\ Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No. 32248-MX INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM DOCUMENT FOR A PROPOSED LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF US$200.510MILLION TO THE UNITED MEXICAN STATES FOR A SECOND PROGRAMMATIC ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT POLICY LOAN August 9,2005 Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Development Sector Management Unit Colombia and Mexico Country Management Unit Latin America and the Caribbean Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance o f their official duties. I t s contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. UNITED MEXICAN STATES - FISCAL YEAR January 1 - December 31 CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective as o f August 9,2005 Currency Unit = Peso 10.58 pesos = US$1 WEIGHTS AND MEASURES Metric System ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AAA I Analytical and Advisory Activity BANOBRAS National Bank o f Public Works and Services Banco Nacional de Obras y Servicios Ptiblicos BANSEFI National Savings Bank Banco del Ahorro Nacional y Servicios Financieros CDM CFAA I Clean Development Mechanism I Country Financial Accountability Assessment CFE Federal Electricity Commission Comisidn Federal de Electricidad CNA National Water Commission Comisidn Nacional del Agua COMEGEI Mexican Committee for Projects for Emissions Reductions and Capture o f Greenhouse Gases Comite' Mexican0 para Proyectos de Reduccidn de Emisiones y Captura de Gases de Efecto Invernadero CONAE National Commission for Energy Conservation Comisidn Nacional para el Ahorro de Energia CONAFOR National Forestry Commission Comisidn Nacional Forestal CONANP National Commission for Natural Protected Areas Comisidn Nacional de kreas Naturales Protenidas CPS Country Partnership Strategy ~~ ~ ~ ~~~ ~~~~~ DOF Federal Official Gazette - Mexico Diario OJicial de la Federacidn DPL Development Policy Loan i ~~ ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY -----_--.----._.I-_ United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America & the Caribbean EIA Environmental Impact Assessment EMS Environmental Management Systems ~ I Environment and Na&al ENRP Resources Program ENVDPL Environment Development Policy Loan ENVDPLII . Second Programmatic Environment Development Policy Loan ENVSAL Environment Structural Adjustment Loan ENVSAL I , First Programmatic Environment Structural Adjustment Loan ESCO Energy Service Company FARAC T o l l Road Rescue Program Fideicomiso de Apoyo para el Rescate de Autopistas Concesionadas FDI Foreign L)irec+,Investment FY Fiscal Year - 1 Gross Domestic Product GDP GEF Global Environment Facility GHG Greenhouse Gas I I Government o f Mexico GOM I IPAB Institute for the Protection o f Bank Savings Instituto para la Proteccidn a1 Ahorro Bancaria IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development IDB Inter-American Development Bank 1 International Monetary Fund IMF INE 1 1 ECLAC National Ecology Institute InJtituto Nacional de Ecologia INELEC National Electric Company Impulsora Nacional de Electricidad IS0 International Organization for Standardization IT WG Inter-sectoral Technical Working Group JICA LAU -- ~ - Japan International Cooperation Agency Environmental License Licenciu ilmbientul Cjnica I -7 This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not be otherwise disclosed without World Bank authorization. -~ LGEEPA NAFTA NDP ~ ~- ~ General Law o f Ecological Equilibrium and Environment Protection Ley General del Equilibrio Ecoldgico y la Proteccidn a1 Ambiente I North American Free Trade Agreement I National Development Plan 2001 - 2006 NGO Non-Governmental Organization NO, OECD Nitrogen Oxides OED Operations Evaluations Department O&M Organization o f Economic Cooperation and Development I Operations and Maintenance PCB Polychlorinated Biphenyl PCF Proto-type Carbon Fund PEMEX Mexico Petroleum Company Petrdleos Mexicanos PDIA Environmental Institutional Development Program Programa de Desarrollo Institucional Ambiental PHRD Policy and Human Resources Development PIDIREGAS Productive Long-Term Infrastructure Projects Proyectos de Infiaestructura Diferidos en el Registro del Gasto PNMARN National Environment and Natural Resources Program Programa Nacional de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales PPm PROFEPA parts per million PROSENER Energy Sector Program Programa Sectorial de Energia PSBR Public Sector Borrowing Requirements PSDFG Program for Promoting Sustainable Development in the Federal Government RBC River Basin Council SAGARPA Secretariat o f Agriculture, Livestock, Rural Development, Fishing and Nutrition Secretaria de Agricultura, Ganaderia, Desarrollo Rural, Pesca y Alimentacidn - Federal Attorney General for Environmental Regulation Procuraduria Federal de Proteccidn a1 Ambiente ~ ... 111 SAL Structural Adjustment Loan SDP Sustainable Development Program SEA Strategic Environmental Assessment SECTUR Secretariat o f Tourism Secretaria de Turismo SEDESOL Secretariat o f Social Development Secretaria de Desarrollo Social Secretariat o f Environment and Natural Resources Secretaria de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales SENER Secretariat o f Energy Secretaria de Energia SHCP Secretariat o f Finance Secretaria de Hacienda y Cre'dito Ptiblico UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention o n Climate Change USAID United States Agency for International Development WS&S Water Supply and Sanitation ZOFEMAT Federal Maritime Zone Zona Federal Maritima Vice President: Pamela Cox Country Director: Isabel Guerrero Sector Director: Sector Manager: John Redwood Task Team Leader: Abel Mejia Ernest0 Sanchez-Triana iv MEXICO SECOND PROGRAMMATIC ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT POLICY LOAN TABLE OF CONTENTS .......................................................................................................... i .................................................................................................................................. i ................................................................................................................................. i ...................................................................................................................... i ........................................................................................................................................ v.. ................................................................................................................. .................................................................................................................................. 1 ............................................................................................................ 2 United Mexican States -Fiscal Year Currency Equivalents Weights and Measures Abbreviations and Acronyms Table of Contents Loan and Program Summary I INTRODUCTION I1 THE ECONOMIC CONTEXT . . vi1 A . Recent Economic Developments .......................................................................................... B. Medium-term Macroeconomic Prospects and Debt Sustainability ....................................... . .................................................................................................. . ......................................................... . ................................................................................................................ I11 THE GOVERNMENT PROGRAM 3 7 9 A . Government’s Overall Program .................................................................. 1......................... 9 B. Environmental Challenges in the Tourism Sector and Government Strategy .................... 11 B.1 Actions Supported by ENVDPL I1.................................................................................... 14 B.2 Perspectives for ENVDPL I11........................................................................................... 16 C . Environmental Challenges in the Energy Sector and Government Strategy ...................... 16 C .1 Actions Supported by ENVDPL I1.................................................................................... 18 C.2 Perspectives for ENVDPL I11 ........................................................................................... 20 D. Environmental Challenges in the Forestry Sector and Government Strategy .................... 20 D.1 Actions Supported by ENVDPL I1................................................................................... 21 D.2 Perspectives for ENVDPL I11........................................................................................... 22 E. Environmental Challenges in the Water Sector and Government Strategy ........................ 22 E.1 Actions Supported by ENVDPL I1.................................................................................... 24 25 E.2 Perspectives for ENVDPL I11............................................................................................ F. Environmental Management Challenges in Mexico and Government Strategy .................26 F.1 Actions Supported by ENVDPL I1.................................................................................... 27 F.2 Perspectives for ENVDPL I11............................................................................................ 29 I V BANK SUPPORT TO THE GOVERNMENT STRATEGY A . Link to CPS ......................................................................................................................... B. Collaboration with the I M F and Other Donors ................................................................... C . Relationship to Other Bank Operations .............................................................................. D. Lessons Learned.................................................................................................................. E. Analytical Underpinnings .................................................................................................... V PROPOSED OPERATION . . A . Program Objectives and Prior Actions ................................................................................ B. Additional Key Actions Undertakenby the G O M under ENVDPL I1............................... C . Loan Amount and Tranching .............................................................................................. D. Prior Actions for ENVDPL I11............................................................................................ V I OPERATION IMPLEMENTATION A . Poverty and Social Impacts................................................................................................. B. Supervision.......................................................................................................................... C . Fiduciary Aspects ................................................................................................................ . .............................................................................................. V 29 29 30 30 32 34 36 36 37 39 39 40 40 42 42 D. Disbursement and Auditing ,...........................................,.................,................... ............. 42 E. Environmental Aspects ........................................................................................................ 43 F. R i s k s and Risk Mitigation ................................................................................................... 45 ANNEX 1: Indicators of Progress for Key Actions Undertaken by G O M under ENVDPL II...47 ....... ANNEX 2: Triggers for ENVDPL I1and Evidence Submitted by G O M 50 ANNEX 3: GOM’s EnvironmentProgram: Matrix of Objectives, Tentative Progress and Outcome Indicators , 52 ANNEX 4: Letter o f Development Policy. 60 ANNEX 5: Fund Relations Note 87 ANNEX 6: Country at a Glance 93 ANNEX 7: Social Indicators...................................................................................... 95 ANNEX 8: Key Economic Indicators 96 ANNEX 9: Mexico EnvironmentalIndicators , 97 ANNEX 10: Selected Indicators of Bank Portfolio Performance and Management 98 ANNEX 11: IBRDEDA Program Summary 99 ANNEX 12: Summary of Nonlending Services , ”.. 100 ANNEX 13: Statement of IFC’s Committed and Outstanding Portfolio 101 ............... ............................................ ................................ ............ .................. ...................... .............................................................................................. .............................................................................................................. ............................... ........... ..................................... ..................... ................ ................................................................. ........................ ....................................................................................... .......................... ................................... ................................................ ...... ................................. .................. ................... ........................................... This operation was prepared by a team consisting o f Ernesto Sanchez-Triana, Yewande Awe, Carolina Urrutia Vasquez, William Reuben, Angela Armstrong, Juan Carlos Belausteguigoitia, Ricardo Hemhndez, Andrea Semaan, Monique Pelloux Patron, and Santiago Sandoval (LCSES); Miguel Lopez-Bakovic (LCC 1C); Douglas Olson (EASRD); Jozef Draaisma (LCSPE); Charles Di Leva (LEGEN); Todd Johnson, Kulsum Ahmed (ENV); Juan Carlos Alvarez (LEGLA); Efraim Jimenez (LCOPR); Victor Ordonez (LCOAA); Santiago Enriquez (consultant); Alexandra Zenzes-Cordera (consultant); Camilla Rossaak (consultant) and Michelle Falck (consultant). The task team leader i s Ernesto Sanchez-Triana (LCSEN). The team worked under the general guidance o f Isabel Guerrero (Country Director, LCC 1C) and John Redwood (Sector Director, LCSES). Peer reviewers were Laura Tlaiye (ENV); Sergio Margulis (AFTSD); and Muthukumara Mani (ENV). ’ vi MEXICO SECOND PROGRAMMATIC ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT POLICY LOAN LOAN AND PROGRAM SUMMARY I Borrower: The United Mexican States Secretaria de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (SEMARNAT), Secretaria de Hacienda y CrCdito Publico (SHCP), Secretaria de Turismo (SECTUR), Comisi6n Nacional Forestal (CONAFOR), Comisi6n Nacional del Agua (CNA), Secretaria de Energia (SENER). r I Amount and Terms: Tranching: US$200.5 10 million fixed spread, U.S. dollar-denominated loan, 4.5-year grace period and total repayment period o f 14.5 years. Front-end fee: 0.25 percent o f the loan amount, capitalized. The full amount o f the loan will be disbursed in a single tranche upon effectiveness. The proposed loan will support the second stage o f the government's medium-term, outcome-based program to promote sustainable development. The overarching objective o f the program i s to balance socio-economic development with environmental protection and improvement. The program will focus on: (i) mainstreaming environmental concerns in the development agendas o f key sectors - tourism, energy, forestry and water - as prioritized by the Government o f Mexico (GOM); and (ii) improving the effectiveness and efficiency o f local environmental management processes in Mexico. The prior actions completed by the GOM for the proposed operation include: (i) establishment and implementation o f a set of indicators and benchmarks for measurement o f good environmental performance o f tourist facilities; (ii)a Secretariat o f Energyapproved design o f a national fund for renewable energy promotion; (iii) establishment and operational startup o f a Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Office, involving at least SENER and SEMARNAT, according to rules set up at the Marrakech and Bonn Conferences o f the Parties o f the UNFCCC; (iv) publication o f water availability data and an improved water rights registry as foundational steps in the implementation o f a functioning watei rights market, consistent with the current regulatory framework: and (v) the initiation o f decentralization efforts (as evidenced by signature o f ,a convenio, capacity building, or joint operation) bq over 10 States, including the decentralization o f permit issuance functions for sustainable wildlife use in three states, for sustainable use o f forest resources in one state, and the decentralization oj environmental' licenses for industrial discharges and emission: vii (Licencia Ambiental h a ) in two states. Additional key actions undertaken by the GOM in preparation for the proposed operation include: (i) the development o f action plans in fourteen key tourist destinations to implement local Agenda 21 Programs for Sustainable Tourism; (ii) the evaluation o f programs to improve the quality o f transport fuels and establishment o f incentives to promote energy efficiency and renewable energy; (iii) the enactment o f a new General L a w for Sustainable Forestry Development and regulations consistent with the law; (iv) the passing o f amendments to the National Water Law, publication o f water availability data, and an improved water rights registry as foundational steps in the implementation o f a functioning water rights market; and (v) the decentralization o f environmental management functions including streamlining the administrative procedures in the environment sector and continuing to implement the L a w o n Transparency, which will allow public scrutiny o f environmental management. In the tourism sector, the implementation o f cooperative approaches involving public entities, the private sector and other community stakeholders for joint action in addressing environmental problems helps to improve environmental conditions at tourist sites. Actions supported in the energy sector contribute to reducing local air pollution and improving mechanisms for climate change mitigation. In the forestry sector, a new legal and regulatory framework fosters sustainable forestry management practices. Actions in the water program promote decentralization o f water management responsibilities to river basin agencies to improve the allocation o f water resources and enhance programs for water pollution control. Actions to improve environmental management strengthen the capacity of environment authorities to foster accountability and transparency and to mitigate potential negative impacts o f investment projects. Increased public participation in decision-making and transparency in environmental management processes help ensure that the needs o f vulnerable persons are taken into account in decision-making on environmental issues which affect them. ENVSAL program faces a number o f macroeconomic, political, social and institutional risks. The potential (i) Macroeconomic risks could be associated with effects o n the Mexican economy caused by a sharper slowdown o f the U S (and global) economy, a stronger than expected tightening o f monetary policy conditions, and a high volatility o f o i l prices. Recenl experience shows that such a slowdown most likely will affeci Mexican economic growth rather than price stability or access t c ... Vlll external financing. A sharper tightening o f monetary policy in the U S will lead not only to an increase o f interest rates on external financing requirements, but also - and more importantly - to an increase o f domestic interest rates. Mexico has made important progress, however, to reduce i t s vulnerability to adverse shocks and to enhance i t s ability to absorb such shocks. (ii)Political risks would be associated with the Mexican presidential election scheduled to take place in 2006 exist. Changes within the cabinet prior to the election, as well as the change of administration in December 2006, may result in a loss of momentum to complete the reforms supported by this program. These risks are mitigated by the following factors: the legal and regulatory framework established under ENVDPL I1 through the enactment o f laws and regulations provides a basis to ensure the continuity o f the policies, and the design o f the program, which anchors the formulation o f sectoral environmental strategies on consensus-building among different stakeholders, further strengthens the basis for continuity o f policies. (iii) Potential barriers to decentralize water resources management responsibilities to the water basin agencies and to promote a greater degree o f transparency, accountability and public participation pose certain social and institutional risks. These risks are addressed by the actions supported by the program: (a) an effective capacity building program; (b) an accountability framework and a tracking system that will monitor decentralization o f environmental functions and competencies; (c) transparent and accessible environmental public infomatior systems; (d) an enhanced communication strategy for the sector; and (e) the development o f financial autonomy plans in the case 01 decentralization to water basin agencies, as well as support foi capacity building activities supported by other Bank operations particularly the Integrated Management o f Basins and Aquifer: Project. PO79748 ix I. INTRODUCTION 1. This document proposes a Second Programmatic Environment Development Policy Loan (ENVDPL 11)’ o f US$200.510 million to the government o f Mexico (GOM). This development policy loan (DPL) i s the second in a series o f three loans, to be disbursed over a five-year period, and aims to support the government’s efforts to achieve the objectives of: (i)mainstreaming environmental concerns in the development agenda o f key sectors (tourism, energy, water and forestry) and (ii) improving the efficiency and effectiveness o f local environmental management processes in Mexico. The E N V S A L program and proposed loan directly support actions that promote environmental sustainability, which, in addition to reducing poverty, inequality, and increasing competitiveness, i s one o f the four pillars o f the 2004-2008 Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for Mexico and the GOM’s Program for Promoting Sustainable Development in the Federal Government (PSDFG). Progress on key actions completed by GOM up to M a y 2005 under ENVDPL I1 is summarized in Annex 1. 2. The first loan (ENVSAL I), completed in FY 2004, supported important initial actions consistent with the objectives o f the E N V S A L program. These actions included, among others, the establishment o f mechanisms for inter-institutional coordination among key sectors, the development o f medium-term targets to guide the incorporation o f environmental concerns in these sectors, and modifications o f laws to facilitate improvements and increase transparency in environmental management. The specific achievements o f ENVSAL Iare summarized in the Implementation Completion Report for the operation.2 The actions and activities to be supported by the proposed loan build o n the achievements o f E N V S A L Iand represent significant advances in the government’s medium-term program. A third loan, contemplated for 2007, would support the GOM’s efforts to consolidate and ensure the sustainability o f i t s environmental mainstreaming program in the long term. 3. The prior actions completed by the GOM for E N V D P L I1 include: (i) establishment and implementation o f a set o f indicators and benchmarks for measurement o f good environmental performance o f tourist facilities and destinations; (ii) Secretariat o f Energy-approved design o f a national fund for renewable energy promotion; (iii) establishment and start o f operation o f a Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Office, involving SENER and SEMARNAT, according to rules set up at the Marrakech and Bonn Conferences o f the Parties o f the UNFCCC; (iv) publication o f water availability data and an improved water rights registry as foundational steps in the implementation o f a functioning water rights market, consistent with the current regulatory framework; and (v) the initiation o f decentralization efforts (as evidenced by signature o f a convenio, capacity building, or joint operation) by over 10 States, including the decentralization The Program was first presented as a programmatic Structural Adjustment Program in 2002, but has been redesigned for the proposed operation as a Development Policy Program in accordance with the Bank’s recently approved Operational Policy 8.60 on Development Policy Lending. ENVDPL I1 previously has been referred to as ENVSAL 11. The three-phase loan program continues to be referred to as the E N V S A L program. SimpliJed Implementation Completion Report. United Mexican States: First Programmatic Environment Structural .4djustment Loan, Loan No. 7136-ME. Washington: DC: ‘The World Bank. 2004. 3GOM’s Environmental Mainstreaming Agenda i s synonymoiis to the Agenda de Tqansversalidad de las Politicas Plihlicsls Amhientales. ’ 1 o f permit issuance functions for sustainable wildlife use in three states, for sustainable use o f forest resources in one state, and the decentralization o f environmental licenses for industrial discharges and.emissions (Licencia Ambiental Unica) in two states. 