VICS XX ALL PARTY CONCLAVE OF KURDISH NATIONALISTS Dear Delegates, It is our great pleasure to welcome you to the 20th iteration of the Virginia International Crisis Simulation! I hope you are all as excited as we are to participate in the All Party Conclave of Kurdish Nationalists 2017. Your Chair, Pranav Jain, is a second-year student at the University planning to pursue a major in Commerce or Public Policy. During his downtime, he enjoys playing table tennis, reading, and attending the various talks held on Grounds. Having spent the majority of his life in the Middle East, and having endured the Egyptian Revolution, events in that region have always held his attention. Thus, naturally, he eagerly looks forward to this committee. Your Crisis Director, Neil Desai, is a fourth-year majoring in Sanskrit and Foreign Affairs. During his downtime, he enjoys playing board-games, reading, and, like Pranav, attending interesting lectures around Grounds. He developed a deep interest in the Middle East after traveling to Morocco and learning Arabic. He looks forward to making his last VICS the best one yet. Reports on the Middle East are rarely able to convey the region's incredible diversity, both ethnic and religious. The region is not only the birthplace of three of the world's largest religions, but has also retained an array of smaller, stateless religious minorities and ethnic identities, foremost amongst which are the Kurds. However, because of the recent Syrian Civil War and the emergence of the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant, a long-overdue spotlight has been shined on the plight of minorities in the Middle East. These events have played right into the hands of the Kurdish movement, which has already established an autonomous state in Northern Iraq, and everyday moves closer to its goal of an independent Kurdish nation. At the same time, the suffering of the Kurds in Syria, and the anger of Turkish Kurds due to their government's reluctance to fight ISIS, has caused Kurds, both civilians and resistance fighters from other areas, to flee in droves to Iraqi Kurdistan. This committee begins on 15 April 2017, on the day that the Declaration of Independence of Kurdistan is proclaimed. Trends already visible in our time have culminated in a significantly changed political environment in 2017, and delegates will have to put all of their political acumen to the test as they attempt to set about creating a new nation that can function economically, gain international recognition, and avoid infighting. They must strive to create a nation for the Kurds, created by the Kurds, and controlled by the Kurds. We look forward to meeting all of you and working together as the Conclave attempts to create a sovereign country for the world’s largest stateless nation. If you have any questions, feel free to contact either us or the VICS Director General, Gary DePalo, at [email protected]. Sincerely, Pranav Jain Chair [email protected] Neil Desai Crisis Director [email protected] Committee Overview All delegates will be participants in a secret All-Party Conclave of Kurdish Nationalists, being held in the city of Erbil in Iraqi Kurdistan. This meeting is being organized by the Kurdistan Regional Government to allow the different Kurdish nationalist groups to coordinate their activities and to covertly participate in the creation of an independent Kurdistan. The Conclave shall begin with a Declaration of Independence by the President, Masoud Barzani. Delegates will represent either a minister of a branch of the Kurdistan Regional Government or the leader of one of the various Kurdish nationalist groups in Iraq, Turkey, Syria, and Iran. Members of the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government shall include the Ministers of Finance, Interior, Peshmerga Affairs, Natural Resources, and so on. There will be two newly created positions: the Minister of Foreign Affairs and the Director of the newly established Kurdish Intelligence Service. The Conclave will also include members of the various regional Kurdish parties. There are two parties from each of the non-Iraqi Kurdish regions, and there will be two representatives from each party, who will also be in charge of their own military forces in the region. The Declaration of Independence establishes both Iraqi and Syrian Kurdistan as part of the new, independent Kurdish nation, however for the time being the two regions will retain separate representatives. The Syrian Kurdish representatives shall thus have access to some additional resources, like tax revenue, but shall also have additional obligations, such as rehabilitating the countless refugees. Iranian Kurdistan and Turkish Kurdistan are not initially being claimed as part of the newly independent country, and so the representatives of those regions shall only have resources befitting a guerilla movement. Kurdish History General History The desire of the Kurdish people for their own sovereign nation dates back to at least World War I. In the chaotic environment of that era, the first band of Kurdish nationalists organized themselves and attempted to carve their own nation out of what is now Turkey. Their struggle seemed quite feasible towards the end of the Great War, when the Ottoman Empire was about to be defeated.1 The Kurds were specifically mentioned in American President Woodrow Wilson’s famous Fourteen Points speech, with President Wilson calling for the autonomous development of formerly Ottoman minorities in the post World War World.2 To reflect this, the Treaty of Sevres, which was drafted to oversee territorial changes after the War, included the establishment of a Kurdish nation for Turkish Kurds in the modern day Turkish-Iraqi border region.3 It would have its own set of referendums to establish the desired type of government, and to create its own internal political structure. This suggestion failed to take into account the Kurdish populations outside the area, such as in the nations of Persia, Armenia, and the area administered by the British and the French as a result of the Sykes-Picot Agreement, but is still notable for endorsing in principle the idea of an independent Kurdistan. Ultimately, however, the Treaty of Sevres failed to come about due to the Turkish War of Independence and the subsequent establishment of the Republic of Turkey. At the same time, a separate attempt by Kurdish tribes to rebel from the British and create their own Kurdish nation in modern-day Iraq failed in June 1919. There was a subsequent attempt by the British in the early 1920s to establish a Kurdish state in modern day !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 1 Van Bruinessen, Martin. "‘Kurds, States and Tribes’." JABAR, Faleh A. & DAWOD, Hosham (orgs). 2003. Tribes And Power – Nationalism And Ethnicity in the Middle East. London: Campos - Revista De Antropologia Social, 2005. 165-183. Print. 2 Wilson, Thomas Woodrow, and Arthur Stanley Link. The Papers of Woodrow Wilson. Vol. 45. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton UP, 1984. 536. Print. 3 "Treaty of Sevres." Foreign and Commenwealth Office. Government of the United Kingdom. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. Iraq, to counter Turkish influence, but the British failed to make this come about.4 The failure of these uprisings and attempts at nationalism led to an emigration of Kurds from modern day Turkey and Iraq, resulting in a stronger Kurdish presence in Syria.5 Attempts at Kurdish nationalism in Iraq During the Second World War, a power vacuum in northern Iraq allowed the Kurds, led by Mustafa Barzani, to effectively create a Kurdish state in northern Iraq. However, Iraq was able to regain control over the region with the help of the British in 1945, leading to Mustafa’s exile.6 He was invited back to Iraq in 1958 only after Abdul Qasim successfully gained control of Iraq via a military coup.7 Qasim promised regional autonomy if Barzani would support Qasim’s policies. To do so, Barzani created the Kurdish Democratic Party (KDP) in 1960, and supported Qasim.8 However, Qasim’s reluctance to follow through on his promises led to the KDP to demand more autonomy, which Qasim prevented by inciting a war between the Barzani clan and various other Kurdish clans, in which Barzani triumphed9. Attempts by Qasim to regain control by invading northern Iraq failed, and could have contributed to the Ba’athist military coup that toppled his regime. After a series of skirmishes, a ceasefire came into effect by 1969, thanks to Soviet pressure on the Baath government to reach a peace agreement. Iraqi Kurdistan’s autonomous status !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 4 Stansfield, Gareth R. V. The Kurds and Iraq. London: Routledge, 2008. Print. 