GENDER EARNINGS DIFFERENTIALS IN TOTAL PAY, BASE PAY,AND CONTINGENT PAY KEITH W. CHAUVIN and RONALD A. ASH* Using data froma 1988 surveyof business school graduates, the authors analyze gender differentialsin earningsbyformof pay-total pay,base pay, and contingentpay-with controlsforhuman capital, occupation,job level, and individual characteristics. The results indicate that within narrowly defined occupations and jobs, most of the unexplained differencein total pay between the men and women in the sample was due to gender differences in the portion of pay thatwas contingenton job performance. The greaterimportanceof contingentpayin the earningsof the men than of the women may reflect differentialtreatmentof men and women by firms, gender differencesin performance,gender differencesin riskpreferences, or some other sortingmechanism. M ostattempts toexplainthegap inpay between men and women have focused on sets of explanatoryvariables included in wage equations. Typically,annual earningsor hourlywagesare regressed on human capital and other productivityrelated measures of thejob and individual. These variablesaccount forpartbut not all of the gender-paygap. The unexplained portion of the pay gap is ofteninterpreted as theeffectofmarketdiscrimination.Since itis possible thatthe failureof these regressions to explain all of the pay gap is due to omittedproductivity-related variables,how- *KeithChauvin is Associate Professorof Business and Ronald Ash is Professorof Business, both at the Universityof Kansas. This research was supported, in part,byfundsfromthe General Research Fund of the Universityof Kansas. The authors thank James Guthrie,JudyOlian, and Sara Rynesforhelpful commentson an earlier draftof the paper. ever, researchers are constantlysearching forbettermeasures of productivity.So far, better measures of the explanatory variables have not significantlyreduced the unexplained portion of the pay gap. In thispaper we attemptto move toward an understandingofthecauses oftheunexplained portion of the gender-paygap by exploringa differentdimension of thegap. Rather than simply tryingto account for the gender differencein pay, we analyze how the pay gap varies by typeof pay. The data setwe use, drawnfroma 1988 surveyof business school graduates, includes measures of individuals' base pay and pay contingent on job performance. We test usedtogenerate Copiesofthedataand programs the resultswillbe availableafterMay1995 forpurfromtheauthorsat theSchoolof posesofreplication of Kansas, Lawrence,Kansas Business,University 66045. Industrialand LaborRelationsReview,Vol. 47, No. 4 (July1994). ? by Cornell University. 0019-7939/94/4704 $01.00 634 Sage Publications, Inc. is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve, and extend access to Industrial and Labor Relations Review www.jstor.org ® GENDER EARNINGS DIFFERENTIALS 635 gap decline significantly.Reviews of the literatureshow convincinglythat most of thegender gap in pay,holding constantthe traditionalmeasures of human capital, occurs across occupations. Furthermore, nearlyall of the relativelysmall difference in pay that exists withinnarrowlydefined jobs and occupations occurs across firms (Blau 1977; Groshen 1991). Studies that look at pay differenceswithinjobs, within firms,findlittleor no gender differencein pay. Gerhart (1990), for example, found that when human capital and other relevant factorswere controlled for, the feResearch on the Gender-PayGap male/male pay ratio withinjobs in a single firmwas between .95 and .98. We know Studies of why men earn, on average, fromthe existingresearch, therefore,that more thanwomen continue to significantly find that a large percentage of the differ- nearlyall of the differencein pay between ences in earnings and wages cannot be men and women is due to women being explained bydifferencesin human capital, disproportionatelyrepresented in lowerdemographic characteristics,or firmchar- paying occupations and in lower-paying acteristics.Even aftercontrollingforbroad firmswithinoccupations. This conclusion is supported byreviewsof recent studiesof occupational categories, approximately 50% of the earningsdifferentialcannot be thegender-earningsgap (forexample, Cain accountedforbydifferencesin endowments 1986; Blau and Ferber 1987a; Gunderson 1989). betweenmen and women. Since measures that allow a comparison of productivity The extent to which marketdiscriminaacrossworkers,jobs,occupations,and firms tion is or is not a cause of the differencesin are not available, the approach used in mobility across jobs and in the occupaalmost all attemptsto explain the "unextionaldistributionbetweenmen and women plained" portionof the paygap has been to cannot be inferredfromthese studies. Altryto obtain marginallybetterproxies for though the findingsindicate that much of the gender differencein pay occurs across productivity.The qualityof education, actuallabormarketexperience,interruptions occupations and jobs, Blau and Ferber in labor marketexperience, and firmten(1987a, 1987b) pointed out thatwhen controlssuch as occupation orjob are included ure, for example, have been included in in the estimate of the wage equation, the recent studiesof the pay gap. Measures of productionin thehousehold have also been gender-paygap tendsto be underestimated. included in earningsmodels. Responding This underestimation occurs because the to the argument by Becker (1985) that choice ofjob or occupation has likelybeen gender differencesin household responsi- influenced by market discrimination. If bilitiesmayaccount forpartof the paygap, the rate of return on educational investHersch (1991), for example, used a new ments in engineering is lower for women data set thatincluded measures of the inthan for men because of marketdiscrimitensityof household and child care duties. nation against female engineers, for exShe found that these factors,and specific ample, then women will invest less than job characteristics,added verylittleto the men in thistypeof education. In thiscase, the "choice" of women not to go into engiexplanation of the pay gap. Only when controlvariablesfordetailed neering is partlythe result of marketdiscrimination. At best, a lower bound estioccupational category or the job are included in the estimatesof the gender-pay mate of the effectsof discriminationis obtained when variables that may be influgap does the unexplained portion of the whether the unexplained portion of the pay gap varies between these two typesof pay. The