INTERNATIONAL ENERGY CHARTER MINISTERIAL CONFERENCE 20-21 MAY 2015 THE HAGUE, THE NETHERLANDS “Investing in Energy” D I S C US S I O N NO TE Version 22 April 2015 1. The International Energy Charter as a new tool for securing investments to meet global energy challenges By: Energy Charter Secretariat Investing in energy is one of the world’s greatest challenges. Over the period to 2035 the global investment bill will total over USD 48 trillion, consisting of around USD 40 trillion in energy supply and the remainder in energy efficiency. Less than half of the USD 40 trillion investment in energy supply goes to meet demand growth. The larger share is required to offset declining production from existing oil and gas fields and to replace power plants and other assets that reach the end of their productive life. Taking into account prevailing global conditions at economic, geopolitical and demographic levels, it is now clearer than ever that a new tool is needed that can help secure the required energy investments. In 1991, the Dutch Prime Minister of the time, Ruud Lubbers, started an initiative at the East-West, or Eurasian, level which eventually resulted in the European Energy Charter. Later the Energy Charter Treaty codified the Charter’s core principles on investment protection, trade, transit and energy efficiency. Now, some 25 years later, the adoption of the International Energy Charter (IEC) in The Hague, in May 2015, will open the way for the fully-fledged globalisation of the Charter Process, paving the road for the Energy Charter Treaty (ECT) to offer rule of law services for global – 1 rather than merely Eurasian – energy markets. The basis of the text of the International Energy Charter is the 1991 European Energy Charter. The document has been cleared of outdated references and new challenges for energy co-operation have been added, including on energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. What is new in particular, is the common understanding on energy security, reflecting better the different perspectives of energy producing, consuming and transit countries. The IEC also offers a better reflection of the specific needs of emerging and developing countries including access to energy. The basic principles of the European Energy Charter are upheld, including state sovereignty over energy resources, political and economic co-operation, the development of efficient energy markets, non-discrimination and the promotion of a climate favourable to the operation of enterprises and the flow of investments and technologies, taking due account of environmental concerns. This should, in principle, be ‘music to the ears’ of energy investors worldwide: nearly two thirds of the USD 40 trillion investment bill referred to above will be channelled into energy supply projects in emerging economies. With many new countries signing up to the IEC this year, the Energy Charter appears ready to become the premier energy governance instrument representing countries of different political, cultural and legal backgrounds which share the common value that ‘nothing will happen’ unless countries work together in order to promote, protect and ultimately stimulate investments in the global energy economy. Only then can markets function to the maximum benefit of society and a healthy energy trade can evolve at the global level, limiting the impact of geopolitical tensions. As it is now clearer than ever that investment needs to become the buzzword to drive global energy markets, the question on how the International Energy Charter and Energy Charter Treaty accession will evolve in the years ahead is an important one. 1 For details about the Ministerial Conference on the International Energy Charter in The Hague on 20-21 May 2015, the Energy Charter Secretariat, the International Energy Charter or the Energy Charter Treaty, please visit http://international.energycharter.org or http://www.government.nl/encharter Page 2 of 8 Currently the Energy Charter is a full partner of the G20 activities on Energy Access Action Plan for Sub-Saharan Africa (providing its experience in the market restructuring 2 and strengthening the investment climate of the energy sector, assisting the RISE project of the World Bank and sharing its experience on Regional transformative projects3), Energy Efficiency Finance Task Force (together with IPEEC) and issues regarding risk mitigation and investment for the Accelerated Deployment of Renewable Energy (together with IRENA). In the longer run, countries signing up to the IEC and those deepening their engagement by going the way of ECT accession will want to see some of the benefits which ‘club membership’ promises. Will FDI4 flows come to countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America if they accede to the ECT? Will club membership deliver on other energy security related solutions and services to the benefit of new members? It is only if this combination of questions will result in the emergence of acceptable stakeholder answers in the year to come, that the Energy Charter will acquire its rightful place as a leading international organization in the field of global energy governance and investment protection. 