INTHESPOTLIGHT ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 CONTENT 1.Topnews…page5 2.ArmedconflictinUkraine`seast…page5 Pro-RussianseparatistslaunchattackonDonbastowns OSCEobserversattackedbymilitantsinLuhanskRegion DeathtollinDonbasexceeds6,300people,UNsays DonbascontactgroupholdsmeetinginMinsk OSCEspecialenvoyinMinsktalkstoresign UkrainianpresidentrulesoutnationalreferendumonDonbasseparation BlasthitscoastguardboatnearMariupol 3.Crimeanissue…page7 CrimeanTatarsdeniedrighttocelebrateNationalFlagDay RussianjuryhanddownverdicttosonofCrimeanTatarleader 4.Internationalpolitical…page8 Ukraine-Russia RussialaunchesnewmilitarydrillsalongUkrainianborder RussianspecialunitoperativetransferredinUkrainiandetentionfacility Ukrainiansecurityserviceholds53Russiancitizenscriminallyliable Ukrainiansecurityserviceopenscriminalcaseoverabductionof Ukrainiancitizen UkrainianauthoritiesenactlawbanningRussian-madefilms Ukraine-EU RussiademandsUkrainepostponetransfertoEUtechnicalregulationsby 10years–media EUtoextendsanctionsagainstCrimea EUextendsassetfreezesforthreeUkrainianex-officials EuropeanParliamentrollsoutsanctionsinresponsetoRussia's"black list” 2 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 Ukraine-USA Ukrainian-USmilitarynavalexerciseheldinBlackSea Ukraine-Canada Canadaallocates4mdollarsforUkrainianpatrolpolice Ukraine,Canadainconsultationsonvisaliberalization Ukraine-world UkrainianpresidentappointsenvoystoSerbia,Kyrgyzstan 5.Domesticpolitical…page11 Parliamentauthorizespeacekeepers'entrytoUkraine Ukrainianparliamentshortensperiodofdefenceplanning Ukrainianparliamentapprovesplanoflegislativesupportforreforms TwoUkrainianMPsstrippedofimmunity SpecialpensionsforUkrainianofficialscancelled Ukrainianpresidentdeniesconfidentialagreementswithcontroversial tycoon HeadofUkraine'smigrationservicedismissed Kievpolicechiefdismissed Ukrainiandefenceministerdismisseschiefprocurementofficer UkrainiancabinetsuggestsdismissalofDonetskregionalgovernor 6.Economy…page13 IMFmissioncompletesitsworkinUkraine JapantogiveUkraine1.5bn-dollarloanguarantees Foreignexchangereservesgrowby3percent EBRD,IMFworseneconomicoutlookonUkraine InflationinMayslowsto2.2percent Centralbankextendscurrencyrestrictionsforthreemonths NationalBankliquidatesNadrabank UkraineresumesexportsofOplottanks 3 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 CourtarrestspropertyofFirtash'sOstchem 7.Energy…page15 BrusselshostsUkraine-Russia-EUexpert-leveltalksongasissues PresidentgivesNaftohazgreenlighttorecoverdebtsfromconsumers UkraineresumesgasimportsfromHungary CourtoverturnsdismissalofUkrtransnaftahead Parliamentcuts"greentariff"forsolarpowerplants 4 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 1.TOPNEWS Pro-RussianseparatistscontinueshellingpositionsofUkrainianmilitary TheylaunchedthebiggestoffensivenearthetownsofMaryinkaand Krasnohorivka. YoucanfindmoredetailsinthesectionARMEDCONFLICTINUKRAINE'SEAST. Ukrainianparliamentauthorizesaccessforforeignpeacekeepers ThespokespersonoftheRussianpresidenthaswarnedthattheKremlinmight useforceabroadduetothedecisionoftheUkrainianVerkhovnaRada. YoucanfindmoredetailsinthesectionDOMESTICPOLITICAL. EBRD,IMFforecastUkraine'sGDPfallby9percent JapanwillgrantUkrainea1.5bn-dollarloan. YoucanfindmoredetailsinthesectionECONOMY. 