5 Stansfield, Gareth R. V. The Kurds and Iraq. London: Routledge, 2008. Print. 6 "18. Iraq/Kurds (1932-present)." Political Science. University of Central Arkansas. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. 7 "18. Iraq/Kurds (1932-present)." Political Science. University of Central Arkansas. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. 8 DeFronzo, James. "The Iraq Revolution and the Baathist Regime." The Iraq War: Origins and Consequences. 1st ed. Vol. 1. Bolder, CO: Westview, 2010. 56-78. Print. 9 DeFronzo, James. "The Iraq Revolution and the Baathist Regime." The Iraq War: Origins and Consequences. 1st ed. Vol. 1. Bolder, CO: Westview, 2010. 56-78. Print. was established by 1974, however the single party system prevented actual representation. An attempt by the Shah of Iran and Israeli intelligence to distract Baghdad with another Kurdish insurrection failed when Iraq and Iran reached an agreement, and Iran cut aid to the Kurds. This resulted in Barzani fleeing to Iran, and led to clashes between Iraq and the Kurds from 1977-1979, resulting in the destruction of at least 600 Kurdish villages10. Kurdish sympathy for Iran during the Iraq-Iran War (1980-88) led to the Iraqi government implementing a policy of Arabization of Kurdistan and launching a military campaign into northern Iraq that used American-supplied chemical weapons against the Kurdish civilian population. Widely considered an act of genocide, the Al Anfal Campaign targeted the Kurdish, Yazidid, Assyrian, Jewish and Shabak minorities in northern Iraq.11 It led to the deaths of at least 150,000 civilians from 1986-1989. This event as followed by the 1994-1997 Kurdish Civil War between Barzani’s KDP and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) which had its origins in Iran due to a power struggle over between the leaders of the respective parties. By 2011, the issue of Kurdish nationalism had once again risen to the forefront Iraq. The inability of the Iraqi and Kurdish governments to agree on issues of power sharing, oil revenue sharing, and territorial extents raised tensions. These were visible in April 2012, when the Kurdish President issued an ultimatum, stating that if Kurdish demands weren’t met then Iraqi Kurdistan would secede from the nation.12 Iraq’s attempt to get the Peshmerga, the Kurdistan army, under the control of Baghdad resulted in limited clashes, and was not followed up on. The rise of ISIS and !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 10 DeFronzo, James. "The Iraq Revolution and the Baathist Regime." The Iraq War: Origins and Consequences. 1st ed. Vol. 1. Bolder, CO: Westview, 2010. 56-78. Print. 11 "The Crimes of Saddam Hussein." PBS. PBS. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. 12 Cooper, Helene, and Michael Gordon. "Iraqi Kurds Expand Autonomy as ISIS Reorders the Landscape." The New York Times. The New York Times, 29 Aug. 2014. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. the fight against it may have united the two sides in their efforts, but also allowed the Kurds to seize a majority of the disputed region and integrate it into Kurdistan, including the oil rich areas of Kirkuk (Peshmerga). Attempts at Kurdish nationalism in Turkey After failing to secure their own nation, the Kurds were incorporated into the newly founded Republic of Turkey. This led to a series of rebellions in the 1920s and 1930s, which were forcefully put down by the Turkish government and the region declared a closed military area from which foreigners were banned between 1925 and 1965.13 The use of Kurdish language was outlawed, the words Kurds and Kurdistan were erased from dictionaries and history books, and the Kurds were only referred to as Mountain Turks.14 This evolved into a conflict during the early 1980s due to the influence of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) in the area and its strong opposition of the 1980 military coup in Turkey. This led to the ongoing Turkey-PKK conflict, which officially began on 15 August 1984, with the PKK declaring a Kurdish uprising.15 The Persian Gulf War led to geopolitical changes which prompted a ceasefire, as the Turkish President, Turgut Özal, agreed to negotiations. Being halfKurdish and half-Turkish, he worked on a peace plan till his death in April 1993.16 He was known to have created a pro-Kurdish reform package that he would have announced later in 1993, but his death prevented this from happening. An additional ambush in May by Kurdish factions ended the peace process, although it is claimed !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 13 Chaliand, Ge. A People without a Country: The Kurds and Kurdistan. New York: Olive Branch, 1993. Print. 14 Chaliand, Ge. A People without a Country: The Kurds and Kurdistan. New York: Olive Branch, 1993. Print. 15 "Timeline: PKK Conflict with Turkey." Al Jazeera. 21 Mar. 2013. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. 16 "Timeline: PKK Conflict with Turkey." Al Jazeera. 21 Mar. 2013. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. by some that Özal’s death and this ambush were carried out by the Turkish military to stop the peace process.17 The new Turkish leadership adopted a full-scale military campaign against the Kurds in 1993, and the military implemented a change in its strategies due to the new government’s hardline stance against this insurgency. The capture of the PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan in 1998 led to a unilateral ceasefire being declared by the PKK in 1999, marking the end of one stage of this conflict.18 The PKK then withdrew into northern Iraq and tried to pursue diplomatic efforts to establish Kurdish autonomy in Turkey. Failing to do so, the PKK resumed hostilities in Turkey in 2004. The PKK shifted from being a rebel group that engaged the government forces en masse into a guerilla group that started using mines, ambushes, and small squads instead. After a brief ceasefire in 2012 due to progress in Kurdish representation in the Turkish Assembly, the conflict started once again in 2014, mainly due to the Turkish government’s reluctance to help the Kurds fight ISIS in Syria. This new phase of the conflict is no longer militant, instead consisting of various demonstrations and protests in eastern Turkey, since the militant elements are involved in the fight against ISIS and had withdrawn to northern Iraq. Attempts at Kurdish nationalism in Iran An unsuccessful attempt to establish a Kurdish state in Iran occurred in 1946, with the declaration of the Republic of Mahabad.19 Originally supported by the Soviet Union, the small nation managed to fend off Iranian influence while the Soviets !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 17 "Bianet: 8th President's Death Remains Conspiracy-Like." Bianet. 14 Dec. 2012. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. 18 Marcus, Aliza. Blood and Belief the PKK and the Kurdish Fight for Independence. New York: New York UP, 2007. Print. 19 Roosevelt Jr., Archie. "The Kurdish Republic of Mahabad." The Middle East Journal 1.3 (1947): 247-69. Print. supported it. However, the withdrawal of the Soviets from the small republic in the end of 1946 led to the Iranian government re-establishing itself in the region.20 A large-scale rebellion occurred in Iran in 1979, barely two months after the Iranian Revolution. Led by the Kurdish Democratic Party in Iraq (KDP-I), this rebellion came about as a result of an inability of the KDP-I and other Kurdish groups to align themselves with the new Iranian regime.21 The uprising began when the KDP-I published an eight-point plan, and soon after it took over state institutions in Paveh, Mahabad, Saqqez and Divan Darreh. These initial gains occurred at the expense of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, prompting Khomeini to approach the regular Iranian army which outlined a policy for suppressing the rebellion.22 After a huge counter offensive and intense aerial bombardment, the Iranian military was able to retake these regions by the winter of 1980, resulting in approximately 7,000 casualties. The KDP-I survived the loss, however, and resumed the uprising in 1989. While not as large-scale as the one in 1979, this iteration of the uprising managed to claim at least 300 soldiers, and brought a severe crackdown on the KDP-I that imprisoned most of its top leaders.23 It resulted in the KDP-I declaring a ceasefire in 1996 and renouncing warfare in favor of becoming a regular political party. With the KDP-I marginalized, the dominant militant Kurdish organization in Iran today is the Party of Free Life of Kurdistan (PJAK), founded in 2007, which has since conducted a series of skirmishes against Iranian forces. Alleged American-PJAK and Turkish-Iranian cooperation has been a major talking point around the conflict !