A Global Evidence Synthesis Initiative The Case for Support Executive Summary The Global Evidence Synthesis Initiative (GESI) brings together a number of worldwide research organisations that are committed to the development and use of research synthesis to enhance public policy, public service delivery and citizens’ involvement. The goal of the GESI Consortium is to increase the capacity to undertake research syntheses by establishing and supporting an initial ten Centres for Research Synthesis in low and middle income countries. Research synthesis is a family of methods for establishing the overall balance of evidence (as opposed to using evidence selectively) on whatever topic is requiring sound evidence. By gathering together the totality of evidence on a topic research synthesis is able to establish what is generalisable and what is context specific. Research synthesis also separates high quality from low quality evidence, thereby protecting against errors and biases in the evidence that is used for decision making. Overall, research synthesis provides a solid and sound basis of evidence that can help make better decisions and achieve better outcomes. The case of supporting research synthesis can be summarised as follows: Research synthesis provides a solid and sound basis of evidence that can help make better decisions and achieve better outcomes. Research synthesis already has an impressive track record in terms of helping to achieve positive outcomes and avoid negative consequences in policy making, public service delivery and citizens’ involvement. The GESI Consortium seeks to extend the success of research synthesis across the world. The capacity to undertake research synthesis, and get high quality evidence into policy and practice, is less developed in low and middle income countries than in other parts of the world. The proposals of the GESI Consortium seeks to rectify this imbalance in research synthesis capacity by developing an initial ten Centres for Research Synthesis in low and middle income countries. The proposed Centres for Research Synthesis will undertake a range of activities, including training and professional development, providing seminars, workshops and conferences on research synthesis, establishing the demand for research synthesis products, and meeting this demand by procuring, supporting and quality assuring reviews of evidence to the highest possible standards. The proposed Centres will also be committed to getting synthesized evidence into policy and practice. These Centres for Research Synthesis will be supported by the organisations that make up the GESI Consortium, and the existing centres associated with these constituent organisations. An indicative budget for these Centres for Research Synthesis is provided in Annex 3. 2 A Global Evidence Synthesis Initiative The Case for Support1 Background Over the past three decades or so evidence-informed decision-making has been a guiding principle of public policy and public service delivery worldwide. It has also been a period in which evidence has been developed to help citizens make informed decisions about the services they use. Evidence-informed decision-making is characterised by the systematic and transparent identification, appraisal and use of evidence as an input into the policymaking process. Because these processes are transparent, stakeholders can examine what research evidence has informed decisions as well as the judgements made regarding this evidence (Oxman 2009). Having been initially developed in the fields of medicine and health care, evidence-informed decision-making has become a key feature of policy and practice in education, social welfare, crime and justice, agriculture, environmental policy, mass media and communications, international development and many other sectors. Research synthesis has been a major feature of the global development of evidence-informed policy and practice. There are a number of types of research synthesis, including statistical meta-analysis, network meta-analysis, narrative systematic reviews, qualitative synthesis, scoping reviews, rapid reviews, evidence mapping and, most recently, evidence gap maps. What these synthesis methods have in common is a commitment to establishing the overall balance of evidence (as opposed to using evidence selectively) on whatever topic requires sound evidence, based on identifying, critically appraising and analysing the totality of available evidence from scientific research and evaluation. Such evidence provides decision makers and citizens with a sound and strong knowledge base upon which to make decisions about policy and public services. A number of organizations and collaborations have been established worldwide to advance the preparation, quality assurance, dissemination and promotion of research syntheses. These include the Cochrane Collaboration, the Campbell Collaboration, the EPPI-Centre, 3ie, the Alliance for Health Systems and Policy Research, and the Joanna Briggs Institute. These organizations have formed a global consortium – the GESI2 Consortium – to enhance the capacity for research synthesis worldwide, and especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The Consortium believes that by building capacity for research synthesis worldwide, better decisions will be made about agriculture, economic development, education, crime and justice, food security, health and healthcare, social protection, water sanitation and hygiene and many other areas of public policy and public service delivery. What is Research Synthesis? Research synthesis covers a range of methods for searching systematically and comprehensively for all the evidence on a specific topic or question; using systematic and explicit methods to identify, select, and critically appraise the relevant research; and collecting and analysing data from the studies that are included in the synthesis or review. Synthesized evidence has the key advantage over single research studies of providing evidence from more 1 This document was prepared by Phil Davies (3ie), Jeremy Grimshaw (Cochrane) and Simon Lewin (Cochrane) for the GESI Consortium, with significant contributions from the GESI drafting team and other partners. A list of the GESI drafting team members is provided in Annex 4. 