World Association of Newspapers 2003 Newspaper Advertising Conference How to Succeed in a Tough Market 1 Miel Bakker Head of Media Research Goldman Sachs International, Europe Keynote Advertising Forecast 2003-4 Advertising revenue forecasts are currently “not very rosy,” and it could be 2004 before any real upturn kicks in. The background to this outlook is the generally “depressed” state of worldwide GDP, with 2003 GDP growth forecast at +2.7%. Goldman Sachs methodology for global advertising forecasting is to combine ad spend forecasts by country, with business sector forecasts by country. Globally, at +2.8% for 2003, their estimate is lower than the general view expressed by their competitors, which in the case of some investment banks go as far as +4%. The organisation’s estimate for 2004 is currently +4.5%. The Goldman Sachs forecast for the USA in 2003, at +2.2%, may be on the low side in the light of the performance of the first few months of the year. GDP trends provide the best correlation for advertising performance. Based on studies of previous recessions, in 3 out of 4 cases, the turning point for advertising was similar to that of GDP. The exception to the rule was the 1992 Gulf War, when advertising was harder hit, and slower to recover, reflecting consumer confidence. This leads to the conclusion that war would have a major adverse impact on ad spend. 2 The importance of “expectations” was emphasised, as this has been the main influencing factor when advertising performance has not been in line with GDP. Assuming the ratio between advertising growth averages and GDP to be 1:1, any performance below this is poor. With advertising running at about 0.7% below GDP in relation to GDP from 1994 onwards, this below par trend is predicted to continue as increased investment in ‘below the line’ activity, fuelled by improved customer intelligence, is likely to divert revenue from traditional above the line advertising. Addressing newspaper performance specifically, the decline in the number of titles circulating in the USA from a peak of almost 1800 in the late 1980s, to the current 1400, should be viewed as consolidation rather than as being a negative indicator. Whilst there has been a decline in overall daily circulations, from a high of 63 million to 55 million in context, this has been offset by an improved performance in the Sunday market. Newspaper advertising performance in the USA is deemed currently to be mirroring that of the 1991 Gulf crisis, with advertisers pulling out ‘aggressively’. Despite this, Goldman Sachs predict that newspaper ad spend will continue at its current share of 30% of the total US advertising expenditure. The dichotomy in the fortunes of the daily and Sunday press in the USA was compared with those of the national and regional titles in the UK, with the latter enjoying a healthier time for circulations. The “trough” in which the UK national titles currently find themselves was likened to that of the early 1990s. The polarised circulation performance of the different sectors even within the UK national market was illustrated, with the popular titles down 6% over the 10 years to 2002 while the qualities are up 13% over the same period. The attendant impact on advertising performance, where the revenue dependence is highest within the popular sector, owest among the qualities, was indicated. 3 Forecasts for advertising in the UK press show only a modest increase for 2003, at +3.3% for the nationals and +2.8% for the regional titles. Miel pointed to the sustained growth of Classified revenue, in particular Recruitment, over the last 20 years. The overall prediction for newspaper advertising in Europe was less positive than that for the USA, with the share of ad spend forecast to drop from 34% to 32%. Within the pan European picture, there were significant geographical variances impacting on the overall perspective. The initial prediction of “modest” growth, with 2003 currently a “moving target” whose growth assumptions are not yet giving any indication of being realised, and 2004 being the more likely time for an upturn, was reiterated. War would be “devastating” for advertising revenues and, despite the success of some niche sectors such as the UK regionals and US Sundays, the equity markets continue to be bearish, that is performing negatively. Although things are not yet at the trough of the early 1980s, the perspective on consumer newspaper stocks is cautious, with Daily Mail General Trust being the prime choice and business publications being preferred to consumer ones. In the light of such conditions, Miel’s advice to publishers was to manage expenditure and control or cut costs, without compromising the quality of the product. 4 David Hoath Marketing Director The Newspaper Society UK The Latest Advertising Effectiveness Research “ Local press is all about conversion, converting customers into buyers”. That this is the unique position of the medium in the UK was the central proposition of David’s presentation on the most recent research into the effectiveness of advertising in regional and local newspapers in the UK. Presented here In advance of its launch in the UK, this overview of the results concluded that in addition to the known capabilities of local press, it can also “build unique and sustained awareness, it improves the health of a brand and increases consideration. Above all else it delivers results for advertisers clearly and demonstrably.” The impetus for the research was a combination of factors: competitive pressures from other media, the ever increasing emphasis being placed on accountability for results within the marketplace, and the fact that a number of other key media (local radio via the Radio Advertising Bureau being a quoted example) were at an advantage through being able to point to such evidence in a relative absence of same for local newspapers. By no means least was the industry’s promise to its customers that it would undertake such a project, alongside a number of other initiatives, which have already been actioned, such as improved planning tools, creative awards, electronic copy delivery and training. The study underlines the corporate proposition of the local press in the UK branding, trust, and immediacy. It also answers the question of whether local, tactical advertising is far as its capabilities reach. Local press in the UK is not always an easy choice for advertisers with national distribution, in the face of television and national press opportunities. There is an imperative to prove not just its effectiveness, but also how it compares with other media and how its dynamics eg colour usage, ad size and the business category, contribute to the results experienced. 5 Pre-campaign Base awareness Regional press campaign commences Brands increasing awareness* Brands increasing familiarity* Brands increasing consideration* 89% 44% 25% Movement from unaware to consumer… Sales +? Purchase point * Statistically significant increase This model of consumer activity, shows how the ultimate objective of advertising is to shift the consumer from awareness, to familiarity, to consideration, to purchase action, and illustrates that local press “achieves that shift. The reason why local press, used in the right way, converts awareness into action is a function of its position and relationship with its audience. Because of its proximity to its readers, it is close to their needs and there is a greater positive predisposition among its readers to advertising messages. The local content of both advertising and editorial relates to the consumer and this becomes increasingly important the closer they are to purchasing. The detail of prices, locations, opening times etc are key to local press advertising and cannot be found in any other media. Broadcast advertising, for example, cannot be actively sought by the consumer, nor does it easily provide a reference point for comparisons between prospective product purchases and outlets. Whilst other media may have an impact on the consumer, if they are about to buy, they are more likely to actively seek information from their local newspaper. On the basis of the research, David described the aspiration for regional press as being to assume a new position in the media mix – that of ‘the conversion medium’, the one which takes the consumer on the final step after brand building and desire. “Because what’s the point in all the expensive branding, in the awareness, in the desire building, if you don’t convert that into actual sales?” Moving into the detail of the research, “effectiveness” was explained as the efficacy of the medium in clearing “the hurdles” between the brand and actual purchase. 6 Specifically and progressively, these “hurdles” are: ß ß ß ß Impact, ie to be noticed and remembered and become ”top of mind” for the consumer Greater brand familiarity, bringing the consumer closer to the brand Purchase consideration Sales effect. The research was conducted in four distinct UK regions, each of them a major town or city with a significant population, during the 5 month period between September 2001 and February 2002. 15 minute, questionnaire based, street interviews examined awareness, familiarity, and brand consideration. The interviewees were current regular readers of local newspapers in each region and were representative of the population in terms of gender, age and social grade. The total of more than 9000 interviews at a cost of more than £400,000 gave a sample size that was “beyond question” not just in statistical terms but by comparison with other comparable and industry standard research. Using a combination of every daily and weekly newspaper in each of the cities, research was conducted on 26 clients, 5 of them national, and therefore tested in every city, the remainder local. This combination of different locations with regional advertisers and national brands enabled the use of both test and control cities, so that the effect of local press could be isolated. The objective for any advertiser is to move consumers as far as possible along the attitudinal and behavioural scale illustrated above, notoriously difficult shifts to achieve. The aggregate results for all 26 brands provide a “snapshot” of local press effectiveness. Brand recall within local press increased from an average of 7 13% at the start of the study to 23%, a 77% increase, proving that the advertising in local press is noticed. In comparative terms, this places local press at second only to television in achieving recall. Local press also achieved unique awareness for the brands, a critical issue in mixed media scheduling. The results demonstrated that local press contributed an additional unique awareness level of, on average, 9%. On average, regional press can generate 9% extra coverage in a multi-media schedule Media used in schedule Local press + at least one other media Seen advertising in local press but NOT any other media % 9 And broken down by media mix… Local press + local radio (only) TV not in mix TV in mix 12 11 8 Significantly higher scores were achieved by a number of the national brands eg Morrisons supermarkets +19% and Specsavers opticians +13%, in a media mix which included national press, TV and radio, and in the latter case cinema as well. Next follow key results for 