be seen as a safe haven, investors do not necessarily have to sacrifice returns as the price for defensive positioning. “A multi-asset investment solution comprising a mix of equities and bonds and diversified exposure to a range of markets can provide a degree of insulation from market volatility while also potentially generating returns in excess of cash or even delivering a recurring income stream,” she said. Perennial leads consortium to acquire AXA Tower for S$1.17b By Lynette Khoo [email protected] @LynetteKhooBT Singapore PERENNIAL Real Estate Holdings Limited (PREH) has syndicated a consortium of investors to acquire AXA Tower at a property purchase price of S$1.17 billion, translating to S$1,735 per square foot (psf) of net lettable area. PREH’s 31.2 per cent equity investment in the property amounts to about S$117.9 million. Its major shareholder Kuok Khoon Hong, a Singapore busi- ness tycoon who is also Wilmar International’s chairman and CEO, will take up another 10.1 per cent interest in AXA Tower. The transaction between the consortium and the seller BlackRock is expected to be completed by April. MGPA Fund II, which came under BlackRock in 2013, bought the office tower (then known as Temasek Tower) in March 2007 for S$1.039 billion or S$1,550 psf of net lettable area. Pua Seck Guan, PREH chief executive officer, noted that there is “strong upside potential” in this asset. AXA Tower, a 50-storey Grade-A office tower with some retail space in Singapore’s Central Business District, enjoys three major frontages along Shenton Way, Anson Road and Maxwell Road. The property has a total net lettable area of about 674,000 sq ft and a total current gross floor area of about 1.03 million sq ft with over 610 car park lots. It has a 99-year lease from 1982. Currently, AXA Tower has unu- tilised plot ratio that translates to an additional GFA of over 212,000 sq ft. The property is also allowed to house medical suites amounting to no more than 32,000 sq ft. The consortium comprising PREH, Mr Kuok and some other investors will explore options to utilise the additional GFA and permissible medical suite usage to maximise the value of the asset. The strata-sale of the office space in the property will also be explored, PREH said on Friday. In conjunction with the pro- posed investment, PREH will be appointed as the asset manager, property manager and project manager of the property. This will provide an additional stream of management fee income for the group. “In addition, the prime asset presents a unique opportunity to maximise and create value for shareholders through the execution of asset enhancement initiative and potential strata-sale strategy,” Mr Pua said. PREH will fund its share of the acquisition through existing and new borrowings. companies & markets 11 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 stocks| GAINERS Reits retreat as Fed statement raises rate fears R Sivanithy [email protected] @RSivanithyBT Senior Correspondent T HERE were two events this week worth discussing – the US Federal Reserve’s first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of 2015 and the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s (MAS’s) move on the currency front to reduce the slope of its policy band that has led to the Singapore dollar (SGD) weakening. However, although both were in theory negative for stocks, the Straits Times Index managed to hold reasonably firm during the week, falling first on Monday after news that Greece’s parliamentary elections had been won by the Syriza party and on Friday, probably in anticipation of Wall Street weakness. That latter selloff was notable as it involved many Reits, instruments that are less attractive if interest rates are expected to rise. The selling took the Straits Times Index down 27.85 points or 0.81 per cent to 3,391.20, resulting in a loss for the week of 20 points. Many in the Reit sector ended lower in high volume – CapitaCom Trust, CapitaMall Trust, Suntec Reit and Ascendas Reit all featured in the top volume list, all ending weaker. The selling suffered by the segment meant that Friday’s turnover was the best in many months at 1.5 billion units worth S$1.8 billion. Earlier in the day the index actually managed a rise to an intraday high of 3,432, sentiment was probably helped by Wall Street’s Thursday bounce, though reasons for that Analysts have scrambled throughout the week to work out which sectors and stocks will benefit or lose from the MAS move. rise were unclear – some reports attributed it to firmer oil prices, others to corporate earnings. Whatever the case, there is no denying that markets are becoming increasingly concerned about what might occur once the Fed starts raising interest rates, especially since its post-FOMC statement this week used more hawkish language than markets would have liked, such as dropping of the phrase “for a considerable time’’ when describing the Singapore banks able to hold up against property correction: Fitch By Jamie Lee [email protected] @JamieLeeBT Singapore THE property market correction in Singapore may place modest pressure on banking system loan quality but the three domestic banks – OCBC, DBS and UOB – should be able to withstand this, Fitch Ratings said in a report on Friday. “Fitch expects Singaporean banks’ potential losses from mortgages to be minimal due to relatively healthy household balance sheets and adequate collateralisation,” the credit rating agency said. “The government’s macroprudential policies over the past few years included measures to strengthen mortgage underwriting practices at local banks.” Prices of private properties have fallen 4 per cent from a year length of time rates would stay low. Lisa Hornby, Schroders’ US fixed income portfolio manager said in her comments that she expects FOMC statements to become gradually less dovish. “Although officials are signalling that they will be ‘patient in beginning to normalise the stance of monetary policy’, a June 2015 hike is still on the table,” said Ms Hornby. “We believe that the Fed is aware of the risks to financial stability of keeping policy too accommodative, especially in the face of an unemployment rate of 5.6 per cent and core inflation of 1.4 per cent. Today’s removal of the ‘considerable time’ verbiage is evidence of this gradual shift in stance.” The other occurrence was the MAS’s move which many have said should mean a weaker SGD in the near-term. Coming just a week or so after the Swiss central bank lifted its cap on the franc/euro exchange rate and the European Central Bank’s trillion-euro bond-buying announcement, it clearly indicates that 2015 looks to be the year in which central bank action will be crucial to how markets and economies perform. Analysts have scrambled throughout the week to work out which sectors and stocks will benefit or lose from the MAS move. ago, latest data from the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) showed. Prices of HDB resale flats also fell 6 per cent. This is the first time since 2001 that both public and private home prices have fallen over a full year. Mortgage delinquencies remain extremely low in both Singapore and Hong Kong – with Singapore’s delinquency rate for housing loans at 0.36 per cent at end-September, and that of Hong Kong at 0.02 per cent for the same period. Fitch added that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) is expected to remain vigilant for signs of stress. “The agency remains watchful of potential second-order effects of the housing slowdown, such as weaker private consumption and rising construction company defaults.” SPDR DJIA US$ CLOSE UP % BY CENTS 52w high/low 17416 345.7 1.5 18046/15450 DBXT S&P500 US$ 3389 29.7 0.7 3490/2880 DBXT MSMSIA US$ 1329 25.7 1.5 1598/1310 IS Asia BND US 1078 21.6 1.5 1078/1004 870 21.0 2.5 870/815 Kep Corp.ES.1501 CLOSE % BY PERCENTAGE 52w high/low UP ChasenHldg W170320 4 48.1 1.3 UniFiber System 1 42.9 0.3 2/0.5 Novo 32 39.1 9.0 32/12 Amplefield 0.8 33.3 0.2 2.2/0.5 Advanced Systems 0.5 25.0 0.1 1.3/0.4 LOSERS CLOSE DOWN % 8.1/2.3 BY CENTS 52w high/low GLD US$ 12102 -253.8 -1.5 13341/10892 DBXT Nifty US$ 14612 -189.0 -0.9 14752/9759 JMH USD 6407 -166.1 -1.9 6788/4934 JSH USD 3503 -106.7 -2.2 3810/3006 DBXT Chia50 US$ 3370 -33.8 -0.7 3480/2577 CLOSE TopGlobal W150929 % DOWN BY PERCENTAGE 52w high/low 0.1 -50.0 -0.1 0.4/0.1 3 -21.1 -0.8 10.7/2.5 Elektromotive 0.4 -20.0 -0.1 2.3/0.4 NKY 19000MBeCW150313 3.3 -19.5 -0.8 8.5/2 Chinese Global 0.5 -16.7 -0.1 1.5/0.5 Tritech Group W19032 MOST ACTIVE VOLUME Pacific Andes 181,981,900 IHC 61,810,600 Golden Agri-Res 61,393,600 Tigerair 60,916,700 Genting Sing 31,862,700 Market volume 1,764,696,000 Market value 150,101,790 120,161,729 102,612,100 100,363,386 96,216,150 1,766,728,000 VALUE ($) DBS Grp SingTel Keppel Corp OCBC Bank UOB Tax writeback boosts Global Premium’s Q4 By Kenneth Lim [email protected] @KennethLimBT Singapore GLOBAL Premium Hotels undid previous years’ over-provisioning for taxes in the fourth quarter, helping the hotel developer to post a 61 per cent gain in net profit despite a slowdown at an operational level. Global Premium, which runs the Fragrance chain of economy hotels, reported net profit of S$8.4 million, or 0.80 cents per share, for the three months ended December. But that was after recording a credit of S$3.4 million, from a S$774,000 expense a year earlier, from writing back provisions for taxes from previous years. Excluding tax, operating profit fell 17.2 per cent to S$4.9 million despite revenue increasing by 7.2 per cent to S$16 million. For the whole of 2014, net profit rose 9.7 per cent to S$21.2 million, or 2.02 cents per share. The impact from the tax provi- Global Premium Hotels q4 fy14 q4 fy13 (S$million) Revenue Net profit EPS (cents) DPS (cents) 16.0 8.4 0.80 0.50 sion writeback had a similar impact for the full year. Profit before tax for 2014 fell 11.4 per cent to S$20.8 million. The company is recommending a final dividend of 0.5 Singapore cent per share. Global Premium Hotels stock closed at 35.5 Singapore cents on Friday, higher by 1.4 per cent or half a Singapore cent before the results were announced. The company said most of the revenue increase during the quarter came from a S$2.6 million contribution from Parc Sovereign Hotel – Tyrwhitt, which opened in mid-2014. The overall average occupan- 15.0 5.2 0.49 0.26 y-o-y % change 7.2 61.0 cy rate, however, worsened to 81.4 per cent in the fourth quarter, from 88.3 per cent a year ago. Revenue per available room decreased by about 6 per cent to S$86.80 from S$92.30. Global Premium Hotels is “cautiously” optimistic for the year ahead, citing fiercer competition as a new supply of hotel rooms further depresses occupancy and room rates. The company, however, noted that positive press for Singapore tourism and major events such as the South-east Asian Games and the 50th year of independence for Singapore could help to lift tourist arrivals. 12 companies & markets THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 securities trading scoreboard STI STOCKS Stock name Close Ascendas Reit CapitaLand CapitaMall Trust CityDev ComfortDelGro DBS Grp Genting Sing Global Logistic Golden Agri-Res HPH Trust USD HongkongLand USD JMH USD JSH USD Jardine C&C Keppel Corp Noble OCBC Bank Olam Intl SGX SIA SIA Engineering SPH ST Engineering Sembcorp Ind Sembcorp Marine SingTel Star Hub ThaiBev UOB Wilmar Intl Change 246 348 209 xd 1005 287 1979 108 253 42 US71.5 US741 US6407 US3503 4230 870 cd 106.5 1040 197.5 777 1265 436 413 336 431 300 408 418 72 2318 322 -3 -6 -2 -17 -7 -17 +0.5 -7 -1 -1 -7 -123 -79 +17 +16 +1 -7 -0.5 -7 -15 -7 unch -3 +3 +2 +1 -2 -1 -19 -6 Day high/low 248/243 355/348 215/209 1018/1005 294/285 1993/1979 108.5/107 260/253 43/42 73.5/71.5 756/741 6530/6407 3610/3503 4243/4201 873/862 107.5/106 1057/1040 199/197.5 791/777 1291/1264 444/436 415/412 340/336 443/431 302/300 412/408 420/418 74/72 2354/2318 330/321 52w high 263 364 226 1118 295 2067 143.5 297 61.5 76 830 6788 3810 4901 1120 148 1057 269 805 1291 515 435 400 559 418 412 432 77 2472 356 52w low 206 268 180 860 189 1565 99 239 41 61.5 584 4934 3006 3330 791 92 878.3 142.5 666 941 391 394 314 405 285 342 400 50.5 1940 292 PE Div yield 17.4 13.6 23.1 13.2 22.4 13.9 13.7 14.7 15 12.6 13 8.4 24.8 13.7 8 24.7 41.3 18.3 16.5 17.9 9.4 11.3 17.8 19.4 24.9 12.6 12.4 5.8 2.3 5.2 0.8 2.4 2.9 0.9 1.6 2.6 7.4 2.4 2.2 0.7 3.2 5.5 1.1 3.3 3.8 3.6 3.6 5.7 5.1 4.5 3.9 4.3 4.1 4.8 2.3 3.2 2.5 Mcap 6219.7 14869 7248.7 9138.5 6143.3 49062.8 13240.3 12244.5 5391.8 6228.4 17434.3 44257.6 39254 14894.8 15829.9 7203.8 41526.5 4923.5 8326.7 15178.3 4887.9 6610.7 10487.8 7711.8 6267.7 65008.5 8129.2 18079.2 37425.1 20619 SGX ETFs Most Active Fund Last sale +/- (‘000) Day high/low 52w high/low Buy/Sell IS ASIA HYG US$ US1059 +8 1233 1062/1059 1119/1013 1052/1059 STI ETF 341 xd -4 482 344/341 349/298 340/341 - IS MS India US$ US797 -9 430 810/794 1000/541 796/797 99.6 IS Asia BND US US1078 +16 90 1078/1071 1078/1004 1070/1080 - 219 - 58 220/218 238/140 218/219 68.4 DBXT MSINDO us$ US1440 +2 57 1441/1436 1600/1150 1440/1443 - DBXT MSPHILS US$ US218 -2.5 48 221.1/218 223/163.5 219.6/220.4 17.4 345 -2 30 348/345 422/300 344/345 8.3 US217 -7 24 217/217 261/217 216/221 23.2 Multi Ind Manufacturing Commerce Tpt/Stor/Comms Finance Construction Properties Hotels/Rsts Services Elect/Gas/Water Agriculture Mining/Quarry BLW REIT TOTAL GLOBALQUOTE Up MAIN Down Unch Up CATL Down Unch Up TOTAL Down Unch 9 47 18 14 12 9 26 3 29 0 1 1 32 3 204 0 3 47 21 13 10 11 19 3 32 1 4 4 38 10 216 0 4 38 21 11 4 7 11 4 23 1 0 0 11 5 140 0 0 7 6 1 1 0 1 1 11 0 0 1 0 0 29 0 0 6 2 1 0 3 1 0 13 0 0 5 2 0 33 0 0 14 8 0 0 3 0 1 12 0 0 1 2 0 41 0 9 54 24 15 13 9 27 4 40 0 1 2 32 3 233 0 3 53 23 14 10 14 20 3 45 1 4 9 40 10 249 1 4 52 29 11 4 10 11 5 35 1 0 1 13 5 181 1 Active counters with no volume for today are not included. securities trading turnover Multi Ind Manufacturing Commerce Tpt/Stor/Comms Finance Construction Properties Hotels/Rsts Services Elect/Gas/Water Agriculture Mining/Quarry BLW REIT TOTAL GLOBALQUOTE MAIN VOLUME (‘000) CATL TOTAL MAIN 43,769 360,612 83,007 193,725 35,044 31,462 99,928 5,101 238,769 796 65,646 1,847 247,140 119,836 1,526,682 - 55,467 40,440 242 20 6,904 276 104 109,150 22,007 3,404 238,014 - 43,769 416,079 123,447 193,967 35,064 38,366 100,204 5,205 347,919 796 65,646 23,854 250,544 119,836 1,764,696 661 181,288 131,910 112,710 308,770 371,711 4,531 244,121 3,826 112,533 468 31,574 913 21,901 203,547 1,729,803 - VALUE (‘000) CATL TOTAL 3,991 2,888 77 5 659 9 17 25,594 3,601 82 36,923 - 181,288 135,901 115,599 308,847 371,716 5,189 244,130 3,844 138,128 468 31,574 4,514 21,983 203,547 1,766,728 294 Mcap Sing & foreign $ stocks. Value calculated using Monday's exchange rates. UETF SSE50China Nikko AM STI ETF Lyxor CRBNonEny US$ DBXT MSMSIA US$ US1329 +19 22 1329/1323 1598/1310 1329/1330 - - VOL CLOSE($) CHANGE UniFiber System 0.010 +0.003 +42.86 440.3 0.320 +0.090 +39.13 Amplefield 14,851.0 0.008 +0.002 +33.33 Hoe Leong 7,381.2 0.063 +0.006 +10.53 Novo Jan 30 (S$) 1 mth 2 mths 3 mths 6 mths 9 mths 12 mths PNE Micron Epicentre 0.60685 0.67088 0.73482 0.86601 SWAP - Offer rates Chinese Global (S$) 1 mth ....................................................0.65589 3 mths ..................................................0.68698 6 mths ..................................................0.73158 Jan 30 CLOSE +/- 13,833.2 Techcomp SIBOR OTHER SINGAPORE INDICES UNUSUAL ACTIVITY 22.5 0.235 -0.015 -6.00 30,214.6 0.053 +0.004 +8.16 231.0 0.150 +0.016 +11.94 60.0 0.005 -0.001 -16.67 Pacific Andes 181,982 0.061 +0.006 +10.91 Loyz Energy 4,902.0 0.090 +0.007 +8.43 BT OB/OS BT CADI BT 10-day MA FTSE ST Mid Cap FTSE ST Small Cap FTSE ST All Share FTSE ST China Top FTSE ST China FTSE ST Catalist FTSE ST Maritime SIMSCI SIMSCI Futures TR/SGX SFI Shows the stocks with the highest combination of price change and of daily activity relative to the three-month average volume VALUE +/- 401.00 +160.00 -80837.00 -8.00 -80965.00 +40.00 783.39 -2.89 504.34 -0.54 817.18 -5.74 196.24 -1.18 233.62 -3.13 742.71 -4.53 249.91 -1.38 380.23 -2.50 380.20 -2.80 121.50 +0.42 Source for FTSE ST Indices: Interactive Data Source: Thomson Reuters BT SHARE INFORMATION SERVICE For week beginning Jan 26 SUBSTANTIAL SHAREHOLDER/DIRECTOR TRANSACTIONS Stock Rex Intl AIMS AMP Capital Ind Far East Grp Golden Agri-Resources Huan Hsin LionGold Corp Rex Intl Swissco Swissco Religare Health Tr Tee Intl A-Sonic Aerospace KS Energy KS Energy KS Energy KS Energy Rex Intl Tee Intl Wilton Resources A-Sonic Aerospace Hong Fok Hwa Hong IEV Hldgs Intl Healthway Intl Healthway Tee Intl A-Sonic Aerospace A-Sonic Aerospace Trans Date 26-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 22-Jan-15 22-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 Substantial Shareholder/ Director FIL Ltd JF Asset Mgmt Ltd Leng Chee Keong Silchester Intl Investors Unionmet (S) Ltd Moi Hsien Hur FIL Ltd Tang Kheng Guan Kelvin Tan Fuh Gih FIL Ltd Phua Chian Kin Janet LC Tan Kris Taenar Wiluan Richard James Wiluan Pacific One Energy Ltd Rija Holdings Ltd FIL Ltd Phua Chian Kin Chong Thim Pheng Janet LC Tan Cheong Sim Eng Ong Kay Eng Christopher Nghia Do Jong Hee Sen Jong Hee Sen Phua Chian Kin Irene Tay Gek Lim Janet LC Tan Buy Sell Conv *Buy Sell Buy *Buy Buy Sell *Sell Buy Buy *Sell Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy Buy *Buy *Buy Buy Buy *Buy Buy *Buy Buy Sell Buy Buy Buy *Buy No of Shares '000 721 542 150 7391 1931 59459 455 50 100 883 100 53 118 118 118 118 650 250 866 185 55 204 34 8000 8000 200 47 20 Price Per Shr $ 0.39 1.47 0.17 0.42 0.03 0.02 0.38 0.49 0.49 1.01 0.27 0.08 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.38 0.27 0.07 0.08 0.84 0.32 0.12 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.08 0.08 ——— Before ('000) 100957 31623 6324 1023467 39919 105000 101412 0 96420 63768 267699 6081 299610 299610 299610 299610 100810 267449 43860 5896 93322 13939 23475 34303 26303 267249 4354 5876 SHAREHOLDING % 7.99 5.06 5.83 7.97 9.98 8.59 8.02 0.00 14.36 8.02 53.41 0.85 58.41 58.41 58.41 58.41 7.97 53.36 2.01 0.82 11.79 2.13 12.41 2.10 1.61 53.32 0.61 0.82 ———— After ('000) 101678 31081 6474 1030858 41850 45541 100957 50 96520 62885 267799 6134 299728 299728 299728 299728 101460 267699 44726 6081 93377 14143 23509 26303 34303 267449 4401 5896 % 8.04 4.97 5.97 8.03 10.46 3.73 7.99 0.01 14.38 7.91 53.43 0.86 58.43 58.43 58.43 58.43 8.03 53.41 2.05 0.85 11.80 2.16 12.43 1.61 2.10 53.36 0.62 0.83 Stock CH Offshore CH Offshore CH Offshore CH Offshore CH Offshore CH Offshore CH Offshore Fu Yu Corp Fu Yu Corp G.K. Goh Hldgs G.K. Goh Hldgs G.K. Goh Hldgs GSH Corp GSH Corp IEV Hldgs Intl Healthway Intl Healthway Noble Grp Noble Grp Noble Grp Noble Grp Noble Grp Noble Grp Noble Grp OLS Enterprise Renewable Energy Asia Trans Date 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 Substantial Shareholder/ Director Chuan Hup Hldgs Ltd 3P Pte Ltd Qing Shan Pte Ltd TMF (Cayman) Ltd Beamsbury Ltd Peh Kwee Chim Peh Siong Woon Terence Ng Hock Ching Foo Say Tun GKG Investment Hldgs P L Goh Geok Khim Goh Yew Lin Lippo Capital Ltd Lanius Ltd Christopher Nghia Do Jong Hee Sen Jong Hee Sen Orbis Hldgs Ltd Orbis World Ltd Orbis Hldg Trust Orbis Asset Mgmt Ltd Orbis Trust Orbis Investment Mgmt Orbis Invest Mgmt (BVI) Koo Ah Seang Zheng Lei * Deemed Interest; IP: Investment Purposes ; SA: Share Allotment; OE: Option Exercise ; PL: Placement Shares Buy Sell Conv Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy *Sell Sell Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy Buy Sell Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy *Buy Buy Sell No of Shares '000 6388 6388 6388 6388 6388 6388 6388 5504 93 45 45 45 6300 6300 30 10000 10000 41530 41530 41530 41530 41530 41530 41530 15000 250 Price Per Shr $ 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.10 0.11 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.08 0.08 0.12 0.28 0.28 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 0.01 0.03 ——— Before ('000) SHAREHOLDING 167553 167553 167553 167553 167553 167553 167553 109427 1000 185127 185127 185127 488807 488807 23445 34303 24303 432176 432176 432176 432176 432176 432176 432176 0 250 % 23.76 23.76 23.76 23.76 23.76 23.76 23.76 14.53 0.13 58.57 58.57 58.57 4.94 4.94 12.39 2.10 1.48 6.42 6.42 6.42 6.42 6.42 6.42 6.42 0.00 0.03 ———— After ('000) 173941 173941 173941 173941 173941 173941 173941 103923 907 185172 185172 185172 495107 495107 23475 24303 34303 473706 473706 473706 473706 473706 473706 473706 15000 0 % 24.67 24.67 24.67 24.67 24.67 24.67 24.67 13.80 0.12 58.59 58.59 58.59 5.01 5.01 12.41 1.48 2.10 7.03 7.03 7.03 7.03 7.03 7.03 7.03 1.35 0.00 ST: Share Transfer; B/R: Bonus/Rights Issues ; Compiled by BT companies & markets 13 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 COMMODITY FUTURES Jan-29 Price Net change % change Last Trade Agricultural Jan-29 CBOT Soybeans (US cents/bu) CBOT Soybean Oil (US cents/lb) CBOT Wheat (US cents/bu) 968.25 -2.00 -0.21% 13/03/2015 29.54 -0.80 -2.64% 13/03/2015 507.75 2.50 0.49% 13/03/2014 Straits Times Index STOCK MARKETS 3,400 Hang Seng Index 3,300 3,200 Jan-29 LIFFE Cocoa (£/tonne) 1900.00 -2.00 -0.11% 16/03/2015 LIFFE Coffee (US$/tonne) 1921.00 -42.00 -2.14% 30/01/2015 384.60 -7.30 -1.86% 13/02/2015 LIFFE White Sugar (US$/tonne) Metals 3,391.20 (-27.85) 3,100 24,507.05 (-88.80) 24,500 PE: 10.40 23,500 PE: 13.88 3,000 22,500 Jan-29 COMEX - Gold (100 oz) 1254.60 -31.30 -2.43% 25/02/2015 16.78 -1.31 -7.26% 25/02/2015 Aluminium, 99.7% purity 1819.00 -31.00 -1.68% - Copper, Grade A 5395.00 -89.00 -1.62% - COMEX - Silver (US$/troy oz) LME 3-Mths Contracts (US$/MT) Jan-29 Lead 1860.00 -28.50 -1.51% - Nickel 14900.00 -150.00 -1.00% - Tin 19175.00 -70.00 -0.36% - Zinc. Sp High Grade 2090.00 -28.00 -1.32% - Energy and Oil Jan-29 Mar May July Sept Nov YTD change: +0.77% 52-week high: 3,419.15 on Jan 28, 2015 52-week low: 2,960.09 on Feb 5, 2014 Jan Source: Bloomberg Last Sale Vol Conv +or- ('000) Ratio 1 Exer Price Prem Expiry Disc Gear- Mths % ing Left Rowsley Ltd W161003 4.1 0.2 22585 18 - - 21 OCBC Bk MB eCW150413 6.2 -0.1 5179 0.2 1060 - - 3 DBS MB eCW150602 8.7 -0.2 4811 0.1 0 - - 5 DBS MB ePW150402 8.8 0.2 3821 0.2 1910 - - 3 KepCorp MB eCW150602 9.2 1.4 3619 0.2 900 - - 5 47.95 -0.79 -1.62% - 11.3 -1.2 3606 0.0 ***** - - 4 Crude Oil - WTI (Near Mth) 44.56 0.25 0.56% - UOB MB eCW150415 6.9 -0.2 3149 0.1 2480 - - 3 Crude Oil - Dubai (1-Mth F) 46.57 0.41 0.89% - SHS Holdings W191216 7.7 unch 2915 9 3.31 59 NIKKEI225 17000 MB ePW150313 6.4 0.1 2450 0.0 20090 - - 2 4 0.1 2435 0.2 215 - - 8 FTSEChinaA50 12500 MBeCW150528 1 20 Crude Oil - Tapis Blend 49.78 0.38 0.77% - Crude Oil-Indonesia Minas FOB 45.28 0.38 0.85% - Top Global Ltd W150929 0.1 -0.1 2427 - - - - - Naphtha Singapore Spot FOB 46.94 -0.45 -0.95% - Capitaland MB eCW150701 5.4 -0.7 2110 0.2 360 - - 6 Jet Kerosene-FOB Singapore 63.53 -0.23 -0.36% - KepCorp MB eCW150701 16.6 2.1 1636 0.2 850 - - 6 Opec Oil Basket Price 43.88 -0.20 -0.45% - 50 Naphtha (CFR Japan) 438.00 -4.00 -0.90% Gas Oil EEC (CIF Cargoes NWE) 468.50 -5.00 -1.06% 3 -0.8 1500 1 20 - - GloballogisticpropMBeCW151001 3.9 -0.4 1270 0.2 275 - - 9 - KepCorp MB eCW160601 6.5 0.6 1250 0.1 1100 - - 17 - OLS Enterprise W170825 0.2 unch 1005 71 3.50 31 Source:Thomson Reuters palm oil Jan 30 KLCE PALM FUTURES (RM/MT) Delivery Month Opening Range Feb 15 2117.0 Mar 15 2121.0 Apr 15 2118.0 May 15 2107.0 Source: Bursa Malaysia Sett Price Av Price High Low Vol Done Open Position 2154.0 2150.0 2146.0 2132.0 - 2144.0 2155.0 2148.0 2135.0 2117.0 2115.0 2106.0 2091.0 249 2639 31536 11349 1874 21156 71908 33335 GOVERNMENT SECURITIES Jan 30 GOVERNMENT BONDS Issue code Coupon rate (%) Maturity Close Bid Day's High Low 2-Year N710100Z 2.375 01-Apr-17 103.3 103.37 103.35 5-Year N514100H 1.625 01-Oct-19 101.14 101.30 101.20 10-Year NY09100H 3.000 01-Sep-24 109.78 110.15 109.72 15-Year NY14100E 2.875 01-Jul-29 108.01 108.35 108.08 20-Year NZ13100V 3.375 01-Sep-33 116.6 117.12 116.90 30-Year NA12100N 2.750 01-Apr-42 107.39 108.00 107.25 Note: Based on latest issue Source: Monetary Authority of Singapore interbank currency rates Against S$ Bid Currencies Offer Jan 30 Against US$ Bid Offer S$/US$ to one unit of foreign currency: Australian dollar Canadian dollar Euro NZ dollar Sterling pound US dollar 1.0495 1.0678 1.5303 0.9824 2.0349 1.3502 1.0508 1.0687 1.5312 0.9836 2.0362 1.3507 0.7773 0.7912 1.1334 0.7276 1.5071 - 0.7780 0.7908 1.1336 0.7282 1.5075 - 21.6205 20.5699 17.42 2.19 0.0107 1.1458 0.1235 37.28 4.2882 17.2837 3.0642 35.9276 16.3335 145.6280 4.1306 16.0044 15.2267 12.8989 1.6181 0.0079 0.8482 0.0912 27.5748 3.1691 12.7895 2.2681 26.5851 12.0882 107.7586 3.0572 16.0069 15.2290 12.9006 1.6186 0.0079 0.8483 0.0914 27.5976 3.1748 12.7961 2.2686 26.5993 12.0926 107.8167 3.0581 S$/US$ to 100 units of foreign currency: Chinese renminbi Danish krone Hong Kong dollar Indian Rupee Indonesia rupiah Japanese yen Korean won Malaysian ringgit New Taiwan dollar Norwegian krone Philippine peso Saudi riyal Swedish krona Swiss franc Thai Baht 21.6091 20.5591 17.42 2.18 0.0107 1.1453 0.1232 37.23 4.2789 17.2684 3.0624 35.8953 16.3215 145.4957 4.1278 Singapore Post MB eCW150907 Source: OCBC Tritech Group Limited W190329 1 1 KepCorp MB ePW150603 11 -2 975 0.2 820 - - 5 FTSEChinaA50 15000 MBeCW150730 8.6 -1.1 920 0.0 ***** - - 6 STI 3200 MB ePW150430 3.1 -0.1 905 0.0 ***** - - 3 morgan stanley capital int’l indices Jan 29 World Preliminary ‡EAFE Preliminary Europe Preliminary Pacific Far East EM Far East Australia Austria Preliminary Belgium Preliminary Canada Preliminary Denmark Preliminary * Finland Preliminary France Preliminary Germany Preliminary Greece Preliminary Hong Kong India Indonesia Ireland Preliminary Israel Preliminary Italy Preliminary Japan Korea * Malaysia Netherlands Preliminary * New Zealand Norway Preliminary Pakistan * Philippines Portugal Preliminary Singapore Singapore Free Spain Preliminary Sweden Preliminary Switzerland Preliminary * Taiwan * Thailand UK Preliminary USA Preliminary In local curr In S$ In US$ % dy % yr % dy % yr % dy % yr Index Change Change Change Change Change Change 1270.8 1019.9 1442.8 857.6 1001.1 623.0 1137.4 379.8 1188.4 1855.5 6895.6 653.9 1636.0 946.5 120.8 14402. 1090.1 6249.5 194.4 309.7 727.6 868.9 548.4 623.3 1325.6 119.6 2536.9 569.4 1297.0 82.3 1779.7 382.7 964.8 11990. 1094.8 349.0 540.1 2000.6 1911.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.3 -0.7 -1.0 -1.0 0.4 -0.6 0.5 -0.5 -0.1 -2.3 0.4 0.2 5.4 -0.5 0.1 -0.3 0.6 -2.4 0.5 -1.2 -0.7 -0.8 0.7 -1.5 -0.1 -0.1 -0.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 1.5 -1.