From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today 3 | From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today Tomorrow’s consumers will be armed—and dangerous. From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today | 3 As power moves inexorably from seller to buyer and retailing morphs into “Me-tailing”, retail organizations will need much more than customer centricity and supply chain optimization to achieve high performance. Today’s consumers are demanding. But tomorrow’s consumers will be armed—and dangerous. Empowered by technology for unprecedented choice, they will demand products and services that meet a constantly shifting kaleidoscope of expectations, from convenience and affordability to a customized experience and sustainable sourcing. They will expect to access products and services from just about anywhere and at pretty much any time. And in their quest for instant gratification they will totally transform the retail industry. • Stores as we know them will no longer be relevant—many shoppers will never even visit one • Consumers will be able to shop seamlessly across multiple channels— and expect to find relevant content on all of them • “Fast fashion” will be the de facto industry standard—with dramatic consequences for store inventory levels • Supply chains will be optimized across the full product lifecycle—right through to disposal • Consumers themselves will help form the communities of talent required to service a vast diversity of new and constantly shifting demands 4 | From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today Stores as we know them will no longer be relevant—many shoppers will never even visit one Some stores will focus on the time-starved, others on the “green” consumer—and some stores will simply be showrooms. In the future, the sheer diversity of both shoppers and shopping trips will require a multiplicity of formats, each tailored to a specific local market. The name of the store game will be precision retailing. And successful stores will be those that leverage their closeness to customers to interpret demand signals— and swiftly act on them. Some stores will focus on the timestarved, others on the “green” consumer. Some will simply be showrooms—like, for example, Vogue magazine’s twist on pop-up retail, which allows visitors to try on items from the racks of clothes on display, receive advice from stylists and sample products from the perfume bar or make-up station. The store space sells nothing—but the information that attentive store staff can derive about customers’ preferences could prove invaluable to future sales prospects. People who actually bother to visit a physical retail space will be in search of an enjoyable and entertaining “experience”. They may patronize bookstores where they can meet stimulating authors, for example, or toy stores that let kids interact with their favorite toys and games, while in-store experts, both real and virtual, answer parents’ questions. Today’s shoppers are more than ready for the mobile and interactive technologies that can deliver this level of experience. Consider, for example, that almost three quarters of Europeans responding to a recent Accenture survey said they would use mobile phones in-store for product information scanning; and more than half agreed that being able to interact with an online product expert while in store would save them time. From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today | 5 Consumers will shop seamlessly across multiple channels—and expect to find relevant content on all of them Today’s consumers already enjoy 24/7 purchasing power, as well as almost total transparency over transactions. And they are beginning to abandon product “ownership” in favor of a “leasing lifestyle”, characterized by a footloose quest for access to fewer items closer to the point of need. In the future, Internet penetration will turn this multi-channel lifestyle, now mostly enjoyed by the so-called Millenial generation, born since 1980, into a global phenomenon. And this, of course, spells huge opportunities for start-ups, which we call “wildfire niches” because of the speed with which we expect them to spreadempowered by new technologies and serving a diversity of customer segments. Interconnected and using a single mobile device, do-it-yourself retail “grazers” will be able to configure their experiences from a variety of locations and via a diversity of channels, effectively “editing” their product choices. And if a product fails to fulfill their expectations—if that shirt they spotted someone wearing on the street or online turns out not to have been manufactured according to the exact environmental and ethical standards of their social networking group, for instance—they will search the product comparison websites or consult their networked “friends” worldwide for a better value proposition elsewhere. Leading retailers are already looking to capture increasingly elusive customers in imaginative ways. Consider the success of Zlio, for example, an online site that invites visitors to “create your own store” by selecting products from hundreds of Internet merchants, and earning money on each sale. The Swedish fast fashion giant H&M allows its customers to buy products from their camera phones. Dominos’ customers can order pizzas from the TV, as well as through cell phone apps and via Facebook. Staples Canada print shop uses experts channelled in, on-demand, to help the customer define the print job, mock up samples and place orders— an innovation that has also helped Staples expand their offering into more locations by solving a basic challenge in retailing—cost effectively providing each customer with the right expertise and personalized service at the moment of customer need. And one high-end apparel maker offers online buyers who can’t find the exact item they are looking for a close match—at a significant discount, which is also on offer to their networked friends. 6 | From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today The lifecycle of products will be significantly shorter, making product innovation an even more critical differentiator of high performance. From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today | 7 “Fast fashion” will be the de facto industry standard—with dramatic consequences for store inventory levels In the future, the lifecycle of products will be significantly shorter, making product innovation an even more critical differentiator of high performance. “Fast fashion”, in fact, will be the dominant business model— not just in apparel and consumer electronics, where it is already evident, but also in all other retail categories. Fast fashion will also necessitate more supple supply chains—a challenge for many. According to Miami-based Retail Systems Research, forecast does not match demand for most retailers. The proliferation of stock keeping units (SKUs) means that retailers are trying to edit a constantly increasing number of choices to stay relevant for the consumer. And Accenture estimates that many are making more than 80 percent of their inventory investments in store—an untenable situation with real estate costs steadily rising and retail space in increasingly short supply. In the future, the retail supply chain will be predicated on inventory arriving at the store shelf just as need arises. Replenishment orders will be placed and released on regular cycles—typically weekly or more. Lead times for