Issue 28 “Ending Civil Conflict: How to create the conditions for peace” Editor's Note By Priya Wakhlu Welcome to Monthly Access Issue 28. Our topic for this month is Ending Civil Conflict: How to create the conditions for peace. Given the recent developments in the Middle East, this topic is of particular import, as many countries are struggling to establish basic tenets of a civil society. As such we must evaluate what is necessary to create peace; and how the global community can assist countries to reach these goals. This month Sally Carlton looks at the Comprehensive Peace Agreement between the Nepalese Government and the Maoist Rebels. Sally examines how the Agreement has failed its noble aims of creating a peaceful society for the Nepalese. In Women and Post-Conflict Reconstruction Processes, Alberto Tukstra considers how gender equality can be improved during the reconstruction of post-conflict states. In particular how the introduction of National Action Plans, which require nations to take into account gender when providing assistance to post-conflict states, are improving the lives of women. The ongoing crisis in Syria is dominating news across the world, and Nadia Vittoria looks at what impetus would be required to encourage NATO to intervene in the escalating humanitarian crisis. Sharna de Lacy looks at how the ongoing emphasis on defence spending is preventing individuals across the world from attaining their basic human rights. In When Conflicts can improve Peace, Nicholas Clarke highlights how conflict in North Korea could facilitate an improvement in living conditions for its citizens. The Topic for Issue 29 will be "Refugees: A Political Force in the 21st Century" and submissions will be due on the 7th of August. Monthly Access is also looking for full time writers and an Editor in Chief. If you have a passion for current affairs and writing, get in contact with the Editor so we can get you on board. Translating peace accords into peace rewards: The case of Nepal By Sally Carlton On 21 November 2006, the Comprehensive Peace Accord (CPA) was signed by the Government of Nepal and the Communist Party of Nepal-Maoist. This act brought the Maoists’ decade-long insurgency, initiated in protest over the lack of democratic rights available to the majority of Nepalis, to an end. The CPA as a document contains the theoretical foundations to establish real and sustainable peace for Nepal, yet almost six years after its endorsement policymakers are still struggling to translate its ideals into practice. The failure of the Maoist-led Constituent Assembly to draft a Constitution by the 28 May 2012 deadline, despite four previous deadline extensions, exemplifies Nepal’s difficult transition to peace. The case of Nepal demonstrates that wellintentioned and carefully drafted legislation does not necessarily facilitate the establishment of peace after civil conflict. The CPA is, as its name suggests, comprehensive. Clearly defined key terms minimise the potential for misunderstanding, and several references to “both the sides” clarify the fact that the Maoists and the other political parties together bear responsibility for implementing and upholding the document. The CPA also outlines exactly what issues it plans to address. The document is in this respect very transparent; great care was obviously taken when it was being drafted to minimise misconception and maximise dual ownership and accountability. The CPA outlines the terms which could create positive peace in Nepal. Firstly, it recognises most of the underlying tensions and issues which led Nepal’s people to civil conflict, the most serious of which are the inequalities rooted in caste, ethnicity, gender and religion. In this way, the document explicitly draws attention to the need to instigate changes which will fundamentally alter the fabric of Nepali society. The document, secondly, specifically mentions the Government’s aim to ensure every citizen has access to education, health, shelter, employment and food security (Article 3.9), which demonstrates an awareness of the need to guarantee these elementary human needs in order to stabilise the potential for violent conflict. Thirdly, the CPA contains detailed information relating not only to long-term, fundamental changes but also to the immediate concerns of the post-insurgency phase including the administration of armies and arms. Dealing with such issues is necessary in order to begin not only the process of reducing people’s physical capacity for violence but also reversing the dehumanisation of the ‘Other’ which occurs during war. This attention to both long-term and shorter-term change makes the CPA an extensive and inclusive document with the potential to generate real peace in Nepal. Nepal’s CPA recognises the elements within Nepali society which caused conflict to erupt. Yet while the signing of the CPA initiated the country’s transition from war to peace, six years later the ideals of the CPA have still not been translated from theory into practice. Thus while the CPA document seems to demonstrate a thorough understanding of Nepal’s post-conflict context and propose concrete suggestions for change, its implementation is proving incredibly challenging. This difficulty is clearly visible in the Constituent Assembly’s failure to finalise the Constitution by 28 May; the majority of issues which prevented the political parties from reaching consensus stem directly from the conflict. The difficulty of translating the Comprehensive Peace Accord into reality means that for many Nepalis, the rewards of peace are yet to materialise. Women and Post-Conflict Reconstruction Processes By Alberto Turkstra The immediate post-conflict period offers unique opportunities to rebuild a country’s institutions. It also provides an excellent chance to achieve greater gender equality and inclusiveness. Despite women accounting for the highest proportion of those adversely affected by conflict (the majority of refugees and Internally Displaced People are women and children, for instance), women have all too often been sidelined in processes of post-conflict reconstruction. A 2003 World Bank Study examining the impact of gender inequality on the likelihood of intra-state violence from 1960 to 1997 concluded that there is a strong and positive correlation between gender inequality and the likelihood that a country will experience internal conflict. For these reasons, there has been, in the last decade, a slow but gradual shift in the international community’s thinking as numerous international organisations have sought to incorporate gender issues into their agendas. The adoption, in 2000, of United Nations Security Council Resolution 1325, which explicitly acknowledged the importance of women’s participation in post-conflict reconstruction and peace-building processes, is an important first step in the right direction. Furthermore, a number of countries have published National Action Plans (NAPs) to guide the implementation of UNSC Resolution 1325. The NAPs outline how each country is transforming its current national policies in the areas of development, foreign aid and diplomacy to be more gender-sensitive and gender-inclusive. To date, however, only 37 countries have published a National Action Plan (NAP) on Resolution 1325. Australia is the latest country to have published a NAP, in March 2012. Yet, progress has been slow. For instance, only nine women were part of the 71-strong Constitutional Drafting Committee in charge of writing Iraq’s permanent Constitution in 2005. As Michelle Bachelet, former president of Chile and current executive director of UN Women (the UN Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women), has acknowledged, ‘‘women’s empowerment and their participation in public life are still not seen as essential to sustained peace and democratization’’. Yet, there are also success stories. In the aftermath of the 1994 genocide, Rwanda has become a leading example of the importance of empowering women to transform its post-conflict society. Following the 2008 parliamentary elections, women now hold 56 per cent of the seats in Rwanda’s parliament. The country not only holds the world’s highest percentage of female Members of Parliament, but it also is the first country where women have outnumbered men in parliament. Aside from politics, the economic empowerment of women and the rise of female entrepreneurism are remarkable. 41 per cent of Rwandan businesses are now owned by women, which makes Rwanda the country with the third-highest ratio of female entrepreneurs in Africa, behind Ghana and Cape Verde. In short, there is a long way to go in effectively engaging women in the process of conflict resolution. Women’s exclusion from public decision-making and positions of political responsibility is one of the key obstacles to achieving long-standing peace. It is therefore vital that attempts to resolve conflicts bring women into the process in all stages and levels of conflict management and resolution in order to enhance the legitimacy and sustainability of the reconstruction process. This will require moving beyond seeing women as primarily victims of war and conflict and re-examining the roles they can play in actively pursuing and contributing to peace. NATO and the Future of Syria By Nadia Vittoria With condemnation of the ongoing violence in Syria growing stronger by the day, it was only a matter of time before someone would lose their patience with Bashar al-Assad’s regime. The gunning down of a Turkish military jet, which had allegedly strayed into Syrian airspace, has set the scene for the latest chapter of the Syrian conflict. This one event has brought with it an entire shift in focus; from one concerned with grave humanitarian contraventions to a diplomatic dispute of international proportions centred upon two neighbours. Syria and Turkey, once allies, are now decisively and vocally at odds, with Ankara openly calling for the removal of the Assad regime. However, the focus of the remainder of international community has been set upon ensuring the success of the peace plan promoted by UN and Arab League envoy Kofi Annan, coupled with convincing Russia to remove its support for Assad. Nevertheless, this new development may bring with it a new plan of action. Up until this point, the international community has done little to follow up its condemnation of Syria with solid action. Meetings in Washington and Istanbul have offered little progress except a sense of cautious optimism that everything will soon be resolved. And yet, 16 500 people have been killed in the violence in Syria since March last year. Turkey has expressed the first voice in international politics which has not employed polite diplomatic begging to persuade both sides to end the conflict. Turkey has not sought to engage in military retaliation for the downing of the jet, rather it has chosen to partake in a war of words and ultimatums. Turkey’s Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has explicitly warned Syria not to take Turkey’s “common sense and cautious approach as a sign of passivity”. He went on to state that Turkey’s friendship is valuable but “its wrath is just as strong”. Arguably, Turkey alone is not enough to ignite fear in the Syrian government. However, Turkey backed by its twenty-seven NATO allies may be. Thus, the question must be asked: can NATO do what the UN Security Council has yet to achieve? Turkey, using its powers under NATO’s founding treaty, has already consulted with fellow members over last month’s events. NATO’s Secretary General, Anders Fogh Rasmussen emerged from that meeting stating that his members “stand together with Turkey in the spirit of strong solidarity.” Despite this, Rasmussen has maintained that any solution in Syria must be political in nature. And with such statements history may still be determined to repeat itself. The response of the international community towards the ongoing violence in Syria can be likened to its response to the 1992 Bosnian war. During that time, Russia and the West were in conflict over how to stop the continuing violence. Secretary General Rasmussen has indicated that there are lessons to be learnt from the international community’s response to the Balkans which can be applied to Syria. He argued that Syria is heading for the same fate as Bosnia, unless the West and Russia agree to send a “unified, clear message” to the Syrian government to cease the violence. In the end, it took the international community five years and over a hundred UN Security Council resolutions to bring the violence in Bosnia to an end. NATO has acknowledged that preventing such a reoccurrence requires a decisive and consistent response. However, unlike Libya, Syria is a major player in the Middle East, with powerful allies in Russia and Iran. The conflict in Bosnia was on the very doorstep of NATO’s European members and today, given the attention demanded by Europe’s economic concerns, the violence in Syria could be seen as an entire world away. And thus, the role of Turkey materialises: taking that surreal and distant world and bringing it back to NATO’s attention. Time will tell if Turkey is willing to use its political advantage as a member to strengthen support for Syrian opposition forces. Ultimately, it would be a repeat of the mistakes of the Balkans if the only steps the international community take occur in the aftermath of the conflict. Decisive and cooperative action must be taken now to ensure that seeking justice against those responsible for breaching international law is not the only proactive contribution the international community offers in the resolution of the Syrian conflict. Challenging the Military Complex By Sharna De Lacy Since the end of the Cold War, defence and security institutions have only expanded, become more complex and more globalised. Having come of age during this unprecedented growth, young people are responding by renewing the anti-war and anti-proliferation movement - and bringing their law and human rights degrees with them. Young people are rejecting many assumptions on how to secure a world free from violent conflict, which have long been taken for granted at a policy level. That war and mass violence is inevitable and the only path to mitigating this inevitability is to sign a blank cheque to defence spending and weapons development. And that the maintenance of a bloated public and increasingly privatised intelligence and surveillance industry is in the interests of the global public good. It is worth reviewing what many of these assumptions have delivered. The proliferation of nuclear weapons has been justified on the efficacy of the so called ‘deterrence posture’, which suggests that the possession of nuclear weapons prevents major war. That WWIII remains the stuff of science fiction tidies up this essentially circular proof. But it also fails to seriously consider that since Hiroshima in 1945 the number of nuclear warheads has increased to an approximated 23,300. The cost of production and maintenance of these weapons syphoning hundreds of millions of dollars from social spending and infrastructure. It also disregards the proxy wars that occurred across the developing world- and the foreign interventions in Latin America that installed brutal dictators and obliterated the left and middle classes. These things occurred as the result of an intense climate of tit-for-tat military expansion and desire for ideological hegemony – and surely are not satisfactory evidence of ‘deterrence’. A tiny fraction of the US$ 1.7 trillion spent every year on defence, (which continued to grow in real terms throughout the Global Financial Crisis while aid budgets were ‘deferred’), would address the US$30-40 billion short fall in funding for the Millennium Development Goals. It is worth noting that the Millennium Development Goals aim substantially to reach the 87 per cent of the world's young population who live in developing countries and are more vulnerable to the effects of grinding poverty and socio-economic marginalisation, but lack the social power or knowledge of their human rights to demand their inclusion in setting national development agendas. The break neck speed at which the US defence and security institutions have been hollowed out and the public funds shoveled off to private military contractors provides an illuminating example of the globalisation of war. In just 10 years the industry has exploded, worth an estimated $US20-100 billion each year. The number of private contractors in comparison to U.S soldiers in the first Gulf War was 1:55. Fast forward to 2006 Iraq and the ratio of regular armed forces to private security staff is anastonishing 1:1. Public funds diverted to finance war at a profit. When the outbreak of conflict and perpetuation of instability becomes a clear-cut business opportunity – it is evident that we are overdue for a rethink. The picture looks bleak, but there is evidence that we are emerging from the relative collective slumber of the last few decades and putting war, weapons and peace back on the global agenda. This month the United Nations member states are negotiating a global Arms Trade Treaty, in an effort to regulate the sale and transfer of weapons and munitions at a global level. The present absence of such a treaty may come as a surprise to many, particularly given the mandate of the UN and Security Council to advance peace and security. The push to fill this glaring regulatory black hole has been taken up by leading NGOs such as Amnesty International, Oxfam, Control arms and the Women’s League for International Peace and Freedom’s disarmament program reaching Critical Will. The size and momentum behind these campaigns has been spurred by the support of young people globally, who demonstrating that they are as savvy in social media activism as they are in traditional lobbying. It should come as no surprise that so many of young people are directing their skills to peace activism, as it is the young that have come of age during this unprecedented expansion of the public and private security complex – at great human and financial cost. A comprehensive Arms Trade Treaty will represent just one small step in introducing a degree of transparency and accountability into the global war and weapons industry. But, with a new generation of young people unprepared to defer their interest in security decision making to multinational CEO’s and heads of state – the future is prepared for more reform. When Conflict Can Improve Peace By Nicholas Clarke It is invariably difficult to argue civil conflict could propel a nation to become more peaceful. The outcome could be a more tyrannical regime and even if the final destination was comparatively more peaceful, the journey would involve hardship and unimaginable turmoil. Notwithstanding, there are arguably circumstances where civil conflict is the only remaining option on the table to reach a better peace. At this juncture, nations such as North Korea: must consider whether or not striving for a better peace and incurring turmoil along the way - outweighs allowing disenfranchisement to fester into perpetuity. Irrespective of how one defines peace, it is more than reasonable to suggest most people in North Korea live in relative peace. Yet is there ‘peace’ enough, acceptable and/or long lasting? Given the powers that be in Pyongyang are unlikely to relinquish their autocratic hold on power – a civil conflict may be a desirable precondition to a peace that includes so much more than what they currently know. Although the opaque nature of North Korea makes clear conclusions problematic, all is not unclear. The welfare of the nation’s populous is at the mercy of its leader. Albeit in a world where everything is controlled like a big brother nightmare, which propels people to escape across the border to China. This is a clear sign that peace there is not exactly rosy, despite the acknowledgment that it is a nation in relative peace compared to the likes of Afghanistan. Under these circumstances, whereby negotiation would most likely be futile, as suggested by the Sixth Party Talks and Pyongyang’s flagrant disregard for Washington. Would a civil conflict be a precondition to a better peace that is worth striving for? Conflict is always the last option and a course of action that is the lesser of two evils. Yet how is one to know North Korea will not continue to pedal policies that cause death (repercussions of nuclear testing), stymie freedom (people cannot leave as they please) and control the fabric and minds of society through continuous and ubiquitous propaganda campaigns. If a civil conflict erupted, without overlooking the chance of a new brutal regime reigning supreme, is the mere chance of a more democratic and peaceful existence worth fighting for? There are many examples where nation’s circumstances suggest peace will evolve after civil conflict is endured. Yet it is hard to determine when and how. Would the death of thousands in North Korea, be a regrettable part of the nation’s evolution if it delivered a free and peaceful society for millions? Even if the vast majority of people know no different, we are equally unsure if such autocratic regimes will cause more deaths whilst continuing to perpetuate perilous societies. Issue 24 “Global Media: a Tool of Empowerment or for Those in Power?” Message from the Editor Welcome to the second issue of MA for 2012, this month our theme is Global Media: a Tool of Empowerment or for Those in Power? Living in an age where traditional media players are fracturing, splintering and new bodies rising from their ashes, we need to consider how these changes impact upon our understanding of the global landscape. This raises bigger questions about not only the entities that target and manipulate information for our consumption but also our own responsibilities as players in this media game. In this month’s edition Katherine Flynn interviews the Head of the Palestinian Delegation to Australia Izzat Abdulhadi. In the aftermath of Palestine’s failed attempt to have their statehood recognised at the United Nations, Mr Abulhadi provides a unique insight into the Palestinian Authority’s use of diplomatic channels to secure international recognition. Such a feat would undoubtedly transform regional politics in the Middle East. Andrew Lynch looks at the ongoing viability of the government’s Australia Network and whether the failure to adapt to the new technological environment has made it increasingly redundant. Meanwhile, Ghazi Ahamat focuses on how the role of news consumers has undergone a radical transformation following the introduction of social media apps. Particularly whether giving editorial power to individuals will result in increasingly skewered news landscape. Gaya Raghavan also explores how individuals are shaping contemporary media content. By examining the phenomena of I-reporters, Gaya highlights how a motley crew of young unqualified reporters are changing the face of war journalism. In Burma the recent success of Aung San Suu Kyi’s political party is indicative of the regime’s relaxation of its authoritarian policies. David Hopkins considers how the Burmese media have operated under the regime and how they are navigating through the current period of political flux in a bid to protect basic human rights. Sharna de Lacy and Ivo Bottcher consider how non traditional media players are shaping human interaction in the 21st century.Sharna looks at how the internet is providing a democratic space for many who have been previously shut out from the mainstream conversation. Ivo Bottcher investigates how these new networks are changing disaster relief responses. This month has been particularly busy for the AIIA, with the launch of the Australia’s Role in The World Lecture Series. Keep an eye out on the AIIAV website for upcoming events focusing on the biggest issues facing the world today. Monthly Access wants to provide a space to get your voices heard, and are excited to be a part of the Australia in the Asian Century Essay Competition. The commissioning of the White Paper provides an opportunity for Australia to reconsider their role in the Asian Century and if you have a view put pen to pad for the opportunity to win amazing prizes. Full details are contained within the edition. Monthly Access is also looking for regular contributors and we want you! If you have a passion for current affairs and writing, get in contact with the Editor so we can get you on board. Priya Wakhlu is Editor of Monthly Access. She is currently completing her Arts/Law studies at Monash University, majoring in Politics and Indonesian. For comments regarding this newsletter please write to [email protected] Global Snapshot – April edition By Rachel Hankey and Andrew Romanin The April issue of Global Snapshot, which brings current international issues and news from around the world.This month sees a series of presidential election campaigns occurring across three continents, ongoing manhunts and a number of militant attacks. Europe Spain Mass protests took place across Spain as thousands gathered in cities to protest the conservative government’s new labour reforms that passed through parliament. The reforms, which included cuts to severance pay and initiatives to make it easier for employers to fire workers, were met by an estimated 500,000 in Madrid alone. In addition, Spain’s two largest unions, the UGT and CCOO, organised marches in 60 cities. The government has conceded that unemployment will continue to rise this year despite the reforms. Middle East Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai has called for calm as recent rioting has spread throughout Afghanistan. The already strained relations between the Afghan and US administrations has been further tested after US forces admitted to inadvertently burning copies of the Koran at Bagram Air Base. In the wake of the incident it was reported two Aghan and American soldiers were killed, as well as two civilians. The Taliban later claiming responsibility for the attack. A further seven US soldiers were wounded in a grenade attack on a training facility in Kunduz province. Further igniting the volatile atmosphere in the country was the rampage shooting by a US soldier in Kandahar province, killing 16 civilians and wounding five others when he opened fire in their homes. US officials have apologised, but this latest incident has heaped further pressure to accelerate a US-withdrawal from the country. Yemen A surprise attack, by fighters linked to al-Qa’eda, on a military base resulted in the killing of 185 Yemeni soldiers as violent insurgency threatened to envelope the country’s south. Thirty-two alQa’eda militants were also killed. Heavy weaponry and mortar shelling was deployed by the militants. The attack followed a twin suicide bombing on a military post in Zinjibar which killed six soldiers. Islamist militants have controlled Zinjibar since last year after seizing control of the city as antigovernment uprisings ousted former president Ali Abdullah Saleh. Opposition activists say Saleh’s loyalists are helping to fuel the unrest with the aim of returning him to power. Israel A series of air strikes in the Gaza strip have left 25 people dead following escalated violence in response to the assassination of high-ranking Palestinian militant, Zuhir al-Qaisi. The leader of the Popular Resistance Committees (PRC) was killed after an Israeli drone targeted his vehicle. Al-Qaisi and the PRC were believed to be planning a high-profile attack on the Egyptian border, where they had previously inflicted Israeli and Egyptian casualties in August last year. Following his assassination, militants in Gaza launched more than 240 rockets into Israel. Egyptian negotiators have since mediated an informal ceasefire. Africa Uganda The African Union is set to deploy up to 5,000 troops to South Sudan to join the hunt for Ugandan warlord Joseph Kony. Following the viral internet video sensation released earlier in the month by US-based child rights advocacy group Invisible Children, the atrocities committed by Kony’s Lord Resistance Army have gained significant attention and media coverage. The UN said this has acted to prompt the African Union to establish the Ugandan-led brigade. Senegal Presidential elections in Senegal have ended with defeat to the current sitting president Abdoulaye Wade. Wade conceded defeat to his former protégé and rival, Macky Sall, who secured a crushing victory in the second round of polling. He intends to use this election win to usher in a “new era” for the West African nation, promising to restrain lavish government spending on such things as statues and monuments which have ignited discord among the country struggling population. The election campaign experienced violent street protests in response to Wade’s attempt to seek a third term in office despite the constitution only allowing for a maximum of two. Mali Coup On March 22, Mali’s President Amadou Toumani Toure was overthrown by the army, following a mutiny at a military base. On April 6, the military junta announced that it would hand over power to a civilian government, in return for an end to the sanctionsimposed on the country by neighbouring states in West Africa. Tuareg rebels, fighting to establish an independent state, have seized on the instability to further their campaign. In January 2012 insurgents from the National Movement for the Liberation of Azawad (NMLA) began an offensive to establish an independent Tuareg homeland in northern Mali. The rebels have been attempting to consolidate their power in the region, and in early April declared the creation of an independent nation. On April 6 the NMLA announced that they had formed a new state, in accordance with principles of international law and justice. The move has been condemned by the international community, and the African Union has declared the announcement to be "null and void". Early in April Tureg rebels invaded the Algerian Consul in Goa, and kidnapped seven members of staff, including the Algerian ambassador to Mali. There are fears that the presence of Islamists with links to al Qaeda within the rebellion may lead to the creation of “a new rogue state threatening global security.” Asia Pacific China China’s seemingly inevitable shift to democracy took a small step as a Chinese village was allowed to hold independent elections. The unusual concession by authorities permitted residents in the Guangdong village of Wukan to elect Lin Zuluan, a local activist, to oversee a new village committee. The elections came just two months after Zuluan led a rebellion against local officials and police in response to unpopular corruption and land-grabbing activities by the government. The ten-day rebellion ended after detained protesters were released and activist told they would be granted the opportunity to stage the elections. Timor-Leste In recent presidential elections, Timor-Leste’s incumbent, José Ramos-Horta, was defeated after failing to make the second-round run-off to be held on April 21. None of the 11 candidates secured the required 50% majority in the initial round of voting in a year that marks ten years of official independence for the nation. Leader of the opposition Fretilin party, Francisco “Lu Olo” Guterres, led the voting with 27%, followed closely by Taur Matan Ruak, former chief of the armed forces, on 25%. Ramos-Horta has announced he will step down in May when his current term ends. Meanwhile, voters will return to the polls in June to elect a new government. Burma Elections Aung San Suu Kyi's party has won a landslide victory in Burma’s by-elections. The elections mark the first free vote in the country since 1990. Aung San Suu Kyi's party, the National League for Democracy (NLD), won 95 percent of the vote. Some observers expressed concern that the NLD’s success may alarm hardliners within the military establishment and damage the country’s deomocratisation process. However, Burma’s President, former military leader Thein Sein, has welcomed the results of the elections, and has vowed to continue the country’s liberal reform programme. The result has been welcomed by the international community, and America has announced that it will take steps to ease sanctions against the country. ASEAN leaders have praised the result, and has called for the lifting of sanctions, arguing that it would provide a positive contribution to the democratic process and economic development in the country. Americas Guatemala At a recent meeting of Central American nations, Guatemalan president Otto Pérez Molina continued his push for the decriminalisation of drugs. His proposal aims to deter drug-related violence in the region. The plan outlines a legal framework to regulate drug consumption and trafficking, for which a regional court would be established. Compensation from “consumer” countries, such as the United States, would be sought to fund police operations and control initiatives. Despite the lack of any formal agreement, the talks were hailed a success and paves the way for continued negotiations. Ecuador Indigenous protesters in Ecuador held a two week long march across the country to campaign again plans for large scale mining projects. Some 1,000 people marched from the town of El Pangui to the capital Quito a distance of 700 km (430 miles). A Chinese company has been given permission to begin developing a huge open-cast copper mine, in the Amazon's Ecuacorriente Zamora-Chinchipe region.[21] The main indigenous organisation in Ecuador, Conai - the Confederation of Indigenous Nationalities of Ecuador – is campaigning against the decision. Conai claims that the mining will cause significant damage to the environment and force entire communities off their land. Ecador’s President, Rafael Correa, has defended the decision, claiming that the project will provide funding for much needed development projects. Q&A with HE Izzat Abdulhadi, Head of Palestine's Delegation to Australia Interviewed by Katherine Flynn HE Izzat Abdulhadi is the Head of the General Delegation of Palestine to Australia, as well as Ambassador to New Zealand and the Pacific. In this month's Q&A, we discuss the Palestinian Delegation's activities in Australia, the recent acceptance of Palestine into UNESCO, as well as the implications of the Arab Spring on the Palestinian cause. For those who aren’t aware of the Palestinian Delegation to Australia, can you give us a summary of what you do? The most important priority for us here at the Delegation is to maintain a formal consultation between Palestine and the Australian Government. We have already submitted a consultation paper to the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) with our objectives, expected outcomes and process. This year we are very interested in having a discussion with them about final status issues like Jerusalem and border security because the Australian position recognises self-determination for Palestinian people but their position over final status issues and the quality of the state is very vague. A second task is to continue discussion with AusAID about supporting the Palestinian statehood building process and supporting the establishment of vibrant, transparent and accountable organisations. Last year, we succeeded in signing a five-year agreement with AusAID which will provide $340 million (approximately $70 million annually) of aid to the Palestinian Authority to support health and education services, refugees and Palestinian civil society. We are working with AusAid to help observe and monitor the implementation of this agreement. The third important task for us is to engage with Australian civil society organisations. This fits with our vision of public diplomacy because, with the unique position of the Palestinian Authority, we can’t just conduct traditional diplomacy with DFAT or government officials; we must also engage with the public and establish good relationships with organisations such as churches and unions who have constituency for advocacy. For example, the Delegation was involved in establishing theAustralian-Palestinian Advocacy Network (APAN) which is an umbrella for the most important civil society organisations here which are involved in the Israel-Palestine conflict and who would like to establish peace and justice in Palestine. Lastly, an important component of our work is to engage with the Palestinian community. We have more than 25,000 Palestinians in Australia. We’d like to establish a close consultation process between us and them to try to respond to their needs, either consular or political, and to engage in their community development projects. But the most important thing is to encourage them to integrate in Australia and to play an active role in lobbying decision-making structures. Many countries around the world have been upgrading Palestinian delegations to official diplomatic missions, including countries such as the UK. Why do you think Australia hasn’t taken this step? This is very unfortunate. The five-year agreement we signed shows Australia supports the establishment of a Palestinian state. I think Australia’s bilateral approach and primary focus on Asia-Pacific are reasons for this, but the biggest problem is their alliance with the United States. But for the last two years there was a positive shift in Australian foreign policy under the leadership of Kevin Rudd, who wanted Australia to play a global role. There was a desire to build relations with the African Union, the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) and also the Arab League as well as to play a more active role with the EU. The issue for Australia now is to continue this wide line of foreign policy instead of focusing solely on relations with the UN and bilateral diplomacy. If they focus more on this then Middle East issues including Palestine will be an important part. Palestine recently applied and gained membership to UNESCO with 107 countries voting in favour, 52 abstentions and only 14 opposed. Australia was one of the 14 countries who voted against the admission of Palestine to UNESCO. How has this affected the relationship between Palestine and Australia? Let me first indicate that in the last 3 or 4 years there has been substantial development in relations between Australia and Palestine. The ex-Foreign Minister Kevin Rudd visited Palestine three times last year and this is an important indication of the interest of Australia in Palestine. The most important thing is their general position which supports the right of Palestinians to selfdetermination. They support a two-state solution on 1967 borders and don’t officially recognise the annexation of East Jerusalem to Israel. An important indicator was also their voting in favour of Palestine in 5 UN resolutions last session. The latest poll showed 64% of Australian citizens supported the establishment of a Palestinian state. So, I think the vote in UNESCO was totally uncalculated. If they had abstained they would have more credibility within the Arab World. This negative voting of UNESCO did not support the concept of peace because this step aimed to support the peace process with the Israelis. The most important thing for us is to preserve and protect our own inheritance, heritage, cultural and holy sites. We submitted this proposal to UNESCO 10 years ago so it has nothing to do with our attempt to gain statehood in the UN. That was a misinterpretation of the step. We simply want to protect our heritage and culture. So unfortunately this was a big mistake by Australia. In addition, I don’t think they served their own interests. Australia is a candidate for a non-permanent seat on the Security Council in 2013 and of course they need to recruit Arab and Islamic votes so this step was a political mistake. I don’t think it was bad news for us but bad news for them. Especially because Luxembourg and Finland, the competitors for the Security Council seat, voted in favour of the bid and that was a much smarter move. With the UNESCO bid being so successful, do you think this could be a new strategy for Palestine to gain international recognition outside of traditional peace negotiations? Of course - we already started this strategy by submitting our bid to the UN Security Council for statehood. After 20 years of bilateral negotiations the outcome is unfortunately zero because it has been based on naked power. They are an occupier and we are occupied. We are not equal when we are sitting around the table so they can dictate instead of negotiate and impose their positions on us. I think bilateral negotiations alone were not sufficient to achieve Palestinian rights so going to the UN is a new strategy. The UN is a multilateral framework which obliges all parties to adhere to their responsibilities, in particular Israel. This will help the peace process because if we win the bid things will change. We will be an occupied state and this will give us access to all international and humanitarian law and all UN resolutions, so I think this serves the peace in the Middle East. For us recognition is an accumulative process. We started with UNESCO but we will go to other UN agencies. This is one component of a comprehensive strategy which includes the popular nonviolent struggle against Israel in Palestine itself, an active international advocacy and working with the UN, the EU and the Quartet. As part of the accumulative process of recognition, it is especially important that statehood is not subjected to negotiation. This is a right for Palestinians guaranteed by international law. Final status issues are subjected to negotiations, such as borders and Jerusalem, but statehood itself should not be subjected to any kind of negotiations. The US has vowed to veto any bid for statehood. Has this made Palestine lose trust in the US as a mediator? Yes of course. We are very disappointed in Obama, particularly. We thought after his speech in Cairo that there was a radical change in US foreign policy to better understand the Arab and Islamic world and to develop a strategy which would enhance and promote relationships. Unfortunately, we have been very disappointed by this policy and with the US Administration as an honest broker between us and the Israelis. They are heavily influenced by the Jewish and Christian communities in the USA and with this they have not served their own interests in the Middle East in the long run. Still, we believe from a political point of view that the USA is a big player in the political process and we will continue our relationship with them and try to lobby them and influence them towards a more even handed and balanced position towards Israel and Palestine. We’re not doing well in the USA. The Islamic and Arab lobby are fragmented and they don’t know how to campaign and put all their energies together to develop an efficient and effective lobby which has an actual impact on the American Administration. What impact has the ‘Arab Spring’ had on the Palestinian quest for self-determination and given the success of peaceful protest leading to regime change in North Africa, has it changed the way Palestinians pursue their objectives? Let me first of all say that for a long time, especially after 1982 when the PLO was defeated and departed Lebanon, the theory of armed struggle has been weak. We realised that this strategy was not effective at all. Instead, we started building institutions and providing services within Palestine for our own people. This was a very peaceful, non-violent resistance. This strategy continued and was strengthened by the first Intifada. So it was only with the second Intifada that new powers like Hamas introduced violence and suicide bombings. This was at a time when Israel was being very violent against the Palestinian people. So people shouldn’t forget all those years of non-violent resistance and the first Intifada where we adopted a comprehensive strategy of non-violence, including elements such as strengthening local community, increasing local participation in resistance, popular education and so on. Now our strategy is non-violent. This is not because of the Arab Spring, but it has certainly strengthened the concept within Palestine. Even Hamas, and this is one important impact of the Arab Spring, has officially declared that they will only use popular, non-violent resistance and they will not use military means against Israel and this was proven by the last Israeli assault on Gaza. So I think the main PLO factions, including Hamas and Islamic Jihad, are committed to non-violent strategy because it is the most important and effective means to resist Israel and we will not go back to armed struggle. We have a saying now in the Arab world that says “Al Qaeda was finished and eliminated in Tahrir Square, not when Osama Bin Laden was assassinated” because there is a realisation that power of people is stronger than weapons and terrorist activity. So I think Hamas as one of the religious groups is impacted by this. The second important impact is that people are empowered and cannot be controlled by regimes anymore. People in the Middle East support justice and peace in Palestine and support the application of international and humanitarian law. They are now in a position of power to pressure their leaders to support the Palestinian cause. In the short term they are interested in their internal issues but I think in the medium term we will have huge support from the Arabs. The third impact is that there is huge interest from the international community in the Arab Spring and this means they are interested in the Middle East area of which Palestine is the core. Even if people are looking at Syria or Egypt now, Palestine is still the main cause in the Middle East so I think this huge interest in the Arab Spring will also bring interest in the Palestine-Israel issue. Do you see hypocrisy in the West’s reaction to the Arab Spring in supporting the rights of Egyptians or Libyans to have self-determination and democracy while at the same time denying this right to Palestinians? Of course, this is very obvious. 14 countries voted in the Security Council to denounce illegal Israeli settlements yet the USA alone vetoed it. Now they are threatening to veto our UN bid for statehood. Not only that but they are conducting an international campaign to pressure other countries to not support a Palestinian state. So I think this is really ridiculous and is double standards and I think the USA should reconsider their policy in the Middle East, based on the Arab Spring. The previous strategy of allying with authoritative leaders will not work now – people are on the streets and want to decide their own destiny. You mentioned Hamas and their change in strategy. What is the current status of the Hamas and Fatah reconciliation and how important is it for the Palestinian cause that Hamas and Fatah work together? Well one other important impact of the Arab Spring is that Palestinian people have gone to the streets to demonstrate and say they want reunification and reconciliation between Hamas and Fatah. I think this is the first priority for the Palestinian agenda because this causes a lot of harm to us internationally and locally and people want this unification. Unfortunately, we have failed up to now to achieve substantial development but at least there is a breakthrough. People talk to each other now; Hamas and Fatah signed a reconciliation agreement and Hamas and Islamic Jihad joined the temporary leadership within the PLO meaning they are participating in the decision making process. Hamas has supported the establishment of a Palestinian state on 1967 borders, and they support non-violent resistance and the conduction of elections, which is all very important for the political process. But, there are still obstacles in the way of establishing a technocratic government which was the agreement between Abu Mazen (Mahmoud Abbas), the President, and Khaled Mashaal. However, I think with the achievements up to now there is a strong foundation on which to continue the discussion. The people support this process so I hope the leaders respond to the peoples’ needs and go ahead with the reconciliation process. Katherine Flynn graduated from the University of Edinburgh in 2011 with a First Class (Hons) degree in Politics. She is currently a research intern at the AIIA National Office. Weakening Signals: Public Diplomacy and the Australia Network By Andrew Lynch Contemporary discussions of ‘global’ or ‘transnational’ media are dominated by few regular figures whose scale and brand recognition allow them to have significant influence over the discourse. Whilst News Corporation, Time Warner, Google, Facebook and Disney feature prominently in discussion of media power lost or forgotten is the ongoing role and influence of state‐ sponsored international media such as the BBC World Service from the UK, The Voice of America (VOA) from the US and from Australia, Australia Network (AN). Though the corporate figures often come to stand as symbols for Western political and media imperialism, state‐sponsored media organisations exist as direct mouthpieces for that nation’s ideology. In official rhetoric this strategy is referred to as ‘public diplomacy’. Forty years ago it would have been safely labelled ‘propaganda’. For these networks, the idea of the nation‐state is central to both their message and their very existence. But can (and should) this form of public diplomacy survive in an age of relentless and fragmented media competition? And if so, is the state in the best position to provide it? Across 2011 the Australian Government was forced to grapple with these questions as the $20 million a year contract for running Australia Network came up for tender. There was political controversy around what became an extremely protracted tender process that was clumsily shuffled between Stephen Conroy (Communications) and Kevin Rudd’s (DFAT) offices. However most of the news media’s attention was focused on who had placed a tender. The incumbent ABC faced a lone challenger for the contract in Sky News, a public company, one third of which is owned by Rupert Murdoch’s NewsCorp. However the idea of AN being run by a commercial company is no less strange than the ABC being in charge. The television broadcaster has been housed within the ABC since its inception in 1992 but lodged somewhat uncomfortably. Unlike the rest of the ABC, which is governed and granted its editorial freedom by the Department of Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy (DBCDE), Australia Network also receives funding and editorial direction from the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT). It is this relationship with DFAT that has seen Australia Network positioned primarily as a billboard for Australia’s wares to the Asia Pacific. It beams AFL matches, English Learning Programs (2 hours every day), Four Corners and Home and Away out to 44 countries from the Pacific to parts of the Middle East. As Crikey’s Bernard Keane dryly pointed out, “it’s the broadcasting equivelent of an Australian stall at the expo”. DFAT’s close influence would also mean there was little room for NewsCorp to exert significant influence over AN’s content anyway. Despite this, in the midst of the tender process the UK hacking scandal exploded and made it politically risky to be offering a Government contract to anything remotely related to Mr Murdoch. Of course it is worthy to question whether Australia’s international public diplomacy effort should be outsourced to an entity with little interest in Australia’s foreign policy agenda. But perhaps the more substantial question is whether $20 million is a figure worth spending every year on a television station that is predominantly watched by a small number of expats? The requirements of the tender made clear that the successful bid would be one that was able to most effectively reach the rising “middle class, decision-makers, young aspirants and students” across Asia, especially in China. However the current programming schedule only vaguely reflects that. Of its annual $20 Million very little is spent directly on creating original and regional specific programming, with most of it allocated to transmission and syndication costs. While television use is still increasing across Asia these figures are static in comparison with the boom in mobile mediauseage. Most of AN’s programs are available online but the presence is pathetic in comparison to the range of content offered by the Voice of America or the BBC who are vying for a very similar audience. Transnational, state‐sponsored broadcasting emerged strategically at a time in the 1930s when the nation state was fundamental to the understanding of global politics. Against the ‘hard’ boundaries of nations, broadcast signals were able to ‘flow’ over borders and reach citizens from other states. In the networked 21st Century, this old model still appears to be the modus operandi of Australia Network. As people have more choice and more voices crying for their attention online what is going to matter for Australia’s mediated Public Diplomacy is great content, not just a stable delivery. AN does not have nearly enough resources to be an Australian version of the BBC, VOA or even Sky News. Instead it needs to think more strategically and target populations more specifically, not just beam its signals over their heads. Andy Lynch is completing his Honours in Media and Communications at the University of Melbourne. Social Readers and Citizen Editors By Ghazi Ahamat In the past year a new wave of Social Reader apps have intertwined social media and journalism like never before. Not only can anybody with a social media page and a story become a journalist, Facebook users can now shape the content of which stories get told, becoming Citizen Editors. With over 800 million members, and data suggesting that one out of every seven minutes online is spend on Facebook, global media outlets have had to deal with the massive audience that this social media site represents. Instead of trying to beat Facebook in the ‘battle for eyeballs,’ several major media outlets have embraced Facebook as a platform for delivering information. While some attempt to push content to subscribers by posting on Facebook Pages, an increasing number of publications are developing full-blown Facebook Apps such as the Washington Post’s Social Reader. Social Reader Apps seamlessly integrate a user’s online reading of ‘old media’ with their Facebook account. Rather than users browsing the web, and choosing to share particular links with their Facebook friends, Social Readers keep track of what you read by default, while the apps use Facebook’s Open Graph Protocol to push these stories to friends who are ‘close’ within their social network. The point of these apps is to harness the power of social networks, following the simple premise that readers “want to know and read what your friends are reading.” This isn’t the first time that networks have been used to measure the relevance of online content, with Google’s PageRank algorithm revolutionising online search by measuring the relevance of sites by how many other sites link to them. But this time, it’s personal: the algorithm relies on tracking the ‘strength’ of connections by how many recent interactions have occurred, from wall posts, to sharing photos, to common interests. After several months in operation, the Social Reader Apps have been widely adopted. The Washington Post’s app being downloaded by 30 million times dwarfs the paper’s circulation of approximately 500 thousand, and also links over 30 other blogs and publications to this wide audience. Meanwhile The Guardian’s Facebook App has seen over 4 million downloads. Both apps have seen readerships expand around the world, with the majority of App downloaders located outside the US and UK respectively. While these Apps bring more news content within the Facebook ecosystem, the more interesting change these apps bring is that every reader is helping select what stories their friends are reading, making every Facebook timeline a potential broadcast channel, and every Facebook user an editor: selecting what stories deserve attention through their own reading habits. Creators of these apps are conscious of this change, with the Wall Street Journal’s WSJ Social app even providing rankings and ratings of editors, and “elevating the role of people as the curators of content.” But few readers recognise that their relationship to the news has changed. Nor do they realise that they can easily mark stories as unread, which would prevent newsfeeds being clogged with inane gossip or stories with enticing headlines but little substance. The tracking of web browsing to provide recommendations also raises serious (if unoriginal) concerns about privacy. But unlike many other concerns about social media privacy, this one is optional as users choose to install these apps. Of course, that assumes they know what they are signing up for. Meanwhile, these apps bring new concerns about ‘the filter bubble’ (which MA has previously explored), where our browsing habits are steered by unseen filters into reading content we already agree with. These concerns are real, but instead of shutting off and refusing to participate, or only accessing the internet anonymously, we can take our new relationship with news seriously. Through Social Reader Apps, Facebook moves from keeping up with friends to sharing stories around the world, and our reading habits can leave breadcrumbs for likeminded readers to follow. If this is the path media will go down, readers should do so with their eyes wide open. Ghazi Ahamat is the Chair of the ACCESS Network. He is currently completing Honours study in Economics at the University of Melbourne. iReporter: A New Generation of Tourist Journalists? By Gaya Raghavan It seems the smartphone has, once again, influenced the way we view the world. War reporters, once revered as the bravest and most infallible of the media industry,are being upstaged by tourist journalists who come armed with little more than a backpack and Instagram. Taking on missions without any formal training, qualifications or recognised proof, these young, self-styled photojournalists have been flocking to record the uprisings of the Arab Spring. Some tourist journalists have boasted of being caught in the middle of gun battles whilst travelling with militia. Mobile technology and social media have created tools that allow just about anyone with a passport to call themselves a citizen journalist, or better yet, a war reporter. Being tourists, these individuals have no experience, no training and no contacts and hence have little to no resources to rely on if they are captured or injured. The more abstract danger, however, is less tangible. The outcomes of modern wars are often shaped by media and public opinion. The media affects public opinion and vice-versa while both in turn often affect governments’ foreign policy, especially in times of revolution or war. This burgeoning trend of citizen journalists who use blogs, Twitter and iPhones instead of cameras, flak jackets and satellite phones renders many independent war reports unreliable, depending on where one looks for content. The nature of the social media that many of us are plugged into exacerbates the immediacy with which we receive much of the unsolicited content citizen journalists create. It is difficult for the average person to determine what is truth when so much of this content is transmitted in the form of single images with little to no information in which to couch its context. These citizen journalists defend their craft by arguing that professional embedded war reporters are fed information and news as they are dependent on the military units that they travel with to take them to battle sites. This traditional style of war reporting has long been criticised for producing news that is manipulated by the government or military. The advent of the 24-hour news cycle has exacerbated these problems, with media producers being accused of preferring entertainment value over truth and opinion over fact. Acclaimed Australian journalist John Pilger explores this theory in his 2010 documentary The War You Don’t See, citing the fact that the Iraqi city of Basrah was reported to have fallen 17 times over a 24-hour period before it was actually taken over by Coalition forces. This points to a decline in truth and context in what one would normally think of as the more trustworthy type of news source. So it seems as consumers of war news, we are destined to choose between a lesser of two evils. One might argue that it is silly to trust any kind of news coming from a source stupid enough to put his or her life at stake with no training and no safety net. On the other hand, is it smart to trust content that comes from a source that is increasingly notorious for producing sensationalised halftruths? The burden falls on the consumer to be discerning enough to separate truth from fiction and attach context to everything he or she watches and reads. There needs to be greater awareness of the different types of war reporting and the impact that our collective opinions have in shaping foreign policy and the outcomes of wars that are not always on our doorstep. Gaya Raghavan is in her final year of a Bachelor of Arts (Media & Communications) degree at The University of Melbourne. Gaya was an intern with the AIIA in 2011-2012 and is currently working on the Australia’s Role in the World initiative. The Unshackling of Burma's Media By David Hopkins Prior to the official induction of President Thein Sein and his ‘civilian’ Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) in March 2011, censorship and obstruction of the media in Burma was routine. General Than Shwe, aided by his military cohorts in the Ministry of Information, patrolled the country’s media landscape; suspending publications and arresting journalists who failed to perpetuate the regime’s narrow convictions. The degree of media control sought by the regime was apparent in the terse declaration of the notorious Press Scrutiny Board in 2008, that “the publication of any photo, sketch, painting, article, novel or poem without being sent (in advance to the censor) will be punished”. Independent journalists in Burma responded to the threats, intimidation and surveillance, with bravery and creativity. When Aung San Suu Kyi was released from house arrest in November 2010, a Burmese sports weekly attempted to circumvent the marauding and meticulous censors by cloaking the defiant message, ‘Su Free Unite and Advance to Grab Hope’, in an otherwise innocuous headline detailing results in the English Premier League (‘Sunderland Freeze Chelsea, United Stunned by Villa & Arsenal Advance to Grab Their Hope’). Unsurprisingly, the subterfuge was uncovered and the publication earned a two week suspension. 10 other publications were suspended for brief periods for placing ‘too much emphasis’ on Suu Kyi’s release. With the regime’s paranoia having seemingly receded under the leadership of the reform-minded Thein Sein, draconian media restrictions are gradually being lifted. In June 2011 it was announced that articles concerning sports, entertainment, technology, health and children’s literature could be published without the prior approval of the censors. Previously blocked websites such as YouTube, the BBC, the Bangkok Post and the Democratic Voice of Burma (DVB) have now been made accessible. Prominent bloggers such as Zarganar and DVB journalists have also been released from prison and reporters are being allowed more scope to publish critical or alternate views. As Toe Zaw Latt of the DVB states, ‘You can say how poor the Burmese people are now... They were never poor before’. This sudden measure of freedom will also carry new and unfamiliar pressures for Burma’s heretofore constricted domestic media. Increased focus will be attributed to their role as international donors shift funding away from Burma’s exile media and enhance support for domestic outlets. Aung Zaw, founder and editor of the Thailand-based Irrawaddy, laments the current problem of ‘crony journalism’ in Burma; where media organisations are mired in ‘unholy’ alliances with officialdom and journalists are often ‘relatives and cronies of senior military officials’. Zaw also identifies the opportunistic nature of many individuals who enthusiastically publish photographs of Suu Kyi with the sole aim of boosting circulation. Perhaps there is an important role for exiled Burmese journalists such as Zaw in returning to his homeland to help the country’s established and emerging journalists decisively cast off the tentacles of a government accustomed to asserting its influence. Ultimately, the inevitable and essential question remains as to what extent these reforms are sincere and ineradicable. When the Minister for Information, Kyaw Hsan, speaks of creating a ‘free and responsible’ media in Burma, it is difficult not to sense that his employment of the latter term may be invoked as a significant caveat for curtailing the former. Given the fanatical approach of the censors operating under Hsan little over a year ago, such caution, and even pessimism, is not unwarranted. The recent shift towards greater media freedoms is undoubtedly encouraging, however, only genuine and extensive legislative reform will protect these gains. The outcome of a new print media law, currently being drafted by the government, may illustrate whether, as Thein Sein has repeatedly stated, the media will be upheld as an independent ‘fourth estate’, or whether these latest reforms are simply a case of bigger cages and longer chains for Burma’s media. David Hopkins completed a Master of International Relations in 2011 at the University of Melbourne. He recently completed an internship at Asialink, focussing on Burma's relations with China, Australia and ASEAN. New Media Giving Youth a Voice By Sharna de Lacy The radical growth in online activity has affected our lives in a great many ways, but perhaps none more so than in our ability to not just consume, but share and rapidly disseminate information and news. As a public space, the internet has enabled users to be the authors of ‘new media’, not just passive consumers. The growth of online community has made redundant the barriers to participation presented by traditional media institutions, enabling previously marginalised groups, including young people to have a voice. Within two decades the internet has grown from a forum utilised by a privileged few to a vast virtual space in which some 2.5 billion users, from even the world’s most remote locations, are able to connect and participate in the global online community. This has proved a powerful platform for young people to subvert traditional media, which may be state controlled, as in China, monopolised by a wealthy minority, as in Australia, or which simply is not reflective of their views or experiences. The potential of new media, and the importance of young people’s engagement with it, has been no more powerfully demonstrated than by the events of the Arab Spring or the evolution of the Occupy Wall Street movement. These events represent important junctures in contemporary history, which we will no doubt continue to reflect upon for many decades to come. Beyond these zeitgeist shifting events, the relevance of new media to young people on much smaller scales is equally as important. This is because new media is not simply a platform for digesting news and events, nor a forum for connecting like-minded individuals; it also links geographically distant groups of people and introduces a plethora of previously unheard views, ideas and experiences into our collective narratives. It facilitates collaboration and provides the opportunity to transform the ideas expressed online into an organised protest, an awareness raising campaign or a research project. There are as many online networks as there are interested young people, AIIA Access being just one of those. The AWID community enables young feminist activists to access news and publish work, locate funding, post an event and connect to thousands of other women from all over the globe. Tawasul, Arabic for ‘connecting,’ provides an online network for young journalists in Syria to report and publish their experiences and opinions, an important platform in an environment where ‘new media’ has become one of the primary sources of information for the rest of the world. And in Africa, the youth-led development forum, Africa Youth Human Rights Network provides a social network for young professionals across the continent and links them with training and resources. Alternatives to mainstream media have always been present, through university publications, street zines and independent print publications. However, the internet has provided young people with access to professional tools and resources, and has enlarged audiences to potentially millions of users globally. The value of ‘online space’ as a public space is readily understood by younger generations used to rapidly evolving information technologies. For many who have been privileged by the dominance of traditional media the emergence of new media is perceived as a threat. As with so many other developments that have displaced established power structures, this perceived threat has led to outright censorship and attempts to introduce much contested regulation. A notable example of this was the astonishing attempts by the failing Mubarak regime to ‘shut down’ the internet in Egypt during the 2011 protests. The internet is a truly democratic space in which the well-informed expert, the amateur and those with malicious intent have equal access to create and publish content. It captures the kaleidoscope of human potential, which has never proved amenable to censorship or regulation. As governments and large media corporations struggle to adapt to the changing nature of global communication, the true value of this new medium will be borne out by young people and online communities prepared to harness its potential. Sharna de Lacy completed a Masters of International and Community Development from Deakin University in 2010, and is currently employed with the Australian Department of Human Services. Interconnectivity and Integration in Crisis Response By Ivo Bottcher The former Dean of Princeton's Woodrow Wilson School, Anne-Marie Slaughter, wrote in 2009: “We live in a networked world. War [...] Diplomacy […] Business […], Media are networked: online blogs and other forms of participatory media depend on contributions from readers to create a vast, networked conversation. Society is networked: the world of MySpace is creating a global world of “OurSpace,” linking hundreds of millions of individuals across continents […]". This picture is even truer in 2012. Our rapidly changing world with new tools to connect evolves. These changes can be found in nearly every area such as the United Nations. In 2008, the UN established a formal integration concept: “maximizing the individual and collective impact of the UN’s response”, also known as the new philosophy of “one UN”. But the transition to “one UN” cannot be only made internally because of the seismic shifts that were caused by the information revolution of the 21st century and the increasing number of new actors – mostly informal. One of the fields where we can see these shifts is in the international humanitarian disaster and crisis response. Allowing thousands of citizens around the world to collaborate in voluntary and technical communities (V&TCs) through Facebook, Twitter and social networks lead to neverbefore-seen information support. During the 2010 earthquake in Haiti, where over 85% of the population has access to mobile phones, these new communities analysed data and information from the affected Haitian population in nearly real-time. One example is the support by the Haitian diaspora who translated messages from the affected population from their native Creole into English. Unfortunately, the international humanitarian efforts were not able to use all the information provided by V&TCs during the earthquake. The new two-way communication with the affected population is a great opportunity but also poses a challenge. Challenges for traditional and new actors include security, structure, information overload, limited capacities, translation as well as reliability, accountability and consistency. One way to attempt to solve these problems is to integrate these new actors into the existing international humanitarian system and to focus on the added value of integration. The benefits for a further integration and institutionalization of V&TCs into the traditional humanitarian response can strengthen the quality and delivery of information in disasters and crises. Information as aid by itself is meant to change disaster and crisis management profoundly. The empowerment of new actors as well as the population through new technological tools lead to the before mentioned two-way communication. Within the United Nations Headquarters the socalled CNN-effect currently plays an even more important role than it had in the ‘90s. The impact and importance of Media reached new dimensions with the information revolution of the 21st century. The spread of valuable but also sensitive information within the first 24 hours of a disaster or crisis is a great opportunity as the Haitian case shows. But can also be dangerous for the stability in conflict regions while dealing with secret or classified information that can possibly put an end to negotiations that have been on for years. As we could see in the mentioned case of Haiti, the spread of information can support the international humanitarian response; especially in the aftermath of a natural disaster where information are limited but essential. These seismic shifts within the international community have lead to a new reality of empowerment of new actors but also lead to undeniable challenges for traditional actors in this complex and fast changing world we are living in. Integration and a better interconnectivity approach are necessary to strengthen the international community and their response to disasters and conflicts. Ivo Bottcher is currently completing his Masters degree at the Leibniz University, Hannover. His thesis focusses on integrating V&TCs into the international humanitarian system. He is also a research Intern at the Harvard Humanitarian Initiative. Australia's Role in the World: Essay and Multimedia Competitions With the rise of China and India in the last decade, it is well recognised that we are now entering into the Asian Century. In response to this changing regional outlook the Gillard government has commissioned the Paper on Australia in the Asian Century to consider how Australia should position itself strategically, economically and politically in the 21st century. The AIIA has, in conjunction with the Asian Century Taskforce, launched three online competitions to encourage young people to get involved in this important policy discussion Be Heard: To become a part of the debate, you can submit a short essay, on one of the five different essay topics available online. Winners will be chosen by votes from the public. Remember, the longer your essay is online, the more votes it will be able to receive – so get in early. How you see it The AIIA would like students to show us what they think Australia in the Asian Century means to them through images, video-clips or infographic presentations. Winners will be chosen through votes from online polls, so get your entry in early to maximise views. How would you like Australia to be represented through our international television network or radio station? Have a say in how you think Australia can improve its public image in Asia through Australia’s international television and radio networks. Make a pitch to the Australia Network or Radio Australia for a new program in video or audio format and upload them onto the AIIA website. So get your creative juices flowing and submit your thoughts, views and images to the AIIA. Winners of the competitions will have the opportunity to meet with members of the Asian Century Taskforce or have their work published online. For all the rules, dates and uploading requirements please see the website. Issue 22 “Democracy and the Arab Spring” Message from the Editor Welcome for the final issue of MA for 2011. This month's issue looks at Democracy and the Arab Spring. As one of the major events of 2011, the Arab Spring represented a hopeful moment for democrats in the Middle East. However, as the months rolled on, the Arab Spring has settled into mixed results. While largely successful in their uprising against the established regimes in these countries, focus has now turned to the questions whether democracy will be the ultimate result. This month Katherine Tranter and Katherine Hauser explore the role of women’s movements in the Arab Spring uprising, as well the remaining challenges for women’s rights in Arab world. These articles highlight some important progress that has been made in the region, but that there is still much more work to be done. Meanwhile, Zeb Leonard highlights the state of Iran’s nuclear enrichment, examining the possibility of current medical nuclear isotopes being enriched to weapons-grade level, a worrying prospect given current turmoil in the region. Contemporary Debate examines the relationship between values and democracy, with Andrew Romanin exploring how the underlying values of societies shape their transition to democracy, highlighting the significance of these issues for the Arab Spring. Nicholas Clarke also explores the different ways in which ‘democracy’ is interpreted, focussing on the emergence of the ‘superficial democrat’ in Chinese political culture. These pieces suggest that caution is necessary when deploying the reforms necessary to make states more democratic, and that a one-size-fits-all approach to democratic institutions are likely to lead to some ugly unintended consequences. Meanwhile Amal Varghese and Benjamin Moles paint a more pessimistic picture, highlighting the reassertion of control by established authorities, with any democratic upheavals leading to the likely emergence of populist Islamism replacing less democratic, but more secular and pluralist regimes. Meanwhile Sharna de Lacy highlights the ways in which the Arab Spring has led to an increasing role for the military in Egypt’s economic and political life, making it unlikely that Egypt’s polity will escape the control of the military. Is the right way to approach the Arab spring a first step that needs to be pushed in favour of future democratic reforms, a cautious rumbling that needs to be treated cautiously by ensuring that Arab states have democratic values as well as institutions, or an uprising against existing regimes that will be simply replaced with different authoritarian rulers? Only time will tell. This month MA speaks with HE James Michel, the President of the Seychelles, about the role of the Commonwealth as well as developmental challenges of small nations. We also interview Natalie Sambhi and Nic Jenzen-Jones, who speak about their experiences as writing and publishing analysis on defence and security issues, as well as their analysis of contemporary security issues. Monthly Access will be taking a break for summer, with the next issue to be published in March 2012. The topic for the March issue is Separatism and Self-Determination. We welcome submissions of between 400 to 600 words on these topics, or any other issues in international affairs. The deadline for submission for the March Issue is 23rd February 2012. Ghazi Ahamat has recently completed his studies in Economics, Mathematics and Philosophy at the University of Melbourne. The Monthly Access team is: Editor-in-Chief: Ghazi Ahamat Deputy Editor (Interviews and Submissions): Evan Ritli Deputy Editor (Contemporary Debate): Priya Wakhlu Global Snapshot Columnists: Rachel Hankey and Richard Griffin Interviewers: Amal Varghese and Roselina Press Contemporary Debate Columnists: Andrew Romanin, Sharna de Lacy, Katherine Tranter and Nick Clarke ACCESS Event Reporter: Marla Pascual For comments regarding this newsletter please write to [email protected] Global Snapshot – December edition By Rachel Hankey The December issue of Global Snapshot, which brings current international issues and news from around the world. November saw the economic turmoil in the Euro zone claim two Prime Ministers and a G20 summit sominated by economic concerns, as well as an ASEAN summit that brings Burma's regime out of the wilderness, as well as continued aftershocks of the Arab Spring in Syria and Yemen. Europe New Greek and Italian Prime Ministers The ongoing financial crisis in the eurozone has forced the resignation of two European Prime Ministers. Greece's George Papandreou stepped down at the beginning of November, followinga disastrous proposed referendum on a eurozone bailout. This was shortly followed by the resignation of former Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi. Both Papandreou and Berlusconi have faced months on criticism over their handling of their countries' financial crisis,and proposed austerity measures have been met with strong opposition from the public. The successors of both former leaders are financial experts, reflecting the growing concerns in Europe about the rate of financial recovery and the ability of governments toadequately address the issue. Papandreou was succeeded by Lucas Papademos,former vice-president of the European Central Bank. Although Papademosis not a member of parliament, he will head an interim government until elections take place in February. Berlusconi wasreplaced by Mario Monti, an esteemed economist and academic, and former European Union regulator. Both Papademos and Monti face an uphill struggle to implement measures to improve their countries economies. Turkey cracks down on Kurdish rebels Turkey has reportedly arrested over 70 individuals in raids across the country targeting Kurdish rebels.The raids were carried out simultaneously across the country, in 16 different provinces. Last month a suspected Kurdish militant hijacked a ferry near the northwestern port city of Izmit. Violent confrontations between security forces and banned Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) are common, but reports highlighted that a hijacking would represent a change in tactics for the PKK. The PKK started their armed campaign in Kurdish-majority southeastern Turkey in 1984, sparking a conflictthat has claimed approximately 45,000 lives. G20 Summit The G20 summit took place in Cannes, south of France, early last month. The discussion was dominated by the debate surrounding the ongoing eurozone crisis. The financial situation in Italy was a key topic of talks, as fears emerge that the monetary meltdown in Greece may spread to Italy, which is a much larger economy. Barack Obama lead calls for Italy to accept the surveillance of their austerity measures by the International Monetary Fund. Another significant outcome of the Cannes summit was the establishment of development as a key issue on the G20 agenda. A number of development-friendly initiatives were announced, including steps to boost global agricultural output and an agreement not to tax or restrict foodpurchased for humanitarian purposes by the UN World Food Program. The development community praised the initiative on agriculture, but remain frustrated about the lack of action on debt. Asia ASEAN Summit The 19th Association of South-East Asian Nations(ASEAN) summit was held in Bali last month. In his closing statement host Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono highlighted the closeness of the ASEAN region, and the important steps towards building a more united ASEAN community by 2015. In a significant move, Burma was giventhe chair of the 2014 summit, apparently as a "reward" for the hints of reformfrom its new government, following decades of military rule.The US had warned that the move was premature, but the leaders of the ASEAN countries defended their decision. The Indonesian Foreign Minister Marty Natalegawa said that "All leaders are in agreement that significantchanges, significant developments, have taken place in Burma and those changeshave made it more conducive for Burma to carry out this responsibility". Flooding in Thailand Thailand is slowing beginning a massive cleanup operation, following severe floods across the country. Although the floodwaters have not completed drained away from the country, reconstruction efforts are already underway. Thailand's economy has been severely damaged bythe floods, as both small local traders and multinational companies were affected. The floodwaters forced businesses to abandon seven huge industrialestates. Thailand is a key producer ofcomputer hardware, manufacturing approximately 45% of the world's supply. It is expected that there will be a shortage of computer parts into 2012, as key manufactures such as Toshiba and Western Digital were forced to close operations in waterlogged plants. In addition to clearing the debris left by the floodwaters, manufactures need to secure electricity and clean water supplies,with some manufactures suggesting that they will not be able to resume production until February or March next year. US troops in Australia Last month Barack Obama announced plans to station US troops in the Northern Territory. From next year 250 marines will bestationed in Australia, and over the next few years the force will be increasedto 2,500. The move has strained relations between China and the US, as Beijing has questioned the need for the US to strengthen its military position in the region. Over the past year the US has increased its military connections in Vietnam,Singapore and the Philippines. This has lead China to fear a policy of encirclement, as well as increasing tensions over the rights to the oil-rich South China Sea. The US has denied that it is attempting to isolate China, but Obama warned thatshould Beijing "not play by the rules", the US will send a "clear message that they need to be on track in accepting the rules and responsibilities that come with being a world power". Middle East Yemen's President steps down Yemen's President Ali Abdullah Saleh has resigned from office, following nine months of protest against his rule. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) had sought to bring an end to the ongoing violence by negotiating an agreement which would lead to Saleh's resignation. On three different occasions, Saleh broke a promise to step down. It is believed that he finally signed the agreement because he has lost the support of key international allies. Saudi Arabia, which has supported Saleh for decades, had become increasingly annoyed by his failure to restore stability to Yemen. Saleh had also lost the support of the US, which had provided millions of dollars in aid to Yemen. The international community had hoped that Saleh's departure would end the violent protests and severe governmentcrackdowns that have been continuing for many months. However, on the dayfollowing the announcement of Saleh's resignation, tens of thousands of democracy activists took to the streets in cities all over the country to raiseconcerns about the terms of the deal. Under the terms of the agreement, Salehand unspecified others in his circle will be immune from prosecution. There arealso concerns about whether Saleh will honour his promise to step down. Arab League takes action against Syria In a significant turning point for effort toend the ongoing violence in Syria, the Arab League has begun to take action against the government of the country. Early in November, the Arab League voted to suspend Syria from the league. Themove prompted attacks on several embassies in Syria and neighbouring countries,by pro-government supporters. Syria strongly objects to the League's proposalto send 500 observers to the country, and argued for the number to be reducedto 40. This proposed amendment was rejected by the 22-member league. The league had imposed a deadline for Syriato end its crackdown on protestors; however this passed late last month, withno improvement in the situation. The Arab League is now threatening to implement economic sanctions against the Syrian government. The exact details of possible sanctions have not been revealed. According to estimates by the UN, 3500 people have been killed since protests began in March. Syrian authorities continue to blame the violence on armed gangs and militants. Iraqi prisoner enquiry Over 100 Iraqi civilians who were taken prisoner by British troops in the years following the invasion of the Iraq in 2003 havewon a court judgment, which may pave the way for an independent enquiry into alleged mistreatment. A British court has ruled that the police inquiry established by the Ministryof Defence to investigate the claims was "substantially compromised".It has been revealed that some of the investigators charged with looking intothe allegations had served with a military police unit which was originallyresponsible for detaining the Iraqi men. There have been numerous allegations of torture and abuse by the British military during their sixyear posting insouthern Iraq, which came to an end in 2009. The most notorious case involved the death of 26-year-old hotel receptionist Baha Mousa who diedwhile in custody at a British base after being detained in a raid in Basra in2003. Earlier last month, American solider Calvin Gibbs was convicted of murder, in relation to one of the worst cases of war crimes to emerge from the Afghan war. Q&A with Natalie Sambhi and Nic Jenzen-Jones, editors of Security Scholar Interviewed by Roselina Press Security Scholar is an Australian website which covers security, defence and foreign policy issues concerning Australia, Southeast Asia and Afghanistan. Natalie Sambhi, the website’s founding editor, is a Hedley Bull Scholar in International relations and a Masters graduate of the Asia-Pacific College of Diplomacy at the Australian National University. Co-editor Nic Jenzen-Jones is a freelance writer and a corporate liaison specialist for the private security and defence industries. For those who haven't heard of Security Scholar, could you please tell us a bit about it? Nic: Security Scholar is a website dedicated to analysing global security and defence issues from an Australian perspective. We like to think that we are developing into more than just a blog. Through our new Security Scholar Online Forum Series, our Security Scholar Synopsis series, and our frequent interaction with readers through social media – predominantly Facebookand our Twitter accounts, we hope to act as a broad-spectrum resource, facilitating engagement and discussion. In the future, we are aiming to expand our services by conducting more ground-level research in addition to secondary source analysis. What motivated you both to blog about security and defence issues? Nic: I’ve had a fascination with security and defence issues for as long as I can remember, and a strong writing background from my business experiences, but it was Nat that convinced me to publish some of my work in the public domain. Previously I had worked almost entirely on internal documents, analyses and reports, so it’s nice to be receiving feedback, and contributing to global debate. Nat: I regularly enjoy debating with my friends and fellow scholars on such issues. Many of these friends blog as well. I wanted to delve into a forum where I could put my ideas out for scrutiny. The blog platform has a rather rewarding give/take quality; you provide information and discussion, and receive inspiration and feedback from around the globe. You've also begun hosting monthly online forums. Could you tell us a bit about this project? Nic: Our vision with the Security Scholar Online Forum Series is all about giving opportunities to experts, practitioners, serving soldiers, and scholars to discuss current defence and security issues. The format is designed to allow fairly casual, free-flowing engagement, which bridges the gap between various professions. With a very busy month (Nat is travelling overseas), we’ve had to delay our planned November forum, but we will be back up and running with our December forum on ‘China’s Maritime Denial Strategy’ – stay tuned! Security Scholar regularly covers the war in Afghanistan in depth. Conversely, substantial coverage on the war in our mainstream media is usually lacking. Are blogs and online media able to fill the gap, in this respect? Nic: Definitely. Particularly when it comes to covering topics from a different angle, or covering topics in a more academic or technical manner than is generally acceptable in mainstream media. Also, quite frankly, a lot of coverage we see in mainstream media sources is dumbed down, or at least highly abbreviated – blogs and other online media sources provide further reading for people who may be interested in a more complete picture of what is happening. Many of our blogosphere colleagues over at such blogs as Registan, Wings Over Iraq, and Ghosts of Alexander provide excellent historical and operational knowledge on issues concerning how the Afghanistan conflict is managed. Big news for Australian defence recently is that women are now able to serve in any position in the ADF, including combat roles. How much of a change can we expect to see, following this decision? Nic: This is something Nat and I have obviously been discussing at length over since the announcement, and you can see some of Nat’s thoughts crystallised in her pieces on our blog, at the Lowy Interpreter, and The Conversation, as well as some personal remarks in the Sydney Morning Herald and The Age. Personally, I think it is about time the barriers were removed – but how we manage this transition will be of the utmost importance. Nat: In formal terms, the changes open up the last 7% or so of jobs to women serving in the ADF. That may not seem like much, but there will be need to be considerable adjustments to accommodate this. Of course, concerns about physical requirements will have to be carefully managed but, more importantly, cultural changes that overcome prejudices against the place and ability of women on the frontline need to be surmounted. This will certainly take more time and sustained commitment from both the ADF, and Australian society more broadly. What do you see as some of the more significant security issues concerning Australia, now or into the future? Nic: The so-called ‘rise of China’ is obviously the big one that everyone is talking about, but our relationship with the United States, and how that develops vis-à-vis China, is the real story there. Speaking of which, what are your thoughts on the planned stationing of US troops in Darwin? How do you think Australia can balance its interests whilst maintaining close ties to both the United States and China? Nic: Firstly, I just want to point out that there are no plans to construct or operate a solely-US military base anywhere in Australia. This is something a few commentators seem to have missed. The current plan is for US Marines to be based at an Australian Army base, Robertson Barracks, just outside of Darwin. The US and Australia have a long tradition of jointly operating military facilities. That cleared up, I don’t see maintaining our strong alliance with the US and pursuing a robust trading relationship with China as incompatible or mutually exclusive goals. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see our relationship with the US continue to strengthen over the coming years, with more basing opportunities being considered. Areas to look to would be the Cocos Islands, and perhaps even the North West. Nat: I think Australia will have to manage this development with regional partners, Indonesia, in particular. The base provides further opportunities for multinational exercises in the Asia Pacific. With respect to China, maintaining dialogue and engagement will be important in reassuring our most valuable economic partner that the development is not one of containment. Finally, what do both of you work on, outside of Security Scholar? Nic: Both of us are available as freelance consultants and technical editors for a range of topics. I run my own business focusing on consulting to the private security and defence industries, as well as writing on a freelance basis. I am currently looking at small arms identification in Libya, global counter-narcotics units, and West African piracy. Nat freelance writes and researches, and is currently working on research relating to people trafficking in Indonesia as well as counter terrorism cooperation between Australia and Indonesia. She is currently travelling throughout Indonesia to improve her Indonesian language skills and get a better ground-level understanding of the security and political situation throughout the archipelago. Roselina Press is undertaking a Masters of International Relations at Melbourne University Q&A with HE James Michel, President of the Seychelles Interviewed by Francis Ventura HE James Michel has been President of the Seychelles since 2004, having previously served as Vice President from 1996 to 2004. Mr Michel was in Australia for the Commonwealth Heads Of Government Meeting (CHOGM) held in Perth from 28-30 October 2011. Mr Michel speaks about the Diamond Jubilee Fund, the role of the Commonwealth in addressing development issues, and the challenges faced by small developing countries in balancing development and sustainability, in an international order designed by and for much larger nations. Earlier at CHOGM, (British PM) David Cameron announced the establishment of a Diamond Jubilee Trust Fund which will be established to celebrate the Queen’s Diamond Jubilee. This trust fund will issue grants for people in need around the Commonwealth. Given that anywhere between twenty and thirty thousand people die every year, or children especially die from preventable diseases, and given the number of nations in the Commonwealth, some close to you, Mozambique, Maldives etc rank among the lowest on the United Nations Human Development Index, do you see or will you push for, a trust to alleviate poverty within the Commonwealth? President Michel: I think this initiative is a very commendable one, as we celebrate the Diamond Jubilee of Her Majesty. This will provide the opportunity to really have something that is worthwhile, that will benefit the children of some of the poorest countries. I think we’ll go a long way to give these unfortunate children a better life. As these countries prepare and work towards building the capacity themselves, to be able to ensure that they have the capacity to look after their children and ensure that they eliminate poverty, they eliminate disease as much as possible and ensure that every child has the right to live and become productive as they grow up. So, I would personally welcome any initiative to ensure that children are first of all saved, and then have the possibility to grow and become productive because I believe in the youth, because I believe in the future and the future is the youth . In my country, in Seychelles, I do everything I can to put in place, as much as possible, programs that empower the youth, empower the young generation to ensure that as leaders of tomorrow, they will continue to sustain the growth of the country and continue to build not only the wealth but also the capacity in everywhere, social, culture, security and ensure that our country will continue to grow as prosper. I remember you spoke in Melbourne about the incompatibility between consumerism and environmental sustainability. You lead an economy which is a market-driven, capitalist economy. However at the same time you’re also passionate about environmental sustainability. How do you reconcile these goals, and what measures have you taken, to promote the compatibility between the two, because that’s the reality for most countries? I think compatibility is possible, it is a reality. We have proved it in Seychelles. We have established a market economy. We are empowering our young people to become a nation of entrepreneurs. To build, to depend on themselves in order to build their future, to create wealth for the country. At the same time, we have educated them, from a very early age our children are educated to appreciate the values of the environment, to appreciate what nature has given them and also to appreciate the fact that nature doesn’t belong to us but we belong to nature. Therefore, we have to preserve nature if we are to be able to benefit from what nature has given us and this is why we have developed this policy of integrating the protection and the management of the environment with development. As far as our tourism industry is concerned, we ensure that hotels are built in such a way that the hotels are integrated in the environment and that the developers participate and contribute to the protection and the management of the environment. This is working very well. In the other sectors like fishing for example, we ensure that we have sustainable fishing activity. On the continental plateau we ensure that it is reserved only for our fisherman, and then we monitor the sustainability of the species that exist, and there are certain species where we put a ban during certain periods of the year or a number of years to ensure that they reproduce until they can be allowed to be exploited again. Even fishing the pelagic species, we monitor the activities and any other activity that we do that is economic that is necessary for development and the creation of wealth, that there is always sustainability to ensure that the environment is protected. We have very strict environmental laws which ensure that. On some islands we have strict rules that no development takes place above a fifteen metre contour line, to ensure that we protect the pristine environment. So in that way, I think we are unique because we want to preserve our country for future generations and the young people themselves, we are conscious of that, so we can sustain our economic development and our livelihood for the future. Your Foreign Minister Jean-Paul Adam, stated in 2010 to the United Nations that the ‘one size fits all’ model of international development has not worked. How can development thus be tailored in order to provide economic, political and social benefits to the people where it’s being implemented? This is the problem with most of the current international institutions. Most of these large international institutions were created after the Second World War. I think the time has come for rejuvenation and earlier atthe second session of CHOGM, we talked about a Charter for the rejuvenation of the Commonwealth. I think it is important because without rejuvenation, we become irrelevant, and today I think the Bretton Woods institutions, the United Nations have become irrelevant in a way, or are becoming irrelevant because they do not represent the realities of the new global economic and social environment. The world has changed, but the rules of these institutions have not changed. Therefore, there is a need to relook at the rules of these institutions and ensure that new guidelines, new rules new charters are conceived and worked out to be able to fit the specificities of different countries or different economies, or different cultures because we are living in a globalised world, but we have different countries with different specificities. Let us look for example at the small island states. You cannot put us in the same bag as you put any big country with different kinds of resources or more resources that small countries do not have. So today, even if small countries work hard and strive to be able to make it to the middle-income level, then they are penalised and they are no longer given access to concessionary credit and so on, and what will happen is that they will slip back into becoming poor countries. So this is what I call the ‘middle-income trap’ because once you’re there, once you’ve done well, you are penalised because you’ve done well. This is because again, of the specific criteria created by the Bretton Woods institutions after the Second World War, which has to change. All these institutions have to be rejuvenated in the light of modern-day realities. Fellow Commonwealth nations have very low positions on the 2010 United Nations Development Index, including South Africa at 113, India at 132, Pakistan at 128 and Sierra Leone at 161 (Australia is second). How can the Commonwealth, as a member-based organisation better ensure greater diplomatic and economic cooperation amongst its members to generate greater prosperity? The Commonwealth itself, in terms of capacity to do things? There is no mandate to do that. But, the Commonwealth can share ideas, can exchange views and come up with possibilities of what can be done, and then the Commonwealth, as a bigger voice, share these ideas to the institutions that can make things happen. I see the Commonwealth as an institution in which we have shared values of course. These values, I think, are the foundation for growth, the foundation for stability and unity, which is very essential for growth and for the creation of wealth of any country. Francis Ventura is currently studying a Bachelor of Arts in Politics and International Relations at the University of Melbourne. He attended CHOGM as a Commonwealth Youth Correspondent. Control of Industry and Now Politics by the Egyptian Military By Sharna de Lacy The Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) has been ruling Egypt since the negotiated resignation of President Hosni Mubarak on 11 February 2011. While attracting initial pubic support, the military has attracted much criticism its for lingering political role, authoritarian practices and resistance to genuine democratic reform. Recent moves by SCAF to protect its influence in the domestic economy and curtail the constitutional oversight powers of any newly elected government in regard to the military budget has sparked renewed protests, calling for the military to immediately hand power to civilians. The Armed Forces of Egypt have a long historical role in direct economic participation. As early as the 1820’s the military was involved in the production of weaponry and uniforms, supplementing a shortfall in funding enabling them to be self sufficient and independent from colonial forces. Following the expansion of the state-led economy throughout the 1950’s, these activities grew from the specific needs of the military to the manufacture and sale of civilian products. Today the military has a considerable interest in the civilian Egyptian economy, through interests held under the auspices of the Ministry for Military Production. The activities of the military are far reaching from small arms production, to childcare, catering and pest control. [P1] Estimates [Sd2] about the profitability and financial structure of military run companies aredifficult to obtain, as the revenues derived from these companies are a subject to ‘national security’. Because the economic extra-curricula activities of the military fall under the purview of ‘national security’, this leads to the creation of a ‘shadow budget’ that escapes standard parliamentary and auditing scrutiny. SCAF is currently taking steps that would ensure that not only off-budget activities but also its official budget exempt from oversight. Draft constitutional principles put forward by SCAF would guarantee the secrecy of the military budget and provide SCAF the power to reject any articles of the new constitution that it objects to as the guardian of ‘constitutional legitimacy’. Joshua Stacher, an expert on Middle Eastern Politics at Kent State University said of the proposal- "It essentially builds SCAF into the political process as a sort of fourth pillar and one that is utterly and completely unaccountable to the people" The Egyptian press is forbidden from printing material that is critical of the military, and the Interim Constitution has affirmed press censorship in ‘matters related to general safety or the purposes of national security’. This protects the military’s economic interests not only from official examination, but also from public scrutiny, undermining key oversight mechanisms which are central to democracy. Corruption has been a concern for the protest movement, however, due to the unquantifiable nature of the military’s extensive economic interests it has largely escaped scrutiny. SCAF responded to public outcry regarding official corruption and has pursued an array of former regime elites on charges of corruption. However, there have been concerns that the SCAF leadership has been utilising public pressure for prosecuting previous regime figures, in order to extend its own economic influence and stifle potential for reform. SCAF has pursued influential liberal economic reformists- forcing former finance minister Youssef Boutros-Ghali from his position and freezing the assets of former trade minister Rachid Mohamed Rachid on allegations of corruption. The military’s direct role in political rule may be short-lived. However, SCAF has been utilising the transitional arrangements to influence the future direction of the Egyptian economic structure and sure up its position as the de facto authority in the Egyptian political landscape. How the first elected Egyptian government defines the constitutional role of the armed forces and addresses military reform will be a balancing act that may have long standing implications not only for the Egyptian economy, but for democracy as well. Sharna de Lacy completed a Masters of International and Community Development from Deakin University in 2010, and is currently employed with the Australian Department of Human Services. Values and culture in Arab Democracy By Andrew Romanin A democracy is only as good as the values and culture that inform its participants.This fact is taken for granted in established democracy, but can become a vital force in countries that are transitioning to democracy. Following the populist uprisings that have dotted the Arab world, the question of where to from here has taken a much defined form of not hope or consideration for a transition to democracy across the region, but one of expectation. With the West peering through their democratic binoculars there is an expectation that the Arab world will fully embrace our democratic processes and societies. Whilst the potential excites hope and optimism, the cultural and regional practices of the Arab world will frustrate those who are keen to see swift change, prolonging the transition period. Mass scenes of protest during the Arab Spring where banners read “Freedom” and the crowd shouts for “Justice” are indicative of a society embracing democracy. Whilst few would doubt they are welcome scenes in a region that has suffered oppressive regimes and leaders, democracy is not a one size fits all solution. There's a significant distinction to be made between a democratic "process" and a democratic “culture.” The former may take the shape of free and fair elections; the latter includes things like peaceful transfers of power, rule of law, inalienable individual rights, minority rights, property rights, gender equality, separation of religion and government, and freedom of speech for intellectuals. It’s easy to mistake process with culture, and particularly for proponents of Western democracy who will inevitably hang their hat on such achievements. Elections constitute a necessary requirement of a democracy, but without a democratic culture, elections have the potential to fail in empowering the right people. The challenge for those Arab states which are now seeking to embrace democracy is the manner in which incumbent rulers, opposition, and the citizen body, will respond to the unexpected nuances of democracy that conflict with existing cultural norms. Put simply, the process for instilling the aforementioned elements of cultural democracy will not be as easy for these societies to adopt as they may have first thought, and will contribute to instances of conflict with Western democratic principles. A likely point of conflict is the role of women in Arabic societies. The low representation of females in these nations’ public life is influenced by a number of context-specific factors, particularly the underlying mentality that men and women should maintain traditional roles. This presents a significant hurdle for the adoption of democratic institutions akin to those found in the West. Arab societies have been united in their call for universal freedom and change, but for many, the inevitable shift in the role of women that will be a precondition for transitory democracy will cause anxiety and suspicion. The presence of women in positions of power and in a more accessible education system will have its opponents. These opponents will cause angst, and it is in such instances that the cultural traditions of Arabic society will encounter a point of difference with democratic values. Arguably a change of such magnitude that pervades all aspects of political, social and economic life will be difficult to accept, requiring a period of adjustment. Similarly, the reach of Islam in Arab societal life presents a challenge for the architects of these proposed democratic states. The importance of religion in day to day life, and its current interplay with the state would not be permissible under a secular democratic system. Again a realignment of values and divesting religion of its privileged status is a major deviation from the cultural norm. Admittedly, religion permeates the politics of many Western democracies to varying degrees, but there is little comparison with the Middle East. The primacy of separation of religion and state in a democracy must be upheld. Thus, informing a people that for centuries have understood and accepted the link between religion and state, a move away from this will cause many to question the motivations of democracy. This is not to say that incompatibility with democracy exists in the current values and cultural norms of the Arabic world. All emerging democracies have to begin somewhere, and all bring their own ‘baggage’ along with them. The events of the Arab Spring demonstrate a potential for democracy in the region. This alone has provided a strong a platform of consensus within society that has initiated a move towards democracy. The existing values and culture of Arab society will dictate the shape and form of democracy that ultimately emerges. It will not be identical to that of the West, and nor should it. Those entrusted to lead the Arab world as it transitions will, however, need to acknowledge and reconcile very real differences and conflicts between democracy and traditional Arab culture and values, and find ways to harmonise these. The real challenge now begins. The Arab citizen body is faced with the challenge of not only building democracy, but understanding and learning it. The, as yet, unexpected and unknown elements of democracy for the average Egyptian or Libyan individual will clash with long established cultural norms and values central to daily life; it is such indifference that could ultimately create the greatest obstacle to democratic transition. Moving forward, the values and culture that states of the Arab Spring utilise to inform its participants will result in democratic boom or bust. Andrew Romanin completed a Bachelor of Arts in Political Science and History from the University of Melbourne in 2009. He currently works as a Coordinator of Emergency Recovery with the Red Cross. Feminism in the Arab world By Katherine Tranter Much has been said about the potential of prospective democratic transitions following the Arab Spring to deliver advancements in upholding women’s rights. Nevertheless, some Islamists have asserted that as feminism is a Western construct it is inherently incompatible with Islam and would lead to family and social breakdown. Further it has been argued that the push for women’s rights in the Middle East is simply a Western-inspired attack on Islam. However, feminism has a long history in the Arab world, which reflects prevailing societal values. In Egypt, there has been a long history of women involved in activism, including organising labour union strikes, protesting, and using their rights to free speech. Egyptian women played an active role in struggles in 1919 and 1952, albeit with limited gains in equality and justice. Nevertheless, the 1919 uprising created momentum for the women’s struggle and, as a result, the Egyptian Feminist Union (EFU) was founded in 1924. Although radical changes have never been achieved, in part due to persistent views about women’s role in society, Egyptian women have gained some political and social advances. The recent uprisings have further enhanced their confidence to campaign for equal rights. However, the focus on the involvement of women in the recent uprisings by the Western media has been criticised by some high-profile Egyptian women, partly because the focus has been hijacked by the former regime. Prior to its ban in 1952, the EFU had been criticised for its links to the regime and accused of representing only a small elite. Egyptian writer and feminist Nawal El Saadawi highlights the recent relaunch of the EFU after a decades-long ban as a sign that the military is merely giving the appearance of supporting women’s rights. The EFU’s recent calls for powerful women to run in the election have been perceived as a ploy to gain support for the regime. In Tunisia, feminism has also historically been sponsored by the state. Advances in women’s rights – including equal citizenship rights, the abolition of polygamy, a ban on wearing the hijab in public buildings, and gaining the rights to work and open bank accounts without male permission – have all been implemented by the government, rather than domestic feminist pressure. The former Tunisian government permitted the establishment of women’s rights groups, albeit only those that did not challenge government policies. Independent women’s organisations were abolished, and replaced by groups supportive of the state. Nevertheless, the greater degree of gender equality in Tunisia than in other Arab states over the last 50 years indicates that calls for the recognition of women’s rights preceded the country’s recent uprisings. Furthermore, the argument that women’s rights are incompatible with Islam has been rejected by some Muslim commentators. Iranian Nobel peace laureate Shirin Ebadi recently argued that “if Islam is interpreted and applied correctly we can have totally egalitarian laws for women and strike punishments such as stoning and cutting hands from out of law books”. Retired professor and author Dr. Aftab Ahmad Khan similarly states that the Qur’an upholds gender equality and the status of women before the law, and argues that these teachings must take precedence over the traditional customs of many Muslim societies which deny women equal rights. However, concerns remain over whether the Islamist parties that have recently taken, or appear set to take, power in bothTunisia and Egypt will ignore such arguments and continue to ignore women’s rights. There have been concerns raised in Egypt that women are only being included in the candidate lists of Islamic parties because of a requirement under the new constitution. Salafist party al-Nour’s poster of a female candidate displayed a rose instead of her face as she wears a niqab(full-face veil), and received much ridicule on social media websites. Many of the female candidates are also Islamists, and their commitment to upholding women’s rights is as yet unclear. Although the outcomes of the Arab Spring for women’s rights have so far disappointed some feminists, women’s rights activists in both Egypt and Tunisia have shown a strong commitment to promote their interests and insist on being heard. The notion that feminism is incompatible with Arab societies is clearly contradicted by the actions of many women’s rights activists across the Arab world. Katherine Tranter completed a Masters degree in International Development at RMIT in 2009 and is currently working as a Country Adviser for the Migration & Refugee Review Tribunals. The Bumpy Road to Democracy By Nicholas Clarke “I don’t know what democracy means, but I know we need The words of a poster held by a student protester, Tiananmen Square 1989) more of it” At the end of the Cold War, Francis Fukayama infamously claimed political development had reached its zenith – encapsulated in his seminal work ‘The End of History’. With authoritarian regimes toppling across the Eastern Bloc, the argument over political systems was over, and democracy had won the battle of ideas. It would be only a matter of time before western democracy would emerge worldwide. But since the early 90’s, the world witnessed a variety of political upheavals in the name of democracy. Russia’s perestroika in the early 90’s inadvertently highlighted the dangers of liberalising a nation’s political system before its economy, culminating in their current ‘democratic’ elections and beckoning Putinism. Western interventions to promote democracy in the Balkans (Kosovo) and the Middle East (Iraq) endure haphazardly. 