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 20 Roosevelt Jr., Archie. "The Kurdish Republic of Mahabad." The Middle East Journal 1.3 (1947): 247-69. Print. 21 "Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organization." UNPO: Iranian Kurdistan. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. 22 "Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organization." UNPO: Iranian Kurdistan. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. 23 "22. Iran/Kurds (1943-present)." Political Science. University of Central Arkansas. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. among its various participants. The PJAK temporarily withdrew from Iran in 2011, but later redeployed along the Iraqi-Iranian border region and continues to prepare for future conflicts. Attempts at Kurdish nationalism in Syria Syria lacked any organized militant or diplomatic movements for an independent Kurdish nation until very recently.24 Syria saw a sharp increase in its Kurdish population after the First World War, due to its porous borders and the failure of nationalist attempts in Iraq and Turkey. The Syrian government had some minor history of anti-Kurdish policies, and revoked the citizenship of various Kurds during the 1960s and 1970s.25 Small-scale protests and demonstrations spontaneously erupted from time to time, but were efficiently dispersed by the Syrian forces. However, the quest for a Syrian Kurdistan truly arose and became organized as a result of the Syrian Civil War. The creation of a Kurdish Supreme Committee in Syria by the Kurdish National Council presented a united front that was established in early 2012 by the Kurds of Northern and North-Eastern Syria. The ease with which the Kurdish National Council has managed to unofficially administer these Kurdish regions during 2012 was upset by the large-scale offensive carried out by ISIS and other radical Islamist groups that fragmented Syrian opposition. This fragmentation culminated in various other Kurdish groups, such as the PKK and Iraqi Kurdistan, lending support to their Syrian brothers and hence establishing some sort of Kurdish government in this region as a result. Furthermore, the status of Kurds in Syria is now deeply connected to Iraqi Kurdistan and the PKK, which shall result in the formal integration of it into Iraqi Kurdistan. !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 24 "The Plight of the Syrian Kurds." The Plight of the Syrian Kurds. The Institute of Politics at Harvard University. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. 25 "The Plight of the Syrian Kurds." The Plight of the Syrian Kurds. The Institute of Politics at Harvard University. Web. 3 Feb. 2015. Timeline of events from 1 January 2015 to 15 November 2017 • February 22nd 2015: The Kurdish Supreme Committee agrees to allow the PKK and KDP to be non-voting observers on the KSC. • March 31st 2015: After having failed to take over the crucial Syrian-Turkish border city of Kobane, ISIS declares the start of a new campaign to target Syrian minorities in North Eastern Syria. • May 17th 2015: This attempted onslaught by ISIS resulted in heavy Kurdish losses and the loss of Manajir and Tell Beydar, while Iraqi Kurdistan managed to fully liberate the Iraqi states of Nineveh and Kirkuk. • May 24th, 2015: PJAK announces its intentions to temporarily suspend operations against Iran in order to aid their fellow Kurds in Syria. The Iranian government goes on record to applaud this action and stresses the need for peace in Iran. • June 6th, 2015: Due to the advance of ISIS against the Kurds, Iraqi Kurdistan unanimously passes a bill that makes the Peshmerga: the nationalized Armed Forces of Iraqi Kurdistan. All Iraqi Kurdish party’s militias are officially put under the control of the President of Iraqi Kurdistan. • June 19th, 2015: The Revolutionary Party of Kurdistan and the Kurdistan Democratic Party/North, two minor Kurdish political parties in Turkey, issued a joint statement announcing their merger to create the Union of Turkish Kurds (UTK) under Serok Barzani. • July 31st, 2015: A July offensive carried out by the PKK and Iraqi Kurdistan led to the liberation of the Syrian province of Harakh, but also resulted in the Syrian Kurds being forced to leave Kobane. This withdrawal was facilitated by the UTK. • December 22nd, 2015: Unknown militants attacked the Presidential Palace in Damascus, maintaining their offensive for 46 straight hours. The Palace was reduced to ruins, however Bashar al-Assad and his family escaped with minor injuries. No group ever claimed credit for the attack, which served to demonstrate Assad's increasingly precarious grip on the country, and the identity of the attackers remains unknown. • January 14th, 2016: An ISIS attack was carried out in the Israeli city of Safed, resulting in the deaths of 23 Israeli citizens and 2 Syrian refugees. As a result, Israel declared its intention to commence airstrikes against ISIS targets in Central and Northern Syria. • February 7th, 2016: Iraq and Iraqi Kurdistan jointly declared victory against ISIS in Iraq, as simultaneous Iraqi and Kurdistani offensives, combined with Iranian and American airstrikes, managed to exterminate the remaining ISIS presence in Tikrit. • March 17th, 2016: Iraq announced the construction of a new oil pipeline between Kirkuk and Ceyhan to double the current pipeline’s capacity by March 17th, 2017. In response, the PKK sent a letter to the PUK and the KDP, communicating their displeasure that Iraqi Kurdistan would profit by giving resources to the prime opponent of the PKK, Turkey. • May 2nd, 2016: Clashes broke out on the Turkish-Syrian border as the PKK and Turkish border guards exchanged fire during an ISIS offensive against PKK forces in the Syrian city of Tall Abyad. The UTK proclaimed its support for the PKK's fight, and launched its own attacks against Turkish border guards in the region. • July 3rd, 2016: Iraqi Kurdistan stopped sending oil to the Iraqi oil pipelines to support the Kurdish President's demand to retain a larger share of oil revenues. After tense negotiations, a new agreement is reached that allows Iraqi Kurdistan to retain 23% of the sales revenue. • July 22nd, 2016: Police in Iraqi Kurdistan arrested members of the UTK on charges of "conspiring to commit terrorist acts". However, the alleged UTK fighters managed to escape within hours and are suspected of subsequently carrying out an attack against a Turkish military camp near the city of Sirnak. The Turkish government has called for Turkish access to the investigation into the original arrest. • November 15th, 2016: During a Turkish airstrike against PKK training camps in Syria and Iraq, the PKK managed to shoot down and capture a Turkish F-16. • December 7th, 2016: During another round of airstrikes against PKK training camps, a Turkish F-4 is mistakenly shot down by an Israeli F-35 which was conducting its own airstrikes against ISIS training camps in the same area. The incident results in a drastic cooling of Turkey-Israel relations. • December 31st, 2016: PKK forces carried out a raid against a Turkish prison on the island of Imrali, and manage to break Abdullah Ocalan out of prison, along with other PKK leaders that were being held there. On the same day, reports emerged that PJAK forces had entered Syria for the first time, and are currently said to be helping transport weapons to UTK and PKK forces, while also joining the KSC offensive in Central Syria. • 26th January, 2017: Iranian Kurds marched in peaceful demonstrations for increased co-operation between Iran and Iraqi Kurdistan, while also calling for increased Kurdish autonomy. In response, Iran proposed peaceful migration of Iranian Kurds to Iraqi Kurdistan, while inviting the KDPI to work with Iran to represent the Kurds. • February 21st, 2017: The Free Syrian Army (FSA), having surrounded Damascus, launched a final, all-out offensive to seize control of the city. A large contingent of forces commanded by the Kurdish Supreme Council joins the offensive. Two weeks of intense pitched battle and urban siege warfare follow, with large swathes of the Syrian civil and military leadership being killed in the fighting, until finally a joint FSA-KSC battalion takes control of the army HQ and puts an end to the fighting. Bashar Al Assad himself, however, is believed to have escaped along with his family. Their whereabouts remain unknown. Regardless, the Free Syrian Army declared victory in the Syrian Civil War, allowing the Syrian National Council (SNC) to assume control of the Syrian bureaucracy and government. • March 3rd, 2017: As a result of the fragmentation of the Syrian military, the SNC makes massive gains overnight, while the KSC manages to take over large