Dr. Klaus RAVE Chairman Global Wind Energy Council
Beijing | Brussels | Washington 'Defining factors for a sustainable wind market' Klaus Rave, Chairman GWEC Intercontinental Wind Power Congress 31 March – 2 April 2015 Beijing | Brussels | London The wind world in 2015 activities in more than 90 countries 369.553 MW installed capacity in 24 countries there are more than 1000 MW installed in 16 countries more than 3000 MW Beijing | Brussels | London The wind world in 2015 Why are things happening in one country that may have a rather weak wind regime and do not happen in a neighbouring state where the winds are blowing so much stronger? What can go wrong? Who is responsible? For success as well as failure? Can we identify any hidden barriers? • glass ceilings • revolving doors Beijing A short comparison China & India Cumulative wind power capacity in 2014: 114,763 MW Cumulative wind power capacity in 2014: 22,465 MW China India | Brussels | London Beijing | Brussels | London A short comparison Argentina & Brazil INSTALLED CAPACITY TOTALTOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) (MW) Cumulative wind power capacity in 2014: 271 MW 250 200 150 100 50 0 Argentina 2009 34 2010 50 2011 113 2012 142 2013 218 TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) Cumulative wind power capacity in 2014: 5,939 MW 4000 3000 Brazil 2000 1000 0 2009 606 2010 927 2011 1431 2012 2508 2013 3461 Beijing | Brussels | London A short comparison France & Germany TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) Cumulative wind power capacity in 2014: 39,165 MW 40000 30000 Germany Argentina 20000 10000 0 2009 25673 2010 27097 2011 29071 2012 31270 2013 34250 TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) Cumulative wind power capacity in 2014: 9,285 MW 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 France 2009 4713 2010 5977 2011 6809 2012 7623 2013 8254 Beijing | Brussels | London Let´s start planning and building a wind farm What needs to be in place ? a project developer a utility (or someone else buying your electricity) shareholders/owners a construction company a landowner a technical consultant an O&M company a bank/private equity a permitting authority a grid company turbine supplier/manufacturer Beijing | Brussels | London Let´s start planning and building a wind farm And what kind of people do we talk about? • • • • • • • • • • • technicians engineers bureaucrats sales people bank managers landowners/farmers “the public” policy makers/politicians neighbours planners builders Beijing | Brussels | London Let´s start planning and building a wind farm Step after careful step • professional wind measurement and definition of the wind regime • appropriate siting/ greenfield development and environmental impact assessment • efficient project development/management • choice of technology • establishing bankability • long-term PPA or feed-in-tariff • technical grid integration • after-sales services/O&M contracts. Beijing | Brussels | London Let´s start planning and building a wind farm Analysing these factors and phases you get the picture What is more important, what should be your priority, what is most important? • • • • • • • • first comes the location, the wind regime, the impact on the environment, the availability and price of the land project development and contract management come second reliable technology plus after-sales services and O&M contracts long-term PPA/feed-in-tariff bankability/project finance/balance sheet plus insurance local acceptance of the project transparent permitting procedure/Rule of Law/good governance regulatory framework and political targets. Beijing | Brussels | London Let´s start planning and building a wind farm What is Your responsibility? What can you influence? What is an external factor? What is a pre-condition to start thinking about a project? Beijing | Brussels | London Let´s start planning and building a wind farm A well established hierarchy of the defining factors. Some of which you might take care of yourselves. Some you might be able to influence. Others are just out of reach. The energy markets were always policy driven and will be policy driven because or their strategic relevance. Electricity is the key energy for the 21st century: no communication without electrification. Policies, politics, appropriate regulation and good governance are key to sustainable success. Beijing | Brussels | Washington For more information: Thank you! Klaus Rave [email protected]
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