Stocktake our take on Australia’s retail landscape The outlook for retail in 2015 While Australian retailers are under pressure from globalisation of price, digital disruption and a steady influx of international retailers, Citi analyst Craig Woolford remains positive on retail spending this year. Craig shares his thoughts on where the retail environment is headed, the top retail trends for the next 12 months and the opportunities for retailers to innovate and connect with the consumer. With consumer confidence bouncing back largely due to crashing petrol prices and a fall in unemployment in December, it’s likely that the retail environment will remain healthy in 2015. “Last year we saw above average growth overall and all the ingredients are there for continued growth this year – lower petrol prices, lower living costs and less leakage to online retail – which will certainly help discretionary spending. There’s reason to be optimistic,” says Craig. Growth areas “One thing we know is that consumers are ready and willing to spend but they are selective about how they spend their money. Consumers continue spending up on food and eating out - the doubledigit sales growth in cafes and restaurants is clear evidence of that – as well as cosmetics and recreation,” he said. Household goods retailing and hardware were also winners in 2014 supported by a lift in housing activity and rising house prices, with high-value home appliances and furniture and bedding sales very healthy and this will more than likely continue this year. Active wear is another growth category. As one of the fastest growing categories in fashion, it’s definitely an area with lots of opportunities. Global eyes on Australia The globalisation of the Australian retail market will continue this year with a number of big international retailers expected to set up shop in Australia. There are rumours that British retail giant Marks & Spencer is eyeing off the Australian market and US furniture store Ashley Furniture is now open in Adelaide. With global players continuing to enter the market, and existing international retailers such as Sephora, H&M and Uniqlo looking to increase their footprint, Australian retailers will continue to face stiffer competition. “The continued globalisation of the Australian retail market really shows no sign of slowing down, which means that to remain competitive Australian retailers will need to respond with innovations of their own,” says Craig. He believes Australian retailers can do one of two things – lower their price points or differentiate themselves. “Historically we have seen Australian retailers leverage the fact that they have a better understanding of the market and a broader reach into regional areas. With indications that consumers are only responding to very deep discounts, Australian retailers need to shift towards innovation and exceptional service to compete with new global players.” The good news is that there is still likely to be an appetite for Australian brands, particularly unique Australian design that offers an alternative to the mainstream global brands. “It’s worth remembering that the entrance of international retailers forces local retailers to respond. Shoppers clearly like them and they encourage more awareness of retail, which is positive for the retail sector in general,” says Craig. Major motivators for consumers As consumer expectations change, brand experience and destination shopping will be important considerations for retailers. Right now, Craig says, the retail industry is about adaptation and embracing change. He expects more retailers to “be innovators and to invest in technology and to use it creatively”. “As physical stores and virtual stores merge, retailers who provide an interactive and immersive retail experience will be the winners.” He says there is increasing pressure on retailers to offer new services, to get creative with how they fulfil orders and to enrich the shopping experience. “As consumers become more experience-driven they expect retailers to keep up. Speed and convenience will become more important so retailers will need to think about better and faster ways to get their products to their customers. That means forward-thinking retailers will need to offer better fulfilment systems such as same- day delivery and click-and-collect and fast and exceptional customer service. “We’ll start to see retailers exploring ondemand retailing to connect with consumers in a personalised way. It’s all about making every customer’s experience unique and memorable.” Investment areas This is likely to be the year that retailers further adopt and experiment with technology as they continue to improve their customer’s shopping experience. “We’re likely to see retailers trying to find ways to bridge the gap between offline and digital channels. Technology will be a key driver of the evolution of the bricks and mortar store. “Retailers will be investing in IT, particularly updating existing online channels to provide a seamless customer purchasing journey. There will also be an emphasis on making it more secure and protecting consumer data.” What about wearables? While the wearable technology market has taken off in the health sector, with consumers embracing brands such as FitBit, Craig thinks “it’s unlikely we’ll see broad scale adaptation of this technology as an in-store retail technology any time soon”. However, he says, retail technology is moving forward at a rapid pace. Australia’s high adoption of smartphones makes mobile commerce an important initiative in 2015. In addition, the integration of the range of systems used by retailers will make a seamless experience easier for shoppers