segments of Central and Eastern Syria, with the SNC laying claim to the Central Syrian areas that the KSC now controls. Meanwhile, ISIS still holds onto the Southern regions of Syria, and makes gains near the Israeli-Syrian border region. • March 12th, 2017: A renewed conflict in Turkey occurs due to the PKK using areas of Northern Syria as staging bases to launch attacks in Turkey to appeal for a Kurdish state in Turkey. • March 14th, 2017: As a result of these various territorial gains and such radical changes in the geopolitics of the region, the various Kurdish representatives agree to have a secret conclave in the Iraqi city of Erbil to declare the creation of a new Kurdish state, and to discuss ways to expand such a state to unite Kurds from Syria, Iraq, Turkey and Iran into one united nation. Analysis The Syrian Issue The Syrian Civil War, combined with the emergence of the Islamic State, has radically redefined the balance of power in this historic region. Before these events, the nation of Syria had complete control over its territory, and the Iraqi government was able to administer its territory to some degree of efficiency. Additionally, Turkey did not take any direct actions with regards to these nations, and was less involved in regional affairs. However, pressing events have created a power vacuum in Syria, which has divided it into three major factions and dozens of smaller ones. The elimination of the Syrian authoritarian regime and its military leadership makes it likely that the SNC will be recognized as the official representative of the Syrian people. There was an agreement between the KSC and the SNC that ensured that the Al-Hasakah and Deir ez Zor regions of Syria would be recognized by the SNC as being under the control of the Kurdish people. However, the KSC has also been able to rapidly expand its influence to take over the Aleppo and Ar-Raqqah regions in the aftermath of the SNC and KSC attack on the Presidential Palace. Hence, formulating a policy on this territorial issue in Syria will be a point of contention in this upcoming Conclave, as it will determine relations with the new SNC government and can have an impact on whether operations against ISIS will continue to commence in the Homs region, the only territory in their control. Other factors to be considered in this policy formulation process include the fact that Turkey has been carrying out airstrikes against the PKK in these northern regions of Syria, and that giving up these regions could potentially cause the PKK to be isolated from other Kurdish groups. Resolving this territorial dispute on the Eastern front of this new Kurdish nation will therefore have an impact on international relations, and will be something that shall affect internal politics, especially since the KSC is a part of this new nation. Additionally, the rapid advance by the KSC in the face of the shattered Syrian military led to KSC forces being spread thinly across a vast area. This event has proven to be sufficient enough to deal with the small fragments of Syrian Army units that are attempting to claim their own territory, but could be fatal if a conflict is carried out against the SNC. Such a conflict would force the KSC to vacate a large part of the central region, and maintaining control over major cities like Aleppo in the North will be a challenge. However, control over these parts ensures access to a large part of Syria’s energy reserves, which due to the existing undamaged infrastructure, can allow the KSC to finance itself if it can find a buyer for these vast reserves and the approximately 330,000 barrels of oil that can be produced per day The Iraqi Issue After the war against ISIS ended in Iraq, Iraqi Kurdistan found itself holding influence over approximately 38% of the Iraqi population, while also controlling the border between Iraq and its neighbors of Syria and Turkey. The combination of Kurdish success in the fight against ISIS, troubles in consolidating power in the Baghdad government, and increased global attention on the region have prevented the Iraqi leadership from being able to force the government of Iraqi Kurdistan to withdraw their forces from other parts of the country. This has allowed Iraqi Kurdistan to ensure that it essentially runs these regions. The regional inhabitants themselves also seem satisfied with the current state of affairs, as the ability for local governors to function had already been destroyed by the ISIS onslaught, and they haven’t built up such capabilities again. However, the declaration of this new state may cause the Baghdad leadership to deploy forces against the new Kurdistani state. The Peshmerga lack the ability to defeat the Iraqi Army in an ordinary battle, but will be able to stall any such advance after giving up the territory that was gained during the campaign against ISIS. A major element in this dispute will be the export of oil. As of the year 2017, Iraqi Kurdistan receives 23% of the sales revenue that comes from Iraqi oil exports that originated from Iraqi Kurdistan. Additionally, the newly expanded pipeline between Turkey and Iraq acts as a point of contention between the involved Kurdish parties. The PKK vehemently opposes such an action, as it believes that the money gained is not being assigned to fight the enemies of the Kurdish movement, and that the sold commodity actually fuels them. Furthermore, it acts as a point of international debate, because if the Baghdad government controls some of these various pipelines, other nations may perceive the pipelines as unstable. The oil business further accounts for almost all of the foreign exchanges that the Baghdad government receives, which shall impact the Baghdad government’s ability to regulate the Iraqi Dinar, which will be serving as the transitional currency for Kurdistan until stability is ensured. Controlling the majority of Iraq’s oil exports can also make Kurdistan seem legitimate internationally, as a large number of nations rely upon Iraqi oil to power their economies, and may recognize Kurdistan to ensure such a constant supply. Neighborly Relations Special attention must be paid to the nations of Turkey and Iran, and to whatever happens in the fragmented former state of Syria. The rise of a Syrian state created by the SNC or ISIS could mark a renewed War on this front in addition to the expected conflict with Iraq, and will force the new state to focus only on external threats. Another possible external threat is with regards to Turkey. The Turkish government has conducted sporadic airstrikes at PKK-KSC facilities in Northern Syria, and had conducted strikes into Iraqi Kurdistan before the Syrian disturbances in the region. Turkey also has the largest Kurdish population in these four nations, and hence, integrating these individuals into the new nation, or at least ensuring that it can lead them, is a high priority. However, Turkey’s membership in the NATO alliance will make any full-scale attack by the Peshmerga against the Turkish-Kurdistani border a suicidal act. The ongoing conflict between the PKK and Turkey, however, means that not taking any action will be equal to abandoning our own people. Hence, the committee must come up with ideas to encourage the Kurdish people in Turkey to carry out actions that support Kurdish nationalism, and the Conclave must attempt to coordinate such activities to stoke public opinion in such a way that an integration of them into Kurdistan is appreciable, while the PKK carries out its own battle simultaneously. Iran presents a special situation. While Iran has taken harsh measures against the Kurdish members immediately after its Revolution, it has also adopted a softer stance as of late. Iran’s encouragement for peaceful migration into Iraqi Kurdistan shows their aim to prevent another such ethnic conflict, and the incentive for the KDPI to submit such ideas to the Iranian government puts the KDPI in a brilliant position. The KDPI hence has the ability to act as a friendly channel through which the new Kurdistani nation can communicate with Iran so that Kurdistan’s integration can be carried out peacefully, while the PJAK forces may act as the driving force to carry out actions that both the parties deem necessary to shape public opinion in Iran. Hence, Iran may turn out to be an ally in this Act of Independence, as they have helped us in the past to combat ISIS forces in Iraq. International Support Lastly, the Conclave must look for outside support. The possibility of hostile enemies on our Southern, Western, and Northern flanks means that we must find outside supporters who can help lend us credibility, and who can exercise influence to grant us favorable terms in negotiations. In the immediate region, Israel may be a possible regional friend, as it has inadvertently helped us with its own independent aerial campaign against ISIS, and since its relations with Turkey have also deteriorated as a result of the mistaken shooting. Additionally, the information that Turkey may have sponsored ISIS can also make Israel a natural friend in a shadow conflict against Turkey. However, this may prevent us from developing friendly ties with Iran, and vice versa. Getting support from players on a broader stage is also important. While the nations that spearheaded a campaign against ISIS seemed sympathetic to our cause and have allowed us to create a well equipped and well trained Peshmerga force, their own relations with Iraq may cause them to at best be neutral in a fight against Iraq. In such a situation, nations like Russia may be useful, although they may harbor bad feelings towards us due to the KSC’s destruction of the Assad regime. Nations like China, India, or Brazil, which are powered by Iraqi oil exports have a stake in this conflict as well, and hence could be willing to be involved in this new regional issue. Questions to Consider 1. What stance should the new state of Kurdistan have regarding the extent of its territorial claims? What, if any, territorial concessions should it consider, and for what reasons? 