4 specific national brands, Specsavers Opticians, Morrisons supermarkets, Britannia Tyres and Imperial Leather toiletries. Specsavers awareness level, relative to their ad spend, at an index of 128, was described by the client as rendering local press ”critical” to the achievement of their marketing objectives. Imperial Leather, whose media mix was with outdoor, achieved a 44% initial increase in awareness via local press, compared with that of posters at 38%. The decline in awareness over time was also arrested where local press was used (25% compared with a drop of 37% where outdoor alone was used). This shows that the medium can work for an FMCG brand. Such brands are often “fixated” on television, and the result is therefore a significant lever to encourage the redeployment of revenue towards regional newspapers. Morrisons achieved an increase in awareness from 11% to 27% and shows the value of consistent spend, as well as local press’ ability to “hold its own” even when TV is part of the media mix. 8 Considering newspaper advertising dynamics, the research findings supported the evidence to date that colour is worth the premium charged, but that the case is not so marked when it comes to positional premiums. It also validated earlier evidence that eye movement when reading an ad follows ‘classic’ ad layout in moving from top centre through centre to bottom left, and found that the most successful ads in the survey were full colour pages. The study also bore out the fact that results are affected by whether or not the consumer was “in the market” for the brand. Whilst the brand awareness results for TV and radio were similar irrespective of this, those for local press were much higher, proving the earlier point about the predisposition of the audience and their seeking of the advertising message. The “conversion effect” was illustrated by the case of Britannia Tyres, where, in addition to impressive increase in awareness, familiarity and purchase consideration, they achieved a 34% year on year increase in turnover with just 2.3 times the expenditure – that means that local press returned £2.30 to every advertising pound invested . Linking the results of the study to the earlier “hurdles” lying between the brand and consumer purchase, the summary findings were that: ß ß ß ß 9 out of 10 campaigns achieved an increase in awareness 44% achieved an uplift in familiarity with the brand 25% achieved an uplift in brand consideration, proving that the ads worked The “Holy Grail” sales effect was indisputably achieved for Britannia Tyres A concluding reminder was given that in addition to these achievements, the local press has a cheaper Adult CPT in relative and researched terms, and “enjoys a real and relevant relationship with its readers.” 9 Scott Whitley Advertising Director The San Diego Union - Tribune The strategy of targeting the largest competitive revenue pool is the one most likely to deliver the greatest returns. Scott illustrated this by explaining the press strategy against television in the USA. Television accounts for 23% of the USA’s $237.5 billion ad spend, with press and Direct Mail equal second at 19% apiece. If press could secure just 1% of the combined radio and TV pot which totals $73 billion, it would generate an incremental $730 million for the medium. The National Newspaper Network is, at national level, the sales arm for all US newspapers. They sell by selecting categories, especially those where they achieve a low share eg pharmaceuticals and packaged goods. Their “value of integration” approach, compares the relative strengths and weaknesses, such as reach and cost per point, of the two media, illustrating how press consistently comes out on top. There is a need to educate advertisers about the changes in the television medium over time, and the sales teams would typically raise the following examples, albeit on a selective basis: Cost of Reach: It takes 120 GRPs on TV to achieve the same 50% reach as 50 GRPs in press, making the cost of reach in press lower. TV Clutter: There are about 70 channels now available to homes in the USA compared with just 3 not so many years ago. Commercial Minutage: The growth on advertising minutage intrudes on programming to a greater extent now than ever before. Demographic Profile: The best and most desirable demographics are reached most efficiently in print, such as the best educated consumers: 40% of newspaper readers are graduates compared with 32% of TV viewers. Press also reaches more of the affluent households. Information Source: Consumers look to newspapers for information rather than to television, eg 2/3 of car purchasers, compared with just 1/7 looking to television. Trust: Press is viewed as being more believable, informative and trustworthy than TV. 10 CPM: Press delivers an Adult CPT of $6.10 compared with TV at $10 / 000. Similar efficiencies exist with subgroups such as the coveted 18 –34s, an audience where television regularly boast superiority. The sales teams may also present both the pros and cons of television in context, and they emphasise the value of a media mix. They do this in such a way as to make sure that the advertiser does not feel that they have made a mistake in their media selection. Proctor &Gamble were cited as an example of this in operation. With 25 brands in now advertising press compared with just 1 five years ago, they believe that: ß ß ß ß ß ß ß ß A media mix builds share Colour works in a mono medium Category exclusivity is needed Cost effective reach and frequency can be achieved by press Location can be emphasised in press Newspapers produce response Newspapers help to build brand awareness Audience fragmentation and clutter are adversely affecting TV’s position The local press sell against TV is more likely to produce immediate results. Working on the appreciation that local advertisers are not likely to be attuned television buyers, the local sales teams work on a process of education, needs assessment and recommendations on how to buy more efficiently, to improve reach, frequency and lower costs. A full year was invested in training these teams to speak the broadcast language and to educate their customers. Ikea, who have doubled their press activity at the expense of television, were cited as an example of this approach working at local level. Having established the profile of the Ikea shopper, their competition in the San Diego region, and newspaper usage among similar retailers, the sales team developed a proposal which improved on their expenditure, reach and frequency. The original broadcast plan, with expenditure of $100,000 per month, achieved 341 GRPs at a cost of $293 per point. The proposed press schedule cost $65,000 per month, and bought two insertions pr week, at the lower cost of $183 per GRP, with increased GRPs. The total schedule, which retained the original radio activity, increased overall GRPs by 48% and decreased the cost by $110 per point. Press thus became the dominant medium with TV being used only for special events. The first such campaign, using complementary creative executions, 11 generated more than 20,000 shoppers and achieved a lower cost per sale for the advertiser. Finally, Scott pointed out the increasing instances of convergence within the US market, the three most common scenarios being: ß ß ß Acquisition, where a real issue is that of getting sale staff to work together Two parent companies sharing an internet site and feeding broadcast and press content Newspapers finding a broadcast partner for limited marketing activities, usually to selected retail clients. He used the case of Albertson’s, a grocery chain, to illustrate how a “multi – tiered” campaign could work. The San Diego Union Tribune collaborated with a company specialising in online coupons and a local broadcast sales agent. The campaign originated for the advertiser incorporated: ß ß ß ß Leaflet distribution in paid and free titles achieving 80% penetration Interactive online advertising, emails, newsletters to shoppers Manufacturer coupons Radio and TV promotion of Albertsons online shopping service Scott concluded by stressing that “the key to success has been keeping the best interests of the customer to the forefront,” with the end result being “a more powerful media buy that strengthens all parties.” 12 Giorgio Marchegiani & Vincenzo Santelia Vice Presidents Bain and Company How to benchmark advertising revenue potential “Advertising revenues are paramount to optimise newspaper or magazine revenues and profits” was the opening on screen assertion from Bain and Company, presenting a Predictive Model of Advertising Revenue for Newspapers and Magazines. Developed on the basis of providing clients with basic tools to inform decision-making, they stressed its simplicity, specific relevance to the market and operational value. The initial step was to shortlist a number of variables which could have, and were expected to have, an impact on advertising revenues. They then developed a quantitative model which measures the “sensitivity” of advertising revenue of these variables, and is thus capable of many business applications. The variables and their translation into the model are as illustrated: Variables used Variables Rationale Model variable i Segment leadership i The leader in each segment collects an over-proportional share of advertising revenues i Relative market share i Readership i Number of readers directly affects the total number of available contacts i Number of readers per copy i Circulation i Circulation drives the total number of readers i Total number of copies i Target segment focus i Focused titles (especially magazines), collect relatively more advertising revenue i Concentration index of published advertising categories Amserdam 20 02 03 5 13 Variables used – Cont. Variables Rationale Model variable i Readers target i Advertisers aim at specific i % of readers in the target groups middle high income segment i Editorial flexibly i Titles with consistent messages between content and advertising have relatively higher advertising revenues i Frequency i Weeklies collect more per i Number of issues per single issue than year monthlies and dailies Amserdam 20 02 03 i Qualitative variable based on experts’ judgment 6 Based on 120 titles in Italy, the organisation found that, in 92% of cases, variance in advertising revenue correlated to variance in these variables, with only 8% down to ‘soft’ factors. Such a high level of correlation demonstrates the accuracy of the predictive model. Obviously each variable makes a different level of contribution to the overall effect. “Leadership” and “Target,” for example, account for 70% of the total effect, indicating that it is better to be a leader in one segment than to have a high widespread circulation. Circulation and Readership make a 14% contribution, Frequency 13% and Flexibility 5%. The practical value of the model in supporting the decision making process was demonstrated by 3 Case Studies. Example I The newspaper had two alternatives to enable it to gain revenue, namely: ß To acquire and agree with local newspapers ß To focus on 2-3 regions and gain leadership or co leadership. The relative value of leadership within the predictive model points towards the second option, where the value of the business in