4. Additional key actions undertaken by the G O M under ENVDPL I1 include: (i) the development o f action plans in fourteen key tourist destinations to implement local Agenda 21 Programs for Sustainable Tourism; (ii) the evaluation o f programs to improve the quality o f transport fuels and the establishment o f incentives to promote energy efficiency and renewable energy; (iii) the enactment o f a new General L a w for Sustainable Forestry Development and regulations consistent with the law; (iv) passing o f amendments to the National Water Law, the publication o f water availability data, and an improved water rights registry as foundational steps in the implementation o f a functioning water rights market; and (v) the decentralization o f environmental management functions including streamlining the administrative procedures in the environment sector and continuing to implement the L a w on Transparency, which will allow public scrutiny o f environmental management. 5. This report i s organized as follows: Chapter I1 describes the country’s economic context, including recent economic developments and the macroeconomic environment. Chapter I11 presents the government’s environmental mainstreaming agenda and discusses the measures it has taken to address the challenges it faces, including specific measures supported by the operations that constitute the D P L program. In this context, the chapter summarizes the achievements o f E N V S A L I and details specific actions and activities to be supported by E N V D P L 11. Furthermore, prospective activities and actions to be supported by a future operation (ENVDPL 111) are introduced. Chapter I V discusses the rationale for the Bank’s involvement in the reform efforts in Mexico and the lessons learned from ENVSAL I. Chapter V describes the specific objectives o f the E N V D P L 11, including prior actions completed and triggers met by the G O M for E N V D P L 11. Finally, Chapter V I discusses implementation o f the proposed operation. The GOM’s Letter o f Development Policy i s presented in Annex 4. 11. THE ECONOMIC CONTEXT 6. The Mexican economy gained momentum in 2004 by taking advantage o f a global economic recovery and strong oil prices. Broad-based economic growth - the highest since 2000 - was achieved within a framework o f macroeconomic and financial stability. Moderate levels o f inflation, fiscal discipline and a strengthened domestic financial system provide a solid foundation for economic performance throughout the remaining period o f the current administration, the upcoming presidential elections (July 2006), and the transition to the next administration. 7. Important policy challenges to enhance the economy’s competitiveness and growth capacity remain. Political pluralism has hampered ambitious reforms in areas such as broadening the tax base, private sector participation in the energy sector, labor market regulation and judicial modernization. The fragmentation o f Congress, as well as the upcoming presidential elections, i s likely to limit progress o n the reform agenda over the next year-and-a-half to less contentious elements o f the reform initiatives and issues that do not require legislative approval. 2 8. Strengthened monetary, financial sector, fiscal and debt management policies and institutions should allow the Mexican economy to cope with market volatilities related to a period of increased political competition. Heightened political uncertainty in the run-up to the presidential elections may lead to increased volatility o n financial markets with adverse implications for the real economy. Mexico has had a particularly bad experience in this regard, as some o f the country’s worst economic crises took place during periods o f political transition. With the election o f President Fox in 2000, however, Mexico was able to avoid an economic crisis due to its flexible exchange rate and prudent monetary, fiscal and debt management policies, which have been maintained under the Fox administration. In addition to the progress achieved with the continued implementation o f sound policies and a strengthening o f the institutional framework, Mexican policymakers will be taking additional precautionary measures to further reduce economic and market vulnerabilities during the upcoming period o f political transition. A. RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS 9. Broad-based economic growth during 2004 consolidatedthe recovery from the slowgrowth and recessionary period that started at the end o f 2000. Real GDP for 2004 expanded by 4.4 percent, a slightly higher rate than earlier expected and a sharp contrast to the weak growth registered during the previous three years. A strong global economic expansion, high international o i l prices and export revenue, favorable external financial conditions, and an increased availability o f domestic credit stimulated aggregate demand in 2004 in all o f i t s major categories: private consumption, investment and exports, thereby raising the level o f economic activity and employment. 10. A significant resumption of non-oil export growth sparked the recovery o f economic activity and confirms a strong integration of a substantial segment o f Mexican industry into U.S. industrial growth. Non-oil exports increased by 12.9 percent in 2004, compared to an average annual decline o f 0.8 percent in the preceding three years. Mexican non-oil export performance and industrial production are closely related to the U.S. industrial production cycle, even though Mexican goods lost some o f their market share in U.S. imports, indicating some structural problems o f competitiveness and productivity. 11. Continued price stability and an increasing availability of domestic credit contributed to a further strengthening o f private consumption and a recovery of business investment demand. Throughout the past economic recession, the expansion o f private consumption exercised a moderating impact o n the downturn o f economic activity. Despite a reduction in formal sector employment, the lack o f an erosion in real wages due to a further reduction in the level o f inflation allowed for such a positive evolution o f private consumption, The outlook o f continued price stability, as well as policies implemented over the past few years aimed at a consolidation o f the country’s banking industry and financial sector development, also allowed for a sound domestic credit expansion. In 2004, for the first time since the 1995 banking crisis, the amount of commercial bank credit outstanding to the private sector in Mexico showed an increase in real terms, thereby providing an additional impulse for private consumption and business investment. 3 12. Jobs lost in the formal, private sector during the recession were almost fully recovered in the expansion of economic activity during 2004. Even though the number o f jobs in the formal private sector i s now back at the level observed before the recession, i.e., end-2000, the continued expansion o f the economically active population demands a stronger generation o f employment opportunities. According to a renewed, monthly national employment survey, only 37 percent o f the total working population enjoys access to employment-related social security benefits. 13. Headline inflation rising above its medium-term target interval o f 2-4 percent triggered a cycle o f monetary policy tightening. Annual consumer price inflation increased throughout 2004, with year-end inflation up at 5.2 percent compared to 4.0 percent at the end o f 2003. The rapid increase in inflation during 2004 has been attributed in part to temporary supply shocks in areas such as agricultural goods and international commodities. Monetary policy conditions were nevertheless tightened o n several occasions throughout 2004 and early 2005 in order to avoid a spill-over into inflation expectations and contractual wage settlements. Monetary restraint also took place in line with and in anticipation o f a tightening o f U.S. monetary policy. Domestic interest rates, in particular toward the short-end o f the curve, moved up significantly after having reached historically l o w levels in mid-2003. 14. The government managed to keep the deficit within i t s annual budget targets and in line with its medium-term target o f fiscal consolidation. Higher-than-budgeted o i l revenue played an important role in achieving the annual fiscal targets, compensating for lower tax revenue and higher expenditure in public investment and revenue sharing with state and municipal governments. The increase o f oil-related budget revenue by almost 2 percentage points o f gross domestic product (GDP) over the past two years thus allowed for a budget deficit reduction by almost half that amount, though not in addition to the original deficit reduction target (Table 11-1). This led to a substantial increase o f the public sector reliance on o i l revenue, raising i t s share f r o m slightly under 30 percent o f total revenue in 2002 t o 36 percent in 2004, and amplifyingthe vulnerability o f public sector finances to a drop in international o i l prices. Table 11-1. Budgetary public sector revenue, exp % o f GDP) Revenue Oil Non-Oil O.W. Tax revenue 2002 22.1% 6.5% 15.6% 9.8% 2003 23.2% 7.7% 15.5% 9.8% 2004 23.2% 8.4% 14.9% 9.4% Expenditures Current Capital State and municipal revenue share Interest 23.2% 13.8% 3.2% 3.4% 2.8% 23.7% 14.7% 2.9% 3.6% 2.8% 23.2% 13.9% 3.4% 3.8% 2.7% Other (negative means net expenditure) -0.1% -0.2% -0.3% Budget Balance (negative means.deficit) -1.2% -0.6% -0.3% Source: Bank staff estimates based on data fiom SHCP 4 ..and was broad-based with an expansion of exports, private consumption and investment. Econorricgrov4h recovered fromthe 2001-2003 recession ... 12% .I! I 3+ 2w 2001 2co2 I m 2003 Hgh oil prices boosted government revenue ... EO% n 0 Consumption 0 Changes in Stocks IInvestment 0 Expons ..led to a recovery of formal, private sector employment. I - I 2001 -m 2002 2004 2003 -Mexican Mx 2000 ZOO1 ... Mi 2000 I I (2000=100) - U S I (2000=100) 2003 2004 ..allowing for a reduction of public debt to GDP. Continued strong integration of Mexican industry into US. industrial production --Mexico ZOO2 2001 2002 ExtemaJDebt I Domestic Debt 5 2003 2004 15. Off-budget items continue to contribute substantially to the public sector borrowing requirements (PSBR) and were reduced less than earlier envisaged largely through the increased use o f off-budget finance o f public investments in the energy sector (Table 11-2). In addition to the traditional budget balance measure, the Secretariat o f Finance (SHCP) started to publish as o f 2001 a broader PSBR measure, including several off-budget expenditure items, e.g., the cost to the public sector o f the bank and toll road bail-outs (Institute for the Protection o f Bank Savings, IPAB, and the toll road rescue program, FARAC) and the private sector financed projects in the state-owned energy sector companies (PIDIREGAS). The broader or augmented PSBR (or PSBR without non-recurrent revenue) measure strengthens the need for fiscal consolidation. Budget Deficit PID~REGAS IPAB, FAKAC 2002 1.2% 0.8% 0.6% 2003 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 2004 0.3% 1.1% 0.4% PSBR 2.6% 2.5% 1.9% Non-recurrent revenue -0.7% -0.7% -0.7% PSBR without non-recurrent revenue 3.3% 3.2% 2.7% 16. Public debt-to-GDP ratios started to head downwards in 2004 as a result o f fiscal consolidation, higher growth and exchange rate stabilization, though remain at a considerably high level. The total net public debt-to-GDP ratio fell by about three percentage points to 41.4 percent in 2004, thereby recovering the level attained earlier in 2001 (Table 11-3). The increase o f the debt-to-GDP ratio in 2002 and 2003 should be attributed mainly to a below average growth and a depreciation o f the real exchange rate, counteracting the impact o f fiscal consolidation on the ratio during this period. In 2004, these three basic elements that bring about changes in the debt-to-ratio were aligned thereby allowing for the reduction in the ratio as observed. 2000 Total Net Augmented Debt Domestic External Budgetary PIDIREGAS IPAB, FARAC and other I 42.2% 27.6% 14.6% 21.1% 2.8% 1 18.4% 2001 2002 2003 41.7% 43.7% 44.5% 28.2% 28.3% 13.5% 15.5% 21.O% 22.7% 23.3% 2.7% 3.9% 5.1% 17.2% 16.1% 17.9% 17. ' 28.0% ~ 16.5% 7 41.4% 25.7% 15.7% 22.4% - 5.6% 13.3% The 2001 quarterly publication o f the augmented debt, similar to the adoption o f the broadened PSBR deficit measure, greatly enhances the transparency o f public finances and allows for a better understanding and international comparison o f the level and evolution o f public debt. Mexico manages some public sector liabilities outside o f i t s regular budget. A 6 broad debt measure, including such off-budget public sector liabilities, allows for a more accurate assessment o f fiscal and debt sustainability and balance sheet vulnerabilities by both the public and private sector. The Mexican authorities observe and publish the traditional net budgetary debt as well as the broader net augmented debt, including all government guaranteed debt. An even broader measure would suggest the use o f gross instead o f net debt, increasing in the case o f Mexico the debt-to-GDP ratio by another 5-6 percentage points over the past few years, At a gross augmented debt-to-GDP ratio o f about 47 percent at the end o f 2004, Mexico maintains a level o f debt slightly below the median o f a group o f comparable emerging market economie~.~ 18. Mexico has no Purchases and Loans outstanding with the IMF and maintains periodic bilateral discussions as part of the Fund’s regular surveillance program. The last Article I V consultation was concluded by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Executive Board on October 18, 2004. The Executive Directors commended the Mexican authorities for the continued pursuit o f sound macroeconomic policies, referring in particular to a track record o f meeting fiscal targets, the successful implementation o f an inflation-targeting framework, an effective flexible exchange rate regime, a sound banking sector, and a commitment to reduce vulnerabilities relating to public debt. Some o f the main challenges going forward include reinvigorating the program o f structural reforms and establishing mechanisms to reduce the budget dependency o n volatile o i l revenues. The staff report, a Public Information Notice, and a statement by the Executive Director for Mexico have been published in December 2004 and are available on the internet (www.imf.org). B. MEDIUM-TERM MACROECONOMIC PROSPECTS AND DEBT SUSTAINABILITY 19. The external conditions that provided a favorable economic environment during 2004 are unlikely to prevail over the next few years, while limited progress on the legislative reform agenda will keep economic growth in Mexico largely subject to the evolution of U.S. growth. The government’s medium-term growth projection o f 4.0 percent annual average GDP growth for 2005-2008 may thus result slightly more challenging to attain, even though the budget assumption o f 3.8 percent GDP growth in 2005 seems well within reach in view o f the higher-than-expected, broad-based growth performance last year. A moderation o f US. growth, lower o i l prices, higher international interest rates and increased political uncertainty in the run-up to the presidential elections and change o f administration are slowing down economic growth in the medium term. GDP Inflation Current Account 3.8% 3.9% -1.6% Source: Bank staff estimates based on data from SHCP 3.6% 3.8% -2.0% 3.4% 3.5% -2.2% Moissinac, Vincent. Mexico: Selected Issues. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund. 2004. 7 3.4% 3.5% -2.4% 20. Sound monetary and fiscal policies will contribute to a continuation o f the broadbased economic growth that will avoid the creation o f major macroeconomic imbalances and lead to only a gradual and moderate increase o f the country’s balance o f payments current account deficit. Consolidation o f the progress attained in the reduction o f inflation, the banking sector, and reforms in the country’s financial sector will continue the healthy expansion o f domestic credit and financial intermediation contributing to the growth o f domestic consumption and investment in line with the steady development o f external demand. Financing o f the country’s external deficit, at about 2.0 - 2.5 percent o f GDP, will continue to take place largely through non-debt creating foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, thereby maintaining the current moderate vulnerability to adverse shifts in market sentiment. 21. T h e government’s medium-term fiscal framework aims at further fiscal consolidation and reduction o f the public debt-to-GDP ratio. With the presentation o f i t s 2005 budget in September o f last year, the government updated its medium-term fiscal projections for the period covering 2005-2008. The projections include ambitious targets o n the budget balance, consisting o f a small budget surplus as o f 2006, and a reduction o f off-budget financing incorporating only existing PIDIREGAS projects. The fiscal consolidation effort envisaged in this framework should reduce the net augmented debt to about 35 percent o f GDP by 2008. Bank staff estimates o n the basis o f current information, including an adjustment o f economic growth and o i l price assumptions for the period, points at a more gradual reduction o f the debt-to-GDP ratio to about 39 percent by 2008. These estimates assume that the government will be able to attain i t s budget balance target and allow for a slightly higher than envisaged offbudget financing o f publicly guaranteed private sector financed investments in the energy sector in order to assure future o i l production. Despite some remaining vulnerabilities, public debt management diminished the 22. exposure to refinancing, interest and exchange rate risks. A consistent implementation o f the public debt management strategy aimed at reducing vulnerabilities and long-term financing costs has led to a significant strengthening o f the government’s debt structure. The increasing use made o f long-term fixed rate peso denominated bonds (with 3, 5, 7, 10 and 20-year fixed rate notes now issued on a regular basis) to finance public sector needs contributed to a rapid increase in the average maturity o f domestic government debt, a reduction o f debt and debt service payment sensitivity to changes in interest rates or inflation, and the development o f the domestic yield curve. External financing o f budgetary financing needs has been restricted to the refinancing o f existing liabilities and repayments, thereby limitingthe increase in external debt to the off-budget PIDIREGAS debt. As the latter i s used for investment in the energy sector (primarily oil), generating mainly foreign currency related revenue, this policy has contributed to a reduction o f exchange rate risk o f public debt. The Hacienda cycle and Transformation program includes public debt management activities within SHCP in areas such as registration, accounting and on-line availability o f information o n public debt and debt transactions enhancing the implementation o f debt and debt service related operations and the formulation o f adequate debt management strategies. 23. Mexico’s macroeconomic framework i s solid and i s adequate for the purpose o f this operation. Progress achieved in attaining macroeconomic stability i s starting to pay o f f with economic growth stabilizing around the economy’s current growth potential. Improvements in the country’s sovereign credit risk ratings are yet another reflection o f such progress achieved 8 and provide a reasonable assurance o f continued adequate access to external finance, even at times o f increased market volatility. The Hacienda Transformation program further enhances the ability o f the government to implement fiscal policies, including the formulation o f adjustments in case o f shocks by providing accurate and timely information on the evolution o f public sector revenue and expenditure. 24. Environmental degradation and unsustainable use of natural resources can affect the country’s prospects for long-term economic growth. The tourism sector (which contributes about 9 percent of GDP) would seriously overlook and compromise its growth by not incorporating the -environment and i t s potential impact on the sector. In the case o f the energy sector, environmental impacts o n human health can affect labor productivity. A casual estimation suggests that a 10 percent reduction in ozone and fine particulate matter levels would be associated with health and productivity benefits o f US$2 billion per year.5The forestry sector is affected by continued deforestation, which i s associated with an increased frequency in flooding and landslides, loss o f agricultural land due to erosion, and loss o f livelihoods for forest dwellers, most o f whom are impoverished. Finally, water pollution has been estimated by the National Water Commission (CNA) to result in a significant loss o f social welfare. 25. Impacts of environmental degradation o n human health, economic activities, and social welfare indicate that the incorporation o f environmental concerns in key economic sectors i s crucial to ensure the sustainability o f long-term economic growth. The costs o f addressing environmental degradation and unsustainable use o f natural resources crowd out other socially desirable expenses which could undermine long-term macroeconomic stability. Safeguarding the environment and natural resource base over the long-term serves as a complement to sound macroeconomic policies in enabling sustained high quality growth. Since much environmental degradation results from productive sectors, there i s a growing need for inter-sectoral coordination in order to address them adequately. 111. A. THE GOVERNMENT PROGRAM GOVERNMENT’S OVERALL PROGRAM 26. Environmental degradation and overexploitation o f natural resources l i e at the very core o f Mexico’s development challenges. The loss o f social welfare associated with these factors has been estimated at 10 percent o f GDP, while expenditure in environmental protection has averaged around 0.5% percent o f GDP6. These estimates underscore significant loss o f productivity and inefficient use o f valuable resources, which the environment sector can address adequately only by coordinating its efforts with those o f the economic sectors that are responsible for the largest share o f environmental degradation. ~~~ ~ Evans, John et al. “Health Benefits ofAir Pollution Control,” Air Quality in the Mexico Megacity, Mexico City: Kluwer Academic Publishers. 2002. Instituto Nacional de Estadistica Geogrhfica e Informhtica. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de M h i c o : Sistema de Cuentas Econdmicasy Ecoldgicas de MPxico (1993-1 999). Mexico City: INEGI. 2000. 9 27. The G O M has embarked o n an extensive reform program aimed to enhance the country’s competitiveness and stimulate economic growth’. At the core o f this program, the G O M acknowledges significant potential linkages between environment, competitiveness, and economic growth. These potential linkages are evident in: (i)the opportunity to employ Mexico’s richly endowed natural environment as a competitive advantage to meet the demands o f more selective and lucrative markets; and (ii) the need for governmental interventions to address the inability o f the market to mitigate the negative impacts o f environmental degradation on human health, productivity, and competitiveness. The overarching objectives o f the ENVSAL program were designed specifically to 28. support the G O M in introducing policy reforms that strategically focus o n the above-mentioned linkages in order to mainstream the environment in key sectors and improve the effectiveness and efficiency o f local environmental management. Specific actions accomplished by the G O M with the support o f E N V D P L I1 are presented in Annex 2. With respect to environmental mainstreaming in key development agendas, the G O M has selected four sectors in which environmental issues are closely linked with the country’s broader development agenda: tourism, energy, water and forestry. Results from analytical work show that environmental mainstreaming i s crucial in these sectors for the sustainability o f Mexico’s growth,’ particularly since the sectors play a fundamental role in fostering or constraining economic growth and investment. 29. In 2001, the G O M presented i t s “National Development Plan (NDP) 2001-2006,” which outlines the policies and strategies that the Federal Government would pursue to achieve Mexico’s development goals. The N D P identifies the country’s priorities and provides the basis for the creation o f three cabinet-level commissions to address them. The commissions focus o n three strategic areas: Social and Human Development, Growth with Quality (sustainable economic development), and Order and Respect (governance and rule o f law). The importance o f the environment and natural resource sector in the N D P is highlighted by the fact that it i s the only sector that i s included in all three commissions, in recognition of: (i) the linkages between environment and social welfare in promoting social and human development; (ii) the need to rationally use the country’s natural capital and its environment to stimulate sustainable growth; and (iii) the urgency o f environmental problems related to water and forestry that require them to be treated as national security issues. 