processes and managerial practices that determine base pay are verydifferentfrom those that are used to determineperformance-contingent pay. Because of these differences,we argue that understanding how the pay gap and the unexplained portion of the gap are distributed between these two formsof pay is potentiallyuseful for identifyingor narrowing the possible causes of the pay gap. 636 INDUSTRIAL AND LABOR RELATIONS REVIEW enced bydiscriminationthroughfeedback effectsare included in the analysis. To betterunderstand the causes of the pay gap, and notjust the size of the gap, it is necessaryto understandhow the choices of occupations and firmsdifferbetween men and women, how firms'recruitment, selection, promotion, and pay determination practices vary across jobs, and how these practicesvaryacross firms.If market discriminationis a significantfactorin the segregationofwomen acrossjobs or across firms,then these practices are the mechanisms through which discriminationand the related feedback effectsoccur. In thisstudywe askwhetheror not,within narrowlydefined occupations or jobs, the gender-paygap varieswiththe formof pay. Is the level of pay the only differencebetweenjobs in high-payingfirmsemploying men andjobs in lower-payingfirmsemploying women? One characteristicthatnearly all of the studies of the pay gap have in common is theiruse of the level of hourly wages or earnings as the dependent variable. Although there is a growingbody of empiricalliteraturefocusingon compensation and the incentive effectsof various forms of pay (for example, Lazear 1986; Abowd 1990; Brown1990; Kahn and Sherer 1990), only one attempthas been made to test whether the gender-pay differential varies across differentformsof pay. This factis partlydue to the nature of the data setsthatare regularlyanalyzed forexplanations of the gender-paydifferential.Most, if not all, large public data sets provide measures of totalearningsor hourlywages, but they do not provide the information necessaryto distinguishamong the forms of pay. The one studythat does provide some informationon differencesin the formof payis Goldin (1986). Using data from1890 to 1940 formanufacturingand clericaljobs, Goldin found thatwomen were more likely than men to be paid piece rates. This findingis consistentwitha model in which workerswithhigh turnoverratesare sorted intojobs or occupations withpiece rates as opposed to timerate methods of pay determination. Goldin's model shows that this sorting reduced monitoring costs associated withhigher turnoverrates. The analysisin thispaper uses data from a surveyin which respondents reported their total annual pay, theirbase pay, and the part of their total pay thatwas contingent on theirjob performance. Examples of contingent pay are sales commissions and performancebonuses. Using thisdata set,we estimatethe gender gap in totalpay, base pay,and contingentpay. We attempt to answer the simple question: does the unexplained portion of the gender gap in totalpay,withinjobs,varybetweenbase pay and contingentpay? Base Pay and ContingentPay The importantrespect in which thispaper departs from previous studies is our disaggregationof the dependent variable, total pay,byformof pay. Total pay equals the sum of base pay and contingent pay. Base pay is the partof the totalsalaryor pay thatdoes not depend in a givenyearon the individual'sjob performance. Base pay is determined largely by the level of an individual's job in the firm's hierarchy. Changes in base pay are determined by year-to-yearadjustments from merit pay awards and frompromotions (demotions) to higher (lower) job levels. Merit pay adjustments are based on a supervisor's performance evaluation of the individual duringa givenperiod of time;theybecome a permanentpartofthebase paybeginning in the nextpayperiod. Base pay,therefore, varieswithjob performanceover time,but not during a given pay period. Although meritpay adjustmentsaccount forthevariance in base pay withina specificjob level in a givenfirm,mostof thevariance in base payreflectsdifferencesamongjobs in their levels in the hierarchy. Contingentpay awards such as bonuses, commissions,and profitand gain sharing awards,on the other hand, depend primarilyon the individual'sjob performance,or the performanceof a group in the case of gain sharing and profitsharing, during a given period of time. When the individual (or the individual's group) achieves a pre- GENDER EARNINGS DIFFERENTIALS specified performancestandard,he or she receives a pre-specifiedpay award. Unlike meritpay adjustments,these payawardsdo not become part of the base pay and are paid in subsequent timeperiods onlyifthe individual (or group) continues to achieve the performancestandard. All else equal, as contingentpayincreases as a percentage of total pay, the individual's risk of shortrunvariationsin payas a resultofvariations in hisor herjob performancealso increases. This differencebetween base pay and contingentpay allows for a unique test of the extent to which the gender-pay gap varieswiththe amount of riskin pay thatis borne by the individual. If firmsdiscriminate against women because of a priori expectationsthatwomen are more likelythan men to leave thefirmduringanygiventime period forfamilyor other non-job-related reasons, then firmsmay attempt to force women to bear more of the riskfor shortrun variations in theirjob performance. This relationshipwould be consistentwith the findings of Goldin (1986). The expected relationship between the genderpaygap and theformofpay,however,is not clear. Systematicdifferencesin riskpreferences between men and women, for example, could cause women to select into jobs and firmswith less pay risk than the jobs and firmsselected by men, or vice versa. Subich et al. (1989), based on a study of college juniors and seniors who were about to enterthe labor market,found that women were less likelyto take risksin their occupation andjob choices thanwere men. Based on theirreviewof the literature,they also provided a substantialamount of evithan dence thatwomenare morerisk-averse men in theirbehavior in the labor market and in other activities. The purpose of this studyis not to estimate the effectsof discrimination. We attempt,instead, to estimatethe extent to which the unexplained portion of the pay gap varies between base pay and contingent pay. Since the base pay/contingent pay mix is likelyto varywiththe level of the job in the firm,we hold constant the job level byincluding controlsforjob mobility and