2. Increasing Access to Modern Energy Services By: World Bank Group – Energy & Extractives 5 Introduction The availability of energy is highly varied across and within countries. Energy is an important engine of economic growth, on which both poverty reduction and shared prosperity depend. The difference between the rich and the poor is particularly pronounced with regard to light, cooking and heating energy. To meet the objective of universal access to modern energy services, it is estimated that USD 45 billion is needed annually. In 2010, USD 9 billion was actually invested. Economic losses associated with blackouts and brownouts are estimated in excess of five percentages of GDP in some cases. Countries need to signal to investors that they are ready for capital inflows in affordable, reliable and sustainable energy. Several tools are now available to countries to analyse and improve their investment environment. Access deficit The access deficit in electrification is overwhelmingly concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, the only two regions in the world where access improvements have not stayed ahead of population increases. A group of 20 countries account for 83 percent of the global access deficit of 1.3 billion people. India, with an un-electrified population of 263 million, is followed by Nigeria and Ethiopia with 75 million and 67 million respectively un-electrified. While the access deficit in 2012 is overwhelmingly rural, the anticipated population increment between 2012 and 2030 is almost entirely urban. The access deficit in non solid fuels used for modern cooking and heating remains overwhelmingly concentrated in South Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa and East Asia and in rural areas. The absolute population living without access to non-solid fuels stands at an actual 2.9 billion in 2012 and an expected 4.4 billion in 2030. While the access deficit in 2012 is a mix of rural and urban, the new 2 http://www.encharter.org/fileadmin/user_upload/Publications/Best_Practice_Guidelines_-_2003_-_ENG.pdf E.g.: Gobitec and Asian Supergrid, http://www.encharter.org/fileadmin/user_upload/Publications/Gobitec_and_the_Asian_Supergrid_2014_ENG.pdf 4 FDI = Foreign Direct Investment 5 For details about the World Bank Group – Energy & Extractives, the Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP) or the Readiness for Investment in Sustainable Energy (RISE) index, please visit http://rise.worldbank.org 3 Page 3 of 8 population increment between 2012 and 2030 is almost entirely urban. A group of 20 countries account for 84 percent of the global access deficit. India and China with access deficits of 778 and 607 million are followed by Bangladesh and Nigeria with 138 million and 127 million respectively. Sub-Saharan Africa is the only region of the world where access improvements lag behind population increase. Among the top 20 non-solid fuels access deficit countries, only 7 have managed an access increase higher than population increase in the period 2010-2012. The Sustainable Energy 4 All initiative has set the goal at 100% access to electricity and modern fuels for cooking in 2030. Investment needs To meet the objective of universal access to electricity it is estimated that USD 45 billion additional investment is needed annually beyond the USD 9 billion that was actually invested in 2010. Much of the investment opportunity lies in rural areas. Financing needs are largely concentrated on grid investments - almost 85% of access investment is needed in grid and 15% in off-grid and micro-grids. In the case of modern cooking solutions, USD 4,4 billion is annually required until 2030 to meet the universal access objective, beyond current actual investment of 0,1 billion. Countries will need to build a track record of using foreign investment to the benefit of a well functioning, diversified energy industry which can include conventional and renewable energy sources. By doing so, governments solidify their investment framework and send a signal to private and public investors that they are ready for capital inflows in their energy industries, to advance affordable, reliable and sustainable energy. Bilateral and multilateral development banks have an important role to crowd in the private sector by: (a) building the creditworthiness of utilities; (b) improving sector governance and performance; (c) derisking investments (e.g. through guarantees and public-private partnerships); and (d) providing subsidies needed for access of the world’s poorest populations and last-mile connections (e.g. results-based funding). 6 The Readiness for Investment in Sustainable Energy (RISE) index , designed in coordination with the Sustainable Energy for All (SE4All) initiative, offers a suite of indicators that countries can use to analyse and improve their investment framework. The RISE index assesses the legal and regulatory environment for investment in sustainable energy. The RISE indicators cover four aspects of a country’s enabling environment: planning, policies and regulations, pricing and subsidies, and procedural efficiency. RISE will provide a global reference point to help policymakers assess individual countries’ frameworks for investment in renewables, energy efficiency, and energy access, and a powerful tool to help design and implement policies that further many of the Energy Charter’s goals. In addition, the combination of the carefully-designed indicators and a wealth of country-specific data – validated and made publicly available by the World Bank – can serve as the basis for sharing experiences across countries and highlight best practice rules, regulations and standards. Questions What lessons would Energy Charter members wish to share from their own successes and challenges in expanding energy access? How could regional power pools, interconnections and electricity trade be promoted through the Energy Charter in practice ,as a means to increase access to reliable and affordable electricity? What role can the financial sector play in relation to putting into practice the International Energy Charter? 