How to Avoid Rising Capital! and Operating Costs" Denver Gold Show

How to Avoid Rising Capital!
and Operating Costs"
Denver Gold Show
September 8, 2008
Forward-Looking Statements
Some of the statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking statements, such as
statements that describe IRC's goals and expectations and IRCʼs estimated revenues from its royalties,
production levels and mine life.
Since forward-looking statements are not statements of historical fact and address future events,
conditions and expectations, they inherently involve unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and
other factors well beyond IRCʼs ability to control or predict. Actual results and developments may differ
materially from those contemplated by such forward-looking statements. Material factors that could
cause actual revenues to differ materially from any such forward looking statements include metal price
fluctuations; interpretation of royalty contract terms; operatorsʼ production changes; mine developers
abilities to develop, build and operate the mines; the effects of weather, operating hazards, adverse
geological conditions, global warming, work slowdowns or stoppages, availability of labour, materials
and equipment, changes in governmental laws, regulations, economic conditions or political instability;
currency exchange rates; uncertainties involved in interpreting drilling results and other tests; possible
variations in ore grade and recovery rates; risks of delays, accidents, equipment breakdowns; the
possibility of unanticipated costs or expenses related to mining, processing, mine closures; and IRC's
ability to acquire additional royalty interests.
Forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs, estimates and opinions of management at the
date the statements are made. IRC does not undertake to update forward-looking statements if
managementʼs beliefs, estimates or opinions or other circumstances should change.
2
Important Notices
Resource Estimates - All “reserve” and “resource” estimates included in this presentation were
prepared in accordance with the Canadian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy classification system or
the Joint Ore Reserve Committee as outlined in National Instrument (NI) 43-101 of the Canadian
Securities Administrators and the Canadian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy Classification System.
These standards differ significantly from the requirements of the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC). In particular, “resources” are not the equivalent of “reserves” and the SEC does
not normally permit the use of the term “resources” or of resource estimates in documents filed with
the SEC. Accordingly, information included in the presentation may not be comparable to information
disclosed by United States mining companies.
IRC does not operate or explore but relies on others. Because it is not the operator, it must rely on
decisions made by others, decisions on which it has little or no influence. It must also assume that
public disclosure by its operators is accurate and true. Information contained herein is based on
information made available by these operators.
This presentation has been reviewed by a qualified person employed by SRK Consulting (U.S.) Inc, for
the purposes of NI 43-101.
See Company disclosure documents filed on SEDAR (www.SEDAR.com), including the Annual
Information Form dated March 28, 2008, and the Companyʼs Annual Report on Form 40-F filed with the
SEC (available at www.sec.gov <http://www.sec.gov> ).
Trailing 12 monthsʼ (TTM) EBITDA, TTM adjusted EBITDA, TTM free cash flow per share, TTM EBITDA
per share, EBITDA margins and EBITDA are non-GAAP financial measures. Such non-GAAP financial
measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by Canadian GAAP and therefore may
not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Management uses these
measures internally.
3
Passive Foreign Investment Company PFIC
NOTICE OF U. S. TAX INFORMATION FOR U. S. PERSONS
This statement is provided for shareholders who are United States persons for purposes of the U.S.
Internal Revenue Code. It is not relevant to other shareholders.
NOTICE PURSUANT TO IRS CIRCULAR 230: ANYTHING CONTAINED IN THIS NOTICE CONCERNING
ANY U.S. FEDERAL TAX ISSUE IS NOT INTENDED OR WRITTEN TO BE USED, AND IT CANNOT BE
USED BY A U.S. HOLDER, FOR THE PURPOSE OF AVOIDING FEDERAL TAX PENALTIES UNDER THE
INTERNAL REVENUE CODE. THIS NOTICE WAS WRITTEN TO SUPPORT THE PROMOTION OR
MARKETING OF IRC SHARES. EACH SHAREHOLDER SHOULD SEEK U.S. FEDERAL TAX ADVICE,
BASED ON SUCH U.S. SHAREHOLDER'S PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCES, FROM AN INDEPENDENT
TAX ADVISOR.
International Royalty Corporation ("IRC") believes that it is currently a Passive Foreign Investment
Company ("PFIC") as defined in Section 1297 of the Internal Revenue Code. Certain U. S. income tax
consequences flow from this designation and these tax consequences may be mitigated by electing to
treat IRC as a Qualified Electing Fund ("QEF"). The PFIC Annual Information Statement for IRC provided
herewith is given to allow shareholders who make the QEF election with respect to IRC stock, should
they so desire. Shareholders are urged to consult their tax advisors for more information regarding
QEF elections.
For more information, please visit http://library.corporate-ir.net/library/18/188/188772/items/284231/
PFICWebsiteNotice2007.pdf
4
Capital and Operating Cost Study
650 Pre-feasibility to Production-stage projects reviewed
~70 reports had sufficient information to use for this
study
Multiple project stages, commodity, locations, mining
and processing types
Compared prior and current feasibility figures
Study covers time period of 2005 – 2008
Based solely on public disclosures by operators
Operators are very inconsistent in their reporting
standards
Must Standardize the Analysis
5
Conclusions
Capital and operating costs are rising
Increase crosses all boundaries: not commodity
specific
Rise in Costs Per Year!