2.ARMEDCONFLICTINUKRAINE'SEAST Pro-RussianseparatistslaunchattackonDonbastowns Pro-RussianseparatistscontinuetoattackUkrainianpositionsusingweapons whichhavebeenbannedbytheMinskagreements,suchasGradmultiplerocket launchers. Theylaunchedthebiggestoffensiveon3June,nearthetownsofMaryinkaand Krasnohorivka,whicharelocatedwestofDonetsk.TheUkrainianmilitarysaid thattheywereabletorepeltheattackbutwereforcedtoreturnheavyartillery totheirfightingpositions. TheUNhasreportedthat28peoplehadbeenkilledasaresultoftheseclashes. Nineofthemwerecivilians. Expertsbelievethatthemostrecentfighting,theworstsinceFebruary, representsthemostseriousviolationoftheMinskagreements. UkrainianPrimeMinisterArseniyYatsenyuksaidthatRussiahaddeliberately “ordereditsterroriststolaunchamilitaryoperation”aheadoftheG7summit. On5June,theUNSecurityCouncilheldanextraordinarymeetingtodiscussthe deteriorationofthesituationinUkraine. OSCEobserversattackedbymilitantsinLuhanskRegion Pro-Russianseparatistson7JuneopenedfireonobserversfromtheOSCEand 5 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 theJointCentreforControlandCoordinationofCeasefireandStabilizationof theLineofContactnearthetownofShchastya,LuhanskRegion,the antiterroristoperationpresscentrehasreported. Nocasualtieswerereported. DeathtollinDonbasexceeds6,300people,UNsays SincethebeginningofthearmedconflictineasternUkraineinthemiddleof April2014andasof15May2015,6,360peoplehavebeenkilledinDonbasand 15,780havebeenwounded,theUNhasreported. UNexpertsestimatethatthenumberofinternallydisplacedpeoplehasreached 1.2million.Atthesametime,casesofshelling,execution,illegaldetention, tortureandhumantraffickingareobservedintheareaofconflictpopulatedby 5millionpeople,theUNadded. Wewouldliketopointoutthataccordingtoinformationatdisposalofthe SecurityServiceofUkraine(SBU),asof3June,1,180peopleareconsidered missinginDonbas. DonbascontactgroupholdsmeetinginMinsk On2June,representativesofthetrilateralcontactgroupforsettlementofthe conflictinDonbas(Ukraine,theOSCEandRussia)anditsfoursubgroups conductednegotiationsinMinsk. RussianrepresentativeAzamatKulmukhametovlefttheroomwherethe groupconvened,whichderailedthemeeting,theInterfax-Ukrainenewsagency hasquoteditsownsourceassaying. OSCEspecialenvoyinMinsktalkstoresign ThespecialrepresentativeoftheOrganizationforSecurityandCooperationin Europe's(OSCE's)chairperson-in-officeinUkraine,HeidiTagliavini,plansto stepdownfromherroleasOSCErepresentativeintalksbetweenUkraine, Russiaandpro-RussianmilitantsinUkraine'sDonbas. Aspreviouslyreported,sherepresentedtheOSCEinthetrilateralcontactgroup forsettlementoftheconflictinDonbas. TheUkrainianforeignministerbelievesthatthechangeoftheOSCE representativemayslowdowntheMinskdialogue. Theresignationmighthavetodowiththederailmentofthenegotiationson2 June,theRussiannewsagencyInterfaxhasquoteditssourceinthetrilateral groupassaying. UkrainianpresidentrulesoutnationalreferendumonDonbasseparation UkrainianPresidentPetroPoroshenkohassaidthathewillnotallowa referendumonDonbasseparationfromUkraine.Theheadofstatemadethis statementatanewsconferenceon5June,thenextdayafterhisannualaddress toparliament. 6 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 Atthesametime,hedidnotruleoutthepossibilityoforganizingareferendum onthestatusofDonetskandLuhanskregionswithintheterritoryofUkraine. ThepresidentalsonotedthatKievwasreadytorestoreeconomictieswiththe temporarilyoccupiedterritoriesinDonbasundertheconditionthatthe UkrainianauthoritiesregaincontrolovertheUkrainian-Russianborder.Heruled outeconomiccooperationwithpro-Russianmilitants,aswellasUkraine'sand Westernparticipationinthereconstructionofterritoriescurrentlyheldby separatists. PoroshenkoalsosaidthatiftheUkrainianauthoritiesfailtoregaincontrolover theUkrainian-Russianborder,theywillbeforcedtotightenbordercontrolonthe demarcationlineinDonbas. BlasthitscoastguardboatnearMariupol AUkrainiancoastguardcutteron7Junehitanimprovisedexplosivedeviceinthe AzovSeaoffthecoastofMariupol,theantiterroristoperationpresscentrehas reported.Accordingtothestatement,thedevicewasplantedbypro-Russian militants. Therewereeightpeopleonboardatthetimeoftheincident;oneofthemwas killed. Earlier,on31May,afishermanaccidentallydetonatedanexplosivedevice floatinginthewaternearMariupol. 