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All rights reserved. “Opportunities Abound” KFH Research Ltd KDNPP15024/03/2015 (031903) 16 January 2015 Contents Overview 3 Non-Communicable Diseases on the Rise 4 Healthcare Provision 7 Pharmaceutical & Biotechnology 8 Key Challenges 9 Porter’s 5 Forces Analysis on Saudi Arabia Healthcare 11 Conclusion and Outlook 13 Appendix 1: Chart Analysis – Saudi Arabia Healthcare Indicators 14 Appendix 2: Saudi Arabia Ongoing Healthcare Projects 15 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Overview The healthcare sector represents a huge and growing market in Saudi Arabia, where spending as a proportion of the total national budget has more than doubled in recent years. The Saudi Ministry of Health has allocated USD100bln to a five year healthcare programme, with the intention of drawing on international best-practice to help provide top class, universal healthcare to its population. Saudi Arabia has the largest and one of the fastest growing populations in the GCC. In 2011, the population in the country stood at 28.4million, with an overall CAGR (2004- 2011) of 3.35% [Saudi Nationals: CAGR (2004-2011) 2.32%; Non-Saudi’s: CAGR (2004-2011) 5.54%]. Saudi Arabia: Projected Population Source: Collier International 2013, KFHR Males in Saudi Arabia constitute 55% of the total population, the majority of which belong to the 30-34 years of age category. The population below the age of 34 years accounts for about 60% of the total population in the country. The rapidly growing young population is one of the key factors driving demand for the healthcare sectors. As the profile of the country’s population change, the need for healthcare services both in terms of disease pattern, as well as type of healthcare services provided is also expected to change dramatically. Saudi Arabia: Age-Gender Distribution of Population Source: Ministry of Health, Colliers International 2013, KFHR Demand for healthcare services in the Saudi Arabia will continue to rise, backed by rapid population growth, a growing aging segment, and the prevalence of long-term non-communicable diseases. The rising demand in its healthcare has forced the government to increase its budget allocation on healthcare from SAR30bln in 2008 to SAR100bln in 2013. The cumulative investment has also increased to SAR73.7bln per annum (2009-2013) compared to only SAR23.5bln (2005-2008). In 2013, Saudi Arabia’s healthcare spending as percentage of GDP was estimated at 3.7%, one of the highest in the GCC countries. However, the country is still behind many developed nations in the world. © KFH Research Ltd 3 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Healthcare Spending as a % of GDP Source: UNDP2012, Colliers International 2013, KFHR Healthcare Budget in Saudi Arabia (SAR billion) Source: Ministry of Health 2010, Colliers International 2013, KFHR The government is the major healthcare provider in the country, contributing approximately 75% of the total healthcare spending. The government also had a 67% share in the total hospitals and 77% in the total hospital beds in the country in 2006. Non-Communicable Diseases on the Rise The improvement in the healthcare system played a vital role in bringing the infant mortality rate in the country (per 1,000 births) down to 7.9 in 2011 from 71 recorded in 1980. Life expectancy in Saudi Arabia averaged an estimated 75.3 years in 2011 (as compared to 62 years in 1980). The increase in life expectancy is indicative of a growing elderly society due to an improved healthcare system and also the increase in the requirement for medical healthcare facilities. Saudi Arabia: Life Expectancy at Birth, Infant Mortality, Fertility and Birth Rate Source: World Bank, KFHR © KFH Research Ltd 4 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Saudi Arabia has made some significant health gains over the past two decades, including increases in life expectancy and swift reductions in child mortality. However, despite the improvement shown by the health indicators, the chronic non-communicable diseases are on rise and are now the major cause of death among the elderly in Saudi Arabia. Overweight and obesity were highly prevalent in all GCC countries relative to the rest of the world. In Saudi Arabia, 69% of the population are overweight, and 33% are obese. Saudi Arabia: Adult Risk Factors Source: WHO, KFHR A strong economic growth, rapid urbanisation, lack of physical activity, unhealthy diets and increasing sedentary lifestyles are among the many factors that have led to a high prevalence of chronic conditions in the country. According to the World Health Organisation (WHO), in 2008, an alarming 68.8% females and 69.1% males were overweight