2 Global Evidence Synthesis Initiative 3 than one sample, context and time period, thereby providing a much broader and robust evidence base for, for example, understanding the impacts of interventions and programmes, and for knowing what is generalisable and what is context specific. Research synthesis draws together evidence from many sources and types of research and evaluation. For policy questions about the likely impact of a policy initiative, compared with other options, research synthesis may draw upon evidence that is based on experimental or quasi-experimental studies. For questions that ask about people’s experiences or understanding of policy interventions, research synthesis may gather data from qualitative studies including those using in-depth interviews, focus groups analysis, observation, ethnography, documentary analysis, oral histories and case studies. Questions about the effectiveness of implementation and delivery mechanisms usually require synthesized evidence from a combination of experimental and qualitative evaluation methods. Questions about the costs, cost-effectiveness and cost-benefits of policies require economic appraisal methods, which can draw upon quantitative, experimental, quasiexperimental and qualitative evidence. Many research syntheses also analyse the theory of change underlying a policy or practice intervention. These syntheses examine how a policy initiative is supposed to work, and what activities, mechanisms, people and resources need to be in place in a particular context for the desired outcomes to be achieved. Such information is clearly very important for policy making and the successful planning and delivery of public services. Evidence of demand for syntheses within LMICs Groups involved in producing and disseminating evidence syntheses are seeing growing demand for these products from government departments and other agencies within LMICs, and from international organisations. For example, the Department for Environmental Affairs in South Africa has shown strong interest in both systematic reviews and rapid evidence assessments, and has recently sent a delegation to the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs to learn more about how that organisation uses evidence and commissions reviews. In Sri Lanka, the Medical Association has requested the South Asian Cochrane Centre, based in India, to serve as a resource to help develop the process and methods for revising eighty clinical practice guidelines in Sri Lanka, using the best available evidence. This guideline revision process is currently underway. The South Asian Cochrane Centre was also recently invited by the Indian National Neonatology Forum to train members of the National Neonatal Guidelines revision committee in understanding and undertaking systematic reviews and meta-analysis in their efforts to revise their national neonatology guidelines. Coming back to South Africa, the Programme to Support Pro-Poor Policy Development (part of the National Department for Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation) has started to run courses for senior civil servants on evidence-informed decision-making, including the importance of evidence syntheses. In addition, the Department has developed guidance for other departments on how to synthesise the findings from more than one evaluation. The Department has also considered commissioning systematic reviews across South Africa but has expressed concerns about local capacity to conduct evidence syntheses. These examples speak to the urgent need to rapidly scale up capacity to conduct high quality evidence syntheses in LMICs. 4 How Research Synthesis Can Inform Policy Making and Other Decisions Research synthesis has made considerable contributions to helping people make better decisions about public policy and public service delivery. It does this by identifying not only which policy and practice interventions are effective and which are not, but also by indicating which interventions work for which groups of people, under what circumstances and contexts, and over what time period. Better and more extensive use of evidence from research syntheses can help to reduce the use of interventions that are not effective, or cost-effective, or not acceptable to users within a particular setting. Another important advantage of syntheses based on systematic and transparent processes is that they can help to protect against errors and bias in the selection and appraisal of evidence, and help to ensure that conflicts of interest do not influence these judgements. An evidence-informed approach also enables decision makers to manage their own use of research evidence, including asking critical questions about the evidence available for a particular decision; showing that a decision has been informed by the best available evidence; and acknowledging where decisions are informed by imperfect or limited information (Oxman 2009). There is already a body of research synthesized evidence that can inform policy and practices globally. This covers a wide range of sectors and substantive areas including agriculture, climate change, crime and justice, disability and rehabilitation, economic development, education, energy, environment, governance, gender empowerment, health and health care, HIV/AIDS, infrastructure, labor markets, maternal and child health, micro-finance, poverty, public health, slum upgrading, street children, and water, sanitation and hygiene. Within each of these areas, however, the evidence is patchy or there are important gaps in the evidence base, particularly in relation to priority questions for LMICs (Snilstveit, et al, 2013), that the GESI Consortium seeks to fill. We present below several substantive areas in which synthesized evidence is already contributing to evidence-informed decision making. Other examples are presented in Annexes 1 and 2. Water supply, sanitation and hygiene in poorer settings Illness and death from water-borne diseases, and from poor sanitation and hygiene, is a major public health challenge in many low and middle income countries. A number of systematic reviews have been undertaken on the effectiveness of WASH interventions (Fewtrell and Colford, 2004; Clasen et al, 2007; Aiello, et al, 2008; Waddington, et al, 2009; Cairncross, et al, 2010), especially in terms of preventing diarrheal diseases in adults and children. The combined evidence from these reviews indicates that hand washing (particularly with soap), improving water supply and quality at the household level rather than at source, improving drinking water quality, and sanitation interventions such as provision or improvement of latrines and sanitation hardware, are all effective in reducing diarrheal diseases and, to a lesser extent, respiratory infections. The review by Waddington et al (2009; Snilsveit and Waddington, 2009) also suggests the importance of behavioural factors in determining uptake and sustainable adoption of WASH interventions. Changing peoples’ behaviour in relation to sanitation and hygiene, when combined with these proven water and sanitation supply interventions, will produce a significant improvement in the public health of low and middle income countries. A number of key recent policy documents in the field of water supply, sanitation and hygiene have based guidance and recommendations on these and other systematic reviews. 