3.CRIMEANISSUE CrimeanTatarsdeniedrighttocelebrateNationalFlagDay TheSimferopolcityauthoritieshavedeniedtheorganizingcommitteeofthe CrimeanTataryouthtomarkCrimeanTatarNationalFlagDayon26June. Weshallremindyouthatthecityadministrationhaddeniedtheself-styled CrimeanTatargovernmentMajlispermittoholdarallyinthecitycentreto commemoratevictimsofdeportationon18May. Wewouldliketopointoutthaton4Juneunidentifiedindividualstoredowna CrimeanTatarflagfromtheMajlisbuilding,aswellasaplaqueneartheentrance tothebuilding,andsurveillancecameras. TheUNhasreportedthatthesituationinCrimea“remainsalarmingandsuch thatwecancharacterizeitbyhumanrightsviolationscommittedbydefacto authorities,whoapplylegislationoftheRussianFederation”.Theorganization paidspecialattentiontoviolationsofrightsoftheCrimeanTatars. RussianjuryhanddownverdicttosonofCrimeanTatarleader TheRussianjuryhasdecidedthatasonoftheCrimeanTatarleaderand UkrainianMPMustafaDzhemilyev,Khayser,isnotguiltyofmurdermotivated byhooliganism.Atthesametime,itfoundhimguiltyofillegalpossessionof weaponsandammunition,aswellasmanslaughter.Hefacesuptosevenyearsin prison. 7 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 TheverdictisthesameastheoneissuedbyaUkrainiancourtinMay2015. Weshallremindyouthaton27May2013KhayserDzhemilyevkilledafamily member,FevziEdemov,asaresultofnegligenthandlingofweapons.Attheendof September2014,theRussianauthoritiesillegallytransferredhimfromaCrimean detentionfacilitytoRussianKrasnodarRegion. 4.INTERNATIONALPOLITICAL UKRAINE-RUSSIA RussialaunchesnewmilitarydrillsalongUkrainianborder RussianSu-25attackaircraftunitsoftheSouthernMilitaryDistrictairbasehave launchedmilitaryexercisestopracticehowtoovercome“enemyairdefences”,the Russian Defence Ministryreportedon2June. Wealsolearnedthatlarge-scalemilitarydrillsareconductedalongtheUkrainian borderbyBelarus. WewouldliketopointoutthatUkrainianPresidentPetroPoroshenkosaidthat themassingofRussiansoldiersalongtheUkrainianborderwasthelargestsince August2014.HeaddedthattheriskofRussia'sdirectinvasioninUkrainewas extremelyhigh. RussianspecialunitoperativetransferredinUkrainiandetentionfacility On3June,anoperativeoftheMainIntelligenceDirectorateoftheGeneralStaffof theRussianArmedForces,YevgeniyYerofeyev,wastransferredfromaKiev militaryhospitaltoaremandcentre. ItisplannedthattheseconddetainedRussiansoldier,AleksandrAleksandrov, willalsobetransferredtoaremandcentresoon. ThetwoRussiansweredetainednearthetownShchastyainLuhanskRegionon16 May.AUkrainiansoldierwaskilledintheclash.AUkrainiancourtruledtokeep theRussiansoldiersindetention.Theymayfaceterrorismcharges. Ukrainiansecurityserviceholds53Russiancitizenscriminallyliable TheSecurityServiceofUkraineholds53Russiancitizenscriminallyliableandhas openedcriminalcasesagainstthemajorityofthemovercommittingterroristacts. Tencaseswereconsideredbycourts,whichhavealreadyhandedverdicts. Twenty-eightRussiannationals,includingaformerdefenceministerofthe Donetskpeople'srepublic,IgorGirkin,andotherleadersoftheself-proclaimed DonetskandLuhanskpeople'srepublicshavebeenplacedonthewantedlist. UkrainiansecurityserviceopenscriminalcaseoverabductionofUkrainian citizen TheSecurityServiceofUkrainehaslaunchedaninvestigationintothetrumpedup chargespresentedtoUkrainianmilitarypilotandMPNadiyaSavchenkobythe RussianFederalSecurityServiceandtheRussianInvestigationsCommittee. 