while 28.6% male and 39.1 female were obese in Saudi Arabia. The prevalence of diabetes was also amongst the highest in the world with 23.8% of the total population (age 20-79) suffering from this disease in 2013, an increase from 16.7% in 2007. The WHO predicts that by 2030 there will be 2.5 million diabetes patients in Saudi Arabia. A large population of the country was also suffering from other chronic conditions such as asthma, hypertension and dementia. Top 5 Countries for Prevalence (%) of Diabetes (20-79 years) 2013 Source: International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas 2013, KFHR © KFH Research Ltd 5 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Regional Comparison for Diabetes (20-79 age group), 2010 and 2030 2010 Region Population (20-79) (million) No. of people with diabetes 2030 Comparative diabetes prevalence (%) (million) Population (20-79) (million) 2010/2030 No. of people with diabetes Comparative diabetes prevalence (million) (%) Increase in the no. of people with diabetes (%) AFR 379 12.1 3.8 653 23.9 4.7 98.1 EUR 646 55.4 6.9 659 66.5 8.1 20.0 MENA 344 26.6 9.3 533 51.7 10.8 93.9 NAC 320 37.4 10.2 390 53.2 12.1 42.4 SACA 287 18.0 6.6 382 29.6 7.8 65.1 SEA 838 58.7 7.6 1,200 101.0 9.1 72.1 WP 1,531 76.7 4.7 1,772 112.8 5.7 47.0 TOTAL 4,345 284.8 6.4 5,589 438.7 7.7 54.0 Source: The Global Burden: IDF Diabetes Atlas, KFHR. Note: Africa (AFR), Europe (EUR), Middle East and North Africa (MENA), North America and Caribbean (NAC), South & Central America (SACA), South East Asia (SEA), Western Pacific (WP). It is estimated that approximately 285 million people, or 6.4%, in the age group 20-79 will have diabetes worldwide in 2010. About 70% of these live in low-and middle-income countries. The worldwide estimate is expected to increase to some 438 million, or 7.7% of the adult population, by 2030. The largest increases will take place in the regions dominated by developing economies. Low levels of exercise, widespread consumption of fatty and salty foods and a high level of obesity will take their toll on the standard of health. Cardiovascular illnesses and diabetes are likely to remain key health problems. Healthcare Facilities and Infrastructure Source: Colliers International 2013, KFHR The high population growth rate combined with high prevalence of chronic diseases has resulted in a shortage of doctors, nurses, and beds in Saudi Arabia. Generally, the shortage is prevalent across all GCC countries, however, Saudi Arabia has the lowest number of beds and nurses and doctors per population even within the GCC. There are currently over 415 hospitals, both within the public and private sectors providing various healthcare facilities and treatment throughout the country. Almost 60% hospitals in Saudi Arabia and nearly 60% beds with an average of 138 beds per hospitals are owned by the Ministry of Health (MoH). Quasi-government hospitals meanwhile account for only 9.4% of total hospitals with an average of 280 beds per hospital (representing 18.8% of total beds). Approximately 30.6% of total hospitals are private with an average of 101 beds per hospitals which represents about 22.1% of total beds. © KFH Research Ltd 6 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Saudi Arabia: Hospital Type Source: Colliers International 2013, KFHR Healthcare Provision Healthcare Recruitment The doctor/patient ratio is 2.4 per 1,000 people, according to the health ministry, which is low in comparison with most OECD countries. Although the government has invested in medical training, expatriate doctors and nurses make up a large majority of the nurses and doctors working in the kingdom. According to the latest health ministry data, 25.4% of physicians, including dentists, were Saudi nationals at the end of 2012 (up from 22.6% in 2010), but just over 55% of nurses were Saudi (compared with 40% in 2006). The healthcare sectors ability to recruit is limited by "Saudiisation" quotas, which require firms to employ a certain proportion of Saudi nationals. According to reports, plans are in place to fully nationalise the healthcare workforce by 2018. The supply of trained Saudi healthcare workers will struggle to keep pace with the number of new hospitals being built. In an effort to address shortages in the sector, the health ministry has reached personnel and equipment training agreements with South Korea and the UK�s National Health Service. In addition, in February the health minister, Abdullah Rabia, announced that the kingdom would look to recruit extra physicians from Bangladesh. Hospital Beds and Doctors, International Comparison (2013) per 1,000 population 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Saudi Arabia Brazil China