access thatmayresultfromchoices and 637 abilities of individuals,barriersto job mobilityconfrontingwomen,feedback effects fromsuch discrimination,or some combination of these factors. Controlling for these endogenous factorsis likelyto result in underestimation of the effectsof discrimination. Once we control for thejob level, however,we willbe able compare the remainingunexplained portion of the pay gap in base pay withthe unexplained portion in contingentpay. If the gender-pay gap does not varyby formof pay, then we would expect, controllingforthejob level, thattheunexplained percentage of thegap would be the same forbase pay and contingent pay. The Data The data analyzed in this paper come froma surveyof business school graduates of twolarge stateuniversities.This data set was originallycollected by George Dreher and Ronald Ash forthepurpose ofstudying gender differencesin mentoring. The results of that studyare reported in Dreher and Ash (1990). The data setwas collected in 1988 through a mail survey of 1,000 graduates fromthe MBA and undergraduate classes of 1978 and 1983. The sample was drawn to generate an approximately equal numberof graduates byschool, year, gender, and degree. 440 surveyformswere returned.' For purposes of the current studywe did not include the 48 respondentswho reportedworkingpart-time(less than 35 hours per week) or the 28 individuals who were self-employed.Of the remaining 364 responses, there are 312 usable observations. There are 168 men and 144 women in the sample. Given the population surveyed,several sources of variation in pay are eliminated (or reduced) in the data set. Variances in quantityand qualityofeducation, lengthof workexperience,and occupation are greatly constrained. Since onlythegraduatesfrom 122of the surveyswere returnedbecause of wrong addresses. The response rate, therefore,was 45%, whichis similarto response ratesin other surveysthat use similar methodologies. 638 INDUSTRIAL AND LABOR RELATIONS REVIEW 1978 and 1983 were sampled, the data set is restrictedto a fairlywell-definedage/experience cohort. The average age of those sampled is 32, and 95% of the individuals are between 26 and 40 years old. The data set includes an extensiveset of measures of human capital, firm,occupation, and individual characteristics. Also, the respondentsto the surveywere asked to report the total annual pay theyreceived and to disaggregatetheirtotalpay between base pay and contingentpay.2 Below is a description of the variables used in our analysis. The discussion of the variables is divided into measures of pay, human capital, job and firmcharacteristics, and individual characteristics. Variable definitionsand sample means, bygender, are summarized in Table 1. Measuresofpay. The means in Table 1 show that there is a large and statistically significantdifferencein pay between men and women in thissample. The mean pay formen is $59,597,and themean forwomen is $45,044. Althoughthisratio of female to male pay, .76, may seem small given the narrowpopulation sampled, itis consistent with recent surveydata of the gender-pay ratio in professionaloccupations. Bureau of Labor Statisticsfiguresfor1988 indicate thatthe median weeklyearnings of female professionalsand managerswas 70% of the median weeklyearningsof men. The ratio in sales and technicaloccupations was 65%. The base pay ratio in this sample is .87. Of the $14,553 gap in total pay, $6,100 is due to the differencein base pay. The contingentpay ratio is only.31. Of the gap in totalpay,$8,467 is due to the difference in contingent pay. Despite the fact that contingentpay is a relativelysmall portion oftotalpay,12% formen and 6% forwomen, the differencein contingent pay between 2The surveyasked respondents to report total directearningsfromthe employer,excluding non-cash benefits,and also to report the components of total earnings, including annual salary, annual income fromcommissions,and supplementaryincome such as bonuses and profitsharing. Our measure of contingentpay is the sum of the reported commissions and supplementaryincome. men and women accounts for 58% of the differencein total pay. These raw data suggestthatthere maybe importantdifferences between the waysin which base pay and contingent pay contribute to the differentialin total pay. Human capital.The data setcontainsone measure of formal education and several measures of work experience. Sampling only business school graduates simplifies the measure of education: DEGREE is a dummyvariable indicatingwhetheror not the respondent has a graduate degree in business. The measures of work experience include EXP, the totalnumber ofyears of actual workexperience, YRS, the number of years of work experience since graduation frombusiness school, and TENURE, the numberofyearswiththecurrentemployer. Four additional measures of workexperience help qualifythe more standardmeasureslistedabove. INTERRUPTIONS iS the total number of months since graduation duringwhichtherespondentwasnotemployed. JOB CHANGES is the numberof timesthe respondent changed firmssince gradua- tionfrombusinessschool. JOBS REJECTED is the numberofjob offers(including withinfirmtransfersor promotions) since graduation that the individual rejected because the offerwas not compatible withfamilyor spouse needs. This variable is included to control for the possibilitythat women accept lower rates of returnon theirhuman capital in order to "followtheirhusbands." The means of thisvariables indicate, however, that women in this sample rejected fewerjobs for family-relatedreasons than did the men in the sample. This resultmay indicate thatmen had morejobs to reject, thata higher percentage of the men in the sample than of the women are married,or thatmarriedwomen in thisage cohort are no longer followingtheirhusbands.3 3This differencebetween men and women in the number of jobs rejected for family-relatedreasons also holds bymaritalstatus. The mean numberofjobs rejected forfamilyreasons by married women in the sample is .46, whereas the mean for married men is .72. For single women and single men, the means are .17 and .5, respectively. GENDER EARNINGS 639 DIFFERENTIALS Table 1. Variable Definitionsand Means of a Sample of 312 Business School Graduates fromTwo Large State Universities. (Standard Deviations in Parentheses) Variable Definition TOTAL PAY = total annualjob earnings ($$) BASE PAY = annual base pay ($$) CONTINGENT PAY = annual pay thatwas contingenton job performance ($$) DEGREE = 1 formaster's degree and 0 for bachelor's degree EXP = total yearsof workexperience YRS = yearsof workexperience since graduation TENURE = yearswithcurrentemployer INTERRUPTIONS = number of months out of the workforce since graduation MENTOR = amount of mentoringreceived between 0 and 5 JOB CHANGES = number ofjob (firm) changes since graduation JOBS REJECTED = number ofjobs rejected for family-relatedreasons FIRM SIZE = 0 for less than 50 employees ... 