2. What should Kurdistani policy be about the remainder of the state of ISIS, and should it consider renewed aggression against ISIS to gain international favor? 3. What regional partners should Kurdistan consider to ensure Kurdistan’s stability and independence? 4. What global partners should Kurdistan consider to ensure its stability and independence? 5. How should Kurdistan balance the natural resources it controls over a large area of land against the possibility of a smaller but more efficient nation? 6. How can Kurdistan integrate Kurds from Turkey and Iran without formally starting a conflict on these two fronts? 7. Under what circumstances can the nation of Kurdistan welcome various Kurdish groups like the PJAK, PKK, UTK, PYD, KNC and KDPI? List of Parties (Guide to all the acronyms): 1) KDP: Ruling party of Iraqi Kurdistan 2) PUK: Coalition ally of KDP 3) KNC: Former KDP affiliate in Syria 4) KDPI: Historically important Kurdish party in Iran 5) UTK: Formed from merger of parties that compete with the PKK in Turkey; 6) PKK: Historically the most influential Kurdish force in Turkey. Currently engaged in a conflict with Turkey 7) Gorran: Former PKK affiliate in Iraqi Kurdistan; also known as Movement for Change 8) PYD: Former PKK affiliate in Syria 9) PJAK: Former PKK affiliate in Iran 10) FSA: Free Syrian Army, originally the military wing of the SNC and now the de facto Armed Forces of the Republic of Syria 11) SNC: Syrian National Council, internationally recognized as the legitimate government of Syria since they defeated Bashar al-Assad in the Syrian Civil War Recommended Research Tools As this is a futuristic committee, the background guide shall be the primary source of information and preparation. Below is a list of resources to provide a better idea about the Kurdish issue. Kindly keep the events of the timeline in mind while consulting these resources. 1. http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/ 2. http://www.vox.com/a/maps-explain-crisis-iraq 3. http://www.gov.krd/?l=12 4. http://www.infoplease.com/spot/kurds3.html 5. http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2013/03/2013320652845642.html 6. http://www.cidcm.umd.edu/mar/chronology.asp?groupId=63007 7. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-28147263 8. http://www.thewashingtonreview.org/articles/turkey-syria-and-the-kurds.html Useful Maps The Current Situation in Syria Yellow is KSC, Green is SNC, and Black is ISIS. Oil in Syria As you can see, the Kurds are in control of most of Syria's oil. Map of Ethnicities in Syria The KSC control far more territory than is actually inhabited by ethnic Kurds. Governorates of Iraq The Kurdish Regional Government (independent Kurdistan) controls Nineveh, Dohuk, Arbil, Kirkuk, and Al-Sulaimaniyah governorates. Kurdish forces also have some degree of control over the border between Syria and Iraq in the Al-Anbar province, as well as with the Iranian border in Diyala. Kirkuk in particular is disputed with Iraq. Dossier Masoud Barzani – President, KDP President Barzani controls the KDP party apparatus. He needs to sign off on major decisions. The Chair of the Conclave will represent President Barzani. Kosrat Rasul Ali – VP, PUK Vice President Ali controls the PUK party apparatus. He needs to sign off on major decisions. The Vice Chair of the Conclave will represent Vice President Ali. Abdul Karim Sultan Sinjari – Minister of the Interior, KDP Interior Minister Abdul Sinjari was actively involved in ensuring that Iranian Kurdish migrants could be easily processed and settled down into Iraqi Kurdistan. The Syrian Crisis was something that pushed the Ministry of the Interior to its breaking point, as these refuges consumed a lot of resources and their immigration led to an obvious increase in unemployment and other social measurements. As a result of these experiences, he views getting control over parts of Kurdistan’s neighboring nations as crucial to ensuring stability in the new nation. The integration of such parts will require his expertise on how to smoothen the integration process, and how to incentivize individuals to move to newer parts of the nation. Refugee crises will also need his help to make sure that violent elements do not manage to infiltrate the nation. He will control national police and paramilitary forces, and will be in charge of the police forces of the nation, as well as the refugee camps and border checkpoints that process immigrants. Bayiz Saeed Mohammad Talabani – Minister of Finance, PUK The Finance Minister is in charge of preparing the budget and allocating it, and is also in charge of assigning discretionary funds in cases of emergency. The Finance Minister is also in charge of issuing debt, preparing possible economic sanctions, creating economic policies regarding issues like business licenses, and monitoring trade and the nation’s foreign exchange reserves. Due to the currently oil-centric status of the economy of Kurdistan, the Finance Minister is currently relying upon high oil prices and high oil exports to form the majority of the budget. However, a recent attempt at trade liberalization, which was started in 2015, has managed to diversify the economy to some extent and has hence allowed the Finance Minister to rely upon oil revenue to form around 55% of the budget, as opposed to 85% in 2015. This has been allowed due to an expansion in local heavy industries to produce machinery that has been consumed locally or been used in the recent conflicts. The Finance Minister hence will not look upon increasing the reliance on oil in order to ensure his own influence in the nation, and to eliminate the ancient regional reliance on oil. Nechervan Barzani – Party WHIP of the KDP The Party WHIP for the KDP serves as the Vice-Commander of the KDP, and is in charge of the KDP in case of the KDP President being absent. Due to this, the WHIP shall function as the de facto head of the KDP. This means that he must approve any news releases that are created by other KDP members if they are to be published on behalf of the KDP, and is in control of the grass-roots workers and party members. This can however be forced by the Head of the KDP. During the recent Syrian and ISIS conflicts, Mr. Nechervan had been a vehement supporter of Kurdish expansion into the power vacuum that was created in the wake of ISIS and the instability in Syria. He further supported the temporary co-operation the Syrian National Council to depose the Assads, but was opposed to the idea of rapidly expanding the area that was claimed by Syrian Kurdish forces. Qubud Talabani – Party WHIP of the PUK The Party WHIP for the PUK serves as the Vice-Commander of the PUK, and is in charge of the PUK in case of the PUK President being absent. Due to this, the WHIP shall function as the de facto head of the PUK. This means that he must approve any news releases that are created by other PUK members if they are to be published on behalf of the PUK, and is in control of the grass-root workers and party members. This can however be forced by the Head of the PUK. Minister Ahmad had been in support of rapid territorial expansion into Syria and in Iraq as well. However, the PUK opposed co-operation with the Syrian National Council to depose Assad, due to fears about a possible Kurdish state being limited by the territorial agreements that the SNC and the KSC had agreed upon to divide a post-war Syrian state. This led to the PUK instead campaigning actively for Syrian Kurds to expand as far as they