the longer term is calculated at twice that of the first. Example 2 In a market where there are no dedicated sales forces, but an agent selling the network of titles, the package sale leads to a situation where the strong titles support the weaker ones. By modelling the expected revenues and costs, and substituting the actual advertising revenue achieved with a 14 predicted figure based on the model, the publisher gets a clearer true picture of the relative contribution made by each title and can take better decisions. Example 3 Allows the publisher to calculate potential revenue based on the characteristics of the title. Any significant differentials can be identified eg if the predicted value is 20% higher than the actual value, there is still development work to be done! 15 Hans-Hendrik Puvogel General Manager KMC Germany Have you got the price right? Hans-Hendrik’s perspective on the core question is that newspaper advertising is “too difficult to buy and the price system is not right”. A fundamental cause is the view that: “From a process perspective newspapers are at a clear disadvantage”, and : “no real common industry approach to process issues is recognisable.” HH believes that newspapers tend to ‘lose more market share than other media’ for two reasons: ß Greater dependency on the business cycle than other media ß Structural issues. Despite the focus being primarily on the second issue, it was pointed out that the former is in itself a situation that needs to be addressed and Hans-Hendrik advised a return to the marketing basics of ‘right product, right distribution and right price’. Structurally, traditional newspaper advertising sales channels are expensive and are at odds with the concentration of media agencies worldwide, who operate on a low profit margin and with little or no ‘loyalty’ to media owners. Acknowledging that there are many complex issues impacting on newspaper advertising today, ranging from regionality, through production, to the decision-making processes employed by individual publishers, the resultant business models require a lot of personal contact between buyer and seller. This demands more experience and expertise from the personnel, who are consequently more expensive. Lower volumes per seller than other media, and the fragmented nature of the sales structures, mean less buying leverage, compounding the issue of high costs for the advertising agencies. Costs for agencies of planning, buying, administration and staff training to use press ranges from 200% - 100% higher than for television. Given that their issues are customer retention, the inefficiency of the newspaper advertising process in the context of high volumes at low margins, and the fact that they perceive using newspapers as something ‘they have to do’ as opposed to wanting to, what are the business implications of this scenario? Hans-Hendrik believes the essentials to be: 16 ß ß ß A reduction in the cost of planning, buying and administering newspaper advertising campaigns A recognition of the fact that the business is now less about people than about processes, “less about good personal buying skills than a high level of concentration” Focus on automation and IT integration. Current practices such as kickbacks are ‘an easy way out’, but they ultimately encourage ‘maverick’ selling, render prices intransparent and restrict the ability to manage yield. Current structures and practices are not only incompatible with a process driven industry, but also limit international compatibility for clients such as P & G or Masterfoods. The answer for newspapers is to reduce the operational costs for agencies: to improve the processes eg via online booking systems, and to use specialist service providers. Several models were introduced to illustrate how publishers could better support the buying process. The CARIA television online booking system reduced the number of booking staff required, and cut administrative costs and workload for both buyer and seller. The standardisation of the process reduces errors, with further cost savings, and makes the errors trackable and easier to address and eliminate. The second model, the German OBS system developed for the magazine industry was, Hans-Hendrik suggested, perhaps ‘over-engineered’, and security heavy. It does however achieve the same benefits as the television model in reducing processing costs and preventing errors whilst allowing the publishers to keep control of the sales process. Pricing transparency is a natural development of these processes. Publishers were counselled to ‘create a new relationship ‘ with agencies, to ‘stop regarding them as the enemy, improve services, develop partnership without compromising independence’, and to change the sales organisation into a team of ‘business consultants’ able to match specific agency needs . Possibilities for developing new sales channels could be: ß ß ß Specialised regional service providers covering all media Using the internet as an automated sales channel Co-operation with a strong regional partner to provide specialised services. The ‘intransparency’ of the pricing practices of many newspapers has led to inconsistencies, created ‘sensitive’ issues and are inadequate for IT supported processes. 17 Pricing systems are excessively complex, making planning and buying equally so, as well as error prone, expensive and an impediment to a high level of service provision. Change, however, needs to be universal rather than undertaken on an individual basis if it is to be effective. 18 Suzanne Raitt Vice President Marketing, The Canadian Newspaper Association The Creative Solution Suzanne believes: “A good ad will get noticed irrespective of its position in the newspaper” Although many of our customers are demanding evidence of advertising effectiveness, “the best thing you can do is…have a great ad”. This was the objective Suzanne asserted that could be achieved by following 13 Creative Principles. What is “a principle?” Simply, “something that seems to work”. The principles and the examples used had all been researched among experienced creatives and award winning newspaper advertising. Keep it Simple. This includes the context – better one idea communicated clearly than many… Use Short Headlines: Research indicates that as headlines grow, readership declines. Be Topical: “ The news is fresh every day, the advertising can be as well.” Examples ranged from a ‘twin towers’ execution containing the Lord’s Prayer on behalf of the Catholic Church, to retirement ads and weather based variations. Use Visuals: There is extensive research to support the view that ads with visuals get more readers and more attention. The human memory can store visual images to an almost unlimited extent. Experience has also confirmed the pattern of eye movement from centre top through centre to bottom left, and one recommendation was to place a headline under the visual to capitalise on this. Several examples were provided to demonstrate that one dominant visual works better than many small ones. The value of the visual in context was clearly illustrated by comparing an ad with a car in isolation with one featuring a Harley Davidson on the open road. Ads positioned ‘sideways’ are a current trend in Canada, but research suggests that even though they can cost as little as half the price of a 19 ‘traditional’ position, they perform less well unless there is implied movement, use of colour or sense of mystery. Food visuals also perform well, irrespective of the brand being advertised, as illustrated by the Nokia peanut butter sandwich! Children, celebrities and animals need a clear connection with the brand and message if they are to viewed favourably! Appeal to Readers : Consumers are used to actually reading a newspaper, so ads should work on this, drawing them in through the headline and building curiosity. Proven successes are human dramas, the inclusion of sale prices (23% more notice than those without), and recipe formats. A high amount of copy does tend to incur a drop in readership, unless the consumer is in the market for the brand, and it is an expensive item, in which case they do study it. Reverse type works as well as regular and headline readership improves if it is on an illustration rather than a ‘background,’ colour or mono. Colour Grabs Attention: Suzanne illustrated the effect of combining colour with a humorous execution to appeal to the ‘hard to please’ teen market. Colour works best when it is used to emphasise something humans crave such as food, sex or beauty. Colour boosts in depth reading by 60% over mono, compared with a 40% lift when 2 colour is used, and has a greater impact on the extent the ad is noticed than size. Mono ads work best when illustrating benefits, depicting drama or appealing to the intellect. Design Big Or Small : This includes using multiple pages… That said, a page ad scores a 33% higher noting figure than fractional space but the best 1/3rd page ad scored higher than a half page… The most successful small ads exploit shape to enhance the depiction of the product (eg the eye test for a dental ad!). Poor ones try to pack too much in and fail to draw the reader into the ad. 20 Low interest categories have been proven to need bigger ads. High contrast generates more attention but white space should not be used at the expense of other elements of the ad. Be Distinctive: Run ads which demand participation, those which stand out from the competition, and those which build the brand. This last point was memorably illustrated by a tombstone execution used by an established undertaker. Create Emotional Response: Feelings are more important than thought in building brand attitude and this was demonstrated by number of ads, including one for homeless children. Humour Works : Three executions for the same sunscreen, and the fictitious XO beer in Singapore illustrated this – and suggested that even when the script was hard to read, the ads were still remembered! Make The Ad Likable: To be likeable, means being meaningful, believable, and informative. Energy, ingenuity and warmth contribute, but irritation, silliness and worn out themes fail. Likeable ads score higher spontaneous recall than those that are not actively liked and can be sued to predict winning ads! Benefits, Not Features: Corporate ads are often wide of the mark in this respect. People buy things that solve a problem or make them feel good. Link The Brand With The Creative: In a cohesive ad, the headline, the visual, and the brand work together. Avoid splitting the visual from the copy in a DPS,as the ad is shown to work better when both elements are spread across the two pages. Build The Brand Across Media: For example, in the press / television mix, print can help the advertiser to convey extra information, and the consumer to focus on what the brand actually was. A BudLite example extracted characters from the television ad and placed them in press ads as ‘announcements’ building on consumer recognition to draw attention and conveying the information within the press copy. Suzanne concluded by highlighting the importance of remembering and using the differences between magazines and newspapers to inform creative: ß ß Newspaper ads should ‘grab the moment’ Newspaper ads should be planned for specific days 21 ß ß ß ß