5 For example, the UK Department for International Development’s (DfID) WASH Evidence Paper (2013) draws on synthesized evidence to provide a conceptual framework for understanding how water supply, sanitation and hygiene impact on health and well-being and to assess the benefits and cost-effectiveness of different water supply, sanitation and hygiene interventions. Similarly, the UNICEF/World Health Organisation’s (2009) seven-point plan for comprehensive diarrhoea control draws on systematic reviews of interventions to reduce diarrhoea in less developed countries (Fewtrell 2005), as do policy documents on water supply, sanitation and hygiene from the World Bank, the OECD and World Vision (OECD, 2012; World Bank, 2013; World Vision, 2011). Organisation of health services for people living with HIV and AIDS Research syntheses are increasingly used by organisations such as the World Health Organization (WHO) to inform the development of guidelines on health systems and the organisation of services. Two recently published Cochrane HIV reviews on task shifting and decentralisation of antiretroviral therapy delivery (Kredo et al 2013, Kredo et al 2014) informed the update of WHO HIV treatment guidelines (WHO 2013). Task shifting from doctors to non-doctors and decentralisation of HIV therapy delivery from hospitals to clinics or the community are strategies intended to increase access to HIV therapy for high burden settings with health care workers shortages. The reviews were commissioned by the WHO and led by researchers at the South African Cochrane Centre, with additional funding from the Effective Healthcare Research Consortium. The reviews informed recommendations in the WHO guidelines that these task shifting strategies are feasible and safe. These recommendations support the approach taken by programmes already underway in many LMIC settings, and also encourage other high burden settings to consider implementation. Crime and justice Systematic reviews are having important impacts in the field of crime and justice. For example, preventing and reducing juvenile delinquency is an important policy concern in many settings. In response to this, a number of countries implemented programmes that involved organized visits to prison facilities by juvenile delinquents or children at risk for becoming delinquent. Sometimes called ‘Scared Straight’, the programmes are intended to deter participants from future offending by showing them prison life and allowing them to interact with adult inmates. A systematic review produced in 2002 and updated in 2013 (Petrosino 2013) clearly demonstrated the potential for harm, showing that these programmes increase delinquency relative to doing nothing at all. The review findings, which received considerable policy and media attention, were an important factor in reducing further diffusion of ‘Scared Straight’ programmes. How best to organise policing is another critical policy concern. Two recent systematic reviews on ‘hot spots’ policing (Braga 2012) and the diffusion or displacement of crime (Bowers 2011) supported new policing strategies which have since been adopted widely. Further, there are indications that these strategies may have contributed to a reduction in crime rates in some areas of the USA (Weisburd 2014). These and other reviews have led to a much greater focus on evidence-based approaches to policing in recent years. 6 Microfinance interventions for low income groups Microfinance interventions are a form of financial services implemented where formal banking is largely absent, and that include small loans for individuals who are generally unable to obtain loans through traditional banks. They have been hailed by many institutions as a solution to poverty and a mechanism for female empowerment. However, systematic reviews of research on microfinance interventions have found that impact evaluations of these programmes are weak. Clients who receive these interventions save more, but also spend more. Health and housing generally improve, and education and women’s empowerment sometimes improve. However, children’s education can suffer and microfinance can make the poorest poorer, through these groups incurring greater debts, being unable to invest in savings and through increased reliance on further cycles of credit (Duvendack 2011, Stewart 2012). Following these reviews, the Norwegian Overseas Aid Agency, Norad, took a decision to stop supporting new microfinance institutions and rather to focus on improving the microfinance industry as a whole. Household energy sources – uptake of cleaner energy technologies Nearly 3 billion people worldwide rely on biomass fuels (2.4 billion) and coal (0.4 billion) burnt inefficiently on open fires or simple stoves. These traditional household energy practices have dramatic negative consequences for health, the environment and socioeconomic development. Cleaner and more efficient household energy sources are available, but large scale uptake of these has been slow. A recent review looked at the factors affecting the uptake by households of cleaner energy technologies (Puzzolo 2013). This led to the development by the Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves of a checklist for designing the roll out of cleaner energy technologies for households. The review also influenced the decision by the UK DFID to invest £7 million in further research in this area, including into new reviews on which behaviour change approaches are effective in ensuring that clean cooking practices are sustainably adopted (Goodwin 2014). Improving child health in Kenya through evidence-based guidelines Research syntheses can also play a critical role in informing decisions at the national level. In 2010, a group of clinicians and policymakers in Kenya utilized research syntheses during a “Child Health Evidence Week” organized by the KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, in partnership with the Ministry of Health, the University of Nairobi, and the Kenya Paediatric Association. On that occasion, 70 participants deliberated the evidence and formulated recommendations around 11 priority topic areas. Building on that first experience, the same partnership, with some additional methodological input from the Effective Health Care Research Consortium, convened three guideline panels on priority topics identified by the Kenya Paediatric Association: rapid fluid bolus for children with septic shock; hospital umbilical cord care; and hydroxyurea in sickle cell disease. Using research syntheses, evidence summaries were produced for debate and guideline development in April 2014. This process followed best practice for transparent global guideline development. In particular, the panel made clear recommendations about stopping bolus fluids in shocked children based on a new research synthesis (Opiyo 2014). This and the other recommendations will improve clinical care and save lives in Kenya. 