7 formore than 50,000 INDUSTRY = 1 for manufacturing;0 otherwise PROFESSIONAL = 1 for professional occupation; 0 otherwise TECHNICAL = 1 for technical occupation; 0 otherwise SALES = 1 for sales occupation; 0 otherwise HOURS = average weeklyhours MARITAL = 1 if married; 0 otherwise DEPENDENTS = number of dependents FAMILY TIME = % of time spent withfamily SUPERVISION = number of supervisorsreportingto the respondent PROMOTIONS = number of promotions received since graduating %CONTINGENT = contingentpay/totalpay n Men Women 59596 (44445) 47309 (22587) 12286 (37586) .649 (.479) 10.185 (3.999) 7.929 (2.650) 5.292 (3.720) 1.774 (3.989) 2.922 (.770) 1.375 (1.503) .655 (1.309) 4.179 (2.309) .268 (.444) .393 (.490) .071 (.258) .196 (.398) 50.804 (8.377) .750 (.434) .857 (1.011) 25.827 (13.795) .976 (1.209) 3.494 (2.235) .125 (.179) 45044** (21848) 41210** (17261) 3819** (6922) .514* (.502) 9.465 (4.090) 7.340 (2.600) 4.819 (3.870) 2.771 (5.673) 3.006 (.855) 1.472 (1.496) .354 (.642) 4.229 (2.317) .181 (.386) .486 (.502) .035 (.184) .215 (.412) 47.938* (6.444) .604* (.491) .444* (.834) 26.611 (16.492) .340* (.681) 3.278 (1.815) .062* (.086) 168 *Significantdifferencein means between men and women at the .05 level; **at the .01 level. 144 640 INDUSTRIAL AND LABOR RELATIONS REVIEW Finally,the data set includes a measure of the intensityand quality of mentoring received by the respondent (MENTOR). Respondents indicated the extent to which they had experienced various forms of mentoringfromformallydesignated mentors,sponsors,or influentialmanagerssince their graduation from business school. The data set includes two other measures that help to control for the level of the individual'sjob in the firm'shierarchy. SUPERVISION is a measure of supervisoryresponsibilities, indicating the number of supervisorswho report to the respondent. It is coded 0 ifno supervisorsreportto the individual; 1 if 1-2 supervisorsreport; 2 if 3-5 report; 3 if 6-8 report; and 4 if 9 or MENTOR rangesbetween1 and 5, and is the average score on 18 items on a mentoring more report. PROMOTIONS is the total numscale used in the survey.4 Since mentors ber of promotions the individual has received since graduation. Although these usuallyaid subordinateswithcareer develvariables may be closely related to the huopment, involve them in networking,and man capital measures and may proxy for provide them with informationabout the firm,including mentoringin the analysis job productivity, differencesin supervisory should augment the measure of firmten- responsibilitiesand promotions may also ure as a proxy for the amount of firm- be the result of discriminationthat limits the upward mobilityof women. We have specifictrainingtheindividualhas received. Job and firm characteristics.There are included these twomeasures in our discussion of job characteristics because they severalvariablesrelatingto theindividual's clearly proxy for mobility and the occupation, job, and firm. FIRM SIZE is a measure of the numberofemployeesin the individual's level in the job hierarchy,rerespondent'sfirm.5INDUSTRY is a dummy gardlessofwhetherjob level is the resultof discrimination or productivity. As exvariable indicatingwhetherthe firmis in a manufacturingindustry.HOURS is the aver- plained in the previous section, we are interestedin controllingforjob level even if age weekly hours of work. PROFESSIONAL, job level may be determined partlyby disTECHNICAL, and SALES are occupation dummies. The excluded occupation is managecrimination. rial. These occupation variablesconstitute Individual characteristics.This data set contains informationabout maritalstatus relativelynarrow occupational categories, and number of dependents. These meareflectingthe fact that the population includes only business school graduates. sures are traditionallyincluded in analyses of the gender-paygap. The data set also includes a measure of the time each individual spends with his or her family. The 4Aglobal measure of mentoringpractices was desurveyasked respondents to indicate what veloped in Dreher and Ash (1990) by selecting items of the total amount of time percentage used in previous research (Noe 1988; Whitelyet al. spent on work,recreation, and familyac1988). The items were selected to cover the various tivitieswas devoted to their family(FAMILY careerand psychologicalfunctionsdescribed byKram (1985). When answering these questions, responOne reason for the gender-paygap TIME). dents were asked to "consider your career history be that women have more familyremay since graduating from [your] program and the desponsibilities than men and, therefore, gree to which influential managers have served as lowerlevelsof effortavailable forjob activiyoursponsor or mentor (this need not be limited to one person)." The response formatranged from a ties (Becker 1985). The average of FAMILY low of "1 = not at all" to a high of "5 = to a verylarge TIME is one percentage point higherforthe extent." the internalconsistency(coefficientalpha) women in the sample than forthe men, but forthe scale was .95. See Dreher and Ash (1990) for the differenceis not statistically significant. a more complete discussion of the mentoring variAs mentioned above, Hersch (1991) inable and fora list of the 18 mentoringitems used to calculate the measure. cluded controls for household responsi5FIRM SIZE is coded as zero for1-49 employees; 1 for bilitiesand found thatthe reduction in the 50-99; 2 for 100-499; 3 for 500-999; 4 for 1,000unexplained portion of the pay gap attrib4,999; 5 for 5,000-9,999; 6 for 10,000-49,999; and 7 utable to these factorswas verysmall. for 50,000+ employees. GENDER EARNINGS DIFFERENTIALS Empirical Models For total pay and base pay, we estimate separatelyfor men and women the equation (1I) ln(PAYx)= B X. + e,, where ln(PAY)is the natural log of the pay variable, B is a vectorof coefficients,and X is a vector of the human capital,job, and individual characteristicsdescribed above. We use the Blinder (1973) method for decomposing the paygap forthe measures of total pay and base pay