Challenge: Demand and Supply Balancing How to turn Sales & Operations Planning into a successful tool for synchronizing Demand and Supply? www.roce.com TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 3 Executive Summary................................................................................................................................. 3 Challenges in Demand and Supply Balancing ........................................................................................ 4 Background Framework of S&OP ........................................................................................................... 5 The Eight Step Implementation Model .................................................................................................... 6 Case Study .............................................................................................................................................. 8 Adjustments and Effects ........................................................................................................................ 10 Organization .......................................................................................................................................... 11 Meetings and Collaboration ................................................................................................................... 12 Measurements ....................................................................................................................................... 13 Information Technology ......................................................................................................................... 14 S&OP Plan Integration .......................................................................................................................... 14 About ROCE Partners ........................................................................................................................... 15 Appendix A: S&OP Integration Framework ........................................................................................... 16 Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 2 INTRODUCTION With the ever increasing dynamics of today’s markets, handling the balance between demand and supply becomes more important than ever. Historically, companies have planned their operations based on factory capacity and asset utilization, but often neglected the whole picture and the importance of cooperation between sales and operations. Common symptoms recognized as a consequence of unsynchronized demand and supply plans are high inventory levels, low customer service, forecasting errors, and missed sales opportunities. Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) is considered the prime business process to overcome silo cultures and taking control of the demand and supply balancing. An ideal S&OP process is action oriented, event driven and aims to aggressively resolve problems in the supply chain. However, many companies have realized that in the real world S&OP meetings can be a minefield of office politics, weak commitment and biased interests. This White Paper guides you around the pitfalls and describes how to turn S&OP into a successful tool for synchronizing demand and supply, leveraging internal and external collaboration and ultimately increasing the company´s competitive edge. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Two different types of factors must be handle to balance demand and supply; external factors such as volatile demand patterns and seasonality, and internal factors such as high level of globalization and high growth rate of the enterprise. Companies operating in the consumer goods industry are heavily affected by the external factors and have been forced to develop a more mature process for balancing demand and supply. Larger global companies have also reached a higher maturity level in their processes, mainly as a consequence of the need for more advanced systems and processes to handle complex internal factors. Balancing demand and supply is a tactical level process, handled mainly with S&OP. Implementation and development of the S&OP process is in most enterprises made without a clear structure. We have developed the eight step implementation model that illustrates a sequence of actions that companies should focus on in order to achieve a well functioning S&OP process, enabling the company to balance demand and supply effectively: Choose a leader to develop the S&OP process Analyze the product and business requirements Decide on an approach for development of the process Set the frames for the S&OP process Appoint the team to be involved in the S&OP process Decide on meeting frequency and agenda Agree on a set of metrics for the process Ensure that the appropriate IT system is in place to support the process Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 3 CHALLENGES IN DEMAND AND SUPPLY BALANCING The issues in balancing demand and supply can be derived from two different types of factors, internal and external factors. Manufacturers in the consumer business, where retail companies are the dominant players in the supply chain, are heavily affected by external factors such as volatile demand patterns, seasonality, short product life cycles, a high frequency of campaigns and short shelf life. Large and global companies are affected additionally by complex internal factors driving imbalance. Internal factors are those that the company may affect themselves, such as high level of globalization, high growth rate and a complex product range. However, all the factors, both internal as well as external, have to be handled