2011 sees the spate of democratic uprisings against authoritarian regimes in North Africa and the Middle East, which have been dubbed the ‘Arab Spring’ of pro-democracy upheavals.. All of these events highlight that transitioning to a democracy is a bumpy road. Yet as the ‘democratic peace thesis’ claims, (the theory democracies do not go to war against each other) in the long term this transition arrives at a desirable destination. However, there are many issues at play regarding what a democracy is, how democracy should be promoted and whether or when it is appropriate to do so. As the primary victor of the Cold War, US foreign policy highlights these issues in their attitudes to democracy. An important shift occurred when G.W. Bush arguably transformed Woodrow Wilson’s “the world must be made safe for democracy” into making “the world democratic so the US could be safe” by invading Iraq. The desire to prmote and/or enforce democratic norms is seen in the ‘Obama Doctrine,’ enunciated to the Australian parliament among other places, asserting China must “play by the rules”. Aside from commercial rules though, what political-institutional rules should China play by? Since Min Qi’s pioneering social political survey work, The Chinese Political Culture, there has been a plethora of similar surveys conducted in China, from nationalrepresentative samples, such as Nathan and Shi’s Cultural Requisites for Democracy in China: Findings from a Survey, to projects like the World Values Survey (WVS) and Asian Barometer Survey (ABS). Several common themes persist that suggest how inappropriate, at least for now, democracy would be in China. All the surveys paint a picture of the ‘superficial’ democrat being a constant force in China’s political culture. Although respondents view democracy as ‘good’, this is merely paying lip service. For their view is typically a very misguided understanding of democracy, compared to how liberaldemocracy is conceptualised by political scientists. Findings from the WVS illuminate this misconception. To assess Chinese citizens understanding of democracy in 2007, WVS respondents were presented with 10 different circumstances and asked to what extent each circumstance was an essential characteristic of democracy or not. Respondents could choose from a scale of 1 – 10, ‘1’ meaning ‘not at all essential’ and 10 ‘absolutely essential’. Circumstances were diverse including easily identifiable characteristics of democracy, ‘people choose their leaders in free elections’, to blatant contradictions ‘the army takes over when the government is incompetent’ and some in between, ‘the economy is prospering’. In reference to ‘the economy is prospering’, most respondents viewed this as a highly essential characteristic of democracy with 10.7%, 17.6% and 39.6% choosing 8, 9 or 10 respectively. This displays confusion over what democracy entails and perhaps what is indicative of many democracies. Moreover, with regards to ‘the army takes over when the government is incompetent’, 21.5% of respondents chose 10. In fact, 53.4% of respondents chose 7 or above out of 10 – making this, in their eyes, an essential characteristic of democracy . At present, democracy in China would be a foolhardy development. Although democracy’s complexity is taken for granted, a populace must at least understand its essential characteristics, before it can be instilled. Findings from the ABS shows that political culture in other East Asian nations paint a similar picture of China’s ‘superficial democrat’. This notion of democracy is radically different to that of the West, and will be of increasing significance as the Asian Century looms large. What road will many transitional or quasi-democratic nations take? Among alternative pathways, perhaps there will be a couple of bumpy roads to democracy with Chinese or Islamic signposts. Fukuyama’s claim that the defeat of the Communist alternative to Western democracy would lead to the End of History seems a little premature. If I could paraphrase Sir Winston Churchill; the rise of nations with a radically different notion of democracy means that “ this is not the end... but, it is perhaps, the end of the beginning”. Nicholas Clarke has recently completed his Masters of International Relations at the University of Melbourne. The Role of Egyptian Women in the Arab Spring By Katherine Hauser The dust has settled on the Arab Spring uprisings, and it is important to now reflect on the diversity among participants, the demands put forward and the opportunities and risks of democratic transition. This article will explore achievements and the challenges faced by Egyptian women during the Arab Spring and the transitional period. In Egypt women stood on the frontlines of the revolution, in equal numbers to their male counterparts. These women were calling for dignity and role in the construction of a new democratic state. After a rocky transition period, Egypt's parliamentary elections are drawing closer. The first round is scheduled for 28 November. Pre-existing civil society networks were an asset to women in the post-revolutionary period. On 4th June 2011 the Alliance for Arab Women, Association for International Civil Servants and a coalition of Egyptian NGOs launched the Egyptian Women's Charter. The Charter outlines six key focus areas for the advancement of women: • Political representation • Commitment to international rights covenants • Advancement of economic and social rights • Redress of discriminatory legislation • The establishment of a national women's machinery • The creation of positive media imagery Gaining 500,000 signatures prior to its launch, many saw the Charter as the symbol for the coming change in Egypt . Since spring drew to a close Egyptian women have faced challenges on two fronts; ensuring equal participation and safeguarding existing rights legislation. The legitimacy of laws on child marriage, divorce and female genital mutilation are now being criticised due to the involvement of Suzanne Mubarak. In order to sever ties with the old regime, the transitional authority has also closed the Ministry of Women's Affairs and abolished the 64 seat parliamentary quota set aside for women. Although the intention of these actions may have been to establish a clean slate, the disruption of positive legislation has taken a toll on the status and mobility of Egyptian women . Exclusion of women from the early stages of the democratic process is seen in a range of forms. Following the resignation of Hosni Mubarak, Egypt's constitution was suspended and a committee was established to draft 10 transitional amendments. Despite the wealth of female legal and constitutional experts in Egypt, no women were selected for this drafting committee . Women have also been excluded from provincial governor posts on the grounds that they would be unable to work effectively in the current security environment. The setbacks faced by Egyptian women in the transitional period follow a familiar trend. When faced with complex political, economic and sectarian issues leaders will often sideline the importance of women's rights and equal participation or frame them as issues to be dealt with once a stable state is established. In recent years the role of women in peace building and democratic transition has gained greater legitimacy. UN Security Council Resolution 1325 recognises the need to view women as partners in transition and peace building, rather than victims of conflict. According to Valerie Hudson, "the situation and status of women is a marker of the stability, peacefulness, prosperity and health of the nation in which they live" . The role of women in the elections next week will be an important test for the resilience of peace and democracy in Egypt. Over the coming months academics will remain pinned to their screens, watching the latest chapter in the Arab Spring. Katherine Hauser is a member of the Young UN Women Issues and Policy sub-comittee, and is currently studying Political Science and Asian Studies at the University of Melbourne. Arab Spring Falters as an Icy Chill Returns By Amal Varghese The last eleven months have blown winds of change across the Arab world not seen since the end of colonial rule. Syria, Bahrain, Morocco, Egypt, Tunisia, Saudi Arabia, Libya, Yemen and Iran have all been affected in some way or another. In Syria, over 4,000 people have been killed according to the office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) prompting harsh economic sanctions by the Arab League on Assad’s brutal regime. In Yemen, long-time dictator of more than 30 years, Ali Abdullah Saleh has signed a deal to relinquish the presidential office on the 23rd December 2011 after wide-spread protests against his government. Libya’s Gaddafi was mercilessly killed by the opposition movement during the NATO-backed operation and his heir apparent, Saif –al Gaddafi is due to face trial at the International Criminal Court (ICC) on crimes against humanity, provided Libya’s National Transitional Council cooperates with the ICC. In Egypt, the military has been heavily criticised for cracking down on civilians, particularly during the ongoing parliamentary elections, the first ‘free and fair’ elections since Mubarak’s departure according to international observers. Elsewhere in the Arab world, currents have not been strong enough to substantiate significant political reform. Morocco’s king gave up some constitutional powers including the power to appoint the prime minister who would appoint senior servants, diplomats, even cabinet members but would still have to consult the king’s ministerial council. In any case, in both Egypt and Morocco, the youth have criticised the parliamentary elections as window-dressing because major decisions would continue to run through the King, in the case of Morocco and the army in the case of Egypt. In the same way the 1967 Arab-Israeli war and the 1979 Islamic revolution in Iran changed the geopolitical dynamics of the region, 2011 has the immense potential to be seen both as the year democracy and optimism took hold in the Arab world or it may come to be seen as the year that caused vast amounts of bloodshed in an already troubled region. For all the optimism that the Arab Spring had promised, it has also caused significant loss of life and chaos in the region. Only time will prove whose side history will be on, but either way history will be written and the status quo will be revised. Now it’s a matter of who wins the largest portion of the spoils. It is clear that most of the youth and liberal protestors that were at the core of the revolutionary movements will feel robbed as the largest beneficiaries of the revolutionary movements’ to-date have been the Islamic parties, particularly in Egypt where the Muslim brotherhood and even Salafist parties have gained a significant portion of the vote. This will surely worry many Western observers who do not wish Egypt to follow the Iranian example of an Islamic state. There is an inherent tension in Western interests between the Mubarak and Zinadine-era stable and secular states versus the newly democratically elected Islamic parties who may shun the West in an environment featuring chaos and economic stagnation. The Arab Spring turned winter should be viewed with caution particularly as Assad’s regime continues to quash dissenters in the streets of Damascus and Homs. As Libya struggles to form a credible democratic government, the West would be wise to restrain from supporting any further military action in the Arab world. Amal Varghese is completing a Masters in International Relations at the University of Melbourne, is the Melbourne Bureau Chief of the Asia-Pacific Youth Organisation, Consultant for the Australia-India Youth Dialogue and a freelance journalist with The Drum at the ABC. Further Reading: http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/after-the-hope-of-the-arab-spring-the-chill-of-an-arabwinter/2011/11/28/gIQABGqHIO_story.html The Arab Awakening: America and the Transformation of the Middle East; Daniel Byman and Kenneth Pollack, 2011 The New Arab Revolt: What Happened, What It Means, and What Comes Next by Council on Foreign Relations/Foreign Affairs, 2011 Iran and Nuclear Proliferation By Zeb Leonard In light of recent developments in the Middle East, a considerable amount of attention has been directed at the possibility that Iran may be close to the acquisition of a fission weapon. On 8 November 2011, the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency issued to the agency’s board of directors the Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and Relevant Provisions of Security Council Resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran, which is yet to be released to the public. Key to this issue is the concept of uranium enrichment. Until recently, Iran’s level or uranium enrichment was around 3-5%. This refers to the percentage of the lighter isotope uranium 235, which is ‘fissile’ or able to sustain a fission chain reactionrequired for an atomic explosion. In nature uranium is around 0.72% uranium 235. The material has been produced at the Iran’s Natanz Fuel Enrichment Plant. It was initially claimed that enrichment began for the generation of electricity, which requires a level of 3-5% enrichment . However in 2010 it was announced that Iran reached a level of enrichment of approximately 20% with claims being made that this was required for research into the production of medical isotopes. These are used in nuclear medicine for the treatment of illnesses such as various cancers. According to Gregory Jones of the Non-Proliferation Policy Education Center, material at this level of enrichment can be further enriched, within a short time frame, via a process known as ‘batch recycling,’ up to the levels required to produce a nuclear weapon. It should be noted that Jones’ estimates of the timeline required for this level of enrichment have been disputed by representatives from the Institute for Science and International Security, including former UN weapons inspector David Albright. There has been a substantial ongoing debate regarding the amount of enriched material Iran is able to produce, but Jones estimates the required ‘trigger quantity’ of uranium to be around 20kgs at around 80-90% enrichment. The reason for the variation in figures is that the chances of a full yield explosion increase with the amount of sufficiently enriched material present. Jones also suggests that the technical difficulties involved for Iran to produce an ‘implosion assembly’ would not be insurmountable. This is the required method for building a nuclear weapon with the smallest possible amount of fissile material. Though disagreeing with Jones’ assessment of Iran’s enrichment timeline, Albright has also madestatements to the effect that Iran had the capacity to produce an ‘implosion assembly’ if the requisite fissile material were available. It is indeed the case that research reactors employed for peaceful applications like the production of medical isotopes have at times made use of highly enriched fuel. For example, the Australian Nuclear Technology and Safety Organisation website, in reference to their research reactor OPAL states: ‘OPAL uses low enriched uranium fuel containing just under 20 per cent uranium-235. In terms of security and nuclear safeguards, this is a distinct advantage over earlier research reactors, some of which required enrichment levels as high as 95 per cent uranium-235 (weapons grade).’ Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has made statements to the effect his nation would be willing to suspend its domestic enrichment program if suitable fuel be made available for its research reactor. Currently, the US itself imports most of its medical isotopes. It would seem prudent for Western powers to allow Iranian access to medical isotopes themselves, rather than the fuel that could be used to produce them, given the possibility of clandestine ‘batch recycling’. Zeb Leonard received his PhD from the University of Ballarat in May 2011. His thesis explored the public debates surrounding British nuclear weapons testing in Australia. The Arab Spring: Call me a pessimist but… By Benjamin Moles Thinking of spring evokes images of new beginnings and hope: a transition from the cold recesses and darkness of winter to an awakening and optimism before summer. The transformations apparent in the seasonal change from winter to spring seem somewhat missing in retrospect from the so called Arab-Spring. One must remember the adage ‘one swallow doesn’t make a summer’ and ask what has really changed. Is the 'Arab-Spring' not just been a blindly optimistic term conjured up for a couple of warm days in July? Tunisia held elections in October. However, controversy soon followed with troops having to disperse violent protests in Sidi Bouzid, where the Arab-Spring originated, and concerns remain, both inside and outside Tunisia, as to what can be expected long-term from the Islamist Ennahda party. Can the issues that initiated the original protests be addressed? The emerging buds of discontent in Bahrain were quickly trampled, largely by Saudi military boots. Meanwhile Yemen, where Saudi funding has long-kept the Saleh regime buoyant, has been beset by tribal fighting, power struggles, civil-war and the emergence of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) for a number of years now, the current popular discontent being linked to and heightened by the Arab-Spring, not initiated by it. As Mubarak awaits trial in Egypt, power has been temporarily assumed by the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces. They look increasingly unwilling to relinquish that power and have the military means at their disposal to attempt to hold onto it. Let's not forget that Mubarak’s fall was caused in part due to his inability to muster the necessary backing of the military. Syria, like Egypt, also witnessed an eruption in public demonstrations, which despite recent ArabLeague efforts to mediate, continue. However, unlike Murbarak, al-Assad has maintained his monopoly on violence by securing the loyalty and support of the military and has been unflinching in his willingness to unleash it. Libya minus Gaddafi, the rebel movement’s unifying cause, has the potential to spiral into a protracted civil-war, explaining both: why the National Transitional Council asked NATO to extend its mission in Libya, and why NATO declined. In a country where tribal allegiances are key and many factions are now extremely well armed, arguably the most difficult task lays ahead for the NTC: preventing another Gaddafi emerging to fill the power vacuum. Finally, what about the D word? Is the international community seriously ready for Arab democracy and the myriad results that might eventuate from it? We should remember it was only in 2006 that the United States refused to acknowledge the results of the Palestinian elections due to Hamas being catapulted into the Palestinian driving seat over the pro-US Fatah. The Palestinians simply voted for, and elected, the wrong party! Perhaps as the dust settles and we begin to realise the mistakes marked by our own initial hubris and enthusiasm for the Arab-Spring, the façade of democracy - the pledge of instituting change at some yet to be determined stage in the future - will be enough. Spring is a seasonal change marking a transition from winter. As we examine the Arab-Spring and ask what has reallychanged, can it honestly be said that much? If there really has been change, has it really been for the better? Is the initial optimism, marked by those early warm days back at the beginning of the year, sustainable or is it starting to look like those might be dark clouds on the horizon? Call me a pessimist, but I cannot help but think that whichever way I look at it, it still looks like winter to me. Benjamin Moles has recently completed his Masters in International Security Studies at the University of Sydney. Event Report: Citizen Diplomacy On Tuesday 8th November, Global Dialogue Foundation joined ACCESS at Dyason House to present an event entitled, "Citizen Diplomacy: How Ordinary People can Change the World." As an emerging topic, Citizen Diplomacy aims at empowering ordinary citizens to strengthen intercultural ties, raise awareness and promote worldwide cultural understanding to overcome adversities. Unlike conventional diplomacy that involves state officials and not always the public, this practice strictly involves people-people ties and is gradually being adopted in practice by the United Nations and other organisations. Ms Melissa Conley Tyler - AIIA's National Executive Director, introduced and defined the term 'Citizen Diplomacy'. "The reason Citizen Diplomacy matters is because we depend on others. How others view us matters to our security, our prosperity. It matters broadly", she said. Highlighting AIIA's activities in Citizen Diplomacy, including a Forum presented in Canberra on the topic in June 2011 and October's Indonesia-Australia Dialogue, Ms Conley Tyler provided insightful perspectives and further reasons for increasing citizen-citizen contact as a method for building partnerships between countries. As case examples of engaging organisations at the grassroots level, Mr Peter (Pece) Gorgievski CEO of the Global Dialogue Foundation presented initiatives developed with its partners under the auspices of the United Nations Alliance of Civilizationsin both Australia and India, aimed at promoting understanding among different cultures and contributing to strengthening ties between the two countries. "One of the main focus areas for Global Dialogue Foundation moving forward, is to develop civil society chapters that work together under the umbrella of the Alliance, so that each culture and community may represent its own voice, its needs, and find itself among organisations that are like-minded and with similar objectives", said Mr Gorgievski. The third speaker, Mr Ikani Taliai - Founder of Ovava Limited and also a Pacific Islands and Tongan community leader, spoke about some of the issues faced by the Pacific Islands communities in Australia. Mr Taliai is one of the pioneers behind establishing United Pacifika Council of Victoria, a new peak body that aims to support its communities to better organise and modernise, to establish local partnerships, and to add greater value to the Australian society. Expressing appreciation for the opportunities to bring his community into the discussion and to have a presence through Global Dialogue Foundation with the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations, Mr Taliai welcomed citizen diplomacy as a promising tool for stimulating discussion among different cultures and communities and for further strengthening ties throughout the Pacific region. Citizen Diplomacy : How Ordinary People can Change the World was a GDF and ACCESS-AIIA partnership event held at Dyason House in East Melbourne, on Tuesday 8 November 2011. Issue 21 “Citizen diplomacy and non-state actors” Message from the Editor Welcome to the November issue of Monthly Access. In conjunction with an upcoming event hosted by ACCESS and the Global Dialogue Foundation, this month's issue looks at the topic of citizen diplomacy and non-state actors. The traditional view of diplomacy focusses on the relationships between national governments, considering the state as the main actor in international relations. However, the free flow of communications, trade, and people has led to a world in which a large number of other organisations contribute to international relations. From Non Government Organisations delivering aid across borders, to Multi National Corporations reaching worldwide in their workers, suppliers and customers, to the internet and social media building communities that totally ignore nationality, there is significant scope for ordinary citizens to contribute to international diplomacy. This month MA speaks to Peter Gorgievski, the CEO of the Global Dialogue Foundation, to explore the meaning of citizen diplomacy, and the role of the UN Alliance of Civilizations. In Contemporary Debate Katherine Tranter looks at the role of religious fundamentalism in building interfaith dialogue, while Andrew Romanin looks at the role of sport in building diplomatic relationships, as well as the role of an emerging citizen journalism in sharing experiences across borders, providing a very alternative experience to messages through 'official channels'. Nick Clarke reflects on the relationship between capitalism and NGOs, while Sharna de Lacy examines the role of international humanitarian law to deal with violence and conflict that is increasingly intrastate and involving non-state actors. Meanwhile this month's Q&A sees Rose Press interviewing Navdeep Suri, Diplomacy in India. Mr Suri reflects on the rising importance of India's Foreign relationships with citizens as well as governments. Amal Varghese interviews Commissioner to India, Peter Varghese (no relation), who reflects on Australia's India. Head Public of Service building Australia's High relationship with Next month's issue focusses on Democracy and the Arab Spring. We welcome submissions of 400 to 600 words that explore these issues for an intelligent lay audience. Other general submissions on issues of international affairs are welcome for consideration. Submissions for the December issue are due 23rd November 2011. Ghazi Ahamat is a 4th year undergraduate completing his studies in Economics, Mathematics and Philosophy at the University of Melbourne. The Monthly Access team is: Editor-in-Chief: Ghazi Ahamat Deputy Editor (Interviews and Submissions): Evan Ritli Deputy Editor (Contemporary Debate): Priya Wakhlu Global Snapshot Columnists: Rachel Hankey and Richard Griffin Interviewers: Amal Varghese and Roselina Press Contemporary Debate Columnists: Andrew Romanin, Sharna de Lacy, Katherine Tranter and Nick Clarke ACCESS Event Reporter: Marla Pascual For comments regarding this newsletter please write to [email protected] Global Snapshot – November edition By Rachel Hankey and Richard Griffin The November issue of Global Snapshot, which brings current international issues and news from around the world. October saw the death of Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi, the first elections in the aftermath of the Arab Spring, the announcement of complete US withdrawal from Iraq, as well as floods in Thailand and a Turkish earthquake. Africa Gaddafi killed in Libya After months of searching, rebel fighters captured and killed Muammar Gaddafi last month. The former tyrant was found hiding in a drainpipe in his birthplace Sirte. According to Muslim tradition, the bodies of Gaddafi and his son Mutassim, should have been buried within 24 hours of their death. However the burial of the former Libyan dictator had been delayed amid rows about where he should be buried. Gaddafi’s body has been kept in a large cold store in the market area of Misrata, with thousands queuing to see the body of their former dictator. However, after four days the interim leaders ended the public display of his body. The National Transitional Council (NTC) originally announced that Gaddafi had been killed in crossfire, but there is currently much speculation that he was in fact executed. In response to pressure from the international community, Libya’s NTC hasannounced an inquiry into the death of the former leader. The New York based Human Rights Watch has expressed concerns regarding the circumstances Gaddafi's death, as well as a "trend of killings, looting and other abuses". Human Rights Watch is reporting that 53 people appeared to have been executed in an area previously controlled by antiGaddafi forces in Sirte. Human Rights Watch Emergencies Director, Peter Bouckaert stated that such a finding “requires the immediate attention of the Libyan authorities to investigate what happened and hold accountable those responsible.” The NATO Secretary-General, Anders-Fogh Rasmussen called on “all Libyans to put aside their differences and build a new inclusive Libya, based on reconciliation, and full respect for human rights and the rule of law.” Rasmussen urged the “National Transitional Council to prevent any reprisals against civilians and to show restraint in dealing with defeated [pro-Gaddafi] forces.” Tunisia Votes – The first election of the Arab Spring The people of Tunisia went to the polls on October 24, making history, with what are considered the country’s first free and fair elections. The BBC is reporting that provisional results suggest the moderate Islamist party Ennahda will win the most votes, but will fall short of a majority. A spokeswoman for the party, Yusra Ghannouchi, said: "Tunisians have voted in fact for those parties that have been consistently part of the struggle for democracy and opposed to Ben Ali's dictatorship. Tunisians are electing a 217-seat assembly that will draft a constitution and appoint an interim president, who will choose the new government. US President Barack Obama released a statement congratulating the millions of Tunisians who voted in “the first democratic elections to take place in the country that changed the course of history and began the Arab Spring. Just as so many Tunisian citizens protested peacefully in streets and squares to claim their rights, today they stood in lines and cast their votes to determine their own future.” Kenya sends troops to the Kenya-Somali border Kenya has taken steps to protect its territorial integrity after a spate of recent kidnappings by Islamist militant group, Al Shabaab, of foreign aid workers in the refugee camp close to the KenyaSomali border. Reuters UK reported that a "senior Kenyan official confirmed Kenyan troops were on Somali soil, a day after Defence Minister Yusuf Haji said Kenya had the right to pursue the enemy inside Somali territory" The Kenyan government is concerned about protecting its tourism industry and preventing the spread of the influence of Al Shabaab along its border. A press release from the US State Departmentconfirmed that "the United States is not participating in Kenya's current operation in Somalia". However, the Washington Post reports that a Nairobi based diplomat told the Associated Press that France was carrying out military attacks in Somalia, whilst it confirmed that French officials in Paris have denied that was the case. The BBC reports that France will provide military equipment to Kenyan soldiers near the Somali border. The Americas Argentina Votes Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner became Latin America's first female president to win a second term when she sailed to victory in Argentina's elections. The Wall Street Journal reported that “98% of polling places reporting, Mrs. Kirchner had 53.96% of the vote”. Argentina’s economy has bounced back whilst the opposition forces remained divided. Fernandez also benefited from “an outpouring of public sympathy” following the death last year of her husband, Néstor Kirchner, who was President at the time. “Argentina's agrarian-powered economy has been growing at a 9% clip this year, triggering a consumption boom that has made Argentinians willing to overlook annual inflation estimated at 25%” Brazil raises concerns about ‘currency misalignments’ with the WTO MercoPress is reporting that the Brazilian government has urged the WTO to conduct a “dedicated workshop” on the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on international trade. According to the Wall Street Journal, which obtained a copy of a speech given by Brazil’s representative at the WTO, Roberto Azevedo, the effects of movements in nominal exchange rates are not noticeable in the long run, though in the short-term they can “alter relative prices and affect both the allocation of resources between non-tradeable and tradeable sectors of international trade flows.” Meanwhile, Bloomberg BusinessWeek reports that“manufacturers in Latin America’s biggest economy are being hurt by a 29 percent rally in the real since the end of 2008, more than all 25 of the biggest emerging market currencies tracked by Bloomberg except the Chilean peso. Since October 2010 Brazil has also increased taxes on capital inflows and stepped up dollar purchases to defend Brazil from what Finance Minister Guido Mantega has called a ‘currency war’.” UN General Assembly calls for an end to US embargo on Cuba For the 20th consecutive year, the General Assembly adopted a resolution last month calling for the lifting of the decades-old economic, commercial and financial embargo imposed by the United States against Cuba for the past half century. The text of the non-binding resolution received 186 votes in favour, 2 against (the USA and Israel) and 3 abstentions (Federated States of Micronesia, the Marshall Islands and Palau).The UN News Centre reported that introducing the text, Bruno Rodríguez Parrilla, Foreign Minister of Cuba, stated that the US has never hidden the fact that the objective of the embargo – which he said has caused more than $975 billion in damage to the Cuban people – is to overthrow his country’s government. “What the US Government wants to see changed will not change,” he stated, declaring that the Cuban Government will continue to be “the government of the people, by the people and for the people.” Asia Pacific Oil Spill of the Coast of New Zealand New Zealand is currently facing the “most significant maritime disaster” in the nation’s history, after a container ship ran aground 12 nautical miles off the coast of the North Island. The Liberian ship 'Rena' has been leaking heavy fuel oil into the surrounding seas since early October. The oil leakage is now heading toward the famous Bay of Plenty marine reserve. Over 300 tonnes of oil has already washed ashore on beaches, killing over 1000 sea birds. From the outset, salvage operations have been hampered by bad weather. The captain of the ship has been charged with "operating a vessel in a manner causing unnecessary danger or risk". Floods threaten Bangkok Thailand’s worst floods in 50 years have now reached the capital Bangkok. So far the residents of six of the city’s northern districts have been ordered to leave their homes. South East Asia has been hit by monsoonal rain since July, damaging large areas of rice crops and key infrastructure. In Thailand, over 350 people have been killed in the floods, and millions have been forced to leave their homes. There are also great concerns about the long term economic impact of the flooding; Bangkok accounts for 40% of the country’s economic output. The Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra has warned that the flood waters could remain for at least a month, due to the huge amount of water that will need to be drained from the city. Residents of the flooded areas of Bangkok are now also facing the threat of escaped farm crocodiles. So far two crocodiles have been killed and another six captured. Europe Anti-capitalist protesters force the closure of St Paul’s Cathedral The Occupy Wall Street protest has now spread to London. Protesters from 'Occupy London Stock Exchange' are campaigning against "corporate greed and inequality". The biggest impact of the protests so far has been to force the closure of the St. Paul’s Cathedral. Approximately 300 protesters have been camped outside the cathedral for over a week and are still refusing to leave. Along with the disruption to religious services, the cathedral is suffering financially due to the closure. It is reported that the daily loss of income from visitor donations is approximately £16,000. The protest has now spread to Finsbury Square, as 200 protesters have set up camp near major financial institutions such as Deutsche Bank. Riots in Athens As the European Union and the rest of the world continue to try a find a solution to the eurozone crisis late last month, Athens was rocked by violence riots. The riots were sparked by yet more austerity measures introduced by the Greek government, in an effort to prevent the country defaulting on its debts. The International Monetary Fund and the EU have threatened to withhold further financial support, unless the Greek government took steps to reduce the country’s debt, with a package of cuts and tax rises. These measures have caused divisions within the governing socialist party, and have proven to be very unpopular with the public. Over 80,000 protesters gathered outside the parliament, but the situation quickly descended into a “war zone”. Violent youths wearing helmets and masks clashed with a peaceful trade union-led protest. Over 70 people were injured in the clashes, andone man was killed. The riots also coincided with the 48 hour general strike by trade unions, which was in protest against the cuts. Middle East US troops to leave Iraq President Obama has announced that all US troops will be withdrawn from Iraq by the end of 2011. After nearly nine years since the start of the war, Obama declared that “the US leaves Iraq with our heads held high.” The current deadline for the withdrawal of US troops was set by the Bush government, but the issue of a full withdrawal has been a matter of ongoing debate both within the US and between America and Iraq. Approximately 39,000 US troops currently remain in the country; the peak of the US deployment was 165,000 troops in 2008. According to the US Department of Defence, there have been 4,408 American military deaths since 2003. The speaker of the Iraqi Parliament, Osama al-Nujaifi, has expressed concerns about the meddling of neighbouring nations in Iraqi affairs. It is feared that such actions would become worse if Iraq is seen to be vulnerable after the withdrawal of US troops. Earthquake in Turkey The Van province in Eastern Turkey was hit by a deadly 7.2 magnitude earthquake late last month. The earthquake caused widespread panic throughout the region, as residents spilled onto the streets amid efforts by rescue workers to evacuate buildings. Nearly 600 people are reported to have been killed in the quake, and another 4,000 have been injured. It is feared that the total death toll could be closer to 1000, as there is still little information from some of the more remote areas affected by the quake. The quake affected region is one of the poorest in Turkey. So far nearly 1000 buildings have been demolished. Earthquakes are common in Turkey, as the country sits on several fault lines. Within three hours of the earthquake, US scientists had recorded eight aftershocks. US Ambassador leaves Syria The US has announced that it has withdrawn its Ambassador to Syria amid concerns for his safety. Ambassador Robert Ford left Damascus late last month, after a US spokesman said that there were “credible threats against his personal safety”. Ford was an outspoken critic of the Syrian governments’ crackdown on protesters over the past 7 months. Ambassador Ford’s visit to cities such as Hama, and his presence at a funeral for a protester, have made him a controversial figure in the country. The US State Department has stated that Ambassador Ford was not being officially recalled or withdrawn, which would be a more serious diplomatic step. Instead he is being recalled for consultations and his return will depend on an ”assessment of the Syrian regime-led incitement and security situation on the ground” In response to the US action, Syria has recalled its ambassador from Washington for consultation. Q&A With Peter Gorgievski on Citizen Diplomacy Interviewed by Ghazi Ahamat Peter is the co-founder of the Global Dialogue Foundation (GDF). His greatest passion and focus is to create a culture of peace throughout the world. As GDF’s Chief Executive Officer, Peter has led the development of 'Unity in Diversity' forums and events in Australia and India which were held under the auspices of the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations. GDF has played a valuable role in citizen diplomacy and further strengthening relations between Australia and India. For 20 years prior, Peter was involved in the international freight and shipping business. He was the Managing Director of DGX Asia Pacific. Peter has also held senior positions with Direct Container Line in Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore. Could you briefly tell us a little about what the Global Dialogue Foundation is, and what you do? Global Dialogue Foundation is a not-for-profit organisation and a pioneer in the field of citizen diplomacy to promote intercultural understanding. Working under the auspices of the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations, we are developing a number of practical solutions that promote collaboration and understanding among cultures and communities. Our inaugural Unity in Diversity Forum 10.10.10, which was held in October 2010, was the very first UN Alliance of Civilizations affliated event in Australia. It engaged organisations aiming to promote intercultural understanding from several countries in the Asia Pacific region. The event illustrated how cultural diversity plays out differently in different regions of the world. Furthermore, it confirmed the relevant role of the UN Alliance of Civilizations in raising the issue of cultural diversity and intercultural dialogue from a global perspective, encouraging policy-makers around the world to address it and facilitate the connection between government policy and innovative practices at a grassroots level. Following the success in Melbourne, GDF organised a Unity in Diversity Forum under the auspices of the UN Alliance of Civilizations in Thiruvananthapuram, India. Several South Asian countries were engaged, among them students and youth from all around the world. The topics were similar to those discussed in Melbourne. Both Forums highlighted the need for communities experiencing the ground-level realities, to be part of the global intercultural agenda. Since then, GDF has organised a Unity in Diversity Lecture in Mumbai on "Doing business in a multicultural environment", and a very recent event in Melbourne on "Strengthening the role of communities, business and non-governmental organisations in cross-cultural understanding", at which the UN High Representative for the Alliance, H.E. Dr. Jorge Sampaio, former President of Portugal, addressed over 130 different cultures, communities and organisations. The upcoming event between GDF and ACCESS is on 'Citizen Diplomacy'. What does citizen diplomacy mean to you? To me, citizen diplomacy means 'regular' citizens from communities, non-governmental organisations, clubs, and all members of civil society, working in an organised manner to represent their cause or country. This could include the exchange of ideas, best practices and collaborating towards common goals. Citizen diplomacy also creates first-hand opportunities for communities to stimulate coordinated action towards creating inclusive (multicultural) societies, to strengthen their collaboration with Local, State and Federal Governments and to find increasing levels of support. It also aims to build strong civil society chapters that contribute to the mission of the UN Alliance of Civilizations. The way we look at International Relations has traditionally focused on State actors and governments - hence 'International’ relations. What do you think citizen diplomacy can accomplish that governments can't? I think citizen diplomacy stimulates progress, especially when it is aimed at supporting official diplomacy. It is an interesting question. I'd prefer to think in terms of the complementary benefits of citizen diplomacy to official diplomacy and what is possible in building a better world in alignment. Though, I think citizen diplomacy enables citizens, as the representatives of each culture, to properly understand and express the needs of their communities. I don't think official diplomacy can do this effectively on its own. Better yet, I think that citizen diplomacy can help resolve issues in communities in a friendly and timely manner, or before they escalate into conflicts, violence or terror. The GDF recently hosted an event to launch the Australian Civil Society Chapter of the UN Alliance of Civilizations. What is the UNAOC, and what will this Civil Society Chapter do? The United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) is an initiative of the UN Secretary-General which aims to improve understanding and cooperative relations among nations and peoples across cultures and religions. It also helps to counter the forces that fuel polarisation and extremism. The UNAOC was established in 2005, at the initiative of Spain and Turkey, under the auspices of the United Nations and under the leadership of H.E. Dr. Jorge Sampaio, former President of Portugal, as High Representative for the UNAOC. The civil society chapter is an initiative organised by GDF Unity in Diversity that connects Australian non-governmental organisations active in the field of intercultural dialogue and cultural diversity to the mission, programs and partners of the UN Alliance of Civilizations. The main objectives of the civil society chapter are: to facilitate the exchange of information and best practices; to build synergy between Australian organisations, the UNAOC and its partners; to raise the profile and the visibility of the innovative policies and practices of Australian actors on the global scene; to create opportunities for local Australian organisations to attend events organised by the UNAOC and its partners; and to participate in programs such as the annual Forum, regional and thematic programs, grants and competitions, and training programs. As a pilot in Australia and India, the Civil Society Chapter is earmarked for world-wide implementation. It is very unique in that it proposes to form the nucleus of a civil society through which all cultures and civilisations can express their own voice at local and global levels - in the UN system, through the UNAOC. Why the name 'Alliance of Civilizations'? As I understand it, the name 'Alliance of Civilizations' counters the claim [made by historian Samuel Huntington] that the post-Cold War world will be characterised by a 'Clash of Civilizations'. Following the Dialogue Among Civilizations, the Alliance of Civilizations has meant that not everyone will easily use the motto, 'Clash of Civilizations'. As civilisations are a collective of cultures, ethnicities, faiths, peoples, nationalities, etc., the Alliance incorporates all of these components. This why it is so important to nurture it and why GDF's collaboration with the UNAOC is at the highest of levels. What do you think it takes for genuine understanding to happen across cultures? This is a difficult question. At the very least, I think it requires working together through dialogue, to maintain the identity of original traditions of each culture and civilisation. This includes safekeeping each and every individual heritage, traditional way of living, ethnic identity, characteristic, language, eating habit, etc. Also, to foster the impact of each culture on the development of mainstream society, not only for the benefit of humankind in terms of developing respect and appreciation for each other, but to develop a culture of peace throughout the world. ACCESS is hosting a joint event with GDF on ‘Citizen Diplomacy’ on Tuesday 8 November. Ghazi Ahamat is a 4th year undergraduate completing his studies in Economics, Mathematics and Philosophy at the University of Melbourne. Ghazi is Editor-in-Chief of Monthly Access. Q&A With Navdeep Suri, Indian Public Diplomat Interviewed by Roselina Press Navdeep Suri has served in the Indian Foreign service for nearly 30 years. In that time, he has worked in a variety of different capacities in India’s diplomatic missions in Egypt, Syria, the United States, Tanzania, the UK and South Africa. In his current role, Suri is the Joint Secretary & Head of the Public Diplomacy Division of India’s Ministry of External Affairs. Established in 2006, the Public Diplomacy Division seeks to promote greater understanding of India’s national interests and foreign policy concerns, both within India and overseas. We spoke to Suri about his division’s outreach activities, as well as his thoughts on citizen diplomacy. What role does public diplomacy play in India’s foreign relations? Well, the Public Diplomacy division of our Ministry of External Affairs is only 5 years old, even though we have been practising public diplomacy for a lot longer than that. I think the creation of a separate division was a signal of the importance that we now attach to the role of public diplomacy in India’s foreign policy. I expect this role to grow significantly in the coming years. Indian public diplomacy not only engages with a global audience, but with its own citizenry as well. Are both equally important? While our public diplomacy has traditionally focused on the global audience, we have started to pay increasing attention to the domestic audience within India. This is because we see that a whole host of foreign policy issues – World Trade Organisation (WTO), Climate Change, Nuclear Energy, Terrorism and even relations with our neighbours – are now closely intertwined with domestic political agendas. Also, in a lively democracy like ours, people tend to have fairly strong opinions on major foreign policy issues and are seldom reluctant to express these – in print, on TV, over the Internet and in private conversations. From a public diplomacy perspective, we recognise the importance of an informed discourse on foreign policy issues and we have taken several steps in this direction. Our ‘Distinguished Lecture Series on India’s Foreign Policy’ has already taken substantive discussion on foreign policy issues into university campuses around the country. Using the services of our retired ambassadors, we have been able to organise as many as 37 lectures under this program since its launch in February 2010. We have also organised and supported conferences in different parts of India that have focused on regional aspects of India’s foreign policy. As an example, we did a major conference on India’s Look East policy in the north-eastern state of Meghalaya because the view of Bangladesh, Myanmar and even Thailand from the state capital of Shillong is quite different from the perspective that you get in Delhi. India’s Public Diplomacy Division has started using web tools and social media in its programs. What benefits will there be in adapting for a digital audience? We started a modest Digital Diplomacy section in our division last July when we first made our foray on Twitter. Over the last year, we have worked to expand our presence on Facebook and YouTube. The exercise has been extremely productive, helping us to engage directly with think tanks, foreign offices, academics, bloggers and, in particular, with the younger generation. It is also extremely cost effective and we are now trying to increasingly convert much of our content into the digital format. What are your thoughts on citizen diplomacy? Is there a place for citizen diplomacy to work in partnership with public diplomacy? I think public diplomacy works best through intelligent partnerships. Some of our best initiatives over the last couple of years have come through partnerships with universities, think tanks, cultural organizations, business chambers, NGOs and even with some private companies. Our ‘India Is...’ global video contest, for instance, is being run by a Mumbai-based company where the average age of the team is barely 24 years. These partnerships help us get outside our own comfort zone and reach out into groups that would normally be beyond our range. Our social media channels reach out to a large number of citizens directly and it is good to get their candid feedback on a number of issues. It helps us stay grounded, and stay connected. So, yes I am a great believer in the value of citizen diplomacy. You’ve been a member of India’s Foreign Service for nearly 30 years. Have there been any highlights in your career so far? Every assignment, every place, every year seems to produce its own highlights. I cherish the work that I was able to do as political officer in our embassy in Washington during the 1990s and later as the head of the press office in London. From my stint as Consul General in Johannesburg, I recall with pride that we created an annual cultural festival themed Shared Histories on a unique publicprivate partnership model and also worked with Wits University to help create a Centre for Indian Studies, the first of its kind in Africa. And in my current job, we took a few initial risks to usher the use of social media into our system and the rewards have been completely out of proportion to the effort that we put in. In addition to your diplomacy work, you are also a translator. Your book, The Watchmaker is an English translation of a classic Punjabi novel, Pavitra Paapi, which was in fact written by your grandfather, Nanak Singh. What inspired you to translate your grandfather’s novel? My grandfather had little formal education but was a naturally gifted storyteller. He wrote over 50 books in his lifetime and many of them remain best sellers a good 40 years after he passed away. But he wrote in Punjabi language, which has a relatively limited audience. By translating one of his popular works into English, I wanted to acquaint a wider audience with his literary genius. Roselina is undertaking a Masters of International Relations at Melbourne University. A Level Playing Field: Diplomacy in Sport By Andrew Romanin Sport and the sporting arena has long been utilized as a platform for diplomacy.Can sport overcome the challenges presented by professionalism and globalisation in order to remain an effective diplomatic influence? The acknowledged ceasefire in hostilities between city-states during the Olympic Games in Ancient Greece attests to powerful role sports can play in reducing tensions between nation-states. While cease-fires are no longer the norm, undoubtedly sport still plays a significant role as a diplomatic tool; promoting values of respect, understanding, openness and communication between opponents (nation-states) . However it must be queried whether the modern professional and globalised era of sport has diluted the potential for sport as an influential diplomatic tool. Is the idealistic analogy of athletes as ambassadors, the field of play as a forum for debate and negotiation, and the rules of the game as the processes and conventions governing exchanges between sovereign nations outdated? The commercialization of sport is often labeled as a blight on the once virtuous nature of athletic pursuit, and as an extension may be detrimental to the potential for diplomacy. The 1996 “CocaCola” Atlanta Olympic Games set the standard. Sport is now big business; it’s about advertising, branding, and commercial growth and benefits for the host, governing bodies and its corporate partners that plaster the stadiums with billboards, dominating our television screens. This heavy saturation, it can be argued, shifts the focus of the local or global community away from issues of political importance and concern, such as regional and global conflicts, human rights abuses and political corruption. And realistically, many would argue that to some degree the true “spirit” of the Olympics is often undermined and hijacked by such novelty commercialization. In saying this, the opposite can also occur. Multinational corporations are becoming increasingly aware of the interplay of diplomatic concerns associated with a sporting event and the potential brand damage that may be inflicted as a result of their sponsorship. For instance, multinationals were warned about assessing diplomatic controversies that could arise during the 2008 Beijing Olympics in order to evaluate potential risks. To this end, companies such as General Motors Corp. responded by actively choosing not to sponsor the Olympics. Equally, the increasing corruption in sport threatens to invalidate its ability to address concerns of international importance. The process for the 2018 and 2022 FIFA World Cups was widely condemned as being riddled with illegal payments to officials and vote-buying following the awarding of the tournaments to Qatar and Russia respectively. In the aftermath senior FIFA officials have been found guilty. Naturally, this brings into question the efficacy of sport as a vehicle for diplomacy. In the world of international relations this type of corruption or manipulation is not unusual. It is however unacceptable. Having acknowledged the irregularities of the process, FIFA has taken strong action to lay down a precedent to ensure the process remains fair and accessible to all. Unfortunately, not all diplomatic platforms strive to improve their functionality and legitimacy in the same manner as sport can. In addition, accounting for the elements of corruption in sport, but not condoning them, it is a positive sign that the Arab world and Eastern Europe will host such a prominent event. The key here is that the universality of sport creates a playing field on which all international actors can participate. The process may be dogged with emerging challenges, but in this case the awarding of the World Cup to new territories should be acknowledged as a positive diplomatic act. In the case of Qatar, this will act as one of the most important opportunities of the next decade to facilitate understanding, awareness and dialogue with the Arab world, as well as a presenting a chance for Qatar to manifest its own national identity to a global audience. The appeal of sport as a great leveler, upon which people from vastly different backgrounds are drawn together on peaceful terms is a powerful concept. The sight of a capacity crowd of all colours, races and nationalities, or the genuine embrace of athletes from countries engaged in bloody conflict creates stirring images that embody the role sport has to play. Closer to home, the fledgling AFL International Cup boasts among its participants the Israeli-Palestinian Peace Team. Having originally emerged in 2008 as an initiative of the Peres Center for Peace and Al Quds Association for Democracy and Dialogue. The impetus for this team to come together is to demonstrate that cooperation and dialogue between Jews and Muslims is possible. Regardless of the relative insignificance of the competition the simple fact that sport creates a space conducive to such an initiative highlights its worth. Sport has never been, and never will be, a substitute for traditional diplomacy. But in facing its own internal challenges, changing dynamics and evolution its continued ability to draw people together, create unique opportunities for awareness, understanding and cooperation, and a platform for all actors to leverage from is evidence enough to suggest its diplomatic influence has not been diminished. Andrew Romanin completed a Bachelor of Arts in Political Science and History from the University of Melbourne in 2009. He currently works as a Coordinator of Emergency Recovery with the Red Cross. Q&A With Peter Varghese, High Commissioner to India Interviewed by Amal Varghese (no relation) Mr Peter Varghese, AO has been Australia’s High Commissioner to India since 2009.This monthMA spoke with Peter Varghese about Australia’s relationship with India, covering areas of strategic relationships, trade and mining exports, international students and the emerging range of common interests between the two countries. Prior to his appointment, he was Director-General of the Office of National Assessments. Prior to this, he was the Senior Adviser (International) to the Prime Minister. From 2002 until July 2003, Mr Varghese was a Deputy Secretary of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. From 2000 until 2002 Mr Varghese was Australia's High Commissioner to Malaysia. He has also served in Australian missions in Vienna (1980-83), Washington (1986-88) and Tokyo (1994). He served as First Assistant Secretary of the International Security Division in 1997 before being seconded in February 1998, to the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet as First Assistant Secretary of the International Division. The annual AUSMIN meeting has just concluded in San Francisco and concluded that a trilateral relation between the US, Australia and India be built on common areas of interest such as maritime security cooperation, disaster risk management and regional architecture. Could this be the beginning of a new trilateral alliance between three key democratic players in the Indian Ocean? No one is talking about a formal alliance. India values its strategic autonomy and I do not think any of the three countries are thinking in terms of an alliance relationship. But there is a growing convergence of strategic interests among the US, India and Australia and that is something we should build on. Canberra still continues to lag behind other global players in pursuing more activist policies towards building a greater economic partnership with New Delhi, to what extend has the lack of progress on selling uranium to India affected this paradigm? Should they instead focus on the sales of Australian exports of coal and gas as a precursor? I would disagree with the premise of your question. The India-Australia economic relationship is expanding very fast. We have seen bilateral trade grow by 20% a year for the last five years. We have agreed to try and double bilateral trade in the next five years. Indian investment in Australia is on a steep curve and could well be in the $10-15 billion over the next five years. These are hardly the numbers of a lagging economic relationship. Add to this the start of negotiations for a FreeTrade Agreement and it is clear this is a vital relationship. Uranium is an area of difference but neither side wants to hold the relationship hostage to a single issue. And I think India understands that our uranium policy is anchored in the NPT. It is not an anti-India policy. It is a pro-NPT policy. And Australia can make, and indeed is making a contribution to India’s energy security in other ways by exporting coal and LNG. The number of international students pursuing further education in Australia has dropped significantly and can be attributed to safety fears, a high Australian dollar and increased regulation in the tertiary sector. Is Australia the big loser in the game and if so, how can policy reform incentivise Australia as a priority tertiary destination? International students have dropped to a large degree due to a combination of those factors, but are also a result of policy reform. The government has chosen to more clearly separate migration and education. Previously the bulk of Indian students were students in private institutions training in vocational skills. The government policy reform has been aimed at making education at tertiary level the primary driver of international students in Australia. At the same time we are looking at delivering more vocational education in India. Over time I think we will see a rebuilding and strengthening of the education link between India and Australia. According to the Lowy Institute, India and Australia’s relationship should be a ‘natural’ one as two countries that share democratic values, defy jihadist enemies of open society and are concerned about the strategic impact of a powerful China. Both are parties to the East Asia Summit, to what extent do you think regional cooperation will benefit New Delhi and Canberra in pursuing greater economic and security cooperation in this strategic environment? The Australia-India relationship is increasingly grounded in converging interests: geopolitical, multilateral and people-to-people. Security cooperation and regional cooperation are key elements of this convergence. Australia and India are both countries that want to see stability in Asia endure over what is likely to be a period of great strategic churn. We want similar things in terms of regional architecture and outward-looking and inclusive regionalism. And our shared values as liberal democracies are a further strong bond. Amal Varghese is completing a Masters in International Relations at the University of Melbourne Non-State Actors and International Humanitarian Law By Sharna de Lacy Grave atrocities committed during violent warfare have mired human history. The Nuremberg and Tokyo trials held in the aftermath of World War II marked the first attempt to hold perpetrators of such atrocities to account within the international justice system. As Justice Robert Jackson noted during the Nuremberg trial, the fact that the allies would “submit their captives to the judgment of law is one of the most significant tributes that Power has ever paid to Reason.” International law and the conduct of war have changed dramatically since the Nuremberg and Tokyo trials. Intra-state conflict, waged between government forces and non-state armed groups, is now the most widespread form of conflict. The tragedies of the Rwandan and Cambodian genocides are evident of unconscionable crimes that can be committed by non-state actors. International law has therefore needed to evolve to ensure these groups are held to account. Almost 50 years after Nuremberg, the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR) represents the first true international court established to deal with crimes committed in an internal conflict. Theoretically, states maintain a monopoly on the use of force within their borders. However, fragile and failed states, unable to guarantee public order, often give rise to armed groups that may act parallel to, or even in direct opposition of, the state. During the decades long conflict in the Indonesian province of Aceh, the Free Aceh Movement (Gerakan Merdeka Aceh or GAM) had dual military and political structures and undertook a range of administrative functions that would typically be associated with the state, such as tax collection. As such, non-state armed groups may attain a high level of institutional organisation and indeed local legitimacy. The use of force is regulated through International Humanitarian Law (IHL) and international criminal law primarily based upon the Geneva Conventions (1949). The Geneva Conventions principally deal with the conduct of the state as the user of force. The rights and obligations of nonstate armed groups in situations of internal conflict are contained within Common Article 3 and Additional Protocol II. Common Article 3 binds non-state armed groups and has attained universal ratification. Protocol II, adopted in 1977, makes finer distinctions between civilians and armed combatants, civilian objects and military objectives and extends prohibitions on inhumane acts against civilians and those no longer engaged in hostilities. The judgments of international courts including the Rwanda Tribunal and the International Criminal Court have also recognised the application of IHL to noninternational conflict and non state armed groups. The decisions of these courts have also significantly contributed to the prohibition of gender-crimes committed during internal conflict, such as rape and sexual slavery, which had been ignored during the Nuremberg trails. While the jurisprudence of the international courts has significantly contributed to the application of humanitarian law for non-state armed actors, incorporating these groups into the international system as bearers of international obligations has been challenged within the international community. Lingering notions of absolute sovereignty and non-intervention in the domestic affairs of other states, as well as desire for impunity, represent a real challenge for the enforcement and prosecution of IHL violations committed by state and non-state groups engaged in internal conflict. According to the UN Panel Report, there is credible evidence that both the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) and the Sri Lankan Military have committed serious violations of IHL during the final stages of conflict between 2008 and 2009. Despite the seriousness of the allegations against the LTTE and Sri Lankan government, rather than recommending referral of the matter to the International Criminal Court, the report recommends that the government of Sri Lanka oversee an investigation, with some oversight by the UN. The Sri Lankan government denies the allegations against it and has thus far, resisted international intervention. As the international legal system has developed, IHL and criminal law frameworks have enabled the international community to hold the conduct of state and non-state actors to account for some of the world's most violent atrocities. Further as noted by Sir Christopher Greenwood QC of the International Court of Justice the body of law also "educ[ates] those who take part in hostilities about what their rights, and more importantly, what their obligations are," thereby protecting future communities from the horrors of war. We have seen the will of the international community united against such crimes through the 'Never Again' intonations that initiated the Rwanda Tribunal. But we have also seen justice lost, where the political resolve to seek justice is lacking. Sharna de Lacy completed a Masters of International and Community Development from Deakin University in 2010, and is currently employed with the Australian Department of Human Services. Including 'Fundamentalists' in Interfaith Dialogue By Katherine Tranter Fundamentalists exist in many religious traditions. However, interfaith conferences have so far failed to include fundamentalists – a neglect which could have serious impacts on the proposed elimination of religious-based violence. The membership of fundamentalist Christian churches in the United States is expanding, Islamic extremism is spreading across Asia and Africa, and Hindu extremists in India have waged an increasingly aggressive terrorism campaign in the past decade. Indonesia has seen a rising number of fundamentalist groups, from both the majority Muslim and minority Christian communities, resulting in numerous conflicts based on mutual suspicion of attempted conversions. The Australian recently cited a private US study which found that “religious-linked violence and abuse rose around the world between 2006 and 2009, with Christians and Muslims the most common targets”. The highest rates of religious-based social hostilities, including terrorist violence relating to religion, were found to have occurred in Iraq, India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Somalia, Indonesia, Nigeria, Bangladesh, Israel and Egypt. Terrorist groups with strong links to religion were found to be active in more than a third of the 198 countries studied. Religious fundamentalists who deliberately cause conflict often do so to emphasise difference and reinforce distrust of the ‘other’. In the wake of the 9/11 terrorist attacks on New York’s World Trade Centre, many people were forced to explore the relationship between different faiths, and consider whether such differences were reconcilable. As such, the growth of organised interfaith dialogues in recent years has attempted to emphasise universal values and encourage understanding between faiths, in order to combat rising fundamentalist religious militancy. The importance of interfaith dialogue in creating opportunities to increase respect and reduce prejudice between different faiths is widely recognised. Nevertheless, interfaith conferences primarily include religious moderates and exclude fundamentalist groups. Dialogues rarely represent fundamentalists and their concerns, often failing to recognise them as valued conversation partners. Furthermore, the numerous dialogues held across the world have so far failed to significantly reduce conflicts and tensions between religious communities. The value of these discourses in effectively combating the growing threat of religious extremism has thus been questioned by a number of commentators. Indeed, countering the growing trend of extremism requires that understanding and tolerance for different faiths be encouraged in those who are principally responsible for religious violence. Fundamentalist groups must therefore be included in any truly representative interfaith discussion. The challenge of initiating discussions with fundamentalists lies primarily in their apparent desire to eliminate competing religions, and destroy any attempts at interfaith dialogue. Dialogue with extremists is therefore much more difficult, yet increasingly important. Religious moderates must therefore attempt to engage in conversations with fundamentalists in their own traditions, and encourage tolerance and understanding of various faiths. The value of education in ensuring that interfaith dialogue reaches the grassroots level, and in preventing the further spread of extremism, must not be ignored. The future of interfaith dialogue as a means of combating religious extremism depends on its ability to engage effectively with fundamentalist groups, despite the challenges involved. Katherine completed a Masters degree in International Development at RMIT in 2009 and is currently working as a Country Adviser for the Migration & Refugee Review Tribunals. World Diplomacy: Does Citizen Journalism have a role to play? By Andrew Romanin The unrestrained nature of Citizen Journalism has played an affirmative role in the ongoing Arab Spring. But it is does have its critics. A lack of regulation is argued to be detrimental to diplomatic relations. This article looks at the unique opportunity Citizen Journalism presents to all peoples in playing an active role in diplomacy. Citizen Journalism is all the rage. The idea that the ordinary individual can comment on a blog, create a Twitter page or upload a Youtube video at their own behest is, as we are now all aware, a phenomenally powerful actor in the diplomatic sphere. The role that Citizen Journalism played in the lightning emergence of the Arab Spring attests to its significance. Its largely unrestrained nature has rendered it a crucial element in the series of ensuing events over the past year, heightening the perception of it as a key diplomatic force However there are concerns that the unrestrained nature of citizen journalism is dangerous. The ongoing debate over Wikileaks suggest as much; is the limited regulation of Citizen Journalism already having, a detrimental impact upon diplomacy? Or does its relatively unrestrained nature increase its positive influence? Much of the controversy that surrounds Citizen Journalism stems from the lack of a uniform definition. Appropriately enough, the most simple definition I have come across came from a website set up to facilitate learning and development for Citizen Journalism. In this instance Citizen Journalism is defined as any effort by people who are not trained or employed as professional journalists to publish news or information based on original observation, research, inquiry, analysis or investigation. Basically, it can be any piece of information observed and recorded by a citizen, ultimately the masses. Given such a broad definitional scope, it is perhaps understandable for established actors in the diplomatic sphere to be nervous about the potential impacts caused by such activity. Even more so, as international diplomacy has long been carried out behind closed doors, away from the public eye and by a select few individuals deemed “qualified” to act on behalf of the global community. Are the scathing attacks and condemnation that has seen Julian Assange and WikiLeaks become polarising examples of this debate warranted? Recently, WikiLeaks was again upsetting the diplomatic applecart, by releasing comments by Kevin Rudd describing Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as a “loathsome individual on every level” and revealing that Australian diplomats have been feeding information back to their US counterparts who do not have diplomatic relations with Iran. Like much of the secretive information that has sprung to light via the unrestrained WikiLeaks machine this, on the surface, has the potential to be detrimental to Australia-Iranian relations. However, another way to look at this debate is to question the accountability and transparency of the diplomatic world, and the actions of those individuals within it. Whether or not one agrees with the motives of WikiLeaks is irrelevant. Within the transient and malleable scope of Citizen Journalism WikiLeaks has an affirmative role to play. All aspects of governance, particularly international, require checks and balances. Citizen Journalism upholds this. That Citizen Journalism is often argued to lack the objective pillar of traditional journalism is essentially its greatest asset. Those masking as Citizen Journalists have a vested interest to report and disseminate information and opinions that are of interest to them and which affects their personal space. In the case that this publicises to a greater degree the diplomatic relations of sovereign nations, can produce positive spin-offs; improved accountability, a higher quality of diplomatic exchange and honesty, and the opening of the diplomatic arena to involve the masses creating active participation and engagement. Politicians, and by extension diplomats, bemoan the lack of political and civil malaise in their societies, particularly Western democracies. Citizen Journalism provides an opportunity for active engagement. This mass involvement and its untamed nature creates a powerful, inclusive and influential voice in the international diplomatic process. While caution is necessary, and scepticism is inevitable, affirmative influence is undeniable: just ask the Arab world. Andrew Romanin completed a Bachelor of Arts in Political Science and History from the University of Melbourne in 2009. He currently works as a Coordinator of Emergency Recovery with the Red Cross. Apple's Gadgetry May Show Us the 'Essential Fruits of Life' By Nick Clarke Many non-governmental organisations (NGOs) create real change in contemporary society far beyond the broad yet superficial change created by i-pads or pods. Although Apple gadgetry has revolutionised the speed and accessibility of communication, it has not changed its content or character vis-à-vis the way we fundamentally think or live. However, the overwhelming widespread response to Steve Jobs unfortunate passing may guide us towards a powerful paradigm that has the potential to enact real change akin to that of NGOs such as World Vision. The principles of free market capitalism are conceptually sound in terms of producing the fruits that enable people to be alleviated from poverty. In spite of capitalisms strengths though, a major problem resides in its fruits being misguided. For instance, why do certain people, such as celebrities and sports stars, earn so much money? In part, because of the importance we place on their prowess and the money this generates through ticket sales, merchandise and all manner of endorsements. Could greater importance be placed upon people who are actually enacting real change for the greater good? Would people’s wallets follow? The sheer number of people heralding Jobs as a hero or person that really changed our lives poignantly illustrates this point. Although Jobs was a genius innovator, he did not fundamentally change our day-to-day lives. So, what might explain these misguided fruits? An oft-overlooked cyclical problem. People are by and large educated to think superficial materialism and individualism are important in life. Most educational institutions place enormous importance on students striving for individual excellence and this causes capitalistic tunnel vision. Although personal excellence is great, should this tunnel vision grossly outweigh what is really important in life? We might do well to educate people to ‘prosper with perspective’. We should address how you, I and most of humanity perceive what is important in life because, among other things, money trails follow this perceived importance. Is there any chance we could try and encourage people to admire those that fundamentally change people’s lives in the hope this might stir up fanfare, admiration and financial support for NGOs? NGOs, especially those that are apolitical and empowered by pragmatic marketing, are in a prime position to spread the idea of ‘prospering with perspective'. A good strategy would target those who will assume positions of influence in years to come, for instance university graduates. Yet, before we get too idealistic, it must be said: life is to be enjoyed. You should go out with friends, buy, invest and do things for yourself. It’s essential to ensure your survival in the jungle, and would be unrealistic to think otherwise. Thereafter though – get out of the tunnel. To paraphrase Jobs eloquent speech to Stanford University graduates in 2005, search for something you love doing, don’t settle, and in following your passion the right path will unfold. These are wise words, yet although simple seldom followed. Did Jobs (inadvertently) overlook some key ingredients? In paving your path, be fully aware how privileged you are to be able to do this. Be aware that from birth, most have not indulged in the arts, competed in sport, nor explored or experienced new frontiers along with the benefits of modern science. Put the big picture in perspective. You may have a poster of Beckham, a Baywatch babe or Brad Pitt hunk on your wall. Why not Adam Smith, Mahatma Gandhi, Martin Luther King or Tim Costello? Various aspects of our world, such as financial rewards and the way people are portrayed in the media, greatly distort what is important in life - the opportunity for people in the world to pursue their dreams. This perspective enables life to be rewarding, enriching and, although I wanted to avoid saying it, beautiful. NGOs should advocate this conceptually simple yet practically difficult notion. Navigate a path of happiness in our wondrous world, with a pinch of perspective and dollop of reality. The real heroes are the people who have afforded us the opportunity to pursue our dreams, many whom we don’t know, and others we do. Remember this the next time you applaud the ‘heroics’ or grossly overpaid skills of Beckham, Pitt or Jobs. The ‘prosper with perspective’ paradigm, in coordination with the poverty alleviating, opportunity providing endeavours of NGOs such as World Vision, may over time further enact real change. Nick is currently completing a Masters in International Relations at the University of Melbourne. Event Report: Why Women are Key to a Better World By Marla Pascual On Wednesday, 19th of October 2011, ACCESS hosted Ms. Joanna Hayter, the Executive Director of the International Women’s Development Agency, and Ms. Mina Barling, Manager of Policy and Partnerships for Marie Stopes International Australia to discuss how gender equality and the empowerment of women are key to a better world. Ms. Hayter argued that women’s ‘participation and inclusion are the key to a better world’. The Executive Director, who has 25 years of experience in the international aid and community development sector, said the ‘only answer to global survival’ lies in creating a fairer, more balanced world wherein both men and women’s aspirations, capabilities and responsibilities are perceived to be equal. “Women are not an issue. We’re not a project, not a programme, not an activity, not a vulnerable marginalised group; we’re half of the population of the planet.” Ms. Hayter illustrated the current obstacles women are facing today by drawing on her recent experience in community development in East Timor. She suggested that in order to achieve a sustainable society, women must be transposed into decision-making processes through better rights, services and resources. Similarly, Ms. Barling spoke about how foreign aid policy for women is ‘overly politicised’. She discussed the mishaps in providing better maternal health and allowing access to contraception, in the hopes of decreasing unsafe abortion services. She explained her experiences in Cambodia to illustrate how women in other parts of the world are forced to be in ‘untenable environments’ and how state policies undermine their own foreign policy goals. Ms. Barling suggested that society must ‘rise above policy trends and fluctuations’ to develop more sustainable development goals and in a broader scope, promote better healthcare for women. As Executive Director of IWDA, Ms. Hayter’s vast international experience include being Country Director for the Burnet Institute in Burma and for Save the Children UK in Vietnam, and is Regional Director for Africa with the Overseas Service Bureau. Ms. Barling has worked for both government and non-government agencies, leading the Women’s Safety Strategy for the Office of Women and the Attorney General’s Department and managing the establishment of The Australia Centre for Social Innovation. The event was organised by ACCESS, the Australian Institute for International Affairs’ Network for University Students and Young Professionals. For upcoming events and further information, please contact AIIA at [email protected] or call (03) 9654 7271. Marla completed her Bachelor in Arts (Journalism and History) in 2009 at Monash University. She is currently undertaking a Masters of International Relations at Monash University. Indonesia and Australia Should Make Friends on Facebook By Catriona Richards & Olivia Cable Indonesians and Australians can help improve the relationship between their nations through the use of social media. Speakers at the Indonesia-Australia Dialogue, held recently at the Four Seasons Hotel in South Jakarta, pointed to forms of social media such as Facebook and Twitter as ways to improve people-to-people links between the countries, thereby spurring better diplomatic and business ties. “[Social media is] cost-effective and reaches younger generations,” said Ima Abdurrahim of the Habibie Center, a foundation that promotes modernisation and democracy. Ima added that online contact could address the “stereotypes that we both have to work on.” Business, media, education, and science leaders attending the event concluded that contact through social media could help diminish negative stereotypes on both sides by adding a human element. Speaking at the event, Rizal Sukma of the Center for Strategic and International Studies said greater communication was essential for boosting bilateral relations. “We need to continue the dialogue through our youth interacting with new technologies,” he said. Communication, education and trade were identified as the most critical avenues for improving relations. While diplomatic ties between Indonesia and Australia remain stable, there are frequent rifts over issues like people smuggling, terrorism and legal and humanitarian issues. These issues can escalate because of cultural misunderstandings. Speakers at the conference pledged to make the Indonesia-Australia Dialogue a regular event and to organise additional smaller discussions. By bringing together leaders in business, innovation and youth affairs, the inaugural dialogue aimed to foster new perspectives in both countries and to spur discussion on how they could expand their relationship into different sectors. Educational exchange was singled out as an important element of the Indonesia-Australia relationship. While Indonesian enrolment at Australian institutions remains high, Australian students seem less interested in learning about their Asian neighbours than ever before. Speakers warned that Indonesian-language studies could cease to exist in Australian schools within eight years. Trade was also a major focus, including the need to address problems of red tape on both sides. Corruption and convoluted bureaucratic procedures were blamed for complicating trade, which speakers attributed to a lack of trust resulting from cultural differences. The dialogue was initiated in response to comments made by President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono during his address to Australia’s Parliament last year in which he urged both nations to “expunge [the] preposterous mental caricatures” each held of the other. The president said many Australians still thought of Indonesia as an authoritarian state, while many Indonesians believed Australia still enforced a race-based immigration policy. Speaking at this week’s event, former Australian ambassador John McCarthy said that the two nations still had a long way to go toward reaching a mutual cultural understanding. “The relationship between Indonesia and Australia will never be problem-free,” he said. “But if there is a vibrant level of relationships between sectors, [it can prosper].” Catriona Richards writes for the Jakarta Globe. Olivia Cable was at the Dialogue with the Secretariat of the Australian Institute of International Affairs. This article first appeared in the Jakarta Globe. Nuclear Disarmament and Non-Proliferation - Can it be done? By Zeb Leonard From the very beginnings of the age of nuclear weapons there have been vocal commentators advocating they never be used and that disarmament should begin. Although these voices have been powerful, the bomb cannot be ‘uninvented.’ Attempts to control atomic weapons technology, beginning with the U.S. Atomic Energy Act of 1946, have been far from completely successful and it is known that nuclear weapons exist in the arsenals of the United States, Russia, United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, and North Korea. It is very strongly suspected that Israel is in possession of nuclear weapons and South Africa is known to have had nuclear weapons but has dismantled them. Efforts to control the proliferation of nuclear weapons, such as the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which first entered into force in March 1970, have largely been the responsibility of states. However, the voices of civil society groups, such as NGOs, have also been influential on the debate surrounding non-proliferation and disarmament. It would seem that advocating complete disarmament (as in Australia’s official perspective as outlined by the ‘Canberra Commission') is a noble but unfortunately unlikely goal. Nevertheless, prominent groups such as the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons and the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament have as their ultimate goal that all nuclear weapons be dismantled and no more are fabricated. Yet it should be noted that the general design and function of first-generation nuclear weapons is a matter on the public record. Furthermore, the horrendous destructive potential of even a small yield nuclear weapon will, unfortunately, ensure they remain a desirable asset for those seeking power. As Hans Morgenthau, to whom the concept of the ‘realist’ perspective to international relations is attributed, stated ‘International politics, like all politics, is a struggle for power.’ Nuclear weapons have become in themselves a symbol of power in modernity. The interests of activists in the global community who desire disarmament would perhaps best be served by promoting that declared nuclear powers undergo an agreed-upon reduction in nuclear forces in stages, with efforts towards disarmament being matched by potential rivals. A salient recent example of a step in this direction (at least in terms of reduction in what nuclear forces are actually deployed) is the new START treaty between the United States and Russia, which entered into force in February 2011. The technology of a first-generation bomb can be replicated by developing nations and, perhaps more worryingly, could be replicated by a well-funded non-state group. We should be thankful that the fissile material required to bring about a nuclear explosion is difficult to obtain. It is unlikely that a non-state group could construct the necessary reactors, centrifuges or particle accelerators to isolate their own fissile material. However it should be noted it was the lifetime fear of former U.S. nuclear weapons designer Theodore B Taylor the required material could be obtained via theft from civil industry. Regardless of one’s individual stance on nuclear power, the nuclear industry is vital to contemporary society for such things as the production of medical isotopes. As the nuclear industry grows, activist voices in the global community may well be wise to direct their attention to promoting officials to ensure that proper safeguards for fissile material are in place. Ultimately, complete disarmament may never be realised, however members of the broader global community can do much to promote that nuclear arsenals be scaled down and that potential ‘entry level’ proliferators are carefully monitored. Zeb Leonard received his PhD from the University of Ballarat in May 2011. His thesis explored the public debates surrounding British nuclear weapons testing in Australia. Vote 1 Managed Democracy! By Cameron Dunne Russia was once deemed to be “a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma”; according to Sir Winston Churchill. Today it's still an enigma, the facade is this time democracy. Former British Prime Minister Sir Winston Churchill once said, “… that democracy is the worst form of government except all the others that have been tried.” While that is true some countries don’t help the democratic cause, instead they undermine it. For example the Russian presidential elections are to be held on the fourth of March 2012. It will be another expose of Russian democracy in action. Russia’s democracy is different to that of Australia for Russia’s democracy is managed. In political science parlance a ‘managed democracy’ is an autocratic government that is democratically elected. So in other words, managed democracies will hold elections which will legitimise the government. However, the contest isn’t as rigorous as pre-selections in Australia or as competitive as the US primaries when it comes to selecting a presidential candidate. Hence, Vladimir Putin was announced at the United Party’s conference on the 24th September 2011 to be its presidential candidate, while the token opposition contender will be Gennady Zyuganov of the Communist party. The former president Dmitry Medvedev has declined to stand again for the presidency, instead preferring to stand aside for the more experienced and popular Putin. Putin’s Russia has always had opportunities to make Russia a fully functional liberal democracy, but decides not to. However, even if more political parties were able to run, Putin’s United party would likely still win. There is little chance of the Communists being re-elected after their tumultuous history of ruling the former Soviet Union or the fascist Vladimir Zhirinovsky’s Liberal Democratic Party taking over the Kremlin anytime soon. Russia’s system of government has the institutions for a liberal democratic government, but they are currently a joke. This was demonstrated recently when a session of the Russian Federation Council was filmed as a vote was taking place. Instead of the parliamentarians taking their seats and voting, a handful of United Russia party members walked the aisles pressing the yes buttons so that the legislation could easily pass the 178 member upper house. With a well ‘managed’ executive branch of government and a shell of a parliament, Russia’s third branch of government, the judiciary, is reminiscent of the Soviet People’s Court. The case that best represents this accusation is the Yukos Trial and the imprisonment of Mikhail Khordorkovsky. Khordorkovsky rose to prominence by taking advantage of the privatisation of Russia’s state assets in 1994, purchasing many of them for next to nothing. By doing so Khordorkovsky, along with the likes of Roman Abramovich and Boris Berezovsky, amassed huge fortunes and became household names. Khordorkovsky is sitting in jail and not expecting to be released due to the way he attained Apatit, a fertiliser company. He created shelf companies in order to bid for Apatit, making it look like it was brought in a competitive market. The Russian government (read: Putin) were not too pleased about this undermining of the privatisation process. However, you must remember that the 1994 privatisation process was dubious to say the least; it involved nepotism, corruption and cronyism. To arrest Mikhail Khordorkovsky and charge him with deceit and corruption while other oligarchs are enjoying the fruits of their bargains is all pretty rich.However, Putin can hang his hat on some positive economic and foreign policy initiatives and should therefore be given credit. For example, Putin has implemented liberal economic policies which have seen the implementation of a flat tax as well as a value-added consumption tax which is praised by the Russian business community. The same goes for his foreign policy initiatives which are pragmatic; he does not rely on the West but deals with all different types of countries. For example he supports Iran having a nuclear program, opposes the USA Defence shield, opposed the Iraq war and recently was critical of the overthrowing of Libyan leader Col. Muammar Gaddafi. If only Russia’s Managed Democracy could become a Liberal Democracy, Russia could become a positive beacon on the international stage, but that might be hard to manage. Cameron Dunne is currently completing his Masters in International Relations at the University of Melbourne. Issue 20 “The impacts of women in various aspects of international affairs” Message from the Editor By Ghazi Ahamat Welcome to the October issue of Monthly Access, which returns after a brief break. This month's issue explores the impacts of women in various aspects of international affairs. The role of women has been of increasing importance in several areas of international relations, development and security. For example, the aid and development sector focusses on the opportunities for more effective delivery of development aid, particularly in the development of microfinance and targeted household delivery of aid (a topic previously explored by Monthly Access). But there are many other ways in which the role of women has expanded in international affairs. From Christine Lagarde's selection as the first female head of the IMF, to an increasing number of senior female politicians and diplomats, to debates about increasing the role of women in front line military forces, the role of women in global decision making brings an alternative set of perspectives, priorities and experiences to bear on international affairs. This month Career Spotlight focusses on two women with international careers: Rose Press interviews Samah Hadid, a young Australian Human Rights Activist who was the 2010 Australian Youth Representativ to the United Nations, while Emilia Bojovic interviews Assoc. Prof. Jane Munro, an academic and experienced Asian Languages educator who who reflected on her career experiences in a keynote adress for the International Careers Conference held by ACCESS in September. In this month's Contemporary Debate, Sharna de Lacy explores the different ways in which the security sector has neglected the security needs of women, while Katherine Tranter highlights the demographic time-bomb presented by the male bias in the worlds two largest countries. Amal Varghese and Nick Clarke discuss the ways in which the emergence of more female leaders in senior diplomatic and political roles may change foreign policy priorities at the highest levels. They highlight that this phenomenon is complicated by differences in ideology rather than gender differences alone. Meanwhile for Q&A this month Amal Varghese interviews former British Diplomat Charles Crawford, who reflects on the current situation in the Balkans, while Global Snapshot highlights key events from around the world. Next month's issue focusses on Citizen Diplomacy. We welcome submissions of 400 to 600 words that explore these issues for an intelligent lay audience. Other general submissions on issues of international affairs are welcome for consideration. Submissions for the November issue are due 23rd October 2011. Ghazi is a 4th year undergraduate completing his studies in Economics, Mathematics and Philosophy at the University of Melbourne. The Monthly Access team is: Editor-in-Chief: Ghazi Ahamat Deputy Editor (Interviews and Submissions): Evan Ritli Deputy Editor (Contemporary Debate): Priya Wakhlu Global Snapshot Columnists: Rachel Hankey and Richard Griffin Interviewers: Amal Varghese, Emilia Bojovic and Roselina Press Contemporary Debate Columnists: Sharna de Lacy, Katherine Tranter and Nick Clarke ACCESS Event Reporter: Marla Pascual For comments regarding this newsletter please write to [email protected] Global Snapshot for October 2011 By Rachel Hankey and Richard Griffin The September/October issue of Global Snapshot, which brings current international issues and news from around the world. This month sees the conflict in Libya move from war to the establishment of a legitimate government, as well as typhoons in Japan, Euro-zone woes and the trial of a former French President. Africa Libya’s National Transitional Council recognised by the international community. The process of forming a government and legitimate ruling authority in Libya is beginning to take shape. Libya's Transitional National Council has announced that they would resign when the remaining supporters of Colonel Muammar al-Gaddafi were defeated in Sirte. This is a revision of previous declarations, which suggested that a transfer of power would not occur until the country was free of Colonel Gaddafi and his top aides. The transitional leaders are set to declare "full liberation". The towns of Sirte and Ban Walid are amongst the last pockets of pro-Gaddafi forces yet to be defeated. The interim Prime Minister Mahmoud Jibril and the head of the National Transitional Council, Mustafa Abdul-Jalil, "plan to step down, having pledged to take no further part in the country's future government." Meanwhile, Libya's first crude oil cargo ship since the outbreak of hostilities sailed from Marsa el Hariga on September 25 en route for Italy. "Libya's pre-war production was around 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil. A senior source in the National Oil Corporation told Reuters last week the OPEC member's oil production is set to reach 500,000 bpd by early October, helping to boost revenues badly needed to kickstart the economy after seven months of war." As the conflict nears resolution, Admiral Giampaolo Di Paola, the head of NATO's military committee raised concerns that NATO had lost track of 10,000 surface-to-air missiles that had been in Libyan army hands. Such weapons are particularly troubling, given the risk that such weapons could "fall in the hands of al Qaeda militants and be used to attack civilian airlines." NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said that "in general, it is a matter of concern….[but] it is the responsibility of the National Transitional Council to ensure that stocks of weapons in Libya are appropriately controlled." Libya’s National Transitional Council (NTC) has been making significant progress in asserting itself as the legitimate governing regime in Libya by forging new diplomatic relations with the international community. The African Union has just announced its recognition of the NTC as Libya’s de facto government. President Obama has announced that the U.S. Embassy in Tripoli will be reopened and the American ambassador will return to the country. The move is seen as clear evidence of Obama’s support for the new government. Last month French President Nicolas Sarkozy and British Prime Minister David Cameron visited the country to meet leaders of the NTC. The European leaders, who lead NATO's involvement in the conflict, were met by cheering crowds in Benghazi. However, at the same time, it has been alleged that British intelligence agents were complicit in the torture of Libyans by the Gaddafi regime. Human Rights Watch claims that documents found in offices in Libya detail the involvement of British agents. The claims will be investigated by the Gibson inquiry, which is also examining allegations that British intelligence agents were involved in the torture of terror suspects in the wake of the 9/11 attacks. Somali violence spreads across the border with Kenya Kenya is taking steps to upgrade its border security with Somalia, following the recent kidnapping of two westerners by a Somali militia. The British government warned its citizens not to travel within 150 kilometres of the Kenya-Somalia border, and stated that "beach front accommodation in that area and boats off the coast are vulnerable." The rise of piracy and kidnapping of westerners has raised concerns and hampered efforts to source and supply aid to Somalia. The threat of terrorism in the region continues to be considered "high." On 4 October, a truck loaded with fuel drums was detonated in downtownMogadishu, killing 70 people. The truck exploded outside a government building and in close proximity to many students taking exams in the hope of receiving foreign scholarships.The UN Special Representative for Somalia, Dr Augustine P Mahiga hascondemned the attack "These actions are unacceptable. The murder of ordinary Somalis can not be justified for any reasons." Ivory Coast Judges at the International Criminal Court (ICC) in the Netherlands have given the ICC's Prosecutor permission to conduct an investigation into the post-election violence in Ivory Coast. On 4 May 2011, President Ouattara expressed his wish for the Office of the Prosecutor to conduct an independent and impartial investigation into the most serious crimes committed during the postelection disturbances. The Prosecutor, the Argentine, Luis Moreno-Ocampo has been charged with the responsibility of preparing a report within the month on any additional information on crimes committed between 2002 and 2010. The country has struggled to unite post civil war, but has a bright exporting future and is already the world's largest coca producer. But, on the path to economic and political recovery, Ivory Coast hopes to increase its share of the world cocoa market to 50 percent. Currently producing about 30 percent of global cocoa outpout, President Alassane Ouattara said that Ivory Coastwill "liberalise the whole chain" of production and attract investment to process the cocoa in the country. Americas Brazil's offshore energy boom leads to a submarine future Brazil has announced that it is commissioning its first nuclear submarine to protect its vast offshore oil deposits. "For the first time in decades, the emerging prize of global energy may be the Americas, where Western oil companies are refocusing their gaze in a rush to explore clusters of coveted oil fields." The American historian, Daniel Yegin suggests that "we're going to see a new rebalancing, with the Western Hemisphere moving back to self-sufficiency." According to OPEC "Share of World Crude Oil Reserves Data" from the OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin 2010 Venezuela has more discovered reserves (24.8%) thanSaudi Arabia (22.2%). Brazil's reserves are located 6,000 feet of water and salt beds, but Petrobas, seeking to become the key player in the oil industry, is investing more than $200 Billion. The nuclear submarine programme, commissioned by the former President, Luiz Inacio da Silva, will be used to protect the country's offshore oil reserves, but may posed a problem for the United Kingdom, as Brazil is an "outspoken advocate of Argentina's right to claim the Falklands Islands" according to the Daily Mail. USA Federal Chairman Ben Bernanke has warned Congress that the US economic recovery was "close to faltering" and stated that Congress and the White House had a "shared responsibility" with the central bank in producing a co-ordinated response. Mr Bernanke highlighted the slow response to raising the debt ceiling and reducing the budget deficit. Appearing before the Congress' Joint Economic Committee, Mr Bernanke called on Congress and the White House to develop better policy responses and in particular, "jump start" the housing sector, trade and streamline the complex tax code. Asia and Pacific Japan Typhoon Only six months after Japan was hit by March's devastating earthquake and tsunami, the country is now being lashed by typhoons. Early last month Typhoon Talas hit the west of the country, causing flooding and land slides, and isolating many remote villages. Over 100 people were killed or are still missing. The typhoon was the worst experienced by the country in three decades, resulting in the highest death toll since 1979 when 110 people were killed by Typhoon Tip. The 15th typhoon of the season, Typhoon Roke, was expected to cause further damage to the areas affected by the tsunami earlier this year. There were fears that the typhoon would hit the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, where work to repair damage from March's tsunami continues. Fortunately, the typhoon passed by the nuclear plant causing minimal damage. At this time 13 people have been killed, and many more remain missing. The storm caused major disruption across a large area of the country. The government had issued evacuation warnings to over 1 million people, and many businesses and factories were closed. Transport services and electricity supplies across Tokyo were severely affected. The world 'ignoring' Pakistan floods Flooding is once again bringing misery to the people of Southern Pakistan. Since heavy monsoon rains began in August, flooding has killed 248 people and damaged 665,000 homes. A further 2 million people are believed to be suffering from diseases caused by the floods, whilst 7000 people are being treated for snake bites. Yet, according to some aid agencies, the world is failing to respond to this growing humanitarian crisis. The response by the Pakistani Government has also been heavily criticised. It has been claimed that more should have been done to prevent a repeat of last year's flooding. The United Nations has now launched the Rapid Response Plan (RSP), asking for US$ 357 million to provide support for the Pakistani Government’s relief efforts. Europe Former French President to Stand Trial for Corruption. Jacques Chirac, former President of France, is currently on trial for charges of corruption dating back to his time as major of Paris, between 1977 and 1995. Chirac has been charged with “misappropriation of public funds” for allegedly creating fake jobs which were paid for by the Paris town hall. If he is convicted, Chirac could face up to ten years in jail. However, the likelihood of a conviction is slim. Late last month prosecutors asked for the case to be dismissed, claiming there was insufficient evidence to prove that the jobs were indeed fake. It is not the first time the former President has been accused of wrong doing, however it is the first case to reach a court.Previously Chirac has avoided prosecution due to either the statute of limitations or the presidential immunity he enjoyed until 2007. Fresh allegations have now been made that Chirac, along with former Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin, accepted large amounts of cash from African leaders. Lawyer Robert Bourgi, claims that over a period of 25 years, Chirac and de Villepinfrequently traveled to African countries including Burkina Faso, the Congo, Gabon, Côte d'Ivoire and Senegal, returning with up to 15 million francs in cash. The allegations have been strenuously denied by Mr de Villepin. Germany under pressure to bail out Euro Zone The economic crisis continues to hit the eurozone, with widespread fears of a Greek default. After meeting in Washington, the G20 leaders have indicated their intention to support the troubled European state. The G20 group released a statementclaiming they will “commit to take all actions to preserve the stability of banking systems and financial markets as required”, although they have not yet set out a clear plan to achieve this. The Greek Government has introduced even more austerity measures, including plans to axe 30,000 public sector jobs and reduce pensions, and has warned that without future financial support the country will run out of money by October. In recent weeks, much of the attention has focused on the question of how much support Germany will continue to give to her ailing European neighbours. A poll conduced by ZDF television has found that half of Germans do not believe that Greece should be allowed to default on its loans. The majority of those surveyed also believe that if this did occur, it would damage the German economy. France issues first fines for niqab French courts have issued the first fines to two women wearing niqabs in public. The controversial law, which was supported by President Sarkozy, bans women from wearing full-face veils in public places. Since the ban came into effect in May police have issued on-the-spot fines, but these are the first fines to be issued by a court. Amnesty International has condemned the decision by the French court, describing the ruling as a "a travesty of justice and a day of shame for France.” John Dalhuisen, Amnesty International's deputy director for Europe and Central Asia, claimed that "Instead of protecting women's rights, this ban violates their freedom of expression and religion." The two women have vowed that they shall take their appeal against the ruling all the way to the European Court of Human Rights. Middle East Yemen Protests Continue Protests are continuing in Yemen against President Ali Abdullah Saleh, who is refusing to step down. In recent days there has been an escalation of street battles in the capital, Sanaa, between opponents of Yemen’s regime and forces loyal to the president. The government’s handling of the protests has drawn condemnation from the international community, amid concerns that many of those killed in the recent events have been unarmed protesters. The UN has stated that in attacks late last month at least four children were killed, and another 18 minors were injured. There had been hopes of a ceasefire between the two sides that would allow both for reform to be implemented and for President Saleh to retain power. However, only hours after a truce was agreed upon to allow for discussions to begin, the ceasefire was broken and three people were reportedly killed. The UN envoy to Yemen, Jalal bin Omar, has warned that unless a political solution is reached soon, the country will be torn apart by the fighting. US calls for sanctions against Syria The UN reports that since the uprising began in Syria six months ago over 2000 people have been killed. The Syrian government claims that hundreds of its personnel have been killed. The protesters are now asking for international protectionin their fight against President Bashar al-Assad’s oppressive regime. The United States has called for the UN to impose sanctions against Syria. Addressing the UN Security Council, President Obama claimed that "now is the time for the United Nations Security Council to sanction the Syrian regime, and to stand with the Syrian people." The US and EU have already imposed sanctions against President Assad, his government and family. Turkey has just announced that it is also considering imposing measures against the regime. Although Turkey has not yet revealed the nature of such measures, action taken by one of Syria’s biggest trading partners is sure to hurt the regime. Q&A with Charles Crawford Interviewed by Amal Varghese In this month’s Q&A we speak with Charles Crawford, former British Diplomat with almost three decades of service in the Foreign and Commonwealth Office. Having previously been Britain’s ambassador to Sarajevo, Belgrade and Warsaw during post-communist rule. Mr Crawford reflects on his diplomatic experiences in Balkans, as well as the current state of affairs. In the post Bosnian-war environment when you were posted as the British Ambassador to Sarajevo, how would you characterize the post-conflict tensions in the region? I arrived in Sarajevo some seven months after the Dayton Peace agreement was signed. By then most of the remaining Serb community in Sarajevo had left the city, pushed by angry Bosniacs and pulled by their own cynical leaders. Not long after I started my new job, I met Bosnian Serb leader Momcilo Krajisnik, now serving a long ICTY sentence for war crimes. He did a good job in feigning sorrow at developments following Dayton, saying that the two Entities in Bosnia were like two sides of a jacket but without Sarajevo as the button holding the two sides together At the time it seemed remarkable that the Dayton process was able to be implemented so peacefully. NATO forces of course were there in strength. As one British general put it to a visiting British Labour minister: "The basis for peace is simple. If they resist doing what we ask, we’ll kill them". Yet despite this tough posture, I can't recall a single incident of a NATO soldier being killed by local people opposed to the NATO presence -- the contrast with Afghanistan and Iraq is extraordinary. Looking back on it, I conclude that the whole conflict itself was more or less deliberately contrived by various local elites to pursue specific nationalistic ambitions, and that the violence could be turned up or turned down as if by a switch. The Dayton deal stopped the conflict, but did not end it. The struggle transferred to petty bickering within new constitutional structures:the symbolism of which building should host the meetings of the new collective Presidency, or the seating plan for the three Presidency members at a small round table. Considerable progress has been made since then, not least because the malign personalities of Tudjman and Milosevic have left the scene. Yet in key respects Bosnia remains dysfunctional and disappointing. The "deep" problem lies in the constitutional settlement painfully agreed at Dayton, which creates two Entities in a small country of three main communities. In effect the Bosnian Serbs won too good a deal, and the Bosniacs/Croats got too little. More importantly, European leaders have no answer which makes sense in terms understandable for most of the former Yugoslavia to the following question: if it is okay for Kosovo Albanians to break from a democratic Serbia, why is it is not okay for Bosnian Serbs to want to leave a democratic Bosnia? Given the wider problems now besetting the Eurozone , it is unrealistic to expect much serious pressure for the time being on these various Balkan problems. What that means in practice is unclear. But it is safe to say that the region is not going to experience much economic progress and serious outside investment while these existential issues affecting borders drag on. High Unemployment, financial hardship, changes in the social structure and weakness of legal institutions are known triggers for conflict relapse. Following the fragile peace agreements, to what extent did Bosnia face these challenges in the late 1990s? Bosnia faced all those challenges and plenty more, which suggests to me that the supposed triggers for ‘conflict relapse’ are not the whole story. Part of the explanation lies in the fact that in Bosnia extended family ties and networks help take the strain when things are very difficult. A great weakness in the Dayton process was a failure to strike out in a much more radical, freemarket way. Far too many people in Bosnia wanted to get back to the supposedly comfortable but corrupt ways of Yugoslav communist self-management. Deregulation as an end in itself to free up the talents of the mass of citizens was not considered. Nor was enough attention paid to creating a robust, independent judiciary: this is hard enough in any country, let alone a small country where the idea of any ‘independent’ institution is both unimaginable and unimagined. The result now is an under-performing society in which far too many able people scrape a subsistence living, passively accepting their fate. Not all social relapses take a dramatic, public form. As Director of South-Eastern Europe, did you find merit in EU enlargement policy to the East as the best way to harmonize the region and bring peace and stability? The steady rolling-out of modern European processes and standards to former communist Europe brings many advantages, but also some disadvantages. The core advantage is obvious. It gives the countries concerned specific legislative targets which cannot be achieved without deep changes in the way state institutions work at all levels Extremist demagogy, widespread discrimination, open interference in judicial processes and ethnic conflict are thereby ruled out as policy solutions. This does have a helpful, calming effect: the way political life in Poland has been simplified and normalised in the past decade has been a striking success for Europe as a whole. But there are disadvantages too. Local politicians can start to shirk responsibility and blame ‘Brussels’ for not being generous enough with funding. Some EU processes and ‘social Europe’ standards (eg for transforming the energy sector, or the odious Working Time Directive) are simply too cumbersome and expensive to be implemented sensibly. Plus the complexity of applying for EU funds is itself alienating and a source of new divisions or even corruption. The sheer scale of outside involvement in Bosnia for well-intentioned reasons has created negative ‘assistance dependency’. All in all, the balance is clearly positive. The European Union has plenty of problems. Enlargement is not a magic wand. But without the prospect of wholesale modernisation in favour of modern European standards, the local former communist elites across the ex-Yugoslavia space and elsewhere in former communist Europe would have had no incentive at all to drive forward meaningful changes. Amal Varghese is completing a Masters in International Relations at the University of Melbourne The Security Needs of Women By Sharna de Lacy There is strong recognition that the sector must meet the different security needs of men and women, but has been slow to respond to this evolving mandate. While women bear the greatest cost in armed conflict, they are underrepresented in security sector institutions. As such, the full integration of women in the security sector is a key challenge for the effective provision and maintenance of security today. The dynamics of contemporary conflict and warfare are overwhelmingly internal, rather than interstate in nature. Conflict is fought within civilian spaces, and often explicitly exploits civilian populations for strategic purposes. Unsurprisingly, civilians are more likely to be victims of these armed conflicts. The nature of modern warfare has different implications for the security of women to that of men. Women are overwhelmingly the target of ‘tactical’ sexual violence, abduction and also represent a higher proportion of casualties and displaced persons. Conversely, men are far more likely to be the victims of gun violence, be taken as prisoners of war, or coerced into bearing arms. As the security needs of men and women have particular gendered dimensions, the security sector must be sufficiently equipped, trained and staffed to respond. Yet the security sector (understood as state institutions that posses the legitimate authority over the use of force) is overwhelmingly dominated by men. In an effort to address this disparity UN Security Council Resolution 1325/ 2000 (UNSCR 1325) requires that international and state actors must provide women ‘full involvement in all efforts for the maintenance and promotion of peace and security’, and increase their role in decision-making processes. As such, gender sensitive security sector reform requires structural change to policy-making process, security institutions and recruitment of personnel. Women’s inclusion in decision-making and oversight mechanisms is critical to prioritizing gender specific security concerns and reforming institutional cultures that condone the violation of women’s security. Women have benefited from initiatives such as gender-balance recruitment policies and parliamentary quota systems, however women remain conspicuously absent from security specific policy and oversight positions. The Pacific region has some of the lowest levels of female political representation and employment in the world and also alarming rates of gender based violence. The Pacific Islands Forum, has acknowledged that implementation of gender sensitive security sector reform is vital in addressing this issue and to pertinent concerns such as governance and conflict prevention. Where the security sector fails to involve both men and women, all too often this results in the perpetuation of insecurity, often at the hands of security forces themselves. The 1999 Kosovo conflict saw unprecedented growth in the trafficking of women and girls into forced prostitution. In their 2004 report ‘So does that mean I have rights?’ Amnesty International found that this growth was driven by arrival of international peacekeeping forces, who drove demand for trafficked women during the occupation and in some cases were implicated in organization of trafficking activities. This legacy remains a key concern for post-conflict police reform efforts in Kosovo today, which is still considered a major center for human trafficking. There are also practical concerns for the provision of security more generally if women are underrepresented in security forces. The security sector is increasingly involved in complex peacekeeping and reconstructions efforts, which require much greater interaction and cooperation with civilians. Without women in uniform on the ground, these crucial activities are severely restricted. In Afghanistan women represent just 1 percent of police officers. The absence of female officers at checkpoints means police are unable to perform searches of people dressed in burqas. This has allowed the smuggling of small arms to continue unabated. To date just 31 states have developed national plans for the full implementation of UNSCR 1325. Despite this poor response, the Security Council Resolution has provided a catalyst for many states, as well as international organisations to take steps to integrate women. Notably, in 2002, NATO implemented gender mainstreaming, gender balance recruitment policies and has worked to the full implementation of UNSCR 1325. A noteworthy success story can be seen in post-conflict Rwanda, which has not only increased the parliamentary representation of women, but translated their increased presence into meaningful security outcomes, such as tackling gender based sexual violence, and increasing the female presence in the police and military domestically and in international deployment. Other post conflict nations, such as Liberia, Sierra-Leone and Timor-Leste have also advanced gender sensitive security sector reform in response to endemic gender-based sexual violence. In particular these states have targeted women for police recruitment, and developed specialized gender task units. These are important and by no means insignificant steps and it is important that we derive lessons from such success. However, women’s participation in the security sector still represents just a fraction of that of men. The integration of women into the decision-making processes and service roles across the security sector extends beyond an argument of ‘equal opportunity’. The efficacy of security sector in the contemporary climate is dependent on its ability to respond to the varied needs of women and men. This requires the integration of women at all levels. Sharna de Lacy completed a Masters of International and Community Development from Deakin University in 2010, and is currently employed with the Victorian Department of Human Services. Career Spotlight: Jane Munro Interviewed by Emilia Bojovic This month Career Spotlight speaks with Associate Professor Jane Munro, head of International House, a residential college at The University of Melbourne. Assoc. Prof. Munro was a keynote speaker at the recent International Careers Conference, where she reflected on her experiences of a fulfillingand varied international career. With a formal background in Asian languages, Assoc. Prof. Munro has had a diverse career in language education and international business. She has been a teaching fellow at Harvard University, Convenor of the Advisory Council for the ABC, and an active member on the boards of Opera Australia, the Melbourne Festival and the Sydney Institute. To what extent have your significant achievements been part of a 'career plan'? I didn’t start my adult life with a definite career plan, and many of the things that I have done during my career have been things that have been spontaneous career choices or opportunities that presented themselves which I decided to undertake. I followed what really interested me. I think we all go through our career with many choices and we sometimes make a choice without even being able to articulate why we made it. When I was finishing secondary school, so when I was making a decision about my career, the things that interested me were: understanding the world, going beyond the propaganda, and wanting to leave the world a better place than I found it. So, that’s a very broad career plan. If I have had a plan to become a university professor I would have become that, but I was interested in a wider range of things. I am an Associate Professor now but throughout my life I have been interested in a wide range of things that went beyond the purely academic. What is your main role in your current position? I work for the Council of International House. We are a semi-autonomous body of the University of Melbourne, and my main role is to be the CEO of the college. At the same time my role is to be academic leader. So, while the College, like the other colleges of the University of Melbourne, does not give accreditation of all exams, we run an academic program and we see ourselves as a community of scholars. My position entails educational leadership and educational administration. It is a CEO role in an academic way. How much interaction do you have with the students of the College and at what level? We have 270 students at International House, and most of them are at the undergraduate level at the University of Melbourne. We also have 16 residential tutors who are almost entirely doing Masters or PhDs. I have quite a lot of interaction with all of those groups, either through structured arrangements like our formal dinners or sitting in the dining hall randomly at any table among the students. We have two formal, high table dinners a week, and those casual conversations in the dining hall are invaluable. I also interact with the students through the Student Club of International House. Every student in the College is a member of the Student Club, and they elect their leaders, which is a Committee of about 16 people, with a President and Vice-President. The President and Vice-President represent the peak representative body of the students of the College, and they meet with me and my Deputy Head of College once a week. That is a very important structured interaction that we have. Then we meet regularly with the whole committee of the Student Club. In addition to that, I reside at the College (with my husband and my dog), and am frequently walking around the grounds and have many opportunities, either formally or informally to be in communication with the students. The longer the students remain with us the better we get to know one another and it is always a pleasure to be asked by a student to write a reference for them, and to be able to say so much about the them because of the time spent with them. When and how did your passion for Japan develop? I come from an Australian-Anglo-Celtic background so my predecessors came to Australia mostly from Britain. When I was growing up, after WWII, my father had managed to go to India during the war, with the British Army. He brought back a lot of things from there which I found fascinating things that I had never seen before, different cultural objects. Nobody knew much about Asia at that time in Australian schools as there was very little formal academic study of Asian countries. I was studying modern history at school and was particularly interested in China, Japan and Russia. I was good at languages and I was interested in studying any of those languages, but only Japanese had a course which was very scholarly but enabled students to master the contemporary language. The driving force behind choosing Japanese was not only the nature of the course and the fact that it would give me the opportunity to communicate in Japanese; more importantly, Japan had been Australia’s enemy during the war. Each of my parents lost their own brother in that war – one in the Changi Prison Camp and the other behind enemy lines in Malaysia. Whilst my parents were not anti-Japanese there was so much anti-Japanese feeling in general in Australia and felt that I wanted to see past the propaganda. I wanted to make my own decisions about who the Japanese people were and how they acted and what drove them. So, it was great curiosity. All we knew about Japan were the atrocities, and then on the other hand there is the cherry blossom softness. There had to be something else to Japan beyond those images, and of course there is, and I was able to see that because of the academic circumstances of that time in rational academic research and teaching on Japan. In addition to that, a lot of my friends said that I was mad for wanting to study Japanese because I would never be able to master the language, and it is true that there were no decent text books but that is what made me even more enthusiastic about learning Japanese. I also wanted to be able to show others another part of the picture, and to help drag the debate away from extremism and back to reality. Out of Japanese, Chinese and Indonesian, Japanese has been the only language that has held up in student numbers in Australia until about 5 years ago. And because we have had an active policy of people-to-people relations between Japan and Australia, there has been a much better mutual understanding among young people. What would be the highlight of your career? I will not be able to choose a single highlight. I was very lucky to study what really fascinated me and be rewarded for that. For somebody who might have expected a purely academic career, a surprise highlight was when I was Director of the Institute of Languages of NSW and we won the contract to create and provide a teacher-training programme for teachers of English in China. This was in the 1980s and until the early 80s Russian was still the second most studied language in China. So there were hardly any English language speakers in China. The Australian aid programme wanted to provide aid for this project worth $2-million. Any related institution around Australia was eligible to put forward a tender for the project. I worked hard on this and went to Canberra to find out what exactly was expected, and I did put together a program which I was able to tailor specifically to the requirements of the project because of the resources we had. We won that contract and that was utterly rewarding. The other highlight would be the fact that I have been able to take on different kinds of things. I have been Convenor of the Advisory Council for the ABC for the last 5 years, and although that has nothing to do with language, it has a lot to do with communication, getting people together and drawing on people’s ideas in different contexts. I do enjoy that outreach into different areas. What is your advice to all those enthusiastic about a career in an international context? There is not really any specific advice I could give but there are some important questions those considering a career in an international context should ask themselves – Firstly, 'who are you and what contribution can you provide?' Secondly, 'what is motivating you to work internationally?' Thirdly, 'what kind of work do you want to do?' I also think that a knowledge of history and culture is very important. If you know history well and possess a good understanding of other cultures, you can make a significant contribution to work internationally. Knowledge of foreign languages is important but it is not as compulsory as knowledge and understanding of other cultures. People from other cultural backgrounds can make a significant contribution to Australia’s international politics as they can bring a different perspective into it. Emilia was previously employed as a Department of Defence Graduate, and is currently undertaking a Masters of International Relations at the University of Melbourne. Missing Girls in India and China By Katherine Tranter The growing prevalence of female foeticide in India and China will have serious impacts on both societies in the near future. Rising crime levels, an increase in the trafficking of women, and a decrease in women’s participation in public life are all potential consequences of the severe gender imbalance currently affecting these two superpowers. Patriarchal structures within Indian and Chinese societies, together with economic considerations such as dowry payments, the greater earning potential of sons, and the increased accessibility of ultrasound scans have resulted in the rise of sex-selective abortions. In India, it is estimated that annually half a million girls are victims of female foeticide. In China, the introduction of the onechild policy exacerbated the trend as the birth of a daughter would be at the expense of a son. Sex ratios in India and China reveal glaring disparities between the numbers of girls and boys born in recent years. Indian census data reveals that the number of girls for every 1,000 boys under six years old decreased from 927 in 2001 to 914 in 2011. The north-western states of Punjab and Haryana have the most troubling child sex ratios in the country – 893 and 830 respectively. It is estimated that there are 7.1 million fewer girls than boys under the age of six in India today. A similar picture can be painted for China, exacerbated by the one child policy in place since 1979. Currently 121 boys are born for every 100 girls, a far departure from the natural sex ratio of 105 boys per 100 girls. These skewed ratios demonstrate prevalence of sex-selective abortions in these countries. Despite the criminalization of sex-selective abortions in China and India, the practice continues in the absence of adequate enforcement. The severe gender imbalance may result in significant social problems. The most pressing concern is that there will be a surplus of single men in both countries. Based on current figures, approximately 15 to 20 per cent of men in north-western India, and between 10 and 20 per cent of men in China, will lack a female counterpart by 2020. As a result, Indian men may be forced to seek brides from distant states, with varying religions or cultures, lower economic backgrounds or lower caste status. Such marriages may defy strict caste rules, and could require the use of criminal organisations such as traffickers. It is also expected that the poorest men will be disproportionately affected by the marriage bottleneck, intensifying class based tensions. In China, there may be an increase in the trafficking of women from neighbouring countries. According to China’s National Population and Family Planning Commission, female trafficking, illegal marriages, and prostitution are rampant in areas that have excess numbers of men. Studies conducted in India and China have also found that crime levels have risen as sex ratios have become more distorted. The status attached to marriage and families in both countries leaves young single men moreprone to violent and criminal behaviour as a means to improve their situation. Furthermore, women may increasingly be pressured to take on traditional family roles rather than pursue a career or further their education. The withdrawal of women from participation in the workforce and civil life is likely to reinforce their weaker political voice in public decision making. Left unchecked, the rising gender imbalance will cause deep social tensions and have significant consequences for women’s empowerment and development in India and China. The negative effects, already evident in the increase in violent crime and trafficking of women, will only intensify in the future if the issue is not addressed. Katherine completed a Masters degree in International Development at RMIT in 2009 and is currently working as a Country Adviser for the Migration & Refugee Review Tribunals. Career Spotlight: Samah Hadid Interviewed by Roselina Press This month Career Spotlight speaks with Samah Hadid, a twenty-something human rights activist from Sydney. She was selected as the 2010 Australian Youth Representative to the United Nations, and in 2009 she became the first Australian to complete a Minority Rights Fellowship with the UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights. She has held various advisory roles with the government and international organisations, including Youth Representative on the Australian National Commission for UNESCO, member of Amnesty International’s Diversity Steering Committee, Action Partner for Oxfam International Youth Partnerships and member of the National Youth Roundtable. She was also a participant at Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s Australia 2020 summit. As an Australian Muslim, Hadid understands first-hand the importance of better rights for minorities, and she is interested in promoting the voices of indigenous and vulnerable young Australians. She is currently completing her Masters in Human Rights Law at the University of New South Wales. What influenced your decision to be a human rights activist? I suppose it’s a by-product of being a member of a minority group in Australia. You see that your community group is discriminated against in media and in the public domain, and even on the streets, so you’re compelled to make a difference. Through my community advocacy work I came across other vulnerable groups in our society, such as refugee and indigenous communities, which were also discriminated against, and on a greater scale. I felt a sense of duty to advocate for changes to these inequalities and injustices. My journey in human rights activism just continued on after that. In 2010 you were the Australian Youth Representative to the United Nations. Can you tell us about that experience, which took you all the way from Sydney to the UN in New York? I was tasked with representing the concerns, profile and interests of young Australians at the world stage of the UN. It was a very huge responsibility and an even bigger opportunity. I used this platform to consult with young people in every state and territory across Australia as part of a 6 month national road trip. This ended in a 3 month stint at the UN General Assembly presenting a statement on behalf of young Australians to the GA. I also negotiated human rights resolutions on behalf of Australia and that was incredibly challenging but a good insight into how real decisions are made at the UN. I met the most amazing and inspiring young Australians who were working on indigenous rights, campaigning on climate change and alleviating homelessness and disadvantage in their local communities. You’re also developing a series of live art performances, called The Burqa Monologues. Can you tell us a little bit about this project? I’ve been dabbling in performance art and different forms of artistic expression. The Burqa Monologues are an appropriation ofThe Vagina Monologues written by Eve Ensler. I wanted to give women of colour and diversity a voice and an opportunity to share their stories through their own creative avenues. It’s also a platform for Muslim women to tell their stories—so often, Muslim women are spoken about, but they are never given the opportunity to speak for themselves. What motivated you to use performance art as a medium to express your ideas? It’s a creative means to express myself. So much of my work involves speaking or writing reports and I wanted to share my ideas in unconventional ways. Performance art allows me to do that. It is also about interacting with the audience in ways other performance forms don’t allow. How important is it to you that young people from minority backgrounds, such as yourself, are provided with avenues to engage in political dialogue in their communities? It is incredibly necessary. When so much is said about you, reported about you and, more importantly, policies are formulated which impact on your lives, you need to be consulted. In all of my community roles I’ve tried to improve the way young people, particularly those from indigenous and refugee backgrounds, are heard in policy and political decision making processes. There are many young people who are looking to have a career in human rights advocacy, on the local and international scale. Can you offer them any advice? Engage in as much community service as you can, particularly volunteering with vulnerable groups in society. Get involved in a human rights campaign or issue. Volunteer with a human rights-based NGO, or apply for an internship with the UN or an international NGO. Most importantly, commit yourself to a cause and raise awareness about that issue in any way you can, whether through advocacy, writing or art. What's next for you? I’m writing a thesis on indigenous rights and also currently setting up a human rights network for the Asia-Pacific region. Otherwise I’m just trying to raise awareness around human rights issues in any way I can. Roselina is undertaking a Masters of International Relations at Melbourne University. Female US Secretaries of State By Amal Varghese It has often been argued that female leaders on the global stage lack the efficacy of their male counterparts. This article looks at three prominent female leaders of our time who have occupied the position of Secretary of State of the United States. Since the accession of Madeleine Albright to the high-profile post in 1996, the role of Secretary of State has been occupied by females ten of the last fourteen years. Many great diplomats who served as Secretary of State carved their names on the walls of history through their senior roles in the White House. Kissinger, the great American Nobel-prize winner famously opened America’s borders to the People’s Republic of China in the late sixties. So to what extend has gender affected US foreign policy through the emergence of female Secretaries of State? Madeleine Albright, Condoleeza Rice and Hilary Clinton. Each brought a different persona to the role and changed the course of history in their own right. Albright, the first female Secretary of State used her gender and celebrity status to her advantage in pursuing American foreign policy, particularly with respect to dealing with the Republican congressional majority that disapproved of Clinton’s foreign policy. Though studies show that women overwhelmingly favour soft power diplomacy over military interventions to maintain peace abroad, neither Albright nor Rice met this preconception In fact, Albright a staunch interventionist advocated for American military action in in the Balkans. Rice,known as Bush’s ‘warrior princess’ and was famous for promoting the Bush Administration’s anti-terrorism and Iraq war efforts. It is evident that none of the aforementioned Secretaries of State held a neither dove-like foreign policy stance nor can their decisions be distinguished them from other male Secretaries of State. In fact, Rice was a more vehement advocate for regime change in Iraq than the former Secretary of State Colin Powell was. These women join their counterparts Benazzhir Bhutto of Pakistan, India’s Indira Gandhi or Golda Meier of Israel, in having established themselves in the in the foreign policy realm. The ‘gender gap’ in foreign policy circles has been overstated for the most part and in the case of these three high-ranking diplomats, gender played a minute role in the way they ran the State Department. Take Hilary Clinton’s foreign policy ideology for example, the State Department has adopted significantly less harsh rhetoric compared with her predecessor’s, though that shift has largely been ideological, rather than because of her gender. It is truly difficult to analyse the impact of gender in greater detail as there are overlapping influences of party membership, personal temperament and directives of different administrations and there isn’t any strong evidence to suggest that gender had any significant on representing America at the highest level of office in foreign policy. Amal is currently completing a Masters of International Relations at the University of Melbourne Read more at: Lasher, J. Kevin; The Impact of Gender on Foreign Policy-Making: Madeleine Albright and Condoleeza Rice, September 2005 International Careers Conference 2011 By Marla Pascual The ICC is an annual conference administered by ACCESS that shows university students ways on how to begin international careers, giving them an insight into various international career paths they may wish to pursue. On Friday, August 26, 2011, ACCESS Youth Network for the Australian Institute of International Affairs hosted the annual International Careers Conference, an all-day event at The University of Melbourne. The ICC provided useful information for undergraduate and postgraduate students about international careers in government and diplomacy, international agencies and services, and international business. Through a number of insightful presentations from keynote speakers for each of the three subcategories, participants are given constructive insights into requirements, prerequisites and individual abilities to begin international careers that contribute to a general global effectiveness. The first keynote speaker, Associate Professor Jane Munro, the Head of College at International House at The University of Melbourne, spoke about her own career path and shared her experiences in educational administration. Her interest in Japan, its language and literature allowed her to gain First Class Honours in Japanese at the University of Sydney. She also attended Harvard University where she attained Masters and PhD degrees. Her interest in Japan then broadened to learning about Japanese economic and management studies, and the commercial and cultural relationship between Australia and Japan. From the international business sector, Mr. Matthew Roberts from Price Waterhouse Coopers, Ms. Narelle Crux from Rio Tintoand Ms. Charlotte Park from Hay Group each gave succinct accounts of how they all started and subsequently prospered in their business careers. They spoke about ‘sustainable development’ as an integral key to executing successful businesses and the ability of ‘self-starters’ to implement business strategies and transform them into realities. From the public sector, Ms. Heather White from Austrade, Mr. Russell Miles from AusAid and a representative from Australian Secret Intelligence Service, imparted practical advice and discussed the many opportunities for graduates in the public sector. Mr. Miles described how working coherently with foreign governments, international agencies and non-government organisations can help save lives, create opportunities for disadvantaged communities, improve economic development and initiate more effective governance. All three speakers described how government agencies value both opportunity and equity and how careers with the government are both stimulating and challenging. Graduate programs are usually offered each year and applicants come from diverse academic, cultural and social backgrounds. From the international agencies and services sector, Mr. Andrew Hassett from World Vision, Ms. Amber Earles from theAustralian Volunteers International, and Professor John Langmore, formerly the Director of the Division for Social Policy and Development at the United Nations, spoke about the various prospects and valuable experiences in working for such international bodies. Prof. Langmore described how the UN operates, the sub-sectors it incorporates, and the diverse opportunities it offers. Ms. Earles, an AVI training and development consultant, discussed the benefits of working at AVI and explained how volunteering experiences not only effect global change but also build character. Mr. Hassett talked about how long-term sustainable development programs contribute to essentially ‘making the world a better place’. All three speakers stressed how working for international agencies and services helps facilitate global change and ultimately makes a positive difference to the world. During the event two keynote speakers, United Nations representative Professor Ian Howie and Deputy State Director of theVictorian Office of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade Ms. Julienne Hince, further illustrated the benefits of international careers. Both speakers relayed accounts of their own experiences and discussed the diverse ways in which students can get their 'foot in the door'. They explained how although academic credentials are important, personal experiences and international exposure are also highly valuable. They highlighted the competitiveness of the graduate programs within the three sectors but also stressed the rewarding and challenging aspects of international careers. The event was organised by ACCESS, the Australian Institute for International Affairs’ Network for University Students and Young Professionals in partnership with the Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences at the University of Melbourne. For upcoming events and further information, please contact AIIA at [email protected] or call (03) 9654 7271. Marla completed her Bachelor in Arts (Journalism and History) in 2009 at Monash University. She is currently undertaking a Masters of International Relations at Monash University. Will Women Define the Foreign Policy of the 21st Century? By Nick Clarke With so much of historical foreign policy driven by the decisions of men, will the emergence of women in foreign policy bring hope for a more peaceful world? While the absence of female thinking in realist foreign policy shows that this truth may be warranted, this question is not so simple. Will men, woman or a combination of both define this century? Wilson preaching “the world must be made safe for democracy” and Churchill’s “blood, toil, tears, and sweat”[1] invoke moments of twentieth century inspiration. However, the same subliminal flashback presents a mad-man’s moustache, Mao’s little red book and nightmares from Pinochet to Pol Pot. Yet such nostalgia commonly occludes female representation; if more women were in positions of political power last century – would our world be different? Exploring a trend that has permeated international relations for centuries, we see that woman’s influence in international affairs may remove such nightmares, or arguably further propel humanity towards peace. As there has never been a female tyrant, without overlooking the ‘Iron Lady’ and putting opportunity aside – it might be assumed women are less likely than men, to lead their nation to war? Or more inclined to negotiate and seek mutually beneficial outcomes? As our international landscape evolves; from Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel and Brazil’s President Dilma Rousseff; to Denmark’s first female Prime Minister Helle Thorning-Schmidt and Australia’s Julia Gillard – this notion is becoming increasingly salient. Not to mention who the next President of the United States (US) might be. Patterns of international affairs also suggest there may be oxygen to this oestrogen driven proposition. Some argue “women perceive the world differently than men”[2], and many theories (Realism, Liberalism, Marxism, and Constructivism along with their off-shoots) help explore why and how nations interact. Form alliances and/or devise unilateral versus multilateral strategies – from security to economics, politics and beyond. For centuries Realism has been the dominant theory, despite modern developments questioning its pre-eminence. Realism has various colours, yet its Classical tinge (Machiavelli or Morgenthau), or Neo/Structural complexion (Waltz) form its nucleus. The former is preoccupied with the notion that humans are inherently evil and beset on maximising power, whilst the latter does similarly, yet from a structural vantage point. Placing power dynamics and the distribution of capabilities amongst nations, as the principle determinant of how a nation interacts with other nations. Yet irrespective of realisms colour coordination, the entire rainbow assumes “the worst about human nature”[3], views the world as anarchical, and international affairs as a zero-sum game. Here, my gain is inevitably your loss. Realisy approaches centralise “military power”, as mostly men march to the beat of a testosterone driven drum. The reason there has never been a female Hitler can be swiftly dispatched by opportunity – yet why not a female Machiavelli? Although female realists exist – when one considers the long list from Thucydides and Hobbes to Mearsheimer and Walt - women are acutely underrepresented. Will there be a female Hitler in the ‘Asian century’? Not all women are “peace-loving and antiwar” nor all men “warmongers”. However, considering the ‘great men’ of the last century and how many conceptualise the world; without delving into woman playing the role of peace-makers with their families and communities. This is worth pondering, particularly considering the tectonic shifts across the Asia-Pacific, and the following scenario: Given Australia’s new Ambassador to China, Ms Frances Adamson, and hope for future Politburo member’s being female along with the next US President (Clinton please, humour me, side step Palin/Bachmann). Is this a collection of promising prospects for peace? Before we get carried away though, can individuals be so influential? Would, if at all, the rise of woman change the system or vice versa? Like most issues and theories inhabiting the international arena, this is up for contemporary debate – what’s your view? Nick is currently completing a Masters in International Relations at the University of Melbourne. Issue 19 Message from the Editor By Rachel Hankey Last month I spent a week camping in the Northern Territory, and found myself torn between the horror of not having access to my email account, and enjoying freedom from the constant bombardment of information which we now experience everyday. The advancements in information and communication technology are undoubtedly one of the most significant developments of the last decade. Whilst increasing access to information has certainly brought many benefits, but there is also a darker side to such progress. Last year the world was shocked both by the revelations of Wikileaks, and the way in which the information was acquired. The recent scandal concerning phone hacking by the British newspaper The News of the World, have once again highlighted the vulnerability of our communication systems. In this edition of Monthly Access we examine some of the advantages, practicalities and concerns of living in The Information Age. In Contemporary Debate this month, Sean Mackin questions the extent to which the News of the World phone hacking scandal should be compared to Wikileaks. Against the background of the Arab Spring and the recent fatal train crash in the Wenzhou region, Priya Wakhlu examines the effectiveness and impact of efforts by the Chinese government to censor online media. Technology is increasingly becoming an important aspect of development work, and as Genevieve Abbey reveals, one of the greatest impacts of such technological advances is in the use of mobile phones to assist in the provision of health care. In The Rise of the Filter Bubble Craig Butt questions whether greater use of the internet is in fact limiting the availability of information, as social media sites and search engines increasingly filter the content we receive. Information technology and online media now influences almost every aspect of our lives, as John Varghese reports in The Power of Online Media. Whilst greater access to information online has many advantages, there are some aspects of this which pose a threat to society. In Career Spotlight this month Eliza Nolan speaks to former policeman Bruce McFarlane about cyber crime and the use of the internet by terrorist groups. In Global Snapshot Richard Griffin and Marcus Burke take a look at some of the significant events which have occurred around the world over the past month, including the famine in Somalia, economic troubles in the USA and Europe, and a new report on cyber attacks. In two Q&A interviews, Christian Habla speaks to Craig Butt and Daniel Wilson about the impact of the online media on traditional forms of journalism, and the ways in which young people are influencing future media. In this month’s Media Analysis Marla Pascual reviews the documentary ‘Khodorkovsky’, in which director Cyril Tuschi examines the prosecution of Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the former head of Yukos Oil Company. Last month ACCESS hosted a debate on the question of whether aid or trade is the best way to deliver assistance to developing nations. The ACCESS Press Room reports on the highlights from the discussion. This is sadly to be my last edition of Monthly Access as Editor-in-Chief, as I am returning to the UK to study in London next month. It has been a wonderful experience, which I have enjoyed immensely and also learnt a great deal. I would like to take this opportunity to introduce the new Editor-in-Chief, Ghazi Ahamat, who is currently studying at Melbourne University. I am confident that Ghazi will use all his experience and enthusiasm to take the publication to new heights. * Rachel is returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. The Monthly Access team: Rachel Hankey, Ishita Acharyya, Evan Ritli, Sean Mackin, Priya Wakhlu, John Varghese, Eliza Nolan, Richard Griffin, Marcus Burke, Christian Habla and Marla Pascua. Guest columnists: Craig Butt and Genevieve Abbey Monthly Access will be on hiatus for September and will return in October. News of the World and Wikileaks By Sean Mackin Those with an interest in the 'information age' have been blessed in recent years with not one, but two incidents grabbing global attention. The release of over a quarter of a million confidential diplomatic cables by the Wikileaks group caused a mass uproar and, at the time, was considered to be potentially leading to a diplomatic Armageddon. While the release subsequently found little traction as a means to limit the candour of diplomats – as recently displayed by British diplomats in Malawi – it was still a momentous milestone for the information age. Then, months later, the general public found that the commercial parent of some of the most virulent critics of the Wikileaks release, the Rupert Murdoch-owned News International (a Murdoch paper, The New York Post accused Wikileaks founder Julian Assange of “open collaboration with the enemy”) had been caught hacking into voicemail accounts in order to obtain information for publication. In the aftermath of the phone hacking scandal, an intriguing question has been posed by some in the greater media – how are the two incidents fundamentally different? Bret Stephens argues that “[a]t bottom, they’re largely the same story”; he holds contempt for those who find fault with the actions of News International but hold Wikileaks up as a paragon of decency and journalistic standards. Many in the media, however, have become so caught up in the swirl of ensuring that they are first to ongoing stories, they have yet to stop and conduct any meaningful analysis of the two events as they relate to each other. It would not be controversial either to infer that any comparison between the Murdoch empire and a group that was lauded as an ally to the general public would preclude certain media organisations from the opportunity to sink the boot in to Murdoch and the News International group. Stephens’ argument that these are ultimately the same story, that both are of “secret information, initially obtained by illegal means, [which] was disseminated publicly by news organizations that believed the value of the information superseded the letter of the law”, seems at least slightly disingenuous. Stephens views the scandals through a prism of ‘public interest’ versus ‘interest to the public’ and insists that he holds contempt for both Murdoch and Julian Assange. Stephens ignores, however, the difference between the responsibility that governments have to their constituents, and the interest that a news organisation has in the voicemails of public figures. The Wikileaks release, however detrimental it was argued to be to international diplomacy, gave the global public a glimpse into what was being said in their name – and ultimately it turned out to demonstrate that the U.S diplomatic corps is unquestionably a talented group. It also caused, at least initially, a rethink into the methods utilised to classify material at a time when information is so readily available. Questions were rightly asked as to whether or not, rather than representing an opportunity to tighten the security around government information, Wikileaks was instead an opportunity to loosen security procedures. While it was indeed an illegal release of classified information, comparing it with the phone hacking scandal is comparing apples and oranges. One information scandal centred around admittedly over classified government information illegally obtained and disseminated. The other information scandal involved the hacking into voicemail accounts of, for example, victims of criminal activity in order to sell highly dramatized newspapers. The question we need to ask ourselves living in the information age is what information should be public and what deserves to remain private? *Sean was formerly a soldier in the Australian Army, and last year completed his degree in International Relations, Politics and Policy Studies at Deakin University. Currently undertaking honours year to study R2P, Sean has been accepted to Birkbeck University, London to study the MA/LLM program in 2011/12. In his spare time, Sean lobbies politicians worldwide as part of his organisation, The Human Rights Project. Online Freedom in China By Priya Wakhlu With the Arab Spring nourishing a thirst for freedom, one could easily imagine a 'winter of discontent' settling over an increasingly uncomfortable Chinese regime. After the self-immolation of a Tunisian vegetable seller acted as a catalyst for the destabilisation and downfall of multiple regimes, questions ruminated about the next potential casualty, and spectators turned their gaze to China. Aware of the parallels being drawn between Tiananmen and Tahrir square, Chinese authorities were determined to quash any dissent, particularly that of the “Jasmine Revolution” movement. The internet was subject to increased scrutiny and censorship, with the Chinese characters for Egypt and Cairo blocked by the authorities. Although a revolution may have been averted, domestic concerns have shown the limitations of the 'Great Firewall of China'. On July 23rd 2011, a fatal train crash in the Wenzhou region of China killed 39 people. The government, desperate to avoid any recriminations, instructed the media that reports about the incident should focus on “great love in the face of great tragedy”. By and large, the newspapers toed the line, but China’s ‘netizens’ were not so compliant. The role of netizens in the Wenzhou disaster signalled their latest triumph in upholding government accountability and the rule of law. Weibo, the Chinese equivalent of Twitter became awash with ‘knits’ (tweets) condemning the incident and the government’s reaction, thus compelling the government to respond to the virtual outrage. The strong criticism led to previous decisions to hastily bury victims of the train crash and curtail victims’ rights to seek legal recourse being reversed. Despite the Chinese online community’s victories, it would be remiss to ignore the pervasive network of censorship orchestrated by the Chinese regime. Phrases like “protest”, the “dalai lama” and “falun gong” are blocked and the government, under the auspices of an anti-pornography campaign, has closed down hundreds of websites which condemned the regime. Some also suggest that the tolerance of microblogs, inconsistent with the regime’s overall policy, is only due to the belief that Weibo and similar online communities usually act as valves, allowing citizens to release their frustrations without causing serious harm to the regime. While all websites and institutions are required to monitor and delete sensitive or overly critical posts, recently public wi-fi service providers have also come under government scrutiny. Cafes, hotels and other businesses are now required to install supervisory equipment so that users can be tracked. Similar restrictions have also been recently imposed on university campuses. Questions have been raised about whether the hacking is in order to monitor citizens, or part of a more insidious trend to force foreign companies out of the Chinese market to maintain domestic supremacy. In this way, aside from being a means to control the populace, the existing internet policy is also an effective tool to advance the economic aims of the regime. Persistent interference with foreign internet companies has resulted in their exit from the market, a boom for local companies. For instance, Google’s decision to leave was prompted by interference and hacking into its Gmail services. Despite the ostensible potential for China’s online community to foster a democratic dialogue between government and the populace, the reality indicates a less optimistic hypothesis. In a recent article published by China’ state run Xinhua news agency, Weibo was praised for its ability to “help those in need”. However, any optimism about the regime embracing new media, and its role in developing an online public democratic sphere, must be tempered. The Xinhua article also seemed to foreshadow the increased regulation of the micro-blogs, suggesting that the age of light for China’s online community may be coming to a premature end. *Priya is currently a 4th year Arts/Law student at Monash University, majoring in politics and Indonesian. Health Care 2.0: A New Frontier in Global Health By Genevieve Abbey Technology has fundamentally changed the way of life in first world countries and, increasingly, in developing nations. Incorporating technology into development strategies is understood as essential to achieving the UN Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). With the explicit aim of working, ‘in cooperation with the private sector, to make available the benefits of new technologies, especially information and communications’, the development sector is encouraged to think broadly about possible uses of all forms of technology. While the use of mobile technology is well-established in the developed world, its potential is becoming increasingly obvious in developing nations as well, albeit in very different ways. Today there are an estimated five billion live mobile phone subscriptions globally, and that number continues to rise. Relatively cheap and easy to use, with more than 85% of the world covered in some way by wireless connectivity, mobile technologies are a fitting tool for development. The take-up of mobile phones in Africa has occurred at a much faster pace than more traditional infrastructure development, such as roads, landlines, electrification, and the internet. Mobile phone technology is, therefore, a prime tool to reduce huge inequality in access to health care information. 'mHealth' (mobile health technology) utilises the strengths of mobile technologies to provide a costeffective way to disseminate and record information in health and health-related fields. Myriad applications, including sending appointment reminders; community mobilisation and health promotion; health call centres and emergency toll-free telephone services; management of emergencies and disasters; recording of mobile patient records; patient monitoring, health surveys and data collection; and surveillance and decision support systems, can be supported by mobile phones. While mHealth does not reduce the need for trained health professionals, drugs, or health infrastructure in developing countries, it increases the effectiveness of what is available and spreads existing resources further. For example, rural health workers can access information from city-based doctors to provide real time help to patients in remote areas. A 2010 study in the medical journal The Lancet found the effectiveness of a text message to remind patients to take HIV drugs properly improved adherence to the therapy by 12%. Another study found a reduction in the number of missed appointments from 15% to 4%. These simple but effective solutions utilising behavioural psychology are at the forefront of improving health care in developing nations. Notwithstanding its substantial benefits, the mHealth initiative faces significant challenges in developing countries. It is important to consider the more limited electronic infrastructure of target destinations. Mobile phone battery life is one barrier, particularly when reusing second hand phones with diminished battery capability. Data security is also a concern. Although mHealth is an effective mode of data collection - births and deaths can be recorded in a central database from a specifically coded SMS - without solid security infrastructure, personal data is vulnerable. Further, as with most aid, ensuring that the technology gets to the right people is vital. Women are particularly at risk. Women’s health issues, such as maternal mortality, pose significant challenges in the developing world. According to the World Health Organisation, the unacceptably high levels of maternal mortality mean that at least 1000 women die from pregnancy or childbirth related complications every day. Given the right health care, most of these deaths are preventable. mHealth can offer women affordable and direct access to health care without requiring long distance travel. However, to be effective, it must reach the women in need. As recently as last year, Lank village in Northern India banned mobile phones for unmarried women, purportedly as a measure to curb elopements. Access to mobile technology is unavailable to many women around the world, and is symptomatic of widespread inequality and restrictions on women’s rights. Understanding the social and technological challenges to mHealth will pave the way for innovative, cost-effective health delivery models in the future. Positive results from existing trials, and the emerging prevalence of sustainable public-private partnerships, make it clear that mHealth can have an impact on health, both in developed and developing nations. Innovative technological solutions need to be nurtured to ensure equality of access to health information and treatment for all. Further reading on mobile technology and health Steven Overly, ‘FDA moves to regulate mobile health applications’ in The Washington Post Capital Business United Nations Foundation and Vodafone Foundation’s 2011 Report ‘Mobilizing Development’ RT Lester et al. (2010) Effects of a mobile phone short message service on antiretroviral treatment adherence in Kenya(WelTel Kenya1): a randomised trial *Genevieve has graduated from the University of Sydney with a Bachelor of Arts Informatics and has a particular interest in ICT for Development. She is a member of the Young UN Women Australia – Melbourne Committee. The Rise of the Filter Bubble By Craig Butt Rapid technological change seems to be a fixture of our times. New ideas and innovations spring up at a rapid rate, and what was once novel soon becomes an anachronism. The tech industry is booming - Silicon Valley is increasingly been seen as one of America’s best assets - and many of the biggest advances of the last fifteen years have been in the growing ubiquity of the internet and its ability to redefine how we communicate, do business and access information. It is often said that we are living in an information age, and one of the immediate benefits of this is that there is so much information instantly accessible to anyone with an internet connection. A quick Google search will often help you find what you are looking for after just a few clicks of a mouse, Wikipedia’s sheer scale dwarfs that of any printed encyclopaedia, valuable works of literature, art and science can be found freely online and news unfolding on the other side of the planet can be followed in real time. But against this backdrop, virtually the only constant is the never-ending argument that technology is somehow making us dumber, lazier, more violent, less empathetic, less social or some combination of the above. This argument has been brought to the fore again recently following contentions that the internet is having a negative effect on the way we think and the efficacy of the information we are retrieving. For example, Wikipedia has been criticised for the relative homogeneity of its contributors, and it is being argued that this lack of diversity could be blinkering the website’s outlook and prejudicing how it prioritises knowledge. Meanwhile, search engines are increasingly personalising results to fit the user, so as Google becomes acclimatised to an individual’s usage patterns it is tweaking its results accordingly. Additionally, with so much content out there vying for our attention, it can be difficult to keep track of what is important, so it is no surprise that people are using their news feeds on social networks like Facebook and Twitter as guiding lights to what is worth accessing. Instead of broadening our horizons, the trend towards the personalisation of web content could instead be constricting them, leaving us to occupy ‘filter bubbles’ of our own making. American author Eli Pariser recently wrote a book on this subject, in which he relates how he noticed the downsides of web personalisation first hand. For example, when he asked his friends to run Google searches of ‘Egypt’ one friend retrieved news articles and analysis on the Tahrir Square protests, while another was given information on Egypt’s tourist attractions. He also found that while he has a mix of conservative and progressive friends sharing content on Facebook, he was only served up links to progressive websites. When he investigated this further he found that he was more likely to click on links from his progressive friends, which meant Facebook saw this as validation of these connections and gradually muted competing content from his friends from the opposite side of politics from his news feed. While the above examples may well seem harmless, it is easy to see how a gradual diminution of counter views being presented through searches and social media could lead to confirmation bias and radicalized thinking. If anything, the ongoing debate proves a fundamental, yet often overlooked fact - technology is and always has been a facilitator and that it is up to individuals to work out how to use it to its full potential. * Craig is the co-founder and editor of News Hit, an online publication dedicated to showcasing the work of young journalists. The Power of Online Media By John Varghese The internet and associated forms of technology have driven modern development, both at the economic and social level. The growing reliance on information technology for even the most basic of chores is a clear sign that there is a narrowing gap between mankind's operational capacity and his access to modern technology. From the herd-boy in a remote village in the Himalayan ranges in Nepal who keeps in touch with his friends on Facebook, to the Stanford University professor tweeting the latest results of his lab experiment, the information technology boom has fundamentally altered the method, frequency and model of communication between individuals, businesses and governments. Those who have harnessed this powerful tool have managed to build their careers from the revolution. Consider a once immobile support base that was systematically and rapidly awakened by the election campaigns of Barack Obama and Kevin Rudd through the use of online media. More recently of course, there was Julian Assange; a poster boy for freedom of information. His actions led to a culture of citizens being unsatisfied with previously held norms of government secrecy and privacy. Online media has transformed social and cultural norms and has helped establish a minimum standard for government accountability and transparency. The Californian-based giants - Google, Facebook and Apple - have all managed to capture and steer the market on a scale larger than even Bill Gates could have imagined. That Joseph Biden, the Vice President of the United States, is less well-known around the globe than Facebook founder Mark Zuckerburg is a clear sign of the shift of power from centralised bureaucracies to an array of entrepreneurs and Fortune 500 companies. Google’s decision to move its offices from mainland China to Hong Kong and the subsequent diplomatic tensions that arose between the United States and China further strained an already fragile relationship. That this episode had more impact on the relationship than Washington’s decision to sell arms to Taiwan shows the growing might of online media and information technology. Information warfare now has the capability to influence world events on a scope never seen before in history. In the military too, computer networks and modern technology have now become pivotal to the advancement of military hardware and equipment culminating in greater military power. The most recent episode to highlight the power of online media when the ‘Arab Spring’ turned into the 'Arab Summer'. The lack of government control over social networking sites, including Facebook and Twitter, prompted thousands of protesters on to the streets of Cairo, Benghazi and Damascus. Governments have had serious trouble controlling the rapidly spiralling supply of antigovernment propaganda. This has resulted in many a dictator falling victim to this powerful and often vicious medium of communication. Naturally, there have been attempts by many governments, from Tehran to Beijing, to restrict freedom of access to the internet, and many will probably succeed in doing so in the near future. In the interim period, access to the internet has now beencategorised as a human right by the United Nations. That the UN considers access to internet as important as the right to life, liberty and security of person surely signifies a change in the social, economic and political culture with respect to online media and contemporary forms of information. The decline of traditional media coupled with increasing access to information technology through a new generation of tablets, smart phones and hand-held devices mean that online media will consume an even larger portion of the market in the near future. Retailers, media companies and governments will battle it out for a piece of pie that is expanding exponentially. * John is currently studying for a Masters in International Relations at the University of Melbourne and is actively involved in the promotion of human rights through Amnesty International. Career Spotlight with Bruce McFarlane By Eliza Nolan In Career Spotlight this month we talk to Bruce McFarlane about cyber crime, computer forensics and the ways in which extremist groups are now utilising the internet for spreading propaganda and recruiting new members. A former policeman, Bruce McFarlane spent many years working in computer forensics, and is currently writing a PhD about the use of the internet by violent extremists. You have worked in a variety of investigative, computer forensic and online security intelligence roles; just briefly, could you explain what these roles were and a little about what they entail? I’ve been in the police force for 14 years and during this time I’ve been fortunate to have a variety of investigative roles. These have included mainstream policing roles such as uniform policing, which certainly provides a wide variety of investigative challenges, but also within specialist streams such as serious fraud, computer forensics and more recently pro-active online child exploitation investigations at the Internet Child Exploitation Team within the Sexual Crimes Squad. I spent several years working in the UK, supporting government agencies in detecting various fraudulent activities. I then moved into computer forensics, and then focused online investigations. All investigation streams have their own unique demands, however I found online child exploitation investigations to be the most challenging, yet at the same time, most satisfying of all these crime themes. What is computer forensics exactly? Computer (or Digital) Forensics is the science of obtaining, preserving, analysing and presenting digital information or evidence to a court of law, in a ‘forensically sound’ (legally acceptable) manner. Essentially, it is a crime scene contained on a hard drive, mobile phone or other digital storage device or network. The great thing about a digital crime scene is that you can examine it, whenever and where ever you like and it doesn’t change over time, unlike physical crime scenes where you are limited by resources and time constraints of processing that crime scene there and then, knowing that once you leave it you may never have a chance to re-visit it in its original state. People often confuse computer forensic roles, with IT roles and I’m frequently asked by people to provide assistance in removing viruses, software bugs or networking problems; they are surprised when I haven’t got a clue about how to solve their problems. They are both very specific and unique roles in their own right. Are there many differences between Australia and the UK in regards to online security? Are we all at risk of the exact same problems due to the internet being a global network? There isn’t a great deal of difference between the two countries in terms of online threats. As you’ve pointed out it’s a global network. However, I do think that Australia is behind in dealing with these threats in areas such as protecting corporate infrastructure and IT security. We routinely read about intrusion attempts into government departments, large corporate companies or even individuals. Individual online security is a major issue. People don’t realise that every website they visit and the information they place online, leaves a trace that they have been there, how they got there and generally where they go afterwards, commonly referred to as a ‘digital footprint’. The bigger the footprint the easier it is for marketing companies, criminal elements or anyone to create an online profile of your life and then exploit that information for their own needs. Social networking sites play a large role in advertising this information, however your digital footprint can be reduced significantly by understanding and applying the appropriate security settings. I can generally find more detailed, accurate, updated and publicly available information on a person of interest online, than I can by searching law enforcement intelligence holdings. Do you think there are likely to be more problems requiring computer forensic and online security intelligence and policing roles as the internet becomes further integrated and integral to our daily lives? As online technology becomes more integrated into our society it will continue to pose unique challenges for law enforcement in terms of the quantity of digital devices that can provide digital evidence, the increasing size of data storage devices and the increasing push toward cloud computing, where all the digital evidence is held on multiple servers around the world. As society relies more on this technology, so too will law enforcement to obtain evidence from this technology. What are some of the heavier penalties associated with cyber crime? I’ve predominately worked within the online sex offender investigative crime theme within Australia, so I can only really comment on those online crime types. It’s also worth clarifying that online child exploitation is a sexually motivated crime, differing from a cyber crime such as a network intrusion (hacking) offence. The legislation in this area is quite clear; anyone seeking to groom or procure a child for sexual activity via the internet can face jail terms of between 12 – 25 years depending on the circumstances. The offender doesn’t even have to leave their house or actually physically meet the victim for the offence to be completed. The law is very strict in this area, and rightly so. Do you think law enforcement methods will have to change in order to effectively combat the growing problem of crimes through new media? Have they changed already? Most certainly. Law enforcement agencies in general have moved toward intelligence lead policing for a number of years now, essentially working smarter and deploying assets more efficiently and effectively. Pro-active online child exploitation investigations are a good example of how law enforcement agencies adapt to emerging online crime themes. We actively monitor a variety of online spaces and interact, engage and pursue individuals who seek to sexually exploit children either in the online or physical world. Even in general fields of policing, law enforcement agencies are changing their investigative techniques due to online communications. The theft of a mobile phone, for example, can result in very quick and easy apprehensions. We have seen numerous cases this year of phones being successfully tracked and located within a very short space of time via geographical reporting applications that are now available. Traditionally, a police officer may have had to visit various locations, take witness statements, view multiple CCTV footage - which may have taken several days to complete depending on operational commitments - and then investigate the theft with little chance of recovering the mobile phone. A Smart phone can now provide instant online tracking facilities that can lead the officer straight to the door of the offender. All the previous avenues of enquiry are still required, however it can be done post arrest and after the positive outcome for the victim. Where did you head straight after University? Did you always know you wanted to work internationally and/or in policing? I obtained my Bachelor degree whilst working in the police force. I studied part-time after work which is quite demanding, however once you are in a routine of regularly studying after work hours, it makes it that little bit easier. I took a year leave without pay from the police force to travel to the United Kingdom, which turned into three! It was a great experience and I’d encourage anyone who is in a position to travel to do it, as it’s very easy to get into a routine of saying ‘I’ll do it next year’. I washed dishes for the first six months which was ‘character building’, and then obtained employment working for various local councils, private industry and government departments investigating fraud related matters. I was fortunate enough to travel, work and complete my computer forensic training in the United States as well as to travel extensively throughout Eastern and Western Europe and the Caribbean. Having studied International Relations it was great to visit countries I had only previously read about and it enhanced my understanding of historical events. Upon my return to Victoria Police, I was mindful of bringing back as much experience as I could to assist law enforcement in Australia, instead of just how to pull the perfect beer behind a bar. With the computer and online skills I acquired whilst in the UK, the Internet Child Exploitation Team of the Sexual Crime Squad was the obvious choice. When did you become interested in your PhD topic? Have you been involved in many jobs relating to online terrorism and can you elaborate at all? Whilst completing my International Relations degree I became interested in the terrorism field. After studying how States and State actors interact with each other, I found it fascinating how asymmetric threats affect State stability and security. My interest in terrorism related studies stemmed from there. As discussed earlier, I have a strong background in computer forensics and online investigations so it was only natural that I utilise these skills within my PhD. I applied for the PhD via Monash University’s Monash Radicalisation Project, focusing on how violent extremist and violent extremist organisations utilise the internet to facilitate terrorist acts. Can you give me a brief overview of your PhD, or what you have so far? My PhD thesis is currently titled, '@Terror.com: An Examination of Violent Extremist Literature and New Media as a Measure of Radicalisation'. Essentially, I’m looking at the online behaviour of violent extremists in order to determine if their online viewing habits can tell us anything about their violent radical development over time. I’m also examining online literature and new media in terms of its significance within this radical development stage. To date, there is little research data and understanding within this field relating to violent extremist material and its impact on the end consumer so I believe with this research I can make a significant contribution to this area. It is widely accepted that violent extremist organisations utilise the internet and new media in six general categories: 1) Dissemination of propaganda, 2) Recruitment, 3) Communications, 4) Intelligence gathering, 5) Fundraising and 6) Cyber-terrorism/attacks; however, it should be noted that to date there have been no recorded incidents anywhere in the world of a specific cyberterrorist attack. This is not to say that it will not happen in the future though. One further category that has increased in significance is the use of the internet as a virtual training ground due to the loss of traditional physical training grounds, such as Afghanistan and Pakistan for example, due to increased military intervention in these areas. It is also important to note that my research will include violent extremist organisations involved in ecological, ethno-nationalist, State sponsored, animal rights as well as ideological/political/religious based violent extremism. Are violent extremists necessarily violent people? What makes a ‘violent extremist’? Good question, complex answer and an answer which I can’t give you a definitive response to. I think the case of 21 year oldRoshonara Choudhry highlights the issues surrounding violent extremism and specifically online radical development. By her own admissions, Choudhry became radicalised by viewing online lectures on YouTube and within six months, without any external involvement, had discontinued her studies at Kings College, London, purchased several kitchen knives, met with and stabbed UK MP Mr Steven Timms for his support of the allied invasion of Iraq. I think it highlights the complexity of what law enforcement agencies and policy makers are faced with in today’s modern society. For my research purposes my definition of violent extremism is ‘any behaviour that encourages, seeks, promotes or justifies the use of violence of any kind in furtherance of particular belief systems.’ As to what makes a violent extremist, it comes down to a multitude of variables and ultimately it’s an individual journey. It’s a question we’ll be asking for centuries to come. Do you have any future predictions regarding the effects of terrorism and violent extremists’ facilitation of the online environment and new media? I’m not too sure about future predictions, however there are certainly notable trends indicating an increased use of online communication by violent extremists. In the same way that society in general rely on and utilise the internet to socialise, communicate, network and to conduct our lives, so to do the violent extremists and violent extremist organisations. So, I believe the online component of violent extremist activities will only gain momentum in the future and will provide law enforcement agencies and policy makers with significant challenges in the near future. A further worrying trend is the decrease in age, globally, in which an individual decides to join violent extremist organisations, or is willing to commit violent extremist acts. I believe online technology and new media may play a role in facilitating this trend, however further research is needed to identify why this is the case. *Eliza is finishing the final subject of her bachelor of International Relations through her placement with ACCESS and is also completing a Certificate IV in Financial Services and volunteering with the AIIA. Global Snapshot for August 2011 By Richard Griffin and Marcus Burke A round-up of key events across the world over the last month. Africa Somalia In the midst of the drought and a UN declared famine that is sweeping across Somalia, The New York Times is reporting that the al-Shabaab Islamist insurgent group is blocking starving people from fleeing Somalia, whilst setting up a containment camp for those captured trying to escape. The group is widely blamed for causing the famine in Somalia by forcing out many Western aid organizations. More than 500,000 children are on the brink of starvation. Aid groups are to increase the size of their operations, and the United Nations has begun airlifting emergency food. However, many experienced aid officials are very concerned about the situation, as one of Africa’s worst humanitarian disasters in decades has struck one of the most inaccessible regions on earth. The UN has declared a famine in five regions across Somalia. A famine can be declared only when certain measures of mortality, malnutrition and hunger are met; at least 20% of households in an area must face extreme food shortages with a limited ability to cope, acute malnutrition rates must exceed 30%, and the death rate must exceed two persons per day per 10,000 persons. More international aid is still required to put a stop to this humanitarian disaster. The United Nations Under-Secretary General for Humanitarian Affairs, Valerie Amos, has warned that “unless we see a massive increase in response, the famine will spread to five or six more regions.” Sudan update Haile Menkerios, the former head of the UN Mission in Sudan (UNMIS), has been appointed to the new position of Special Envoy for Sudan and South Sudan. A South African national, Mr. Menkerios joined the UN in 2002 and became Assistant SecretaryGeneral for Political Affairs in 2007. He was Deputy Special Representative of the SecretaryGeneral for the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) from 2005 to 2007 and was the SecretaryGeneral’s special representative and head of the United Nations Mission in Sudan (UNMIS) from March 2010 until last month. The world’s newest sovereign state, South Sudan is looking to fast track the use of a new currency. Reuters Africa reports that last month, South Sudan introduced a new pound, pegged one-to-one with the Sudan pound. The Southern Central Bank has stated that it will allow exchange of the old currency to the new currency from 18th July to 1 September. Outgoing head of United Nations peacekeeping, Alain Le Roy, referred to January’s successful referendum in Sudan as one of the successes of the ‘Blue Helmets.’ “Nobody a few months ago expected a referendum to be on time, fair, credible [and] accepted by both parties with no fighting. Who made that possible? The mission on the ground.” Togo – A nutritious victory A United Nations-European Union initiative to help Togo cope with high food prices and bad weather has produced returns that are almost double the cost. The project provided support for 20,000 rural farmers, through the provision of seeds, fertilisers and other input. Having endured floods in 2007 and 2009 and a spike in food prices at that time, the European Union (EU) channelled €2.5 million through the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) to help over 20,000 of the most-affected Togolese farmers restart their production via the EU Food Facility, the EU's worldwide response to the food price crisis of 2007-2008. The FAO estimates that, two years on, the total value of what they have produced — 9,634 tonnes of maize, 675 tonnes of rice, 85 tonnes of sorghum, 3,522 tonnes of tomatoes, 350 tonnes of onions and 85 tonnes of green chillies — is €4.7 million, nearly double the amount invested by the EU. The Americas Brazil and Argentina working for nuclear disarmament The UN Secretary General, Ban Ki-moon, has praised the Brazilian-Argentine Agency for Accounting and Control of Nuclear Materials (ABACC) for its 20 years of working for nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation. According to a statement issued by his spokesman, the “ABACC has made a very substantial contribution to regional nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation by providing for a sound regional framework for the application of International Atomic Energy Agency [IAEA] safeguards and facilitated the entry into force of the Treaty of Tlatelolco, (also known as the Treaty for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons in Latin America and the Caribbean) the nuclear-weapon-free zone encompassing of the entire Latin America and the Caribbean region.” The ABACC was created after Brazil and Argentina signed a bi-lateral agreement “the Guadalajara Agreement for the Exclusively Peaceful Use of Nuclear Energy.” Peru Peru’s new President, Ollanta Humala, has committed to protecting reforms which have helped his country become South America’s fastest growing economy over the last five years. The Miami Herald reports that although “[a] former disciple of Venezuela’s radical Hugo Chávez, Mr. Humala made an abrupt shift to the center to win election this year but many feared this was a mere campaign strategy and continue to harbor doubts about his true intentions.” However, following the announcement of the appointment of a “market-oriented economic team” led by Finance Minister Luis Miguel Castilla and businessman Salomon Lerner, Bloomberg reported that Peru’s bonds rose to a five month high. The Finance Minister confirmed that the Government would focus on supporting the poor, whilst ensuring economic security; "The big challenge is to reach those who do not see the presence of the state, such as the elderly and those in extreme poverty, and in turn that these interventions are effective." Half of Peru's budget is normally steered towards social spending, and despite a decade-long economic boom poverty remains high. Europe European debts Europe’s debt crisis has continued, with Italy ‘s finances now causing the most concern. Italy’s debt now totals € 1.8 billion ($2.6 trillion), significantly larger than those of the other troubled southern European economies. There remains concern thatItaly’s political response, including an austerity package and tax increases, has been inadequate for the gravity of the crisis, with much of the criticism directed at President Silvio Berlusconi. Meanwhile Spain’s Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero has announced an early election, now scheduled for November (elections had been originally scheduled for March). He had previously announced that he would not be running again as leader of the Socialist Party; with unemployment running at 21% and protests continuing against government austerity measures, polls predict that rightwing opposition People's Party of Mariano Rajoy will take government. Middle East Syria Ongoing violence in Syria has continued to claim many lives – according to some reports the number of deaths now approaches 2000. Recent violence has been centred around the city of Hama, echoing the previous massacre in the city in 1982. After much contention, the UN Security Council only issued a President’s statement on the violence rather than a full resolution. The United States and United Kingdom had been pushing for stronger condemnation of President Bashar Assad’s regime, and possibly referring the situation to the International Criminal Court, however China and Russia, along with non-permanent members Brazil, India, Lebanon, and South Africa opposed action, citing Libya as a precedent. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon has encouraged restraint from the Syrian government. Palestine seeks full UN membership The Palestinian Authority is making plans to apply for full membership of the United Nations, when the General Assembly sits for its September session, and is currently looking for international support for its declaration of statehood. The United States is expected to oppose the bid for statehood, however there is disagreement in other states, including Australia, over the question of supporting Palestine in its bid. However whilst it seeks international recognition, the Palestinian government is also running out of money to pay its employees. Asia ASEAN commitment to resolving conflicts in the region ASEAN has sought agreement on resolving conflicts in the region at its annual Foreign Ministers meeting, which may represent a greater willingness to deal with some of conflicts in region, particularly in the South China Sea. However conflicts continue over the Spratly Islands, with the Philippines provoking a reaction from China after visiting islands that both countries claim ownership of. At the same time protest continued in Vietnam over Chinese incursions into waters claimed by both nations. ASEAN also now needs to deal with a new generation of leaders within its own ranks, with many leaders increasingly being chosen by democratic processes and reliant on popular support, which will lead to changing dynamics within the organisation. International Cyber Attacks Internet security has become an international issue, with security company McAfee revealing in a new report that a series ofcyber-attacks over many years have targeted governments, major corporations and NGOs. The attacks all came from a single nation, however the company refused to name the source country. A Chinese government paper has denied that China was the source of the attacks. However, an agency in China has reported that 2010 saw over500,000 cyber-attacks against Chinese computers. The latest ‘State of the Internet Report’ has also found an increasing number of attacks; China and Burma were the two largest sources of cyber-attacks. * Richard completed an Arts/Law degree from Monash University in 2008. He was worked for the Prosecutor at the United Nations International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia and is currently a lawyer at Lander and Rogers Lawyers. * Marcus is currently completing a Master of Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. He also has a combined Law/Science degree from the University of Melbourne, and has most recently been working in the IT industry. Q&A with Craig Butt By Christian Habla In the first of our Q&A interviews this month we spoke to young journalist Craig Butt, about the future of the media, and how traditional journalists are competing in an increasingly online world. Craig Butt is a journalist and digital producer. He currently works for the Melbourne Press Club, where he is responsible for overseeing the Club’s online and social media presence. He recently graduated in journalism at Monash University. Whilst studying journalism he started a student website with his brother, which has since grown to encompass a dedicated team of editors and contributors. Craig has worked on a number of journalism websites and is currently developing other new media projects. He is interested in new media, online and investigative journalism, emerging technologies and the changing news landscape. Could you please explain what form of media you predominantly work with? I mainly work in online media. I’m a digital producer for the Melbourne Press Club (the journalism organisation, not the restaurant!) and my role involves administering the club’s website, overseeing its social media presence and producing written and video content. I also edit my own online publication, News Hit, a website I started with my brother while I was at university. The site employs a team of volunteer editors and publishes a wide range of articles. We have a syndication agreement with Access, so you might have seen some of our content published in Monthly Access. What influenced your decision to work in journalism and the media? I guess it was something I always wanted to get into. I’ve always liked writing and am a bit of a news junkie, so pursuing a career in the media made sense. Plus, with all of the changes that the media industry is currently undergoing, it’s an incredibly exciting time to be working in journalism and online development. I wouldn’t want to be anywhere else! What do you see as the most influential platform of the media (newspapers, blogs, etc) now and into the future? I might be a bit biased, but I think online media is the most influential platform. More and more people are getting their news online and this trend is only going to continue as the web becomes more integrated. Using the internet you can follow news as it unfolds in real time, retrieve news and analysis in an instant, compare reports from one organisation to similar reports from a multitude of other sources, watch multimedia reports and interact with fellow readers and sometimes even the journalists themselves. It really benefits consumers because they don’t have to wait for the latest newspaper to land on their doorstep, or for the story they want to watch to appear on a news bulletin, before they can access the information they want. We’re also seeing the rise of social media, which is only going to get more influential in the future. Most news organisations - be they print, radio or TV - have an active Facebook and Twitter presence, which they use as a way of getting their content to their audiences. A lot of people are using their Facebook and Twitter feeds as their own personalised news aggregators, with links to what their friends have shared becoming a powerful recommendations tool. All of the ‘Like’, ‘Share’ and ‘+1’ buttons that have sprung up on news websites over the last couple of years are testament to how influential social media has become and how much news organisations are trying to harness this to boost page views. A really good example of online media’s influence is The Guardian newspaper’s recent list of the 100 most influential peoplein media in the UK. The three most influential people on this list were Mark Zuckerberg (Facebook), Jack Dorsey (Twitter) and Larry Page (Google), mainly because their platforms are the conduits through which readers access online content. By contrast, the director general of the BBC was fourth, Rupert Murdoch came sixth and the editors of the UK’s top newspapers were even further down the list. I suspect the results would be very similar in Australia. How do you think journalism and its means of delivery will change and develop over the coming decade? At its core I think good journalism will always be about telling good stories, pursuing the truth and helping audiences make sense of complex issues. However, the process of journalism will certainly evolve to integrate new news gathering techniques and distribution methods. For example, so many stories are now unfolding within social media through tweets, twitpics and other user generated content that sorting through all of this information and packaging it into clear narrative is fast becoming an important journalistic skill. At the same time, journalists can connect with their readers on a level that would have been unheard of several years ago, and I think over time we’re going to see journalism become even more social and participatory. In terms of the means of delivery, it will be interesting to see how experiments with monetisation of content online will succeed. A lot of news organisations have realised that they just can’t afford to be giving out their content for free online. The Timesnewspaper put a 'paywall' in place one year ago and since then The New York Times has also followed suit with its own version, which lets you read 20 articles a month before asking you to pay for access. The News Limited papers in Australia will soon be going down that path too. But at the same time, setting up a paywall practically precludes content being shared on social media, which will certainly cut into the potential readership for some of these sites. My theory is that there will be a segregation of online content. On the one hand there will be the content that aims to reach as many people as possible through social media sharing and other delivery methods, while on the other there will be gated online news communities that offer premium analysis for a price. Do you believe that online journalism and new forms of media are counteracting the problems associated with the concentration of mainstream news ownership? It’s definitely a lot easier to set up your own media presence these days. Until about twenty years ago, if you wanted to get your point across or challenge a dominant narrative or editorial line in the news, your only options were to write to an existing publication (and even then you had little control over your message) or establish your own (prohibitively expensive) newspaper. Now, anyone can set up a blog and a social media presence to get their voice heard. Obviously the average blogger’s voice won’t be as amplified as someone who has a column in a newspaper or as widely read as a report in a newspaper, but I think it makes for a much more vibrant media ecosystem. We’ve also seen a lot of online media organisations - like Private Media (owners of Crikey and Business Spectator) and New Matilda - spring up and become quite influential in their own right. Just look at The Huffington Post in the US, it has grown into something that employs more journalists than The New York Times and was bought out for $315 million earlier this year. Will the traditional journalist and news organisation survive the growth of online media? Yes, I think traditional journalists can survive the growth of online media, although there will be pressure on them to augment their existing skills by, for example, learning how to put together multimedia packages or how to establish a social media presence. As for news organisations, it depends on how well they adapt to it. I don’t think news organisations can pretend that there hasn’t been a fundamental shift in the way that people access news. If they don’t develop strategies that make digital development central then I think we could see certain news organisations becoming unsustainable. Should the Australian media be more or less heavily regulated? This debate has really exploded in Australia lately because of the News of the World phone hacking scandal in the UK. A lot of people are asking whether the unethical practices the British subsidiary of News Corporation’s papers used to obtain stories could have been replicated by News Limited’s Australian mastheads. However, I don’t think there’s any evidence that this sort of thing happened here in Australia, and I think most of these calls for more regulation are coming from people who are opportunistically trying to conflate what happened in the UK with their own distaste for some of News Limited’s editorial lines. These are completely different things and it should be the prerogative of any privately owned news organisation to adopt its own editorial stance. At present I think the current level of media regulation is sufficient. What do you think are the major powers in international journalism today? I think many of the traditional media outlets are still the major powers in international journalism today, even though they aren't quite as dominant or as stable as they once were. There have been some predictions that News Corporation might scale back its news interests and that the BBC will further reduce its global media footprint because of the budget cuts, but it's a bit premature to judge. Other non-Western powers are also beginning to emerge - Al Jazeera is going from strength to strength, while I wouldn't be surprised if China's official news agencies start becoming more extroverted to boost the country's soft power. What role do younger people play in the world of journalism where more established journalists with built-up audiences dictate the media landscape? I'm sure this question has been asked for as long as there has been an established media. The media landscape is in a real state of flux at the moment and there has never been a better time for younger people to get their voices across and to experiment with blogs, podcasts, social media and other platforms like YouTube. Many media organisations are trying to solve the problem of why Gen Y audiences aren't engaging with their content, so maybe young people could solve the problem themselves by creating their own media ecosystem. * Christian is a Monash University student currently completing a combined degree in Arts and Law. Media Analysis: ‘Khodorkovsky’ by Cyril Tuschi By Marla Pascual A review of the documentary ‘Khodorkovsky’ by Cyril Tuschi. A link to the documentary website and extracts can be found here. Screening at this year’s Melbourne International Film Festival is Cyril Tuschi’s Khodorkovsky, a film about one of Russia’s wealthiest men, a neo-capitalist oligarch, who became both an iconic political symbol and a political prisoner. Mikhail Borisevich Khodorkovsky, the former head of Yukos Oil Company, a Russian petroleum company, was arrested and imprisoned for charges of fraud, tax evasion, embezzlement and money laundering. Tuschi gives his viewers a somewhat detailed look at the sequence of events that led to Khodorkovsky’s imprisonment. However, he allows his viewers to formulate their own analysis of the trial and, on a larger scope, of Russia’s political system. Through a compilation of interviews, news footage and 2D animations of paramount moments from Khodorkovsky’s ascent to being Russia’s wealthiest man up until his imprisonment, Tuschi conveys the intriguing story about a man who went through extreme lengths to fight for his political beliefs. An aspect that was exquisitely striking was Tuschi’s use of black and white 2D animation to illustrate Khodorkovsky. During the post-screening Q&A, he explained how he wanted to stimulate the protagonist as a phantom-like character, since he was unsure of obtaining an interview with Khodorkovsky. He must be commended for his perseverance and accentuated efforts in creating this film. Cyril Tuschi worked on Khodorkovsky for five years. For the most part, though informative, the first half of the documentary is slightly bland and tedious. The string of interviews with Khodorkovsky’s mother, first wife, and a couple of his college peers gave a succinct account of how Kodorkovsky, a chemistry graduate who turned into a lucrative businessman, acquired his prominent standing as the richest man in Russia by 2004. In a country where ‘the oligarchs were a product of the government’, the first half shows how he prospered with Yukos while retaining the Soviet way of living: ‘to live modestly than you can afford’. Nevertheless, one impatiently awaits the climax of the documentary. The second half of Tuschi’s documentary suddenly transforms into a mind-gripping film through footage of a televised annual meeting between former President Vladimir Putin and Russia’s wealthiest businessmen. It might be safe to assume that it was this moment that sparked the downfall and blemished Khodorkovsky’s name forever. Khodorkovsky spoke about the government and political corruption, declaring that “we started the corruption process; we should end it”. By October 25th, 2003, Khodorkovsky had been arrested, charged with fraud and tax evasion and sent to a solitary prison in Siberia, some 5000 kilometres from Moscow. By speaking about government corruption and being in favour of a more open political system, Khodorkovsky instantly became a victim of injustice – imprisoned in Siberia before his trial and charged for embezzling $27 billion worth of oil. Challenging Putin, who is assumed to be the most powerful man in Russia to this day, Khodorkovsky created for himself a destiny that is far from triumphant. Turning to politics and social action, and siding with the political opposition, resulted in severe consequences. Irina Yasina, former Director of Open Russia, a charity funded by Khodorkovsky, says in an interview in the film that “to scare off a pack of wolves, you don’t have to kill them all; you just try to kill the one – the most beautiful, the smartest, the fastest”. Tuschi subtly yet successfully illustrates that within a neo-socialist regime, wealth becomes a mortal sin if one has political ambitions. However, while he claims to provide an impartial account of Khodorkovsky’s consequent misfortunes, Putin inherently assumes the role of the villain, able to exercise his limitless political power at will. Although the majority of the interviewees were the protagonist’s family and friends, the viewer is compelled to understand Tuschi’s obstacles in attaining interviews with the opposition, namely Vladimir Putin and the like. The director vividly illuminates Khodorkovsky as a distinct and politically remarkable hero who is willing to endure all consequences to inordinately stand up for his moral principles and belief in political reform. Nonetheless, the viewer is inclined to ponder on the logic and practicality of Khodorkovsky’s actions. When asked in an interview in Berlin about what he found most intriguing with Khodorkovsky’s character, Tuschi replied that it was the way “he acts illogically, although he is very logical”. He evokes change as an omnipresent theme throughout his film, while simultaneously implying that in the most unusual of cases, appeasement and compliance might be the better options. In an interview in the film, Pavel Khodorkovsky, the protagonist’s eldest son living in exile in the US, explicitly relays that his father was aware that returning to Russia would result in his arrest and imprisonment. Yet he would rather argue his case in court than live safely in exile like his former Yukos colleagues. Ultimately, Tuschi not only gives a concise account of Khodorkovsky’s rise and predestined demise. He also paints a picture of Russian society wherein the powerful prevails and heroism is only highly regarded in theory. * Marla completed her Bachelor in Arts (Journalism and History) in 2009 at Monash University. She is currently undertaking a Masters of International Relations at Monash, and since June has been an intern for ACCESS. Q&A with Daniel Wilson By Christian Habla In the second of this month’s Q&A interviews, Daniel Wilson discusses the role of young people in shaping the future of the media. Daniel Wilson is a freelance journalist and project manager. He has appeared in a variety of publications from Wake Magazineto the Affairs of State serial Letters from Melbourne. He has a Master of International Politics from the University of Melbourne. He is the outgoing Editor-in-Chief of Quarterly Access, and continues to support the publication as time permits. You were the founding editor of Quarterly Access. Why QA? A small group of young AIIA members decided that students and recent graduates should have more opportunity to publish their ideas. Particularly we felt that there was no opportunity to publish lengthier in-depth pieces. I really believed in the project, was quite motivated, and so was elevated into a leadership position. I had just finished my Master of International Politics and had fresh memories of hanging out at the graduate house, chatting to peers about their research projects. It was almost always fascinating research with sometimes startling conclusions. But the only people that would read the thesis of an honours or masters student were supervisors, markers, and close family members. I was keen to create a space to share those ideas in a synthesised way that was more sophisticated than a typical citizen journalism site, yet less daunting than an academic journal. What role do younger people play in the world of journalism where more established journalists with built-up audiences dictate the media landscape? As news organisations shrink, it has become harder for young people to get a cadetship at a local paper. So, young people are creating their own virtual space to publish. Perhaps even more interesting is that young people are editing news by deciding which articles to share with their friends on social networking sites. A decent portion of what I read nowadays has been recommended by someone. Where this will all lead to is hard to say, I am just glad to see young people as engaged and active participants in the public discussion. Will the traditional journalist and news organisation survive the growth of online media? The Pew Research Centre recently reported that 12% of Americans own an e-reader. That number doubled in the first half of 2011, from 6 to 12%. I have a feeling the term ‘in print’ will go out of fashion, although I don’t think it changes the newspaper fundamentally, and we can still speak of the same medium. If I read The Australian online or in print, it’s the same news. Perhaps the example of television is clearer, whether the content comes through the air or through the internet, it is still TV. Hopefully e-readers make news publications and so forth more popular again. Although it must also be said that publications like the Economist and Wall Street Journal have been able to consistently increase their readership over the last few years. But a fundamental problem that news organisations simply have to accept is that advertisers can now invade our social space and photo albums. Facebook is expected to generate US$1.7 billion in advertising revenue in 2011. What do you see as the most influential platform of the media (newspapers, blogs, etc) now and into the future? Recent studies have shown that television remains the most influential platform, and I don't see that changing anytime soon. The only difference is I can watch the news online and on demand, and skip forward any story I find boring. Also, I regularly watch Al Jazeera and other international newscasts that stream online for free. I keep up my second language by watching German newscasts and television programs. The quality necessary in online streaming has really only come together over the last few years, and if anything it has made television more appealing to me and no doubt to others too. How do you think journalism and its means of delivery will change and develop over the coming decade? Some journalists wield enormous influence over the public discussion. Andrew Bolt is a noteworthy example of someone who publishes across several media. He has a television program, a column and a blog. I think what counts is the content, and that it appeals to enough people. The advance in the delivery of content is exciting and is perhaps even changing the rules of the game, but in the end, the most influential people in the public discussion are the same as they were 50 years ago: politicians, lobbyists, activists, and journalists; and by extension those that control them. They will occupy all media, and I doubt any would be worth ignoring. Each has their unique appeal. Print has more gravitas than TV, blogs are quicker and more interactive, TV more passive, and so forth. Do you believe that online journalism and new forms of media are counteracting the problems associated with the concentration of mainstream news ownership? Australia has a limited diversity in media ownership. I would argue this is due to government regulation which favours established players. This quasi protectionism has made Australian media companies seemingly nonchalant when it comes to the quality and delivery of their content. Citizen journalism and niche players such as Crikey have bravely claimed their spot in the media landscape, but it is a small spot. Most of the news we consume online is generated by large publicly listed or government sponsored corporation. Should the Australian media be more or less heavily regulated? It’s a complex issue without easy answers. By giving Australian media organisations quasi protectionism in exchange for a minimum threshold of locally made content, it seems we have made a kind of Faustian pact. Does Wagga Wagga really need a minimum threshold of local news bulletins in the morning shows of their commercial radio stations? And at what cost would that be ok? I don’t know how to measure that. * Christian is a Monash University student currently completing a combined degree in Arts and Law. AIIA Victoria-ACCESS Press Room: Aid vs. Trade Debate By Marla Pascual On Tuesday July 19th, 2011, at the BMW Edge Theatre at Federation Square the ACCESS network of the Australian Institute of International Affairs, held a debate on the topic of whether foreign aid or trade better served as a more effective and efficient method in consolidating international development. Ms. Joanna Hayter, CEO of the International Women’s Development Agency, opened for the ‘aid’ side by outlining the importance of providing foreign aid to alleviate poverty in developing countries. Foreign aid is a “process of empowerment” which can inculcate the idea of equity for people in developing nations. She went on to argue that to achieve sustainable development it is imperative that foreign aid efforts are “inclusive and participatory”. She emphasised how most workers in developing countries continue to live in poverty even when they have paid jobs. Further, she outlined the “unequal power relations between men and women” and the private sector’s inability to “reach people on the margins”. Ms. Hayter concluded that the effectiveness of providing foreign aid is a kind of leadership that prioritises both equity and equal rights. Dr. Tom Davis, from the University of Melbourne, began by explaining the complex relationship between aid, trade, markets and governments. “The current relationship between aid and trade is not working well and hasn’t been for quite some time.” Dr. Davis suggested that a cohesive balance between aid and trade is critical to improving international development. There is, he conceded, no “magic bullet” to the issue of development, but government bodies and global markets should focus on structures to arrive at new innovative solutions. Both non-government and corporate sectors should “engage in genuine partnership dialogue” with those nations receiving assistance. Dr. Julia Newton-Howes, from CARE Australia, began by reflecting on how foreign aid and trade contribute to communities’ sustainability. Foreign aid, she argued, provides the “basic building blocks” and ultimately “gives fundamental change” to nations that need it. She accepted that economic growth is a component of poverty reduction, but emphasised that international development is equally about outcomes and choices, and foreign aid recipients should be allowed to “determine their own futures”. She defined foreign aid provision as allowing developing countries to benefit from economic growth. Mr. Andrew MacLeod from the Committee for Melbourne argued that developed countries should use both trade and aid to give developing nations a lifestyle that the former would regard as “normal”. He referred to a world “full of strong partnerships” in which the objective is not the level of aid inputs, but its effectiveness. He contextualised the idea of favouring “development investment rather than development aid”, wherein funds are given with the expectation of prosperous results. Nevertheless, he referred to trade as the “big kid on the block”, reiterating how many developing countries have received billions of dollars in aid but still remain poor. The CEO of the Committee for Melbourne described how “the aid world is far less effective or efficient” than people wish to hope, realise or accept. He argued that the best aid to give developing countries is jobs, which result in increased tax revenue paid to responsible governments, and used wisely to enhance economic and social developments. The debate was moderated by Rev. Tim Costello AO, the CEO of World Vision Australia, one of Australia’s ‘Living Treasurers’ and the recipient of the Australian Peace Prize in 2008. Ms. Joanna Hayter is CEO of the International Women’s Development Agency. She was also the Country Director for Save the Children UK in Vietnam and the African Regional Director for the Overseas Service Bureau. Dr. Tom Davis is a lecturer on Public Policy at the University of Melbourne. He has worked at the Department of Immigration as well as the Refugee Review Tribunal. Dr. Julia Newton-Howes is the CEO of CARE Australia. She is a member of the Executive Committee and Board of CARE International and of the Executive Committee of the Australian Council for Overseas Aid. Previously, she was Assistant Director General with AusAID. Mr. Andrew MacLeod is CEO of the Committee for Melbourne and the Foundation Chair of the UN Global Compact Principles for Social Investment. He is also a member of the UN Expert Group on Responsible Business and Investment. The debate was organised by ACCESS, the Australian Institute for International Affairs’ Network for University Students and Young Professionals in partnership with the Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences at the University of Melbourne. For upcoming events and further information, please contact AIIA at [email protected] or call (03) 9654 7271. Based on the ACCESS Aid vs. Trade Debate, held on Tuesday July 19th, 2011, at the BMW Edge Theatre at Federation Square. * Marla completed her Bachelor in Arts (Journalism and History) in 2009 at Monash University. She is currently undertaking a Masters of International Relations at Monash, and since June has been an intern for ACCESS. Issue 18 Message from the Editor By Rachel Hankey More than ever, the efficacy of aid is a target of scrutiny. This is not only because of the current economic climate but also because of the challenges of implementing aid effectively and because of the tremendously nuanced contemporary development industry. Agents of development must now contend with government agencies, NGOs, multinational corporations and global institutions, while remaining true to the aspirations of the citizenry. Despite these complexities, the Australian Government has reiterated its development priorities by deciding to boost the aid budget to 0.5% of the GNI by 2015-16. As with other state aid programs, the Australian aid program is allegedly premised on our national interest. Aid is intended to secure our regional stability by addressing issues such as transnational crime, preventable disease, economic instability and humanitarian migration. Australia is also increasingly looking to engage with regions it has not traditionally engaged with, such as Latin America and Africa. However, the Global Financial Crisis has made state and commercial aid donors wary of contributing funds to international aid in the face of budgetary pressures. For Australia, the Independent Review of Aid Effectiveness, released earlier this month, attempts to direct Australia’s aid efforts to remain focused on reducing poverty and achieving sustainable development during these challenging times. The release of the aid review warrants not only an analysis of our national aid program and the incentives that drive it, but also of the contentions that surround the effectiveness of various development theories. For example, experts are now debating over whether the premises of aid themselves are fundamentally sound, or whether trade and wealth generation bear more fruit. In keeping with this month’s Access Debate, Aid versus Trade – what works and what doesn’t[1], this issue of Monthly Access examines salient approaches to development; from whether aid or trade is the superior approach, to the failures of microcredit, and to the surprising camaraderie found within the slums of India. In The microcredit crisis? Priya Wakhlu intimates us with the microcredit crisis in India, how the program has failed to empower women and why it may result in a debilitating financial crisis for rural workers. From Indonesia, former MA editor-in-chief, Olivia Cable, details the obstacles to engaging more meaningfully with Indonesia, our largest diplomatic posting, in Indonesia: Australia's gateway into the Asia-century. In this month’s interviews we explore the development challenges women, and the development industry itself, face. The International Women’s Development Agency (IWDA) provides lucid insight into the unique role that women play in developing societies and the IWDA's current projects, in Eliza Nolan’s Q&A. Agriculture specialist, Giles West, speaks with me about the changing nature of the development industry and its implications in Career Spotlight. Monthly Access column editors Richard Griffin and Marcus Burke translate the geopolitical implications of aid as emerging economic powers vie for influence, the ICC-issued arrest warrant for Muammar Gaddafi, and other global events in Global Snapshot July 2011. Continuing our analysis of foreign aid versus trade, resident writer and human rights campaigner, Sean Mackin, provides some first-hand accounts of how development aid can fail in Development Aid – Theory and Reality in Timor Leste. In the lead-up to our Access Debate, Aid versus Trade, the Access Press Room reports on last month’s Access forum, Inside the Horn of Africa, and the need for Australia to engage in earnest with the region and Australian-African communities. Finally, Steven Burak summarizes the discourse between aid and trade – the contest and conflux. This month we also introduce our newest section, Media Analysis, in which we analyse the media discourse which permeates our understanding of global affairs. In our first edition, Marla Pascual reviews the documentary, Slumming It, which takes the viewer on a journey through the slums of Mumbai, while providing unconventional insights. Until next month, Happy Reading, Rachel Hankey * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. She is editor-in-chief of Monthly Access. The Monthly Access team: Rachel Hankey, Ishita Acharyya and editors: Evan Ritli, Richard Griffin, Sean Mackin, Marcus Burke, John Varghese; guest editors: Marla Pascual, Priya Wakhlu, Eliza Nolan, Olivia Cable For comments regarding this newsletter please write to [email protected] [1] ACCESS’ debate ‘Aid vs Trade: What Works, What Doesn’t and Why?’ shall be hosted at 6.00 pm on the 19th of July at the BMW Edge Theatre, Federation Square. Moderated by Rev. Tim Costello AO, the trade position will be advocated by Mr Andrew Macleod and Dr Tom Davis, and on the foreign aid stance Ms Joanna Hayter and Dr Julia Newton-Howes. Entry is free. Contemporary Debate: The Micro-credit Crisis? By Priya Wakhlu Few ideas have captured the imagination of the development community as strongly as microcredit. With claims that it couldhalve the rate of poverty by 2030, and the awarding of the Nobel Prize to its architects Muhammad Yunus and the Grameen Bank, it has become firmly entrenched as a core component of most NGO programs. However, questions have begun to ruminate about not only the practices of certain micro-credit organisations, but also whether micro-credit can “actually undermine the process of sustainable poverty reduction and ‘bottom-up’ economic and social development”. Micro-credit is based on the principle that access to appropriate credit is integral for the selfempowerment of millions of the world’s poor. Traditionally, mainstream financial institutions, for fear of default, would not extend their financial services to individuals living in extreme poverty. Inability to obtain credit forced individuals to rely on predatory loan sharks or forgo opportunities for growth. The Grameen Bank and its successors sought to break this cycle by providing small loans, generally to women, to support enterprise and investment. Coupled with the grant, borrower circles were established to encourage repayment. The 98% recovery rate of loans and higher rates of school attendance by children of micro-finance recipients were touted by proponents as evidence of the system’s success in breaking the poverty cycle. The sheen of micro-credit began to fade in late 2010 when a spate of suicides in the Indian state of Andhra Pradesh was attributed to local micro-finance organisations. The government responded by imposing strict regulatory obligations on micro-finance organisations, which they accused of making “hyperprofits off the poor”. Many borrowers, heeding the calls of local politicians, defaulted on their payments leading to fears that the collapse of the Rs 225 billion micro-finance industry could become India’s subprime crisis. The floating of SKS Microfinance on the Indian Stock Exchange six months prior, and its valuation at US $1.5 billion, seemed to confirm the views of industry detractors that micro-finance organisations had simplybecome 'for profit' organisations. It has also been argued that contrary to assertions of micro-finance groups, micro-credit has been detrimental to the empowerment of its female participants. The borrower groups, instead of being a source of support, are said to force compliance through the threat of social ostracism from other borrowers, who are often friends and neighbours. In addition, the male dominated banks rely on verbal abuse and threats to demand repayment from the female borrowers. As women are unlikely to respond with physical violence, they are placed in a position of vulnerability. However, critics have questionedwhether it is fair to burden Grameen Bank and other micro-finance organisations with the prevalence of domestic violence amongst their borrowers. Interestingly, the commercialisation of micro-credit is expected to cause a shift away from the traditional female orientated micro-credit model to a system that provides larger loans to small businesses, a field typically dominated by men. Whilst acknowledging that the rapid expansion of the industry has benefited rogue operators, particularly in states like Andhra Pradesh, the heavy-handed approach of the Indian government will have serious consequences for the viability of micro-finance. Even critics of the micro-credit system have conceded that whilst its benefits do not necessarily align with those claimed by aid organisations, it does provide necessary assistance to the entrepreneurial poor, and is a vital avenue of support during times of economic hardship. The proposed measures in Andhra Pradesh will cause prohibitive increases to the cost of lending, forcing individuals to once again rely on loan sharks or the largely inefficient public sector. The current crisis plaguing micro-credit in one of its largest markets should not be regarded as the death knell for the industry but rather an opportunity for growth and reform. The introduction of appropriate regulatory systems, potentially adopting the largely successful Peruvian Model, and the expansion of financial services, particularly the provision of accepting deposits, will ensure that micro-finance bodies will continue to play a vital role in the lives of the world's poor. *Priya is currently a 4th year Arts/Law student at Monash University, majoring in politics and Indonesian. Indonesia: Australia's Gateway into the Asia-century By Olivia Cable Australia should place more value on an education in the Indonesian language. In 1994, former Australian Prime Minister Paul Keating confidently declared “no country is more important to Australia than Indonesia. If we fail to get this relationship right, and nurture and develop it, the whole web of our foreign relations is incomplete”. It is no wonder that Jakarta is Australia’s largest diplomatic post. Indonesia was in Australia’s orbit long before Keating’s famous statement and today remains a strategic, economic and political priority. Yet remarkably, current trends show that there will not be a single Australian student in Year 12 learning Indonesian by 2020. This necessitates a need to understand the long-term consequences of this decline. A dead-end in education Australia’s educational bilateral engagement with Indonesia appears to be rather unbalanced. As Australia’s largest aid recipient, Indonesia received $452.5 million in 2009-10 and $2 billion between 2005 and 2010. Education is a priority. Among a number of programs, the Australian government aims to deliver better access to schools, improve education quality and train teachers. Under the ‘Australia Awards’ scholarship program, $200 million is invested each year for international scholarships, supporting over 300 Indonesian postgraduates to study in Australia. For Australians, there are opportunities to study, research and undertake professional development in Indonesia. The aim is ‘to promote knowledge, education links and enduring ties between Australia and our neighbours’. Easier said than done: no vision from Canberra However, the Australian government’s commitment to such programs is questionable. Seemingly unnecessary travel warnings issued by the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) have prevented Australian teachers from in-country engagement with Indonesia. The Endeavour Language Teacher Fellowship - established by the Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations and now run by the Indonesia Australia Language Foundation (IALF) – was designed to be an intensive summer course for teachers in Australia to improve their proficiency in Indonesian. When DFAT issued a travel warning after the Bali bombings in 2002 and 2005, the program was conducted in Australia. Although appropriate immediately after the Bali bombings, the travel warnings still remain. The Endeavour Language Teacher Fellowship was restricted until 2010, when the federal government decided for the program to be conducted in Indonesia. The education system is failing to prepare Australian students to enter the Asia Century. In December 2008, the Australian Government announced the National Asian Languages and Studies in Schools Program (NALSSP). With a budget of $62.4 million, to be implemented over four years from 2008 to 2012, NALSSP aims to “significantly increase the number of Australian students becoming proficient at learning the languages and understanding the cultures of our Asian neighbours – China, Indonesia, Japan and Korea. It also aims to increase the number of qualified Asian language teachers and develop a specialist curriculum for advanced languages students”. NALSSP has set a target that “by 2020, at least 12 per cent of school students will exit Year 12 with a fluency in one of the target Asian languages sufficient for engaging in trade and commerce in Asia and/or university study”. To achieve this, it would require 24,000 students to study one of the four languages in Year 12 in 2020, a 100 per cent increase in student numbers from 2008. An increase in the number of qualified Indonesian language teachers is critical for this goal to be achieved. Indonesian teachers in Australia range from those who have committed their lives to the language and visit Indonesia regularly, to those who have never learned a second language before. Importing Indonesian teachers would be a good start to filling the gap, and Indonesia has plenty of qualified teachers. However, visa restrictions on Indonesians working in Australia are stalling expansion. Australian students see little benefit learning Indonesian when taught by teachers with limited exposure to the country. China and Indonesia through Australian eyes In the great geopolitical shift toward Asia, Australia has been intensively focused on China. We have become mesmerised by China as either our economic saviour, or our strategic nightmare. Public perception plays a large role in the decline of Indonesian in Australian schools. Indonesians are seen through a ‘distorted lens’, inflated by the media. Reformasi has a long way to go, but Indonesia’s transition to democracy has been a remarkable success – Egypt has sought Indonesia’s help to implement democracy. Indonesia’s occupation of Timor-Leste resulted in three horrific decades for the Timorese, but Indonesia was not alone. Indeed, there was covert support from Australia and the US. Terrorism remains a problem, but Indonesia is not a country of Islamic extremism. The vast majority of Indonesians do not accept radical views - they have a commitment to democracy. The fear of millions of Indonesians invading Australian shores simply has no merit. Prominent Indonesian scholar Tim Lindsay might be able put some minds at ease: “An Indonesian officer with whom I once discussed these perceptions expressed amazement. 