7 Research Synthesis Capacity Globally and in LMICs A recent report by Bangpan et al (2013) identified considerable variation worldwide in the capacity to undertake and disseminate research synthesis evidence. Low and middle income countries generally have much less research synthesis capacity than higher income countries. In high income countries there are currently approximately 21,292 authors associated with the Cochrane Collaboration, which is the largest research synthesis network globally. The contrast with low and middle income countries can be seen by the bar graphs in Figures 1, 2 and 3. These graphs present the number of systematic review authors from low and middle income countries affiliated with the Cochrane Collaboration. Altogether, this number amounts to 5,526 authors, approximately one-quarter of the Cochrane research synthesis authorship in high income counties. Similar data on the limited research synthesis capacity in low and middle income countries have been identified by the Joanna Briggs Institute, the EPPICentre, the Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research, and the International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3ie). These data confirm that there is also considerable variation across low and middle income countries in the capacity to undertake research synthesis. Figure 1 – Number of Review Authors from Low and Middle Income Countries in the Cochrane Collaboration, by Country (for countries with >100 review authors) Figure 2 - Number of Review Authors from Low and Middle Income Countries in the Cochrane Collaboration, by Country (for countries with 11-100 review authors) 8 Figure 3- Number of Review Authors from Low and Middle Income Countries in the Cochrane Collaborationby Country (for countries with <10 review authors) Bangpan et al. also point out that increasing the capacity for research synthesis is closely linked to increasing the demand for research-based evidence, and to making such evidence ‘close to policy’. By this they mean “that practitioners and policy makers are more likely to engage in research if they see its relevance to their own decision making” (Bangpan et al, 2013:31). Strengthening capacity to undertake research syntheses in LMICs may therefore contribute to making evidence-informed decision making in those settings more sustainable. Furthermore, research syntheses help to maximize returns from existing investments in primary research globally and in LMICs, by drawing together findings from this research and identifying evidence gaps, thereby informing priorities for new research. In addition, DfID has recently commissioned six projects under its Building Capacity to Use Research Evidence (BCURE), which aims to ensure that there is a demand for evidence use by policy makers and practitioners in LMICs. These BCURE projects take capacity building for high quality evidence beyond medicine and health care and into the broader substantive and sectoral areas of international development. At least one of these projects, directed by Professor Ruth Stewart at the University of Johannesburg in South Africa, includes building capacity to understand and use synthesized research evidence. Members of the GESI consortium are providing professional development support to this BCURE initiative. These developments to increase the demand for high quality evidence, including synthesized evidence, require increased capacity on the supply-side. Currently there are both human and infrastructural capacity problems. The former refers to the lack of an adequate number of 9 people with the required knowledge, skills and experience to undertake high quality research syntheses. Outside of the areas served by the Cochrane Collaboration and the Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research there are few centres of excellence in LMICs that train and support social, political, agricultural and environmental scientists in research synthesis. The GESI Consortium proposes to create and develop such centres of excellence around those institutions in where there already is some degree of expertise and experience in research synthesis. Such centres will develop scientists’ skills in problem identification, scoping research syntheses, searching for evidence, critical appraisal of evidence, data extraction, statistical meta-analysis, narrative and qualitative synthesis, and influencing policy and practice. The support of experienced information scientists is especially lacking in many LMICs, though proximity to major universities and national research centres can often increase such provision. Infrastructural resources for undertaking research synthesis include: adequate and appropriate connectivity/bandwidth to the internet; access to essential electronic databases, libraries of evidence and full-text downloading facilities; access to knowledge management services, review management services and statistical services and software. The GESI Consortium proposes to increase these infrastructural resources by working with governments, research funding organisations and higher education institutions to build upon what already exists in LMICs. This strategy, however, will require additional core funding over and above what is currently available through these existing organizations and funding sources. Evidence-informed decision making in LMICs requires a large and sustained supply of both global and local synthesized evidence. By focusing on the most robust evidence, and including evidence that has high external validity, researchers become more discerning about what counts as evidence. This, in turn, will raise the quality and conduct of primary research, as has been demonstrated in high income countries over the past three decades. Capacity building in research synthesis will also inform research priorities in ways that will increase the alignment between the work of researchers, on the one hand, and the demands for evidence from policy makers and public service delivery personnel, on the other hand. Over time, this capacity to produce better and more aligned evidence will enhance the sustainability of evidence-informed policy and practice across LMICs, and is likely to increase within-country primary research capacity. Reviews of evidence will be more likely to focus on topics of national, regional and local interest, and will be more relevant if they are undertaken by people who are grounded in the reality of these environments. This may broaden the range of questions that need to be addressed to answer the many challenges facing LMICs, and to set agendas, take action and bring about change. This, in turn, is likely to draw upon a broader range of research methods and types of evidence, including contextualized knowledge that is often missing in the existing research synthesis community. 