30. The N D P lists the programs to be carried out b y the executive branch and describes the twelve principles that guide their development and implementation. Four o f these principles are o f particular relevance for environmental management: (i)Sustainability means that environmental considerations are to be incorporated in all government programs; (ii)Competitiveness calls for increased efficiency and effectiveness in regulation and governmental services to assist the development o f the productive sector; (iii) Federalism calls for greater decentralization based o n efficacy; and ’ Presidencia de la Republica. Plan Nacional de Desarrollo 2001-2006. Mexico City: Gobiemo de 10s Estados Unidos Mexicanos. 200 1. The selection o f these priority environmental areas i s based on analytical work carried out by agencies o f GOM, with the support o f multilateral organizations such as OECD, ECLAC, and the World Bank. 10 (iv) Transparency requires setting clear criteria and procedures for governmental decisionmaking processes and informing the citizenry about the progress o f federal programs and the resources that they used. 31. In line with the NDP, the Secretariat o f Environment and Natural Resources (SEMARNAT) prepared the Environment and Natural Resources Program (ENRP) 200 1-2006. The ENRP lays out a new environmental policy, which stresses the need to mainstream the sustainability principle in the actions of ministries and institutions representing various economic sectors. SEMARNAT developed 16 additional programs to address different environmental concerns. Among these i s the Program to Promote Sustainable Development in the Federal Government (PSDFG), which outlined activities to be undertaken by 16 ministries and a encies to improve the sustainability o f their actions, together with corresponding specific goals. Early 5 in 2004, the ENRP was expanded to incorporate goals for a total o f 32 public institutions in the Environmental Mainstreaming Agenda for Sustainable Development. 32. The importance of mainstreaming environmental concerns in key productive sectors o f the economy is evident in light o f the common underlying objective in each o f the sectors mentioned above to incorporate principles o f sustainability in their actions and activities. The GOM has identified the tourism, energy, forestry, and water sectors as key drivers o f economic growth in the country and i s taking significant steps to guarantee that economic growth does not occur at the expense o f environmental degradation. Environmental mainstreaming allows the GOM to ensure that the significant contributions o f these sectors to the welfare o f the country are not undermined by undesirable impacts on health and productivity. 33. In 2002, the G O M requested the Bank’s support for the strategic components o f i t s program described above. E N V D P L I1 aims to deepen and consolidate the reforms that were initiated under the first operation (ENVSAL I) by providing assistance to continue the efforts o f the GOM: (i) to mainstream environmental considerations in key economic sectors identified as priorities, namely tourism, energy, water, and forestry, and (ii) to improve the efficiency and effectiveness o f environmental management processes. Environmental mainstreaming will help advance Mexico’s sustainability agenda and will focus o n the four sectors that have been selected by the GOM. In line with the NDP, improving the efficiency and effectiveness o f environmental management processes will support the environmental sector’s contributions to enhancing competitiveness, decentralization, and transparency. The following sections describe in detail the environmental challenges faced in each o f the four priority sectors and the GOM’s program to incorporate sustainability in the sectors by addressing the environmental challenges. B. ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES IN THE TOURISM SECTOR AND GOVERNMENT STRATEGY 34. The tourism sector has been, and continues to be, one o f Mexico’s main drivers o f economic growth. Mainstreaming environmental considerations into the tourism sector has allowed Mexico to strengthen its competitive advantages to meet the demand o f high end market segments and provide a more sustainable basis for all tourism activities. The sector generates Secretaria de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales. Transversalidadde las Politicas Pziblicas para el Desarrollo Sustentable, Mexico City: SEMARNAT. 2004. 11 approximately 9 percent o f the country’s GDP and over 5 percent o f paid jobs nationwide.’O The industry also provides relatively high-paying jobs, with high average annual earnings relative to the national average. International tourism, largely explains the industry’ s vigor. During 2003 , tourism generated foreign currency inflows close to US$ 9,500 million, the third largest amount after o i l exports and remittances. Tourism in Mexico has significant growth potential, as the country ranks Sth among world tourist destinations and receives roughly 3 percent o f the world’s travelers. Revenues from international tourists have grown since 2000 and official sources forecast a 42.5 percent increase for the period 2000-2006, based on projected U.S. economic recovery and the comparative advantage o f Mexican destinations.” These figures attest to the progress that Mexico has achieved in reversing the loss o f competitiveness that characterized the sector during the 1 9 9 0 ~ ’ ~ 35. The importance o f the liqkages between the tourism sector’s growth and environmental quality i s evident. A recent customer perception survey o f 18 variables that affect the satisfaction o f tourists with their travel experiences, conducted by the Secretariat o f Tourism (SECTUR) in 2002 and 2003, indicated that among the key factors that determine the selection o f tourist destinations in the country are (in order o f importance) security, environmental quality, and attractiveness o f features at tourist sites. Two o f these factors, however, cannot be manipulated easily by the sector. The effects o f security are clear from observations o f tourist volumes to Mexico following September 11, 2001. Increased security measures post-September 11 contributed to renewing tourists’ confidence and attitudes to international travel and resulted in increased tourist volumes in Mexico. The attractiveness o f a tourist site is typically an independent variable defined by the presence or absence o f certain intrinsic qualities o f the site and as such, offers limited opportunity to be affected for the purpose o f influencing tourist activity. By contrast, the environmental quality factor offers a greater opportunity to be influenced for the purpose o f strengthening tourist activity and indeed the development o f the sector. 36. Environmental quality was rated as barely satisfactory and received the lowest score o f all variables examined in the 2002 customer perception survey. l3 Environmental deterioration, as perceived by surveyed tourists, was the direct consequence o f the sector’s development path in which activities geared toward attracting a larger number o f visitors were not matched with adequate planning and investment to ensure that tourist sites developed adequate infrastructure to service visitors. This situation was aggravated by the fact that an increase in the number o f visitors results in a growth o f the local population, as the industry’s high paying jobs attract individuals from other locations. Consequently, many local authorities had been unable to develop adequate infrastructure to dispose o f and treat wastes generated by tourists and local populations. The importance o f tourism development that i s balanced with adequate lo Instituto Nacional de Estadistica, Geografia e Informbtica. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de M h i c o : Cuenta Satdite del Sector Turismo. Mexico City: INEGI. 2003. l1Secretaria de Turismo. Evolucidn del Turismo 2000 - 2004. Mexico City: SECTUR. 2004. l2During the 199Os, Mexico’s share o f total revenues generated by international tourism fell from 2.05 percent to 1.7 percent, average international tourist expenditure went from US$7 18 to US$655, and average stay decreased fiom 3.96 to 3.4 days. By 2000, the country received roughly 3 percent o f the world’s travelers, compared to 3.75 ercent in 1990. Secretaria de Turismo. hdice de Satisfaccidn, Turismo Internacional Abreo, 14 Destinos, Resultados Anuales 2002. Mexico City: SECTUR. (www.sectbr.gob.mx) 12 environmental management is hrther highlighted given the trend among a growing number o f consumers to demand sustainable practices in the destinations that they choose to visit. 37. In addition to the environmental problems described above, Mexico’s tourist industry faces the challenge o f diversifying in order to remain competitive as some segments o f the tourist market shift from massive “sun and sand” destinations, which account for 32 percent o f international travel to Mexico, to “theme” travel. Tourism studies in the region have shown that international tourists are willing to pay more for, and spend more time in, destinations with greater diversity, meaning a greater variety o f both in-site activities and types o f natural settings that can be visited. As a biologically and culturally diverse country, Mexico i s well positioned to attract a growing number o f tourist^.'^ 38. In 2001, the G O M developed a strategy to increase its market share in the tourism sector by increasing its competitiveness, which is inextricably linked to the quality and diversity o f the environment. In that same year SECTUR presented the National Program for Tourism 20012006, which acknowledges the limitations o f the sector’s past development model and establishes the attainment o f sustainable destinations as one o f the key pillars o f the program. Starting in 2003, SECTUR developed various programs aimed at increasing the sector’s Mkxico Limpio y Querido, a program that, among other goals, seeks sustainability, including: (i) to reduce pollution in tourist destinations, particularly from solid wastes; (ii) The Agenda 21 for Mexican Tourism, which provides a fi-amework for action aimed at sustainable tourism development with a strong emphasis on implementation at the municipal level; and (iii)a program to foster the compliance o f tourist facilities with environmental law. 39. The National Program for Tourism 2001-2006 seeks to establish tourism as a national priority, anchored to the following inter-related pillars: (i) achieving satisfaction o f tourists traveling in Mexico; (ii)attaining sustainable destinations; and (iii)developing competitive tourism businesses. The program recognizes the inter-connection o f the tourism sector with other sectors o f the economy, and consequently promotes a model that fosters inter-sectoral coordination as a means to strengthen the competitiveness o f the sector and achieve lasting results. With respect to attaining sustainable destinations, the program promotes actions aimed at strengthening the capacity o f local and regional actors to address the challenges o f tourism development; creating regional synergies that promote integration and increase competitiveness; and implementing programs and projects within a framework o f sustainability. In addition, the program seeks to incorporate state and municipal institutions as integral participants o f the program’s strategy through the assignment o f adequate financial resources and the definition o f concrete regional plans according to regional needs. 40. One o f the main elements o f the National Program for Tourism is the promotion o f sustainable development o f tourism consistent with the government’s goal o f growth with quality and in collaboration with the environment sector and other local actors. Efforts to this end include preparation, consensus-building and implementation o f a Program for Sustainable Tourism, aimed at ensuring that new tourism developments do not create significant l 4 Adventure, ecological, and cultural tourism represented less than 1% o f the total revenues generated by the international tourists in 2000. Source: Secretaria d.: Turismo. Evolucidn del Turismo 2000 - 2004. Mexico City: SECTUR. 2004. I 13 environmental problems and at remediating environmental damage in existing destinations through several activities, including: (i)implementing Agenda 2 1 recommendations; (ii) preparation with SEMARNAT o f a municipal agenda for environmental management; (iii) preparation o f an environmental agenda for coastal municipalities; (iv) implementation o f a monitoring system for sustainable tourism to facilitate the evaluation o f existing environmental conditions at tourist destinations and the impact o f actions to promote sustainability; and (v) carrying out a communication program to publicly disseminate information on successful cases. 41. The E N V S A L Isupported the design o f the Government’s Program aimed at ensuring the mainstreaming o f environmental concerns in tourism through: (i)the establishment o f appropriate goals for the medium-term, (ii) the implementation o f key building blocks to move towards these goals, (iii)the coordination o f and strengthened consensus among key stakeholders, and (iv) the systematic measurement o f progress and impact. Specifically, the G O M moved forward with the design and implementation o f a National Program for Tourism 200 1-2006 that emphasizes environmental mainstreaming. The Intersectoral Technical Working Group (ITWG) for the tourism sector was established to play a key role in defining the sectoral agenda and priorities, with input from other sectors. In addition, the ENVSAL Isupported legal reforms designed to decrease the overexploitation of, and improve the operation o f and investments in, national tourism resources through direct and indirect charges. These reforms included Congress’ approval o f articles 198, 198a, and 238-B o f the Ley Federal de Derechos, which allow for user fees for maritime activities, protected areas, and whale-watching, respectively, with provisions for earmarking revenue generated by a particular tourism resource for reinvestment in that resource. As a result, a 200-fold increase in marine park revenues was achieved under ENVSAL I by rechanneling funds generated from marine user fees from protected areas back to the sector. To foster increased transparency and improvements in environmental management, the G O M publicly discloses information o n the amount o f funds collected from user fees for protected areas. B.l ACTIONS SUPPORTED BY ENVDPL I1 42. During the last three years, SECTUR has established coordination mechanisms with the environmental sector and other stakeholders to address the tourism sector’s challenges by: (i) coordinating the public and private sector efforts to ensure that tourism-related activities do not create significant environmental problems, and that adequate investments are made to minimize the sector’s environmental impacts; (ii) developing higher-value tourism products in conjunction with tourism authorities; and (iii) ensuring that adequate financing is available for the provision and maintenance o f public goods that attract tourists, such as beaches, natural protected areas, and environmental quality. Specific actions completed in the tourism sector with the support o f ENVDPL I1are described below and summarized in Annex 3. 43. To promote sustainable tourism development, the GOM has developed pilot local Agenda 21 action plans in 14 key tourism destinations: Acapulco, Cozumel, Bahia de Banderas, Campeche, Cuetzalan, Guanajuato, Huatulco, Ixtapa-Zihuatanejo, Los Cabos, Manzanillo, Mazatlh, Oaxaca, Patzcuaro and San Miguel de Allende. The Agenda 21 for Mexican Tourism proposes strategies and actions in the short, medium and long terms that aim to: (i) strengthen the sustainable development o f tourism areas; (ii) promote participation o f local communities in tourism-related activities; and (iii) ensure the preservation o f natural and cultural resources o f 14 tourist destinations in Mexico. Local Agenda 21 Committees in these tourist destinations play a central role in building consensus among stakeholders for the implementation o f strategies to maximize social welfare, economic benefits, and environmental quality. 44. The G O M has established and begun implementation o f a set o f indicators and benchmarks to measure good environmental performance in tourist facilities and destinations. In addition, SECTUR, PROFEPA (Procuraduria Federal de Proteccidn a1 Ambiente, Federal Attorney General for Environmental Regulation) and the Mexican Association o f Hotels and Motels launched a certification scheme in 2004 to recognize responsible environmental performance by tourist facilities based on established environmental indicators o f sustainable tourism. The program provides incentives for full compliance with environmental law, which i s verified through voluntary audits. As o f M a y 2005, ten large tourist facilities (including hotels, golf clubs, and marinas) had been certified. 45. The General L a w for Prevention and Integrated Waste Management (Ley General para la Prevencidn y Gestidn Integral de 10s Residuos), enacted by the G O M in October 2003, provides a framework that fosters implementation o f waste management plans, particularly in urban settings, and i s consequently a much needed tool to foster the development o f mechanisms for private and public sector participation in the design and implementation o f waste management plans in tourist sites.” 46. In addition, SECTUR, SEMARNAT, the Secretariat o f Health and the Mexican N a v y initiated an Integrated Program for Clean Beaches (Programa Integral de Playas Limpias) in 2003 to monitor and publicly disclose water quality data o f Mexican beaches. Although the program met initial resistance stemming from concerns o n potential negative publicity caused by water pollution warnings, it has triggered substantive efforts by national and sub-national governments for the adequate treatment o f wastewater discharges. 47. In response to the growing number o f cruises that travel to Mexico, SECTUR developed a public policy containing provisions to mitigate their environmental impacts. As part o f this policy, SECTUR conducted a study to assess the carrying capacity o f a tourist destination. Based on the assessment, SECTUR has continued efforts to limit the number o f cruises to avoid a loss o f natural capital. 48. The G O M has found the ITWGs to be a useful mechanism for the delivery o f high quality products based on collaboration with other sectors. T o underscore this, the President created the Comisidn Intersecretarial de Turismo in 2004, which provides the institutional framework for better inter-institutional coordination among federal authorities, private sector and civil society around the sector’s main challenges and opportunities. Within the framework o f this l5The General Law for Prevention and Integrated Management o f Wastes has created the conditions for ensuring that municipalities assume the responsibility for collection, transport and final disposal o f wastes, as well as for the separation o f solid municipal wastes l?om hazardous wastes. Also, the Law incorporates the private sector in the provision o f waste management services and in the use o f waste sub-products in activities such as energy generation. The local Agenda 21 action plans have promoted collaboration among the public sector, private sector, and civil society to develop investment plans to address sustainable development priority issues in the main tourist destinations. Local Agenda 21 plans also have facilitated agreements for increases in tariffs for the provision o f water, wastewater treatment, and waste management services. 15 commission, ENVDPL I1supports the G O M with upstream analytical work and direct responses to mitigate the environmental challenges faced by the tourism sector. Analytical work supported by E N V D P L I1 will inform consensus-building and provide the basis for adoption and implementation o f an environmental policy for the tourism sector endorsed by SECTUR. Such analytical work includes: (i) the development o f scenarios o f tourism sector expansion; (ii) the assessment o f potential impacts o f alternative scenarios, including environmental and social costs, constraints and benefits; (iii) the assessment o f effectiveness o f current policy instruments; (iv) the assessment o f institutional capacity for environmental management; and (v) the identification o f priority issues and design or revision o f public policy and areas and regions o f critical developments. B.2 PERSPECTIVES FOR ENVDPL I11 49. Building on the achievements o f ENVDPL 11, the G O M has committed in the medium term to: (i)increase the number o f tourist destinations with local Agenda 21 action plans, including investment plans, from 14 to 35; (ii)develop a methodology to incorporate environmental considerations into urban and regional planning within Agenda 21 action plans; and (iii) adopt a unified sustainable tourism strategy endorsed by SECTUR based o n findings o f the strategic sectoral study supported by E N V D P L I1and through high-level workshops aimed at consensus-building involving all stakeholders. C. ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES IN THE ENERGY SECTOR AND GOVERNMENT STRATEGY 50. In Mexico, the energy sector is an important pillar o f economic growth with significant comparative advantages. The energy sector accounts for 3 percent o f GDP, 8 percent o f all exports, 37 percent o f fiscal revenues, and close to 60 percent o f public investment.16 According to the World Economic Forum both i t s o i l reserves and natural gas production rank 9th in the world. The country’s abundant reserves o f fossil fuels have played a key role in meeting 51. Mexico’s growing energy demand over the last decade. Hydrocarbons account for close to 90 percent o f primary energy p r o d ~ c t i o n . ’ Both ~ Mexico’s per capita and total final energy consumption have risen over time, but the country’s energy efficiency efforts have achieved reductions in terms o f energy intensity per unit o f GDP. Nonetheless, Mexico has an energy intensity (total primary energy supply/GDP) o f 0.42, which i s well above the 0.29 and 0.19 averages for Latin American and OECD countries, respectively. Consequently, there i s a need and a basis for the country to implement policies that will increase energy efficiency and renewable energy substantially. Furthermore, as a member o f the global economy, Mexico faces the dual challenge a f producing goods that satisfy the needs o f its domestic market and those o f i t s trading partners,’ which are often govemed by more stringent energy and environmental standards. 52. The environmental impacts o f energy sector activities, especially those impacts associated with energy consumption, are likely to increase as Mexico’s economic growth %ecretaria de Energia. Programa Sectorial de Energia 2001-2006. Mexico City: SENER. 200 1. 17 Secretaria de Energia., Balance Nacional de Energia. M e x i c o City: SENER. 2002. 16 continues. Analytical work conducted by the Bank found that Mexico’s GDP growth rates would be the largest determinant of air pollutant emissions in the coming decade.” Energy combustion has been associated with significant outdoor and indoor air pollution. Ambient air pollution concentrations in the country’s largest cities often exceed national environmental standards, partly due to poor fuel quality. In 2002, the percentage o f days during which concentrations o f air pollutants exceeded environmental standards in major cities was 80 percent in Mexico City Metropolitan Area, 40 percent in the Guadalajara Metropolitan Area, and 27 percent in the Monterrey Metropolitan Area.19 Air pollution i s estimated to affect 35 million people and to cause between 2,000 and 4,000 premature deaths per year.20 Back-of-the-envelope calculations conducted in 2002 as part of a comprehensive study for air pollution in the Mexico City Metropolitan Area indicated that a 10 percent reduction in fine particulate matter and ozone levels would be associated with health and productivity benefits o f US$2 billion per year.21 With respect to indoor air pollution, as o f the ear 2000, some 17 million people relied on fuelwood for cooking, particularly in rural areas?’ Typically, women and children are most fi-equently exposed to high particulate matter concentrations in homes where firewood i s used for domestic purposes, and consequently are affected by the adverse health impacts such as acute respiratory infections. 53. Activities in the energy sector, notably from o i l and electricity producing facilities, generate significant amounts o f air emissions, wastewater discharges, solid and hazardous wastes and other precursors o f environmental degradation. In 2000, SEMARNAT identified o i l as one o f two subsectors that generated the largest costs in terms o f environmental degradation and depletion o f natural capital. The electricity, gas, and water subsectors taken jointly account for the third largest costs associated with environmental d e g r a d a t i ~ n .Mexico ~~ i s the ninth largest emitter o f greenhouse gases in the world, with an emission intensity similar to the world average24 and 47 percent o f i t s emissions result from energy production and c ~ n s u m p t i o n . ~ ~ Mexico has a clear stake in reducing environmental degradation in the energy sector and in limiting the emission o f greenhouse gases. 