with the tactical level process Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP). TABLE 1. FACTORS CAUSING IMBALANCE External Factors Internal Factors Volatile demand pattern Level of globalization Seasonality Growth rate Short product life cycles Complex product range Many campaigns Short shelf life Based on our analysis we have created a model of eight steps, which companies should focus on in order to achieve a balance between supply and demand. Details around each step are further described in the section ‘’The Eight Step Implementation Model’’. ABOUT THE STUDY ROCE Partners has together with Linköping Institute of Technology conducted a survey of how manufacturing companies in Sweden and Finland manage to balance their demand and supply. The study includes a review of the latest research on the topic as well as case studies with ten companies in different industries and of different size. The companies participating operate in the following industries; consumer goods, mechanical, medical equipment and paper. The companies’ turnovers are in the range of 50 millions - 10 billions EUR. Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 4 BACKGROUND FRAMEWORK OF S&OP FIGURE 1: PLACEMENT OF S&OP Strategic Planning Strategic Planning Business Planning Business Planning Disconnect!!! S&OP Detailed Planning, Scheduling, and Execution Detailed Planning, Scheduling, and Execution S&OP is a planning process for balancing demand and supply on an aggregate level. It is a crossfunctional process occurring on multiple levels in the company and it connects overall business plans to the operative level as the input are long term business plans and output are rough plans and limitations that are later used for more detailed planning. This is illustrated in Figure 1. FIGURE 2: THE S&OP PROCESS Financial Review The S&OP process consists of several steps, or sub-processes. Except for the actual S&OP meeting it requires that certain preparations are made to secure that quick and informed decisions can be made during the meeting. After every meeting controls and follow-ups are necessary, see Figure 2. S&OP Meeting Start Strategies Resources Supply Review Performance Measures Product Review Demand Review Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 5 THE EIGHT STEP IMPLE IMPLEMENTATION MODEL The implementation and development of the S&OP process is in most enterprises made without a clear structure. In this section we present a model covering all aspects that your company needs to take into account when developing an S&OP process. The eight step model illustrates a sequence of actions that companies should focus on in order to achieve a balance between supply and demand, see below. Each step is described further in the following section. FIGURE 3:: THE EIGHT STEP MOD MODEL Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 6 1. Choose a leader to develop the S&OP process The leader can be regarded the core of the process and should preferably have strategic insight and be unbiased. Without strategic insight, there is a risk of the meeting not getting the right focus. S&OP is the connection between strategy and operations and sets the boundaries for how the strategic plans should be executed. Furthermore, since S&OP aims to avoid sub-optimization it is important that the leader is unbiased. He or she should preferably be the supply chain manager or have another coordinating role between Sales and Operations. 2. Analyze the product and business requirements Evaluate the particular situation for the company in terms of both external and internal factors causing imbalance. 3. Decide on an approach for development of the process Decide whether the process should be implemented vertically – implementing all parts of the process at the same time starting at local level and then advancing to regional and global level – or horizontally – creating one sub-process at the time starting with for instance demand review and then advancing to supply review etcetera. 4. Set the frames for the S&OP process Formulate guidelines for the S&OP process based in the analysis of product and business requirements. How should plans be created and by whom? How should the plans be communicated between functions? What time horizon to be covered by the S&OP plan and how often should it be updated? In what unit should plans be expressed and communicated? 5. Appoint the team to be involved in the S&OP process An extensive analysis of the specific business requirements should set the guidelines as to who should be a member of the S&OP team. It should not only be cross-functional but also involve executives, as executive participation increases understanding and contributes to the whole process getting the right focus. Integrating executives is also a way of saying that demand and supply balancing issues are important. 6. Decide on meeting frequency and agenda Decide on meeting frequency and set the agenda for the cross-functional S&OP meeting. Both the frequency and the agenda should be adjusted to the business environment evaluated in step 2 above. Also determine how the decisions that are made are to be distributed across the organization. This concerns the order of distribution as well as to whom it should be communicated. The objective is maximum impact of decisions. 7. Agree on a set of metrics for the process Performance measures aligned with overall company goals should be defined together with targets for each measure. Performance measures could include Forecast Accuracy, Service Levels and Lead Times etc. In addition diagnostic measures should be included for evaluation of the process itself. An example of a diagnostic measure is the number of master data updates as a consequence of decisions taken in the S&OP meetings. All metrics should be relevant, reconcilable and constantly reviewed. 