China’s Unassertive Rise International Journal of China Studies Vol. 4, No. 3 (Supplement), December 2013, pp. 503-538 503 China’s Unassertive Rise: What Is Assertiveness and How We Have Misunderstood It?+ Walter Lee* University of Auckland Abstract Since 2010, there has been a drastic increase in the discussion and publication of “assertive China” and “Chinese assertiveness” in the English-speaking academic sphere, governmental actors and international news coverage. The rise of the new assertive China narrative could be a return of the “China threat” dispute between the neo-realists in the West and their hawkish counterparts in China. The monolithic interpretation and distortion of “assertiveness” have complicated the picture of a fast-changing and a somewhat unpredictable China. This article brings together the assertive China narrative, the concept of assertiveness in behavioural science, and Lucian W. Pye’s psychocultural analysis of Chinese politics to see how the state psyche of China has been misread by both the West and China itself. The purpose of this article is not just to summarize and address the rise of the assertive China narrative, but to raise psychocultural questions: What is assertiveness? How is it possible to fit the psychological concept of assertiveness in IR and Chinese foreign relations? Why is China not assertive? Why should China be assertive? How can China be assertive? Being assertive never means being aggressive. Today’s China is transforming from a passive, aggressive stage of behaviour towards a more active, assertive stage, but it is not there yet. Keywords: The rise of China, assertiveness, psychocultural analysis, the Chinese “Self” JEL classification: F51, F53, F55, F59 1. Introduction Being assertive never means being aggressive. An assertive person is considered as a positive, assuring, progressive, respectful and respectable person. When it comes to Chinese international relations, however, the meaning of IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 503 12/4/2013 11:31:16 PM 504 Walter Lee “being assertive” is distorted by the Machiavellian interpretation: “assertiveness” becomes another word for aggressiveness, confrontation, threat, bullying and retaliation. Since 2010, there has been a drastic increase in the discussion and publication of “assertive China” and “Chinese assertiveness” in the English-speaking academic sphere, governmental actors and international news coverage. There have been too much arbitrary arguments but not enough substantive analyses on the application of “assertiveness” as a psychological concept in the scholarship of International Relations (IR). This article discusses what Alastair Iain Johnston attempted to summarize as “assertive China narrative” (Johnston, 2011: 25; Johnston, 2013: 7-48). The purpose is to deconstruct “assertiveness”, to take a closer look to enrich the meaning of such a concept by borrowing definitions and theories from behavioural science. I argue that the assertive China narrative is flawed. Assertiveness has a more profound meaning than aggressiveness. China is not what some American academics, politicians and journalists believe as an assertive rising power. I do not want to assert that the proposition and proliferation of “assertive China” or “Chinese assertiveness” are parts of the United States (US) and its allies’ strategy of containment or soft power pivot on a rising China. I rather want to point out this indicates the West’s transforming perception towards China. From “China threat theory” (Zhongguo weixie lun 中国威胁论) to “assertive China narrative” (Zhongguo chengqiang lun 中国逞强论1), the mainstream discussions on and understanding of China in the global academic sphere have been monopolized by the English-speaking world’s subjective, fluctuating speculation. The rise of the assertive China narrative could be a return to the “China threat” dispute between the neo-realists in the West and their hawkish counterparts in China. From the Western point of view, China’s assertiveness is a kind of flaunt and arrogance, but in the Chinese eyes it is an act of self-strengthening (ziqiang 自强) and the protection of the nation’s “core interests” (hexin liyi 核心利益). The monolithic interpretation and distortion of “assertiveness” have further complicated the picture of a fast-changing and a somewhat unpredictable China. This article begins with a brief summary of the academic and journalistic debates on “assertive China” and “Chinese assertiveness” from 2010 to 2013. Then it reconceptualizes “assertiveness” from the perspective of behavioural science and psychocultural analysis of politics. It sees how these disciplines lend us new insights into China’s global engagements. The article then goes on to investigate why there is no assertive China narrative. It argues China is transforming from a passive, aggressive stage towards a more active, assertive stage of behaviour, but it is not there yet. Both dragon-slayers and panda-huggers have to understand one thing: To make China assertive means making it a healthy member of the international society. Instead of panicking IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 504 12/4/2013 11:31:16 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 505 about China’s aggressive “assertiveness”, we should go beyond the shallow definition and restore a more accurate meaning of assertiveness. We will see what response is needed for an unassertive rise of China, while we also look forward to China’s deeper, more confident engagements in global affairs. 2. The Assertive China Narrative The use of “assertive” and “assertiveness” in Chinese international relations is more popular in the Western context than in the Chinese context. These two words may refer to confident/confidence (zixin 自信), arbitrary/arbitrariness (duduan 独断) and flaunting (chengqiang 逞强). In 2006, Evan Medeiros identified “a growing assertiveness in various areas of Chinese foreign policy, and with regard to the [US] in particular” (Swaine, 2010: 3). Observers in the West largely date an increased level of China’s assertiveness from 2008 when Beijing hosted the Olympic Games, Wen Jiabao’s criticism of the US for its “economic mismanagement” and the People’s Bank of China’s senior official’s questioning of the US Dollar’s continued role as the international reserve currency (ibid.). Since then, there has been a flood of assertive-related words in Chinese international relations writings. Recently Johnston has tried to systematize this as “assertive China narrative” and/or “assertive China discourse” (Johnston, 2011: 25; Johnston, 2012). Here I summarize the assertive China debate from 2010 to 2013 by using Factiva, a business information and research tool owned by Dow Jones and Company.2 It is clear that the year 2010 saw a sharp increase in the number of news sources that cover those two terms. David Shambaugh calls 2010 “the year of assertiveness” for China (Shambaugh, 2013: 416). This echoes with Johnston’s frequency count of articles referring to “insatiable” and “assertive” within five words of “China” in the US newspapers and wire reports (Johnston, 2011: 26). I argue that “assertive China” and “Chinese assertiveness” can be qualified by five features: (a) economic vulgarism, (b) anti-Americanism, (c) military aggression, (d) diplomatic arrogance, and (e) China’s “core interests”. (a) Economic vulgarism Cai da qi cu 财大气粗 (Great wealth, vulgar behaviour).3 The recent emergence of China’s assertiveness is a result of China’s quick and strong rebound from the global financial crisis in 2008 and 2009 (Christensen, 2011: 54; Swaine, 2010: 1). China has insisted on projecting an alternative path to the Western liberal democratic-capitalist model (aka the Washington Consensus) by sustaining high growth rates and massive foreign exchange reserves (Swaine, 2010: 1). China’s growing economic success and expanding IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 505 12/4/2013 11:31:16 PM 506 Walter Lee Table 1 Total Document Count of the Appearance of “Assertive China” and “Chinese Assertiveness” in the Global Media, 2000-2013 (till September) (Factiva) Assertive China Chinese Assertiveness Add-up 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (till Sep 2013) 14 32 10 8 15 30 28 33 22 52 247 215 264 350 7 5 5 3 4 13 0 8 9 33 154 185 172 124 21 37 15 11 19 43 28 41 31 85 401 400 436 474 Total (from 2000 to Sep 2013) 1,320 722 2,042 Figure 1 Trend of Using “Assertive China” and “Chinese Assertiveness” in the Global Media, 2000-2013 (till September) (Factiva) 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 Assertive China 150 Chinese assertiveness 100 Add-up 50 0 IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 506 12/4/2013 11:31:16 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 507 economic presence in the world are closely related to the argument that China is single challenger to the US leadership. The Americans’ response has been paranoiac: “For its part, the US media and pundit discourse has quickly adopted the term ‘assertive’ to qualify China’s foreign policy in recent times. Some liberal analysts have begun to argue, along with more conservative pundits, that the China model or the Beijing Consensus constitutes an ideological challenge to the USA and its values. One analyst at the Council on Foreign Relations even goes as far as to call China a ‘revolutionary power’.” (Johnston, 2011: 22-23) Joseph S. Nye, on a visit to Beijing, asked a Chinese expert what was behind the new assertiveness in Chinese foreign policy. The Chinese man answered: “After the financial crisis, many Chinese believe we are rising and the US is declining.” (Nye, 2011) Zhao Suisheng believes China has become more forceful in defending its core interests since the financial crisis. He contends: “seeing a relative decline of the West, China has found more leverages and rights to forcefully safeguard China’s core interests rather than compromise them and is therefore more willing to proactively shape the external environment rather than passively react to it” (Zhao, 2010). However, Zhao argues that this is only one of the ways to understand China’s new assertiveness. Chatham House’s Asia Programme Paper Trying to Read the New ‘Assertive’ China Right (2011) argues that China’s new assertiveness refers to: first, no significant concessions in trade has been made despite strong outside pressure and China’s participation in the World Trade Organisation (WTO); second, China has constantly refused any drastic appreciation of the Chinese Yuan/Renminbi; third, it remains reluctant to liberalize trade and investment regimes and it has continued to protect its domestic services industries from foreign competition. China