54. To address the challenges described above, the Secretariat o f Energy (SENER) developed the Energy Sector Program (Programa Sectorial de Energia, PROSENER) in 2001, which recognizes the sector’s potential contributions to sustainable development, including the sustainable use of renewable energy resources, increasing energy efficiency, producing a higher percentage o f energy from renewable sources, and implementing environmental management programs in o i l and gas facilities as well as in electricity production, transmission and ‘*The World Bank / UNDP. Mexico Energy Environment Review. Washington, DC: World Bank. 200 1. l 9 Secretaria de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales. Informe de la Situacidn del Medio Ambiente en M h i c o . Mexico City: SEMARNAT. 2002. 2o Secretaria de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales. Compendio de Estadisticas Ambientales 2002. Mexico City: SEMARNAT. 2002. 21 Evans, John et al. “Health Benefits of Air Pollution Control, ’’ Air Quality in the Mexico Megacity. Mexico City: Kluwer Academic Publishers. 2002. 22 OECW Environmental Performance Reviews: Mexico. Paris: OECD. 2003. (p. 157) 23 Secretaria de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales. Compendio de Estadisticas Ambientales 2002. Mexico City: SEMARNAT. 2002. 24 OECW Environmental Performance Reviews: Mexico. Paris: OECD. 2003. , 25 Instituto Nacional de Ecologia. Gobiemo de MBxico. Segunda Comunicacibn Nacional ante la Convencidn Marc0 de las Naciones Unidas sobre el Cambio Climcitico. Mexico City: SEMARNAT. 2001. 17 ’ distribution. In 2002, the energy and environment sectors jointly developed the Environmental Energy Program, which includes sustainability goals for the sector’s commitments per the Sustainable Development Program (SLIP) developed by SEMARNAT. 55. The Energy Sector Program developed under the framework o f the NDP, emphasizes sustainable development by balancing developments in the energy sector with economic, social and environmental concerns. The program aims to promote environmental sustainability through strengthening o f the GOM’s capacity to design and apply policies to promote changes in production and consumption practices in the energy sector, and for all end users. The strategies o f PROSENER include: (i)the development o f an energy-environment policy; (ii)the development and strengthening o f policies to promote clean fuels; (iii)the promotion o f compliance with environmental regulations by businesses in the sector; (iv) the promotion o f sustainable energy projects; and (v) the mitigation o f greenhouse gases. The program establishes mechanisms for monitoring and periodic evaluation o f compliance with the goals o f the program. The Environment Program for the Energy Sector was developed as a cross-component o f PROSENER and the National Environment and Natural Resources Program (ENRP). 56. Under ENVSAL I the Government designed and implemented an environmental mainstreaming program that: (i)established goals for the medium-term, (ii)designed key building blocks to move towards these goals, (iii) established and implemented a mechanism for coordination and consensus building among key stakeholders, and (iv) designed a monitoring system for measuring progress and the impact o f the mainstreaming program. An ITWG was established for the energy sector to play a key role toward achieving intersectoral coordination and consensus-building. C.l ACTIONS SUPPORTED BY ENVDPL I 1 57. Building o n the progress made under E N V S A L I, E N V D P L I1 supports the implementation and consolidation o f reforms aimed at incorporating environmental concerns in energy sector activities. In this direction, the energy sector has carried out analytical work to inform the development o f an environmental policy for the energy sector (energy-environment policy). A study completed during the first semester o f 2004 evaluated and integrated previous studies to: (i) develop scenarios for expansion o f the energy sector, including the emissions associated with each scenario and the potential for renewable energies; (ii) estimate the potential impacts o f the different scenarios, including the social and environmental costs and benefits; (iii) evaluate the effectiveness o f the existing policy instruments; and (iv) identify priority areas and issues. Specific actions completed in the energy sector with the support o f E N V D P L I1 are described below and summarized in Annex 3. 58. Another initiative supported by E N V D P L I1 isithe energy sector’s efforts to reduce its contribution to air pollution and the negative impacts it has o n health. T o this end, SENER has worked with the other energy sector agencies and with environmental authorities to strengthen the national clean fuels policy. Petrbleus Mexicanus (PEMEX), the state o i l monopoly, has made advancements in improving f u e l quality by reducing the sulfur content from 1000 to 300 ppm in Premium gasoline used in the Mexico City Metropolitan Area, Monterrey, and Guadalajara. The G O M has assessed investment needs to reduce sulfur content in all gasoline and diesel by 2008. ’ 18 59. In terms o f addressing energy and environmental health linkages in rural areas, the G O M has started to design and implement actions to address indoor air pollution caused by domestic consumption o f fuelwood, including small rural electrification projects in selected states. The projects constituted the seed for a National Program for Rural Electrification that is being designed by G O M with the support o f the World Bank and GEF through the Rural Electrification project, implementation o f which is expected to begin in late 2005 or early 2006. The projects are expected to benefit the most vulnerable groups, such as women and children that are exposed to indoor air pollution and who devote a significant share o f their time to gathering wood for fuel rather than to other economic activities. The GOM has taken steps to increase energy generation from renewable sources. 60. Specifically, the GOM has introduced economic incentives, with the approval in 2004 o f fiscal provisions for the accelerated depreciation o f renewable energy capital. Also, the G O M has undertaken further analytical work to guide the development o f additional instruments to promote the development o f renewable energy sources, such as a study to develop a national fund for renewable energy promotion, assess the incentives for independent producers o f renewable energy, and evaluate pricing and transmission policy options for renewable energy. 61, The GOM’s efforts to promote energy efficiency include the development o f mandatory standards for equipments, sectoral programs, implementation o f methodologies for measuring and monitoring energy efficiency baselines by sector, as well as business models and contract forms for third party delivery o f energy efficiency measures. Furthermore, as a first step in addressing existing distortions in the electricity sector, CFE has begun publishing the electricity subsidies in individual utility bills, which i s expected to increase the transparency o f the tariff and subsidy structures. 62. Within the D P L framework, the energy and environmental sectors have also taken significant steps to coordinate their efforts to reduce Mexico’s contribution to climate change. The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Office was established in 2004 in accordance with the rules set up at the Marrakech and Bonn Conferences o f the Parties o f the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. In April 2005, SEMARNAT, SENER and other Ministries modified the agreement which created the Intersectoral Commission for Climate Change, in charge o f the definition o f the national policies o n climate change. This Commission includes the Mexican C D M Office that has worked to increase the portfolio o f carbon offset investments suitable for Carbon Finance. 63. Another tangible step to reduce the sector’s environmental impacts has been the implementation o f environmental management systems (EMS) to reduce contamination by P E M E X and by the Federal Electricity Commission (CFE), which provides electricity to 90 percent o f the population. E M S have contributed to important achievements: (i) a 63 percent reduction in flaring o f natural gas (from o i l and gas production); (ii) an increase from 22 percent to 37 percent in the contribution o f natural gas to electricity production, mostly displacing f u e l oil; (iii) a 15 percent reduction in SO;! emissions associated with electricity generation; and (iv) a 5 1 percent reduction o f waste discharges to water bodies by P E M E X facilities. 19 C.2 PERSPECTIVES FOR ENVDPL I11 64. Based on the results o f the strategic sectoral study supported by E N V D P L I1 and highlevel workshops that will be conducted under ENVDPL 111, the G O M i s committed to the adoption by relevant agencies o f a unified energy-environment strategy, endorsed by SENER. In this context, the G O M expects to continue i t s efforts toward environmental mainstreaming in the energy sector via three initiatives: (i) Building support o f key stakeholders and implementingthe energy-environment policy; (ii) Conducting an analysis o f the environmental and economic benefits o f reducing the sulfur content in fuels; and (iii) Developing a package o f legal and regulatory reforms for the promotion o f renewable energy resources. ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES IN THE FORESTRY SECTOR AND GOVERNMENT STRATEGY D. 65. Approximately 28 percent o f Mexico’s land area o f 197 million hectares i s covered by forests and rain forests, and approximately 50 percent o f that surface has the potential for commercial exploitation. In 1999, Mexico’s forests accounted for over 1.2 percent o f GDP and generated over 100,000 permanent jobs. An analysis prepared in 2001 found that institutional weaknesses, such as lack o f clearly defined property rights, inefficient regulations, absence o f inter-agency coordination, lack o f financial instruments that respond to long maturity periods o f forestry sector investments, and policy failures (including subsidies to agricultural activities) had contributed to unsustainable practices that limited the realization o f the sector’s potential. 66. The forestry sector faces environmental and sectoral challenges that are linked closely with causes o f poverty in Mexico. Some o f the most serious challenges identified by the 2001 diagnosis included a high deforestation rate o f about 1.1 percent per year or 600,000 hectares per year26that impacts the livelihoods o f the people that live in forests, most o f whom are poor.27At the same time, an under-developed forest industry, as indicated by the fact that only 40 percent o f the forest cover with potential for commercial exploitation i s currently managed for that purpose, represents a significant loss o f income-generating activities. Sustainable forest management therefore continues to be essential both to provide opportunities for incomegenerating activities and to reduce the negative impacts o f deforestation o n forest-dwelling communities. 67. To address the multiple challenges faced by the forestry sector, the GOM established in 2001 the National Forestry Commission (CONAFOR) by Presidential Decree. In 2002, CONAFOR prepared the National Forestry Program, based on the sector’s long-term vision for year 2025. The Program establishes the medium-term priorities o f the sector which include: (i) regulatory and policy reforms to consolidate decentralization processes in the forestry sector; (ii) the development o f a reliable and publicly accessible forest information system to facilitate ~ Lack o f accurate data and information preclude accurate assessments o f these indicators. National Forestry Commission. Programa Nacional Forestal 2001 - 2006. Mexico City: CONAFOR 200 1. 27 According to the World Bank’s 2004 Mexico Poverty Assessment Report, 65% o f the extreme poor live in rural areas. 26 20 planning and decision-making; (iii) an increase o f employment and income-generating options for forest dwellers, reduction o f negative environmental impacts o n water basins and soils, and fostering o f biodiversity conservation; (iv) the promotion o f the sustainable use o f forest resources; (v) an increase o f productivity and competitiveness in the sector by fostering modernization o f industry and technology, and the integration o f productive chains through increased private sector investments and efficient marketing systems; and (vi) the promotion and development o f an environmental services market, improved basin msinagement system and decentralization o f forest management. 68. The ENVSAL Iprogram supported the GOM’s efforts to (i) establish appropriate goals for the medium-term, (ii) implement key building blocks to move towards these goals, (iii) ensure coordination and strengthened consensus among key stakeholders, and (iv) systematically measure progress and impact. An ITWG was established for the forestry sector and continues to play a key role in intersectoral coordination and consensus-building. D.1 ACTIONS SUPPORTED BY ENVDPL I1 69. One o f the GOM’s major achievements in environmental mainstreaming has been the enactment o f the General L a w for Sustainable Forestry Development and i t s regulations. The L a w assigns clearly defined roles and responsibilities to the different agencies, sub-national governments and stakeholders that are directly involved in the sector. The L a w stresses the separation o f functions between SEMARNAT’s role in formulating a forestry policy that is consistent with the national environmental policy and CONAFOR’ s responsibilities in the promotion o f the sector’s productive, protection, conservation and restoration activities. The Law also allows for the consolidation o f inter-agency collaboration to carry out the sector’s strategies, including coordination with PROFEPA to strengthen inspection and enforcement activities, joint efforts with CONANP t o build synergies between biodiversity conservation through the establishment and management o f natural protected areas and sustainable forest management, and increased dialogue with SAGARPA (Secretariat o f Agriculture, Livestock, Rural Development, Fishing and Nutrition) to mitigate the negative impacts o f agricultural activities o n forest ecosystems. 70. The L a w incorporates environmental considerations in the national forestry policy that the protection, sustained provision, and valuation o f environmenta1 goods and aim to ensure: (i) services; (ii) increased social participation in the establishment o f policies and the design and implementation o f programs through the development o f sector-specific cultural and educational programs and considerations to address the needs o f indigenous groups; (iii) mitigation o f environmental risks and impacts associated with sector activities; and (iv) advancements in decentralization o f forestry functions and coordination with sub-national entities to integrate resources. 71. The new law and regulations are consistent with the Bank’s forestry strategy. In particular, they: (i)facilitate the participation o f poor communities in sustainable forest management and incorporate provisions to protect the rights of indigenous communities and ejiduturios; (ii) integrate forests in sustainable economic development by focusing on enhancing the sector’s competitiveness and productivity; and (iii) protect vital and global environmental 21 services by including provisions for the valuation and payment o f services that include hydrological services, carbon sequestration, eco-tourism, and biodiversity.28 72. CONAFOR periodically evaluates existing policies and programs, and uses these findings as the basis for further policy improvements. As part o f these efforts, CONAFOR contracted several academic institutions to conduct an independent evaluation o f several programs, including the Program for Prevention and Control o f Wildfires, the Program for Forestry Development, the National Reforestation Program, the Program for the Development o f Commercial Forest Plantations, and the Program for the Payment o f Hydrologic Environmental Services. Key findings that are consistent across all the evaluations include: (i) positive social impacts stemming from j o b creation and support for sustainable forestry management; (ii) economic benefits, as evidenced by the positive net present value o f each program; and (iii) increased trust in governmental agencies and satisfaction with government programs. All the actions described above are summarized in Annex 3. D.2 PERSPECTIVES FOR ENVDPL I11 73. The GOM intends to take steps in the future to ensure the continuity and sustainability o f the environmental mainstreaming program in the forestry sector. These actions would include the continued implementation o f the new forestry l a w and regulations, along with strengthening the capacities o f vulnerable groups, such as indigenous peoples and ejidatarios, to take advantage o f the new legal framework. In addition, the G O M will establish new benchmarks for forestry sector programs that aim to create income-generating alternatives to improve the livelihoods o f forest communities. Also, implementation o f the new legal framework for certification will continue. 74. With the support o f ENVDPL 11, the G O M recently conducted a study to promote adequate valuation o f environmental services and establish the fiscal, market, and financial mechanisms to facilitate payment for the preservation o f forest ecosystems in an effort to alleviate poverty. The study examines the lack o f adequate funding for sustainable forest development, as well as the risks that result from the extended maturity periods that characterize investment in sustainable forest management. Based o n the results o f this study, CONAFOR i s committed to establish mechanisms to improve access to financial services and products for forestry sector investment. E. ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES IN THE WATER SECTOR AND GOVERNMENT STRATEGY 75. Inadequate water quantity continues to be a major source o f conflict2’ in the arid and semi-arid northern states o f Mexico, as well as in the basins shared with the United States. Three The establishment o f the new institutional framework increases the fiscal space needed for public and private investments to finance sustainable forest management. The creation o f CONAFOR and the increased budget allocations fiom Congress have enhanced the sector’s prominence and visibility. Also, the new regulatory framework has created an adequate investment climate for increased private investment in the sector. Finally, the law provides formal mechanisms for the payment o f eavironmental services, adequate valuation o f natural resources, and the development markets for non-timber products. 29 Becerra, M. et al. Los conjlictos por agua en Mbxico: Diagndstico y Andisis. Mexico City: Instituto Nacional de Ecologia, 2003. 28 22 out o f thirteen hydrologic-administrative regions are in a situation o f water stress,30 and continued problems with water quality and quantity in Mexico could constrain economic growth in the near future. The country has an average natural water availability o f 4,547 m3/person/year. This figure masks the extreme difference, however, between the country’s southeast region, where average availability is 13,566 m3/person/year, and the rest o f the country, where water availability is merely 1,897 m3/person/year. The northern region, which has limited water availability, i s occupied by 77 percent o f the population and accounts for 85 percent o f GDP. 76. The severity o f Mexico’s water problem cannot be overemphasized - 50 percent o f the volume o f water consumed from underground water sources in Mexico is extracted from the country’s 102 overexploited aquifers. Approximately 77 percent o f the country’s water supplies are used for agricultural production, but only 19 percent o f the irrigation surface area i s considered to have efficient irrigation technology. In 2000, coverage for potable water supply and for drainage and sewerage was estimated at 88 percent and 76 percent respectively, but large differences prevailed at the state level. According to the 2001 Water Quality Index, 94 percent o f Mexico’s water bodies are polluted. The problem is most serious in the Valle de Mexico region where 70 percent o f the water bodies are highly polluted. Treatment o f municipal and industrial wastewaters is generally inadequate. O n a national level, only 18 percent o f municipal wastewater and 15 percent o f industrial wastewater are treated prior to discharge to water bodies. The National Water Commission (CNA) estimates significant loss o f social welfare associated with water pollution each year. 77. T o address the challenges in the water sector, C N A developed the National Water Program 200 1-2006, which describes the investments required to reach a sustainable scenario by 2025. These include investments in technologies to increase water use efficiency and in infrastructure to expand the percentage o f population covered with adequate water and sanitation services. The National Water Program establishes the following objectives: (i) increasing efficiency o f water use in agriculture by providing assistance to users for improvements in efficiency and productivity o f irrigation zones, and to install new technology and make investments in infrastructure for irrigation; (ii) improve the coverage and quality o f drinking water, sewerage, and sanitation through development o f utilities, providing support to local and state authorities for consolidation o f service providers, gradually eliminate subsidies and recover costs o f services and create schemes for payment for water rights by utilities and return funds generated to the sector; (iii) establishing an integrated and sustainable management o f water in basins and aquifers through the recovery o f physical losses, water reuse, incorporation o f criteria for efficiency and equity in water use, improvements in water-related regulations and o f the economic value o f water; (iv) the promotion o f technical, administrative and financial developments in the water sector through strengthening o f institutional capacity, decentralization, creation o f autonomous organizations for providing drinking water and sanitation services, and the development o f technological capacity; (v) establishing mechanisms for public participation in planning, and use and management o f water through the Water Basin Councils; and Water availability values below 1,700 m3per capita per year are indicative o f a situation o f water stress and are considered insufficient to meet human and environmental needs. 30 23 (vi) decreasing risks and effects o f floods and droughts through organizational arrangements, efficient information and alert systems, and drought management plans. 78. ENVSAL Isupported the publication and inclusion in the ENRP o f the National Water Program 2001-2006. Specific activities supported by ENVSAL Iinclude the establishment o f an ITWG for the water sector, and support for legal reforms designed to increase incentives for water conservation and increasing resources for investments and management through increase and rationalization o f water fee collection. Additional achievements under ENVSAL Iinclude: (i)issuance o f a presidential decree to permit the exoneration o f past debts by federal government for municipalities that agree to pay water fees in the future and forego federal funding for water supply and sanitation in the event o f non-payment; (ii) passage o f the Federal L a w o n Water User Rights (Ley Federal de Derechos en Materia de Agua) with the provision that up to 100 percent o f municipal water fees collected may be returned to municipalities respectively, in accordance with specified criteria. Pursuant to this change, an incentive scheme was developed under which municipalities need to have an equal amount o f funds invested in water programs. These changes resulted in: (i)the payment, by the Distrito Federal and municipalities with greater than 2500 inhabitants, o f water fees corresponding to 58 percent o f water concession use by volume at the end o f the third trimester o f 2003, compared with a baseline o f 24 percent in 2002 and (ii) the return o f over 95 percent o f water fees to the National Water Commission by the SHCP for use by municipalities for better water management.31 Furthermore, the G O M publicly disclosed information on amounts o f funds returned, on a national aggregate basis, to municipalities. E.1 ACTIONS SUPPORTED BY ENVDPL I1 79. The proposed ENVDPL I1 supports the continued implementation by C N A o f actions included in the National Water Program. The amended National Water Law, which will support a sustainable condition o f water resources in Mexico, includes mandates for: (i)the decentralization o f water resources management functions to Water Basin Agencies; (ii) tne definition, creation and implementation o f a Water Financial System (Sistema Financier0 del Agua, SFA); (iii) an integrated management o f water resources; and (iv) the improvement o f the public water rights registry. Specific actions completed in the water sector with the support o f E N V D P L I1are described below and summarized in Annex 3. 