8. Ensure that the appropriate IT system is in place to support the process Make sure that the appropriate IT system to support the process is in place. This largely depends on the level of globalization, the number of sites etcetera. IT support must be adjusted to fit business requirements. Preferably this step starts by a review of existing IT support and its advantages and disadvantages. Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 7 CASE STUDY The investigation of companies’ maturity in S&OP showed that all companies have some sort of S&OP process, but that the level of maturity varies. As basis for the study an S&OP maturity framework was used. None of the companies has yet reached stage 5, where the process focuses on profit optimization for the whole company. Figure 4 illustrates a framework of S&OP maturity and the area where all of the interviewed companies’ S&OP processes are today. See Appendix A for the original version of the S&OP Framework including explanations of categories and maturity sizes. Certain patterns in maturity linked to industry and size of the companies can be seen. As the figure illustrates, the maturity of consumer goods companies are higher in all categories relevant in S&OP. The reason for this is that the factors causing imbalance have forced them into implementing a process for handling these issues. Without a well functioning process companies in this industry will not be able to compete since the demand patterns and product life cycles are so complex. The factors that mechanical companies are struggling with are not as volatile and fast moving as the ones in the consumer goods industry, and it is just recently that these companies have realized the need to improve the internal processes for balancing demand and supply. What drives the mechanical enterprises’ imbalance is the company and product range complexity, leading to difficulties in getting the different plants to act as one common group. FIGURE 4: MATURITY LEVEL OF CONSUMER GOODS COMPANIES AND MECHANICAL COMPANIES Stage 1 No S&OP Process Stage 2 Reactive Stage 3 Standard Stage 4 Advanced Stage 5 Proactive Meetings and Collaboration Organization Measurements Information Technology S&OP Plan Integration MECHANICAL CONSUMER GOODS Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 8 There is also a significant pattern of large companies having more advanced processes than smaller companies, see Figure 5. Reasons for this are the challenging internal factors such as more complex company structures, a wider product range, and a larger amount of plants and volume of data affecting larger companies. Consequently, they need a more developed process for balancing demand and supply. The complexity in data handling and in standardizing a wide product range as well as the difficulties in communicating over boarders are all factors that difficult the balancing process and are therefore factors that influence how well developed the process needs to be. FIGURE 5: MATURITY LEVEL IN THE LARGEST AND SMALLEST COMPANIES Stage 1 No S&OP Process Stage 2 Reactive Stage 3 Standard Stage 4 Advanced Stage 5 Proactive Meetings and Collaboration Organization Measurements Information Technology S&OP Plan Integration TURN-OVER < 0.35 BILLION To create a well functioning process for balancing demand and supply it is important to understand which of the factors are most challenging in your company. The S&OP process is then to be TURN-OVER > 1 BILLION adjusted accordingly, by considering each of the categories that S&OP is built from. How this should be carried out is explained in the next section. Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 9 ADJUSTMENTS AND EFFECTS The maturity of the category “S&OP Plan Integration” indicates how well the plans are integrated and accordingly how well functions are balanced. The study showed that the other four categories in the framework are all enablers or supporters of the balancing process. The two categories that enable integration are “Meetings & Collaboration” and “Organization”. “Measurements” and “Information Technology” are categorized as supporters, helping the company reach more advanced levels of the demand and supply balancing process. TABLE 2: ENABLERS AND SUPPORTERS Enablers Supporters Meetings and Collaboration Measurements Organization Information Technology S&OP Plan Integration Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 10 ORGANIZATION The organization behind the process has proven to be of outmost importance when initiating the S&OP process. The effect that can be achieved with a well balanced organization is a process that has its focus on the whole picture at the right level, has the ability to develop and connects with the overall strategic goals. The additional effect with balanced organization is a process that supports the current business and all its issues in S&OP. As mentioned earlier the leader is the core of the business and is consequently highly important in the initiation and development of the process. Where the leader is unbiased, with no accountability for either the demand or supply side, it has been proved that the process holds a proper focus on the tactical level. In contrary, where the leader is biased the process tends to get more operative. Unbiased leaders also tend to be more concerned about development of the process as a whole. Furthermore, the S&OP team has to consist of managers from all relevant functions of the enterprise which in many companies includes managers