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.4 3.3 4.4 1.4 0.9 2.3 2.9 -1.6 12.3 -0.8 9.9 8.5 8.6 9.4 -23.5 5.6 7.3 0.8 4.0 -0.4 7.8 0.3 2.2 1.1 7.7 5.4 4.4 6.9 4.3 9.0 0.5 0.5 1.2 7.7 -6.3 1.7 3.4 3.6 -2.7 May July Sept Nov Jan Source: Bloomberg BONDS, WARRANTS, PREFERENCE SHARES Jan 30 Most active Company 21,500 Mar Crude Oil - Brent/blend (1-Mth F) Period 25,500 -0.4 0.4 -0.7 3.0 -0.2 2.9 -1.5 3.1 -1.3 4.1 -1.4 4.4 -1.9 -0.2 -0.7 -5.9 0.4 7.3 -1.6 -6.7 -0.2 5.0 -2.4 3.7 0.3 3.8 0.1 4.5 5.3 -26.9 -0.6 7.7 -0.7 11.7 -1.0 1.3 0.5 -0.6 -2.2 0.7 0.4 3.0 -1.5 3.8 -1.6 4.8 -1.2 -0.7 0.6 2.9 -3.8 0.3 -0.5 2.3 -0.4 8.4 -0.7 7.9 0.7 4.2 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 -3.3 0.3 4.2 -0.1 3.3 -1.7 4.4 -0.8 6.1 -1.0 2.1 -0.2 -0.8 -0.4 -1.6 -0.6 1.0 -0.2 0.9 -1.4 1.1 -1.3 2.1 -1.4 2.3 -1.8 -2.1 -0.6 -7.8 0.5 5.2 -1.5 -8.6 -0.1 3.0 -2.3 1.7 0.4 1.8 0.2 2.5 5.3 -28.3 -0.5 5.6 -0.6 9.5 -0.9 -0.7 0.6 -2.5 -2.1 -1.3 0.4 1.0 -1.5 1.8 -1.5 2.7 -1.1 -2.6 0.7 0.9 -3.8 -1.7 -0.5 0.3 -0.3 6.3 -0.6 5.8 0.7 2.1 0.1 -1.4 0.1 -1.4 0.6 -5.1 0.4 2.1 0.0 1.3 -1.7 2.4 -0.8 4.1 -1.0 0.1 -0.2 -2.7 Copyright© 1991 Morgan Stanley Capital International YTD change: +3.82% 52-week high: 25,317.95 on Sept 3, 2014 52-week low: 21,182.16 on March 20, 2014 Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite 3,400 3,210.36 (-51.94) PE: 15.62 3,000 2,600 2,200 Mar May July Sept Nov Jan Source: Bloomberg YTD change: -0.75% 52-week high: 3,383.18 on Jan 26, 2015 52-week low: 1,993.48 on March 20, 2014 Nikkei 225 18,000 1,7674.39 (+68.17) 17,000 PE: 20.67 16,000 15,000 14,000 Mar May July Sept Nov Jan Source: Bloomberg YTD change: +1.28% 52-week high: 17,935.64 on Dec 8, 2014 52-week low: 13,910.16 on April 14, 2014 Dow Jones Industrial Average 18,000 17,500 17,000 16,500 17,416.85 (+225.48) 16,000 PE: 15.61 15,500 Mar May July Sept Nov Jan Source: Bloomberg YTD change: -2.28% 52-week high: 18,053.71 on Dec 26, 2014 52-week low: 15,372.80 on Feb 3, 2014 (Chart shows Thursday’s index closing) 14 companies & markets THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Ascott makes first foray into Turkey It clinches deal to manage the 159-unit Somerset Maslak Istanbul, slated to open in 2016 By Jacquelyn Cheok [email protected] @JacCheokBT Singapore THE Ascott – CapitaLand’s wholly owned serviced residence business unit – on Friday said it has secured a contract to manage its first serviced residence in Turkey, marking its first foray into the country. This latest entry will expand its footprint – as the world’s largest global serviced residence owner-operator – to 90 cities across 25 countries, The Ascott said. Slated to open in 2016, the 159-unit Somerset Maslak Istan- bul will be part of an integrated development – Maslak 1453 – that comprises a 1,453-metre long shopping promenade and 24 towers of commercial, residential, dining and recreational facilities. Maslak is one of Istanbul’s main business and leisure districts comprising major banking and financial institutions, as well as key educational institutions such as the Istanbul Technical University. The Ascott has been awarded the management contract for Somerset Maslak Istanbul by real estate company Maslak Konakla- ma, an affiliate of the Saudibased Abduljawad Group of Companies. “Turkey is an attractive market for foreign investors and we see significant growth opportunities for international branded serviced residences. The country is amongst the world’s top 20 largest economies ... has a strategic location at the crossroads of Europe, Middle East and Asia, a large domestic market and stable policy environment. As the financial hub of the country, Istanbul is a natural choice for multinational corporations setting up headquarters in Turkey,” said Lee Chee Koon, Ascott’s chief executive officer. He added: “Tourism is also a significant contributor to the country’s GDP. Visitor numbers have been seeing double-digit growth in the past three years and tourism revenue has been increasing steadily.” In 2014, Ascott added eight new cities to its global portfolio: Greater Sydney in Australia; Taiyuan, Yinchuan and Changsha in China; Bali in Indonesia; Vientiane in Laos; Yangon in Myanmar; and Busan in South Korea, said Mr Lee. “We expect strong demand Feels like dot-com days again: Fidelity By Cai Haoxiang [email protected] @HaoxiangCaiBT Singapore AS capital continues to gain an edge over labour and profit margins stay high, the bull market in stocks, notably the US, shows no sign of stopping, said Dominic Rossi, Fidelity’s global chief investment officer for equities. The danger is that stocks will rise sharply, he said at a press briefing on Friday. “It’s another dot-com era. This feels like the 1990s. That’s my biggest worry ... that equity markets will melt up, not melt down.” Mr Rossi remains bullish on the US stock market, saying it has several more years to run. Despite profit margins being at historic highs, they can go much higher. “Organised labour doesn't have the power that it had in the past. Profit margins are structurally higher, not cyclically higher ... the distribution of wealth between capital and income is favouring capital,” he said. The US dollar will stay strong because the economy is improving on both its trade and fiscal positions. The trade-weighted US dollar is still low by historical standards, he said. While the strong US dollar will keep commodity prices low, he said markets will eventually recognise this as a positive, especially as consumer confidence picks up. Earnings multiples will get pushed up further as domestic savings pile into stocks, like what happened in the late 1990s, Mr Rossi said. The oil price crash and the weak euro will benefit European stocks, he added. Meanwhile, bonds might have another year of positive returns despite yields at record lows, said Andrew Wells, Fidelity’s global chief investment officer for fixed income, real estate and solutions. The 2014 trends of low inflation and accommodative central banks have not changed, he noted. “Don’t expect the US to raise rates until end-2015 or early 2016 unless wage inflation picks up,” he said. In Europe, government bond yields continue falling as the European Central Bank unleashed a bond-buying programme earlier this month to support its economy. Yet Fidelity continues to get mandates from Asian and European investors to invest in European investment-grade corporate bonds, Mr Wells said. This is because they expect government bonds to trend towards zero yields, he said. Falling government bond yields mean wider spreads with corporate bonds, resulting in more leeway for capital gains. In fact, investors are even buying sovereign bonds that yield negative rates – essentially paying to lend money to governments. Swiss government bond yields turned negative after the central bank removed the Swiss franc’s ceiling against the Euro. Investors still bought them be- cause they can get gains on the Swiss currency that far exceed the negative yields, Mr Wells explained. “As soon as you get your mind over the fact that you can go through (zero yields) substantially, there’s clearly a lot of value still left,” Mr Wells said. “As a fixed income investor you always get taught when you’re very young, you don’t fight central banks, they tend to be more powerful than the individual investor. They desire to get to zero, they’ll do everything in their power,” he said. Mr Wells sees opportunities in inflation-linked bonds and emerging market high-yield bonds. Ultimately, markets are in a strange situation because too much capital is chasing too little income growth, said Mr Rossi. As a result, returns on capital will decline. “This is a curious world where bond investors are investing for capital returns and equity investors are investing for income.” letter to the editor | Shareholder nod not needed in Keppel Corp bid: SGX WE refer to Andrea Soh’s article, “Better if Keppel has shareholders’ nod for KepLand bid: observers” (BT, Jan 27). The article contained an inaccuracy which the Singapore Exchange (SGX) would like to correct. This is with respect to the mention that “SGX has, however, granted Keppel Corp exemption from the requirement to obtain shareholders’ consent”. On the contrary, SGX did not grant Keppel Corp an exemption from any rule. What SGX advised – and which Keppel Corp duly said on Jan 23 in its announcement on “Voluntary Unconditional Cash Offer for Keppel Land Ltd” – was that the requirement for the offer to be approved by shareholders of Keppel Corp under Rule 1014(2) of the Listing Manual was not applicable. Listing Rule 1014(2) requires an issuer to convene an extraordinary general meeting to obtain shareholders’ approval for a major acquisition. Shareholder approval was not required in this instance as the acquisition of Keppel Land is an expansion of Keppel Corp’s existing core business. This is provid- ed for in SGX’s Practice Note 10.1. Keppel Corp’s offer does not change the risk profile nor the main business of the Keppel Corp Group. This position was affirmed by Keppel Corp’s board in the abovementioned announcement. June Sim Head, Listing Compliance Singapore Exchange from expatriates and business travellers for our first serviced residence in Turkey and will continue to bring Ascott’s signature hospitality to more places around the world.” On Monday, Ascott announced that it has secured contracts to manage three more properties in Beijing and Hong Kong. The company revealed in early January that its target is to open more than 20 properties in China, India, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Vietnam, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the Philippines this year. On Friday, CapitaLand shares closed six cents lower at S$3.48. Ezra bags deals worth more than US$65m By Malminderjit Singh [email protected] @MalminderjitBT Singapore OFFSHORE services provider Ezra Holdings announced on Friday that its subsea services division, EMAS AMC, has secured multiple contracts from various energy companies valued at more than US$65 million (including options). The awards, which Ezra said came from independent oil majors and contractors globally, are off the back of a strategic subsea construction contract from Apache Energy, taking the total worth of work won across the group since the beginning of 2015 to more than US$355 million. The scope of work for the contract wins announced on Friday includes project management, engineering, and transportation and installation works for a floating production storage offloading (FPSO) vessel in Africa, as well as various engineering and offshore construction support contracts. Work on the various project activities has commenced with offshore execution taking place in 2015 and 2016. “Despite the current headwinds faced by the oil and gas industry, our tendering activities remain healthy,” said Lionel Lee, Ezra’s group CEO and managing director. “We sit in the value chain where it is more resilient.” Ezra shares closed half a cent lower at S$0.53 on Friday. real estate 15 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Park Ave to get first new tower in decades Norman Foster-designed skyscraper more than double the height will replace existing one at prime New York site New York SOME time next week, a metal frame will go up around the blocky brick tower at Manhattan’s 425 Park Ave, designed to protect pedestrians from falling objects. It’s a prelude to the building’s demise. In about three years, if all goes according to plan, the site will have a new Norman Foster-designed skyscraper more than twice the height of the existing one. The replacement would be the first new office building in almost four decades on what the developer, David Levinson, called New York’s “grand boulevard of commerce”. The 272-metre tower will rise amid Manhattan’s biggest rush of skyscraper construction since the 1980s, with millions of square feet of offices in such projects as Hudson Yards on the far west side and the World Trade Center downtown. Mr Levinson is building “on spec”, meaning without any tenants signed up. It’s a gamble on the staying power of today’s accelerating demand for space, and a practice that’s had a chequered history in the city, said Lawrence Longua, a retired real estate professor at New York University. “Obviously, when you begin one of these large New York office buildings, the market is there when you begin it,” said Mr Longua, now an adjunct at Baruch College’s Newman Real Estate Center. “But the market may not be there when you complete it.” The new Park Avenue skyscraper, between East 55th and 56th streets, will be narrower than the existing 1950s-era building, and have about the same 670,000 square feet of floor space. The developers are touting it as a 21st century answer to the neighbouring Seagram Building, which was hailed as an architectural masterwork upon its 1958 completion. Plans call for the existing 425 Park, a commonplace stack of white-brick boxes, to be replaced by a 47-storey glass tower with three distinct sections. Slanted glass will mark the transitions between the base and the middle, and middle and top sections. The bottom floors will extend over the 45-foot-high lobby, creating offices that will seem to float over Park Avenue. “Our view in terms of mitigating the risk of building a building on spec is to build the best building we can,” said Mr Levinson, chief executive officer of developer L&L Holding Co. “If the market is weak, if you have the best building, you’ll still get a premium.” Skyscrapers at 1633 Broadway, near Times Square, and 1166 Avenue of the Americas, north of Bryant Park, failed as substantially spec projects in the 1970s, when the office market suffered as the city flirted with default, according to Mr Longua. More recently, 11 Times Square, in development when the credit crisis hit in 2008, didn’t get its first tenant until the building was one month from completion. The following year, developer Harry Macklowe lost control of 510 Madison PRICIER The developer will seek over US$200 psf for the uppermost floors of the new skyscraper which will rise on the site of the current 425 Park Ave building (centre). PHOTO: BLOOMBERG Ave, a speculative building designed with boutique financial firms in mind. In a sign of the market’s resurgence, 7 Bryant Park, a 471,000 sq ft tower rising on Avenue of the Americas at 40th Street, is under contract to be sold for US$600 million to Bank of China, which intends to occupy the property. Houston-based Hines and a unit of JPMorgan Chase & Co are the developers and sellers. Asking rents in Midtown top-quality skyscrapers climbed to US$99.58 per square foot (psf) at the end of last year, the highest since 2008, according to a report by brokerage Jones Lang LaSalle Inc. The vacancy rate for such buildings was 8 per cent, down from the peak of 12.1 per cent in late 2012. “Tenants may want to prepare for similar growth in 2015, particularly on preferred floors in the best buildings,” Cynthia Wasserberger, a managing director at Jones Lang, said in the report. Manhattanwide, 97 leases were signed for more than US$100 psf last year, exceed- ing a previous high of US$91 psf in 2008, the brokerage said. The Seagram Building led the market with 14 such deals. Mr Levinson said he’s looking to fill 425 Park Ave with hedge funds, money-management firms and family offices. He plans to seek more than US$200 psf for the uppermost floors, or 10-15 per cent more than the highest current asking rents in the Plaza District. Towers in the submarket – Midtown’s priciest and named for its proximity to the Plaza Hotel – are prized for their views of Central Park. “This is a very rare occurrence,” Mr Levinson said. “You have a mid-century office building being torn down in Midtown. There’s not going to be another new building on Park Avenue in my lifetime.” The lack of construction is partly tied to an ordinance governing the area since 1961 that requires developers to build a smaller property if they want to completely replace the current one. L&L is getting around that by making it a redevelopment rather than a new building from scratch. It intends to strip the existing tower down to its steel skeleton and use about 25 per cent of the frame for the new skyscraper. The project was scaled back after the City Council in 2013 scrapped an effort led by then-mayor Michael Bloomberg to allow building of taller towers in east Midtown, where the average office property is 70 years old. The former mayor is the founder and majority owner of Bloomberg News parent Bloomberg LP. Mayor Bill de Blasio is expected to consider new east Midtown zoning recommendations, which probably will emerge in the next several months from the office of Manhattan Borough president Gail Brewer, said Rachaele Raynof, spokeswoman for the Department of City Planning. Mr Levinson said he shaved 90,000 sq ft from the design for 425 Park to comply with current rules. Also dropped was an early design calling for open space in front of the tower to display public art, similar to the Seagram Building, because required city easements weren’t available, according to Mr Foster. The architect, who designed London’s “Gherkin” skyscraper and Hearst Tower on Manhattan’s Eighth Avenue, won the commission over such fellow Pritzker Prize winners as Zaha Hadid and Rem Koolhaas. In a telephone interview, he called Park Avenue “a kind of sacred area” that must be approached with respect. “It’s mobbed by extraordinary monuments of the modern movement”, such as the Seagram Building, designed by Ludwig Mies van der Rohe, and Gordon Bunshaft’s Lever House, he said. Even the avenue’s less showy buildings have an understated elegance, according to Mr Foster. Supporters of the initial east Midtown rezoning plan clashed with people who wanted certain older buildings near Grand Central and along Park Avenue spared. No one has stepped up to save the tower now standing at 425 Park, said Simeon Bankoff, director of New York’s Historic Districts Council, a preservationist group. While it was designed by a noted architect, Ely Jacques Kahn – whose credits include the Squibb Building near Central Park and the arch-roofed Municipal Asphalt Plant on the Upper East Side – it’s not one of his important works, Mr Bankoff said. “I know some Ely Jacques Kahn partisans, and they’ve never mentioned this building to me,” said Mr Bankoff. “The council had identified a number of buildings of concern in the east Midtown area, and 425 Park Ave was never one of them, even on the most advanced lists.” The site is catty-corner from the condominium tower nearing completion at 432 Park Ave, where a penthouse is under contract for US$95 million. That building has become a symbol of the rising dominance of the global elite, about the audience Mr Levinson is trying to lure to his project, Mr Bankoff said. “So you can just zip-line from your condo to your office,” Mr Bankoff joked. “Maybe have a gondola.” Bloomberg 16 real estate THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Househunt PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS FOR SELECTED DISTRICTS WITH CONTRACT DATES BETWEEN DEC 17 AND DEC 23, 2014 PROJECT NAME/ STREET NAME PROP TYPE CONTRACT DATE TENURE BUILT-IN/LAND PRICE AREA*(SQ FT) (S$'000) PSF (S$) District 11 NON-LANDED Montebleu Suites @ Surrey LANDED Chancery Lane Apt Apt 17/12/2014 23/12/2014 FH FH 1475 893 2065 1230 1400 1377 X-Det 23/12/2014 FH 23933 25389 1061 Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt 23/12/2014 20/12/2014 23/12/2014 22/12/2014 23/12/2014 17/12/2014 19/12/2014 FH FH FH 99 99 999 FH 1281 1227 883 936 1195 947 1292 1250 1170 950 1248 1460 1140 1300 976 953 1076 1333 1222 1204 1007 X-Ter X-Det 19/12/2014 19/12/2014 FH FH 1652 9880 2200 8500 1331 860 District 12 NON-LANDED Ava Twr Ava Twr Balestier Point Eight Riversuites Eight Riversuites Riverbay Scenic Ht District 13 LANDED Jln Riang Wolskel Rd District 14 NON-LANDED Camellia Lodge Cosmo Esta Ruby Guillemard Suites Le Reve Starville Tre Residences Tre Residences Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt 19/12/2014 19/12/2014 22/12/2014 17/12/2014 23/12/2014 22/12/2014 22/12/2014 22/12/2014 FH FH FH FH FH FH 99 99 1206 398 1130 570 861 581 1711 420 975 610 1530 828 1050 680 2062 707 809 1532 1354 1451 1219 1170 1205 1684 Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt 23/12/2014 23/12/2014 17/12/2014 19/12/2014 17/12/2014 17/12/2014 19/12/2014 17/12/2014 FH FH 99 99 99 99 FH FH 1313 1690 1518 786 1507 2540 1163 452 1980 2150 2000 1083 2500 4400 1370 600 1508 1272 1318 1378 1659 1732 1178 1327 X-Det 18/12/2014 FH 4918 7525 1530 District 15 NON-LANDED 8m Residences Amber Point Riveredge Sanctuary Green Silversea Silversea Spring @ Katong Suites @ Katong LANDED Poole Rd District 16 NON-LANDED Bayshore Park Bedok Residences Casa Merah Optima @ Tanah Merah The Glades LANDED Guan Soon Ave Peakview Estate Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt 23/12/2014 18/12/2014 17/12/2014 23/12/2014 17/12/2014 99 99 99 99 99 1173 1507 1389 1249 678 1130 1893 1470 1525 1019 963 1256 1059 1221 1503 X-Ter X-Ter 18/12/2014 18/12/2014 FH FH 1652 1723 2330 2750 1410 1596 District 17 NON-LANDED Azalea Park Cdo Ferraria Park Cdo Apt Apt 19/12/2014 19/12/2014 999 FH 1335 1023 1150 928 862 908 Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt 22/12/2014 19/12/2014 19/12/2014 18/12/2014 22/12/2014 18/12/2014 17/12/2014 17/12/2014 19/12/2014 17/12/2014 17/12/2014 22/12/2014 17/12/2014 19/12/2014 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 1130 1378 2928 904 1539 1378 1399 1270 1270 1270 1076 527 1033 1141 938 1363 2526 937 1296 1330 1182 1335 1185 1150 1100 589 918 1260 830 989 863 1036 842 965 844 1051 933 905 1022 1117 888 1104 District 18 NON-LANDED Changi Rise Coco Palms Coco Palms Coco Palms Coco Palms Coco Palms Coco Palms D'nest Livia Livia Ripple Bay The Santorini Vue 8 Residence Waterview District 19 NON-LANDED PROJECT NAME/ STREET NAME PROP TYPE CONTRACT DATE TENURE BUILT-IN/LAND PRICE AREA*(SQ FT) (S$'000) PSF (S$) Boathouse Residences Jewel @ Buangkok Jewel @ Buangkok Jewel @ Buangkok Jewel @ Buangkok Riversound Residence Sunglade The Quartz The Scala The Scala The Springbloom The Springbloom LANDED Highland Close Jln Kurnia Serangoon Gdn Estate Serangoon Gdn Estate Serangoon Gdn Estate Serangoon Gdn Estate Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt 19/12/2014 22/12/2014 18/12/2014 17/12/2014 17/12/2014 23/12/2014 19/12/2014 19/12/2014 22/12/2014 17/12/2014 23/12/2014 18/12/2014 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 624 463 517 775 721 1292 1378 1141 893 850 1302 1119 665 670 716 962 901 1250 1320 1170 1200 1200 1350 1180 1065 1448 1385 1241 1249 968 958 1025 1343 1411 1037 1054 X-Ter X-Ter X-Sd X-Sd X-Ter X-Ter 22/12/2014 18/12/2014 19/12/2014 23/12/2014 23/12/2014 18/12/2014 FH FH 999 FH 999 999 2114 1647 2377 2894 1840 1841 1950 2400 3000 3550 2300 3100 922 1457 1262 1226 1250 1684 Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt 22/12/2014 22/12/2014 23/12/2014 19/12/2014 23/12/2014 99 99 99 99 99 1550 1948 1238 1259 1044 1400 1380 930 1200 1445 903 708 751 953 1384 X-Sd 19/12/2014 FH 4046 5180 1280 Apt Apt 19/12/2014 23/12/2014 FH FH 1496 1733 1440 2680 962 1546 X-Ter 23/12/2014 FH 2169 1800 830 Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt 19/12/2014 19/12/2014 18/12/2014 23/12/2014 18/12/2014 22/12/2014 99 99 99 99 99 99 560 969 1227 1055 872 1163 751 1210 1070 950 988 1030 1342 1249 872 901 1133 886 X-Ter 23/12/2014 FH 2550 2330 914 Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt Apt 22/12/2014 18/12/2014 22/12/2014 19/12/2014 17/12/2014 17/12/2014 99 99 99 99 99 99 1281 463 517 1302 915 1012 1088 650 713 1010 800 1234 849 1404 1381 775 874 1220 X-Ter 18/12/2014 999 1616 2380 1473 X-Ter 23/12/2014 99 1889 1700 900 Apt Apt 19/12/2014 19/12/2014 FH 99 1270 1216 1140 855 898 703 X-Det 19/12/2014 99 5471 5900 1078 Apt Apt 22/12/2014 22/12/2014 99 99 1119 1206 1231 1280 1100 1062 X-Ter X-Sd 23/12/2014 22/12/2014 FH FH 2102 3150 2400 3950 1142 1254 District 20 NON-LANDED Bishan Park Cdo Far Horizon Gdn Far Horizon Gdn Grandeur 8 Thomson Three LANDED Wellington Park District 21 NON-LANDED Highgate Cdo The Creek @ Bukit LANDED Hoover Park District 22 NON-LANDED Lakeville Lakeville Parc Oasis Parc Vista The Centris The Mayfair LANDED Yunnan Gdn District 23 NON-LANDED Guilin View Hillion Residences Kingsford Hillview Peak Maysprings Maysprings The Skywoods LANDED Cashew Villas District 25 LANDED Oakwood Grove District 27 NON-LANDED The Sensoria Yishun Sapphire LANDED Wak Hassan Dr District 28 NON-LANDED Rivertrees Residences Rivertrees Residences LANDED Seletar Gdn Seletar Hills Estate Note: Data extracted on Jan 26, 2015 *Applies to landed property Information is provided by SISV Services Pte Ltd. SPH gives no warranty as to the accuracy of the information and disclaims all liability for any loss or damages that may arise from its use. banking & finance 17 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 RBI urges companies to hedge FX exposure India’s central bank seeks to shield the rupee, Asia best performing currency, from global financial seismic shifts Mumbai INDIA’S central bank is making extra efforts to spur the country’s corporates to more actively hedge their foreign exchange exposure, in order to fortify the country’s defences against any risk of currency turmoil. The efforts reflect the Reserve Bank of India’s fear of being held hostage to global developments, especially as the US Federal Reserve is widely expected to start raising interest rates this year, which could spark potential selling in emerging markets. “Corporates are not hedging enough,” said a senior policy maker aware of the central bank’s thinking. “Many things can go wrong when the US starts raising rates. RBI and the government can only improve fundamentals, but corporates need to increase their hedge ratios to be better prepared for any turmoil in the exchange rate.” As a result, the RBI is seeking to bring down the cost of currency protection by reducing its own dollar buying in forward markets, making it more affordable for companies to buy forward cover. The RBI’s dollar buying had pushed up the cost of hedging for companies to 10-12 per cent. The premium has now fallen to around 6 per cent, according to Reuters data. The RBI has also told banks to regularly report quarterly data for corporate customers’ positions, including estimates of unhedged foreign currency exposure. The rupee’s buoyancy over the past year had become a disincentive to hedge. SHORING UP The Reserve Bank of India wants corporates to increase their hedge ratios to be better prepared for turmoil when the US decides to raise interest rates. PHOTO: BLOOMBERG And the RBI wants to prevent complacency developing in a country that is enjoying easing inflation, a narrowing current account deficit, and the leadership of a government intent on introducing ambitious economic reforms. The rupee is Asia’s best performing currency so far in 2015, with a nearly 2 per cent gain against the dollar, helped by net foreign inflows of US$5.25 billion into debt and stocks after US$42.37 billion in purchases last year. Nonetheless, the RBI is keen to avoid a repeat of the turmoil seen in 2013, when fears about US rate hikes led to the rupee’s worst crisis in more than two decades. India closely shepherds the rupee – which is convertible on the trade account, but only partially convertible on the capital account – while letting the markets determine trends. The RBI has typically intervened to dampen excessive speculation, or to sup- Deutsche Bank back in the black in Q4 Frankfurt DEUTSCHE Bank, the largest German bank, said on Thursday that it returned to profit in the fourth quarter of 2014, as revenue in the investment banking unit rose and the bank set aside less money to cover legal problems. Shares of Deutsche Bank rose 2.5 per cent after it reported a fourth-quarter net profit of 441 million euros (S$677 million), after a loss of 1.4 billion euros in the period a year earlier. Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast a loss for the latest quarter. Although the earnings were better than expected, Deutsche Bank managers acknowledged they were still far from meeting their goals. “We have not delivered to investors the return which they rightfully expect,” Anshu Jain, the bank’s co-chief executive, said during a conference call. One of the last European banks that is still a major presence on Wall Street, Deutsche Bank has been struggling with a combination of stricter government regulation, low interest rates and legal costs stemming from accusations of past misconduct. The profit for 2014, while better than the year before, amounted to a pretax return on equity of 5 per cent – well behind the ratio of 25 per cent that Deutsche Bank and many other large banks aimed for before the financial crisis that began in 2008. Return on equity is a common measure of bank profitability. Revenue in the quarter rose 19 per cent, to 7.8 billion euros, Deutsche Bank said, in part because of increased uncertainty in global financial markets, which prompted clients to do more trading and generated fees for the bank. For the full year, Deutsche Bank reported net profit of 1.7 billion euros, compared with a profit of 681 million euros in 2013. Under pressure from regulators as well as shareholders, Deutsche Bank has been trying to increase the proportion of its own money that it uses to do business, as opposed to borrowed money. Nevertheless, the bank’s common equity Tier 1 ratio, a measure of its ability to absorb losses, fell to 11.7 per cent at the end of 2014, compared with 12.7 per cent a year earlier. Deutsche Bank, however, said it had increased its leverage ratio, often consid- ered the best measure of a bank’s ability to withstand a crisis, to 3.5 per cent at the end of 2014 from 2.4 per cent a year earlier. The minimum leverage ratio in Europe is 3 per cent. Regulators are expected to raise the minimum further in years to come. “In 2014, Deutsche Bank became a stronger, safer and better balanced bank,” Mr Jain said in a video statement. The bank said its costs from fines or legal fees fell 1 billion euros in the fourth quarter, but it cautioned that “a number of major litigation cases have yet to be settled”. Deutsche Bank is among a group of banks under investigation on suspicion that employees manipulated benchmark interest rates used to set rates on mortgages and many other loans. It also faces inquiries into foreign exchange trading and lawsuits related to sales of securities in the United States and transactions with countries under international sanctions. “We’re doing everything we can to bring legal disputes to a conclusion,” Jürgen Fitschen, the other co-chief executive, said during the conference call. But he said it was impossible to predict when cases would be resolved and how much they would cost. NYT ply dollars on days when there is heavy demand from importers to meet payments. With a weather eye on the Fed’s intentions, the RBI has bought dollars aggressively, and foreign exchange reserves climbed to a record US$322.14 billion this month. But the lack of corporate hedging remains a weak point in India’s currency market defences, according to central bankers. RBI Deputy Governor HR Khan said in October the hedge ratio for overseas loans and foreign convertible debt had halved to around 15 per cent in July-August from the previous fiscal year. In recent weeks, the spot rupee-dollar rate has fluctuated more on days of heavy volumes, according to traders, as the RBI has abstained from draining or supplying as many dollars as it has done in the past. Some analysts interpreted that as a warning to companies to hedge more, and to foreign investors to refrain from playing off a stable spot rate to speculate in offshore forward markets. “RBI will allow a bit of volatility in the rupee as it wants neither the corporates nor FIIs (foreign institutional investors) to believe that it will continue to protect the rupee in a tight range,” said Samir Lodha, managing director at QuantArt Market Solutions, an advisory firm for companies. Some corporate treasurers saw the RBI’s efforts paying off. “The various measures being taken by the RBI has certainly helped and the hedge books of companies are at much higher levels than what they were last year,” said Mradul Dubey, head of treasury, Electrosteel Castings and Srikalahasthi Pipes Ltd. Reuters RBS reviewing global footprint Dubai ROYAL Bank of Scotland (RBS) plans to sell or close its corporate debt and debt capital markets business in the Middle East and Africa, the latest pullback by the state-controlled lender from emerging markets to focus on its domestic business. The lender, 81 per cent owned by the British government, has been reviewing its global footprint as it seeks to rebuild its reputation after one of the biggest bailouts in British history during the global financial crisis. “Part of the strategy set out by (chief executive) Ross McEwan in February 2014 was to make RBS a smaller, more focused bank. As part of that strategy, we have taken the decision to exit our corporate debt and debt capital markets business in the Middle East and Africa,” RBS said in a statement on Thursday. Banking sources told Reuters that RBS was attempting to sell its corporate banking business across the Middle East but had been unable to offload it in one chunk. Two of the sources said the bank was now selling off its assets piecemeal to different buyers. Reuters 18 energy & commodities THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Shell ‘optimistic’ on US refinery contract talks Investors lured back to gold after surprise rally New York GOLD’S longest rally in two years is spurring investors to return to precious metals just as signs emerge that the gains may be petering out. US exchange-traded products backed by precious metals took in US$1.9 billion this month through Jan 28, the first inflow since July and the biggest since September 2012, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Gold prices dropped 2.4 per cent on Jan 29, cutting this month’s rally to 6.5 per cent, and Goldman Sachs Group said this week it expects the metal will fall over the next year. After shunning gold for two straight years, investors are coming back to the metal as officials in Europe and Asia fight stagnating economies with more stimulus. Weaker foreign expansion had also increased bets that the Federal Reserve would delay raising interest rates. This week’s statement from the policy makers that cited “solid” US growth damped that speculation, and bullion on Thursday capped the biggest decline since 2013. “While the gold market is viewing the Fed statement as negative and the US economy is getting stronger, one cannot ignore the economic stress in Europe and China,” Jeff Sica, the president of Circle Squared Alternative Investments said in a telephone interview on Jan 29 from Mor- Union not as optimistic, prepared for possible strike BOTTOMED? Bullion tumbled 29 per cent in the previous two years. PHOTO: REUTERS ristown, New Jersey. “I don’t think investors will abandon gold now as a lot of easy money is getting added to the system.” Futures in New York climbed for three straight months, the longest rally since September 2012, and January’s advance is still poised to be the largest since February 2014. Hedge funds and other speculators have the biggest net-bullish bet on gold in two years, US government data show. Assets in global ETPs backed by the metal are heading for the biggest monthly increase since 2011. Bullion tumbled 29 per cent in the previous two years as the American economy improved. “It looks like gold has bottomed,” John Apruzzese at Evercore Wealth Management in New York, said. “We think that there is a distinct possibility that the Fed may delay raising rates. We are considering going back to gold.” Bloomberg Houston LEAD industry negotiator Royal Dutch Shell Plc said on Thursday that it was “optimistic” a new three-year agreement could be reached with a union representing hourly workers at 63 US refineries that account for two-thirds of US refining capacity. In a message to members, the United Steelworkers union (USW) did not share Shell’s optimism, pointing to the approaching expiration of the current three-year agreement at 12.01 am on Sunday in the time zone where each refinery is located. “Still no new offer from the industry,” the USW message read. “Clock is ticking. Day of action was a huge success and Oilworkers are ready to stand up and fight back.” USW locals carried out protests in support of the union’s contract proposals in front of refineries across the country on Wednesday. The union and refineries have both prepared for a possible strike, which the union signalled on Monday may be needed to win concessions from the oil companies. The last nationwide refinery workers strike was in 1980 and lasted for three months. Shell is leading the talks on behalf of companies that own US refineries including majors such as Exxon Mobil Corp and BP Plc and smaller companies such as HollyFrontier Corp and Delek. “We remain optimistic that a mutually satisfactory agreement can be negotiated with the USW,”said Shell spokesman Ray Fisher in a statement issued on Thursday night. The USW is seeking annual pay raises double those of the last agreement. It also wants work that has been given in the past to non-union contractors to start going to USW members, a tighter policy to prevent workplace fatigue, and reductions in members’ out-of-pocket payments for healthcare. The USW has rejected two contract proposals from oil company negotiators since talks began on Jan 21. At least five contract proposals were rejected during the talks in 2012 for the current agreement. Reuters China private oil firms hit by SOE probes Singapore CHINA’S private oil service companies are paying the price in the bond market for graft probes involving state energy giants. The yield on the 2018 US dollardenominated bonds of Anton Oilfield Services Group Ltd, which helps drill oil wells, has almost doubled to 25 per cent this year. The yield on the 2019 notes of Honghua Group Ltd, the world’s largest land rig maker, jumped to a record 34.3 per cent this month. That contrasts with the 44 basis point decline to 3.39 per cent for the 2024 securities of state-owned CNOOC Ltd, China’s biggest offshore oil and gas producer. Chinese President Xi Jinping’s campaign to catch “tigers and flies” for graft had its highest profile case with the arrest of former security chief Zhou Yongkang and probes into a network of associates that he built up during his time as chairman of China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC). The fallout from the probe, and similar cases involving property developers and securities brokerages, is affecting companies without powerful state benefactors as projects are frozen, contract awards scrutinised and investors ask who will be targeted next. “We are seeing Chinese oilfield services companies feeling a little bit of revenue and profit pressure, especially this year, which I believe is partially related to the graft probe issues,” said Leo Hu, an analyst at Standard & Poor’s in Hong Kong. “This, we believe, has decreased the national oil companies’ propensity of engaging third-party oil services companies.” The corruption probes are adding to pressure on issuers of riskier bonds as prices for oil, coal, metals and property slide amid a slowing economy. The Bloomberg commodities index touched the lowest since 2002 on Jan 29, after a government report showed that US crude inventories advanced to the highest level in at least 30 years. The price of Brent crude, the benchmark used by most of the world, has slid 57 per cent to US$49 a barrel from its high last year in June of US$115. Chinese exploration and production projects have been delayed amid the government’s investigations into state-owned oil and gas companies, Fitch Ratings Co said in September. Anton Oilfield expects that profits may slump more than 140 per cent for a net loss due to “the adjustment in the domestic market and decrease in international oil price”, it said in a Jan 18 filing. That prompted Fitch Ratings to cut its credit score to “BB-”, and Moody’s to reduce its ranking to “Ba3”. Both ratings are three steps below investment grade. Honghua, based in the south-western city of Chengdu, said in a November filing that profit for 2014 “will decrease significantly”. Moody’s downgraded it to “B2”, five levels below investment grade. Drilling contracts from major state-owned oil producers have slumped due to the anti-corruption campaign, which has hurt Honghua’s business, according to a company spokeswoman who asked not to be identified. MIE Holdings Corp, an energy contractor, issued a profit warning in July, and sold its subsidiary PanChina Resources for US$83.2 million in August. The company operates oilfields in the Jilin oilfield in north-western China owned by PetroChina Co, a company controlled by CNPC whose former chairman Jiang Jiemin has been charged with corruption. “There are some companies that reduced their capital expenditures very quickly and sold some assets and have a reasonably strong cash balance,” said Nish Popat, portfolio manager for Neuberger Berman Group LLC in the Hague. The firm had US$250 billion under management as at Dec 31, 2014. Bloomberg technology 19 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Spending spree, strong dollar weigh on Google results Share of the online-ad market under pressure San Francisco GOOGLE Inc is ramping up spending to invest in new technologies and fend off competition on mobile devices, even as its maturing Web-advertising business posted quarterly profit and sales that fell short of estimates. Fourth-quarter profit, excluding some items, was US$6.88 a share on revenue of US$14.5 billion, Google said in a statement on Thursday, compared with analysts’ average projections for US$7.11 and US$14.7 billion. Expenses jumped as Google added more staff and real estate, while currency fluctuations dented revenue. While Facebook Inc and other Internet companies are seeking to lure away users and advertisers on tablets and smartphones, Google’s shares were buoyed in late trading amid signs of strength in the search provider’s main businesses and optimism that the company will use its cash pile to enter new markets to secure future growth. “They didn’t do anything that was dramatically inconsistent with what they’ve been doing,” said Brian Wieser, an analyst at Pivotal Research Group. “You’ve got top-line growth that overall is reasonably solid and you have margin erosion, largely due to diversification.” Foreign currency fluctuations also weighed on results. Google said total revenue would have been higher by US$541 million from the prior quarter without the impact of a stronger dollar, which reduces the amount of overseas income that can be counted back home. Marketers also paid less for mobile ads, driving down the average price of spots by 3 per cent in the quarter. The shares of Google rose in extended trading. The stock advanced less than one per cent to US$513.23 at the close in New York and was down 5.4 per cent in 2014, compared with an 11 per cent gain in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. Chief Executive Officer Larry Page stepped up spending, as Google invests in areas outside of the company’s main search-ad business, from high-speed Internet service and driverless cars to digital-payments systems and Web-linked glasses. Operating expenses, which include engineering and sales staff, reached US$6.78 billion in the fourth quarter, a 35 per cent increase from a year earlier. That compares with quarterly operating expenses of US$5.5 billion at Apple Inc, whose revenue was more than five times greater than Google’s in the same period. “In many ways, 2014 was a year of significant investment growth,” Patrick Pichette, chief financial officer, said on a conference call. “We’ll continue to seek a healthy balance between growth and discipline.” While Mr Pichette said there are many promising areas for future growth, he also pointed to Glass as an example of how the company can also be ready to pull back on a project. “In those situations where they don’t have the impact we hope for, we do make the tough calls,” the CFO said. Mr Pichette also said in the conference call that Google would be willing to “throw a little back” when the company reached a limit on how much it could invest in operations. “We do review this issue on a regular basis,” Mr Pichette said when asked whether Google was closer to returning cash to shareholders. “I just have nothing to announce today.” Fourth-quarter net income rose 41 per cent to US$4.76 billion, or US$6.91 a share, from US$3.38 billion, or US$4.95, a year earlier. Revenue from Google’s own sites, including the key search engine, rose 18 per cent to US$12.4 billion. Other revenue, which includes the mobile Play app store and hardware such as the Chromecast streaming device, rose 19 per cent in the quarter compared with a 50 per cent gain in the prior period. Google’s share of the online-ad market is coming under pressure as more users spend time on smartphones and tablets. The company, which has introduced services encouraging marketers to use its mobile features, saw its share of global mobile-ad revenue decline to 41 per cent in 2014, from 47 per cent in 2013, while Facebook’s rose to 18 per cent from 17 per cent, according to EMarketer Inc. Bloomberg Amazon Q4 profit beats estimates despite aggressive spending San Francisco AMAZON surprised the market with a quarterly profit far better than anticipated for the online giant known for pouring money into projects such as original video programmes and delivery drones. “Amazon beat estimates even though Jeff Bezos is moving at a paranoid pace; pretty much spending money as fast as it comes in and going flat out as if there were somebody right on his heels chasing him,” said independent analyst Rob Enderle of Enderle Group in Silicon Valley. “When a competitor does emerge they won’t have a chance of catching him. It’s the most aggressive growth strategy for such a long period of time that I have ever seen.” Amazon posted earnings of US$214 million for the fourth quarter as sales jumped 15 per cent to US$29.3 billion, swinging to profit after two consecutive losing quarters. For the full year 2014, Amazon on Thursday posted a net loss of US$241 million on sales of US$89 billion. Amazon has faced pressure from shareholders to deliver profits even as founder Jeff Bezos has invested in a vast array of projects – from online video to its own smartphones and delivery drones to business e-mail. “I see Amazon creating lots of experiments to change from being a giant Web mall to being a much more diverse company,” said Forrester analyst Frank Gillett. Mr Bezos said the company is reaping benefits from “Amazon Prime”, an online subscription service. Last year, the price was raised to US$99 annually for US MOVING FAST Amazon has embarked on such a rapid growth strategy that any competitor that does emerge will find it hard to catch up. PHOTO: AFP customers and membership grew 53 per cent, according to Amazon. “Prime is a one-of-a-kind, all-you-can-eat, physical-digital hybrid – in 2014 alone we paid billions of dollars for Prime shipping and invested US$1.3 billion in Prime Instant Video,” Mr Bezos said. A Prime subscription gives members unlimited video and music streaming and, in some locations, offers same-day delivery on groceries. Amazon managed the profit even as it ramped up its video offerings to compete against Netflix and others. At the same time, Amazon has been working to boost sales from its traditional online marketplace and a large cloud services operation for businesses. Mr Bezos last month publicly acknowledged missteps which have cost the tech giant billions, but said that is the price for tak- ing “bold bets”. “I’ve made billions of dollars of failures at Amazon.com,” he told a New York conference sponsored by the news website Business Insider. In addition to the smartphone, Amazon last year unveiled an upgraded line of Kindle tablet computers and introduced a streaming media player. The Seattle-based company bolstered its online gaming presence with a US$970 million acquisition of the game platform Twitch, and expanded its “Amazon Fresh” grocery delivery service. Mr Bezos has said he hopes to move forward on plans to use drones for delivery of goods, but has said this could be delayed by red tape. Shares in Amazon shot up more than 12 per cent to US$349.93 in after-hours trading following the release of earnings figures that eclipsed Wall Street forecasts. AFP Apple recruiting workers in six Chinese cities San Francisco APPLE Inc, aiming to more than double its stores in China, is advertising openings for retail workers in six cities where it currently doesn’t have any shops. The Cupertino, California-based company is recruiting store workers in Chengdu, Guangzhou, Shenyang, Tianjin, Nanjing and Dalian, advertisements posted on Thursday on the company’s website showed. Amy Bessette, a spokeswoman for Apple, declined to comment beyond saying: “We haven’t announced stores in those areas.” The push is part of Apple’s efforts to move beyond Hong Kong, Beijing and Shanghai, where the company already has the bulk of its China stores. Chief executive officer Tim Cook has said he expects China will eventually overtake the US to become its largest market. The company doubled iPhone unit sales in mainland China in the final three months of last year. “When I look at China, I see an enormous market where there are more people graduating into the middle class than any nation on earth in history, and just an incredible market where people want the latest technology and products that we’re providing,” Mr Cook told analysts during an October con- ference call. “And so we’re investing like crazy in the market.” Apple has said it plans to open 25 more stores in Greater China by mid-2016, including five before the Chinese New Year holiday in February. Apple ended last year with 15 stores in mainland China and Hong Kong, according to its website. Two new ones have since opened in Zhengzhou and Hangzhou, and a second Chongqing location is set to open on Saturday. While Apple hasn’t said where the final two stores will be located, it began looking for store managers for Tianjin and Shenyang in June. Bloomberg 20 consumer THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Hershey craves more consumers’ attention Lost impulse buys have slowed sales below expectation last year Washington ONLINE shopping, curbside pick-up and self-checkout aisles have made it quicker and easier than ever for Americans to buy the things that they need. That is a huge problem for the candy and chocolate industries, which have made billions over the years off waits at the register – and customers’ last-minute impulse buys. Those lost “instant consumable” sales, combined with “a more competitive snacking environment”, helped slow Hershey Co sales last year below expectations, the sweets company said on Thursday. So to get Americans splurging again, the country’s biggest chocolate maker is investing heavily on technology that would spread its temptations far beyond the traditional checkout lines, trying to re-inspire a sweet tooth that might expand the company’s bottom line. “Impulse, in an indulgent business, is really important . . . But shopping is changing, and impulse is under threat,” said Frank Jimenez, Hershey’s senior director of retail evolution. “What happens if and when the checkout goes away?” Shoppers moving too quickly to crave has become a worrying trend for the five “power” sectors of the supermarket checkout: sweets, snacks, drinks, magazines and health-related flotsam, such as lip balm. Though tiny, the grab-and-go items are incredibly lucrative: Checkout areas account for one per cent of a typical supermarket’s merchandising space but 4 per cent of its profit, Mr Jimenez said. Yet few companies are leading the charge to win back impulse buys like Hershey, whose Reese’s, Kit Kat, York, Almond Joy and namesake bar account for the biggest chunk of America’s US$17.7 billion chocolate market. At a meeting of retail executives in New York this month, Hershey senior manager of front-end experience Chris Witham outlined some of the ways that the company planned to win back “unplanned purchases”, with tests starting this year. For curbside grocery pick-ups, Hershey could upgrade kiosks or add menu boards to allow buyers one final candy grab before finishing their order. At self-checkout machines, shoppers could find a special dispenser that spits out chocolate bars on demand. The company could also dispatch an army of vending machines to grab shoppers outside the store, including, potentially, looking to “some dispensing opportunities around (petrol) pumps”, Mr Witham said. Hershey has sponsored research into what makes the world’s shoppers reach for choco- EAT ME Hershey has sponsored research into what makes the world’s shoppers reach for chocolaty gratification. PHOTO: REUTERS laty gratification, and Mr Jimenez said that the company created what it calls the “Eight Human Truths of Impulse” to explain why people succumb to little checkout-aisle urges. The goodies can delight, indulge, recharge or “rescue”; they can spoil (“I worked hard today”) or charm (“That’s a great idea”); they can lead shoppers to aspire (as with food or fitness magazines); or they can simply convince buyers that they have scored on a good deal. With chocolate, “people come to the category as a ‘reward me’ category”, said Hershey chief executive John Bilbrey said on a call with analysts last summer. “They know it’s indulgent. It’s not a food group.” Perhaps the most egregious curtailer of the impulse buy has been self-checkout aisles, which supermarkets first turned to for lower labour costs and now account for about 40 per cent of all mass retailer sales. The supermarket world, and the providers of its treats, have lost billions of dollars on impulse opportunities since the largely unadorned selfcheckouts first beeped in 1992, Mr Jimenez said. WP Coach goes more full-price, less discount; Q2 profit tops forecast New York COACH Inc has posted second-quarter profit that exceeded analysts’ estimates as the struggling handbag maker worked to increase sales of full-priced items and reduce discounts as part of its turnaround plan. Excluding restructuring costs, earnings were 72 cents a share, the New York-based company said on Thursday. Analysts had estimated 66 cents, on average. North American same-store sales fell 22 per cent, compared with the 24 per cent drop predicted by analysts tracked by Consensus Metrix. Coach, the largest US luxury handbag maker, is trying to curb its reliance on discounts, which had hampered profit growth in recent years. It’s also revamping stores and collaborating with new designers to try to recapture market share lost to competitors such as Kate Spade. “This is the first time they’ve said anything positive about the business, and it gives people hope that maybe the product is taking hold,” Brian Yarbrough, an analyst at Edward Jones & Co in St Louis, said. He has a buy rating on the shares. Coach rose 6.8 per cent to US$38.94 at the close in New York, the biggest gain since April 2013. The stock tumbled 33 per cent last year, compared with an 11 per cent gain for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. The company on Thursday also named a new head for its North American business, the epicentre for many of its troubles. Andre Cohen will become president for North America, a position that will oversee retail management, marketing, merchandise and e-commerce. Francine per cent to US$1.22 billion, just missing analysts’ US$1.23 billion average estimate. Net income in the quarter ended Dec 27 fell 38 per cent to US$183.5 million, or 66 cents a share. Kate Spade & Co, one of Coach’s main handbag rivals, said on Thursday in a preliminary earnings statement that 2014 sales were about US$1.13-1.14 billion, a 40 per cent gain from a year earlier. Analysts had estimated about US$1.1 billion. As part of the effort to refresh its image, Coach agreed this month to buy designer footwear company Stuart Weitzman for as much as US$574 million. Private-equity firm Sycamore Partners is selling the unit, which will add to earnings immediately. The deal is expected to close in May. Coach will pay about US$530 million in cash to Sycamore Partners initially. The retailer will pay US$44 million more on the achievement of revenue targets during the three years after the acquisition is final. Stuart Weitzman had about US$300 million in sales in for the 12 months ended Sept 30, according to a Jan 6 statement. Bloomberg ‘. . . first time they’ve said anything positive about the business, and it gives people hope that maybe the product is taking hold.’ Analyst Brian Yarbrough Della Badia, who previously led North American retail, will leave the company in February. Mr Cohen joined Coach in 2008 and had served as president and CEO of the China and Asia operations. He has also held positions at Timberland, Swatch Group and LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton. Coach’s second-quarter sales in North America fell 20 per cent to US$785 million. Total revenue slid 14 transport 21 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 airasia crash | Pilots cut power to critical systems: sources Action appears to have helped trigger Dec 28 events, when plane climbed abruptly before falling Jakarta THE pilots of AirAsia Flight 8501 cut power to a critical computer system that normally prevents planes from going out of control shortly before it plunged into the Java Sea, two people with knowledge of the investigation said. The action appears to have helped trigger the events of Dec 28, when the Airbus Group NV A320 climbed so abruptly that it lost lift and began falling with warnings blaring in the cockpit, the people said. All 162 aboard were killed. The pilots had been attempting to deal with alerts about the flight augmentation computers, which control the A320’s rudder and also automatically prevent it from going too slow. After initial attempts to address the alerts, the flight crew cut power to the entire system, which is comprised of two separate computers that back up each other, the people said. While the information helps show how a normally functioning A320’s flight-protection system could have been bypassed, it doesn’t explain why the pilots pulled the plane into a steep climb, the people said. Even with the computers shut off, the pilots should have been able to fly the plane manually, they said. Airbus discourages pilots from cutting power to systems because electronics in the highly computerised aircraft are interconnected and turning off one component can affect others, John Cox, a former A320 pilot who is now a safety consultant, said in an interview. “Particularly with an Airbus you don’t do that,” said Mr Cox, chief executive officer of Washington-based industry consultant Safety Operating Systems. Flight 8501 climbed more than 5,000 feet (1,524 metres) in less than 30 seconds, rising above the altitude where it was authorised to fly, Ertata Lananggalih, an investigator with Indonesia’s National Transportation Safety Committee, said in Jakarta on Thursday. The co-pilot, with 2,247 hours of flying experience, was at the controls and talking to controllers while the captain, who had 20,537 hours, was monitoring, said Mardjono Siswosuwarno, the lead investigator of the crash. The account was the first description of the last moments of the flight. The investigators didn’t address whether pilots had cut pow- DETRITUS An Indonesian diver and an official examining the wreckage of AirAsia flight QZ8501 after it was lifted into the Crest Onyx ship at sea. PHOTO: AFP er to the flight augmentation computer system and said they wouldn’t release more information on the case. Airbus is barred from commenting on the accident under international investigation treaties, the company’s North American spokesman, Clay McConnell, said in an e-mail. From a cruising altitude of 32,000 feet, the single-aisle A320 climbed to 37,400 feet as pilots probably tried to avoid bad weather, Mr Lananggalih said. The aircraft then descended slowly for three minutes before it disappeared, he said. “The pilots were conscious when the manoeuvre happened,” he said. “They were trying to control the airplane.” Mr Cox said such an abrupt climb would almost certainly cause a rapid loss of speed and a “very pronounced stall”. The aircraft, operated by the Indonesian affiliate of Malaysiabased AirAsia, disappeared from radar en route to Singapore from Surabaya. Indonesia won’t release a preliminary report on its investigation into Flight 8501 because fact-findings could change rapidly, Tatang Kurniadi, head of the commission, said on Thursday. Indonesia sent the preliminary findings to all countries in the investigation on Jan 28, he said. The pilots had sought permission from air traffic control to turn left and then climb to 38,000 feet because of storm clouds. Four minutes after the request, a controller cleared the pilots to climb to 34,000 feet, he said. Satellite images showed storm clouds that reached as high as 44,000 feet, according to investigators. The aircraft was in “good condition”, Mr Siswosuwarno said. All Airbus models produced since the 1980s are designed to prevent pilot errors from causing crashes. The planes are controlled by multiple flight computers, which limit pilots from overly steep turns or getting too slow. In the event of a malfunction or loss of power, the flight protections will shut down and leave the pilots to fly the plane manually. That appears to be what happened before Flight 8501 entered the steep climb and stalled, the two people said. Investigators are still trying to determine why the pilots would cut power to the flight augmentation computers by pulling a circuit breaker in the cockpit. Indonesian authorities have so far recovered at least 70 bodies. Investigators still haven’t managed to lift the jet’s fuselage, but the tail section has been retrieved. Indonesia’s military pulled out of the search this week. The cockpit voice recorder captured the pilots’ voices and no explosion was heard, Nurcahyo Utomo, an investigator with the committee, said last week. The flight data recorder captured 1,200 parameters and the voice recorder captured the last two hours and four minutes of the flight, the investigators said. The two devices are called the black boxes. After studying data from the black boxes, authorities ruled out terrorism as a factor that brought down the plane. Flight 8501 appeared to have stalled after climbing steeply, Minister of Transportation Ignasius Jonan said earlier this month. A stall occurs when airflow over the wings is disrupted or becomes too slow to provide lift and keep a plane aloft. Indonesia has said it intends to shut the agency responsible for coordinating aircraft flight slots in three months. That’s after the AirAsia flight took off on a Sunday, without a Ministry of Transportation permit to fly that day. The government has suspended the licence of AirAsia for that route, found other airlines in breach of permits and removed officials involved from the ministry, AirNav Indonesia and state airport company PT Angkasa Pura 1. Bloomberg ANA, JAL see good year despite mixed results Tokyo JAPAN’S two biggest airlines posted mixed nine-month results on Friday with All Nippon Airways (ANA) posting a 57 per cent rise in net profit as its international business took off, while rival Japan Airlines (JAL) saw its bottom line shrink. Despite the fall in profit, JAL raised its full-year earnings forecast because of falling fuel costs and stronger revenue in its cargo business. A drop in oil prices is good news for airlines which often count fuel as their single-biggest expense, especially as a sharp drop in the yen boosted those costs. ANA said its April-December net profit more than doubled to 52.36 billion yen (S$600 million) from a year ago, as an expansion at Tokyo’s downtown Haneda airport increased landing slots for international flights. Sales in the latest period rose 9.1 per cent to 1.3 trillion yen, the company said. Revenue from international passenger flights jumped 19.1 per cent year-on-year, ANA said, while revenue in its domestic passenger flight business edged up 1.0 per cent. “(The company) moved to strengthen its overseas networks by taking advantage of the increase in takeoff and landing slots for international routes at Haneda Airport last spring,” it said in a statement. ANA added seven new routes at Haneda with flights bound for London, Paris, Munich, Hanoi, Jakarta, Manila and Vancouver. The airline left unchanged its annual net profit forecast of 35 billion yen for the fiscal year to March. ANA’s rival said profit for its April-December period slipped by 3.1 per cent, to 119.7 billion yen, while revenue rose 3.3 per cent to 1.02 trillion yen from a year ago. But JAL revised up its earnings forecast to a net profit of 139 billion yen – against a previous projection of 135 billion yen – due to falling fuel costs and better sales in its cargo business. AFP 22 government & economy THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Greek meltdown splits investors figuring Tsipras Bigger risk Greece will restructure its debt sooner, not later Athens GREECE’S bondholders are back at the precipice and the difference between winning and losing comes down to the brinkmanship of the nation’s new leader. Bulls, whose ranks include Greylock Capital Management’s Hans Humes, say investors are safe because it’s only debt owed to institutions such as the European Central Bank that Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras wants to renegotiate. Bears say that one false move by the 40-year-old premier risks Greece tumbling out of the euro area and defaulting. “If you listen carefully to what these people are saying, they’re not threatening a restructure of these bonds,” said Padhraic Garvey, global head of rates strategy at ING Groep NV in London. “There’s a lot of risk priced in, which is why I like Greek government bonds.” Markets so far aren’t showing confidence in Mr Tsipras, with bond traders demanding about seven percentage points of extra yield to own three-year notes instead of those maturing in 10 years. That means investors see a bigger risk that Greece will restructure its debt sooner rather than later. Mr Tsipras is aiming to water down the financial conditions that underpin Greece’s 240 billion euro (S$367 billion) rescue from the euro region and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as well as negotiating on some debt repayments. He needs to move fast because the current bailout agreement expires on Feb 28. Meanwhile, obligations are coming due, with one billion euros of Treasury bills maturing as soon as next week. The bond market reacted with trepidation to the Jan 25 election that swept Mr Tsipras into power. Yields on three-year notes reached 18.88 per cent, up from 10.08 per cent before the vote, exceeding levels when the nation received its first financial rescue in May 2010. Bond risk soared and stocks plunged, wiping about US$10 billion off the value of the country’s banks. This week’s slump is based on a misunderstanding, according to those sticking with the bonds. Syriza, the party Mr Tsipras heads, has made clear it won’t ask private holders to take losses, according to Greylock’s Mr Humes, who said his US$870 million company is “very enthusiastic” about Greek debt. Markets have overestimated the likelihood of Greece leaving the euro area and there may be favourable opportunities to buy its securities in coming weeks, said Lorenzo Pagani, a Munichbased money manager at Pacific Investment Management Co. “Clearly, a default would be a big mess in terms of investor confidence,” said Orlando Green, a fixed-income strategist at Credit Agricole SA’s corporate and investment banking unit in London. “We are still looking at a compromise and maybe at least see some form of extension of the debt, better terms, and pushing them so far out that by the time it becomes important, the market has probably moved on.” Recent history shows the risks and the potential rewards of owning Greek securities, the powder keg that ignited Europe’s sovereign debt crisis. It’s less than three years since it was subject to India GDP growth revised up by 50% after methodology change New Delhi INDIA’S economy grew almost 50 per cent faster in 2013/14 than earlier thought, the government said on Friday after changing a formula, a reminder of the challenges that unreliable statistics present to Indian policymakers. In the year leading up to the elections that brought Prime Minister Narendra Modi to power last May, the economy grew 6.9 per cent, not the 4.7 per cent reported earlier, chief statistician TCA Anant told reporters. Mr Modi’s campaign succeeded partly because of the widespread feeling that his predecessors from the Congress party had plunged the economy into the country’s longest deceleration in growth in a generation. The revised formula, showing a faster recovery, includes under-represented and informal sectors as well as items such as smartphones and LED television sets in gross domestic product (GDP). That could boost India’s growth figure in the year ending in March 2015, which the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has projected to be around 5.5 per cent. Some in government predict that the change will help bring down the fiscal deficit as a share of GDP, making it easier for Mr Modi to trim the gap to a seven-year low of 4.1 per cent in the year to March despite a shortfall in revenue. However, Mr Anant said that the overall size of India’s US$1.8 trillion economy had not changed enough to shift the ratio significantly, adding: “Our ranking in GDP terms will not change as the size of economy has almost remained the same.” The new methodology moves India more in line with global standards by measuring the economy at market prices, and by tracking consumer rather than wholesale inflation. “This will help lower market distortions and give better representation to the manufacturing sector,” said Soumya Kanti Ghosh, chief economic adviser at State Bank of India. But the frequent GDP revisions and other deficient data are a headache for economic planners. Among the worst offenders are the volatile index for industrial production and the jobless numbers, seen as very unrepresentative. The latest GDP revision is part of a change to the method of calculating national accounts that happens every five years. Reuters PRECARIOUS POSITION Bears say one false move by the new 40-year-old premier risks Greece tumbling out of the euro area and defaulting. PHOTO: REUTERS the biggest restructuring in history, which cost private bondholders about 100 billion euros. On the other hand, investors who’ve held Greek bonds since that event in 2012 have been rewarded with the biggest returns among developed markets tracked by Bloomberg World Bond Indexes. The more than 200 per cent gain compares with a 27 per cent return for the euro area as a whole. Greece’s new government meanwhile began talks with its eurozone partners on Friday in what promises to be a bitter confrontation over its international bailout. Mr Tsipras met Jeroen Dijsselbloem, current head of the eurozone group of finance minis- ters, in an encounter that Athens said would mark the start of Greece’s bid to revise the conditions of the massive bailout. Mr Dijsselbloem warned before arriving in Athens that the new Greek government is already setting itself an impossible task, raising expectations it cannot meet. “If you add up all the promises (made in the election campaign), then the Greek budget will very quickly run totally off course,” he said in Amsterdam. Friday’s talks come on the heels of warnings by the EU and Germany that there was little support for reducing the debt, which the radical new government is hoping to cut in half. Bloomberg, AFP European investment fund may be launched in September Frankfurt A FUND to bolster investment in Europe should be up and running by September, an EU official said on Friday, outlining the timetable for a highly leveraged scheme to bolster growth in a moribund EU economy. The European Fund for Strategic Investments, which can invest in projects from infrastructure building to expansion of small businesses, is the European Union’s flagship scheme to help address slack growth. Jyrki Katainen, Vice-President of the European Commission responsible for jobs and growth, told journalists that its set-up could be finalised by European Union leaders in June, with a start date some months later. “I expect that the fund itself will be up and running, let’s say, in September,” he said, on a whistle-stop tour of Europe to drum up investor and government interest in the scheme. Mr Katainen said, however, that it was unclear which governments would invest money in the scheme, intended to be a 315-billion-euro (S$482 billion) investment vehicle based on modest financial guarantees given by states. “There has been quite a lot of interest towards the fund but nothing has been realised yet,” he told journalists. “We built the fund so that it can operate even without any additional commitments. We don’t have any expectations.” The late start-date may disappoint some. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, for example, recently urged EU leaders to speed up the project. The dire economic outlook prompted Mr Draghi last week to unveil last week a roughly one-trillion-euro plan to print fresh money, chiefly to buy government bonds. He has told governments to do their part, by pursuing economic reforms. But finding agreement among the 19 countries in the euro zone, from Germany to Greece, is difficult. This also slows progress on broader EU schemes such as the joint investment fund. Reuters The late start-date may disappoint some. ECB President Mario Draghi recently urged leaders to speed up the project. government & economy 23 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Eurozone prices down 0.6% in January Slide worse than the 0.5 per cent decline expected Brussels EUROZONE consumer prices fell at a record-equalling pace in January, more steeply than expected and supporting the backers of the European Central Bank’s money-printing plan to combat sustained deflation. The European statistics office said in a first estimate on Friday that prices in the 19 countries using the single currency in January were 0.6 per cent lower than a year earlier, after a 0.2 per cent decline in December. This was a sharper fall than 0.5 per cent decline forecast by economists in a Reuters poll. The eurozone has only endured negative inflation rates in one other period, from June to Oct 2009. The 0.6 per cent decline this month matched the lowest figure during that period, in July 2009. Sharply reduced fuel costs explained the drop. Energy prices plunged 8.9 per cent. Unprocessed food was 0.9 per cent cheaper, outweighing a 1.0 per cent rise in the cost of services. Oil prices have more than halved since June, with Brent at just below US$50 per barrel on Friday. Core inflation, which excludes volatile energy and unprocessed food prices, dipped to a new euro-era low of 0.6 per cent in January from 0.7 per cent for the previous three months. Aline Schuiling, senior eurozone economist ABN Amro, said UNDER PRESSURE Core inflation dipped to a new euro-era low of 0.6% in January from 0.7% for the previous three months. PHOTO: REUTERS that she did not believe this marked the start of a negative trend in core inflation, with Thursday’s German inflation figures influenced by one-offs such as the timing of sales and volatile prices of package holidays. Other economists said the impact of certain tax hikes a year US in total ‘solidarity’ with Japan over hostage crisis By Anthony Rowley [email protected] Tokyo AS efforts continued on Friday to secure the release of Japanese journalist Kenji Goto, who is being held hostage by the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), Prime Minister Shinzo Abe received support from visiting US Under Secretary for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman, who said that the US is in total “solidarity” with Japan over the crisis. She spoke as Mr Abe told a parliamentary panel that every effort was being made to secure the release of the captive journalist. “We are gathering and analysing information while asking for cooperation from Jordan and other countries, making every effort to free Kenji Goto,” he said. In Tokyo on the final leg of a tour that has taken her to capitals in Europe, the Middle East and Asia, Ms Sherman refused to associate the US with domestic criticism in Japan of Mr Abe over his handling of the protracted hostage crisis. Asked whether a speech made by Mr Abe in Israel shortly before the hostage crisis erupted, in which he offered financial support to Middle Eastern countries opposed to the ISIS, Ms Sherman said at a press briefing that Mr Abe had made a “positive contribution” to the fight against terrorism. More than 60 countries including Japan and the US, are opposed to ISIL, she said, using an alternative designation for the Syria-based ISIS authority. Their objective is to “degrade and then take out ISIL”. She praised Japan for “demonstrating support” for such efforts and for “upholding human rights and democratic foundations”. Japan was meanwhile working closely with Jordan on Friday to find out what was happening to the Japanese journalist held by ISIS militants after a deadline passed for the release of an Iraqi would-be suicide bomber on death-row in Jordan, Reuters reported in a joint dispatch from Amman and Tokyo. Jordan said on Thursday that it was still holding the Iraqi woman prisoner as a deadline passed for her release, which was set by the militants, who threatened to kill a Jordanian pilot unless she was handed over by sunset, Reuters reported. An audio message purportedly from Mr Goto said that the pilot would be killed unless Jordan freed Sajida Al-Rishawi, who is on death row for her role in a 2005 suicide bomb attack that killed 60 people in Amman. The message postponed a previous deadline set on Tuesday in which Mr Goto said that he would be killed within 24 hours if Al-Rishawi was not freed. The hostage crisis comes, Reuters noted, as ISIS, which has released videos showing the beheadings of five Western hostages, is coming under increased military pressure from US-led air strikes and by Kurdish and Iraqi troops pushing to reverse the Islamist group’s territorial gains in Iraq and Syria. A report in the Japan Times suggested on Friday that the Abe administration’s response to the hostage crisis might leave other Japanese at risk of being kidnapped, as extremists and those wishing to profit financially see the Japanese as “easy prey”. “Japan has long maintained a fairly neutral stance toward the Islamic State group and thus the extremists had no intention of harming Japanese people” the Japan Times reported international affairs analyst and former member of the Japanese parliament Nobuhiko Suto as saying. “But once (Mr Abe) clearly announced that Tokyo would support the nations opposing the Islamic State, it told the extremists that Japan is within the scope of targets,” Mr Suto was quoted as saying. ago could have led to the eurozone core figure dropping. Headline inflation has also been in what the ECB calls the “danger zone” of below one per cent since October 2013. The ECB aims to keep inflation just under 2 per cent over the medium term and the risk of sustained deflation led it earlier this month to launch a 1.1 trillion euro (S$1.68 trillion) quantitative easing programme of government-bond buying. The eurozone’s central bank plans to purchase sovereign debt from March this year until September 2016, releasing 60 billion euros a month into the economy. “It confirms the point of view of the doves that the ECB is on the right track. That’s the basic message,” said Commerzbank economist Bernd Weidensteiner, adding that if inflation remained low then pressure could mount for the ECB to increase its monthly bond purchases. Reuters 24 government & economy THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Russian central bank cuts interest rate by 2 points Move implies shift in priorities – towards trying to support economic activity Moscow RUSSIA’S central bank unexpectedly cut its main interest rate on Friday as fears of recession mount in the country following the fall in global oil prices and Western sanctions over the Ukraine crisis. The central bank reduced its one-week minimum auction repo rate by two points to 15 per cent, a little over a month after pushing it up by 6.5 points to 17 per cent after a run on the rouble. The bank had been widely expected not to change the rate. Following the decision, the rouble extended losses to trade as much as 4 per cent on the day against the dollar, though it later clawed back some of the losses. The move implies a shift in the bank’s priorities away from clamping down on rising inflation and supporting the rouble, towards trying to support economic activity, which the bank expects to fall sharply in the coming months. “Today’s decision to lower key interest rate by 2 percentage points is intended to balance the goal of curbing inflation and restore economic growth,” the bank’s governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said after the announcement. In an e-mailed statement, the banks’s press service quoted her as saying that the rate remained high enough to allow the Bank of Russia to reach its inflation target in the medium term. The decision will also fuel speculation that recent changes in the bank’s senior management have shifted the bank towards more dovish monetary policy, possibly under pressure from the Kremlin, banks and business lobbies. “The decision appears to be politically driven, since it is a cut that shows the central bank is worried about the risks to the banking sector. It looks like the central bank’s hand has been forced,” said Nicholas Spiro, managing director of Spiro Sovereign Strategy in London. Earlier this month the bank’s head of monetary policy, Ksenia Yudayeva, an anti-inflation hawk, was replaced by Dmitry Tulin, a central bank veteran seen as more acceptable to bankers, who have been called for lower interest rates. But the shift in policy may also reflect the realisation that Russia’s economy is heading for a hard landing as low oil prices look set to persist and the conflict in Ukraine has worsened, defying hopes of an early end to Western sanctions. Macroeconomic data released earlier this week showed real wages slumping by 4.7 per cent year on year in December and real disposable income slumping by 7.3 per cent, boding ill for economic growth in the months ahead. In an accompanying statement, the bank said it expected gross domestic product to fall by 3.2 per cent in annual terms during the first half of 2015, following growth of 0.6 per cent in 2014. Analysts had nevertheless expected the bank to hold rates this month, as the bank had previously said it would cut rates when inflation is on a sustained downward trend. Inflation has instead been shooting up as a result of the slide in the rouble. The bank said that it saw conditions for lower inflation in the medium term, but effectively acknowledged that inflation would stay in double-digits throughout this year. It said it expected inflation to fall below 10 per cent in POLICY SHIFT The bank saw conditions for lower inflation in the medium term, but effectively acknowledged that inflation would stay in double-digits throughout this year. PHOTO: REUTERS Jan 2016. Inflation was 13.2 per cent as at Jan 26, the bank said, up from 11.4 per cent in December. “I see big risks in today’s decision,” said Rosbank economist Evgeny Koshelev. “Now the geopolitical background is unclear and inflation pressure remains quite strong, as well as signals for the outflow of capital . . . This (rate cut) is probably a reason to sell the rouble more in the short term.” However, Renaissance Capital economist Oleg Kouzmin said he welcomed the move: “It’s good that they are lowering now. This is a sensible step. This will help the economy and allow stability to be preserved.” He added that high interest rates do not especially help the rouble as capital outflows are largely linked to debt repayments. “Will the capital outflow be stronger? Yes, but there will be a weaker rouble and a stronger current account, which means it won’t be necessary to spend more forex reserves.” Reuters Swiss leading economic indicator edges lower Zurich SWITZERLAND’S leading economic indicator edged lower in January, a survey showed on Friday, though the reading doesn’t yet reflect fallout from a surging Swiss franc after the Swiss central bank abandoned a cap on currency. The KOF Economic Barometer, which gives an indication of the likely performance of the economy in about six months’ time, fell to 97 points in January from a revised 98.8 points in December. That was below analysts’ expectations for a reading of 97.5 and below the long-term average of 100 points. The KOF institute predicted earlier this week that Switzerland’s economy will contract as a result of the central bank’s shock decision on Jan 15 to abandon the Swiss