50th Annual CTRF Conference
May 24-27, 2015
Marriott Chateau Champlain, Montreal, QC
Another 50 Years: Where to From Here?
PRELIMINARY PROGRAM
Subject to Change
DAY ONE - Sunday, May 24, 2015
1:00 PM
CTRF Board Meeting (Closed)
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3:00 PM
Registration Desk Opens
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6:00 PM
CTRF President’s Reception
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Remarks by Brian Flemming, Chairman, Canada Transportation Act Review Panel 2000-2001
DAY TWO - Monday, May 25, 2015
7:15 AM - 8:15 AM
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Registration Check-in and Breakfast Buffet Opens
8:15 AM - 8:30 AM
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Welcome Remarks and Announcements – Marc-Andre Roy, President, CTRF
8:30 AM - 10:15 AM
Plenary Session I — Reflections from Former Federal Ministers of Transport
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Moderator: Nick Mulder
Panelists:
Hon. David Collenette, Hon. Chuck Strahl, Hon. Tony Valeri
10:15 AM - 10:30 AM
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Coffee Break
10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
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Transportation and the Environment - I
Session Chair: Mario Iacobacci
Environmental Impact of the Induced Traffic from Highway 25 Extension Project
1
Md Shohel Reza Amin and Umma Tamima
Impact of Resource Sharing of Freight Transportation
2
Pedro Furtado and Jean-Marc Frayret
The Decarbonisation of Transport Logistics: A South African Case
3
Jan Havenga, Leila Goedhals-Gerber, Heinrich Freiboth, Zane Simpson and Anneke De Bod
Assessing the GHG Emissions Effects of the Canada Line in Vancouver and Tramway T2 in Paris
4
Emilie Nguyen Van Sang, Michael Oram and Anthony Perl
Regulatory Issues in Freight Rail
Session Chair: Marie-Claude Levesque
A New Train of Thought: The Dynamics and Inherent Politics of Rail Freight Transportation in Canada
1
Nick Mulder, Patty Toner and Philip Cartwright
Canada – United States Freight Rail Economic Regulation Comparison
2
André Pretto and Joseph F. Schulman
From Free Markets to Regulation and Back Again: Cycles in Transportation, Grain Marketing and Economic Thought
3
4
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Paul Earl
Risk Shifting as Use of Market Power: Transportation of Dangerous Goods
Ryan Gallagher and Francois Tougas
Modelling Road Movements
Session Chair: Clarence Woudsma
Modelling the Determinants of Truck Tours within Canadian Markets
1
Kevin Gingerich, Hanna Maoh and Bill Anderson
Freight Performance Micro Analysis Using Truck GPS Data
2
Tufayel Chowdhury and Jean-François Arsenault
Modeling Border Wait Times of Canadian Trucks in Ontario: Evidence from Recent GPS Data for 2012/2013
3
Rahaf Husein, Kevin Gingerich, Hanna Maoh and William Anderson
City of Edmonton Commercial Vehicle Model Update Using a Roadside Truck Survey
4
Matthew J. Roorda and Nico Malfara
Concurrent Sessions
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12:00 PM - 1:30 PM
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1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
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3:00 PM - 4:00 PM
Keynote Speaker Luncheon — Hon. Lisa Raitt, Minister of Transport
Plenary Session II — 50 Years of Transportation Research
Moderator: John Lawson
Panelists:
Ray Cope, Treavor Heaver, Neal Irwin, Derek Scrafton, Dick Soberman
Plenary Session III — Humanitarian Aid Cargo Logistics (organized by CIRRELT)
Moderator: Bernard Gendron
Panelists:
The Science of Networks
1
Bernard Gendron
Analysis of a regional prepositioning network for crisis response in East Africa: The case of the UNHRD
2
Émilie Dufour
Analysis of Transportation Procurement Activities in Developing Countries: The case of the World Food Programme in
3
Kenya
Feyza Guliz Sahinyazan
Coffee Break & Networking
4:00 PM - 4:15 PM
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4:15 PM - 5:45 PM
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Transportation and the Environment - II
Session Chair: Nick Mulder
A Modified Hidden Semi-Markov Model for Traffic Related PM10 Pollution Levels Estimation
1
Maryam Shekarrizfard, Ayoub Karimi-Jashni Kamal Hadad and Seyed Ali Akbar Safavi
Air Quality Simulation of Traffic Related Emissions: Application of Fine-Scaled Dispersion Modelling
2
M. Shekarrizfard and M. Hatzopoulou
Impact of the Cap-and-Trade vs. Carbon Tax Policy on Vehicle Routing
3
Glareh Amirjamshidi and Matthew J. Roorda
Air Sector Trends and Issues
Session Chair: Don McKnight
A Feedback Model for Assessing out-of-region Airport Leakage
1
Qian Fu and Amy Kim
A Steady but Uneven Climb: Air Passengers in Canada Since 9/11
2