Germany India Russia US Source: EIU, Espicom, KFHR Hospitals and Clinics Most public hospitals are run by the health ministry. Several other public sector institutions operate hospitals for their employees, including the Ministry of Defence, the Ministry of the Interior, the National Guard, Saudi Aramco, the Royal Commission for Jubail and Yanbu (Marafiq), Saudi Airlines and some universities. There were 435 hospitals at the end of 2012: 259 under the health ministry, 39 under other government agencies and 137 private hospitals. Overcrowding is a major problem in urban areas, where population growth has outstripped the pace of hospital construction. The government is currently pursuing an extremely ambitious hospital construction programme, which will eventually increase the total number of hospitals operated by the health ministry to 354. © KFH Research Ltd 7 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” The ministry is also seeking to build five "medical cities", spread across the country. The cities will focus on specialist treatments, complicated surgeries and rare diseases. The rapid rate of hospital construction is causing problems, however, in terms of both restrictions on manpower and bureaucratic constraints at the health ministry (the latter of which is being addressed by bringing in outside project managers from abroad and by the setting up of a data centre to allow the sharing of information between health centres and government agencies). There is a well-established private hospital-management sector in Saudi Arabia, with around 140 facilities currently run by the likes of Saudi German Hospital Group, Kingdom Holding and the Saad Group. However, it will prove difficult to attract sufficient private investment into rural areas. Besides hospitals, there are also 2,109 smaller health clinics across the country, with more than half of these including a dental surgery. In an effort to improve cohesion in national health strategy, the Supreme Health Services Council was established in 2010 to coordinate healthcare policy. Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology The pharmaceutical market is worth an estimated USD5.35bln in 2013, compared with USD6.4bln in Egypt, for example. Nevertheless, the Saudi pharmaceutical market remains the largest of the Gulf Arab states. It is expected that the pharmaceutical market will expand by 6.3% a year to reach USD7.3bln in 2018, equivalent to USD215 per head and faster than overall growth in health spending. Nevertheless, cost restraint, including in the purchase of medicines, is likely to be encouraged by the recent setting up of a pharmacoeconomic and outcome research centre, which will be charged with curbing public healthcare expenditure. Branded products are more popular than generics, with a survey by Dubai-based Alpen Capital in 2013 finding that 52% of Saudis prefer to buy Western branded drugs than those produced in the Middle East. Sales of medical devices are set to increase, mainly led by international suppliers. In 2012 a new medical device approval system was introduced, through which the Saudi regulator would not require companies with existing registrations in the US, Europe and elsewhere to meet a host of new national criteria. It is believed that around 35% of pharmaceuticals (by value) are purchased by the government, with the health ministry the single largest buyer in the country. The remaining 65% are bought by the private sector. Over-the-counter (OTC) medication can only be purchased at licensed pharmacies. Up to 85% of total pharmaceutical sales come from abroad, of which the private sector typically purchases around two-thirds. Saudi Arabia’s Pharmaceutical Sales 7,000 USD Million 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014f 2015f 2016f Source: EIU, KFHR Pricing In 2007 the government set up a public-sector company, the National Unified Procurement Company for Medical Supplies (Nupco), to be the sole supplier of medicines and medical appliances to Saudi government institutions. The kingdom�s existing medical import and distribution firms have complained that Nupco is driving them out of business, as they cannot compete on scale. Price controls are an issue for exporters into Saudi Arabia. Since © KFH Research Ltd 8 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” July 2009 setting local retail prices for all imported drugs has been the responsibility of the Saudi Food and Drug Authority (SFDA). Among other methods, the SFDA benchmarks prices against international norms, and it has set up an electronic database to assist in the process. Generics According to the SFDA, generics account for only 6% of the Saudi pharmaceutical market, with branded medications (mostly comprising imports) making up 83% of the total and OTC medicines comprising the remainder. Generics are mostly produced locally, and local firms concentrate on generic production, sometimes exporting to other Middle Eastern countries. Spiralling healthcare costs are likely to push government procurement towards cheaper generics over time. Saudi Arabia also has potential as a regional supply hub. In late 2011 a UAE-based firm, Gulf Pharmaceutical Industries, announced a joint venture with a Saudi company, Cigalah Group, which will include building a factory in the King Abdullah Economic City (KAEC) to produce branded generic drugs. Pharma and biotech supply dynamics The local pharmaceutical industry supplies only around 15% of the market. Local firms mainly produce generic products, but the government is seeking to encourage research and development in the country. Saudi Arabia imported pharmaceuticals worth USD4.48bln in 2012, up by 16.9% y-o-y. Most imports come from Europe, but there may be rising demand for low-cost generics from emerging markets owing to price competitiveness. Saudi Arabia is also a modest but growing exporter of pharmaceuticals, with the value of exports rising from USD235mln in 2010 to USD307mln in 2012. The leading local pharmaceutical firm is GlaxoSmithKline of the UK, which operates a joint venture with the Banaja Saudi Import Company. The joint venture has a market share of around 10%. The largest Saudi-owned manufacturer is the Saudi Pharmaceutical Industries & Medical Appliances Corporation (Spimaco). Spimaco accounts for 72% of private-sector drug sales in the domestic market. Domestic pharmaceutical manufacturing is set to expand now that foreign pharmaceutical companies can manufacture drugs in the country with 100% ownership. Sanofi was the first company in the kingdom to take advantage of this reform, by building a factory in the KAEC to produce oral anti-diabetic and cardiovascular products. The KAEC, north of Jeddah, has succeeded in attracting international pharmaceutical firms to participate in manufacturing joint ventures. As well as Sanofi, this includes Shamla Pharmaceuticals Industries (a partnership that includes a Saudi firm, Zimmo Trading) and, most recently, Pfizer. The government is also looking to encourage investment in biotechnology. With that in mind, the Jeddah BioCity complex (located in King Abdulaziz University) has been created. In addition, in December 2013 the King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology and US-based Life Technologies launched the Saudi Human Genome Programme, designed to provide a genetic database for the Saudi population in order to trace and treat diseases in the kingdom. It is also now possible for foreign firms to operate pharmacies in the country. A Dubaibased chain, Planet Pharmacy, has expanded into Saudi Arabia, trading under the name Zahrat al-Rawdah. Despite Saudi Arabia’s success in attracting investment, the development of the domestic pharmaceutical industry is constrained by weak copyright protection, extensive counterfeiting and a cumbersome approvals process. Key Challenges While many steps have been undertaken by the MoH to reform the Saudi Arabia health care system, a number of challenges remain. These relate to the health workforce, financing and expenditure, changing patterns of diseases, accessibility to health care services, introducing the cooperative health insurance scheme, privatisation of public hospitals, and utilisation of electronic health (e-health) strategies and the development of a national system for health information. © KFH Research Ltd 9 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Saudi Arabia Healthcare System: Key Challenges Source: KFHR The Saudi health care system is mainly challenged by the shortage of local health care professionals, such as physicians, nurses and pharmacists. The majority of health personnel are expatriates and this leads to a high rate of turnover and instability in the workforce. In 2012, according to the MOH the total health workforce in Saudi Arabia, including all other sectors, was about 71,518; more than half of them (35,841) work in the MOH. Saudis constitute 24.2% of this total workforce. Of these, 23.8% are physicians, while 36.2% are nurses. Saudi Arabia: Total Health Workforce (2012) Number of Health Workforce 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 MoH Government Saudi Private Non-Saudi Source: Ministry of Health, Health Statistics Annual Book 2012, KFHR 160000 40 140000 35 120000 30 100000 25 80000 20 60000 15 40000 10 20000 5 0 % of Saudi Number of workforce Saudi Arabia: Total Number of Physicians and Nurses 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Physicians