'What about the threat from the south?' he asked. 'You’ve got planes that fly and equipment that works. We haven’t'.” The mistreatment of Australia’s live cattle export in Indonesian abattoirs has dealt another blow to the Australian public's perception of Indonesia. Given the media’s craving to demoralise Indonesia, Canberra’s politicisation of the event effectively diverted attention from the carbon tax and asylum seeker swap with Malaysia. Looking to the future Australian students need aspirations to learn Indonesian. In a reply to Indonesian President Yudhoyono’s address to the Australian Parliament in early 2010, former Prime Minister Rudd said: “we are neighbours by circumstance, but we are friends because we have chosen to be friends”. The more Australians eliminate stereotypical perceptions and embrace Indonesia’s diversity, the better equipped we will be for the Asia-century. *Olivia is studying a Bachelor of Asia-Pacific Studies at the Australian National University. She is currently in Indonesia studying Indonesian at Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana, and climbing mountains in Salatiga, Indonesia. Q&A with International Women’s Development Agency: Part One By Eliza Nolan International Women’s Development Agency (IWDA) is an Australian non-profit organisation that undertakes projects in partnership with grassroots organisations in Asia and the Pacific. These projects are driven by needs which are articulated from the communities in which IWDA works and are developed and managed by women who live and work in the communities themselves. Partnerships are driven by local ownership and leadership, a strong emphasis on sustainability, and a focus on capacity building of institutions, organisation, systems and individuals. IWDA addresses development in Asia Pacific with a focus on equality and human rights and endeavour to create a sustainable and just world for all. The holistic approach taken by IWDA reflects the complexities of women’s lives and their communities and their motto is ‘when women benefit, the community benefits’. The IWDA’s focus on women stems from the belief that inequality is intolerable. Monthly Access met with IWDA’s Heather Brown Program Manager for Solomon Islands, Emily Miller Program Manager for Fiji and N’Deane Helajzen Program Manager for Papua New Guinea for some further insight into the IWDA current projects and to discuss the situation of women and development in the Asia Pacific today. Part One of our interview examines the integral role that women play in developing societies, and the unique challenges they face. Part Two of our interview provides insight into the IWDA’s regional partnerships, and the state of women in our direct region. Part One: Women in the modern development context What are the biggest challenges faced by women today and how do they impact on development? EM: [There are] Issues of [gender-biased] leadership in Fiji, particularly in a country which is currently not democratic, women [are] sidelined even further from participation in decision making. Women’s safety and security is also an issue in Fiji as well as the rest of the Pacific and the Asia region. A lot of our work focuses, if not directly, on safety and security. NH: I think this is also where we got our thematic areas from, we really looked at the issues for women in the Asia Pacific region and categorised them into these broad thematic and cross cutting areas. Violence against women is a significant problem at all levels of PNG society, with high rates of violent crime, ongoing tribal disputes in rural areas and widespread domestic and sexual violence against women and children. Actual levels of violence are difficult to determine due to underreporting but it can be said that violence against women in PNG is sever and pervasive. Many women suffer physical injuries that result in permanent damage and disability, including loss of sight, loss of hearing and harm to reproductive organs. HB: I agree that within the Pacific violence against women, or gender based violence, would be the most common challenge. It doesn’t matter if you are an educated woman or you’re quite accomplished, you may be subject to gender based violence, and you are probably subjected to it at the village level; it is very pervasive. It is actually an all encompassing, underlying issue to everything. I think that is why it underlines all of our work because no matter what you’re working in you have to consider the safety and security of the women first. Do any of the challenges you face when implementing programs actually come from women? Do you come across barriers or resistance from the women themselves? Are they very forthcoming, or are they worried about the men’s reactions? EM: We (IWDA) don’t implement any projects per se, we actually support national women’s organisations to implement their projects. NH: That is what we meant by partnership approach. We support our partners, who are local community based organisations. We largely provide administrative support and organisational capacity building, and our local partners implement [the projects]. We do not have large in country offices with expatriate staff. While this can be challenging in my view this is the most sensible and sustainable way of working. HB: One thing I’ve been coming across is the issue of religion. There is culture and a whole number of things that come out of culture, but tied closely with culture in Melanesia is Christianity. There are conversations where women want equality, but they are confused by some of the biblical teachings that say that they can’t or should not want it, that men are the head of the household. It’s sort of like an internal barrier, where women think on one hand ‘yes, I’m entitled to this’ but then they have a cultural context where maybe they are told that they are not. It is reinforced by the church. So that is a real challenge that I keep coming across. NH: there are significant challenges regarding religion and the importation of Christianity in PNG as well. In what ways are the development needs and challenges for women different to those of the wider community? HB: I think it’s access and control of resources. HB: I think that is the main issue, and this is why we focus so much on ‘political participation’. But its participation at every level because if there are development projects that are happening or even government services such as health and education like Nadine’s talking about, if there’s no access to decision making that’s a major issue for women. That’s why it has to be a focus, so women can actually have that equal access to both public goods, like education, but also to decision making and also economic resources. We haven’t talked about that much but women have very little access to cash that isn’t controlled by their husbands or other men. NH: If there is limited cash boys may be prioritised for access to education or health care for example. Equality between men and women is still a problem in developed countries, such as unequal pay in Australia. How can we achieve greater equality for women in developing countries when we haven’t really achieved it at home? HB: Really it’s a global issue. You see some progress that is made in some countries and then you can kind of leverage off that a little bit. EM: Gender equality is not something that is going to happen overnight. I think if you look at gender equality, really around the world no country has reached total equality. But, if you think about equality as a journey along a scale of one to ten, some countries have journeyed along that scale further In Australia, while we still absolutely have issues of inequality, i’d say we as a nation have journeyed along that scale further than some other countries. But it’s an ongoing issue for everyone. EM: Globally though, there have always been strong drivers of gender equality in the form of strong women advocates. NH: Often when I’m facilitating gender trainings I talk about gender inequality in Australia. That seems to be an effective strategy because otherwise our work may appear to be patronising. So to highlight that there is an 18% pay gap in Australia, or some of the other inequalities that we face here in Australia, helps to make the communities in which we work feel more reassured that gender inequality really is a global issue. EM: I think Australia also has... the mechanisms that can help support women towards gender equality. The legal system and the infrastructure in Australia is much more supportive than the legal and judicial system in Papua New Guinea or the Solomon Islands for example. This doesn’t automatically bring about equality, but those structures when in place and when utilised and supported, through police, through crisis centres, through community support systems, will slowly start to make a difference. NH: If there are no women leaders making decisions and men are making the decision on behalf of women – then how can women’s needs be met? Policies become gender blind; because men are making decisions for the whole community when they don’t really understand the needs of women. In PNG women have limited access to political power. Men view politics as fundamentally a male domain and women have largely been excluded from participating. In PNG there is currently just one female parliamentarian out of 109 member Government and since PNG achieved independence in 1975 there have only been four women ever elected to National Parliament. The National situation often reflects the situation at the grassroots level where men hold the power and women have minimal opportunity to participate in the community decision making processes. Are women actively kept out of these powerful positions? EM: I think cultural stereotyping and channelling of women into stereotyped roles is a subtle way of actively keeping women out of that decision making space. HB: There’s a whole electoral process that goes on. In Melanesia, talking about access and control, being MP is the best job you can have; you get access to decision making and money. So women are in every election, they’re in there and they are campaigning; they are trying to get into the parliament, it’s not like they’ve given up, they are out there every single election really trying and they are just not getting anywhere. HB: And can you talk about temporary special measure (to the others in the room)? NH: The PNG Government tabled a bill to create 22 reserved seats for women before the next elections in 2012. It was, or rather is, a temporary special measure to get women into parliament, where the provincial seat can be contested by both men and women, while the reserved seats is only for women to contest. 22 seats represent one seat for each Province including the National Capital District. Of course the bill was not supported in Parliament, with MP’s claiming that affirmative action had no legal grounding and that because there is no election process behind it, male parliamentarians claimed it was unfair, just because women ... HB: …have been excluded for the entire history of the country. NH: ...are not represented then they get given a seat. To date the bill has not been passed in Parliament despite being tabled several times by the Minister for Community Development, Dame Carol Kidu. HB: Women are trying the same thing in the Solomons, it comes up to a vote and it’s like ‘oh no one’s here today’ or ‘oh it’s been put off the agenda’, so it is not to say that women are powerless in the situation or just accepting it. There are very strong women leaders in the Pacific who are doing their best to gain access to decision making, and that’s the type of work we are trying to support, but it is a long journey. NH: I think in PNG it’s also really interesting that parliament house is actually built in the same design as a traditional Sepik Haus-Tambarans, which is a house that only men are allowed to enter. So women are quite petrified of that culturally. The very design of the National Parliament House, has perhaps contributed to the lack of representation of women. HB: That says a lot Now, to micro-banking; As it has negative press lately, how does IWDA view micro-banking since you seem to fund projects that are very grassroots level? NH: One of the partners which we support is providing life skills training for village women who are then using these skills to start up their own micro- enterprises to generate some income but I wouldn’t call it, micro-banking or microfinance, it doesn’t have the same structures that the Grameen Bank work does, we don’t provide any loans to communities or individuals. There are no banking or savings clubs to support the micro enterprises. HB: I’m working on a project [but] I prefer to talk about savings rather than [microbanking]. There are two distinctions that need to be made, there is micro-banking or microfinance, and there are things that get rolled into that which gets confused with income generation. This is what happens a lot in the pacific and people go, ‘oh microfinance, loans’ in a culture that does not have access to banking services at the local level. When we talk about these issues, about actual infrastructure, there are no banks. There are no actual banking services at a lot of the community levels or even at some of the provincial [levels]...there is nothing out there. So there needs to be these kinds of small structures. There has been a challenging history with microfinance in the Pacific in that, because there’s no banking and not a lot of income, there is not a lot of financial literacy, so people will get confused about... interest, loan repayments and those kinds of things. Also, you are in a communal culture where money, loans and property are quite fluid and saving is just not a common concept. So you have to start at the beginning and that is why, within this project... what we are focusing on is just savings, and doing some teaching around savings and how to save. One of the program partners we are working with is West AreAre Rokotanikeni Association, they have made an amazing manual with pictures of different jars, with ‘this one for schooling’ etc, just to get this visual understanding of what savings is about. This organisation has done savings for five or six years and now they are starting to go into loans. HB: I think that is what happens, microfinance programs come from Asia, where there’s a high degree of financial literacy and people have... experience with lending and trouble so Grameen is very good alternative... but when that came over to [the Solomons] as a model it has had a real challenge. So that is where we are at, just focusing on savings and income generation, small projects to build up that savings and that financial literacy, just to get people just understanding the concepts of money. EM: Another reason why perhaps the income generating projects have some questions around them is that there has been experience with women actually being at risk to higher rates of violence when there is access to money. When husbands or partners know that there is an income, there is potential for more violence to take the money off them. So there are situations where women’s economic empowerment can actually sometimes lead to higher rates of violence. That is something that we as an organisation are very conscious of around all of our projects that involve a livelihood component or an economic component, because that is a reality and that is a real risk for anyone working within economic empowerment or livelihoods. It’s a vicious circle. HB: Yeah it is. It’s not like women are the victims here. I just want to be clear, they face all these problems, but a lot of women that we work with, they are resourceful, they are fighting this and they are really active in trying to change these things. That is what we are trying to support because when you look at all of these issues it can get very overwhelming, but there needs to be a real focus too, on how resilient, resourceful and amazing a lot of these women are, and how challenging it is for Pacific women to be working in these areas, and trying to promote empowerment. We [IWDA] just try to find where these amazing women are and try to support them and help them out. *Eliza is finishing the final subject of her bachelor of International Relations through her placement with ACCESS and is also completing a Certificate IV in Financial Services and volunteering with the AIIA. Q&A with International Women’s Development Agency: Part Two By Eliza Nolan Part Two of our interview provides insight into the IWDA’s regional partnerships, and the state of women in our direct region. What is the plight of women like in the region today? Are the development issues country specific or region specific? Emily Miller (EM): We are all Pacific program managers and I’d say that there are definitely similarities with a lot of the development issues that are happening in the Pacific. Issues such as violence against women and low political participation are common across Fiji, Solomon Islands and PNG. But then of course, as with all countries, there are specific cultural contexts that differentiate the issues in the Solomon Islands from Fiji for example. A development issue that we are currently focusing on in Fiji is women’s civil and political participation. One of the programs we are currently supporting in Fiji is looking at ways in which we can actually assist organisations to open up that space for young women, in terms of intergenerational mentoring and training which will hopefully, over time result in increased female representation at the local and national level. One of the projects you have is a radio station; what are a few of the programs you’re running to improve women’s issues? EM: ‘Generation Next’ is a great project. It is run by an organisation called ‘Femlink Pacific’, a local feminist media organisation. ‘Generation Next’ trains young urban and rural women in community radio production and broadcasts interviews and educational segments on their local community radio station femtalk 89.2fm. Generation Next aims to ensure that there are spaces in the broadcasting sector to encourage greater public participation of women and girls on important national issues. Through the use of community broadcasting, Generation Next provides an alternative social and economic model that can broaden access to information and to freedom of expression. This project provides a safe space for women to articulate their issues and concerns about a variety of development issues, whether it’s safety and security, or participation in decisionmaking or economic livelihood concerns. N’Deane Helajzen (NH): Papua New Guinea (PNG) is unique in its development challenges. PNG’s population is geographically and culturally diverse; in fact it is the most ethnographically diverse place in the world; with around 850 different cultures and just as many indigenous languages. In contrast to Fiji which has a higher level of human development, around 42 per cent of PNG’s population lives in poverty, on less than $1 a day. Papua New Guineans have low life expectancy and high infant and maternal mortality. In fact PNG is one of the few places in the world in which the life expectancy for women is lower than that of men and the maternal mortality rates have nearly doubled since 1996. PNG faces the highest HIV & AIDS rate in the region. Service delivery is expensive and logistically challenging and communities have difficulty accessing quality health care, education and adequate transport. Personally, I feel, because of the level of diversity, there lacks a sense of National identity, with the Provincial area you come from being your basis for identity. This makes working together and cohesiveness more difficult. Some other unique challenges, of PNG relate to culturally specific beliefs such as Wontok-ism – meaning those who speak the same language – one talk, the implication being that the person is from the same local area. As every Melanesian is born with duties to their wantoks, so wantokism can be called a form of ethnic identity that is a basis for favouritism. Some cultural practices however, impact more specifically on women. Such as bride price, the payment when you get married, which has over time perhaps been mis-interpretated from a traditionally symbolic union of clans to the establishment of rights over a women leading to a feeling by men that women are owned? How does that impact on women specifically? NH: I discuss as an example, the provision, or lack of health services and maternal mortality above. In PNG, gender roles and the cultural expectations of girls and boys, are taught at an early age. Gender identity is ascribed at birth, with the differential treatment of parents and caregivers to boy and girl children. Children are taught their gender roles and socialised into expected behavior for boys and girls. As children grow older, it is expected that they do specific chores, which is a gendered division of labor you could say. Most cultural beliefs and practices have overarching benefits for boys and men than for girls and women. Are any programs in PNG trying to address these lack of services? NH: The programs in PNG are concerned with sustainable livelihoods and natural resource management and women’s safety and security. We currently support five projects and provide gender technical advice to a large health project. I’ll talk about two of our local partners, Tulele Peisa is an indigenous organisation based in Bougainville. The organisation was started by the Carteret Atolls Council of Elders in response to the impact of rising sea levels and climate change on the atolls which has forced the community to begin planning for relocation. While our partner Tulele Peisa is coordinating a comprehensive relocation program IWDA does not support infrastructure development, stopgap provisions or the actual relocation of this community. What we are supporting are youth speaking tours which are an integral part of Tulele Peisas relocation work. The youth tours are coordinated on both the Carteret Islands and mainland Bougainville. [These tours aim] to encourage and enable young women and men to speak out about the impact of climate change on their community and to sensitise and promote cultural understanding between Carteret Islanders who need to relocate and Tinputz communities on mainland Bougainville that will share their land with relocating communities. We are also partnering with another local organisation called Wide Bay Conservation Association in a very remote area called, Pomio District in East New Britain Province. Through this program we support and work to build the capacity of this organisation; we aim to increase women’s organisation, visibility and voice in discussions and decision making around their natural resources in areas where resources are at risk due to unsustainable development practices. The project also works to strengthen the East Pomio Women’s Association, bringing together women’s networks to address land and environmental issues while providing basic life skills training. In the coming year we hope to progress some of this work into small micro enterprises for women to enable the generation of an income. They sound like wonderful projects. NH: IWDA works in four key thematic areas: Women’s Economic Empowerment; Women’s Safety and Security; Sustainable Livelihoods and Natural Resource Management; and Women’s Civil and Political Participation. And two cross cutting themes: Women’s right to education and information, and Women’s rights to health and well-being. So all our programs fall under those areas, to differing degrees. The Papua New Guinea program and all our programs are grounded in IWDA’s premise that the development objective of equality between men and women, or gender equality, is absolutely indivisible from wider development goals of real improvements in people’s lives, and in the choices and opportunities open to them. Each of the thematic and cross cutting themes are intimately related and must be addressed in an integrated way, including from a gender perspective, keeping in mind the multiple cross cutting linkages among them. My projects focus on sustainable livelihoods and natural resource management and women’s safety and security where as other program managers might be working more in civil and political participation or leadership. It depends on the most pressing needs as identified by the communities themselves. All our work is driven by the needs of the community; they’ve approached us for support rather than being a top down approach where we decide what we think they need. So why are women so integral to development? Why do your projects focus on women? Heather Brown (HB): Historically, when you look at development practice there have been a lot of projects that have not included women. [There have been many] gender blind projects, ones that just don’t take into account the actual impact that projects are going to have on women. One of the projects IWDA is working on in the Solomon Islands, that is linked to some of the work in PNG, is around natural resource management. Those are activities that have a negative impact women and increase vulnerability of women. Women close to major natural resource projects, like logging or mining, may end up being involved in sex work, which exposes them to HIV/AIDS and other STIs, and exploitation. So one area we are working in is how to engage with those communities to make sure that they have a better impact on women, that doesn’t leave them as vulnerable. At the same time women are excluded from decisions about natural resource management projects happening in their communities, because of cultural norms. One of the projects we are working on in the Solomon’s aims to increase women’s participation in the decisions around these projects and how the income from those projects are distributed in their communities. EM: You would have seen our logo and catchphrase on our website, “When women benefit, the whole community benefits”, and I think that’s something as an organisation that we really believe in. When women do benefit from development they actually reinvest it into their communities and into their families; which in some instances doesn’t happen when men benefit in the same way from development. So the way in which the wealth and the benefit is shared is much greater when women are involved. It is also about human rights. We are a human rights based organisation so we believe women, holding up half the sky as the Chinese proverb says, actually have a right to participate in development and have a right to benefit from development. NH: And equality. In the Asia-Pacific region, poverty has a women’s face, two thirds of the world’s poor live in this region, the majority of whom are women. IWDA takes a gender approach, so we work with women and men, but women are obviously less well off so they need more support to bring them up to a level where there is greater equality between the sexes. So you do actually do work with men as well? NH: Not directly, but we involve them in our projects – how can you not? And the degree to which we do this would depend on the cultural context in which we are working. HB: In the Pacific we do some economic empowerment work with savings clubs, I wouldn’t go as far as to call it microfinance, but rather savings. It has been found that if you completely exclude the men, they resent it and they get angry and frustrated, which can negatively impact on the success of that project or whether or not the women can participate. Everything has to be looked at within the gender relations within a community or a country; to just go in and say we are only going to work with women and not look at the interaction between men and women in that area may again negatively impact what we’re trying to do. Is there a son-preference in the Pacific like there is in China and India? HB: I read a UNICEF report that said that in Melanesia there is a very big gender gap in schooling, especially after primary school. It’s improving, but I think that is about financial resources, about who you’re going to spend money on. When it comes down to economic decisions it will be the son over the daughter who attends schooling for longer. EM: I think it’s interesting because in Fiji when we talk about cultural issues there is a tendency to always focus on indigenous Fijian culture but actually a large percentage of Fiji’s population is Indo-Fijian, of Indian decent. Many Indian people were brought to Fiji by the British as indentured workers and even today there are different cultural practices and structures, that of the indigenous Fijian and that of the indo-Fijian. In Fiji, there is perhaps a social preference for sons, especially within the Indian population, although in the urban settings this is changing. So the family’s security rests in the male? NH: To a degree, because the girls will get married and move to their husband’s village where as the boys will remain in their birth village and remain close to their family. For this reason boys could be seen as more of an investment. HB: In the Solomon Islands it is usually the woman who goes to the husband’s other village. Women can be vulnerable when they go into a village where they may not know the language, and they are on their own unless they have other people from that place they know. I think another issue with young girls dropping out of school early is their value in terms of domestic work at home. They may actually be kept home and kept busy looking after other children and doing domestic work. You see that in rural communities where young girls are just not going to school because they’re working. *Eliza is finishing the final subject of her bachelor of International Relations through her placement with ACCESS and is also completing a Certificate IV in Financial Services and volunteering with the AIIA. Career Spotlight with Giles West By Rachel Hankey For this month’s Career Spotlight, we speak with Giles West, a tropical agricultural specialist, with many years’ experience working in agricultural development. He shares with us his insights into his own experiences in development, and the changing nature of the development industry. How did you first become involved in development work? I applied to be a volunteer (Voluntary Service overseas) and went to Papua New Guinea for two years (1979 – 1981). It is a great way to start working in other cultures and appreciate the social and cultural differences, learning that different things drive different cultures. It helps you to start to appreciate different expectations and drivers. Being a volunteer engages you with the society you are working with at an intimate level, but even then its frustratingly shallow. Which regions have you worked in, and what work were you doing on a day-to-day basis? In Papua New Guinea, as a volunteer working on a YMCA school drop out program for squatter kids (two years) . Then as a contractor to the Department of Primary Industries working on village based horticultural projects with village groups to improve levels of production, with schools to improve school food gardens and levels of nutrition, and with women’s groups (three years). In Kenya, working on commercial Horticulture production for airfreight export to the UK (Flamingo farms in Naivasha in the Rift Valley)(three years). In the Solomon Islands, working with small holder farmers on cocoa and coconut production improvement, and training local extension staff. Also, working with school nutrition and women’s groups to improve food production (seven years). In the Philippines, working on integrated rural development programs (9 months). I've also worked on various rural development consultancies for the UK and New Zealand governments. With AusAID, I have worked as a policy and program officer managing the Cambodian rural development program and AusAID's early water multilateral programs in Fiji, Nepal and China. There are many different organisations working in developing countries - small projects and charities which have been established by individuals, and far larger groups such as the Red Cross. Which are the most effective? A very big question! They all have their place and their impact and without the diversity of approaches opportunities to move societies out of poverty would not be nearly so successful. The development game has changed dramatically over the last thirty years as has the focus (from agriculture to health, education, governance, gender, and now climate change). Often the best outcomes for the money are obtained from small simple projects that allow incremental improvements. Did the work you were doing vary greatly from country to country, or were the issues and challenges more region specific? Yes, to a degree, but also through changing development focuses. Initially, there was a focus on agriculture and extension, then large integrated rural development programs (agriculture, health, infrastructure and training). Next I was working in commercial production and as a government advisor, and finally as a country program manager and in policy work. The changes reflected more the changing focus of international aid and gradual changes to the ways aid was delivered. Which form of aid programs do you believe are the most effective - voluntary organisations, or privately run companies? Another big question. Volunteer organisations come in many guises. They may be NGOs or government sponsored. They can be very successful and be cost effective but can also have specific agendas, such as government policy, religion, or gender. These may be the underlying reasons for their development assistance. Commercial companies can be very effective in developing economies at all levels through generating jobs and wealth but exploitation is a real issue. This question needs at least an evening and couple of bottles of wine. You have many years of experience working in aid around the world. In what ways has the field changed over that time? There has been a shift in focus from agriculture and health to integrated programs including infrastructure, education, gender and governance. There has been a gradual move away from bilateral tied aid to multilateral aid and increasing focus on country-based solutions rather than shipping in the expatriate crowd. Africa was a focus thirty years ago but was abandoned as civil strife and corruption made development assistance too difficult to implement. The sheer scale of the problems in Africa has refocussed efforts there. China and Vietnam have grown as economies as has Thailand, they receive little aid these days. India has never accepted aid and after many years is emerging as an economic force. Coping with the effects of climate change will be the next great challenge. What advice would you have for people who wish to work in development? It depends on what you want to achieve. Driving policy change, looking after national interests, improving governance or grass roots assistance and learning about what makes other cultures tick. Everyone should be a volunteer at some point. It makes you humble. Do this first, get an idea what peoples challenges are, understand what poverty looks like and how impossible it can be to get out of then think about how you are going to tackle it. Good commercial companies can have great positive impacts on development. Donor countries usually have vested interests in the development money they give, but some good comes of it. The NGO world might be for you but it’s getting very professional and slick, so watch for the hidden agendas. * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. She is editor-in-chief of Monthly Access. Global Snapshot for July 2011 By Richard Griffin and Marcus Burke A round-up of key events across the world over the last month. Africa The International Criminal Court (ICC) issues arrest warrant for Muammar Gaddafi On the 27th of June 2011 the Pre-Trial Chamber I, composed of Judges Manageng (Botswana), Steiner (Brazil) and Tarfusser (Italy) issued three arrest warrants, for Muammar Gaddafi, Saif AlIslam Gaddafi and Abdulla Al-Senussi. The ICC Prosecutor, Luis-Moreno Ocampo said that the arrest warrants had been issued “for shooting civilians on the streets and persecuting alleged dissidents in their homes as crimes against humanity.” He elaborated that “the Judges considered that they have to be arrested to prevent them from using their powers to continue the commission of crimes.” Although Libya is not a State Party of the Rome Statute (which established the ICC and its powers), Ocampo insisted that as a member of the United Nations since 1955, Libya must comply with the UN Security Council Resolution 10970 which called on Libya to ‘cooperate fully with and provide any necessary assistance to the Court and the Prosecutor.’ In support of its decision to issue the arrest warrants the court stated “the Chamber finds that there are reasonable grounds to believe that, at all times relevant to the Application, Muammar Gaddafi had absolute, ultimate and unquestioned control over the Libyan State apparatus of power, including the Security Forces.” It is as yet unclear who could execute the arrest warrants. The chances of a negotiated political agreement involving Gaddafi living in exile are now significantly reduced. Al Jazeera’s Sue Turton reporting from Libya said that “people are now questioning whether the arrest warrants could mean the conflict will go on longer.” Sudan update – Latest UN Security Council resolution The United Nations Security Council unanimously passed Resolution 1990 authorising 4,200 Ethiopian troops to go into the Abyei region to defuse tensions in the lead up to South Sudan declaring independence on July 9th. The Resolution was drafted by the United States and follows a deal, which was agreed upon by the North and the South in late June, to de-militarise the Abyei region and allow Ethiopian peacekeepers, known as the UN Interim Security Force, to patrol. The New York Times reports that the Resolution empowered the peacekeeping force to take “necessary actions” including using military force to protect civilians or in self-defense, whilst the New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof suggests that “The world capital for crimes against humanity this month probably isn’t in Libya or Syria. Instead, it’s arguably the Nuba Mountains of Sudan, where we’re getting accounts of what appears to be a particularly vicious campaign of ethnic cleansing, murder and rape.” US Secretary of State, Hilary Clinton stated that “while the United States welcomes this Security Council resolution regarding Abyei, we remain deeply concerned about the on-going crisis in Southern Kordofan. Tens of thousands of people have been driven from their homes, and there are reports of very serious human rights abuses and violence targeting individuals based on their ethnicity and political affiliation”. China in Africa The most obvious expressions of growing Chinese influence on the world stage often play out at major international conferences or diplomatic occasions, but the role of China in Africa has caught many off guard. For some time now, China has been actively engaged in the continent, securing much needed resources in return for a very different style of aid. Perhaps the best example of this dynamic relationship is in Zambia, a country of great mineral wealth, but also, a country ranked 150 out of 169 in the Human Development Index. A study commissioned by the African Economic Research Consortium in 2008 suggested that both China and Zambia initially shared a struggle for national liberation and independence. In fact, China began formal ties with Zambia on the day it declared independence from Britain in 1964. However, as the Zambian minister of trade told the Guardian the Chinese aid offering is very different from that of the West. “Chinese investments [in Zambia, are] currently estimated at US $2 billion, while projections point to a surge to US $3 billion in the next two years.” Americas Chavez Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez gave a public address on the 4th of July after speculation that he may have been battling ill health and struggling to recover from a recent operation in Cuba. The BBC reported that the “normally loquacious Mr Chavez, 56, had been uncharacteristically quiet since apparently undergoing surgery on 10 June in Cuba.” Mr Chavez, a regular “tweeter” had not done so for 19 days following the surgery, but has since begun to “tweet.” Despite his recent return, his quiet also forced the suspension of the meeting scheduled for 5th July for the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) which was to be hosted by Mr Chavez in Venezuela. Jamaica Jamaica will soon celebrate its 50th Anniversary of political independence from the United Kingdom, but The Gleamer is reporting that a recent poll of 1,008 Jamaicans found that 60% of people think that Jamaica would be better off under British rule, with 17% of those surveyed saying they thought Jamaica would have been worse off under British rule. Queen Elizabeth II remains the head of state, but there is some suggestion that a move to replace the head of state with a Jamaican citizen may be under consideration by the country’s politicians. Jamaican Prime Minister Bruce Golding told Parliament "I have long believed that if I am to have a queen, it must be a Jamaican queen. I would not wish to see us celebrate 50 years of Independence without completing that part of our 'sovereignisation', for want of a better word." Crime and poverty continue to plague the Caribbean nation. Chile: Puyehue-Cordón volcano The Puyehue-Cordon volcano continued to spew ash into the air causing major disruption across Chile and affecting air travel across the South America and the southern hemisphere, in particular Australia and New Zealand. NASA imagery and simulation suggested that cold winds from the south pushed the winds into the Pacific rather than directly across the Andes into Argentina. The initial eruption sent a huge ash cloud 30 km (20 miles) into the atmosphere. However, since then, the height of the cloud has shrunk to only kilometers. Chile’s chain of approximately 2000 volcanoes is one of the largest in the world, second only to Indonesia’s. Between 50 and 60 have been recorded erupting, and another 500 are believed to be active. Europe The Former Yugoslavia The trial of Ratko Mladic has begun at the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia. Mladic proceedings for being disruptive; he has pleaded innocent to all charges. The trial is expected to last at least 12 months. It is thought that his arrest and transfer to the Hague may assist Serbia in its application to join the European Union. Serbia has also reached a new agreement with Kosovo over basics such as license plates. Croatia has been accepted to become a member of the EU. In a separate case, a Netherlands Court has found has found the government of the Netherlands responsible in Srebrenica. The judges found that the Dutch forces responsible as they had effective control and were aware of the risks to the men. The decision may open up other claims, however the Dutch government is likely to appeal the decision. Turkish Election Turkey conducted parliamentary elections, with Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s ruling Justice and Development (AK) party once gaining the largest bloc in parliament. The AK ran on a platform of stability and the strong performance of the economy, which has been growing at rates as high as 9% per year. However the party did not receive a a sufficient parliamentary majority and will have to govern with a smaller majority than in previous terms, which may mean that it needs to engage in needs to engage in greater consensus building across party lines. Erdogan has stated that his party will continue with its attempts to join the European Union, despite the stalled state of the negotiations. The election also featured a stronger showing by independent Kurdish candidates. Middle East Change in the Middle East: Ongoing Turmoil in Syria an Yemen In Syria, riots and unrest continued, particularly in the city of Hama, despite ongoing government crackdowns. Diplomatic pressure from both the United States and Turkey has increased, as thousands of refugees flee across the Turkish border. However, President Bashar al-Assad continues to cling to power in Syria and retain the loyalty of the security forces in the country. In Yemen, after 33 years in power, President Ali Abdullah Saleh fled the country after being injured in an attack on the mosque he was attending. There are ongoing concerns that the chaos will result in a strengthening of Al-Qaeda and its allies in the region. Asia China The territorial dispute between China and Vietnam over the sovereignty of islands in the South China Sea has led to Vietnam requesting the assistance of outsiders including the United States. Vietnam is protesting at the detainment of Vietnamese fishermen and the alleged cutting of an undersea cable by Chinese forces. Other governments in the region have also been concerned with the growing power of the Chinese Navy and its increased and wider-ranging naval patrols. Thailand General elections in Thailand have been won by the Pheu Thai Party, led by Yingluck Shinawatra, the sister of exiled former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra. Yingluck will become Prime Minister in a five party coalition. Supporters are hoping that the new government will bring to end almost five years of political instability, which has significantly cost the Thai economy as well as costing a number of lives. * Richard completed an Arts/Law degree from Monash University in 2008. He was worked for the Prosecutor at the United Nations International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia and is currently a lawyer at Lander and Rogers Lawyers. * Marcus is currently completing a Master of Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. He also has a combined Law/Science degree from the University of Melbourne, and has most recently been working in the IT industry. Development Aid – Theory and Reality in Timor Leste By Sean Mackin In a scene from the television show 'The West Wing', character Toby Ziegler looks exasperated during a meeting between African leaders and pharmaceutical executives. Discussing reducing the price of AIDS related medication, the executives argue that price reduction would be irrelevant. Ziegler explains that those affected do not have wristwatches to measure the timings at which to take the complicated cocktail of medication designed to fight the disease. Even in fiction, it seems international development solutions are far more complex than they would appear. From an affluent, Western perspective, the concept of international development aid would appear to be beyond reproach. There are many on political fringes who advocate for a purely isolationist stance. However, a sense of an unconscious collective humanity would appear to drive the majority of those in well-off societies to devote a portion of tax payer funds to development programs overseas. Whilst not always altruistic in nature, these programs are a key bridge to providing opportunity to the third world. AusAID, for instance, has bilateral and regional programs operating in no less than sixteen countries in the Asian region, “improving the lives of millions of people in developing countries”. These programs have successfully eradicated polio from the Pacific, and immunised 1.5 million children against polio and measles in Papua New Guinea. The developing world's perspective, however, seems altogether different. In many cases, aid is seen as a political tool to be wielded in order to sustain, or consolidate, hard earned power. If that means the destruction of the valued impact of aid, so be it. It may not even be politically motivated destruction. In other cases, aid initiatives merely seem ill considered. Australian soldiers in Timor Leste have previously spoken of the fate of a fleet of four wheel drive vehicles donated to the state by the government of Japan in the aftermath of the INTERFET mission of the late 1990s and early 2000s. According to these reports, within twelve months not a single vehicle was operable. Instead, they were sitting as unsalvageable hulks by the side of the road, stripped of all useful material by passers by. Locals drove these vehicles until they could no longer function, neglected to repair them or maintain them due to a lack of know-how and understanding, and thus abandoned them when they failed. These vehicles, left by the roadsides of Timor, became a monument to those perhaps less well thought out development programs. Then there was the Dili fire station. Soldiers spoke of times of political unrest, youth driven by political masters to low level violence as public distraction tactics. Despite reasoned argument by international police and armed forces with the perpetrators, the youth continued to burn down the fire station in protest. The feeling of exasperation among those involved seemed palpable. Stable and functioning government via international aid seemed distant when simply convincing the youth not to burn down the fire station was proving to be a challenge. This is not to say, however, that development aid is a pointless exercise. Whilst some would appear to argue otherwise, development aid is not a zero sum game. Like most problems, merely throwing money at it is not enough. Structured programs with local engagement, measurable outcomes and reasonable monitoring measures seem a sensible starting point. It is not just the funding, but the manner in which aid is distributed and targeted that matters. *Sean was formerly a soldier in the Australian Army, and last year completed his degree in International Relations, Politics and Policy Studies at Deakin University. Currently undertaking his honours year to study R2P, Sean has been accepted to Birkbeck University, London to study the MA/LLM program in 2011/12. In his spare time, Sean lobbies politicians worldwide as part of his organisation, The Human Rights Project. AIIAV-Access Press Room: ‘Inside the Horn of Africa’ By Marla Pascual Australia has a bigger role to play in helping Africa to overcome its challenges, an international affairs forum has concluded. A panel of speakers representing the troubled Horn of Africa last month suggested a range of measures that could help the people of the continent towards greater peace and prosperity. Mr. Graham Romanes, Honorary Consul-General of Ethiopia, began by discussing Australia’s ongoing relationship with Africa. He argued that Australia should not focus all of its attention on African people living in Australia but instead “have much more direct focus on Africa itself”. “The real voice of Africa is the voice of over 900 million people who live back in the continent.” Mr. Romanes described how “Australia has been so thinly spread in its representation of Africa”. He suggested that to consolidate its relationship with Africa, it is imperative for Australia to expand its presence on the continent of Africa. Mr. Romanes based most of his arguments on Ethiopia, “a country with an ancient civilization and a glorious past”, but also synonymous with famine, poverty and war. He extensively highlighted that in order to achieve greater unity within Africa, “Africans have to solve their own problems within the continent’s borders”. He said the Horn of Africa is suffering a great economic and political drought, which poses an obstacle to development. Mr. Romanes proposed that Ethiopia must “take inspired leadership” as several factors come into play in African development and transformation. Mr. Peter Run, Secretary of the African Studies Association of Australasia and the Pacific (AFSAAP), illustrated the notion of peace and the nature of settlement. He said issues surrounding Africans in Australia are of “immediate concern” and there is “little consultation” between the Africans in Australia and the African governments. “It does not matter where we’re all coming from because we’re all part of the same society”. Mr. Run described the prominent disparity between African people and the African governments. He explained how open communication between the governments and the people would improve developments of the continent. The Secretary of AFSAAP described how the settlement of African refugees in Australia has two narratives: the social and the authoritative. He suggested that policy makers should centralise on this divide and aim to “bridge the gap”. Ms. Nyadol Nyuon, Board Member of the African Think Tank and The Ethnic Communities’ Council of Victoria Inc, focused on the intellectual revolution in Africa. By using first hand experiences, she explained how young people living in Africa were “used as a tool for war” and were accustomed to believing that war is a part of life. “You grow up with the perspective that this is how the world is supposed to be”. She suggested that African governments should invest in education and institutions. Instead of using young people as tools for war, they can instead be “future agents of peace”. She explained that developing a “true political science in African perspective” is imperative for African progression. Ms. Nyuon believes Africa’s youth could help bring unity within the continent. Young Africans “need to think about taking Africa [to] an international level”. She proposed that to construct a united continent means to change the Africa that young people have become so accustomed to. This forum was moderated by Dr. Berhan Ahmed, Founder of the African Think Tank and Victorian of the Year for 2009. Mr. Graham Romanes has been Honorary Consul-General of Ethiopia since 1997. He worked at Community Aid Abroad (now Oxfam Australia) for 22 years until 2002. Mr. Peter Run, Secretary of the AFSAAP, is also a PhD student and a tutor at The School of Political Science and International Studies at The University of Queensland. Ms. Nyadol Nyuon is a board member of the African Think Tank and The Ethnic Communities’ Council of Victoria Inc. She arrived in Australia in 2004 from Southern Sudan. The forum was organised by ACCESS, the Australian Institute for International Affairs’ Network for University Students and Young Professionals. For upcoming events and further information, please contact AIIA at [email protected] or call (03) 9654 7271. Based on the ACCESS event ‘Inside the Horn of Africa’, held on 29th June 2011 at Dyason House, AIIA Victoria. * Marla completed her Bachelor in Arts (Journalism and History) in 2009 at Monash University. She is currently undertaking a Masters of International Relations at Monash, and since June has been an intern for ACCESS. Aid vs. Trade – A Summary By Steven Burak The recent examination of the Australian government’s aid programs in the 2011 Independent Aid Review has prompted discussion about the most appropriate means of giving assistance to the developing world. Questions have arisen about the efficacy of Australia’s programs, as well as the development programs of Non-Government Organisations (NGO), foreign states and corporations. Since the end of Colonialism, numerous development theories have been examined in terms of practicability. The refinement of the subsequent results has produced two major approaches to development; Aid and Trade. What best sets a developing state on a path of sustainable and inclusive growth? Aid, trade or a combination of both? Muddled in the debate for efficient and effective development is the evolution of these separate approaches. Aid has evolved over time from a method of cash handouts to what is now complex communitybased development. Engaging the developing populace and the social periphery, in communitybased programs, has enabled individuals and communities to directly participate in their own and their communities’ development. Such involvement and the subsequent ability to micro-prioritise issues in specific communities facilitates change from the “bottom up”. At the forefront of this approach are NGOs. NGOs have a variety of focus points, from specific towns and villages to broad umbrella issues. Much like aid, trade too has evolved. The “trickle down” approach has changed with the movement of its sister, the market. Global and domestic markets’ evolution has secured assistance from developed states and involved corporations. Methods of assistance such as infrastructure development, foreign direct investment and market development have resulted, and continue to result, from such institutional initiatives. The aims of trade are to assist the development of robust political and economic institutions, which in turn secure the wealth and welfare of a populace. While at times aid and trade may appear to be moving on different paths, they both address the need for efficient and effective development. Their proponents attempt to infuse the principles of both approaches, by incorporating capitalism and philanthropy to bring about development. More and more organisations and institutions of either the aid or trade persuasion are borrowing principles from one another, and in doing so placing themselves in this composite group. ACCESS’ debate ‘Aid vs Trade: What Works, What Doesn’t and Why?’ shall be hosted at 6.00 pm on the 19th of July at the BMW Edge Theatre, Federation Square. Moderated by Rev. Tim Costello AO, the trade position will be advocated by Mr Andrew Macleod and Dr Tom Davis, and on the foreign aid stance Ms Joanna Hayter and Dr Julia Newton-Howes. Entry is free. A link to the 2011 Independent Aid Review can be found here. *Steven is currently studying a Bachelor of Arts majoring in Political and International Studies at the University of Melbourne. He is also undertaking a Diploma in Languages in Arabic at Melbourne. Media Analysis: ‘Slumming It’, a documentary by Kevin McCloud By Marla Pascual A review of the documentary ‘Slumming It’, by British writer and presenter Kevin McCloud. A link to the documentary online can be found here. Kevin McCloud visits the Indian town of Dharavi, an area in Mumbai, to explore alternative ways of having a better lifestyle. Interestingly, Dharavi is India’s largest slum - talk about redefinition of ‘unconventional’. Upon arriving at Dharavi, McCloud is appalled to see the town’s living conditions. There are literally boxes of dwellings underneath masses of rubbish, piled on top of each other. For a slum built on a one-square-mile vicinity with a population of up to one million people, it undoubtedly appears to be the “last place on earth to search for answers”. The average house, which is the size of a regular lounge room in Western societies, houses around 20 to 25 people. This congested space is the sole bedroom, a kitchen, a place to work and a space for prayer as well. McCloud observes that within such a minuscule place, which offers no privacy whatsoever, “making room for yourself is flexibility” – squatting the right way to eat so there is room for everybody else, for example. For most of the Westernised world, large amounts of personal space is thenorm, but in Dharavi, every centimetre is a prize. There is also a river which runs through Dharavi. Riverside homes are often associated with serenity, a clean environment or a relaxed ambiance but in Dharavi, it is a very different case. The river is a still body of water, so full of rubbish that even its fish die. McCloud refers to it as a recipe for dengue fever, cholera, and hepatitis. However, within the unhealthy, scarcely liveable place, there seems to be a deep sense of community amongst the residents that is uncommon in most, if not all, Western cities. In a place where “disgust is followed by delight”, McCloud finds himself surprised beyond belief by the immense sense of community that is attached to Dharavi. People are hospitable, welcoming and everybody plays a part in another’s livelihood. Aesthetically, it is far from enticing, but its people have transformed it into a home. McCloud discovers that residents can walk around the town by themselves at 2am with no fear of being harassed or harmed. An astounding 85 per cent of people in Dharavi are employed, with around 15,000 recycling (albeit illegal) factories and 300 bakeries in the area. Recycling plastic has become people’s livelihood in Dharavi, with 80 per cent of plastic being recycled (McCloud highlights the UK’s recycling figure of a low 23 per cent). Dharavi takes recycling to an entirely new level. In his visit to Mumbai’s bustling CBD, McCloud explores the city’s redevelopment plans for Dharavi. In theory, these plans could be the solution to Dharavi’s unhealthy and primitive living conditions, but in practice they may not offer the best solution. Turning the town into “vertical slums”, forcing the residents to live in multiple-story apartment buildings, will completely eradicate Dharavi’s sense of community. MCCloud contends that it will only deprive people of the attachment they have created with each other, and will thus become detached and impersonal. As it turns out, India’s biggest slum, though extremely unhygienic, has endless layers of social connection and belonging. It is ultimately an “embryonic city humming with human energy and determination” and its residents are “hugely proud of where they live”. McCloud’s two-week insight into Dharavi’s lifestyle proves that “pride of place and community creates safe neighbourhoods”. That could be something for Western societies to learn from a broken-back slum like Dharavi. * Marla completed her Bachelor in Arts (Journalism and History) in 2009 at Monash University. She is currently undertaking a Masters of International Relations at Monash and since June has been an intern for ACCESS. Issue 17 Message from the Editor By Rachel Hankey Amnesty International, in the 2011 State of the World’s Human Rights report, criticises Australia’s record on the treatment of indigenous people and asylum seekers. In this edition of Monthly Access we examine some of the key issues concerning the safeguarding of an individual’s human rights, both at home and abroad. The recent killing of Osama bin Laden has been declared unlawful by many leading experts. In Q&A this month Dr Gideon Boas, of Monash University, explains some of implications of such international action, and the ramifications for vulnerable groups in the region. CEO and founder of the Asylum Seeker Resource Centre in Melbourne, Kon Karapanagiotidis, campaigns passionately to protect the rights of asylum seekers embarking on a new life in Australia. In Career Spotlight Mr Karapanagiotidis tells us about his ongoing work to help asylum seekers. Global Snapshot looks at some of the key events occurring across the world over the last month. John Varghese examines the origins of Responsibility to Protect (R2P) and its role in preventing future humanitarian disasters, such as occurred in Rwanda and Bosnia. Freedom of speech is enshrined in the US constitution, yet this entitlement is at odds with the need for secrecy in matters of state security. Timothy Lawson takes a look at the fate of two recent whistleblowers, US solider Bradley Manning and Israeli journalist Anat Kam. The Sydney Peace Foundation has awarded the 2011 Sydney Peace Prize to Noam Chomsky. However, as Craig Butt explains, Chomsky is a very controversial choice for the award. We say farewell to Julia Rabar and Sharna Thomason, who are going to pursue new projects, and I would like to thank them for all their dedication and hard work. Over the coming months we are looking forward to welcoming new contributors and editors to the Monthly Access team. * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. Q&A with Dr Gideon Boas By Rachel Hankey and Eliza Nolan Dr Gideon Boas is a Senior Lecturer at Monash University Law School. He was formerly a Senior Legal Officer at the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia. As well as working as a consultant in international and criminal law, Dr Boas has extensive experience in human rights, as a consult for the United Nations Development Fund and delivering training to judges and lawyers on the Victorian Charter of Human Rights and Responsibilities. In a recent article you wrote for The Age, you described the killing of Osama bin Laden as unlawful. Were bin Laden’s individual rights abused, or are the rights of an individual revoked in such circumstances? The right to life can only be denied under certain limited circumstances: acts of genuine self defence, the operation of the death penalty in certain jurisdictions, or in the lawful use of force within an armed conflict. Targeted assassinations are a violation of international law; despite the use of this by certain countries who justify it on a broadly defined conception of self-defence, the reality is that no properly applied principle of self-defence permits such killings. So yes, bin Laden's individual rights were abused and he was killed unlawfully. Since the targeted killing of bin Laden and Gaddafi is unlawful, what will be the ramifications of this behaviour, if any? There are a few elements to the unlawful killing of bin Laden. Firstly, the US operation was almost certainly a violation of Pakistan's sovereignty. Saving a bilateral arrangement between the US and Pakistan that gave the US broad rights of military incursion on Pakistan’s territory, the US has committed an internationally wrongful act against Pakistan, for which it should provide reparations. I do not understand the public position the US has taken on this point; insisting that it's killing of bin Laden was lawful is a separate point to whether it violated Pakistan's sovereignty. It is clear that neither any state, nor the UN, is going to take serious issue with the US assassination of bin Laden, so there is unlikely to be any significant political or legal ramifications. Of course, the prospect of increased terrorist activity in response may well be heightened, but no doubt that would have been the case had he been captured and arrested. The targeting of Gaddafi is a somewhat different matter. The fact that NATO countries are at war with Libya might, on the surface, make Gaddafi's killing in that context lawful. He is the Commander in Chief of the armed forces of Libya, and in a 'normal' war he would be a legitimate military target. However, this armed conflict is somewhat different. The lawfulness of the use of force is expressly underwritten by UN Security Council Resolution 1973, the terms of which are quite limited: to establish a no fly zone and take necessary measures to protect civilians and the civilian population. Nothing in the terms of the Resolution provides for the targeting of Gaddafi. Depending on the circumstances of his successful killing (if that were to occur) questions about legality may well be raised - they may well be raised already in relation to certain bombings by NATO forces, particularly in Tripoli. Do you believe that these actions will have any impact on Australia, either domestically or in the international arena? I doubt it. Although our leaders enthusiastically endorsed bin Laden's killing they had no real involvement in it or knowledge of it prior to its execution. In terms of our exposure to the threat of terrorism, I suspect our involvement in Afghanistan and, particularly, Iraq already increased that prospect. If the International Criminal Court is granted the arrest warrant for Muammar Gaddafi for crimes against humanity, will this have a real affect on NATO’s action against Libya? Or is the most likely outcome of the campaign the death of Gaddafi? I am not sure the extent to which one will affect the other. I suspect the Security Council, and NATO, would be content to see Gaddafi arrested, transferred to The Hague and tried by the ICC. It carries with it far less complexity in terms of legal process and security concerns than the prospect of the US arresting and trying bin Laden. It appears clear that, despite this not forming part of the Security Council mandate, the plan is to remove Gaddafi one way or another. In the long term, do you believe that the political change occurring in the Middle East and North Africa will lead to improved human rights in this region? Or will the ‘fall out’ from the death of bin Laden and on going situation in Libya, to name but a few, result in greater violence and oppression? It would be a foolish person who committed to an answer on this question. I think the dramatic statement of French Foreign Minister, Alain Jupe before the Security Council that the SC resolution would support ‘a wave of great revolutions that would change the course of history’, as people throughout North Africa and the Middle East are calling for ‘a breath of fresh air’, for freedom of expression and democracy is optimistic, to say the least. There is no guaranteeing that regime replacement will have a more positive impact on human rights; local, regional or international security; or even genuine democracy for these countries. There is a risk in intervening diplomatically in Egypt, militarily in Libya, and hardly at all in Syria, Yemen or Bahrain, for example. It is hard to get any intervention right, and even harder to know what the impact of any action will be in the longer term. To what extent do you believe America’s treatment of prisoners in Guantanamo Bay, and the ongoing reports about the mistreatment of Iraqi prisoners, is detrimental to their involvement in the current situation in the Middle East? I think the US has a significant legitimacy deficit in the Muslim world. It was rightly reluctant to become involved in a war in another Muslim country but is now well entrenched, if tentatively. It is still the global Superpower with a diplomatic status in the Middle East, as elsewhere, but no doubt its own human rights record in these areas reduces any moral authority it might have. In their annual State of the World’s Human Rights report, Amnesty International attacks Australia’s poor conduct towards indigenous populations and asylum seekers. Do you believe that the legal system provides adequate protection for the human rights of vulnerable groups in Australia? I think the difficulty with Australia's legal structures in this area are two-fold. Firstly, a lack of a powerful national human rights instrument means that there is lacking a legitimate internal oversight of our treatment of vulnerable groups. We can see from the response of the UN Human Rights Committee/Council to the plight of indigenous Australians and asylum seekers and the indifferent response from Australian Governments, that there is little accountability in this country for such groups. Secondly, our system for implementing treaty obligations in Australia means that, without active federal legislation implementing specific rights and duties, ratification of core human rights treaties provides little genuine and specific protection. One only has to look at European countries and the powerful system operating under the European Convention of Human Rights, to see how very far we are from a legal system that provides adequate protection for vulnerable groups. * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. *Eliza is finishing the final subject of her bachelor of International Relations through her placement with ACCESS and is also completing a Certificate IV in Financial Services and volunteering with the AIIA. Career Spotlight with Kon Karapanagiotidis By Rachel Hankey and Eliza Nolan Archbishop Desmond Tutu once declared that he was “not interested in picking up crumbs of compassion thrown from the table of someone who considers himself my master. I want the full menu of rights.” This sentiment aptly describes the current Australian policy towards asylum seekers. The provision of a full menu of rights to asylum seekers is one of the fundamental aims of Kon Karapanagiotidis, the CEO and Founder of the Asylum Seeker Resource Centre (ASRC). The ASRC began as a small food bank in Footscray, and now boasts 800 volunteers and delivers services to some 7000 refugees. How did you originally get involved in Asylum seeker issues? There are a handful of influences that got me to this point. Number one was obviously my own culture, my own background. I grew up in a Greek family, with parents who came here in the 60s as migrants. I grew up watching their experiences. Common experiences of all migrants - racism, exclusion, discrimination, exploitation - very hard lives. I grew up in a little country town where you would be called wog more than you would be called Kon. So at an early age I became sensitised to the issues of racism and just the feeling of being excluded. So you grow up working class, you grow up on a little country town, you grow up with parents that you’re seeing are being exploited and having a hard time, and I’m not really finding a place that I fit in anywhere in the world. When I turn 18 I go out and I start doing volunteer work… with a really broad range of people. Through my twenties I found a greater sense of connection and community with the people that I worked with than I ever did in my own peer group. My peer group is privileged and spoilt. Most Australians that are university educated are rich and spoilt, and most I think fail to appreciate how lucky they are. I think for me, growing up in a family where neither of my parents got past primary school because they had to leave to work to support their families, you understand the value of education. Education is power, opportunity is a privilege; do something with it. In that decade I worked in dozens of places in a whole range of social justice issues, from mental health to survivors of sexual assault, just a really broad range. As I was doing this work, a nun at the Red Cross asked me if I would see a young Turkish man who had been tortured. She knew I was doing some free counseling, as one of my backgrounds is as a social worker. So I started seeing him and then she sent me another one, and another one. Somehow I found myself working with one of the most disadvantaged groups; people with no work rights, no income, no safety net, basically no human rights, going through this really horrible system and they couldn’t even get access to the most simple thing like food. I thought, “I need to do something about this”. I found myself teaching at a TAFE in the western suburbs and I had a group of students who had to do a practical class project. They had to go out and for a week do something real, and they were struggling to find anything. I’d been thinking about the idea of setting up a little food bank for people seeking asylum, and a friend who had a shopfront in Footscray said I could have it rent free. So I said to my students, what do you think about setting up a little food bank in Footscray? At first they thought I was joking. What I wanted them to understand was that even as students they could change the world, that they didn’t need a piece of paper or a qualification to make a difference. Eight weeks later the centre was born. At the time I was 28 and still teaching. I had no idea of what I was doing, except I just knew I had to do something, and that’s how the organisation started, and it eventually resulted in me being sacked. Even though I had a lot of supporters, the university was very unhappy I had connected them to what according to them was such a controversial issue. That’s really quite shocking, if that was the attitude. Well look, one of the things I always say when I talk about careers is that, I’ve been sacked from every paid job I’ve ever had. Many of the jobs I’ve had at universities I’ve been sacked from, and it’s one of those moments where they’re just issues of choice and principle. I think of all the jobs I’ve had and the moments they ask you to toe a particular line, which is ‘just do what we’re telling you to’ regardless of the human consequence to people. One of the critical things… is I’ve held onto the principles that people tell you are the keys to failure, which are in fact the keys to success. Hold on to your integrity and don’t compromise it no matter what. Being principled is actually a beautiful and magical thing and don’t let anyone take it from you. My idealism is what has actually made it possible to do what I’ve done… one thing is, the minute you stop being idealistic and you stop being passionate you actually stop living and you start living in the space of mediocrity. The greatest key to my success has been taking risks. By risk I mean everything that I’ve done from the time I started this, people thought, this is not possible, this can’t work, what are you doing to. It’s thousands of little risks, not just myself but thousands of other people put into this to make this possible. It’s that idea that a risk is just about backing yourself, to believe that what you really want in life you can have. What’s really wonderful is that if you keep taking those risks you can’t fail. Just like the organisation is founded on the principle that there is no such thing as a failed human being or an illegal human being, that is, everyone has a right to care and to support. It’s the same with this, about believing yourself and following your heart, how can you ever fail doing that? You will get lots of kicks in the head, but thrive on that. You said that the university wasn’t supportive, and lots of people were critical of what you were doing. At what stage did you actually start receiving wider support for your organisation? Is it still a battle? I started on the 8th of June 2001 and August that year the Tampa crisis happened. So initially the first couple months it was very quiet in terms of support. But once the Tampa happened it dominated the news. There were lots of very angry people out there, and so we just suddenly had people coming in off the street asking ‘what can I do?’ So the timing was right? Yeah. People kept saying ‘I can’t keep screaming at the television’, ‘I need to do something’, ‘can I help?’. People were just coming off the streets saying ‘I can teach English’, ‘I’m a lawyer’, I’m this, I’m that. The way the organisation organically grew as well was that it started as a little food bank and then people kept just turning up in desperate need; we had a little woman from East Timor asking to learn English because no one would teach it to her, so we started an English program. Parents turning up with sick children with no hospital or doctor that would see them because they had no Medicare or income - we started the first health service in the state. People needing lawyers - we started the first legal service. We now have 23 different services in the organisation and it’s holistic and it’s organic; it’s a one stop sort of organisation. It just grew out of necessity. Necessity is an extraordinary way to succeed in life because necessity forces you to keep focused on the one thing we’re here for, and that is to bring freedom for the people that we work with and to provide them with sanctuary. Obviously you have achieved an awful lot. What are the big challenges that remain for asylum seekers here in Australia? The massive challenges on the human rights front … are in the details. Human rights, you can’t find them in the dictionary, policy document, or law. You can sign all the treaties that you like in the world, but they’re not worth anything if a country’s culture and spirit believe and carry those in its heart. The biggest challenge is actually getting the majority of Australians to actually understand that their human rights, the human rights that they have, they should have to share those with everyone else... People need to understand human rights are a lottery, that the entitlement we have here is a lottery, and what we need is a genuine, new conversation in this country about the fact that we continue to deny the most fundamental, basic human rights to so many of our most vulnerable people. So whether that’s our indigenous Australians who face a 17 year life gap expectancy, 12 times over represented in the prison system, deaths in custody are up despite 20 years ago in the royal commission, and the 54 recommendations of the bring them home haven’t been implemented. You ask why, and you look now at a country that is about to send people to Malaysia, deliberately so, knowing that they’re going to be physically tortured and caned, women and children are going to be sexually abused in detention centers. They’re sending them to a country that is not a signatory, for the sole purpose of knowing that what awaits them is brutality, to try and prevent people from seeking asylum in this country. The big challenges are, humanizing human rights, humanizing asylum seekers, getting everyday Australians to realise that they are not illegal. They are actually human beings we are talking about, they’re not breaking the rules. There a the hypocrisy and arrogance that Australians have when it comes to humans rights; sadly many of them haven’t had a real struggle, unless you are an indigenous Australian or a previous refugee, as we live such a privileged life in this country. As a country, we need a conversation about human rights that actually gets Australians to stop and ask, what if that really was me, what if that was me in the refugee camp, what if that was me on that leaky boat, what if that was my family they were about to come and kill – what would I do? Don’t stop the boats, because the boats are the only way that people are getting here without dying; if there is no genuine alternative, and the boats are the only way of saving lives, how is it any different from talking about the holocaust and most Jews survived because of people smugglers. This is not a political debate, this is a moral conversation. Human rights are a moral conversation. They are about what it means to live in a free country. What are the obligations that come with living in a prosperous country, that come with being in this great free land of ours? That’s the conversation we need to be having instead of the sort of idea that we can own freedom. But how can anyone own the idea of freedom, and the desire to be free, the will to be free, and the right to be free; that’s what they’re are trying to do in this country right now. They’re saying, I’ve got it, but I’m not sharing it with you and I don’t care what we have to do to stop you having what I’ve got. And while I’m sitting there having that debate, and when we’re saying turn back the boats, we’re actually saying send people back to their deaths. It seems that the government produces anti asylum seeker legislation, such as the Malaysian situation, and the press is providing a very negative coverage, and there Is a general consensus that is anti-asylum seeker. So the public fuels public policy, which fuels the media; where does the chain stop? The thing is for all people with a passion for champion human rights to always know there is an alternative. We sit here now, every morning when I sit with my volunteers in the morning at the start of each day, and we see everything that is happening and it can feel very demoralising. We need to be focusing on what we are achieving, what we are doing, and imagine what things would be without us. The political debate is the worst it’s been in the 10 years since I started the place. The broader federal policies about how we deal with people coming by boat is the worst it’s been, mandatory detention is the worst it’s been, but on the ground there is real change. Over the last decade we have a genuine human rights movement in this country, we have tens of thousands of people mobilized nationally to do something, we run an organisation where 800 people volunteer, thousands more who come and donate on a monthly basis, time energy, support, ideas. We are changing things. We might not have the power at the moment in the short term to end mandatory detention or shut down Christmas Island, but on the ground, some of the things we’ve achieved we would never have imagined. Just within our state we have got access to TAFE for asylum seekers, access to the emergency public health system without Medicare, we have got access to concession travel. That might seem minor in the scale of mandatory detention but what we are starting to claim and win for people, are the basic rights to be free and equal like any other Australian in this country. We might be a minority but we are a powerful minority and what we are going to keep focusing on what have we achieved; 7000 people have come through our doors and we have helped them. There are thousands of people who won their freedom through our work and the work of many other organisations, people who otherwise would have been tortured to death or rotting in a prison somewhere for their beliefs. We have got to keep having that conversation about what next, how do we do it better, what else can we do, how can we keep changing things? Everytime one of us that does something to make things better, we are changing the world. And it’s also knowing that there are bigger things that are going to take longer, but we are going to get there. Now 10 years ago I couldn’t ever imagine us still being here, 10 years ago I couldn’t imagine tens of thousands of Australians mobilised across the country fighting for the rights of asylum seekers. Some of the changes that have happened I couldn’t have imagined. I know some of them have been reversed but they were profound wins, you know, getting rid of the things like temporary protection visas (I know they might come back), getting rid of people being charged for being held in a detention center, doing away with the 45 day rule that meant that if you didn’t apply within 45 days you would lose work rights. Now more people have the right to work, more people have the right to health care. But we need to keep fighting - human rights depends on people not losing hope. The people who are struggling, all the people whose rights we are trying to defend, they are the ones really pioneering and championing human rights, the people putting their lives on the line. We’re not putting our lives on the line, but we are sitting there trying to make an ethical choice as a human being about how to live a moral life. And we are sitting there trying to say to our country, Australians are better than this, aren’t we? Aren’t we proud to be a country that believes in a fair go? Then why don’t we actually give asylum seekers a fair go? We are a country that understands that we are a nation actually built by boat people. Is this not the slight irony behind it all? Yes! [After the] indigenous Australians who had been here since dreamtime, we are actually a country built by boat people, that’s the irony. The only difference is those people come by boat were convicted criminals, while these people that come by boat are innocent people. Amnesty International’s report, The State of the World Human Rights, is critical of Australia’s record towards asylum seekers and indigenous people. How do you think Australia’s record compares to other developing countries, such as Europe? 80% of the world’s refugees are in the developing world, and less than 20% are in the industrialised world. Compared to the 44 industrialised nations that take asylum seekers and have refugees I think we’re very poor. We are the leaders in some areas but, I think we champion quite strongly the locking up of children, we’re are pretty good at that. Italy is the only other country that has offshore processing. We are the world champions of that. If you look at Europe and the numbers of asylum seekers arriving in Germany, the UK, Greece, or the US and Canada, we are pretty pitiful. Last financial year, based on wealth we are 77th in the world, but we are 15th in the world in terms of number of asylum seekers. So we compare very poorly I think. We are one of only 8 countries in the world that caps its refugee humanitarian intake, most countries don’t set a cap. That’s why we often pretend that we are generous, because we are number 2 of the 8 countries that put a cap, but most countries don’t cap it, because I know you can’t actually cap the numbers for humanitarian intake. If you really look at the number of refugees and humanitarian entrants we take as a percentage of our migration program its actually the lowest it’s been since 1975. We are actually at a 36 year low. * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. *Eliza is finishing the final subject of her bachelor of International Relations through her placement with ACCESS and is also completing a Certificate IV in Financial Services and volunteering with the AIIA. Global Snapshot for June 2011 By Sharna Thomason, Marcus Burke and Richard Griffin A round up of key events across the world over the last month. Africa Nigeria Nigerian leader Goodluck Jonathan of the People's Democratic Party has been sworn in on 29th May as President of Nigeria after winning the national elections by securing nearly 60% of the vote. The ceremony was held amid extremely tight security, with the deployment of 10,000 security personnel , mobile phone services cut and helicopters flying overhead. Jonathan’s nearest contender, the former military ruler Muhammadu Buhari attracted nearly 32% or 12.2 million votes. The BBC reports that Nigerian elections are usually about ethnicity, religion and regionalism, rather than issues. This is the first time in recent history that the presidential election result has highlighted the huge division between the mainly Muslim, Hausa-speaking north and Christian and animist south. Goodluck Jonathan will need to unite the north and south and deal with tensions in the oil producing Niger Delta Tension in Sudan Tensions continues to build in the Sudan-Southern Sudan border region of Abyei, as Sudanese troops invaded and attackedthe largest town in the area, also called Abyei. The incident has raised fresh fears that Sudanese President Omar Hassan al-Bashir’s commitment to peace may be wavering. The fighting complicates the Obama administration’s strategy for Sudan, which involves providing incentives, on the condition of the Sudanese government’s commitment to achieving peace in the region. During the negotiations to end the conflict, no agreement was ever reached about whether Abyei should remain a part of northern-administered Sudan or be transferred to the south. It was eventually agreed that a refurendum would be held, to allow the people of Abyei to decide their future. The refurendum was scheduled to take place simultaneously with the main South Sudan vote in January. However, the Abyei referendum never occurred, due to a dispute about who was eligible to vote.” ICC rejects Kenya’s bid to halt election violence protests Kenya’s attempt to halt the International Criminal Court’s (ICC) investigation into the violent protests that followed the national elections in 2007 has been rebuffed. The Hague Justice Portal reports that the Judges responded to claims that suspects could be tried in Kenya courts, by considering that the absence of such proceedings against suspects suggested the national approach would be inadequate. The Pre-Trial Chamber II judges ruled that there was “no concrete evidence of on-going proceedings before national judges” and that Government of Kenya had “failed to provide the Chamber with any information as to the conduct, crimes or the incidents for which the suspects are being investigated or questioned.” The ICC will hold hearings in September to decide whether the men should stand trial. If convicted, they could face life imprisonment. Americas Honduras welcomes former President The former Honduran President, Manuel Zelaya returned to Honduras, two years after being ousted by a military led coup. TheLA Times reports that “Zelaya was allowed to go home under a "reconciliation" agreement brokered by the ideologically opposed governments of Colombia and Venezuela. Under the agreement, which was signed in Cartagena, Columbia, Zelaya and his supporters will be allowed to participate in Honduran politics. Zelya was expelled from Honduras when proposed reforms to the constitution lead some parties to suspect that he was trying to secure his own power indefinitely. Zelya’s return is a condition to reinstating Honduras to the Organization of American States (OAS), the regional body that jettisoned it as punishment for the June 28th, 2009, coup. The OAS voted 32 to one to readmit Honduras, with Ecuador as the only country to oppose the motion. José Miguel Insulza, the Secretary General of the OAS, said that the arrival of President José Manuel Zelaya in Honduras was a milestone in the process of reconciliation in Honduras. Brazilian Amazon causing tension The Brazilian Amazon is fast becoming the source of political tensions as the Brazilian congress is in the final stages of reforming the Forests Code. The law stipulates that landowners in the Amazon must keep 80% of their terrain forested, compared to only 20% in other parts of Brazil. The proposals to amend the legislation have highlighted the differences in public opinion; some people, including many farmers, view development and economic growth as the highest priority, whilst others regard conservation as the key issue. Yet, whilst politics prevails, the satellite images from Brazil’s space research institute show that deforestation increased from 103 sq km in March and April 2010 to 593 sq km (229 sq miles) in the same period of 2011. In an effort to combat the threat of deforestation, sixty-nine countries around the world have already signed up to the reduced emissions from deforestation and forest degradation program (REDD). Under the program, forest owners are effectively paid not to cut down trees. Governments have already pledged approximately $5.5bn (£3.4bn) to the scheme. But trees are not the only thing in danger in the Amazon; according to the BBC, three environmental activists were killed last week, with one rural leader, Adelino Ramos known for his opposition to illegal logging in the Amazon. The Rural Development Minister Afonso Florence said the government will “intensify monitoring and investigation and strengthen actions leading to sustainable development in the region.” Asia/Pacific Japan PM survives vote of no-confidence Japan’s Prime Minister Naoto Kan has won a vote of no confidence, despite earlier stating that he would step down “once the post-quake reconstruction efforts are settled”. Naoto Kan became Prime Minister one year ago, however after being criticised for his alleged weak handling of information during the height of the nuclear disaster and his delayed efforts in the reconstruction phase, the Liberal Democratic Party and two smaller opposition parties submitted a no-confidence motion. Despite Prime Minister Kan’s Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) holding power in the lower house, where the motion was submitted, many of the parties power brokers have expressed their concern in his leadership, with some even publicly announcing they were not going to support him in the no-confidence motion. If the majority of the DPJ had joined the opposition by voting in favour of the no-confidence motion it would have meant more than just the end of Kan and his Cabinet. It would most probably have caused a split within the ruling party. In an attempt to save the party, Kan was given the opportunity to retire as Prime Minister and to step down with dignity, rather than suffer losing the no-confidence motion. Kan agreed to step down after a number of bills relating to the recovery effort are passed, and his party colleagues agreed to support him in the motion. This was the obvious choice for the DPJ power brokers who wanted to avoid Kan fighting his way out by calling for a general election. Kan is now expected to step down in July, with Japanese politicians already lining up the potential next Prime Minister, with current Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda the most likely candidate. Regional tensions topic of Shangri-La Dialogue The 10th ISS Asia Security Summit, the Shangri-La Dialogue was successfully held in Singapore at the start of June. Defence chiefs from 27 nations in the Asia-Pacific region met to discuss regional security and defence issues. Growing disputes in the South China Sea were a focus of the summit, with China’s defence minister attending for the first time. However, General Liang Guanglie assured the other ministers in attendance that China does “not intend to threaten any country with the modernization of [its] military force”, despite increasing its military budget by 12.7% this year. It is this increase in military spending that has caused unease throughout the region. Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak, a keynote speaker, supported China stating that the world should not see the rise of China as a cause for concern but rather as on of optimism, further stating that “it no longer makes sense for global powers to go to war: they simply have too much to lose“. Middle East Syrian protestors gunned down by helicopter Protests in Syria continue, as does the military fighting against them. The latest in the ongoing attacks occurred in the northern town of Maarat al-Numan near the Turkish border. Antigovernment protests were held across the country, the largest since the uprising began in March of this year. Tens of thousands of protesters gathered in Maarat al-Numan when security forcesbegan firing on them with tanks and helicopters armed with machine guns. This is the first reported use of helicopters to disperse and quell the protesters. Witnesses report seeing at least five helicopters flying over, all of which began firing on the protesters and continued for hours even after the majority of protesters had left to find safety under bridges and in fields. Wounded protesters no longer trust the hospitals so are forced to seek out secret medical assistance in their homes. These events have prompted an exodus of refugees fleeing from Syria in to neighboring Turkey. A tent city has been constructed with ambulances carrying the wounded to hospital and armed police guarding the entrances. Turkish officials have stated they are preparing for the likely possibility of even more refugees in the coming days following the latest attacks on protesters. Live events are recorded on an Al Jazeera blog. Formula One governing body sides with Bahrain Government It seems the Formula One governing body is aligned with the Bahraini government rather than acknowledging and condemning the human rights and political crimes that have taken place in the country. The first Formula One race for 2011 was scheduled to be held in Bahrain in March, however after the political protests and subsequent unrest the race was postponed and was to be rescheduled for October. The Formula One governing body released a report stating that the October race would not go ahead, and they were now looking at again attempting to hold the opening race of 2012 in Bahrain. In all the reports relating to the cancellation of the races the reasoning behind the forced cancellations has never been attributed to the protests and civil unrest. Instead the calendar scheduling issues have been to blame, with the governing body going so far as stating that civil unrest in the country had stabilised. Human rights organisations are outraged at this, especially as the clashes between protesters and police continue, and the Bahraini government continues to deny any such events occur. Europe Accused war criminal Ratko Mladić captured and extradited Ratko Mladić had been one of the world’s most wanted war crimes suspects for over a decade. As army chief for the Bosnian Serb forces during the disintegration of Yugoslavia, he was believed responsible for the massacre of at least 7,500 Muslim men and boys from the town of Srebrenica in 1995. He was charged in 1995 with multiple offences, including genocide, complicity in genocide, crimes against humanity and violations of the laws or customs of war. On 26th May it was announced that Serbian police had arrested Ratko Mladić and would extradite him to face these most serious of charges. The charges were laid by the Chief Prosecutor of the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) , established by the United Nations Security Council in 1993. Prior to Mladić’s arrest the ICTY had concluded proceeding against 120 suspects and had only two fugitives unaccounted for. It was widely thought the Tribunal would soon be ready to disband, but with its most important remaining fugitive now in custody, it will likely be in process for several more years. French Presidential hopeful Dominique Strauss-Kahn arrested in New York The Mladić incident was not the only arrest that rocked Europe in May. Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the Managing Director of International Monetary Fund, was arrested by New York Police for allegedly attempting to rape a hotel maid. A leading memberof France’s opposition Socialist Party, Straus-Kahn had been a serious contender for the next Presidential election, and was described as being “at the head of the 2012 Presidential field." Strauss-Kahn strenuously denies the allegations against him, and as with any high-profile arrest, controversy followed. Philosopher Bernard-Henri Levy attacked the US judicial system for taking “him for a subject of justice like any other.” Others have argued that this is exactly as it should be, with the Economist noting: “New York’s authorities have not shirked from arresting the head of one of the world’s leading international bodies, nor from demanding that he be kept in jail on remand. It is worth asking: would this have happened in Paris or Rome?” International World Peace Index The 2011 Global Peace Index has been released by the Institute for Economics and Peace, concluding that the world had become less peaceful for the third year straight. Iceland was rated as the most peaceful nation, with Somalia replacing Iraq as the least peaceful. Overall, the report estimates that conflict cost the world economy over $8 trillion in 2010. An interactive mapis also available. Australia was ranked 18 out of 153 nations. Robert Zoellick, the President of the World Bank, has argued that armed conflict continues to be one of the most importantbarriers to development. Future Economic Growth The World Bank has released its Global Economic Prospects Report, which predicts continued growth by developing countries over the coming years. The Bank estimates that developing countries will grow by around 6.3% each year from 2011-2013, down from 7.3% in 2010, with highincome countries seeing growth of less than 3%. However risks remain for the poor in many countries, in particular due to continuing high food prices. High inflation in general is also a risk to a number of developing economies, whilst further instability in the Middle East could also negatively affect growth. East Asia and the Pacific is projected to be the world’s fastest growing region, with 8.5% growth predicted in 2011 and around 8.2% in 2012-13. Packaging and Intellectual Property The implications of Australia’s proposed law on plain-paper packaging for cigarettes are now being debated at the World Trade Organization (WTO). The Dominican Republic objects to the proposed legislation, on the grounds that it violates the TRIPS Agreement on intellectual property. The Dominican Republic has received support from Honduras, Nicaragua, Ukraine, the Philippines, Zambia, Mexico, Cuba and Ecuador, whilst the Australian position has been supported by New Zealand, Uruguay and Norway. Tobacco companies have threatened to support a challenge to the law at the WTO, but any action through the WTO’s dispute resolution mechanism will need to be initiated by a member nation. * Sharna graduated with a Master of Diplomacy and Trade from Monash University, Melbourne. She is a passionate human rights advocate and is currently working for the Victorian State Government. * Marcus is currently completing a Master of Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. He also has a combined Law/Science degree from the University of Melbourne, and has most recently been working in the IT industry. * Richard completed an Arts/Law degree from Monash University in 2008. He was worked for the Prosecutor at the United Nations International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia and is currently a lawyer at Lander and Rogers Lawyers. Human Rights and “The Responsibility to Protect” By John Varghese The human rights agenda has once again clawed its way into public discourse after a decade of marginalisation and oblivion in the post 9/11 era. The Libyan crisis and the broader Arab Spring have been met with fierce resistance by the authoritarian governments of the region. In particular, the Libyan crisis was so stark that the international community was drawn into a civil conflict between rebels in the East and Muammar Gaddafi’s troops in Tripoli. ‘The responsibility to protect’ was invoked in principle, on the grounds that government forces were ready to indiscriminately kill civilians in Benghazi. The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) voted in favour of a ‘no-fly zone’ so as to prevent a large scale slaughter, such as occurred in Rwanda. The birth of the human rights movement began with the Universal Declaration of Human Rights in 1948. Yet the politics of the Cold war blocked the UNSC from taking bold, decisive action when faced with mass atrocity and genocide. The end of the Cold War allowed the Security Council to engage in numerous peacekeeping missions abroad, and human rights activists were hoping for a new dawn in the human rights agenda. However, its successes were short-lived with the failed interventions in Somalia, the horrors of civil conflict in Rwanda and the murdering of innocent men, women and children taken from UN ‘safe zones’ in Bosnia. The Rwandan genocide resulted in over 800,000 deaths with millions displaced. There was a broad consensus that the failures in halting genocide and mass atrocities in both Rwanda and Bosnia had a particularly sobering effect on the international community. With this hindsight, the Canadian government launched the International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty(ICISS) co-chaired by Gareth Evans and Mohamed Sahnoun. The aim of the Commission was to build political will for international action in the event that a future crisis emerged. The concept of “the responsibility to protect’, which had been coined by Francis Deng, the Representative of the UN Secretary-General on Internally Displaced Persons, was recommended by the Commission and would later be adopted by the United Nations. It would allow for international action if a state failed to protect its citizens from mass atrocity including genocide, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity. Whilst there have been numerous criticisms of the doctrine in recent times, it has been the basis of successful intervention in Kenya where political violence following the 2008 election had threatened to escalate into a full-scale civil war. The “responsibility to protect” has established a basic framework in dealing with future humanitarian crises and is responsible for saving thousands of lives in the wake of the Libyan civil war. As protesters in Syria, Bahrain and Yemen continue to be abused and systematically targeted by their authoritarian regimes, it is time for the international community to act decisively to protect these innocent civilians. Suggested further reading about ‘Responsibility to Protect’ Bellamy, J. Alex, Realizing the Responsibility to Protect; International Studies Perspectives, 2009 pp.111-128 Evans, Gareth, The Solution: From “The Right to Intervene” to “The Responsibility to Protect” Newman, Michael, Revisiting the ‘Responsibility to Protect’; The Political Quarterly, Vol.80, No.1, January-March 2009 pp.92-100 Sharma, K.Serena, Toward a Global Responsibility to Protect: Setbacks on the Path to Implementation; Global Governance 16, 2010 pp.121-138 * John is currently studying for a Masters in International Relations at the University of Melbourne and is actively involved in the promotion of human rights through Amnesty International. National security and whistle-blowing: a paradoxical tenet of democracy By Timothy Lawson On April 20th, 2011 alleged whistle-blower Bradley Manning was transferred to the Midwest Joint Regional Correctional Facility, a new medium-security facility in Fort Leavenworth, Kansas. The transfer has been welcomed by Manning’s supporters as he no longer has his clothes removed at night, and is now in a cell with a large window and normal mattress. He is also able to mix with other pre-trial detainees and keep personal objects in his cell. Manning has been charged with copying classified military data and transmitting national defence information to an unauthorised source; an additional 22 charges were submitted in March 2011. Manning is currently waiting on a hearing to decide whether he will face a court martial. In a historic address to the American Newspapers Publishers Association (APNA) in 1961, President Kennedy espoused the contradictory nature of the need for secrecy in matters of national security and the need for greater public access to the machinations of government. Kennedy stated: “The very word secrecy is repugnant in a free and open society; and we are, as a people, inherently and historically opposed to secret societies, to secret oaths and to secret proceedings.” Kennedy’s words are as true today as they were in 1961 – the ideals of free speech and a free press are enshrined in the American national consciousness. The concern expressed by President Kennedy this speech is just as valid and relevant today as it was fifty years ago. Two recent chains of events have brought this issue to the forefront of the media spotlight; the actions of Anat Kam, and the alleged actions of Bradley Manning. The ongoing furore over the Wikileaks scandal bears many similarities to the Anat Kam affair. Kam, the young Israeli journalist, was accused of stealing over 2,000 military documents and leaking them to Uri Blau – a reporter for Israel’s oldest daily newspaper, Haaretz. Her aim was to expose war crimes committed by the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) in the West Bank. His aim was to expose war crimes he encountered during his military service. Manning has been accused of leaking the highly controversial Iraq War video which showed the killing of several Iraqis and two journalists via three air-to-ground strikes carried out by two US Army AH-64 Apache helicopters in Al-Amin al-Thaniyah, in the New Baghdad district in Baghdad. A major issue of contention raised in both cases is the lax security that allowed junior military personal to access highly classified, and sensitive, military information. Manning was stationed with the 2nd Brigade Combat Team, 10th Mountain Division at Contingency Operating Station Hammer, Iraq. This posting gave him access to SIPRnet – the Secret Internet Protocol Router network: used by the US Department of Defence to transmit classified information. Kam has been accused of stealing the documents during her two-year compulsory military service, between 2005 and 2007, during which she was working in the office of the commander of the Central Command, which is responsible for the West Bank. Justice Zeev Hammer, who presided over Anat Kam’s court hearings, described the security failures at the GOC Central Command chief’s office as “astounding” adding that he was “shocked to learn of these incomprehensible failures and negligent data protection”. There are many that see the actions of Kam and Manning as treasonous. I was fortunate enough to speak with Greer Cashman, an Israeli journalist from the Jerusalem Post, and a board member of the Jerusalem Journalists Association (JJA), who stated: “I’m the only person with a dissenting opinion on the board – whom all support Anat Kam’s actions – and here’s why; at the time she copied the classified information, she was a soldier and not a civilian; therefore her duty was to the military, and to the security of Israel. What she did was tantamount to treason.” I spoke with Julian Burnside QC, who supports Manning and whistle-blowing. He stated: “I suspect one of the reasons that they are treating Bradley Manning so badly is that they want to break him so that he will say, in substance, that Julian Assange encouraged or procured his leak of material. If they did that, it would implement Assange in a crime for which the Americans could deal with him.” “Whoever took the material, is very likely guilty of an offence under American law. If that’s Bradley Manning then he has a problem and the way they are treating him now — which I think is truly scandalous — must have some purpose and I suspect the purpose is so they can use him to build a fabricated case against Assange.” Former US ambassador to the United Nations under the Bush administration, John Bolton, said that if Manning did leak the intelligence he should be charged with treason. “Treason is still punishable by death and if he were found guilty, I would do it”, Bolton said. Contrary to this view there are many who see Bradley Manning and Anat Kam as heroes; defenders of democracy. CBS journalist Chase Madar states: “U.S. Army Private First Class Bradley Manning has done his duty. He has witnessed serious violations of the American military’s Uniform Code of Military Justice, violations of the rules in U.S. Army Field Manual 27-10, and violations of international law. He has brought these wrongdoings to light out of a profound sense of duty to his country, as a citizen and a soldier, and his patriotism has cost him dearly.” As elucidated by President Kennedy, the need for secrecy in matters of national security needs to be balanced against the need for press freedom. President Kennedy’s address at the ANPA also stated: “no official of my Administration, whether his rank is high or low, civilian or military, should interpret my words here tonight as an excuse to censor the news, to stifle dissent, to cover up our mistakes or to withhold from the press and the public the facts they deserve to know.” Surely Kennedy’s words are still consistent with the current US ethos. * Timothy is the editor of Lot’s Wife and also works as a freelance journalist. Noam Chomsky – A controversial choice for the 2011 Sydney Peace Prize By Craig Butt American linguist and political commentator Noam Chomsky was awarded the 2011 Sydney Peace Prize by the Sydney Peace Foundation last week. As is invariably the case, the Foundation’s choice of recipient proved controversial, particularly among right wing commentators who claimed Chomsky was undeserving of the award. Quadrant editor Keith Windschuttle argued “Chomsky has a five-decade history of justifying violence in the name of revolution by communist and terrorist organisations," while an editorial in The Australian called the MIT Professor “an apologist for Bin Laden”. Nevertheless, in a week that saw accused Serbian war criminal Ratko Mladić extradited to The Hague, there was curiously little discussion of Chomsky’s role in downplaying one of the most insidious human rights abuses of the 1990s, the Srebrenica Massacre. The largest mass killing on European soil since World War II, the Srebrenica Massacre took place in 1995, and led to the killings of over 8,000 Bosniak men and boys. In 2004 the International Criminal Tribunal unanimously ruled that massacre constituted a crime of genocide. Yet Chomsky was evidently unconvinced of Srebrenica’s enormity and aligned himself with authors who downplayed these claims. He was among a list of signatories who defended a book by author Diana Johnstone called ‘Fools Crusade’ that claimed the numbers had been exaggerated. “We regard Johnstone’s Fools Crusade as an outstanding work, dissenting from the mainstream view but doing so by an appeal to fact and reason, in a great tradition,” the letter claimed, which was also signed by fellow Sydney Peace Prize winners Arundhati Roy and John Pilger. However, Johnstone’s work has been largely discredited, and Chomsky’s ostensible defence of her right to publish her opinions has often taken on an edge of tacit endorsement of her allegations. For example, he said Johnstone “clearly demonstrates that a good deal of what has been charged [in Srebrenica] has no basis in fact, and much of it is pure fabrication.” Chomsky also attacked journalists who covered the events in Bosnia firsthand. After a now defunct magazine alleged that stories of concentration camps in the region had been fabricated, he echoed these allegations saying journalists had gotten “caught up in a story which is probably not true”. Chomsky’s defence of Serbian atrocities seems to stem largely from his anti-Western view of the world. In the line of thought of Chomsky and his ilk, as NATO intervened to contain Serbian expansion it was therefore committing an imperialist act, which any self-respecting progressive ought to oppose. While there are grounds for opposing Western interventions, to assign this motive across the board is reductive. Likewise, deciding that any force opposing ‘Western hegemony’ must be championed obviates any complexity. In the case of Bosnia, it’s meant that war crimes and an attempted genocide have been downplayed, trivialized or outright denied in order to prop up and provide succour to a pre-conceived world-view. In the past Chomsky has accused the media of being hypocritical in terms of how it frames conflicts. For example, he has written that the media sympathises with “worthy victims” while ignoring the plight of “unworthy victims”; Bosnians are seen as worthy while other groups such as the Palestinians fall into the latter category. But if anything, it is Chomsky who is guilty of the indifference that he assigns to the media. By downplaying Srebrenica and other human rights abuses committed against the Bosnian people he is guilty of employing precisely the dubious logic he seeks to deconstruct. This way of thinking makes a mockery of the concept of universal human rights and reflects badly on the Sydney Peace Foundation. As the trial of Ratko Mladić continues, one wonders how Chomsky’s comments will fare. * Craig is the co-founder and editor of News Hit, an online publication dedicated to showcasing the work of young journalists. Issue 16 Message from the Editor By Rachel Hankey The Global Financial Crisis has not been far from media headlines over the past few years. This edition of Monthly Access explores the world's economic troubles, how they came about and what the future holds. In Q&A this month we talked to two leading financial experts about the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Financial journalist Alan Kohler shares his thoughts with us about some of the economic issues facing the world today, and the ongoing debate surrounding the proposed carbon tax. Professor Stephen King considers the impact of the GFC on Australia and the lessons learned by the banking world. Drawing on his experience as Dean of Monash Business and Economics, Professor Stephen King also discusses the Australian tertiary education system in this month’s Career Spotlight. In Global Snapshot we look at some of the key events across the world over the last month. The death of Osama bin Laden has caused celebration in the US, while in other parts of the Middle East links between Egypt and the Gaza Strip are opening up. South America’s war with drugs continues, and there is growing speculation that Donald Trump will run for President. Scientists have recently announced exciting developments in the battle against malaria. The UN predicts that developing Asian countries will be the driving force behind the world economy in 2011. The Global Financial Crisis has prompted many people to look more closely at the role played by financial reporters. Craig Butt asks if financial reporters are in some way responsible, and provides us with of some of the best examples of the journalism to emerge in the wake of the GFC. The recent violence at Villawood detention centre has brought asylum seekers into the headlines again. Timothy Lawson talks to Greens immigration spokeswoman, Senator Hanson-Young, about the government’s new proposals to strengthen the immigration laws. Kristian Lewis reports from the AIIA Victoria Press Room on the lecture ‘Defending Australia: Getting it Right?’ by Mr Neil James. * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. Q&A with Alan Kohler By Kristian Lewis and Gary Paul In the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), new issues that affect the rebuilding of the world’s economies arise every day. With natural disasters putting strain on struggling countries, and local issues such as carbon taxes dividing populations, many are wondering how the world’s financial situation will ever improve. Alan Kohler is currently the Chief Executive of the Australian Independent Business Media Pty Ltd, and has worked as a financial journalist for 40 years. He has worked at The Australian and has been editor of both The Australian Financial Reviewand The Age. His company publishes the Eureka Report, an online investment newsletter, and he can be seen frequently on ABC’s Inside Business and ABC News. What effect, if any, will the Japanese situation (2011 Earthquake and Tsunami) have on their economy? It’ll definitely have an impact on the Japanese economy, that is to say, it will be negative and then it’ll have a positive impact as they rebuild. That always happens after disasters, even really bad ones. The Japanese situation is complicated by the nuclear problem at the Fukushima plant. If that gets worse then the effect on the economy is unpredictable because, obviously, it will have a negative impact on all sorts of industries. But nobody knows what’ll happen, so it depends a bit on how that plays out. Will the US economy ever recover from Global Financial Crisis? Ever is a long time. Arguably it has recovered now; the economy is growing again, so in that perspective, in terms of economic growth, it has recovered. The recession is over, growth is back to, broadly speaking, what it needs to be. The unemployment rate is still high, although it’s falling now, down to 8.8%, but I think you’d expect it to continue to fall. The housing market is going backwards again so that’s not going too well, and the home building business is also still recessed. So parts of the American economy are recovering; manufacturing for example has recovered, the finance sector is still recovering but is not in such great shape. The housing sector has not recovered, so on that basis, it’s a bit difficult to talk generally about the US economy. What do you believe are the current driving forces behind the financial situation in the world today? The main driving forces are: firstly, the economic growth of the emerging nations such as China and India, and secondly the liquidity that’s being pumped into the economies of the developed world by their central banks. Some economists are arguing that the crisis was caused by increasing demands for AAA credit assets, not just the deregulation of the financial sector. Do you agree? Well, I think you can argue that it was increasing demands for lower grade assets, in particular mortgage. What sort of caused the crisis in many ways was an elevated demand for sub-prime mortgages, which exploded in 2006. 2005 and 2006 saw a huge increase in demand for sub-prime mortgages, which were being sold to people who couldn’t repay them, and in a way that was what led to the issue. I’m not sure I agree at all with the fact that it was increased demand for AAA credit assets, it was more a demand for sub-prime credit assets. How do you think financial institutions like the International Monetary Fund have fared during the recovery process? Well they’ve been sidelined; really, I don’t think the IMF has been a big part of the scene. They’ve kind of been a player in the European debt crisis, but the main resolution to European issues has been the European Union itself, with its European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), which in a sense replaced the IMF, in terms of bailing those countries out. Greece, Ireland, and now Portugal are turning to the EFSF and the EU as opposed to the IMF. I don’t think any other countries really have needed to be bailed out too much by the IMF, so I don’t think the IMF has been a central player in what’s happened. What do you think the political repercussions of the GFC will be on the EU in the long term, considering Germany has had to be bear the brunt of bailout responsibility to countries such as Greece and Ireland? Well, there are a lot of people who think the GFC has exposed the fact that monetary union is unsustainable. It’s not sustainable for countries that don’t have political union to have monetary union, because they go in different directions. As we’ve seen in Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, and to some extent Italy, they’ve all become less competitive over the past 17 years during the period of European monetary union and that’s why they’ve got themselves into trouble. Germany’s now had to bear the brunt of bailing them out, and Germany doesn’t want to do that either. So countries such as Greece and Ireland want to devalue their currencies in order to improve their competitiveness, but they can’t because they’ve got the Euro. At the moment as things pan out they’re all prepared to stick with it, and so far so good. I think it’s more likely that they’ll muddle along, that the monetary union won’t break apart; they won’t reintroduce the Deutsche Mark and the Drachma, and the Lira. I think that they’re more likely to continue on but it’s going to be difficult. In Australia, what do you think of the politics around the proposed carbon tax scheme? I think the politics around it are disingenuous, and full of spin and lies. A reduction in carbon emissions of 5% from the level in the year 2000 is bipartisan policy in Australia; both the Coalition and Labor have that policy. The Labor party has come out and said “the only way we’re going to achieve that is by having a price on carbon”. They have proposed an emission trading scheme, but in the short term (for up to 3 years) the carbon tax as a transitional process, and the Coalition is using this as an opportunity to attack them over imposing a tax. The Coalition meanwhile has an identical policy to reduce carbon emissions by the same amount. So I think that the Coalition is being disingenuous. I suppose I think that the Labor party is trying to do the right thing; at the end of the day all that matters is what happens at the 2013 election, and I think the government will hold until then anyway. What do you think about ex-Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s startling admission about the role of carbon trading in his removal from office? I thought that everyone knew that it was a mistake for them to back off. I think it’s ironic that Rudd lost his prime ministership because he turned his back on carbon trading, and now Julia Gillard is under pressure because she’s trying to reintroduce it. I think that’s pretty strange. You’re damned if you don’t and you’re damned if you do. I think it’s a reflection on the media really. Everyone is so used to being lied to by politicians that when someone tells the truth it’s a big story. * Kristian completed is Bachelor in Arts (International Relations) in 2009 and his Honours thesis in 2010. He is currently Events and Debates Coordination for AIIA-ACCESS. * Gary is studying Journalism and Politics at Monash University. He hosts a radio show about international news and works for the AIIA and ACCESS as part of their media team. Q&A with Professor Stephen King By Ishita Acharyya The most recent federal budget has revealed that, while contending with the economic effects of natural disasters, we are still recovering from the effects of 2008 Global Financial Crisis. In the wake of the GFC, commentators and victims of the GFC eagerly sought explanations as to its cause. Many claimed that executive avarice and lax financial regulation were the culprits, while others argued the inherent regulatory incentives within the financial system caused the financial maelstrom. Now, the focus has turned to how we recover from the GFC, and particularly, how the international regulatory environment may guarantee against such crises in the future. Basel III has been formulated in response to the GFC, to render the international financial sector more resilient. However, there is concern that regulatory demands to hold high investment grade assets will be even greater under this new regulatory framework. Preeminent Australian economist and Dean of Monash Business and Economics, Professor Stephen King, spoke with Monthly Access about the implications of the GFC for international regulation. Before joining Monash University, Professor King was a Member of the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC). He has also been a Professor of Economics and Management at the University of Melbourne and Melbourne Business School. Professor King is also a Director and founder of CoRE Research, and leading Australian economics blog, CoRE Economics. Do you think the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) is over? Two things - firstly, when you say GFC, it's important to remember it was really North-Atlantic; we’re referring to Europe and the US. In Europe and the US, it's not over. A substantial number of European economies are still in trouble - Portugal, Ireland, Greece, and Spain. Ireland and Greece are being bailed out, Portugal and Spain are teetering. Other countries, the UK, for example, are still very depressed economically. Germany is probably the healthiest economy in the EU, but they’re getting a bit sick of bailing others out. In the US, there are unprecedented levels of unemployment, still up around 10%. Now 10% unemployment in the US was unheard of for generations, the early 70s was the last time it was around that mark. They’re still struggling to get out of their recession. Throughout Asia though, China's booming again, India's growth is up, South-East Asia's going well. That's reflected in the Australian economy, because, like it or not, we provide a large amount of raw materials for the Asian economies, both, natural resources and educational institutions. We provide an educated workforce, who go back to countries like China and feed into their economic miracle. Do you think Australia is still feeling any effects at all from the crisis? The most obvious effect of the crisis is the fact that the Australian dollar is so strong against the US dollar. Are we feeling any effects.........we're probably slightly less resilient than we would have been five years ago, when China had really taken off in terms of importing minerals, around 2006. 2004/05 was the turn-around, when China went from exporting, to importing coal. There was a big increase in coal prices, iron ore prices and so on, which had an effect on Australia. Australia’s probably a lot more dependent on China now than it was five years ago because the European and US markets just aren’t as buoyant as they used to be. So, if there was a revolution in China tomorrow, Australia would encounter significant problems in the short-term. Our dollar would go down rapidly, our unemployment would go up rapidly, and so on. There's probably less of a buffer there because, compare it to, say, the ‘97 Asian (banking) crisis, when demand from Asia dropped for our products, our dollar dropped rapidly, and we replaced a lot of Asian demand with European demand. So, all of a sudden Australian agricultural products, for example, instead of going to Thailand, Malaysia, China, were going through to Europe. So, we probably have less resilience now because that alternative market isn't available. Other than that, I think we've been very lucky in getting through the financial crisis the way we have. We depended a lot on China and we didn't have any significant banking crises here. I think the bigger risk is that we don't learn the lessons from the financial crisis. What are those lessons? The most obvious one, and this is one I’ve blogged about, is that the rules of banking internationally and in Australia have changed, whether we like it or not. This goes back to the Wallis enquiry, which set up our modern financial structure in Australia, very much premised on the idea that government regulated banks, but that the government did not protect banks. That is, banks could go bankrupt and depositors could lose their money, if banks were mismanaged. It was relatively conservative banking management that would underline and protect our banking system in Australia. We saw, of course, that as soon as the financial crisis started, the Australian government jumped in and said, "oh, we're going to insure all depositors under a million dollars, we're going to provide partial insurance for depositors above a million dollars.” When Bankwest, which is the closest bank we’ve had to being in some kind of financial trouble because its owner HBOS in the UK actually did need to be bailed out by the government, the Federal Government effectively intervened and organized for the Commonwealth Bank to buy it. So, we now know that despite what our official rules said, there's no way politically that a government in Australia can allow a major bank to default. It will protect the depositors, it will probably protect bond holders and probably equity holders. In that situation, it's not very clear that we have an insured banking system. It’s just that the banks don't pay for it. So, we're now in a comfortable situation where the banks know that the government will bail them out, the government knows it has to, but they're both pretending that doesn't occur. My reaction to that is we need to rethink our banking rules to make the insurance that does exist explicit, rather than implicit. Put it on the table, make sure there's a proper premium there and have the government start acting like an insurer of the banking system. We know politically that if a bank did something that was really stupid, even something the government had decided against insuring for, politically, they’re going to come in and insure the bank. That means that the government has to think about whether it should actually restrict banking activities of the entities that are insured and say, "look, there are some things you simply cannot do if you want a banking license in Australia. If you do them, we will revoke your banking licenses and your senior executives will go to jail". Now, that's not unprecedented, by the way. That’s exactly the sort of rules we had in Australia and in most other developed countries between the early 1930s and about the 1980s, and we actually got rid of them in the 1980s and 1990s. So, what we really need to learn is there was good reason why we put these rules in place after the Great Depression. And then 80 years down the track, we'll get rid of them again? Probably, because remember the banks have an incentive to lobby to get rid of the restrictions. They argue for profits. But, the taxpayer bails them out if the risk goes bad. On this point, what do you think of Basel III? Australia seems to have managed to get a lot of exemptions from Basel III. Basel III, as far as I can tell, is mainly dealing with liquidity requirements on the banks. Some of those liquidity requirements didn’t make a great deal of sense for Australian banks, particularly relating to mortgages, and they weren't perhaps as subtle as they should be. A simple example would be if banks lend into the housing market in certain states of the US, where if the home owner defaults, they can walk away with no liability. It is very different to Australia, where banks can seize the homeowner’s car or keep chasing them for the rest of their money. Now... to try and come up with a set of rules for liquidity that covers all of those possibilities, and that's just some simple examples, add another 50 or so countries with all their different rules on what banks can and cannot do in terms of home loans, and you're going to come up with the lowest common denominator liquidity-wise. That's sort of the problem with Basel III. Basel III is probably a good start. I don’t think from Australia's perspective it can be the end-point. We have the general, broad liquidity rules that we have to obey as part of the international banking scene. But then, how are we going to constrain our banks in Australia? From the perspective of the US financial sector, do you think Basel III addresses the issues of high-grade capital requirements? Again, it forms a base, but, both within the US and UK, there’s really a debate about how to go further than this. I don't think anyone thinks they've solved the whole problem. And, I think it's that extra bit that you need. So, what's that extra bit? It does come back to restricting the activities of banks. For example, Mervin King, governor of the Bank of England, as I understand it, is supporting effectively the position that commercial banks in the UK under the banking license should be restricted in the activity they can undertake. Paul Volker, the former head of the US Federal Reserve, very early on after the financial crisis started, advocated reintroducing the restrictions we got rid of, or similar restrictions. In both of those jurisdictions we haven’t actually seen those restrictions reintroduced because the banks are fighting them, sometimes with spurious arguments. It doesn't mean that exceedingly risky profit-making activity won't occur. Somebody else will do it, but they just won't be insured by the government. They wont be subject to bailouts. The second point in terms of restrictions or regulation is that in general derivatives have received bad press through the financial crisis. A derivative is just a fancy new financial product. They’re the finance sector's version of the Iphone, or the Ipad 2. They’re just new products that do things that old products couldn’t do, and there's a demand for them. So, there's nothing wrong with derivatives as such. Two things happened with the financial crisis. Firstly, there were securities, or derivatives being issued before the GFC, which were effectively insurance products, that were being mispriced. They weren't being treated like insurance products. Insurance in industry is regulated for good reasons, and yet you had what were effectively insurance products being sold or marketed without the regulation because nobody treated them like insurance products. That’s how AIG became involved in the financial crisis. They were selling products that were effectively insurance products, but, because they weren't treated like insurance products, they were being mispriced. And, when the "bad things" occurred, they had to pay up and they actually didn’t have enough funds. So, Basel III is a stepping stone, but I think there needs to be a closer look at a number of regulations to see how they can be improved. Liquidity is part of the story, but it's not the whole story. * Ishita is completing her Honours in Economics at Monash University, having completed degrees in Commerce and Arts, with majors in Economics and Political Philosophy. She is an academic coeditor with QA. Career Spotlight with Professor Stephen King By Ishita Acharyya Leading Australian economist and Dean of Monash Business and Economics, Professor Stephen King, spoke with Monthly Access about the Australian tertiary education system. Before joining Monash University, Professor King was a Member of the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC). He has also been a Professor of Economics and Management at the University of Melbourne and Melbourne Business School. Professor King is also a Director and founder of CoRE Research, and leading Australian economics blog, CoRE Economics. What was your first introduction to economics? As an undergraduate I started doing forestry at ANU, and I had one option, of which the option choices were ecology, physics or economics, and I had no idea what economics was. I enrolled in economics because it didn't have a practical period and I got an extra afternoon off. I loved it and did well at it. Eventually after a couple of years I gave up forestry and swapped across to economics. I had just gone off to Canberra to learn how to cut down trees. I think there are a number of students in Australia who want to study overseas. What advice would you give to students who want to study particularly at the top universities in the US and UK? Being at one of the top Australian universities is a really good start. The top US and British universities will take graduates from a handful of Australian universities, and Monash is one of that handful. For graduate study in the US, you need honours with a first or 2A. A first is better. [The availability of scholarships] is very cyclical with the economy. I was very lucky, I applied to go over to the States in ’86, started in ‘87, and it was buoyant economically and there were lots of scholarships. So, I had a large number of scholarship offers from the States. I came back to Australia in the early ‘90s when there was a recession here and in the US. As the economy picks up in the US, the scholarships are there, and the UK follows a very similar pattern. Apply to lots of schools; make sure you've got some good referees who understand the US or the UK system, because there are different cultures in terms of writing references. How do the Australian and US education systems compare (higher education)? Once you hit PhD level and you're looking at the top 10 or 15 universities in the US or the UK, the two big differences from Australia are that, firstly, you're looking at a concentration of academics in your area which can’t be matched in Australia. We just don't have a big enough population to be able to have the sort of diversity like a Harvard. As an economist going over there, there are literally hundreds of people you can interact with as a student. The second thing you'll find is that you'll learn as much from your fellow students as you will from any of the professors, and that's where one of the top schools from the States, for example, has a huge advantage. The people you study with as your fellow students will just be amazingly smart people and you’ll just sit there and sort of go, "wow, I wish I was that smart". Great people to work with and learn from. Monash has heavily relied on international students, the numbers of which have declined, and are predicted to further decline for this year in particular. How do you think this will pan out for Monash and the Australian education system, particularly in terms of research? For Monash it will have an effect, but we will be protected compared to some other universities. There are two reasons for that. One is that there's a hierarchy of universities, so if you're an overseas student, and you fly over to Australia, and you get into Monash, you're going to come to Monash. In that sense, we're going to be an earlier choice. We’ll be a shock absorber on that side. The other factor is that compared to some other universities, and even compared to some of the other top Australian universities, Monash just has a better reputation overseas, particularly in Asia. Why is that? I think it's because Monash has been engaging with Asia for a long time. Certainly since the 1960s, Monash was the first university to take Colombo-planned students from around the Asian region, bring them to Australia on scholarships and to educate them. Much more than, I think, any other Australian universities, we have alumni who are really important people doing amazing things around the Asian region. For example, we had a delegation from Indonesia come through perhaps a month ago. The Minister for Economic Development is Monash alumni, from this faculty. So, she had come specifically to visit Monash, because she wanted to speak with the economists from the Centre of Policy Studies. One of the advantages of Monash, and the Faculty of Business and Economics in particular, is of our size and variety; we can be pretty flexible in terms of what we do and how we offer things. Is the average student going to see that there might be a small drop in international students? The answer's no, it's not going to lead to any courses being dropped or anything like that. In terms of PhD level, I just don’t think there’s going to be a drop. The big decline is going to be at the masters/post grad level, probably somewhat at the undergrad level, where Australia is really competing with a pretty broad international market for students. But, once you start getting, particularly at that graduate level, Monash economics is probably not in the top 10 or 15 in the world, but would be in the top 50, and so students will go for quality. You've received a number of teaching awards from Melbourne University. What are your opinions on academics teaching? Is there enough incentive for them to teach? I’ve got a strong view that all academics, unless they’re in explicitly research-only positions, should be teaching. Are the incentives there? I think most academics take pride in their teaching. I find it difficult to imagine why you'd be an academic if you weren't excited by teaching. If you didn’t want to inspire students, why would you do it? You’d go outside of university; you’d work in the private sector, or a government agency or something like that. I think the vast majority of our academics love teaching and they see it as really a core part of their role as an academic. I admit, I love teaching - “inspiring the next generation"...I received teaching awards for teaching first year at Melbourne University. Teaching first year is great fun because that's where you get a whole bunch of people doing economics only because they're forced to, and you try and convince them that this is really exciting stuff. So, the assumption is that people who go into academia are inclined towards teaching? To be an academic at a top university, you’ve got to love research and love teaching. And, if you don't fall into that category, you just do something else. * Ishita is completing her Honours in Economics at Monash University, having completed degrees in Commerce and Arts, with majors in Economics and Political Philosophy. She is an academic coeditor with QA. Global Snapshot for May 2011 By Sharna Thomason, Marcus Burke and Richard Griffin A round up of key events across the world over the last month. The Americas Columbian drug smugglers using submarines Drug enforcement agencies in Colombia and the United States have uncovered the increasing trend of using homemade submarines or semi-submersibles to traffic large amounts of cocaine from Colombia to Mexico and other destinations. These submersibles make it even harder for authorities to detect these large scale trafficking operations. According to the BBC, avessel discovered in February by Colombian officials had a storage compartment in the bow of the submarine capable of storing eight tones of cocaine. The UN reports that “Colombia remains the main source of the cocaine found in Europe, but direct shipments from Peru and the Plurinational State of Bolivia are far more common than in the US market.” US storms April was a record setting month in the United States with 453 tornadoes in a month, breaking the record of 267 in 1974, while the average tornado count in April is around 163. Alabama was hit particularly hard, with the path of devastation causing a number of fatalities and widespread destruction. President Obama declared a state of emergency to assist the search and rescue effort and toured the devastated state. The Wall Street Journal reports that the severe storms are the likely result of a “rare collision of hot, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico with frigid Arctic winds pushed down across five Southern states by global climate patterns.” Donald Trump for President? Billionaire businessman, Donald Trump caused a stir in US politics, announcing that he is considering running for President of the United States in 2012. The host of the hit reality TV show “the Apprentice” and real estate mogul told Fox News “Barack Obama has been the worst President ever.” In contrast, President Obama used the White House Correspondents' Association annual dinner to mock the reality TV star's presidential ambitions, claiming he would turn the White House into a casino. The popular Donald Trump stated that he will announce his intention “sometime prior to June [2011].” Africa Ivory Coast update The majority of fighting has come to an end in the Ivory Coast with the incumbent President Laurent Gbagbo having been placed under house arrest. After being captured on April 11 by forces loyal to Alassane Ouattara, AFP news reports that there are preliminary investigations into crimes committed by the Gbagbo regime. Human rights activists now point to the challenge that incoming President Ouattara faces to unite the country with some form of reconciliation process whilst pursuing justice. This could be achieved either through the Ivory Coast’s legal system or through an international tribunal. President Ouattara is due to meet the former United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan and the Nobel peace prize laureate Bishop Desmond Tutu to discuss the proposed Truth and Reconciliation Commission, and learn from the post-Apartheid experience in South Africa. Malaria The BBC reports that scientists claim to closer to being able to change the DNA of wild mosquitoes in an effort to combat malaria. In laboratory tests, scientists have witnessed an engineered gene spread through a mosquito population, which could prevent the spread of the malaria parasite. The World Health Organisation reports that there are 250 million cases and nearly one million deaths of malaria each year. One in five childhood deaths in Africa is due to the effects of the disease. Dr Yeya Touré, of the World Health Organisation, said that the discovery was very important, but cautioned that further studies must be carried out before the technology is used as a genetic control strategy. The challenge will be getting the genes to spread from the genetically-modified mosquitoes to the wider mosquito population across the globe. Meeting of the BRICS South Africa made its first appearance at a BRICS Leaders Meeting, joining leaders from Brazil, Russia, India and China at the south China resort city of Sanya, where the leaders published the Sanya Declaration. South Africa’s The Times reports that South Africa’s invitation to attend, “should be seen as recognition of South Africa's strategic role on the continent and its ability to "punch above its weight" internationally.” The meeting raised concerns regarding the weakness of the US dollar and its role as the main reserve currency as well as volatile food prices on the open market. However, the creator of the term “BRIC” Jim O’Neil, of Goldman Sachs told the BBC it was a mystery as to why South Africa had been invited to participate in their meeting, "South Africa is small compared to these countries. South Africa is about half a per cent of global GDP.” Asia Pacific China cracks down on underground religious movement Tensions between the Chinese government and the fast-growing underground Christian movement increased last month, particularly in the lead up to Easter. More than two dozen Chinese Christians were detained, with many more prevented from holding services over the Easter weekend. The government said that members of the Shouwang Church were breaking regulations by conducting services outside. Members of the Shouwang Church claim they were forced to hold the outside services as they were prevented from acquiring the property in which they had planned on holding the services. The Chinese government stated that the Church operates illegally as they are not registered as a state-sanctioned operation. State-sanctioning includes the government censoring certain religious material. The government has, in the past, appeared willing to accommodate the underground movement and even helped the church find a place of worship, despite the religion lying outside the state-sanctioned system for religious worship. However, given the events of the past month it seems unlikely that the government will compromise any further. Members of the church are now living in fear, knowing they are being closely watched by the government. They must make the decision to either worship in state controlled churches or continue to worship outside of the government sanctions. UN report: Asia-Pacific developing nations to drive global economy in 2011 A new regional report released by the UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) has found that developing nations in the Asia-Pacific region will continue to drive the global economy in 2011. The report projects a strong economic growth rate of 7.3% after last years 8.8%. The report warns that the projected outlook is subject to certain risks, primarily the high food and fuel prices as well as volatile capital inflows. The benefits of boosting intra-regional trade and strengthening connectivity in specific areas are also highlighted. Europe Mugabe in Europe despite travel ban There was outcry as Zimbabwe’s President Robert Mugabe was among the thousands of people who attended thebeatification of Pope John Paul II in the Vatican on May 1st 2011. The outcry stems from the fact that Mugabe is subject to an EU-wide travel ban, as part of the sanctions placed on the leader and Zimbabwe. Although the Vatican is not a member of the European Union, Mugabe did have to travel via Rome. Italy, as a member of the EU, should have enforced the EU-wide travel ban. In 2005, Mugabe attended the Pope’s funeral, and has also attended United Nations meetings held in Rome. EU-Japan Free Trade Agreement to help Tsunami recovery UK Prime Minister David Cameron has stated that the European Union should offer Japan a free trade deal to help the Asian nation recover from the destructive earthquake and tsunami of March 2011. Prime Minister Cameron believes this would give Japan a trade boost and aid its economic recovery. The estimated rebuilding costs are over $300 billion. The International Monetary Fund has stated that it believes Japan’s economy is strong enough to cover the rebuilding costs. Middle East Osama Bin Laden killed in Pakistan The long hunt for Osama Bin Laden, which spanned almost 10 years is finally over. US Navy SEALs under Operation Neptune Spear broke into Bin Laden’s compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan killing him and taking his fourth wife captive. Abbottabad is a military town, with the military academy located within metres of the Bin Laden compound. This has raised questions about what Pakistan knew and why they kept the information secret. Pakistani intelligence agencies continue to assert that they knew nothing about Bin Laden’s presence until the US helicopters flew in. Interestingly, an IT consultant living in Abbottabad unknowingly tweeted about the military operation whilst it was underway. A number of computer hard drives, containing details of possibly future attacks, were also taken in the operation. The US Department of Homeland Security released a notice of a planned attack on the US rail network on 11th September 2011. Gaza-Egypt border crossing to open Egypt is to permanently open the Rafah border, the Gaza Strip’s only crossing which bypasses Israel. Israel imposed the blockade on the Gaza strip in 2006 after Hamas took control of Gaza, meaning the 1.5 million inhabitants have relied on a web of tunnels beneath the Rafah border for their basic necessities. Menha Bakhoum, a spokeswoman for the Egyptian Foreign Ministry, stated that Egypt is “...opening a new page [and] resuming its role that was once abdicated”, with Egypt’s interim Foreign Minister Nabil al-Arabi describing the support of the previous Egyptian government for the blockade as disgraceful. Although the government remains an interim one, it is implementing thegreatest shift in foreign policy for three decades. Egypt is now prepared to treat Hamas as a diplomatic partner rather than a security threat, a sign that times are changing. Israel has raised concerns over possible implications for regional security caused by opening the border crossing. International World press freedom declining Freedom House this month released their latest report “Freedom of the Press 2011“ which found that “only one in every six people live in countries with a Free press”. The report found declines in press freedom in much of the Middle East and North Africa, along with parts of the Americas, in particular Mexico. There were however, improvements in freedom in Sub-Saharan Africa. Of the 196 countries rated, 35% were rated Free, 33% were rated Partly Free and 32% were rated Not Free. Trends included greater use of regulatory hurdles to hamper press freedom; more attempts by governments to control new media; and greater violence against journalists in a number of countries. The country ratings saw Finland ranked as having the greatest freedom of the press, followed by Norway and Sweden. North Korea was ranked as least free. Australia was ranked as equal 32nd. In the Asia Pacific, there was a slight overall decline in press freedom. In particular, South Korea moved from Free to Partly Free and Thailand from Partly Free to Not Free. Cambodia, Fiji, India, and Vanuatu also recorded a drop in freedom. Bangladesh and the Philippines saw slight improvements. The world economy The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has release its latest World Economic Outlook predicting world economic growth of 4.5% in 2011 and 2012, fuelled by continued rapid growth in developing countries. However, the IMF noted that there are a number of significant risks to this growth, including unemployment and large government deficits in developed countries; the rising cost of food; and rising inflation in developing countries. The World Trade Organisation has also released its latest world trade figures, which showed that worldwide exports grew by a record 14.5% in 2010, but are expected to grow at the less rapid rate of 6.5% in 2011. The large 2010 growth offset a decline of 12% in 2009. Food prices fall... for now The latest figures from the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) show that food prices have declined for the first time in eight months. Prices remain high however, and Foreign Policy magazine is proclaiming that with rising demand and falling capacity due to climate change, “food is the new oil”, and high prices may contribute to further political instability. * Sharna graduated with a Master of Diplomacy and Trade from Monash University, Melbourne. She is a passionate human rights advocate and is currently working for the Victorian State Government. * Marcus is currently completing a Master of Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. He also has a combined Law/Science degree from the University of Melbourne, and has most recently been working in the IT industry. * Richard completed an Arts/Law degree from Monash University in 2008. He was worked for the Prosecutor at the United Nations International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia and is currently a lawyer at Lander and Rogers Lawyers. The best journalism to come out of the financial crisis By Craig Butt The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) has had a tremendous effect on America’s self-confidence. Millions lost their jobs and many seemingly resistant industries were badly hit, while other long established firms collapsed altogether. American news organisations were among those badly affected by the crisis. Newspapers across the United States were already struggling with declining revenues and shrinking editorial budgets. The crisis further exacerbated these issues, and the result was that several centuries old publications had to close their doors. However, at the same time, the media itself was accused of being complicit in the Financial Crisis. One criticism aimed at financial journalists in particular, was that they had gravitated too close to the industry figures they were supposed to be covering. Instead of dispassionately reporting on Wall Street from a safe distance in the public interest, it has been suggested that they had allowed themselves to become absorbed in the ‘Masters of the Universe’ bubble, acting as cheerleaders or emissaries for large concerns. The courage of many newspaper mastheads was also challenged – was their relative silence over the increasingly glaring problems which led to the GFC merely something they just happened to miss? Or were they cowardly refusing to pursue stories critical of lending practices because doing so would have implicated those in the real estate business, one of their major sources of stable advertising revenue? However, whatever criticisms there may be about journalists’ performance in predicting the crisis, there is no denying that the GFC has provoked some excellent journalism. We have compiled some of the best examples, which help to explain why the crisis came about and how it has impacted ordinary Americans. The Giant Pool of Money NPR’S Peabody Award winning documentary is arguably one of the most well known examples of journalism on the financial crisis. The 59-minute radio documentary does not presume that its listeners are familiar with the complex world of business and finance, and succeeds in explaining the factors which led to the subprime mortgage crisis to a general audience with clarity and depth. Three follow up programs were later produced by the same team, which delve deeper into the Financial Crisis, and they are also worth listening to. From Wall Street to Main Street The Washington Post’s interactive presentation incorporates photos, slideshows and audio to show how the Financial Crisis originating in Wall Street affected Americans on Main Street. The blending of old media and new media is incredibly effective, and it allows those affected by the crisis to tell their own stories. The Wall Street Money Machine Pro Publica, an independent non-profit investigative newsroom, won the 2011 Pulitzer Prize for National Reporting for this series of investigative stories into the Financial Crisis. Reporters Jesse Eisinger and Jake Bernstein looked deeply into the shady practices that led to the crisis, and the unhealthy culture within financial institutions that lacked the vision and drive to prevent it. * Craig is the co-founder and editor of News Hit, an online publication dedicated to showcasing the work of young journalists. Greens Senator slams new immigration laws By Timothy Lawson The Gillard government is foreshadowing new legislation to combat the recent spate of riots and protests that have been occurring at Australian detention centres. Immigration Minister Chris Bowen has proposed new laws that strengthen the immigration character test to make sure any refugees convicted of a criminal offence while in detention would be denied a protection visa. "These changes will remove any doubt around the character test and send a strong and clear message that the kind of unacceptable behaviour we saw recently at the Christmas Island and Villawood detention centres will not be tolerated," Mr Bowen said in a statement. I spoke with Greens immigration spokeswoman Senator Hanson-Young who has slammed the new legislation proposed by Mr Bowen. “Based on what the minister has announced, I’m strongly opposed, I don’t think we should be in any way going back to the failed policies of the Howard government. We shouldn’t be even entertaining the idea of temporary protection visas (TPVs) and it’s very disappointing that the Labor government, despite denouncing them, has now decided to back them and reintroduce them,” Senator Hanson-Young said. According to an April 29th National Vistas article, Scott Morrison, the Opposition Immigration spokesman, described Mr Bowen’s new laws as just another form of TPV; adding that the minister already has the power to punish wrongdoers. Senator Hanson-Young speculated that the reason Mr Bowen is trying to bring forward legislation to toughen the immigration character test is to present a position of strength: “The government doesn’t actually need legislation to bring back temporary protection visas, he [Mr Bowen] can do that anyway, but of course the justification, an excuse for bringing back temporary protection visas, is that he wants to toughen up the character test.” “He [Mr Bowen] wants all the papers to say he’s getting tough, he wants people saying that he is taking this issue seriously. It’s not for any practical reason, it’s all for show.” Senator Hanson-Young plans to subject the new legislation to intense scrutiny: “Once we do see it [the new legislation], we’ll obviously go through it with a fine tooth comb. I’ll insist that it goes to a senate inquiry so that we can actually have a good look at the legislation rather than simply allowing the government to ram it through, which they sound as though they would like to do.” “From what he [Mr Bowen] said it is all about taking away...the discretions of the courts. So, currently [with] the character test you have to have to been convicted of a very serious crime, you have to have done jail time for at least 12 months...It doesn’t specifically say that, but that’s the principle – that it’s meant to be for a serious crime.” Senator Hanson-Young believes that Mr Bowen is seeking to shield himself from potential future legal proceedings: “What he [Mr Bowen] wants to do is to amend it to take away any strict principle, because of course if he was to enforce the character test, as it is, somebody could challenge it in court.” “And you could challenge it because you could say well it doesn’t actually specifically say I had to be convicted of this crime...the persons lawyer would be arguing that their client has no character issues. They may have been imprisoned for a protest on the roof, but let’s understand the context by which this took place: people’s applications are taking too long; they have been pushed to breaking point, they are in desperation. They could argue that in a court of law.” “The minister [Mr Bowen] would find it very difficult to justify his stance. So what he wants to do is to ensure that it is any type of conviction, even if it’s a good behaviour bond, even if it’s a slap on the wrist because somebody was protesting on the roof, even if it was because somebody was involved in a fight that broke out and subsequently charged with assault – regardless of the context. If the court had convicted somebody, no matter how minor the offence was, that would automatically mean a failure of the character test. So then that person couldn’t challenge the minister’s decision in a court.” “Anyone who is convicted of absolutely anything...automatically fails the character test – he [Mr Bowen] can write legislation to do that. Then the courts would find it very difficult to argue because that’s the law; and there is no kind of grey and ambiguity in it.” Mr Bowen has stated that once somebody has failed the character test they will be unable to obtain a permanent protection visa (PPV) – even if they are found to be in genuine need of protection. “When their case for asylum has been assessed we won’t give them a protection visa, we will put them on a temporary visa – with less rights; all the negative elements that come with temporary protection visas of years gone past under the Howard government: no family reunion, probably very limited work rights [and the constant fear of being sent back]”, Senator Hanson-Young said. “The fear of being sent back is really even more compounding than the fact that they got a slap on the wrist for getting into a brawl in an overcrowded detention centre with a bunch of 17 year olds in Darwin; for example, a young...boy fears he will be sent back to Afghanistan and executed – so it’s a life sentence”. “Even though the courts decided when they convicted him, they know the context of the situation; he’s not a bad person, he’s a young boy who has severe mental health issues, has been locked up, suffers from post-traumatic stress disorder etc. The courts take all those things into consideration when they make these decisions about what kind of conviction or sentence somebody should be given”. Senator Hanson-Young argues that “the minister [Mr Bowen] with his announcement [of the new laws] wants to override all of that, it doesn’t matter what the court says, he will make a decision by saying because you were given some type of conviction you will automatically fail the character test – no questions asked”. The new legislation will be backdated. In response to this, Senator Hanson-Young stated: “I don’t think retrospectivity in law making is ever particularly smart. We don’t like it for a variety of reasons, and on something like this when it’s meant to be a deterrent as the minister [Mr Bowen] argues, a deterrent for people’s behaviour, why would you decide to implement it retrospectively. If it is a deterrent then people need to know about it beforehand. To me, it just proves that this is not about the principle of people who break the law being dealt with through the justice system, or indeed the strengths and weaknesses of the character test, this is all about the government looking as though they can compete with the Coalition on looking tough.” * Timothy is the editor of Lot’s Wife and also works as a freelance journalist. AIIA Victoria Press Room: ‘Defending Australia: Getting it Right?’ a lecture by Mr Neil James By Kristian Lewis Last month Neil James spoke to the AIIA about how Australia is, and has been, defended. The lecture discussed the predicaments facing Australia’s defence, how to potentially overcome them and the purpose of the ADA (Australia Defence Association). Mr James describes the ADA as an “independent”, “non-partisan” and “community-based”, watchdog and think-tank for defence and wider national security matters. Founded in Perth in 1975 the association aims to provide a long-term defence strategy for Australia, as it views the protection of the country as a civic duty and like the jury duty, “not someone else’s problem”. The ADA spokesman outlined Australia’s past strategic defence prerogatives from the 1788-1942 British Empire period, 1942-45 Wartime U.S. Alliance years, 1951-75 ANZUS Treaty era, 19751999 Defence of Australia ‘dogma’ until 1999 and the present maritime strategy approach, as well as their purposes. He argued that the country’s defence strategy was entrenched in “outdated paradigms” of the World Wars era, but that the U.S. Alliance is still central, but “not sustainable”. James stressed the importance of ANZUS not just for defence and its significant historical connotations, but as a major economic incentive, as without it Canberra may have to spend $18 billion annually to adequately defend itself. James’ most referenced case study in highlighting the severe limitations of the ADF’s capabilities dates from 1999, when he proclaimed “Australia fluked East Timor.” The speaker elaborated on how Timor, a tiny nation only 80 kilometres from Australia, pushed ADF resources to the limit, due to Canberra’s ill-prepared supplies, insufficient troop rotations and other factors, which were ultimately saved by U.S. diplomatic intervention. Neil James attributed this near military disaster and humiliation to the broader issue of under appreciation, and lack of long-term vision by successive Australian governments towards the ADF and its capabilities. The speaker urged for an increase in defensive infrastructure and sound policy strategy, which spans beyond current government terms in office, and focuses seriously on defending Australia, which while defended by sea is not necessary safe. The lecture was organised by the Australian Institute for International Affairs. For upcoming events and further information, please contact AIIA at [email protected] or call (03) 96547271. Based on the lecture ‘Defending Australia: Getting it Right?’ by Mr Neil James, held on 19th April 2011 at Dyason House, AIIA Victoria. * Kristian completed is Bachelor in Arts (International Relations) in 2009 and his Honours thesis in 2010. He is currently Events and Debates Coordination for AIIA-ACCESS. Issue 15 Message from the Editor By Rachel Hankey Terrorism has become the catchword of the 21st century, with its evolutionary and fluid nature influencing many international political events. In this edition of Monthly Access we explore elements of this dynamic phenomenon. In Q&A this month Benjamin MacQueen shares his views on the uprisings in the Middle East. Dr MacQueen discusses how the current events will affect terrorist groups in the region, and if political activism is replacing terrorism as a tool for political change. In Career Spotlight we talk to Kate Barrelle about her career as a forensic psychologist and her work in the counterterrorism branch at the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. Ms Barrelle is now conducting research to find out why people walk away from violent extremism. In this month’s Contemporary Debate Julia Rabar considers the consequences of the Responsibility to Protect doctrine in Libya, which was recently endorsed by the UN Security Council. Global Snapshot summarises the key events which took place in the world last month. Brazil’s economy continues to grow, and the US Federal Reserve announced that it will become more transparent. In Africa violence continues in Côte d'Ivoire and South Sudan. Violent protests have occurred in London in response to the Prime Minister’s new austerity measures, whilst in Italy Prime Minister Berlusconi faces corruption charges. Japan struggles to contain the nuclear plants damaged in last month’s earthquake. India and Pakistan are using cricket to rebuilt relations between the two countries. A new section of Global Snapshot provides an overview of other key trends across the world. We have a special report from Olivia Cable about terrorism in Indonesia. The trial of the radical Indonesian cleric Abu Bakar Bashir is due to be concluded soon, and the outcome will have major ramifications for the country’s efforts in counter terrorism. The terrorist attacks in Mumbai occurred a little over two years ago. Anirudh Asher, who was a media intern in the city at the time, gives an account of the course of events. This month we have another new member joining the MA team. I would like to welcome Richard Griffin, who will be contributing to Global Snapshot. * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. We would like make a correction; in the March edition Les Rowe was incorrectly referred to as the former Vice President of the AIIAVIC. Mr Rowe is the current Vice President, along with Mr Graham Barrett. Q&A with Dr Benjamin MacQueen By Gary Paul Over the past months the uprisings in the Middle East have dominated the news across the world. In a region that has long been the home of many terrorist organisations, how will the political changes taking place affect these groups? What are the underlying causes of the uprisings and what will the outcome be? Dr Benjamin MacQueen is a Lecturer in the School of Political and Social Inquiry at Monash University. His research interests include conflict resolution, politics and society in the Middle East and North Africa, International Relations Theory, and US and Australian Foreign Policy. Dr MacQueen was previously an Australian Research Council Post-Doctoral Fellow at the University of Melbourne and Monash University. How will the current events in the Middle East affect the terrorist groups in the region? I see it as undercutting momentum to groups. If you take a traditional view of these groups, they’ve largely been motivated by, articulated, and generated support in this narrative of regimes supported by the West, leading to oppression. The current events have created new avenues of opposition, and these movements have been oppositional movements, so it will diffuse popular support for the terrorist groups and I think undercut a bit of their rationale. Will Western involvement have an impact on terrorist movements? Potentially. I’m quite supportive of the way the Obama administration, as one example, has played this; they have kept distance, deliberate distance, from these protest movements. Even the intervention in Libya, it’s been very hard for terror movements to turn around and label this as, playing into that traditional narrative again. In addition, the regimes that have fallen have been Western allies. There’s Ben-Ali, Mubarak. Gaddafi is a bit of an exception but Britain moved very close to Gaddafi after 2004 and then it looks like Saleh in Yemen, that his regime’s about to topple as well. So, Western intervention is supporting the uprisings, and again its counterintuitive for terrorist organisations to try and make hay out of this. They would have to change their story, basically. Is the future terrorist threat from individuals or larger groups? Will we see resurgence in 'lone wolf' terrorism, for example? Well we haven’t really seen it in the Middle East. It’s been a group-based phenomenon in Egypt going back to the 70s, with Islamic Jihad and Takfir wal-Hijra. Even the smaller groups, in Algeria in the 1980s before the civil war you had the Boyali group et cetera, so it’s a group based movement in the region. I can’t see that changing. With the outbreak of revolution, has terrorism been superseded as people’s main form of activism? Is terrorism relevant nowadays? Terrorism, or political violence, was always justified, or looked at, or had some sort of resonance as a vehicle for fighting oppression when there was no other form of opposition. Now that there are new potential avenues of opposition, it might undercut this current of support for political violence. I wouldn’t draw that conclusion yet, but I think that’s a very good question to posit, and explore as events unfold. Why has the Libyan narrative captured international attention and action, as opposed to the other uprisings? That is a tricky one. I would say the personality of Gaddafi in this cannot be underplayed; he is an easy villain. The oppression during his regime, or the violence imposed after the uprising, is not exceptional because we saw violence in Tunisia, and we are seeing violence in Yemen and Syria at the moment as well. So there is violence there, but the difference is the scale of violence – Syria’s using the army, but again it’s much more visible in Libya I think. I don’t subscribe to a conspiracy theory that it’s all about oil, but that helps focus attention, it’s one of the factors. But I would say the main factor is Gaddafi himself, and our desire to watch him and view him as delusional, which helps justify our own actions. What are the underlying grievances of the protests? Are they regional or only context-specific? It’s a blend of both, and it’s a very academic answer I’m giving. A good example is Egypt, in that there was a combination of factors: high unemployment, housing shortages, removal of food subsidies. There were basic human economic needs which were motivating factors. But in Egypt there was a more overt political angle to it, because of the presence of Mubarak, because of the centrality of Egypt in the US strategic structure and the amount of aid going to Mubarak. That’s a way the context-specificity overlays the more general cause. Similarly in Bahrain: low GDP, food shortages, the economy’s not doing so well (it’s got a bit more cash than Egypt, but in term of the Gulf it’s not doing that well) overlayed with the sectarian influence. In Algeria, we see a similar thing. You’ve got the economy taking a downturn, but the country went through a ten-year civil war during the 1990s. So a part of the reason why unrest hasn’t sparked there, is because of a general war-weariness of the population and a wariness about what unrest can bring. So it can work both ways, the context can work to amplify unrest, but it can also work to deflate it. I think there are certainly ways of mapping it out, but those three key economic factors (unemployment, housing shortages and food prices) are probably the main cause. The other thing would be the age of the leaders. The leaders that are being challenged now are older; you’ve not seeing as overt a challenge to King Mohammed in Morocco. Bashar al-Asad’s Syria would seem like the prime candidate for a lot of this unrest, but he’s been able to deflect that. Whether that’s some element of hope that with Asad being a young new ruler there is reform coming. In Jordan, as well, the ruler has managed to deflect a lot of that attention. It is something we’re yet to fully understand, but there are certainly region-wide factors that play through the context specific factors. Can you identify any self-interested motives on behalf of external countries for intervening in the uprisings? Well certainly, they want to be ahead of the game, once they sense that this is an inevitability, they want to make sure. David Cameron going to Egypt with a delegation of arms dealers, that is really ham-fisted evidence of such a process. These states [in the Middle East] are really important; they’re critical strategically in terms of resources et cetera. We shouldn’t fool ourselves that the western countries are acting through altruism, they are acting through national interest, and the national interest may be to just make sure that these states function, that they’re relatively stable. That in itself is sort of a selfish interest but it benefits the greater good. Do you see the future of political Islamism as working within the democratic process, such as in Turkey, or do you foresee Islamism’s future as similar to the Iranian model? I see them in the short to medium term as working through the system. One thing there is they haven’t traditionally been that successful in elections. Algeria was a bit of a different example, but when you do get to cases where they are allowed to run reasonably freely, they don’t do very well. I think it’s more a misconception on our part that we expect that there’s this natural reflexivity towards ‘we vote for the Muslim Brotherhood because we are Muslims.’ That’s not the reality. With regards to how the Islamist movements accept that, I’d like to be optimistic. I choose to be optimistic, that they see a place for themselves in a pluralist political system. There are models there like you said in Turkey. There are potential models in places like Morocco. The King has full executive power but there is a parliament and the Islamists are part of that parliament. The same in Jordan. It is not so much a party system in the Gulf, but people who sympathise with Islamist-type causes participate there too. I’d like to be optimistic, and there’s a potential that going through the system, the two reinforce each other. * Gary Paul is studying Journalism and Politics at Monash University. He hosts a radio show about international news and works for the AIIA and ACCESS as part of their media team. Career Spotlight with Kate Barrelle By Gary Paul Kate Barrelle is a clinical and forensic psychologist, and worked in the counterterrorism branch at the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. She is currently writing a PhD with the Global Terrorism Research Centre at Monash University, investigating why people move away from violent extremism. Ms Barrelle is also co-founder of STREAT a foodservice social enterprise, which helps homeless and disadvantaged young people. Tell me a little about yourself. What have you done in your life so far? I started out wanting to be a vet, ended up studying commerce and psychology at university. Limped across the line with the commerce stuff, powered across the line with the psychology stuff. Practiced that and did forensic psych for 15-odd years, private practice, lots of really interesting stuff with criminal assessments, etc. I did a class called forensic psychology a few years ago in Gippsland which was quite interesting. It was behavioural studies, but condensed down from the criminalised behavioural studies course, so arsonists, psychopaths, etc., and then it went into things like interviewing techniques. I think it was designed for people who wanted to be police officers. It was a very interesting course and a great summary. It sounds like a summary of the interesting stuff, the sexy stuff. Being a forensic psychologist is fantastic, but it's not quite like those shows on TV where everything gets wrapped up in an hour. If you get one case like that a year you're doing pretty well and even then you don't solve it in an hour, it's weeks and weeks of work. And most psychs don't want to touch it with a ten-foot pole. Why is that? It's confronting. It's the ugly underbelly of people. It really lets you see both the best and the worst of people. So a lot of people don't want to see that stuff. Also traditionally psychs work helping people, and some people have an idea in their mind that some people deserve help more than others, and perpetrators need to be punished not helped. I guess I've got a view that that's probably true, but that if you're going to change things that effect lots of people, like violence or abuse, then it's one thing to help predict things but you've actually got to stop the bleeding at the wound. You've actually got to go back and try to change something for the people doing it as well. So I did a lot of forensic work, which was great. That led into some work with the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, the counterterrorism branch - which is really kind of makes sense when you think about it from a psychological perspective - why do people do bad things in groups? And why do people do bad things in groups to other people? And then the social psychology of that becomes really pivotal. Identity theory or the inter-group stuff: in-group, out-group, why I hate someone because of the group they belong to: it's the stuff that racism and stereotyping and all that kind of stuff is based on. That was really interesting for a number of years. I worked with DFAT for about 7 years. So to come and do some research which was sort extension from that work was a fabulous opportunity. DFAT is not a research organisation but they're obviously interested in that kind of research, so there was some good professional support for that. It also worked very well personally, the other reason I chose Melbourne was the Streat, the street youth project. The thing that I particularly like about Streat is that I see it as a really good example of grassroots counter-radicalisation. It's getting in before kids who are in a vulnerable cohort, a vulnerable group, to make other decisions, other choices, before being drawn into ways of fitting in and other ways of belonging. Other ways of getting on in life. So essentially it's the start of what you were saying earlier - it's changing people. It's going back and helping. That's not to say that the young people we have in our program are future offenders - I don't mean to imply that for a second. But if you look at all the risk factors that people who do offend - if you do a retrospective on it - then these young people are dealing with many more issues than people their age should have to. So it's a really nice early-intervention program. It fits well into what I'm interested in at the moment: the disengagement, intervention. Can you tell me a little bit about your work at DFAT? I was in a couple of different branches across the seven years, one of these branches was counterterrorism. DFAT is not an operational organisation - they’re not like the AFP or intelligence agencies who go and do stuff on the ground. They have a regional program which is very supportive of capacity-building and resourcing programs in the region. So it doesn't have a domestic focus; DFAT has a regional focus - Southeast Asia, Pacific, in particular Indonesia. Our regional neighbours. And so we provide a lot of funding and support for various programs there. They range from things like interfaith programs that build relationships at that group level - the 'us' and 'them' stuff - through to supporting training and increasing professionalism and skill levels in prisons in other countries as well. It kind of covers the full gamut of that. It's really project management stuff, at that level. So you say you've been working on terrorism - what are you doing at the moment? Right here right now: in my professional life I do several things. One of those things is a PhD with the Global Terrorism Research Centre into looking at why people walk away from violent extremism, or if they get pulled away - if they are arrested or forced out for some reason - how that disengagement process plays out. There has been a very small amount of research done into that. There has a been much larger amount of research into why people become extreme in their views and in particular in their actions. A huge distinction has been made between beliefs and actions. If someone acts on a belief in a violent way, that's a problem; holding the belief in itself isn't the issue. So a reasonable amount of research done on that. A very, very small amount of research done on how and why people leave and whether there's any distinction on disengaging from violent political activism and what they call 'de-radicalising'. They're changing their mind. So you talk about 'changing their mind' or 'changing their behaviour' as you come out of it. So that's the area that my research is in. In the Australian context, I am looking at people who have been involved in radical, political movements. So it's not just the Islamist movement, that's one of three groups I'm looking at. I'm looking at an ethno-nationalist group as well. One religious group, one ethno-nationalist, and one more issues based - radical environmentalists. People who have been as extreme as you do get in the Australian context, and who have then been pushed out, pulled out, or walked away from that, for whatever reason. And there's a whole variety of reasons that people do this voluntarily and involuntarily. And then talking to them at a very personal level about the experience of leaving all that behind: what it does for your identity, for your sense of self, your sense of purpose. How, if you can, reintegrate or integrate, and reconnect with wider society. Do you want to be a part of it? How do you see yourself? So you interview all these people? Yeah, it's not on a large scale, it's only PhD research, so it's only a three year project, but I'm doing in-depth interviews hopefully with 20-25 people across those three different movements, really to see if there are common factors that emerge, common themes for people who leave or are pulled out of radical political activism. Are the interviews ever confronting for you? Well, yes and no. In the context of experience, I've probably interviewed over 5,000 people in total. That's not to say I don't find that difficult, but there's not a lot that surprises me in it, and there's a whole range of personal/professional techniques that psychs use to protect themselves from being completely drawn into it or completely affected by it. That said, you also go in and have to be very genuine, very present, very mindful, while you're in it, but also have your analytical hat on. That's one of the main distinctions of forensic psychs: you've always got that analytical part of the brain on. It's not just about connecting and empathising with the person - you need to do that, obviously, to build the rapport, the relationship, and have the conversation (and people can tell in a flash if you're not genuine) but at the same time, keep to the question and keep trying to understand why and how this happens. And usually it's actually not extraordinary stuff that leads people to do terrible things. When you add it all up, it looks extreme and it is extreme but all the steps that take someone there are actually not extraordinary steps. Which is not to say that it could happen to any person, but once you map out the pathway, it's actually completely understandable how they came to be there. I did a subject last year at Clayton about this sort of thing, and it does make sense - you can almost see yourself thinking "if it is the last chance of political recourse..." And people are genuine in their beliefs, as genuine as you are in yours and I am in mine. I haven’t met anyone yet who is evil. I've met people who are completely committed in their beliefs whom I might have quite different beliefs from. But no one who is amoral in the way they're going about doing this. They are very invested in what their values are, very much so - probably too much for anybody's good. But it's not a question of not having values, or a question of them being 'a monster' or anything like that. This is where the social identity and social psychology theory really helps to understand how people think from the perspective of being a group member, not from the perspective of being an individual. So when someone is very tied up in a belief or an ideology that connects to a group, they operate as little prototypical members of that group. Which is not to say that they are mindless or zombies or anything like that, they are just thinking with that social identity at the forefront and then anyone they interact with they interact with on the basis of that group identity. So if you are Group B and I'm Group A, I interact with you on that basis, and I don't really need to know anything about you personally to interact on that basis. Take that to an extreme, and this is what happens. Going back to the interviews - I'm interviewing people very much as individuals, and they're talking to me as an individual. Is this because they are separated from the group? They're separated from the group at that point in time, because by definition they are out of it by the time I'm interviewing them. So it's a sort of retrospective look at - I mean, we talk about how they got into it, but we talk in great detail about how they got out of it, did they have any doubts, and all of this kind of stuff, which is really interesting. Do you find that they're aware of what their identity in the past when they look back now, or do they not have any idea: wow, I did that? People tend to have a better sense of it with hindsight than when they are in the middle of it. So jumping to a different context: a number of people I interviewed when I was in private practice as a forensic psych, who were in the middle of whatever was going on for them, and you know, there's a court case going on and I'm interviewing them in the context of that court case. If they have not left that behind, and created a new identity path for themselves, then that's when it's really difficult for them to see what's going on. Nowadays when I'm talking to this particular group of people, they're looking back on this as well, and often they haven't looked back in this way before. People will often have conversations with them about how they got in, and then 'why did you do this’ and 'how did become more extreme', it's actually a rare opportunity for them to talk about how they got out. So in some ways it's quite interesting for them, and in some ways some of them have done some of their thinking as they've gone along, kind of looked back and realised things, but always with a pretty high sense of awareness. * Gary Paul is studying Journalism and Politics at Monash University. He hosts a radio show about international news and works for the AIIA and ACCESS as part of their media team. Contemporary Debate: Terrorism and Libya By Julia Rabar The UN Security Council (UNSC) endorsed the use of the Responsibility to Protect doctrine (R2P) in Libya on March 11th in order to protect Libyan civilians from President Colonel Muammar Gaddafi’s planned rampage of the eastern city Benghazi. The mission was driven by France and the UK, and joined by an initially reluctant US, and criticised from the sidelines by key UNSC abstainers, namely Germany and Russia. Implementing R2P has raised questions about the parameters of the doctrine, including whether or not regime change is a justifiable goal. But a new issue is now coming to light, namely Al Qaeda emerging within the rebel forces. With US President Barack Obama refusing to rule out arming the Libyan rebels, questions are being raised as to who the coalition has jumped into bed with, and what the possible strategic ramifications might be. Libya under Gaddafi has sponsored and carried out several terrorist acts, including the La Belle disco bombing in Berlin in 1986, which targeted US soldiers, and the 1988 bombing of Pan Am Flight 103 over the Scottish town Lockerbie which caused 270 fatalities. Following the discovery of a Libyan nuclear program in 2003, the Libyan government declared to the UN Security Council that it had renounced terrorism, and agreed to pay compensation to victims of the Lockerbie bombing. In response, the UNSC lifted its sanctions on Libya. Only five years ago the US removed Libya from its list of states that sponsor terrorism. Some analysts maintain that Gaddafi will not hesitate to resort to terror tactics if he finds himself backed into a corner by the rebel and coalition forces. That said, he himself is not an Al Qaeda supporter - he originally declared that the rebels had been infiltrated by Al Qaeda and had been given drugs. There seems to be very little known about the rebel group, which appears to be basically a disparate, rag-tag group unified only by their desire to topple Qaddafi. A group called the Interim Transitional National Council (LTNC) has been recognised by coalition forces as legitimate representatives. But on the ground they don’t seem to have effective command and control. Early this week a top NATO commander and US Admiral James Stavridis claimed that there were ‘flickers’ of Al Qaedaemerging in intelligence reports on the situation in Libya. Rebel leader Colonel Ahmed Bani downplayed the connection, claiming that any rebels with links to Al Qaeda were in Libya to fight for Libya. Their presence might well be marginal, but it cannot be ignored if there is the possibility of coalition weapons making their way into Libya. Of all the nationalities that compose foreign jihadists in Iraq, the Libyans are the second largest group - and most of them from the east, where the rebels are strongest - according to a study conducted at West Point in 2007. Even US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has admitted that the rebels and the LTNC are yet to be clearly understood. In order, perhaps, to minimise public concern about western involvement reports have begun to surface in the New York Times that American and British intelligence groups the CIA and the British Special Air Service (SAS) have been on the ground for several weeks undertaking covert intelligence-gathering. This may be an effort to assure the public that the situation is under control, especially in the recent wake of setbacks for the rebel forces, but there is still very little public information on the makeup of rebel forces. If the US decides to arm to the Libyan rebel forces it will need to proceed carefully, and understand all possible ramifications that may come of that decision. If there are indeed Al Qaeda forces within the rebellion, the US would essentially be providing arms (and perhaps training and logistical support as well) to a group it has been fighting in Afghanistan and Iraq since 2003. However ultimately it is unlikely that a post-Gaddafi Libya will end up as an Al Qaeda-run state, as argued by US Senator Lindsay Graham (R: South Carolina) in this CNN interview. * Julia graduated from RMIT University in Melbourne with an Honours with Distinction in Arts (International Studies) in 2009. She is currently a research intern at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute Canberra, and is also a member of the editorial team of Quarterly Access. Global Snapshot for April 2011 By Sharna Thomason, Marcus Burke and Richard Griffin A round up of key events across the world over the last month. Americas Brazil’s economic power US President Barack Obama completed a five day tour of Brazil, Chile and El Salvador in his first trip to South America. The trip reflects that Brazil is now considered an economic power on the world stage. In his speech, Obama drew attention to the fact that Brazil was both an economic power and a flourishing democratic state; “Those who argue that democracy stands in the way of economic progress must contend with the example of Brazil." Drawing on their common history as lands that “became colonies claimed by distant crowns, but soon declared [our] independence,” Obama called on the United States and Brazil to expand trade, investment and energy security. Obama also met the newly elected Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff in Brazil, rather than waiting on her to visit Washington, suggesting that the US is keen to strengthen the diplomatic relationship. The rising profile of Brazil may put further pressure on Brazil to accept its expanded role in the global economy at the next Doha Round trade talks. Bolivia prepared to sue Chile Bolivian President Evo Morales claims “Bolivia is prepared to sue Chile in an international court over its claim to a section of Pacific coast that it lost in a war more than 130 years ago” Bolivia has consistently claimed the right to the coast, in what has become a patriotic cause for Bolivians. Bolivia broke off diplomatic relations with Chile over the territorial dispute in 1978 and only commenced ministerial level talks with Bolivia this year. On Bolivia’s “Day of the Sea” President Morales stated that “Bolivia must go to international tribunals and organisations to demand free and sovereign access to the sea." However the Chilean President Sebastian Pinera responded by saying that "Bolivia cannot expect a direct, frank and sincere dialogue while it simultaneously manifests its intention to go to international tribunals." Peru resolved a similar issue with Bolivia by allowing Bolivia to build its own port on Peru’s coastline. US Federal Reserve Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke has announced that he will hold four press briefings a year to “present the Federal Open Market Committee's current economic projections and to provide additional context for the FOMC's policy decisions”. The briefings will be used to “further enhance the clarity and timeliness of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy communication”. According to the BBC, the 98-year-old US monetary authority has never been so open before, and until 1994not even interest rate decisions were announced. By comparison, The European Central Bank president, Jean-Claude Trichet, gives a press conference after every committee meeting, while the Bank of England governor, Mervyn King, gives quarterly briefings to the press. Africa Violence in Côte d'Ivoire The political stalemate in Côte d'Ivoire continues as the incumbent President Laurent Gbagbo refuses to step down after losing the second round elections held in November 2010. The growing tensions threaten to divide the North and South. The BBC reports that forces loyal to the newly elected Alassane Ouattara say they are ready to march on Abidjan, the capital of Côte d'Ivoire. A recent Human Rights Watch report says that “the three-month campaign of organized violence by security forces under the control of Laurent Gbagbo and militias that support him gives every indication of amounting to crimes against humanity.” The report details the use of executions, rape and beatings against West African migrants and Ivorians thought to support MrOuattara as well as attacks by pro-Ouattara forces. The European Union has imposed sanctions on Côte d'Ivoire, including an arms embargo, a ban on exports of equipment for internal repression and an import ban on diamonds. Whilst France and Leaders of the Economic Community of West African States have called for the Security Council to give peacekeepers more power to protect civilians and seize heavy weapons. South Sudan When the people of South Sudan voted to secede in the recent referendum in January 2011, even the U.S Secretary of State Hillary Clinton conceded that the situation in Sudan was a “ticking time bomb”. But after two decades of violence there are still fears of reprisal attacks by the northern army. There are still a number of outstanding issues to be settled before secession takes place in July, including the distribution of oil revenues, borders, citizenship and debts. This week the AFP has reported that the South Sudan army accused the northern forces of bombing two sites across the border. The United Nations Mission in Sudan (UNMIS) is investigating the alleged attacks. DRC rejects environmental assessment The Democratic Republic of Congo government has rejected an environmental assessment by SOCO International Plc(SOCO) an international oil and gas exploration and production company. SOCO had bid to search for oil in the Virunga National Park, one of the most bio-diverse places on Earth. The AP news agency reports that it is home to 200 of the world’s remaining 700 mountain gorillas. The UNESCO Director-General stated that he welcomed the suspension of exploration activities, supporting the decision as one which constitutes an “important step in preserving Virunga, a remarkable site and unique natural habitat for endangered species.” The decision reflects the Democratic Republic of Congo’s active implementation of the Kinshasa Declaration on Great Apes aimed at ensuring the long term future for all great-ape species. Asia Pacific India and Pakistan rebuilding ties through cricket India’s Prime Minister invited Pakistan’s Prime Minister to watch the cricket World Cup semi-final with him in the hope that it will help rebuild ties between the two nations. Expected topics of discussion include counterterrorism, forged currency and the drug trade. Relationships between the two nations have been strained since the 2008 Mumbai bombings, which saw more than 160 people killed. Pakistan will share with India the progress of the investigation into the bombings. Several meetings have been held over the last year, due mainly to increasing pressure from the US, however no real progress has been made until now. The semi-final match will provide a less formal environment and hopefully result in significant headway being made. Japan struggling to contain radiation An 8.9 magnitude earthquake struck of the east coast of Japan last month, causing a deadly tsunami to crash into the country and wrecking havoc across the Miyagi prefecture. The tsunami wiped out entire towns and has left more than 18,400 dead, 10,500 in the Miyagi prefecture alone. A further 452,000 people are now living in shelters across the region. In the aftermath of the tsunami, while the world stood still in shock, Japan suffered a third debilitating event; explosions at the Fukushima nuclear plant. Three of the four reactors have been damaged and radioactive contamination has been spread across much of Northern Japan. Power to the No. 3 reactor plant was recently returned in an attempt to restore the cooling systems however, the issues continue to worsen. It was revealed that radioactive water was leaking out of the plant and possibly into the Pacific Ocean. The current level of radiation is 330 times higher than the average yearly dose per person in a developed country. Europe Berlusconi on trial for corruption Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has appeared in court faced with charges of corruption. It is alleged that Berlusconi inflated the price paid to buy television rights and then used the excess to fund his political activities. Over the years Berlusconi has been a defendant in four trials, however he has not attended a court hearing in more than seven years. He has stated that he will attend as many hearings as possible in order to prove his innocence. In March 2010, a law was passed giving the Prime Minister automatic legal immunity for 18 months, thus suspending all trials against Berlusconi. However this was later ruled to be unconstitutional, allowing trials to continue. London protests over Government spending cuts Protests turned violent in London as 500,000 demonstrators took to the streets to protest against proposed austerity measures and public-sector spending cuts. Prime Minister David Cameron and the coalition government are proposing the spending cuts in a continuing effort to recover from the financial crisis. Protesters attacked police with light bulbs filled with ammonia and threw paint and bottles through store windows. A breakaway group of 300 protestors targeted banks and stores throwing fire bombs through windows and set off missiles in Trafalgar Square. 200 protestors remained in custody two days after the protests. The government refuses to amend its economic policies. Middle East Human rights deteriorate in East Jerusalem The United Nations has warned against the intensifying deterioration of human rights in East Jerusalem. In 2011, 96 Palestinian residential structures have been demolished leaving 175 men, women and children homeless. UN officials have repeatedly called on the Israeli government to freeze the expansion of the settlements, however this plea continues to be ignored. For information on other recent events in the Middle East over the past month, see the Q & A and Contemporary Debate in this Monthly Access. International Changing demographics in the World The latest census in Russia has revealed that the Russian population dropped by 2.2 million people in the last eight years, to now be 142.9 million (down from 145.2 million in 2002). Recent figures suggest however, that the population may now have stabilised and possibly even slightly grown in the last 12 months. Meanwhile, the World Bank has released a report warning that Latin America faces a rapidly ageing population, due to life expectancy increasing by 22 years in the past half century. Last month in Paris there was Global Forum on Longevity to look at the issues and opportunities associated with ageing populations around the world. The OECD has released a report warning that despite reforms in many countries, including increases to the retirement age, more must be done to retrain workers and encourage saving to keep up with rising life expectancies. World trade negotiations crawl along Negotiations continue at the World Trade Organisation in the Doha Round, with draft negotiating texts due in April. However there are continued divisions over a number of critical issues, including trade in services, lowering of barriers to non-agricultural products (including in emerging economies), and trade in agriculture, particularly in relation to cotton and fisheries subsidies. WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy has warned of the consequences of the failure of the round, which has been continuing since 2002, but admitted that negotiators are not on target to meet April’s deadline. Nonetheless, despite the continuing lack of progress in negotiations, the value of world trade grew by 17% in the last quarter of 2010. Food prices continue to rise The UN Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) has reported a rise in basics foods prices in February, the eighth month in a row. Rising prices are due to a range of factors, including high oil prices (affecting the cost of transport) and reduced harvests, mainly due to droughts in Russia and floods in Australia. Prices in real terms are now the highest that they have been since the FAO began monitoring them in 1990. The continuing rise in food costs has been hurting the poor in developing countries, with 29 countries requiring food assistance from the FAO. Price rises have also been cited as a cause of unrest in the Middle East. Supply of key foods such as wheat are expected to improve over the course of 2011, although prices will also be dependent on changes in the price of oil. On the issue of hunger, the Economist has argued however that more focus needs to be put into providing micronutrients for the poor, rather than simply looking at overall levels of calorie intake. * Sharna graduated with a Master of Diplomacy and Trade from Monash University, Melbourne. She is a passionate human rights advocate and is currently working for the Victorian State Government. * Marcus is currently completing a Master in Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. He also has a combined Law/Science degree from the University of Melbourne, and has most recently been working in the IT industry. * Richard completed an Arts/Law degree from Monash University in 2008. He has worked for the Prosecutor at the United Nations International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia and is currently a lawyer at Lander and Rogers Lawyers. Indonesia and counter-terrorism By Olivia Cable The trial of the radical Indonesian cleric, Abu Bakar Bashir, has entered its final weeks in Jakarta. Bashir is charged with providing material support for a terrorist training camp in Aceh that was uncovered by the Indonesian police last year. The outcome of this trial will be critical for Indonesia, its legal system and counter-terrorism efforts in Southeast Asia. Terrorism continues to be a major internal security problem for Indonesia. Although the terrorist group Jemaah Islamiyah has been disbanded, new groups and individuals have emerged to challenge the Indonesian state. Abu Bakar Bashir and his son have successfully formed a new group, Jama’ah Ansharut Tauhid [JAT], which currently has more than 3,000 members. Although JAT is nominally a dakwah organisation, dedicated to teaching and proselytization, the Indonesian police believe that it has become the new institutional hub for jihadist groups throughout Indonesia. Most Indonesians have welcomed the government’s counter-terrorism efforts and support President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s hardline approach. However few Indonesians would be aware that the Indonesian judicial system has systemic weaknesses, including the fact that very few terrorism prisoners actually serve their full sentences. In some cases, prisoners are released after only a few years detention for serious terrorism-related crimes. Bashir’s trial is an important test for Indonesia’s legal system. Corruption continues to hamper efforts to improve the rule of law. Recent high profile cases have shown that Indonesia has a long way to go to eradicate all forms of political corruption. Whatever the outcome in the Bashir trial, the implications for regional counter-terrorism efforts will be critical. A successful prosecution would be a much-needed boost to the Indonesian legal system, proving that the Indonesian government can target high-profile leaders like Bashir. A failed conviction would be worse. Given the central drive of recent terrorism acts have been against the state, Jakarta must be prepared for Bashir's followers to retaliate. If Bashir is released, his status among the jihadi community is likely to grow. He will return to lead JAT, potentially creating a larger and more dangerous organisation than it is today. As terrorism prisoners transition out of the prison system, JAT will provide a convenient hub for their political agenda of overthrowing secular democracy in favour of an Islamic state under Sharia law. The main target of these jihadi groups will remain the Indonesian police and security services. In these circumstances, further attacks against the Indonesian government and the police can be expected. However Western governments, including Australia, will also remain a prominent focus for their attention. For this reason, Australia has a great deal of interest in the outcome of this trial. Continuing to assist the Indonesian government and police in their counter-terrorism efforts should remain a high priority for the Australian government. Also read: For further information on JAT, see the International Crisis Group report Indonesia: The Dark Side of Jama’ah Ansharut Tauhid (JAT). * Olivia is currently in her final year of a Bachelor of Asia-Pacific Studies at the Australian National University. Mumbai: How a growing super-city was turned into a war-zone By Anirudh Asher A little more than two years after the biggest assault on Mumbai, the wounds and deaths caused by the 26/11 attacks are still fresh in the minds of the Indian people. 