Since
Trever9/11
Bova, Gwen Cromwell and Lawrence McKeown
Air Union: How Europe's Attempt to Fly Together Fell Apart, 1959-64
3
Sean Nicklin
4
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Airline Price Dispersion & Competition: Review of Empirical Evidence for the USA/Canada
David Stambrook
Improving Supply Chain Fluidity and Resilience
Session Chair: Malcolm Cairns
Reducing Disruption-induced Impacts on Transportation Supply Chain Fluidity
1
Matthew Whelen, Ata Khan and David Ramsey
Peak-load Management and Surge Capacity in Western Canadian Grain Transportation
2
Barry Prentice
A Decade of National Level Logistics Costs Measurement in South Africa: The case for Macro logistics
3
Jan Havenga
Les Activités Logistiques au Canada: Innovation et Technologies
4
Sylvain Ouellet et Anik Lacroix
6:00 PM - 6:30 PM
Bison Transport Debate Reception
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6:30 PM - 7:30 PM
Bison Transport Debate
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Resolution— "This House Resolves That Electric Cars Do Not Have a Viable Future"
DAY THREE- Tuesday, May 26, 2015
7:30 AM - 8:30 AM
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8:45 AM - 10:15 AM
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10:15 AM - 10:30 AM
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Registration Check-in and Breakfast Buffet Opens
Plenary Session IV — The Canada Transportation Act Review
Moderator: Marc-Andre Roy
Panelists:
CTAR Advisors Marie-Lucie Morin and David Cardin
Coffee Break
Concurrent Sessions
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10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
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Issues in Safety and Security
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Evaluating Options in Urban Transit
Session Chair: Roger Roy
Optimal Fares and Capacity Decisions for Crowded Public Transport Systems
1
Andre de Palma , Robin Lindsey and Guillaume Monchambert
How Active Modes Compete with Motorized Modes in High-Density Areas: A Case Study of Downtown Toronto
2
Mohamed Salah Mahmoud, Wafic El-Assi, Khandker Nurul Habib and Amer Shalaby
Electrifying Public Transportation: A Comparison of Quebec, Ontario and California
3
Pierre Barrieau and Xavier Lagueux
Evaluating Alternate Transit Options in Halifax Using Travel Demand Forecasting Model Informed by a Stated Preference
4
Survey
Concurrent Sessions
Session Chair: Mary Brooks
Safety Performance Assessment of Stop-Operated Intersection Equipped with Active Road Sign
1
M. Foomani, C. Alecsandru and A. Awasthi
Trucking Dangerous Goods in Canada, 2004-2012
2
Sagal Searag, Greg Maloney and Lawrence McKeown
Identifying Key Factors Affecting Crash Severity in Toronto Using an Ordered Logit Modelling Approach
3
Lu Li, Md Sami Hasnine, Khandker M. Nurul Habib, Bhagwant Persaud and Amer Shalaby
Simulating Impacts of Critical Transportation Infrastructure Disruptions Using Open-source Data: Recreating and
4
Understanding a High-profile Highway Disruption in NB
Trevor Hanson
Mahbubur Rahman and Muhammad Ahsanul Habib
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Modeling Vehicle Ownership and Distribution
Session Chair: Hanna Maoh
Modeling the Spatial Distribution of Commercial Vehicle Ownership: An Application to Windsor, Ontario
1
Aya Hagag and Hanna Maoh
Utilizing Stated Preference in Electric Vehicle Research: Evidence from the Literature
2
Elnaz Abotalebi and Pavlos Kanaroglou
Modelling the Determinants of Hybrid Vehicle Distribu- tion in the Windsor Census Metropolitan Area
3
Terence Dimatulac and Hanna Maoh
12:00 PM - 1:30 PM
Keynote Speaker Luncheon — Michael H. Broad , Shipping Federation of Canada
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1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
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Applied Statistical Methods and Issues
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Policy/Planning Issues in Small Markets
Session Chair: Jim Frost
Development and Evaluation an Algorithm to Produce the Population in regional level and dissemination area level
1
Mohammad Hesam Hafezi and Muhammad Habib
Cost Competitiveness of Re-Supply via Cargo Airship in Kivalliq, Nunavut
2
Matthew Adaman, Barry E. Prentice and Paul Larson
Issues and Opportunities for Enhancing Active Transportation Among Rural and Urban Areas: Lessons from a New
3
Brunswick Study
Trevor R. Hanson, Florence Allaire and Carly MacEacheron
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Perspectives on Public and Private Transportation Policy and Planning - I
Session Chair: Joseph Schulman
A Conceptual Framework for Modelling Firmography
1
Toka S. Mostafa and Matthew J. Roorda
Crude Oil by Rail: Solution or Disaster?
