1 Defining Mountain Goats habitat in the Mallard Larkins Primitive Area Abstract Mountain goat (Oreamnos americanus), are a species of concern for the state of Idaho and an iconic animal of the sub-alpine environment of the western United States. Mountain goats assist the State of Idaho in bringing a high amount of outdoor recreational revenue. In this study I will be investigating the habitat of mountain goats in the Mallard Larkins Primitive Area by assessing the relationship between escape terrain used by mountain goats, slope and vegetation. This will assist me in understanding the importance of vegetation as a factor in habitat selection. Defining slope within the study area as well as a buffered zone away from escape terrain will define the habitat that is suitable for mountain goat. Quantifying vegetation types in the suitable habitat (as defined by distance to escape terrain) will give me a better understanding of whether or not vegetation is a factor in habitat selection by mountain goats. Introduction Mountain goats are a listed as a species of concern for the State of Idaho. This is due to the fact that they are a very niche specific ungulate, with habitat being broadly defined as sub-alpine regions of the state [7]. They also are a highly controlled game species in the State of Idaho. This is to help control the harvest amount per year and make adjustments on the number of animals harvested on a year-to-year basis, which helps with population management and sustainability statewide. In the study area this population is used for extracting mountain goats to start new populations around the state, thus making this study important for the future of the mountain goats statewide. Mountain goats tend to have a rather long life span, with the average age being 12-15 years and weights range from 125-180 lbs for adults [7]. During the summers, the vegetation chosen in mountain goats’ diet is mainly shrub and forbs, with winter foliage being grasses and brows [8]. Mountain goats also utilize natural and artificial mineral licks during spring and summer months. This is to provide them with key nutrition and digestion components such as sodium, magnesium and sulfur, and buffering compounds such as carbonates and clays. [9] I will be looking at the areas that are classed as escape terrain ET and the relationship that mountain goats display with these features. As of yet, there have been limited studies conducted in Colorado and Western Washington. During these studies they strongly suggest that ET is the number one factor of habitat selection for mountain goats and that vegetation does not play a role. The habitat range for mountain goats in previous studies was ≤ 258 m from ET [1]. This is of importance to help them handle with predation in their habitat. Due to the very steep terrain defined as habitat for mountain goats, a lot of this area is vertical cliffs and unstable rocky terrain. This assessment will give us a better understanding of how habitat is selected, and whether it is solely dependent on ET or if vegetation is a factor as well. Currently there is very little data available precisely defining habitat for mountain goats in the state of Idaho. Thus, further understanding of the ecology of mountain goats in Idaho would assist scientists and biologists statewide in an enhanced understanding of the relationship between escape terrain ET and vegetation selections for mountain goats. Objectives To define ET in the study area I used a 10 m digital elevation model (DEM) and defining slope values of ≥ 25º, 33º, and 35º [1, 2]. I then created buffer rings for every 10 m around the ET, using a Distance from Escape Terrain model and the observation data I defined suitable habitat away from ET for mountain goats. The second objective is to assess the accuracy of the National Land Cover Data in the study area. This is tested against National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) image tiles with fifteen manually selected and interpreted test points that were randomly selected and evenly distributed around the study area. The 9 cover types in this study are water, barren land, deciduous, evergreen forest, mixed forest, shrubs, herbaceous, woody wet, and emergent herbaceous wet. The third objective is to quantify the vegetation cover types in habitat used by mountain goats. This will allow me to obtain a value that will give me in better understanding if vegetation is a factor in habitat selection for mountain goats. Hypothesis 2 I believe that escape terrain is a defining factor in habitat