Nurses Physicians % of Saudi (RHS) Nurses % of Saudi (RHS) Source: Ministry of Health, Health Statistics Annual Book 2012, KFHR © KFH Research Ltd 10 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” The change in disease patterns from communicable to non-communicable diseases in Saudi Arabia is another challenge that needs more attention from the MOH. There has been an alarming increase in the prevalence of chronic diseases, such as diabetes, hypertension, and heart diseases, cancer, genetic blood disorders and childhood obesity. Treatment of chronic diseases is costly and may even be ineffective. For example, the annual cost for treatment of diabetes mellitus in Saudi Arabia was estimated to be SAR7bln (USD1.87bln). Early prevention is the most effective way to reduce the prevalence of chronic diseases and the costs and difficulties associated with treatment in the later stages of disease. Any projected reforms in the health care system must involve plans to address this change in emphasis. Porter’s 5 Forces Analysis on Saudi Arabia Healthcare We use Porter’s 5 forces industry analysis to determine the industry’s attractiveness based on a) Intensity of competitive rivalry; nature & level of competition b) barriers to new entrants; high or low, c) substitution effect; level of similarities in products & services, d) buyers’ bargaining power; ability of consumer to negotiate prices; and e) suppliers’ bargain power; industry players’ ability to negotiate the suppliers of key inputs. Overall, Porter’s five forces analysis shows that the Saudi Arabia Healthcare industry is an ‘attractive’ market with ample growth opportunities, in the following areas i.e. geographical expansion, infrastructure development, medical training and wider health insurance. 1. Rivalry Intensity – Low We consider the following key factors to evaluate the intensity of competitive rivalry among the Kingdom’s existing medical complexes: • Pricing • Brand name • Medical facilities at the premises • Geographical presence We believe the pricing is a major concern for those customers who have mandatory health insurance or have no private health insurance (mainly Saudi citizen; who have only government insurance if not working in private sector). However, those customers having good health insurance coverage (whether Saudi citizen or non-Saudi citizen) are more focusing on brand name and other facilities (including quality of physicians). Hence, we believe the intensity of rivalry on prices is high on low-end medical complexes; whereas, the brand name & other facilities are more important for high-end (who have high medical expenditure power). On the other hand, due to limited presence of big high class medical facilities (mainly concentrated in three big cities in Saudi Arabia (i.e. Riyadh, Dammam and Jeddah) the rivalry, at present, in high-end segment of sector is low. This could be capitalised by the new players through expansions. Furthermore, the intensity of rivalry based on geographical presence is high in small low-class medical facilities; since, the business of these small low-class medical facilities is mainly based on ease of access. It should be noted that the focus on medical services is limited at low-class small medical complexes; as people are using these facilities for the treatment of general diseases. It is our view that the limited availability of high-class and low-class specialized hospitals limits the intensity of rivalry. The rivalry on pricing is also not much effective on high-class (where the customers have good health insurance policies) with limited supply of quality physicians & medical staff leaving the customers with limited choices. We, therefore, can conclude that overall the industry has a low intensity of rivalry. 2. Threat to New Entrants – Medium to High The entry barriers in Saudi Arabia’s healthcare industry vary depending on the nature of medical facilities. Specialised, large-to-medium hospitals have medium to high entry barriers due to the following requirements: 1. Highly specialised physicians and medical staff, 2. High capital investment (around SAR0.5bln on average) to accommodate all facilities, and 3. Ideal location to optimise the coverage. Meanwhile, polyclinics & dispensaries have low to medium entry barriers due to the following reasons: 1. Average doctors and medical staff are easily © KFH Research Ltd 11 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” available, 2. Less capital incentive, and 3. Easy to find location in nearby localities. It should be noted that the approval for opening a new medical facility (whether specialised, general or small hospital) is not an easy task. Moreover, creating & maintaining a reputation is also a big challenge in the medical healthcare field. Beside these factors, the new regulation regarding ownership of hospital or medical complex by a local doctor increases the barrier to entry. The major impact will be on the private and small medical facilities (i.e. mostly polyclinics). Based on the above identified factors, we can conclude that the Saudi Arabia medical health care sector has a medium to high entry barriers which makes the industry more attractive to existing players. 