8 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 UkrainianauthoritiesenactlawbanningRussian-madefilms On4June,theUkrainianauthoritiesstartedtoimplementalawwhichbans broadcastsofRussianmovieswhichhadbeenmadeafteraRussianactof aggressionagainstUkraineon1January2014. ThedocumentalsobansbroadcastsofmoviesinUkrainewhichpromote Russianlaw-enforcementagenciesandSovietsecurityagencies,whichwere madeafter1August1991,regardlessofwherethefilmswereproduced. UKRAINE-EU RussiademandsUkrainepostponetransfertoEUtechnicalregulationsby 10years–media ThefirsttechnicalconsultationsofexpertsfromUkraine,theEUandRussia regardingcertainaspectsoftheimplementationoftheEU-Ukrainefreetrade areaagreementtookplaceinBrusselson4-5June2015. Ukraine'srepresentative,DeputyTradeMinisterNataliyaMykolska,saidafter thetalksthatRussiawasnotconstructive. AccordingtoUkrainianmediareports,insteadofofferinganythingspecific,the Russiandelegationsuggestedthattheenactmentofalltechnicalregulations adaptedtotheEUstandardsbepostponedby10years. ThenextroundoftalkswillbeheldinlateJune. EUtoextendsanctionsagainstCrimea TheCounciloftheEuropeanUnionon5June2015madeapoliticaldecisionto extendsanctionsagainstCrimeaforanotheryear.Thedecisionwillbe formalizedinawhile,theCounciloftheEU'spressservicehassaid. ThesanctionsincludethebanontheimportofCrimeangoods,exportofgoods andtechnologiesfortransport,telecommunicationandenergydevelopmentto Crimea,andinvestmentinthepeninsulathroughpurchaseofrealestateand othermeasures. TheAFPnewsagencyquoteditssourcesassayingthatatitsJunesummitthe EUwillprolongthesanctionsagainstRussiabyanotheryearduetoitsmilitary aggressionagainstUkraine. EUextendsassetfreezesforthreeUkrainianex-officials TheCounciloftheEuropeanUniondecidedon5June2015toextendtheasset freezeandentrybansforformerUkrainianJusticeMinisterOlenaLukash, formerEducationMinisterDmytroTabachnykandMPSerhiyKlyuyev.The measuresareextendedbyninemonthsforLukashandTabachnykandbyfour monthsforKlyuyev. Theex-president'syoungerson,ViktorYanukovychJr,wasexpelledfromthe sanctionlistduetohisdeath. 9 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 Italsotranspiredthatex-PresidentViktorYanukovychandhiselderson OleksandrappealedagainsttheEUdecisiononsanctionsagainstthemforthe secondtime. TheEUrestrictivemeasuresnowapplyto17formerUkrainianofficials. EuropeanParliamentrollsoutsanctionsinresponsetoRussia's"blacklist" On2June2015,EuropeanParliamentPresidentMartinSchulzannounced suspendingtheparliament'sengagementwiththeEU-Russiaparliamentary cooperationcommittee,restrictingfreeaccesstoparliamenttotheRussian ambassador,andassessingrequestsforaccessbymembersoftheDumaandthe FederationCouncilonacase-by-casebasis. Thesanctionswereintroducedfollowingthepublicationoftheblacklistof89 EuropeanpoliticiansbannedfromenteringRussia. UKRAINE-USA Ukrainian-USmilitarynavalexerciseheldinBlackSea TheUkrainianfrigateHetmanSagaidachnyandtheUSNavydestroyerUSSRoss heldajointexerciseintheBlackSeaon1-2June2015. UKRAINE-CANADA Canadaallocates4mdollarsforUkrainianpatrolpolice Canadahasdecidedtoallocate5mCanadiandollars(4mUSdollars)foran initiativetotrainanewUkrainianpatrolpoliceforce,UkrainianPrimeMinister ArseniyYatsenyuksaidafterameetingwithhisCanadiancounterpartStephen HarperinKievon6June2015. Thenewpatrolforce,whichisexpectedtoreplacetheStateAutomobile