in this sample. This is the standard method used for decomposing the pay gap between the portion of the gap due to differencesbetween men and women in their endowments (means) of the explanatoryvariables and the portion due to differencesin the rates of return (coefficients) to those endowments. The measure of contingent pay, however,does not allow us to use a comparable method of analysisof the gap forthisform of pay. Contingent pay is censored at a lowerbound ofzero. Althoughindividuals can earn positive pay awards by achieving or exceeding specific performance standards, compensation policies generallydo not specifythatthe individualmustreturn pay for failing to meet the performance standard. In this sample of 312 observations, the contingent pay variable has a value of zero in 132 cases: 59 out of 168 cases formen and in 73 out of 144 cases for women. Because of thiscensoring of the contingent pay variable, we estimate the gender differencein contingent pay with a standard tobit model, using a dummyvariable forgender. Since contingentpay is zero in a large number of cases, we do not take the normal log transformationof the pay variable. The focus of our analysis,therefore, is on total pay and base pay, and on how the unexplained portion of the pay gap differs between total and base pay. A tobit model of contingent pay is estimated simply to test whether or not the difference in contingent pay, holding other things equal, between men and 641 women in this sample is statisticallysignificant. The tobit model of contingent pay is specified as (2) PAY> B X. + + V. b2(GENDER) PAY. = PAY* if PAY* > 0 =0 if PAY*< 0, where PAY* is the value of contingent pay earned, PAY.is the observed level of contingent pay, and GENDER is a dummyvariable equal to 0 forwomen and 1 formen. Under theassumption thatv.is distributed N (0,cy2), we estimatethe coefficientsbymaximizing a tobitlikelihood function. OLS Results and Decomposition of the Differentialin Total Pay and Base Pay OLS estimatesofmodel (1) are presented in Tables 2 and 3. Table 2 reports the results for the estimates of the total pay model, and the results for base pay are reportedin Table 3. We firstestimatedthe equations withoutthe SUPERVISION and PROMOTIONS variables. In both tables, these resultsare reportedin columns (1) and (2) for men and women, respectively.Results for estimates including MOTIONS SUPERVISION and PRO- are reported in columns (3) and (4). Of the experience and tenure variables, only years since graduation (YRs) is signifi- cant. Including quadratic terms for the experience and tenure variables did not change theresults,and thequadratic terms were not significant.These resultsmaybe due to the limited range of experience in the sample. They may also be due to the otherexperience-relatedvariablesincluded in the equation. Interruptions in work experience have a significantnegative effecton both totalpay and base pay. Except fortheeffectofthe numberofjobs rejected for familyreasons, the coefficientson the human capital variablesare in the expected direction. The coefficientsonJOBS REJECTED are positiveforboth men and women, but insignificant. This finding may indicate INDUSTRIAL AND LABOR RELATIONS REVIEW 642 Table 2. Factors Affecting Total Pay: OLS Results for ln(TOTAL PAY). (Standard Errors in Parentheses) (1) Variable DEGREE EXP YRS TENURE INTERRUPTIONS MENTOR JOB CHANGES JOBS REJECTED FIRM SIZE INDUSTRY PROFESSIONAL TECHNICAL SALES HOURS MARITAL DEPENDENTS FAMILY TIME Men (2) Women .209** .200** (.074) (.058) (4) Women .210** .207** (.073) (.057) .0001 .012 (.011) (.009) .059** .053** (.016) (.013) -.005 .005 (.014) (.009) -.019* -.010* (.009) (.005) .066 .053* (.045) (.031) -.045 -.012 (.033) (.023) .040 .028 (.027) (.041) .009 .037** (.016) (.013) -.040 -.028 (.077) (.067) -.026 .025 (.079) (.067) -.093 .249 (.138) (.161) .118 .123 (.094) (.079) .015** .015** (.004) (.005) .104 .027 (.099) (.062) .011 -.005 (.040) (.037) -.003 .002 (.003) (.002) .002 (.011) .046** (.017) -.006 (.013) -.017 (.009) .047 (.045) -.044 (.033) .035 (.026) .012 (.016) -.070 (.077) .029 (.080) -.037 (.139) .187 (.097) .014 (.009) .039** (.014) .009 (.009) -.008 (.005) .034 (.032) -.018 (.023) .031 (.040) .035** (.012) -.026 (.065) .059 (.067) .219 (.159) .145 (.079) .012** (.004) .134 (.099) .005 (.040) .001 (.003) .060 (.032) .027 (.017) .012* (.005) .053 (.061) -.010 (.038) -.003 (.002) .059 (.041) .040* (.017) 9.181** 8.966** (.309) (.261) 9.239** 9.027** (.306) (.260) SUPERVISION PROMOTIONS CONSTANT (3) Men Adj. R2 SEE .349 .275 .413 .580 .523 .294 .379 .299 .406 .604 .543 .288 n 168 144 168 144 R2 *Statisticallysignificantat the .05 level; **at the .01 level (2-tailed tests). thatJoBsREJECTED is measuringjob mobility (more offersto move) ratherthanjob immobilitydue to familyties. The resultson the individual characteristicsare consistentwithfindingsof other studies. The coefficientson maritalstatus are positive in each specification,and in each case the coefficientfor men is larger than thatforwomen. In most of the specificationsthe coefficienton the family-time formen. variableis positivebutinsignificant The resultsare negativeand significantfor women in the total pay equation that includes SUPERVISION and PROMOTIONS, and negativeand significantforwomen in both base pay equations. The coefficientson the SUPERVISION and PROMOTION variables are positive for men and women in both the total pay and base pay equations. The coefficientson the PROMOTION variable are significantin each case. The coefficientson the SUPERVISION variable are significantat the 10% level for men and not quite significantforwomen. Despite the factthatthe data set is small and was drawn from a relativelynarrow segment of the workforce, the resultsare consistent,more or less, withexpectations based on previous studies. Furthermore, the resultsforthe total pay model are very similarto those for the base pay model. FollowingBlinder (1973), we decompose the estimated pay gap into the effectsof differencesin means and differencesin coefficients. We calculate and report the unadjusted pay ratio and the adjusted pay ratio. The adjusted pay ratio is calculated using the expected female pay evaluated at the male means of the independent variables. We also calculate the percentage of thegap attributableto differencesin means, and the percentage of the gap attributable to differencesin coefficients.6 The per6See Cain (1986) and Blau and Ferber (1987) for a careful discussion of this decomposition