has yet to accede to the WTO Agreement on Government Procurement and has successfully banded together with developing countries to offset pressure to do so; and fourth, China has been controlling the supply and processing of precious earth metals and the use of their final products. China has a single-minded desire for economic progress at the expense of international opinion (Brown and Loh, 2011: 9-10). (b) Anti-Americanism China’s economic success and the global shift of power from the West to the East coincide with the rise of chauvinism and populist nationalism in Chinese society. China’s new assertiveness is then perceived in the West as brash, insulting in tone and demeanour, anti-American in direction and potentially dangerous. Many Western observers doubt whether or not it would be appropriate for the US to respond to China’s assertiveness in a tough way, thus pushing the two countries into an assertiveness dilemma that features IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 507 12/4/2013 11:31:16 PM 508 Walter Lee tit-for-tat. According to Michael D. Swaine, these observers “warn of a strong reaction from the West that could lead to a damaging cycle of retaliation” (Swaine, 2010: 8). From the Chinese point of view, however, the new assertiveness is nothing but “an unsurprising reaction to US provocations … [Many] characterize what Westerners regard as potentially dangerous efforts to confront and challenge the US and Western norms as a less threatening but totally justified response to Western (especially the US) provocations” (ibid.: 4, 9). The US has now become the lead country to mention China’s new assertiveness. Factiva shows that the US ranks second – after China and far ahead of other countries – in the frequency count of country and capital city names that are mentioned together with “assertive China” and/or “Chinese assertiveness” (Table 2). American politicians are frequently mentioned in articles that describe China’s new assertiveness (Table 3). China’s new assertiveness came at a time when the US started to decline in power and the “conciliatory gestures” were given by the Obama administration, which has been seen as “signs of weakness rather than goodwill” (ibid.: 2). Barack Obama’s treatment in Beijing in 2009 is considered by some American observers as “humiliating”. The Chinese Government’s stance towards Obama’s late-2009 decisions on Taiwanese arm sales and the meeting with the Dalai Lama is considered as “unusually assertive, confrontational and potentially retaliatory” (ibid.: 3). China may not agree with these accusations because it believes such increasingly assertive behaviour is merely a gesture of counterbalancing the illegitimate assertions of the US and its allies on issues such as arm sales to Taiwan, China’s sovereignty rights at its maritime Table 2 Countries and Capital Cities Mentioned Together with “Assertive China” and “Chinese Assertiveness” in the Global Media, 2000-2013 (till September) (Factiva) China and Beijing United States and Washington D.C. India, Delhi and New Delhi Japan and Tokyo Vietnam and Hanoi The Philippines and Manila South Korea and Seoul North Korea and Pyongyang Australia and Canberra Emerging market countries IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 508 Assertive China Chinese Assertiveness Add-up 1,407 917 1,063 490 2,470 1,407 507 528 105 130 178 180 126 108 416 134 301 137 33 28 66 54 923 662 406 267 211 208 192 162 12/4/2013 11:31:16 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 509 Table 3 Politicians Mentioned Together with “Assertive China” and “Chinese Assertiveness” in the Global Media, 2000-2013 (till September) (Factiva) Document count Barack Obama Hilary Clinton Xi Jinping Hu Jintao Manmohan Singh Wen Jiabao Li Keqiang Mitt Romney Benigno Aquino III Leon Panetta 125 67 59 58 58 32 30 29 26 20 periphery, the revaluation of the Chinese Yuan (Renminbi), global climate change and trade disputes. Seeing a declining US still attempting to keep China down, China has become less willing to make adaptations and more ready to assert its interests (Zhao, 2011: 40). The rise of the assertive China narrative has witnessed a mutual-paranoia between China and the US. Academics in mainland China tend to bear a neo-realist perspective on Sino-US relations. Yan Xuetong, as described by Johnston as the creator of “Superficial Friendship Theory”, argues that the Chinese and American leaders have mistakenly believe Sino-US relationship is more cooperative than it really is (Johnston, 2011: 5). The rise of China is accompanied by Chinese hardliners’ desire to drop the “be skilful in hiding one’s capacities and biding one’s time” (tao guang yang hui 韬光养晦) axiom and develop the “take proper initiative” (you suo zuo wei 有所作为) axiom. According to Jeffrey A. Bader, the former senior director for East Asian affairs in the National Security Council during Obama’s first term, the direction of Chinese foreign policy was debated within the Communist Party of China (CPC) in the last few months of 2010. The advocates of a more assertive policy had gone unchallenged publicly, while those who supported tao guang yang hui had been effectively silenced. State Councillor Dai Bingguo then published an article on the Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ website and People’s Daily, insisting China’s determination to sustain the Dengist policy. This could well be seen as Hu Jintao’s response to the hardliners and his verdict on the debate: China needs to demonstrate to the international community not its aggressiveness, but its sense of responsibility (Bader, IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 509 12/4/2013 11:31:16 PM 510 Walter Lee 2012: 122-123). Nevertheless, by observing China’s behaviour since then, Western observers have reasons to believe that China is actually becoming “assertive” (or aggressive). Interesting, Thomas J. Christensen projects a different understanding of assertiveness and argues that “the United States needs a more assertive China” (Christensen, 2011: 67). (c) Military aggression Carlyle A. Thayer uses “aggressive assertiveness” (Thayer, 2012; Thayer, 2011: 89) to describe China’s assertion of sovereignty over the South China Sea. It is problematic to group “aggressive” and “assertiveness” together because these words have different, if not diverging, meanings. Thayer’s “aggressive assertiveness” shows us when it comes to hard power issues, “assertiveness” is more likely to be abused. Although China has emphasized repeatedly it would never lapse into activities that “bully” or “worry” its neighbours (Brown and Loh, 2011: 8), its maritime assertiveness is concerning the US as well as India, Japan, Taiwan, some Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) members, South Korea, and even Australia in areas of peace and stability, regional balance of power, freedom of navigation, and so on. At the centre of the Chinese military assertiveness is the role played by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) in China’s foreign relations. Swaine says some observers regard the PLA as a conservative, highly nationalistic and increasingly capable and confident actor in the Chinese political system (Swaine, 2012a: 1). These observers see the PLA as an interest group that pressures the civilian Chinese leadership to adopt a more assertive stance towards the US (ibid.). China’s military expansion indicates an increasingly assertive and dangerous China (Swaine, 2012b: 10). Such danger could lead to the potential military confrontation between China and the US. The Chinese leaders may have noticed a shift in power in the Pacific gives them more room to push their interests and agenda, including an ultimate push on the US military power back to the Second Island Chain (Johnston, 2011: 23). The worry that China is becoming an anti-status quo power has been seen to be warranted with the Chinese patrolling vessels’ presence in the Diaoyu/Senkaku Island dispute with Japan, in the South China Sea dispute mainly with Vietnam and the Philippines, and in Southwest border with India. China’s expanding power is arguably pushing most Asian countries closer to the US. The US is still welcomed in the region because it provides strategic balance. It prevents China from dominating its neighbours. That is why when the Obama administration announced a strategic pivot towards Asia, China is bristled, while most other Asian nations felt reassured (Pei, 2011). China argues that its moves in securing territorial integrity, natural resources and military modernization are all vital parts of defining its “core IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 510 12/4/2013 11:31:16 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 511 interests”, while observers outside China disagree. The Lowy Institute in Australia has warned that China’s military assertiveness could lead to armed conflict in Asia that draws the US and other Asian countries in (Lees, 2011). Who knows the emotion embedded in China’s “assertiveness”? It is unclear whether non-Chinese observers can understand the anger behind China’s muscle-flexing activities in the region. As Li Mingjiang has pointed out: The changing Chinese posture towards assertiveness is a reflection of its growing discontent with the actions of other regional states, its desire to benefit economically in the South China Sea and the growth of its capabilities and power … [The] Chinese are very angry at the forceful actions of other regional states against Chinese fishermen in the Spratly area. (Li, 2010: 58) China is not very good at expressing its inner discontent in a way that is easily understood by outsiders. Without effective and efficient communication, it is easy for China and its neighbouring countries to have mutual misunderstandings. The former Indian National Security Adviser M. K. Narayanan has said ‘Beijing’s increasing assertiveness while dealing with disputes is “most disconcerting”’ (“Chinese assertiveness in disputes disconcerting”, 2nd November 2012). In August 2011, for the first time, the Japanese government called China “assertive” in an annual white paper approved by Naoto Kan. It states that “China’s future direction can be a source of concern stemming from its multiple conflicting interests with neighbouring countries, including Japan” (Koh, 2011). The Japanese Government’s use of “assertive” is widely seen as a sign of discontent towards China. (d) Diplomatic arrogance China’s recent diplomatic assertiveness has been seen as diplomatic arrogance by many Western observers. China has become increasingly vocal to protest, to complain and to suggest alternatives to the current international system. China stepped up its complaint