Newspaper ads should be local Newspaper ads should be bigger Newspaper ads should be serious and credible Newspaper ads should be detailed: readers expect to read, not flick, through a newspaper… 22 Kick Zandbergen Strategic Marketing Director, De Telegraaf A Case Study : How newspapers can improve response when included in a multi media campaign The aftermath of September 11th seemed an appropriate time for a major multi media “feel good” project. De Telegraaf were well placed to initiate this. As well as the strength of the newspaper, the group owns various newspapers and magazines, including a free daily title, Spits, and SBS Broadcasting, a TV station. Their external media partners were Nordsee FM, a radio station, and a magazine, Prive. Douwe Egberts coffee, with the aim of promoting coffee as “social glue” were a sponsor, together with KPN, a telecoms provider. The objective was to “build a neutral environment in which brands and consumers are able to interact through the use of unique content”, and achieving the individual commercial goals of the partners. The concept was a vehicle for the Dutch people to submit their individual ”Christmas Wishes,” to vote for the best, via a range of media options and for the event to culminate in a series of Christmas TV broadcasts where the winning wishes would be fulfilled. The entire event would be extensively cross promoted in the various media platforms. The sequence of media activities was as follows: ß Opportunity to submit Christmas wishes via a dedicated internet site, letter or phone. ß From 1.12.2001, the website “advent calendar” is operational, with a ‘gift’ for users who open the door each day. Press was used to drive traffic to the site for this purpose. ß Online voting takes place for the best wish. ß Three “Wish You” TV broadcasts fulfil some of the most popular wishes. ß Final Christmas Special TV broadcast, fulfilling the wish which received the most votes. ß Final New Year’s Eve publication of all the wishes in De Telegraaf. Promotional activities in all media pulled the Dutch people into the event at the outset to make their wishes. The “Advent Calendar” provided such prizes as the chance to broadcast a special message on the side of a building, or have a wish submitted on voicemail broadcast on Nordsee FM. Thus the sponsors were an active part of the event. 23 As the event developed, Prive, the gossip magazine, ran a feature every week about the wish fulfilments covered in the previous week’s TV programme, extending coverage and human interest. The Top 25 Wish List was vandalised by ‘hackers’ (via an adult website!), with the votes for a terminally ill seven year old boy being dramatically increased as a consequence. The trespass was dealt with, and the organisations made sure that, even though the boy could not win, he was given a special Christmas. The Christmas Special used Lapland as the meeting point for the two ‘elderly’ sweethearts who had been chosen by the people of Holland to have their Christmas Wish come true. The results were excellent. ß ß ß ß ß The first three programmes, although broadcast late at night, attracted 425,000 viewers. 1.6 million people watched the Christmas Special. The web site recorded 5.5 million page views, a combination of 400,000 sessions, where an average of 14 pages per session were viewed. 11,000 wishes were submitted via email and more than 1000 by phone. There were thousands of votes for hundreds of wishes. The only slightly disappointing result was the number of VRS and SMS calls. That said, 12,500 Euros were generated via this channel, and 5,000 Euros by messages from other routes. The level of awareness recorded was pleasing, particularly because of the appeal to younger age groups. Mr Zandbergen attributed the success of the broadcast finale to the “hype” created by the 6 weeks of extensive cross promotion, and praised the part played by press in this. The promotion generated additional revenues of about 600,000 Euros. This revenue simply would not have happened without the creation of the platform. An added bonus was that, because it was sponsorship and associated revenue, there was no conflict with conventional paid advertising time. ` 24 German Luis Buceta Managing Director, Publicitas Internacional SA International Advertising Sales : How To Create New Business To achieve this objective, it should be remembered that the media plan is an extension of the marketing plan, and that, as such, a creative strategy is required. In an environment where there are more newspaper and magazine advertising opportunities than ever before, and where business cultures are very different, the basic question “Why should this client do business with us?” needs to be answered. This organisational chart of the Spanish Tourist Board’s marketing operation illustrates the complexity of the international planning process. It highlights the numerous different locations and parties who might have an input into the planning. The seller must be able to identify how and where to influence the process to have an effect. Not only that, but the ‘blocks’ that tend to complicate the communication between the client, the agency and the sales operation need to be overcome before the media plan can be influenced. Even in the presence of so many external factors to be managed, the single most basic but most crucial area that must be addressed is the communication between the publisher and the sales organisation. 25 To achieve the strong voice that every publisher needs in the market, the salesperson needs to be professional, able to develop effective solutions, to provide PR support and to sell creatively. This in turn requires support and training from the publisher. Both parties need to have an input into decisions and together they can construct tailor made strategies, incorporating PR, events and sponsorship, for each market. Two case studies demonstrated how these principles can work in practice. Nihon Keizai Shimbun, the Japansese daily known as ‘Nikkei’, have more than 9 million readers in Japan and are a ‘must’ to hit Japanese decision makers. In the Spanish market, they had no clear position or sales proposition. Their prices were excessive by Spanish market rates and they had no lobby access to decision makers there. The challenges for Publicitas were: ß ß ß ß To position Nikkei as the unique partner to communicate with decision makers in Japan To develop acceptable pricing options To create a brand To create a lobby in the Spanish /Japanese community The brand identity they developed was “Discover the point of reference in Japan”. They conducted “Special Surveys” on, initially the Spanish, then the Catalan, economies, which served as a sales tool to overcome the pricing issue. They developed the Nikkei conference as a forum for the publication to reach decision-makers in Spain. The first was sponsored by the Chamber of Trade and the Spanish government, and the second by the Catalan government. Nikkei is now established as the unique partner for those wishing to do business with Japan. G.D.A (Grupo de Diarios Americos) have 14 papers in 12 countries throughout Latin America. These can all be reached via one contact point. As well as being faced with a lack of confidence in the Latin American economy, the group had no brand awareness in Spain, and struggled to sell the pan regional opportunity. The branding task was addressed by the development of “Pulso Latinoamericano”, a twice yearly publication summarising relevant editorials and issues and providing an editorial framework for Spanish clients. 26 They hosted a Latinamerican Media Breakfast in association with the Spanish trade publication, Revista Anuncios, and as for Nikkei, achieved a similar high awareness among media agencies of the brand and its position and proposition. Mr Buceta’s closing point was the reiteration that the two keys to success in developing international business are: ß ß two way communication between publisher and representative the development of a total marketing package. 27 Vladimir Makarikhin Business Development Director, Extra M Media How CRM can be used to launch products “1 Million Euro Sales Increase in Weekly Freebie Due to Successful Launch of New Telephone Directory!” was the arresting introduction to this presentation. From a start up investment of $10,000 by 3 journalists, in 10 years Extra M had grown to be a major advertising publication, with a 3 million weekly print run, producing 128 page publications 3 times a week in 5 major Russian cities, and achieving a turnover of 145 million euros. Finland was the source of the most accessible print operation capable of handling the publication, so distribution began with 40 trucks making the journey from there back to Moscow. Understandably, such a distribution method was expensive, so $40 million has been invested in a print operation which is scheduled to begin production next year. This will allow Extra M to produce more than 5.5 million copies, in colour, A3 size, running each edition at 16 – 40 p ages per week. Distribution is 80% hand delivered through home mailboxes, with a further 10% through sales displays, 5% via the transport system and others through offices, restaurants etc. Because many apartment blocks in Moscow are traditionally locked and inaccessible, the detailed work done on establishing the distribution network allowed the company to build a detailed database. Their unique distribution system was the catalyst for a distribution contract for a trade catalogue with a print run in excess of 1 million copies, which now provides 10% of Extra M’s turnover. For 7 years after its launch, Extra M prospered, but in 1998, financial crisis in Russia was the backdrop for a serious decline in turnover – from 145 million euros in 1996/98 it fell to 38 million euros. The economic situation severely hit advertising revenue and threw into the spotlight the company’s dependence on one single product and its weak sales operation which was generating no new business. Competition, the fact that the product was mono, and the failure of a number of costly online initiatives also contribute to the slump. The crisis however precipitated positive change: ß ß The product was redesigned to better deliver what its customers were looking for. The editorial content was editionalised for major Moscow regions, to open the product up to more local advertisers. 