80. The recently amended legal framework restructures key functions o f C N A at the basin level. The mandate to decentralize the functions o f Comisibn Nacional del Agua to the water basin agencies (Organismos de Cuenca) i s one o f the major reforms o f the recently amended law. In addition to the Water Basin Agencies, the recent amendment o f the National Water L a w empowers the Basin Councils (Consejos de Cuenca) to be key players in the administration o f the Water Financial System (SFA).32Currently there are 25 Basin Councils. The Basin Councils’ function is to formulate and decide o n activities to improve water resources management and to The Federal Law on Water User Rights mandated that up to 100% o f the collected municipal water fees could be devolved to the municipalities for investment in water programs that include wastewater treatment. This scheme also contemplates allocation o f budgetary resources that are transferred through CNA. 32 The exact role o f the basin level institutions in the SFA remains to be defined through the regulations o f the amended National Water Law. (Reglamento). 31 24 develop water infrastructure in their respective basin.33According to the amended Law, the Basin Councils are expected to guide, together with CNA, the work o f the aforementioned Basin Agencies. 8 1. Under the leadership o f CNA, there has been progress toward integrated management o f water resources. The main efforts o f the new approach attempt to limit the extraction o f water from the over-exploited aquifers or surface water bodies in order to meet sustainability objectives. Actions in the water sector supported by ENVDPL I1 contribute to: (i) implementation o f a measurement system for water-use by parties that have water rights; (ii) adjustment o f regional water programs based on actual water availability; (iii) establishment o f schemes to ensure that water users comply with their water rights and discharge obligations, and that water rights are consistent with water availability; and (iv) elaboration and start up o f implementation o f an integrated wastewater strategy to augment the percentage o f wastewaters that are treated. These actions have been implemented in a pilot scheme in the Valley o f QuerCtaro, QuerCtaro; Caborca, Sonora; and Santo Domingo, Baja California Sur where authorities negotiated with water users to limit the extraction o f water from the over-exploited aquifers and agreed on several actions to meet sustainability objectives. 82. The newly amended legal framework improves the public water rights registry as part o f efforts to improve the enforcement o f water property rights and improve the functioning o f the water market. The public water rights registry i s available to the public at CNA’s w e b ~ i t e . ~ ~ Additional efforts by CNA to increase rational use o f water and foster water markets include the publication o f water availability data for 188 aquifers and for the country’s largest watershed, the Lema-Chapala basin, and the disclosure o f data on water availability, which provides authorities and water users with reliable information for a more transparent allocation o f the resource among all water users. E.2 PERSPECTIVES FOR ENVDPL I11 83. The GOM will enact regulations (Reglamento) for the National Water Law, which should lead to further improvements in the definition o f the roles o f governmental organizations, the enforcement o f water property rights, and the decentralization o f water resources management. Taking into account an economic evaluation o f policy interventions in the water sector (prepared by the Bank), the G O M will develop and begin implementation o f a unified strategy to promote sustainable water resources management in overexploited basin and aquifers. The GOM also w i l l implement an integrated strategy for wastewater treatment. Actions for the water sector in the future w i l l also strengthen the water basin agencies and councils in order to increase their participation in the design and implementation o f programs. The G O M intends to prepare integrated water resources management plans for severely overexploited and contaminated basins and aquifers. In an effort to foster greater decentralization o f water resources management, different Bank programs are supporting the GOM’s efforts (Table 111-1). Among these i s the ongoing Programmatic Analytical and Advisory Activity (AAA), which includes studies on the economic value o f water. -~ ~ The territory covered by some basin agencies (such as the Lerma Basin) covers up to five states, while on the other hand some states (such as Sonora) include territory covered by up to five basin agencies. 34 http://www.cna.gob.mx 33 25 Table 111-1. Bank Pro tams Supporting Decentralization0' Water Resources Management Management, Integrated Management o f Basins and Aquifers Project. Modernization. Technical Assistance. Policy Interventions in the Water Sector - AAA. M a i n Objective To assist the GOM in its effort to create the basic conditions to carry out integrated water resource management. Actions Contributing to Decentralization Issuing o f water rights. Assessment and improved measurement o f water resources. Establishment o f river basin councils. Development o f regional water management plans (both for surface and oundwater). To assist the G O M in i t s effort to develop * s:ue regulations for basins and aquifers and implement integrated water resources to achieve reductiob in water use to management plans in basins and aquifers sustainable levels. with serious over-exploitation problems. Coordinate integrated investment actions in irrigation modernization and water supply and sanitation. Implement on a trial basis proposed changes in policies, programs, subsidies. Support implementation o f the National Water Law including strengthening o f water basin agencies and councils. Implement the Sistema Financier0 del Agua in pilot areas. To assist the G O M in i t s effort to improve Consolidation o f the transfer o f irrigation the competitiveness o f irrigated agriculture infrastructure to water users in irrigation and the efficiency o f irrigation water use. districts. Institutional strengthening o f water users organizations to enhance their participation in the operation and maintenance o f irrigation infrastructure as well as in investment decisions. To assist the G O M in its effort to modernize Support State Water Commissions in the the water supply and sanitation sector strengthening o f planning, technical through strengthening the sector policies at assistance and oversight capacities. the federal, state and municipal level. Support and strengthen municipal utilities to improve water supply and sanitation activities. To develop a framework for holistic Review policies, subsidies and pricing evaluation o f water sector interventions in interventions as they relate to the order to promote consistent and coordinated economic value o f water and propose policy decisions. changes to improve and rationalize the allocation and valuation o f water resources. F. ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT CHALLENGES IN MEXICO AND GOVERNMENT STRATEGY 84. Until recently, environmental protection has been perceived as an obstacle to economic growth. By 1996, a procedure such as environmental licensing, could take up to 245 days. Environmental management was characterized by an extremely large number o f permits and lack o f transparency in the decision-making process, which created perverse incentives to comply with environmental legislation. At the same time, responsible entities were understaffed to cope with the administrative work that was required to provide a license. 26 85. T o increase the effectiveness and efficiency o f environmental management processes, SEMARNAT created in 2001 a new position for an Undersecretary o f Environmental Management to oversee the elimination o f unnecessary permits and procedures, provide new guidelines that reduced discretionary application o f criteria for decision-making, and reduce the probabilities o f corruption. The main actions identified by the G O M to foster effective and efficient environmental management in Mexico included: (i) the development o f a regulatory framework governing decentralization o f environmental management; (ii)strengthening procedures for processing ,of environmental impact assessments; (iii)financing for capacity building and investments in states for improvement o f environmental management; and (iv) the establishment o f procedures and mechanisms for public participation and transparency in environmental management. 86. The need for reforms in environmental management to improve efficiency in responding to client needs and focus o n strategic areas became apparent during diagnostic study conducted by SEMARNAT. E N V S A L I supported initial actions to decentralize environmental management functions to the state level: (i) Approval by Congress o f changes to four laws, including the Ley General del Equilibrio Ecoldgico y la Proteccidn a1 Ambiente, Ley General de Bienes Nacionales, Ley Forestal and Ley General de Vida Silvestre to enable decentralization o f federal environmental management functions to sub-national levels; (ii)Development o f criteria (with respect to personnel and goods) necessary to assume environmental management functions to be decentralized in 2002 that were under federal jurisdiction, relating to selected toxic wastes, selected environmental impact assessment administration, conservation o f soils, flora, fauna and forest resources and coastal management; (iii) I S 0 certification o f environmental impact assessment (EIA) and permits that were to be decentralized by SEMARNAT’s Sub-secretariat for Environmental Management; (iv) Preparation o f decentralization plans by at least 20 states; and (v) Public disclosure o f all State decentralization plans approved by SEMARNAT. 87. Actions supported by ENVSAL I to ensure adequate financing for environmental management and strengthening o f environmental institutions included the establishment o f an Environmental Institutional Development Program (PDIA) to finance capacity-building in those States with plans to assume new environmental management functions, through a federal pilot matching grants scheme. Through the PDIA, transfers were made to 24 states for technical assistance and capacity building based o n environmental performance agreements. E N V S A L I also supported actions to improve public participation and transparency, such as modifications o f existing regolations to allow for public access to information o n EIA and permits, and implementation o f the modified regulations by public disclosure o f processing information on a pilot basis o f some EIA and permit issuance functions carried out by SEMARNAT. F.1 ACTIONS SUPPORTED BY ENVDPL I1 88. The ENVDPL I1has been instrumental to the Mexican Secretariat o f Finance (Secretaria de Hacienda y Crbdito Pz2bZico, SHCP) efforts to strengthen environmental management through the development o f economic instruments to improve financing o f environmental management at federal and sub-national levels. In line with these efforts, SHCP developed: (i) a set o f criteria for 27 environmental fees as a guide for fiscal discussions in federal Congress; (ii) specific guidelines for local environmental taxes, fees, and charges; and (iii) a proposal for fiscal instruments to promote sustainable development. Specific actions supported by E N V D P L I 1 to improve environmental management are described below and summarized in Annex 3. 89. ENVDPL I1 also supports continued implementation o f reforms initiated under E N V S A L Iwith respect to decentralization o f environmental management functions, improvement o f public participation and further improvement o f transparency in environmental management. The L a w on Transparency, enacted in 2002, allowed decision-making by the G Q M on environmental management to be opened up to public scrutiny. To further improve public participation and transparency in environmental management, SEMARNAT has initiated a yearly publication o f environmental data to inform citizens about the state of the environment and potential risks to the public, and the programs that the government i s carrying out to improve environmental quality. 90. Environmental management also has been strengthened according to the competitiveness principle. SEMARNAT has streamlined the administrative procedures for permits by eliminating 55 out o f the 145 permits previously requested by environmental authorities, reducing the procedural time lag by up to 80%, and created an Integrated Service Center that decreases the probability o f corruption by eliminating direct contact between the client and the official that determines permit issuance or rejection. These improvements have considerably reduced discretionary application o f requirements by public officials and provided strong incentives for the regulated community to follow all the appropriate procedures, as is exemplified by the rising number o f projects that are subjected to EIA prior to their development. EIA i s considered an area where the G O M has achieved concrete results. SEMARNAT has published new guidelines for EIA to minimize the processing time for licenses, identify and assess cumulative impacts, increase public disclosure o f information and foster public participation. 91. SEMARNAT has continued to provide important economic resources for capacity building at the sub-national level through the PDIA. Furthermore, SEMARNAT is pursuing additional improvements o f i t s decentralization model and has recently completed the first part o f an evaluation o f the approaches that the sector has followed over the past decade, including a review o f relevant international experience in decentralization, which i s expected to guide future decentralization efforts. 92. Between 2001 and 2004, only one function was transferred to one state (permit issuance functions for sustainable use o f forest resources were transferred from the Federal Government to the environmental authorities o f the Estado de Mkxico). Since the decentralization o f environmental management responsibilities did not achieve substantial progress, SEMARNAT conducted an evaluation o f the decentralization program in late 2004. The evaluation found that the most prominent obstacles that hindered the transfer o f functions to the states were the lack o f priority-setting with respect to functions to be transferred and the relative weakness o f state and local authorities. Based o n this assessment, SEMARNAT set priority environmental management functions to be transferred relating to forests and soils, the Federal Maritime Zone (Zona Federal Maritima, ZOFEMAT), and wildlife. In addition, SEMARNAT introduced mechanisms to monitor and evaluate the performance o f state environmental authorities in their handling o f the decentralized functions. The newly-established monitoring and evaluation systems eliminated the need for certification and therefore SEMARNAT decided to de-link certification from the 28 decentralization process. The new approach has already produced positive results. Permit issuance functions for sustainable wildlife use have been transferred to the state authorities o f Tamaulipas, Nuevo Leon, and Coahuila, and the permit issuance functions o f sustainable use o f forest resources have been transferred to the Estado de Mkxico. In addition, the states o f Guanajuato and Chihuahua have begun decentralization o f the Licencia Ambiental Unica. Furthermore, SEMARNAT has increased the number of states to which P D I A resources have been allocated to 27 states, for capacity building in order to begin decentralization. F.2 PERSPECTIVES FOR ENVDPL I11 93. The GOM’s program to improve the efficiency and effectiveness o f environmental management in the future includes: (i) the preparation o f an initiative for fiscal instruments for environmental management; (ii) the continuation o f the decentralization program based on the outcomes o f the ongoing evaluation by SEMARNAT; and (iii) strengthening public participation schemes. IV. A. BANK SUPPORT TO THE GOVERNMENT STRATEGY LINK TO COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY 94. The proposed operation i s included in the portfolio for the base case lending scenario and i s one of two policy-based loans contemplated under the theme o f environmental sustainability in the FY 2005-2008 Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for Mexico. The CPS presents a program of operations to support the GOM’s development objectives as detailed in the National Development Plan 2001-2006, based on four pillars: (i) reduce poverty and inequality; (ii) increase competitiveness; (iii)strengthen institutions; and (iv) promote environmental sustainability. With respect to environmental sustainability, the loan responds to the main challenges identified by the CPS, as i t contributes to the improvement o f environmental governance by increasing the sector’s transparency and accountability, and creates incentives for more efficient and decentralized environmental management. Also, the loan supports policy, legal and institutional reforms in the forest and water resources sectors to address key environment-livelihood linkages, and contemplates actions to mitigate environmental and health impacts, particularly those that stem from the energy and tourism sectors. The E N V D P L I1 operation will be a key tool in delivering Bank support to the 95. government to strengthen institutions and promote environmental sustainability in the current CPS report (Report No. 28141-MEYdated March 18,2004). The report refers to the E N V D P L I1 operation as supporting CPS objectives by promoting the mainstreaming o f environmental concerns and improved local environmental management processes. Building o n the first operation, E N V D P L I1 will provide continued support to Mexico’s five-year program, focusing on addressing the developmental challenges o f environmental mainstreaming in four priority sectors: tourism, energy, forestry and water, and o n environmental governance (in particular, by increasing transparency and accountability). 29 96. Given that the operation’s central thrust i s to promote environmental sustainability, it is also fully consistent with, and will contribute to, the achievement o f the goals o f the remaining three pillars o f the CPS. For instance, with respect to increasing competitiveness, the operation supports strategic policy reforms in economic sectors, such as tourism or forestry, where Mexico has important comparative advantages and where the incorporation o f environmental considerations will increase the country’s ability to maintain those advantages in the long term. By supporting activities and actions that promote the reversal o f the overexploitation o f natural resources, such as groundwater aquifers, the proposed operation will help to remove existing constraints to growth. Furthermore, ENVDPL I1 will have an important impact o n poverty alleviation as the burden o f environmental degradation falls disproportionately on the who depend o n natural resources for their livelihoods. With respect to institutional strengthening, the project will clearly respond to some o f the environment sector’s weaknesses through activities aimed to strengthen environmental governance. Other sectors are expected to benefit from institutional strengthening also, particularly water resources management, where the Bank’s involvement has facilitated the building and expansion o f coordination mechanisms. 97. Furthermore, the CPS also stresses that to satisfy the needs o f the most vulnerable groups, the Bank will have to focus on areas where it can create value. In this regard, the operation takes advantage o f the Bank’s robust capacity to provide high quality policy, legal and institutional analysis to support the GOM’s program, and can leverage the Bank’s convening power to promote inter-sectoral coordination. B. COLLABORATION W I T H THE IMF AND OTHER DONORS 98. Mexico currently does not have a financial support program or outstanding loans with the IMF. In view o f the country’s healthy finances, it i s not expected that the G O M will request IMF support over the CPS period (FY05-08). The Mexican government does maintain an active policy dialogue with the Fund, however, through the Fund’s bilateral and global surveillance activities. In addition, Fund and Bank staff maintain a regular exchange o n macro policy. 99. There are no areas o f overlap between the Bank’s and the IDB’s work in Mexico. Nonetheless, the Bank will continue to collaborate with the IDB - one o f the Bank’s main development partners in Mexico - with respect to environmental issues and related sectors such as the water, sanitation, and housing sectors. In addition, the Bank recently initiated contacts with two other institutions to remain informed o f developments in their work and vice-versa: the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), which has a grant program to support natural resource management, and the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), which has a technical cooperation program in health and environmental protection. C. RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER BANK OPERATIONS 100. The proposed loan i s the second o f three operations that constitute the Mexico Environment Structural Adjustment Program. The first operation, E N V S A L ‘I, consisted o f two 35 Giugale, M., 0. Lafourcade and V.H. Nguyen (editors). Mexico Policy Notes: A Comprehensive Development Agendafor the New Era. 200 1. 30 tranches o f $101.01 million each and was completely disbursed in December 2003.36ENVSAL I successfully supported the initial stage o f policy reforms, which the proposed operation will build upon in order to ensure sustainability and to deepen the reforms to mainstream environmental concerns in key sectoral development agendas and improve the effectiveness and efficiency o f environmental management processes in Mexico. At the sectoral level, this operation will complement the ongoing dialogue in priority sectors identified by the GOM, namely tourism, energy, forestry and water. 101. The reforms supported by the ENVDPL I1 will be fundamental t o create an enabling environment in which various planned projects included in the current CPS can take place. In the water sector, the ENVDPL I1 will continue to build on the achievements o f the Bank’s Water Resources Management Project, which has helped to promote conditions for environmentally sustainable, economically efficient and equitably allocated rights for use o f water resources in Mexico, and to support the integrated management o f water resources. In addition, the sector reforms supported by ENVDPL I1 will be complementary to: (i) the Water Programmatic AAA, which will include studies on the economic value o f water; (ii) the Integrated Management o f Basins and Aquifers Project, which will help improve conditions for sustainable integrated water resource management, contribute to increased efficiency o f water use and fair allocation o f water rights, consolidate water management institutions and promote stakeholders’ participation in decision-making; (E)the Mexico Water Rights Adjustment Program (PADUA), which promotes aquifer stabilization in water-stressed areas through retiring water concessions where demand for water exceeds sustainable supply from surface and groundwater sources; (iv) the Water and Sanitation Technical Assistance Loan which will seek to implement reforms in the delivery o f services in water and sanitation sectors; and (v) the Integrated Irrigation Modernization Project, which is supporting the GOM’s efforts to improve competitiveness o f irrigated water use in selected irrigation districts and regions, through public-private partnerships, institutional collaboration and strengthening the demand-driven approach to investment decisions and financing. 102. Activities under E N V D P L I1 that will support environmental mainstreaming in the energy sector are fully consistent with several climate change projects and will reinforce the sustainability o f project results by promoting an adequate framework that includes required sector policy reforms. These activities include: (i)the PCF-financed Comexhidro/INELEC Hydro Umbrella project, which replaces fossil-fired electricity generation with a package o f mini-hydro developments associated with existing irrigation schemes; (ii)the PCF-financed PEMEX Refinery Cogeneration project that will use carbon finance t o promote the use o f refinery wastes for high-efficiency production o f steam and power; (iii)the PCF-financed Bagasse Co-generation project, which will support the use o f bagasse for high-efficiency production o f steam and power with Mexican sugar factories; (iv) the Netherlands Carbon Development Fund-financed Wind Umbrella project that will support the displacement o f fossil energy through grid-connected wind farms; (v) the GEF-financed Large-scale Renewable Energy Development project that will support the development o f grid-connected renewable energy resources and facilitate a financial mechanism offering competitively-based tariff support for wind, hydro, biomass, and other renewable technologies; and (vi) the IBRD/GEF-financed Rural 36 Simplified Implementation Completion Report. United Mexican States: First Programmatic Environment Structural Adjustment Loan, Loan No. 7136-ME. Washington, DC: World Bank. 2004. 31 Electrification project that will promote the expansion o f electricity services to poor households in dispersed or remote areas, where connection to the electricity grid i s not financially or logistically feasible. 