and warning to the US’s deployment of aircraft carrier USS George Washington in the Yellow Sea during the US-South Korea joint military exercise in 2009. China issued six official protests with a successively tougher tone from calling to “maintain calm and constraint” to expressing “concern” and “serious concern”, then to “oppose” and “strongly oppose” (Zhao, 2010). Now it is more common for China to push back the US and its allies in many global issues. In Swaine’s words, China is finally “revealing [its] true colors” (Swaine, 2010: 1). In terms of global engagements, Swaine argues that China was “allegedly hard-line, obstructionist, and deliberately insulting” (ibid.: 3) at the United Nations (UN) Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen in 2009. China was IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 511 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM 512 Walter Lee persistently resistant to the UN Security Council sanction against the Iranian nuclear projects and the option for military intervention to the bloodshed in Syrian Arab Republic. China sent its battleships to the Gulf of Aden to assist in the international effort to counter piracy off the coast of Somalia (Christensen, 2011: 56). China is apparently losing patience with North Korea. It has condemned Pyongyang several times for its violations of the UN Security Council resolutions. It has joined the rest of the fourteen Security Council members to pass Resolution 2094 on 7 March 2013 to impose more sanctions on North Korea’s third nuclear test. China also censored the news about the award of the Nobel Peace Prize to dissident Liu Xiaobo in 2010. The Government summoned the Chinese ambassador to Norway and presented an official complaint about Liu’s award. They called Liu “a criminal”. China then set up the Confucian Peace Prize in response, “for the promotion of world peace from an Eastern, Confucian perspective” and “to declare China’s view on peace and human rights to the world” (Jiang, 8th December 2010). China is a rising naval power. It is accused by some Southeast Asian nations of exercising its sovereign rights and jurisdiction in the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) in the South China Sea, which includes unilateral commercial fishing bans, cable cutting acts, oil exploitation bans, foreign fishermen arrests, coastal patrols and live-firing exercises (Pham, 2011: 139; Thayer, 2011: 77, 85, 89). Derek Pham argues that China’s assertive rhetoric matches with its tangibly aggressive actions in the South China Sea. Such behaviour is a response to a rapid change in the security environment in the region. Thayer says that China’s aggressiveness in the region has provoked a patriotic anti-China backlash (Pham, 2011: 145; Thayer, 2011: 89 and 91). China’s “talk and take” policy can be described as “creeping assertiveness”. Thayer suggests that both ASEAN and the international community “must confront China over its aggressive assertiveness in the South China Sea [because] their weakness only invites China to act more assertively” (Thayer, 2012). At the 2010 ASEAN Regional Forum, Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi warned Southeast Asian states against coordinating with outside powers in managing territorial disputes with China (Christensen, 2011: 55). China’s refusal to join the UN arbitration as suggested by the Philippines to solve the Huangyan Dao/Scarborough Shoal dispute (“China Rejects Philippines’ Request for UN arbitration”, 20th February 2013) is another example to show China’s growing diplomatic assertiveness at the expense of ignoring global rule of law. Xinhua News Agency was apparently pleased with the comment made by Simon Tay, Chairman of the Singaporean Institute of International Affairs (SIIA), that the region should “stop legal procedures from creating political chaos” (fangzhi falü chengxu zhizao zhengzhi luanju 防止法律 程序制造政治乱局) (“Xinjiapo xuezhe renwei guoji zhongcai Nanhai IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 512 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 513 zhengduan shi zhengzhi leiqu 新加坡学者认为国际仲裁南海争端是政治 雷区” [Singaporean scholar believes international arbitration for the South China Sea could touch political landmines], 30th January 2013). Hong Lei, the spokesperson of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs disapproved the referral to the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). He said: “China does not approve the action of giving up consensus and do something else” (Zhongfang buzancheng zhezhong beili gongshi, linggao yitao de zuofa 中方不赞成这种背离共识、另搞一套的做法) (“Waijiaobu: Bu zancheng jiang Zhongfei Nanhai zhengyi tijiao guoji zhongcai 外交部:不赞成将中 菲南海争议提交国际仲裁” [Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Disapproving international arbitration for the South China Sea dispute], 31st January 2013). Though criticized by many Chinese for “not doing enough”, the Chinese government has shown a more assertive face to Shinzo Abe in the Diaoyu/ Senkaku Island dispute. Chinese military agencies have entered the disputed area. There have been maritime incursions, aerial incursions and surface vessel patrols. On 13th December 2012, a Chinese government aircraft entered Japanese-controlled airspace for the first time since records began in 1958 (“Japan’s New Cabinet: Back to the Future”, 5th January 2013). In February 2013, Japan revealed that a Chinese frigate had locked weaponstargeting radar onto a Japanese destroyer and helicopter on two occasions in January. The Chinese Jiangwei II-class frigate and the Japanese destroyer were three kilometres apart, and the crew of the latter went to battle stations. In late February 2013, U.S. intelligence detected China moving road-mobile ballistic missiles closer to the coast near the disputed islands, this included DF-16s (Herman, 2013; Margolis, 2013; Bertz, 2013). (e) China’s “core interests” In the eyes of many non-Chinese, China’s new assertiveness can be easily summed up in a word: “threat”. However, how China and its people look at Chinese assertiveness is equally, if not more, important. What is the rationale behind China’s new assertiveness? The answer has to do with China’s “core interests” (hexin liyi 核心利益), which have close relations to “fundamental interests” (genben liyi 根本利益) and major concerns (zhongda guanqie 重 大关切). According to Swaine, the concept “core interests” was inserted in the Sino-US Joint Statement between Hu Jintao and Barack Obama during the latter’s 2009 China visit. Many observers regard it as a signal of growing Chinese assertiveness, for three reasons: first, the concept has been more formally defined and included in official statements and documents; second, some Chinese officials and unofficial observers have apparently asserted that China’s “core interests” are essentially non-negotiable in nature, thus conveying a level of rigidity and perhaps militancy towards whatever issue IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 513 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM 514 Walter Lee might be defined as a core interest; and third, China is allegedly steadily defining more and more controversial international issues as affecting its “core interests”, thus by implication challenging an array of foreign activities relating to such issues (Swaine, 2011: 2). Recently another term “reactive assertiveness” has been used by Western academics and journalists. As Trevor Moss describes: … a new Chinese foreign policy approach of “reactive assertiveness”: the idea is that China doesn’t pick fights, but that if someone picks a fight with China it will offer a forceful response. It has also been called “non-confrontational assertiveness,” and this perhaps is the smarter term because it captures the manner in which China reacts assertively while, as at Scarborough Shoal, still showing significant restraint. (Moss, 2012) In a Sino-Japanese relations report published in April 2013 by the International Crisis Group, “reactive assertiveness” refers to a situation that the Chinese government, when it comes to maritime disputes, “uses an action by a rival claimant as an opportunity to change the facts on the ground in its favour.” A feature of reactive assertiveness is that “the measures taken by China were designed to be irreversible” (International Crisis Group, 2013: 13 and 50). In the words of a Chinese maritime researcher, “the series of measures that China has taken to defend its rights has been mostly reactive and responsive and was necessary to respond to violation of [China’s] maritime interests” (ibid.: 15). Alastair Iain Johnston, in “How New and Assertiveness Is China’s New Assertiveness” (2013), uses the word “react” twenty-one times to describe China’s emotional presentation of assertiveness (Johnston, 2013). Nevertheless, Chinese officials reject the notion that China’s more assertive tone is “tough” (qiangying 强硬) or confrontational. Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi stated in a press conference at the annual National People’s Congress meeting in 2010 that China is merely sticking to its principles and defending its “core interests and dignity” (weihu benguo de hexin liyi he zunyan 维护本国的核心利益和尊严) (Swaine, 2010: 5). Other Chinese observers criticized the West’s evaluation of China’s new assertiveness of reflecting “intense anxiety over the gradual loss of American political, military, and economic power and influence globally, as well as an effort to make China into a scapegoat for the failings of the West” (ibid.: 6). He Kai and Feng Huiyun (2012: 640) argue that it is normal for China, as a rising power, to form a more confident or even assertive policy because of its transformed national interests. China’s peaceful or unpeaceful rise not only depends on China’s intentions, but also relies on the policies of other countries, especially that of the US, towards China (ibid.: 635). The US and its allies need to adjust their old political practices in response to China’s IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 514 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 515 new assertiveness (ibid.: 633). In fact, as observed by Li Mingjiang, very few Chinese scholars consider China to have been at fault for the tensions and disputes over the South China Sea. These people firmly believe China’s actions were necessary because the country’s legitimate interests are at stake (Li, 2012). Interestingly, according to Zhao Suisheng, these narrowly defined core interests in fact have more to do with “China’s regime survival than with its great power aspirations” (Zhao, 2011). The first core interest is the survival of the CPC regime. The second comes state sovereignty and territorial integrity. The last one is economic development and social stability. The three “core interests” are closely related to and dependent on each other. This section shows Western observers have commonly used “assertive” and “assertiveness” in defining an increasingly forceful, triumphalist, aggressive, confrontational and anti-Western (mainly anti-US) China. On the other hand, Chinese observers believe that the so-called assertive measures are nothing but demonstrations of China’s determination to protect its legitimate “core interests”. Others point out that China harbours a sense of insecurity, despite its increasingly vocal foreign policy. 