28 ß The sales department was overhauled, with new staff recruited and thoroughly trained. However Management wanted a new project, and the shareholders and investors stipulated that it was to break even within 12 months. Investment was to be limited – 1 million euros - and revenue was to be generated solely from advertising. Extra M took advantage of the merger of two local directories and the resultant redundancies of a team of good salespeople to recruit staff and set up a new Moscow telephone directory. Not only did they launch the core product, they also created a CD Rom database from it and a number of additional B2B and B2C guides using the databases developed by the core free newspaper. By harnessing these existing resources, no significant financial investment was needed. Indeed, the investment of 1 million euros was recouped by the end of Year 1. Existing advertisers in the newspaper were offered a package with the directory included and most took it up. Similarly, new clients were introduced to the newspaper via the directory. An additional 60 sales reps were recruited to create a call centre, and introduce a 3 step sales process whereby the Marketing team source potential leads from competitors, the call centre make the initial contact and set up appointments and the salespeople make the calls. The company now has 10 products instead of just one, including: ß ß ß ß ß a 200 page phone book 4 consumer guides (all prepaid) 3 B2C telephone guides a searchable website based on the telephone directory which enjoys about 1500 hits a month and was crucially a success following the earlier online failures a CD Rom of the telephone database, which may lose some money but adds value and audience for advertisers. From a sales perspective, they have: ß ß ß ß ß 2000 new advertisers 80 new sales people a call centre a Telephone Directory sales team capable of developing other projects the ability to develop combined media plans for VIP clients 29 Financially, from an investment of 95,000 euros, they have generated sales of 1 million euros, and an additional income of 50,000 euros plus a $1/4 million profit after 12 months. The proof of success? An offer from a competitor to buy the product for $1 million….and turned down! 30 Tim Greve Managing Director asdirekt Hard Working CRM CRM is ”nothing but hard work.” It is hard work to gain new, profitable customers. It is hard work to keep them. To improve their margins, at the same time as improving quality and decreasing costs is a really tough nut to crack! Tim illustrated this by explaining the scale of the Axel Springer organisation, with its 4.3 million contracts, 300 staff and more than 10 million customer contacts. The model below summarises the process: (SLIDE) The whole is underpinned by process management. This Cost Per Contact model, juxtaposed with Average Order Value illustrates the relative importance of each type of call, and is the model for handling the business. Online sales may be cost effective, but the Key Account Management role cannot be fulfilled by on line or even by call centre servicing, so the answer is to segment the customer base and to service it in accordance with its value. By segmenting the customer / contact base on the strength of their value, the optimum method of handling the account can be determined ie bit to bit, ear to ear or face to face, or a combination of these. They will also determine the nature and key activities of the sale units assigned to each group of accounts. The model ensures that, “as channels develop along the value chain, cost efficiency improves.” 31 The implementation of such a model brings with it the ability to assess sales effectiveness as illustrated in the chart below. For example, to measure the number of orders alone is misleading, as high volumes may go hand in hand with cancellations. Considering the time needed to secure the sales results ie comparing turnover with the relevant investment, leads to the conclusion that the answer to efficiency is to “align the costs of sales to the margin of the opportunity.” Given that the implementation of such measures may quite a significant step for many publishers, Tim made the point that the very act of starting to measure would in turn stimulate changes in behaviour, and that some measurements are better than none at all! Such an undertaking would entail a considerable amount of change management, and require training. It is imperative to measure and give feedback on the results achieved. Moving on to address the issue of customer service, three key benefits of this “costly necessity”, “the ugly sister of sales” were highlighted: ß ß ß Reduction in marcoms spend if customers are retained as a result Securing leads for cross selling Teaching us about customer expectations. The imperatives for service are “accessibility” and “responsiveness.” 32 It was advocated that companies should go to their customers to research their own quality of service. The concept of “customer parliaments”, where customers are encouraged to identify their complaints about the service provided, and then to assess them in terms of frequency of occurrence and importance, was introduced. This method helps to focus on the most important issues. From the example cited, the publisher isolated the key issue as lengthy queue times for incoming telephone calls, and was then able to address it through internal measures and actions. The process of using all incoming calls and service calls as sales opportunities was outlined. If the call is a complaint, it should be resolved and then a repeat ad offered at a discount price. The call centre should then make a follow up call to confirm that all is well. If the feedback is not good then at least you retain the opportunity to address the problem proactively, rather than lose the business because the advertiser believes you are useless. If the feedback is good, then the sales opportunity is enhanced by the customer feeling cared for. Incoming information calls should be responded to with an ad offered at a discount rate. An order for one title is automatically offered a package rate for adding an additional title. The final issue to address is that of process management. Improving the quality of the process saves time, which in turn saves costs. This translates into a number of areas: ß Improved call conversion means less ‘double work’ and reduced marcom spend ß Fewer mistakes mean fewer complaints and less churn management ß Faster workflow speeds turnaround and reduces headcount costs. Crucial to the success of such process initiatives are the people who “make things happen.” It is important not only to train staff, but also to ensure that they understand the objectives and receive feedback on the results of what is being implemented. The asdireckt process includes lectures by business professionals, and workshops where staff can apply the principles to the reality of their own business. One such successful outcome was the re-engineering of the system for handling faxes and written orders, whereby thanks to the input from the staff, a more time and cost efficient process was implemented 33 The most effective way to sell such initiatives is on the basis of timesavings to generate additional sales, thus overcoming the fear of risk inherent in change. 34 Ross Biggam Director General Association of Commercial Television in Europe “New TV Advertising Techniques” Despite the long term changing shape of the television market, Ross asserted his conviction that “mass audiences will continue” and that television, with its 3.5 hours daily viewing and 99% penetration, will maintain its position as “the only real mass medium to advertisers globally.” Fragmentation is “mathematically inevitable,” since all television markets began with 100% monopoly! By the same token, declining audiences are also inevitable, as it would be difficult for them to deliver more! The issue of advertising effectiveness will become less “cutting edge” due to a climate of increasing cross media ownership eg of 20 TV companies represented by Ross’s organisation, 11 own newspapers as well. The external threats are stronger than those that they pose to each other. The hope for the future lies in the ability to grow new audiences and to reach existing ones in different ways. On this basis, the ‘new techniques’ deployed by broadcasters should: ß ß ß Reach different targets Use new technology Combat audience fragmentation. A number of different executions were demonstrated. ß Split screen technology: eg a superimposed ad in a box onscreen, or a scrolling commercial message. ß A ‘mini soap’ (eg McDonald’s) where the programme presenter delivers the commercial message, and which is not counted as advertising minutage. Such messages are particularly appealing to a young audience, but suitable only for certain types of programme. Results from Italy and Germany where these techniques are already widely used are positive: 79% of viewers regard it as being “original, innovative and preferable to conventional ad breaks.” Spontaneous and assisted recall is also higher than for conventional advertising, in one case by as much as 20 percentage points. ß ‘Virtual’ technology, eg a billboard at a sports event being superimposed with commercial messages. 35 Such ideas are still at an experimental stage, and all to date are in the context of sports broadcasting, as the obvious question of just how intrusive the message can become without losing viewer acceptance, is still unanswered. Virtual technology also involves a legal and contractual minefield. ß Interactive advertising was presented as offering television the most extensive possibilities to deliver what to date has been the domain of competing media. An Audi interactive promotion illustrated how TV could become the medium for delivering detail comparable to a sales brochure, and an Orange execution was shown to be easily accessed using the familiar teletext navigation buttons. The Eurostar ‘Paris’ campaign was developed to allow fare searches, online booking, and visual travel details as extensive as brochure content. Of the four techniques presented, interactive offers the most viable potential to television broadcasters and advertisers. None of these ground-breaking techniques is without problems. There are of course regulatory issues, such as acceptable durations, labelling and separation of programme and commercial content. Virtual sponsorship is banned in some countries, restricted in others, and is simply not viable for pan European use. The fundamental principle that “advertising and programming should be kept separate” is becoming much harder to follow, given that the interactive stream effectively takes the viewer away from the programme content. They are strictly speaking no longer a viewer so regulations do not apply. Yet they are still a consumer, so protection is still necessary. How do we define separation? The debate is gradually moving from “keep the viewer from seeing too much advertising” to “inform the viewer about advertising.” Regulation of different media will over time start to converge, on the basis that to the viewer, video-streaming etc looks just the same as conventional broadcast. The biggest threat to broadcasting, and indeed to newspapers, are state funded competitors who demand protection and then use funding to grab a share of the digital and online opportunities. Such competitors are not answerable to shareholders and can put losses down to Research & Development costs. 36 “How can we persuade consumers to pay for content when others are giving it away for free?” . 