Production Theory of Production and Optimal Input Combinations 1 Production • Start of analyzing the supply side of the market • Focus is on the physical aspects of production • Related to an engineering perspective of how to combine inputs • The economic perspective focuses a bit less on the mechanical aspects of production, and instead thinks about how to optimally produce some good • Entity producing a good is called a “firm”, and the definition encompasses everything from a small corner market to a giant organization like ExxonMobile • Production is an intermediate step for a firm • Goal is not to produce a good • Goal is to make a profit 2 The Production Process • We will often take an abstract approach • So will not focus on the physical and mechanical processes that produce a good – that is the realm of engineering • Our goal will be to find the production process than minimizes the cost of producing each unit of the good • You will see we use a lot of concepts that translate almost seamlessly from consumer theory • • • • “Output” is the analog of “utility” “Marginal product” works like “marginal utility” “Cost minimization” is the mirror image of “utility maximization” Keeping these similarities in mind might help you quickly understand production 3 Preliminary Concepts I: Inputs • Production process takes “inputs” which are the factors or things needed to make a good • For example, to make gasoline, one necessary input is oil • To make steel, you need iron • To grow wheat, you need land, seed, fertilizer, tractors, labor and other things • Sometimes it is easy to vary the amount of input used, sometimes it is hard – there is a continuum • Inputs that are easy to vary are called “variable inputs” • Inputs that are hard to vary are called “fixed inputs” • We will generally use generic inputs, often calling them “capital” and “labor” 4 Preliminary Concepts II: The Production Function • Inputs can be combined in different ways to get the same input; inputs can (sometimes or often) be substituted for one another • To make cars, you can have 2 production plants each running 1 shift of workers, or 1 production plant running 2 shifts of workers • This would show an ability to substitute capital and labor • Other examples? • Economists represent the (often) complicated process of production with a simplified expression called a “production function” • The production function tells how much output will be produced if a certain amount of each input is used in a set period • It is a simplification of the comprehensive process • It is a physical representation in ways equivalent to the utility function 5 The Production Function, continued • We write the production function Q f ( x1 , x2 ,...., xn ) where Q is the output produced, each xi represents a different input, and the function f(∙) represents the production function, so tells how the inputs are combined to produce the output • It is a cardinal relationship (unlike the utility function which was ordinal) • That means if Q f ( x1 , x2 ,...., xn ) 12 and Q* f ( x1*, x2 *,...., xn *) 24 where the * indicates a different amount of input used compared to when there is no *, then the input combination of the * inputs produces exactly twice as much as the input combination of the unstarred • For example, if Q f ( K1 , L1 ) and 3Q f (2 K1 , 2 L1 ) where K1 and L1 are specific amounts of capital and labor used, doubling the amount of inputs triples the output 6 Preliminary Concepts III: Time Frame • Economists talk about the short run and long run • These are not specific lengths of time. The depend on how long it takes to vary different inputs • In the very short run, all inputs are fixed. That means the amount used cannot be changed. Economists don’t talk about the very short run much • In the short run (SR) , at least one input is fixed, and cannot be changed, while the amount used of other inputs may be varied • In the long run (LR), all inputs are variable • Generally, we will be considering labor as a variable input that can change in the SR and capital as an input that is fixed in the SR but variable in the LR 7 The Production Function; substitutability • The production function Q f ( x1 , x2 ,...., xn ) shows all technologically