in store and online”. Retail in 2015 really boils down to one thing – improving the customer experience. Top five opportunities for 2015 • Continued spend on food and eating out • Differentiate your brand and offering from global players • Invest in technology and use it creatively • Fulfilment systems, same-day delivery and click-and-collect • Consumer engagement Stocktake – Summer 2015 Positive transformation The Australian retail industry is in for an exciting year. On the back of the strong sales in the last quarter of 2014, there’s certainly a renewed sense of optimism in many retail sectors. Last year we saw higher growth in specialties with food catering and retail services trading particularly well and these categories look likely to trend positively in 2015. New findings from Inside Retail’s annual survey suggest that around 50 per cent of retailers expect conditions to improve, a sentiment that we at Stockland share. and seeing your businesses expand through our portfolio. We’re particularly excited about the stage one openings of Wetherill Park and Baldivis in mid-March. As part of the $116 million redevelopment of Baldivis, Stockland commissioned two Australian street artists to create a distinctive public artwork on the eastern façade of the building. In just six days Brad Eastman and Kyle Hughes-Odgers created two bold and colourful murals that really reflect the Baldivis community. It’s an example of how Stockland strives to be the focal point of the communities we are in. Inside the newsletter, you’ll find an update on what’s happening at Wetherill Park, where we are creating a new benchmark for fresh food and entertainment. I have had some great experiences and been part of some great wins. One of my most satisfying achievements was becoming equal number one landlord for you to do business with. On a personal note, after seven years as a General Manager at Stockland, the last four years heading up Retail Leasing, the time is right for me to hand on the baton. I’d like to extend my thanks to all our hard working retail partners. I have thoroughly enjoyed working with you Tony Tsekouras Sarah Neilsen Dave Mylne Ashlee Hill Greg Masterson I’m incredibly proud of Stockland’s relationship with our retailers. John Schroder will announce my successor shortly. For now, you can contact your Regional Leasing Manager: Tony Tsekouras, Sarah Neilsen, Dave Mylne, Ashlee Hill or Greg Masterson. All the very best, Robyn Stubbs Regional Leasing Managers VIC/WA NSW North NSW South QLD QLD 0434 609 304 0409 460 643 0417 460 755 0419 667 305 0417 602 672 What’s ahead with a weakening Australian dollar? If there’s one thing that’s likely about the softer Australian dollar is that it’s here to stay, says David Rumbens from Deloitte Access Economics. “Australian retailers will need to accept that a lower Australian dollar will stick around. A quick return to parity with the US dollar is not likely, which means that upward cost pressures will eventually need to be passed on to the consumer to maintain sustainable retail margins,” he says. For retailers reliant on imports, the weaker dollar will introduce new cost pressures. While there are pricing challenges, David says the lower Australian dollar should increase the competitiveness of trade-exposed industries, which will stimulate economic activity and deliver some benefits to the retail sector. As well, he says retailers in Australia’s tourist regions, such as Cairns should enjoy some benefits from a lower Australian dollar over time. Retailers competing online for the shopper dollar against international rivals will also be more competitive on price and consumers are more likely to consider buying locally. “International online retailers pricing in foreign currency have instantly become less competitive against local retailers who may have sourced stock at more favourable exchange rates and might be applying some discretion as to when cost increases will be passed on to consumers. But with the Australian dollar set to remain low, this is not likely to last for too long,” he says. David expects the lower value of the Australian dollar to further encourage foreign retailers to expand their physical presence in Australia. “2014 showed us that international retailers see value in the Australian retail market, Deloitte’s Global Powers of Retailing 2015 report noted that Australian retailers will continue to face increasing competition from foreign retailers with many of the top 250 global retailers yet to set up operations in Australia but expected to do so over time. However, there is still reason for optimism as the healthy retail sales growth of 2014 is likely to extend into the early part of this year. Strategic partners for retail success Leading fashion retailer The Sussan Group and Australian owned and operated footwear retailer Spend-less Shoes talk to us about the strength in partnering with Stockland to facilitate both retail store and warehousing space for their operations. Mary McKay, Leasing Manager of The Sussan Group says that Stockland is “a strategic partner because they really understand our business needs and property requirements. They are interested in building a long-term relationship with us to identify solutions that will help our business prosper and generate ongoing productivity gains.” The Sussan Group has a warehouse in Yennora, Sydney and approximately 30 retail stores in the Stockland portfolio. With a warehouse in Port Adelaide Distribution Centre and 14 retail stores, John Charlton, Managing Director of Spendless Shoes explains despite challenging retail conditions, his operation in Adelaide is continuing to expand its retail footprint. “I am always