Inspectorate,willtaketoworkinJulyinKiev,tobefollowedbyLviv,Odessa, KharkivandlateralloverUkraine. Ukraine,Canadainconsultationsonvisaliberalization UkraineandCanadahavestartedconsultationsonvisaliberalizationfor Ukrainians,inparticularonincreasingthetermofvisaholders'stayinCanadaand relaxingrequirementstoobtainingvisas,UkrainianPresidentPetroPoroshenko saidafterameetingwithCanadianPrimeMinisterStephenHarperinKievon6 June2015. UkrainianPrimeMinisterArseniyYatsenyukhopestocompletefreetradetalks withCanadainthreemonths. UKRAINE-WORLD UkrainianpresidentappointsenvoystoSerbia,Kyrgyzstan PresidentPetroPoroshenkoappointedOleksandrOleksandrovychasUkraine's ambassadortoSerbiaandMykolaDoroshenkoasambassadortoKyrgyzstan. 10 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 5.DOMESTICPOLITICAL Parliamentauthorizespeacekeepers'entrytoUkraine On4June2015,parliamentauthorizedforeignarmedforcesunits'entryto UkraineforpeacekeepingmissionsonKiev'srequestandUNorEUdecisionsto thiseffect. RussianpresidentialpresssecretaryDmitriyPeskovsaidthatVladimirPutin mayexercisehisrighttoasktheFederationCouncil'spermissiontouseRussian troopsabroadduetothisdecisionoftheUkrainianparliament. EarlierUkrainesuggestedthattheUNandEUdeployapeacekeepingmissionto Donbas. Ukrainianparliamentshortensperiodofdefenceplanning On2June2015,theUkrainianparliamentpassedthebillwhichshortensthe periodoflong-termdefenceplanningfortheArmedForcesfrom12tofiveyears, mid-termplanningfromsixtothreetofiveyears,andshort-termplanningfrom twotoonetothreeyears. Ukrainianparliamentapprovesplanoflegislativesupportforreforms On4May2015,theUkrainianparliamentadoptedaplanoflegislativesupportfor reforms. Thedocumentsaysthatparliamentshouldpassbillsalongthefollowing directions: -constitutionalreformandruleoflaw; -nationalsecurityanddefencereform; -Ukraine'sinternationalcommitments; -macroeconomicstabilizationandreformofeconomy; -socialsector; -environmentandnaturalresources; -humanitarianpolicy. AccordingtoanopinionpollheldbytheGorsheninInstitute,themajorityof Ukrainiansconsidersanticorruptionreform(63.4percent)andofficials'vetting (52.2percent)asprioritysteps.Seethedetailedreportontheopinionpollonthe institute'swebsite. TwoUkrainianMPsstrippedofimmunity On3June2015,theUkrainianparliamentstrippedamemberofthePeople'sWill parliamentarygroupandex-chiefoftheAydarvolunteerbattalion,Serhiy Melnychuk,ofimmunityasheissuspectedofbanditryandanumberofother crimes.Herisksspendinghislifebehindbars. Thesamedayparliamentstrippednon-affiliatedMPSerhiyKluyevofimmunityas heissuspectedofgrossfraud.Heisfacingover10yearsinprison. 11 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 KlyuyevmadeanattempttoleaveforViennabutwasstoppedbyborderguards. On4Junethepoliticianwasputonwantedlist. PresidentPetroPoroshenkoinhisannualaddresscalledonparliamenttolift MPs'immunityandlimitthatofjudges. SpecialpensionsforUkrainianofficialscancelled Asof1June2015,thePensionFundstoppedassigningspecialpensionstoMPs, ministers,judges,prosecutors,customsandtaxofficersandotherofficials. Ukrainianpresidentdeniesconfidentialagreementswithcontroversial tycoon UkrainianPresidentPetroPoroshenkohasdeniedreachinganyconfidential agreementswithtycoonDmytroFirtashduringameetinginViennainspring 2014.Hesaidthisatanewsconferenceon5Junewhileansweringaquestion fromanLB.uacorrespondent. Headdedthattherewasadifferentpoliticalagreement,howeveritwassigned withVitaliyKlitschko.Hemadetheagreementavailabletojournalists. Duringthecourthearingonhisextradition,Firtashsaidthathemet PoroshenkoandKlitschkoinViennainspring2014.Herefusedtorevealthe