3. Reconceptualizing Assertiveness “Assertiveness” is a concept originated from behavioural science. It is frequently applied in behavioural psychology, clinical psychology, social psychology, cognitive science, personal development, counselling, communication and social philosophy. One of the earliest use of assertiveness was found in Joseph Wolpe’s Psychotherapy by Reciprocal Inhibition (1958), in which Wolpe explores assertive responses from the systematic use of the reciprocal inhibition principle in neurophysiology (Wolpe, 1958: xii and 114). The earliest models of assertiveness training emphasizes strongly the promotion of self-interest, power, control, self-expression and personal rights (Wilson and Gallois, 1993: 15 and 21). Andrew Salter defines assertiveness as “[to] speak up forcefully” (ibid.: 18). Coercive power techniques are encouraged to be used to resist the coercion of others. Such unilateral approach to personal rights can be seen as self-protective antidotes for manipulation from others. Assertiveness thus is defined as “me versus you” instead of “me and you”. It is the ability to determine the behaviour of others in accord with one’s own wishes (ibid.: 21). The other person, who is termed as a “downer”, is often viewed as the source of the problem. The early models place too much emphasis on the “getting what you want” aspect of assertion, at the expense of relationship aspects (ibid.).4 In contrast to the unilateral approach, the mutual approach to assertion developed later is regarded as more professional, reasonable and up-to- IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 515 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM 516 Walter Lee date. Robert E. Alberti, Michael L. Emmons, Arthur J. Lange and Patricia Jakubowski focused more on the issue of balance, the legitimate/appropriate assertion and responsible assertive behaviour. Interpersonal relationship is the goal. Assertive communication is “to give and get respect, to ask for fair play and to leave room for compromise when the needs and rights of two people conflict … Assertive behavior [is] a balance of rights and responsibilities” (ibid.: 25). Assertiveness is complete only with the presence of empathy, obligation, equality, honesty, directness and expressiveness (ibid.: 26-27). In the past six decades, behavioural scientists, psychologists and social philosophers have been debating and trying to find a way to settle the tension between the expression of personal rights and the importance of positive social relationships. Today, more and more professionals and academics believe the mutual nature of relationships is central to the discussion of assertiveness. According to Keithia Wilson and Cynthia Gallois, the dictionary definitions indicate a tension in the English language between “assertiveness as constituting selfconfident, assured, direct expression of ideas” and “assertiveness as aggressive expression to attain one’s own ends (i.e. dogmatic, peremptory, insistent)” (Wilson and Gallois, 1993). So what does it mean to be assertive? Behavioural scientists of today commonly use a three-section spectrum. The meaning of assertiveness is best to be understood from its contrasting relations with passiveness and aggressiveness (Table 4). Passiveness and aggressiveness are Table 4 Assertiveness Understood in Contrast with Passiveness and Aggressiveness (Alberti and Emmons, 2008: 41; Lange, 1976: 53; Jakubowski, 1978: 42-43) Passiveness Assertiveness Aggressiveness Intent to please Intent to communicate Intent to dominate or humiliate Self-denying, self-depreciating Self-enhancing without hurting others Self-enhancing at expense of another Inhibited, emotionally dishonest, indirect Expressive, appropriately honest, direct Expressive, inappropriately honest, direct Allows others to choose for self Chooses for self Chooses for others Does not achieve desired May achieve desired goal goal, anger builds up Achieves desired goal by hurting others Hurt, anxious, disappointed with self, angry later Feels good about self, Controlling, righteous, confident, self-respecting at superior, depreciatory at the the time and later time and possibly guilty later Payoff: avoids unpleasant situation, conflict, tension and confrontation Payoff: feels good, respected by others, improved self-confidence, relationships are improved IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 516 Payoff: vents anger, feels superior 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 517 Figure 2 Passiveness, Assertiveness and Aggressiveness Passiveness Assertiveness Aggressiveness two extremes of broad approaches to the conduct of interpersonal relations, while assertiveness is the golden mean – the most appropriate and flexible choice of behavior on a continuum (Figure 2). 4. Assertiveness, the State and Global Engagements: A View from Political Psychology and Political Culture Having discussed the rise of the assertive China narrative and the way behavioural scientists define assertiveness, how do we fit the psychological concept of assertiveness in Chinese international relations? If we investigate IR from the perspective of behavioural science and anthropology, we will see a complex connection between interpersonal relations (person-to-person) and international relations (actor-to-actor). This is exactly where Political Psychology and Political Culture intersect with IR. Lucian W. Pye once argued: “A political culture is the product of both the collective history of a political system and the life histories of the individuals who currently make up the system; and thus it is rooted equally in public events and private experiences” (Pye, 1965: 8). Similarly, Sidney Verba contends that “the political culture of a nation [derives from] the experiences that individuals have with the political process” (Verba, 1965: 514). Shih Chih-yu echoes: “The national face exists in the minds of the individuals, and composing a part of an individual face. Individuals acquire the concept of nation, feel being a part of the nation, and acknowledge the meaningful existence of the nation” (Shih, 1990: 189). In a brief article titled “Deconstructing China’s ‘Assertiveness’: A Psychological Science Perspective” (2012), Ravi Bhoothalingam introduces what he called the “psychological science perspective in international relations” (Bhoothalingam, 2012). He argues that psychology is not a new tool for political analysis. From early philosophers such as Plato of ancient Greece and Kautilya of ancient India (a pity that he did not quote ancient Chinese philosophers who had also searched deep connection between politics and psychology), academics, strategists and policy-makers have been using psychology to interpret multi-causality of complicated political issues. Relevant findings from psychology include: (1) reasons and emotions are interlinked rather than separated; (2) Psychology distinguishes between reality IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 517 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM 518 Walter Lee and what is perceived; and (3) behaviour or action of an actor can be projected on someone else (ibid.). (a) Assertiveness in general IR I suggest three types of assertiveness in IR: first, diplomatic assertiveness, which is expressed in the form of government actions, legal and diplomatic submissions, and media statements; second, rhetoric assertiveness, which is more commonly observed through the official written and verbal statements and comments; and third, unofficial assertiveness, which is expressed by the general public in a bottom-up way. A practical example of diplomatic and rhetoric assertiveness will be a state’s refusal to accept another state’s requests, accusations and condemnations. An assertive refusal will show a two-fold respect: a self-respect in a self-confident way; and a respect for the other government’s rights to ask, comment and criticize. States and individuals enjoy rights, sovereign rights and human rights respectively. It will be ideal if they can balance their rights with obligations/ responsibilities to the society (international society and civil community). From a liberal point of view, such balance is of crucial importance to the establishment of boundaries between the self and others. Moreover, modern society, as well as international society, has taken a very negative meaning of the word “aggressive”. For instance, the International Military Tribunal at Nuremberg called the waging of aggressive war “essentially an evil thing … [To] initiate a war of aggression [is] not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime, differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole” (Broomhall, 2003: 46). There have been plenty of examples of aggression done in the name of self-protection of rights and/or protection of the rights of other people or other state. In interpersonal relations, that falls within the area of civil disputes; while in international relations, that has to do with the problems of legitimacy and legality in aggressive warfare and military intervention. International political theory addresses the issue of the human nature. A social Darwinist point of view contends that states are by nature aggressive and rational actors. This argument is derived from the belief that aggressiveness is the necessary skill for human survival and rationality is a human endowment that can be developed a posteriori. That said, states and individual human beings are both rational. They can choose what to do and what to learn from according to their needs. In an attempt to refute the argument that human beings are by nature aggressive, and so is state behaviour, Robert E. Alberti and Michael L. Emmons quote from the Seville Statement (1986), written by twenty distinguished social and behavioural IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 518 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 519 scientists from twelve nations and endorsed by the American Psychological and American Anthropological Associations, which concludes: [that] biology does