domestic suppliers will be measured in hours or days. And forecasting, planning and replenishment systems will support real-time allocations and store need inventory management techniques— innovations that Accenture estimates will reduce in-store inventory by one third or more. The benefits of a successful fast fashion business model are numerous. Customers will see a visible difference on the store floor, inducing them to make more visits and thus boosting revenues. And a faster response to sales data will help boost production efficiency, fuelling sales and reducing markdowns. The model will help ensure full in-stock assortment for the hottest selling items and high in-stock rates on basics. It will separate and streamline the design function, encouraging timely and accurate handoffs between design and production. Production lead times should drop, thanks to the high utilization of common components. And vendor partnerships should strengthen. Some leading retailers are already leveraging consumer insight to move in the fast fashion direction. Witness the move by Target, the US-based general merchandise retailer, to expand its fast fashion concept from apparel to gardening, home decor and kitchenware. In the future, they will be able to combine this insight with deep analytical capabilities to identify the specific attributes of each product, determine its value to individual consumers and target assortments, thus customizing individual offerings. What’s more, fast-moving products will be stocked in smaller formats like vending machines or kiosks, which are not only more convenient for consumers but also more cost-effective for retailers. 8 | From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today Supply chains will be optimized across the full product lifecycle—right through to disposal Future resources will be even scarcer than they are today, and consumers correspondingly more valueconscious. Shoppers will take on more responsibility for reducing packaging and irresponsible production. But they will not be prepared to bear the full cost of sustainability. Retailers will need to institute cost-effective sustainability strategies of their own. And a supply chain optimized across the full product lifecycle, right through to disposal, will be critically important to that effort. The reusable and recyclable “bags for life” now issued by retail grocers including Tesco and Whole Foods Market, for example, will eventually evolve into refillable containers. We are already seeing the spread of rent and return, from high-end handbags to children’s toys. And we envision a time in the not too distant future when consumers will be able to stop by “refresh and refill” window chutes, stock up on basics and use mobile devices to pay for them. Resource constraints are changing behaviors already—and not just in Europe and the US, where the quest for sustainable products and environmentally responsible services has spawned a whole new sub-sector: Organic grocery. In Brazil, for example, Pão de Açúcar, the country’s biggest food retailer, has responded to shoppers’ growing concerns with ”green” stores that use 10 percent less water and 14 percent less energy. Retail will also need to become a more collaborative industry. Individual retailers will recognize the value of greater specialization, particularly in logistics, and supply chain specialization and segmentation will be commonplace—though a proliferation of distribution points will also necessitate shared logistics and other forms of collaboration. Consider the case of Meadowhall, a large mall in the UK, which has teamed with Clipper Logistics to manage an on-site distribution center that holds inventory for all stores in the mall. The collaboration has cut in-store inventories, shrunk the mall’s carbon footprint—and boosted sales by up to 10 percent in some categories. From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today | 9 Consumers themselves will help form communities of service talent In the future, consumer demands will be so diverse and complex that no single organization will be able to cater to all of them. Individual retailers will need to function more like agents. Consumers will look to them to “broker” products and channels. And that will spur many retailers to join together in strategic alliances, often with companies in other industries, most of which also want to “own” the consumer. Witness, for example, how the UK retail grocer Tesco has evolved into an aggregator of incremental products and services ranging from Tesco Finance (a joint venture with Bank of Scotland), through Tesco Mobile (with O2) to Tesco Travel, which is powered by LastMinute.com. The key demand will be for the sort of specialized, knowledge-based talent that can create value beyond distribution. That talent, moreover, will come from some unlikely sources—customers among them. Companies will start outsourcing for talent, a significant portion of which will be mobile, moving from retailer to retailer. And the development of “communities of talent” will involve employees working for multiple companies, sometimes, thanks to open sourcing, simultaneously. Google and Procter & Gamble have swapped employees on a temporary basis so that they can learn from each other. And Japan’s Otetsudai Networks allows anyone to register for employment by filling in core skills. Employers with short-term labor needs can enter a task description and matching registrants near the location who are available receive an alert to respond. Consumer demands will be so diverse and complex that no single organization will be able to cater to all of them. 10 | From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today Paths to high performance Accenture research and experience clearly show that Me-tailing, for all its challenges, also heralds exciting new opportunities for retail organizations to achieve profitable growth and high performance. Success will require extraordinary collaborative skills, as well as even clearer differentiation and much greater flexibility. It will also require retailers to demonstrate exceptional customer centricity and total mastery of rapidly emerging technologies. Nevertheless, those that can define a unique value proposition and adapt their brand to changing formats and their workforce to new skills will be able to position themselves well ahead of the game. To find out how Accenture can help you prepare for the Me-tail revolution, please contact: Janet L. Hoffman Global Managing Director, Accenture Retail Group San Francisco, California, US [email protected] Renee V. Sang Global Director, Accenture Customer Innovation Network; Senior Executive, Accenture Retail and Consumer Goods Chicago, Illinois, US [email protected] From Retail to “Me-tail”: Tomorrow Starts Today | 11 About Accenture Accenture is a global management consulting, technology services and outsourcing company, with more than 176,000 people serving clients in more than 120 countries. Combining unparalleled experience, comprehensive capabilities across all industries and business functions, and extensive research on the world’s most successful companies, Accenture collaborates with clients to help them become high-performance businesses and governments. The company generated net revenues of US$21.58 billion for the fiscal year ended Aug. 31, 2009. Its home page is www.accenture.com. Copyright © 2010 Accenture All rights reserved. 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