103. Similarly, the activities that will be supported by E N V D P L I1 in the forestry sector will have clear synergies with the Community Forestry I1 and Community Forestry I11 (PROCYMAF) projects. The latter will assist indigenous communities and ejidos that own forests in priority areas to improve the management and conservation o f their forest resources and to generate alternative sources o f income in a sustainable manner. Also, ENVDPL I1 will complement projects that promote conservation and sustainable use o f biodiversity such as the GEF-financed Indigenous and Community Biodiversity Conservation project (COINBIO) and the Consolidation o f the GEF-financed Protected Areas System project (SINAP 11). E N V D P L I1 will enhance sustainability o f the results o f the IBRD/GEF-financed Environmental Services project, which will support the development o f economic incentives to promote conservation and sustainable forest management in priority watersheds. D. LESSONS LEARNED 104. Some o f the most relevant lessons learned derive from the first operation (ENVSAL I). The primary challenges faced and successes achieved under E N V S A L Iwere associated with the nature and requirements o f inter-institutional coordination. In particular, inter-institutional coordination requires the unwavering commitment o f participating agencies to undergo a profound learning process and adopt significant behavioral changes. Although this learning process i s complex and time-consuming, it also proved effective in enhancing the quality o f products in instances where inter-institutional coordination was successful. In order to overcome the difficulties and enhance the benefits associated with inter-institutional coordination, the proposed operation incorporates various learning mechanisms whereby lessons learned are captured, distilled, and fed back into the process in a step-wise manner to promote continuous improvements o f outputs and smooth the learning process for this and future operations. 105. In light o f the above, various mechanisms have been put in place and continue to function to provide the opportunity for social learning in a cross-sectoral setting. In the energy sector, high-level meetings between SENER and various governmental agencies have been institutionalized in the Intersectoral Committee for Projects for Emissions Reductions and Capture o f Greenhouse Gases (Comite' Mexican0 para Proyectos de Reduccidn de Emisiones y de Captura de Gases de Efecto Invernadero). Objectives o f this Committee are to identify opportunities, facilitate, promote, disseminate, evaluate and approve projects for emission reduction and greenhouse gas capture. This committee i s composed o f representatives from the environment, energy, economics, agriculture, rural development, fishery, communication and transport sectors. Also in the energy sector, a technical advisory team comprised o f Mexican experts in environment and energy policy issues will provide technical advice to inform the development o f the sector's environmental policy. In the tourism sector, the G O M seeks to achieve lasting results in environmental mainstreaming and to consolidate intersectoral coordination at a high level through such vehicles as the Intersectoral Commission o n Tourism (Comisidn Intersecretarial de Turismo) established o n September 28, 2004. In addition, to foster learning and enrich ongoing efforts to ensure sustainable tourism development, SECTUR is planning to organize a workshop in the first semester o f 2005 with the participation o f municipal 32 authorities and c i v i l society. The workshop will disseminate experiences o n the implementation o f Agenda 21 locally in Mexico. A regional workshop planned for the second semester o f 2005 will elicit and disseminate lessons learned from successful cases o f tourism development in the region. The findings o f this workshop will provide input to inform the development o f a tourismenvironment strategy. 106. Under Mexico’s fiscal policy, the proposed loan does not increase aggregate fiscal resources available to environment and other sectoral agencies since the fiscal envelope i s defined by the binding primary fiscal surplus targets. Nonetheless, G O M i s ensuring that levels of human and budgetary resources are adequate to ensure institutional capacity. Although GOM has enough resources to finance reforms for the environmental sector, the results o f Bank support have underscored the added value o f the operation both in terms o f the technical assistance provided and the institutionalization o f spaces for intersectoral cooperation and dialogue which probably would not have been created otherwise. The Japan Policy and Human Resources Development Fund (PHRD) provided key resources that allowed for the development o f key analytical work and stakeholder participation for the preparation o f E N V D P L 11. The use o f PHRD grant funds provided a positive incentive for mainstreaming environmental concerns in key economic sectors. 107. Another important lesson from ENVSAL Irelates to the loan’s conditionalities and triggers, which covered a broad range o f development areas. Consequently, implementation and supervision covered a wide range o f topics, presenting challenges in terms o f sufficient human and budgetary resources and the constant and intense nature o f the dialogue between the G O M and the Bank throughout the period o f implementation. T o address these challenges, the number of triggers or prior actions completed for the proposed operation has been limited to five key actions. 108. Under ENVSAL I,partial waivers were requested for three loan conditions. One o f the requests was necessitated by changes in titles o f the members o f the Intersectoral Technical Working Groups (ITWG), since the Loan Agreement specified titles for the members o f the groups. This request for a partial waiver was purely circumstantial and showed that it would have been sufficient for the Loan Agreement to specify the names o f the organizations to be included in the ITWG and not the titles o f the members. The second request related to the requirement for SEMARNAT to certify, using ISO-900 1-2000, certain environmental management and permit issuance functions that were to be decentralized to the state governments. Three o f these functions were not certified because they were transferred from SEMARNAT to CONAFOR. Furthermore, the assessment conducted by SEMARNAT o f i t s experience with decentralization concluded that certification was not necessary to assure the quality o f decentralization and that it in fact presented considerable obstacles to the decentralization process. Based o n this assessment, SEMARNAT decided to de-link certification from the decentralization process. A s noted previously, this new approach has produced positive results including the decentralization of permit issuance functions for sustainable wildlife use to three states and for sustainable use o f forestry resources to one state. The third partial waiver request related to the condition for public disclosure o f Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) review and certain permit issuance processes. The need for this request also was related to the transfer o f functions from SEMARNAT to CONAFOR. Recent evidence obtained from the G O M indicates that the 33 processing information on EIA and control permits i s publicly disclosed through governmental websites. 109. In relation to the second partial waiver request for E N V S A L I,an additional lesson from the decentralization experience i s evident from the inadequacy o f “supermarket” approaches to the devolution o f permitting functions, whereby states can pick and choose which permitting functions they want to assume via certification. This model results in an anomalous situation where the least desirable functions are left to the federal government, and the states take over only the easy or popular ones. Thus, it i s important to ask whether the permits make sense in the first place, after which i t may be more practicable and cost effective to cluster permits and transfer them as a package rather than one by one. Alternatively, various approaches with different incentives could be tried, as they have proven to be successful in cases such as the use o f “fast-tracking” for the Licencia Ambiental Unica. E. ANALYTICAL UNDERPINNINGS 110. The policy reforms that the G O M will undertake with the support o f the Second Programmatic Environment Development Policy Loan are founded o n sound and rigorous analyses conducted by federal agencies, the Bank, OECD and ECLAC. The most recent work includes several studies financed under the Japanese PHRD grant to prepare the second operation. These studies support the development o f new environmental fiscal instruments, a sustainable tourism strategy, proposals for improved inter-institutional coordination in the water sector, a tourism-environment strategy and options for medium and long-term use o f renewable energy sources. Other related work includes the Bank’s Public Expenditure Review, the Bank’s Infrastructure Public Expenditure Review (currently underway), and the Bank’s assessment o f poverty conditions in Mexico (Poverty in Mexico: an Assessment of Conditions, Trends, and Government Strateay). 111. Analytical work carried out by the G O M and other development partners, such as the United Nations’ Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) in 2002 and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in 2003, provides a solid foundation for the program. The E C L A C document identifies various symptoms o f environmental problems and their causes in Mexico.37 The Second Environmental Performance Review o f Mexico concluded recently by the OECD provides an independent assessment o f the country’s environmental challenges, which correspond with those identifiedjointly by the G O M and the Bank. 112. The 2001 World Bank Policy Notes for Mexico3* found that water resources management, forestry, air quality management and solid waste management among environmental priority areas. With respect to water resources management, the main challenges identified included the overexploitation o f aquifers due to over-allocation o f water users’ rights, inefficient irrigation, and water pollution. Furthermore, the Policy Notes stated that Mexico’s 37 Tudela, Fernando. Los Sindromes de Sostenibilidad del Desarrollo: El Cas0 de Mkxico. United NationsECLAC. 2004. (The study was presentedin the Seminar “Sindromes de Sostenibilidad del Desarrollo en America Latina” in Santiago de Chile, Chile in 2002. Fernando Tudela i s Under Secretary o f Planning and Environmental Policy in SEMARNAT, and i s responsible for coordinating and monitoring ENVDPL I1activities). 38 Mexico: A Comprehensive Development Agenda for the New Era. Washington, DC: World Bank. 200 1. 34 land and forest base were threatened by land degradation and deforestation. Other problems associated with the forestry sector included the need to ensure that poor communities capture the full market value o f timber and non-timber products, and environmental services. With respect to air quality management, problems identified included large, adverse health impacts from air pollution associated with poor fuel quality, and legal barriers to energy efficiency gains and to development o f renewable energy resources. Lastly, with respect to solid waste management, inadequate treatment and final disposal posed environmental challenges, stemming from lack o f a regulatory framework and its enforcement. The reforms being supported by E N V D P L I1 address a number o f the environmental challenges identified above that are associated with the four priority sectors targeted by E N V D P L 11. 113. The 2004 E C L A C document identified environmental problems and their causes in Mexico. These problems included inadequate water quantity and quality, overexploitation o f natural resources, habitat change and air pollution. The document cited changes in vegetation cover as a key factor in environmental degradation in Mexico - a consequence o f a vicious cycle o f deforestation, intensive land-based farming practices and erosion. With respect to water, the document predicted a sustainability crisis in a 15 - 20 year time frame in the sector relating to inefficient water use and inadequate management o f pressures on existing water resources. The problems in the water sector were attributed to unequal spatial and temporal distribution o f water resources in the country, unsustainable management o f water resources through overexploitation of existing resources, depletion o f groundwater bodies and pollution o f surface waters. Other an inability to satisfy demands problems that were associated with the water sector included: (i) for water for distinct municipal uses; (ii) the slow growth o f basic water services (drinking water, basic sanitation) compared to the rate o f development; (iii)the use o f water for low-value products rather than for high-value products; and (iv) inadequate public and private investment in the sector. Hazardous industrial emissions, inadequate disposal o f industrial and municipal wastes and air pollution in municipal zones were cited as precursors to environmental degradation in the country. 114. The 2003 OECD review concluded that Mexico had yet to achieve significant decoupling of environmental pressure from GDP. The review showed that Mexico continued to face challenges with respect to adequate management o f air, water, waste, and nature and biodiversity. Rapid economic growth has placed increased pressure o n the environment, through pollution and use o f natural resources. The review identified seven priority environmental issues: (i)water and forestry management; (ii)integrated management o f natural resources; (iii) environmental management and environmental planning at the watershed level; (iv) decentralization o f environmental management and decision-making; (v) increased public participation and the right o f access to environmental information; (vi) ensuring that users o f natural resources pay for the environmental cost o f resource use; and (vii) strengthening o f environmental legislation, inspection and compliance rates. One o f the key recommendations o f the review in order to meet the identified challenges was that G O M further integrate environmental concerns into economic and social decisions. This recommendation is consistent with the objectives o f E N V D P L 11. 35 V. A. THE PROPOSED OPERATION PROGRAM OBJECTIVES AND PRIOR ACTIONS 115. The main objective o f the E N V S A L program since i t s inception in 2002 has been to support the Government’s efforts to: (i) mainstream environmental concerns in the development agenda o f key sectors, and (ii) improve the efficiency and effectiveness o f local environmental management processes in Mexico. The first operation, ENVSAL I,supported initial actions to set medium-term targets to mainstream environmental concerns in key sectors and create favorable institutional conditions for the implementation o f reforms. The proposed operation, E N V D P L 11, will support the development o f legal and regulatory frameworks and the continuation o f the GOM’s efforts to consolidate and deepen the impact o f reforms through implementation. A listing o f all actions supported by ENVDPL I1i s summarized in Annex 3. 116. During ENVSAL Inegotiations, the G O M and the Bank defined a l i s t o f proposed actions to be implemented by the G O M prior to appraisal o f E N V D P L 11. These triggers focused on the four key productive sectors: tourism, forestry, energy and water, and in environmental management. Advances in each one o f them reflect the overall efforts o f the G O M to implement the ENVSAL program. Examples o f actions include: (i) the publication o f water availability data and an improved water rights registry as foundational steps in the implementation o f a functioning water rights market, consistent with the current regulatory framework; (ii)the establishment and implementation o f a set o f indicators and benchmarks for measurement o f good environmental performance o f tourist facilities; (iii) Secretariat o f Energy-approved design and preparation for implementation o f a national fund for renewable energy promotion; (iv) the establishment and start operation o f a Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Office, involving at least SENER and SEMARNAT, according to rules set up at the Marrakech and Bonn Conferences o f the Parties o f the UNFCCC; and (v) the initiation o f decentralization efforts (as evidenced by signature o f a convenio, capacity building, or joint operation prior to certification) by six States o f at least one or more environmental management functions, based on SEMARNAT-approved decentralization plans. Since these five triggers have been met, they will be presented to the Board o f the Bank as the prior actions for this operation. Table V-I below presents the triggers for E N V D P L I1and actions taken by the G O M to meet them. 36 Table V-1. ENVDl Area Energy Improving the efficiency and effectiveness o f environmental management processes B. t I1TRIGGERS AND CURRENT STAT1 3. Original Trigger Status Publication o f water availability data and an improved water rights registry as foundational steps in the implementation o f a functioning water rights market, consistent with the current regulatory fiamework. Met CNA has publishedwater ivailability data and improved water rights registry. Establishment and implementation o f a set o f indicators and benchmarks for measurement o f good environmental performance o f tourist facilities. Met SECTUR AND PROFEPA designed and implemented a set o f indicators and benchmarks for measurement o f good environmental performance o f tourist facilities Secretariat o f Energy-approved design and preparation for implementation o f a national fund for renewable energy promotion. Met SENER has completed a study with the design o f a national fund for renewable energy promotion Establishment and operational startup o f a Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Office, involving at least SENER and SEMARNAT, according to rules set up at the Marrakech and Bonn Conferences o f the Parties o f the UNFCCC. Met G O M established and started implementation o f a Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) office according to rules set up at the Marrakech and Bonn Conferences o f the Parties o f the UNFCCC. Decentralization by six states (as evidenced by signature o f a convenio, capacity building, or joint operation prior to certification) o f at least one or more environmental management functions, based on SEMARNAT-approved decentralization plans. Met Three states have completed decentralization o f wildlife management responsibilities; one state has completed decentralization o f forestry management responsibilities. One state completed decentralization o f forestry functions. In addition, over ten states have begun decentralization based on environmental performance agreements with SEMARNAT. Action ADDITIONAL KEY ACTIONS UNDERTAKEN BY THE GOM UNDER ENVDPL I1 117. ENVDPL I1 focuses on advancing the reform efforts that were initiated under the first operation. In addition to the triggers, key actions supported by the second operation include among others: (i)the development o f action plans, in fourteen key tourism destinations, to implement local Agenda 21 Programs for Sustainable Tourism; (ii) evaluation o f programs to improve the quality o f transport fuels, and establishment o f incentives to promote renewable energy; (iii)enactment o f a new General Law for Sustainable Forestry Development and regulations consistent with the law; (iv) amendments to the National Water Law, publication o f water availability data, and an improved water rights registry as foundational steps in the implementation o f a functioning water rights market; and (v) streamlining o f administrative 37 procedures in the environment sector and continued implementation o f the L a w o n Transparency in order to allow environmental management to be opened up to public scrutiny. These key actions and their outcome indicators are summarized in Table V-2. Also, Annex 1 presents a full listing o f these and other key actions undertakenby the GOM under ENVDPL 11. Table V-2. Additional Ley Actions Undertaken by the GOM unde ENVDPL I1 Key Issues and Objective Actions supported by ENVDPL I1 Outcomes Indicators Promotion o f sustainable tourism. Develop pilot Agenda 21 action plans in 14 key tourism destinations: Acapulco, Bahia de Banderas, Campeche, Commel, Cuetzalan, Guanajuato, Huatulco, Ixtapa-Zihuatanejo, Los Cabos, Manzanillo, Mazatlh, Oaxaca, Patzcuaro and San Miguel de Allende. Increasednumber of tourism destinations with Agenda 2 1 Action Plans. Improve environmental conditions - especially wastewater and solid waste disposal - at existing tourist sites. Passage o f the new legal framework for solid waste management “Lev General uara l a Prwencidn v Gestidn Intewal de 10s Residuos” in 2003. Improved waste management in tourist destinations. Improve fuels quality with respect to sulfur content. SENER, SEMARNAT and PEMEX reached consensus and reduced sulfur content in Premium gasoline to 300 ppm. Reducedsulfur content in Magna gasoline from 1000 to 500 ppm by weight, and in Premium gasoline to 300 ppm by weight. Promote renewable energy potential in Mexico. Fiscal provisions were approved in 2004 for the accelerated depreciation o f renewable energy capital. Increase renewable energy capacity to 1,470 MW. Long-term vision for sector developed through the Strategic Forest Plan 2025 to address range o f forestry issues including high rates o f illegal logging due to inappropriate regulatory framework and enforcement. Enactment o f a law (General Law for Sustainable Forestry Development) and regulations for sustainable forestry management. Enactment o f law and regulations to promote sustainable forestry management in Mexico. Need for clearer consensus on solutions to the water problem, given large number o f existing uncoordinated proposals. Passage o f amendments to the National Water Law in 2004. Amendment of legal framework and issuance o f regulations (Reglamento) aimed at promoting sustainable water management. Ensure adequate public participation and transparent processes in environmental management. (i) SEMARNAT has implemented and maintained a website on EIA and permits at the federal level. (ii) GOM has developed and further implemented legal framework for public disclosure o f documents, including licensing processes and permits. (iii)SEMARNAT publishes an annual statistics and reports on the Environment. Guidelines issued for public participation in environmental management; and increased public disclosure o f information on environmental management. Studies have been conducted on full cost pricing o f water, block pricing in urban locations and wa&r quality in coastal zones. 38 C. LOAN AMOUNT AND TRANCHING 118. The proposed US$200.5 10 million loan will be made to the United Mexican States. The loan i s expected to be disbursed in a single tranche immediately upon effectiveness. The proposed loan does not increase resources available for public sector spending. Under Mexico's fiscal regime, a D P L from the Bank substitutes financing from alternative, more expensive debt sources. The proposed loan does not increase aggregate fiscal resources available to environment and other sectoral agencies since the fiscal envelope i s defined by the binding primary fiscal surplus targets. D. PRIOR ACTIONS FOR ENVDPL I11 119. The Bank partnership with the G O M on the ENVSAL Program will continue into the third operation, assuming a continued sound macroeconomic framework is in place and the following triggers have been met: (i) increase the number o f tourist destinations, with local Agenda 21 action plans, including investment plans, from 14 to 35; (ii) develop a package o f legal reforms and regulations needed for promotion o f renewable energy sources; (iii) establish mechanisms to improve access to financial services and products schemes to provide financing for investments in sustainable forestry management; (iv) develop a package o f regulations which are consistent with the newly amended National Water Law; and (v) develop and publish new methodologies and guidelines for incorporation o f public participation in environmental management, including Environmental Impact Assessment. These triggers are summarized in Table V-3 below. Table V-3. Triggers for ENVDPL I11 Area Tourism Energy Forestry Water Improving the efficiency and effectiveness o f environmental management processes. Trigger Increase the number o f tourist destinations with local Agenda 21 action plans, including investment plans, from 14 to 35. Develop a package o f legal reforms (Reglamento), programs and methodologies for promotion o f renewable energy sources. Establish mechanisms to improve access to financial services and products schemes to provide financing for investments in sustainable forestry management, Develop a package o f regulations (Reglamento)which are consistent with the newly amended National Water Law. Develop and publish new guidelines for public participation in environmental management. 