Beijing
|
Brussels
|
Washington
'Defining factors for a sustainable wind market'
Klaus Rave, Chairman GWEC
Intercontinental Wind Power Congress
31 March – 2 April 2015
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
The wind world in 2015
activities in more than 90 countries
369.553 MW installed capacity
in 24 countries there are more than 1000 MW installed
in 16 countries more than 3000 MW
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
The wind world in 2015
Why are things happening in one country that may have a rather weak
wind regime and do not happen in a neighbouring state where the winds
are blowing so much stronger?
What can go wrong?
Who is responsible? For success as well as failure?
Can we identify any hidden barriers?
• glass ceilings
• revolving doors
Beijing
A short comparison
China & India
Cumulative wind
power capacity in
2014: 114,763 MW
Cumulative wind
power capacity in
2014: 22,465 MW
China
India
|
Brussels
|
London
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
A short comparison
Argentina & Brazil
INSTALLED
CAPACITY
TOTALTOTAL
INSTALLED
CAPACITY
(MW) (MW)
Cumulative wind
power capacity in
2014: 271 MW
250
200
150
100
50
0
Argentina
2009
34
2010
50
2011
113
2012
142
2013
218
TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW)
Cumulative wind
power capacity in
2014: 5,939 MW
4000
3000
Brazil
2000
1000
0
2009
606
2010
927
2011
1431
2012
2508
2013
3461
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
A short comparison
France & Germany
TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW)
Cumulative wind
power capacity in
2014: 39,165 MW
40000
30000
Germany
Argentina
20000
10000
0
2009
25673
2010
27097
2011
29071
2012
31270
2013
34250
TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW)
Cumulative wind
power capacity in
2014: 9,285 MW
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
France
2009
4713
2010
5977
2011
6809
2012
7623
2013
8254
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
Let´s start planning and building a wind farm
What needs to be in place ?
a project developer
a utility (or someone else
buying your electricity)
shareholders/owners
a construction company
a landowner
a technical consultant
an O&M company
a bank/private equity
a permitting authority
a grid company
turbine supplier/manufacturer
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
Let´s start planning and building a wind farm
And what kind of people do we talk about?
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
technicians
engineers
bureaucrats
sales people
bank managers
landowners/farmers
“the public”
policy makers/politicians
neighbours
planners
builders
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
Let´s start planning and building a wind farm
Step after careful step
• professional wind measurement and definition of the wind regime
• appropriate siting/ greenfield development and environmental
impact assessment
• efficient project development/management
• choice of technology
• establishing bankability
• long-term PPA or feed-in-tariff
• technical grid integration
• after-sales services/O&M contracts.
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
Let´s start planning and building a wind farm
Analysing these factors and phases you get the picture
What is more important, what should be your priority, what is most
important?
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
first comes the location, the wind regime, the impact on the
environment, the availability and price of the land
project development and contract management come second
reliable technology plus after-sales services and O&M contracts
long-term PPA/feed-in-tariff
bankability/project finance/balance sheet plus insurance
local acceptance of the project
transparent permitting procedure/Rule of Law/good governance
regulatory framework and political targets.
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
Let´s start planning and building a wind farm
What is Your responsibility?
What can you influence?
What is an external factor?
What is a pre-condition to start thinking about a project?
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
London
Let´s start planning and building a wind farm
A well established hierarchy of the defining factors. Some of which you might
take care of yourselves. Some you might be able to influence. Others are just
out of reach.
The energy markets were always policy driven and will be policy driven
because or their strategic relevance.
Electricity is the key energy for the 21st century: no communication without
electrification.
Policies, politics, appropriate regulation and good governance are key to
sustainable success.
Beijing
|
Brussels
|
Washington
For more information:
Thank you!
Klaus Rave
[email protected]