efficient input combinations • That means reducing the amount of any single input will reduce output • So if Q1 f ( K1 , L1 ) and Q2 f ( K 2 , L2 ) and K 2 K1 or L2 L1 and at least one inequality is a strict inequality, then Q2 Q1 • The form of f(∙) carries important information about the production process • First it tell us how easy it is to substitute inputs • Linear production functions, Q=aK+bL show perfect substitution • Fixed proportion production functions, Q=min(aK,bL) where, min stands for minimum show no substitution works • Most production processes are somewhere in-between • Example – packing bird food, use machines or workers 8 The Production Function; marginal products • Next the production function tell us how output changes when only one input changes. This is called the marginal product • The marginal product of labor, often written as MPL, is the change in output as only labor changes, ie, MPL=∆Q/∆L • The marginal product of labor, often written as MPL, is the change in output as only labor changes, ie, MPK=∆Q/∆K • More precisely Q f ( K , L) MPL L L Q f ( K , L) MPK K K It is possible that the MPL depends on the amount of capital, and the MPK depends on the amount of labor • Example – packing bird food, again. The MPL depends on how much capital you have 9 The Production Function; average products • Another useful measure of production is the average product. Average products tell how much output is produced per unit of input • More precisely Q f ( K , L) APL L L Q f ( K , L) APK K K Almost certainly the APL depends on the amount of capital used, and the APK depends on the amount of labor used • Example – packing bird food, again. The MPL depends on how much capital you have 10 Marginal Product of Labor and Average Product of Labor Both graphs hold the amount of capital constant Notice, it is possible for MP<0, but AP>0 always unless Q=0 (the firm is not producing) The average product is the output per unit of input. Hence, the APL=Q/L. The APL is at its highest when APL=MPL. 11 The Production Function: Returns to Scale • Another thing a production function shows is returns to scale (RTS) • RTS is measured by the proportionate change in output that results from a proportionate change in the inputs. • RTS is measured by α and β where Q1=f(K1,L1) and Q2=αQ1=f(βK1,βL1), α>0, β>1 • If α<β there is decreasing returns to scale. Doubling the inputs used results in less than double the original output • If α=β there is constant returns to scale. Doubling the inputs used results in double the original output • If α>β there is increasing returns to scale. Doubling the inputs used results in more than double the original output 12 Example Production Functions Cobb-Douglas: Q aK L MPL=a K L 1 MPK=a K 1 L RTS= Q aK bK 2 cL dL2 fKL where usually a, c 0; b, d 0; f can be either MPL=c 2dL fK MPK=a 2bK fL RTS depends on the amounts of K and L Linear: Q K L MPL= MPK= RTS=constant Fixed Proportion: Q min( K , L) MPL=0 MPK=0 RTS=constant Quadratic: What are APL and APK for each production function. Where are they highest? 13 The Isoquant • Isoquants so different input combinations that result in the same output, so imply that the substitution of inputs is possible • The shape of the isoquant shows how easy it is to substitute inputs • What do isoquants of a linear production function, Q=aK+bL, look like? • What do isoquants of a fixed proportion production function, Q=min(ak,bL) look like? 14 More on Isoquants • The negative of the slope of the isoquant is called the Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution (MRTSLforK) (like the Marginal Rate of Substitution for consumers) MRTS LforK Q Q K and MPK . Recall MPL K L L Q 0 Q Then MPL L K . For Q 0 we need L MPL -K MPK L MPK Q K so MRTS LforK MPL MPK 15 MRTS and the slope of the isoquant • Notice for a “normal” shaped isoquant, as we move from point 1, to point 2 to point 3 the slope of the isoquant is getting flatter. That means MPL/MPK is getting smaller • Each unit of L added replaces a smaller and smaller amount of K. It is getting harder to substitute L for K • Called diminishing MRTSLforK 16 Elasticity of Substitution (see Munoz, page 10-12) • The elasticity of substitution indicates how easy it is to substitute L