could once the Assads were deposed, as they view this extra occupied territory as something that the Syrian Kurds deserve for their extreme sacrifices. Additionally, the mineral riches of this region are something they wish to exploit in order to secure the Kurdish economy, while the area itself shall function as a buffer zone in their opinion. Mustafa Qadir Mustafa Aziz – Head of the Peshmerga, Gorran The Head of the Peshmerga will face a challenge in coordinating military activities with his fellow Armed Force representatives. The fact that the various Kurdish parties have unanimously agreed to nationalize their Armed Forces into a Kurdish Peshmerga shall be of extreme help. He will need to inform the Conclave about possible ways to handle threats and to achieve Conclave goals for a unified Kurdistan with the help of a military. He shall also be responsible for talking about whether or not a proposed military action is feasible or not. The Peshmerga head was heavily involved in the conflict in Syria and against ISIS, and as a result coordinated with the Foreign Affairs Ministry to come up with ideas to benefit Kurdistan. Being a military man, he shall be supportive of expansionist ideas that will enhance his position’s prestige, and will be hard to convince to retreat. He shall be in charge of giving marching orders to his troops, and can suggest options for enlistment if in agreement with the Interior Minister and the President. He cannot declare war or conduct hostile acts against a peaceful fellow nation. Ashti Hawrami – Minister of Natural Resources, KDP The Minister for Natural Resources plays a historically important role in the new nation’s economy. Being the prime source of information about nations that rely on his nation’s oil exports can help him to contribute to a search for international allies. However, his domestic power has been challenged by the Finance Minister’s efforts at economic diversification, which have reduced the direct impact oil has on the economy of Kurdistan. The Minister would hence aim to safeguard his natural energy resources and will support actions that guarantee this. The Minister has the ability to control the supply of oil from the Kurdish oilfields, which shall become nationalized once independence is declared, and is needed to validate any negotiations regarding this oil supply. His actions must be conveyed to the President and the Conclave, and the President can demand that such actions be revoked. Jonson Siyawash – Minister of Transport & Communication, KDP The Minister of Transport and Communication must have a cordial and close relationship with the Minister of the Interior. The Minister must look after internal public infrastructure and ensure public satisfaction regarding the quality of this infrastructure. At the same time, the Minister must be involved in the planning and discussion of military operations and options to evaluate whether the infrastructure could handle such plans. During the War against ISIS and the Syrian Conflict, Minister Siyawash was highly involved in attempts at transporting troops to the front line and handling the flow of refugees. Additionally, the Minister was a driving force behind attempts by the Minister of natural Resources to double the pipeline flow between Kurdistan and Turkey. The Minister views the integration of non Iraqi parts into Kurdistan as beneficial to his position due to his Ministry being able to gain control over more infrastructure. He has the power to use discretionary funds to manage the infrastructure of the nation, to control the state media services, and to close or open infrastructural networks. Mahmoud Haji Salih – Minister Martyrs and Anfal Affairs, PUK The Minister of Martyrs is in charge of creating propaganda that can be used by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to further the cause of Kurdistan. The Minister is in charge of providing information about any atrocities or aggressive actions committed against the Kurds outside and inside Kurdistan. The Minister must also be in charge of cultivating a Kurdish identity in Kurdistan and outside as well. The Minister must come up with ways to publicize the plight of the Kurds and the wrongful acts committed against them, in order to gain international sympathy and recognition, pressure neighboring Kurds into supporting this movement, and force their own governments to engage in talks. The Minister must work closely with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to achieve international recognition, and shall act as a public relations individual for the Conclave’s members. He may take actions like issuing public statements, cooperating with the Communication Minister to spread propaganda and inviting journalists to show the Kurdish situation to the world. Darbaz Kosrat Rasul – Minister of Housing & Reconstruction, PUK The Ministry of Housing and Reconstruction has been severely impacted by the War against ISIS and the Syrian conflict. These conflicts had led to a need for greater housing due to the influx of refugees, and for the internally displaced. Furthermore, reconstruction activities were carried out in the regions that had been liberated from ISIS, as most of these places had been the sites of intense battles that reduced entire cities to rubble. The Minister has control over vast discretionary funds to rapidly reconstruct housing units if an emergency occurs, and is also in charge of the various refugee camps that still exist in the nation. The Minister must personally weigh the benefits of having influence over internal workings by controlling these refugee camps and making his Ministry carry out reconstruction in non Iraqi Kurdish areas. At the same time, he must be able to ensure that his Ministry is capable of carrying out his orders, for a failure to live up to his promises will undermine his position. Rekawat Hama Rashid – Minister of Health, PUK The Health Ministry has had some degree of success in Iraqi Kurdistan since 2015. The Minister has been able to efficiently crack down against communicable diseases in the Iraqi Kurdish population, and supported a campaign that called for the immunization of refugees in Kurdistan. This has helped to prevent any disease outbreaks from occurring in these camps, and has hence been hailed by the international community. However, the Health Minister faces a challenge in the non Iraqi Kurdish regions that Kurdistan now finds itself owning in Syria. The War had thoroughly ravaged this region, and the constant state of warfare made proper healthcare impossible in this region, leading to a large variety of diseases and parasites resurging in Syria. Hence, an integration of Syrian areas into Kurdistan will mean that the Ministry will have to implement radically new and stringent measures to try and bring healthcare back to this region. The Minister will also need to consider any combat operations that occur, since the Ministry will be called upon to handle the casualties in any such events. Kamal Muslim – Minister of Religious Affairs and Minorities, Gorran The Minister of Religious Affairs used to have a minor role in the Kurdistani Regional Government before the various crises that the region has faced. The Minister’s roles were limited to maintaining places of religious importance and handling any instances where the religious sentiments of the community were hurt. This limited the Minister to use discretionary funds to maintain these sites and to suggest lenient working hours during religious festivities. However, the crises in the region have boosted the importance of the Minister of Religious Affairs. The sudden influx of refugees from various nations has increased the population, but has also led to a more even composition of Sunni and Shia Kurds in Kurdistan. Additionally, minorities like the Yazidis have also immigrated or come under the control of Kurdistan. Additionally, the increase in the territory of Kurdistan has meant that the nation shall now be holding sites of varying degrees of religious importance for various religions, and reconstructing them is a task that was well accomplished by the Ministry of Religious Affairs. The Minister must hence investigate ways to smooth over any actions that may offend the inhabitants of Kurdistan religiously. Additionally, the Minister must also keep in mind the feelings of minorities in Kurdistan, and ensure that they are not offended, in order to maintain internal security. Falah Mustafa Bakir – Minister of Foreign Affairs, KDP As the Head of Foreign Affairs, Minister Bakir will be crucial in coming up with ideas for the new nation to proclaim itself and gain recognition in the world of diplomacy. Minister Bakir will need to look at the decisions the Conclave takes with an exclusive eye on whether