not condemn humanity to war, and that humanity can be freed from the bondage of biological pessimism … The same species (that) invented war is capable of inventing peace. (Alberti and Emmons, 2008: 46) Based on the above arguments, I propose that: first of all, states are made up of humans. A state’s policies are by nature human decisions; second, human beings are not doomed to be aggressive at all times, so are states; and third, human beings can educate themselves to be healthily assertive people, so can states. The behavioural science’s definition of assertiveness can be applied to international relations. Behavioural science does not reject the existence of violence in humans. Rather, it acknowledges its presence and insists that humans should learn to balance the self-expressive side of life with social relationships and to respect one’s own rights as well as the rights of others. (b) Assertiveness in Chinese politics: Hints from Lucian W. Pye Can the psychological concept of assertiveness be applied to analyse China’s political behaviour? The late Massachusetts Institute of Technology (M.I.T.) China expert Lucian W. Pye may offer us some hints. His works focus heavily on how individuals’ childhood and interpersonal relations in family life become an indispensable factor in political socialization, which shape the state’s deep psyche, policy-making and political development. His investigation into the concept of aggression in China may offer us a hint on how assertiveness could be linked to political psychology and political culture. Much different from the European experience of citizenry, the Church and the bourgeoisie, the ultimate core of political life in China is the family. This has been valid since Confucian legalism took control of imperial politics under the rule of Emperor Wudi (156-87 BC) in Western Han Dynasty. Not the 1911 Xinhai Revolution nor Mao Zedong’s political agenda could interrupt such continuity originated from a pre-modern agricultural society. If we consider Chinese politics as an extension of the Chinese family’s power structure, dynamics, rules and values, then Pye’s study could be directly relevant to our analysis. The repression of aggression: One important connection between Confucius’s life and Chinese political culture is the repression of aggression. Confucius lived a very chaotic life in his time. It was a time of frequent and massive warfare, assassinations and moral degradation. It was a time when weaker kingdoms were humiliated, intervened and attacked by stronger IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 519 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM 520 Walter Lee kingdoms. The search for security and survival through communal means could well be a reflection of Confucius’s response to the civil unrest during his time. Likewise, Mencius has made it clear that benevolent rule (renzheng 仁政) is preferable than hegemonic rule (bazheng 霸政). The result of this is the repression of aggression. The belief that “the pure and blameless self is invariably weak and helpless, and the initiator of injustice is always strong – and should be, but is not, controlled by moral principles” (Pye, 1965: 76) is nothing but a mirror of China two thousand years ago. Being innocent, impotent but moral is better received than being strong and outspoken in the Chinese society, because strength can be followed by immoral acts that cause injustice and unhappiness. That said, in order to survive in a brutal world, one can always be moral if he/she is not able to be powerful, for moral people are to be praised and they will stick together to form a strong security network for self-protection. Culturally, it is allowed and even encouraged to be weak but moral (aka being nice, pure and innocent) in China. Confucius was bullied by hegemonic powers in his time, yet his system of morality was made a longruling hegemonic power in China after his death. The consequence of this is tremendous. The respect for morality and the tolerance towards innocence and impotency has made the Chinese general public complacent with passiveness, submissiveness, unassertiveness and nonassertiveness. The fear, distrust and rejection of power and competitiveness have made China paranoiac to the Western institutions, values and people. This perhaps explains why both the Nationalists and the Communist regime have been articulating the purity of innocence of the Chinese nation, complaining how unjustly they were treated in “a century of humiliation”, but never retaliate by taking actions. The Confucian idea of “repressing aggression and staying moral” becomes the top commandment of the familial, social and political mentality. Any expression of aggressive sentiments and all forms of conflict, confrontation, competition and criticism are seen as a breakdown in order thus causing great anxieties, confusion, and collapse of hierarchy (ibid.: 102). Yet, this does not mean harmony is always there. Harmony has been remaining as a utopian ideal of Confucianism for thousands of years. In reality, the repression of aggression has made aggression “constantly creep[s] into personal relations” (Pye, 1981: 137; Pye, 1992a: 102). It creates “masking aggression”, which is passive aggressiveness. Beneath the veneer of harmony and politeness, there is always realistic consideration, calculation and manipulation. The proliferation of the use of deception has made the Chinese people suspect that “danger and hostility always lurk just below the surface … [There] can be scheming behind placid activities” (Pye, 1981: 228). Even worse, the Chinese people swing abruptly between two extremes: disciplined order and explosive emotional outbursts. This kind of repressive aggression, in IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 520 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 521 George R. Bach’s term, is called “catatonic schizophrenia” (Bach, 1989: 149). Similarly, Alastair Iain Johnston says China’s new assertiveness is featured with reactive and passive policies (Johnston, 2013: 31). The dishonesty found in the Chinese mentality not only obstructs the development of assertiveness among the people, but also China’s modernization project. The prohibition of spontaneous expression of emotion in Chinese political culture has made people to swing between passiveness and aggression, deprived people’s rights to develop their selves, and fostered an attitude of indifference to the environment and made people never to reveal their true feelings. At the state level, where is China’s national Self? Is the Chinese state honest to itself, to its people, to history and to the world? How does this affect the evaluation of China’s assertiveness? How does the lack of assertiveness affect China’s global engagement? The emotion of hate, shame, and humiliation: The outburst of aggression has been more obvious since the CPC came into power in 1949. Communism and nationalism opened up new channels for both the overt and the covert expression of aggression (Pye, 1992a: 34). I do agree with Pye that the theme of hate is related to the sense of humiliation and shame that has been so much a part of the Chinese modernization process and the political frustration of the romantic intelligentsias (Pye, 1992a: 68). China has been experiencing identity crisis since the arrival of challenge by Western modernity and the consequent loss of confidence in its national Self. The recent “assertiveness” or aggressiveness of China’s behaviour could then be a search of an “adult identity” in international society. It could also be a search of “strength and self-esteem from narcissistic satisfactions gained through suffering and humiliation” (ibid.: 75). Moreover, China’s all-time hostility towards the US and Japan and its occasional hostility towards other Western states could be “a desire to show that [China was] once mistreated and that it is the mature powers who lack morality” (ibid.: 69). With the help of populist nationalism, Chinese people are allowed to vent their anger that is caused by national humiliation and shame. A consequence of this is the proclamation of the “blameless self” and the assertion of “there is no justice in international politics” (ibid.: 72). Chinese leaders have been unable to understand the history of Western powers is a process of give and take, of benefit and liability (ibid.: 73). China’s world view is a “harmonious world” where the Confucian concept of the repression of aggression applies in the form of Chinese universalism and Chinese exceptionalism. I argue this is totally impractical because aggression is part of the human nature just the same as the need for peace. Aggression and peace co-exist in real-time international politics. We should work to our best to stop violence but the complete absence of violence in international relations is nothing but a dream. IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 521 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM 522 Walter Lee And then there is what Pye called “the blending of xenophobia and xenophilia” (Pye, 1992b: 94). The Chinese’s rationalization of ambivalence over the attraction and repulsion of the West shows that Han chauvinism does not project a coherent argument: In international negotiation, Chinese businessmen and diplomats may be dazzled by foreign products and ideas, but that could also trigger the counter-emotion of xenophobia and the urging need to assert Chinese superiority. After all, nobody wants to be seen as a traitor to the great traditions of China (ibid.: 95). The spirit of “Chinese learning for fundamental principles and Western learning for practical application” (zhongxue weiti, xixue weiyong 中学为体,西学为用) is still very valid in China today. Such paradoxical performance could well perplex China Pulling Your Own Strings: How to Stop Being a Victim and Take Control of Your Life’s foreign counterparts. What they may not understand is the origin of such arrogance-self-pity psychology: the sense of national, cultural and civilizational pride clashes with the painful experience of “a century of humiliation”. 