student housing investors wake up to student housing 1 2 4 5 3 A recent flurry of major student housing deals in the UK has put the asset class firmly in the spotlight and more is on the way By marianne korteweg E ‘Investors like the fact that the student housing sector is driven by demographics rather than boom and bust’ philip hillman, jll 1. felix bauer, ceo of dref (left) and andrew thornton, ceo and co-founder of internos global investors 2. wouter onclin, research and programme manager, the class of 2020; rainer nonnengÄsser, managing director of development, mpc capital; philip hillman, director of student housing, jll 3. andrew thornton 4. wouter onclin 5. philip hillman (left) and felix bauer 6. full panel 7. felix bauer, philip hillman and wouter onclin Hotos: Philippe Fitte 6 7 urope’s student housing market has become a hotbed of activity as global investor interest in alternative real estate surges, it emerged from an investment briefing on the asset class which was held at the Mipim fair in March. A spate of major deals in the UK has put the asset class firmly on the radar of global institutional investors seeking to deploy large sums of capital into stable investments in Europe. ‘There’s immense investor appetite for the sector, it’s been driven by interest in alternative investment markets,’ Philip Hillman, lead director of student housing and higher education at JLL in London, told the briefing, which was organised by PropertyEU. ‘Investors are increasingly wanting something different to offices, shops and industrial. I think they like the fact that the sector is driven by demographics rather than boom and bust. And I really do think that we’re going to see a number of very substantial transactions for the remainder of this year.’ Hillman described the last two weeks of February as ‘an extraordinary period’ in terms of UK deal activity. ‘There’s been more deals in those two weeks in the UK than over the whole of 2014,’ he said, referring specifically to CPPIB’s takeover of Liberty Living for £1.1 bn (€1.5 bn) and the sale of the Carlyle Pure Student portfolio in Central London to Russia’s LetterOne for £532 mln (€732 mln). ‘There were £2 bn of transactions in the UK in 2014. We’ve seen £2.5 bn of transactions so far this year and another £1.5 bn is under offer or pending so we’re going to see at least £3.5 – £4 bn of transactions this year.’ The CPPIB and LetterOne deals underscore the strong international investor interest in the sector which has come a long way in the past two decades, said Hillman, who has been involved in the UK student housing market for the past 25 years. ‘We’ve seen the sector grow from almost nothing to a major global asset class. Some 80% of the investment in UK student housing has come from overseas. We’ve seen a lot of investment from North America, with the likes of Goldman Sachs and Canadian pension fund PSP investing heavily and working with Greystar. We’ve seen investment by Russian money, in the guise of LetterOne. And we’ve seen investment from Gulf investors so it really underscores how global the market is. I think we’re going to see continued diversification as we move on.’ Direct-let properties Yields achieved on the latest deals also illustrate that investors are prepared to move up the risk curve to direct-let student properties, Hillman pointed out. The sale of the Carlyle Pure Student portfolio in Central London to LetterOne reflected a net initial yield of 4.5%. This was followed by two single-asset deals of over £100 mln and £70 mln in central London – both reflecting NIYs of around 5%. Hillman: ‘We’re seeing a big premium for portfolios, in the order of 50-60 sometimes 70 bps. People are playing the game of wanting scale and critical mass. Some are saying that’s too expensive and are focusing on singleasset puchases – but in general there’s a broad swathe of overseas money targeting the sector and I think that’s going to be a continuing trend.’ Both the Russians and the Canadians have the appetite to do more, he added. Andrew Thornton, CEO and co-founder of European asset manager Internos Global Investors, agreed that there is ‘a really good fundamental dynamic’ in the student housing space. ‘I think one of the appeals of the sector is that it is different to other asset classes. The residential element is important – I think that investors saw in the last propertyeu magazine 28-29 | no. 3 - april 2015 | 29 2-4-2015 14:56:53 subsection STUDENT HOUSING vs residential ANNUALIZED TOTAL RETURNS IN SELECTED COUNTRIES (%), LOCAL CURRENCY COMPETITION FOR MILLENNIALS is heating up Alternative sector grows the most in 2014 Source: ipd REPORTED IN 2014 IN EUROPE €3.3 bn in deals and transactions Note: data includes most, but not all universities and colleges: as publicly available Research from JLL shows that investment by UK pension funds in alternative real estate assets will amount to 20% or more by 2020 compared with 3-5% at present. The firm also predicts that around 30% of all commercial property transactions in the UK will involve alternative assets by 2020. Source: class of 2020 Source: class of 2020/studentmarketing 2014 Source: JLL 121,770 student beds in planning 59,970 student beds in development cycle that it was more robust than the commercial sector.’ Within Europe, the UK has seen ‘a terrific flow of activity’, he noted, ‘but markets such as Germany and others are still ripe for investment and that’s really what’s interesting us right now’. Internos recently teamed up with the Somerston Group family office to acquire a 27.5% stake in Deutsche Real Estate Funds Advisor (DREF), a real estate investment manager specialising in the German student accommodation market (see box below). Differences between UK and Germany Discussing the differences between German and UK student housing, Felix Bauer, CEO of DREF with experience of both markets, said the UK was more demanding from an operational point of view. ‘In the UK students change every year. It’s much less operational in Germany, we have students staying two to three years in one student home and so we have much less turnaround, probably around 25%.’ As a result, investors in Germany see student housing as more of a residential asset class with a slightly higher rent, he noted. Research carried out jointly with JLL found that student housing investment volumes in Germany amounted to €2 mln last year compared with £2 bn in the UK. ‘The German market is behind but will hopefully catch up in the next five-six years,’ Bauer said. Rainer Nonnengässer, managing director of real estate development at Hamburg-based alternative investment manager MPC Capital, highlighted two key differences with the UK. ‘The German market is immature in its development – that’s one thing. Secondly we have the biggest student market on the continent after France with 2.7 million students. But we have a limited and outdated Internos buys into DREF, issues bond on frankfurt stock exchange Internos Global Investors has teamed up with the Somerston Group family office to acquire a 27.5% stake in Deutsche Real Estate Funds Advisor (DREF), a real estate investment manager specialising in the German student housing market. The Bauer Group will remain the majority shareholder in DREF following the transaction. Andrew Thornton, CEO of Internos, will join DREF’s advisory board while Shaun Robinson, CEO 30 | 30-31 no. 3 - april 2015 | propertyeu magazine of Somerston Capital, which advises and manages the assets of the Somerston Group, will join DREF’s management board. DREF’s CEO Felix Bauer described the tie-up with Internos as ‘a big step’, particularly in view of Internos’ strong asset and fund management capabilites in Germany. In a separate move, DREF and Internos have launched a bond issue on the Frankfurt stock exchange to finance student residences in Germany, which Bauer said is being ‘well received’ by institutional investors. ‘The offering will be a showcase for investors of the student housing asset class in Germany,’ he said. ‘There is still a significant opportunity to increase institutional investment into student housing in Germany and we very much see this as a long-term strategic shift that we would like to exploit,’ said Internos’ Thornton. offering and there’s a huge gap between demand and supply.’ In terms of regulations, student housing in Germany is subject to the same building requirements as residential property, ‘which makes every square metre more costly than in the UK on a like for like basis,’ he added. New German brand MPC Capital, which has some €2.9 bn of assets under management, is currently rolling out a new student housing brand in Germany under the name StayToo. Two projects have so far been launched, in the cities of Nuremberg and Bonn. The Bonn project involves the conversion of an office property into around 160 apartments. ‘We intend to roll out 1,000 beds for the 2016 academic year and a similar number for the year thereafter. We’re applying a hurdle of a minimum 10,000 students per residence which leads us to 55 cities in Germany,’ Nonnengässer said. MPC is concentrating on two types of location: metropolitan areas like Hamburg, Frankfurt and Cologne and traditional university cities like Munster, Heidelberg, Darmstadt and Freiburg. ‘We are currently looking into both,’ Nonnengässer said. ‘We aim to build up a portfolio blending the two: the more liquid metropolitan spots and the pure university spots, we feel both are economically attractive.’ The market opportunity in Germany was ‘obvious’ he said. ‘We have 2.7 million students in Germany, the vast majority of which have to organise their own accommodation. Most of them crave a type of accommodation that combines individuality, community and affordability. This is the value-add formula underlying our approach.’ JLL’s Hillman sees the UK student housing market moving student housing towards a multi-family approach along the lines of the US, where multi-family is the largest institutional asset class for pension funds. ‘While we’ve spent much time arguing that student housing is an asset class in its own right, what the student housing deals in February demonstrate is a move towards a multi-family approach in the UK. These investors want to do PRS, they want to do student housing.’ He added: ‘The Americans laugh at us when we say the UK market is more mature than in Europe, they think our market is still very immature. We still don’t have a big multi-family portfolio offering for investors.’ international students Much of the appeal of the student housing sector for institutional investors lies in the growing numbers of overseas students heading for Europe. ‘International student numbers are rising all over Europe,’ said Wouter Onclin, research and programme manager at the Class of 2020, a non-profit student housing foundation. ‘That is creating an interesting new dynamic in how people study and live and how cities and universities market themselves to students. We’re seeing a very competitive market emerging, cities are competing for talent and putting this at the heart of their economic agendas.’ Foreign students currently account for less than 20% of the total in Germany, compared with between 85-90% in some cities in the UK, notably London. Universities are also upping their game and becoming more transparent, Onclin noted. ‘Students can book their programmes online. They travel from Greece to Germany and from Finland to Spain, they’re coming from outside Europe and this is having a big impact on the type of student housing on offer. Students are staying in places for a shorter amount of time, doing undergraduate study in one city and a graduate programme in another.’ In addition, universities are becoming more connected, Onclin said, forming alliances and networks ‘much like in the airline industry’ which is creating easier access for students. The growing occupier base is one of the key factors in student housing’s favour, said Internos’ Thornton: ‘We like the dynamics in the student market. It does not compete with residential for size and opportunity but if you look at the activity in the UK, there isn’t a private rental sector (PRS) that you can access readily so it’s probably one of the next best things and I’m sure that was on the minds of the Canadisign up now for 2015 ans when they made their move (into investment briefings the UK, ed).’ JLL’s Hillman agreed: ‘A 9 April | Germany lot of investors have struggled to find 22 April | France PRS stock and student housing has 5 May | European debt finance fulfilled that opportunity. It’s not pure 12 May | Southern Europe residential but it’s got certain similar For more information, dynamics and certain similar characgo to www.propertyeu.info teristics that are driving it.’ propertyeu magazine | no. 3 - april 2015 | 31 2-4-2015 14:56:53
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