Fair Vote Canada 408 – 283 Danforth Avenue, Toronto ON M4K 1N2 www.fairvote.ca [email protected] 416-410-4034 Why Proportional Representation? A look at the evidence This paper provides a brief introduction to the two main families of voting systems proportional and winner-take-all - and a summary of the research comparing their performance. In addition to making votes count, and delivering fair, representative election results, the research will show that proportional representation outperforms winner-take-all systems on measures of democracy, quality of life, income equality, environmental performance, and economic growth. Introduction: Two Families of Voting Systems There are two basic types, or families, of voting systems: 1) Winner-take-all. Political scientists call these systems "majoritarian". Winner-take-all systems include First Past the Post and Alternative Vote. These systems use single member ridings, and are based on the idea that just one group of voters - the largest group in each riding - will elect a representative. Winner-take-all systems are designed to produce single party majority governments, in which one party will win more than half the seats and all the decision making power, often with less than 50% of the popular vote. All winner-take-all systems share the same basic flaws: a high percentage of wasted votes, distorted overall results in which the seats earned do not reflect the popular vote, suppression of minority viewpoints, adversarial politics, and legislatures which do not accurately reflect the diversity of the country. 2) Proportional Representation. PR systems include Mixed Member Proportional, Single Transferable Vote, with country-specific variations of each. Proportional representation systems are designed to produce a legislature which is representative of the views of citizens. Proportional representation systems are based on the principle that the number of seats a party earns in a legislature should closely match the percentage of voters who voted for it. PR also tends to produce legislatures which better reflect ethnic and gender diversity. Because a single party rarely earns more than 50% of the vote, two or more parties usually govern together in a coalition, representing the genuine majority of voters. Page 1 of 5 Fair Vote Canada 408 – 283 Danforth Avenue, Toronto ON M4K 1N2 www.fairvote.ca [email protected] 416-410-4034 Comparing Winner-Take-All to Proportional Systems Measures of Democracy Substantial research has been conducted comparing outcomes in countries using winner-take-all systems vs proportional systems. Arend Lijphart (2012), a worldrenowned political scientist, spent his career studying the differences between majoritarian and "consensual" (PR) democracies. In his landmark study - Patterns of Democracy - he compared 36 democracies over 29 years, and found that in countries using proportional systems: voter turnout was higher - about 7% higher on average government policies were closer to the view of the median voter citizens were more satisfied with democracy, even when the party they voted for was not in power there was only a marginal increase in the number of parties in Parliament 8% more women were elected Lijphart concluded that consensual (PR) democracies were "kinder, gentler democracies" (p. 293). McDonald, Mendes and Budge (2004) looked at 254 elections producing 471 governments in 20 countries, with a major finding that: Proportional systems created governments which better reflected the views of the median voter Health, Education, Physical Security Carey and Hix (2009) looked at 610 elections over 60 years in 81 countries and found that: The benefits of proportional representation through fair representation of voters garnered higher scores on the United Nations Index of Human Development, which looks at health, education, and security - basically, how well government takes care of citizens The benefits of proportional representation (higher scores on the Index of Development, and fair representation of voters) could be achieved with a moderately proportional system Page 2 of 5 Fair Vote Canada 408 – 283 Danforth Avenue, Toronto ON M4K 1N2 www.fairvote.ca [email protected] 416-410-4034 Economic Performance and Fiscal Responsibility Carey and Hix (2009) also found that: Countries with moderately proportional systems were less likely to have deficits and more likely to have fiscal surpluses Knutsen (2011) looked at 107 countries from 1820 to 2002 - 3710 “country years” and found that: Both proportional and semi-proportional systems produced higher economic growth than plurality-majoritarian - "a strong, significant effect" (p.86) Knutsen (2011) concluded: "PR systems likely produce higher growth because they promote broad-interest, rather than special interest, policies, and perhaps because PR systems produce more stable and thus credible economic policies. PR and semi-PR systems are thus not only beneficial for representation of diverse groups in politics (Lijphart, 1999; Carey and Hix, 2009) and for decreasing the distance between median voter and median government member (Huber and Powell, 1994; Carey and Hix, 2009). PR and semi-PR systems also generate more prosperity than pluralmajoritarian systems."