3. Substitution Effect – Low The end services of the industry are unique in nature and have no substitutes; unless the local authority will allow alternative medics to penetrate in the market. However, inside the sector, the following factors can make one medical complex a substitute to the other: • Quality of physicians - It should be noted that the quality physicians are scarce in the kingdom; hence, this factor makes a real difference among the existing players. The limited number of physicians limits the impact of substitution. • Medical service differentiation - Medical services are almost similar to each other and vary slightly from one medical complex to another. The main difference is perception & discounts due to insurance policies. However, we can say (in case of general illness) that the polyclinics could be a good substitute of low-level hospitals; on cost & benefit analysis. We, therefore, believe the substitution effect is high on low end; while on high end the effect is limited. • Proximity - Proximity is the main issue associated with large-to medium medical facilities rather than small & low level medical complexes. Hence, this factor limits the substitution effect on wide scale. • Wider health insurance policy - We believe health insurance policy in the kingdom is under evolution stage. Hence, this limits the substitution effect on the sector, for the time being; where, the widening of health insurance policy could accelerate the substituting effect. • Nature of illness - Seriousness of disease limits the options for customers (patients). Thus, the substitution effect inside the industry is low thus making the industry more attractive for existing players to maximise their profitability. 4. Buyer’s Negotiation Power – Low It should be noted that the nature of disease and bargaining power in the healthcare industry has an inverse relationship i.e. higher the seriousness of the disease, the lower the bargaining power. Nevertheless (when the seriousness of disease is low) the customers’ negotiation power varies according to the insurance policies. Further, the limited availability of physicians also puts a limit to the buyers’ negotiation power. Hence, based on the nature of the industry’s business we believe the buyer’s (i.e. patients) have low bargaining power. This makes the industry attractive to existing players. 5. Suppliers’ Negotiation Power – Low to Medium The sector’s suppliers can be categorised into the following two categories: 1. Recruitment agencies providing physicians & medical staff and 2. Medical equipment & supplies manufacturers. The negotiation power of recruitment agencies is higher because they recruit talent which is scarce in the kingdom. On the other hand, the negotiation power of the manufacturer of medical supplies & equipment is low (except for highly sophisticated machines) as the products are highly commoditised and the medical facilities have number of supply sources. Overall, we believe the supplier power in the medical healthcare industry ranges from low to medium which makes the industry attractive to existing players. © KFH Research Ltd 12 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Conclusion and Outlook The Government of Saudi Arabia continues to allocate a large pool of funds towards the development of the healthcare sector along with providing initiatives for the private sector operators to enter the healthcare market in the Kingdom. The surge in population, which shows no sign of slowing down, further contributes towards strong fundamentals for growth and the evident supply gap. Private hospitals will continue to play an even more important and crucial role within the Kingdom. Emergence of lifestyle related diseases such as diabetes, hypertension, obesity, heart (cardiovascular) and kidney (dialyses) has created new opportunities for growth and the private sector is gradually expected to play the role of main providers for these segments. The delivery of healthcare in the Kingdom and around the world continues to evolve as the needs of healthcare provider become increasingly complex. Trends and industry changes requires investors and operators of healthcare facilities to make challenging decisions. Despite improvements