5. Why Is the Assertive China Narrative Misplaced? The previous sections have demonstrated that in China, the negative consequences of the hierarchical nature of politics, the repression of aggression and the emotion of hate, shame and humiliation are all evident from the individual level to the state level; from personality psychology to collective psychology. The repression of aggression leads to the polarization and abrupt swing between passiveness and aggressiveness. Assertiveness thus is impossible to emerge. One may then ask: If we cannot be sure whether the Chinese leaders and diplomats are assertive, how can we presume the Chinese state is assertive? Today’s China is not assertive. To be assertive means to be rightsconscious, to have strong and mature self-conception, to be direct, honest, equal, and truth and justice-seeking. It could also mean – to a certain extent – defensive, but it is neither submissive nor offensive. China’s behaviour and its collective mentality suggest that the country could be transforming from a stage of passive aggressiveness to a stage of more assertiveness, but it is not there yet. The construction and spread of the assertive China narrative indicates that a lot of Western observers have misread China to be solely aggressive, while the Chinese interpretation has effectively ignored the passive aggressive pathology. The American and the Chinese understanding of Chinese assertiveness are both unconvincing. The Chinese assertiveness discourse is very much an American initiative. Many Americans took China’s comments – particularly those on the US’s IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 522 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 523 decline – seriously. Jeffrey A. Bader, writing from the perspective of an experienced diplomat and political scientist, has made it clear that: By the middle of 2010 many China-watchers inside and outside the US government were beginning to write about what they saw as a more assertive China … Many descriptions of this newly assertive China were overdramatized, and some included irrelevancies such as impoliteness by random Chinese during dinner conversations. (Bader, 2012: 79-80) In his book entitled Interpreting China’s Grand Strategy: Past, Present, and Future (2000), Michael D. Swaine suggests three possible versions of a future China: a chaotic China, a cooperative China, and an assertive China. The first one was described as “the irony of success”, the second one “the triumph of reason”, and the third one “the tyranny of power” (Swaine, 2000: vi). I wonder if any behavioural scientists will agree that being assertive means being tyrannical. I have no objection to Swaine’s argument that “growing Chinese power will most likely result, over the very long term, in a more assertive China” (ibid.: 7). However, it is debatable whether or not an assertive China will repeat what the major world powers in the past did in the hegemonic cycles of modern history (ibid.: vii, 219).5 I do not take every argument of Chinese exceptionalism for granted. I just believe that it is intellectually and politically healthy to allow the existence of another possible path for a rising China to take. The rise of a non-Western state as a global power could incite power competition as hinted in the security dilemma theory, but it is not the only possible result. Swaine has totally misunderstood the meaning of assertiveness: Although China could emerge from its calculative strategy as a cooperative power because it is steadily transformed into a liberal polity over time, it is equally possible that it could emerge as an assertive state fully cognizant of, and demanding, its prerogatives in international politics. (ibid.: 197-198) Here Swaine tries to make a liberal, cooperative power contradictory to an assertive state, which is completely misleading. What is more, like some other American scholars, Swaine is creating an enemy for the US just because that “enemy” could bring challenges to the US’s benefits and status in the world. He quoted Robert Gilpin and to argue that China is trying to reconfigure the existing international system. I think an assertive state will articulate in a confident tone what it wants but it does not mean it will for sure upset the whole current system. What Swaine means by assertive is nothing but aggressive. Perhaps the memory of the Cold War is still haunting some American academics and politicians but the fact is when it comes to IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 523 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM 524 Walter Lee aggressiveness, China’s behaviour has been absolutely no tougher than the Soviet Union. Swaine argues, as a rising state, China is unlikely to simply accept the prevailing US-dominated international political order and peacefully integrate itself into it (ibid.: 228). I will say this is not only true for China, but also true for many other states, including many small states in the world. Every sovereign state has the rights to say no, no matter how powerful or weak they are. “Assertive” diplomatic gestures in the face of the US hegemony have been found not only with China, but also with some Latin American states, African states, the Middle-East states, Russia and even Germany, France and New Zealand. Swaine also contends, the exercise of assertiveness could generate a range of political, economic conflicts and even a major regional war which involves the US (ibid.). Here Swaine apparently equalizes assertiveness to aggressiveness. Does China’s international behaviour match the standard of assertiveness set by behavioural scientists? Here is my take (Table 5). China’s behaviour matches with a few characteristics of assertiveness. Like all other state actors, China makes rational choices and acts in its best interests. Being a rising power that upholds Westphalian values such as sovereign rights and territorial integrity, China is increasingly vocal in proclaiming what it needs/does not need and what it wants/does not want. This can be observed in how it defines its “core interests”. Other examples include China’s determination to speed up military modernization, its uncompromising position on global climate change, its constant refutation of the relevance of separation of powers and constitutionalism to its political reform, etc. These are, however, not enough to make China an assertive nation. The behavioural scientist Richard F. Rakos believes that the obligation component in assertiveness distinguishes assertion from aggressiveness. “Selfexpression in the absence of obligation is considered aggressive and a bare assertive statement” (Wilson and Gallois, 1993: 13). China has acknowledged the need to be responsible. Nonetheless, it is not corresponding to some of its behaviour. China’s support to the Sudanese regime, its refusal to show a rigid face to North Korea in the sinking of Cheonan vessel and the shelling of Yeonpyeong, the struggles with the US, the UK and France at the UN Security Council on how to stop the bloodshed in Libyan civil war and Syrian civil war are relevant examples. China should also listen more effectively and emphatically to other states and non-state actors. China tends to make a “friend-or-foe” and “black-orwhite” judgment when it comes to discussions related to its “core interests”, say the Diaoyu/Senkaku Island dispute (notice that China’s understanding of Japan is said to be worse than Japan’s understanding of China) and the Tibet question (China sets rigid prerequisite for talks with the Dalai Lama). After IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 524 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 525 Table 5 China’s International Behaviour Compared with Psychological Standards of Assertive Behaviour (Alberti and Emmons, 2008: 38-39, 51; Burley Allen, 1995: 20, 22, 26, 31, 35; Bower, 1991: 5; Jakubowski, 1978: 23) 1. To exercise sovereign rights Behaviour of China Behaviour of China L D 11. To be socially responsible 2. To respect and not deny the D 12. To focus on the matter, not rights and needs of others stereotyping specific states/ non-state actors UL 3. To act in its best interests L 13. To be positive at times (praise, appreciation), negative at times (disagreement, criticism, condemnation) D 4. To let others know what it L 14. To know how to listen D wants effectively and emphatically 5. To have positive self-image L 15. To be verbally and and stand up for itself nonverbally assertive D 6. To have strong and coherent UL 16. To handle criticism narration of self-conception appropriately UL 7. To be honest and express UL 17. To say no in a calm and itself comfortably clear manner D 8. To be direct, firm and persistent without the need for proof UL 18. To take risks UL 9. To promote equality in relationships D 19. To take sides UL 10. To negotiate mutually satisfactory solutions D 20. To make apologies UL Table key: L = Likely; UL = Unlikely; D = It depends. 2010, the tone and content in the Chinese diplomatic language and actions have suddenly switched from a prudent and modest manner to a tougher mode. Some Western observers regard this as “threatening” and “provocative”. China’s international behaviour is non-risk taking. It seldom takes sides. David Shambaugh has a precise comment: “Generally speaking, Chinese diplomacy remains remarkably risk-averse and guided by narrow national interests. Chinese diplomacy takes a kind of lowest-common-denominator approach, usually adopting the safest and least controversial position, and usually waits to see the positions of other governments before revealing their own” (Shambaugh, 2013: 9). One example of this is the use of veto power at IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 525 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM 526 Walter Lee the UN Security Council. Till 2012, China has exercized its vetoes nine times, in contrast to France (18 times), the UK (32 times), the US (83 times) and Russia (plus the former USSR, 128 times) (Global Policy Forum, 2012). China is a frequent abstention voter at the UNSC. This is again, not assertive. Three factors contribute to China’s non-assertiveness and unassertiveness: the problem of national Self and identity, the Chosenness-Myths-Trauma (CMT) complex and an overreliance on realism. (a) National Self and identity problem Strong self-conception is indispensable for the construction of assertiveness. Without a deep understanding and a clear self, one can hardly attain selfaffirmation and self-worth, let alone to behave in an assertive way. In The Spirit of Chinese Foreign Policy (1991), Shih Chih-yu argues that “selfconcept [serves] as the deepest motivating factor in human behaviour” (Shih, 1990: 1). He believes that the self can be expanded from the individual level to the state level, as he says in his China’s Just World: The Morality of Chinese Foreign Policy (1993) that the: “so-called national self-role conceptions can affect policymaking” (Shih, 1993: 18). Assertive behaviour begins with self-awareness – an internal dialogue of positive self-conception. A person, as well as a state, cannot be outwardly assertive and inwardly confusing. The search for the national Self and identity has been an on-going project for the PRC, which is trapped between China’s indigenous civilization and Western