method and a reviewof the discriminationliteraturein which this analysishas been applied. The expected pay gap between men and women based on the regression resultsis calculated as Pay gap = IBiM(X- -XX) + 12Xi(Bim -Bi), where B. is the estimated coefficientfor the ithvariable and X. is the mean of the ithvariable from the OLS estimatesreported in Tables 2 and 3. The fand GENDER EARNINGS DIFFERENTIALS centage of the gap due to coefficientsis the "unexplained" portion of the pay gap. If the estimatedmodels of pay have fullycontrolled for productivityfactors,then this unexplained percentage of the gap is a measure of discrimination. As mentioned above, the unexplained portion of the pay gap is a lowerbound estimateof the effects of discriminationwhen endogenous variables thathave likelybeen affectedbywage discriminationare used in the analysis. The results of the decomposition for both the total pay and base pay models are reported in Table 5. The values fromthe decomposition have been calculated using both the male coefficientsand the female coefficients.Resultsusing the female coefficientsare reported in parentheses below the values based on the male coefficients. Accordingto theresultsin Table 5, there is a large differencein the unexplained gap in pay between the total pay and base pay models. When human capital, firm,occupation, and individual characteristicsare included in the estimate of total pay, the payratio,adjusted fordifferencesin means, is .88. When controls for supervisoryresponsibilitiesand number of promotions are included, the adjusted ratio increases to .91. The percentage of the gap in total pay that is attributable to differencesin coefficientsis 44% and 34% in those respective specifications. Given the narrow sample used and the number of controlsin the equation, including controlsfor occupation, supervisoryresponsibilities, and promotions, a 9-12% gap in pay that is attributableto differencesin coefficientsis large and representsa significanteconomic m subscriptsdenote the female and male equations, respectively. The firstterm in the equation is the differencein paydue to differencesbetween the male and female means, and the second termis the difference in pay due to differencesbetween the male and female coefficients. Cain (1986) showed that the decomposed values depend on the choice ofwhether the male coefficientsor the female coefficientsare used as the basis of the decomposition. Based on the assumption that the male equation represents the prevailing rate at which endowmentswould be compensated ifmarketdiscriminationwere eliminated,it is the convention to decompose the paygap using the male coefficients. 643 Table 3. Factors Affecting Base Pay: OLS Results for ln(BASE PAY). (Standard Errors in Parentheses) (1) Variable DEGREE EXP YRS TENURE INTERRUPTIONS Men .195** (.065) .008 (.010) .046** (.014) -.002 (.012) (.029) .024 (.023) .003 (.014) .069 (.068) .027 (.069) .035 (.121) .211** (.052) .012 (.008) .050** (.012) .0004 (.0084) -.009* (.004) .031 (.028) -.018 (.021) .033 (.037) .033** (.011) -.043 (.060) .009 (.060) .253 (.144) -.036 (.083) .014** (.004) .101 (.087) -.033 (.036) .0002 (.0026) .045 (.071) .013** (.004) .020 (.056) -.003 (.033) -.003 (.002) -.017* MENTOR (.008) .024 (.039) JOB CHANGES -.066* JOBS REJECTED FIRM SIZE INDUSTRY PROFESSIONAL TECHNICAL SALES HOURS MARITAL DEPENDENTS FAMILY TIME SUPERVISION -.052 PROMOTIONS -.046** CONSTANT R2 Adj. R2 SEE n (2) Women 9.352** 9.177** (.234) (.271) .579 .347 .273 .523 .362 .264 168 144 (3) Men (4) Women .201 ** (.062) .011 (.009) .026 (.014) -.003 (.011) -.013 (.008) -.003 (.038) -.066* (.028) .017 (.022) .007 (.013) .025 (.066) .089 (.069) .088 (.118) .215** (.051) .014 (.008) .035** (.013) .005 (.008) -.007 (.004) .011 (.028) -.023 (.020) .036 (.036) .031** (.011) -.041 (.058) .042 (.060) .216 (.142) .067 .028 (.083) (.070) .011** .010* (.004) (.004) .045 .148 (.084) (.055) -.004 -.045 (.034) (.034) -.0005 -.004* (.0025) (.002) .048 (.027) (.036) .043** (.014) (.015) 9.390** 9.251** (.261) (.231) .609 .412 .550 .336 .346 .257 168 144 *Statisticallysignificantat the .05 level; **at the .01 level (2-tailed tests). 644 INDUSTRIAL AND LABOR RELATIONS REVIEW Table 4. OLS Resultsfor in (TOTAL PAY), Controllingfor the Percentage of Contingent Pay. (Standard Errorsin Parentheses) Variable DEGREE EXP Men Women Variable .189** (.057) .217** (.050) SALES (.008) (.008) (.013) (.013) (.011) (.008) .007 .031* YRS TENURE INTERRUPTIONS MENTOR JOB CHANGES JOBS REJECTED FIRM SIZE INDUSTRY PROFESSIONAL TECHNICAL .001 -.013 (.007) .013 HOURS .032* MARITAL .003 DEPENDENTS -.006 FAMILY TIME (.035) (.004) -.003 (.029) (.026) (.020) .008 -.046 .013 (.021) .013 (.012) -.013 (.060) .055 -.027 PROMOTIONS Women -.009 (.078) .011** (.003) .029 (.072) (.077) (.054) .166* -.037 (.032) -.0003 (.0023) .008* (.004) .049 -.002 (.025) (.033) -.004* (.002) .041 (.036) (.013) (.015) .043 .039** .044** .037 %CONTINGENT 1.511** 1.772** .028* CONSTANT 9.346** 9.380** R2 Adj. R2 .624 .699 .317 .252 n 168 (.035) (.011) -.049 (.057) .039 (.063) (.059) .051 .216 (.109) SUPERVISION Men (.139) SEE (.154) (.239) .573 (.284) (.234) .650 144 at the.05 level;**atthe.01 level(2-tailedtests). *Statistically significant differencein pay. This finding,however,is very consistent with other studies of the gender-paygap that carefullycontrol for occupation or estimate the pay gap using occupation-specificdata sets. Cain (1986), forexample, listedfourstudiescontrolling fordetailed occupations, and the adjusted pay ratios in those studies ranged from.86 to .93. The decomposition of the resultsfrom thebase paymodels is verydifferent.When SUPERVISION and PROMOTIONS are not included in the base pay regressions,the adjusted pay ratio is .98, almost unity. Only 13% of the unadjusted pay gap is due to differences in coefficients. When SUPERVISION and PROMOTIONS are included in the estimates, the adjusted pay ratio is 1.0. As we pointedout above, thisresultdoes not mean thatthe estimateof discriminationin base pay is zero. At best, this is a lower bound estimateofdiscriminationin base pay,since we have controlled for variables that may be the resultof discrimination.The values of SUPERVISION, PROMOTIONS, the occupation variables,MENTOR, TENURE, and possiblyother variables may result from discrimination. In fact,given that differencesin base pay are determinedmostlybylevel ofjob in the hierarchy,we would expect a model ofbase pay that includes variables reflectingjob level to explain