able to work together with Stockland to find solutions for the ongoing changes and challenges the product and distribution business creates.” Stockland has grown its Logistics and Business Parks (formerly known as industrial) portfolio to 21 properties with over one million square metres of leased space valued at $1.6 billion. General Manager, Logistics and Business Parks, Tony D’Addona says “the recent acquisition of over $200 million of assets and land for new developments shows Stockland’s commitment to building strong tenant relationships that add value to their businesses.” Looking ahead, Stockland will continue to expand its portfolio to offer warehousing and land opportunities in strategic metropolitan locations with over 200,000 square metres of planned developments in Warwick Farm, Ingleburn and Penrith in NSW; Port Adelaide in South Australia; and Yatala in Queensland. To find out how we can help you with your property needs contact Robert MacKay, National Development Manager via [email protected] or 02 9035 3412. In conversation with Basil Artemides, CEO and Carol Skoufis, Creative Director Bardot Launched in 1996, Australia-owned Bardot has become a major player in the Australian retail fashion sector and is now recognised in key international markets. The company consists of two brands; Bardot and Bardot Junior. Much of Bardot’s success can be linked to its willingness to experiment and be creative. Today, Bardot has five stores in the Stockland portfolio and is soon to add another with the upcoming redevelopment of Stockland Wetherill Park. While there is no doubt that online shopping and competition from international brands has changed the retail landscape, Basil and Carol believe it is possible for bricks and mortar stores to stay relevant and to inspire customers. Basil and Carol share their thoughts on the importance of understanding your customers, creating a unique brand experience and the key growth areas for retailers. Or, how to turn browsers into buyers. Have you made any changes to your business structure to adapt to the current climate? A substantial and important change to Bardot’s day-to-day business operations has been the recent introduction of company intranet. It is now the main portal for all company communication and training and development. While its capabilities are wide ranging, it has played a key role in generating a two way dialogue between Bardot HQ and in store teams, employee induction and initiatives, delivering ongoing product knowledge and in capturing customer compliments and complaints. Also, the ability for Bardot employees to access the intranet via a mobile platform has had notable benefits. How has the digital era affected the way in which you market to your customers or gather customer insights? The current digital era has provided Bardot with a real opportunity to instantly connect with our customers. Blog posts and electronic direct mail provide platforms for immediate communication and social media provides us with direct consumer engagement – something that traditional above the line Tap into your customers’ thinking platforms have never been able to achieve. More so, advances in CRM software allow us to better understand our customers, their behaviours and their wants and needs. These insights have helped Bardot develop a new ecommerce site launching in March 2015. The new site will deliver a more intuitive and seamless user experience, greater agility allowing us to deliver more relevant content, worldwide delivery and, in the not too distant future, multi-channel distribution. What do you think consumers want from retailers these days and how has your business responded to their changing desires? We believe that, fundamentally, customers still enjoy the pleasure of purchasing. For Bardot, the customer always comes first. This has underpinned our decision to improve the customer experience. In short, continuing to deliver great styling combined with great quality, keeping pace with fast deliveries, significantly investing in new store design, expanding the average retail foot print and delivering a more intuitive and user friendly ecommerce site. Stockland Exchange is an online customer research community, which allows us to gain valuable insight from Stockland customers to anticipate trends and create shopping destinations that are relevant, significant and sustainable. As well as providing insight into retail trends and customer Basil Artemides - CEO Carol Skoufis - Creative Director, Bardot How will the movement in the Australian dollar affect the retail landscape and will it play a part in your business strategy over the next year? Bardot has enjoyed the benefits of the exchange rate over the past two years. It genuinely assisted us during difficult retail conditions and, for many of our retailing counterparts, afforded them the luxury of discounting. Moving forward, with a weaker Australian dollar, margins will be squeezed and the traditional manufacturing variables such as sourcing and production will come to the fore. Hence, the ability of retailers to discount during competitive periods will be challenged. Where do you see the key growth areas for retailers? The key growth areas for retailers are product and/or category extensions, new concepts that push the limits and, without doubt, omni-channel distribution. Omnichannel distribution is the way of the future however the challenge for retailers will be to redefine their supply chain strategies to match the paradigm shift in consumer demand. What was appealing about growing your portfolio with Stockland? Stockland has an astute awareness of local communities and a terrific understanding of our consumer. This