in healthcare systems across the Kingdom, the healthcare sector still offers significant opportunities for investors / operators. We believe that due to strong growth fundamentals coupled with the increasing population and regulatory changes the sector is expected to experience robust growth in the foreseeable future. Healthcare Expenditure – Global and GCC Positioning Source: World Health Organization – Word health statistics 2012 Healthcare Medical Services Sector - Global & GCC Positioning Source: World Health Organization – Word health statistics 2012 © KFH Research Ltd 13 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Appendix 1: Chart Analysis: Saudi Arabia Healthcare Indicators Saudi Arabia: Total Manpower in MOH Health Centres by Nationality Saudi Arabia: Number of Hospitals by Type (2010) 35000 Private 31% 30000 25000 20000 15000 Ministry of Health 60% 10000 5000 0 MoH Government Saudi Quasi Government 9% Private Non-Saudi Saudi Arabia: Total Health Expenditure (THE) % Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Saudi Arabia: Total Number of Hospitals and Beds in all Health Sectors 440 62000 4 430 60000 Number of Hospitals 4.5 3.5 3 % 2.5 2 1.5 420 54000 390 52000 370 0.5 50000 2008 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2009 2010 Number of Hospitals 2011 Saudi Arabia: Life Expectancy at Birth (years) 2011 2012 Numbe of Beds (RHS) Saudi Arabia: Mortality Rate, Infant (per 1,000 birth) 50 76 74 72 70 68 66 64 Per 1,000 birth Years 56000 400 380 1 40 30 20 10 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 World World Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia: Total Fertility Rate Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia: Birth Rate 3.5 25 Per 1000 people 3 Birth per women 58000 410 Number of Beds Number of Health Workforce 40000 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 20 15 10 5 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 2004 2005 2006 World 2007 2008 Saudi Arabia 2009 2010 2011 World Saudi Arabia Sources: Ministry of Health: Health Statistical Annual Book 2012, World Bank, WHO, KFHR © KFH Research Ltd 14 Saudi Arabia Healthcare “Opportunities Abound” Appendix 2: Saudi Arabia Ongoing Healthcare Projects Saudi Arabia: On-going Healthcare Projects Project Name Saudi MOH - King Abdullah Medical City Saudi Arabia MHE - Qassim University - University Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - Al Sharaie Hospital Project Type Standalone Standalone Standalone KFSHRC - King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center Expansion Standalone 900,000,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - King Faisal Medical City Saudi Arabia MOH - Yanbu General Hospital Dialysis Center Saudi Arabia MOH - Al Iman Medical Tower Saudi Arabia MOH - Jazan Specialized Hospital Master Standalone Standalone Standalone 1,000,000,000 4,900,000 59,000,000 192,000,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - Primary Health Care Centers in Asir - Group 1 Standalone 12,600,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - Primary Health Care Centers in Asir - Group 2 Standalone 11,300,000 Saudi MOH - King Khalid Medical City Saudi Arabia MOH - Al Jumum Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - Khamis Mushayt Hospital Al Mouwasat - Al Mouwasat Riyadh Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - King Faisal Medical City - Phase 1 Saudi arabia MOH - Al Mahani General Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - Ar'ar Dialysis Center Saudi Arabia MOH - Al Darb Hospital in Jazan Saudi Arabia MOH - Rijal Almaa Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - Baqeeq General Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - Hail Maternity and Children Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - Tabuk Maternity and Children Medical Tower Saudi Arabia MOH - Hail Specialized Hospital Saudi Arabia MOHE - Rabigh General Hospital Phase 1 Saudi Arabia MOH - Hail Center Dialysis Saudi Arabia MOH - Al Laith and Al Mekhwat Hospitals Saudi Arabia MOH - Regional Laboratory, Blood Bank and Poisons Center in Al Jawf Saudi Arabia MOH - Regional Laboratory, Blood Bank and Poisons Center in Jazan NGHA - KSU Children Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - King Fahed Hospital - Kidney Center Expansion Saudi Arabia MOH - Hail Hospital Saudi Arabia MOHE - Tabuk University Hospital - Phase 1 Saudi Arabia MOH - King Abdullah Center For Tumor and Liver Diseases Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Package Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone 1,200,000,000 60,000,000 67,000,000 43,000,000 171,000,000 10,200,000 4,000,000 49,400,000 54,000,000 40,000,000 105,000,000 104,000,000 160,000,000 107,200,000 