the gender differencesin base pay. The most interestingresultin Table 5 is the differencebetweenthedecompositions of the total pay and base pay estimates. Although the unexplained portion of the gap in base payvariesbetweenzero and 2% in the two differentspecificationsof the model, controllingfor the same variables leaves a 9-12% unexplained gap in total pay. Since the remaining 9% gap in total pay cannot be accounted for by the variables that account for all of the gender GENDER EARNINGS DIFFERENTIALS 645 Table 5. Decomposition of Gender-PayDifferentialsby Model and Type of Pay. Pay Ratio TotalPay Modela Base Pay UnMeansc adjusted Adjusted' (%) Coeffd (%) UnMeansc adjustedAdjustedb (%) Coeffd (%) (1) HUMAN CAPITAL, FIRM/OCCUPATION, and INDIVIDUAL CHARACTERISTICS .77 (.84) .88 (51) 56 (49) 44 .86 (.98) .98 (84) 87 (16) 13 (2) HUMAN CAPITAL, FIRM/OCCUPATION, INDIVIDUAL CHARACTERISTICS, SUPERVISION, and PROMOTION .78 (.91) .91 (65) 66 (35) 34 .87 (1.01) 1.00 (108) 103 (-8) -3 HUMAN CAPITAL, FIRM/OCCUPATION, INDIVIDUAL CHARACTERISTICS, SUPERVISION, PROMOTION, and % CONTINGENT PAY (1.01) 97 3 (3) .78 .99 (106) (-6) Note: Male coefficientsare used as the basis of the decomposition. Results using female coefficientsare reported in parentheses. aModel(1) is basedon theresultsfromequations(1) and (2) in Tables 2 and 3 forTotalPayand Base Pay, respectively.Model (2) is based on the resultsfromequations (3) and (4), and model (3) is based on the results reportedin Table 4. bPayratio afteradjusting for differencesin means of explanatoryvariables. cPercentageof pay differencedue to differencein means of explanatoryvariables. dPercentageof pay differencedue to differencein coefficientsof explanatoryvariables. differencein base pay,this9% gap in total pay must be due to gender differencesin contingentpay. To testwithinthe same analyticframeworkwhetheror not the remaining9% gap in total pay is due to differencesin contingentpay,we re-estimated thetotalpaymodel holding constant the proportion of total pay thatwas earned in the formof continThe regression gent pay (%CONTINGENT). resultsfromthisestimationare reportedin Table 4. The resultsof the decomposition of these estimatesare reportedin the third row of resultsin Table 5. When %CONTINGENT is included in the estimateof totalpay,the adjusted pay ratio increases from .91 to .99 (Table 5). The resultsof thisdecomposition are verysimilar to the previousresultsfromthe base pay model. Controlling for contingent pay, there is basically no evidence of a gender gap in total pay. This findingis consistent with the hypothesisthat the unexplained 9% gap in totalpay,whichwe observewhen controlling for human capital, job level, and other factors,is due to gender differences in contingentpay. Tobit Results Results from the estimates of the tobit model of contingentpay are presented in Table 6. Estimates of the level of contingent pay as the dependent variable are reported in columns (1) and (2), and estimates of contingentpay as a proportionof total pay are reported in columns (3) and (4). The gender pay difference is estimated here by including a GENDER dummy variable equal to 0 for women and 1 for men. The coefficient on GENDERiS positiveand significanteven when we control forjob level variables. This result holds for both the level of contingentpay and contingent pay as a proportion of total pay. Although we cannot compare these resultsdirectlyto the OLS estimatesor decompose the tobit estimates, these results support the findings above thatindicate a significantdiffer- INDUSTRIAL AND LABOR RELATIONS REVIEW 646 ence in contingent pay between the men and women in this sample. Table 6. Tobit Coefficientsfor Contingent Pay Models. (Standard Errorsin Parentheses) Contingent Pay Variable (1) Contingent Pay! TotalPay (2) (3) (4) 6723 .021 .020 6759 (.027) (5422) (5422) (.027) -365 -.002 -.002 EXP -385 (871) (.004) (.004) (867) .010 YRS .012 2689* 2649* (.006) (.007) (1220) (1321) TENURE -436 -482 -.002 -.003 (976) (.005) (.005) (970) -585 -.004 -.005 INTERRUPTIONS -590 (575) (.003) (.003) (571) 7141* 7157* .039* .043** MENTOR (.016) (.016) (3149) (3234) -180 .003 .002 JOB CHANGES -121 (.012) (.012) (2380) (2381) .019 3244 .020 JOBS REJECTED 3294 (.011) (.011) (2228) (2232) .003 .003 FIRM SIZE 1063 1120 (.006) (.006) (1178) (1181) -.004 INDUSTRY -.001 -1242 -1287 (.029) (.029) (5736) (5782) -.003 .001 PROFESSIONAL -3818 -2991 (.030) (.031) (5995) (6149) -.087 -.078 TECHNICAL -15390 -14284 (.064) (.064) (12602) (12717) SALES .157** .166** 12173 13459 (.034) (.035) (6677) (6959) 580 660 .003 .003 HOURS (356) (.002) (.002) (335) MARITAL -.022 -.025 -2588 -2386 (.032) (.033) (6393) (6458) DEPENDENTS .025 .024 1899 17587 (.016) (.016) (3164) (3173) 184 FAMILY TIME .001 .001 194 (207) (.001) (.001) (206) SUPERVISION 1758 .014 (2627) (.013) -87 -.007 PROMOTIONS (1349) (.007) .083** .077** GENDER 12826* 12019* (.026) (.027) (5200) (5335) 37095 37086 .191 .190 Scalea (.011) (.011) (2005) (2005) CONSTANT -96530**-95145** -.422** -.414** (.119) (.119) (23524) (23614) Log-likelihood -2219 -2219 -40.98 -39.95 DEGREE n 312 312 312 312 *Statistically significantat the .05 level; **at the .01 level (2-tailedtests). aIn the tobitequation the errortermis scaled byan unknownparameter. The coefficientreportedhere is the estimateof the scale parameter. Discussion and Conclusions We have analyzed the gender-paygap by formof pay using new data froma surveyof business school graduates. We take a new approach to the analysisof the gender-pay gap. Rather than focusing on the righthand-side variables in the earnings equation,we examine the paygap bytypeofpay. The principal findingof the analysis is thata significantportionof the gap in total payis due to differencesin thatpartof total pay thatis contingenton job performance. The gender differencein contingent pay accounts for 58% of the $14,500 gender differencein averagetotalpayin thesample; gender differencesin base pay account for only42%. When human capital, individual and occupation andjob level characteristics, are controlled for,it appears thatapproximately34% of the unadjusted gap in total pay that is not explained by gender differences in endowmentsis due to gender differences in contingent pay. We believe these results are interestingand informative about a dimension of the gender-pay gap that has previouslyreceived verylittle attention. This study has some clear limitations. Because the data set is small and was drawn froma rathernarrowsegmentof the