or not the decision will make Kurdistan a welcomed member of the global community or a diplomatic pariah. During the crises faced by the situation in Syria and Iraq, Minister Bakir was essential in coordinating cross border activities, and colluded with the head of the Peshmerga to help plan the offensive against Assad and convince the KSC to collaborate with the SNC. The Minister of Foreign Affairs will have to be consulted for policies that will have a definite impact on foreign relations. He also has the power to establish and close embassies, with the approval of the President, and can independently use the embassy staff for whatever function. Yardil Kani Rami – Director of the Kurdish Intelligence Service (KIS), KDP Yardil Rami has had a meteoric rise to fame over the course of the fight against ISIS and the overlapping Syrian conflict. Starting out as a cadet in the fight against ISIS, he managed to work his way up to the post of a general officer, and commanded the Peshmerga offensive against Tikrit. His successes and ability to understand international relations and foreign affairs caused him to be appointed as a liaison general between the Peshmerga and the Foreign Affairs Ministry of Kurdistan. Due to this position, he was able to convince the Peshmerga and the Foreign Affairs Office to formally declare the creation of a Kurdish Intelligence Service, which would aim to safeguard the Kurdish people of the Middle Eastern region. This agency was set up with the help of information clandestinely acquired from the PKK and UTK, as well as with aid provided by PJAK and Mossad contacts. Abdullah Öcalan – Leader of PKK The PKK has been highly involved with the recent events in the region. The PKK has been a major combatant for the Syrian Kurds in Northern Syria, and had initially been the driving force for defending isolated Kurdish parts of Syria that were separated from the Iraqi border region. However, the ISIS onslaught in the region forced the PKK to use UTK help to withdraw from isolated pockets of Syria. However, PKK forces continued fighting in Eastern Syria, and the lost regions were regained by a KDP and KSC offensive. However, the rapid escalation of the fighting with Turkey in Syria and Turkey has forced the PKK to be at high state of alert, while also forcing the PKK to compete with the UTK for influence. The PKK aims to expand Kurdistan to Turkey as well, so that the PKK can exert greater influence for Turkish Kurds. The PKK aims to make itself an independently recognizable group once again, and wishes to reduce the growing shadow of the UTK. Feysel Yousuf – Leader of KNC (KDP-Syria) The KNC forms one of the two voting blocs of the KSC. It originally started as a Syrian branch of the KDP, but has now assumed its own identity in Syria and has peacefully separated from the KDP. The KNC has exerted its influence in the Central parts of Syria, which it occupied immediately after the fall of Assad. The KNC was one of the participants in this attack against Assad, and chose to exert influence over the suddenly unstable Central Syrian regions instead of the Eastern areas that were under its control. The recent airstrikes by Turkey against PKK elements in Syria have been a cause of concern, and have reversed opinion in the KNC, with regards to support from Turkish Kurdish groups. Such airstrikes have forced the KNC to evict the PKK from their own bases, in order to avoid any casualties from such future attacks. The KNC hence views controlling the Central regions of Syria as a crucial part of its identity, and has convinced Iraqi Kurdistan to claim parts of Syria as well once Kurdistan is declared as an independent nation. It further views its ownership of unexploited resources and vast habitable areas as something that can allow it to handle the influx of Kurds into the new nation. Salih Muslim – Leader of PYD (PKK-Syria) The PYD used to be the PKK’s front in Syria. However, even the PYD chose to evolve independently from its parent organization due to a disagreement on where each faction should have influence. The PYD believes that the PKK should be in charge solely of activities in Turkey, due to the highly has attracted Turkish attacks against Syrian Kurdish installments that have harbored the PKK. The recent airstrikes against PKK bases in Syria has caused the PYD to instead ally themselves with the UTK, which it perceives as being a deterrent to any PKK actions against PYD forces. The PYD further views the UTK as being a faction whose presence allows them to show their willingness to cooperate with other Kurdish groups in support of a grand Kurdish nation. However, the PYD believes that the Syrian extent of such a Kurdistan should only have the Eastern and mineral rich parts of Kurdistan. Such an opinion stems from the PYD’s aim to emerge as the solitary Kurdish representative of Syria in a new Kurdistan. Mustafa Hijri – Leader of KDPI KDPI used to be extremely close to KDP in Iraq. However, the recent changes in leadership and ties with Iran that were brought about by the KDPI leadership have convinced the party to adopt a new independent stance from the KDP and function as its own group. The KDPI has been essential in improving the ties between the Kurds of Iran and the Iranian government. Calls by the KDPI for diplomatic talks between the two sides to discuss peaceful immigration of Iranian Kurds into Iraqi Kurdistan was well received by Iran, and has helped the KDPI to make itself seen as the legitimate representative of the Iranian Kurds. However, the relatively unknown status of their armed forces makes the KDPI appear to be a representative that may not be able to back up its claims in Iran. The KDPI must hence function as an idea tank to unite the Iranian Kurds into Kurdistan via peaceful means, and views the transfer of territory from Iran to Kurdistan something of low priority. Abdul Rahman Haji Ahmadi – Leader of PJAK (PKK-Iran) PJAK used to be an offshoot of the PKK in Iran, but has since then attempted to create its own identity, as a result of what it perceived to be the irrelevance of the PKK’s presence in Iran. PJAK views itself as a group that has the capacity to carry out operations in Iran, in order to make the Kurdish question more relevant in the nation of Iran. PJAK forces have attempted on numerous occasions to engage Iranian forces in skirmishes, but have suspended such activities since 2015. The organization then utilized this accepted break to transfer weapons into Syria in order to aid the fighting over there against the former Syrian Army and Islamist factions. In a symbolic move, PJAK even donated weapons to PKK and UTK forces in Syria, showcasing that it no longer relied on the PKK and had become a self-sufficient organization. PJAK forces were reluctant to advance further into Syria with the fall of Assad, and were even against such an attack, due to the impact it could have on Iranian–Kurdish ties. PJAK forces instead currently guard the border of ISIS occupied regions, and are present on the Iraqi-Iranian borders and within Iran itself. Serok Barzani – Leader of UTK The UTK was formed by the merger of the Revolutionary Party of Kurdistan and the KDP’s Northern affiliate. This new organization pursues a policy of peaceful integration of the Kurdish parts of Turkey into a new Kurdish nation, and believes that a declaration of hostilities against Turkey is the quickest way for a Kurdish state to be destroyed. It has hence not carried out direct operations against the Turkish military, with the exception of a single attack carried out by more conservative members of the organization. An internal purge of such elements after this incident actually attracted members from other Kurdish nationalists in Turkey to join this group, and has made them grow to a scale that rivals that of the PKK. It is known to have been grateful for the support it received from the PJAK, and has volunteered to help allow the creation of a new Kurdish state that encompasses Kurdish controlled areas of the region. The lack of strikes against it by Turkey, due to the obscurity of their bases, has helped to position the UTK to be a major regional Kurdish player in the Northern regions of Syria. Murat Karayilan – PKK Armed Forces Representative The PKK’s Armed Forces are among the most battle hardened Kurdish forces in the region. Their decades long conflict in three various nations has helped to prepare them to fight in a variety of terrains and against various oppositions. This makes the PKK’s Armed Forces a formidable fighting force. However, the recent airstrikes from Turkish airplanes have impaired the mobility of the PKK, and prevents them from bringing their full force against Turkish Armed Forces. The Armed Forces Representative is in charge of coming