from Marketing, Sales, Operations (including Procurement, Production and Logistics), Finance, Product Development and in some cases Customer Service. The S&OP team should not only be cross-functional, it also needs executive participation. A common issue in the process today is the lack of understanding, interest and involvement in S&OP. Integrating executives in the team is a way of telling the organization that the issues concerning S&OP are in centre of interest for the whole company. This puts it in focus and employees are more likely to take interest in and participate actively in the process. The executive participation also brings strategic insight to the tactical process and the study proved that the companies involving executives in the team all reach a higher maturity level. Important Factors Effects • Unbiased leader with strategic insight •Focus on the right level, process development • All relevant functions represented in the team •Supporting the current business and all its issues in S&OP • Executive participation •Strategic insight, employees involvement and interest in the process Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 11 MEETINGS AND COLLABORATION The organization sets the conditions for how well the meetings and collaboration can be carried out. The effects to be achieved with efficient meetings and collaboration are cross-functional understanding, involvement and interest in the process, improved process development as well as a process that furthers informed decisions. Fundamental to achieve the effects are regularly held meetings and clear agendas. Except for being clear, an agenda should be pre-published, agreed to, and with all the roles understood to avoid surprise topics. S&OP Agenda Macro business review Customer service performance New products Family-by-family review and decision Production/procurement rate changes Collective impact in business plan Recap of decisions made Critique of meeting terms of budget and monetary units, while production uses units such as volume and pieces. In order to make the meetings decisionmaking and not a forum for discussions pre-work is a pre-requisite. All these factors contribute to effective meetings that enable plan integration. Except previously mentioned factors, meeting frequency is important to consider. Depending on the environment and demand patterns the frequency should vary between different companies. For example, in a highly volatile market and if campaigns shape the business the meeting frequency should be higher. Where meetings are not regularly held with a proper frequency, and where participants lack interest, the integration between supply and demand will not work sufficiently and the company will not be able to adjust their process to market surroundings, eventually leading to demand and supply out of balance. Important Factors Naturally, the agenda should be adjusted to the market requirements and process development. Even though most companies have agendas for each meeting it is in many cases not accepted by all participants, since some do not see the meaning of having meetings or come poorly prepared. One reason for this is the lack of understanding between the departments, which partly is a consequence of the functions “speaking different languages”. Sales often talk in • Regularity , clear agenda • Preparations • Right frequency Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. Effects • Cross-functional understanding, involvement and interest in the process • Decision-making meeting • A flexible process 12 MEASUREMENTS Finally, to further enhance the process, the enabling categories, Measurements and Information Technology should be developed. Measurements assist in counteracting sub-optimization, in creating understanding and interest for the process and it also furthers continuous improvements of the S&OP process. Effects that have been noticed as a result of S&OP implementation are better delivery service levels, reduced inventory, shorter lead times and better decisions made at operational level. Metrics make effects like these clear and easy to absorb, which in turn increases understanding for the S&OP process. What is measured can also be improved and companies that are evaluated on performance are likely to perform better that those that are not. metrics are used and evaluated. There needs to be an understanding of why the metrics are there and why they are relevant. If there are no incentives connected to the measurements employees are not likely to be concerned with improvements. Important Factors • Relevant measures • Updating of measures To be relevant, measurements should reflect business strategy, and for maximum impact they should be communicated to management level as well as operational level. However, crucial is not only what is measured and how, but also how Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. Effects • Increase understanding and counteract suboptimization • Continuous improvements of the S&OP process 13 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Among the studied companies there are differences in how advanced the IT systems are, but this is not correlated with the maturity level of the S&OP process in general. In many of the studied companies, communication and collaboration is not working satisfactory, which is one of the biggest issues in the balancing process of supply and demand. When departments work towards their own set of objectives, an information technology system itself will not solve the problems in balancing the process, it will only help to centralize data. IT systems are expensive to implement and each and every company need to