39 Outcome Indicator Increased number o f tourism destinations with local Agenda 2 1 Action Plans. Increase renewable energy capacity to 1,470 M W . Increased amount o f investments in sustainable forestry management. Amendment o f legal framework and issuance o f regulations (Reglamento) aimed at promoting sustainable water management. Guidelines issued for public participation in environmental management. Increased public disclosure o f information on environmental management. VI. A. OPERATION IMPLEMENTATION POVERTY AND SOCIAL IMPACTS 120. The provisions o f OP 8.60 apply to ENVDPL 11. In general terms, improvements in environmental sustainability are expected to benefit the poor. The Bank’s recent assessment o f poverty in Mexico3’ points out the adverse effect environmental degradation has o n the poor, particularly in terms o f health. Water and air pollution result in illhealth, especially o f the poor; soil degradation and unsustainable agricultural and forestry practices adversely affect livelihoods, as well as increase the vulnerability o f the poor to natural disasters. Therefore, it i s expected that the ENVSAL program will enhance environmental and health conditions that improve the potential opportunities for more productive workdays and a better l i f e for the poor. Those vulnerable population segments that depend o n natural resources for their livelihoods, such as indigenous peoples and ejido communities, would benefit also through the promotion o f sustainable environmental management practices. These positives impacts on poverty and social development vary, however, according to the specific set o f actions promoted by each o f the policies and have different effects depending on the stakeholder. 121. The actions supported by the E N V D P L I1 targeted at attaining sustainable development o f the tourism sector help building the capacity o f municipalities as well as o f local citizens and o f the poor to increase their access to information and decision-making. In addition, establishing new destinations and promoting new investments in tourism will contribute to creating new j o b and income opportunities for the poor. Different kinds o f tourism, such as cruises, ecological and cultural tourism that are encouraged by the sustainable tourism strategy supported by this loan, have demonstrated strong distributive impacts and social implications. 122. The actions supported by the loan in the energy sector will contribute to reducing air pollution and mitigating its impacts on human health. In urban centers, people living in lowincome areas are the most exposed to adverse environmental impacts. The most vulnerable and the poorest, therefore, will benefit from these measures. Workers in the energy sector and neighborhoods close to P E M E X and CFE facilities will benefit from measures leading to the reduction o f pollution in these facilities. In addition, rural electrification will contribute to reducing indoor air pollution and provide better living conditions for the population. 123. The actions supported by E N V D P L I1 in the forestry sector promote increased opportunities for the development o f income-generating activities and the generation o f employment opportunities for forest dwellers, ejidatarios and indigenous peoples living in forested areas. The implementation o f these activities will foster the capacity o f these communities and cooperatives to take greater advantage o f sustainable and productive uses o f forest areas. The new Forest L a w puts in place specific mechanisms for cost recovery, nontimber forest production, ecological services valuation, small-scale user permits, and intellectual property rights - all o f which can apply to indigenous communities and other poor forest dwellers. It also establishes a forest fund and a commission that can help build capacity in these areas. The GOM is implementing mechanisms to foster accountability in the decentralization 39 Poverty in Mexico: An Assessment of Conditions, Trends and Government Strategy. Washington, DC: The World Bank. June 2004. 40 process by ensuring a stronger involvement o f the communities, ejidatarios and local c i v i l society organizations in sectoral decision-making. 124. The water program designed by the G O M envisages the provision o f adequate water quantity and quality for a large number o f people in Mexico. The amended National Water L a w makes particular reference to ejidatarios, small farmers, and indigenous communities. The law prohibits extraction of water from parceled ejidos or community lands without authorization o f ejidatarios, small farmers, and indigenous communities with the exception o f water for subsistence or domestic use.4o 125. Simultaneously, SEMARNAT i s strengthening i t s environmental management capacity to foster accountability, transparency and to ensure mitigation o f potential negative impacts associated with tourism, energy, water, and forestry development. The program supports the establishment o f effective mechanisms for channeling voice and building consensus, which are important for ensuring successful and inclusive public participation in environmental management and increased accountability o f public organizations. New Environmental Impact Assessment guidelines, issued during the second operation, place particular emphasis o n opening up decision-making processes to public scrutiny. 126. In accordance with OP 8.60, consultations were held in the process o f preparing E N V D P L 11. Several public hearings and workshops were held that focused o n the key aspects o f Mexico’s Environmental Mainstreaming Program (Programa de Transversalidad), and on the design and discussion o f the new forestry law and the amendments to the water law. These events included a workshop o n the Programa de Transversalidad,held in March 2005 in Mexico with the participation o f various stakeholders, including social and environmental NGOs; a workshop held in Patzcuaro in 2005 that focused on control o f indoor air pollution caused by domestic use o f fuelwood; and public consultations held o n the environmental mainstreaming program in the tourism sector through workshops held in January 2005 and in M a y 2005 with the participation o f over 200 mayors, other representatives o f state and municipal governments, and other stakeholders. 127. The uneven effect o f reform implementation o n different stakeholders and sectors o f the population i s one o f the main challenges that the G O M will have to face, concerning the social and poverty impacts o f the environmental reforms. As stated above, all the measures supported by the operation have positive outcomes for most o f the population. The opportunities to take advantage o f these outcomes, however, are not the same for every one. It i s predictable that, if appropriate institutional arrangements are not made and specific actions are not taken, indigenous communities might not have access to potential benefits resulting from the costrecovery system, intellectual property rights and small scale user permits included in the new Forestry Law. This would occur simply because they do not have the power to demand accountability over their entitlements, the capacity to prepare management plans or to deal with the cumbersome procedures in place to access these facilities. In order to enhance the opportunities o f vulnerable groups to take advantage o f the new legal regulatory framework, the G O M with Bank support is implementing various programs specifically targeted towards indigenous communities and independent forestry workers. The Community Forestry Project 40 CNA. Ley de Aguas Nacionales y su Reglamento, Seccibn Segunda, Art. 55. Mexico City; CNA. 2004. 41 assists indigenous communities and ejidos in five states to improve the management and conservation o f their forest resources and to generate sustainable alternative sources o f income. The Indigenous and Community Biodiversity Conservation Project will strengthen and promote community conservation initiatives on communally owned lands in areas o f high biodiversity in three states. Finally, the G O M with Bank support i s conducting analytical work on the poverty and social impacts o f reforms. The analytical work underway will identify policies whose impacts on distribution, inclusion and other social issues would be studied as part o f the preparation o f the subsequent operation. B. SUPERVISION 128. Each one o f the sectoral ministries and agencies involved in this operation (SHCP, SEMARNAT, SENER, SECTUR, CONAFOR and CNA) will be responsible for implementation o f the proposed components o f the operation and for reporting progress. The Environment and Natural Resources Secretariat (SEMARNAT) will be responsible for coordinating actions among the aforementioned agencies. 129. The Bank team will supervise the ENVDPL I1 with a particular emphasis to ascertain whether the government o f Mexico i s carrying out the program with a focus o n development impact and due diligence to achieve development objectives in conformity with the legal agreements. Bank staff will assess and monitor the adequacy o f the institutional arrangements by which the government o f Mexico implements the actions indicated in the Policy Matrix, and verify fulfillment o f program conditions and compliance with legal covenants. The Bank team will focus on the impact outcomes o f the program and the adjustments that need to be made to the operation as it evolves, to take into account the latest country developments, stakeholder support, and feasible options for realizing the program development goals. The Task Team will monitor actions and review progress o f the implementation o f E N V D P L 11, as well as the subsequent actions o f the government’s program. Before proceeding with the E N V D P L 111, the Bank team will assess the government o f Mexico’s progress in implementing the expected actions for the second operation, with a particular emphasis on the triggers presented above. C. FIDUCIARY ASPECTS 130. The Mexico Country Financial Accountability Assessment (CFAA, Report 29155-MX, September 5, 2003) examined the GOM’s implementation o f measures intended to improve the financial management o f the federal public sector. The CFAA found that the G O M has adequate mechanisms in place to record and report public expenditures. The budget management o f the Federal Government has several management instruments and defined objectives, standards and procedures, fostering an accountable and transparent management o f State expenditures. The main strength observed was the existence o f clear and complete rules that govern the Federal Government’s administrative financial transactions. D. DISBURSEMENTAND AUDITING 13 1. Disbursement and Implementation Arrangements. The proposed loan will follow the Bank’s disbursement procedures. N o procurement requirements will be needed. Once the loan i s approved by the Board and becomes effective, the proceeds o f the loan will be disbursed by the 42 IBRD. If, after disbursement, the proceeds o f the loan are used for ineligible purposes as defined in the Development Loan Agreement, the Bank will require the Borrower to either: (i) return the amount for use for eligible purposes, or (ii) refund the amount directly to the Bank. 132. The administration o f this loan will be the responsibility o f the Banco del Ahorro Nacional y Servicios Financieros S.N.C (BANSEFI) as financial agent o f the Federal Government through the Mandate Agreement between the Secretaria de Hacienda y Cre‘dito Pdblico and BANSEFI. A unit o f BANSEFI, the Subdireccidn de Financiamiento Internacional will be in charge o f the coordination and fulfillment o f the terms and conditions set forth in the Loan Agreement. Although an audit o f the deposit account will not be required, the Bank reserves the right to require audits at any time. E. ENVIRONMENTALASPECTS 133. The provisions o f OP8.60 on Development Policy Lending apply to ENVDPL 11. The raison d’itre o f the operation i s to support policy reforms and actions that embody the principle o f environmental sustainability by promoting economic development that i s not derived at the expense o f the environment and natural resource base. In other words, economic development that i s balanced with protection and improvement o f the quality o f the environment and natural resources. The operation seeks to achieve this dual objective through the incorporation o f environmental considerations in key productive sectors o f the economy, and by improving the effectiveness and efficiency o f local environmental management processes. Consequently, it i s expected that the proposed operation will have positive effects on the country’s environment or natural resources. The operation and indeed the program offer significant opportunities to positively affect the environment and natural resources o f Mexico. Consistent with OP 8.60, this section will discuss the argument that informs the expectation o f positive effects o f the operation, drawing upon preparatory activities and aspects o f the operation and program design aimed to ensure sustainability o f those effects. 134. The actions included in the matrix for this operation have been designed based o n a strong foundation o f analytical work. A recent piece o f analytical work and a key component o f the analytical foundation for this program i s the 2003 OECD Environmental Performance Review, which concludes that rapid economic growth in Mexico has occurred together with increased pressure o n the environment. This operation focuses o n four sectors - tourism, energy, forestry and water - key drivers of economic development in Mexico. As discussed in preceding sections o f this document, the environmental challenges associated with each o f these sectors are significant and allude to the need and opportunities that exist to incorporate environmental sustainability considerations into the sectors in order to achieve the overarching goal o f growth with quality that underlies the country’s National Development Plan. Furthermore, the G O M recognizes that environmental sustainability is a key factor to maintain the competitiveness o f these sectors at national and international levels accordingly. 135. The reforms supported by E N V D P L I1 will seek to build upon the achievements o f the previous operation which focused principally on initial actions to create an environment conducive to the facilitation o f the policy reforms and actions that are supported by subsequent operations. These reforms and actions have been selected to directly respond to the environmental challenges identified with each o f the sectors. As an illustration, a key challenge 43 in the tourism sector is to manage the environmental problems associated with the existing tourism industry and minimize damage from future growth. In this context, the proposed operation supports actions that will improve environmental conditions at tourist sites, decrease overexploitation o f natural resources and protected areas, ensure new tourism developments are designed and tourist facilities are operated in a sustainable manner, and lastly to promote sustainable tourism. O n one hand, the proposed actions will seek to promote protection o f the environment and natural resources, while on the other they also may bring about the effect o f increasing infrastructure development activities to promote tourism that could potentially have negative environmental impacts. Studies under this program, such as the strategic sectoral study and the strategic environmental assessments (SEAs), will be key tools in anticipating such effects and outlining measures upstream to address them. 136. In addition, the strategic environmental assessments and studies that are supported by the operation will provide input to the development o f sector environmental policies in tourism and energy sectors, which often entail productive/sector activities that could contribute to environmental degradation. It i s important to point out that although the GOM’s plans for development o f the tourism sector contemplate considerable development o f infrastructure to boost the sector’s growth, the proposed operation will not support investments in infrastructure. The potential adverse environmental impacts o f infrastructure developments are recognized. I t is anticipated that such impacts will be identified through the pilot SEAs supported by the operation, including proposals for policy options to address them. In the water and forestry sectors, actions and reforms will increase the competitiveness o f the sectors by improving efficiency o f sector activities and utilizing opportunities for growth in a sustainable manner. In the case o f the water sector for example, inadequate water quantity stemming from water loss from inefficient or wasteful use in some areas and scarcity in others i s among the key challenges o f the sector. In this context, the first operation supported actions that helped to increase the efficiency o f collection o f water fees, and gradually i n s t i l l changes in user behavior toward the resource. To consolidate the benefits o f the first operation, the subsequent operations will support actions aimed to better align water fees with the economic value o f water. 137. Lastly, the inter-sectoral approach o f the program will provide a unique opportunity to ensure that the reforms supported by the program will be sustained. This document recognizes that inter-sectoral collaboration i s difficult and time intensive. The previous operation showed, however, that where it did work, it resulted in higher quality products. The formation o f the Intersectoral Technical Working Groups and their continued functioning have been a key vehicle to promoting such coordination. As discussed in previous sections, the G O M i s on i t s own increasingly using intersectoral coordination to approach cross-cutting environmental issues. The establishment o f intersectoral fora such as the Comisidn Intersecretarial de Turismo (Tourism), Comite‘ Mexican0 para Proyectos de Reduccidn de Emisiones y de Captura de Gases de Efecto Invernadero (Energy), Consejo Consultivo del Agua (Water), Consejo Consultivo Forestal (Forestry) allude to this development and indicate that the G O M i s advancing in the right direction to address the country’s environmental challenges by directly addressing them and by continuing to create the requisite institutional and policy framework to support the delivery o f results in a sustainable manner. 138. A s illustrated in preceding sections o n the environmental challenges in the four sectors, it i s clear that the severity o f effects o f environmental degradation may be localized as in the case 44 o f water where the arid areas o f the northern region are occupied by 77 percent o f the population and account for 85 percent o f GDP. Consequently, it is important that the G O M i s sufficiently capable to undertake environmental management at the local level where it is most needed. The proposed operation incorporates actions to improve the effectiveness and efficiency o f environmental management processes. The benchmarks that have been realized by the G O M indicate that the country i s headed in the right direction with respect to protecting the environment and improving environmental quality. Improved quality o f environmental management, and increased transparency and availability o f information to the public attest to this accomplishment. F. R I S K S AND R I S K MITIGATION 139. The main macroeconomic risks to the ENVSAL program could be associated with effects o n the Mexican economy o f a sharper slowdown o f the US (and global) economy, a stronger than expected tightening o f monetary policy conditions, and a high volatility o f o i l prices. In terms o f a sharp slowdown o f U S economy, possibly related to high o i l prices, the impact o n Mexico has been demonstrated by the experience over the past three years. Such a slowdown will take its toll most likely in terms o f Mexican economic growth rather than price stability or access to external financing. A sharper monetary tightening by the U S monetary authorities will lead to an increase not only o f interest rates o n external financing requirements but more importantly o f domestic interest rates as well. Mexico has made important progress, however, to reduce i t s vulnerability to adverse shocks and to enhance i t s ability to absorb such shocks. Although gross external financing requirements remain substantial at US$5 1.8 billion or 8 percent o f GDP, the country’s investment-grade on sovereign debt and the integration o f the Mexican business sector into the US. and global financial markets should continue to provide access to finance. The moderate current account deficit, at 1.5 percent o f GDP, also contributes importantly to the mitigation o f the country’s external financing risk. 140. Political risks would be associated with the presidential election o f 2006. Mexico’s multiparty democratic system is currently dominated by three political parties, all o f which stand a reasonable chance o f winning the election. Changes within the cabinet prior to the election, as well as change o f administration in December 2006, may result in a loss o f momentum to complete the reforms supported by this program. This risk i s mitigated by the following factors: (i> a recently-passed law established a c i v i l service in the federal public administration, which will likely result in lower official turnovers; (ii) secondly, the third operation o f the program i s scheduled to take place during the first year o f the incoming administration to provide continuity and ensure sustainability o f the policy reforms; (iii)the legal and regulatory framework established under E N V D P L I1 through the enactment o f laws and regulations provide a basis to ensure the continuity o f the policies; and (iv) the design o f the program, which anchors the formulation o f sector environmental strategies o n consensus-building among different stakeholders, further strengthens the basis for continuity o f policies. 141. Social and institutional risks could be associated with the implementation o f institutional changes included in the reforms or that would have to take place during i t s implementation. There are two sets o f institutional changes that involve a number o f risks: (i) decentralization o f core functions o f policy implementation to states and lower levels o f government; and (ii) the promotion o f a greater degree o f transparency, accountability and public participation. Although 45 decentralization creates opportunities for’policy implementation that takes into consideration the specificities o f sub-national contexts and the needs and priorities o f the population, it brings with it risks linked to the absence o f upstream accountability frameworks, and weak local institutional capacity and experience. 142. Concurrently, the promotion o f participation o f stakeholders in decision making and monitoring o f environmental policy generally supports the credibility, sustainability and effectiveness o f policy actions. However, participation could also entail risks that need to be addressed by designing risk management and mitigation measures. The main risks associated with increased participatory management are: (i) frustration due to unrealistic expectations; (ii) incoherent and l o w quality feedback due to lack o f clear channels o f voice and information; and (iii) capture o f participatory processes by elites or use o f them with political or manipulative purposes. These risks are addressed by the following measures included in the policies supported by the loan or by complementary measures to be discussed in the context o f the third operation: (i) a well funded and effective capacity building program; (ii) an accountability framework and a tracking system that will monitor decentralization o f environmental functions and competencies (iii) transparency and accessibility o f environmental public information systems; (ii) an enhanced communication strategy for the sector; and (iii) the development and dissemination o f guidelines for public participation in EIA process and other participatory mechanisms. 143. Additional risks that could result from the decentralization process in the water sector include: (i) insufficient budgetary allocations to river basin councils to finance their effective C N A and the RBCs’ capacity to implement the functions associated with greater functioning; (ii) decentralization may be constrained by scarce human resources. The operation will contribute to the mitigation o f these risks by supporting the preparation o f detailed plans for financial resource autonomy, which constitutes a necessary element for RBCs’ self-management. Moreover, the Bank-financed Integrated Management o f Basins and Aquifers Project, which is currently under preparation, will further mitigate these risks as it will help to build the capacity o f stakeholders, including RBCs, to assume responsibilities relative to water resource management in order to improve the conditions for sustainable integrated water resources management and use. 46 Lo 5 El e e.- I : B I * m L- e c PJ p T 2 vi 0 0 hl 4 8 6 2 E8 Y m 3 IA m .-C M .5 B B 2 * 8 .r c 3e P c ru ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY 60 Bb$ rraa Anexos: 1. 2. 3. 