selection. Furthermore, I hypothesize that vegetation plays a key role in their selection of habitat as well. Methods The study area is the Mallard Larkins Primitive Area, 100 km east of Moscow, Idaho. Splitting the Clearwater and St Joe National Forests, and spanning 1052 km2, this region is defined as a roadless area in the State of Idaho. There are 38 sub-alpine lakes and 10 sub-alpine peaks, ranging from 1934-2157m, with total elevation ranges from 488-2157m [3]. I used a shapefile provided by the United State Forest Service via Friends of the Clearwater to define the border of the study area. Then computing the topographic variable slope, which defines ET. This was done using a 10 m DEM provided by United States Geological Survey via Inside Idaho. Land cover classification was pre classed by National Land Cover Data, there were 9 classes and the resolution was at 30 m. Finally, I used observational point data of mountain goats in the Mallard Larkins provided by Idaho Fish and Game. Figure 1 In the red we have displayed the Escape Terrain (ET) and the blue is the distance in meters A large portion in the northwestern portion of study area is missing from the provided shapefile. This was manually corrected by digitizing northward up the Little North Fork of the Clearwater River, and eastward up Sawtooth Creek, continuing eastward to the St Joe National Forest Rd 395. The observation data was provided to me in a note pad file, which could easily be place into and Excel format, there was an issue with the coordinate system that was used by the GPS to gather the observation data. The data was gathered using Garmin decimal degree and to project the point into ArcMap I needed to convert them to decimal degree. This was done using a formula provided by Anna Giesmann [11]. (Figure 1) The next step is to compute the topographic features of slope ≥ 25°, 33° and 35° [1, 2], using the clipped DEM and converting these to polygon files. This created layers for the three defined slope values. Using the observational data and a spatial join to each of the individual buffered increments I 𝑂𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝐵𝑢𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑟 create the value of P1= 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑂𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 . To defined the random spatial model of 𝐴𝑟𝑒𝑎 𝑜𝑓 𝐵𝑢𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠 P2 = I buffered in 10 m 𝐴𝑟𝑒𝑎 𝑜𝑓 𝑆𝑡𝑢𝑑𝑦 𝐴𝑟𝑒𝑎 increments away from ET. Once these values were acquired we took P1-P2 to display the percent of improvement that the ET model produces over the random spatial model. (Figure 2, 3) The steps explained above gives us an estimate of the suitable habitat selection for mountain goats in the study area, the next portion of the study is to assess the accuracy of the vegetation data pre classed by National Land Cover Data. Doing so I used 9 of the original 12 classes provided by NLCD due to the fact that classes of snow/ice and hay/pasture combine were less than 1% of the entire study area. The 9 classes used were water, evergreen forest, deciduous forest, mixed forest, shrubs, barren land, woody wet, emergent herbaceous wet and herbaceous. Using these classes I tested the accuracy of the data, using National Agriculture Image Program (NAIP) data as reference data. To test this I created 15 manually placed and interpreted ground points, that were place in the center of the NLCD 30 m pixels. The coordinates for each point where place in a Excel file and the X,Y coordinates were displayed in ArcMap. Then the values were extracted as a shapefile. This was then placed over the NAIP image to determine the true land cover type. Each of the 15 point for the 9 classes, 135 total, were values implemented in to a confusion matrix to provide us with a value for the Kappa statistic which is a measurement of accuracy between the remotely sensed classification (NLCD) and the reference image (NAIP)[12, 13]. Figure 2: Kappa statistic used for accuracy assessment. Where N= 135 3 Results By defining slope and the values for P1-P2, there was a peak in the topographic variable of slope >33° which gave me the defined ET in this study. The distance from ET used by mountain goats in this study area was 0-30 m away from ET. This value gave me a 22.81% improvement over the random spatial model. The second closed was slope >35° defined as ET and the distance from that being 0-10 m, this showed a 22.61% improvement over the random spatial model. Figure 3: chart depicting