(p. 89) Income Inequality Lijphart (2012) found that: Countries with proportional systems had lower income inequality - a “strong and significant effect” (p. 282) Birchfield and Crepaz (1998) found that: "[C]onsensual political institutions (which use proportional representation) tend to reduce income inequalities whereas majoritarian institutions have the opposite effect" (p. 192) [W]hat made the difference was that people in countries with PR had more power. "The more widespread the access to political institutions, and the more representative the political system, the more citizens will take part in the political process to change it in their favour which will manifest itself, among other things, in lower income inequality. Such consensual political institutions make the government more responsive to the demands of a wider range of citizens." (p. 191) Page 3 of 5 Fair Vote Canada 408 – 283 Danforth Avenue, Toronto ON M4K 1N2 www.fairvote.ca [email protected] 416-410-4034 Vincenzo Verardi, in 2005 study of 28 democracies, found that: When the degree of proportionality of a system increases, inequality decreases. Environment Lijphart (2012), found that: Countries with proportional systems scored 6 points higher on the Environmental Performance Index, which measures ten policy areas, including environmental health, air quality, resource management, biodiversity and habitat, forestry, fisheries, agriculture and climate change Darcie Cohen (2010) found that: Countries with proportional systems were faster to ratify the Kyoto protocol in countries with a form of PR, the percentage of world total carbon emissions decreased, while it increased in other countries or remained static “[b]y changing electoral systems countries may be moving a step closer to environmental improvement. However a commitment to effective environmental policies must be widely shared.” (p. v) Stability Does proportional representation mean more political instability? In fact, between 1945 and 1998, countries using First Past the Post averaged 16.7 elections, while countries using proportional systems averaged 16 elections (Pilon, 2007). Clearly, stable, representative government can go hand in hand. Conclusion Research has clearly shown that proportional representation outperforms winner-takeall systems on measures of democracy, quality of life, income equality, environmental outcomes, and economic growth. A more proportional electoral system is therefore an important vehicle for those in favour of a more equitable, sustainable, prosperous and democratic society. Page 4 of 5 Fair Vote Canada 408 – 283 Danforth Avenue, Toronto ON M4K 1N2 www.fairvote.ca [email protected] 416-410-4034 References Birchfield, Vicki and Crepaz, Markus (1998). The impact of constitutional structures and collective and competitive veto points on income inequality in industrialized democracies. European Journal of Political Research 34: 175–200. Retrieved from: http://www.people.fas.harvard.edu/~iversen/PDFfiles/Birchfield&Crepaz1998.pdf Carey, John M. and Hix, Simon (2009) The electoral sweet spot: low-magnitude proportional electoral systems. PSPE working papers, 01-2009. Department of Government, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. Retrieved from: http://www.electoralreformforcanada.ca/2009%20Carey%20%20Electoral%20Sweet%20Spot.pdf Cohen, Darcie (2010). Do political preconditions affect environmental outcomes? Exploring the linkages between proportional representation, Green parties and the Kyoto Protocol. Simon Fraser University. Retrieved from: http://summit.sfu.ca/item/10084 Knutsen, Carl (2011). Which democracies prosper? Electoral rules, forms of government, and economic growth. Electoral Studies 30: 83-90. Retrieved from: http://www.sv.uio.no/isv/forskning/publikasjoner/artikler/chknutsen_sciencedirect_2011. pdf Lijphart, Arend (2012). Patterns of Democracy. Government Forms and Performance in 36 Countries. New Haven, CT: Yale Press. Summary of 1999 edition:: http://www.fairvote.ca/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/LijphartSummary.pdf McDonald, M., Mendes, S. and Budge, I. (2004). What are elections for? Conferring the median mandate. British Journal of Political Science 34: 1-26, Cambridge University Press. Retrieved from: http://cdp.binghamton.edu/papers/What%20Are%20Elections%20For.pdf Pilon, Dennis. (2007). The Politics of Voting: Reforming Canada’s Electoral System. Toronto: Emond Montgomery. Verardi, Vincenzo. Electoral Systems and Income Inequality. Economics Letters, Volume 86, Issue 1, January 2005, Pages 7-12. Page 5 of 5
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