50th Annual CTRF Conference May 24-27, 2015 Marriott Chateau Champlain, Montreal, QC Another 50 Years: Where to From Here? PRELIMINARY PROGRAM Subject to Change DAY ONE - Sunday, May 24, 2015 1:00 PM CTRF Board Meeting (Closed) Room TBA 3:00 PM Registration Desk Opens Room TBA 6:00 PM CTRF President’s Reception Room TBA Remarks by Brian Flemming, Chairman, Canada Transportation Act Review Panel 2000-2001 DAY TWO - Monday, May 25, 2015 7:15 AM - 8:15 AM Room TBA Registration Check-in and Breakfast Buffet Opens 8:15 AM - 8:30 AM Room TBA Welcome Remarks and Announcements – Marc-Andre Roy, President, CTRF 8:30 AM - 10:15 AM Plenary Session I — Reflections from Former Federal Ministers of Transport Room TBA Moderator: Nick Mulder Panelists: Hon. David Collenette, Hon. Chuck Strahl, Hon. Tony Valeri 10:15 AM - 10:30 AM Room TBA Coffee Break 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM Room TBA Transportation and the Environment - I Session Chair: Mario Iacobacci Environmental Impact of the Induced Traffic from Highway 25 Extension Project 1 Md Shohel Reza Amin and Umma Tamima Impact of Resource Sharing of Freight Transportation 2 Pedro Furtado and Jean-Marc Frayret The Decarbonisation of Transport Logistics: A South African Case 3 Jan Havenga, Leila Goedhals-Gerber, Heinrich Freiboth, Zane Simpson and Anneke De Bod Assessing the GHG Emissions Effects of the Canada Line in Vancouver and Tramway T2 in Paris 4 Emilie Nguyen Van Sang, Michael Oram and Anthony Perl Regulatory Issues in Freight Rail Session Chair: Marie-Claude Levesque A New Train of Thought: The Dynamics and Inherent Politics of Rail Freight Transportation in Canada 1 Nick Mulder, Patty Toner and Philip Cartwright Canada – United States Freight Rail Economic Regulation Comparison 2 André Pretto and Joseph F. Schulman From Free Markets to Regulation and Back Again: Cycles in Transportation, Grain Marketing and Economic Thought 3 4 Room TBA Paul Earl Risk Shifting as Use of Market Power: Transportation of Dangerous Goods Ryan Gallagher and Francois Tougas Modelling Road Movements Session Chair: Clarence Woudsma Modelling the Determinants of Truck Tours within Canadian Markets 1 Kevin Gingerich, Hanna Maoh and Bill Anderson Freight Performance Micro Analysis Using Truck GPS Data 2 Tufayel Chowdhury and Jean-François Arsenault Modeling Border Wait Times of Canadian Trucks in Ontario: Evidence from Recent GPS Data for 2012/2013 3 Rahaf Husein, Kevin Gingerich, Hanna Maoh and William Anderson City of Edmonton Commercial Vehicle Model Update Using a Roadside Truck Survey 4 Matthew J. Roorda and Nico Malfara Concurrent Sessions Room TBA 12:00 PM - 1:30 PM Room TBA 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM Room TBA 3:00 PM - 4:00 PM Keynote Speaker Luncheon — Hon. Lisa Raitt, Minister of Transport Plenary Session II — 50 Years of Transportation Research Moderator: John Lawson Panelists: Ray Cope, Treavor Heaver, Neal Irwin, Derek Scrafton, Dick Soberman Plenary Session III — Humanitarian Aid Cargo Logistics (organized by CIRRELT) Moderator: Bernard Gendron Panelists: The Science of Networks 1 Bernard Gendron Analysis of a regional prepositioning network for crisis response in East Africa: The case of the UNHRD 2 Émilie Dufour Analysis of Transportation Procurement Activities in Developing Countries: The case of the World Food Programme in 3 Kenya Feyza Guliz Sahinyazan Coffee Break & Networking 4:00 PM - 4:15 PM Room TBA 4:15 PM - 5:45 PM Room TBA Transportation and the Environment - II Session Chair: Nick Mulder A Modified Hidden Semi-Markov Model for Traffic Related PM10 Pollution Levels Estimation 1 Maryam Shekarrizfard, Ayoub Karimi-Jashni Kamal Hadad and Seyed