10 What is required to build capacity for research synthesis in LMICs? The GESI Consortium proposes to establish an initial ten Research Synthesis Centres3 in low and middle income countries. These centres may be developed with a single sector focus, a multi-sector focus, a general synthesis-generating focus, or some combination of these alternatives. Each centre will be undertake the following tasks and activities: Provide training and professional development in research synthesis methods for existing researchers and analysts in low and middle income countries; Provide seminars, workshops and conferences to develop the capacity to undertake research synthesis, and a culture of research-based evidence; Work with policy makers and development practitioners in low and middle income countries, and initiatives such as the BCURE projects, to establish the demand for research synthesis products; Develop research synthesis projects and programmes across the whole range of policy and practice sectors and substantive topic areas, drawing on the social, economic, political, agricultural, environmental and health sciences; Manage Calls for Research Syntheses, drawing on their GESI seed funds (see below), and ensure that review grants are contracted and managed efficiently with contractors that have the required skills to deliver on time and within budget; Undertake in-house reviews and other research synthesis products to the highest possible standard; Provide technical support to grantees in research synthesis methodologies; Quality assure research protocols, draft reports and final reports to ensure they meet the standards required by the research synthesis and the policy and practice communities; Disseminate the findings of research synthesis products in a range of formats, and in language that is easy to comprehend by a non-researchers; Establish realistic and implementable plans for research syntheses products to influence policy and practice. It is proposed to launch each of the Research Synthesis Centres with a core staff of seven people, consisting of: 1 x Senior Research Synthesis Specialist/Centre Director 1 x Researcher with quantitative and experimental/QED synthesis skills and experience 1 x Researcher with qualitative synthesis skills and experience 2 x Paid Interns (who will change annually) 1 x Information specialist 1 x 0.5 Administrative Assistant This combination of staff will provide the required expertise and experience to undertake the range of tasks and activities required of each centre. The proposal to include two paid interns 3 While this number of Centres is aspirational, it is seen by the GESI Consortium as representing the magnitude of scale up of review production capacity that is required to begin to meaningfully address the need for evidence synthesis products in LMICs. Furthermore, funding for the Centres may include ongoing support for some of the pilot centres established by the Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research and the Cochrane Collaboration. 11 each year will allow the centre to train and develop graduate level/post-doctoral students in the skills of research synthesis. This will enhance the capacity building within each centre, in addition to the capacity building work that will be undertaken in the wider research and policy communities. The inclusion of a full time information specialist – one of the essential components of the research synthesis process – will allow each centre to undertake its own in-house review work, and provide technical support to grantees in searching and appraising evidence using electronic, print and grey literature sources. It is also proposed that seed funding should be raised for each Research Synthesis Centre to support three systematic reviews (or other research synthesis products) within their region each year. This will provide each centre with the necessary resources to procure, manage and technically support an initial stream of reviews that will develop local and regional expertise in research synthesis, and demonstrate to policy makers and practitioners the value of this work. This, in turn, should help to generate the demand and future funding for more research synthesis products from the policy making and practitioners communities. Indicative Budget An indicative budget for each Research Synthesis Centre, and for the establishment of a single co-ordination service, is presented in Annex 3. As an indicative budget it provides an indication of the types of costs that will be involved in developing GESI Centres across LMICs. It is anticipated that different funders may want to fund different types of activity, or different parts of the indicative budget (e.g. staff costs, or the seed funding for synthesis studies). Some funders may be willing and able to provide all of the part of this indicative budget. The location of the Centres will be decided later by the GESI Governance Group, together with funders and other stakeholders. Each of the proposed Research Synthesis Centres will be supported by the members of the GESI Consortium, which will constitute a support network. The GESI Consortium will contribute both financially and in kind to the establishment, running and support of the Centres, including a combination of coordination, technical, grant management, quality assurance, and policy influencing support, and some co-funding of projects. The GESI Consortium represents a broad and deep resource of expertise and experience in research synthesis methods, procurement, grant management, quality assurance, dissemination and policy/practice influence. Each of the GESI Consortium members has some existing capacity and/or funded research synthesis projects in LMICs, as well as centralized administration and support structures in different parts of the world. These local, regional and global services of the GESI Consortium, and their respective networks of expertise, will be made available to the proposed Research Synthesis Centres, thereby helping to sustain and develop them. In addition, the GESI Consortium will play a key oversight role through helping to implement and sustain quality assurance and performance management systems across the Centres. To support these functions, a GESI Coordination Service (or Secretariat) will be established and will be hosted in a LMIC by one of the GESI Consortium members4. A indicative budget for this coordination service is included in Annex 3. 