1
Average Return!
Capital Costs!
Operating Costs!
IRR1!
+44%!
+20%!
+20%!
Based on mean after-tax calculations only
Costs Rising Faster than Returns
6
Macro Reasons for Changes
Different types of feasibility studies
Pre-feasibility (Scoping, PEA) => Feasibility => Bankable
Feasibility Study => Production
Different levels of feasibility studies have different
confidence levels:
Stage Pre-feasibility: Feasibility: Bankable Feasibility: Range 5.0% -30.0%
5.3% - 16.9%
10.0% - 15.0%
Different time periods between disclosures
Changes in scope
Must Make Adjustments Prior to Drawing Judgments
7
Micro Reasons for Changes
Price inflation: diesel, raw materials, labor
Currency exchange rates
Time delays
Inclement weather
Customs holdups
Backlogs in equipment deliveries by manufacturers
Lengthier permitting times
Special interest group obstructionists
Not All Increases are Related to Inflation
8
Total Change
Capital and Operating Costs are Rising
9
Change Per Year
Adjusting for Time Periods Shows the Rise is Worse than Expected
10
Pre- and After-tax Mean IRRs
Pre- and After-Tax IRR Range of 15.5% to 28%
11
Conclusions
Rise in Costs Per Year!
1
Average Return!
Capital Costs!
Operating Costs!
IRR1!
+44%!
+20%!
+23%/ +20%!
Based on mean after-tax calculations only. IRR figures are pre- and after-tax, respectively.
When Costs Rise More Than IRR, One is Either Trading Dollars or Losing Money
12
How does one invest in commodities
yet avoid these capital and operating
costs overruns?
13
Royalty Companies
Maximum Exposure to Upside
14
~85 High Quality Mineral Royalties
Australia
~13 Royalties
North America / Latin America
~65 Royalties
Europe / Africa
~7 Royalties
95% in Secure Investment-Grade Countries
15
Company Overview
TSX: IRC, AMEX: ROY
~85 diversified mineral royalties
Trailing 12 month Revenue: $45.4 million
Trailing 12 month EBITDA: $26.3 million
Annual Dividend: US$0.04 per share
Market Cap: ~US$250 million
North Americaʼs fastest growing Diversified Mineral Royalty Company
As of 6/30/08
16
IRC Investment Highlights
1. Proven low-risk mineral royalty structure
2. Industry leading revenue growth
3. Strong, fully-funded growth pipeline
4. High quality, long-lived, diversified royalty assets
5. Experienced and highly aligned management team
delivering profitable growth
Attractive Risk Adjusted Returns Throughout the Commodity Cycle
17
Experienced Management Team
Industry
Experience
Douglas Silver- Chairman and CEO
27 years
BA and MS in Economic Geology
Certified General Appraiser (Minerals)
Paul Zink- President
18 years
20+ years with J.P. Morgan and Koch Industries
10+ years mining related valuation and acquisition experience
Ray Jenner- CFO and Secretary
20 years
BS Physics and Math, B Comm, Honors, Chartered Accountant
Former VP and Treasurer, Echo Bay Mines, former CFO, Nord Resources Corp.
James Lydic- VP, Business Development
30 years
BA Geology, MBA
Former head of Economic Valuation, Anaconda Copper Co.
Dave Hammond- VP, Strategic Planning
35 years
BS and MS in Geological Engineering, MBA and PhD in Mineral Economics
$10 billion in transaction experience as mining service consultant for PricewaterhouseCoopers
Management and Board Committed with ~18% Ownership
18
Comparative Revenue Growth
IRC
422%
Silver Wheaton
101%
Royal Gold
31%
Franco-Nevada
18%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
Compound Annual Growth Rate 2004-07
Strong Annual Growth Rate
19
High-Margin, Scalable Business Model
+,-./0$%123&)*$
'#"
'!"
&#"
!"#$%&''&()*$
&!"
%#"
%!"
$#"
$!"
#"
!"
%!!("
%!!)"
123456"
$*+",-./"%!!0"
78+"98:8;<8*"
Revenue Growth Magnifies Profit Margins
20
Long Life Projects
Project
Commodity
Voisey’s Bay
Ni, Cu, Co
27
Legacy
Industrial Sand
20
Las Cruces
Cu
15
BC Coal
Coal
21
Avebury
Ni
8-10
Gwalia Deeps
Au
9
Bell Creek
Ni
15
Horizon
Coal
30
Pascua
Au
23
Fedorova
Pt, Pd
18
High Lake
Zn, Pb, Ag, Au, Cu
12
Pinson
Au
10
Commissioning date not yet announced
Westmoreland
U
11
Commissioning date not yet announced
Berg
Cu, Mo, Ag
17
Commissioning date not yet announced
Schaft Creek
Cu, Mo, Au, Ag
30+
Commissioning date not yet announced
Mine Life
2008
2009 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017 2018 2019 2020
Solid Foundation Underpins Long-Term Growth
See appendix for references.