up with operations for whatever his Party’s representative aims to achieve militarily, for diplomatic or strategic purposes. Kodyar Safar – UTK Armed Forces Representative The UTK has become a well stocked newly created fighting force in the Kurdish regions. While it lacks as much experience as its contemporaries, its acceptable performance in Syria, ability to disguise its bases and forces, and newly equipped status, help to make it an efficient penetrating force. The UTK is a prime target of Turkish forces, but its ability to tease these forces has helped to make it a source of inspiration for the Kurds of Turkey, and has attracted a large amount of fresh recruits. The Armed Forces Representative is in charge of coming up with operations for whatever his Party’s representative aims to achieve militarily, for diplomatic or strategic purposes. Waleed Kurdi – KNC Armed Forces Representative The KNC has become the most experienced fighting force in the Kurdish region. Their combination of experience gained while fighting in Syria and its neighboring countries, combined with the direct onslaught it faced from Syrian governmental, jihadist, and conventional fighters, has helped to make it a versatile and elite fighting force. The KNC also holds the distinction of being the only Kurdish force that has fought, and endured, in the face of chemical weapons and improvised weaponry. However, such pride has also made them immensely territorial, and will make them reluctant to give up the areas they have occupied. The Armed Forces Representative is in charge of coming up with operations for whatever his Party’s representative aims to achieve militarily, for diplomatic or strategic purposes. Sipan Hemo – PYD Armed Forces Representative The PYD has been more of a Kurdish centric fighting group, and hence avoided the incredible government onslaughts that the KNC had to endure. However, this lack of experience was made up by their increased contact against ISIS, and by the Kurdish centric fighting tradition that the PYD prizes itself upon. Further, the PYD is one of the largest fighting groups in the region, which helps to make up for their lack of quality. Additionally, the fact that their area of operations are limited to a Kurdish region lends them with massive local support and allows them to use the region’s natural features to their advantage. The Armed Forces Representative is in charge of coming up with operations for whatever his Party’s representative aims to achieve militarily, for diplomatic or strategic purposes. Nouri Sharafkandi – KDPI Armed Forces Representative The KDPI has the least experienced armed forces among the Kurdish militias. However, it makes up for this by its ability to connect with the Kurdish people of Iran and spread its ideas efficiently, ensuring a great turnout in demonstrations and protests. The KDPI views this as being its prime method operation, and instead of full on conflicts, has Armed Forces that work in small groups and rely on stealth and secrecy to carry out deniable actions in their area of operations. The Armed Forces Representative is in charge of coming up with operations for whatever his Party’s representative aims to achieve militarily, for diplomatic or strategic purposes. Zanar Agri – PJAK Armed Forces Representative The PJAK forces have not been actively involved in any conflict yet, and have played more of a reinforcing role in the Syrian War. However, their performance in such brief clashes have shown their expertise, and their ability to change the tide just by their mere presence and involvement. This can be attributed to their new weapons and advanced tactics, along with the high level of training that they have focused on since their ceasefire with Iran from 2011. The Armed Forces Representative is in charge of coming up with operations for whatever his Party’s representative aims to achieve militarily, for diplomatic or strategic purposes. Dilsad Talabani – Foreign Intelligence Officer on Russia Dilsad Talabani was born in the city of Mosul, and spent most of his childhood there. He was displaced by the Baathist regime’s crackdown against the Kurds during the Iraq-Iran War, and as a result fled to Russia, where he had family. He hence grew up in the newly created Russian state, and was there for the country’s transition from the Soviet Union to the Russian Federation. He worked for the Iraqi embassy in Russia and returned to Iraq during the mid 2000s. He joined the Peshmerga in 2010, and became a military intelligence officer during the fight against ISIS. He hence has access to backchannels with Russia as a result of these experiences, and is hence relied upon as the communication channel between the Foreign Minister and Russia. He may make proposals to other ministers, but lacks the authority to take any actions with regards to foreign relations unilaterally. Golnaz Barzani – Foreign Intelligence Officer on Iran Golnaz Barzani was born in the city of Erbil, and lived there for her entire life. She has made frequent trips to Iran via the porous Iranian-Iraqi border near Kurdistan, and hence has contacts in Iran. She was involved in the Peshmerga during the War against ISIS, and coordinated with Iranian airstrikes near the area of Erbil, as a result of her mastery of Farsi. This experience ensures that she has had diplomatic meetings with the nation of Iran, and has provided her with a treasure trove of experience with regards to the second largest Middle Eastern nation. She is hence relied upon as the communication channel between the Foreign Minister and Iran. She may make proposals to other ministers, but lacks the authority to take any actions with regards to foreign relations unilaterally. Gona Talabani – Foreign Intelligence Officer on the GCC Gona Talabani was born in the city of Erbil, and lived there for her entire life. She is a Sunni and has travelled throughout the Arabian Peninsula. She was involved with the Peshmerga during the War against ISIS, and coordinated with Allied airstrikes near the area of Erbil, as a result of her assignment to being a reconnaissance member of the Armed Forces. This experience ensures that she has had diplomatic meetings with the nations of Saudi Arabia and UAE. She is hence relied upon as the communication channel between the Foreign Minister and the GCC. She may make proposals to other ministers, but lacks the authority to take any actions with regards to foreign relations unilaterally. Mehmet Atilla – Foreign Intelligence Officer on Turkey Mehmet Atilla was born in the city of Kirkuk, and lived there for his entire life. He has made frequent trips to Turkey in his youth, as he admired the PKK and their attempts at creating a Kurdish nation. He was involved with the Peshmerga during the War against ISIS, and was assigned to a posting in Syria as the War against ISIS went into this new nation. As he was able to speak Turkish, he was given the responsibility of working with PKK and later UTK forces. He has also experienced the ferocity of the Turkish airstrikes first-hand, and has contacts throughout the PKK, UTK, and also in Southern parts of Turkey. He is also relied upon as the communication channel between the Foreign Minister and Turkey. He may make proposals to other ministers, but lacks the authority to take any actions with regards to foreign relations unilaterally. Faivish Kurdi – Foreign Intelligence Officer on Israel and the United States Faivish Kurdi was born in Dallas in the United States, and lived there for his childhood years. He studied at the University of Washington and got a degree in foreign affairs, with emphasis on the Middle East. However, after the death of his parents as a result of the September 11 attacks, he decided to enlist in the American Army and was involved in the invasion of Iraq. He surprisingly chose to become an Iraqi citizen after rediscovering his Kurdish heritage during his stationing there, and became a resident in Iraqi Kurdistan. He was on the frontlines of the War against ISIS and was highly valued due to his previous American military experience, which made him a point of contact between American and Kurdish forces during the Siege of Kobane. His mix of military experience and foreign affairs awareness has made him a respected member of the Kurdish intelligence committee, and has hence been chosen as a specialist on American and Israeli affairs. He may make proposals to other ministers, but lacks the authority to take any actions with regards to foreign relations unilaterally. 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Box 400435 Newcomb Hall Station Charlottesville, VA 22904-4435 If you have any questions, please email VICS XX Secretary General Emma Myers at [email protected].
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