P1-P2 values. Highlighted area is highest percent of improvement over the random spatial model While looking at the accuracy of the NLCD data I showed 52.5% accuracy for this data in this area, while seeing a 1/3 increase in the foliage in mountain goat diet of shrubs and herbaceous land cover types [8]. The increase suggests that vegetation is a factor in habitat selection for mountain goats. helicopter and was a capture recapture study over a 3-month period with 73 observations said to be approximately 58% of the total population. “This is an issue because the mountain goats tend to flee to their ET hearing the helicopter,” said Nelson. The limited data is a factor that can be altered with summer fieldwork to gather more, due to recent helicopter crashes in this area the capture recapture study has been terminated. Due to the remote locality of the study area week long trips in during summer months the only way to gather said data. Secondly the low accuracy in the land cover data provided by USGS in the form of NLCD. In looking at the matrix provided in the appendix (figure 4) you will see that classing emergent herbaceous wet and wood wet into one class of riparian would have increased the accuracy up to the high 60%. You will also see a large misclassification in water being mistaken for barren land with eight of the test points and barren land being mistaken for herbaceous with 10 of the test points. Seeing such a low accuracy has led me to the next step of testing other land cover data such as LANDFIRE and GAP data to determine if they are more accurate. The 30 m NLCD data was tested against 1 m NAIP images, this was done off measuring out a 30 m grid on the NAIP image and estimating the land cover in that grid. This could cause some of the inaccuracy if the pixel from the NLCD and grid on the NAIP didn’t match up exactly. = (12+7+6+13+9+9+3+12+7)=78 =(22*15)+(17*15)+(7*15)+(20*15)+ (14*15)+(16*15)+(10*15)+(20*15)+(9*15)=2025 135(78)−2025 8505 Therefor (135∗135)−2025= 16200=52.5% [13] Figure 4: Break down of Kappa Discussion Looking at the result several major questions that arose. Why is the defined habitat much closer to ET than the value provided in the Gross study? And why is my percent of improvement only at 22.81% compared to 50%? There are two reasons for this, the amount of observations and the way they were gathered. The way the data was gathered, in the study conducted by Gross, the observations were gathered over a six year period that contained 5,343 observation points and were gathered from a road that was driven twice a week. The data provide by Idaho Fish and Game was gathered via Figure 5: Confusion matrix computed for NLCD orange represents highest error. Having stated these factors, study was effective because it gave us an estimation of the suitable habitat used by mountain goats in this area. With a few minor recalculations and the chance to obtain more observation data points I predict that we will see that percent of improvement in the distance from ET model and the accuracy of the land cover data increase greatly. Acknowledgements This work was supported by: Idaho EPSCoR, and the Idaho Fish and Game. 4 Apendix Garmin decimal degree: N46 53.894, W115 36.287 Conversion: 46+(53.894/60)= 46.89823333, 115+(36.287/60)*-1=-115.6029667 This was done in excel files Bibliography 1. Gross, J.E.; Kneel, M.C.; Reed, D.F; Reich, R.M. GIS-based habitat models for mountain goats. J. Mammal. 2002, 83, 218-228. 2. Wells, A.G.,Wallin, D.O.,Rice, C.G.& Chang,W-Y. 2011: GPS bias correction and habitat selection by mountain goats. - Remote Sensing 3(3): 435-459. 3. http://www.summitpost.org/mallard-larkins-pioneer-area/288752 4. Idaho Fish and Game (observation data) 5. Friends of the Clearwater (border map provider) 6. United States Forest Service (border map creator) 7. http://animaldiversity.ummz.umich.edu/accounts/Oreamnos_americanus/ 8. Brandborg, S.M, Life History and Ecology of the Mountain Goat in Idaho and Montana. 1950. 9. http://www.fs.fed.us/database/feis/animals/mammal/oram/all.html#FoodHabits 10. http://www.qmrg.org.uk/files/2008/11/10-logit-models.pdf 11. Anna Giesmann, Garmin Decimal format to Decimal Degree. 12. Fitzpatrick-Lins, K., 1981, Comparison of Sampling Procedures and Data Analysis for a Land-use Land cover Map, “Photogrammetric Engeineering & Remote Sensing”, 47(3): 343-351 13. Consgalton, R.G., 1991,A Review of Assessing the accuracy of Classification of Remotely Sensed Data, “Remote Sensing of Environments”, 37:35-46
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