MARKETVIEW Phuket Hotel, Q4 2014 Chinese arrivals to Phuket increased by 41% Y-o-Y in December Occupancy +14.6% q-o-q ADR (THB) +48.2% q-o-q QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS • Occupancy of upscale hotels (with average The tourism industry in 2014 was affected by the political unrest. The number of international tourists to Thailand decreased by between THB 2,000 and 6.7% Y-o-Y from 26,556,397 arrivals in 2013 to THB 10,000) increased slightly from the same 24,779,768 in 2014, meanwhile the number of period last year by 0.9 percentage points to international tourist arrivals disembarking at around 70%. Phuket International airport increased slightly daily room rates • REVPAR (THB) +98.0% q-o-q The Average Daily Rate (ADR) of upscale by 1.1% Y-o-Y. hotels in Q4 dropped compared to the same period last year. • Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR) has decreased Y-o-Y by 5% due to the decrease in the average daily rate. • Total hotel supply is expected to increase by around 22% by the end of 2018. OUTLOOK We expect to see an improvement of hotel performance in Phuket in 2015. However, there are some challenges facing the market. The Phuket hotel market has become increasingly dependent on the Chinese market which will create challenges with danger of hotels being dominated by a single nationality of guests deterring other nationality guests. New supply and competition from other West Coast destinations such as Khao Lak will possibly restrict growth in Phuket occupancy and potential for room rate growth. Q4 2014 CBRE Research Direct international flights to Phuket helped insulate the destination from the negative effect of unrest in Bangkok. The growth in the number was driven by an increase in number of East Asian tourist arrivals by 11.5% Y-o-Y. The European market has been affected negatively mainly due to 20% depreciation of Euro and 50% depreciation of Rouble, resulting in a decrease in the number of European tourists by 7.2% Y-o-Y. The key highlight of the quarter was the rapid increase in Chinese arrivals. Chinese direct arrival’s increased by 25% Y-o-Y and China is now Phuket’s biggest feeder market accounting for 20% of total direct arrivals. We expect to see a continued increase in tourist arrivals especially from China which should result in improved hotel performance. © 2015 CB Richard Ellis (Thailand) Co., Ltd. | 1 M A R K E T V I E W PHUKET HOTEL TOURIST ARRIVALS TO PHUKET BY COUNTRY RANK COUNTRY Q4 2014 % CHANGE Y-O-Y 1 China 250,671 25% 2 Russia 178,474 -14% 3 Australia 63,603 -2% 4 Korea 53,388 -20% 5 Malaysia 34,477 5% 6 Singapore 33,990 4% 7 United Kingdom 31,788 7% 8 Germany 27,225 -1% 9 Sweden 24,820 -16% 10 France 19,304 28% Source: Office of Tourism Development Although the number of international tourist arrivals disembarking at Phuket International Airport increased in 2014, the performance of Phuket hotels was subdued. The average occupancy rate of upscale hotels in Phuket (ADRs of over THB 2,000) decreased slightly by 0.8 percentage points year on year in 2014. Most hoteliers in Phuket were not able to increase rate in 2014, with only the luxury hotels were able to increase their room rates by 3.8% Y-o-Y. Total International Passenger Arrivals at Phuket International Airport, 2004-2014 No. of Passenger Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 No. of Passenger 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 In terms of future hotel developments, 500,000 eleven hotels are expected to be completed in 0 2015, adding another 2,000 keys to the 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 current stock. The rate of future hotel growth has slowed down with 3,700 keys expected to be completed by the end of Source: Office of Tourism Development 2018, representing an increase of 22.0%. Q4 2014 CBRE Research © 2015 CB Richard Ellis (Thailand) Co., Ltd. | 2 M A R K E T V I E W PHUKET HOTEL QUARTERLY REPORTS Phuket Property Report The Phuket Property Report, the latest quarterly subscription report by CBRE Research in Thailand, is an initiative designed to bring professional analysis and transparency to the growing Phuket property market. The report provides detailed information and analysis from CBRE’s comprehensive and unrivalled Phuket and overall Thailand database, combined with our own exhaustive market and property surveys. Bangkok Property Report The Bangkok Property Report, now in its 18th year, is CBRE Thailand’s flagship quarterly subscription publication, with data from a tried and tested database reinforcing its reputation as Bangkok’s definitive property sector source. The Bangkok Property Report provides in-depth analysis of the Bangkok real estate market, including property supply and demand, occupancy, take-up, prices, rental trends and other indicators. CONTACTS FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THIS PHUKET HOTEL MARKETVIEW, PLEASE CONTACT: CBRE Research, Thailand CBRE Consulting, Thailand James Pitchon Executive Director 46th Floor, CRC Tower, All Seasons Place, 87/2 Wireless Road, Lumpini, Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330 t: +66 (0)2 119 2901 e: [email protected] Varoot Vongvarotai Analyst 46th Floor, CRC Tower, All Seasons Place, 87/2 Wireless Road, Lumpini, Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330 t: +66 (0)2 119 2933 e: [email protected] All materials presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright and proprietary to CBRE. Information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from materials and sources believed to be reliable at the date of publication. 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