detailscitingthenon-disclosureagreement."Icansaythatwehaveachieved whatwewanted.Poroshenkobecamethepresident,Klitschkothemayor,"he added. HeadofUkraine'smigrationservicedismissed TheheadoftheStateMigrationService,SerhiyRadutnyy,hasbeendismissed, PresidentPetroPoroshenkosaidinhisaddresstoparliamenton4June2015. Accordingtotheheadofstate,Radutnyyfailedtopreparethestateforvisa-free regulationswiththeEU. PoroshenkorecalledthatKievshouldhavecompletedalltechnicalassignments onEUvisaliberalizationbytheendofAugustaheadofthevisitbyaEuropean assessmentmissioninSeptember. Kievpolicechiefdismissed On5June2015,theCabinetofMinistersdismissedthechiefoftheInterior Ministry'smaindirectorateinKiev,OleksandrTereshchuk,inaccordancewith thevettingprocedure. EarliersomemediareportedthatTereshchuklivedinahousewhichhehad builtonthelandplotwhichwasarrestedonsuspicionofbeinganillegal allotment. TheProsecutor-General'sOfficealsostartedapre-trialinvestigationintoillegal 12 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 enrichmentbytheformerheadoftheStateAutomobileInspectorate, OleksandrYershov. Ukrainiandefenceministerdismisseschiefprocurementofficer On6June2015,DefenceMinisterStepanPoltorakdismissedtheheadofthe procurementcentrefortheDefenceMinistryandtheGeneralStafffor insufficientsupplyoftheArmedForcesofUkraine. SomeheadsofDefenceMinistryandGeneralStaffdepartmentsfaced disciplinaryaction. UkrainiancabinetsuggestsdismissalofDonetskregionalgovernor On5June2015,theCabinetofMinisterspetitionedthepresidenttodismissthe headoftheDonetskregionalstateadministration,OleksandrKikhtenko,due tohispoorperformance. On21May,thegovernmentalcommissionrecognizedtheworkoftheDonetsk regionalstateadministrationasunsatisfactory. 6.ECONOMY IMFmissioncompletesitsworkinUkraine TheIMFmissionhasconcludeditstwo-weekvisittoUkraine.Initsfinal statement,themissionnotedthat"allperformancecriteriaforend-Marchwere metandallstructuralbenchmarksdueinthespringareoncoursetobemet, albeitsomewithadelay." However,Ukraineneedstoreachagreementwithitscreditorsonthe restructuringofitspublicdebtinordertoreceiveanewtranche,theIMFsaid. Itshouldbenotedthattoreceiveanothertranche,theUkrainianparliament shouldalsopassanumberoflaws,particularly,onstrengtheningthecentral bank'sindependence,onfiscaldecentralization,andonchangingthetax administrationsystem. JapantogiveUkraine1.5bn-dollarloanguarantees JapanplanstoprovideUkrainewithloanguaranteesworth1.5bndollars, UkrainianPresidentPetroPoroshenkohassaidfollowingthetalkswith JapanesePrimeMinisterShinzoAbeheldinKievon6June. Onthesameday,thesidessignedanintergovernmentalagreementona1.1bndollarsloan.ThefundswillbeprovidedbyJapantoUkraineforthe reconstructionoftheBortnychisewagetreatmentplantinKiev. On3June,theUkrainianparliamentratifiedtheagreementbetweenUkraine andJapanoninvestmentpromotionandprotection. 13 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 ItwasalsoreportedthatUkraineandJapanbegannegotiationsonrelaxingvisa requirementsforUkrainiancitizens. Foreignexchangereservesgrowby3percent ForeignexchangereservesofUkraine'scentralbankinMayincreasedby3 percentto9.92bndollars. Sincetheyear'sbeginning,thereserveshavegrownbymorethan30percent. Accordingtoexperts,thecentral'sbankreserveassetsareexpectedtogrowto 13bndollarsbytheendoftheyear,providedthatpublicdebtsecuritiesare restructuredsuccessfully,thenewsandanalysiswebsiteLB.uasaid. EBRD,IMFworseneconomicoutlookonUkraine TheEuropeanBankforReconstructionandDevelopment(EBRD)hasrevised downwardsitsforecastforUkraine'seconomy,expectingthecountry'sGDPto