6 The RISE index has been developed by the World Bank, with support from the Scaling Up Renewable Energy Program (SREP) of the Climate Investment Funds, ESMAP, IRENA and USAID Page 4 of 8 3. Investing in Clean Energy Infrastructure in a Carbon-Constrained World By: IRENA 7 Introduction Renewable energy plays an indispensable role in mitigating climate change. Investing in renewable energy capacity and operating it with high shares in the system in particular for electricity generation and in particular in vulnerable countries, can also have broader benefits. Renewable energy can reduce the demand for fossil fuels which could reduce the import bill of countries, and with more renewables domestic energy production can be increased. Both would contribute to a better trade balance as well as job creation. The shift to renewable energy is effectively underway with investment in new renewable capacity outpacing investment in new fossil based power-generation for three years running. Renewables and global emissions reductions Renewable energy plays an important and increasing role in achieving ambitious climate mitigation 8 goals. Renewable energy provides a path to lower energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and will help prevent a build-up of atmospheric CO2 concentration beyond 450 parts per million (ppm), the widely accepted threshold to keep global temperature rise to 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels by 2100. At the global level, scenarios reaching 450 ppm CO 2-equivalent are characterized by more rapid improvements of energy efficiency, and a tripling to nearly a quadrupling of the share of zero‐ and low‐carbon energy supply. In addition bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (CCS) could also play a role. The average concentration of CO 2 in the atmosphere was 398 parts per million (ppm) at the beginning of 2014. If renewable energy deployment is limited mitigation costs would increase and therefore greenhouse gas stabilization concentrations may not be 9 achieved. Of the total anthropogenic emissions today, the electricity sector accounts for 40% of emissions. Decarbonising electricity generation, together with energy efficiency improvements, can significantly reduce present trends in global CO2 emissions. Utilities have a key role to play here. Research shows that under current policies and national plans, average carbon dioxide emissions will 10 only fall to 498 grams per kilowatt-hour (kWh) by 2030. That is a 12% decrease compared to the 2010 levels. A doubling in the share of renewables could help mitigate climate change by reducing the global average emissions in power generation by an equivalent of 40% compared to 1990 levels. Countries are already taking actions The shift to renewable energy is effectively underway. Renewables last year accounted for more than half of new global power capacity, led by growth in wind, hydro and solar power. Investment in new renewable capacity has outpaced investment in new fossil based power-generation for three years running. And the more invested, the cheaper it gets. Total investment in renewable energy rose form USD 55 billion in 2004 to USD 214 billion in 2013 and is bound to increase as markets expand, learning accumulates and economies of scale are achieved. 7 More information about IRENA, IRENA’s flagship publication REthinking or IRENA’s global energy transition roadmap REmap 2030 can be found on www.irena.org 8 The 2011 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation 9 The 2011 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation 10 Source: REthinking Page 5 of 8 Many renewable energy technologies have demonstrated substantial performance improvements and cost reductions, and a growing number of technologies have achieved a level of maturity to enable deployment at significant scale. Broader benefits of renewables Enhancing the deployment of renewables can have a positive impact on economic growth, by generating new jobs, enabling diversification of economies and contributing to poverty alleviation. In the long term, renewable energy deployment can reduce the fossil fuel bill, and thus contribute to a balance of trade. This is particularly important for countries that are highly dependent on fossil fuel imports, and also those that expect a high increase of costs arising from their vulnerability to the adverse effects of climate change. It allows those countries to allocate resources to contingency strategies to respond to these impacts as well as to long term adaptation measures. Questions How can the International Energy Charter advance investments in renewable energy when it comes to new electricity generation capacity? What role can utilities play in investments? And governments? And the financial sector? How can the existing financial mechanisms from the UNFCCC mobilise the level of investment (in the order of USD trillions) required for an energy transition? Which other financing sources and channels may be needed, and what are the structures to mobilise these additional sources and channels? 4. Investment protection and promotion By: Global Investment Protection AG Introduction The energy sector is at a key juncture because climate change requires the switch from fossil to renewable energy sources and political and economic instability in many parts of the world require better security of energy supply and demand. As result, massive investments in the energy sector are indispensable. In order to attract massive investments, effective investment and investor protection, including full access to international arbitration, is needed. The ECT guarantees all this and therefore should be further strengthened. Energy sector at a key juncture Since entering into force, the ECT has been a very successful tool in promoting and protecting investments. However, for the following reasons the energy sector is at a key juncture. First, climate change requires the switch from fossil to renewable energy sources. Hence, massive long-term investments in the renewable energy sector are needed. Subsidies, tax breaks and other measures can stimulate such investments, but can also slow down innovation and reduce competitiveness. Secondly, political and economic instability in many parts of the world require better security of energy supply and demand. All States have an increasing responsibility to create a stable political, legal and economic framework in order to ensure a high level of security supply and demand. Thus, States must develop a predictable legal framework and refrain from retroactive measures. Moreover, States must ensure effective investment protection and access to international arbitration because they are key tools for