Ali Akbar Safavi Air Quality Simulation of Traffic Related Emissions: Application of Fine-Scaled Dispersion Modelling 2 M. Shekarrizfard and M. Hatzopoulou Impact of the Cap-and-Trade vs. Carbon Tax Policy on Vehicle Routing 3 Glareh Amirjamshidi and Matthew J. Roorda Air Sector Trends and Issues Session Chair: Don McKnight A Feedback Model for Assessing out-of-region Airport Leakage 1 Qian Fu and Amy Kim A Steady but Uneven Climb: Air Passengers in Canada Since 9/11 2 Since Trever9/11 Bova, Gwen Cromwell and Lawrence McKeown Air Union: How Europe's Attempt to Fly Together Fell Apart, 1959-64 3 Sean Nicklin 4 Room TBA Airline Price Dispersion & Competition: Review of Empirical Evidence for the USA/Canada David Stambrook Improving Supply Chain Fluidity and Resilience Session Chair: Malcolm Cairns Reducing Disruption-induced Impacts on Transportation Supply Chain Fluidity 1 Matthew Whelen, Ata Khan and David Ramsey Peak-load Management and Surge Capacity in Western Canadian Grain Transportation 2 Barry Prentice A Decade of National Level Logistics Costs Measurement in South Africa: The case for Macro logistics 3 Jan Havenga Les Activités Logistiques au Canada: Innovation et Technologies 4 Sylvain Ouellet et Anik Lacroix 6:00 PM - 6:30 PM Bison Transport Debate Reception Room TBA 6:30 PM - 7:30 PM Bison Transport Debate Room TBA Resolution— "This House Resolves That Electric Cars Do Not Have a Viable Future" DAY THREE- Tuesday, May 26, 2015 7:30 AM - 8:30 AM Room TBA 8:45 AM - 10:15 AM Room TBA 10:15 AM - 10:30 AM Room TBA Registration Check-in and Breakfast Buffet Opens Plenary Session IV — The Canada Transportation Act Review Moderator: Marc-Andre Roy Panelists: CTAR Advisors Marie-Lucie Morin and David Cardin Coffee Break Concurrent Sessions Room TBA 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM Room TBA Issues in Safety and Security Room TBA Evaluating Options in Urban Transit Session Chair: Roger Roy Optimal Fares and Capacity Decisions for Crowded Public Transport Systems 1 Andre de Palma , Robin Lindsey and Guillaume Monchambert How Active Modes Compete with Motorized Modes in High-Density Areas: A Case Study of Downtown Toronto 2 Mohamed Salah Mahmoud, Wafic El-Assi, Khandker Nurul Habib and Amer Shalaby Electrifying Public Transportation: A Comparison of Quebec, Ontario and California 3 Pierre Barrieau and Xavier Lagueux Evaluating Alternate Transit Options in Halifax Using Travel Demand Forecasting Model Informed by a Stated Preference 4 Survey Concurrent Sessions Session Chair: Mary Brooks Safety Performance Assessment of Stop-Operated Intersection Equipped with Active Road Sign 1 M. Foomani, C. Alecsandru and A. Awasthi Trucking Dangerous Goods in Canada, 2004-2012 2 Sagal Searag, Greg Maloney and Lawrence McKeown Identifying Key Factors Affecting Crash Severity in Toronto Using an Ordered Logit Modelling Approach 3 Lu Li, Md Sami Hasnine, Khandker M. Nurul Habib, Bhagwant Persaud and Amer Shalaby Simulating Impacts of Critical Transportation Infrastructure Disruptions Using Open-source Data: Recreating and 4 Understanding a High-profile Highway Disruption in NB Trevor Hanson Mahbubur Rahman and Muhammad Ahsanul Habib Room TBA Modeling Vehicle Ownership and Distribution Session Chair: Hanna Maoh Modeling the Spatial Distribution of Commercial Vehicle Ownership: An Application to Windsor, Ontario 1 Aya Hagag and Hanna Maoh Utilizing Stated Preference in Electric Vehicle Research: Evidence from the Literature 2 Elnaz Abotalebi and Pavlos Kanaroglou Modelling the Determinants of Hybrid Vehicle Distribu- tion in the Windsor Census Metropolitan Area 3 Terence Dimatulac and Hanna Maoh 12:00 PM - 1:30 PM Keynote Speaker Luncheon — Michael H. Broad , Shipping Federation of Canada Room TBA 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM Room TBA Applied Statistical Methods and Issues Room TBA Policy/Planning Issues in Small Markets Session Chair: Jim Frost Development and Evaluation an Algorithm to Produce the Population in regional level and dissemination area level 1 Mohammad Hesam Hafezi and Muhammad Habib Cost Competitiveness of Re-Supply via Cargo Airship in Kivalliq, Nunavut 2 Matthew Adaman, Barry E. Prentice and Paul Larson Issues and Opportunities for Enhancing Active Transportation Among Rural and Urban Areas: Lessons from a New 3 Brunswick Study Trevor R. Hanson, Florence Allaire and Carly MacEacheron Room TBA Perspectives on Public and Private Transportation Policy and Planning - I Session Chair: Joseph Schulman A Conceptual Framework for Modelling Firmography 1 Toka S. Mostafa and Matthew J. Roorda Crude Oil by Rail: Solution or Disaster? 2 Kalinga Jagoda Energy, Resources and Transportation: Exploratory Study of the Canadian Mining Sector 3 Kalinga Jagoda and Carlos Rojas 3:00 PM - 3:15 PM Room TBA Coffee Break & Networking Concurrent Sessions Session Chair: Michael Kieran Measuring Commodity Flows in Canada: Options and Considerations 1 Georgiana Madar and Lawrence McKeown Effects of Geometric and Traffic Factors on Frequencies of Truck-involved Crashes on Ontario Highways 2 Ran Ran and Chris Lee A Framework for Collecting Stated Preference Data on Electric Vehicle (EV) Adoption by the Canadian Fleet 3 Operators Shakil Khan and Hanna Maoh Marine Sector Trends and Issues Session Chair: Anne Legars Bi-Coastal Disorder: Commercial Shifts in North American Maritime Ranges 1 Jean-Paul Rodrigue Containerization on the Great Lakes: Why it Declined 2 Bradley Hull Shipping Regulation, Trade Realities and Social License: Will Short Sea Shipping Ever be More Than Just a Niche Service? 3 Mary Brooks Room TBA Perspectives on Public and Private Transportation Policy and Planning - II Session Chair: Gord Baldwin Urban Pulse Analysis Using Big Data 1 Galo Reinoso and Bilal Farooq Optimizing Large-scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects using Building Information Modelling 2 Rida Shetwi, Bilal Farooq and Ciprian Popa Waiting for the R Train: Public Transportation and Employment 3 Justin Tyndall 5:00 PM - 9:30 PM Port of Montreal CTRF Cruise and Dinner Bus leaves at 5:00 pm for the Cruise. Cruise space is limited, sign-up at registration desk. Awards Dinner 7:30-9:30. Transportation by bus. DAY FOUR - Wednesday, May 27, 2015 Statistics Canada/Transport Canada Special Session — Transportation Data Needs — Sponsored by Statistics Canada and Transport Canada — 7:45 AM - 8:30 AM Room TBA Registration Check-in for Non-CTRF Attendees and Breakfast Buffet Opens 8:30 AM - 8:45 AM Room TBA Welcoming Remarks — Michael Kieran, IBI Group 8:45 AM - 10:15 AM Room TBA 10:15 AM - 10:30 AM Room TBA 10:30 AM - 11:45 AM Transportation Data Needs — Perspectives Moderator: Jean-Pierre Simard, Statistics Canada Panelists: o Policy: Robert Leore, Transport Canada o Research: Barry Prentice, University of Manitoba o International: Thomas Orliac, CPCS o Statistical: Michael Scrim, Statistics Canada Coffee Break Measuring Commodity Flows in Canada Moderator: Robert Leore, Transport Canada Room TBA Panelists: o A Commodity Flow Survey: Larry McKeown, Statistics Canada o A Freight Analysis Framework: Mark Brown, Statistics Canada o Research and Policy: William Anderson, University of Windsor 11:45 AM - 12:00 PM Room TBA Closing Remarks — Marc-Andre Roy, President, CTRF Concurrent Sessions 3:15 PM - 4:30 PM Room TBA
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