franc cap. It said that change was not yet reflected in the January indicator because most participants had already responded beforehand. “However, the KOF barometer would have also declined if only those responses would have been taken into account, which were given before the repeal of the Swiss franc lower bound,” KOF economists said in a statement. “Therefore, the KOF Economic Ba- rometer indicates that the climate for the Swiss economy gets rougher.” The KOF said that the hospitality industry and textile, mechanical engineering and chemical manufacturing were the main drags on the index, but construction and consumption partly cushioned the blow. The banking sector was largely stable. The Swiss National Bank upended financial markets two weeks ago by scrapping the franc’s three-yearold cap against the euro, sending the currency soaring and stoking fears for Switzerland’s export-driven economy. Reuters government & economy 25 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 China’s fiscal revenue growth slows in 2014 CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM Economists say there are risks that near-term growth could be undermined by a weakening global outlook. Shrinking govt tax base is curbing scope for stimulus and onus may fall on central bank Beijing CHINA’S fiscal revenue increased the least in a generation last year, curbing the scope to stimulate demand. Government revenue rose 8.6 per cent in 2014, according to a statement on the Ministry of Finance’s website, down from 2013’s 10.2 per cent increase and a peak of 32 per cent in 2007. Public expenditure rose 8.2 per cent, the least since 1987. A property slump and declining factory profits have dented the central and local governments’ tax bases. With government plans for “proactive” spending stymied by declining revenue, the onus for more stimulus may fall on the central bank after the economy last year expanded at the slowest pace since 1990. “Proactive fiscal policy will not be truly proactive,” said Ding Shuang, senior China economist at Citigroup Inc in Hong Kong. “Any stimulus or projects need to be supported by monetary policy. Any fiscal boost will only come after March”, when the National People’s Congress approves the budget for this year, he said. Slower-than-expected public spending will weigh on gross domestic product growth this quarter, he said. Deepening the downturn in receipts, returns from land sales – which aren’t included in the fiscal revenue figure – rose just 3.2 per cent last year, the MOF data showed. That compares with 2013’s 47 per cent surge, according to China’s statistics yearbook published in September. Revenue from land sales totalled 4.3 trillion yuan (S$931 billion) in 2014. Fiscal revenue, which includes taxes and other receipts such as fines, totalled 14 trillion yuan in 2014. Expenditure was 15.2 trillion yuan. China is probably going to face a “severe fiscal challenge in 2015”, that will drag the nation’s economic expansion to 6.8 per cent this quarter, Zhang Zhiwei, Deutsche Bank AG’s chief China economist, wrote in a report this month. China’s gross domestic product rose 7.4 per cent last year. Bloomberg PHOTO: BLOOMBERG Taiwan’s 2014 growth at 3-year high Taipei TAIWAN’S export-driven economy grew at its fastest pace in three years in 2014 fuelled by global demand for smartphones from Apple Inc and other technology goods, but there are risks that near-term growth could be undermined by a weakening global outlook. Gross domestic product expanded 3.51 per cent last year, the best annual rate since 2011 while fourth quarter on-year growth at 3.17 per cent came in line with expectations of 3.1 per cent forecast in a Reuters poll. But the quarterly gain was the slowest since the 1.45 per cent made in the third quarter of 2013, preliminary figures from the Directorate General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics showed on Friday. Since the statistics agency’s last GDP review in late November, central banks around the world have acted to counter disinflation and slowing growth by easing monetary policy even as the US economy appears to be in good heart. Taiwanese authorities have cautioned that growth in exports and export orders may slow, citing fragile economies in China and Europe as uncertainties. For the current quarter, growth could be fairly similar to last quarter’s, said Forest Chen, analyst at TC Bank in Taipei. Manufacturers may delay importing raw materials until they believe falling commodity prices, including oil, stabilise, he said. The Federal Reserve’s latest upbeat assessment of the US economy, the ultimate destination for many Taiwan-produced tech gadgets, continues to favour a more optimistic view on Taiwan’s economy. Taiwan tends to follow US monetary policy closely and economists don’t expect the island’s central bank to raise benchmark interest rates until the second half of this year. Purchases of new passenger cars and new models of smartphones, in addition to spending related to local elections held at the end of November, boosted domestic demand in the fourth quarter. However, some of the increase was countered by weakness in the food and beverage sectors due to a tainted oil scandal, the government said. The statistics agency will revise the quarterly GDP data in two to three weeks and provide its updated economic outlook. Its current forecast is for GDP this year to grow 3.5 per cent. Re- uters Beijing demands ‘secure and controllable’ tech for banks San Francisco DRAFT Chinese government regulation would force technology vendors to meet stringent security tests before they can sell to China’s banks, an acceleration of efforts to curb the country’s reliance on foreign technology that has drawn a sharp response from US business groups. But a translation of the proposed rules viewed by Reuters shows its immediate impact on foreign firms may not be as tough as feared. The draft shows the regulation would initially focus on types of hardware and software where domestic suppliers already have a stronger market position than their foreign rivals. Western companies say the rules have not yet been formally adopted, and some said they believed Beijing would retreat on some of the most onerous ideas, including demanding that firms’proprietary source code be reviewable. Chinese leaders are to review the plan next week, US tech industry sources said. On Wednesday, 18 American business groups urged Beijing to postpone rolling out the regulation, which they argued were motivated by protectionism as well as security concerns that intensified in the wake of disclosures of US spying techniques by former National Security Agency contractor Edward Snowden. The guidelines by the Chinese Banking Regulatory Commission were issued on Dec 26 in a 22-page paper that outlines security criteria that tech products must meet in order to be considered “secure and controllable” for use in the financial sector, according to sources with knowledge of the matter. Source code powering operating systems, database software, and middleware must be registered with the commission to be considered “secure and controllable,” while only wireless routers that have approved encryption or virtual private networking (VPN) certificates may receive the designation. The new regulations represent one of China’s most significant steps towards banishing foreign technology, 18 months after Snowden disclosed that US spy agencies planted code in American tech exports to snoop on overseas targets. According to a presentation used by regulators during the briefing and obtained by Reuters, Chinese government officials established the “self-controlled” technology strategy in 2012 – prior to the Snowden revelations – and hoped 75 per cent of tech products used by banks would meet a “secure and controllable” criteria by 2019. In order to meet the criteria, a product will also be judged on its “intellectual property and the level of independence during its development process”. Firms planning to sell computer equipment to Chinese banks would also have to set up research and development centres in the country, get permits for workers servicing technology equipment and build “ports” which enable Chinese officials to manage and monitor data processed by their hardware. Analysts say the regulations may not bite into foreign suppliers’ market share immediately, as banks may continue to opt for cutting-edge offerings from the likes of IBM or Oracle Inc while testing out domestic options. China appears to have tailored its guidelines based on the competitiveness of its domestic contenders. For instance, banks are expected in 2015 to exclusively purchase approved low-end PC servers, a market where Lenovo is ex- pected to be competitive following its US$2.1 billion acquisition of IBM’s server unit. However, the guideline for sophisticated virtualisation software carried out by local firms is set at just 10 per cent. Chinese companies such as telecom giant Huawei Technologies have only recently begun to offer virtualisation services that are used, for instance, in cloud computing. While the banking rules will gradually push out foreign firms, they are expected to boost domestic contenders including Inspur International Ltd, the datacentre maker. The People’s Bank of China has already run trials to see if it could replace Microsoft ‘s Windows operating system on some machines with NeoKylin, a Linux-based offering by Standard Software, a Shanghai-based firm with ties to the Chinese government, a source familiar with the matter said. Reuters 26 opinion THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 opinion 27 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Charlie Hebdo, writers and effecting change By Dennis Posadas C reative industries worldwide are an important driver of economic growth and cultural influence. In addition to creating numerous jobs for the economy, creative industries can also shape public perception of countries, regions and cities (and hence place brand). Singapore, too, understands the potential for creative ideas to transform the economy. Among its more high-profile projects include attracting Lucasfilm and video gaming giant Ubisoft to set up base in the country. A risk-taking appetite among young Singaporeans is necessary for our creative industries to take off; so is overseas exposure. And where better to take a class of 24 students from Singapore Management University on a business study mission to gain insight into the creative industries than New York City. One of the world’s creative cities, New York is a bastion of creativity and cultural and artistic production. From advertising agencies to arts organisations, the city’s diverse creative sector is one of its most important economic assets. With such a smorgasbord of players, it was not difficult for my students to see first-hand some of the principles learnt in the classroom coming to life, for example, the inherent tension between creativity and business (which Richard Caves highlights in his book Creative Industries: Contracts between Art and Commerce). At Mason Jar Music (named one of the world’s most innovative music companies by Fast Company ), one of the company’s co-founders said that the goal of the creative person is to maximise risk, while the goal of business is to minimise it. Navigating that tension is the root of success in the creative sector. Singapore’s own Yellow Box Studios embodies this principle by taking on international projects such as the TV series Marco Polo and the Golden Horse Award-winning movie Seediq Bale. What is “good” in the creative sphere is highly subjective. Given its experiential nature, the value of creative products and services has to be ascribed by someone. This explains the importance of tastemakers such as Vogue editor Anna Wintour and music producer Clive Davis (the Clive Davis Institute of Recorded Music was one of our stops), whose “picks” give consumers and audiences important cues on what is “good” or “cool”. The “winner takes all” phenomenon also typifies the creative industries (as pointed out by the Broadway League). That is, very few creative products and services are highly successful, but the ones that are, reap the lion’s share of the rewards from the market. This phenomenon goes hand in hand with a blockbuster strategy, which sees a company invest a dispropor- T The business of creative industries Sound strategy, company culture and a conducive ecosystem are necessary for a winning combination. By Mark Chong tionate amount of its resources in just a few, carefully selected products or services (for instance a blockbuster movie). Examples from Broadway include very long-running productions such as Phantom of the Opera, Wicked, and The Lion King. The business study mission’s main focus was on creative communication agencies (symbolised by Madison Avenue). While its traditional business model is broken, innovative agencies such as Anomaly (which aims to be the “change agent of the communication industry”) are showing the way forward by establishing value-based compensation structures and creating/owning Intellectual Property. In Singapore, our own The Secret Little Agency has also ventured into IP creation and product design. The days of interrupting and “hard selling” to consumers are also long gone. VaynerMedia, one of the leading digital media agencies in the US, believes brands must be sensitive to the consumer’s journey and communicate accordingly. We are also living in the “screen age”. Indeed, the screen has become so dominant that it is even influencing what kind of dance becomes popular – most dance performances aren’t “consumed” live, but through mediated platforms such as YouTube, as Pentacle Danceworks pointed out to the class. Thus, visual storytelling has become the order of the day. Throughout the 13 days, the link between organisational culture and creativity was impressed on the class. The visit to Mason Jar Music and BBDO – Adweek’s Global Agency of the Year in 2014 – drove home the importance of having a company culture that is rooted in collaboration and diversity. Good creative ideas are rarely the result of individual effort, but the outcome of the interplay of ideas among diverse, creative minds. Indeed, BBDO has been lauded for its cohesive worldwide talent pool. For creative firms, culture is a strategic asset. But company culture is often at odds with business growth. Anomaly – rated one of the world’s top 10 most innovative advertising companies by Fast Company – believes that a company can maintain its culture only up to a certain company size (between 60 and 100 people). Beyond that, the culture that has made the firm so distinctive in the first place starts to lose its imprint on employees. Anomaly and VaynerMedia revealed they could have expanded at a “much faster pace” – if it hadn’t been for the “culture imperative”. In the same vein, Tumblr (another company we visited) wants to remain a “small” company in spirit despite its global popularity – its identity is reflected in its ethos of promoting what is “local” and “native”. Finally, while it is important for crea- POSITIVE VIBES One of the world’s creative cities, New York is a bastion of creativity and cultural and artistic production. PHOTO: AFP tive firms to have compelling business models and winning strategies, it is advantageous to be located in a place that offers them a developed ecosystem of tastemakers, the audience, the global media, and the creative community. New York offers one of the highest concentrations of creative talent in the world and a highly visible platform for creative work. Elyn Wong, the founder of Singapore fashion label Stolen who gave a talk to the class, showcased her collection in New York largely for the same reason. In the words of New York-based fashion designer Zac Posen, it is about “presenting your work in the place of exposure . . . It’s geographical, it’s a landing point.” The Singapore government has made investments in infrastructure, education and cluster development. It has also attracted a number of “marquee” multinational companies to set up shop in the country. Nonetheless, the key stakeholders here will need to determine which parts of the creative industry value chains Singapore has the best chance of winning in. They will also need to think of ways to foster a stronger risk-taking culture. ✎ The writer is associate professor of corporate communication at Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Singapore Management University HE recent killing of satirists at Paris-based Charlie Hebdo has ignited a maelstrom of discussion about free speech and its limits, particularly in this case in relation to the world’s major religions. Various commentaries have been issued, including about the Pope’s recent pronouncements. But the question is, if the satirists had truly wanted to effect change, could they have done it in a more reasoned way? The answer is they could have – but for some writers, the power to provoke is much more important than the message. This is like a child who throws a tantrum because he wants something and didn’t get it, failing to realise that asking nicely in the proper way can create better results. We forget that if we must provoke, there should be a better reason for doing so than simply because we can. What is lost in the discussions is why writers (including satirists) are needed in the first place: to provoke societal discussions because we need to launch changes, be it in the political, social, economic and even technological spheres, within the context of what modern society allows. The freedom to do so is there, but we often forget freedom is simply a means to an end. Too many writers are addicted to the fringes of that freedom, and fail to realise that moving hearts and minds is not always a matter of creating a controversy or inciting to violence. Sometimes, new paradigms need to be introduced to create breakthroughs. But in failing to do that, writers sometimes impulsively complain about legal limits to launch changes, when in fact history shows that with the right choice of words, needed changes can be launched. Is it really necessary to deface something, insult or provoke to get a reaction? Or are we as writers simply being lazy with our craft in attracting needed attention to our work? I must stress that freedom of speech is important and must be defended. It has in many cases been won in blood. But granted there are times that writers need to challenge legal limits because they have to (as in the case of those living in countries with brutal dictatorships), there are many times that writers challenge the rules simply because they want to show they can. All authors and writers have limits to contend with. But unlike Charlie Hebdo, which had to resort to taunting religious figures by operating at the fringes of free speech, there are many changes – badly needed ones – that can be launched within the present set of limitations, be they legal or otherwise, given to writers and content creators. It is those poorly equipped to communicate their ideas who often complain about the limitations of their medium and their environment – in this case, the written word. When used properly, words are capable of moving minds and men to action. A story told well is oftentimes better than the best multimedia message out there for communicating a message. Many remember JFK’s historic speech exhorting his fellow Americans to go to PRIORITIES Freedom of speech is important and must be defended. But just focusing on the freedom to provoke, instead of the power of words to effect change, loses the point. PHOTO: REUTERS the moon. Every day, we are confronted with changes that need to happen, be it in eradicating malaria, ensuring the safety of women and children, to creating a better place to live in. Words have power, and writers should use words to create messages that move people’s hearts and minds, and not just for the sake of provocation. Writers have to constantly use their gift to push the envelope and launch their own changes, not because they want to run afoul of the law or public morals, but because the change itself needs to be ignited. We provoke because we must, and not because we can. Freedom of speech is important and must be defended, but just focusing on the freedom to provoke, rather than on the power of words to effect much needed changes, loses the point. ✎ The writer is a low-carbon- technology consultant and author of Greenergized (UK: Greenleaf, 2013) weekend the business times Singapore Press Holdings News Centre, 1000 Toa Payoh North, Podium Level 3, Singapore 318994 SPH 6319-6319 | BT 6319-5360 | FAX: 6319-8278 CUSTOMER SERVICE: 6388-3838 www.businesstimes.com.sg PRESS RELEASES: [email protected] LETTERS: [email protected] Chief Executive Officer, Singapore Press Holding ALAN CHAN Editor-In-Chief (English/Malay/Tamil Media Group) PATRICK DANIEL Senior Executive Vice-president (Marketing) LESLIE FONG Editor ALVIN TAY Associate Editor VIKRAM KHANNA Executive Editor & News Editor WONG WEI KONG Night Editor Associate News Editor EDMUND LOH VEN SREENIVASAN BT Inc Editor Associate News Editor LILIAN ANG ANGELA TAN Chief Sub-editor Assistant News Editor DEXTER LEE CHEN HUIFEN Foreign Editor Lifestyle Editor QUAH CHOON POH JAIME EE Digital Editor Infographics Editor CHRISTOPHER LIM SIMON ANG SATURDAY with Ludwig ‘ The dollar is still falling, as we speak.’ Wealth wealth 29 investing 28 | THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND | SATURDAY/SUNDAY JAN 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 SHOW US THE MONEY Jakarta workers erecting iron reinforcement bars at a commercial high-rise building site last week. Increased growth augurs well for a regional industry that has long been considered a far-flung fringe market by global institutions that have increasingly dominated hedge-fund inflows since the crisis. PHOTO: AFP len CIO Ken Xu helped manage money at both Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC and billionaire Steven A Cohen’s SAC Capital Advisors. Pleiad co-founders Kenneth Lee and Michael Yoshino are alumni of Soros Fund Management and backed by Hong Kong-based HS Group in starting their own firm. The regional industry has long been considered a far-flung fringe market by global institutions that have increasingly dominated hedge-fund inflows since the crisis. Credit Suisse statistics show it takes about 10 months to a year between the first conversation an Asian hedge fund has with a potential investor and the actual capital allocation, compared with six to seven months for their US and European peers. Hong Kong S OME of Asia’s newer hedge funds were a magnet for investors last year. The assets of Oryza Capital and Pine River China Fund have expanded at least eight times since the funds started in the second half of 2013. BosValen Asset Management, Pleiad Investment Advisors and Guard Capital Management were among the 2014 startups that raised hundreds of millions of dollars each within a few months. They stood out in a region where, on average, it takes almost two years for a hedge fund’s assets to increase to US$250 million from US$50 million, according to Singapore-based Eurekahedge Pte Investors. Investors turned their attention to younger funds – and fresh entrants in some cases – as the regional industry beat global peers’ performances for a third straight year and some of the bigger managers in Asia stopped accepting money after reaching capacity. “There’s a supply of money coming back to Asia and that’s unprecedented,” said Myo Schollum, Asia-Pacific head of prime services coverage at Credit Suisse Group AG in Hong Kong. “There are six to eight hedge funds that launched with day-one capital in excess of US$250 million. That’s previously unheard of in Asia.” US$1 billon mark Oryza, the first Asia fund of Goldman Sachs Investment Partners, told investors in June it would stop taking additional money after it raised about US$1 billion. Its Asia-focused equity long-short fund started in September 2013 with an initial capital of US$80 million. Pine River China Fund expanded assets to about US$850 million by the start of this year, from the US$100 million it started with in October 2013, said a person with knowledge of the matter, who asked not to be identified as the figures aren’t public. BFAM Partners (Hong Kong), spun off from Nomura Holdings Inc in April 2012, increased assets to more than US$1 billion from US$323 million at the start of 2014, according to a person familiar with the fund. Among newcomers, Pleiad is nearing US$500 million in assets after starting the Outperforming market gains Asia’s hot, young hedge funds lead the charge Global investors buy into the notion that Asia is a good alpha market. By Bei Hu fund on Sept 1 with just over US$150 million, said a person familiar with the matter. Guard, which began with just under US$50 million on Aug 1, has grown to US$292 million, another person said. BosValen has raised about US$300 million since its early November inception. Most of the funds’ asset gains were fuelled by new capital rather than performance gains, the people said. Spokesmen at the firms declined to comment. Pine River China Fund returned 30 per cent in 2014, Guard gained about 10 per cent in its first five months and BosValen returned just under 3 per cent in the two months it traded last year. The other funds’ performances could not be confirmed. The Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index, tracking managers globally, returned 4.4 per cent last year. Asian hedge-fund assets were slow to rebound after the plunge during the 2008 global financial crisis. While worldwide hedge-fund assets eclipsed the 2007 peak in 2010, it took the Asian pool three more years to do so, according to Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research Inc. Only a few Asia-based startups have accumulated US$1 billion or more since the 2008 crisis, including former Highbridge Capital Management Asia head Carl Huttenlocher’s Myriad Asset Management and Tybourne Capital Management (HK), led by Eashwar Krishnan, who earlier worked for Lone Pine Capital. The average Asian hedge fund oversaw US$117 million at last year’s end, according to Eurekahedge. “A lot of the larger established managers were closed to new money, so inflows of capital were going into newer managers looking to scale or new launches,” said Shane Bolton, Hong Kong-based head of Asia prime brokerage at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The difference with 2013’s startups “was consistency of pedigree and that a majority already had strategic capital, enabling them to reach critical mass at launch.” BFAM is staffed by a former Nomura team of traders led by Benjamin Fuchs that traces its roots to an Asia-based internal fund started by Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc in 2007. It started with Nomura support. Oryza’s Hideki Kinuhata and Ryan Thall traded for the global fund of Goldman Sachs Investment Partners, set up to allow clients to invest with some of the New York-based bank’s top proprietary traders. Leland Lim, Guard’s chief investment officer, was previously co-head of Goldman Sachs’s macro trading team in the Asia-Pacific region outside Japan. BosVa- New deposits arrived as regional hedge funds outperformed global peers in each of the last three years, returning an annualised 10.4 per cent to beat the 6.7 per cent gain of Eurekahedge’s global index. Asia-based hedge funds attracted an estimated US$14 billion of new capital in 2013 and 2014, a turnaround from the US$17.6 billion of outflows over the previous four years, according to Eurekahedge. The figures may underestimate inflows because larger hedge funds typically do not report to public databases. “It needed a good 2013 for the global investors to say Asia can differentiate in performance, Asia is a good alpha market,” said Matt Pecot, Asia-Pacific head of prime services at Credit Suisse, referring to funds’ outperformance over market gains. “That’s why people are