population, we cannot extrapolate the results from this studyto the entire population. The resultsfromthe estimatesof the totalpay model, however, are consistent with results from studies that rely on broader and larger samples and include controls fornarrowlydefined occupations. Although we stated no predictions concerning the relationshipbetween the gender-paygap and the form of pay, we will here explore severalpossible explanations of the findings.The largewithin-jobdifference in contingent pay estimated in this data set, controllingfor those factorsthat explain all of the differencesin base pay, might occur withinfirmsor across firms. Since we do not have a controlforthe firm in thisstudy,we cannot testwhetherthisis GENDER EARNINGS DIFFERENTIALS a within-firm or across-firm effect.Possible explanations for the within-job'difference in contingent pay vary,however,depending on where the differenceoccurs. If gender differencesin contingentpay, withinjobs, occur withinfirms,the causes mustbe one or more ofthefollowing.First, firmsmaynot offermen and women equal opportunitiesto gain contingentpay. Second, men and women may be treated differently injob performanceevaluationsthat are used to determinecontingentpay. And third, there may be differencesbetween men and women in theirmarginallevels of job performance. One of these causes or some combinationofthemwould explain a within-firm, within-job,differencein contingentpay. Given the findingsof previous studies, however,we believe that the observed difference in contingentpay more likelyoccurs across firmsthan within firms. As mentionedabove, previousstudiesin which controls for the firm are included have found that withinnarrowlydefined occupations, gender differencesin pay occur across firmsrather than withinfirms(for example, Blau 1975; Groshen 1991). These studieshave found thatwithinjobs,women are disproportionately representedin lowerpayingfirms.Ifthe differencefoundin this studyoccurs across firms,then otherwise equallyqualifiedwomenmustbe morelikely to be employed in firmswithlowerlevelsof contingentpay. To explain whywomen are over-representedin firmswithlower levels of contingent pay, we must focus on the sortingmechanismsthatcause thisparticular distributionof employment. It is possible, for example, that firmsthat relyon contingentpay incentivemechanismsalso use recruitment,selection, and career development mechanisms that sort women out of thejobs providingopportunitiesfor high levels of contingentpay. Finally,one possible explanation forthe findingsin this studyis thatwomen prefer less payriskthando men and theyare more likely than men to choose those occupationsand firms,everything else being equal, thatoffercompensationplanswithlessvariation in pay between pay periods. At least 647 part of the observed differencein totalpay between men and women, therefore,may reflecta premiumto men forbearing more of the risk of short-runvariationsin their job performancethan, on average,women bear. This interpretationof the resultsis consistentwiththe findingsof Subich et al. (1989) thatwomen are less willingto take risksin thejob marketthan are men. Further support for this conclusion can be found in studiescomparing the risk-taking behaviorofmen and womenwithinspecific jobs and occupations. Muldrowand Bayton (1979) compared severaldimensionsofthe decision making process of male and female executives and found that the decisions of the women in the studywere significantlyless riskythan were those of the men. Sexton and Bowman-Upton (1991) tested the psychologicaltraitsof male and female entrepreneurswhose firmswere of similar size. Among the very few differences that were found between the men and the women tested was a significantly higherscore on riskaversionforthewomen. This interpretationis also consistentwith the-findings of Dreher and Ash (1990). Using the same data set we have used, and controllingformanyofthesame individual, firm,and job characteristicsheld constant in our analysis,Dreher and Ash found that the men and women in this sample were equally satisfiedwiththeirlevel of pay despitethe significantdifferencein totalpay.7 One problem with this explanation is thatifthe differencerepresentsa riskpremium,thenwe would expect base pay to be lower for men than forwomen. Our findings indicate that,all else equal, base pay is equal. The resultsfor the decomposition of the differencein base pay reported in Table 5, based on the model controllingfor promotions and supervisoryresponsibilities, do indicate, however,that the coefficientshave a positiveeffecton women's pay relative to men's pay. The coefficienteffectis -3%, meaning that3% of the differential in base pay cannot be explained by 7Dreher and Ash looked only at total pay in their analysisof pay satisfaction. 648 INDUSTRIAL AND LABOR RELATIONS REVIEW differencesin means, and that this unexplained 3% favorswomen's pay. Although thedirectionofthiscoefficienteffectwould be consistent with men accepting lower base pay in exchange for higher (and riskier) expected returns on contingent pay, 3% of the unadjusted difference is too small to be meaningful in an economic sense. Given such a small difference in base pay, we would expect even highlyrisk-averseworkersto be willing to choose firmsusing contingentpay mechanisms. Obviously,the reason whysuch a large part of the unexplained gender difference in total pay can be accounted for by the gender differencein contingentpay is not clear. Regardlessofwhetherthedifference is due to risk preferences,it is clear that withinthissample mostofthe unexplained differencein pay,withinjobs,is due to that partofpaythatis at risk. This findingposes important questions for future research. First,does the relationship observed here between the gender-paygap and contingent pay hold within other narrowlydefined occupations? Second, does thisrelationship hold for differencesin pay that occur across occupations? Finally,do differences in riskpreferencesbetween men and women explain any of the pay difference? -And if so, to what extent is this differencein taste caused by pre-market socialization and education processes, or bywomen's response to theirtreatmentin the labor marketor how theyexpect to be treated there? A better understandingof whydifferencesin contingentpay can account forso much of the differencein total pay is necessaryin order to determinehow labor market policy can or cannot affect the gender-paygap. 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