21
An Expanding Project Pipeline
Operator
Legacy
Avebury
Las Cruces
Belahouro
Gwalia Deeps
Wolverine
Pascua
Gold Hill
Pinson
Bell Creek
High Lake
Westmoreland
Fedorova
South Laverton
Horizon Coal
Schaft Creek
Ambrosia Lake
Commodity Pre-Feasibility Feasibility Development
Genoa Holding Company, LLC
Industrial Sand
OZ Minerals Ltd.
Ni
Inmet Mining Corp.
Cu
Wega Mining ASA
Au
St Barbara Ltd.
Au
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Ltd.
Ag, Au
Barrick Gold Corp.
Au
Round Mountain Gold Corp.
Au
Barrick Gold Corp.
Au
Metallica Minerals Ltd.
Ni
OZ Minerals Ltd.
Zn, Pb, Ag, Au, Cu
Laramide Resources Ltd.
U
Barrick Gold Corp.
Pt, Pd
Saracen Minerals Holding Ltd.
Au
Western Canadian Coal Corp.
Coal
Copper Fox Metals Inc.
Cu, Mo, Au, Ag
Rio Algom Mining Corp.
U
Strong Growth Pipeline Funded by Others
22
Key Development and Feasibility Projects
$370 Million Annual Operator Spending 2005-2007
See appendix for references.
23
Gold Revenue
For purposes of illustration, assumes US$925/oz gold price for 2008 forward.
See appendix for references and further assumptions.
24
Diversifying Revenue Sources
2008
2009
2010
US$40MM
US$54MM
US$59MM
Nickel
Copper
Cobalt
Gold
Energy
Increasing Gold and Copper Balance
For purposes of illustration, assumes US$925/oz Au, US$9.35/lb Ni, US$3.70/lb Cu, US$40.00/lb Co. Assumes Wolverine Coal
litigation favorably resolved. See appendix for references and further assumptions. See Forward Looking Statements on p. 2-3.
25
International Royalty Corporation
TSX:IRC
AMEX:ROY
For additional information contact:
Douglas B. Silver, Chairman and CEO
Paul H. Zink, President
Telephone: (303) 799-9020
[email protected]
[email protected]
www.internationalroyalty.com
26
Assumptions and References
Diversifying Revenue Sources, Metal Price Sensitivities
Voiseyʼs Bay: Company calculations based on Incoʼs 2004 NI 43-101 report
Avebury: Allegiance Mining NL press release, February 6, 2008;
www.allegiance-mining.com.au
Las Cruces:www.inmetmining.com/theme/files/pdf2008 01-LasCrucesSectionpdf
Energy: Based on internal Company calculations
Gold – Pascua: Based on 80% of stated production levels, 2011 assumes 1/2 year; Southern Cross,
Williams: Estimates based on current and past production levels; Belahouro: Goldbelt Resources
Ltd, press release October 4, 2007, Gwalia Deeps: St Barbara Ltd press release, February 7, 2007;
Meekatharra: Mercator Gold plc press release, August 8, 2007
Gold Revenue
Pascua: Based on 80% of stated production levels, 2011 assumes 1/2 year; Southern Cross,
Williams: Estimates based on current and past production levels; Belahouro: Goldbelt Resources
Ltd, press release October 4, 2007, Gwalia Deeps: St Barbara Ltd press release, February 7, 2007;
Meekatharra: Mercator Gold plc press release, August 8, 2007
Long Life Projects
Voiseyʼs Bay: www.vbnc.com, February 2005
Legacy: Personal communication, January 30, 2008
Las Cruces: Inmet Mining Corporation, quarter report for the three months ending March 31, 2008,
p.22. www.inmetmning.com/ouroperations/development/LasCruces/
Avebury: Allegiance Mining Quarterly report for the three month period ending March 31, 2008, p.2.
www.allegiance-mining.com.au
Bell Creek: www.metallicminerals.com.au
Pascua: www.barrick.com/GlobalOperations/SouthAmerica/PascuaLamaProject/
Fedorova: PGE Fedorova project – Russia, Kolar peninsular, Lovozero area,
November 2007
High Lake: www.ozminerals.com/Operations/Mining-Operations/High-Lake.html
27
Assumptions and References
Long Life Projects
Pinson: Assumes 100,000 Oz Au production per year. B.C. Coal: assumes the litigation is favorably resolved.
Key Development and Feasibility Projects
Inmet Mining Corporation AIF, March 10, 2008
"A New Nickel Province for China" presentation by Allegiance Minning, November 2007
Confidential information, 12/2007
Wega Mining Presentation, May 9, 2008
St Barbara Mines Ltd Presentation, BMO Capital Markets, 2/27/08
Yukon Zink Corporation NI 43-101 report Wardrop Engineering, Inc., 10/22/07
www.barrick.com/globaloperations/southamerica/pascualamaproject/default.aspx
<http://www.barrick.com/globaloperations/southamerica/pascualamaproject/default.aspx>
Copper Fox Metals Inc, 1/14/08
Fedorova Tundra Pt, Pd, Au, Ni, Cu deposit, restated by Barrick Gold Corp. 11/07
28
29