37 Danny Meadows Klue President, Interactive Advertising Bureau Best Practice in Online Advertising Online is a “fundamental new medium but not an easy one to embrace.” September 2002 was a milestone in internet advertising terms, as it was then that the European audience overtook the USA, allowing global media businesses to see it on an equal footing and start to allow a global focus to take place. There are currently 185 million users in Europe. Just under half the population has internet access, rising to around 60% when ‘at work’ access is included. However not all users are ‘equal’ as usage requires familiarity. Jupiter estimate that it takes about 2 years for a user to become ‘high level’ ie to use the internet for ecommerce. This, crucially, means that this year is the first time that those ’experienced’ users are in the majority. The dominant trend in internet usage is currently ‘more users, more time, doing more’ and this looks set to continue for the next five or six years at least. There has been a close relationship between newspapers and the internet since 1994, and the print medium “pioneered the quality of internet publishing.” The upsurge in the usage of news internet sites in the aftermath of September 11th was illustrated. Email, searches, instant messaging etc are all commercial services, and all free to users, therefore they must be funded by either advertising or ecommerce, and that the biggest challenge for the industry currently is “safe online shopping.” The Amazon model is notable for its effectiveness and as a driver of value, and the range of examples available point to the fact that we do use the internet for everything. What are the implications of the internet for the advertising industry? Measurement is most likely to follow the TV route of Reach and Frequency. While the internet currently still delivers an attractive audience profile, this will ultimately converge with the population profile as a whole. A number of ‘myths’ about internet advertising were dispelled: Myth 1: “Web advertising only works if the user clicks”. How many times have you clicked on a poster? Myth 2 : “You can’t measure the brand effect of an internet ad”. It is done in exactly the same way as it is for other media. Myth 3: “The internet replaces other channels”. 38 The medium is best defined as “ the brand action medium”. It can offer brand building but it can also convert, generate response, and support press and TV schedules – as such, integrated web advertising encourages customers. Internet Classified was defined as being a combination of search engines, performance listings, classified sites, yellow pages, newspapers, business listings… The ability of the internet to deliver reach, was illustrated by the example of BA, where the web was integrated with TV press and outdoor. In one day, the web delivered 2.8 million users, leading to the conclusion that “the numbers can match modest television campaigns.” Milward Brown studies show tangible shifts in brand perception and brand attributes resulting from internet campaigns. A study for Dove, where the internet accounted for just 2% share of voice for the schedule, was notable for showing that the internet could achieve a bigger effect for the same money than other media. (Purchase Intent Slides) – Given that marketers are still getting to grips with the medium, the questions of “where should the money come from”, and how should the media mix be optimised to include the internet are in the process of being answered. The Dove study suggests that TV is the main casualty where its incremental effect declines with the number of exposures. Diary research has been undertaken to assess what impact the internet has had on media consumption. It shows that the internet is currently accounting for the 3rd largest share of media time – but only among internet users. Because of the intrinsically unique way in which the medium is consumed we should think in terms of dual consumption rather than in purely competitive terms. As far as the impact on advertising revenue is concerned, Forrester predict that the internet will take about 5%-6% share within the next 5 or 6 years, an impressive growth rate. The industry, under the auspices of the IAB have planned, completed or are underway with, a range of standardisation initiatives throughout the world. That the medium should still be having to get to grips, albeit quickly, with such fundamental issues as Data Reporting, Ad Shapes and Sizes and Auditing Guides, highlighted its relative youth, making its progress and prognosis all the more impressive. 39 Constantine Kamaras Vice President, Interactive Advertising Agency, Europe The Publisher’s Perspective Having reiterated a number of the previous speaker’s comments on internet trends, Constantine went on to make a number of predictions about how the medium and its advertising will develop. Growth in online usage will be driven by both new users and by existing users moving to broadband. “Communication and entertainment will be the dominant reasons for use” This does not mean that news sites are not viable, but that they are a ‘niche’ within the web environment. It may become difficult to differentiate between media using conventional definitions eg web TV, a tablet PC Whilst advertising is changing, the pace and the extent are less than is generally though to be the case. Advertising will “follow the audiences,” albeit slowly. This view was supported by the comparison between the internet’s 11% share of media time in the USA and its 1% - 3% share of revenue. Whilst advertising growth rates will be slower than to date, in relation to other areas of communications spend, interactive will be the fastest growing element. Planning and buying will follow television measurement models, based on Reach, Frequency and GRPs. The medium will however require an amalgam of ‘TV and print selling’ as the actual ads will increasingly become large ‘blocks’ similar to conventional press ads. At the same time, targeting will reflect TV dayparting. “Pay per performance” trading will increase slowly, driven in particular by advertisers requesting that agencies remunerate them in this way. Direct, permission based email will further improve targeting opportunities. The web is similar to newspapers in a number of ways: ß Both are selling an audience ß Both sell on a CPM basis ß Both sell space While both will rely on advertising revenue for the foreseeable future, there is a distinct difference in the extent to which this applies. 40 Despite attempts to secure payment for services, advertising still accounts for 80% of web revenues in the USA. Even the Wall St Journal still relies on advertising for 2/3 of its online income. This, combined with budget restrictions, inevitably places the balance of power with the advertiser. The fact that 80% of ad spend goes to the Top 20 sites, where newspapers rarely feature, was attributed to the intrinsically different nature of the way in which the two are consumed: “When we buy a newspaper, we buy the whole produce. When we go online, we do something specific”. Audience data for the internet is “poor”, especially in relation to its potential. This, and other issues need to be addressed by the industry: ß ß ß ß Privacy Dayparting skills Overcoming ad blocking software, either by making the ad delivery more relevant or having it used only block the most intrusive and annoying ads. Disintermediation. This is probably easier to handle online, as companies spend a lot not just on advertising but on their own web sites and use off line advertising to drive traffic to it. The dotcoms “shot themselves in the foot” by spending significant money in print. Addressing the “power balance”, the following were identified as the key areas publishers should work on: ß ß ß ß Creative content: No advertisement appears in a newspaper without having been seen, but it is perfectly possible for this to happen with a web execution, and how does one therefore manage content to prevent user alienation and long term damage? User data: whose server statistics should invoicing be based on, the publisher’s or the buyer’s? They are never identical… Pricing Targeting: The need will grow and the technology permits it to improve. Audience fragmentation may mean lower revenues initially but they are also an opportunity to generate increased revenue per contact. This is also an issue for newspapers, how do they go about selling different content to different audiences? Dominance of the newspapers should create opportunities for web dominance. One recommendation for newspapers is to ensure that their websites offer “extensive targeting opportunities.” The strategy of being, “the only ‘must’ in the region” was recommended. This probably requires alliances with broadcast competitors, to maximise online ad market. Local markets generally offer less volatility than national ones. 41 Mr Kamaras raised the point of “audience value”, and the way in which the web forces one to see that not everyone in the audience has the same value. A number of policy recommendations closed the presentation: ß ß ß ß ß ß Know your audience Direct email looks to have a buoyant future. Do not move away from CPM. There is too much outside the publisher’s control to move towards other pricing methods. US research shows that users do not have a problem with online ads, but that they do object to pop ups. Different media are still best served by having dedicated salespeople, but they need to be capable of working together to develop a multi media deal. Classified must be a priority as it is bread and butter revenue. The best route to success is to extend print dominance into web dominance. 42 Sally Winfield Group Classified Director, Associated Newspapers Motivation : Art or Science? “Leadership is the art of accomplishing more than the science of management says is possible.” This is the key to motivation. Bolstered by liberal supplies of popcorn, delegates were treated to an intriguing 20 minute film about the progress of Sir Ernest Shackleton’s voyage to the Antarctic, and the principles he employed to ensure that, given the conditions and forces they had to contend with, the expedition was as successful as was humanly possible. Perhaps the whole expedition, and Shackleton’s approach to it, can be summarised in Ms Winfield’s exhortation to: “Be bold in vision and careful in planning. Try something new but be meticulous enough in your proposal to give your ideas a chance of succeeding.” The Antarctic expedition experience teaches many other lessons present day commercial managers can apply to assist them in motivating their staff in both adversity and success. Shackleton’s recruitment process, albeit unconventional, was creative and geared to getting exactly what he knew was needed to carry out the task. Recruit the expertise and the talents you lack yourself and do not be threatened by this. “They will help you stay on the cutting edge and bring distinction to your organisation.” Ensure that your No. 2, your most crucial appointment, is an individual who complements you, and that they are 100% loyal without being a ‘yes’ person, and that they can work with others. Work on the principle of encouraging open debate, with honest input until a decision is reached. At this juncture the debate is over, and loyalty is displayed by putting those decisions into practice. By keeping his team cheerful and positive, Shackleton reaped the rewards in terms of their efforts, their “loyalty and camaraderie”. He left no one in any doubt as to what their duties were, and how they would be rewarded and he established order and a clear routine. Hierarchies were abolished, as were inconsistencies, or any of the imbalances in treatment which make even the favoured feel uncomfortable. 