166 people were killed and 293 were wounded, simply for being in the wrong place at the wrong time. Historic sites such as the old wing of the Taj Mahal Hotel were set alight; the flames could be seen from the verandah of my own home. I could see and hear the Oberoi Trident hotel being attacked from across the Queen’s necklace bay. How ten youths with guns, ammunition and a seemingly limitless arsenal of grenades managed to land ashore at a fishing village in downtown Mumbai, and then go unnoticed enroute to their targets, is anyone’s guess. Despite feverishly filing complaints to the police, disbelief was the only reaction the fishermen who witnessed the landing received from the authorities. Mumbai was a soft target due to its blatantly high rates of corruption. The city is best viewed as a large machine with various moving parts, each cog and wheel of which needs oiling before it moves. No-one expected the police force to be able to fight well equipped and trained terrorists when they were using equipment from another era and flawed bulletproof vests. The Mumbai police on those three days lost many of their valuable, high ranking anti-terrorist department officers. This was mostly due to the lack of timely action and planning. On the first day of the assault, the terrorists split up into separate groups and headed to their assigned targets: the historic Taj Mahal Hotel, a Jewish Chabad House and the Oberoi Trident hotel. They massacred many people along the way, including unsuspecting patrons of Leopold Café - a tourist hotspot popular with Australians - patients and personnel at a hospital, and trainloads of travelers at one of Mumbai’s arterial train stations, the Victoria terminus. Over the next three days there was as much bloodshed on the streets of the second most populous city of the world as any warzone. The only terrorist to be caught alive, Ajmal Kasab, was testament to the fact that the terrorists were trained in Pakistan and travelled to India via sea in order to wreak havoc and destruction. It is suspected that the same mastermind who initiated the 1993 bombings in Mumbai, Dawood Ibrahim, planned the assault. The strange nature of the attack and the manner in which it was executed still confounds investigators. Ironically the same bureaucratic obstacles that prevented a dedicated team of commandos from reaching Mumbai on time, and kept the Mumbai police from effectively taking on the threat, are now preventing the court system from deciding Kasab’s fate. Mumbai is a growing city. The public sector is bloated, which results in the peoples’ loss of confidence in the government. This was apparent from the resignation of the chief minister at the time, Vilasrao Deshmukh. Though many died at the hands of terrorism, Mumbai has now begun securing itself with better equipment such as high speed boats to patrol its shores, upgrading the police’s arms as well as establishing a special a swift anti-terrorism force within the heart of Mumbai. A great deal of action has already been taken by India to protect its financial heart, but it must now to weed out the financers of terrorism within its corrupt internal departments. If these changes take place, it is possible that Mumbai will be able to rid itself of its currently ingrained fear of further attacks. * Anirudh is a Communications student at Monash University and is New Hit’s Tech Editor. His is from Mumbai, India, was working as a journalism intern when the 2008 terrorist attacks on the Taj Mahal hotel occurred. It was his first day. News Hit is an online publication dedicated to showcasing the work of young journalists. AIIA Victoria Press Room: 'Achieving Peace in Afghanistan’ a lecture by Prof. Richard Tanter By Rachel Hankey Prof. Richard Tanter, Senior Research Associate at the Nautilus Institute, spoke to the Australian Institute of International Affairs about his proposed steps towards achieving sustainable peace in Afghanistan. Prof. Tanter claims that Australia must follow other members of the Coalition, the Netherlands and Canada, and make a firm plan for a withdrawal of armed forces. Failure to do so will only prolong the conflict; it is the Afghan people who must drive the peace process. A key part of achieving peace is a reassessment of the UN’s approach towards Afghanistan, although Prof. Tanter recognises that this will be a “bitter, difficult and complicated” process. The current agenda is based on a now outdated resolution, and the result is a government which neither the Afghan people nor the Coalition are fully satisfied with. Afghanistan is a very poor country, and the need for economic support will play an important role in the country’s reconstruction. Prof. Tanter proposes that conditions should be placed on economic aid, which will help to ensure effective post conflict reconstruction in the region. Based on the lecture ‘Achieving Peace in Afghanistan’ by Prof. Richard Tanter, held on 21 st March 2011 at Dyason House, AIIA Victoria. The lecture was organized by the Australian Institute for International Affairs. For upcoming events and further information, please contact AIIA at [email protected] or call (03) 96547271. * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. Issue 14 Message from the Editor By Rachel Hankey Welcome to our first edition of Monthly Access for the New Year. The coming year promises to bring many drastic changes in the world, and we wait with baited breath to see the outcome of the political changes taking place in North Africa and the Middle East. The impact of the global financial crisis continues to be felt across the world, whilst at home the renewal of the carbon tax debate has again shed light on Australia’s role in tackling climate change. In the first edition of Monthly Access for 2011 we explore Australian Foreign Policy. Q&A this month looks back at some of the highlights of the interviews last year. Hugh White shares with us his views about Australia’s role on the world stage and Tony Walker gives his opinion about Julia Gillard’s experiences in diplomacy. Mohammed El-Leissy, of the Islamic Council of Victoria, offers an intimate perspective of the experiences of Muslims living in Australia. For this month’s Career Spotlight I was very fortunate to speak with Les Rowe, the former Australian Ambassador to Russia. Mr Rowe shares his experiences of 34 years in diplomacy, his thoughts about the future direction of foreign policy and shares a few words of wisdom for those who are seeking to join the diplomatic service. In this month’s Contemporary Debate, Julia Rabar outlines Australia’s diplomatic challenge for 2011; balancing the demands of our ally the US, against the rising power and influence of China. The report published by the Kokoda Foundation has reignited this increasingly contentious debate about how Australia should best respond towards the rising power, and military might, of China. In Global Snapshot, Sharna Thomason and Marcus Burke report on the latest international events. A wave of change is sweeping across the Middle East, whilst in the rest of the world, political change is in the air in Germany as the Christian Democrats are defeated in elections in Hamburg, and the EU is sued for alleged secrecy in trade talks. Violence continues in the Ivory Coast, and also in Mexico with the recent killing of a US Immigration and Customs Officer. In America the Candidates for the 2012 Presidential Election are being announced. The UN’s peacekeeping mission to Timor Leste is to be extended and clashes occur on the Thai-Cambodia border. China is officially named as the world’s second largest economy. Meanwhile, in Christchurch the recovery effort continues in the wake of last February's devastating earthquake. The continuing revelations of Wikileaks have cast a new light on international politics; this month’s Access Press Room reports on the lecture ‘How Wikileaks Changed The World’ by Paul Barratt, former Secretary for the Department of Defence. We bid farewell to Olivia Cable, and express our gratitude for all her work and dedication to Monthly Access. Olivia is currently completing her final year of a Bachelor of Asia-Pacific Studies at the Australian National University and will continue as Emeritus Editor-in-Chief of Monthly Access. I would also like to welcome to Monthly Access our new interview team, Gary Paul and Kristian Lewis. The coming year promises to bring many drastic changes in the world, and we wait with baited breath to see the outcome of the current events in the Middle East. Rachel Hankey * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. Q&A: The Best of 2010 By Gary Paul Each edition of Monthly Access has a special interview relating to the theme of the month. In this edition of Monthly Access, we take a look back at some of the best responses in the Q&A section in 2010. Issue 7 In March 2010, Olivia Cable interviewed Professor Hugh White about Australia’s role on the world stage. Mr. White, Professor of Strategic Studies and Head of the Strategic & Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University, gave these answers about the 2009 White Paper and Australia’s role in Afghanistan. Q. What were the major shortcomings of the 2009 Defence White Paper? The most important strength was it correctly identified Asia’s changing power balance as shaping Australia. Its weakness was that it did not address the implications of that for the kinds of defence forces Australia desired. It raised concerns but didn’t provide a clear idea of how to meet them. Q. How significant is Australia’s role in Afghanistan? Insignificant. The contribution is insignificant in shaping Afghanistan’s future. Our contribution is too small, and the wider coalition is too small to transform Afghanistan into the country we want it to be. Our contribution in Afghanistan may also be insignificant to our future with the US. Q. What has the conflict in Afghanistan taught us about modern warfare? Good question. Two things. Firstly, to the extent that modern warfare focuses on the kind of stabilisation in Afghanistan. Afghanistan had reminded us how hard it is for Western armed forces to intervene effectively in unstable states with any hope of making a substantial difference. The second lesson drawn from Afghanistan is that it may not be the only kind of conflict to worry about in the future. Only if we were lucky enough for strategic partners to remain stable, operations such as in Afghanistan will be the most important for conflict we fight in the future. Issue 10 The theme was multiculturalism in August, and undergraduate student Kristoffer McKay interviewed the Special Projects & Community Outreach leader for the Islamic Council of Victoria Mohammed El-Leissly. He gave these answers to questions about how Muslims experience “multicultural” Australia. Q. The veil, I know this is a massive topic and we could speak about it for hours. What does it stand for? Is it a sign of individuality, a fashion statement, male oppression or even something else? Firstly, the Quran does not say to put the veil on so men can control you. I always wonder why Westerners have made this assumption. All the females in my family do it purely out of love and devotion to God. I think people think, “oh my god it’s hideous, how can someone choose to wear that?” I think it can be used as a form of oppression but that’s not why it’s there. Anything can be used for female oppression, for example a mini-skirt, but I don’t think that’s why women put it on. Q. What would your reaction be if the Australian government was to enforce laws similar to those imposed in Europe? I would be very disappointed. My stepmother wears the Burqa and when I walk down the street with her it’s confronting, I hate it, you can feel the heat. But that’s her level of faith, she believes it to be part of her faith and my father has never tried to impose on that. My sister, same thing, she wasn’t wearing it and no one cared, and then one day she decided to start wearing it. Now to come and rip that off her, do you have the right to do that? And for example, if Muslim men are forcing females to wear it well isn’t that just as bad as you forcing them not to wear it? Men have no right to tell women what to wear full stop. I understand it is confronting, but I find dogs confronting, I absolutely hate dogs and I think they should be banned. Seriously, I was at the park yesterday and I just love to sit there and lie on the grass and look at the sky and I can’t do this because there are all these dogs who come and bark at me and I get petrified by that. But I’m not going to go around calling for the ban of dogs. This isn’t viable, because dogs are an important part of people’s lives. I’ve got this little saying I coined the other day to put things in perspective; their Burqa is louder than their bite, because it looks scary but it’s not actually affecting you, unlike a dog. I mean it’s scary, it’s confronting and sure even Darth Vader has more personality than a Burqa. [Laughs] Issue 11 As Julia Gillard established her leadership in the Australian parliament, many began to discuss how the domestic politician would act on the world stage. RMIT graduate Julia Rabar asked notable journalist Tony Walker to give his view on Ms. Gillard’s diplomatic skills in September’s issue of Monthly Access. Q. How will the (self-declared) foreign policy inexperience of both Julia Gillard and Tony Abbot impact Australia’s foreign policy in the next government? Well, I think whoever prevails -- as happened with John Howard -- will go through a learning process. It took Howard quite a long time to become confident and, frankly, take much of an interest in foreign policy issues. It was only after Australia’s involvement in Timor and then the 9/11 experience that Howard became a foreign policy Prime Minister, or a national security policy Prime Minister, actually. What we saw was the militarization of Australian foreign policy in Howard’s later years, which was a mistake. In the case of an Abbott or a Gillard, they've got a fairly steep learning curve because both of them are domestically focused politicians. So I'm not sure that we can expect anything innovative from either of them in the foreign policy sphere during the initial stages of their prime ministerships, whoever prevails. Rudd came to office with quite firm ideas about what he wanted to achieve. He had experience himself, having been a diplomat, having a background in China studies, and being able to speak the language gave him significant advantages. In Rudd’s initial stages as Prime Minister, in fact in the campaign itself, he framed what he believed our foreign policy approach should be: a country pursuing policy as a middle power in a creative sense. I think that was a sensible approach. It was in contrast to Howard’s approach which was to - in a sense - lock us into a very close embrace with the United States. Rudd managed to detach Australia in a pretty constructive way from the sort of clinging embrace we had with the United States. History here is important. When Howard came to power in 1996, one of the things he sought to do - with [Alexander] Downer then as Foreign Minister - was to differentiate the Coalition's policy from that of the Labor Party under Hawke and then Keating, artificially, I believe. Hawke and Keating put a lot of emphasis on relations with Asia - Keating with Indonesia in particular, but also with China. In his efforts to (I think falsely) differentiate Australia’s political interests, Howard initially laid emphasis on our relationships with Europe and America. A White Paper was prepared by DFAT in 2000, which outlined a traditional approach, emphasising relations with the region. Howard and Downer sent it back to be re-written, re-cast, to make it clear that the United States was preeminent in our foreign policy preoccupations. It was that kind of re-positioning that took place, which I'm not sure made a whole lot of sense. During the Howard-Bush period, I believe it led us into becoming more closely identified with American policy than was necessarily in our interests. Meanwhile, we had the continuing rise of China. I think Howard managed relations with China satisfactorily, but he would have been better advised to have had a more balanced approach throughout his Prime Ministership. * Gary Paul is studying Journalism and Politics at Monash University. He hosts a radio show about international news and works for the AIIA and ACCESS as part of their media team. Career Spotlight with Les Rowe, former Australian Ambassador to Russia By Rachel Hankey In Career Spotlight this month Les Rowe gives us an insight into the world of diplomacy and the future direction of Australian foreign policy. Mr Rowe joined the diplomatic service in 1971, and over a period of 34 years he served in countries across the world, before becoming the Australian Ambassador to Russia from 2003 until 2005. Former Vice President of AIIAVIC, Mr Rowe continues to be heavily involved with the institute, and is currently a member of the Executive. Q. How did you get into diplomacy? Was it a career that you had planned? No I didn’t actually plan on it, and I don’t think that anybody should plan on it because it’s very competitive. You make your case on the day and if you’re selected, you’re selected, and if you’re not you’re not and you go and get on with the rest of your life. I didn’t plan it, but I knew from an early period in my life that it was something that I wanted to do, and I worked out what would be a reasonable academic path to take towards what might be acceptable by the then Department of External Affairs [now called DFAT]. But that coincided with things that I was interested in anyway. I did a Bachelor of Arts degree with honours, with a double honours major in history, a major in economics and a single subject in Italian. It was a sort of generalist education that many people in the department had had previously. I don’t know where I got the idea from, but I guess from about the age of 15 or 16 onwards, as soon I knew that there were diplomats and as soon as I had an idea of what they did, it appealed to me as something I might like to do. Q. You spent a lot of time both abroad and in Canberra. Which did you prefer and how do the postings compare? One of the things that people contemplating a career in the foreign service ought to be aware of is that the job does involve a lot of time in Australia and a lot of time overseas. The basic work of a diplomat in Canberra is to prepare policy advice for ministers and cabinet to consider on issues of important foreign policy concern. And in order to do that you have to obtain information from overseas and that means being in touch with our posts abroad and asking for information about things. You have to have a capacity to synthesize it, and you have to have a capacity to work within the Canberra bureaucracy, to find out what other department’s interests are and how they might be incorporated in whatever advice goes to ministers. You develop policy and you help in providing consular assistance to Australian citizens abroad. We have just seen some fairly hectic times for people working in Canberra, having to deal with the evacuation of Australians and the concerns for their welfare in the Middle East and in Christchurch. There are a lot of things to do in Canberra, and I found the work in Canberra often very stimulating. On the other side of the coin is working in overseas countries where you are, either as an individual or as part of an embassy family, the public face of Australia. It is your job to advocate and pursue Australian interests with the government of the country you are in, or with the media. You promote trade relations and work with your immigration colleagues who are present in the embassy, or if they’re not, you might sometimes work on their behalf, in relation to visa issues, migrant processing and refugee issues. A lot of the things you do in Canberra and overseas are very much linked to one another. There is a certain glamour about some aspects of it. And there is an adventure aspect. The thing I think that most of us, all diplomats from all countries, find irritating is that people have a stereotype of diplomats living in large houses, with big cars, going to cocktail parties and going to the opera in white tie and tails. To some extent there is an element of truth in that, but you don’t have a big house just to be given a big house. It is because your house will be used for entertaining people of the country in which you are hosted and so that your family can live in decent conditions. Q. You were posted to places such as Beirut and Jakarta during times of social unrest. How did it feel to be working in such explosive environments? It’s a combination of nerves and excitement. The day I left to go to Indonesia was two days after the riots had taken place in the centre of Jakarta. They were directed against the Chinese centre, the old Chinese city, and so a lot of Chinese were streaming out and there were terrible stories of violence against them. I arrived on a Sunday and you could see the smoke still coming up from the ruins. I arrived in a Boeing 747 with 6 people on board, and it left completely full. The next four days was the period when Suharto decided whether he stayed or went, and eventually he decided to go. But there was a lot of unrest and a lot of uncertainty about whether the army was going to intervene on the President’s side, or against him. Nobody knew what was going to happen so you were running on adrenaline. Q. Did you have a favourite posting during your 34 years in the diplomatic service? Most people have a soft spot for their first posting, as it’s the one where you go to learn what you are doing, and I was posted to Ghana. I loved it, we covered ten other countries and I travelled quite a bit. In the middle of it I was sent off to New York to help with the Australian delegation to the UN, which was a marvellous experience. It was a really interesting time. My time in Indonesia was perhaps the highlight. It was a time of great change in Indonesia and everything that was happening was of interest to the Australian government and we knew that everything we sent back would be read by a lot of people, including the Prime Minister. It was a privilege, but we also had to be on top form, 100% of the time, and we worked very hard. Q. Have you got any advice for people who are thinking about a career in diplomacy? Go to university and study something that you are interested in and do it well. Demonstrate that you have a good intellectual and analytical capacity, and go to the Department (DFAT) armed with a good honours degree. On top of that, go to them with evidence of things that you have done at university, or outside university, which demonstrate your interest in the wider community, or the international community. It’s often difficult for people coming straight from university to demonstrate these aspects, but if you have travelled, what have been your experiences of living in different cultures? What have been your experiences of travelling and living in hardship? Show us your leadership capabilities and your resilience; show us your cultural sensitivity, and your capacity to work with others. Q. Australia has a big influence in Asia, but where is the future focus of foreign policy going to be? Well I think that in a sense, the priorities for the Australian diplomatic endeavour were set a decade or so ago. Our largest embassies are in Beijing, Jakarta, Tokyo, Washington, New Zealand; our immediate neighbours. Given the boom of Asia in the last decade, that has been very much emphasised. But there is also a network of embassies is Europe, London Brussels, very significant posts. So I think that given the way, particularly the Chinese economy is lifting the world economy and getting to the point where finally china is going to be carving out for itself its very important strategic and geo-political space we’re all going to be very much focussed on there. Q. You referred to a 10 year period. Is that how far in advance foreign policy is planned, or is it more reactionary? No no, we did a review 15/20 years ago and worked out what were going to be the major posts, where we should be putting our principal endeavours. The guidelines that were set out then, and the emphasis laid down are still the same today. Asia, Papua New Guinea and New Zealand are all in our neighbourhood. East Timor is in our neighbourhood, and it is important to us, but it is not in the same league as our relationship with China. Q. There has been a great deal of press recently about Wikileaks. How do you think that Wikileaks will impact upon diplomacy, and will it change the way countries communicate? I think that ultimately where it will have an impact is on the degree to which the Americans disseminate information within their own system. I don’t remember the precise number of recipients of the cables, but they were huge by Australian standards. I think there is obviously a need still for protected conversations, and for classified information to be protected. I don’t know what changes, if any, have been made in the Australian system, but ours was much tighter than the American’s. We have had leaks in the past, but nothing like this. And I think that in principal two things will happen. One is that where information really needs to be classified and protected, it will be guarded more so than it was in the past. And that really means that we can’t afford to have countries like America showing this kind of information to a private soldier sitting at a computer. People still have to have the freedom to provide clear advice and make frank assessments; there is no point in making assessments that are not frank. The other thing is that people will look again at the amount of information that needs to be classified, and how long it actually needs to be classified for. Q. There has been a lot of coverage in the media about the death of Australian soldiers in Afghanistan. In the future will Australia seek to play a greater role in such operations, or scale back our involvement? We have had a very long tradition in peacekeeping operations, dating back to 1948. Our soldiers were in Kashmir, we have had police in Cyprus for a very long time. So I think that we have that tradition, and I think it’s a way that a country sees itself as a middle power. And we tend to see ourselves as being a middle power, and therefore having a role to play in supporting the international peacekeeping effort. * Rachel is spending the year living in Melbourne before returning to the UK to undertake a Masters in International Conflict Studies at Kings College London. Contemporary Debate: Australian Foreign Policy in Asia By Julia Rabar Australia is set to engage with the Asia-Pacific region in 2011 under a Gillard government with Kevin Rudd at the helm as Foreign Minister. Gillard is fortunate to be hiding in the shadow of the tireless Rudd, as her own foreign policy expertise leaves much to be desired. Australia’s challenge for 2011 is to negotiate a path in its immediate region that accommodates an increasingly influential China, whilst continuing to pay tribute to its strongest ally, the United States. Last year in this column I examined the debate in Australian newspapers prompted by Hugh White’s Quarterly Essay, ‘Power Shift’. White argued that Australia would be able to negotiate a peaceful rise of the Asian giant, as long as the US took steps to accommodate China as a future equal power. White’s critics vehemently responded in support of the US, arguing that Australia must stand by its most powerful friend and ally, and that any report of western decline was misguided and imprudent. Despite the US and its supporters forcefully denying the perceived decline, the issue has remained a topic of strategic debate. The trigger this time was a report published by the Kokoda Foundation authored by Ross Babbage. Babbage, an advisor to the writers of the 2009 Defence White Paper, asserts that Australia should hedge its bets against China’s rapid military modernization, in the event that China’s intentions turn sour further down the track. Australia, as he has argued previously, should be capable of “ripping an arm off” any adversary that may threaten our interests. Babbage’s report exists at the pointy end of the US-China-Asia-Pacific debate. The 2009 Defence White Paper made a big enough splash when it was first revealed, advocating an overhaul of Australian military capabilities and drawing attention to the possibility of a Chinese threat. Babbage’s report goes so much further; it borders on hysterical. It is, indeed, a maximalist wish list. While he argues that Australian military planners ought to think ‘outside the box,’ surely seeking to acquire a dozen nuclear attack submarines goes beyond this, especially considering our proven inability to maintain our current naval fleet. Former Deputy Secretary for Defence Paul Dibb writes with Geoffrey Barker in The Australian “The proposals are ill-defined and not costed. They would almost certainly prove counter-productive, if not downright dangerous”. They argue that China is simply acting to protect its sea lines of communication and asserting itself “as rising powers have always done”. The report’s recommendations are also simply not feasible for a government in which “maintaining a balanced budget is the new Holy Grail of Australian politics and the chances of extra money being found for expenditure on defence can now be reduced to a concrete number – exactly zero.” Hugh White and Ross Babbage, on the other hand, appear to be in furious agreement on one point: that Australia, whilst it should do all in its power to negotiate peace between China and the US, should also insure against the possibility of a bad outcome. White has continued on the warpath, declaring in an interview with the Chinese newspaper Xinhua that “Prime Minister Gillard will be keen to maintain good links with China if only for economic reasons, while at the same time she will feel a strong domestic political imperative to support the U.S. in Asia unquestioningly. This will become harder to do over coming years.” Our bilateral arrangements with China pose a more immediate challenge. Since Kevin Rudd attended the Beijing Olympics as Prime Minister in 2008, there has been barely any ministerial contact between Australia and China. This is despite the fact that trade with China is worth more than $100 billion a year. Australia’s ambassador to Beijing is due to finish his posting in July this year and his replacement will be an important player in guiding the relationship between our two countries. It is worthwhile considering that Australia’s interests may not be best served by arming ourselves to the teeth in order to hedge against the slight possibility that great power conflict will re-emerge in the 21st century. Furthermore, Chinese military might will always outstrip our own, no matter how much money we throw at the problem. To best serve Australian economic prosperity and regional stability, Australia ought to pursue, along with the US, a regional order that integrates China as a responsible stakeholder rather than a future menace. * Julia graduated from RMIT University in Melbourne with a Honours with Distinction in Arts (International Studies) in 2009. She is currently a research intern at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute Canberra, and is also a member of the editorial team of Quarterly Access. Global Snapshot for March 2011 By Sharna Thomason and Marcus Burke A round up of key events across the world over the last month. Americas 2012 Candidates In the United States, candidates for the 2012 Presidential election are beginning to line up. Republican candidates may include former House of Representatives Speaker (and foe of President Clinton) Newt Gingrich along with several candidates from previous elections including Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee. Commentators have suggested that the Republican field to take on President Obama looks rather weak, with candidates such as Gingrich and Sarah Palin attracting significant support but also unfavourable ratings from a large part of the electorate. An overly radical candidate may make it easier for Obama to be elected by driving away centrist voters. Mexico and the United States A recent summit between Mexico and the United States has highlighted ongoing issues on the border between the two countries. This followed the recent killing of a US Immigration and Customs officer in Mexico, and 28 people killed in recent and ongoing drug-related violence. President Obama promised greater assistance to the Mexican government to tackle the drug fuelled violence, as well as to do more to address the issue of demand for drugs within the US. At the summit, the two Presidents also announced the resolution of an ongoing dispute over allowing Mexican trucks on American roads as part of the NAFTA agreement, a dispute which dates back to the signing of the agreement in 1994. However progress on greater integration between the two nations has been very slow. President Calderon of Mexico also stated that US cables, released by Wikileaks, criticising the Mexican government’s fight against the drug trade caused severe damage to the relationship. Africa Violence in the Ivory Coast Ongoing violence in the Ivory Coast has led to concerns that the country may be drifting into civil war. Alassane Ouattara initially claimed victory in the elections in late 2010, but the incumbent President Laurent Gbagbo refused to hand over power and the Constitutional Court later ruled in his favour, but most observers continue to assert that the election was won by Ouattara. In recent days opposition forces have apparently taken control of several small towns, whilst violence against their supporters in the capital has continued. As a result as many as 70,000 refugees have fled over the border into neighbouring countries, with several hundred thousand internally displaced. Asia and the Pacific UN peacekeepers extend mission in Timor Leste The United Nations Security Council has extended the mandate of the UN peacekeeping mission in Timor Leste for another year, until 26 February 2012. There are currently 1520 uniformed personnel on the ground in Timor Leste, including police, volunteers and civilian staff. The peacekeeping mission continues its presence in the fledgling nation in order to consolidate peace and the democratic system of government. Support is also provided in the lead up to the presidential elections in 2012. The Security Council also called on the small nation to strengthen the credibility of the police force. 52 police officers are currently facing criminal or disciplinary charges yet they all still retain their positions. Prime Minister Xanana Gusmao and President Jose Ramos-Horta believe that preventing a return to instability through the exemption of punishment is more important than inflicting punishment and possible retaliation. Over 200 pardons, commutations and prison releases have been authorised since 2007, including for the rebels convicted of the attacks on the President and Prime Minister in 2008. In his address to approve the extension of the mission, Prime Minister Gusmao acknowledged the concerns of the Council but signalled that the mission was to leave the country after the presidential elections. The UN advised that it wants to end the peacekeeping mission but is cautious after the 2006 unrest, which was the catalyst for the current peacekeeping mission. China named second largest economy The latest data indicates that China’s economy is now the second largest economy in the world, behind only the US, having surpassed Germany in 2009 and Japan in 2010. China’s economy has averaged 10 percent growth over the past 20 years which has caused an unequivocal change in the landscape of the nation. This data however is based on GDP, a notoriously inaccurate statistic, rather than GDP per capita which is more reliable. Based on China’s population of approximately 1.3 billion the average income is $7,400 per month or a sixth of the average income in Japan. Thus, China‘s economy, in GDP per capita terms, remains behind Japan. Thai-Cambodia clashes Fighting broke out again last month on the border of Cambodia and Thailand over an 11th Century Hindu temple, the Temple of Preah Vihear. Soldiers from both sides exchanged fire for several hours in the disputed area, killing at least five and injuring a number more. Tensions first escalated in the region in 2008 following the inclusion of the temple on the World Heritage List of the UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation (UNESCO). Sporadic fighting has broken out over the years in dispute of whose country the temple is located in; this dispute is yet to reach a conclusion. Thailand's army chief, however, advised that the most recent clashes were all a misunderstanding, with matters settled after speaking with Cambodia's army chief. Christchurch earthquake shakes city to the core On 22 February 2011 at approximately 12:50pm, a 6.3 magnitude earthquake struck the New Zealand town of Christchurch. Although a lower magnitude than the earthquake that struck the city in September of last year, this one was closer to the surface, just four kilometers under ground, and caused more wide spread damage, with buildings collapsing across the entire city and surrounding suburbs. With a confirmed death toll of 154, which is expected to rise to 240, emergency workers are still sorting through the rubble and pulling out the dead. The central Christchurch Cathedral has been a sight of interest, not only as it is considered the heart of the city, but because it was believed that 22 people were caught in the tower when it collapsed. The building has now been cleared and no bodies were found. The list of the 22 missing people is now being reviewed. As with most disasters, out of the rubble comes amazing stories of survival and hope, none more so than the story of Ann Voss. Ann was trapped in the Pyne Gould building which collapsed like a stack of pancakes one floor on top of the next, but luckily she was caught in an air pocket with her mobile phone. Convinced she would not make it out alive, Ann phoned her children in Australia to say goodbye, as well as speaking to a number of news outlets live on air before her phone battery stopped. With no more contact available her family thought that was the last time they would hear from Ann. Miraculously, 24 hours after the earthquake hit Ann was pulled out alive with only broken ribs and cuts. Another employee, working in the Pyne Gould building was saved by a team of Australian urologists, who were in Christchurch for a medical conference. After crawling through the collapsed building for five hours to reach the man, the doctors realized the rubble could not be lifted off the man’s legs. They instead had to improvise, using a builders hacksaw and a Swiss army knife to amputate the man‘s legs before rushing him to hospital were he is recovering well. Christchurch is now a city in recovery. All the basics amenities, running water, sewage and electricity are still down across the city and surrounding suburbs. In addition to the aftershocks, which are reaching 5.3-magnitude and continuing to send fear through the community, many are fleeing to New Zealand’s north island, predominately to Auckland, where the population is expected to increase by up to 21,000 people. Many are staying with family and friends but hundreds of others are desperately trying to find accommodation either in hotels or the temporary centers the city has set up. Europe Political change is in the air for Germany The German Chancellor, Angela Merkel and her Christian Democratic Union (CDU) suffered a significant defeat this month with the loss of the Hamburg election to the Social Democratic Party (SPD). With an unusual absolute majority of the seats, 48.3 per cent and 62 seats in the 121-seat assembly, it was the best result for the SPD in a state election since 1998. Although the loss of power was not a surprise for the CDU, who had been in power in Hamburg since 2001, it was a shock that they lost half of the votes received in the previous election, from 42.6% in 2008 to 21.9%, the party‘s worst result since World War II. The Hamburg election was won and lost on local issues, with 80 per cent of the vote being determined by issues such as the failed education reform and controversial plans to dredge the city‘s Elbe River. In addition, the unpopular outgoing Mayor, Christoph Ahlhaus, was deemed not Hamburger enough, as he originates from Heidelberg. Merkel and her party face six more state elections this year, with the most important being in the state of Baden-Wurttemberg, a CDU strong hold since 1953, on March 27. The party’s popularity has waned since protests over a controversial rail project, Stuttgart 21. A second defeat could reverberate across the nation. EU sued over secrecy in trade talks The European Union has been sued by transparency campaigners for withholding documents relating to the free trade negotiations with India. The campaigners are accusing the EU of breaking transparency and democracy rules by not sharing details of how it plans to open Indian markets. The free trade agreement between the EU and India is expected to be finalised this year. However, campaigners are worried about the effects it will have on Indian labour rights and access to medicines. It is understood that the EU is pressuring India to agree to measures that go beyond the agreement on trade related aspects of intellectual property rights (TRIPS). This would have detrimental effects on the viability of low priced generic medicines in India. This is not the first time the EU has been sued over transparency issues, having previously been sued over secrecy when drafting the transparency law. EU institutions are now under increasing pressure to lift the veil of secrecy. Opposition parties in India are also demanding that the Indian government consult parliament before signing the proposed agreement, given the effects it will have on the people. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has instead instructed his officials to speed up the negotiations in an attempt to reach a conclusion before June 2011. Middle East Wave of change crushes regimes Over the past few months the world has witnessed a wave of protests crashing along the shores of nearly every nation in the Middle East. Some have secured policy reforms, others have forced iron fisted dictators to flee their nation, while others still battle on for freedom. The wave of protests began in Tunisia on 18 December 2010 when Mohamed Bouazizi set himself alight in a defying act of public protest against the repressive government. Whilst Bouazizi was not the first person to set himself alight as an act of protest, he was the first to capture the world’s attention thanks to a video, shot by his cousin Ali and posted on Facebook. The video later aired on Al Jazeera’s Mubasher channel. In the weeks and months that followed self-immolation became a tool of the protesters with similar incidents occurring in Algeria, Egypt, Iraq, Mauritania, Morocco and Saudi Arabia, all for the cause and in sympathy with Bouazizi. Although the activists all utilised the same tools, relying heavily on Twitter and Facebook to organise the protests and stream live footage around the globe, the outcomes of the events have been very different. Tunisian President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali stepped down and fled his country leaving an interim government in place. However after further protests against the interim government, most of whom were in power under Ben Ali, another two Ministers and the Prime Minister Mohamed Ghannouchi also resigned. Jordanian King Abdullah dismissed his government and formed a new cabinet only two weeks after the protests began. Yemeni President Saleh refuses to resign, conceding only that he will not contest the next election in 2013, and nor will he pass on power to his sons. Palestinian Prime Minister Salam Fayyad and his cabinet resigned, however President Mahmoud Abbas has tasked Fayyad with forming the new government. In Bahrain the government after cracked down heavily on protesters, killing at least seven. However as a result of pressure from the US, the King has eased the violent retaliation against the protestors and has fired a number of ministers. Protesters in Oman secured an increase in the minimum pay; those in Algeria clashed with police until the government cut taxes on sugar and cooking oil, while Iraqi protesters, who are demanding better government services rather than trying to oust their leaders, are yet to receive the desired outcome. Instead protests turned violent with government forces firing into crowds across most of the larger cities. In Egypt, after almost a month of violent protests, numerous refusals to step down and the sacking of the government Hosni Mubarak resigned as President and handed power over to the army. Travel sanctions were placed on former ministers, and Swiss and UK banking institutions froze Mubarak’s assets. Egypt’s military rulers have promised to hand power over to an elected, civilian government. The focus then turned to Libya which continues to bare the brunt of the violence. Colonel Muammar Gaddafi refuses to step down, instead declaring in a video that he will die as a martyr. Urging his supporters to attack the protesters the Libyan leader vowed to use force, which has so far resulted in more than 1,000 people being killed. The United Nations voted unanimously to impose sanctions on the regime, which include referring Gaddafi to the International Criminal Court for crimes against humanity. As protests continue to rage across the region, the new fear is that the interim governments will not step aside and call democratic elections as promised. The world watches and waits in the hope that these citizens achieve democratically elected governments and a better life. * Sharna graduated with a Master in Diplomacy and Trade from Monash University, Melbourne. She is a passionate human rights advocate and is currently working for the Victorian State Government. * Marcus is currently completing a Master in Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. He also has a combined Law/Science degree from the University of Melbourne, and has most recently been working in the IT industry. AIIA Victoria Press Room: ‘How Wikileaks Changed the World’ a lecture by Paul Barratt By Gary Paul Speaking to the AIIA at Dyason House the former Secretary for the Department of Defence, Paul Barratt AO, discussed the state of Australian foreign policy in the wake of the Wikileaks diplomatic cable leak. “Democracy demands openness.” Mr. Barratt discussed the effect of Wikileaks on Western governments, commenting that many governments used the shelter of the national security classification to “conceal from the public their real assessments and motives”. He stated that while Wikileaks will have little effect on the modus operandi between administrations, it has made the public aware of the “authoritarian side” of the Australian government. Using examples such as Australia’s private promise to “support the U.S. in Afghanistan until hell freezes over” despite public promises of withdrawal, Mr. Barratt described how the government’s “deceptive conduct” might be the casualty of the cable leak. Remarking on the future of foreign policy under a technology-driven news wire, Mr. Barratt said it will “greatly raise the political risk of democratic leaders deceiving their publics”. In his 40 years of experience in international relations, Mr. Barratt has been Secretary for the Department of Defence, Secretary to the Federal Department responsible for mining, oil and gas, agriculture, forestry and fisheries, Deputy Secretary of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Special Trade Representative for North Asia, and Executive Director of Australia’s leading business roundtable. Mr. Barratt is now an independent consultant, and a director of Australia 21 Limited. He has degrees in Physics, Economics and Asian civilisations, and has worked as an intelligence analyst. Based on the lecture ‘How Wikileaks Changed The World’ by Paul Barratt, AO, held on Wednesday, 23 February at Dyason House, AIIA Victoria. The lecture was organized by the Australian Institute for International Affairs. For upcoming events and further information, please contact AIIA at [email protected] or call (03) 96547271. * Gary Paul is studying Journalism and Politics at Monash University. He hosts a radio show about international news and works for the AIIA and ACCESS as part of their media team. Issue 13 Message from the Editor By Olivia Cable Our final publication for 2010 looks at Afghanistan. In Q&A, Hekmut Karzai, nephew of President Hamid Karzai, shares his views on the current state of the conflict in Afghanistan and the changes that have been made since the overthrow of the Taliban. In Contemporary Debate, Julia Rabar discusses the Australian parliamentary debate about Australia’s involvement in Afghanistan. As a result of our involvement with training the Afghanistan National Army in Uruzgan province, Australia – troops or not - will remain in country for another decade. Whether this is the right decision for peace and stability is contested. Will the government collapse if NATO forces depart? As Julia rightly points out, a deeper knowledge of cultural and tribal relationships are critical for stability in Afghanistan. A reading list has been provided at the end of Julia’s article for further information about the debate. In Global Snapshot, Sharna Thomason and Marcus Burke report on the rise of violence in Haiti in the wake of the cholera outbreak and the lead up to elections. The global financial crisis continues to dampen confidence in Ireland, Greece and Portugal. In Iraq there are hopes a new government will be formed, as the country has had no formal government since the elections in March this year. A release from the Access Press Room reports on the lecture ‘Pakistan in crisis’ by Dr. Claude Rakisits. The next couple of months are quiet in the events department at the AIIA, but don’t forget to mark in your calendars for February 2011 ‘Global Issues of Current concern’ by US Ambassador Jeffrey Bleich. A final note of thanks to the Monthly Access team: Julia Rabar, Sharna Thomason, Marcus Burke, Andrew Zammit and Rachel Hankey for their efforts in making the Monthly Access publication. Have a Merry Christmas and travel safely, Olivia Cable * Olivia is studying Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University in Canberra. Q&A with Hekmut Karzai Interviewed by Olivia Cable This is the second half of an interview with Mr. Hekmut Karzai, the nephew of Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai. The interview was conducted at a regional counter-terrorism conference in Manila, the Philippines. Hekmut Karzai is currently the Director of the Centre for Conflict and Peace Studies (CAPS), one of the leading research centres in Kabul, Afghanistan. Prior to this position, he served as a RMS Fellow at the International Centre for Political Violence and Terrorism Research in Singapore, where his primary focus was the South and Central Asian regions. He conducted research in development, security and conflict, and is considered to be an authority on Afghanistan. Karzai teaches various courses on conflict and security, and serves as a non-resident Senior Fellow at the East West Institute in Brussels. From 2004 to 2005 he served as an International Fellow at the Edmund Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University where he conducted research on terrorism, militancy, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan and the Al Qaeda movement. In May 2002, Karzai was appointed as the Head of the Political Department at the Embassy of Afghanistan in Washington D.C. His duties included overseeing daily political and congressional affairs. He also acted as a direct link to the diplomatic and political community, liaising with US Congress and Executive Branch on policies, security, funding and other vital issues pertaining to Afghanistan. Q. Can you describe the current state of the conflict in Afghanistan? HK: As you know, for a significant period of time, Afghanistan was the capital of international terrorism and obviously all of that came to an end after 9/11. Since 9/11, there have been various different countries trying to help Afghanistan develop into a stable state with functioning institutions. There are still some challenges, security problems and development issues. But at this stage, I think that given the conditions, things are looking quite good and we seem to have political progress. Q. What changes have you seen in Afghanistan since the overthrow of the Taliban in 2001? HK: There have been extensive changes. I think if you looked at Afghanistan in early 2002, you would have seen that there were absolutely no universities or schools, no health care system or roads. But what you see now is that there are six million children going to school, and girls going to school. You have major roads that connect Afghanistan from one end to the other. At one point I remember going from my hometown of Kandahar to the capital and it took a day and a half. Now it takes four and a half hours. These are remarkable changes for the lives of the people. In the cities there is a massive economic boom where people are engaged in commerce. We had double-digit growth for a few years. All of those things are quite positive. We have trade with several different countries. For example, at one point, imports from Pakistan were about $25 million. Now this figure has reached $1.1 billion and I think export value has been raised by $200 million. So on all different levels, I think things are moving forward. Q. Media reports reveal opium production has increased in Afghanistan, as has the heroin trade in the West. How have these factors affected the conflict in Afghanistan? HK: On so many different levels. The opium and poppy trade, particularly heroin, is one of the main sources of funding for the insurgency. There is a symbiotic relationship between insurgents to provide security and the drug barons to provide the resources, and they fund one another. The main cultivation is in the areas where security is not very good. Fifty per cent of our drugs are grown in Helmand Province, which is also the most volatile province, so there is a direct relationship. I think the problem is that we have not had a holistic strategy. You cannot tackle narcotics by just going after the farmers. You have to look at supply and demand; 80 % of demand comes from the West. So we also have to pay attention to where the demand is coming from. Just going after the poor farmer, who probably receives five to seven per cent of the profit, is not going deal with the problem. Q. What progress, if any, have the Australian forces made in Uruzgan Province? HK: Uruzgan Province is really tough terrain, and it is a tough environment. I’ve visited Uruzgan several times. It’s one of the closest provinces to where I grew up, so I understand the dynamics of the situation there. One thing you can be absolutely sure about is that the contribution that Australia has made, and the contribution from Australian soldiers, is truly appreciated. There are various different projects they have worked with and what is unique about their support is that they are different from other forces in Uruzgan. The Australians are seen in a very positive way. There are other countries that try to divide the different tribes, or cause fights between different tribes. The Australians are not seen in this way. They are truly appreciated. The Australians are one of the very few countries who understand the local context. They dress in the local style, meet with the regular people, the Shura, the elders and try to hear the concerns of the people. So on many different levels they have supported the local processes to maintain the local dynamics and I think the people really appreciate that. This is why the insurgents have gone after the Australians, because they see they are specifically supporting the Afghan people and the entire process that is needed for stability and peace. Q. Where is Bin Laden? HK: The last internal reports that I have seen suggest he is somewhere in the FATA [Federally Administered Tribal Area] region around North Waziristan. But then again, if we say he is in North Waziristan why are we not going after him? That is a very good question. At this stage we have not heard from him in visible terms but we have heard audio recordings which question his health. According to a report from the US he is very close to the FATA region in North Waziristan, but they have not narrowed this any further. He is alive and at least he is contributing to the broad fight that is taking place at this stage. * Olivia is studying Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University in Canberra. Contemporary Debate: Afghanistan - the curtain call? By Julia Rabar Australians will recall that in the week preceding the Australian federal election in August the death of three Australian soldiers in southern Afghanistan propelled the issue of Australian involvement in the NATO-led war to centre stage. Bipartisan support was immediately offered to the ongoing mission. Meanwhile the Australian Greens called repeatedly for a parliamentary debate on the war. Following the July Wikileaks affair – the publication of thousands of top-secret US military files dubbed the ‘Afghan War Diary’ – public concern about the morality and ethics of remaining in Afghanistan simmered. A parliamentary debate on the Afghanistan mission finally began on October 19th, culminating four weeks later. After the first day of debate, Minister for Defence Stephen Smith expressed his satisfaction with the bipartisan support for an exit strategy that is determined by success, or, as Prime Minister Julia Gillard put it, “credible and conditions-based”. On the final day of the debate, Prime Minister Gillard praised the passionate and poignant contributions for and against the war. She reaffirmed that Australia – not, pointedly, Australian troops – will remain engaged in Afghanistan for the next decade at least. The Australian’s political editor Dennis Shanahan commented on Gillard’s “brutally frank” summary of our commitment in Afghanistan, comparing it to former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s careful rhetoric, or even John Howard’s limited commitment to the allied forces there. Nevertheless, The Age scoffed at Gillard’s promise to remain in Afghanistan, arguing that if a primary reason for Australia being in Afghanistan is loyalty to the US (as acknowledged by both the Prime Minister and Opposition Leader during the federal debate), we are unlikely to remain once the US has left. Australia’s role in the exit strategy is training the Fourth Brigade of the Afghan National Army (ANA) in Uruzgan province so that when the time comes for allied forces to leave the country, the ANA is able to assume responsibility for maintaining security in the country. The parliamentary debate unearthed big divisions between the coalition of the exasperated and those in favour of seeing the mission through to a successful transition. Professor Hugh White of the Australian National University (ANU), and a cohort of left-leaning politicians including the Australian Green party and independent MP Andrew Wilkie, believe that Australia’s strategic interests are no longer served by remaining in Afghanistan. Others, such as Anthony Burke of the Australian Defence Force Academy and Andrew Phillips of the ANU, believe that a hasty withdrawal would risk the collapse of government in Afghanistan, civil war, and destabilization of the region. In an article in The Australian, their spiraling vision includes the possibility of the government collapsing in nuclear-armed Pakistan, and the opportunity for terrorists to acquire nuclear weapons. However, Celeste Gventer, a senior US foreign policy adviser and associate director of the Strauss Centre for International Security, claims that such “nightmare scenarios” are not inevitable. The real concern, Gventer argues, should be the strategic value versus the cost of remaining. Burke and Phillips employ a quote uttered following the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan in 1996: “Just how far out of the circle of human solidarity can people fall?” However, despite their token reference to human rights in the conclusion, they fail to discuss in any depth the needs and desires of the Afghan people. Ehsan Azari, of Afghan-Pashtun descent, wrote in The Australian that despite the enormous ratio of foreign troops and Afghan soldiers to each Taliban member, corruption is still rife and a hasty departure would be detrimental for the Afghan people. Writing in The Age, Archie Law, chief executive of ActionAid, emphasizes the need for ongoing consultation with the Afghan people and independent oversight of military development activities in line with many non-governmental organizations working in the area. The counter-insurgency tactic of winning hearts and minds requires thorough training and education of local populations as well as members of the Afghan National Army and police. In the meantime, an escalation of conventional attacks in Afghanistan by NATO-led forces has seen a shift away from US counter-insurgency tactics of winning hearts and minds in order to ensure the most successful handover to the ANA in 2014. An understanding of the history of foreign incursions in Afghanistan, and deeper knowledge of cultural and tribal relationships within the country are critical to forging a path to stability. The “internal power balance” within Afghanistan and the links between religious extremism and ethnic nationalism are proving to be stumbling blocks for the Western forces. Leaders of the NATO force met in Lisbon on 19th to 21st November to discuss the transition plans, emphasizing the need for an irreversible process. There are currently 150,000 NATO-led troops on the ground in Afghanistan. Although Australia provides the largest non-NATO troop presence (tenth largest overall), the Australian deployment in Afghanistan, according to Paul Daley in The Age, has come to be known privately as Operation Token Presence. Despite Australia’s ‘token’ presence, Prime Minister Gillard assured the Australian public on her departure for Lisbon that Australia’s contribution was widely respected. In Lisbon on 20th November, the Western allies and Afghan President Hamid Karzai agreed on an exit strategy in which foreign troops will rescind their security role by 2014, but that NATO’s presence will continue beyond the transition. NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen stressed that “Afghanistan’s fight against terrorism is of strategic global importance” but echoed other leaders in stipulating that the transition will be conditional. Indeed NATO’s civilian representative in Afghanistan said the 2014 goal was ‘realistic but not guaranteed’, and a Pentagon spokesman called it the goal aspirational. The need for a long-term political solution and stable Afghan government is emphasized in the NATO document signed by Rasmussen and Karzai on November 20, the NATO and Afghan Government Declaration on Enduring Partnership. The document reinforces the need for “a robust, enduring partnership which complements the ISAF security mission and continues beyond it.” Meanwhile, support for the Afghanistan mission is waning in America, where a recent poll by Quinnipiac University indicates that 50% of those surveyed think that the US should not be involved in the country, an increase of 9% from a poll taken two months earlier. 54% of respondents to a Lowy Institute poll published in earlier this year believed that Australia should terminate its military engagement in Afghanistan. Also read: Stephan Fruehling and Benjamin Schreer, Australia and NATO: A deeper relationship? Lowy Institute for International Policy, The Interpreter, October 2010. Our interests in NATO go well beyond Afghanistan, The Australian, November 2010. James Brown, Afghanistan: OK to be partisan, Crikey, October 2010. Raspal Khosa, Australia’s commitment in Afghanistan: moving to a more comprehensive approach, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, August 2010. Graeme Dobell, Another decade in Afghanistan, Lowy Institute for International Policy, The Interpreter, October 19 2010. George Venturini, Debate on Australia’s presence in Afghanistan? What debate? On Line Opinion, October 2010. Scott MacInnes, Afghanistan and the duty of our representatives, Australian Broadcasting Corporation; The Drum, November 2010. Ben Eltham, Obscuring the truth about the war, Australian Broadcasting Corporation; The Drum, October 2010. * Julia is an Australian-based editorial assistant with The Diplomat. She graduated last year from RMIT University in Melbourne with an Honours with Distinction in Arts (International Studies) and is a member of the editorial team of Quarterly Access. Global Snapshot for December 2010 By Sharna Thomason and Marcus Burke Africa Violence in Central Africa Multiple armed groups and factions, combined with a lack of government control have resulted in continued violence and destruction in central Africa. Most prominently, the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA) - having been largely chased out of Uganda where it originated - is now operating across the border in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), as well as southern Sudan and the Central African Republic. The United States may provide more resources to countries in the region for action against the LRA, but for the moment the group still roams the border region with impunity, despite its leader Joseph Kony being wanted by the International Criminal Court. Further south, United Nations forces have launched a new military operation in South Kivu province of the DRC to protect civilians from ongoing attacks. However the International Crisis Group reports that military action in Kivu is failing. Justice is slowly coming to some of those who were involved in the violence. The International Criminal Court has begun the trial of former Congolese leader Jean-Pierre Bemba Gombo for war crimes and crimes against humanity allegedly committed in military actions in the Central African Republic in 2002-3. However, according the Economist, some nations are losing enthusiasm for using war crimes trials as a solution to some of the world’s conflicts due to the costs involved, and the need for such cases to be coupled with military action in order to be effective. Western Sahara Violent clashes have occurred in the disputed territory of Western Sahara, with some reports claiming “dozens” of people killed. Originally a colonial territory of Spain, a historic International Court of Justice advisory judgement in 1975 on the status of the region recognised the right of self-determination for its people. However, after Spain abandoned the territory, it was immediately subject to competing claims from neighbouring Morocco and Mauritania, with Morocco eventually taking effective control, despite an ongoing campaign by the independence movement Polisario. Negotiations over a vote on selfdetermination have dragged on for years, whilst thousands of Sahrawis have remained stranded in refugee camps across the border in Algeria. The recent turmoil came as a result of Moroccan forces breaking up Sahrawi camps, where numbers have recently swelled due to the closure of refugee camps in Algeria. Despite protests in Madrid to encourage Spain to place greater pressure on Morocco, peace talks have once again stalled. A Human Rights Watch report has condemned some of the actions of the Moroccan forces. Americas United States debt Mid-term elections in the United States have delivered significant gains for the Republican Party in the House of Representatives and the Senate. These changes in the composition of Congress will make it very difficult for President Obama to push through reform over the next two years before the next Presidential election in 2012. In particular, efforts to tackle the record deficit will be politically difficult to implement. President Obama created a special Commission to outline potential solutions and its recent report set out a range of recommendations, including a reduction in military spending, farm subsidies and social security, many of which will be politically unpalatable. President Obama has recently frozen federal pay in the lead up to negotiations with the Republicans. Haiti – Cholera and votes The cholera outbreak in Haiti has added to the misery of a population still recovering from January’s devastating earthquake.The death toll from the outbreak is now approaching 2000, whilst ongoing protests have disrupted the relief response. Violence in the country also rose in the lead up the recent presidential elections. The result of the elections is now being disputed by a number of the candidates amid allegations of voting irregularities, incorrect voter lists and outright fraud. If no candidate receives fifty per cent of the votes, a run-off election will be held in January 2011. Whatever the result, it is expected that instability in the poorest country in the Western hemisphere will continue. Asia Inter-Korean tensions worsen The war between North and South Korea continued last month with a very public and blatant artillery attack on the South Korean island of Yeonpyeon. Although an armistice was signed by both sides in 1953 the war was never officially over, with approximately 150 attacks between the two nations over the decades. Furthermore, North Korea announced in March 2010 that is was no longer bound by the armistice. Military clashes have taken places in Yeonpyeon three times since 1999, with the previous fatal incident an unconfirmed attack by North Korea on a South Korea submarine. A number of explanations for the recent attack have been proposed, from North Korea trying to gain the attention of the US, to attempts to keep the support of the North Korean public. Experts also speculate that the recently appointed four-star general, Kim Jong-un, ordered the attacks to assert his newly found power. In counter argument, North Korea, in domestic media, stated that “despite our repeated warnings, South Korea provoked us by firing artillery shells into our territory”. Despite all the speculation diplomatic efforts were stepped up in the region with China engaging North Korea in dialogue in an attempt to calm the tensions. China’s engagement came after increased pressure by the US and its allies, who want China to use its leverage over North Korea (China is North Korea’s highest aid donor) to reach an agreement that no further military attacks would take place. However, Chinese and North Korean relations might not be as close as expected with a Chinese foreign Ministry official in leaked US diplomatic cables stating that “Pyongyang was behaving like a spoilt child”. Japan and the US have consulted with South Korea. Renewed calls for six-party talks between North and South Korea, the US, Japan, China and Russia were received with great caution by South Korea. China, who will play host to the talks, agreed with South Korea that the situation was “worrisome”. North Korea is yet to agree to attend the six-party talks. Despite the increase in diplomatic negotiations in the region South Korean and US forces carried out a military drill which had been planned prior to the North Korean attack, further raising tensions in the region. North Korea threatened retaliation and China publicly warned against any further military attacks in its economic zone, directing its warning to the US. Burmese Democracy leader reunited with son After ten years, numerous visa applications and seven consecutive years under house arrest Burma’s pro-democracy leaderAung San Suu Kyi was reunited with her younger son last month. After learning of Suu Kyi’s release, Kim Aris applied immediately for a visa to enter Burma to see his ageing mother. Initially refused, a visa was finally granted and Aris travelled to Burma from Thailand where he had been staying ahead of his mother’s expected release. Aris plans to stay in Burma for two weeks before returning to England where he now lives. Suu Kyi, who has spent much of the past 21 years under house arrest, was released less than one week before Burma’s first election in 20 years, which took place last month. Eight Burmese publications have been suspended by the government for violating regulations after they printed news and photos of Suu Kyi’s release. Europe €85 billion Irish Republic bail-out Ireland is now the second EU-state to require a bail-out loan to prop up the nation’s economy through its banking sector. Blame is being placed on the global financial crisis and subsequent recession. The Irish economy had been supported by a huge property bubble and multinational companies who have been attracted to the country due to a corporate tax rate of just 12.5%, half that of Britain. Having taken the €85 billion loan from the European Union and International Monetary Fund, Ireland will now begin implementing the most severe austerity measures the nation has faced in over 20 years. The Irish government must implement a four-year economic plan to cut public spending, reduce public benefits and increase taxes, with the exception of the corporate taxes which will not increase. Although the bail-out will save the Irish economy, Prime Minister Brian Cowen will not be as lucky. An early election is predicted for the beginning of 2011, with the Prime Minister expected to step down if his own party do not remove him first. Despite the bail-outs of both Greece and Ireland, the European Central Bank is now pressuring Portugal to accept a €500 billion bail-out. However, the head of the European Commission Jose Manuel Barroso has criticised those who are pressuring the Lisbon government to accept the financial support. Spain, Italy and Belgium are all being monitored very closely as they look increasingly likely to need a financial support in the near future. Russia to join WTO Seventeen years after Russia began attempts to join the World Trade Organisation (WTO), it finally looks like their bid will be accepted by the 153-nation organisation. Most memberships with the WTO are negotiated within six to seven years, however despite the establishment of a working party in 1993 and 30 subsequent meetings, Russia’s application has taken uncharacteristically long. The principal reason for the delay was a lack of support for the application from officials in Moscow. The breakthrough came when both sides resolved issues regarding tariffs on the export of raw materials. The lessening of tensions in the region also aided Russia’s bid with reconciliation between Russia and Poland, along with better relations between Russia, Ukraine and Georgia. In an attempt to create closer ties with Russia, US President Obama has publicly supported the country’s accession to the WTO, and a spokesman for the European Commission called it “an important milestone”. Western policymakers are buoyed by the accession, as it will commit Russia to a series of international rules that are enforceable. European proposals for an energy package have alarmed Russia, namely due to the proposal that Russia hand over the transportation of gas. The gas pipes are owned by Russia and Germany. Putin remarked that Europe was seeking to de-monopolize the market, which would be both harmful and dangerous to the Russian and German companies involved. This may prove to be the sticking point of the negotiations. Further to the negotiations regarding the transportation of gas, and issues regarding intellectual property rights are still to be negotiated. The accession will not be a certainty until these two issues are resolved. Pope consents to condoms Pope Benedict XVI has caused simultaneous uproar and jubilancy across the globe due to comments made in a book of interviews by a German journalist titled Light of the World: The Pope, the Church and the Signs of the Times. In the book the Pope comments that for some people, using condoms could be a first step in assuming moral responsibility where the intent is to reduce the risk of infection. In a press release Michel Sidibé, Executive Director of the Joint UN Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), welcomed the Pope’s comments, stating that it will “help accelerate the HIV prevention revolution”. With more than 7000 new HIV infections every day, UNAIDS asserts that the “male latex condom is the single, most efficient, available technology to reduce the sexual transmission of HIV.” While AIDS activists are calling the comments a breakthrough, members of the Catholic Church assert that the comments have been misconstrued.They claim that as they are not part of the official church teachings, they will not be accepted until a formal papal announcement is made. Confusion over the comments made by the Pope is high, especially among Catholic Bishops in the United States who are focused on upholding Catholic orthodoxy on sexuality and marriage. Going even further, Phillip Lawlor, editor of Catholic World News, demanded the resignation of the editor of the Vatican newspaper that first ran with the story, despite an embargo on the book. The interpretation of the comments within Africa is being closely watched. Many AIDS care programs are catholic run and currently implement the policy of not promoting or distributing condoms as a form of HIV prevention. Although under the auspice of the Catholic Church many priests, who are at the coalface of the epidemic, have stealthily approved the use condoms. It is now hoped however that they will be able to preach openly about condom use. Amid the confusion, there is one clear fact: the Pope has opened the lines of dialogue in relation to contraception and HIV/AIDS. Middle East Iraq forced to form a government Following the inconclusive elections in March this year, the Prime Minister now has 30 days in which to create the new government. Setting a new world record, Iraq has been without a functioning government since the elections in March. A power-sharing agreement signed on 10 November, saw the re-selection of Jalal Talabani, a Kurd, as President and Nouri al-Maliki, a Shia, as Prime Minister along with the appointment of Osama al-Nujaifi from the Sunni-backed Iraqiyabloc, who has the majority of seats in parliament. Despite the difficult task ahead, this coalition government hopes to create a government of partnership. The power play for the important ministries, such as oil and foreign affairs, is now under way, with senior leaders of both the Iraqiya-bloc and Kurdish alliance vying for the foreign affairs portfolio. While the world waits and hopes that sectarian violence, which nearly tore Iraq apart in 2006-2007 does not occur again, suggestions that the power-sharing agreement has already been violated are starting to emerge. Egypt votes After a campaign marred by violence, accusations of fraud and a crackdown on the opposition, Egypt went to the polls on 28 November 2010. Unfortunately, the day of the election saw similar events, with the denial of entry to polling stations for candidate representatives, independent observers and voters. This election was to be a pro-women election. In 2009, the government passed a law creating a new quota system to ensure women control 12% or 64 lower house seats, up from just 9 seats in the outgoing parliament. However, the quota system was not female-friendly, and in a nation steeped in political cynicism it does not reach to the core of the problem. Although one female quota candidate states that the quota system is an attempt to allow more women to practice politics, critics of the system argue that the government is interested in one thing only, power. Furthermore, critics, including the Muslim Brotherhood, assert that quota system is simply a way to charm the international community without changing attitudes amongst the voters. Candidates for the Muslim Brotherhood, which has officially been banned in Egypt for more than half a century, ran as independents so as to evade the ban. However, in the two weeks leading up to the election 150 members were arrested and 12 private television channels were shut down which critically stifled efforts to mobilize voters. With the abolition of the opposition, President Hosni Mubarak will begin a new term. If Mubarak is unfit to continue his Presidency - his health has been under scrutiny since surgery in March officials believe his son, currently a top party official, will move into the role. * Sharna graduated with a Master of Diplomacy and Trade from Monash University, Melbourne. She is a passionate human rights advocate and is currently working for the Victorian State Government. * Marcus is currently completing a Masters in Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. He also has a combined Law/Science degree from the University of Melbourne, and has most recently been working in the IT industry. Pakistan in deep crisis - Dr. Claude Rakisits speaks Pakistan is in deep crisis, according to Dr. Claude Rakisits, a senior lecturer in Strategic Studies at Deakin University and director of the Strategic Studies programme at the Australian Defence College. Dr. Rakisits highlighted the high level of anti-Americanism in Pakistan; “unmanned drones are the single most important factor for the rampant anti-Americanism in Pakistan”. Commenting on the effect of precision drone attacks against insurgents and civilians in Pakistan’s tribal areas, Dr. Rakisits described the complex ethnic, religious and historical factors that have caused instability in the region. These factors have allowed the Taliban, who are seeking sanctuaries outside Afghanistan, to gain a foothold in Pakistan’s northern mountain ranges. “The good news is that the Taliban is not unified”. To help illustrate the complexities of the relationship between Pakistan and the United States, Dr. Rakisits outlined differences between competing Taliban and al-Qaeda organizations. He commented on the intricate relationships between the Taliban groups and the Pakistani army, noting that at times this placed stain on Pakistan’s relations with the United States. Dr. Rakisits referred to high levels of corruption within the government and the omnipresence of the state’s military as reasons why Pakistan could be considered a failed state. He described the Pakistani police force as “corrupt, incompetent, badly trained”. He claimed these factors and the recent disastrous floods are the main causes of instability in the fragile state. Based on the lecture ‘Pakistan in crisis’ by Dr. Claude Rakisits, held on 6 th October 2010 at Dyason House, AIIA Victoria. Issue 12 Message from the editor By Olivia Cable In keeping with the 2010 Annual ACCESS Debate: has Australian democracy become too conservative?, the topic for this month’s edition of Monthly Access is 'democracy'. In Q&A Hekmut Karzai shares his view of democracy. The interview covers a number of issues, such as whether a western style of democracy can be exported to Afghanistan, the changing treatment of women in Afghanistan and negotiations with the Taliban. Karzai’s father is the Minister for Internal Security and uncle is the President of Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai. Don’t miss next month’s publication about Afghanistan, for another interview with Hekmut Karzai. In Career Spotlight we interview Tyrell Haberkorn about democracy, Thailand, academia and activism. In Global Snapshot, Sharna Thomason and Marcus Burke cover topics such as the controversy around the UNESCO-Obiang Nguema Mbasogo International Prize for Research in the Life Science, Canada’s failed attempt to gain seat on the UN Security Council, toxic flood devastation in Hungary and the continuing threat of insecure food supplies for poorer nations. This month we are advertising for four editorial roles for the Monthly Access publication. Please see the editor positionssection. For those interested in contributing to a Monthly Access publication, please see our submission guidelines section. Finally, the Victorian Model United Nations Conference takes place on 1st – 3rd December at RMIT University, Melbourne. Olivia Cable * Olivia Cable is studying Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University in Canberra Q&A with Hekmut Karzai With Olivia Cable The following article is the first half of an interview with Mr. Hekmut Karzai about democracy and Afghanistan. Karzai’s uncle is the President of Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai. Hekmut Karzai is currently the Director of the Centre for Conflict and Peace Studies (CAPS), one of the leading research centers in Kabul, Afghanistan. Prior to this position, he served as a RMS Fellow at the International Centre for Political Violence and Terrorism Research in Singapore, where his primary focus was the South and Central Asian regions. He conducted research in development, security and conflict, and is considered to be an authority on Afghanistan. Karzai teaches various courses on conflict and security, and serves as a non-resident Senior Fellow at the East West Institute in Brussels. From 2004 to 2005 he served as an International Fellow at the Edmund Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University where he conducted research on terrorism, militancy, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan and the Al Qaeda movement. In May 2002, Karzai was appointed as the Head of the Political Department at the Embassy of Afghanistan in Washington D.C. His duties included overseeing daily political and congressional affairs. He also acted as a direct link to the diplomatic and political community, liaising with US Congress and Executive Branch on policies, security, funding and other vital issues pertaining to Afghanistan. Q: Is democracy consistent with traditional the Afghan tribal culture? HK: I think we have different perceptions. We do not see democracy as a finite state. It is a process. I don’t think we should talk about Afghanistan in the context of democracy. Rather, I think we should talk about its very serious values, whether that is human rights, or the rule of law. These principles are the things that we should really focus on. These elements lead to a system that is not based on personalities, but based on a process. These are the elements I think we all can agree on. We should not really judge Afghans or Afghanistan by the standards of Australia. Sometimes I think there are snap judgements made, and people ask “why is Afghanistan doing this like this?” But I think in certain ways this is the system which has been in place for thousands of years. I think to specifically answer your question, the tribal system is a consultative process. You don’t really make a decision unless it is a collective decision. So in its nature, that is what is considered democracy; the majority wins. Yes, the modalities and the processes are different, but the outcome at the end is similar to what is practised in a democracy. Q: What has it meant for women in Afghanistan to be more active in society? HK: Women have played a significant role in Afghanistan. I remember when I was a child, many of my female relatives were teachers, and therefore they contributed to society. But unfortunately that process has ended with the Taliban, and has been further hindered by international terrorism. Fifty per cent of our population are women, and slowly they have resumed a lot of their former roles. We have several female Ministers and women make up twenty eight per cent of our Parliament. This is a direct result of voters wanting women in Parliament. Women are now taking their rightful place in society, and this can also be seen in the increasing number of female teachers and doctors. However, there are still significant problems in rural areas. One of the greatest challenges is education, because in certain rural areas, people do not think girls should go to school. However, Afghans are optimistic and with time I believe we can overcome these issues. Q: Media reports suggest that Afghanistan is about to go into political negotiations with the Taliban. Is the Taliban a political party or an insurgency group? HK: The Taliban’s ideal goal is to be seen by Afghans as a political movement rather than a military group. At this stage, they are obviously regarded as an insurgent force. The Afghan government has implemented various different strategies and policies in order to potentially open up this dialogue. But what is needed from the Taliban’s side is peaceful discussion and negotiations. I think that with the support of the international community, the insurgents particularly the Taliban - must be allowed to resume a dialogue with the government and directly voice their concerns about an issue. These talks could take place in a foreign country, on neutral ground. At this stage, I think there is a great deal of confusion about what is going on, with so many different players acting on behalf of their own countries and trying to find their own leverage. Sometimes this is done in a hasty manner because many of these countries are tired of the conflict and simply want to get out. The long-term goal is for the Taliban to be part of the political process rather than being a military force. Q: How have NATO forces been received by the Afghan people? HK: I think in Afghanistan we have had a variety of external forces come in for different reasons. This can be traced all the way back to Alexander The Great, the British and then the Russians. These empires came in as an invader, as an occupying force. When NATO came in it was seen as a peacekeeper rather than an occupier. This is why almost nine years later we still do not have open riots or revolts against the coalition forces. People would say the perception is slowly changing, but at this stage still they are not an occupier, even though the insurgents would like to tell you that Afghanistan is like an occupied state because all these people are here. But Afghans still believe the international community is here to help because they see a visible impact on their lives. More specifically, they see that their kids are able to go to school. They have roads, clinics and things like that. At one point our infant mortality rate was one of the highest in the world, but because of various types of assistance, this has fallen significantly. Although Afghan’s see the international community in some instances as making mistakes, at the same time, they see a contribution to the wellbeing of the entire society. Part two of this interview will follow in next month’s publication, themed ‘Afghanistan’. * Olivia is studying a Bachelor of Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University. Career Spotlight with Tyrell Haberkorn: a discussion about democracy, Thailand, academia and activism Interviewed by Olivia Cable. Tyrell Haberkorn is a Research Fellow in the department of Political and Social Change in the School of International, Political and Strategic Studies at the Australia National University (ANU). Prior to her position at the ANU, she was a Postdoctoral Fellow in Peace and Conflict Studies at Colgate University in the US from 2007 to 2009. Haberkorn first travelled to Thailand in 1997 as an undergraduate student interested in international labour solidarity. Since then, her academic and human rights work has been focused on understanding and working against the recent violence in Southeast Asia. She recently completed a book about farmers' tenancy struggles between 1951 and 1976 in Chiang Mai and Lamphun provinces in Thailand entitled ‘Revolution Interrupted: Farmers, Law, and Violence in Northern Thailand,’ which will be published by the University of Wisconsin Press in early 2011. Her research interests include human rights, violence, sovereignty, arbitrary detention, socialism and Southeast Asia (Thailand). Haberkorn received her BA in Cultural Studies and Creative Writing from UNC-Chapel Hill (1999) and her MA (2003) and PhD (2007) in Socio-cultural Anthropology from Cornell University. Q: For you, what are the core values of democracy? TH: Freedom of speech, a right to dissent without fear of repercussions and equal access to justice for all people. Q: How did you apply for, and what did you study during your Fullbright Fellowship? TH: As an undergraduate student, I spent four months in Thailand working around labour solidarity. I was very active in the student labour movement in the US and was interested in how to build solidarity between North American activists and Southeast Asian activists. Much of the labour solidarity work in the US at the time (in the mid 90’s) was concerned with justice for people who were producing all the clothes and shoes for the US; most of the production was taking place in Vietnam and Indonesia. I decided the best way to learn how to act in solidarity – and I still believe this now - was to create a relationship with the people who were working across lines of difference and space in order to produce progressive change in labour justice. I decided the best way to think about solidarity was to actually experience it. The four months I spent working with a Thai womens worker organisation – in which I did whatever they needed me to do – was very transformative. I learned a lot and wanted to go back to Thailand. I was also very interested in how to be an academic and an activist at the same time. When I wrote my Fulbright application I had a very simplistic idea – I would design a project that was half advocacy work and half research. I was based in Chiang Mai and spent half of each week working at a women’s studies centre at Chiang Mai University. The other half of each week was spent working with women’s organisations. The entire time I was trying to figure out how to bring the two spaces together – in my life as well as the research and advocacy work going on around me. Q: And how successful was it? TH: It was really hard, because ultimately the goals are different. The goals of an advocate and a researcher are different. For me, this means that as a scholar I tend not to write about the present. When I wrote about the present, I do it in reports for human rights organisations or in an editorial or something else. The situation has not changed and that is why my academic work is far more historical. I try to keep some sort of a boundary between what I do as a scholar and what I do as an activist. I think this is because I feel as though if I am going to write about violence and suffering in the present – and ask people who are surviving or have suffered living in a repressive regime – then I cannot stop at only writing about it. One of the things I have found really nice about coming to Australia and the ANU is that there are lots of people who are engaged in advocacy in some form and it is seen as OK. In the past I’ve been asked “how can you be an objective scholar if you also have a political perspective?” I found that to be a ridiculous question. Everybody has a political perspective even if one does not disclose it. One is always writing in the service of something. A few years ago I was asked “how can you hide your feelings from your students so they are not swayed by what you think politically?” What a question! Why would one want to hide one’s perspective? Students – and anyone who has been in the classroom knows this - are not going to write in one political persuasion or another just because their lecturer does. I was teaching in the US between 2005 and 2009, right when the tide was changing in terms of the broad perception of the war on terror. In 2005, I was teaching about torture and what it means democracies use torture against people they deem as less than human – a strategy used repeatedly by the US as part of the so-called “War on Terror,” Particularly during the first few years, the classrooms I was in were very divided, with a great number of students in support of the use of torture. Given my own stance – that I think the use of torture is never acceptable -- it was a little bit paradoxical that I helped people who agreed with torture to figure out how to argue their perspective more effectively. But my job as a lecturer is to help people, whatever their perspective, learn how to be better writers and how to articulate what they think. Q: What were the highlights and lowlights of working in Thailand? TH: The highlight has been, and continues to be, the opportunity to learn so much from people who have experienced things I have not. My dissertation - which then became my first book - was about Thailand in 1950 to the 1970’s. I talked to people who were part of a political movement, and had they not been repressed, they could have changed the country completely. In some ways they did change the country completely, despite the fact that the movement was crushed in 1976. I found it really amazing to listen to stories about how people built alliances across class boundaries and how they discovered themselves as new political subjects. I felt really lucky to listen to these stories of transformation. The lowlight, particularly over the last four years since the September 2006 coup, has been watching a real culture of fear develop, and [myself feeling] very concerned about what that will mean for the future. People are really afraid; they are afraid to express their views, afraid to sign petitions. In some cases, people are afraid about their colleagues or neighbours knowing their political views because there is a sense than anyone may be listening and there may be repercussions. In terms of democracy, I really worry about what the effects of that kind of fear will have on future prospects for democratic change and the emergence and consolidation of the rule of law. I am utterly frustrated that when people discuss Thailand so much emphasis is placed on elections and the idea that as long as there are free and fair elections there is democracy. It seems to me that what is missed when democracy is defined in this fashion is an analysis of how fear has operated since 1932; extrajudicial violence and the constant stream of coups is a huge piece of that. And how do you measure fear? That is one of those difficult analytic questions. There is no unit of analysis for fear. Q: What lesson did you learn from working in the Peace and Conflict Studies program at Colgate University? TH: All sorts of things. It was a wonderful program to teach in. It has been there since the 60’s but changed very much in the early 2000’s. What was exciting about being part of the program was that I was able to teach in a really inventive, creative structure. Students within peace and conflict studies chose one of three streams in which to concentrate: collective violence, human security or social movements. The students were amazing; they were quite phenomenal. There were students from all over the world with different perspectives and all had different reasons for being in the program. Lots of students wanted to do development or humanitarian work. Some students wanted to be teachers. The occasional student wanted to be an investment banker and saw the importance of studying the growing climate of conflict in the world. I found it really inspiring teaching there and it was an intensive experience. You are in a community of learning. Colgate is in a really small town with 3000 residents and as a result your work and social community are one and the same and that has its challenges. The pleasure of it is that you get to watch people change. I received an email from a past student this morning. I met her when she was a first year student and she is now in her fourth year and about to graduate. She was born in Bosnia and her family gained asylum in the US. She now wants to do her Masters in Human Rights. The best part of teaching is that you meet people who are far more brilliant and amazing than you yourself ever are or will be. That is the gift; you get to meet people who are undoubtedly going to change the world profoundly. It is an honour to witness a step of that journey. Q: How do you encourage students to be more active in promoting their democratic values? TH: That’s a good question. As a teacher, it is very simple - we teach people how to articulate what they think, whatever that is. Teaching students to take a stand, whatever that stand is. We are lucky to live in a place where you can do that without fear of retribution. Sometimes I think people do not appreciate or understand the significance of this. For example, if someone lived in Thailand or China now and posted something online under a pseudonym, they could go to jail, if the content was deemed to be threatening to the status quo. It is important to promote an appreciation of the freedom we experience. Q. For someone in the early stages of their career, what advice can you give to our readers who may be interested in the field of human rights or in conflict resolution? TH: To get involved, be persistent and learn what is happening in the world. I think it is important to figure what is going on in the world and where we fit into it. There are so many ways that one can be active in human rights or in ending conflict and supporting peace. I often say to students to volunteer because when there is an opportunity for a paid position you are in a good position for the job. Follow what is going on and think about what it means to be involved in human rights. Look at your position in the world and think critically about that; I think about my own trajectory and other peoples’ trajectories. There is the corollary of knowing where you are and what that means. There is knowing what you can do and also knowing the limitations. There is a great deal one cannot do. Sometimes stepping back and continuing to learn is really valuable. I think there are often concrete ways of getting involved. I think of people who have done Asian Studies at the ANU, who have fabulous language skills because the language requirement is significant. That is a really useful skill and one can get involved by offering to do free translation for organisations. The other thing I think is useful is writing analysis about what is going on. There are so many places to write and share one’s perspective and insight. There are an endless number of blogs and news sites that are looking for people to write. So as soon as one starts doing those things, one starts to then have the space to continue doing more work. [Haberkorn reaches for a book in her bookcase.] It is funny where this book comes from. I did a minor in studio art as an undergraduate. One of the artists we learned about was Felix Gonzalez-Torres who died in the early 90’s of complications from HIV/AIDS. He did some brilliant, amazing, confronting work about nationalism, disease and sexuality. He wrote about the art world and it is something I think about a lot. “I have always said, without any irony, that I love the art world. This is the world that I know; I am an artist and proud of it. As Che Geuvara said during the 1960s, – whatever you do, that is your trench. So this is my trench and I trust my agenda. People misunderstand this, thinking that for the “revolution” to succeed, everyone must literally go into the trenches. But no, we need hairdressers, bakers, carpenters, pastry chefs, artists -- not just guerrillas. As it is impossible to ever escape ideology, maybe to only way out is to work with the different levels of contradictions in our culture” He is not talking about the “revolution” per se, but I think there is something really valuable in that. There are so many different ways to intervene in injustice and the failures of democracy. And some are really obvious, like humanitarian aid. But then I think about things that are less apparent and one can also make a change. I think of my mother who is 72. She is a math professor. She teaches in a community college in the US where the vast majority of students have been grossly underserved by the education system and will likely not go on to a four-year college and maybe won’t even finish their degree. Her perspective of taking people seriously as thinkers - who haven’t been taken seriously as thinkers by the society around them – is a democratic act. So I think there are all sorts of ways that one can act in a part of democracy, that people don’t see on the list of more obvious things. There are all sorts of ways to foster democracy. I think about it as a teacher all the time. How I treat students is a part of that process. It is not enough to teach about democracy and justice and human rights. One has to figure out how to act in that way that is democratic and just. The source for the book is: Spector, Nancy. Felix Gonzalez-Torres. New York: Guggenheim Museum, 1995, page 100. * Olivia is studying a Bachelor of Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University. Global Snapshot for November 2010 By Sharna Thomason and Marcus Burke Africa Elections in Egypt As Parliamentary elections are approaching in Egypt, the Egyptian government has refused demands to allow international election observers into the country. President Hosni Mubarak has been in power since 1981 and is expected to continue to hold office after the Presidential elections in 2011. Some observers suggest that he is grooming his son, Gamal, to take over the presidency. Commentators have called on the United States to put more pressure on Egypt to accept election observers and to uphold democracy in the country. UNESCO Prize on Hold The United Nations Education, Science and Culture Organisation (UNESCO) has announced an indefinite suspension of the ‘UNESCO-Obiang Nguema Mbasogo International Prize for Research in the Life Science’. The prize had sparked controversy, due to the human rights record of President Obiang’s rule in Equatorial Guinea, as well as allegations of major corruption by the President and his family. The decision has been welcomed by human rights organisations. The Americas Kirchner passes away Nestor Kirchner, former President of Argentina and husband of the current President has died from a heart attack. Kirchner was still a prominent and powerful politician in his own right and was widely expected to run for the Presidency again, possibly alternating with his wife in order to avoid term limits. The Kirchners have been criticised for their attacks on the media and his death leaves the result in next year’s presidential elections more uncertain. Although Kirchner experienced periods of great popularity in the country, the Presidential couple have also been blamed for populist policies, such as Argentina’s long economic malaise and continuing high inflation. Following the news, stocks in Argentina rose in anticipation of more open economic policies. Canada misses out on Security Council bid Canada has failed to secure a rotating position on the United Nations Security Council for the first time since World War II. Canada withdrew the bid after voting indicated that Portugal would win the seat. Commentators have suggested that less internationalist policies by recent Canadian governments on peacekeeping, the environment and cuts in the diplomatic corps contributed more directly to the loss. In securing a rotating seat in 2012, Canada and Australia are both part of the ‘Western Europe and Others’ group. Mid-terms in the United States November will see mid-term elections taking place in the United States, with Republicans expected to take control of Congress. The Republican Party has faced its own divide as Tea Party candidates challenge many party-backed incumbents in primaries across the country. The Tea Party has managed to defeat several mainstream candidates. However, it remains to be seen how Tea Party candidates fare in a general election, where their more conservative views may cause a loss of votes amongst Independents and moderate Republicans. Many key races will be decided on issues such as health care reform and the economy. Asia G20 Seoul Summit The Finance Ministers of the nations of the G20 gathered in Seoul to finalise the agenda for the G20 Seoul Summit, which takes place 11-12th November 2010. After much discussion about current currency rates, the members agreed that the Summit should "refrain from a competitive devaluation of currencies" and aim for a "more market-determined exchange rate systems”. The US struggled to convince other nations to commit to a deal to cut the current account surpluses of emerging markets. Furthermore, the US came under fire http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE69L27Z20101022 from Germany and China for the weak stance it has taken on its own monetary policy. Disagreements between Finance Ministers at the summit have included the decision to implement marginal adjustments on quotas and voting rights in the IMF. This decision is two-fold; current quotas held by IMF members are set to double, and quota holding will shift in favour of emerging markets, namely China, Brazil and India. Burma’s national election result a foregone conclusion Burmese citizens will cast their vote on November 7, 2010 in the first national election in 20 years. The last multi-party election in 1990, saw the National League for Democracy (NLD), lead by Aung San Suu Kyi, win a landslide victory after securing more than 80 percent of the seats. However, the NLD never took office and Aung San Suu Kyi has spent most of her time under house arrest. The 2010 election has been carefully planned by the military ruler Senior General Than Shwe. With 25 per cent of the seats reserved for the armed forces, it would seem that the outcome of this election has already been determined. The Election Commission, which has been appointed by the government, announced in September that voting will not be held in 3,300 villages in the Shan state, disenfranchising 1.5 million voters. Over 2,000 prisoners of conscience continue to be detained in prison or under house arrest and are thus neither able to vote nor allowed to be members of a party. With the possibility of further arrests and more than 20 extrajudicial killings, the NLD, who refuse to run without its leader and fear prosecution by the Election Commission if they do, have decided not to contest the election. A report to the Third Committee of the United Nations General Assembly, stated that the "election result is a foregone conclusion" and the international community should begin to focus on Burma post-election. Despite only holding one multi-party election in the past 50 years, in his address to the 65th session of the UN General Assembly, Burma’s Foreign Minister Nyan Win asserted “that the Burmese government, with its ample experience and lessons learned in holding multiparty general elections in the past, … is confident in its ability to conduct the elections in an orderly manner.” The question of how much can be learnt from the one multi-party election held since General Ne Win seized power in 1962 and in which the winning party never took office, remains. Europe Senate passes pension reform in France With 177 votes in favour and 153 against, the French Senate passed a bill which will raise the minimum pension age from 60 to 62 years and the full state pension age from 65 to 67. Due to recent riots, protests and strikes across France, the government was able to speed up the debate in the upper house by using a special constitutional clause. Opponents claim that this was simply a way for the government to push through the reform with minimal debate and amendments. The opposition spokesman in the senate, Jean-Pierre Bel, asserts that the government has not listened to the proposals put forth by the public and therefore acting unfairly. Of the 1,237 amendments submitted, only a minimal number were accepted. The protests and strikes have been spearheaded by the unions, with the most significant impact being felt by the blockading of all 12 oil refineries in France, some for as long as 10 days. This has caused more than 2,000 petrol stations to run dry, and caused transport mayhem. With two weeks of school holiday, and the passing of the bill, it was hoped that the protests will lose momentum. The unions however continued to take a stand and had scheduled two further days of protests. Toxic floods in Hungary On October 4, Hungary experienced the worst chemical accident on record when the banks of the Ajkai Timfoldgyar plant dam burst, flooding villages with a 2 metre-high wave of toxic red sludge. As a result, there have been 8 deaths and 2.5 million acres of farmland contaminated. More concerning, however, is the danger to thousands of people living along the Danube River who have been affected by this catastrophe. Despite communism falling across Eastern Europe in 1989 the effects of the industrial legacy are still being acutely felt. This legacy has left over 1,000 contaminated sites across Romania perhaps many more that are unaccounted for. Recycling methods exist, although for various political and social reasons they are not being implemented. Secrecy about these issues now compounds the problem. Contaminated sites, such as the Ajkai plant, remain unknown until they become the cause of widespread damage. Moscow’s new Mayor After the controversial ousting of the former Mayor of Moscow, Yury Luzhkov, Sergei Sobyanin has been announced as the new Mayor. Prior to the announcement, President Medvedev reportedly offered the position to Arnold Schwarzenegger as well asseveral rock musicians. The appointment of Sobyanin, has fuelled speculation that Prime Minister Putin will run in the 2012 presidential election.Sobyanin is a former Chief of Staff in Putin’s office and has stated that although “no longer a member of the Cabinet, he will remain a member of Putin’s team”. If Putin does run in 2012, the votes of Moscow’s 10 million strong population are crucial to his potential campaign. The Prime Minister has reserved comment so far. Middle East Dead Sea Scrolls Online The Israel Antiquities Authority has entered into partnership with Google to document the entire collection of the Dead Sea Scrolls online. Manuscripts of the scrolls will be digitised using the most advanced and innovative technologies available. As well as giving the world access to the manuscripts - up until 20 years ago only a tight circle of scholars had viewed the scrolls - the use of infra-red light will create new research opportunities by rediscovering text which has faded over the 2,000 years. The scrolls were discovered near Israel’s Dead Sea between 1947 and 1956 and contain the earliest known versions of every book of the Hebrew Bible, except for the Book of Esther. The controversial scrolls date from the third century B.C. to the first century A.D. and continue to be at the centre of heated debate because their contents shed light on the history of Judaism and early Christianity. The Dead Sea Scrolls will be available online in six months. West Bank settlement freeze comes to an end Jewish settlers in the West Bank are rushing to construct 600 homes in the West Bank settlements before the building freeze is renewed. A 10-month moratorium, which was imposed to halt all construction in the area, came to end on September 26, 2010. This has caused the surge in construction as settlers fear Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will buckle under pressure from the US. Hagit Ofran, from Peace Now has stated that the increase in construction was anticipated as settlers “have an estimated 13,000 old permits that were issued before the freeze." There has also been a recent increase in damage and vandalism of Palestinian property and crops, with schools, mosques and olive plantations all being targeted. Largest US arms deal in history The United States announced an estimated $60 billion arms deal with Saudi Arabia. One of the largest arms deals in US history, it is not only aimed at dealing with Iran’s increasing military arsenal but also enhances the support of an armed and US backed Saudi Arabia in the volatile region. Israel, who is traditionally wary of arms deals with Arab states, stated that they were not pleased with the deal, but did not attempt to stop it. Efraim Inbar, director of the Begin-Sadat Centre for Strategic Studies at Bar Ilan University says “Israel is moving toward a policy of ‘pick your fights." Iraq War leaked documents The leaking of a further 40,000 classified documents by Wikileaks has drawn criticism from those nations who have troops fighting in Iraq, astonishment from citizens fearing the safety of troops and military strategy, and relief from Iraqis that “the truth they long suspected was finally made public”. The Pentagon and the UK government has condemned the publication of the documents by Wikileaks, stating that the lives of the troops in Iraq have been put in danger and has made the operations in Iraq even more difficult. The citizens of Iraq, who have witnessed abuse and death at the hands of coalition forces, are relieved that the truth has finally come to light. It was the citizens of the Western nations involved in the Iraqi war who seem to be the most shocked. Following the leak, the UK Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg has called for an inquiry into the allegations in the documents. Clegg’s Liberal Democrats opposed the invasion of Iraq and called the war “illegal”. The inquiry into the Iraq war continues in Britain with a report due later this year. International World Food Crisis The threat of insecure food supplies continues for poor nations as the cost of food increases. Food prices have risen significantly in the past five years, due to a combination of high oil prices, increased demand in Asia, changing diets in India and China and the diversion of productive land for growing bio-fuels. According to a new report by the World Food Program, twenty-two countries are at risk of “long lasting hunger crises” triggered by violence, drought and natural disasters. Corruption Rankings Transparency International has released its Corruption Perceptions Index for 2010, based on surveys of business people. Denmark, New Zealand and Singapore ranked equal first as the least corrupt countries, whilst Afghanistan, Myanmar and Somalia ranked as the most corrupt. Countries that have improved their rankings since last year include Chile, Ecuador, Kuwait and Qatar, whilst a number of countries hit by the global financial crisis, including Greece and the United States have seen their rankings fall. * Sharna graduated with a Master of Diplomacy and Trade from Monash University, Melbourne. She is a passionate human rights advocate and is currently working for the Victorian State Government. * Marcus is currently completing a Masters in Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. He also has a combined Law/Science degree from the University of Melbourne, and has most recently been working in the IT industry. Issue 11 Message from the editor By Olivia Cable The October edition of Monthly Access focuses on the rise of China, an issue that has gained renewed attention after Hugh White's controversial Quarterly Essay, ‘Power Shift: Australia’s Future between Washington and Beijing’. In Q&A, Hugh White tells us why he wrote his Quarterly Essay and his thoughts on the strong negative reaction to his essay. In Your Feedback we revisit the 'burqa debate' and China's economic power. In Career Spotlight, we interview Anthony Milner about his career in Track II diplomacy, his dealings with China, and the Asialink Leadership Program. Julia Rabar examines in depth the disputes surrounding Hugh