parking money here.” Prime brokers provide services to hedge funds, including lending cash or stocks, settling their trades and linking them to potential investors. In a region whose smaller markets are vulnerable to capital flows from the US and Europe, there have been concerns rapid asset expansion will hinder hedge funds’ ability to generate investment gains. Turiya Advisors Asia, which started in April 2010, decided to return 17.5 per cent of its end-of-2014 assets to investors to maintain performance after the size of its hedge fund swelled with new capital and investment gains. The Hong Kong-based firm, led by former Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank AG trader Davide Erro, oversaw more than US$3 billion after starting with US$150 million. Bloomberg share (EPS), “hold” rating and target price alone. BROKERS’ TAKE | SMRT Corporation Buy OCBC Investment Research | Jan 30 | Jan 30 close: S$1.75 Target price: S$1.90 SMRT continued its recovery momentum with a set of solid Q3 FY15 results. Our view on SMRT’s outlook remains positive on several factors: 1) its ability to consistently manage expenses since Q1 FY15 reflects the measures taken are likely sustainable; 2) management, though tight-lipped on hedging position, stated electricity costs will continue to decrease; we believe that their FY2016 diesel needs are largely exposed and hence we should see further reduction in costs as well; 3) management also stated full contribution of rental income from Kallang Wave Mall is likely to come in only from FY2016 onwards, and hence we change our assumption of full contribution from H2 FY15 to FY16 onwards; 4) taxi segment is likely to see higher growth with newer fleet commanding higher rental income; and 5) LTA’s purchase of SMRT’s bus assets in order to switch to the new bus contracting model could potentially see lump sum cash inflow to SMRT, leading to a possible special dividend or acquisition for growth. However, with no details announced, we have yet to factor this into our model. Consequently, our fair value increases from S$1.70 to S$1.90. Maintain “buy”. Genting Singapore Hold Maybank-Kim Eng Research | Jan 30 | Jan 30 close: S$1.08 Target price: S$1.13 What is interesting is that Marina Bay Sands’ (MBS) Q4 VIP volume was up 10 per cent quarter on quarter although Macau’s was down 8 per cent quarter on quarter. We attribute this to its rebate rate of 1.28 per cent, up six basis points quarter on quarter. This attracted more VIPs. Assuming Singapore’s VIP volume tracked Macau’s, we reckon Resorts World Sentosa (RWS) may have ceded VIP volume share. Still, we find it encouraging that MBS’s Q4 2014 non-rolling chip and slot revenue continued to grow year on year. We leave our earnings per Singapore banks DMG & Partners Research | Jan 29 | MAS’s easing of monetary policy coupled with the strengthening USD would see a shift towards SGD funding. Given the tightening domestic liquidity, we believe short-term rates would remain on an uptrend ahead of US rate hikes from mid-2015. We expect a gradual improvement in banks’ net interest margin (NIM) from H2 2015. DBS is our preferred sector pick as it offers the best leverage to rising short-term rates. That said, we expect NIM improvement to be gradual with off-sets coming from: i) funding pressures as liquidity tightens; and ii) potential softening of loan demand. OUE Hospitality Trust Buy DBS Group Research | Jan 29 | Jan 30 close: S$0.935 Target price: S$1.02 OUE Hospitality Trust (OUEHT) should benefit from a recovery in tourist arrivals this year and the impact of newly refurbishment rooms. Nevertheless, there may be some short-term volatility in Q1 2015 on account of softer Indonesian guest numbers following the recent AirAsia incident and the opening of new hotels in Orchard. OUEHT’s unitholders recently approved the S$495 million acquisition of Crowne Plaza Changi Airport (CPCA) and its future extension (CPEX). Assuming a 75 per cent/25 per cent debt and equity funding mix, we raise our FY15-17F distribution per unit by zero to 2 per cent. Gearing is also projected to rise to about 42 per cent by end FY2016. Besides an uplift in earnings, OUEHT will benefit from a more diversified portfolio following the acquisition of CPCA. Compiled by Jamie Lee ✎ Disclaimer: All analyses, recommendations and other information herein are published for general information. Readers should not rely solely on the information published and should seek independent financial advice prior to making any investment decision. The publisher accepts no liability for any loss whatsoever arising from any use of the information published herein. Brokers who wish to send in their reports can email us at [email protected] 30 wealth investing THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 TOUGH SELL Sotheby’s auction in New York on Jan 29, 2015, includes ‘Pantheon in Rome’ by Giovanni Paolo Pannini (above), estimated at between US$3m and US$5 million. The Old Masters category showed a glimmer of hope last year when Sotheby’s sold ‘Rome, From Mount Aventine’ (right), an 1835 landscape of the Italian capital by JMW Turner, fetched £30.3 million, setting an auction record for the artist. PHOTOS: SOTHEBY’S, AFP Old Masters lag postwar artists Contemporary art pulls in the big spenders while the Old Masters fail to draw art collectors with deep pockets New York THAT US$3 million Caravaggio is looking like a bargain compared to a US$81.9 million Andy Warhol. This week at the Old Masters sales in New York, when as much as US$200 million of 15th-to-19th-century paintings, drawings and sculptures are on offer, the auction houses will try to slightly narrow the disconnect between the record prices commanded by postwar, modern and contemporary art and the much lower estimates for the older works. Old Masters, the most popular category until the 1980s, is now a small part of the art market, and drumming up renewed interest won’t be easy. The group in 2013 accounted for 10 per cent of the value of the art market, with just over 1 billion euros (S$1.52 billion) in sales, according to the European Fine Art Foundation. “There’s no real connection between the two markets,” said Otto Naumann of Otto Naumann Ltd, a New York gallery that specialises in Old Masters. “They’re two totally different fields. They both just happen to be called art.” That’s not stopping auction houses from trying. One of the most expensive lots of the week at Christie’s is a 16th-century portrait painting by Agnolo Bronzino, estimated at between US$8 million and US$12 million, which failed to sell at the same auction house in 2013. Christie’s catalogue compares the work to Warhol’s portrait of Mao, and Lucian Freud’s painting The Brigadier. An oil painting of a vase with flowers by the 16th-century German artist Ludger Tom Ring II is compared in the Christie’s catalog to Jeff Koons’s Small Vase of Flowers, a polychromed wood sculpture from 1991. Ring’s still life is estimated to go for between US$400,000 and US$600,000. The Koons sculpture sold for US$2.3 million at Christie’s in New York in May 2005. More recently, a 3.81-metre-tall orange stainless steel sculpture by Koons fetched US$25.9 million in November in New York at the same auction house. Some dealers aren’t convinced such promotion will work. “The disparity between Andy Warhol and the Old Masters is just too wide to bridge,” said Richard L Feigen, the Manhattan dealer and Old Masters expert whose Sotheby’s, which is offering 728 lots valued between US$74 million and US$106 million over five auctions, has 17 paintings from the collection of Jacqui Safra, who belongs to the billionaire Safra banking family. Mr Safra, a former producer of Woody Allen’s films, has consigned works that include a 1732 oil painting of the Pantheon in Rome by Giovanni Paolo Pannini estimated at between US$3 million and US$5 million. Canaletto’s view of London from St James Park is estimated to go for between US$4 million and US$6 million. A 1596 oil on copper depiction of paradise by Jan Brueghel The Elder is valued from US$3.5 million to US$4.5 million. The detailed work depicts animals flocking to Noah’s ark and was seen in public only once, in a 1998 exhibition in Amsterdam. Christie’s sales are Manhattan-based art dealer Richard L Feigen slightly smaller, with 475 lots estimated between gallery bears his name. Warhol was the US$63 million and US$95 million. Hightop-selling artist at auction in 2014, accord- lights include 119 bronzes and clocks from ing to New York-based researcher Artnet. the collection of Peter Guggenheim, a deHis Triple Elvis, a 1963 silkscreen of Elvis scendant of the Guggenheim mining famiPresley, sold for US$81.9 million while ly, and his partner John Abbott. Four Marlons, a 1966 canvas of Marlon An early painting by Michelangelo MeriBrando, fetched US$69.6 million. Both si da Caravaggio of a young boy peeling works were sold in November at Christie’s fruit, estimated to sell for between $3 milin New York. lion and $5 million, was exhibited as early While not exactly cheap – Sotheby’s has as 1791 in London. 16 works estimated above US$1 million – Part of the disconnect between the pricthe sales that began on Jan 27 won’t come es commanded by Old Masters and connear the record US$2.3 billion of Impres- temporary art are a result of provenance, sionist, modern, postwar and contempo- or the history of ownership, and a work’s authentication, Mr Naumann said. Very rary art sold in November in New York. ‘Hedge fund guys are not going to buy Old Masters paintings, even if they hear prices are a fraction of contemporary art. How will it hang in some loft in lower Manhattan?’ old works of art have scattered sales records, if any at all. “That’s one reason contemporary is so high and Old Masters is not – there’re so many questions in Old Masters,” said Mr Naumann. A work attributed to Anthony Van Dyck, estimated to auction between US$100,000 and US$150,000 at Sotheby’s, was displayed 14 years ago at the Metropolitan Museum of Art as a work by the British portraitist William Dobson. It was exhibited 50 years before that at the Royal Academy of Arts in London as a Van Dyck. In its catalogue for this week’s sales, Sotheby’s described Dobson’s work, stating his “broader and drier handling of paint in the latter does not suggest his authorship for the present canvas”. Old Masters works aren’t in fashion especially among hedge fund managers, dealers said. “These hedge fund guys are not going to buy Old Masters paintings, even if they hear prices are a fraction of contemporary art,” Mr Feigen said. “How will it hang in some loft in lower Manhattan?” The category is showing some stirrings, however. In December in London, the Old Masters and British paintings sale at Sotheby’s totalled £54 million (S$110 million), above the high estimate of £44.9 million. The sale included Rome, From Mount Aventine, an 1835 landscape of the Italian capital by JMW Turner that fetched £30.3 million, setting an auction record for the artist. “We see buyers as mostly Americans or European,” Henry Zimet, president of Old Masters gallery French & Co in New York, said about sales in the category. “We’ve had some contact with Russian and Chinese collectors, but no business.” Bloomb- erg life & culture 31 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 WTA prize raised to S$7m Racquet Club VIP hospitality tickets go on sale By Lee U-Wen [email protected] @LeeUwenBT Singapore WHEN the world’s top female tennis players return to Singapore for their season-ending championships this October, they will have their eyes fixated on a record prize purse that has now ballooned to US$7 million. This is nearly 10 per cent more than the US$6.5 million that was given out at last year’s BNP Paribas Women’s Tennis Association (WTA) Finals, which was the first time that the women tour’s showpiece tournament was held in the Republic. Spectators will get more opportunities to catch their favourite players in the flesh, with an extra day of competition added to the schedule, making it a total of eight days. The tournament and its various side events take place at the Singapore Sports Hub in Kallang starting Oct 23. Even though this year’s tournament is nearly nine months away, event promoter World Sport Group (WSG) is officially launching ticket sales for its Racquet Club VIP hospitality programme on Saturday. Those with Racquet Club passes get to enjoy TENNIS ROYALTY The world’s top female tennis player, Serena Williams, was mobbed when she visited one of the suites at the Racquet Club in October 2014, during the BNP Paribas WTA Finals tournament at the Singapore Sports Hub. Williams was the winner of the inaugural tournament, the first time it was held in Singapore. PHOTO: WORLD SPORT GROUP meals prepared by celebrity chefs before the matches, a free flow of champagne in a private lounge, and the best seats at the Singapore Indoor Stadium to watch the players in action. They will also get more access to meet players up close. Last year, some of the players that visited the suites at the Racquet Club included Serena Williams, Li Na, and legends Billie Jean King and Chris Evert. During last year’s WTA Finals, the original inventory of 5,500 Racquet Club passes were sold out, which led to WSG releasing another 2,200 spaces to meet demand. These were also sold out. For the early-bird phase that runs until Feb 28, fans have the chance to get the Oct 25 opening night VIP tickets (S$795), a weekend package that includes the semi-finals and the grand final (S$4,500), and a combination of both the opening night and the weekend package (S$5,000). The sales for the other weekday sessions and packages will begin in March once the WTA releases the official match schedules. For bookings of 10 seats of any package, clients will get a dedicated table inside one of the suites with the option to include branded signages. A booking of 50 seats or more entitles the buyer to a private suite that can be customised. Adrian Staiti, the executive vice-president for global partnerships at WSG, said that the Racquet Club would present Singapore’s corporate community with the chance to host and engage their business partners at a major sporting event. Renowned ‘Thorn Birds’ author dies Sydney TRIBUTES for renowned Australian author Colleen McCullough, whose romantic saga The Thorn Birds sold more than 30 million copies, poured in on Friday from the publishing world to politics following her death at the age of 77. The best-selling writer, known for her wit and warmth, died in hospital on the remote Pacific outcrop of Norfolk Island where she lived for most of the last four decades, after suffering a series of small strokes. Prime Minister Tony Abbott described her as “a unique Australian personality and Norfolk Island’s most famous resident”. “She enthralled readers for decades and she will be missed,” he said. Her publisher HarperCollins Australia said that McCullough had fought through a string of health problems to continue writing via dictation. “Ever quick-witted and direct, we looked forward to her visits from Norfolk Island and the arrival of each new manuscript delivered in hard copy in cus- COLLEEN MCCULLOUGH Publishing director Shona Martyn: ‘The world is a less colourful place without Col’ tom-made maroon manuscript boxes inscribed with her name,” publishing director Shona Martyn said. “The world is a less colourful place without Col.” AFP “We’ve seen a great response from businesses that have harnessed the platform to engage their key stakeholders at the Racquet Club last year (and) we hope to provide an enhanced experience – both on and off the court – for all guests (this year),” he said. Last year’s WTA Finals champion was the reigning world No 1 player Serena Williams, who trounced Simona Halep in straight sets in the deciding match. The other singles players who graced the inaugural edition were Maria Sharapova, Ana Ivanovic, Caroline Wozniacki, Agnieszka Radwanska, Petra Kvitova and Eugenie Bouchard. The top eight singles players and doubles teams who amass the most number of points at various tournaments this year will earn the right to compete in Singapore. Ringo Starr set for new album, tour New York EX-BEATLE Ringo Starr is set for the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame, but first he plans a new album and tour of the United States and Latin America. The drummer for the Fab Four announced on Thursday the release of his 18th studio album, Postcards from Paradise, on March 31. The release comes just before Starr, 74, who is already in the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame as a member of the Beatles, is inducted in his own right at an April 18 ceremony in Cleveland. Starr plans a onemonth tour starting on Feb 13 in the southern US state of Louisiana, with about half the concerts taking place in Latin America. He will play two dates each in Brazil and Mexico, STARR TURN The ex-Beatle said he would release his 18th studio album, ‘Postcards from Paradise’, on March 31 as well as one show each in Argentina, Chile, Colombia, the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico. The singer/songwriter said he enjoyed past performances in Latin America. “The audiences were just great and so loving, we can’t wait to go back,” he said. Starr will be joined by his All Starr Band of other prominent musicians. AFP CRYPTIC CROSSWORD Across 1 Certainly upset, due to spy in bed (6,7) 9 Humiliated, Charlie stepped on the gas (9) 10 Pal shot on a motorway (5) 11 Go in with answer for new consumer (5) 12 Proclaim a moratorium, arresting a leader of prayers (4) 13 Eject leaders of only union seeking terms (4) 15 Do better than Portugal, squeezed by expenditure (7) 17 An adept bowler, perhaps, accepted by degrees (7) 18 An absorbing process is attached to the universe, extracting carbon (7) 20 Withdraw from race, disheartened, needing nurse (7) 21 The last word to change almost completely (4) 22 Great love absent from the last letter (4) 23 A person protected by king is a person who’s doomed (5) 26 Fruit finally ready for picking? Rubbish (5) 27 Could men in trouble crossing river spread this? (5,4) 28 Understand what paparazzi must do (3,3,7) Down 1 Graduate composer and orator self destructed (8,2,4) 2 What a brewer needs — still holding ales being emptied (5) 3 First to support genuine scientist (10) 4 Studies Italian with variable concentration (7) 5 Doctor raised origin of murder weapon (7) 6 Raise cap in support of socially acceptable state (4) 7 Quite ridiculous contents of letter giving protocol (9) 8 Catch spanner needed for game (8,6) 14 Pretty as a picture? (10) 16 Doing office work includes cover for editor and moderating (9) 19 Furtive behaviour of the last out? (7) 20 Guide travelled in conversation with politician across area (4,3) 24 Pacific island vessel going north full of gold (5) 25 Talent of criminal? (4) YESTERDAY’S SOLUTION Across: 1 Spirits, 5 Selfish, 9 Upset, 10 Raindrops, 11 Describing, 12 Tart, 14 Astonishment, 18 Conversation, 21 Soil, 22 Triangular, 25 Operating, 26 Oddly, 27 Sorting, 28 Entered. Down: 1 Sturdy, 2 Insist, 3 Interested, 4 Scrub, 5 Scientist, 6 Lids, 7 Isolated, 8 Hesitate, 13 Throughout, 15 Observing, 16 Scissors, 17 Engineer, 19 Glider, 20 Prayed, 23 Argue, 24 Taxi. G Telegraph Group Limited, London 32 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Published and printed by Singapore Press Holdings Limited. Co. Regn. No. 198402868E. A member of Audit Bureau of Circulations Singapore. Customer Service (Circulation): 6388-3838, [email protected], Fax 6746-1925. Living BT THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND | JANUARY 31 - FEBRUARY 1, 2015 C A R T IE R TIME'S A-CHANGING Luxury watchmakers put up a sober front at the Salon International De La Haute Horlogerie 2015 L2-4 ILLUSTRATION OF CARTIER CRASH SKELETON BY LUDWIG ILIO DINING Take away a feast L6-8 DESIGN The National Gallery: Monuments reborn L10-11 MOTORING The BMW X6: Xtra sporty L14 GUEST CHEF Thai celebrity chef I an Kittichai L9 PERSONAL SPACE Evolving around the mothership L12-13 NO HOLDS BARRED EPL’s top two on collision course L16 L2 watches THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 A quiet mood prevailed at the Salon International De La Haute Horlogerie 2015 in Geneva last week. Luxury watchmakers put up a sober front, pruning away excess and offering new lines at more accessible prices. Innovations were few and far between, while the minute repeater appeared to be the ‘in’ thing. By Chuang Peck Ming TIME’S A-CHANGING T HE show must go on, even you’ve appeared to pervade SIHH 2015. They lacked the innovaNovelties with a price tag of a million-Swiss franc or just been jolted by bad news. tiveness and surprise element of a number of the time- more were nowhere in sight. Richard Mille’s Tourbillon Still, the shock of the sudden pieces launched at last year’s fair. Pieces like Van Cleef & Fleur came close at CHF824,500, but then the price resurge of the Swiss franc on the Arpels’ Midnight Planetarium, an astronomical complica- flected largely the diamonds on the watch. eve of one of the world’s two big- tion that offers a 24-hour time displayed by a comet; and Cartier’s Rotonde de Cartier Grande Complication, its gest watch fairs still lingered last A Lange & Sohne’s Richard Lange Calendrier Perpetual first grand complication which features also a minute reweek at the annual Salon Interna- Terraluna, an impressively sophisticated perpetual calen- peater in a platinum case, is going for an estimated tional De La Haute Horlogerie (SI- dar with a striking orbital moon-phase display seen 600,000 euros (CHF600,000). That’s way below Lange’s HH) exhibition in Geneva. through its casebook. Grand Complication in pink gold launched two years It didn’t help that many of the Then there was Roger Dubuis’ super accurate Excali- ago; the Lange complication was then listed as 1.9 milretailers and journalists who bur Quatuor, which is capped with the world’s first sili- lion euros. made up the 14,500 visitors to the week-long event – 4 cone case and its balance wheel regulated unusually by More tellingly, Greubel Forsey, known for its top qualiper cent up from 2014 – found the new timepieces show- four sprung balances; Cartier’s mystery watch with hands ty tourbillons priced easily over CHF500,000, unveiled cased by the 16 luxury brands mostly underwhelming. that appear to float on air; and Piaget’s record-breaking the Tourbillon 24 Secondes Vision at an estimated For the SIHH, which turned 25 this year, there was no excessively thin Altiplano 38mm 900P watch. CHF290,000 – its cheapest creation so far. birthday party to celebrate. These provided at least some excitement and buzz to The watches launched this year were certainly more The Swiss central bank’s move to unpeg the Swiss an exhibition which otherwise would have been pretty accessible price-wise, but that did not necessarily come franc from the euro was only the latest shocker for at the expense of quality. the Swiss watch industry. The SIHH 2015 was alMontblanc’s Ultra Slim is again a ready staged against a backdrop of high costs and clear indicator. low growth in many key markets. Neither has a more conservative Even the organisers, who have every reason to pricing policy stopped major brands paint a happy picture, conceded that the exuberfrom launching of high-cost compliance flaunted in recent years was gone, along with cations and hand-crafted artistic the double-digit growth in Swiss watch exports. works. There were several grand Classical and low-profile watches were the main complications – and the minute restaples at the fair, they reported after the exhibipeater appeared to be the ‘in’ thing. tion ended two Fridays ago. Besides Cartier, Audemars Piguet Still, some of the new timepieces launched by presented the Royal Oak Concept Rethe brands – 12 owned by Swiss luxury goods cherche Acoustique, a grand compligroup Richmont – did cause a minor stir. cation with a minute repeater conRichard Mille’s RM 19-02 Tourbillon Fleur seceived in AP’s lab for acoustic reduced some visitors with a Magnolia flower that search; it produces a sound volume Cartier Crash Greubel Forsey GMT opened and closed in sync with the movements of never reached before. Skeleton with platinum case and a tourbillon in flight. Montblanc won admirers IWC’s Portugiese Grande Complired gold dial with its Heritage Chronometrie Ultra Slim, which cation has a minute repeater funchad one fan gushing over its “incredible looks and tion as well. Similarly for impressive quality with a shockingly low price tag” Jaeger-Lecoultre’s Master Grande boring. Some of this year’s novelties which caught Tradition Grande Complication. . A Lange & Sohne deployed know-how picked up from The simple but elegant timepiece, fitted with a 38mm visitors’ eyes weren’t even deemed to be worth a mencase 5.8mm thick that houses a Montblanc movement, is tion by their brands. Montblanc’s Ultra Slim, for one, was its Grand Complication to make the Zeitwerk Repetition Minutes, a minute repeater housed in a platinum case. listed at 1,900 euros (S$2,850) in steel and 5,500 euros left out of the press presentation. The brands may say the sober-looking watches are In the art and craft department, Roger Dubuis showed (S$8,250) in solid red gold. Jaeger-LeCoultre’s 38mm Masoff its skills in crafting skeleton timepieces in pieces like ter Ultra Thin introduced some years ago is selling for what the market want – and they have a point. After years of excess fanned by an economic boom, a the Excalibur Spider Double Tourbillon Volant Squelette around S$11,000 in steel and S$20,000 in red gold, though the watch made by this sister brand (Richmont owns softer and uncertain economic climate now demands to EX0481, which is powered by a hand-winding skeleton do away with the bells and whistles – just plain but movement. Even newcomer Ralph Lauren has a skeleton both Montblanc and Jaeger-Lecoultre) is still thinner. watch in its new Automotive collection, the RL AutomoAnother novelty was Officine Panerai’s Mare Nos- well-made watches will do. Watch prices, which are already coming down with tive Skeleton. Vacheron Constantin displayed its expertrum, a 52mm giant of a chronograph first created in 1943 for the Royal Italian Navy. While the vintage model the more sober mood, continued to stay down to earth tise in engraving in two models: the Metiers d Art Mecahad a dark green dial, the updated version is tobacco with the new timepieces launched at SIHH 2015. niques Gravees – 14-Day Tourbillon and the Metiers brown. Instead of steel like the original, the new one is Montblanc’s is only one example. Baume & Mercier, the d’Art Mecaniques Gravees. For the detail hungry, check out our snapshot of what made of titanium and is powered by a superior move- self-proclaimed purveyor of “affordable luxury” timepieces, boasted that the average price of its latest collection is the participating brands offered at SIHH 2015. ment. [email protected] Yet these notables failed to lift the “quiet” mood that under 3,000 Swiss francs (S$4,470). watches L3 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 A Lange & Sohne In addition to the Zeitwerk Minute Repeater, the German brand also presented updated versions of the Lange 1 and Saxonia, two of the four models that made their debut when Lange was revived in 1994. The new Lange 1 is driven by a new hand-wound movement, which has an escapement with a balance wheel that features eccentric poising weights and a freely oscillating balance spring. Apart from narrower bezel, a precisely jumping outsize date now graces the dial – this advances by one day exactly at midnight and delivers a doubt-free reading. The Saxonia is reduced to 35mm, making it the smallest member in the Saxonia line. The markers on the dial are tweaked, rendering it easier to read. A Lange & Sohne Zeitwerk Minute Repeater, 440,000 euros (S$660,000) Cartier Audemars Piguet Baume & Mercier The star piece in its collection is not for sale, at least not yet. The Royal Oak RD#1 concept watch is a grand complication with a minute repeater that’s so outstanding it overshadows the other two features of the timepiece: a tourbillon and chronograph. The minute repeater is the result of an indepth eight-year sound research programme. Those who heard it said it’s the loudest they heard so far. Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Concept RD#1, price not available After two ultra-thin models, chronograph and tourbillon, its Clifton collection, the brand that prides on its relatively low prices added two more novelties this year with hints from the 1950s: The hand-wound Clifton Huit Jours with 8 days’ power reserve; and the automatic Clifton Grande Date Reserve De Marche which has a power reserve indicator and large date in double window. Baume & Mercier Clifton Big Date and Power Reserve, S$5,450 Perhaps the most prolific of the brands, Cartier launched its most complex watch, its first shaped movement and a new line in addition to an assortment of other new complications and artistic timepieces. The first, the Cartier grand complication, took five years to finish. The minute repeater-flying tourbillon-perpetual calendar combo is powered by an automatic slender in-house movement. The shaped movement came in the form of the Crash Skeleton, a spinoff of Cartier’s iconic Crash watch introduced in 1967. The new line – the Cle De collection for men and women – has, as its name suggests, a key-like crown and new shape that’s described as “tightly-drawn curve, arched streamlined and sleek”. Rotonde De Cartier Grande Complication Squelette, 600,000 euros (S$900,000) L4 watches THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 IWC Greubel Forsey The name that spells pricey tourbillons has, surprisingly, a new offering that’s 10 per cent cheaper than its lowest entry-level creation – the Tourbillon 24 Secondes Vision. Greubel Forsey Tourbillon 24 Secondes Vision, CHF290,000 (S$435,000) IWC marked the 75th anniversary of its best-selling Portugieser line with its first annual calendar, the Portugieser Calendar. There’s also the Portugieser Perpetual Calendar Digital Date-Month 75th Anniversary Edition and the Portugiese Hand-Wound 8 Days 75th Anniversary Edition. IWC Portugieser Annual Calendar, S$32,900 in steel watches L5 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Jaeger-LeCoultre Montblanc Piaget The moon is where Jaeger-LeCoultre turned to for inspiration for this year’s collection, creating timepieces like the Duometre Spherotourbillon Moon, Master Calendar and Rendez-Vous Moon. But the piece that stands out is the Master Grande Tradition Grande Complication, which has a flying orbital tourbillon, a minute repeater and a dial displaying the sky chart of the Northern Hemisphere. Jaeger-LeCoultre Master Grande Tradition Grande Complication, 269,000 euros (S$403,500) Probably the first to have taken a stab at making a smart watch in the luxury range, the brand unveiled the TimeWalker Urban Speed e-Strap which has a strap whose features include an “integrated technology device” that offers an activity tracker and smart notifications, fuelled by a Bluetooth connection to an iOS or Android smartphone. But Montblanc’s main attraction was a collection inspired by the explorer Vasco da Gama. And the star piece in it was the Villeret Tourbillon Cylindrique Geospheres Vasco da Gama Limited Edition 18, which unites a cylindrical tourbillon and unique, functional world time indication. Connecting the Northern and Southern Hemispheres – as Vasco da Gama did in journeying to India – world time is read on two sapphire crystal spheres, which show the course of day and night around the world. Montblanc Tourbillon Cylindrique Geosphères Vasco da Gama, 250,000 euros (S$375,000) After breaking Jaeger-LeCoultre’s record for an ultra-thin hand-wound timepiece last year, the brand seen more as a jeweller than watchmaker presented yet another ultra-thin creation – the Altiplano Chronograph, a chronograph that’s the first complication in its Altiplano line and carries an attractive price tag. The price is around S$40,000, not much higher than the simple ultra-thin model launched in SIHH 2014. Piaget keeps pushing to make slimmer timepieces because it wants to tell the world that it’s also a watchmaker, according to the brand’s CEO Philippe Leopold-Metzger. Piaget Altiplano Chronograph, S$41,700 Ralph Lauren Richard Mille Its Automotive collection of six watches is inspired by the designer’s rare 1938 Bugatti sports car. The use of burl wood defines the timepieces, echoing the Bugatti’s steering wheel and dashboard, along with exposed screws on the bezel and polished and shot-blasted cases. IWC and Jaeger-LeCoultre movements drive some of the watches. Ralph Lauren Automotive, S$8,200 The brand dedicated SIHH 2014 to the ladies. The two complications among its novelties in SIHH 2915, including the Tourbillon Fleur, were also aimed at them. But what’s really news at the Richard Mille stand this year was bracelets — a first for the brand. These were made for two existing models: RM 07-01 and RM 11. But you can’t buy the bracelet for your RM 07-01; it comes only with the watch. You can buy the titanium bracelet for your RM 11, though. It costs CHF58,000 (S$87,000), half the price of the timepiece. Richard Mille RM19-02 Tourbillon Fleur, CHF824,500 (S$1.24 million) Roger Dubuis Its focus this year is on skeleton movements designed in the brand’s signature star shape. The collection demonstrated not only Roger Dubuis’ skills in crafting skeleton timepieces, but also its artistry and inventiveness in producing works such as the Excalibur Spider Skeleton Double Flying Tourbillon. Made out of titanium, black DLC-titanium and red aluminium elements, it looks and feels great. Roger Dubuis Excalibur Spider Double Tourbillon Volant Squelette, S$395,000 Officine Panarei Fans of the brand were treated to new timepieces that included the Laminar Submersible 1950 Carbotech, an automatic watch made from a new composite material based on carbon fibre; the Radiomir Firenze that spots a hand-engraved case; and the Radiomir 1940 Equation of Time. The stand-out piece is the Mare Nostrum Titanio. Panerai Mare Nostrum Titanio (52mm), S$58,200 Parmigiani This year Parmigiani put its creative juices to work on all its key collections, expanding the automotive Bugatti line with its transversal movement, the Kalpa collections dedicated to women and Tonda, which knows how to please women and men in an elegant way. Three watches were created to commemorate the 10th anniversary of Parmigiani’s partnership with Bugatti: the Bugatti Mythe; Bugatti Revelation; and Bugatti Victoire. Parmigiani Bugatti Mythe, price not available Vacheron Constantin The brand celebrated its 260th anniversary by unveiling a new Harmony line made up of seven cushion-shape timepieces powered by new in-house ultra-thin mono pusher chronograph movements. The line was inspired by a VC chronograph introduced in 1928 – and one of the Harmony pieces, the Chronographe Monopusher Pulsometre, which has a pulsimeter scale, is an updated version of it. The other variations are a flyback chronograph, a tourbillon, a ladies’ double-pusher chronograph and a trio of dual-time watches. Vacheron Constantin Harmony Chronograph, S$105,600 Van Cleef & Arpels After a successful foray into men’s watches in SIHH 2014 with the amazing astronomic Midnight Planetarium and the Pierre Arpels Heure travelling timepiece, Van Cleef returned to its feminine roots. It brought back the Cadenas with two gem-set versions: one on an alligator strap and the other on a gold bracelet. Van Cleef & Arpels Cadenas, 15,000-114,000 euros (S$22,500-S$171,000) L6 dining THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 The Chinese New Year reunion dinner does not have to be an assembly-line restaurant affair with draconian time limits. A growing number of takeaway options means you can enjoy your family get-together at home. BT Weekend helps you to choose your menu. By Tay Suan Chiang and Rachel Loi Quayside Seafood 6338 3195 | www.quaysidedining.com This seafood pen cai certainly lives up to its rather fancy name - ‘Completeness & Overflowing Wealth’ Whole Lobster & Seafood Treasures Pen-Cai. There is a whole lobster in there, plus 10-head abalones from Australia, a healthier-choice hormone-free whole chicken, hybrid grouper fillets, clams, Alaskan crab claws, king prawns, South African sea cucumber, fresh whole scallops, whole shiitake mushrooms, taro, tender wawa vegetables, and dried oysters. Each pot is priced at S$328, and is good for six diners. Extra orders are priced at S$53 for each diner. TAKE AWAY A FEAST Ah Hoi’s Kitchen Hotel Jen Tanglin Singapore 6831 4373 [email protected] You have to dig deep to get every morsel of goodness in this pen cai, or what the restaurant calls the Fortune Big Bowl Feast. Some of the premium ingredients used include black moss, abalone, superior sea cucumber, fish maw, dried oyster, fresh prawns, along with roasted pork, chicken, yam, beancurd, lotus root, Chinese cabbage, gingko nut, golden mushroom, superior mushroom and conpoy broth. A medium sized pen cai is good for four to six persons and is priced at S$268. dining L7 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Xi Yan 6220 3546 | www.xiyan.com.sg TungLok Restaurants 9088 8008 | www.tunglok.com You’ve heard of Buddha Jumps Over the Wall, but how about its baked version? This one from Xi Yan features a whole bird baked in a giant bun, which helps to keep the chicken warm. Cut away the bread to get the succulent chicken which comes stuffed with sea cucumber, pork belly, mushroom, dried scallop and abalone. The Baked Buddha Jump Over the Wall is priced at S$128. If you're looking for a vegetarian option for your reunion dinner, try TungLok group's vegetarian take-home feast ($238 for 6 pax and $328 for 10 pax). It includes a vegetarian yu sheng, rice wrapped in lotus leaf, Thai-style deep-fried vegetarian fish, a TungLok nian gao, and a vegetarian pen cai featuring deep-fried beancurd skin rolls, chestnuts, vegetarian abalones, vegetarian lobster balls, braised tofu, taro, broccoli and bamboo fungus. Regular options are also available, in the form of their heavenly ($468 for 6 pax and $698 for 10 pax) and royal ($368 for 6 pax and $498 for 10 pax) take-home feasts. These include salmon yu sheng, signature TungLok treasure bowl (pen cai), fried glutinous rice with assorted preserved meat, herbal chicken, and one of TungLok's nian gao options. Li Bai Cantonese Restaurant Sheraton Towers 6839 5623 | www.sheratonsingapore.com New to the range of festive offerings by Li Bai Cantonese Restaurant is the stewed “eight treasures” duck which now comes with 5-head abalone in addition to its eight ingredients – lotus seed, Chinese mushroom, sea cucumber, salted egg, barley, chicken, pork, and chestnut ($388). Also available are traditional favourites like the Buddha Jumps over the Wall ($568 for 4 pax) with 2-head abalone, sea cucumber, fish maw, ginseng and dried scallops. One tip however, is to get a bottle of their in-house XO sauce ($28+ per bottle) made with scallops from Japan, Chinese ham, salted fish and shrimp – it'll be sure to add a nice kick to your meal. Xin Cuisine Chinese Restaurant Holiday Inn Singapore Atrium 6731 7173 Xin Cuisine's yusheng ($63 to $98) is a refreshing way to start the new year with its sweet passionfruit sauce to go with either Japanese prawns or salmon. For a more luxurious meal, order the imperial pen cai ($999 for 10 persons) and get premium items like a whole Australian 3-head abalone, bird's nest, deer tendon, goose web and Mexico sea cucumber. Also available is their crispy-skinned roasted suckling pig ($298) and an eight-treasures duck ($198) which is stuffed with ingredients like fish maw, whole abalone, sea cucumber, sea whelk. Oceans of Seafood 6466 1005 www.oceansofseafood.com.sg Oceans of Seafood’s Vibrancy of Life yusheng comes with a Japanese twist. The yusheng, S$128, comes with a whole boiled rock lobster, salmon and amberjack sashimi. The amberjack is flown in from Tokyo’s Tsukiji market, and the lobster is from the UK. The yusheng also has vegetables imported from Japan, such as the red and white radishes. Extra ingredients that are thrown in with a Japanese slant are edamame beans, and tobiko, or flying fish roe. For that extra luxe touch, the yusheng is garnished with gold flakes. Instead of an overly sweet sauce, the dressing here is sesame with a hint of wasabi. Majestic Restaurant New Majestic Hotel 6511 4718 www.restaurantmajestic.com JING One Fullerton 6224 0088 | www.jing.sg This year, Jing is offering a three-course takeaway menu that is good for four to six persons. Start off with the salmon yusheng, followed by Jing’s Abalone Dried Seafood Poon Choi. Each claypot comes packed with abalone, fish maw, fish glue, Japanese mushroom, dried oyster, prawns, lotus roots, braised tofu, chicken, black moss and sea asparagus. For some carbohydrates, there’s the Supreme Fried Rice, wok-fried with Chinese sausage and diced mushrooms, wrapped in fresh lotus leaf. Priced at S$288. Get a 20 per cent discount if you order by Feb 17. The Organic Grocer 8125 4077 | www.theorganicgrocer.com Eat healthy this Lunar New Year with The Organic Grocer's newest range of Organic Prosperity Boxes that come in two sizes – medium ($88) for three to four pax, and large ($150) for six to seven pax. Each box contains a medley of hotpot ingredients made up of organic produce and hormone-free meats, such as fresh organic green vegetables, Chinese cabbage, cherry tomatoes, and Swiss mushrooms, organic tofu, free roaming chicken, organic grass-fed beef, natural pork from the northwestern United States, and 300g of wild caught all natural scallops. A delivery fee of $15 will be waived with orders above $150. Choose from three different yu sheng options at Majestic Restaurant with their Atlantic salmon lo hei ($58 or $88), ikan parang lo hei ($58 or $88), and snow pear and mixed vegetables lo hei ($48 and $68). Or if you'd prefer to keep things simple, order the Majestic deluxe treasures claypot takeaway set ($388 for 6 pax, $488 for 8 pax, or $588 for 10 pax) which comes with the Atlantic salmon lo hei, roasted pork, steamed rice with Chinese sausage and preserved meat, deep-fried nian gao with yam and sweet potato, and of course the Majestic deluxe treasures claypot that includes abalone, fish maw, sea cucumber, dried oyster and flower mushrooms. L8 dining THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Young chefs vie to represent S-E Asia By Rachel Loi N EXT Thursday, 10 young chefs from South-east Asia will face one another in a cook-off to determine who gets to represent the region in the finals of the San Pellegrino Young Chef 2015 competition – a global search for the world’s best young chefs under 30. Half of these semi-finalists come from Singapore, including 25-year-old Elaine Koh – a chef de partie (or station chef) at Jaan, one of Singapore’s most prestigious restaurants, and no. 17 on the Asia’s 50 Best Restaurants list. Within the two-hour time limit, she will have to prepare her signature dish – mackerel with sherry, beets and horseradish. Along with the other nine competitors, Chef Koh will be judged by a panel made up of Bangkok-based Indian chef Gaggan Anand, and two Singapore-based chefs – Andre Chiang of Restaurant Andre and Ryan Clift of Tippling Club. The winner will go on to represent the South-east Asian region at the grand finals in Milan this June, where they will compete against 19 others from other regions around the world. San Pellegrino’s marketing coordinator for Asia, Elisabetta Ceriani, says: “We decided Singapore was the best option (to host the semi-finals) because it’s the most developed country in South-east Asia, and the most centralised. And of course the culinary scene here is growing too.” As one of the South-east Asian judges, Chef Clift is proud of the fact that half the region’s semi-finalists come from Singapore. He says: “It shows the calibre of Singapore right now. I’m hoping maybe one of two of the local guys will include some local flavours in their dish – that would be good to see.” The other four chefs from Singapore are Chua Guo Sen from Sky On 57, Kirk Westaway from Jaan, Andrea de Paola from &SONS Bacaro, and Immanuel Tee who runs his own hawker stall Immanuel French Kitchen. The competition has five main judging criteria (or “golden rules”) – ingredients, skills, genius, beauty, and message. Chef Tee will be making his Kakuni pork belly with Duxelle mushroom, onsen egg and potato foam – a dish he created while working at Keystone restaurant a few years ago. An important criteria for him is his “message”, which he explains: “The technique is very Western, but the pork belly flavour is very Asian. The dish represents me that way, and it’s important to have your own identity and touch.” When asked which of the criteria was most important to him personally, Chef Clift immediately says: “Ingredients. The fundamentals of all my cooking is ingredients. Everyone thinks maybe it’s technology but it’s not. If you don’t start with good produce, you don’t end with a good dish.” That said, he adds: “I think (the young chefs) just need to be true to themselves. Yes, you have to take the competition seriously but you also have to enjoy it. It’s an experience.” BEST UNDER 30 Singapore’s Chef Tee and Chef Koh (left) will be cooking their signature dishes in a bid to reach the finals of the San Pellegrino Young Chef 2015 competition [email protected] @RachelLoiBT wine&dine with BTWeekend Marina Mandarin Singapore 6 Raffles Boulevard, Level 5 Z 6845-1018 Chinese New Year Goodies Chinese New Year Goodies are now available for takeaway at Peach Blossoms. Enjoy Marina Mandarin xi qi yang yang Yu Sheng, Pumpkin Cake with Shredded Yam, Supreme Braised Buddha Jumps Over the Wall and many more at your private celebrations with family and friends with the convenience of our takeaway goodies. Drive through collection is available. For orders and enquiries, please visit www.marinamandarin.com.sg/dining. Lobby Lounge & The Terrace Conrad Centennial Singapore Two Temasek Boulevard, Lobby Level Z 6432-7483 / 6432-7487 Lunch On The Go: (Available Monday To Friday, 11.30am to 2.30pm) T-Wrap: Succulent Chicken Shavings with Garlic Sauce, Vegetables and your choice of Wasabi or Barbecue Sauce at $7.50 Sundowner Special: 1-for-1 Traditional or Modern Gin and Tonic from 5pm – 7pm Weekend Afternoon High Tea:Elegance and Indulgence redefined – (Available Saturday and Sunday and Public Holidays, 2pm to 6pm) Indulge in a buffet of oysters, meat-carving stations, unlimited chocolate selection and tropical sangrias to kickstart your weekend! $58++ per adult while children from six to 12 years old enjoy 50 per cent off the adult price. For enquiries or reservations, call The Terrace at 6432-7487 and Lobby Lounge at 6432-7483. Alternatively, you may e-mail [email protected]. Asian Market Cafe Fairmont Singapore 80 Bras Basah Road, Level 2 Z 6431-6156 Featuring local favourites and contemporary regional delicacies, Asian Market Cafe offers a glorious buffet spread showcasing the breadth and depth of Halal-certified authentic pan-Asian cuisine presented in a nostalgic and traditional hawker set-up. For reservations, please call 6431-6156, e-mail [email protected] or book online at www.asianmarketcafe.com.sg. Triple Three Mandarin Orchard Singapore 333 Orchard Road, Level 5 Z 6831-6288/71 Named after the address of the hotel – 333 Orchard Road, Triple Three is Mandarin Orchard Singapore’s award-winning international Japanese-inspired buffet restaurant, featuring live cooking stations. Signature dishes include Kagoshima wagyu beef and the much-acclaimed honey-glazed ham, perfected through 30 years of experience. In addition to the freshest sashimi and sushi, tempura and teppanyaki specials, Triple Three prides itself on having a premium roast section, seafood on ice, Asian wok-fried favourites, flavourful Indian dishes, and mouth-watering desserts. For enquiries or reservations, please call 6831-6288/71 or e-mail [email protected]. Pan Pacific Orchard 10 Claymore Road Z 6831-6686 Celebrate special moments with your loved over champagne, handcrafted chocolates, breakfast-in-bed and a surprise bouquet of roses with our Amour in the City escape, or indulge the afternoon in sweet company, conversations and elegant three-tiers of pure delight at our Champagne Gourmet High Tea in the lofty Lobby Lounge from 13 to 15 February. An indulgent buffet awaits those who relish an epicurean gastronomy with freshly shucked oysters, fresh seafood on ice including Maine Lobster, Queen Roe Scallops and freshly sliced air-flown sashimi and a la minute Plates of Pleasure specials including Lamb-Foie Gras dumpling and Steamed Pacific Barramundi in Lemongrass Dressing. Available at lunch and dinner, 14 February 2015. Or allow our 8-course degustation menu take you on a gourmet journey, unfurling flavours and textures that will surely delight, starring gently prepared Sea Urchin with eggs, Duo King crab and Raw Scallop ceviche, Trio of freshly shucked Oysters and seared Foie Gras, Duo of USDA 1885 Wagyu and Omi Wagyu ending with a refreshing note of Pistachio Lemon Curd, macaroon and pralines. Available at dinner, 14 February 2015. Visit panpacific.com/orchard for more details or speak with us at 6831-6686. Serenity Spanish Restaurant 391 Orchard Road, Ngee Ann City Takashimaya SC #05-32 Z 6235-9989 No 1 Harbourfront Walk, VivoCity #01-98/99 Z 6376-8185 Pioneering authentic Spanish cuisine in Singapore, Serenity opened its first outlet in VivoCity six years ago and the second outlet in Sanur Bali Indonesia. Now the third Serenity is newly opened at Ngee Ann City – Takashimaya SC. Serenity brings you the most authentic Spanish flavours and culture – delicious cuisine, charming ambience and attentive friendly service. Must-tries at Serenity are Signature Suckling Pig (Cochinillo Asado), delectable Spanish Rice Dishes (Paella), Spanish Noodle Dishes (Fideuas), Palatable Soups and, of course, Spanish Wine Cocktails (Sangrias). The wine list contains more than 60 labels of exclusive and rare Spanish wines covering famous wine regions such as Rioja, Rueda, Torro, Rebera Del Duero, Riaz Bixas and Malaga. Serenity is a great place to have business lunches, dinners and gatherings. For dining enquiries and reservations, call Ngee Ann City – Takashimaya SC branch (open daily 11.30am to 10pm) at 6235-9989 or VivoCity branch (open daily 11am to 12 midnight) at 6376-8185. Plate Carlton City Hotel Singapore 1 Gopeng Street, Level 3 Z 6632-8922 ‘L’ for Love Set Dinner Menu – 14 February 2015 Be swept away for a gastronomic love affair this Valentine’s with a sumptuous 4-course set dinner at Plate, alongside two complimentary glasses of sparkling wine. Romance couldn’t get anymore delicious. $138++ per couple; with two complimentary glasses of Chandon Plate, Carlton City Hotel’s all-day dining restaurant is located on level 3. With its contemporary design and a view of the swimming pool and lush greenery, guests can enjoy an extensive buffet breakfast with natural daylight. Plate offers a diverse menu featuring salads and light meals, local favourites, the classic and items from the grill. Phone: 6632-8922; e-mail: f&[email protected] Reach out to more than 100,000 readers daily in the Wine & Dine Scheme. Contact Amy Leo at 6319-2129 dining L9 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 guest chef | With a golden hand Thailand’s first celebrity chef Ian Kittichai does not let fame go to his head. By Tay Suan Chiang H E IS Thailand’s first celebrity chef, but Ian Kittichai says: “I’m less a celebrity and more a chef.” Chef Kittichai has been a regular fixture on TV since 2001, when he began hosting the weekly cooking show Chef Mue Tong (The Golden Hand Chef), which is broadcast in over 70 countries; and since 2012, he has been one of the permanent chefs on the TV series Iron Chef Thailand. Despite his fame, he feels uncomfortable about how chefs on TV are being seen as superstars, but says that being on TV has its benefits – for one thing, people get to know about him and go to his restaurants. “But then you have to be concerned about who you are and how you cook,” he says. “Diners will want to know if you can really cook, or are you just a celebrity.” Rather than let the superstar label go to his head, Chef Kittichai says: “I always think about where I came from. I started as a chef, and not a celebrity. I worked my way up from the bottom, and climbed up the ranks.” Two TV shows aside, the 47-year-old chef currently has nine restaurants, six in Thailand, including Issaya Siamese Club ranked 31st in the Asia’s 50 Best Restaurant list last year. Outside of Thailand, Chef Kittichai has two restaurants – one in New York, and one in Mumbai. He now adds Singapore to the list, where he is the consultant chef for spa restaurant Tangerine at Resorts World Sentosa. The restaurant, located in ESPA spa, was previously run by Thai chef Forest Leong, wife of home-grown celebrity chef Sam Leong, who runs a contemporary Asian restaurant called Forest at the integrated resort’s Equarius Hotel. “I’ve known Chef Sam for many years, and it was he who referred me for the job,” says Chef Kittichai, who said yes, since he has had experience creating spa cuisine. He says that unlike regular cooking, where “you can throw all things in”, spa cuisine is a little more tricky. “Not only are the portion sizes smaller, but I want to throw in more protein, less fat, salt and sugar into the dishes,” says Chef Kittichai who is also into healthy eating himself. “It is not just all raw foods either.” He adds that the cooking techniques have to be different too. The food is done sous vide style, steamed or lightly seared to retain the vitamins and minerals. At Tangerine, where simplicity, flavour, and nutrition lead the menu, some of the signature dishes that Chef Kittachai has created are Thai-Inspired Sous Vide Pork and Asian Style Sea Bass and Salsa. The former features Australian pork loin sous vide at 65 degrees Celsius to retain the maximum amount of nutrients and flavours, complemented with fresh garden greens, young broccoli leaves and micro cress which are high in antioxidants and beta carotene. Meanwhile the sea bass is lightly pan fried and sits on a bed of sauteed Napa cabbage, and is served with an Asian style salsa and lime chilli sauce. “My cooking style is very simple, and about using fresh ingredients,” he says. “After all, with great ingredients, you don’t have to do too much.” Chef Kittachai’s food journey began from humble beginnings in Bangkok. Every morning, he would rise at 3am to accompany his mother to the wet market to select the best meats, seafood and vegetables for her neighbourhood grocery. While he was in school, she would cook a dozen different types of curries. When he got home, he would push a cart through the neighbourhood, selling the curries, calling out “Khao Geang Ron Ron Ma Leaw Jaar”, or hot curry coming. He later went to London to study, with no intention of becoming a chef. While working part-time at the Waldorf Hotel, the hotel chef saw potential in the Thai na- INTO DESIGNING FOOD ‘My cooking style is very simple, and about using fresh ingredients. After all, with great ingredients, you don’t have to do too much,’ says Chef Kittichai tional. Before long, the hotel sponsored him to attend culinary school in London, and he subsequently completed his culinary studies in Sydney. He later honed his skills at the Four Seasons Bangkok, and also at top names such as Georges V in Paris, French Laundry in Napa Valley, and El Bulli in Spain. Had he not become a chef, he says he would have been a potter. “I saw some students moulding plates when I was in Sydney, and I think I would have become a plate maker.” He didn’t go down that path for a simple reason. “I realise that I couldn’t design plates. I can design food, but not plates. So it is better that I focus on cooking,” he quips. The