modernity. I agree with Kerry Brown and Loh Su Hsing that “China’s projection of itself interplays with the way it is viewed by other countries … In the short term, engaging China is not going to get any easier while this soul-searching continues” (Brown and Loh, 2011: 4). Brown and Loh point out the lack of common ideology in today’s China has made the country difficult to be understood. They also advocate that China observers should focus less on China’s political rhetoric and inconsistent narrative, and concentrate more on objective assessment of China’s pattern of behaviour. Ironically, without the support of a strong national Self, China still promotes its ancient wisdoms to the world. William A. Callahan argues that China is shifting its role from a rule-follower to a rule-maker: “Like with America’s soft power, China’s soft power actually takes shape through the romanticization of a particular national culture into ‘universally desirable values’” (Callahan, 2010: 4). The resonance is found in Henry Kissinger, who says that the Chinese “do believe that they represent a standard of civilization that it’s unique, and so they react badly to lectures about how they should modify themselves” (Kissinger, 2011). The comments from Callahan and Kissinger echo with a phrase that is frequently quoted narcissistically by the IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 526 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 527 Chinese people: “The Chinese culture is amazing for its breadth and depth” (Zhonghua wenhua boda jingshen 中华文化博大精深). However, when asked to further describe the “breadth” and “depth” of the Chinese culture, often no systematic and critical answer would be forthcoming. In The Chineseness of China (1991), Wang Gungwu has pointed out that “almost every aspect of Chineseness underwent considerable change during the past 3,000 years” (Wang, 1991: 1). “Chineseness” is living and changeable. It is the product of a shared historical experience – including the very unstable boundaries and large-scale migration of multi-ethnicities – whose record has continually influenced its growth (ibid.: 1-2). Good selfunderstanding builds up solid self-conception, hence assertiveness. How can China be assertive if we do not know what elements in the Chinese civilization are instrumental for the construction of the 21st century Chinese international relations? Being an obstacle in nurturing assertiveness, the Chinese state’s weak self-conception is well-explained by the words of Qin Yaqing of China Foreign Affairs University: “The heart of Chinese foreign policy thus is not a security dilemma, but an identity dilemma: Who is China and how does it fit into the world” (quoted in Callahan, 2010: 13). Some Chinese observers suspects that the US sees China as an aggressive “other” or “deviant” (linglei 另类, yilei 异类) (Johnston, 2011: 21; Swaine, 2010: 6), but who exactly is this “other” or “deviant”? Such self-depreciation is totally unnecessary. A nation with a strong national Self does not even bother how others perceive itself. China’s weak soft power has a lot to do with its weak and fuzzy selfconception. I agree with Wang Gungwu that as long as the future Chineseness is still unclear, the world will continue to be ambivalent about China’s self-image. The Chinese Government will find discussion of Chineseness embarrassing unless it can define it to fit its present situation (Wang, 1991: 1 and 7). In interpersonal relations, non-assertive people and unassertive people always find it frustrated to be misunderstood by others. China has a similar problem. Because of its passive aggressiveness, China is often regarded by Western observers as incomprehensible, hence it is distrusted. “Let the world understand China” (rang shijie liaojie Zhongguo 让世界了解中国) has become such an important issue in China partly because China has difficulty in explaining itself. (b) The Chosenness-Myths-Trauma (CMT) complex As discussed above, many Western observers have mistaken China’s passive aggressiveness as assertiveness and open aggressiveness. They have not noticed that today’s China, if it looks and sounds more offensive than it did, is in fact aggressive in a passive manner. It is the repression of aggression IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 527 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM 528 Walter Lee in the Confucian tradition that makes the Chinese people and the state swing between the two extremes of passiveness and aggressiveness – a typical feature of passive aggressiveness. Passive aggressive states/people avoid open conflicts, but it does not mean they are not frustrated or angry – they would express their sentiment in an indirect way. The passive aggressive character of the Chinese state matches Callahan’s diagnosis of China as a “pessoptimist nation”. Speaking in a dialectic tone, Callahan argues that “to understand China’s glowing optimism, we need to understand its enduring pessimism” (Callahan, 2010: 9). Similarly, to understand China’s seemingly aggressive behaviour, we need to understand its passive, submissive character. For Callahan, this has to do with China’s identity politics in that “Chinese identity emerges through the interplay of positive and negative feelings in a dynamic that intertwines China’s domestic and international politics. China thus is the pessoptimist nation where national security is closely linked to nationalist insecurities” (ibid.: back cover). So what is the source of that pessimism and sense of insecurity? How do they fit together with China’s passive aggressiveness? The answer is China’s mentality of victimhood. In Never Forget National Humiliation: Historical Memory in Chinese Politics and Foreign Relations (2012), Wang Zheng borrows Johan Galtung’s idea of Chosenness-MythsTrauma (CMT) complex6 and argues that the CMT complex plays a critical role in building China’s mentality (Wang, 2012: 41). “Trauma” is a deep seated part of the Chinese psyche. It refers to the foreign invasions and lost wars from the First Anglo-Chinese War (aka The First Opium War, 1839-42) to the surrender of Japan in the Second World War in 1945. The keywords for this are “repeatedly fought and lost” (lüzhan lübai 屡战屡败), “to cede territory and pay indemnities” (gedi peikuan 割地赔款), and “to surrender sovereign rights and bring humiliation to the country” (sangquan ruguo 丧权 辱国). Victimization thus implies a silent complaint: “I was heaven-blessed, dignified and civilized. You are evil and you made me fall. You are the only party to blame. You are responsible for all my miseries.” Victimization pervades the Chinese consciousness and provided the current Chinese leadership with plenty of analogies to use for the drawing of parallels between current and historical events (ibid.: 183). It has deeply affected Chinese people’s attitudes, interpretation, and judgment in conflicts. Any Sino-“The Other” confrontations are often perceived as assaults on China’s fundamental identity, dignity, authority and power (ibid.: 200). Callahan (2010) and Wang (2012) coincide in offering an opinion that in the Chinese mentality, pride and humiliation are interwoven; positive and negative feelings are mixed; the dream for a “great renaissance” and great power status blend with the principle of “never becomes a hegemon” (yongbu chengba 永不称霸); the pessoptimist nation puts chosenness, myths IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 528 12/4/2013 11:31:17 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 529 and trauma together to form a pathological complex. China’s contemporary national Self is by nature self-contradictory and passive aggressive. Thus, how could it be possible to argue that “China is an assertive nation”? (c) Overreliance on realism How does contemporary China borrow realist IR theory (mainly neo-realism, aka structural realism) from the US to explain the CMT complex, the victims narrative, and the passive aggressive behaviour. The rise of Chinese realism has no basic difference from realism in other countries. It derives from fear and believes in international anarchy, state-centric model, the evil human nature, rational choice, interest maximization, etc. Aggressive behaviour is inevitable. Many Western (mainly American) observers believe that China is getting increasingly aggressive. However, I would say that China’s behaviour, even if it could be considered as aggressive, is neither the Machiavellian type aggressiveness, nor the one derived from Xunzi as Yan Xuetong argues, but an under-the-table type of passive aggressiveness. Behavioural scientists suggest that aggressiveness is a result of powerlessness. It is a defense mechanism for survival in an environment where a person feels vulnerable, helpless, unsafe and losing control over a situation. It is a reaction of fear to being overwhelmed by people or circumstances. The Chinese state and people believe that the US will never give up containing China because of the presence of a structural conflict between China as a rising power and the US as the current superpower. Hawkish military leaders and nationalists in China suspect Western conspiracy is always there to prevent China from rising to its rightful place. The US is responsible for China’s paranoia for two reasons: first, the theory of neo-realism or structural realism is an American product, which has significantly shaped today’s Chinese view on international relations. Many Chinese IR scholars believe that they are nationalistic, yet they are not aware how much they have been brainwashed by the American theories and methodologies. American paranoia triggers Chinese paranoia, both falling victim to an infinite fear in a security dilemma, with no end in sight. Today, China could be seen as externally aggressive but domestically insecure. As Bhoothalingam argues, “Assertion and aggression are not the opposite sides of the same coin … [Aggression] reveals vulnerability. So what comes to dominate the scene is a rising but vulnerable China” (Bhoothalingam, 2012). The unresolved social problems, the loss of trust within society, the legitimacy crisis of the CPC, all point to China’s internal weakness. The natural instinct of being aggressive and the belief in a Hobbesian “all-against-all” world have surfaced since the Cultural Revolution and intensified in the 1990s, with the growth of populist nationalism invoked IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 529 12/4/2013 11:31:18 PM 530 Walter Lee by Jiang Zemin’s Patriotic Education Campaign. The public’s fury is also the result of the repression of aggression in people’s familial, social, and political life. China’s realist turn could well be an extension of its experience of “a century of humiliation”. It matches with the “rubber band effect” in behavioural psychology: “a mildly threatening situation has considerably more impact when it reminds a person of a previous negative experience. The new situation is like a rubber band, snapping the individual’s consciousness back to that unpleasant event…. His reaction to this current experience is colored by his past; this current ‘threat’ is partially an unresolved threat from the past” (Jakubowski, 1978: 72). In a nutshell, internal worries and external threats have pushed China to the realist side, which could potentially hinder China’s development of assertiveness. 