White's Quarterly Essay, the South China Sea conflict plus more in Contemporary Debate. Our News Hit guest column this month collaborates with the Access Press Room to report on the recent Access presentation by Jason Thomas, an international development worker returning from eight months in Afghanistan. In Global Snapshot, Sharna Thomason and Marcus Burke have produced a detailed report on September’s world news: from Sudan to Russia, Belgium to North Korea. Finally, our events section keeps you up to date with events at the AIIA Victoria and Canberra, along with the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the ANU. I'd like to welcome Marcus Burke and Rachel Hankey to our editorial team. Rachel has completed a degree in Ancient History at the University of Durham and shall return next year to the UK to begin a Masters in International Relations at Kings College. Marcus is currently completing a Masters in Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. We are fortunate to have them both on board. As always, many thanks to Ishita Acharyya and Andrew Zammit for their continuing support. Your Feedback On great power rivalry and revisiting the burqa debate. On crossing the river by feeling the stones By Andrew Forrest In his response to my article, ‘Crossing the River by Feeling the Stones: Beijing’s Balancing Act’, Shekhar John (Your Feedback - August 2010 MA) rightly points out that China’s growing economic power, relative to that of the United States and Japan, leaves it well placed to play an increasingly prominent role in the region. I reject his assumption, however, that this necessarily enhances China’s regional bargaining strength when it comes to issues of strategic importance to China and the United States. Many governments are deeply concerned about what an economically dominant China means for the long-term stability of the region. If China’s economy keeps growing, its strategic weight will grow too. My point is that China’s strategists would be aware of this conundrum. It is fertile ground for those seeking to make the argument that strengthening US-Japan security arrangements are a necessary counterweight to a China that wants to exercise more power in Asia – whether China wants to do so or not. * Andrew is a Lowy Institute Intern and recently completed his PhD at the School of International and Political Studies at Deakin University A Veil of Hypocrisy By Leigh Howard In response to Antonio Cruz, (Banning the burqa - June 2010 MA). In 1993, a female solicitor walked into a Victorian court sporting polka-dot stockings, an above-the-knee skirt and a bright red ponytail. The judge, so dismayed by her appearance, threatened to stop the court proceedings and leave the court unless she returned home and changed into appropriate business attire. The judge's reaction led to widespread condemnation and spawned an Australian Law Reform Commission inquiry into gender and the legal profession. In 2010, the way a female chooses to dress in court has again grabbed the attention of the public. This time however it is a little different. A witness who is to give evidence later this year in Perth was intending to do so wearing a niqab headscarf, the Muslim headdress that covers everything but the eyes. Late last month Judge Shauna Deane ordered that the witness was not entitled to wear it, attributing her decision to the need of the jury to view her facial expressions when giving evidence. What these two women have in common is that they were merely trying to express themselves through their dress. What these two women do not have in common is how the public has reacted to their respective controversies. Prime Minister Julia Gillard said that the niqab ought to be removed because the public interest compels it. Opposition leader Tony Abbot stated that the niqab is "confronting" and declared his wish that fewer Australian women wear it. This reaction and the subsequent decision of Her Honour is so out rightly hypocritical and intolerant that it beggars belief. Australian courts should be first in line to protect religious rights and freedoms; they rely on them everyday. Every time a witness enters the witness box in an Australian court they are asked to give evidence on oath. They are handed the Holy Bible and asked to Swear By Almighty God that their evidence will be true. The court relies on the full thrust of God's power to deliver the truth to the courtroom. Australian Courts now carry a Koran for the benefit of Muslim witnesses. Moreover they are prepared to go to great lengths in order obtain an oath under the Koran - there are stories of female court staff having to locate male staff to administer an oath under the Koran after objections to a woman touching the Koran. This is partly why some courts cover their Korans in cloth. Yet, when a woman who wants to wear the niqab in the witness box it is a different story. Her religion is no longer relevant. The court will use her religion in order to obtain the truth, but will not let her express it freely. This is because, as Her Honour found, the jury should be able to see her facial expressions to determine the credibility of her evidence. Few would argue that nonverbal communication does not play a role in ordinary conversation. However, did the Judge consider how her facial expressions would be affected by an order stripping her of the religious clothing she has worn for nearly 20 years? Obviously not. It could only exacerbate the jury’s task of deciphering her demeanor. Psychologists have consistently pointed out (as have judges of other jurisdictions around the world in regards to this issue) that the ordinary persons perception of what is a dishonest facial expression is inaccurate at best. However, these were not considerations of Her Honour. Instead she ordered that the niqab should be removed. In doing so, Her Honour has made a mockery of the reliance placed upon religion by our justice system, not to mention a mockery of the freedom that all Australian women ought to have when deciding on what to wear to court. Unfortunately for the woman concerned, there will be no widespread condemnation like her polka dotted counterpart enjoyed in 1993. This clearly demonstrates why this country has a long way to go when it comes to religious and ethnic equality. * Leigh Howard is currently completing a double undergraduate degree in International Relations and Law at LaTrobe University with Honours. His honours thesis is focusing on emissions trading and international trade law. Q&A with Professor Hugh White With Olivia Cable As China aspires for regional leadership, how will the future play out in Asia? China’s desire to lead Asia depends upon the United States conceding to it. If the US sticks around, it will be very hard for China to establish dominance in the region. In his recent Quarterly Essay ‘Power Shift: Australia’s Future between Washington and Beijing’, Professor Hugh White, head of the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University, discusses why a ‘concert of powers’ system (a shared leadership) is Australia’s best outcome for the future order in Asia. Professor White is an expert in policy making – he was the principle author of the 2000 Defence White Paper, deputy secretary of the Defence Department and a senior advisor on the staffs of Defence Minister Kim Beazley and Prime Minister Bob Hawke. He believes this is an important debate Australian policy makers need to have, and that the potential for a negative outcome will have consequences in every aspect of our national life. What has prompted you to write your essay at this point in time? HW: It seemed to me that the time was right for a big national debate on the way we respond to the questions for Australian foreign policy that are raised by the rise of China. We must also consider the way America responds to that rise, and the way in which Asia as whole is shaped as a result. The issue has obviously been around for a long time but it seemed to me that over the last year or so the urgency has become a lot more apparent and that this would not be a bad time to try and get those issues on the table and encourage people to start discussing them. What do you make of the strong negative reaction to your essay? misinterpreted your argument? Have other people HW: The Quarterly Essay raises some very important and sensitive issues. I deliberately raise them in stark terms because I do think they require urgent attention. I thought it was easy for people to pay attention to them and debate them seriously if they were stated as plainly as possible. So to that extent, I’m not at all surprised that there has been some strong and negative reaction. I think I expected the kind of reaction that has arisen in some circles, both in its tone and in its specific arguments. I do think that many of the negative comments that have been made are addressed in the text of the essay. It never makes sense to complain that your material has been misinterpreted. I think what happens in the heated debate is that people simplify your position or tend to overlook the parts of your argument that respond to their argument. I don’t mind. One should never be surprised that one gets a bit emotional over these things. Defence, security and foreign policy are inherently emotional things, they go very deep to our sense of ourselves as a country, and people take them very seriously. So do I. That is why I work in this field. So I’m not surprised or offended that people take them that way. In particular, I have very deliberately and very starkly set out to oppose what I think are genuinely very difficult choices for Australia and when people are faced with difficult choices they do tend to respond very emotionally. Power can be defined as the ability to influence others. Internationally, where is China influencing others? HW: Let me answer that in two parts. The first is what kind of power does China exercise at the moment and the second is what power might China seek to exercise in the future. I think at the moment one of the most significant things about the rise in that last three decades, and certainly in the last 15 years, has been how modest China has been in seeking to exercise power. For example, China has for a long time been such an important economic player for so many countries in Asia that it had the potential to use that power to shape its Asian neighbours policies on strategic and defence issues, although up until now it has chosen not to. When countries like Australia say “we don’t have to chose between our alliance with the United States and our economic relationship with China”, that is partly because China has not required us to choose. If China said to us “we’d rather you didn’t support the US on an issue, and if you do, it would affect your economic prospects” then Australia would have been under real pressure to accommodate China, at least to a certain degree. Now, I’m not saying we would have submitted to that pressure and I’m not saying that would have been cost-free for China. It would have been an unwise thing for China to do and it would have cost them a great deal. For example, China would have to buy its iron ore from somewhere else and possibly at higher prices. Having power does not necessarily mean you have the capacity to exercise it without cost. There is always a cost to be paid for every step, but I think China has the potential power to shape our conduct in numerous ways, although it has chosen not to. But now China is exercising it: you can see the way in which Alexander Downer regarded Taiwan falling under the ANZUS treaty in 2004. You can see it in the way China has started to develop political and military relations with our immediate neighbours, you can see it in China’s more assertive approach in the South China Sea. These are exercises of power. We are already seeing China exercise power; the key question is how will that evolve in the future. I think that the answer remains very unclear. We hope that China will exercise its power in ways that are consistent with the international system - a set of expectations, norms - which look like the ones we are familiar with. One might say our aim is to make sure the regional order evolves in which China uses its power in those terms. We cannot take that for granted. That is what makes the present moment so challenging. How has the US developed a national security policy to handle the shift in power towards China? HW: I think core to that answer is that it [hasn’t] quite. I think one of the most distinctive features of the last decade has been how strongly the United States has focused on terrorism and the associated problems. The commitments the United States has undertaken as a result of terrorism has been to the detriment of its capacity to face the challenges in Asia posed by China. We have therefore seen a long decade of American administrations that have defined America’s principal strategic challenges as those that flow from terrorism in the Middle East. I think that has been wrong the whole time. That is not to say that what happens in the Middle East is not important, nor that terrorism is not important. Nonetheless, China has always posed a much more substantial long-term challenge for America’s position in the world than terrorism. The result – history might judge – is that the most significant long-term impact of 9/11 is that it distracted America from the threat posed by China. This occurred in the critical decade in which America could have taken action. So I think we now have a United States that is battered and bruised in the post-9/11 decade, politically, economically and to some extent strategically. [America] is only now, this year, really starting to understand the true extent of the long-term challenge posed by China. And [the US] has hardly begun to work out how to respond. I think the risk is if the US does not think deeply about how to respond, it will react without proper consideration. If it responds without through consideration, it will respond by competing. China’s military power is a big factor in this picture, and the increase in China’s military capability, in particular its capacity to deny Western naval forces access to areas in the Western Pacific, is a significant strategic shift. In a sense, that is only a symptom of a deeper shift towards a more competitive relationship. So what really matters is not so much what armed forces are being built or deployed where, but rather what expectations each has of the others policies and what approach they take in order to respond to the other’s power. My simple analysis is that America faces a choice between withdrawal in the western Pacific in the face of China’s challenge, sharing power with China, or contesting their superiority with the growing Asian power. China faces a parallel set of challenges. It can withdraw from the competition and leave the field to the United States, it can agree to share power with the United States, or it can compete with the United States. The decision each of them makes will depend a lot on the decision the other one makes; they are in this together. My reluctant expectation is that they are most likely to end up competing. It is that competition which will drive, for example, the development of military capabilities on each side, rather than a military strike competition. China’s defence force has no aircraft carriers whilst the United States has twelve. Can you elaborate on their asymmetries? HW: There is a lot of asymmetry in their position, capabilities and power. In addition, there is asymmetry in their aspirations. The United States aspires to be – and is – a global power. Therefore, when comparing the US to China, you’re comparing a regional power against a global power. I don’t think China has any serious global aspirations; it has individual interests in other parts of the world. I don’t think it intends to function as a great power beyond Asia, whereas America does aim to function as a global power. So I think the strategic competition between China and the US, is inherently unequal in that China is only playing on one board and America is playing on five or six; this is a big advantage to China. The second point is that China is the local power. America is the power that has to project force into the Western Pacific. The US has to achieve sea control and project power around Asia. Its strategic position in the Western Pacific depends upon its capacity to sustain military aspects of sea control. China does not have to sustain sea control. China can neutralise the American power in the Western Pacific by achieving sea denial, which is much easier than establishing sea control in its own right. So, why does China have no aircraft carriers? It doesn’t need one. Its not trying to project power the way the United States is. That’s the essence of the asymmetry. China is not trying to do what the United States is trying to do, so it doesn’t need the same type of force or the same amount of money. The odds are stacked China’s way in this competition. China’s hopes in leading [the region] depend on the US leaving. The US is too powerful for China to dominate. If the US remains in the region they will both frustrate one another. You close your essay by referring to Australia’s defence force, proposing that Australia has “not taken defence seriously because any threat has seemed so unlikely and American support has been so certain. The result is a defence organisation – military and civilian – which can scarcely maintain and deliver many of the capabilities we have now…”. What must the government do between now and 2020, in order to prepare for a potential switch in defence reliance from the US to China? HW: I’m not arguing we would switch our reliance from the United States to China. It is one possibility, but the least likely. We need to be more careful to develop the capabilities we most need, which will allow us to achieve our primary strategic objectives. We need to be much more rigorous in how we think about the kinds of armed forces we need and the way we deliver them. We need to define much more precisely the risks we think we’re worried about, what our interests are, what features of the international system shape those risks, what our objectives are, and what our operational priorities should be to achieve our objectives to protect our interests. We then need to work out how to deliver those capabilities as cost effectively as possible. * Hugh White is Professor of Strategic Studies and head of the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University. He is also a Visiting Fellow at the Lowy Institute for International Policy. Career Spotlight with Anthony Milner With Olivia Cable Anthony Milner is a Basham Professor of Asian History at the Australian National University (ANU). Prior to this position, he was Dean of Asian Studies at the ANU. Active in Track II diplomacy with ASEAN-Australian relations, Anthony is genuinely passionate about Australia-Asia engagement. Anthony has been deeply involved at the AIIA, from research chair to President of the Canberra branch. He was on the national executive of the institute for some years and is currently on the editorial committee of the Australian Journal of International Affairs. He is also a life member of the AIIA. Anthony was taught by John Legge at university. How is studying in Asia today different from when you were studying in the 1960’s? AM: I think in the 1960’s I was more concerned with disciplines than I am today, or more so than people are today, and I still am. I think I regarded myself as an historian who was learning about political science or anthropology. I think it was more a discipline-based understanding of the Asian region. It’s about how knowledge is organised within disciplines and then the way in which one gained from another. I still think that’s an advantage and maybe we neglect that at the moment. I was a student at Monash, which was a really good centre for Southeast Asian studies. I’m now here at the ANU, also a great centre for Asian studies. So I started my career and more or less ended it at centres that are major area-study centres. But I suspected that at Monash the discipline was more important and I think when I went on to be a student at Cornell University, which I did for 4 or 5 years, again I was in a strong area-studies program – Southeast Asian studies. What I remember most about it was the movement between disciplines; the probing of anthropology and literary criticisms, and to some extent art history and relating them to history. We studied Southeast Asia, but we had theoretical concerns all the time. I guess they’re there now, I get the sense a number of students are more area oriented. At least here at the ANU. You have obviously travelled to the Asian region many times. What changes have you seen among Chinese communities? AM: I focus very much on Southeast Asia. Of course they were there in the earlier decades of the building of nations states, so perhaps it was inevitable it to see change. There was a time when you had a strong communist China identifying and pushing revolutionary movements around the region. Now I think there is much more of a sense of those Chinese communities being comfortable with their ‘Chinese-ness’, identifying as being Chinese more explicitly. With the rise of China and the reduction of the sense of a revolutionary state, that softening makes it easier to be Chinese in Southeast Asia. Having said that, presumably there are new issues now emerging. This increases the sharpening of Chinese identity in Southeast Asia. And one has to ask what sort of problems that might lead to in the next few years, and I’m not sure. But clearly it’s a change and an interesting change. A second element to this is how do the Southeast Asians themselves rather than Chinese Southeast Asians feel about the rise of China? There is some debate to the extent to which China may become the paramount power in the region. How accepting are they of that? Some of my colleagues have suggested they are very accepting of that, others suggest that there is some anxiety about it. I think that there is some anxiety around. That’s one of the reasons why Southeast Asian’s are rather interested in the United States relations and to some extent Australian relations too at the moment. I don’t think this is a question of containing China, but there is some sort of balancing going on and that is interesting. Exactly what form of structure this region is going to take in the next few decades, I think this is as yet unclear, and it is a really interesting question that we need to be thinking hard about, and it must not take for granted. You are a specialist in Track II diplomacy. Why are they important and in what capacity are you working with the Chinese? AM: The Track II diplomacy that I’m involved in is the Council for Security Cooperation in the Asia Pacific. Des Ball and I are co-chairs and have been for some years, and I have learnt a lot from him. It is a security organisation that is Track II. It works primarily with the ASEAN Regional Forum, which is a Track I organisation. The other thing I have been very much involved in is Asialink. I cooperated with them when I was Dean at the ANU and continue to work with them. Asialink has the ‘Asialink Conversations’. They have been held in Malaysia, Vietnam, Cambodia and India and they are a lively Track II operation. I’m one of the organisers and founders of that, and they involve some quite influential people who I think are really are productive. I have also been involved with the St. James Ethics Centre’s regional meetings, led by Simon Longstaff; I think they are excellent. I am also involved with the AIIA, the Australia-Singapore Dialogue, which I think was very worthwhile. The big thing in the last three years was the development of the Australia-New Zealand-ASEAN Dialogue. The third of these is coming up in late November this year. I think this is a very positive thing and our government is being very supportive of it. Now, why is this important? Because in this region, this is the way they do things. Track II matters. It’s more informal. It’s a place where people throw around ideas, experiment with new plans, exchange views about anxieties about one another’s behaviour. They just talk more freely and yet Track II, unlike purely academic meetings, is in touch with government. The result is that when an idea is thrown around, or the possibility for a new collaboration or cooperation is in the air, this can be communicated rapidly to the governments concerned. So at times, Track II can be quite useful to government. It is also useful with regards to fully utilise existing interactions and communications. There may be things going on in academia, medicine, or relating to disaster relief. These can be brought into Track II and thus to the attention to governments; this can sometimes lead to governments making good use of them or giving them practical assistance. So Track II is a useful process, which bridges the gap between the broad community and the government. And of course Track II involves the government in their private capacity. It’s a way of relating to government and relating to the broader community. It goes in both ways. But most of all they do it in the ASEAN region so it is part of the ASEAN way. You have had a lot of experience working with Australia-ASEAN engagement. In your opinion, how suitable is ASEAN as a regional architecture to accommodate a rising China? AM: ASEAN gets a huge amount of criticism that it’s not institutionalised enough, that it does not impinge enough, that it transcends the national sovereignty of the different constituent states in the ASEAN region. People say that it doesn’t solve enough practical problems. I think there is truth in that, but what we must take account of is that ASEAN really is a long-standing organisation. There is a sense of an ASEAN community – admittedly this is all very preliminary, but some progress has been made. There is some spread of norms of behaviour and of cooperation. I think the region could be much less peaceful that what it is today. It’s very hard to say how far ASEAN helps to soften the tensions in the region. But when you look at the relations between Southeast Asian states, it is clear that they are very artificial. They’re very much a product of the colonial period. So there is potential for tension, for example, between Malaysia and Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia, Malaysia and Singapore, Thailand and Myanmar, Cambodia and Thailand, Vietnam and Thailand. The potential for tension is enormous, and I think ASEAN and the ASEAN style of interaction has helped to soften and reduce tension. I accept that is a hard thing to prove. Secondly, it seems that the skills that ASEAN uses as an organisation to reduce the tension are really valuable skills that I see them attempting to use when dealing with China. This makes good sense to me. Again you can say, “what if China demands to get its way; it may just bash through all of these ASEAN norms and the ASEAN way and demand obedience?” It is possible but having said that, I can’t think of a better thing we can do through ASEAN to bring China more and more into a regional society. One which is more or less multilateral in its dynamics. So I have hope for ASEAN and am more positive about ASEAN than many of my colleagues are. As the convenor of the Asialink Leadership program, can you explain the aims of the program and who should apply? AM: My perspective on it may not be the institutional perspective, but this program has brought young Australians together. They may be corporate lawyers, rising accountants, gallery directors, someone in the military, or young politicians. These are generally people who have not learnt a great deal about Asian; people who have not done an Asian Studies degree. I think it means that you get some really bright people going somewhere in their own particular fields, but who are then brought together to think about Australia in its regional context. For quite a few years now, I’ve run the Canberra Retreat. The young professionals come to Canberra and they meet the diplomats. They meet people from the foreign affairs department, the foreign minister and the shadow foreign minister and other minsters. Also, they have the opportunity to meet Michelle Grattan and other people from the media. They meet key academics with knowledge of Asian countries, security issues and economic issues. The result is that they get a sense of the policy community in Canberra and how policy is developed. Bill Farmer, who had just returned from his period as Australian Ambassador to Indonesia came in to talk about what the job of an Ambassador entails. So there is a range of people they get to meet and they think in real detail about Australia in its regional context. This year there was a great deal of discussion about Hugh White’s Quarterly Essay on China-America relations, and they listened to people respond to Hugh White’s essay, which had only recently come out. So we try and link it to what is in the air at the moment in Canberra. The young people do other things in Sydney and Melbourne and they meet other Asian specialists, and diplomats throughout the year. But the retreat period in Canberra is particularly intense. Who is it for? People who are moving somewhere in their career, who feel they will benefit from the focus on Australia in its wider Asia context. Many people in Australia don’t. They think about Australia in terms of its economic welfare, in terms of Australia in terms of the environment, or Australia in terms of problems with indigenous Australia. But they don’t stand back to think of Australia in terms of the big issue of how Australia operates in a big Asia environment and what it means to be in this part of the world. That’s what we focus on. Postscript: AM: The Australian Institute of International Affairs was a founding organisation in Australia and continues to be highly relevant. John Legge’s history of the institute is really important if anyone wants to think about Australia’s developing role in the Asian regions. It is a very important history, well worth study as the Institute has continued to play an important role as a major forum. * For further details on the Asialink Leadership Program, at Asialink. Applications for the 2011 program close on 18 October 2010. contact Julia Fraser * Olivia is studying Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University in Canberra Contemporary Debate: Australia and China - the decision making process By Julia Rabar Since the culmination of the curious 2010 Australian federal election, foreign affairs have steadily clawed their way back into focus. The future trajectory of Australia’s relationship with China has emerged as a point of contention, sparking heated debates. The trigger was an article in this month’s Quarterly Essay: ‘Power Shift: Australia’s Future between Washington and Beijing’. Hugh White, author of the highly contentious article, is a professor and head of the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University. He is a visiting fellow at the Lowy Institute. In recent years, Australia has sought to better understand the implications of Beijing’s rising power in our wider region. The election of a fluent Mandarin speaker to the post of Prime Minister in 2007 suggested, for some, a rejuvenation of the Australia-China relationship. To the contrary, China expert John Lee from the Centre for Independent Studies contends that former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd left many Australia-Asia relationships in disarray. As Foreign Minister in the new government, Rudd is yet to reveal whether or not he will reassess his “too harsh” policy style towards the Asian giant. Rudd may not be the only one reconsidering his approach towards China. A recent publication by Andrew Shearer at the Lowy Institute suggested that China’s opacity regarding its strategic decision-making, and expansion of its military power, are cited as major concerns for many Australians. These concerns were reflected in the 2009 Defence White Paper that identified China as a potential threat. Tension increased when China jailed Australian Rio Tinto executive Stern Hu on charges of industrial espionage. In a broader regional context, China has been increasingly bellicose on matters of regional, even global, concern. One principal flashpoint is the issue of security and territorial boundaries in the South China Sea, in which China has been accused of bullying tactics. In these circumstances, Professor White has asserted that Australia must reassess its strategic relationships, straddled as we are between our increasingly close economic relationship with China and our traditional security partnership with the United States. In his Quarterly Essay, White argues that Australia is emerging from a ‘decade of denial’ regarding China’s rise. He says we are coming to realise that the era of uncontested US primacy in the Asian region is ending, and even if the chance of confrontation between the two great powers is slim, it must be considered in our future strategic planning. White concludes, in short, that Australia must tell the US to rescind its role as uncontested leader and allow for “collective leadership” with China. In a typically feisty response, Greg Sheridan at The Australian immediately condemned White’s paper as “the single stupidest strategic document ever prepared in Australian history by someone who once held a position of some responsibility in our system”. His criticism is based on what he regards as White’s “startling lack of data or analysis” which has resulted in White’s mistaken belief that in the event of the US rescinding primacy, China will amicably share its power. He bemoans the whittling down of “the emerging geo-politics of Asia, so full of greys and nuances… to insane binary choices” for Australia. Bill Hayden, former Governor-General and formerly leader of the Labor Party in opposition, retaliated against Sheridan’s “single dimensional view of foreign policy for Australia… [which is] quaint but dated”. He lambasts Sheridan for being consistently uncritically deferential toward the United States. Hayden maintains that he does not share White’s views, but acknowledges that Australia will face a challenge negotiating between the US and an increasingly influential China, and will furthermore have to address consequences of the rise of India. Geoffrey Garrett, chief executive of the US Studies Centre at the University of Sydney contends that in this particular debate, only one underlying assumption has emerged; that balancing Australian allegiance between the US and China is “no longer possible”. Nonetheless, Garrett maintains that signs of US demise are overstated and that Australia should try to avoid having to choose one way or the other. He encourages Australia to regard upsets between the US and China “as useful pressure-release valves [rather] than as brushfires that threaten to burn out of control”. At the core of this impassioned debate are real events and potential risks worthy of consideration. Take for instance, the issue of maritime security and territorial disputes in the South China Sea. Rory Medcalf of the Lowy Institute co-authored a paper on security challenges in the Asia region published earlier this month, alluding to a ‘security dilemma’ emerging between China’s rising power and US military dominance. Medcalf advocates the use of regional forums to reduce tension by diplomatic means. Tensions mounted earlier this year when China and the US declared the South China Sea a ‘core’ and ‘national’ interest, respectively. Inevitably, China retaliated, claiming that the US is interfering in a regional matter. China claims ownership of the entire South China Sea, whilst five other regional countries have also laid territorial claims to the fishing and energy resource rich area. US interest is mainly focussed on keeping open the sea-lanes which are critical to global energy transportation. According to a former US representative to the United Nations, Robert C. O’Brien, in “attempting to do more with less around the world” the Obama Administration will require our support in precisely issues such as keeping sea lanes open for the benefit of Western economies. Expressing displeasure at US-Japan naval exercises undertaken in the East China Sea earlier this year, as well as US arms sales to Taiwan, China suspended military dialogue with America. One analyst compared the action to a childish fit of pique rather than a serious policy move. Nevertheless, the lack of communication and potential for serious ramifications demonstrate precisely the concerns expressed in the broader Power Shift debate. Australia is likely to face critical diplomatic choices in the near future. The China Daily apparently signalled its approval for the Gillard government’s stance on the South China Sea issue. The approval followed a declaration by Australian Minister Stephen Smith that the conflict ought to be handled bilaterally in contrast to US attempts to “internationalise” the issue. ASEAN defence ministers and their dialogue counterparts are scheduled to meet for the first time in Hanoi on October 12th. The approach the Gillard government is likely to adopt in order to navigate between China, the US and maintaining peace in our wider region is yet to be determined. Also read: National maritime interests in the South Asia Sea will need to be settled by addressing the context of the issue, including the fact that territorial claims have often overlapped and China raised a claim over the South China Sea as far back as 1947. China is also justified in its concern over military activities in the Yellow Sea, even if they are intended as warnings directed to Pyongyang rather than Beijing. ‘Solving South China Sea Spat’, by Shen Dingli, Executive vice-dean of Shanghai’s Institute of International Affairs at Fudan University. An overview of tensions in Sino-US relations from the 2010 Shangri-La Dialogue. * Julia is an Australian-based editorial assistant with The Diplomat. She graduated last year from RMIT University in Melbourne with an Honours with Distinction in Arts (International Studies) and is a member of the editorial team of Quarterly Access. Access Press Room with News Hit, “A scalpel rather than a sledgehammer” By Gary Paul and Rachel Hankey Jason Thomas, international development specialist, gave an insightful account of the current situation in Afghanistan for the AIIA Victoria and ACCESS. Mr. Thomas said that our aim in Afghanistan should be “succeeding, not winning”. In order to achieve this, Coalition Forces must strive for “structure, safety, significance and security” in the region. With the war entering its ninth year, many Australians are questioning why this conflict has been going for so long, and how long it will continue. Mr. Thomas suggested that the conflict in Afghanistan is unlike any seen before. He emphasised that the political discussion needed to go beyond military engagement and include diplomatic engagement. “We cannot kill our way to victory.” Drawing on his experiences working with Afghan leaders, Mr. Thomas asserted that in order to succeed in Afghanistan, a secure framework must be provided for Afghans to create their own system of government. However, this task is complicated by both the geographical, cultural and psychological landscape of the country. For success, Mr. Thomas stressed the importance of understanding that the Taliban are not are a united group, and the ideals which it seeks to uphold are deeply ingrained in the tribal society of Afghanistan. “The Taliban are a state of mind.” Mr. Thomas included several anecdotes of his time spent with the people of Afghanistan. He described how little interaction there is between troops and locals, and how media reports of military engagements often fail to reflect the real situation on the ground; he claimed that these factors and others are hindering the Coalition campaign. He also highlighted that a resolution of the situation would require engagement with Pakistan, a discussion largely unexplored in Australia. * Gary is a journalism student at Monash University and former editor of News Hit, an online student publication * Rachel has completed a degree in Ancient History at the University of Durham and shall return next year to the UK to begin a masters in international relations at Kings College Launched in September 2010, the Access Press Room is an internship program with the AIIA Victoria. Through the program, media officers report on events and current affairs exclusively for the AIIA Victoria. For more information about Access internships, positions and management opportunities, contact the chair [email protected] , and regularly check our website for updates. Global Snapshot of October 2010 Compiled by Sharna Thomason and Marcus Burke Africa South Africa: strike over… for now In South Africa, a strike by the main public sector unions over pay rises threatened significant damage to the economy and to the standing of the government. The strike lasted three weeks and has called into question whether the African National Congress government will continue to enjoy the large majorities it has won in national elections since the end of apartheid. Whilst a halt was eventually called on the strike, negotiations are still underway and if the unions are successful in their claim it may result in higher taxes or higher inflation. However, US retail giant Wal-mart has expressed its confidence in the future of the economy with its attempted take over of South African retailed Massmart. Sudan: fears in the lead up to independence referendum Concerns are mounting over violence and instability in Sudan in the lead up to the independence vote for the South. After the long running civil war between the mainly Arab north and the predominantly Christian and animist south, a ceasefire in 2005 set a January 2010 timeline for a referendum on independence. The International Crisis Group has warned of the impacts of potentially the world’s newest border running across the country. Depending on where the final border is set, the new country in the South may take as much as 80% of Sudan’s oil reserves, but would face massive challenges due to poverty, violence and an almost complete lack of infrastructure. Americas Mexico: 200th anniversary a mixed celebration September saw the 200th anniversary of the beginning of Mexico’s war of independence from Spain. Amidst the celebrations, Mexico continued to be troubled by drug related violence, with some estimates putting the number killed since a government crackdown on drug gangs began in 2006 at as many as 29,000. Recently, town mayors have alsobecome targets of attack and the violence has continued despite the capture of several high profile drug lords. In commemoration of the anniversary, the Economist this month featured a survey of Latin America, which was generally optimistic of the economic and political future for the region, whilst acknowledging major challenges around poverty and crime, highlighted by new reports of the killing of migrants in the region. Brazil: first female President? Election campaigning continued in Brazil to find the successor for the extremely popular (but term limited) PresidentLuiz Inácio ‘Lula’ da Silva. His appointed candidate Dilma Rousseff is favoured to win and become the first female President of Brazil. Described as a “dog-loving, Proustobsessed former Marxist rebel”, Rousseff spent three years in jail under the country’s former military dictatorship. After the return of democracy she completed an economics degree, before a career in public administration, culminating with positions as Brazil’s energy minister and then as Lula’s chief-of-staff. Questions have been raised, however, over whether Rousseff can continue the charismatic Lula’s record of high growth rates couple with expanding social policies in the continent’s most populous country, which according to the World Bank has seen the numbers living on less than $2 a day drop from 21% to 12% between 2002 and 2008. However,investors remain very positive on continued growth. United States: China relationship in question The United States and Chinese governments’ troubled relationship continues, with the US threatening legal action over Chinese trade policies, including subsidies for green energy. Such actions on trade and increasing pressure in the US for action on the Chinese currency, may be symptomatic of a worsening of relations between the countries and a generally tougher policy stance taken by the United States, in the wake of China’s lack of co-operation on issues such as climate change and regional security. Asia North Korea: Kim Jong-il successor chosen The expected successor to North Korea’s ruler Kim Jong-il was announced at the ruling Workers’ Party’s Central Military Commission. The leaders youngest son Kim Jong-un, thought to be in his 20s, will take over the family dynasty that has ruled North Korea since after World War 2 along with his aunt and uncle . Until a photo taken of the representatives of the Workers’ Party’s central body was published and this announcement, Kim Jong-un’s very existence had been kept secret, with only one or two photos allegedly ever seen of him as child. He has also been promoted to vice-chairman of the ruling party, and been given the rank of a fourstar general despite having no military experience. The1.2 million – strong military is reported to be in charge of the country’s political process, thus rendering the swift military ascension a prerequisite for governance. Under the Kim family’s rule, North Korea’s economy has been in constant decline with its people suffering from regular food shortages and abject poverty. Any potential policy changes will be closely watched by regional powers, who will most likely have to deal with the predicted flood of refugees, if North Korea’s economy is not bolstered. Japan: first Asian nation to resettle refugees Japan has become the first Asian nation to resettle refugees. 18 refugees from Myanmar arrived in Tokyo to a welcome usually reserved for rock stars, with well-wishers applauding and television cameras capturing the moment. These 18 are the first of 90 Myanmar refugees that will arrive in Japan over the next three years. Japan is the second largest donor of the United Nations Refugee Agency (UNHCR). UNHCR’s Japanese representative, Johan Cels, hopes that the resettling of these refugees is only the beginning for Japan’s refugee policies and that it will prompt other Asian nations to follow suit. Approximately 20,000 Myanmar refugees from the Mae La refugee camp in northern Thailand have been resettled. China: lifts exports ban against Japan China has lifted the exports ban it imposed on Japan after a fishing boat incident in the East China Sea. Although China denied imposing the exports ban, a Japanese trading company confirmed that exports were being delayed by pre-shipment checks. Japan captured a Chinese fishing boat captain after his trawler collided with two Japanese Coast Guard ships. Despite releasing the trawler captain, due to increasing worries about the worsening tensions, relations between the two nations had already been affected with China stopping top- level diplomatic discussions, cancelling tour groups, detaining four Japanese nationals and imposing an export ban on rare earth metals, essential for a number of products including car electronics. Japanese trading officials stated that the country would have to look to other countries’ suppliers to minimise the potential risk of supply shortages. Although the exports ban has been lifted, the four Japanese nationals are still being detained, China claims their detention is not related to the fishing boat incident. Europe Belgium: protests against severe austerity measures Thousands of demonstrators marched through European capitals to protest the recent austerity measures that are being implemented across the continent. The Finance Minister for Spain has called this the “most austere budget of recent times”, with governments cutting their spending in an attempt to bring their debt-to-GDP ratios back to satisfactory levels. 80,000 workers descended on Brussels, home of many European Union institutions, to force European governments to “put the people’s needs ahead of balancing budgets.” With reports that the budget cuts are already causing deaths, as the public bear the brunt of the austerity measures, there is fear that the acute circumstances as seen in Latvia, will be mirrored through other Europeans states. Namely, salary cuts, pension reductions, hospital closures, increased mortality rates particularly in the ageing community who could no longer afford to heat their homes during winter threaten other states and are causing civil and political unrest. While the protestors took to the streets, officials from the European Commission were proposing tougher sanctions for governments that fail to cut their budget deficits. Russia: President ousts Mayor President Dmitri Medvedev has ousted the Mayor of Moscow, Yuri Luzhkov, who has held the position for the last 18 years and is noted as one of post-soviet Russia’s greatest politicians. The precise reason for Luzhkov’s dismissal is unclear, but further to the long endured scepticism that Medvedev is former president and current prime minister Vladimir Putin’s puppet, Luzhkov labelled Medvedev as a “weakling unfit to run the Kremlin”. Commentators report that it seems Medvedev is finally using his presidential powers for the first time which may elucidate his objectives leading up to the next presidential elections in 2012. However, Medvedev is also receiving criticism for not removing Luzhkov earlier, with suggestions that the delay was caused by Medvedev seeking prior approval from Putin. Luzhkov leaves behind a mixed legacy of successes and failures. He is accused of financially favouring his wife’s multibillion dollar business, Inteko; he is responsible for the demolition of many historical landmarks in Moscow and was strictly against the proposed public demonstrations for gay rights. However, he is also credited with paying allowances to pensioners and cleaning up the city of Moscow. Middle East Iran: US hiker freed Iran released US hiker Sarah Shourd, 14 months after her and two other US citizens’ capture, after they crossed into Iranian territory when hiking through Iraq’s Kurdistan region. Iran accused the three of spying, initially stating that the three would be charged and trialled for espionage, - a charge that carries a death sentence if proven. It was only with the aide of Oman and Switzerland that Sarah Shourd was finally released, with Oman reportedly posting the $500,000. The US government stated that they do not fund prisoner bail and doing so would violate US sanctions. Due to the lack of relations between Iran and the US, Switzerland represents US interests in Iran. Shourd has since met with US President Barack Obama and Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to plead for the freedom of her two friends still in detention. Pakistan: condemns NATO cross border warfare Pakistan has condemned the US led NATO forces cross border attacks that killed 30 insurgents, claiming the attacks are a violation of the UN mandate for the NATO force in Afghanistan. Alleging self defence, NATO assert that they were targeting suspected insurgents within Afghanistan when they were fired upon from the Pakistani side of the border and crossed over to return fire. Although they failed to make contact until after the operation, the NATO-led International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) insist they followed the relevant protocols and attempted to notify Pakistan prior to the attacks. US led unmanned drone missile strikes have increased in Pakistani territory with 21 attacks carried out in the last month; manned missions however, remain rare. These latest attacks have strained relations between NATO forces and Pakistan, with Pakistan suspending the movement of NATO supplies. Vehicles transporting nearly three quarters of the supplies for NATO troops pass through Pakistan on their way to Afghanistan. Despite locals numbering the delayed trucks in the hundreds this suspension should not have an immediate effect on NATO supplies. * Sharna graduated with a Master of Diplomacy and Trade from Monash University, Melbourne. She is a passionate human rights advocate and is currently working for the Victorian State Government. * Marcus is currently completing a Masters in Diplomacy and International Trade at Monash University. He also has a combined Law/Science degree from the University of Melbourne, and has most recently been working in the IT industry. Issue 10 Note from the editor By Olivia Cable If you thought July was an interesting month for Australian politics, August was a whopper. After the almost complete lack of reference to Australian foreign policy in the Federal election, we thought we should balance the ledger and use it as our theme this month. At the time of launching this month’s issue, the results from the 2010 election are still unknown. Should we have a hung parliament and have to return to the polls, I’m sure many would be happy to watch another series of ‘Yes We Canberra!’ First some thank-yous. I’d like to thank Julia Rabar and Sharna Thomason, our two new contributors to Monthly Access. In a compelling interview with Tony Walker, international editor of the Australian Financial Review, he shares his views on how the foreign policy inexperience of both Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott will impact Australia, the importance of getting our defence budget right, along with more defence contacts and exchanges with China. Contemporary Debate discusses the neglected foreign policy implications of the election. We have also put together some useful articles on topics that ought to be on the foreign policy agenda. We interview Carl Ungerer in Career Spotlight and learn of his 20 years of experience working in and around Australian foreign policy. Global Snapshot this month is brought to you by Sharna Thomason and Ishita Acharyya. Read the reporting on Iraq, Romania, Tunisia, Israel and elsewhere. Our usual column by News Hit has been written by Christine Todd, politics editor of News Hit, an online publication dedicated to showcasing the work of young writers. A timely article has been received from Mehroz Siraj, providing a perspective on the devastating floods in Pakistan. Finally, as our readership widens into the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University in Canberra, we have directed you to their September events, along with the AIIA Victoria and Canberra events. I’d like to acknowledge Julia Rabar and Sharna Thomason, our two new contributors to Monthly Access, Andrew Zammit, Monthly Access correspondent, Michael Feller, editorial adviser and Ishita Acharyya, Access chair. It is your support that keeps us all going! We hope you enjoy our eleventh edition. Olivia Cable * Olivia is studying Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University in Canberra. Q & A with Tony Walker of the Australian Financial Review, on Australian foreign policy With Julia Rabar Tony Walker is international editor of the 'Australian Financial Review'. In the course of 30 years as a foreign correspondent variously for the 'Financial Times', ‘The Age' and the 'Australian Financial Review', Mr Walker has interviewed many notable figures who have shaped the world of the 21st century. He has reported many historic events, and gained a first-hand feel for the ways of the world from his bases in Beijing, Cairo, Washington, DC, and elsewhere. How will the (self-declared) foreign policy inexperience of both Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott impact Australia’s foreign policy in the next government? TW - Well, I think whoever prevails -- as happened with John Howard -- will go through a learning process. It took Howard quite a long time to become confident and, frankly, take much of an interest in foreign policy issues. It was only after Australia’s involvement in Timor and then the 9/11 experience that Howard became a foreign policy Prime Minister, or a national security policy Prime Minister, actually. What we saw was the militarization of Australian foreign policy in Howard’s later years, which was a mistake. In the case of an Abbott or a Gillard, they've got a fairly steep learning curve because both of them are domestically focused politicians. So I'm not sure that we can expect anything innovative from either of them in the foreign policy sphere during the initial stages of their prime ministerships, whoever prevails. Rudd came to office with quite firm ideas about what he wanted to achieve. He had experience himself, having been a diplomat, having a background in China studies, and being able to speak the language gave him significant advantages. In Rudd’s initial stages as Prime Minister, in fact in the campaign itself, he framed what he believed our foreign policy approach should be: a country pursuing policy as a middle power in a creative sense. I think that was a sensible approach. It was in contrast to the Howard approach which was to -- in a sense -- lock us into a very close embrace with the United States. Rudd managed to detach Australia in a pretty constructive way from the sort of clinging embrace we had with the United States. History here is important. When Howard came to power in 1996, one of the things he sought to do -- with [Alexander] Downer then as Foreign Minister -- was to differentiate the Coalition's policy from that of the Labor Party under Hawke and then Keating, artificially, I believe. Hawke and Keating put a lot of emphasis on relations with Asia - Keating with Indonesia in particular, but also with China. In his efforts to (I think falsely) differentiate Australia’s political interests, Howard initially laid emphasis on our relationships with Europe and America. A White Paper was prepared by DFAT in 2000, which outlined a traditional approach, emphasising relations with the region. Howard and Downer sent it back to be re-written, re-cast, to make it clear that the United States was pre-eminent in our foreign policy preoccupations. It was that kind of re-positioning that took place, which I'm not sure made a whole lot of sense. It led us into what I believe, during the Howard-Bush period, becoming more closely identified with American policy than was necessarily in our interests. Meanwhile, we had the continuing rise and rise of China. I think Howard managed relations with China satisfactorily, but he would have been better advised to have had a more balanced approach right throughout his Prime Ministership. So do you think that Tony Abbott is likely to react to the Labor government in the same way that Howard did? TW - What we've learned about Abbott in this later phase is that he's relatively flexible. While there might be some concern we'll revert to a sort of Howard-era approach on foreign policy and relations with the United States -- with emphasis on national security as opposed to soft power, or diplomacy in a broader sense -- the world has moved on. American involvement in Iraq is now winding down. Whether Iraq remains (in any way, shape, or form) a stable entity, who knows. But it is unlikely America would go back in. Afghanistan is very problematical and it'll be a big headache for either GIllard or Abbott, but our policy there is really locked in to what the Americans do. We don't have much room to maneuver in Afghanistan. So I don't see under either a Gillard or an Abbott approach a lot of difference in our foreign policy posture in this next period. Some of the things Rudd did were good, including inserting us into the G20 process. Obviously, it's in our interests to continue to pursue that vigorously. In terms of our engagement in various ASEAN forums, there's nothing a Gillard or an Abbott would do to interrupt that. Relations with China are so important that relationship will continue to be nurtured. In America we have an administration in place which will coincide with the first part of any new Australian government. America under [Barack] Obama views the world in a way which is not that different from the way which we, at least under the Rudd Prime Ministership, viewed the world. If we have a conservative President after 2012 things may change, but I wouldn't have thought substantially. America has such deep internal problems in any case that its pre-occupations are going to be domestically focused for the foreseeable future. I don't think we're going to see any more American adventurism internationally. Managing China is obviously going to be the big challenge for us and a big challenge for the world, but China’s main preoccupation is with its own economic interests, and its need to keep growing its economy and maintaining internal stability. We are seeing some promising signs as far as its relationship with Taiwan is concerned (the beginning of direct cross-border exchanges). This is a positive development. There are risks, of course. Competition in the South China Sea -- tensions there between the US and China – are a concern. But I think that both countries have such a huge stake in maintaining relations on a relatively even keel that problems will be managed. Gillard would be advised, and Abbott, to work on relations with Japan and not give the Japanese reason to believe that we think our relationship with China is necessarily preeminent. A mistake that Rudd made in the initial stages was to give the appearance Japan was a secondary interest and concern. It's important that we work on our relationship with the Japanese and reassure them that they are an important part of our economic and security picture. As far as Indonesia is concerned I don't think there’s going to be much of a difference of approach. Especially as the government there seems relatively stable, and Indonesia is, from our point of view, doing the things that correspond with what we hope will happen there, in terms of maintaining progress on the democratic front. So I'm not sure it will be a very exciting period from a foreign policy standpoint! But of course, the unexpected can happen such as a meltdown on the Korean peninsula or conflict between China and the US over Taiwan or some sort of internal disruptions in Indonesia itself. Then there is our immediate neighborhood. Australia, as the metropolitan power in the South-West Pacific, has significant responsibilities. Fiji is an issue that has to be managed and I'm not sure what the answer is there. Complete disengagement doesn’t make a lot of sense. Maybe it's best dealt with within the South Pacific Forum. Papua New Guinea is a concern for us. It’s still our main aid recipient. It's a bit of a neglected issue here. Perhaps we should be paying more attention to what's going on up there. It remains a responsibility and we should be engaged as much as we can and as much is prudent to influence things there in a positive way. Not easy. There are all sorts of governance issues, including endemic corruption. Australia has very sizeable economic interests there and that, if nothing else, dictates that we should devote resources -- diplomatic and other resources -- toward trying to influence things in New Guinea in a positive way. The Greens are proposing a parliamentary debate about reviewing our involvement, after nine years, in the war in Afghanistan. All other members of the 42-strong NATO-led coalition have already held similar debates. What do you think will be done? TW - It would be a good idea for us to have a debate about it, and for the government and the opposition to put on the record exactly what rationale they believe exists for our continued involvement. And also be required to give some idea what sort of exit strategies might be put in place - what the end game might be. What the benchmarks might be for success. This is a serious issue. Twenty-one Australians have been killed now, and more have been wounded. This requires a significant expenditure on our part. It requires a commitment of men and materiel from other areas such as our immediate region. I think we should be part of an international discussion about where this is all going. And what pressures might be brought to bear on the Afghan regime itself, to measure up. Because if they believe that we're just there indefinitely, then there's less incentive for them to do the things that they need to do. And I would think, reading the signals from America, patience there is diminishing. The Americans, as I've said, have economic constraints. So I think a debate would serve a useful purpose. And I think the public, quite frankly, deserves to hear our leaders debate this in a comprehensive way. I thought Abbott in the lead-up to the election made a bit of a mistake. It wasn't seized upon by his opponents (I think partly because they feel it's in their interests to give the impression that this is a bipartisan issue), but Abbott did say in a speech to the Lowy Institute on national security issues that he thought that Australia should offer to take the lead, or might offer to take the lead, in Oruzgan Province, after the Dutch withdrawal. He left open the possibility that an Abbott government might increase our commitment there. I think that would be a mistake. I think our commitment is appropriate. If you look at the number of casualties we have taken, especially in the recent past, I don’t think anyone can question the fact that we are engaged in frontline activities. I have reservations about our commitment. I think that we should stay with it for the moment, but not make any indefinite commitments. Again, we are to a degree locked in to what the Americans do. This is not an entirely comfortable position for us to be in. How is the asylum seeker issue going to be resolved? TW - I don't entirely understand why we can’t process arrivals on the Australian mainland. I know there are legal constraints, but I don't feel comfortable with the fact that we are proposing to outsource this responsibility to Nauru or possibly East Timor. And I'm absolutely not persuaded that Gillard's proposal for an East Timor 'solution' makes a lot of sense. Even if the East Timorese agreed to this, or we provided financial inducements for them to do so (or other inducements), I’m not persuaded that this would be the wisest course. Because having a processing centre on the doorstep of Indonesia -- virtually within the Indonesian archipelago -- might create more problems than it solves. What do you mean by that? TW - I'm wondering if such a facility might not act as a magnet for people wanting to come to Australia. They might feel that if they get to East Timor that they have gotten to first base. Such a facility would become just another refugee holding centre. Which is contrary to what they are hoping. TW - Exactly. I'm just wondering if that might not just happen, which would cause problems for Timor itself. It is a fragile democracy, a small country. As far as Abbott's approach is concerned, I think it was a rather crude political gambit on his part. It was playing to a degree on people's prejudices, this constant campaign slogan of 'stopping the boats'. It was an exercise in cynicism, frankly, because no-one believes that the Australian navy is going to turn around a leaking boat full of refugees, including women and children, on the high seas. This is simply not going to happen. And if it did happen, then those who ordered it to happen would be rightfully condemned. I don't think, whether it's a Gillard government or an Abbott government, that the boats will necessarily stop coming. That depends to an extent on the situation in Afghanistan or Sri Lanka or other places where there is instability. Obviously we have to be as active as we possibly can in trying to ensure that people smugglers don't find it easy to operate in these places and do whatever else we can do in a humanitarian sense to try and deal with the cause of these people transfers that are taking place. But it's something that we have to live with, and I think it's manageable because the numbers aren't so great that we can't manage them. But on the other hand, we should adopt a pretty stringent policy towards this situation. People out there should not be able to feel that all they have to do is turn up in Australian waters and they'll automatically be allowed ashore and be absorbed into the Australian community. We can’t make it seem that the doors are open. So, it’s a really tricky thing to deal with. It's a very tricky area. We are fortunate, frankly, that we are an island and separated from the source countries by stretches of water. That's a disincentive for people to come. If you look at the American situation, until recently up to a million Mexicans were coming across the border every year. The problems that we have are manageable. Julian Burnside's figure that it would take 20 years to fill the MCG makes a valid point. But I don't agree with some refugee advocates that we have some sort of humanitarian obligation to facilitate the absorption of these arrivals. I think border protection is a serious issue for us and it's one we have to devote resources to, because preserving the sovereignty of our borders is a very important function of national security -- whether it's seaborne or arrival by other means. Let me say something about defence. I don’t want to sound too hawkish here. But I think what we should acknowledge is that we are sitting on a very valuable piece of real estate here in an environment that we can't be sure will always be benign. We do have responsibilities as the metropolitan power of the southwest Pacific. We have to recognise that America faces its own serious financial constraints, especially in this next period as it works its way through its financial problems - there's an argument, and frankly quite a strong argument, for us to do more in terms of our contribution to regional security in conjunction, obviously, with our allies, particularly the Americans. This speaks to the need for us to increase our defence budget over time, not dramatically, but certainly pay attention to our defence capabilities. If we look at our contribution as a percentage of GDP, compared with others, America in particular, I think there is scope for us to do more, in a smart way. I'm not thinking specifically of our ability to project power, but certainly in terms of investment in our capability to make a contribution to regional security whether it's in patrol duties, or surveillance, reconnaissance activities, intelligence gathering, electronic or otherwise. We should have the ability to assist the Americans in keeping sea lanes open, and so forth. Whether that requires significantly additional expenditure is not something that I've studied in detail, but again I’m saying instinctively that we should probably be prepared to do more, in conjunction with our allies. How would that be received by China? TW – This is an important point. I don't think it should be made to appear that this is part of a containment exercise as far as China's concerned. As if Australia and its allies in the Tripartite Alliance (the Americans and the Japanese) are building up to confront the Chinese. I think that would send the wrong signal. In fact, I'm for joint exercises with the Chinese, and more defence contacts and exchanges with the Chinese, so we better understand their concerns and preoccupations, and they understand ours. I don't for one minute believe that conflict with China is inevitable. You'll hear people argue that some sort of conflict with China is inevitable at some stage, because empires rise and empires fall, and in the process, conflict becomes unavoidable. I don't believe that needs to be the case at all. But you acknowledge that it will be difficult to weave a route between the decline of the US and the rise of China? TW - Well, obviously, I think so. To get that balance right is a tricky thing, and the Americans find it so themselves. You hear Americans talking about a 'hedging' strategy these days, regarding China: engagement, while at the same time making sure that you maintain a security presence to balance out China's ambitions, and particularly ambitions in the area of most likely conflict, which is the South China Sea. This is why India is important in the scheme of things as well. India provides something of a countervailing force. India is a significant military power in itself. So from our standpoint, relations with India are extremely important. I'm not sure we haven't taken those relations a bit for granted over the years, because we speak the same language and we play cricket with them - we think therefore that we are more or less on the same wavelength. But I'm not sure that we've invested as much time and effort in developing relations or nurturing or understanding the dimensions of our relationship with India as we should. That's an area to which either a Gillard or an Abbott government should devote more time and resources. Pre-occupation with China, obviously -- because it's so important in the economic scheme of things – is appropriate, but India's going to become more important, relatively speaking, as its economy grows and demand for Australian raw materials grows. * Julia Rabar is an Australian-based editorial assistant with The Diplomat. She graduated last year from RMIT University in Melbourne with an Honours with Distinction in Arts (International Studies) and is a member of the editorial team of Quarterly Access. Career Spotlight with Carl Ungerer of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute With Olivia Cable Dr Carl Ungerer, Director of the National Security Program at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute in Canberra has spent almost 20 years working in and around Australian foreign policy. His career has taken him around the world, from Japan to Fiji, and Iran to Canberra. Where did your career begin? CU - As a 15 year old, my parents took me to southern Illinois in America where my father was undertaking a sabbatical as part of his university career. Going to school in America in the midwest was an enlightening experience. My most vivid memory of that trip was a train ride from Chicago to San Francisco. As we travelled past the plains of Montana, you could look out and see hundreds of domed curves rising out of the ground. I asked someone on the train “what are they?”, and the answer was, Minuteman Silos – America’s strategic nuclear missile force, aimed at the Soviet Union. And from that moment on, I wanted to understand more about international politics, nuclear weapons, global warfare and Australia’s place in the world. What was your entry point into foreign affairs? CU - While I was completing a Masters degree in Asian studies at Griffith University, I was encouraged to apply for the graduate intake program in the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. So I sat the public service exam, went to the interviews, and was one of 22 lucky candidates out of 8,000 applicants to be offered a place in DFAT in 1993. Have you had any overseas postings? CU - My first overseas posting was a short-term mission to the United Nations office in Geneva where I represented Australia at the UN Commission on Human Rights. I was subsequently posted as Third Secretary (Political) in Suva, Fiji. Fiji is an important post for Australia in the region, and was an excellent opportunity to learn about the form and conduct of Australian diplomacy. After DFAT, where did you go? CU - In 1999, I was recruited into the Office of National Assessments to work in the Strategic Analysis Branch. My job there was to analyse and report on international security issues such as WMD proliferation, ballistic missile defence and great power relations. One of the most interesting aspects of working at ONA is the close cooperation we have with our intelligence partners in the United States, Canada and the UK. Subsequently, in December 2001, I was appointed by Simon Crean (Leader of the Opposition) as his Foreign Policy and National Security Advisor. This was around the time of turmoil in international politics. What were your most memorable moments when working in Parliament House? CU - Meeting world leaders such as Bush, Blair and Hu Jintao was interesting because it gives you an insight into how politics is conducted at the highest levels. But the most challenging aspect of that work was crafting a credible policy response to the major international security issues of the day, including the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and an appropriate Australian response to the global threat of terrorism. Following Simon Crean’s loss of the Labor Party leadership, did you stay in government? CU - On leaving Simon’s office I took up a position as a lecturer of International Relations at the University of Queensland, where I taught courses on Asia Pacific security, Australian foreign policy and arms control. During that time, I edited a couple of books; the first on nuclear non-proliferation and the second on Australian foreign policy in the age of terror. When Labor won office in 2007, I returned to the Canberra policy world to start up the new national security program at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute. As you can see, I have crossed in and out of the academic and policy worlds my whole career, which has been a deliberate plan on my part to bridge the divide between the academic study of international security and the practical realities of implementing policy. * Olivia Cable is studying Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University in Canberra Pakistan Needs Us By Mehroz Siraj Pakistan has suffered immensely in recent years. Since the 2005 Kashmir earthquake that killed more than 73,000 people, the country has endured economic recession, terrorism, insurgency and political violence. Now, the devastating floods swamping nearly one third of the nation put the futures of the already most vulnerable and needy, the stability of the nation and the international community’s moral standing, in a precarious balance. More than 21 million people, roughly the entire population of Australia, have been severely affected and displaced as a result of massive flooding, which has so far affected an area the size of the UK. At least 9 million of these are children, most at risk of waterborne disease, such as diarrhoea. Although the floods have hit all the four provinces of Pakistan, the regions most affected have been central and southern Punjab, northern Sindh and the Khyber-Pakhtunkhawa province (formerly known as the North-West Frontier Province). Punjab and Sindh were the breadbaskets of Pakistan. 90 per cent of Pakistan’s total agricultural production takes place in Punjab and Sindh annually. Before the floods this was Pakistan’s agricultural heartland, worth tens of billions of dollars. Now, a total of more than 3.2 million hectares of agricultural crops, including 600,000 tonnes of wheat, at least 15 per cent of the country’s cotton crop and around 200,000 acres of rice plantation lands have been damaged or destroyed. In northern Sindh, dairy farming was another major business for the subsistence farmers and small business owners. Now, their farms have been flooded and nearly 200,000 cattle have been destroyed. The effect of the floods on employment will also be enormous. Cottage industries and the agricultural sector in Pakistan employ more than 45 per cent of the nation’s total work-force, many of whom are women who work extremely hard to support their poor families. According to the World Bank, the estimated initial losses to Pakistan’s economy from the floods were around US$ 1 billion. However, more recent estimates show that the short and long term economic costs of the floods to be nearly $43 billion, and are widespread. Most of the affected people lived predominantly in the rural areas devastated by these floods, and have now lost their only source of earning. These people were doing backbreaking work in their fields in which they had invested their entire life savings. Many of these poor and working class farmers would have taken loans to fund their businesses. Not only have their crops been washed away, but also their hopes of a better future for themselves and their children. The sad truth is the floods now risk confining many farmers to a life of abject poverty and chronic indebtedness for loans that cannot be repaid. The poor and landless people are now totally reliant on assistance and relief provided by local and international charities and NGOs The sheer rise in the numbers of Internally Displaced People, IDPs, who require at least two meals a day and clothing, now add enormous pressure on Pakistan’s depleted food resources, possibly pushing up inflation tremendously. Over the last week, a second wave of disaster has descended on flood victims – waterborne disease including malaria and diarrhoea – a major killer of young children. Preventable diseases such as cholera and gastroenteritis are being reported in many regions. In Sindh alone there are over 10,000 reported cases of Malaria. The international community needs to provide urgent assistance to the flood affected people of Pakistan in order not only to relieve the suffering, but also crucially to ensure the longer-term security of the nation. According to many media reports and speculation, aid relief has been slow because of the negative press about Pakistan and the spectre of a corrupt government. It is now time for the international community, which has always demanded that Pakistan ‘do more’ to tackle terrorism, to stand united with and support its people. At this critical juncture, we have a responsibility to shoulder the sorrows and pains of our Pakistani brothers and sisters. This is now the time to rise and work with them. Australians should know that donations made directly to international humanitarian organizations like Oxfam, Save The Children and UNICEF do help improve lives. These agencies have a long and good reputation in my home country. Ignoring these peoples’ plight invites grave risks. It could lead to the loss of confidence and trust of an entire generation of young, talented and aspiring Pakistanis who aspire to bring peace in South Asia, and the wider world in the spirit of the international community * Mehroz Siraj is an International student from Pakistan at RMIT University, Melbourne. Contemporary Debate: Australian foreign policy post-2010 election By Julia Rabar Much has been made of the fact that neither party has provided any insight as to what their foreign policy will look like if they form government. Foreign policy has been mentioned a scant few times, as remarked by Dylan Welch in The Age. Welch interviewed Professor Hugh White of ANU who emphasised the ‘very slender credentials’ of both prime ministerial candidates. Prime Minister Julia Gillard has acknowledged her own lack of experience, but does not believe that will be an obstruction to her handling the issues. Nevertheless, there remains the question: who will be Foreign Minister in a Gillard government?Deposed Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has been promised a senior cabinet position in the new government. Neither party is likely to diverge from the bipartisan consensus on the major issues, namely the future of the war in Afghanistan, the importance of the Australia-US alliance, or the need to build and maintain regional ties. Despite, this, as Daniel Flitton has identified, there are slight differences in the emphasis of each party. Labor will continue to emphasise the need for multilateral engagement in order to achieve global cooperation and consensus on the major issues facing the world, such as climate change and terrorism. The Liberal approach has a traditionally more bilateral focus, emphasising the need for individual relationships with countries. Deputy opposition leader Julie Bishop has underlined that focus in recent weeks. China will command a large fraction of the policy framework of either post-election government. China is Australia’s largest trading partner, accounting for $76 billion in two-way trade in 2009. Hopes were high for an improved relationship between the two countries back in 2007 when Australia elected their first Mandarin-speaking Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd. Retrospective analysis has established that Rudd’s linguistic credentials did not usher in an age of increased political communication or understanding. Midway through the Labor government’s first term, Australian mining executive Stern Hu was arrested in China on charges of corruption and industrial espionage. The two most critical global issues facing Australia are, in my opinion, climate change and the future of our uranium reserves. I am deliberately avoiding the use of the term ‘nuclear disarmament’, because of the way the disarmament agenda is often used to conceal Australia’s real trade interests, specifically its uranium policies. Opposition leader Tony Abbott explained his desire to sell uranium to India by proposing a ‘me too’ policy that mirrors the US-India 123 Agreement. The new government is likely to face an increasingly complex foreign policy agenda and one that requires sustained attention. Read also: See the recent debates between Andrew Shearer (Lowy Institute) and Carl Ungerer (ASPI) on the foreign policy priorities of the next government. See former Foreign Minister Alexander Downer’s cheeky response to the political argy-bargy in this debate. Does China Matter? By Gerald Segal (former Director of Research at the International Institute of Strategic Studies) Written in 1999, his argument concludes that China’s importance was greatly exaggerated. Although this link only provides the first page of Segal’s article, the full version is available on JSTOR. Does China Matter? The Economic Issues By Stuart Harris For an Australian perspective on Segal’s Does China Matter, Emeritus Professor Stuart Harris of the Australian National University responds. The following ‘election alert’ was distributed by the Lowy Institute on 20 August 2010: Director of Studies Andrew Shearer on Australian public attitudes towards China. International Security Program Director Rory Medcalf on the defence decisions that defy dodging. Former Chief of Army Peter Leahy on the need to connect Australia’s parliament, media and wider public to the reality of being at war. Critical analysis of Labor and Coalition foreign policies Insights into Opposition leader Tony Abbott’s worldview Leading Chinese security scholar Shen Dingli with a provocative take on Australian diplomacy in the disputed South China Sea And Canberra insider Graeme Dobell on Australia’s strange ability to shut out the world as it votes. News Hit Guest column: Third Wheel By Christine Todd There are several downsides to being a politics major. One, nobody else cares about politics except you. A second downside is that you're often approached with vague political enquiries and asked to explain them in basic terms. Like 'why are politicians so frightfully ugly?' and 'I keep voting Greens, how come they're not getting into power?' It is this second question I will address today. Answering it requires an explanation of the two-party system in Australia.The federal party system in Australia can best be explained as a mutated two-party system. Two 'original' major parties have maintained stable voter support, fending off minor party challenges by realigning their internal mechanisms in tandem with community value change. Despite this chameleon effort, support for minor party challenges to the system have remained high. Dissatisfaction with the rigid and unchanging nature of the two major political parties has seen citizens seek the splendours of a political alternative. Two of the most popular minor parties in the past 40 years have been the Australian Democrats and the Australian Greens. These parties developed strength following the surge in voter concern for social issues in the 1960s-1970s, encompassing a range of issues from environmental sustainability to human rights. Reluctance by the major parties to adapt to this realignment in the electorate gave rise to growing voter disillusionment. To the average voter the two major parties had ceased to be representative of their interests. The time had come, it seemed, for an alternate vision. The benefits of being a minor party are obvious. It is easier to pitch for 'middle Australia' when your existence isn't dependent on any one social or economic group. The Coalition have long had commitments to business and religious institutions, while Labor has battled endlessly with its union affiliates. By rejecting these commitments and doing away with needless ideological polarisations, minor parties are better positioned to develop policies that are responsive to the public mood. Hence the minor party tendency to latch onto issue-specific policies. The biggest problem with this approach is that issue-specific policies have a short shelf-life. If the existence of one party is entirely dependent on a few social issues, then as soon as those issues lose relevance the party itself loses its way. Additionally, popular social issues are easily adopted by the major parties for their own means, robbing minor parties of their foundation. This has been most evident in regards climate change. Major parties have realised that their policy platforms must be relatively loosely formulated so as to eliminate the need for 'middle-ground' minor parties. Along with platform re-adjustments, major parties have introduced financial measures to ensure their own survival, to the detriment of smaller political organisations. One such measure is funding through first preference votes. Those parties receiving 4% or more of the formal first preference vote within an electorate are entitled to a public funding rate multiplied per vote. As the party system currently stands, this criteria could really only be met by the Coalition and the Australian Labor Party (and perhaps the Greens, in a good year). The current public funding rate is roughly $3.50 per vote for any party that meets the criteria. Considering that the success of political parties is largely dependent on their resources, such cunning measures ensure the stability of the two-party system in its current form. There remains a real necessity for a two-party system with minor third and fourth party contributions. With minor parties and independents rallying for the political middle ground, an invaluable equilibrium point is created for the major parties to work around. The presence of multiple parties within the Australian political system promotes electoral competition that protects the nation against its own discontent. This competition, whether it presents itself as a likely threat or not, forces major party leaders to tailor their objectives to the ever-changing middle ground for which the third party influence represents. These internal and external policy shifts make the twoparty system virtually impenetrable but efficient in truly representing the interests of the nation. Postscript: how will the Greens balance of power impact Australian foreign policy? Policy experts debate this question at the Lowy Interpreter. * Christine Todd is the Politics Editor of News Hit, and online publication for young writers Global Snapshot of August 2010 Compiled by Sharna Thomason and Ishita Acharyya Africa: Rwanda: Kagame wins a second term, Rwanda looks to the future, and rumours abound Rwanda’s President, Paul Kagame has won a second seven-year term. Many attribute his landslide victory in last month’s elections to his role in establishing stability in the country after the 1994 genocide and his vision to transform Rwanda into amiddle-income country by 2020. His critics, however, purport that he is authoritarian and has stifled free speech over the years, and has manipulated a traumatized nation for political power. In contrast, international investors are attracted to the seeming stability of his leadership. Meanwhile, reports of growing rifts within the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) present a threat to the stability of government, with accusations of nepotism and graft. Exiled military and intelligence leaders are also reported to sound increasingly “belligerent”. Mozambique: riots over soaring bread prices Suddenly soaring bread prices have led to riots in Maputo in which at least 6 have been killed and 280 injured, with protesters looting en masse and blocking streets. After an emergency cabinet meeting, troops were deployed to clear the barricades. At least 6 people were killed on Wednesday when troops opened fire on protesters. The possibility that the military presence may exacerbate the situation is imminent, given memories of the 16-year civil war that only ended in 1992. The government imposed 30% price hike has deeply angered people as 70% of the population lives below the poverty line and the average monthly income is US$37. Despite this, Mozambique’s economy remains one of the fastest growing in the region, with the IMF predicting annual GDP growth of 7%. Sudan: Obama to get tougher on Khartoum? A letter calling for a tougher U.S. stance on Sudan, signed by 80 activist groups, has been sent to Obama, as the January referendum on southern independence fast approaches. This follows the recent announcement that the U.S. will be sending retired ambassador, Princeton Lyman, an Africa expert, to consolidate its diplomatic presence in the region. The letter encourages a commitment to the “incentives-only” approach in dealing with Sudan that was announced last October. However, UN representatives seem to prefer a “balanced approach”, with an emphasis on negotiation and not hegemonic posturing, to get preparations for the referendum under way. This is also to address Sudan’s profound economic issues, particularly of colossal international debt. BBC World provides a brief explanation of Sudan’s 2005 US – backed Comprehensive Peace Accord, which ended a brutal 20-year civil war. Asia Pakistan: 20 million flood victims in desperate need of international assistance 20 million people are in desperate need of international assistance in the wake of Pakistan’s floods, but the international response has been slow. As waterborne disease grips the affected population, the death toll mounts. Amidst this desperation, an ostentatious competition between the Taliban and the West has ensued, to bring aid to the most desperate and to win their hearts and minds. The floods not only place in severe jeopardy Pakistan’s social and economic fabric, but also compromise its political stability. Furthermore, the slow response of the international community arguably betrays a political cynicism and the extent of ideological divisions. In an unprecedented move,Pakistan has also accepted aid from India, at the urging of Indian Prime Minister, Manmohan Singh, and US Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton. To donate to the flood victims, please visit Oxfam, Unicef, or Save the Children. Timor Sea oil spill: fishermen migrate, or turn to people-smuggling August marked the first anniversary of last year’s oil spill from an Indonesian oilrig off the coast of Western Australia. What had started off as a leak lasted for 74 days, ending in a fiery explosion. The spill has had severe effect on West Timor’s subsistence economy, which overwhelmingly relies on fishing. Fish stocks have been drastically depleted and seaweed farms decimated, leaving little choice for subsistence fishermen but to turn to other employment. People smuggling is one such employment, as a last resort for desperate fishermen who are yet to be compensated for their losses. The Indonesian government is due to launch its compensation claim with the rig’s Australian owner-operator in September. Meanwhile, fishermen are emigrating by the thousands. Bangladesh: loan from India meets criticism The leader of Bangladesh’s opposition party, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), has criticized Sheikh Hasina’s government for accepting a $1 billion loan from India, describing the decision as “suicidal”. The Opposition contends that paying off the 20-year loan imposes a dire financial burden, and alleges that the interest rate would be seven times that of international rates. The government rejects this claim. Some commentators have observed that the BNP is particularly vocal in its criticism of India while in opposition, contrary to its attitude when most recently in government. The current government has hailed the loan as a strengthening of ties between Bangladesh and its neighbor. Americas: Venezuela and Colombia: bilateral ties restored Recently inaugurated Colombian President, Juan Manuel Santos, and Venezuelan President, Hugo Chavez, have quelled regional tensions after the conservative Colombian government accused Venezuela of harboring leftist rebels. Despite speculation that Venezuela and Colombia were on the brink of armed conflict, the two governments have elected to restore bilateral ties. At a bilateral summit on the 10th of August, the two Presidents committed to establishing five commissions to investigate debt and trade relations, economic cooperation, social investment in the border region, joint infrastructure works and security. Venezuela has become Colombia’s second largest export market since the beginning of Chavez’s presidency, however Venezuela effected trade bans between the countries in response the previous Colombian President’s decision last year to give US troops unprecedented access to seven military bases. Chavez’s administration has long maintained that the US poses a real threat to Venezuela’s sovereignty. The trade bans led to a 70% drop in trade between the neighboring countries. Most recently, a Colombian court has pronounced the 2009 accord as unconstitutional. The new government, which has a substantial majority in Congress, is alleged to be seeking approval for a redrafted version of the accord. US: How Iraq looks from China The Chinese government and media are eagerly following the US withdrawal from Iraq, and opinions are varied. One Chinese newspaper, the Global Times, speculates that the US will now turn to exercising greater influence in Asia, particularly over China’s neighbors. Commentators have expressed concern that these efforts will be directed toward destabilizing China’s regional alliances and strategic position. However, the hegemonic dynamics within the international arena have alteredsubstantially since the beginning of the Iraq War. Over the last seven years, the relative political and economic strengths of China and the US have diametrically altered. The Chinese reaction to the withdrawal has accordingly been seen as an assertion of its growing international confidence and status. Nonetheless, some observers have contended that in spite of the US’s need to focus on domestic matters, bolstering its clout in Asia will also be domestically politically suave. Middle East: Israel: soldier poses in photos with prisoners on Facebook An Israeli soldier has sparked outrage across the globe after posting photos of herself posing with bound and gagged Palestinian prisoners on Facebook. The photos have brought the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) into disrepute. Despite the IDF making efforts to prevent incidents such as these from recurring, Breaking the Silence, an organisation that documents the abuse of Palestinians by IDF soldiers, asserts that photographs like these are the norm rather than the exception. Iraq: US army out After seven years, 150,000 Iraqi lives, 5,000 allied soldiers lives and US$700 billion Operation Iraqi Freedom officially ended on August 31. As a sign of America’s new role the Pentagon has passed responsibilities to the US State Department, with Consular Offices replacing military bases. Although the Iraqi forces are well trained and the country should prosper, the Iraqi army chief of staff wants American help until 2020. American officers agree their job has not finished. Extremist infiltrators are common with more bombings and deaths occurring recently than in previous years. Perhaps this is why, instead of rejoicing in the streets, Iraqis have begun to worry that the country is not yet ready. Fears of a sectarian war are rising, with trust between clans at a minimum and progress towards national reconciliation non-existent. Five months after the latest elections Iraq still does not have a government, with opposing parties deadlocked in negotiations. The question of whether Iraq ready to “go it alone” still remains. Palestine: third election annulled in less than one year With the recent annulment of the third election in less than one year, and with no date set for when voters will be returning to the polls, concerns have been raised about whether the Palestinian Authority (PA), instead of building a democratic state, is on the verge of becoming another Arab autocracy. The Western governments that fund the PA, however, seem unconcerned. Despite the assertion that the current government is disorganised and Palestinian sceptics claiming they are yet to see tangible evidence of promised policies, the West has applauded Prime Minister Fayyad for his efficient rule. One European official has claimed that an election resulting in Hamas regaining power in the West Bank would be perceived as most unfavourable by the West. They would rather have no election than an election result similar to that of 2006. Europe: France: Romanian Gypsies forced out French President Nicolas Sarkozy announced the dismantling of Romanian Gypsy camps last month and expelled some 700 Roma out of France. Despite the French government asserting that the returns are voluntary, with each adult receiving €300 ($425) plus an additional €100 per child, the government has been criticized by human rights and anti-racism groups, led by the Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination which issued a series of recommendations urging France to avoid collective deportations. The French foreign ministry is working closely with the Romanian government, which is a member of the EU - and thus Romanians can travel freely within France, to ensure the Roma are successfully integrated into Romanian society. However, with unemployment in Romania predicted to surpass 8.5% the French government acknowledges that they will not be able to prevent the Roma returning to France. European Union: remaining quiet on Tunisia’s human rights record The European Union (EU) has remained unaccountably quiet on controversial amendments to Tunisia’s penal code which further compound the country’s poor human rights laws. In an attempt to make the Tunisian government uphold human rights and the rule of law, human rights campaigners are lobbying the EU’s Spanish president to enforce stricter guidelines if Tunisia is to win ‘advanced-partner status’ with the EU. In retaliation Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali, who has ruled Tunisia since 1987, and his parliament passed a new clause which states that anyone deemed as ‘harm[ing] Tunisia’s vital interests’ including ‘sabotaging Tunisia’s efforts to obtain advancedpartner status with the EU’ will be jailed for 5 years. Issue 9 Note from the editor By Ishita Acharyya July has been a dynamic month for Australian politics. The Gillard prime ministership has already made an impact on Australia’s relations with its regional partners, demonstrated by the so far unsuccessful attempt to establish a “regional processing centre” in Timor-Leste for asylum seekers. The current government’s fiscal and population policy is also under intense scrutiny as we approach this year’s federal election. In this edition of Monthly Access we’re accordingly focusing on the asylum seeker and multiculturalism issue, as a continuation of our Access forum in June, and as an acknowledgment of its prominence in current social debate. In an interview with Kristoffer McKay, Mohammed El-Leissy of the Islamic Council of Victoria explores the concept of “home” and the role of Muslims in broader Australian society, in terms of minority status and collective identity. Kristian Lewis brings the focus to the West Papuan struggle for self-determination. In his article he examines the legacies of the 1969 referendum, West Papuan national identity and whether there are parallels with recent Timor-Leste history. This issue of MA also marks our first time collaborating with website News Hit, an online student publication. We’re excited at the prospect of building further ties with News Hit as both of our organizations grow in reach and scope. News Hit’s International Affairs editor, Tim Lawson writes in this MA about the former dictator of Panama going to trial in Paris and the prospective fruits of this. Thank you to those that have provided their opinions about current issues, and particularly to those that have responded to our recent Quarterly Access publication - in this month’s MA you will find opinions about China’s enhancing power status and the impending Australian election. This month’s Contemporary Debate section focuses on national identity and provides reflections on Samuel Huntington’s essay, The Clash of Civilizations. We’ve provided a comprehensive Global Snapshot this issue, with alerts about elections in Guinea, to updates about the continuing strategic consequences of the Gaza Flotilla incident. A huge thank-you to our contributors for this issue, and to Andrew Zammit for his time proofreading and gathering information. Also, a huge thank-you to Mohammed El-Leissy for his willingness to be interviewed and thus encouraging Access members in our independent research endeavors. Finally, I’d like to take this opportunity to thank Olivia Cable, the editor-in-chief of MA (who is on leave this month), and Michael Feller, editorial advisor, as we celebrate our tenth issue and one year since our launch. It is because of their commitment and vision that we have come so far. Ishita Acharyya ACCESS Chair Access update By Ishita Acharyya Recent months have been particularly busy for Access. The Great Immigration Debate, with speakers Kon Karapanagiotidis and Julian Burnside allowed for a range of opinions to be expressed, particularly about Australia’s approach to human rights and alleged xenophobia. Professor Stephen King, dean of Monash University’s school of business and economics provided an exemplary explanation of the causes of the Global Financial Crisis and the inadequacies of Australia’s regulatory framework. With the sponsorship of Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, we also officially launched Quarterly Access, along with its third issue. Daniel Flitton, diplomatic editor of The Age newspaper and William Fisher, state director of DFAT, were kind enough to speak at the launch event, along with editor-in-chief, Daniel Wilson. On the 21st of July AIIAVIC in conjunction with Access hosted Tony Walker, international editor of the Australian Financial Review. He provided an insight into international journalism, and the synergies between political and economic events. We're also quite busy on the social media scene, so keep an eye out for Access and the AIIAV on Twitter and Facebook. Arunava Das and Ryan Alexander shall lead our social media team. Thank you to all of you that continue to support Access and the AIIAV. Ishita Acharyya ACCESS Chair Your feedback Letters to the editor. Thoughts on the upcoming election: As the Australian federal election draws nearer, fear is beginning to play its part in political discourse. There’s much consternation about “boats” and a “big Australia”, but very little policy substance from the Government, and the Opposition. For how long will the electorate bear with the insulting rhetoric of minority politics that obfuscates the truth, which is that both major parties lack tangible policies? Since the new prime ministership we have heard nothing about Australia’s future or prospective international agenda, economic policies, or debates about climate change. Once again, during what will arguably become a perfunctory campaign period, we shall fall victim to hackneyed political discourse. Lilith Srinivasan In response to Quarterly Access: In Andrew Forrest’s article, Crossing the river by feeling the stones, in this most recent issue of Quarterly Access, Forrest fails to mention that China’s bargaining strength as a regional power has incrementally, albeit gradually, increased, particularly in recent times. Given Japan’s and the US’s recent economic decline, China shall certainly be occupying more of centre-stage. At the most recent Access event, Monash University’s Professor Stephen King pointed out that the United States is severely in debt to China, and China has a superbly independent economy that predominantly relies on domestic production. It has thus been protected from the salient ramifications of the “Global” Financial Crisis and has had its position as an economic power further bolstered. Considering such factors, it would seem that certain countries – the US, Japan and Australia included – perhaps should not adopt foreign policy that is “anti-China” (as defined in the article), or portrays a rising China as thoroughly antithetical to their strategic agendas. As a member of the international community and as a credible economic power, China needs to be more seriously included in international dialogue, for the sake of both regional stability and potential domestic political and economic reform (in China). Shekhar John Q & A with Mohammed El-Leissy, Special Projects & Community Outreach leader for the Islamic Council of Victoria By Kristoffer Mckay Uncertainty about the place of Muslims in the Australian nation-state has been a source of public anxiety at times, particularly in the past decade. The recent recurrence of the 'Burqa debate' is a sign of this. To gain an informed perspective on how Australian Muslims contend with media misconceptions and public unease, Kristoffer McKay interviewed Mohammed El-Leissy of the Islamic Council of Victoria. Where were you born? I was born in Melbourne. My parents are from Egypt. They’ve been here about 40 years. I grew up in Canberra. So you call Australia home? Yes, absolutely. Do you call anywhere else home? Or do you think of home as being a single place? This question comes up a lot. I actually went to Egypt for the first time about 4 months ago, I’m 25 now. It’s always hard because you know, growing up in Australia, since 2001 when I was seventeen and that stuff happened. Up until 2001 Australia was definitely home, I never questioned that, until I think when a lot of the anti-Islamic sentiment appeared in the media and talkback radio in particular, for example the recent discussion on banning the Burqa in Australia and Pauline Hanson not wanting to sell her house to a Muslim. It’s really hard, even though you are born as an Australian, you start to question, “is this really home?” There’s a house and then there’s a home. I can say without a doubt that Australia’s a house, but is it a home? How many people agree with Pauline Hanson? Do I belong here? I would love to belong here, but do people accept me? It’s sometimes hard to listen to talkback radio and think to myself “yeah I feel totally loved and welcome.” Deep down I know that Australia is home, I mean I’ve been to Mecca, the heart of Islam with 3 million other Muslims on the pilgrimage, and I still longed for Australia and whenever people asked me where I was from I would quite proudly say Australia. Conversely, it was great to go to Egypt because all of a sudden you can walk down the street and feel like you’re not being discriminated against or judged. So, even though I couldn’t speak the language I still felt like I was at home because I was accepted due to the fact that I was part of the majority. This is the big problem the Muslims in Australia face – Muslims are desperate to belong, I think everyone is desperate to belong, but it’s hard when you’re so desperate for that belonging but you’ve got the abusive father that ignores you. If you’re not feeling the love, it’s hard. Do you, generally speaking, feel accepted as an Australian? I think in situations like being at the footy, I feel totally Australian, I mean total strangers hug each other, and also the bushfires where we were all affected. However when it comes to negative issues about Muslims that are dominated in the mainstream, it’s very hard then to avoid that sort of side-glance from the general public. Would you prefer people see you as solely an Australian? Or would you rather this identification to include your religious identity as well? That’s an interesting question. Especially because it brings up a contrast between the John Howard approach, which I support, you can tell Susan that (laughs), which was sold rather poorly and he came off as a rather racist person. He probably is, but I think the intention was right. On the other side, I have some left-wing/PC friends and they’re all about my Muslim identity and supporting minorities. This is actually something I’ve become quite distained about, why do they always have to see me like this? They’re always bringing it up in conversation saying stuff like “oh you’re Muslim can you eat this?” or “Let’s not go to a pub because you’re Muslim” so I feel pretty much like a freak. I think the John Howard approach, and why he quite wrongly hated the multiculturalism approach, is because of this sort of behaviour, meaning the tendency to treat people like they were “special” – like we need a special Olympics for Muslims in Australia [laughs]. So, the John Howard approach was like “we’re all Australian, you know, you eat your halal meat and go to your little mosque” and at the end of the day we’re all Australian- when I meet you, you act like you’re Australian and you don’t want to blow me up [laughs]. Finally, I think there are two schools of thought on this matter: Some Muslims don’t want to be treated as special as it’s patronising. For me, I simply wanted to be treated as an individual, whilst at the same time be respected for my freedom of choice when it comes to religious practice. So I definitely don’t want to be seen as the Muslim candidate, or the Muslim bus driver etc. I want to be seen as me, a person. What do you value? Do Muslims have different values to “mainstream” Australians? I value individualism – people’s right to be whoever and whatever they want to be. I value my freedom to practice my religion without breaking the law. How much do you think the media has contributed to the misconceptions of Muslims that are evident in Australian society? It’s hard to judge public perception, I mean I knew a guy who wanted, after September 11, to go to war and kill the terrorists, and he announced this right in front of me knowing that I was a Muslim, however he was a great bloke and we were best friends. I think it comes down to the connections made between Muslims and terrorists. This guy clearly didn’t hate Muslims because we were mates, however in other situations in the general public, the confusion between Muslims and terrorists can occur. This misconception undoubtedly is encouraged by the media. They have a massive influence. They play a huge part, because they bring these issues to our mind. So, I think the perception about Muslims is that we live in a very strict, narrow minded, medieval system and that we are backwards and treat women badly and that we want to take over the world….. I think it is also important to note that the media is assisted by the fact most Australians have a lack of experience with Muslims. Muslims make up 1.5% of the Australian population, so the chance of people meeting you is quite minimal. So the media is huge and also politicians. I think politicians can capitalise on Muslims. Speaking of the media, I’ve heard of the ‘big scary Umma’, the big community which can come together at the click of a finger and take over the world when the time is right. How scared should everyone be? [Laughs] That’s very good Kris. It’s an interesting concept. I think it’s funny because all humans obviously have connections on some level, you know I could talk about a white Anglo Christian Umma, because you look for example at the burkha debate, which starts in Belgium, automatically makes its way to France and then on to Australia. Are these really separate entities or are they connected by a common brotherhood? Lets not fool ourselves, of course there is a Muslim sense of brotherhood in the world, probably which gets pushed more by things like being attacked as a whole or things like being put on the front page. But I don’t think it’s anything more than a common thread that connects all of us. I certainly know that Muslims can’t even organise a family barbeque without somebody forgetting something, so to say that there’s a big possible new world order is highly unlikely. [Laughs] I don’t deny that Muslims are very community orientated, but to somehow think that Muslims are taking over is laughable. The notion that someone’s coming to get us is I guess a human thing that results from fear of losing one’s identity. There may be Muslims who would love a caliphate to occur however this is not a majority view. The veil, I know this is a massive topic and we could speak about it for hours. What does it stand for? Is it a sign of individuality, a fashion statement, male oppression or even something else? Firstly, the Quran does not say to put the veil on so men can control you. I always wonder why Westerners have made the assumption of this. All the females in my family do it purely out of love and devotion to God. I think people think, “oh my god it’s hideous, how can someone