2
Kalinga Jagoda
Energy, Resources and Transportation: Exploratory Study of the Canadian Mining Sector
3
Kalinga Jagoda and Carlos Rojas
3:00 PM - 3:15 PM
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Coffee Break & Networking
Concurrent Sessions
Session Chair: Michael Kieran
Measuring Commodity Flows in Canada: Options and Considerations
1
Georgiana Madar and Lawrence McKeown
Effects of Geometric and Traffic Factors on Frequencies of Truck-involved Crashes on Ontario Highways
2
Ran Ran and Chris Lee
A Framework for Collecting Stated Preference Data on Electric Vehicle (EV) Adoption by the Canadian Fleet
3
Operators
Shakil Khan and Hanna Maoh
Marine Sector Trends and Issues
Session Chair: Anne Legars
Bi-Coastal Disorder: Commercial Shifts in North American Maritime Ranges
1
Jean-Paul Rodrigue
Containerization on the Great Lakes: Why it Declined
2
Bradley Hull
Shipping Regulation, Trade Realities and Social License: Will Short Sea Shipping Ever be More Than Just a Niche Service?
3
Mary Brooks
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Perspectives on Public and Private Transportation Policy and Planning - II
Session Chair: Gord Baldwin
Urban Pulse Analysis Using Big Data
1
Galo Reinoso and Bilal Farooq
Optimizing Large-scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects using Building Information Modelling
2
Rida Shetwi, Bilal Farooq and Ciprian Popa
Waiting for the R Train: Public Transportation and Employment
3
Justin Tyndall
5:00 PM - 9:30 PM
Port of Montreal
CTRF Cruise and Dinner
Bus leaves at 5:00 pm for the Cruise. Cruise space is limited, sign-up at registration desk.
Awards Dinner 7:30-9:30. Transportation by bus.
DAY FOUR - Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Statistics Canada/Transport Canada Special Session — Transportation Data Needs
— Sponsored by Statistics Canada and Transport Canada —
7:45 AM - 8:30 AM
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Registration Check-in for Non-CTRF Attendees and Breakfast Buffet Opens
8:30 AM - 8:45 AM
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Welcoming Remarks — Michael Kieran, IBI Group
8:45 AM - 10:15 AM
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10:15 AM - 10:30 AM
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10:30 AM - 11:45 AM
Transportation Data Needs — Perspectives
Moderator: Jean-Pierre Simard, Statistics Canada
Panelists:
o Policy: Robert Leore, Transport Canada
o Research: Barry Prentice, University of Manitoba
o International: Thomas Orliac, CPCS
o Statistical: Michael Scrim, Statistics Canada
Coffee Break
Measuring Commodity Flows in Canada
Moderator: Robert Leore, Transport Canada
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Panelists:
o A Commodity Flow Survey: Larry McKeown, Statistics Canada
o A Freight Analysis Framework: Mark Brown, Statistics Canada
o Research and Policy: William Anderson, University of Windsor
11:45 AM - 12:00 PM
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Closing Remarks — Marc-Andre Roy, President, CTRF
Concurrent Sessions
3:15 PM - 4:30 PM
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