4 The location of the GESI Secretariat will be decided later by the GESI Governance Group. 12 Governance of the GESI Consortium The founding organisations of the GESI Consortium (The Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research, the Campbell Collaboration, Cochrane, the EPPI Centre and 3ie) will constitute a Governance Group for GESI. GESI’s Governance Group may be joined by any organisation, agency or funding body providing an annual financial or in-kind contribution and accepted for voting membership by a majority of the founding members. The Governance Group will meet twice a year either virtually or in a face-to-face meeting and will take decisions on the functioning of the GESI Consortium. To help support and sustain the work of GESI, a GESI Coordinator will be appointed. S/he will be physically located in the GESI Secretariat in a LMIC. The GESI Coordinator will – on behalf of the Governance Group – oversee on a daily basis all GESI-related projects and funding initiatives, including the work of the Centres for Research Synthesis funded through GESI; though accountability for the efficient and effective delivery of individual projects and initiatives will rest with the Centres for Research Synthesis and other organisation(s) managing them. A GESI ‘Advisory & Support Group’ will also be established and will be open to any organisation, agency or funding body that supports GESI’s goals and ambitions. A Memorandum of Understanding establishing GESI will be developed and signed by the founding organisations. Summary Research synthesis is now a well developed and core method for establishing the balance of evidence to help policy makers and public service delivery personnel make better decisions. It is increasingly being seen as the highest quality evidence for decision making in both policy and practice. 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A recent systematic review of the effectiveness of farmer field schools (Waddington et al, 2012) found that these types of agricultural extension, generally have a positive impact on farmers’ knowledge, pesticides use and other adoption measures, and on outcomes relevant for farmers’ standards of living such as crop yields, revenues, environmental outcomes and empowerment. Further, “the impacts on agricultural outcomes were in the region of a 10 percent increase in yields and 20 percent increase in profits (net revenues), at least in the short term” (Waddington et al, 2012:10). The size of these impacts, however, varied considerably across projects and locations, and the authors of the reviews noted that the effects on profits were particularly large when FFSs were implemented alongside complementary upstream or downstream interventions, such access to seeds and other inputs and assistance in marketing produce. The Farmer Field Schools review, however, found little evidence of diffusion of successful farming knowledge and practices from FFS participants to neighbouring farmers. This was contrary to the expectations and claims of those who support FFSs as an agricultural intervention. The qualitative evidence from the FFS review, and the analysis of project implementation documents, found that the barriers to successful diffusion included: the complexity of the curriculum, the nature of the training offered, the observability of FFS practices and their relative advantage compared to other farming practices, existing levels of social capital, access to seeds and social networks, assistance in marketing produce, and the ways in which FFS programmes are targeted. The top-down transfer of technology for an intervention that is intended to be a ‘bottom-up’ participatory-transformative approach to empowerment may also hinder successful implementation and effectiveness. This review, then, not only identified the positive features of farmer field schools but also the barriers to, and facilitators of, successful outcomes of this type of agricultural intervention. The FFS review also demonstrated the value of a combination of quantitative and qualitative evidence for understanding what works, for whom, and under what economic and social conditions. Maternal and newborn health policy at the international level Improving the delivery of effective interventions to improve maternal and newborn health is another priority area globally, and particularly in low and middle income countries. While a large number of effective interventions to improve maternal and newborn health are available, in many settings their delivery is impeded by inadequate human resources. Recent WHO guidance has attempted to address this issue through developing evidence-based recommendations on optimizing health worker roles through shifting tasks from health care providers with higher levels of training to those with lower levels of training (WHO 2012). These recommendations were informed by a number of Cochrane and non-Cochrane reviews, including on the effectiveness of task shifting to different health care providers and the acceptability and feasibility of such strategies (Colvin 2013; Glenton 2013; Lewin 2010; Sibley 20 2012). This included the first qualitative evidence synthesis published by the Cochrane Collaboration (Glenton 2013). Educational Policy and Practice Research synthesis studies have also increased knowledge of effective and ineffective interventions in educational policy and practices. A systematic review of the effectiveness of educational interventions in LMICs (Petrosino et al, 2012) found that interventions such as conditional cash transfers, grants to communities, school breakfasts or lunches, school building programmes, remedial education and tutoring are generally effective in getting children to enroll in and attend school. The absolute increase in school enrollment, when compared with non-intervention areas, was in the region of 3%-9%, but there was considerable variation in the magnitude of effects across the 73 studies reviewed. A follow-up review by Krishnaratne and White (2012) confirmed positive impacts of most educational interventions in LMICs on school enrolment and attendance, but no overall impact of these interventions of learning outcomes. Krishnaratne and White also found that factors such as the availability of teaching resources, the quality of teaching and other supplyside interventions contributed to the variation in the impact of educational interventions on enrolment and attendance. An update of these reviews on the effectiveness of educational interventions in LMICs is currently being undertaken by 3ie (Snilstveit et al, 