6. China’s Assertive Rise: Do We Need It? China is not assertive and it needs to be assertive. A truly assertive China not only empowers the Chinese state and people, but also benefits Sino-US relations and the world. Western observers might be happy to see a China that is proactive, modest and comfortable with itself, but not reactive, confrontational and insecure. In “The Advantages of an Assertive China: Responding to Beijing’s Abrasive Diplomacy” (2011), Thomas J. Christensen argues that China’s current “assertiveness” is better understood as reactive and conservative rather than truly assertive and innovative. He does not agree with the conventional interpretation of “assertiveness”. Instead, he argues that China’s foreign policy was more creative and proactive in the two years prior to the global financial crisis. Between 2006 and 2008, China adopted constructive and assertive policies towards North Korea, Sudan, and the Somalian piracy. This was unprecedented in the history of the PRC’s foreign relations. The US and its allies should promote and welcome the return of such an assertive China (Christensen, 2011: 54-55). However, people feel threatened by any change in behaviour, so do states. They prefer status quo rather than assertive turns. Adopting more assertive behaviour will “make waves” and disturb the relations that a passive person/ state had with others (Bower, 1991: 6). Should China become truly assertive, it has to help other states and actors in international society to deal with its new assertiveness, just as an individual needs to help people around him/her to deal with his/her new image, character and behaviour. China has to convince the world by action that its aim is to attain mutual satisfaction, not “turning the tables”. Its objective is to speak up and stand up for its rights without aggressively putting down other people and trampling on their rights. On the other hand, international society will have to find ways to get used to it. IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 530 12/4/2013 11:31:18 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 531 So what would an assertive China look like? China was arguably assertive in the past, say during the early and middle phase of the Tang Dynasty (618907 AD). Ezra F. Vogel considers China to be relatively more assertive during Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping’s rule (Vogel, 2012). In recent years there has been a call in mainland China for the vitalization of Deng Xiaoping’s “taking proper initiative” (you suo zuo wei 有所作为) principle. Thomas J. Christensen and Andreas B. Forsby have suggested some better solutions: Washington and other governments have an opportunity to shape the international environment in a way that can assist those Chinese elites who are espousing creative, constructive, and assertive policies while undercutting those who advocate reactive, conservative, and aggressive ones. (Christensen, 2011: 65) With regime legitimacy no longer resting on communist doctrines of elite avant-gardism, the regime must not only fill an ideological void, but also increasingly incorporate popular inputs. Hence, a preoccupation with regime survival may, in fact, prove to be the strongest reason for translating popular nationalism into a more particularistic and self-assertive identity narrative of China. (Forsby, 2011: 20) That said, a bottom-up solution may work better for China. China is able to work out a way to build a stronger national Self and identity only if the individuals are equipped with more assertive mentality. China’s soul-searching and self-conception building process could take a while, but these are necessary tasks, otherwise the country will remain as a passive, aggressive state. 7. Conclusion The debate on the new assertive China narrative has continued up to this day. By borrowing from behavioural science, this article has made a new assessment of the definition of “assertive” and “assertiveness” in the context of a rising China as a responsible power. Xi Jinping, in his inauguration speech at the National People’s Congress meeting on 17th March 2013, called for the “great renaissance” of the Chinese nation and the realization of the “China Dream” (Zhongguomeng 中国梦). He also called for “Three Self-confidences” (Sange Zixin 三个自信) in China’s political system, in the party line and in party theory (“Political Balancing: Mixed Messages”, The Economist, 29th June 2013). This was read by the Western media as a signal of wishes to formulate more assertive (aka aggressive) policies (KleineAhlbrandt, 2013).7 However, a more profound reflection was made by Zheng Yongnian. He believes that in Chinese history, every time when the public discusses the IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 531 12/4/2013 11:31:18 PM 532 Walter Lee “China Dream”, there is not only a crisis in the collective self-confidence but also a yishi weiji 意识危机 (crisis of consciousness). It is the drastic changes in China’s international environment and domestic transformation that bring about such crises. As a response, intellectuals and the regime initiate idealistic debates (Zheng, 2013). That said, Xi’s call for the realization of the “China Dream” and “Three Self-confidences” are nothing but a reactive behaviour to the anxiety that China faces. From a psychological perspective, the “assertive” China in the West’s eyes is in fact a zhilaohu 纸老虎 (paper tiger). The “assertiveness” presented by today’s China is immature. China can never attain real assertiveness by simply drawing a line between “China” and “The West”. Assertiveness is possible only if China acknowledge the existence of both itself and “The West” as equal members of this world without putting up any “Other”. Assertiveness is possible only if China is liberal and openminded enough to appreciate, criticize and selectively apply cultural, legal and political values from abroad. Being self-confident about the national Self and, at the same time, respectful to the intellectual and material heritage of human civilization contributed by the aging West, the adolescent China (Vines, 2012) would then be in a better position to utilize its phenomenal momentum to participate creatively in every aspect of global governance. Nobody should take the assertive China narrative for granted. Notes + The author took the pleasure to draft this article in the post-colonial Hong Kong and finished the editing tasks in the increasingly cosmopolitan Beijing between January and September 2013. These two cities have inspired him with distinctive perspectives to reflect on the Chinese assertiveness thesis. The author would like to give special thanks to the Centre on Behavioural Health, University of Hong Kong, for introducing the behavioural science concept of assertiveness to him. * Walter Lee 李芸辉 is a doctoral candidate in the Department of Political Studies at the University of Auckland, New Zealand. He holds a MA in International Relations from the University of Warwick. He was Visiting Scholar to the Division of International Politics Theory, Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP) at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (July to November 2013); and Visiting Fellow to the Centre for Comparative and Public Law (CCPL), Faculty of Law at the University of Hong Kong (January to June 2013). <Email: [email protected]> 1. Translated by the author. 2. Sources used include articles and reports taken from newspapers, magazines, journals; television programmes and radio transcripts, etc. The top 10 most mentioned sources are from Reuters (126 items), Vietnam News Brief Service (124 items), Agence France-Presse (100 items), The Wall Street Journal (86 items), Financial Times (77 items), South China Morning Post (59 items), The IJCS 4-3 Supp_6Lee.indd 532 12/4/2013 11:31:18 PM China’s Unassertive Rise 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 533 Straits Times (50 items), Dow Jones Newswires (43 items), Times of India (41 items), The New York Times (40 items). Factiva, 30 September 2013. Traditional Chinese saying. This includes the application of techniques such as “broken record” and “fogging”, which help people to keep the upper hand and not being dominated by others. According to Swaine, these include: “[China’s] efforts to augment its military capabilities in a manner commensurate with its increased power; develop a sphere of influence by acquiring new allies and underwriting the protection of others; acquire new or reclaim old territory for China’s resources or for symbolic reasons by penalizing, if necessary, any opponents or bystanders who resist such claims; prepare to redress past wrongs it believes it may have suffered; attempt to rewrite the prevailing international ‘rules of the game’ to better reflect its own interests; and, in the most extreme policy choice imaginable, even perhaps ready itself to thwart preventive war or to launch predatory attacks on its foes.” “Chosenness” is the belief in being selected by some transcendental force such as God, Allah, or History. The concept of “all-under-heaven” (tianxia 天下), “the Middle Kingdom” (Zhongguo 中国), and “the mandate of heaven” (tianming 天 命) all represent the belief of chosenness. “Myths” are the selected memories of glories and pride of the Chinese civilization, as presented in phrases like: “a civilized ancient nation” (wenming guguo 文明古国), “a nation of ritual and etiquette” (liyi zhi bang 礼仪之邦), and “the vast land and bountiful goods” (dida wubo 地大物博). Many Chinese believe that China is an all-time peace-loving country because it has never bullied the weak and the small. For anti-thesis, see Wang Yuan-kang’s Harmony and War: Confucian Culture and Chinese Power Politics (2011) published by Columbia University Press. “That means we can expect Beijing to continue with its ‘reactive assertiveness’ foreign policy tactic. China has perfected this approach in its ongoing maritime disputes in the South and East China Seas” (Kleine-Ahlbrandt, 2013). References Alberti, Robert E. and Michael L. 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