has led to opportunities for growth in areas where Bardot did not previously have retail coverage, in particular key development areas. Successes have included Merrylands and Shellharbour and soon, we look forward to opening a new store at Wetherill Park. sentiments and expectations, Stockland Exchange is also a valuable forum for testing new ideas. We regularly conduct short surveys and host discussions to gather information that helps predict opportunities for retailers. Right now there are over 3300 community members aged between 18 and 86 years and around 2800 of these regularly shop in our centres. We’d like to share this research and insight with you. If you think we can help you with your research needs, feel free to get in touch with Claire Macleod, National Research Manager – Customer Insights at [email protected] Getting a slice of the action with Stockland Stockland is committed to supporting and growing businesses and franchise operations within its portfolio. Franchise financing is a major challenge, especially in regional markets, and Stockland is working on partnering with major banks to find a solution for the financial challenges that face any franchisee. Crust Gourmet Pizza is an example of a fast-growing franchise network that is reporting excellent growth at Stockland Merrylands, Point Cook Town Centre, Shellharbour, Jesmond, and Baldivis. Nishant Bhatt, Crust Gourmet Pizza franchisee at Stockland Merrylands says they were drawn to Stockland’s commitment to customer service and initiatives to support their business in the community. “We try to align with Stockland community values by sponsoring local schools and the NSW Street Smart programs in our local area. “We feel like we made the right decision in choosing Stockland Merrylands because it’s the perfect platform to support our business. The recent redevelopment of the centre has created a really unique shopping experience, which means lots of foot traffic and great exposure for us. We’ve had tremendous support from Stockland from day one and we’re trading really well,” said Bhatt. Stockland works hard to meet the expectations of its retailers explains Vanessa Knight, National Kiosk and Franchise Leasing Manager. “We’re delighted to spend time understanding the nuances of our retailers’ businesses so we can really drive business for them. Our shopping centres are highly productive, with strong franchise value and that makes it easier for new franchisees to hit the ground running knowing that they have chosen the right site for their business”. Talk to Stockland about finding a place for your franchise. Contact Vanessa Knight on 0414 338 044 or email: [email protected] Wetherill Park cooks up a storm Stockland is about to serve up the first stage of its $222 million redevelopment and expansion of Stockland Wetherill Park shopping centre. A number of restaurants are already open and cooking up a storm along the new alfresco dining precinct Kinchin Lane – Mad Mex, Grill’d, Viaggi and Rashay’s Pizza, Pasta & Grill are complete. The first Jamie Oliver’s Ministry of Food in NSW has also opened its doors and in January commenced hands-on classes teaching basic cooking skills. Customers are digging into the first real taste of the transformed centre, and are eager to see what’s on the menu in Stage Two. Stockland’s Development Manager, Justin Travlos, said “We’ve made great progress on the transformation of the centre over the past 18 months and we’re looking forward to delivering our vision for a vibrant new shopping, fresh food and entertainment destination in the heart of Western Sydney. Our new 500 space, multi-storey car park also opened in time for Christmas, making it easy and convenient for customers rediscovering our new and improved centre.” Customers are embracing the more sophisticated and authentic casual dining precinct. Romi Trad, Franchisee Owner, Rashay’s Pizza says, “Since opening our doors in the new Kinchin Lane at Stockland Wetherill Park, the response from the community has been even better then we could have dreamed. It is definitely an area that loves food and loves enjoying it with great company.” Grill’d founder Simon Crowe agrees and says “We’re excited to be opening in Kinchin Lane, given the significant transformation the centre is undergoing, it’s sure to be a popular lunch and dinner destination amongst locals.” “We expect that our restaurant will be a welcome new dining experience, and a healthy lunch and dinner alternative for locals,” said Simon. On completion in March 2016, the centre will have expanded by 15,000 square metres to create a shopping centre with a gross lettable area (GLA) of more than 70,000 square metres. Wetherill Park facts: • Two full-line supermarkets, (Woolworths and a new Coles) • Two full-line discount department stores, (Big W and Target) • A refurbished 12-screen Hoyts cinema supported by an expanded external restaurant, entertainment and leisure precinct • A new, separate 800-seat indoor-outdoor food court and an expanded fresh food precinct • 10 Mini Majors • 200 specialties, comprising 175 in-line shops and 25 kiosk sites, and 8 pad sites • 2700 car parking spaces For Leasing enquiries, please contact Steven Ellis on 0406 533 551 or visit www.wetherillparkleasing.com.au Stockland Corporation Ltd ACN 000 181 733 Head Office Level 25 133 Castlereagh Street Sydney NSW 2000 Your Say If there is a topic you’d like to hear about in future editions, or if you have feedback or wish to receive future newsletters via email, please contact the Editor. The Editor [email protected] Leasing Enquiries [email protected] Ph: 02 9035 2000 | stockland.com.au
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