for K L % K %MRTS LforK L K MRTS LforK MRTS LforK • Example, Cobb-Douglas: Q aK L L K 1 MPL a K L K MRTS LforK 1 MPK a K L L K K MRTS LforK so - MRTS LforK L L MRTS LforK K L K L MRTS LforK L K K L K - L 1 K L • I won’t ask you to calculate σ, but might ask you to interpret it. 17 Isoquants and the relationships between inputs • As noted, inputs can be complements or substitutes in production • If inputs are complements, they generally need to be used in a set proportion • If inputs are substitutes, it is possible to decrease the use of one input by increasing the use of the other K K Q2 Q2 Q1 Q1 L Linear production function, σ= L Fixed proportion production function, σ=0 A smooth production function, 0<σ< but getting smaller 18 Moving towards efficiency: Optimal Input Use • The isoquant (and production function) offers a menu of input combinations that produce the same output • Once a firm has chosen how much to produce, it must decide how to produce it • This is called cost minimization, and follows very closely the idea of utility maximization we used for consumer theory 19 Isocost curves • Let’s start with set input prices • The firm must pay r per unit of capital it uses • The firm must pay w per unit of labor it uses • The cost of a combination of inputs is then C=rK+wL. And isocost curve shows those different sets of capital and labor (K,L) that cost the same amount • We have C=rK+wL. Rearrange this to K=(C/r)-(w/r)L • We now have K as a function of L , cost, and the input prices • The intercept is (C/r) and the slope is –(w/r) 20 Isocost Curves, continued • The further the line is from the origin, the greater C • In the graph, C”>C’ • Notice, the slopes are the same, because r and w have not changed 21 Cost minimization • For a given output, Q′ in the graph, the cost of producing it is minimized with the isocost curve just tangent to the isoquant for Q′ • Points 1, 2 and 3 all produce Q′, but C1>C2>C3 • You cannot produce Q′ at a cost of C4 • Since they are tangent, the slope of the isoquant equals the slope of the isocost: MPL w MRTS MPK r 22 The Expansion Path • The Expansion path shows the cost minimizing combination of inputs as output gets larger • Top graph shows all inputs are “normal”. As output increases, the use of both inputs goes up • Inputs can be inferior too. In the graph shown, if quantity gets very large, capital equipment replaces labor (example, bird food packaging) 23 Short run and long run expansion paths • In the short run, capital is fixed at K . The only way to increase output is by adding labor • The short run expansion path follows the green arrow • In the long run, capital is also variable, so at each output costs can be minimized • The expansion path follows the yellow line 24 Changes in the relative prices of inputs • If the relative prices of inputs change, so will the optimal combination of inputs • C1 shows the isocost when capital is relatively expensive • C2 shows the isocost when labor is relatively expensive 25 Application: changes in input prices, the minimum wage • Suppose a firm wants to produce Q • If a minimum wage increases to w2 from w1, what happens to the mix of inputs used? • Which technology costs more? How do you know? capital C2/r C1/r 2 1 Q C2/w2 C1/w1 Labor 26 Application 2: Aluminum or Plastic in Airplanes • Polymer matrix composites, a type of plastic, are 7.5 times stronger than aluminum, and about 40 percent lighter • Light weight is important when building planes. In 1990 about 4% of new commercial aircraft and 10% of new military aircraft were made of polymer composites • Over time, polymer plastics became relatively cheaper, and now planes are 20% polymer plastics 27 Application: Jet fuel price changes • Jet fuel prices were very high relative to other inputs (red line) • Airlines had planes fly higher, slower and substituted inputs to lower the weight of places to save fuel • With the current oil glut, price of jet fuel fell relative to cost of other inputs (black line). They are now flying faster and not worrying so much about saving weight • If jet fuel gets expensive again (blue line), costs will be higher, and airlines will be inefficient until they can again adjust other inputs 1 2 28 A lesson from the last example • Adjusting input mixes in response to short run changes in the prices of inputs can lead to higher long run costs • If the airlines worry less about weight because fuel prices are now cheap, they may use less plastic and more aluminum in planes • There are other ways to save weight, too. For example, the types of straps and dividers used in the luggage compartment can amount to significant weight • If they order heavier planes, if fuel prices increase, they will be stuck at higher costs (the blue line in the previous slide) until they can again adjust capital • So short run cost minimization may not always be the best decision, if it is done to temporary changes in the input cost ratio 29 Returns to scale, again • Remember, RTS is measured by α and β where Q1=f(K1,L1) and Q2=f(βK1,βL1), with Q2=αQ1, α>0,β>1. • If α<β there is decreasing returns to scale (DRS) • If α=β there is constant returns to scale (CRS) • If α>β there is increasing returns to scale (IRS) • Scale changes are measured graphically by a ray from the origin to isoquants • • • • As drawn, K2=2K1, L2=2L1 Q2<2Q1, DRS Q2=2Q1, CRS Q2>2Q1, IRS 30 Returns to scale can depend on input ratio • Ray R1 shows a high ratio K1/L1 • Along R1 the RTS are measured by the change from Q1 to Q2 (ie, the move from point 1 to point 2) • If the firm is at a lower ratio K3/L3 (point 5) the RTS are different • Point 6 shows doubling the inputs from K3/L3 to K4/L4 • Since point 6 is below the isoquant for Q2, RTS must be lower along ray R2 than along R1 K4 L4 31 RTS and optimal input combinations • Suppose Q2=2Q1, so R1 shows CRS and R2 shows DRS • If the input prices are w and r as shown, the optimal input combination for producing Q1 occurs at point 5, a capital-labor ratio that shows decreasing returns to scale • With a production function that has varying returns to scale depending on the input ratio, the optimal capitallabor ratio may change with output, even if the input price ratio is constant • The least cost method of producing Q2 is at point 7, which is not a scale change from point 5, as capital and labor changed in different proportions. 32 The mathematics of cost minimization • At the cost minimizing point we have MRTS MPL w MPK r • The problem is to minimize costs (C) subject to output (Q) being held constant where • C=wL+rK • Q*=f(K,L) where Q* is a set level of output • Of course, this easily generalizes to more than two inputs • Set up a Lagrangian min ℒ = 𝑤𝐿 + 𝑟𝐾 − 𝜆[𝑄 ∗ − 𝑓 𝐾, 𝐿 ] 𝐿,𝐾 • λ is again a lagrangian multiplier • The first part is costs, and the constraint holds output constant at Q* 33 Doing the math min ℒ = 𝑤𝐿 + 𝑟𝐾 − 𝜆[𝑄∗ − 𝑓 𝐾, 𝐿 ] 𝐿,𝐾 𝜕ℒ 𝜕𝑓 𝐾,𝐿 =𝑤− 𝜕𝐿 𝜕𝐿 𝜕ℒ 𝜕𝑓 𝐾,𝐿 =𝑟− 𝜕𝐾 𝜕𝐾 (1) and (2) ⇒ 𝜕ℒ 𝜕𝜆 𝑤 𝑟 = 0 which mean 𝑤 = 𝑀𝑃𝐿 (1) = 0 which mean 𝑟 = 𝑀𝑃𝐾 = (2) 𝑀𝑃𝐿 𝑀𝑃𝐾 = 𝑄 ∗ − 𝑓 𝐾, 𝐿 = 0 which means hold output constant 34 𝛼 𝛽 An application with 𝑓 𝐾, 𝐿 = 𝐾 𝐿 min ℒ = 𝑤𝐿 + 𝑟𝐾 − 𝜆[𝑄 ∗ − 𝐾 𝛼 𝐿𝛽 ] 𝐿,𝐾 Put in numbers: Let w=2, r=1, w=2, α=1/2, β=1/2 and Q*=10 𝜕ℒ = 𝑤 − 𝛽𝐾 𝛼 𝐿𝛽−1 = 0 𝜕𝐿 𝜕ℒ = 𝑟 − 𝛼𝐾 𝛼−1 𝐿𝛽 = 0 𝜕𝐾 (1) and (2) ⇒ 𝑟𝛽 ⇒𝐿= 𝐾 𝑤𝛼 𝑤 𝑟 = 𝛽𝐾 𝛼 𝐿𝛽−1 𝛼𝐾 𝛼−1 𝐿𝛽 (1) The 𝐾 = 10 ∗ 21/2 = 2*10 (2) = 1 2 So 𝐿 = 𝐾 = 𝛽𝐾 =MRTS 𝛼𝐿 Q*= 10 ∗ 2 2 ∗10 2 1/2 10 ∗ 2 2 1/2 = 100 ∗ 2 2 =10 2 𝜕ℒ = 𝑄 ∗ − 𝐾 𝛼 𝐿𝛽 = 0 𝜕𝜆 So 𝑄∗ = 𝐾 𝛼 𝐿𝛽 = 𝐾𝛼 𝛽 𝑟𝛽 𝐾 𝑤𝛼 = 𝐾 𝛼+𝛽 𝑟𝛽 𝛽 𝑤𝛼 ⇒𝐾= 𝑤𝛼 𝛽 ∗ 𝑄 𝑟𝛽 1 𝛼+𝛽 35 More on the application We always require that MRTSLforK=w/r With the Cobb-Douglas production function this always means αwL=βrK If α=β cost is allocated so the same amount is spent on each input. If α≠β then cost is allocated so the amount spent on each input is proportional 𝑟𝐾 𝛼 to the exponents, ie, = . 𝑤𝐿 𝛽 𝑤 𝛽𝐾 MRTSLforK= = 𝑟 𝛼𝐿 Notice also that the so as L increases, the MRTSLforK gets smaller, as we expect. In the example, what is the MRTSLforK at the cost minimizing input combination? If w increases, what substitution will happen with inputs? 36 Doing the math with more than two inputs min ℒ = 𝑤𝐿 + 𝑟𝐾 + 𝑞𝑍 − 𝜆[𝑄∗ − 𝑓 𝐾, 𝐿, 𝑍 ] 𝐿,𝐾 𝜕ℒ 𝜕𝑓 𝐾,𝐿 =𝑤− 𝜕𝐿 𝜕𝐿 𝜕ℒ 𝜕𝑓 𝐾,𝐿 =𝑟− 𝜕𝐾 𝜕𝐾 𝜕ℒ 𝜕𝑓 𝐾,𝐿 =𝑞− 𝜕𝑍 𝜕𝑍 = 0 which mean 𝑤 = 𝑀𝑃𝐿 (1) = 0 which mean 𝑟 = 𝑀𝑃𝐾 (2) = 0 which mean 𝑞 = 𝑀𝑃𝑍 (3) (1), (2) and (3) ⇒ 𝜕ℒ 𝜕𝜆 𝑀𝑃𝐾 𝑟 = 𝑀𝑃𝐿 𝑤 = 𝑀𝑃𝑍 What does this mean? 𝑞 = 𝑄 ∗ − 𝑓 𝐾, 𝐿, 𝑍 = 0 which means hold output constant 37
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