2014) Other research syntheses in education have identified the optimal school size for secondary schools (Garrett et al, 2004), what schools can do to maximise the participation of all students in their cultures, curricula and communities (Dyson et al 2002), effective strategies (using ICT) for raising students’ motivational effort in mathematics (Kyriacou and Goulding, 2006), and that investment in human capital does have a positive and genuine effect on growth in lowincome countries (Hawkes and Ugur, 2012). Use of health evidence briefs in Chile The Ministry of Health of Chile has established a group to assemble evidence on urgent health policy issues. Using an approach promoted by WHO’s Evidence Informed Policy Network (EVIPNet), the group produces evidence briefs that bring together evidence from systematic reviews about a policy problem and the options to address the problem. A recent evidence brief examined the impact of placing Automated External Defibrillators (AEDs) – devices that diagnose and treat abnormal and potentially fatal heart rhythms – in public places. The evidence brief was based on six systematic reviews and was incorporated into a briefing note used by the Minister of Health in a public talk about the issue. Mental health in the Lebanon There is growing acknowledgement globally of both the substantial burden of mental illness and the inadequacies of services to treat and support people living with mental illness. The Knowledge to Policy (K2P) Center at the American University of Beirut in Lebanon was requested by the Ministry of Health to prepare an evidence brief for policy on “Securing Access to Quality Mental Health Services in Primary Health Care in Lebanon.” The brief was developed and disseminated in a policy dialogue meeting with key policymakers and stakeholders. Based on the brief and the dialogue, a mental health programme has been established at the Ministry of Health and a campaign is being conducted to advocate for promulgating a Mental Health Act. 21 Ensuring that refugees in Lebanon have access to essential health services Civil wars in neighbouring countries have resulted in large numbers of refugees seeking residence in Lebanon. This, in turn, has placed enormous pressure on existing health services and prompted the Ministry of Health of Lebanon to request evidence on how best to provide health services in this context. The Center for Systematic Review on Health Policy and Systems Research (SPARK) and the Knowledge to Policy (K2P) Center at the American University of Beirut are collaborating with the Ministry of Health and international agencies to produce systematic reviews on coordination mechanisms for financing of refugee health. In addition, the Centres produced an evidence-based briefing note on “Promoting Access to Essential Health Care Services for Syrian Refugees in Lebanon” and facilitated a policy dialogue on the problem, options to address it and implementation considerations. This resulted in a number of key actions by the Ministry of Health and some international agencies, including strengthening the information systems on refugee health and appointing a national coordinator to help implement the recommendations and next steps from the dialogue meeting. Using evidence to inform health decisions in Nepal Recent efforts to promote systematic approaches to priority setting and the use of reliable evidence to inform the development of health policies have had important impacts within the Nepal Health Sector Programme (NHSP). For example, discussion of evidence from a recent Cochrane review on deworming (Taylor-Robinson 2012) led to a decision that Nepal would work towards phasing out the policy of routine deworming of school children since there is no convincing evidence to support this. These policy impacts are the consequence of collaborative efforts between the Nepal Health Research Council; the South Asian Cochrane Network & Centre, India; the Effective Health Care Research Consortium, UK; and the Institute of Population Health at the University of Ottawa in Canada, highlighting the importance of global collaboration to conduct systematic reviews and promote the use of their findings. Annex 2 Summary of further examples of how Research Synthesis Can Inform Policy Making and Other Decisions Field Topic Research syntheses Relevance and impacts of the research synthesis/es on policy making and other decisions Agriculture Farmer field schools: adult education interventions that are used to improve the quantity and quality of agricultural production. FFS aim to curb the over-use of pesticides and other harmful practices, improve agricultural and environmental outcomes, and empower disadvantaged farmers such as women. Effectiveness of farmer field schools (Waddington 2012) Crime and Justice Drug Courts Effectiveness of Drug Courts compared to ordinary courts in preventing recidivism (Wilson, 2006) Found positive effects of drug courts, compared with ordinary courts, in terms of preventing recidivism of drug involved offenders. Crime and Justice Structured therapeutic community interventions for drug users in prisons Effectiveness of interventions with persistent/prolific offenders in reducing reoffending (Perry et al, 2009) Structured therapeutic community interventions produced a greater reduction in offending behaviour than standard treatment. Crime and Justice Personal Skills Training Interventions to reduce the risk of reoffending (Newman et al 2012) ‘Personal Skills Training Plus’ interventions reduced the risk of re-offending in first Identified the positive features of farmer field schools and the barriers to, and facilitators of, successful outcomes of this type of agricultural intervention Demonstrated the value of a combination of quantitative and qualitative evidence for understanding what works, for whom, and under what economic and social conditions. 23 time/non-serious offenders when compared to a standard diversion intervention comprising of warning and monitoring. Crime and Justice Hot-Spots Policing Effectiveness of Policing (Braga 2005) ‘Focused Police Action’ (sometimes referred to as ‘hot-spots policing’) has significant positive effects in terms of reducing when compared with more thinly spread police activity (Braga, 2005). Crime and Justice Juvenile Awareness Programmes Effectiveness of Junvenile Awareness Programmes [Scared Straight Interventions] (Petrosino et al, 2012) Found that juvenile awareness interventions aimed as scaring young offenders away from criminal activity not only fails to deter crime but actually leads to more offending behaviour. Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Micro-Finance Effectiveness of micro-finance in terms of reducing poverty and empowering women (Duvendak et al, 2011, 2014) Only small positive outcomes on both poverty and the empowerment of women. Factors that enhanced women’s empowerment included the household income prior to receiving credit, the number of children in a household, spousal cooperation, and the level of credit granted. Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Access to economic assets and skills development Effectiveness of providing girls and young Found that access to economic assets and women with access to economic assets and skills development may improve young developing their skill sets (Dickson and women’s ability to generate an income, Bangpan, 2012) increase the amount they can save, support their participation in school, and increase their sexual health knowledge. 24 Little evidence that these measures increase the economic standing of women in society overall, lead to better further educational or career choices, or improve long-term sexual health outcomes. Medicine and health care Optimizing health worker roles for maternal and newborn health through shifting Barriers and facilitators to the implementation of lay health worker programmes (Glenton 2013) Barriers and facilitators to the implementation of task-shifting in midwifery services (Colvin 2013) Contributed to the development of new WHO evidence-based recommendations on optimizing health worker roles through shifting tasks from health care providers with higher levels of training to those with lower levels of training (WHO 2012) Effectiveness of lay health worker interventions for maternal and child health and infectious diseases (Lewin 2010) Traditional birth attendant training for improving health behaviours and pregnancy outcomes (Sibley 2013) Medicine and Health Care Use of corticosteroids in late pregnancy Effectivess of corticosteroid in preventing respiratory distress syndrome and neonatal mortality (Crowley, 1990:12; Roberts and Dalziel, 2006). Corticosteroids given prior to preterm birth are effective in preventing respiratory distress syndrome and neonatal mortality The continued use of a single course of antenatal corticosteroids to accelerate fetal lung maturation in women at risk of preterm birth” as a treatment option in late pregnancy 25 Medicine and Health Care Specialist units for the care of stroke patients Effectiveness of multi-disciplinary specialist stroke units (Stroke Unit Trialists’ Collaboration, 2013) People who receive organised inpatient care in a stroke unit are more likely to be alive, independent, and living at home one year after the stroke. Medicine and Health Care Treatment of croup in children Effectiveness of glucocorticoids for the treatment of croup in children (Russell et al, 2011) Found that glucocorticoids can reduce the swelling and make it easier for the child to breathe within six hours of administration. The effect lasts about 12 hours, lessens the need for other drugs, and shortens hospital stays by 12 hours Medicine and Health Care General Health Checks Effectiveness of general health checks in adults for reducing morbidity and mortality from disease (Krogsbøll et al, 2012) Found that no evidence of reduced morbidity or mortality, neither overall nor for cardiovascular or cancer causes, although the number of new diagnoses was increased. Medicine and Health Care Screening for breast cancer with mammography Effectiveness of routine screening for breast cancer with mammography (Gøtzsche et al, 2013) Found that more women will receive unnecessary treatment than the number who will be prevented from dying Women invited to screening should be fully informed of both the benefits and harms. Annex 3 Indicative Annual Budget for each GESI Centre, for Seed Funding for research syntheses and for the cross-Centre GESI Coordination service Centre Staff Costs per year Cost in GBP£* Cost in US$* Centre Director/Senior Evaluation Specialist £50,000 $80,000 1 x Research Assistant (Quantitative/Experimental) £30,000 $48,000 1 x Research Assistant (Qualitative) £30,000 $48,000 2 x Paid Interns Information Specialist Administrative Assistant (0.5 FTE) £20,000 £30,000 £10,000 $32,000 $48,000 $16,000 £170,000 $272,000 £34,000 $54,400 £204,000 $326,400 £10,000 $16,000 £50,000 $80,000 £30,000 $48,000 £20,000 $32,000 B. Total Non-Staff Costs per year £110,000 $176,000 B Total Annual GESI Staff, Admin and Indirect Costs per Centre £314,000 $502,400 A+B Seed Funding for 3 x Reviews Annually @ £60K per review £180,000 $288,000 C Total Annual Budget for each Centre + Seed Funding £494,000 $790,400 A+B+C GESI Single Coordination Service [Cross Centre] per year** 1 x full time Programme Coordinator £30,000 $48,000 £5,000 $8,000 £35,000 $56,000 Total Staff Costs Indirect costs @ 20% of staff costs A. Total Staff Costs per year - Direct and Indirect Sub-Totals A Centre Non-Staff Costs per year Scientific database subscription (where open access not available) Technical support and training costs for each GESI Centre Office accommodation costs Travel and subsistence for conference/workshops/training C. Seed Funding For Research Syntheses Office costs for Programme Coordinator D. Total Annual Cost for GESI Coordination Service D Total Annual Budget for Each Centre + Seed Funding £529,000 $846,400 A+B+C+D + Cross Centre Coordination *Based on Global Development Network salary scales plus on-costs (health insurance, pension contributions) ** This will be a cross-centre service. Initial funding to establish a GESI Programme Co-ordination Service in a southern country will be raised by the constituent groups of the GESI initiative. Funding is sought for the continuation of this vital service over the next five years. 27 Annex 4 GESI Drafting Team members Philip Davies, International Initiative for Impact Evaluation [3ie], London, UK Jeremy Grimshaw, Director, Cochrane Canada, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada Tamara Kredo, Deputy Director, South African Cochrane Centre, Cape Town, South AFrica John Lavis, McMaster Health Forum and McMaster University, Toronta, Canada Simon Lewin, Norwegian Satellite of the Cochrane Effective and Practice and Organisation of Care (EPOC) Group, Norwegian Knowledge Centre for the Health Services, Oslo, Norway Lawrence Mbuagbaw, Centre for the Development of Best Practices in Health, Yaoundé, Cameroon Sandy Oliver, Social Science Research Unit and EPPI-Centre, UCL Institute of Education, University of London, UK Tomas Pantoja, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Department of Family Medicine, Santiago, Chile Prathap Tharyan, Director, South Asian Cochrane Centre, India Peter Tugwell, Campbell International Development Coordinating Group, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
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