choose to wear that?” I think it can be used as a form of oppression but that’s not why it’s there. Anything can be used for female oppression, for example a mini-skirt, but I don’t think that’s why women put it on. What would your reaction be if the Australian government was to enforce laws similar to those imposed in Europe? I would be very disappointed about that. My stepmother wears the Burqa and when I walk down the street with her it’s confronting, I hate it, you can feel the heat, but that’s her level of faith, she believes it to be part of her faith and my father has never tried to impose on that. My sister, same thing, she wasn’t wearing it and no one cared, one day she decided to start wearing it. Now to come and rip that off her, do you have the right to do that? And for example, if Muslim men are forcing females to wear it well isn’t that just as bad as you forcing them not to wear it? Men have no right to tell women what to wear full stop. I understand it is confronting, but I find dogs confronting, I absolutely hate dogs, I think dogs should be banned, seriously I was at the park yesterday and I just love to sit there and lie on the grass and look at the sky and I can’t do this because there are all these dogs who come and bark at me and I get petrified by that. But I’m not going to go around calling for the ban of dogs. This isn’t viable, because dogs are an important part of people’s lives. I’ve got this little saying I coined the other day to put things in perspective; their Burqa is louder than their bite, because it looks scary but it’s not actually affecting you, unlike a dog. I mean it’s scary, it’s confronting and sure even Darth Vader has more personality than a Burqa. [Laughs] But seriously, where does all this stop? For Muslims it raises the alarm that ‘this is a war on Islam’ because when you got hard on us for terrorism, fine, that was a group of Muslims who actually killed people, they were breaking the law – but the burkha’s not. The other things is - and this shows how spineless these people are - women, in Islam, are the least problematic people, they’re not the ones in gangs, they’re not the ones blowing up people. But the fact that you start your crusade on what you see as voiceless, weak women, shows that you yourself [referring to the senator] are a pathetic person, because he himself is oppressing the weakest link and someone who has done absolutely nothing wrong. I think there is a real disregard for how these women feel, for example my step mother has retreated to the house because this treatment has caused serious mental and health problems for her. She doesn’t want to go out on the street anymore because she feels there is now a conflict because she can’t be herself and wear her funny little religious symbol. So, I was very disappointed with the announcement, especially when non-Muslim men start going off at women, I’m like ‘you’re the most pathetic weak human being I have ever come across’ because Muslim women are the least problematic, they have done nothing wrong. Mohammed El-leissy is the Special Projects & Community Outreach leader for the Islamic Council of Victoria Kristoffer Mckay is a third year undergraduate student majoring in European Studies and Linguistics at Monash University. He plans on completing further research relating to social integration at postgraduate level next year. West Papua’s struggle for independence gains momentum By Kristian Lewis The far eastern Indonesian provinces of Papua and West Papua have been the home of a political and often violent struggle between Indonesian security forces and West Papuan resistance fighters (OPM – Free West Papua Organization and TPN-OPM – its militant wing) since the 1960s. The United States brokered the 1962 New York Agreement and the even more controversial 1969 referendum (Act of Free Choice), which saw the territory become officially recognized by some 84 states (including Australia) and the United Nations as part of the Indonesian Republic. The 1969 referendum is of vital importance here as it is commonly noted as being “rigged”, “farcical” and “not free.” This is due to the fact that of the 800,000 native inhabitants at the time, only about 1,026 were handpicked for the vote between formal Indonesian integration or independence. They are noted to have been threatened and coerced by the Indonesians, to the point where they unanimously voted for the pro-Jakarta option. Tensions have remained high ever since, not purely because of the cultural distinctiveness of the Papuans, as they are Melanesian, but due to the severe repressive measures employed by the military (TNI). The brutal tactics used in Papua resemble those of East Timor and this should be no surprise considering that the same personnel are involved. The direct and indirect acts of state terror have recently led to academics at Sydney and Yale Universities asking whether a gradual genocide is being carried out against the West Papuans. Sadly, even with the fall of Suharto, the granting of East Timorese independence and Acehnese special autonomy, along with the impressive democratic reforms implemented under President Yudhoyono, West Papua has seen little or no progress. While an Acehnese style special autonomy law was drafted in 2001 and has the support of Canberra, the actual implementation of this reform was strongly opposed by senior military figures and is yet to come to fruition. On June 9-10 some 34 signatures gathered from numerous West Papuan societal groups were presented to the provincial capital on June 14, in which it was claimed that special autonomy had indeed failed. Four days later a large scale peaceful demonstration followed in which an estimated 2,000-6,000 people rallied in Jayapura, not just out of anger due to the failure of special autonomy, but once again for a fair referendum and ultimately secession from Jakarta. Days later Vanuatu broke new ground as the government announced that it would call for the legality of the 1969 referendum to be reviewed by the International Court of Justice in September. The resolution of conflict here is not only a priority for the indigenous people, but as we saw in 2006, following the arrival of 43 asylum seekers from the conflict zone, will have an often downplayed but core role in Australia-Indonesia relations. To many it would appear that Canberra has learnt little from the years of military collaboration and appeasement of Indonesia, which saw the killing of some 200,000 people in East Timor, a country that was illegally invaded but is now independent. The question remains, whether the once plausible theory of Indonesian disintegration can reassert itself with the breaking away of West Papua from Jakarta. Kristian Lewis is currently conducting his honours research on West Papuan independence at Deakin University and also is an Access events coordinator. Contemporary debate: The Clash of Civilizations Samuel Huntington, Amartya Sen, Ayan Hirsi Ali and Mohammed Khatami. By Ishita Acharyya. Published as an article in 1993 in Foreign Affairs, and subsequently as a book, the ‘Clash of Civilizations’ is Samuel Huntington’s renowned theory that the most significant source of conflict in post-Cold War era would be along the lines of culture and identity, and that the “bloody borders” of Islam could pose the greatest threat to Western civilization. In June of this year Foreign Affairs magazine revisited this debate, publishing not only Huntington’s original essay, but also the responses of critics and Huntington’s own replies. In answering his critics, Huntington reaffirms the “need for a new model” to decipher the contemporary changes of world politics and order, and posits his ‘Clash of Civilisations’ theory as the best model on the market. Critics of this theory include Amartya Sen, who, in his 2006 book, Identity and Violence, challenges the absolutist definition of identity that Huntington’s theory rests upon. Amartya Sen posits that although political violence is the result of dogmatic allegiance to nationality or ethnicity, they need not primarily define individuals’ identities. Ayan Hirsi Ali’s most recent book, Nomad: From Islam to America: A Personal Journey Through The Clash of Civilizations, has once again brought the ‘Clash of Civilizations’ to the fore. It has been classified by some as a tribute to Samuel Huntington’s theory. As always, Hirsi Ali stirs impassioned debate with her critiques of Islam – that it is too conservative and places unrealistic expectations on fallible people - are premised on the idea that Western culture and Islam are truly dichotomous. In keeping with this month’s theme, it is interesting to note that Hirsi Ali found the legality of her immigration to the Netherlands and her Dutch citizenship to be the subject of scrutiny in 2006, when the veracity of her application for political asylum in 1992 was in doubt. In response to the Clash of Civilizations, the then President of Iran, Mohammad Khatami, introduced an antithetical theory titledDialogue Among Civilizations in 2000. Khatami contended that cultural and moral exchange between “civilizations” was perhaps more important for the integrity of politics than the sensationalized notion of the inevitable “clash” between civilizations. By Ishita Acharyya. News Hit guest column: Travails of a former dictator By Timothy Lawson Former Panamanian President Manuel Noriega, 76, went on trial in Paris following his extradition in April this year. In July he was found guilty and sentenced to jail for 7 years, and still has charges to face in Panama. Given the failures of Noriega’s previous attempts to avoid jail, the future looks bleak for the former military dictator. Noriega ran Panama with military control up until he was deposed by the US armed forces when they invaded in 1989. Noriega was detained as a prisoner of war and taken to the United States. In April 1992, Noriega was tried and convicted by a US court on a number of charges – including money laundering – relating to his cooperation with the Medellin drug cartel, a prominent criminal organisation which operated primarily throughout the 1980s. Noriega helped the cartel, letting them ship large amounts of cocaine through Panama to the U S in return for financial compensation. Noriega, whom was contracted by the US Central Intelligence Service (CIA) in the 1950s and worked with them up until the 1980s, failed to convince the court that his crimes were part of his work for the CIA and was subsequently sentenced to 40 years in prison; this was later reduced to 30, of which Noriega served 17. Noriega also claimed to have found God, proclaiming himself a born-again Christian while awaiting his 1992 trial in the US. "I received Jesus Christ as my Saviour the 15th May of 1990 at 11 A.M.," Noriega was quoted as saying. While awaiting his US trial, Noriega met with Clift Brannon, a preacher and former attorney. After their visit Noriega wrote to Brannon saying: “On completing the spiritual sessions that you as a messenger of the Word of God brought to my heart, even to my area of confinement as Prisoner of War of the United States, I feel the necessity of adding something more to what I was able to say to you as we parted. The evening sessions of May 15 and 16 with you and Rudy Hernandez along with the Christian explanation and guidance were for me the first day of a dream, a revelation. I can tell you with great strength and inspiration that receiving our Lord Jesus Christ as Savior guided by you, was an emotional event. The hours flew by without my being aware. I could have desired that they continue forever, but there was no time nor space. Thank you for your time. Thank you for your human warmth, for your constant and permanent spiritual strength brought to bear on my mind and soul. – With great affection, Manuel A. Noriega.” The latest trial is a result of Noriega having been accused by France of laundering $3 million of Colombian drug money through French bank accounts during his reign as leader of Panama from 1983 through to 1989. In June 1999, Noriega and his wife were both sentenced to 10 years in prison and were fined $33 million for money laundering. Under French law, defendants convicted in absentia are entitled to a new trial. Noriega was sentenced to 7 years of jail at the end of this trial, but that will still not be the end of his saga. Following the approval of France’s extradition request in April, current Panamanian President, Ricardo Martinelli, announced that Panama will request that after being tried in France, Noriega be extradited to his home country. "We are not going to allow Noriega to spend one day not serving his sentence in Panama, after he serves his sentence in France," Varela told AFP reporters. Noriega was convicted in absentia on murder charges in Panama in 1995, receiving a 20 year sentence. Noriega’s legal team appealed for his release on the grounds that France will not honour his legal status as a POW. Noriega’s lawyers have also appealed to the humanitarian organisation, the Red Cross, contending that their client’s prison conditions were unsatisfactory because the prison was decrepit, the General was deprived of his uniform and his medals and that he was denied access to a Spanish-speaking doctor. They also pointed to the 76-year old’s deteriorating health; making mention that he was partially paralysed by a stroke he suffered four years ago. Noriega’s proclaimed spiritual enlightenment, old-age, deteriorating health and loss of his rank, medals and POW status, have not proved sufficient to keep the ex-dictator out of prison. Timothy Lawson is a student of journalism at Monash University and also the international editor on student journalism websiteNews Hit. Global Snapshot for July 2010 Compiled by Ishita Acharyya and Andrew Zammit The Americas USA and Mexico – The Great Immigration Debate across the seas: For the first time since the 1920s there is a greater number of illegal immigrants entering the USA than legal ones, in particularly through the US-Mexico border. However, this year’s Mexican census has revealed that fewer Mexicans are electing to make the dangerous journey to the US, not only because of the danger, but importantly because of the US’s ailing labour market. Debates about the political, social and economic implications of both higher rates of immigration, and a higher Hispanic voting population, continue to feature in US media and society. For insight into the community bodies that drive the debate: The Centre for Immigration Studies recently published that “illegal aliens” are responsible for the decline in US teen employment. It also contend that high rates of immigration make it “harder to achieve such important national objectives as better public schools, a cleaner environment, homeland security, and a living wage for every native-born and immigrant worker”. The Migration Policy Institute has published recently that an increase in migrants – particularly in the skilled labour section – results in lower inflation and has “a small, but positive impact on the income of average Americans”, and examines the short-term impacts on immigration of a depressed labour market. Venezuela and Colombia – tensions at the border: Hugo Chavez has boosted the military presence at the border shared with Colombia as the new Colombian finance minister has been sworn in. Chavez – a leftist - has responded after being accused by the conservative Colombian government of allowing leftist Colombian rebels establish bases there. Although observers say that real conflict is unlikely, the recent troubles have brought regional relations to a new low. Other Latin American states are attempting to diffuse the situation through diplomatic means. A virulent critic of the US, Chavez has rejected the US’s judgment of Venezuela as “petulant” and has threatened to cut off oil supplies to the US. The Middle East Iran – How close to a bomb? US President Barack Obama approved a new round of sanctions aimed at forestalling the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear program. However, there is disagreement not only over whether this is the most effective approach, but over how close Iran is to developing a nuclear weapon. Joseph Cirincionne and Elise Conners of the Ploughshares Fund recently argued that developing a nuclear bomb is more difficult and time consuming than you’d think. Lebanon – Mass mourning follows death of leading Shia cleric: Lebanon’s top Shia cleric, Grand Ayatollah Mohammed Hussein Fadlallah, died of natural causes on July 4th. The Lebanese government declared a national day of mourning, and Shia political figures throughout the Middle East payed tribute, including the leaders of Iraq and Iran. Fadlallah was not only a religious leader in Lebanon but played a key political role. He helped mobilise Shia Muslims in Lebanon against their marginal position in Lebanon’s stratified political system, and also against the Israeli military presence which lasted till 2000. He was widely regarded as the spiritual leader of Hezbollah, resulting in him being designated a terrorist by the US. Nonetheless, relations between Fadlallah and Hezbollah became strained in recent years, with Fadlallah’s views being more moderate and liberal in comparison. The BBC has more on Fadlallah’s death, as well as a useful backgrounder on Hezbollah. More recently, Hezbollah has stated that it expects some of its members to be indicted for the assassination of Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri in 2005. The Lowy Interpreter looks at the effect this could have on Lebanon’s fragile political system, and the region more widely. Israel and Turkey – Strategic alliance potentially at an end: The consequences of the Gaza convoy incident are still playing out, mainly through the dramatically deteriorated relations between Israel and Turkey. Turkey, a NATO member and Israel’s only ally in the region, has been threatening to cut off security cooperation if Israel does not apologise for raiding the Turkish ship carrying activists who were attempting to break the blockade of Gaza. Israel has refused, arguing that the raid was a necessary act of self-defence. Jean-Luc Renaudie examines what effect this breakdown of relations could have on Israel. Africa Guinea - “First free election” no outright winner: After forty years of military rule, Guinea held what has been dubbed as its “first free election”, but with no outright winner. A run-off presidential election is scheduled for later in July. Despite some allegations of voting fraud, a lack of infrastructure and “democratic tradition”, observers have thus far assessed the electoral process as having been smooth. This challenges the conventional wisdom that a “democratic tradition” is needed for a country to successfully adopt democratic institutions. See Al Jazeera English for more info on the election and the candidates. Guinea’s interim government recently banned protests against election fraud, but in spite of this a peaceful demonstration was successfully conducted on the 5th of July. Nigeria – Efforts to attract investment: Foreign investors are in talks with the Nigerian government about potentially investing heavily in Nigeria’s minimal power sector – under the condition that a comprehensive regulatory framework is first implemented. This would obviously massively boost the country’s economic development, but there may be other implications of foreign investment for domestic markets. South Africa - Former police chief convicted in anti-corruption program: Debate rages amongst commentators about whether South Africa is sufficiently addressing corruption, while the South African judicial system produces ironic evidence that it is. Jackie Selebi, former police chief, has been convicted of accepting briberyand has been described as having ‘“complete contempt for the truth” during the trial.’ Asia Nepal – PM resigns to “end deadlock”: Nepal’s PM has been forced to resign by the Maoists - the largest party in the country - after having been appointed to lead a 22-party coalition in May of last year. Who are Nepal’s Maoist rebels? The BBC has a useful summary on a movement that cannot be written off as an anachronism. Amidst such political turmoil, issues like poverty and education remain inadequately addressed. In June’s Quarterly Access, Dale Jasper provides an insight into Nepal’s recent political past and novel ways that the Nepalese community is dealing with their stark realities. India – Fuel prices hiked, resulting in strikes: Fuel prices have been hiked in India in an attempt to decrease deficits and subsidies. These have prompted some of the most vociferous strikes, instigated by the Opposition, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Businesses were shut down; people took their protests to the streets, particularly in states ruled by leftist governments and the BJP: What will the economic and political impacts of the fuel price rise be? According to Reuters, given the upcoming election, this could result in the governing Congress party losing popularity in key areas and could also garner support for a seemingly lost Opposition. Economically, state subsidized oil companies could lose market share, while private competition may be given a boost and incentive to enter the market: China – Anniversary of ethnic violence in Urumqi: China’s stock market has plunged as Chinese security forces have been deployed to Urumqi, exactly one year after the violence between China’s Uyghur Muslim minority and Han majority. Uyghur Human Rights Project reports that there is resentment within the Uyghur community about a lack of redress and independent investigations into last year’s riots and bloody violence. China – Claims of an inferiority/superiority complex: After suffering “one hundred years of national humiliation” China is attempting to cultivate a more “cosmopolitan” international image, in spite of the ethnic conflicts within its own borders: Europe Eastern Europe – Hilary Clinton sends a reminder: US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton recently toured former Soviet satellite state in Eastern Europe, such as Poland, the Ukraine and Georgia. The trip appeared to be aimed at reassuring those countries that had come to fear their sovereignty was threatened by an increasingly assertive Moscow. On her tour Clinton spoke on the importance of democracy, made allusions to the Cold War, promised potential NATO membership to the Ukraine and described the Russian troop presence in Georgia as an occupation. However, throughout the trip Clinton was always careful to not overly upset Russia, which remains a country of huge strategic importance for the US. The BBC has more on this balancing act. EU: Sri Lanka denied trading access on human rights grounds: Coinciding with Prime minister Gillard has lifting the moratorium on processing humanitarian visa applications of Tamil asylum seekers, the EU has stated that it regards that the Sri Lankan government is responsible for human rights violations that are allegedly still continuing today. The EU has responded by suspending the country’s “preferential trade access”. The Sri Lankan government has countered that the attempt to force it to make a pledge to improve its human rights record is a breach of its sovereignty and an example of Western hegemony. Kosovo – Danger and decisions: Two violent incidents in the past month have renewed tensions between Serbia and Kosovo. A member of the Kosovo parliament, who belong to the ethnic Serbian minority, was recently shot and taken to hospital. Some days afterwards a bomb attack occurred against a rally held by Serbs in Kosovo, killing one and injuring many. The violence has led to heated exchanges between Serbian and Kosovar representatives at the United Nations. AlertNet provides a detailed backgrounder to the situation. Meanwhile the International Court of Justice issued a ruling that Kosovo’s declaration of independence was not against international law. This challenged claims made by Serbia, which does not recognise Kosovo as an independent state. The ruling was opposed by Russia and China, wary of independence movements within their borders, and supported by most EU states. Political science blog Monkey Cage analyses the reasoning behind the decision. Issue 8 Message from the Editor By Olivia Cable Welcome to Monthly ACCESS. This edition marks the opening up of our readership, from ACCESS members only, to the wider audience of the AIIA membership and students of the Australian National University. The ACCESS team have been busy organising two events for June. On 3 June, don’t miss the ‘great debate’ with QC and human rights activist, Julian Burnside, and CEO of the Asylum Seekers Resource Centre, Mr Kon Karapanagiotidis. On 21 June, Professor Stephen King, a renowned economist from Monash University, will present on the ethics and efficacies of government bailouts. Also at Dyson House in June we have Professor Greg Barton speaking about the nature of Indonesia’s democratic transition – a timely event as Australia’s ‘Asia illiteracy’ debate continues – and the recently returned AIIA study group will host a night to discuss their trip to East Timor. In this edition of Monthly ACCESS, we were fortunate to again interview Professor Hugh White from The Australian National University. Hugh White comments on the viability of Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s ‘Asia Pacific Community’ proposal. Meanwhile, in our new segment ‘career spotlight’, we meet the remarkable Lucy Bradlow. Following an internship at the United Nations International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda Lucy founded the One by One Foundation. Lucy lives by the theory that “ending poverty in Africa is not a hopeless cause and that each person can make a difference.” Read her in-depth interview with Monthly ACCESS below. Finally, following on from last month’s ‘contemporary debate’, we have an article by young economist Antonio Cruz, on the burka debate. And in this month’s edition, we provide insight into two controversies in North Asia: the legality of Japan’s whaling program and the sinking of South Korean vessel Cheonan. If you’d like to contribute to Monthly ACCESS newsletter, we’re looking for people to interview and worthy websites relating to debates and issues in the international realm. Our e-mail address is [email protected] Olivia Cable *Olivia is studying Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University in Canberra. Your feedback From ACCESS members and our readers There has been increased pressure on Israel to join the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in recent weeks. Israel is one of three nations never to have signed the agreement, alongside India and Pakistan. This comes after revelations of a South African nuclear weapons deal with Israel in 1975, in which it is reported that Israel’s President Shimon Peres promised the apartheid state warheads. Mr Peres denies any such arrangement. In more hot water, an aid flotilla to the Gaza strip, organised by Turkish pro-Palestinian supporters, has recently been boarded by the Israeli Navy. The high-profile flotilla included a crew of European delegates and a Nobel laureate. More people were due to board in its final leg in Cyprus but were prevented by maritime officials as it docked. Israel has vowed to stop the fleet reaching Gaza, while Hamas officials have prepared a warm welcoming party choreographed by leaders in Gaza's hard-line ruling faction. * Sarah Norgrove is studying Security Analysis at The Australian National University in Canberra. Q&A with Hugh White With Olivia Cable In 2008, Rudd proposed a new institution, the Asia Pacific Community (APC), which can be seen as a response to major global economic and geo-strategic changes. Appointing Richard Woolcott as Special Envoy, he visited 22 countries, consulting leaders of the highest level; ministers, senior officials, academics and those involved in think tanks in the region. As Rudd said, he wanted “to begin a conversation” and strengthen cooperation in the Asia Pacific region. What has been the general consensus to date? HW: That this is not an attractive idea. Just look at what was proposed; the speeches, the conference in Sydney, what the government convened. Rudd’s speech articulated two reasons why he thinks the region needs a new institution. Firstly, to better manage the problems the region faces today, climate, change, pandemics, people smuggling. Secondly, the region is changing fundamental shifts in economics, therefore strategic weight. We need to manage this process strategically. Rudd proposed two different arguments. One was about the present order and another was about building new order. These are very different kinds of arguments. Like the difference between writing law and constitutions; one is writing, the other is building. In my mind, it failed- as I think it has – because the two different interpretations of what its about are incompatible. You can’t trust the same instrument for two different things. The real purpose of the APC is the second one [changes in strategic weight]. To rebuild order, membership will be exclusive not inclusive. With only big powers involved, the less credible it will become. There were structural problems from the outset [of the APC]. The handling of it diplomatically was completely wrong. A shifting balance of power is challenging the hegemonic position of the United States by China and India. How can Rudd help Obama understand China’s growing power and to minimise strategic competition between the two superpowers? HW: Key question. It’s critical, because it appears that the Americans find it hard to take seriously the scale of China’s challenge. The most important, useful thing Australia can do is make clear to the US what Australia thinks - that we see China’s growing power as transformational and we see US primacy cannot be sustained if China keeps growing. There is no particular reason that the US will respond just because Australia says that. Australia sends mixed messages and when you hear mixed messages, you hear what you want to hear. They [the US] pick out what they want to hear. The 2009 White Paper, it said two different things. One; that China’s growing power is transforming the region, and two; that the US would remain a global power for as long as we can see. If Rudd wants to be able to persuade Obama he must be brave enough to tell him what he thinks, and he must tell Australian’s first, which so far he’s been reluctant to do. If Rudd’s APC works, what will happen to existing institutions such as ASEAN, APEC and the EAS? HW: They would be some less significant. His principle aim is to prevent it the APC from dying. As long as it is out there and discussed, he’ll be able to pretend to himself that it’s going somewhere They have their place [and] some strategic issues can be addressed through current institutions. [Although with] a shift in the fundamental power of relativities, that’s not something you do multilaterally. Are multilateral institutions the right tool to use in Asia when addressing economic and strategic issues? What sort of tool should Rudd have used in order to maximise our opportunities and minimise our threats in the region? HW: A very good question. There was a debate between bilateralists and multilateralists. I always thought the debate was stupid, but they’re both important. It’s like you need the right size spanner for the right sized nut. Without the strategic challenges, I don’t believe multilateralism forums will make a difference. New order is created by the way individuals see their interests. Australia should have the conversation with the US to respond to China’s growing power, by sharing rather than competing. In order to do that safely, the US needs to remain active in Asia. We need to set some standards around what is acceptable by China, which needs to be conservatively set, giving China room to work - to be prepared to work in the international order, getting the boundaries clear. It has been the most challenging piece of diplomacy in Australia’s history. It’s not going to be done by sitting in a hotel with 20 countries. It needs to be one-on-one. It first involves talking to Australians. Rudd can’t engage in creating a new strategic order until Australians know what is at stake, what’s good, what’s not, what we need to purse. Until he has credentials at home, he can’t go overseas. Editor’s note: The following link to articles on Rudd’s Asia Pacific Community from the East Asia Forum Quarterly provides further reading. http://epress.anu.edu.au/eaf/vol1/02/index.html Graeme Dobell’s commentary in the Lowy Interpreter also provides invaluable reading. http://www.lowyinterpreter.org/post/2010/04/28/Rudd-to-ASEAN-You-win.aspx * Hugh White is Professor of Strategic Studies and Head of the Strategic & Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University. He is also a Visiting Fellow at the Lowy Institute for International Policy. Career Spotlight with Lucy Bradlow With Olivia Cable In 2008, Lucy Bradlow undertook an internship at the United Nations International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda in Arusha, Tanzania. During her time in Arusha, Lucy endeavoured to do some non UN related volunteering to engage with Tanzanians. Through volunteering at an orphanage in Arusha, Lucy met Carley Andrews, an Australian who started Ujamaa volunteer hostel in Arusha. Together Lucy and Carley started the Ujamaa Children's Home. Upon returning to Australia, Lucy founded the One By One Foundation as the fundraising organisation for the home. Since starting the One by One Foundation, it has branched out to include a scholarship program as well. A native South African, Lucy lives by the theory that “ending poverty in Africa is not a hopeless cause and that each person can make a difference.”The One by One Foundation allows Australians to make a difference, one child at a time. The One by One Foundation is hosting a fundraising event on 19th June 2010. http://www.theonebyonefoundation.org/index.php?id=9 How many children is The One by One Foundation currently assisting? LB: The One by One Foundation currently assists 6 children in different capacities. We currently have 5 children in the Ujamaa Children's Home- 4 year old twins Ali and Halima, brother and sister Kalven and Irene (8 and 10), and 13 year old Sabina. The Ujamaa Children's Home aims to be as much like a family home as possible, hence why we have two sets of siblings. The age range means that not only are the children cared for and loved by their wonderful housemother Gloria and cleaner Rose, but they care for, and love, each other. The One by One Foundation scholarship fund currently has one student- Verynice Kitali. Verynice came to me through her father who was my taxi driver when I lived in Arusha. She is a very bright girl with an excellent grasp of English which allowed her to be accepted to the Edmund Rice School in Arusha, an excellent selective High School. The One by One Foundation has contact with the headmaster of Edmund Rice and receives regular emails from Verynice discussing her excellent progress. Her name is a perfect summation of her person! Although we would like to help all the impoverished children in Tanzania, the One by One Foundation emphasises giving fewer children the best possible care, so all the children we care for through the Ujamaa Children's Home and the One by One Foundation scholarship fund can grow to have their own children who do not need to rely on aid programs. What difficulties do you face when raising money from the international community? LB: What is most interesting to me is that since I started the organisation I have received enormous support from the International Community. As soon as I started the organisation I had 8 gorgeous girls from Melbourne sign up to help out. It is easy for me to be committed to the organisation as I have been there and I know these children, but for them they just did it because they are good people who really want to help in some way. Last year we held a Mother Daughter (and special friend) lunch in Melbourne that raised over $10,000. This year we hosted a movie night and are hosting the lunch again. The generosity of people around me has been both astounding and touching. The greatest difficulty with foreign charities, particularly charities that operate in Africa, is that people's initial reaction is 'oh no, not another African charity'! A lot of people see it as yet another organisation started by some idealistic, spoilt, 20 something who wants it to look good on the resume and has no intention of properly overseeing it and most of the money will probably be misappropriated anyway! There is definitely an element of truth to this reaction. I there are a lot of reasons people start charities in Africa and I know there are a lot of organisations where 5 cents to every $1 ever reaches anyone who needs it. But I think once I explained to people that this is a small organisation and we aim to keep small enough so that we can effectively manage it voluntarily for a long time to come, people become more interested. I think there is actually a real desire in the international community to help break the poverty cycle in some way, most people just don't know how to do it, or have tried in the past and have become cynical about it. This is easy to do and I have definitely been there myself at times. But I really believe what the One by One Foundation is doing is important and that there are truly incredible people in Tanzania like Carley Andrews who are committed to making change. If we harness the good work of these people through organisations like the One by One Foundation, we really can make a difference. How does The One by One Foundation differ from other aid organisations? LB: I guess this relates a lot to my answer above. The One by One Foundation is absolutely committed to being completely voluntary. This means that no matter how quickly the wind takes us we will never grow to a point where we can't stand by our original goals and aspirations- a voluntary organisation that provides children with the best possible chance at a future. Because we advertise ourselves as really small and volunteer based, it is also extremely important that we are totally transparent. The One by One Foundation tries to make it as easy as possible for donors to see exactly where their money is going, so they can log on the website and see that we made $4,500 at the movie night and see exactly what it was spent on like $70 for electricity and $2.50 on vegetables! I think this really separates us from a lot of charitable organisations, not necessarily because they are misappropriating the money, but because it is too much effort. If we keep the organisation small, it will stay manageable. Was it difficult to establish this foundation? LB: Legally it is a nightmare to establish a foundation and I am a lawyer! There are a lot of requirements to fulfil and a lot of admin and it is near impossible to get the god-like status of Deductible Gift Recipient (which we are still trying for). But practically, no, it was very easy. When I found something I wanted to fundraise for I just sent out an email asking anyone if they wanted to help and off we went! People were very generous last year and we hope again this year with their time, money and other donations. We had an amazing raffle at the lunch, which we will hopefully get again this year. I think the foundation is much more difficult to administer on the other side, i.e. in Tanzania, and that is why I have such great admiration for Carley. The stark truth of the matter is that many Tanzanians are desperate and without effective monitoring of everything that goes toward the home money can easily disappear. We are lucky in that we have an incredible housemother Gloria who has basically run the home for free for a long time and we can really trust her. She is an absolute gem! The scholarship side of the foundation has been very painless. Technology these days means that I can be in contact with the headmaster of the school in Arusha via email and electronically transfer him the school fees. Verynice, our first sponsored student, is a very self-motivated little girl so she went off herself and organised to write the entrance exam and then organised to be in the boarding school. It is great to sponsor a student like her because you know that she values her education so much and that she is making the most of the opportunity. What are the dangers for Tanzanians of people establishing aid organisations? LB: People talk a lot about the dangers of aid organisations for Tanzanians, but to be honest I have not really been too involved in that debate. There is certainly an element of truth to the neocolonialism debates about Africa in that because of aid organisations the white man still holds an element of control over Africans. I also know that there are many arguments to say that aid merely makes people rely on aid and not strive for anything themselves. But like I said above, I look at Verynice and Gloria and really they have done (and continue to do) most of the work themselves and I don't see it as us providing them aid, but providing them a chance to take hold of an opportunity. I know that most of the things I have done in my life have been possible because my parents have had the resources to make it possible but that does not mean I have not worked hard to have the opportunities, or gained a great deal from them. The real buzzword now is development rather than aid. Everyone is about 'teaching a man to fish' rather than giving them a fish, and I think ideas like this are tremendous in many situations. But with children it is really hard to teach them to fish when they have no idea what fishing is and have no opportunity to use their fishing skills once they have been taught. Orphaned children need aid. They need someone to provide them with a home and a bed and food to be able to be at the point where we can teach them to fish. We are very careful about not interfering in their lives too much as well. While we want the children to grow up to learn about some important things, like equality of the sexes, we are careful that they are brought up in a Tanzanian way. Their housemother Gloria is the best person in this sense because she is a wonderful, strong Tanzanian woman who is teaching them Tanzanian values but also leading by example. I really don't think that us providing the funds for her to do so is of any disadvantage to her or the children. How do you see the future of The One by One Foundation evolving? LB: The primary aim of the One by One Foundation is to be able to grow in a way that allows it to remain an entirely volunteer based organisation. We therefore aim to grow slowly and carefully, ensuring that we can support our current projects to capacity before taking on new projects. Our primary project is, and will continue to be, the Ujamaa Children's Home. The Ujamaa Children's Home aims to provide the best possible level of care to all its children. That does not mean Ujamaa Children will not grow, but it means that growth will depend on each child already in the home having their needs catered for. The growth for the home will then be based on the following factors: The Children: Ujamaa Children's Home believes that to provide optimal support to the children, we will limit intake to 10 children for now. We would want to provide each of these children with a full private education in the best possible schools; ensure each child has a full and healthy diet and optimal health care, which may include psychological health care if needed; and to provide opportunities for the children to be children - more outings, birthday parties and rewards. We also intend to be able to support the children well into adulthood, so if they chose tertiary education or vocational training they will have a support system until they are able to support themselves. The Home: We are currently renting a house for the children to live in, but it is our goal to buy a plot of land to build a permanent house. This house will have the potential to house 20 children, however, we know that as children grow their needs change and as such our house will have different areas for different age groups. There will also be space for staff, play areas, learning areas, lounge areas and the sense of a home. For environmental and health reasons, we aim to have a garden in which we can grow our own produce, solar panels to cut down electrical costs and the creation of other programs to enable to home to become more of a self-sustaining project. The Staff: Ujamaa Children's Home has wonderful staff and as our resources grow we would like to be able to provide greater recognition to the staff for their hard work and generosity. This would not only mean more staff with better wages, but also opportunities for the staff to have education and further training, and to be able to provide greater support to their families. As well as the Ujamaa Children's Home, the One by One Foundation has a small scholarship fund for children in Arusha known to One by One's directors who are unable to afford high school. Currently we have one child, Verynice Kitali, who we are paying to attend the Edmund Rice School in Arusha. We see the One by One Foundation Scholarship Fund developing in the following ways: The 'School for School Fee' program: The One by One has been in touch with a number of schools across Melbourne and has introduced a program whereby a school, a house within a school or a year level within a school, can sponsor a child's school fees for the year. The sponsoring school will receive photos and information on the student and will be able to follow the student's progress. For only $600 a year, a school group will be able to offer a Tanzanian student the opportunity for an education that they may take for granted. Partnership with the Umoja Centre: The One by One hopes to work with the Umoja vocational training centre in Arusha to put children who have left school for a variety of reasons back into senior school. Such a partnership will mean that Umoja can send more children back to school and One by One will know that their is someone on the ground monitoring the children's progress. Partnership with the Edmund Rice school in Arusha: Currently Verynice Kitali attends the Edmund Rice school in Arusha. Edmund Rice is a very good, selective school that offers boarding opportunities to its students. We have been in touch with the Headmaster of Edmund Rice and hope to develop a relationship with the school that allows us to send more students there and in return the school will be assured of payment of fees. www.theonebyonefoundation.org Global snapshot What’s been going on around the world? North America As Jamaican drug lord Christopher “Dudus” Coke hides from police in Kingston, Jamaica. 26 civilians have lost their lives from being caught up in the crossfire. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/may/26/jamaica-violence-security-forces-kingston The worst environmental disaster in US history, see this interactive timeline on efforts to plug the well. As efforts continue, it may not be until August that BP contains the spill. http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/05/28/us/20100528_GULF_TIMELINE.html Asia It seemed ABC’s “Lateline’ was lucky to steal an interview with Former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, but did Shinawatra hang up on Tony Jones? http://www.abc.net.au/news/video/2010/05/26/2910366.htm Also on Thailand, Journalists Without Borders reports on restrictions on information and their reliance on social networking sites, Facebook and Twitter. http://en.rsf.org/a-second-journalist-killed-in-19-05-2010,37509.html Not only has Australia qualified for the soccer World Cup in Germany 2011, but so has North Korea. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/sport/matildas-hold-nerve-to-clinch-asian-cup/storye6frg7mf-1225873266707 South Asia While taxi driving in India is an exclusively male occupation, efforts by the Azad Foundation may change this. http://www.guardianweekly.co.uk/?page=editorial&id=1573&catID=17 The Taliban has been blamed for the bombing of two mosques in Lahore on Friday 28 May. Here’s what happened. http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia/2010/05/2010528923401784.html Europe Economics, at the best of times, is difficult to explain and the sovereign debt crisis in Europe is no exception. This series of maps from the New York Times, however, should provide a clearer picture. http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/04/06/business/global/european-debt-map.html For those who prefer the written word, Australia’s Business Spectator has a special section on the crisis. http://www.businessspectator.com.au/sovereign-debt And, direct from the statistician’s office, you can find the data here. http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/government_finance_statistics/introduction http://www.economicsnetwork.ac.uk/links/data_free.htm Britain meanwhile elected a new coalition government of the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats. Prime Minister David Cameron shares his agenda at Downing Street’s official website. http://www.number10.gov.uk/ But who will be Britain’s chief mouse catcher? http://www.crikey.com.au/2010/05/19/miaow-prime-minister-the-bureaucats-of-downing-street/ The Middle East As sanctions in Gaza continue, a flotilla of eight boats carrying thousands of tonnes of aid sets sail from Turkey to Gaza. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/may/25/gaza-flotilla-aid-attempt The United Nations says the blockade Israel has imposed on Gaza punishes the local people unfairly. Israeli officials claim however that ships don’t help. http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/turkey-to-israel-lift-blockade-of-gaza-1.292157 And click here to follow the flotilla’s progress. www.witnessgaza.com Africa The 2010 World Cup kicks off this year in South Africa http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/ And World Vision meanwhile launches a campaign to kick child labour out of soccer balls http://www.worldvision.com.au/issues/Human_Trafficking___Slavery/WhatIsOurResponse/Kicking _child_labour_out_of_socce Banning the burqa; does it address women’s rights? By Antonio Cruz South Australian Liberal Senator Cory Bernardi is the most recent high-profile political figure in Australia to have called for a national ban of the burqa. His call was made following a report that a man wearing a burqa and sunglasses was involved in an armed robbery in a Sydney car park. The Senator wrote on his blog that “the burqa is no longer simply the symbol of female repression and Islamic culture, it is now emerging as the preferred disguise of bandits and ne'er do wells.” A great degree of cynicism should be directed toward the motives of those who endorse the banning of the burqa in Australia, especially when the mainstream debate is driven by non-Muslim Anglo-Australian male politicians and media commentators. One does not need to delve too deeply into the arguments of these commentators to discover they are less concerned with the freedom and equality of women in society but are rather targeted to the politics of fear and intolerance. Only a very small proportion of women wear the burqa in Australia. Despite this, conservative commentators have created a strong negative stereotype around it. It is not surprising therefore that in mainstream media the burqa is portrayed as an affront to Australian society and our way of life. An online poll by UMR Research released in The Age on 26 May, 2010 found that three in five Australians would support a ban on Muslim women wearing the burqa. Although a ban is not current policy of either of the two major parties there is a sense that neither party are actively dissuading the debate. The most perplexing issue about a potential ban on the burqa is how society can enforce freedom and equality if freedom of choice and expression of individuals in our community is denied. Non-Muslims cannot understand the full cultural significance of the burqa, however given the gender specific nature of the garment, its position in Islamic cultures is subject to significant debate amongst Muslims worldwide. Ultimately, this is where the debate most appropriately belongs. It is not to say there is no place for people to try to defend the rights of women nor address gender inequality in our society but our attention should not be restricted to a very small proportion of Australian Muslim women who choose to wear the burqa. Rather, it should concentrate on addressing the gender imbalance in other more significant areas. It is important to remind ourselves that Western societies have been equally unsuccessful in promoting women to positions of political and economic power. * Antonio is a young economist based in Melbourne, with degrees in political science and economics. Contemporary debate: controversy on the high seas The issues that are shaping our world Fighting whaling in the courtroom Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s move to take Japan to the International Court of Justice is a risky move, considering the diplomatic and economic stakes. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/rudd-risks-the-anti-whaling-cause/story-e6frg6zo1225872711955 Trevor Wilson, Australian Embassy Minister in Tokyo from 1996-2000 and participant of negotiations on Japanese agriculture policy, meanwhile finds that a mutual solution “seems more remote than ever”. http://www.asialink.unimelb.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0006/28491/wilson_essay1_2010.pdf Not only are Japan’s policy makers puzzled by Australia’s love of whales, they’re also concerned with the Australian media’s relationship with whaling and the bilateral relationship. And fighting in North Korea without going to war Seoul is going to the United Nations Security Council following the torpedoing of its navy vessel, Cheonan, by the North. But why sink a South Korean ship and then claim you didn’t do it? And does North Korea really pose a threat to the United States? http://www.nationalinterest.org/Article.aspx?id=23432 Elsewhere, Professor William Tow of the Australian National University reports on North Korea’s attack and the ongoing regional uncertainty. Tow recommends what Australia can do to help resolve the Korean dilemma. http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2010/05/18/north-koreas-test-of-resolve/ Finally, what does the sinking mean for the six-party talks? http://www.rsis.edu.sg/publications/Perspective/RSIS0512010.pdf Britain, America, Australia: a tripartite concert of leaders By Ronald Li Britain, America, Australia. These three countries shares common histories and identities. They are common law democracies and traditionally friendly to migrants and multiculturalism. They are also associated with the Anglo-Saxon culture and civilisation. Would it be any more surprising to say that they could have been sharing in the past decade, a common electoral cycle and characteristics of their governments? In the early 2000s we had the Howard-Blair-Bush coalition. They were in many ways similar, being pro-business and pro-war. They were also more or less in power together in that same duration, sharing a minimum of 2 Presidential and Prime Ministerial terms. With the political fallout from the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, they too were linked to or held responsible for scandals such as being party to ‘torture’, and were subsequently removed from power in the same cycle. Then we have the second generation of leaders, post-war leaders. We have in the coalition, RuddBrown-Obama. The common threads binding these leaders together are that they ascended to the pinnacle of power by capitalising on the currency of hope and promises. They brought back some sense of moral righteousness to a rapidly jaded world. Indeed, with smiling faces and words of assurances, and the blossoming financial crisis, people from all walks of life rallied to them. There was a sense of relief that the worst was over. Fast forward to today, these promises have mostly been broken. For the few promises that they did manage to wrestle through, those were severely compromised or produced unsatisfactory outcomes. Few could blame them for failing to do so as it seems they oversold themselves to the public. With the amount of change promised by these second-generation leaders left in the bank as they handed out bailouts, public sentiment against these leaders were on the rise and the first casualty, Gordon Brown has already been handed his retirement keys. Rudd has managed, over just the past few months to completely flip his cushy advantage in ratings, to become immensely unpopular as the media and opposition homes in on mistake after mistake. The pressure is building up and the election has to take place within the year. Obama finds himself in a similar situation, with the meltdown of multiple key institutions and the financial crisis severely limiting his options. Losing his filibuster-proof majority in the Senate further crippled his ability to pass through important election promises and the recent oil spill crisis seems to hammer the last nail on the coffin. Are we then likely to see a third-generation of leaders in these three countries take power at the same time and share similar characteristics? Is the time for hope and peace, the Gen-X generation who took over the baby boomers, over as well? One can only imagine if it is true that a Gen-Y generation of governments assume leadership. On one hand Gen-Y has long been linked with laziness, being spoilt brats and rolling stones. However they are also the savviest and most enterprising generation. They also spend a lot of time networking and being connected to each other. Will this be reflected in their governments of the future? If so, we can expect a tripartite of governments that are keen on further promoting global governance and institutions; governments that aren’t afraid to break old moulds and invent new solutions. Only time can tell. Issue 7 Message from the Editor By Olivia Cable Welcome to back to the Monthly ACCESS newsletter for May. The ACCESS team has been busy travelling and researching new projects in Southeast Asia, some of which were bring here to you in this edition. Plans are in place to create an ACCESS event for later this year focused on international terrorism. Skipping April’s edition only means that May’s newsletter is choc-a-block. This edition examines the issue of terrorism from several different angles. We have a fascinating interview with Sidney Jones of the International Crisis Group, two articles by Andrew Zammit and Annalies Engwerda on the failed car bombing in New York and NATO's campaign in Afghanistan respectively, plus two new features: Contemporary Debate and Global Snapshot. We also have several letters from our readers plus an exceptional list of events for you to mark in your diaries. Don’t’ miss our ACCESS run event The Great Immigration Debate – asylum seekers, multiculturalism and the Australian identity on 3 June, with Mr Julian Burnside AO QC, barrister and author and Mr Kon Karapanagiotidis, from the Asylum Seekers Resource Centre and refugee lawyer. If you’d like to contribute to Monthly ACCESS newsletter, we’re looking for letter’s to the editor, opinion pieces and worthy websites relating to debates and issues in the international realm. [email protected] Keep in touch, Olivia Cable *Olivia is studying Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University in Canberra. Your feedback From ACCESS members and our readers To ACCESS, Thanks for a great new publication! I particularly enjoyed the Q&A with Joel Fitzgibbon and Hugh White (Monthly ACCESS newsletter, March 2010, Q&A). It was very interesting to compare the government’s official perspective with that of a true expert. White’s point that the ADF lacks purpose and leadership was ironically supported by Fitzgibbon’s careful and ultimately empty answers. It was a pity that the interviews were not longer and it would be great to hear more from Hugh White in the coming issues. Thanks. * Tasman Vaughan, Bachelor of Arts/Asia-Pacific Studies, the Australian National University Perhaps the Defence Department will always struggle for clarity because of politics (Monthly ACCESS newsletter, March 2010, Q&A). The Department is ultimately subservient to the government of the day, and is therefore pulled in different policy directions for reasons of political expediency, varying perceptions of Australia’s relationship with the world from one government to the next. * Jono Singline, ACCESS member In response to Alex Horwood, ‘Israel and the Elusiveness of Neutrality’ (Monthly ACCESS newsletter, March 2010), a terrorist is seduced into his craft, not forced. Addressing all the grievances in the world will not address terrorism. The modern terrorist is an entrepreneur. It’s an exciting undertaking, deciding on a target, building a team, sourcing and building the weaponry, sometimes rather sophisticated weaponry as Hamas has shown with its several replica US style Raven Drones. A very small group can enter the annals of history by defeating mighty military powers, such as Spain (2004), The Netherlands (2005), Portugal (2005) and Italy (2006). This year Germany and the Netherlands look likely to withdraw from Afghanistan; luckily Australia and others will prevent it from falling into the hands of terrorists. Perhaps the answer to dealing with terrorists, is dealing with terrorists, which fewer and fewer countries these days are willing to do. * Daniel Wilson, editor-in-chief of ‘Quarterly ACCESS’ Q&A with Sidney Jones With Olivia Cable Sydney, April 2010 What are the current objectives and strategies of Islamist Jihad in Indonesia? SJ: There are three streams within Jemaah Islamiyah [JI – the most well known Jihadi group in Indonesia]. The ‘violent’ stream is focused on the Al-Qaeda line of attacking the United States and its allies. The second stream is doing Jihad for Jihad’s sake, with the ultimate goal of an Islamic state. The third stream is made up of former leaders of JI who have renounced violence, believing they are now too weak to actively engage in Jihadi operations. Of these, the Noordin Top line was to wage Jihad now and work toward the establishment of an Islamic state through military operations. The other two groups though are meanwhile reaching out through preaching and Da’wah [to summons, or invite], saying ‘unless we use force, an Islamic state won’t come. It’s an obligation to wage Jihad to win’. JI is telling members to ‘hold on, don’t engage in force now, we’re too weak’. A new Jihadi generation is being trained in Indonesia. What does this fourth generation look like? SJ: Not sure. All we know is that from one of these three groups, they are putting Jihad on hold and instead focusing on systematic indoctrination. They’re being trained in fifteen JI schools. It is not yet clear though whether the institutional network for the training of that generation exists. Criminals are being recruited by Jihadi’s inside Indonesian prisons. What de-radicalisation programs are in place and have they been effective? SJ: De-radicalisation is not trying to prevent radicalisation, it is trying to take people who have already joined movements. Police still need to work out how to stop radicalisation in Indonesia’s prisons. However, on its own terms, religious counseling is successful in helping Jihadis disengage from their use of violence. Recruitment of criminals hasn’t been a huge problem, but certainly we have seen the recruitment of drug dealers detained in the same cells as Jihadis. They see Jihadi membership as a way of atoning for past behaviour and putting their skills to good use. It is useful for terrorist groups to take criminals on board. It is not a big problem, but it is a subset. The biggest problem in prisons is that there is no control over communication among the Jihadis. People communicate from one prison to another by mobile phone, and new groups are formed in prison by people who are recruiting through Jihadi-run programs. There is no control of convicted terrorists. * Sidney Jones is a senior adviser for the Asia Program at the International Crisis Group in Jakarta. Her areas of expertise are terrorism and Islam in South East Asia. She was formerly Asia Director with Human Rights Watch, Indonesia-Philippines researcher with Amnesty International and program officer with the Ford Foundation. The International Crisis Group is an independent, nonprofit, non-governmental organisation committed to preventing and resolving deadly conflict. Homeland secure? The Times Square incident and current debates on terrorism By Andrew Zammit The recent car bombing attempt in New York City, and the questionable claim of responsibility which followed, has relevance to an ongoing dispute amongst terrorism specialists. In 2008 leading terrorism researchers Marc Sageman and Bruce Hoffman disagreed bitterly over the danger posed by Al-Qaeda, particularly over its ability to directly instigate attacks in the West. Hoffman characterised Al-Qaeda as an ever-growing threat, being very much “on the move”, while Sageman argued that Al-Qaeda was “on the run”, and that the danger came largely from autonomous homegrown terror cells. Recently, both specialists published articles updating their assessments of Al-Qaeda. In Sageman’s recent article he presented data suggesting that 78% of all Jihadi terrorist plots to take place in the West over the past five years were perpetrated by autonomous homegrown cells that were not under the control of Al-Qaeda. This, he argued, showed that the direct importance of Al-Qaeda to the terrorist threat in the West was exaggerated, with homegrown Jihadi extremism being far more important. He therefore stated that “again, Al-Qaeda is on the run and not on the move.” For good measure he mentioned Hoffman by name, adding: “After the Fort Hood tragedy of November 5, 2009, even those who had previously believed that homegrown terrorism was a myth admitted to the press that they had changed their minds about it.” Meanwhile Hoffman’s recent contribution to the debate examined Al-Qaeda’s role in the escalation of terrorist plots against the US. Pointing to the attempted bombing of a US airliner on Christmas Day 2009, and the suicide bombing of a CIA base in Afghanistan, he argued that a “terrorist movement ‘on the run’ does not pull off two separate incidents less than a week apart and call into question the effectiveness of our entire national-security architecture.” To Hoffman, “it is the United States and not al-Qaeda that appears to be on the run.” The recent failed car bombing in New York City does not neatly fit either portrayal of the threat. This attempt, described by police as “amateurish”, to use propane and fireworks to set off an explosion in Times Square initially seems to support Hoffman’s analysis, as it does not appear homegrown. A Pakistani born US citizen has been charged, and seven others have been detained in Pakistan, allegedly linked to the attack. A movement allied to Al Qaeda, Tehrik e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), took credit, and threatened more attacks to come. However, terrorist groups regularly try to exaggerate their capability by falsely claiming responsibility. In 1986 the US space shuttle Challenger tragically exploded shortly after take-off due to mechanical failure; a Palestinian terrorist group known as the Abu Nidal Organisation immediately claimed that they had planted a bomb on it. Sageman's article of late last year pointed out that TTP was one of many terrorist groups that regularly claimed responsibility for events which it had absolutely no connection to. In 2007 it took credit for a power shortage in several US cities and in 2009 it took credit for shootings in New York perpetrated by a deranged individual who had nothing to do with any global Jihad. TTP’s attempt to claim this attack could well be just as fraudulent. New York City police stated that there was no evidence that TTP was behind the recent car bombing attempt, and none of those detained in Pakistan have yet been linked to this organisation. Even if it does turn out to be involved, it may not be smart to take credit for a plot that so clearly failed. The eagerness of this Al-Qaeda linked group to claim responsibility suggests its capability to instigate attacks in the West is far less than it would like. Returning to the dispute over how to characterise the current terrorism threat, no firm conclusions can be drawn from a single incident. It is also worth remembering that despite the intense focus on the threat these groups pose to the West, they pose afar greater danger to people in Pakistan and Afghanistan, who are usually left out of the debate. Also, the views of Hoffman and Sageman do not need to be as mutually exclusive as they have become, and a host of lower-profile terrorism specialists see merit in both sides. Nonetheless, while the attack so far appears not to be homegrown, this highly doubtful claim of responsibility by TTP actually lends weight to Sageman’s argument. It suggests that the direct threat Al-Qaeda and associated groups pose to Western countries is not as great as Hoffman fears, and it is certainly not a sign of being on the move. * Andrew Zammit is on the editorial team of ‘Quarterly ACCESS’ Things fall apart: NATO and the Dutch retreat from Afghanistan By Annalies Engwerda Since 2006, the Dutch Government has stationed troops in Afghanistan as part of the NATO International Security Assistance Force (ISAF). The troops were originally due to return home in 2008, but when no replacement was found, NATO requested their service be extended to August 2010. The young government of Dutch Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende consented. When NATO recently requested that the Dutch Government again reconsider bringing its troops home, irreconcilable cracks emerged within the coalition parties of the Dutch government. On February 20 the Dutch Labour Party withdrew from the Coalition. With no party able to form a majority, fresh elections will be held within the coming months. Wouter Bos, leader of the Labour Party, bitterly opposed the extension of the service in Afghanistan. Prime Minister Balkenende supported keeping a reduced number of troops there for another year. In either case, by the end of 2010, all Dutch troops are due to return home, making the Netherlands the first country to withdraw all troops from the Afghanistan mission. The Netherlands has contributed almost 2,000 troops to Afghanistan, most of whom have been serving in the southern province of Uruzgan alongside Australian troops. Twenty-one Dutch troops have been killed in service, which has contributed to the growing unpopularity of the mission at home. The 30,000 US troop increase announced by President Obama is set to replace the Dutch troops upon their withdrawal. Nevertheless, concerns remain that the Dutch withdrawal may set a dangerous precedent amongst other donor countries. The Obama Administration has made repeated requests for extra troops and equipment from allied countries, many of which have gone unheeded. The most recent requests have come to some fruition, with European countries pledging an additional 9,000 troops. However, these numbers are overshadowed by the contributions made by the US. The primary challenge for the mission in Afghanistan is waning public support inside many NATO and contributing donor countries. The forthcoming elections in the Netherlands looks set to be dominated by the right-wing Freedom Party led by Geert Wilders, which campaigns heavily on issues such as immigration cuts and antiIslamism. Wilders’ opposition to the extension of troop service has increased his popularity. His party triumphed in last year’s European parliamentary elections, winning four of the seats set aside for the Netherlands. Despite polarising Dutch society, his frank and candid opinions have resonated with a large portion of the population. Many other European countries face similar discontent at home, and with national elections looming for at least half a dozen other European countries, many parties will no doubt be keen to position themselves on the popular anti-war platform. The potential for further troop withdrawals from other donor countries comes at a bad time for President Obama. The recent Afghan elections have been marred by allegations of fraud and corruption, and growing numbers of Afghan civilians are killed in NATO operations. The first of Obama’s 30,000-strong troop surge have nevertheless begun arriving in Afghanistan for duty. Although the US troops also have a tentative return date – commencing in July 2011 – more troops are needed for operations such as the recent offensive in the Marja district. How the collapse of the Dutch government will affect the wider NATO mission in Afghanistan is currently anyone’s guess. The Netherlands only contributes a small portion of the total number of troops serving in Afghanistan, and whilst any withdrawals are detrimental to the mission, the mission will of course strive ahead regardless. The political repercussions it could have across Europe will be far more interesting, as disenchantment with the war increases. The Obama Administration plans to begin withdrawing troops in 2011, the speed of which will depend on conditions on the ground. For the sake of the success of the NATO mission, he will be hoping that the Dutch experience does not replicate itself in many other countries before that time. * Annalies Engwerda is a former volunteer at the AIIA. Currently working at the Parliament of Victoria, she completed her BA with Honours in Politics at Melbourne University in 2008. Global snapshot What’s been going on outside North America The nuclear security summit in April brought together 47 heads of state to discuss President Obama’s plan to secure the world’s nuclear materials from rogue states and terrorist organisations. http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/communiqu-washington-nuclear-security-summit The Washington Summit was merely a prelude however to the review conference of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, which began on 3 May in New York. And although Obama may succeed in keeping nuclear materials out of the hands of terrorists, there is still enough fissile material in the world to make more than 150,000 nuclear weapons! http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/stories/s2873363.htm Asia Thailand’s ‘red shirts’ continued their protests in Bangkok. An International Crisis Group report outlines what needs to be done. http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/publication-type/media-releases/2010/conflict-risk-alert-thailand.aspx Europe Europe’s airlines were grounded last month from an unpronounceable Icelandic volcanic eruption, which spewed thousands of tonnes of ash across the continent (perhaps in some kind of freaky revenge for attacks on the Icelandic kroner and the reputation of the island nation’s financial institutions). Stories abound of passengers making their making their way by boat, car, rail and dolphin skis. ‘The Daily Show’s’ John Stewart reports on volcano Eyjafjallajökull. http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/mon-april-19-2010/volcanolypse-2010 The Middle East The peace process in Israel-Palestine stalled again, failing to regain momentum after US VicePresident Joe Biden’s visit. Such occurrences are regrettably common in this conflict. However, one genuinely new development has occurred in the region. In the Gaza strip a group called ‘B Boy Gaza’ attempted to organise the territory’s first ever hip hop concert. It was shut down by HAMAS, but Joshua Asen from Foreign Policy Magazine, has more on the growing potential of Arabic hip hop. http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2010/05/03/the_arab_league_of_hip_hop Africa It may now be that the biggest economic investor in Africa is not any Western country, but China. Experienced journalist Howard W. French takes a look at this development for ‘the Atlantic.’ He examines whether China may have come across a better way of promoting prosperity, or if Africa is in for another round of exploitation. http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2010/05/the-next-empire/8018 But China’s far from the only country that can be suspected of ulterior motives when it comes to Africa. Jenny Hayward-Jones in the ‘Lowy Interpreter’ looks at the connections between Kevin Rudd’s 40% aid increase to the continent, and Australia’s bid for a seat on the United Nations Security Council. http://www.lowyinterpreter.org/post/2010/05/04/African-gold-rush-Aid-and-UN-votes.aspx Contemporary debate: banning the burka The issues that are shaping our world Should we respect a woman’s right to wear what she wants, even if it oppresses her? If the burka has long been a symbol of male oppression, but what would be the effect on women of banning a piece of clothing? Virginia Hauseggar, Julie Posetti and Shakira Huessein debate on ANU Channel. Should we ban the burka? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOfNf8Hn--U “It's quite simple really: there is no place in our world - or any world for that matter - for a custom that requires women to throw a heavy shroud over herself such that she can't walk, see or hear properly, or participate in public life in the same way as men”, Virginia Haussegar. An Iranian cleric meanwhile says that women who wear immodest clothing and behave promiscuously are to blame for earthquakes. http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/20/world/middleeast/20briefs-Iran.html Elsewhere, a German politician has come out saying that full body veils should be banned across Europe, following the Belgian parliament’s recent passing of a ban. And is this an issue of human rights or domestic security? http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/breaking-news/german-mep-silvana-koch-mehrin-pushesfor-europe-wide-burqas-ban/story-fn3dxity-1225861070500 Issue 6 Message from the Editor By Olivia Cable Welcome to the first Monthly ACCESS newsletter for 2010. After much deliberation and analysis, we want to respond to our readers. Monthly ACCESS, a forum for expression, insight and dialogue into contemporary debates and issues in the international realm, continues to value our reader’s feedback we received over the past few months. Our Q&A this month reflects our approach to more direct contact in debating with key commentators. We hear from The Hon. Joel Fitzgibbon and Professor Hugh White on the Defence White Paper and the (in)significance of Australia’s role in Afghanistan. An essay by Ross Cottrill, Visiting Fellow at the Asia-Pacific College of Diplomacy, ANU, meanwhile strikes a chord how Australia is not on course in gaining wider recognition as a great power. “The Defence White Paper 2009 is a reminder of what we can learn from Teddy Roosevelt”, Ross writes. Emerging journalist Susan Wilson has returned from working in Cambodia and found how an editor in chief of the Phnom Penh Post got his job. Elsewhere, ACCESS member Alex Horwood conveys how the killing of Mahmoud al-Mabhouh should not go without investigated or unpunished. And don’t miss the inaugural Foreign Affairs writing competition. Those still afloat after the global financial crisis will surely put the $500 prize money to good use! This year’s topic “what is likely to be the most interesting development in international politics over the next decade?” We’re in the process of establishing our Quarterly ACCESS publication as a credible forum for sophisticated and substantiated debate. Visit our website (click here) to read the latest edition of Quarterly ACCESS. If you’d like to contribute to Monthly ACCESS newsletter, we’re looking for opinion pieces and worthy websites relating to debates and issues in the international realm. [email protected] Keep in touch, Olivia Cable *Olivia is studying Asia Pacific Studies at the Australian National University in Canberra. Welcome to ACCESS 2010 By Ishita Acharyya, ACCESS Chair A very happy (albeit, belated) new year to you all. Here is a quick run-down of the plans for this year. Introducing ACCESS-AIIAVIC Mentorship Programme – to be launched in April. To be launched in April, the ACCESS-AIIAVIC mentorship programme aims to provide those that are driven and intuitive with a programme for professional, academic and personal development. ACCESS mentees shall be given the opportunity to be mentored by some of our exceptional AIIA members, development professionally and academically through ACCESS and consolidate leadership and networking skills. It shall be a selective programme – please refer to our website in the coming weeks for information about applying and about the programme itself. Quarterly ACCESS: Relaunched last year with the able direction of Daniel Wilson, editor-in-chief, we have a stellar publication on our hands. ACCESS aims to render QA a lasting presence in the academic realm. We’re excited by the calibre of submissions, and grateful for the support of the broader ACCESS and AIIA community. Keep your eyes peeled for the upcoming issue, and for QA to make a grand appearance at your universities and institutions. Monthly ACCESS: Olivia Cable has established a brilliant monthly publication for ACCESS – as is evidenced by the sheer calibre of submissions to our newsletter and impressive interviews. We encourage you to submit articles and interviews to MA. Expand your own network by forming meaningful connections with those from whom you feel you can learn. We have excellent ideas for this year’s format – keep reading!! ACCESS website: We’re really excited about this – a new, far more interactive and dynamic website is currently under development. Look out for it in the near future. ACCESS events: As usual, our project teams are putting together various events that facilitate rigorous intellectual discussion. Be a part of the dialogue – we urge you to attend our events. Planned events include forums on immigration and asylum seekers, the global financial crisis and the utopian free market, professional development seminars, terrorism, and more. Opportunities at ACCESS: We are looking to build an organization with an earnest organizational ethic. ACCESS functions with various project teams – along with academic and intellectual engagement, we aim to develop professional skills such as management and networking (among others). If you are interested in any of the following areas, please send us an email. Also, we’ll be updating the website in the coming weeks with more detailed information pertaining to these areas. - Monthly ACCESS team: 1. If you’re interested in editing and “reporting”, team work, and believe in the importance of informed dialogue, contact us to be a part of our MA team. - ACCESS events: 1. What events would you like ACCESS to host this year? Is there something that particularly enthuses you? Along with academic pursuit, are you keen to develop your networking, presentation and management skills? ACCESS presents opportunities for project management and team work – project managers and officers work in teams to bring to fruition various events and other ACCESS plans. - Quarterly ACCESS team: 1. If you’re interested in joining our dynamic promotions and marketing team, please send us an email. We have a particular focus on relationship development and earnest networking. - ACCESS committee: 1. Volunteers coordinator: Interested in masterminding and executing a volunteer programme at AIIA and earning a position on the ACCESS committee? Keen to get involved in extracurricular activities and international affairs? Send us an email with your details and experience listed. - Trusts and Grants Officers If you’re interested in learning how to convince people and communicate effectively, working in a dynamic team of driven individuals and being a key part of the ACCESS family, apply to join our Trusts and Grants team. We are looking for people who can write compellingly (well) and are intuitive. All members of the Trusts and Grants team will be trained in how to apply for grants. Any queries? Please email [email protected] . Apologies in advance for delays in response. * Ishita is chair of ACCESS and is a commerce/arts student at Monash University. Q&A with the Hon. Joel Fitzgibbon and Professor Hugh White With Olivia Cable The Hon. Joel Fitzgibbon What were the major challenges you faced as Defence Minister? JF: My biggest challenge as Defence Minister was to respond to a strategic assessment which calls upon the ADF to do more, while keeping Defence spending within the growth parameters Government had set. The only way to do so was to establish and drive a massive savings program – the Strategic Reform Program. That is, finding internal savings for re-investment in higher-order Defence projects and programs. At the time of the 2009 Defence White Paper, media speculation was around China's reaction to Australia's defence plans. Was this all a furphy? JF: The 2009 Defence White Paper identified big shifts in global distribution of power including significant changes in our own region. The White Paper acknowledges those changes and the risks they could pose. Responsibly, the White Paper recommended a force which represents adequate insurance against such risks. That force is not aimed at any particular nation state. What themes are you currently focusing on? JF: I’m trying to enjoy the freedom of the backbench for the time being. Doing plenty of committee work and keeping myself busy in my electorate. I watch Afghanistan very closely and I believe our decision to focus more on training and capacity building was the correct one. What are the key issues for the next election? JF: Education, health, the environment and economic management will be the big issues and the Government’s record should serve it well. * The Hon. Joel Fitzgibbon, Federal Member for Hunter, NSW, served as Minster for Defence in the first Rudd Government between December 2007 and June 2009. Prior to the 2007 Federal Election, Mr Fitzgibbon positions including Shadow Minister for Small Business, Shadow Minister for Resources, Shadow Minister for Mining, Energy and Forestry, Shadow Minister for Banking and Financial Services, Shadow Assistant Treasurer and Revenue, Shadow Minister for Small Business and Competition and Shadow Minster for Defence. Professor Hugh White What were the major shortcomings of the 2009 Defence White Paper? HW: The most important strength was it correctly identified Asia’s changing power balance as shaping Australia. Its weakness was that it did not address the implications of that for the kinds of defence forces Australia desired. It raised concerns but didn’t provide a clear idea of how to meet them. How significant is Australia's role in Afghanistan? HW: Insignificant. The contribution is insignificant in shaping Afghanistan’s future. Our contribution is too small, and the wider coalition is too small to transform Afghanistan into the country we want it to be. Our contribution in Afghanistan may also be insignificant to our future with the US. In the future, if Asia was more contested, the quality of alliance is dependent more so now than in recent decades. What we do and how we do things in Asia is more significant than in places like Afghanistan. What has the conflict in Afghan taught us about modern warfare? HW: Good question. Two things. Firstly, to the extent modern warfare focuses on the kind of stabilisation in Afghanistan. Afghanistan had reminded us how hard it is for Western armed forces to intervene effectively in unstable states with any hope of making a substantial difference. The second lesson drawn from Afghanistan is that it may not be the only kind of conflict to worry about in the future. Only if we were lucky enough for strategic partners to remain stable, operations as in Afghanistan will be the most important for conflict we fight in the future. Why can’t Defence deliver capabilities within its budget? There are lots of problems within the Department of Defence. It all boils down to a basic failure of purpose and leadership. In any organisation, having a clear idea of what you want to achieve is essential to efficiency. The core problem with Defence is they don’t know what the Australian Defence Force is for. * Hugh White is Professor of Strategic Studies and Head of the Strategic & Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University. He is also a Visiting Fellow at the Lowy Institute for International Policy. Israel and the elusiveness of neutrality By Alexandra Horwood The killing of Mahmoud al-Mabhouh should not go without investigated or unpunished. Neither Australia's historic alliance with Israel nor facile accusations of anti-Semitism should allow what was almost guaranteed to be a Mossad assassination be swept under the diplomatic carpet. Without getting into the sordid history of Agreements, Treaties and Mandates, it is clear that almost since the establishment of Israel in 1948, neither Israel nor Palestine has had clean hands or moral authority. Even civilians are responsible for a fair chunk of abhorrent behavior, most notably in the current situation with illegal Israeli settlers encroaching on the West Bank. Therefore, in a situation where legality, blame and justice are so murky, it is imperative that outsiders try and maintain some semblance of objective moral authority. Australia has long been an ally of Israel, and of course our most important ally is Israel’s sugar daddy. In the US and Australia, any criticism of Israel is often automatically branded as antiSemitic. The converse to this is not enunciated – that any supporter of Israel must therefore, by the same logic, be anti-Muslim. Why are observers not allowed to be impartial? The January assassination of senior Hamas commander Mahmoud al-Mabhouh in a Dubai hotel is alleged to be the work of Mossad, Israel’s intelligence agency. The operatives in the assassination used fraudulent passports, three of which were forged from people with dual citizenship; Australian and Israeli. This has caused tension in the diplomatic relationship between Australia and Israel. While usually supporting Israel at the United Nations, Australia recently abstained from a vote about whether to investigate allegations of war crimes during Operation Cast Lead from December 2008 to January 2009. Although Prime Minister Rudd denies it, this has been interpreted as a slap on the wrist to Israel for using our passports in their underhand activities. Whenever there is any serious allegation of war crimes or crimes against humanity, especially in a central conflict such as that between Israel and Palestine, there should be a multilateral investigation. Our support (or lack of opposition) should not depend on our friendship with the parties involved. This may seem like naïve idealism, but it also seems realpolitik that fundamentalist Islamic terrorism feeds on aggrieved populaces. If unfair and unjustifiable situations are remedied, this removes legitimate grievances that terrorists can use to justify their existence and actions, and they will lose support amongst sensible civilians. Alliances are crucial on the international stage for maintaining a peaceful world order, but should not be at the cost of blindness to the transgressions of our allies. Israel should be forced to submit to a war crimes investigation, and there should be a full investigation into the alleged Mossad assassination in Dubai. The Australian Federal Police have begun investigating the forged Australian passports, but it seems as though they will receive little assistance from Israel. Extrajudicial killings might go unnoticed in Palestine, but this murder was in the full glare of both CCTV and the world press. Despite the fact that al-Mabhouh was certainly no Mahatma Gandhi himself, the world in the 21st century should be a time to prioritise due process of law, accountability and global justice for all. * Alexandra Horwood (treasurer of ACCESS Victoria) recently finished her Honours in Political Science at the University of Melbourne. She is currently undertaking her Juris Doctor. Career Spotlight with Seth Meixner, Editor in Chief at the Phnom Penh Post With Susan Wilson How did you end up in Phnom Penh? I began my career as a journalist about 15 years ago as a police reporter for a small newspaper upside of Washington D.C. and worked my way up from that to court reporter, county reporter, and eventually ended up there as the city editor. From there, I changed gears fairly radically and took a job at the Cambodia Daily in Phnom Penh. And simply through rapid attrition, found myself as the managing editor there and remained at that job for nearly 4 years. After that I took a job at the French wire service, L'Agence France Press, that was in Hong Kong, where I was on the regional desk which was responsible for handling copy for about 24 bureaus from Kabul to Fiji. After working on the desk in Hong Kong for three years, I was posted back to Cambodia, as bureau chief at AFP, where I remained for a further three years, and then in early 2008, left AFP to come to the Phnom Penh Post, with the mandate to take it from a fortnightly publication to a daily newspaper Did you always want to be a journalist? No. I don't think I knew what I wanted to be. In high school I actually studied fine arts and graphic design, but I was doing it at a time when the industry was moving away from physically creating images and graphics to using computers to do so, and my school just didn't have those kind of capabilities. I got a journalism scholarship to university and that's how I ended up here. What is different about working as a journalist in Phnom Penh compared to working in the States? There are similarities in the sense that the pressures of a daily newspaper are going to be the same, fundamentally the same. Here it's a bit different because you're dealing with a dual language publication, so you've got cultural sensitivities, you obviously have language barriers, communication issues, not just in the language but in the way perhaps we've been trained to be journalists and the way Cambodian journalists are trained to be journalists. You also have reporting differences in the sense that Cambodia is obviously very different from the States or say, western countries. As an emerging country, the government may not be so receptive to a western style press. Sources don't understand what the role of the press is and they're more suspicious of what you're trying to do. But at the same time, the opposite can be true. Whereas in the west, someone may shut you down much more quickly, here it's oftentimes very easy to disarm the person you're trying to deal with, or to have access to much higher levels. What are some of the ethical problems you face, covering news in Cambodia? In general, in a place like this, a lot of times you're dealing with interview subjects who are either corrupt, government officials, local administrative officials, or people who are distraught, impoverished, or otherwise in a disadvantaged way, so often times what's happened here is that people have said, "right, I'll talk to you if you give me money". You know, for example, a municipal or ministerial official. Sometimes we'll be approached by NGOs working with say, people who have been evicted from their homes and they'll come and say, we'll let you talk to these people who've lost their homes, but it would be nice if you gave them some money for the interview so. I don't know if that's an ethical dilemma or if that's something that's common practice. The next big challenge? Extricating myself from Cambodia and getting back out in the field. And I think the sector now is such that it's not as easy to do as it was when I was in the field. What I did then, was get hired by a news wire and they sent me all over the world, it was great. How do you reach that goal in today's media environment? I'm not sure. * Seth Meixner is the editor in chief of the Phnom Penh Post, Cambodia. Susan Wilson is a journalist, and has recently returned from the UK doing an internship with the BBC in London and Cambodia with the Phnom Penh Post. Issue 5 Message from the Editor Our final newsletter for 2009 captures a variety of topics. Meet Dr Boaz Ganor in our Q&A section. In Melbourne for the Australia-Israel Leadership Forum, Dr Ganor is one of Israel’s leading counter-terrorism experts. He discusses with us the importance of dialogue between the two nations, why he gave up his life-long ambition of being a pilot and the motivations for groups to launch violent attacks. For this month’s feature articles, Kurt Winter writes on nuclear diplomacy between Australia and India. and Joanna Shuurman draws attention to Australia’s complex refugee crisis. For the statistically-challenged, this month’s selected website, Gapminder, exposes the sheer beauty of statistics for a fact-based world view. www.gapminder.org. We also profile Left Right Think-Tank, a youth-run not-for-profit organisation, when Kurt and Joanna hold offices. We continue to encourage our readers to send in 200-500 word articles on their travel, work or university related experiences. Or, if you’ve got a Q&A to send in, we would love to hear about it! I would like to thank the following people for their assistance and input over the last six months; Daniel Wilson, Ishita Acharyya, Stuart Harridge, Alex Horwood, Jono Singline, Pha Phorn, Peta McDermott, Markus Gorondi, Emily Jackson and Chris Mullen. Finally, extraordinary thanks to our editorial advisor Michael Feller for his continuous support. We’ll be taking a break over the university holidays, but you’ll also soon receive Quarterly Access, an even-bigger newsletter from ACCESS to keep you well-read over the break. Until March Olivia 2010, Cable *Olivia is studying international business at RMIT and is currently on exchange at the ANU in Canberra Q&A with Dr Boaz Ganor With Olivia Cable Counter-terrorism expert Dr Boaz Ganor was in Australia for the Australia-Israel Leadership Forum. This annual dialogue between the two nations aims to foster closer relations on matters such as security and the environment. Dr Ganor is Deputy Dean at the Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy, founder and Executive Director of the International Institute for Counter-Terrorism (ICT) and the Head of Homeland Security Studies Programs at the Interdisciplinary Center (IDC), Herzliya, Israel. Dr Ganor served as advisor on counter-terrorism topics to the Israeli Ministry of Defense, the Israeli counter-terrorism coordinator at the prime minister’s office, Israel’s national security council and the Israeli Ministry of Transportation during the peace talks with Jordan. How important is the Australia-Israel Leadership Forum for Israel? I think we should not measure this event in terms of importance. I’ll explain myself. For us Israelis, it’s quite unique to find ourselves sitting down with friends, to discuss subject matters (where) we don’t always see eye to eye but in other cases sometimes other matters that we do. To sit in a friendly surrounding and have intelligent discussions, this is precious. In many cases, in many forums we go to, we find ourselves all the time on the defensive side. Of course, this cannot build productive discussion that will lead to something positive. From my point of view, this is the essence and importance of this (forum), of sitting together with people who I believe care for Israel’s future and are genuinely Israel’s friends, discussing mutual challenges with them. That’s the importance. You have strong credentials. How did you get to where you are now? Like every Israeli youngster, I was drafted to the IDF, the Israeli Defence Force. We have a compulsory service. My wishful challenge was to be a pilot. I was lucky enough to be accepted to the pilot course, but after a while, I became a great danger to the air force. They dismissed me. (I am joking). I wasn’t a good pilot. Then I found myself, by coincidence, in military intelligence, in the department which deals with counter-terrorism analysis. As a young officer I was fascinated with that subject. And I still am, because this is the most interdisciplinary phenomenon that one can think of. Think about any academic discipline – psychology, biology, sociology, law, criminology, medicine computer science – all have to do with terrorism, directly or indirectly. So if you want to be an expert on counter-terrorism, you need to know something about all of those disciplines, or at least to be able get the information. You (definitely) need a multidisciplinary or really broad perspective as a person, which I believe suits my personal characteristics (and interests). So I had to choose between being a terrorist and a counter-terrorist in my early life. I decided to be a counter-terrorist because a terrorist spends their life in a trench in Afghanistan and counter-terrorists in 5-star hotels around the world. It was an easy choice. How are global terrorist threats evolving? Terrorism is an outcome of a very simple mathematical formula; motivation plus operational capability. When a certain organisation has both, motivation to launch violent attacks, this certain kind of violence is called terrorism, and they have the operational capability, then a terrorist attack or terrorist campaign will occur. That’s the simple formula of terrorism. You can therefore conclude what should be the formula of counter-terrorism? Counter-terrorism is either lowering the motivation or lowering the operational capability. Why do I say ‘or’? Because if one factor is missing, you are not going to suffer from terrorist attacks. If you have a group of people who have a high operational capability but no motivation you are not going to suffer, and vice versa. Both of them are temporary solutions for terrorism. The only solution is dealing with both factors at the same time. Easier said than done. We have the boomerang effect, the Australian contribution to this concept. Once you try to lower the operational capability of a terrorist group, there is only one to do that, which is attacking the capabilities – arresting them, killing them. But once you do that, you raise their motivation to retaliate. This is the boomerang effect. So in my view, the whole art of counter-terrorism, is finding the balance (without turning) a blind eye. In many cases, you need to be proactive. Thwart terrorist attacks by lowering the capability of terrorists is crucial because the enemy is quite strong and spread all over the world. But you have to bear in mind you have to think and work towards counter-motivation. Unfortunately, in most cases, I meet with political leaders that only understand one side of this equation. This is the most challenging element of counter-terrorism How broad are motivations? This brings me to the question of what is terrorism. The definition is very short, simple and precise: terrorism is the deliberate use of violence aimed against civilians in order to achieve political ends. That’s it. There are so many other definitions of terrorism, I know about 109 definitions. Many are very long and sophisticated. But they do not serve as an objective, effective platform for international discussion and cooperation. When I say terrorism is violence against civilians, attacks against military personnel and targets should not be regarded as terrorism. It’s violence, but it’s not terrorism. An attack against an American soldier in Iraq, or an Australian soldier in Afghanistan, or an Israeli soldier in Gaza, it’s not terrorism; regardless, by the way, if they used tactics like suicide attacks. I don’t refer to that as terrorism. That is guerilla warfare. In most cases, the same organisations conducting terrorist attacks and guerilla attacks don’t differ between groups. I don’t know why they don’t differ. Some of it is because we don’t differentiate with punishments, reactions and legitimisation. I think this is something that has to be done, in order to detract them from attacking civilians into attacking military target. This is an achievement in counter-terrorism if we are able to do that. I go back to your question. I used the definition to explain that terrorism is aimed to achieve political ends. That’s the common denominator of all terrorist organisations worldwide. They differ about what the political aim is. We see terrorist groups motivated by social and economic grievances, by nationalistic grievances, by extreme ideologies, communism, fascism, archaism, Nazism, and we see those political groups motivated by religious grievances. If you take al-Qaeda, then no doubt the root cause of their activities is religion, extreme Islam. Still it’s a political goal, because their ultimate goal is to change political regimes all over the world and create an Islamic radical caliphate state to be governed by Sharia law. This is a political goal. You were on the advisory team of the New York Police Department. What was your role there? New York City was suffering more than any other city from modern terrorism – the atrocity of the World Trade Centre is incomparable to any other type of attack. By the way, it was not the first case, eight years ago in 1993, the same elements, the Afghan veterans, the nucleus group that created al-Qaeda, were trying to do the same thing to the World Trade Centre, by infiltrating a truck with manufactured explosives into the parking lot and demolish the building. So New York City, it was clear to them, was the eye of the storm. The city represents the strengths of the United States, regarded by the global jihadists and other elements like Hezbollah as the Great Satan. So New York City and Manhattan is one of the worst in their eyes, let alone having many Jews there, which multiplied the reason it as a target. So immediately after 9/11 it was clear to the leaders of the city, the community, the police department and others, that they (the police) had a huge responsibility to deal with. With all due respect for other security services like the CIA, FBI and others, at the end of the day the burden was on their shoulders. So the chief of police, the head of the New York Police Department (NYPD), created a model of a police department that is aware of the immediate terrorist threat. This is a model that has been imitated by other big cities. The NYPD created a very big counter-terrorism department, including intelligence gathering and analysis. (Prior), the FBI was responsible for bringing in information and they would do whatever they thought was needed. Now they (the NYPD) do everything; collect and analyse intelligence, create their own policies and they try to prevent terrorist attacks. The local community was also aware that they needed to develop those skills, and there is a gathering, an NGO called the Manhattan Institute (which) contributes to the NYPD by bringing to the table experts from around the world, to share experiences. And this is the way I was indirectly asked to share my views with the NYPD Australia and India: A new partnership in nuclear diplomacy? By Kurt Winter During his recent visit to India, Prime Minister Rudd made a significant diplomatic overture, proclaiming his desire to build a “comprehensive, enduring strategic partnership between India and Australia”. Despite past differences, Rudd argued that India and Australia were “natural partners” with mutual interests in both the region and the world. Recent negotiations have focused on issues of natural partnership such as trade, defence, education and energy. Yet a partnership with India should also be seen as an effective strategy in revitalising the international non-proliferation and disarmament agenda. In May 2010, world leaders will come together to negotiate the future of the Nuclear NonProliferation Treaty (NPT). Australia has already sought to play a leading role, evidenced by Rudd’s establishment of the International Commission on Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, a joint initiative with Japan, aimed at reinvigorating the NPT and engaging countries outside the treaty. Nevertheless, as former Australian diplomat Rory Medcalf has emphasised, in order to make significant progress Australia also needs to invest in regular ‘first track’ or government-togovernment diplomacy. In this vein, a strategic partnership with India should be at the forefront of Australia’s diplomatic efforts. India is of critical importance to a comprehensive solution.Because India exploded nuclear devices in 1974 and 1998, it does not qualify as a nuclear weapons state under the treaty. The NPT created a system of nuclear “haves” and “have-nots”, defining a nuclear weapons state as one “which manufactured and exploded a nuclear weapon or other nuclear explosive devise prior to 1 January 1967”. Medcalf aptly describes the problematic grand bargain as a commitment on the part of the then nuclear powers that “if you don’t start smoking, I’ll quit”. On face value, India appears an unlikely partner on this issue, given its development of a nuclear deterrent outside the NPT. On closer analysis, however, India has similar aspirations to Australia regarding disarmament and non-proliferation. At the United Nations in October, India set nuclear disarmament as a top priority and argued that non-proliferation objectives should be achieved through a concerted international effort. And beyond the rhetoric of establishing a strategic partnership, Australia needs to also deal with the decisive issue of uranium exports. India’s strategic outlook is focused on securing uranium for energy use. Given that Australia possesses the largest known reserves of uranium, selling uranium to India could transform the relationship into an indispensable partnership. The difficult question is under what conditions would Australia pursue such a deal? In August 2007, following the watershed US-India agreement to supply India with uranium, the Howard government announced its ‘in principle’ decision to export uranium to India “subject to very stringent safeguards and conditions”.Former US State Department senior scientist, Peter Zimmerman however condemned the decision arguing that it would undermine the integrity of the NPT and subsequently, the Rudd government overturned the move by Howard. Yet Australia would be better served by pursuing a more nuanced diplomatic path. In Australia’s ongoing negotiations with India, the promise of uranium sales should be used as a bargaining chip that seals the deal for a strategic partnership. Such a partnership could then be used to spearhead progress in reforming the global nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament regime. Though difficult, such an initiative will serve Australia’s long-term national interest. As Ron Walker of the Australian National University argues, the global nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament regime “continues to erect significant obstacles to would-be proliferators” and in Australia’s experience, it prevents the nightmare scenario of a regional nuclear arms race. Walker also makes the point that, in light of Australia’s geo-strategic weight, the country has “a vested interest in a norm-based international system built on the equality of states and in uniformly applied rules”. The present discriminatory system cannot be sustained. A strategic partnership between Australia and India presents an opportunity to lead this vital reform agenda.First and foremost, as Medcalf argues, Australia should recognize nuclear security “as a priority national security issue”, that is the whole nuclear arms control, non-proliferation and disarmament agenda, including its interaction with nuclear energy. Australia should then invest significant diplomatic capital into transforming the relationship with India into a fruitful partnership. Given Australia’s key role in the establishment of the nuclear nonproliferation and disarmament regime, Australia has both the interest and credentials to pursue such a strategy. *Kurt Winter is a Policy Offer at Left Right Think-Tank, Australia’s first independent and nonpartisan think-tank of young minds Reflections across the water: What our asylum seeker policy says about Australia By Joanna Schuurman Prime Minister Rudd’s refugee policy has struggled to take form, the recent Oceanic Viking scenario clearly catching him off guard. In his words, Australia’s response should be “tough, hardline, humane, fair”. What this actually means is hard to decipher and obviously riddled with contradiction. However, this does not so much represent a failure in government policy. Rather, it is a reflection of the difficulties we face as a nation trying to grapple with this complex policy challenge, further hindered by damaging, meaningless and narrow debate on both sides of politics. Whether Rudd is “too soft” or “too hard”, as the standoff draws to a close, we must determine the direction of Australia’s refugee and immigration policy in a meaningful manner. An open discussion informed by facts and thorough reflection is required, not responses based on fear, panic and political gain. What we have seen over the last few weeks is a highly politicised and emotionally-driven debate over what is a critical matter to Australia’s foreign and domestic policy.What we have not seen is a meaningful discussion, informed by facts and figures or any kind of understanding and reflection. The government has been under intense scrutiny by the media, opposition and the public – rightly so – but has acted far too hastily. Prime Minister Rudd’s refusal to allow the recent arrival of Sri Lankan refugees access to Christmas Island resulted in an almost four-week standoff and to the detriment of IndonesianAustralian relations.Now events are coming full circle, with the offer of a “special deal”, which will almost certainly see some Sri Lankans brought to Christmas Island in an anything but “nonextraordinary” conclusion to the saga. And all of this will no doubt drop off the radar in a matter of weeks, perhaps without having made any meaningful progress on this very important issue. But what can be achieved in public policy when we have a Prime Minister who is stubbornly attempting to stand right in the middle of the debate, no doubt trying to please all sides but who ends up being both “too soft” and “too hard”? What can we achieve in public policy when our government has no idea where we stand and for that matter, when we have no idea, thanks to a debate that is politicised and ill-informed? In such times we look to the parliamentary opposition to offer us meaningful input. Instead we have a response that is completely bereft of policy and unity and furthermore, a response that hints at a play for xenophobia. Tony Abbott and his party are attempting to ride on the popularity of Howard through the promotion of recycled policies like long-term detention, the so-called “pacific solution” and the unpopular temporary visa protections. This is teamed with a familiar focus on an alleged “refugee crisis” and the need to deter future asylum seekers to “prevent an assault on our borders”. The Liberal Party is offering yet more politically-motivated rhetoric aimed at igniting some of the community’s most shameful sentiments. Nonetheless, the scrutiny of Rudd’s policy is not reminiscent of the Howard era, suggesting that Australia is perhaps more educated on the facts of immigration. We are indeed now aware that more asylum seekers arrive here on planes rather than boat; that conflict in Sri Lanka and elsewhere has forced millions to flee their homelands; and indeed that Australia has an obligation to lend out a hand. Some of us are also aware that in UNHCR reports at the beginning of 2009 there were 16 million refugees in the world, plus another 26 million people who were displaced within their own country. Furthermore, a measly 5,000 applications for asylum or refugee status were lodged in Australia, compared to a total of 80,000 applications lodged around the world, and only three per cent of those seeking asylum in Australia arrived without authorisation by boat. For many of us then, the idea that Australia is facing a “refugee crisis” understandably falls on deaf ears. But these facts must inform and translate into meaningful and reflective public policy. While Rudd carries on his precarious juggling act in attempts to appease both sides of the debate, and the opposition maintains its panic-invoking charade, this multifaceted issue shows us the need for a meaningful discussion that considers all aspects. There are so many shades of grey to consider, like what is best for those on board the vessel; our fragile relations with Indonesia; the messages we send out to others wishing to come ashore Australia; protecting our quality of life; and the image we want to project as a country, now and in to the future. As Radio National presenter Peter Mares rightly points out: “to propose and defend a humane perspective is the responsibility of groups and individuals within the community. If we finish with a popular but brutal policy towards asylum seekers, we need to reflect on our own shortcomings as citizens and not simply blame the government”. Narrowly-focussed arguments intent on merely exposing the government’s failures or a lack of morality offer very little substance. Indeed, this complex issue, which is neither purely political nor moral, invariably forces us to look at who we are as a nation, where we are going and where we want to end up. *Joanna Schuuman is a Communications Officer at the Queensland Branch of Left Right ThinkTank.
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