43 Communications were clear and the work was challenging. Everyone was made to feel that they were making a valued contribution, and given feedback and the opportunity for input. What opportunities do we give our staff eg discussion forums, a suggestion box, or even just taking the time to talk and to listen regularly? If the team are not bringing problems to you, then you have lost the role of leader, either because you are perceived to lack concern or because the team lacks confidence in you. Shackleton’s chosen title, “The Boss” achieved the necessary balance between clear and absolute authority and sufficient friendliness. He shared conditions with his men, whether it was work, food, clothes etc This ensures that the team gain their expectations through the behaviour of the leader, rather than just responding to words. At the same time, the position of the leader should never be forgotten, either by that individual or the people working for them. Accept that with this responsibility goes the appreciation that there comes a time when the discussion and compromises have to stop to get the job done properly. If that on occasion means making someone mad, then so be it. Have the confidence to get under the skin of a problem, rather than skirt around it in case you do not like what confronts you: You will thus able to take well informed decisions and actions. This requires you to have “an insatiable demand to be in charge of the information flow.” This is the only way you can be up to speed on all that is going on within the organisation. Remember that it is not only acceptable, but also essential to success, that you change your mind if things are not working out according to plan. This means having contingency plans and being able to provide a logical justification for them. Know the possible consequences of each option and keep your eye on the ‘big picture.’ No matter what, do not lower your standards, as the final outcome depends on “the best efforts of the entire group.” When crises struck, as they did regardless of the meticulous planning that had taken place, Shackleton at once explained the situation to the team, took charge and ensured that a new plan of action was implemented. Follow his example, and display absolute confidence in the outcome of whatever action is being taken Nor did Shackleton ever look back, but moved on to focus on the future, with past experience only having a value as something to be learned from. 44 Whilst he was not afraid to take the responsibility for the order to ‘abandon ship,’ when the time came, he scarcely needed to as he had kept his team so involved throughout that they knew what was coming. The motivation to succeed and survive comes from the top, and that while bonuses, incentives etc play a part, the inspiration for people to do their best comes from “clear communication of what needs to be achieved and how to do it.” 45 Jim Chisholm SFN Project Director, WAN Shaping the Future of the Newspaper The advertising elements of the SFN project provided a perspective on media consumption and advertising performance worldwide, presenting conventional measurements in original and practical ways. Comparing the level of newspaper sales with the size of the population it serves can benchmark a newspaper’s performance. In the USA, for example, which we tend to view as being a strong and mature market, newspapers sales are only 260 copies per 1000 population… by comparison, Norway sells 700 copies per 1000 population. Any publisher can therefore compute their own performance within their marketplace, and compare it either with the averages for their own country or globally. A comparison of average daily title sales by country was followed by consideration of newspaper advertising shares by country, illustrating the wide differentials eg Finland at 58% and Portugal at just 10%, and demonstrating that over the last 5 years, newspapers have, with some exceptions, ie Netherlands and Denmark, increased share of spend. To benchmark advertising revenue, publishers can divide advertising revenue by circulation to calculate advertising offtake per copy. The results put pure circulation comparisons in isolation into a constructive business context. For example, Japan’s high circulations, when related to advertising revenue, show a low ad offtake, whereas Ireland, with considerably lower circulations, enjoys a much higher ad return per copy. Comparing both ad offtake and newspaper sales with GDP provide further benchmarks and illustrate the very different business mixes characterising individual countries. These range from the USA with high advertising revenue but low readership, to Japan and Norway with high readership and low revenue. Ad revenue as a % of total business, or the newspaper’s variance in advertising share, are also measures publishers can use to relate their performance to national averages. The Goldmann Sachs correlation between advertising revenue and GDP was taken a stage further and used to demonstrate how television tends to predominate in poor countries, but to have a low share in richer ones. The chart below plots the relative growth forecasts for advertising and circulation by country over the next five years. 46 Industry overview Revenue forecasts for next –byfive lineyears (excludes the impact of recruitment drift) 20 Advertising (real prices) Netherlands Finland 15 Italy United Kingdom Germany Portugal 10 France Belgium Luxembourg Austria 5 Spain Sweden 0 -6 -4 Denmark -2 Ireland 0 2 4 6 -5 -10 Circulation (flat revenue) Shaping the Future of the Newspaper Source: World Press Forecasts Veronis Schuler were recommended as a source of forecast data, because, as a merchant bank, it is in their business interests to get the forecasts right rather than to sell reports about them! Their analysis of the consumer pound spent on media consumption indicates that growth in internet consumption will continue until at least 2006. However the internet is rather more about this growth in consumption than advertising, with a flattening in advertising share being predicted. Indeed the growth in print advertising share is forecast to be at least as strong as that of the internet. A further indicator of the strength of press as an advertising medium, is a comparison between the money spent on advertising per hour consumed, across the internet, television and press. This model shows that press revenue is 10 times that of either of the other media. The relative recent strength of the internet is illustrated by the fact that, during the later part of 2002, it generated more than twice as much revenue in relation to the size of its audience as television did (£15/000 impacts vs TV £6.80/000 impacts) and a 4% revenue share against a 2% audience share. The preview of “Added Value Advertising”, the next report in the SFN series, due for publication next month, asserted that this is “all we can do for our customers other than place ink on paper. Our role is not to put ink on paper. Our role is to deliver customers to our advertisers.” 47 It made a number of practical recommendations to assist the publisher in improving the returns on advertising investment to our customers. Jim illustrated how we can add value utilising the ideas contained in the model below. Added value advertising Giving advertisers a better return on their investment? Markets Markets current current • Increase advertising effectiveness Audience pricing new • Database services • Targeted distribution Internet distribution • • Improve service levels • Direct mail • Features and supplements programme • • • Leaflets and inserts • PR POS and design services Customer surveys • Mobile and email services • Database services • Targeted distribution • Audience pricing • Internet distribution • Improve service levels • “Out-of-market” distribution • Direct mail • Features and supplements programme • PR • Leaflets and inserts • Customer surveys • Segmented products • Mobile and email services new Products / services • Increase advertising effectiveness new new Products / services current current • • POS and design services Shaping the Future of the Newspaper Lord Leverhulme’s infamous “half of my advertising works…” quotation was put into a more realistic context, with the assertion that it was actually more likely to be about 4%! So, how do publishers improve advertising effectiveness? Using the UK’s leading popular daily, The Sun, as a practical example, Jim showed how tracking readership by page could better inform advertising plans and generate better returns. The Sun is a bastion of male chauvinism…but readership tracking shows that the female readership of its news pages is higher than the male readership.. and that male readership wins on the sports pages ... where there are no, or few ads… It is a fact of life that levels of advertising readership are lower than those for editorial, but this is not a negative for newspaper advertising: if everyone who read the paper went to the supermarket advertising there, it would be mayhem! The job of newspaper advertising is rather to convert those consumers “ at the margin” into buyers. One definition of “advertising effectiveness” is “the effectiveness of the medium x the effectiveness of the advertisement.” 48 Many advertisements, even those developed by blue chip agencies, do not work. This is not a reflection on the medium, but on the creative treatment. Given 5 traditional levels of measuring advertising effectiveness, the model below illustrates how often it fails because of the discrepancy between what the advertiser wants, what the buyer wants, and what we actually give them. The current model would, it was argued, be more effective considered from a new perspective: Added value advertising Measuring advertising effectiveness Five levels of measurement Average issue readership Current international measure of readership. Issue specific readership Readership indexed and priced according to actual daily circulation. Page readership QRP projects – Denmark, Netherlands, Norway. Advertisement readership Media buyers increasingly undertaking their own measures of press effectiveness. Advertisement response ? Shaping the Future of the Newspaper 49 “We need to change the way we are thinking. The number one job we have is adding value to our advertisers.” Using an eVolt/Newspaper Society study to illustrate the principle of more meaningful measurement (the effect of ad size on readership by category), Jim explained how such a ‘reading and noting’ study could enable us to provide advertisers with practical regular reports showing what their expenditure has actually delivered for them: ß ß Their exposure in terms of readership traffic, reach and frequency, and actual advertisement readership. Their share of audience at both the level of exposure and actual readership. This added value service gives us an excuse for meaningful client contact. It may of course call into question the quality of the advertisements. When two advertisements for the same type of product produce a winner and a loser, telling the “loser” which execution has not worked “is about the best service we can offer to our advertisers.” We should be going back to advertisers and talking to them about what has and has not worked if we wish to retain and develop them. On the question of pricing, the present practice of measuring the readership of “the whole book” was likened to a television broadcaster telling us that 99% of people watch television… We need to start to measure who is reading what and when, enabling both publishers and customers to assess the scale and the quality of the audience. QRP tracks readership traffic and enables publishers to justify price on the basis of not just the size, but also the relevance, of the audience. Publishers should actively consider the points of least customer resistance and work on their margin of need, the pricing options that will best develop frequency, and the basis for their perception of value ie the ad or the medium. We should make the most of topical advertising, as did a publisher who discounted for topical ads in the summer when business was low. Not only were they offering a service, but the chances were high that the responses would be better because the material was topical. Jim then asked whether or not we service our advertisers “according to their needs…or ours?” and gave some suggestions as to how we could implement the latter. Features and Supplements are a key source of revenue and three possible approaches to planning them were illustrated. 