4,300,000 46,000,000 15,300,000 15,400,000 32,000,000 12,456,000 75,000,000 107,000,000 242,000,000 Saudi Arabia MoH - King Fahad Medical City - 6 Residential Towers Standalone 120,000,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - Al Majardah Health Care Center Saudi Arabia MOH - Aseer Specialized Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - Maternity and Children Medical Tower Saudi Arabia MOH - Prince Salman Medical Tower Saudi Arabia MOH - Sakaka Maternity and Women Hospital Saudi Arabia MOHE - Al Baha University Hospital - Phase 1 Saudi Arabia MOH - Tabuk 13 Health Care Centers Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone 1,600,000 171,000,000 101,000,000 42,000,000 67,000,000 109,000,000 14,127,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - 5 Health Care Centers in the Northern Region Standalone 5,000,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - 9 Primary Health Care Centers Standalone 9,300,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - Regional Laboratory, Blood Bank and Poisons Center in Aseer Saudi MOHE - Damam University Hospital Standalone Standalone 15,300,000 133,000,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - Health Care Centers in Medina - Group 1 Standalone 7,100,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - Health Care Centers in Medina - Group 2 Standalone 6,100,000 Standalone 317,000,000 Package Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Standalone Master Package Package 154,654,920 107,000,000 88,441,841 157,000,000 111,000,000 3,425,339 1,300,000,000 373,300,000 250,000,000 Saudi Arabia MOH - National Center for Neuroscience, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Heart Center Laboratories Buildings Saudi Arabia MOH - Prince Mohammad Bin Abdulaziz Medical City - Phase 1 Saudi Arabia MOHE - Al Hudud Ash Shamaliyah University Hospital - Phase 1 Saudi Arabia MOH - Jazan Maternity and Women Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - King Saud Surgical Medical Tower Saudi Arabia MOH - Al Miqat Hospital Saudi Arabia MOH - 3 Health Care Centers - Phase 4 Saudi Arabia MoH - King Fahad Medical City Expansion Saudi Arabia MoH - King Fahad Medical City Expansion - Cancer Center / Proton Therapy Saudi Arabia MoH - King Fahad Medical City Expansion - Cardiac Center Project Value (USD 5,333,200,000 133,000,000 149,327,304 Facility Type Medical city Hospital Hospital Hospital and research center Medical City Dialysis Center Hospital Hospital Health Care Centers Health Care Centers Medical City Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Dialysis Center Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Center Dialysis Hospitals Healthcare Center Healthcare Center Hospital Kidney Center Hospital Hospital Hospital Residential towers Health Center Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Health Center Health Care Centers Health Care Centers Healthcare Center Hospital Health Care Center Health Care Center Completion Date 2015 2016 2016 Building, Bridge Q4 2015 Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Hospital Q4 2015 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q4 2016 Sep 2014 Sep 2015 Sep 2015 Sep 2015 Sep 2015 Saudi Arabia MoH - King Fahad Medical City Expansion - Central Services Building Package Saudi Arabia MoH - King Fahad Medical City Expansion - Cochlear Implant Center Package Saudi Arabia MoH - King Fahad Medical City Expansion - Neuroscience Center Package Cancer center Cardiac Center Healthcare 80,000,000 building Healthcare 41,062,000 building 293,304,000 Healthcare center Saudi Arabia MoH - King Fahad Medical City Expansion - Research Laboratory and Consultant Offices Package 213,308,000 Clinics and offices 2017 2021 Apr 2014 Apr 2015 Apr 2015 Aug 2014 Aug 2014 Aug 2017 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Feb 2014 Feb 2015 Jan 2014 Jan 2014 Jan 2016 Jan 2016 Jun 2015 Jun 2015 Jun 2015 Jun 2016 Jun 2017 Mar 2014 May 2014 May 2015 May 2015 Q1 2014 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2014 Q2 2014 Q2 2015 Q2 2015 Q2 2015 Q2 2015 Q2 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2015 Q4 2015 Sep 2015 Sep 2015 Sep 2015 Sep 2015 Source: Zawya, KFHR © KFH Research Ltd 15 Contents Overview 3 Non-Communicable Diseases on the Rise 4 Healthcare Provision 7 Pharmaceutical & Biotechnology 8 Key Challenges 9 Porter’s 5 Forces Analysis on Saudi Arabia Healthcare 11 Conclusion and Outlook 13 Appendix 1: Chart Analysis – Saudi Arabia Healthcare Indicators 14 Appendix 2: Saudi Arabia Ongoing Healthcare Projects 15 Disclaimer & Disclosure By accepting this publication you agree to be bound by the foregoing terms and conditions. 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