fallby9percentin2015,ascomparedtothe7.5-percentdeclineprojected earlier. TheIMFalsoprojectsthatUkraine'seconomyshouldshrinkby9percent. Previously,theIMFexpectedUkraineGDPtocontractby5.5percentthisyear. InflationinMayslowsto2.2percent TheUkrainianstatisticsservicehassaidthatinflationinUkraineslowedto2.2 percentinMay,whileinAprilitwas14percent.Annualizedinflationrate sloweddownto58.4percentfrom60.9recordedattheendofApril. AccordingtotheIMF,inflationinUkraineshouldreach46percentthisyear. ItshouldberecalledthataccordingtothetargetssetinUkraine'snational budgetfor2015,GDPshoulddeclineby5.5percentwhileinflationshouldreach 26.7percent. Centralbankextendscurrencyrestrictionsforthreemonths TheNationalBankofUkrainehasextendedtheanti-crisismeasuresuntil3 September. Inparticular,theregulatorextendedtherequirementsforcompulsorysaleby exportersof75percentoftheirforeignexchangeearnings,settlementson export-importoperationsina90-dayterm,andtherestrictiononpurchaseby banksofnon-cashcurrencyfortheirownoperationsinthesizeof0.1percentof theirregulatorycapitalperday. Atthesametime,theNationalBankincreasedtheamountofcashfundsinthe nationalcurrencythatcanbewithdrawnbyclientsfromtheirdepositaccounts from150,000to300,000hryvnyas(from7,000to14,000dollars)perday. 14 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 NationalBankliquidatesNadrabank TheUkrainianNationalBankon4Junedecidedtorevokethebankinglicenseof Nadrabank,whichisownedbybusinessmanDmytroFirtash,andliquidatethe financialinstitutionasinsolvent. ItshouldbenotedthattheregulatoralsodeclaredNatsionalnyyKredyt (NationalCredit)bankasinsolventon5June.Thisfinancialinstitutionhas becomethe17thinsolventbanksincetheyear'sbeginningandthe50thsincethe startof2014. UkraineresumesexportsofOplottanks UkrainehasresumedexportstoThailandofUkrainiannew-generationOplot tanks,whicharemanufacturedatthestate-ownedMalyshevplant,theInterfaxUkrainenewsagencyhassaid,citingasourceinthedefencesector.Theexports weresuspendedin2014. The200m-dollarcontractforthesupplyof49tankstoThailandwassignedin 2011. CourtarrestspropertyofFirtash'sOstchem Thecourthasarrested46realestatefacilitiesandlandplotsbelongingto OstchemcompanyofUkrainianbusinessmanDmytroFirtashunderacriminal investigationintotheinflictionof5.74bnhryvnyas(2.7mdollars)oflosseson thestate,UkrainianInteriorMinisterArsenAvakovhassaid. Itshouldberecalledthatearlierthecourtarrested499mcu.m.ofgasstoredin UkrtranshazfacilitiesbelongingtoOstchemgroup. Inaddition,AvakovsaidthattheInteriorMinistryopenedacriminalcaseonthe collusionbetweenformermanagersofNaftohazUkrayiny,astate-runenergy company,andFirtashduringthecourtproceedingsinStockholmin2010,which resultedinthedefeatoftheUkrainianside.Asaresult,Naftohazwasobligedto return12.1bncu.m.ofgastoRosUkrEnergogasintermediarycompany. ItalsobecameknownthattheSupremeEconomicCourtrejectedtherequest submittedbycompanyUkrainianChemicalProducts,ownedbyFirtash,to extendtheleaseoftheVilnohirskstate-runminingandmetallurgicalplant worth430mhryvnyas(20.5mdollars). 7.ENERGY BrusselshostsUkraine-Russia-EUexpert-leveltalksongasissues ExpertsfromUkraine,RussiaandtheEuropeanCommissionmetinBrusselson 2JunetodiscussthetermsofRussiannaturalgassuppliestoUkraine. AccordingtoRussianEnergyMinisterAleksandrNovak,thetwosidesreached apreliminaryagreementthatatleast19bncu.m.ofgaswillbepumpedintothe Ukrainianundergroundgasstoragefacilitiesaheadofthewinterseason.Healso 15 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 saidthattheEuropeanCommissionwillprovidefinancialassistanceforUkraine