promoting the Rule of Law, enhancing transparency and protect fundamental rights. In this context, the transparency of international arbitration through the application of the UNCITRAL Transparency Rules of 2014 could be increased. Also, the costs of the proceedings could be capped. The possibility of an appeal mechanism could be explored. Page 6 of 8 Thirdly, investments in the energy sector should be increasingly sustainable and contribute to the local economy. Therefore, States should develop together with investors programs for local capacity building and create international benchmarks on services which attract investments and benefit the local community. Questions How to create an attractive investment climate and promote innovation and competiveness for the stimulation of investments in the energy sector? How to enhance access to international arbitration, in particular for SMEs? How to use the International Energy Charter for promoting sustainable investments in the energy sector and the Rule of Law? 5. Energy, innovation and patents By: European Patent Office 11 Introduction As the world’s population grows, and climate change concerns continue, new energy technologies are required. Public, private and academic organisations pursue a myriad of ways to stimulate innovation, both ‘open’ or ‘closed’, and offer a wide range of incentives. The international patent system provides one way to advance innovation in energy, by protecting R&D results. Patents also support international technology transfer through foreign patent filings and licensing. While over 2 million relevant inventions are published via the internet, few patent rights exist in developing countries. How can the patent system be better utilised to fulfil objectives of the International Energy Charter to support innovation and technology transfer? Innovation in energy The world is in transition towards a new energy mix, including the increased use of renewable, lowcarbon energy sources, and their integration via smart grids into the energy network. New technologies will have a vital role to play in fulfilling the objectives defined in the International Energy Charter (IEC). Both ‘open’ innovation – innovation that is the result of internal and external ideas between partners who share both risks and rewards – and ‘closed’ innovation play a role in creating tomorrow’s energy mix. Energy patents The patent system is designed to encourage invention and innovation, favouring investment in R&D by rewarding inventors with temporary exclusive rights, while requiring disclosure of the invention to the public. These disclosures support further invention. In addition, the patent system supports technology transfer through licensing agreements; and patent protection obtained abroad enables enterprises to export technology while protecting their specialist know-how. Joint EPO-UNEP studies indicate that less than 1% of clean energy patent applications are filed in Africa, and less than 3% in Latin America, suggesting that few relevant patent rights exist in developing countries. 11 For details about the EPO Patent Information “Espacenet”, about the clean energy and climate change mitigating technologies indexing scheme and “PatentTranslate”, please see www.epo.org/espacenet, http://www.epo.org/searching/free/patent-translate.html, and www.epo.org/clean-energy Page 7 of 8 However, nearly 2 million patent documents relating to clean energy and climate change mitigating technologies are readily available, free-of-charge worldwide from any internet connection. The publication and availability of these patent documents which range from photovoltaic cells to carbon capture technologies and from more efficient combustion engines to smart grid technologies, are a vital element of the “social contract” inherent in the patent system, in which temporary exclusive rights may be granted in reward for disclosure of inventions. It is also possible to see in which States patent protection has been sought, and what the status of relevant patents and applications is in each country. In addition, the tool “PatentTranslate” supports translation to and from 28 European languages, as well as Chinese, Japanese, Korean and Russian, which further enhances the “dissemination and exchange of know-how and information on technologies” (IEC; II 6.). Patents and technology transfer The global patent system may have an important but underutilised role in providing “stable and transparent legal frameworks” for technology transfer to these regions (IEC; I 2.). Patent information services disclose not only technological solutions, but also information concerning the inventors and patent proprietors. It therefore also represents a “market place” which connects solution seekers to solution providers. Countries that have adopted the IEC may be unaware of the possibilities of the global patent system for their enterprises or entrepreneurs to innovate in clean energy and climate change mitigation technologies. Questions How could the patent system be better utilised in the framework the International Energy Charter to support innovation and technology transfer? Which mechanisms for innovation could be stimulated or exchanged under the International Energy Charter? Disclaimer The views and opinions expressed in this discussion paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs or any Dutch government agency. The Ministry of Economic Affairs wishes to express its appreciation for the work of the Energy Charter Secretariat (Dr Marat Terterov et al.: The International Energy Charter Alliance as a new tool for securing investments to meet global energy challenges); World Bank (Rohit Khanna et al.: Increasing Access to Modern Energy Services), IRENA (Roland Roesch et al.: Investing in Clean Energy Infrastructure in a Carbon-Constrained World), Global Investment Protection AG (Nikos Lavranos: Investment protection and promotion) and European Patent Office (Gerard Owens et al.: Energy, innovation and patents). Page 8 of 8
© Copyright 2024