50 The recommendation was that newspapers adopt a ‘market driven’ approach. A suggested approach to this is to draw our customers into the planning process. Select one sector of the population eg working women, and invite advertisers from different business sectors eg a Motor dealer, an Estate agent, and various type of retailer, to a forum to discuss how the segment can best be reached. Because the businesses are not competing, they are more likely to offer ideas. They have an interest in the success of the initiative, so are more likely to support it, and the venture is perceived as being better service from the newspaper. What about relationship between topic readership and advertising revenue? The categories accounting for the highest shares of advertising revenue do not necessarily correlate to those accounting for the highest share of readership. The converse is of course also true. % of advertising Added value advertising Relationship between readership and revenue 30 Recruitment 25 20 Property 15 10 Entertainment Motors Business Travel Health & Fitness Technology 5 Fashion Food and drink Home/DIY Gardening Cosmetics 0 20 Shaping the Future of the Newspaper 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 % readership It is possible to calculate the real value of a read copy of the newspaper in terms of the advertising revenue it generates by category. This readership / revenue correlation is the basis for product tailoring. Everyone wants “ less done better,” and that includes advertisers and readers. 51 We know that it is the copy actually read that is valuable, so if a publisher can tailor the product, rather than getting it to lots of people who don’t want it, they should be able to generate more revenue and reduce costs. They serve the advertisers’ and readers requirements as well as deriving obvious bottom line benefits. The challenge for the publisher is to find “the most cost effective way of merging relevant content and relevant advertising.” This means tackling three core issues: ß ß ß Address level distribution Reader interest knowledge Pricing Are we fully exploiting the capabilities of technology to develop leaflets and inserts? A case study from the Netherlands, where 8% of homes have a “no” sticker to prevent unsolicited Direct Mail, a newspaper publisher carried a version of a customer’s leaflets in the paper, together with coupon offers. They were able to sell the leaflets, overcome the 8% missed distribution for the advertiser, and capture data on consumers. “Post it “ technology offers a revenue opening and a stand out opportunity for advertisers. The technology also allows the publisher to deliver niche products and generate premium priced advertising on the back of the targeting quality. Non readers have a value to advertisers and publishers can link advertising with other data to improve service. For example, when a recruitment ad for a Financial Director is published, use the subscription prospecting database to identify existing Financial Directors and send them a copy of the newspaper containing the ad. Non readers get a relevant product sample, the advertiser gets an added value service and extended reach, increasing the response opportunities. The Bain model clearly stated the value of purchasing frequency in terms of advertising performance. It was demonstrated that reading frequency declines as we move up the social scale. The lowest level of loyalty is found among the readers we deem to be of the greatest value to advertisers. Thus, in the UK, the newspaper with the highest ad off take per copy (the FT) has the lowest purchasing frequency. 52 On this basis, if a publisher can move purchasing frequency forward, readership can be built and that purchasing frequency should be translated into advertising value New forms of consumer access to the medium are crucial. Digital printing technology enables publishers to capitalise on opportunities outside their market boundaries. Not just in the obvious option of reaching ex pats, but helping other newspapers who have a high ex pat community in your publishing area to get their paper to keen potential readers. Go to a major venue anywhere abroad and you will find people wanting to access their home paper. The Suddeutsche Zeitung was the cited example, using a range of technologies to increase distribution in target areas around the world. Publishers were urged to think about what they could do for advertisers over and above the services we routinely offer. For example, the production of point of sale material. One publisher awards points to advertiser with every advertising pound spent. These points can then be converted into other services eg creative, research, design. Such an approach gives us the opportunity of tapping into the 50% of marketing budgets that is spent on events, PR etc, as well as levering advertising spend and loyalty. Customer Surveys can be used to identify weaknesses in the advertiser’s offer, and to illustrate the effectiveness of the newspaper, as well as being a service provision. Not only do we gain valuable information, but, if we become skilled in it, we can charge for the service! Publishers can harness the potential offered by other media. As illustrated by UK and Japanese consumer profiles, the internet audience is getting older, and mobile phones are ubiquitous among teenagers. Using the media being devoured by certain key consumer groups to persuade and entrap new readers can build newspaper audiences. Alternatively, publishers may choose to deliver a different product depending on the technology and the consumer group. A model from Finland illustrated that there is a gap in communications somewhere between the 1 –1 and the 1 – mass audiences. Mobile technologies and digital printing are the ideal vehicles to fill it. What radio did for record sales in the 1920, and cinema did for the video industry in the 1960s, were precedents for what mobile technology offers newspapers right now, and Jim predicted that this is going to be the “biggest change we are going to see in our business.” “Community meets content, meets access, meets immediacy.” 53 The principle is simple; different groups want different things. The trick is to work on what they want now, to develop their longer term loyalty. This was illustrated by the Asahi Shimbun Case Study, where sports content from the newspaper and the website were integrated to crate the world’s largest news site on mobile technology at a cost to users of 100 yen a month. Between January 2000 and July 2002 it had amassed more than 1 million subscribers and generated $11.5 million. “Advertising CRM is the big, fast, hit.” “ If I had to go back and do 1 thing in my business on Monday this would be it!” The 10 Steps recommended for developing Advertising CRM are: 1. Involve everyone in the newspaper The need for editorial buy in, and the need to change the approach of salespeople were emphasised. 2. Understand each advertiser’s objectives, needs and attitudes. As a means of gaining market intelligence why not, every week, get 2% of customers to complete a questionnaire? It would soon build up our knowledge of emerging problems, and is also a vehicle for getting immediate feedback on any product changes or initiatives. 3. Build customer knowledge, account by account Do we know about response or the quality of our service provision? Then we should find out. We should measure the loyalty of our customers ie the frequency and history of their advertising and their commitment. We should know our position with each of them in terms of our revenue vis a vis the competition. 4. Classify the Prospect Base (Non customers, New, Active, Inactive and Passive) 54 Non repeat business accounts for about 1/3 of our revenue – to convert any of these we need to know about it first – do we? There are significant differences between a motor dealer selling 1000 cars a month and one selling 2 cars a week. We should therefore treat them differently in recognition of their different business profiles. We should then handle their business in line with their spend, their frequency etc and differentiate the sales process accordingly. 5. Build the sales organisation around the advertisers The structure of the sales operation should reflect the advertisers and the market, as well as taking account of the skills and personalities of the individuals on the team and putting them onto the business best suited to them. We can all too easily waste these skills through not managing our understanding of the business well enough. If we have 400 sales a week but little repeat business, that equals time wasted and we should know about it. 6. Provide a single view of the advertiser relationship Publishers need to own the advertiser: their history, attitudes etc, and it is a simple exercise, as suggested, to collect such data and make it accessible to all parties. 7. Track, measure react, track measure react… Once you start to track, then you start to analyse and stop relying on the subjective feedback of the sales team. 8. Maximise the efficiency of the advertisers’ message 55 Utilising a number of the previously mentioned ideas eg added value services, meaningful reporting and feedback Track and use value points. Know what advertisers get from their advertising. The Bain study showed that newspaper advertisers actually reckon that the service is cheap! 9. Maximise Prices and Yield Know the market, adjust prices to reflect changes in it, capture data to justify higher prices and ensure that all sales staff understand yield. 10. Build the business from the knowledge Use the combination of customer communication, exploiting existing products via improved data, intelligence and technologies, and customer segmented sales organisation to achieve “growth through new and old.” The process management to underpin the entire operation needs to be in place. Process management is about customers and about the staff working with them. Process management is not about I.T. Publishers therefore need to overcome the tendency to let it be driven by the I.T. department. The estimated time required to put a CRM initiative in place is generally about three months. 56
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