topurchasethegasifthelatterdoesnothaveenoughresources. Atthesametime,RussiannewsagencyRIANovosti,citingNaftohaz'sbusiness developmentdirectorYuriyVitrenko,reportedthatthecompanyisnotgoing toprovideanyguaranteesforthepurchaseofgasoritspumpinginto undergroundstoragefacilities. ItisplannedthatatrilateralministerialmeetingwillbeheldbytheendofJune, atwhichUkraine,RussiaandtheEUwillsignaprotocolestablishingtheterms ofRussiangassuppliestoUkraineuntilthespringof2016. ItshouldberecalledthattheagreementunderwhichUkraineiscurrently buyinggasfromRussiaexpireson1July. PresidentgivesNaftohazgreenlighttorecoverdebtsfromconsumers UkrainianPresidentPetroPoroshenkohassignedalawthatgivestherightto NaftohazUkrayiny,astate-runenergycompany,toconductforcedrecoveryof debtfromfuelandenergycompanies,andtosellconsumers'debtsforsupplied gastothirdpartiesthroughauctions. UkraineresumesgasimportsfromHungary UkraineresumedimportsofnaturalgasfromEuropethroughHungaryon4 June,thestate-runcompanyUkrtranshazhasreported.Theimportswere suspendedinApril. ItisalsoreportedthatUkrtranshazandHungariangasoperatorFGSZon29May signedanagreementontheinterconnectionofpipelinescrossingtheUkraineHungaryborder,whichallowsperformingvirtualreversegassupplies. ThecapacityoftheinterconnectorinthedirectionofHungaryreaches26bn cu.m.peryearwhilethepipesinthedirectionofUkrainecanpump6.1bncu.m. peryear. CourtoverturnsdismissalofUkrtransnaftahead ALutskcourton29Maydeclaredillegalthe19Marchdecisionbythe supervisoryboardofUkrtransnafta,theoperatorofUkraine'soilpipelines,to dismissOleksandrLazorko(whoissaidtobeaffiliatedwithPrivatGroupof IhorKolomoyskyy)fromthepostofthecompany'sboardchairman,Andriy Pasichnyk,executivedirectorofthestate-runenergycompanyNaftohaz Ukrayiny,hassaid. TheNaftohazofficialbelievesthatthelawsuitwasfiledinordertolegitimizethe agreementsonplacing2bnhryvnyas(95mdollars)instatefundson Privatbank's(Kolomoyskyy'sbank)deposits,whichweresignedonthedayof Lazorko'sdismissal. ItshouldberecalledthatthesupervisoryboardofUkrtransnaftamanagedto appointRomanSydorakasanewboardchairman(whoisrunningthe companytoday)onlyon22April. 16 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved INTHESPOTLIGHT ISSUE63(226) 06/08/2015 Parliamentcuts"greentariff"forsolarpowerplants TheUkrainianparliamenton4Junepassedthelawonreducingthe"green tariff"forsolarpowerplantsbyremovingthepeakratioof1.8fromthetariff calculationformula. AccordingtoEnergyMinisterVolodymyrDemchyshyn,thisdocumentwill allowsaving1bnhryvnyas(47.6mdollars)bytheendoftheyear. ExpertssaythatthelawwillhelpeliminatethemonopolyofSerhiyandAndriy Klyuyevonthemarket. FoundedinJuly2010,GorsheninWeeklyisaweeklydigestofexpertanalysis coveringthemostimportantpolitical,socialandeconomiceventsinUkraine.Itis thekeysourceofinformationaboutopinionpollscarriedoutbytheGorshenin Instituteaswellasthebestprofessionalcommentariesonrecentdevelopments. GorsheninWeeklyisavailableinRussianandEnglish. GorsheninWeeklyhasover1000subscribersintheEU,theUSA,Russia,Ukraine andothercountries.Itsregularcustomersarerepresentativesoftheembassies, theEuropeanCommission,theEuropeanParliament,theUSDepartmentofState, leadinginternationalanalyticalcentres,Ukrainianandinternationalmassmedia. IfyouwishtosubscribetoGorsheninWeeklypleasesendyourrequesttothe followinge-mailaddress:[email protected]. Ourcontactinformation: 18bMalaZhytomyrskast., Kiev01001,Ukraine +380442304962 +380442304966f [email protected] Formoreinformationpleasevisitourwebsite http://gorshenin.eu/ 17 ©GorsheninInstituteJune2015Allrightsreserved
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