celebrity chef is mostly based in Bangkok, although he does make two trips to visit his New York restaurants annually. He hopes one day to open restaurants in the major European cities – London, Paris and Milan – but at the same time, is realistic about certain issues. “Paris would be difficult since they have strict labour laws. Milan would require lots of education on Thai cuisine,” he points out. “London would be great. It is a sophisticated city and people like to try new things.” [email protected] @TaySuanChiangBT Blue swimmer crab and pomelo salad Serves one Ingredients 80g pomelo flesh 2 orange segments, peeled and halved 40g crab meat, shredded 5g young ginger, peeled and bruised 1 /4 lemongrass stalk (tender portion), chopped 1 /2 shallots, peeled and finely chopped 1 /4 red chili, finely chopped 2 tbsp palm sugar 1 tbsp fish sauce 1 /4 cup water 1 /2 stalk apple mint, finely chopped Method Place crab meat, young ginger, lemongrass stalk, shallots, red chilli and mint leaf into a bowl and mix. Boil the water, palm sugar and fish sauce in a pot for a few minutes until sauce thickens. Set aside to cool. Mix the sauce and pomelo. To serve Place the pomelo onto a serving plate, lay crab meat mixture on top of it then garnish with orange segments. L10 design THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 design L11 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 Monuments reborn The City Hall and former Supreme Court buildings are undergoing refurbishment to reopen as the National Gallery Singapore in November. BT Weekend takes a peek at the work-in-progress. By Tay Suan Chiang TRANSFORMED Clockwise from left: The grand staircase at the entrance of the former Supreme Court. A tree-like structure helps to hold up the roof which is made of perforated aluminium panels. Major works are still being carried out at the former City Hall. An artist’s impression of the building’s roof deck which will have a garden and reflective pools. AS GOOD AS NEW Above: The former Supreme Court’s facade with its Corinthian and Ionic columns and relief panels have been restored. Right: The wooden panels on the ceiling were cleaned up and repaired by local artisans and carpenters I T is 10 more months to the opening of the National Gallery Singapore, and refurbishment works are going on non-stop inside the City Hall and the former Supreme Court. There are hundreds of workers around, constructing staircases, lifting structures in the atrium – the buzz is not slowing down. “Construction is on track to be completed on time. Today, the focus for me is to deliver the best quality in all details,” says Jean Francois Milou, founder and principal architect of studioMilou architecture. In 2008, his firm won an international competition and partnered the local architecture and engineering firm, CPG Consultants, to convert two of Singapore’s most significant heritage buildings into the largest visual arts venue in Singapore, and one of the largest in the region. The National Gallery is dedicated to modern visual art, with a focus on South-east Asian art, including Singapore art, from the 19th century onward. Work on the former Supreme Court started first, and is almost complete, with galleries in the midst of being fitted out for the exhibition display. Major works are still ongoing at City Hall. “Less work was needed for the former Supreme Court, hence we started work on it first,” says Mr Milou, who moved his family to Singapore and PHOTOS: YEN MENG JIIN opened a local office managed by Singaporean talent to focus on the project. Located in the heart of the Civic District, the City Hall and former Supreme Court buildings were focal points for many important events in Singapore’s history. The City Hall building was built between 1926 and 1929, and it housed the Municipal Council. It was also the office of Lee Kuan Yew, when he became the first prime minister of Singapore. The then-prime minister and members of his Cabinet took their oaths in the City Hall Chamber. City Hall continued to house various government departments until it was eventually vacated in 2005. The adjacent former Supreme Court building was built between 1930 and 1939 to serve the judiciary system of Singapore. Its facade was designed to match City Hall, with classical architecture and corresponding Corinthian columns. Both buildings were gazetted as national monuments in 1992. Under guidelines set by the Preservation of Sites & Monuments, the two buildings have to be preserved. Together, CPG, studioMilou, Architectural Restoration Consultant and Takenaka-Singapore Piling Joint Venture all worked closely with the client on the complex tasks of renovation while preserving the historic elements of the monuments. “The goal is to offer an elegant and welcoming art gal- ‘The goal is to offer an elegant and welcoming art gallery that deeply respects the historical importance of the existing buildings.’ Jean Francois Milou, founder and principal architect of studioMilou architecture, at the atrium of the new gallery lery that deeply respects the historical importance of the existing buildings while creating new architectural layers, each placed upon the monuments with little intervention,” says Mr Milou. “We want to create a space where museum goers will feel they are in historical buildings, but yet at the same time, by looking out through the buildings’ many windows, they can still see the city.” The former Supreme Court’s facade with its Corinthian and Ionic columns, and relief panels have been lovingly restored. Inside, floor tiles, wooden pillars and panels on the ceilings were cleaned up and given new life by local artisans and carpenters. “The restoration works in this building were not the most complex in my experience,” says Mr Milou, who has restored and readapted other historic buildings before. “The biggest challenge for this building was in the details.” They include details such as ensuring that the building is now handicap-friendly, by creating a slightly sloping floor, so that the wheelchair-bound can easily head out onto the balconies. “This was non-existent before,” he says. Other “modern” features that had to be put in to suit the art museum included special lighting, fire protection, air-conditioning and the installation of security cameras, while respecting the historical character of the buildings. The next stop is the fifth floor of the former Supreme ARTIST’S IMPRESSION: NATIONAL GALLERY SINGAPORE Court which resembles the set of a sci-fi movie. Smack in the centre is the roof of a rotunda, which housed the former library, and there are tree-like structures that hold up the roof made of perforated aluminium panels. On a sunny day, sunlight streams in, bathing the entire floor in natural light. Design wise, the more exciting part of the Gallery is in the space between the two buildings. Back in the old days, the two buildings were separated by a lane. The space is now covered by a roof and veil, with two sky bridges connecting the two buildings. The roof and veil are also made of the same perforated aluminium panels, which give the impression of a filigree structure marking the main entrance into the Gallery, and also creating a visual continuity from the main atrium to the Padang. Glass panels are fitted under the aluminium panels, so that the whole area can be air-conditioned. “The perforated panels help filter out the sunlight, so you still get light coming into the Gallery, but it is very soft,” says Mr Milou. The atrium roof is held up by another large tree-like structure, so that the roof has no direct impact on the existing buildings. Access to the roof top of the City Hall building is currently restricted, but Mr Milou and his team have developed the design to include a garden there, surrounded by restaurants and cafes. There will also be reflective pools set in the garden. “They appear as pools on the roof top, but if you were to look up from the basement, the pools appear as skylights,” he says. It is not just the two buildings that have been adapted. A new basement had to be constructed to house technical facilities, ticketing and reception areas, so that the ground floor level can be used for the gallery’s core activities. The underground concourse can be accessed by four monumental flights of stairs, each leading from one of the gallery’s facades, allowing access from every side of the institution. Having worked closely on the project for some years, Mr Milou cannot help but admit: “There’s definitely a very endearing quality to the buildings and the new design.” [email protected] @TaySuanChiangBT L12 home & garden THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 home & garden L13 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 COOKING UP INSPIRATION (Left) The open kitchen, with an island counter constructed to straddle the 5cm drop between the dining and kitchen areas; (below) limited edition figurines take pride of place in the home personal space | Evolving around the Mothership ‘We wanted it to be a work-inprogress; to be in a state of constant evolution.’ With their ‘living organism’ chandelier and work-in-progress ambience, the Thongs’ home is unique and distinctly their own. By Arthur Sim I T IS always a good idea to have a couple of accent pieces mixed in with the general design scheme of things when it comes to home decoration, even if it is only to get the conversation going when friends come over for dinner. But with their creeping chandelier that has pendant lights connected to 200m of black electrical wiring, have the Thongs of Serangoon gone too far? The chandelier is a tentacle-esque construction that hangs from the ceiling of the stairwell in the apartment of Thong Chew Fatt, 33 and his wife Eileen See, 32. Describing the light fixture, Mr Thong likens it to a “living organism” that can extend into most corners of the 1,700 square foot apartment by way of free floating pendant lights that can be anchored to any of the 700 hooks affixed to the ceiling for task or accent lighting. Because they are not fixed permanently, the pendant lights can always return to the main chandelier cluster in the stairwell or as Mr Thong likes to call it, “the Mothership”. The reference to science fiction becomes clearer after Mr Thong reveals he is a fan, especially of Australian comic book artist Ashley Wood. Limited edition figurines by the artist take pride of place in this home and upon closer inspection, it is not difficult to understand why the Mothership needs to always be close by. “I like the tension it creates,” he adds. The Mothership was actually inspired by a lighting design that Mr Thong, a creative director in his own advertising firm, had come across while surfing on the Internet. But instead of buying something off-the-shelf, he decided to create his own version with the help of his wife. Together, they sourced for parts online and had it put together with the help of interior designer Raymond Seow of Free Space Intent. While the Thongs had ideas of their own – such as having walls and floors finished in cement screed – it was Mr Seow who helped manage their expectations. For instance, Mr Seow had to make it clear that the cement screed will stain, crack and is unpredictable in the way it ages. Mr Seow also advised against demolishing the existing staircase and rebuilding a new one to save on construction costs so that eventually, even the old wooden banisters were retained, albeit painted black. Construction costs were further kept low with most of the built-in carpentry work reserved for the kitchen and the Thongs were able to maintain their renovation budget of about S$120,000. As a word of caution to other potential homeowners, Mr Seow does point out that the cement screed finish was not cheap. While this sounds counter-intuitive, he explains that with labour costs rising, it is actually cheaper to lay floor tiles than it is to plaster-on cement screed. “We needed to have three people plastering the wall simultaneously to ensure there would be no patchiness,” he explains. Still, with wires dangling all over the place, and walls that seem to be missing a coat of paint, the flat has an air of being unfinished and one almost expects workmen in safety boots to come through the front door at any moment. But this, however, is exactly how the homeowners prefer it. “We wanted it to be a work-in-progress; to be in a state of constant evolution,” adds Mr Thong, noting also that the walls have taken on a pleasing, darker tint since they moved in last year. The abundance of flora in this apartment is another reference to Mr Thong’s penchant for the organic, although this one has nothing to do with science fiction. “It is a connection with my childhood,” says Mr Thong who Mr Thong (left, with wife Eileen) on how the flat has an air of being unfinished CREEPING LIGHTS The Thongs’ creeping chandelier has pendant lights connected to 200m of black electrical wiring which can extend into most corners of their 1,700 square foot apartment including (anti-clockwise from right) the dining area; the stairwell and the living room remembers growing up in a terrace house with a garden and, “playing with bugs and worms”. The plants are mostly relegated to the balcony. To create an open kitchen, one of the rooms on the first level of the maisonette had to be sacrificed and reduced to just a storeroom. Walls containing the old kitchen were knocked down and an island counter was constructed to straddle the 5cm drop between the dining and kitchen areas, circumventing the need for major reconstruction. In almost all design decisions, Mrs Thong, who is in the banking industry, gladly gave in to her husband’s choices: “I trust my husband’s tastes,” she adds. But because the kitchen is her domain, she did insist on certain features, including the lighter colour for the kitchen cabinet laminates and Blum cabinet components that ensure drawers and doors close with just a soft touch. Interestingly, Mrs Thong, who shopped for the dining chairs, TV console, living room bookcase and even the “robot” vacuum cleaner online, was “hesitant” to buy cabinet components online even though there would have been a substantial saving because she wanted the warranty. With a seasoned shopper’s savvy, she did her research and even joined online forums on home renovations before making decisions. With both husband and wife taking such a hands-on approach to the renovation of their flat, their home could not be anything but unique and distinctively their own. It is an example of resourcefulness and creativity that bodes well for this younger generation of homeowners who are happy to boldly go where no one has gone before. L14 motoring THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 X-TRA SPORTY The big and tall BMW X6’s best attribute is its handling. By Samuel Ee N OW that everyone has got used to the way the BMW X6 looks, it seems the German luxury manufacturer has left the exterior styling untouched to concentrate instead on the interior for the latest iteration. The X6 sport-utility vehicle with the distinctive design is dubbed a Sport Activity Coupe by BMW – a so-called “coupe” version of the X5 Sport Activity Vehicle with more rakish styling. Notwithstanding its polarising looks, there has never been any argument about the X6’s dynamic handling. It may be 1.7 metres tall but it corners like a lower and sleeker 5 Series sedan. It comes as no surprise that a model with the BMW badge on the hood will han- MORE LUXURIOUS THAN BEFORE The X6 cabin looks more opulent with higher-grade leather and richer hues; the interior can be specified in a two-tone colour scheme with contrast stitching and nicer wood trim choices. There are more and bigger storage compartments, and an automatic tailgate is now a standard feature dle well. On the X6, this is enhanced by the xDrive full-time all-wheel-drive feature which varies the torque between the front and rear axles automatically to provide excellent grip. At the same time, torque vectoring adjusts the power to each of the rear wheels for more agility in corners. The brand new X6 is no different. This second-generation model X6 still has a lower roofline but it now comes with added comfort and luxury. It follows the same brief as the latest X5, which was re-positioned with a higher trim level and improved ride comfort. In the new X6, the materials and details are more luxurious than before, while retaining its overall size and original concept of a spirited drive. Yet, the SUV-coupe still manages to be lighter with even better boot space. But from behind the wheel of the X6 xDrive50i with the latest-generation 4.4-litre V8 turbocharged engine (said to be 22 per cent more frugal), the big BMW is surprisingly unenthusiastic when moving off from stationary, as if turbo lag and the nearly 2.2-tonne body are holding it back. When the eight-speed automatic transmission is left in D, the power delivery can occasionally accelerate with some difficulty at lower speeds. Progress improves when the gear lever is slotted in Sport position but it is by no means effortless, considering the more than generous 450 hp and whopping 650 Nm on tap. The Driving Experience Control function offers four driving modes – Eco Pro, Comfort, Sport and Sport+ – and the X6 performs best when both this and the gear lever are set to Sport (Sport+ engages Dynamic Traction Control which allows for more wheel slip and therefore more dynamic driving). In this mode, the steering becomes meatier but also more wooden. Inside, the X6 cabin immediately looks more opulent with higher-grade leather and richer hues. The interior can be specified in a two-tone colour scheme with contrast stitching and nicer wood trim choices. There are more and bigger storage compartments, and an automatic tailgate is now a standard feature. On the outside, the side steps add a stylishly sporty touch. But the cool-looking aluminium running boards with their rubber inserts may not appeal to everyone. They are too narrow to step on confidently, yet jut out enough to rub against your leg if you choose to avoid using them to enter or exit the tall X6. So despite its handling prowess, it looks like the BMW X6 SUV-coupe with its niche styling will appeal to a niche crowd. [email protected] SPECS BMW X6 xDrive50i Engine 4,395cc V8 turbocharged Gearbox 8-speed automatic transmission Max power 450 hp @ 5,500-6,000 rpm Max torque 650 Nm @ 2,000-4,500 rpm 0-100 kmh 4.8 secs Top speed 250 kmh CO2 emissions 225 g/km Average OMV from S$93,000 Price S$488,800 (with COE) Distributor Performance Motors Z 6319-0100 motoring L15 THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 I F the new Peugeot 308 had any skin or teeth, they would definitely be involved in its COE categorisation. Because with its turbocharged petrol engine producing 129 hp, the 308 slots neatly into Category A with just one hp to spare. And it is this 1.2-litre three-cylinder engine that has to be the most intriguing aspect of the second-generation 308 (unlike previous models, Peugeot retains the last digit of the nameplate instead of increasing it). Being small means it is a frugal unit, promising to consume as little as 5.1 litres per 100 km under the combined cycle, or an amazing 19.6 km per litre. But despite its size, it is able to muster up 230 Newton-metres of torque, delivered to the front wheels via a conventional six-speed automatic transmission. “1,200 cc” may not sound like much but the 308 will make most think again. Floor the accelerator and this tiny dynamo goes to work with minimal turbo lag. Press the S button on the lower centre console and the performance becomes even livelier with delayed upshifts. The gear lever can also shift manually, using the more intuitive forward-nudge-to-change-down logic, but selecting D is more than good enough for this box. It is hard to believe that three cylinders with a displacement of 400 cc each are capable of such torque and smoothness but a low kerb weight of 1,150 kg helps. At about 140 kg less than its predecessor, this lightweight 308 hatchback, or the Peugeot 308 1.2 Puretech Turbo EAT6 5-Door to be precise, also has attributes other than good performance and fuel economy. One of them is ride comfort. While the previous 308 had a firmer ride, this new 308 is slightly comfier but without the floaty pliancy of some French models. Its good blend of handling and comfort allows it to skim over rough roads while displaying good poise in fast corners. But it does feel a bit light when doing the latter, with its rear torsion beam suspension probably contributing to this. The well-weighted steering has wonderful feedback and its size plays a big role in its perception of agility. This tiny flat-bottomed steering wheel was first seen in the Peugeot 208 supermini and is one of the three elements of the French carmaker’s i-Cockpit interior concept. The other two are the raised instrument binnacle and the 9.7-inch touchscreen in the middle. The tachometer in the former is unique for being calibrated anti-clockwise. This is to ensure it will be readable whatever the height of the diminutive steering wheel. Together with the soft-touch dashboard and minimalist single button centre console (inspired by high-end hi-fi), the 308 interior is surprisingly classy, with the leather on the steering wheel and most of the metal trim nice to look at and touch. At 4.25 metres in length with a 2,620 mm wheelbase, the new 308 is actually very slightly shorter than its predecessor even though it is visually lengthened with a 10 mm increase in the wheelbase. The styling has Teutonic overtones and gone is the Gallic quirkiness of old, replaced by a welcome European distinctiveness. There are two trim levels – Active and Allure. The latter has more equipment, and given the low kerb weight, this affects emissions, consumption and zero to 100 kmh acceleration figures. The Allure also costs S$12,000 more, for nicer stuff such as keyless entry and start, GPS and reverse camera, a blind spot monitoring system, automatic parking, front sports seats and a panoramic glass roof, among others. But with or without these extras, the new Peugeot 308 should still be an amazing little number. [email protected] TINY DYNAMO Its good blend of handling and comfort allows the new Peugeot 308 to skim over rough roads while displaying good poise in fast corners. This number for a good time The 308 has a small engine but unexpectedly good performance. By Samuel Ee SPECS Peugeot 308 1.2 Puretech Turbo Engine 1,199cc 3-cyl turbocharged Gearbox 6-speed automatic transmission Max power 129 hp @ 5,500 rpm Max torque 230 Nm @ 1,750 rpm 0-100 kmh from 10.2 secs Top speed 200 kmh CO2 emissions from 117 g/km Average OMV from S$18,000 Price from S$113,900 (with COE) Distributor AutoFrance Z 6376-2288 L16 sports THE BUSINESS TIMES WEEKEND SATURDAY/SUNDAY, JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 1, 2015 no holds barred | EPL’s top two on collision course Lee U-Wen [email protected] @LeeUwenBT Correspondent T HERE is simply no rest for the weary, especially in a sport as demanding as football, as English Premier League (EPL) leaders Chelsea will soon find out. Jose Mourinho will lead his men out at Stamford Bridge on Saturday (1.30am Sunday, Singapore time) against the defending champions Manchester City, barely four days after surviving a bruising League Cup semi-final win over Liverpool that went into extra time. It took Chelsea 210 minutes in total to dispose of Liverpool over two legs and book their place in the League Cup final on March 1 at London’s Wembley Stadium. But that competition will have to take a back seat for now, with the Blues needing to rejig their starting line-up ahead of the visit of the second-placed Citizens for this tantalising top-of-the-table clash. Chelsea have the comfort of a commanding five-point lead over Manchester City, and will still be first in the standings no matter the final outcome of Saturday’s showdown. But try telling that to Mourinho, the wily Portuguese manager who will stop at nothing to expand that gap to eight points with just 15 more games to play. A win would also stamp his authority on a fascinating and simmering rivalry with his Manchester City counterpart, Manuel Pellegrini. The two coaches have a fractious relationship that dates all the way back to their respective stints in charge of Spanish club Real Madrid. Pellegrini lasted just one season in the Spanish capital where he failed to finish on top of Real’s perennial rivals Barcelona. He was sacked and replaced by Mourinho in the summer of 2010. Pellegrini went on to manage Malaga and Mourinho, ever the opportunist, couldn’t resist taking a jibe. “If Real Madrid were to fire me, I wouldn’t go to Malaga. I’d go to a top-level team in Italy or England,” he said. Pellegrini hasn’t forgotten those taunts. The measured and mild-mannered Chilean prefers to let his club’s results do the talking. The 61-year-old doesn’t smile that often, but even he had to ditch his usually sombre look last May when his talented Manchester City team stormed to a second EPL title with a late run of victories that left Chelsea and Liverpool eating their dust. Many will remember the last time that Chelsea and Manchester City, two of the biggest-spending clubs in England’s top division, met at Stamford Bridge in October 2013. SHOWDOWN Left: Chelsea have the comfort of a commanding five-point lead over Manchester City, and will still be first in the standings no matter the final outcome of Saturday’s game. Above left: A win for Jose Mourinho’s team would stamp his authority on a fascinating and simmering rivalry with his Manchester City counterpart, Manuel Pellegrini. PHOTOS: REUTERS, ACTION IMAGES It was Fernando Torres – a player who has since left Chelsea – who scored a late winner that day, after City’s talisman Sergio Aguero cancelled out Andre Schurrle’s first-half opener for Chelsea. Cue the raucous celebrations as Mourinho threw himself into the crowd in joy, as a disgusted Pellegrini left the pitch at the end without shaking his opponent’s hand. “I didn’t want to,” he muttered when asked by reporters whether he had gone to see Mourinho at the final whistle. Chelsea could, however, be without the services of the in-form Diego Costa, a player who has been in the news for all the wrong reasons of late. The league’s top scorer is likely to be banned after he was charged by the Football Association for appearing to stamp on Liverpool’s Emre Can in that League Cup victory on Tuesday. Another Spaniard, Cesc Fabregas, also limped out with a hamstring injury in that same match, but at least Mourinho can count on the evergreen Didier Drogba, the 36-year-old Ivorian striker who has six goals already but none in his last eight games. As for Manchester City, which have not won in the EPL since New Year’s Day, Pellegrini must mastermind a victory without his star midfielder Yaya Toure, who is busy with the Ivory Coast at the ongoing African Cup of Nations tournament in Equatorial Guinea. City can perhaps take a leaf from tiny Bradford City, the third-division team from West Yorkshire that sent Chelsea crashing out of the FA Cup last Saturday with a remarkable 4-2 result at Stamford Bridge. But Pellegrini himself wasn’t spared an FA Cup shock. His players were brought down to earth by second-tier Middlesbrough, which won 2-0 at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester. The early eliminations from English football’s oldest cup competition will only galvanise the two teams to go tooth and nail for the EPL crown. Even at this stage of the season, it is looking very much a two-horse race, with Southampton and Manchester United – third and fourth in the table respectively – looking too far behind to put up a decent fight. A Chelsea win on Saturday will almost certainly see the trophy move to London in May. If City wins, the title race could well go down to the wire. A draw won’t do either side any favours, so expect both managers to go for the jugular from the first minute.
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