evaluate their processes in order to see what competitive advantages can be reached to justify the investment. Information technology systems can facilitate the forecasting, planning and follow up procedures, and in many cases they are absolutely crucial to handle large data volumes and complex planning problems. However, without the proper organization and processes in place, the effects of implementing a supporting IT system will be low. Important Factors • Implementation of an IT system Effects • Centralizing and visualizing data S&OP PLAN INTEGRATION In order to balance supply and demand, high plan integration is essential, both at multiple levels as well as cross-functionally. How well the supply and demand plans are integrated depends on the process for creating plans and how parties cooperate. The goal is to create plans concurrently where both demand and supply constraints are considered. This is however not the case in today’s market, where the majority of companies have a sequential process where demand forecasts drive supply, or the other way around. Regardless of which function is responsible for creating forecasts, there are often mismatching incentives complicating the plan integration. Operations may be too far from the market to pick up on market changes and Sales may inflate the numbers in order to always have high inventory available. The conclusion is that if operations are the owner of the forecasting close collaboration with sales is essential and if sales are the owner, measurements on forecast accuracy has to be applied. Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 14 ABOUT ROCE PARTNERS Founded in 1997, ROCE Partners is the leading Supply Chain Management consulting company in the Nordic countries. ROCE Partners’ mission is to maximize our clients’ Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) by optimizing their supply chains with help of effective Supply Chain Management Solutions. Offices are located in Finland and Sweden. Over the years our experienced consultants have helped international manufacturing and distribution clients in a large number of assignments. Being one of the few consulting companies specialized in SCM solutions, we believe in fact-based analysis and in-depth knowledge about SCM processes, organizations and technological solutions. ROCE Partners was chosen as one of the world’s 10 Coolest Supply Chain Management Boutique Consultants by ARC Advisory Group, the thought-leader in manufacturing, logistics and supply chain solutions. “ROCE Partners – Boutique consultants that implement Supply Chain Planning solutions are rare. For this reason, I’ve selected two consulting companies in this category. ROCE Partners, which has offices in Stockholm, Sweden and Tampere, Finland is our choice for the European market.” 10 Coolest SCM Boutique Consultants, July 19, 2007, by Steve Banker, ARC Advisory Group ROCE Partners contact details Villa Sandsund, Valumallinpolku 12 33100 Tampere, Finland Phone: +358-3-345 8228 Fax: +358-3-345 0015 Hornsgatan 52, 2tr 118 21 Stockholm, Sweden Phone: +46-8-33 26 10 Fax: +46-8-33 26 19 Tekniikantie 14 02150 Espoo, Finland For more information, please visit www.roce.com. Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. 15 Copyright ROCE Partners 2009. All rights reserved. • Information Technology S&OP Plan Integration • Measurements • • • • • • • Organization Meetings & Collaboration No formal planning Operations attempts to meet incoming orders Individual managers keep their own spreadsheets No consolidation of information No measurements No S&OP organization Silo culture No meetings No collaboration Stage 1 No S&OP Processes • • • • • • • • • • Sales plan drives operations Top-down process Capacity utilization dynamics ignored Some consolidation, but done manually Many spreadsheets Measure how well operations meets the sales plan No formal S&OP function Components of S&OP are in other positions Discussed at top level management meetings Focus on financial goals Stage 2 Reactive • • • • • • • • • • Some plan integration Sequential process in one direction only Bottom up-plans – tempered by business goals Centralized information Revenue or operations planning software Stage 2 + sales measured on forecast accuracy S&OP function is part of other position: Product Manager Staff Pre-Meetings Executive S&OP Meetings Some supplier/customer data Stage 3 Standard • • • • • • • • • • • • Plans highly integrated Concurrent & collaborative process Constraints applied in both directions Batch process Revenue & operations optimization software – link to ERP but not jointly optimized S&OP workbench Stage 3 + new product introduction S&OP effectiveness Formal S&OP team Executive participation Supplier & customer data incorporated Suppliers & customers participate in parts of meetings Stage 4 Advanced • • • • • • • • • • Seamless integration of plans Process focuses on profit optimization for whole company Integrated S&OP optimization software Full interface with ERP, accounting, forecasting Real-time solver Stage 4 + company profitability Throughout the organization, S&OP is understood as a tool for optimizing company profit. Event-driven meetings supersede scheduled meetings Real-time access to external data Scheduled when someone wants to consider a change or when supply/demand imbalance is detected Stage 5 Proactive APPENDIX A: S&OP INTEGRATION FRAMEWORK TABLE 3: S&OP Integration Framework (Grimson, J.A. & Pyke, D.F., 2007. Sales and operations planning: an exploratory study and framework, The International Journal of Logistics Management, [online], 18 (3), p322-346.) 16
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