4. El Plan Nacional de Desarrollo y el Compromiso de Mexico con el Desarrollo Sustentable El Programa Nacional de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales Principales Logros de la Primera Operacion (acciones detalladas de la primera etapa) Componentes generales de la segunda etapa del Programa de Ajuste Estructural Ambiental (EnvsSAL II) 61 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cod.) ANEXO 1. EL PLAN NACIONAL DE DESARROLLO Y EL COMPROMISO DE MEXICO CON EL DESARROLLO SUSTENTABLE La actual politica ambiental de Mexico es un reflejo del compromiso de la presente administracion con el desarrollo sustentable del pais. Csta emerge directamente del Plan Nacional de Desarrollo (PND) 2001 - 2006, que fija las prioridades, objetivos y estrategias de la Administracion Publica Federal (APF) para el periodo. El PND sienta las bases para la politica ambiental, entre otras, en 10s siguientes campos: i) El Desarrollo Sustentable como un tema transversal. El PND reconoce a la sustentabilidad como uno de 10s cuatro criterios centrales para el desarrollo de la nacion. En congruencia con lo anterior, el sector de medio ambiente y recursos naturales sobresale como el ljnico sector que participa en las tres comisiones creadas por el Poder Ejecutivo Federal para lograr la coordinacion interinstitucional en el disetio y ejecucion de politicas publicas en 10s temas de Desarrollo Social y Humano, Crecimiento con Calidad y Orden y Respeto. ii) Una gestion ambiental que responde a 10s retos del desarrollo economico y la gobernabilidad democratica. El PND incluye a la competitividad como otro de 10s criterios centrales para el desarrollo de la nacion y setiala que la transparencia y la rendicion de cuentas son parte de las cinco normas de accion gubernamental. Desde esta optica, la gestion ambiental se concibe una herramienta que permite definir claramente 10s derechos de propiedad y acceso a 10s recursos naturales, asi como crear instituciones ambientales robustas, con el proposito de dar certeza a las decisiones de inversion y asi, fortalecer la competitividad del pais y sus empresas. De igual forma, las autoridades ambientales tienen la obligacion de abrir sus procesos de toma de decisiones al escrutinio publico. Finalmente, la rendicion de cuentas implica que las autoridades sectoriales son responsables de informar a la ciudadania acerca de la eficiencia con que administran 10s recursos publicos para ejecutar politicas y programas de gobierno, asi como la efectividad de estos para mejorar la calidad de vida de 10s mexicanos. 62 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) ANEXO 2. EL PROGRAMA NACIONAL DE MEDIO AMBIENTE Y RECURSOS NATURALES La politica ambiental de Mexico se encuentra plasmada en el Programa Nacional de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (PNMARN) 2001 - 2006, integrado por la Secretaria de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (SEMARNAT). El PNMARN fue resultado de un proceso de participacion pljblica que incluyo la realizacion de 125 foros estatales de consulta ciudadana, asi como la recopilacion e integracion de las aportaciones de 10s Consejos Consultivos Nacional y Regionales de Desarrollo Sustentable. La politica ambiental parte del reconocimiento de la estrecha relacion entre el medio ambiente y la competitividad global. El deterioro del capital natural implica la destruccion o agotamiento de 10s recursos naturales que pueden aprovecharse para promover el desarrollo y colocar bienes y servicios en 10s mercados nacionales e internacionales. Tambien, la degradacion ambiental amenaza la salud humana y 10s ecosistemas, por lo que contribuye a la ineficiencia de la produccion. El modelo de crecimiento economico observado en Mexico es evidencia de lo anterior, ya que las pautas de desarrollo del pais han llevado a una perdida significativa del capital natural que afecta a 10s mas pobres y pone en riesgo el desarrollo economico de Mexico en el corto, mediano y largo plazo. En este contexto, la politica ambiental actual se constituye como el principal instrumento con el cual la SEMARNAT busca influir las decisiones de 10s sectores economicos para alinear sus actividades con 10s objetivos de desarrollo sustentable del pais. La politica ambiental esta basada en seis pilares, a saber: i) lnfegralidad. El manejo de 10s recursos naturales se realiza mediante un enfoque integral de cuencas, tomando en cuenta la interrelacion entre agua, aire, suelo, bosques y diversidad biologica e incorporando consideraciones sociales y economicas. ii) Compromisos de /os secfores del Gobierno Federal. El compromiso con el desarrollo sustentable representa una tarea compartida por la SEMARNAT y diversas secretarias e instituciones federales responsables de 10s distintos sectores de la economia. Est0 se refleja en la agenda de la transversalidad de politicas pljblicas ambientales, en la que diversas dependencias del Gobierno Federal adoptan metas ambientales. iii) Gesfion. La estructura organica de la SEMARNAT fue transformada para que sus unidades y 10s organos desconcentrados y descentralizados integren sus esfuerzos para la atencion de 10s problemas ambientales. La gestion impulsa la colaboracion de las autoridades estatales y municipales bajo un nuevo federalismo; el us0 eficiente de 10s instrumentos de gestion ambiental; el desarrollo de indicadores de desempetio ambiental; y la consolidacion del marc0 normativo y de foment0 para inducir un buen comportamiento ambiental. 63 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) iv) Valoracion de 10s Recursos Naturales y Servicios Ambientales. Se pretende asegurar que el us0 de bienes y servicios ambientales refleje el verdadero costo ambiental, asi como que las comunidades e individuos que son propietarios de 10s recursos naturales reciban un pago tanto por 10s bienes que producen como por 10s servicios ambientales que mantienen. v) Apego a la legalidad y combate a la impunidad. La ley se aplicara sin excepciones y se hara un combate irrestricto frente al crimen ambiental y la impunidad. vi) Participacion social y rendicion de cuentas. Los ciudadanos tienen el derecho de acceder a la informacion acerca del estado del medio ambiente y 10s efectos de este en su bienestar social y economico. Ademas, la SEMARNAT ha establecido indices y metas de desempetio para que la ciudadania pueda evaluar la gestion ambiental. A partir de esos pilares, la SEMARNAT y sus organos desconcentrados y descentralizados elaboraron 17 programas que se agrupan en 10s siguientes rubros: i) Programas Sectoriales e Institucionales: Programa Nacional Hidraulico, Programa Nacional Forestal, Programa de Procuracion de Justicia Ambiental, y Programa de la Comision Nacional de Areas Naturales Protegidas. ii) Cruzadas Nacionales: Cruzada por 10s Bosques y el Agua y Cruzada por un Mexico Limpio. iii) Programas Estrateaicos: Programa para Detener y Revertir la Contaminacion del Aire, Agua y Suelo; Programa para Detener y Revertir la Perdida de Capital Natural; Programa para Conservar 10s Ecosistemas y su Biodiversidad; y Programa para Promover el Desarrollo Sustentable en el Gobierno Federal. iv) Programas Regionales v Multisectoriales: Programa Frontera Norte, Programa Estrategico para el Sur - Sureste, Programa del Mar de Cortes y Corredor Biologic0 Mesoamericano. v) Programas Especiales: Programa para 10s Pueblos Indigenas; Programa de Equidad de Genero, Medio Ambiente y Sostenibilidad; y Programa Ambiental para la Juventud. Entre estos programas, cabe destacar el Programa para Promover el Desarrollo Sustentable en el Gobierno Federal, el cual constituye el principal vehiculo para asegurar la incorporacion del principio de sustentabilidad en el quehacer de la Administracion PIjblica Federal. El Programa inicio como un foro interinstitucional de acercamiento, discusion, interaccion y establecimiento de acuerdos a favor de la sustentabilidad entre 16 instituciones de la APF. 64 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) Hasta enero del 2005 la SEMARNAT ha logrado la incorporacion de 32 instituciones, que, junto con sus acuerdos y compromisos, conforman la Agenda de Transversalidad de Politicas POblicas Ambientales. La Agenda agrupa metas medibles y verificables a las que cada dependencia se comprometio con el proposito de mejorar su desempeiio ambiental y promover el desarrollo sustentable de Mexico. De manera complementaria a 10s programas seAalados anteriormente, el PNMARN identifica tres mecanismos e instrumentos necesarios para aterrizar 10s principios rectores de la politica ambiental en todos 10s ambitos y sectores que participan en la construccion del desarrollo sustentable. El primer0 se refiere a una reforma legal que ha impulsado la SEMARNAT para garantizar el acceso efectivo a la justicia en materia ambiental, aplicar el enfoque de manejo integral de cuencas, valorar social y economicamente 10s recursos naturales y servicios ambientales, aportar 10s elementos necesarios para la descentralizacion efectiva y en general, adaptar 10s instrumentos legales existentes a las necesidades cambiantes del pais. El segundo comprende el financiamiento y la realizacion de una reforma fiscal que permitan alcanzar las metas de la politica ambiental. Esta ultima comprende establecer cobros por el us0 de recursos naturales y servicios ambientales que Sean propiedad de la nacion, incluso con la posibilidad de dar un destino especifico a las recaudaciones para invertirlas en el mantenimiento del recurso natural que es la base de la actividad economica a la cual se le cobra el derecho. El tercer0 es el relacionado con la participacion publica y la necesidad de establecer vias y mecanismos que garanticen la participacion responsable de 10s miembros de todos 10s sectores sociales y ordenes de gobierno interesados en la proteccion del medio ambiente y el equilibrio ecologico. 65 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) ANEXO 3. PRINCIPALES LOGROS DE LA PRIMERA OPERACION DEL EnvSAL El primer prestamo del ENVSAL (conocido como ENVSAL I) busco apoyar la instrumentacion de 10s componentes estrategicos del PNMARN y sus programas orientados a: a) impulsar la transversalidad del tema ambiental mediante la incorporacion de consideraciones ambientales en las politicas y actividades de cuatro sectores fundamentales para el desarrollo sustentable de Mexico: turismo, energia, bosques y agua; y b) fortalecer la capacidad interna del sector medio ambiente y recursos naturales para cumplir con sus responsabilidades de manera mas eficiente y eficaz. De manera general, puede afirmarse que el ENVSAL I contribuyo al desarrollo sustentable de Mexico al constituirse en un foro para que diferentes sectores y subsectores pudieran atender de manera coherente e integral problemas de interes comlin en 10s que tradicionalmente cada sector habia trabajado de manera aislada. La metodologia de trabajo de ENVSAL I, basada en una matriz de politicas y en la constitucion de grupos de trabajo intersectoriales, permitio que 10s diferentes sectores orientaran sus esfuerzos al desarrollo de soluciones para la atencion de problemas y la obtencion de resultados claramente definidos. Esta metodologia permitio la integracion de consideraciones ambientales en 10s procesos de toma de decision de sectores que juegan un papel fundamental en el desarrollo de Mexico. Cabe destacar en este sentido el papel del Banco como catalizador para la coordinacion interinstitucional. En terminos del fortalecimiento de la gestion ambiental, 10s esfuerzos del ENVSAL I estuvieron encauzados a incrementar la transparencia del proceso de toma de decisiones del sector ambiental y consolidar 10s instrumentos para la rendicion de cuentas, asi como para apoyar 10s esfuerzos de la SEMARNAT para avanzar en el proceso de descentralizacion. A continuacion se presentan algunas de las actividades especificas que fueron apoyadas por el ENVSAL I. Turismo. El prestamo apoyo en la formulacion e inicio de la ejecucion del Programa Nacional de Turismo 2001 - 2006, mismo que enfatiza la necesidad de integrar esfuerzos y politicas para lograr la sustentabilidad de 10s destinos turisticos. Adicionalmente, se consiguio la reforma por parte del Poder Legislativo de 10s articulos 198 y 198a de la Ley Federal de Derechos, con lo cual se establecio el cobro de derechos para la visita a las Areas Naturales Protegidas, parques marinos y observacion de ballenas. Los ingresos generados por estos derechos fueron asignados a derechos especificos para ser invertidos en la conservacion de 10s mismos sitios que generaron el ingreso. Este esquema permitio incrementar 10s ingresos en una magnitud de mas de 500 veces del monto original de las areas naturales. 66 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) ii) Energia. Con el apoyo del ENVSAL I, la Secretaria de Energia (SENER), en colaboracion con otras instituciones, elaboro y comenzo la ejecucion del Programa Medio Ambiente del Sector Energetico. Ademas, se integro el Grupo Tecnico de Trabajo intersectorial en el que participan diferentes dependencias con el objetivo de construir consensos en torno a la politica ambiental del sector. iii) Bosques. El ENVSAL I facilito el establecimiento de un grupo intersectorial para el sector forestal que permitio el establecimiento de las metas del sector en el mediano plazo y la construccion de consensos en torno a las politicas sectoriales a cargo de SEMARNAT y de la Comision Nacional Forestal (CONAFOR). iv) Agua. Los logros del sector agua en el marco de ENVSAL I incluyeron la preparacion del Programa Nacional Hidraulico en coherencia con el PNMARN. Adicionalmente, se publico un Decreto Presidencial por el cual el Gobierno Federal condono la deuda ocasionada por la falta de pago de las tarifas del agua a aquellos municipios que aceptaran utilizar las asignaciones futuras del Gobierno Federal para agua y saneamiento como garantia de pago en el futuro. Asimismo, se aprobo la Ley Federal de Derechos en Materia de Agua, misma que contempla la posibilidad de que la totalidad de 10s ingresos recaudados por el concept0 de tarifas de agua Sean devueltos a 10s municipios, a cambio del compromiso de estos de destinar esa cantidad y un monto equivalente adicional a la inversion en programas hidricos. Como resultado de estas ultimas dos acciones, el porcentaje de municipios con poblaciones mayores a las 2,500 personas que junto con el Distrito Federal pagan sus tarifas de agua se incremento del 24% en el 2002 al 58% en el 2003. Por su parte, la Secretaria de Hacienda y Credit0 Pliblico (SHCP) devolvio el 95% de las cuotas de agua a 10s municipios, conforme a lo previsto por la Ley. El Gobierno publico la informacion concerniente a 10s montos totales que fueron canalizados a 10s municipios bajo este esquema. v) Gestion Ambiental. En materia de descentralizacion, el ENVSAL apoyo el establecimiento del Programa de Desarrollo lnstitucional Ambiental (PDIA), a traves del cual se transfirieron recursos para la asistencia tecnica y el desarrollo institucional de 27 estados, con base en acuerdos de desempefio ambiental. En terminos de transparencia y rendicion de cuentas, ENVSAL apoyo al Gobierno de Mexico en las modificaciones que se hicieron a la normatividad relacionada con la Evaluacion de lmpacto Ambiental (EIA) y otros tramites con el objetivo de abrir espacios a la participacion publica. 67 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) ANEXO 4: COMPONENTES GENERALES DE LA SEGUNDA OPERACION DEL PROGRAMA DE AJUSTE ESTRUCTRAL AMBIENTAL (EnvSAL II) 1. Antecedentes La primera etapa del Programa de Ajuste Estructural Ambiental (EnvSAL I) apoyo la instrumentacion de 10s componentes estrategicos del PNMARN y sus programas orientados a: i) impulsar la transversalidad del tema ambiental mediante la incorporacion de consideraciones ambientales en las politicas y actividades de cuatro sectores fundamentales para el desarrollo sustentable de Mexico: turismo, energia, bosques y agua; y ii) fortalecer la capacidad interna del sector medio ambiente y recursos naturales para cumplir con sus responsabilidades de manera mas eficiente y eficaz. El apoyo del Banco Mundial ha contribuido a consolidar las bases del desarrollo sustentable en Mexico, a traves del EnvSAL I, pues 10s sectores participantes iniciaron la construccion de consensos y el impulso a reformas de politica, y comenzaron a atender, de manera coherente e integral, asuntos ambientales de interes comun en 10s que tradicionalmente cada sector habia trabajado de manera aislada. La metodologia de trabajo establecida por el Gobierno de Mexico se bas6 en la construccion de una matriz de politicas y en la conformacion de grupos de trabajo intersectoriales, que facilitaron la inclusion de consideraciones ambientales en 10s procesos de toma de decision de 10s sectores que participaron en el EnvSAL I. Cabe destacar en este sentido el papel del Banco Mundial, como impulsor y de la Secretaria de Hacienda y Credit0 Publico, como garante para la coordinacion interinstitucional. En terminos del fortalecimiento de la gestion ambiental, 10s esfuerzos del ENVSAL I estuvieron encauzados a incrementar la transparencia del proceso de toma de decisiones del sector ambiental y consolidar 10s instrumentos para la rendicion de cuentas, asi como para apoyar 10s esfuerzos de la SEMARNAT para avanzar en el proceso de descentralizacion. II. Justificacion de un segundo prestamo La asistencia del Banco Mundial permitio lograr reformas en 10s marcos de politicas y normativos que constituyen avances sin precedente en 10s esfuerzos de Mexico para alcanzar el desarrollo sustentable. Sin embargo, dichas reformas representan apenas 10s cimientos sobre 10s cuales se habra de consolidar un marco institucional que proporcione certeza a 10s inversionistas, asegure la internalizacion de 10s costos ambientales y asegure el us0 eficiente del capital natural para fortalecer la competitividad del pais. Es por ello que el Gobierno de Mexico considera necesario continuar con la segunda operation contemplada por el ENVSAL. 68 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) En particular, esta segunda operacion estaria orientada en apoyar un conjunto de acciones que permitan profundizar y asegurar la sustentabilidad de las reformas realizadas en el marco del primer prestamo. Este apoyo estaria canalizado hacia las acciones estrategicas que cumplan con 10s siguientes criterios: i) Contribucion al aprovechamiento sustentable del capital natural del pais para utilizar la riqueza de 10s ecosistemas mexicanos como fuente de ventaja competitiva para satisfacer la demanda de nichos de mercado mas selectivos y lucrativos. ii) Definicion de acciones de gobierno encaminadas a atender fallas de mercado y distorsiones de politicas que resultan en el deterioro de la calidad ambiental, asi como afectaciones a la salud pliblica y por ende, a la productividad y competitividad del pais. iii) Adopcion de estrategias para la creacion de un clima propicio para la competitividad del sector productivo, incluyendo la definicion de reglas claras, sencillas y permanentes, asi como la oferta de servicios gubernamentales de gran calidad. 111. Principales Acciones de la Segunda Operacion Con base en estos criterios, a continuacion se sefialan 10s objetivos y principales acciones que conforman la segunda operacion, 10s cuales reconocen 10s importantes avances que Mexico ha logrado en la elaboracion y ejecucion de politicas que contribuyen al desarrollo sustentable y ademas, son coherentes con 10s principios, objetivos y lineas de accion trazados en el PND y el PNMARN: i) Asegurar la insercion de consideraciones y criterios ambientales en las agendas de desarrollo de 10s sectores prioritarios (turismo, energia, bosques y agua) Turismo 0 ' 0 La adopcion e implementacion de Agendas 21 locales en 10 destinos turisticos, que reflejen 10s acuerdos de 10s distintos sectores y ordenes de gobierno, para llevar a cab0 acciones que promuevan la proteccion del medio ambiente y el aprovechamiento de 10s recursos naturales como elementos necesarios para incrementar la competitividad y asegurar la sustentabilidad de la actividad turistica. Con base en 10s consensos logrados por el Grupo de Trabajo lntersectorial de Turismo, se llevaran a cab0 10s estudios necesarios para la consolidacion de la estrategia nacional de desarrollo sustentable, coordinada por la Secretaria de Turismo (SECTUR) conjuntamente con el 69 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) resto de las dependencias que participan en el Grupo de Trabajo de Turismo. a a a La consolidacion, mediante Decreto Presidencial, de la Comision lntersecretarial de Turismo, como mecanismo de coordinacion intersecretarial del mas alto nivel, que permitira la integracion de politicas pljblicas para alcanzar 10s objetivos del Plan Nacional de Turismo 2001 2006, incluyendo la promocion de destinos turisticos sustentables. La consolidacion del Programa de Calidad Ambiental Turistica por parte de SECTUR y PROFEPA, que reconoce el buen desempetio ambiental de las instalaciones turisticas y se constituye en un incentivo para lograr el cumplimiento de la normatividad ambiental. La certificacion en el marco del Programa es otorgada a partir del resultado de una auditoria ambiental que las instalaciones turisticas realizan actualmente de forma voluntaria. La consolidacion del Programa Integral de Playas Limpias, el cual comprende un sistema de indicadores y lineas base que permiten monitorear la calidad del agua en 10s centros turisticos. Los indicadores son accesibles al pljblico en general, a fin de que puedan tomar decisiones informadas para la seleccion de 10s destinos turisticos que visitan. a La implementacion de una politica pljblica para 10s Cruceros Turisticos, que reconoce el crecimiento de esta actividad en el pais y que busca asegurar que el nljmero de cruceros que visitan el pais no sobrepase la capacidad de carga de 10s ecosistemas. Asimismo, busca fomentar la provision de servicios para 10s cruceros que resulten en una experiencia mas placentera para 10s turistas y en la mitigacion de impactos ambientales. a Asegurar la aplicacion de la nueva Ley General para la Prevencion y Gestion Integral de 10s Residuos, que aporta el marco juridic0 para el manejo apropiado de 10s residuos en centros urbanos, asi como el desarrollo de mecanismos para la participacion del sector privado y del pljblico en general con el proposito de desarrollar y poner en marcha planes para el manejo integral de 10s residuos. Energia a Realizacion de acciones concretas que reduzcan 10s impactos ambientales del sector de energia en la salud publica. Entre estas se puede destacar el mejoramiento de la calidad de combustibles y en particular, la disminucion del contenido de azufre de 1000 a 300 ppm en 70 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) la gasolina que se comercializa en la Zona Metropolitana del Valle de Mexico. Asimismo, la realizacion de proyectos de electrificacion rural que permitira sustituir 10s combustibles que actualmente se utilizan en comunidades rurales y que tienen impactos negativos en la salud, afectando principalmente a grupos vulnerables como 10s niiios y las mujeres. e El desarrollo, a partir de 10s acuerdos logrados por el Grupo de Trabajo lntersecretarial de Energia, de 10s estudios de prospectiva del sector energetic0 que permitan guiar las politicas sectoriales de Mexico para alcanzar objetivos economicos, sociales y ambientales. e El impulso al us0 de energia proveniente de fuentes renovables, asi como de una Norma Oficial Mexicana que regule la energia geotermica. De manera complementaria, desarrollar 10s mecanismos institucionales que permitan establecer incentivos economicos y mecanismos de mercado que propicien la inversion en este tip0 de energias. e Reduccion de 10s impactos ambientales de las empresas paraestatales del sector, en particular PEMEX y la Comision Federal de Electricidad (CFE). Ambas empresas han adoptado sistemas de manejo ambiental que han permitido alcanzar resultados importantes en el corto plazo y continuaran ayudando a mejorar el desempeiio ambiental en el futuro. e Como parte de 10s esfuerzos del sector para mitigar sus impactos a nivel global y en congruencia con la participacion de Mexico en las negociaciones internacionales sobre cambio climatico, apoyar la operacion de la Oficina del Mecanismo de Desarrollo Limpio, cuyas funciones incluyen la implementacion de metodologias que permiten medir y verificar las reducciones de carbono, asi como el fortalecimiento del portafolio de proyectos de inversion que tienen potencial para ser financiados a traves de ese mecanismo. La oficina fue establecida de conformidad a 10s lineamientos acordados por la comunidad internacional en las Conferencias de las Partes de la Convencion Marco de Cambio Climatic0 realizadas en Bonn y Marrakesh. Bosaues Aplicacion de la Ley General para el Desarrollo Forestal Sustentable e impulso a la creacion de su reglamento. La ley representa un componente fundamental de las reformas que el sector ha emprendido para fortalecer el marco legal del sector y asegurar que el desarrollo de la actividad forestal se realice conforme a reglas bien definidas que fomenten la inversion. La ley asigna funciones y responsabilidades a 10s distintos 71 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) ordenes de gobierno para la conservacion, proteccion, restauracion, produccion, cosecha y manejo de 10s recursos forestales del pais. e Aprobacion del Reglamento de la Ley Forestal que define el marco regulatorio para lograr el pago por 10s servicios hidrologicos ambientales que proporcionan 10s bosques dentro de las cuencas hidrograficas, entre otros objetivos. e Elaboracion de estudios para el desarrollo de mecanismos fiscales, financieros y de mercado para generar recursos economicos que fomenten el aprovechamiento sustentable de 10s recursos forestales y remuneren 10s servicios ambientales que proveen. Aqua e Enmiendas a la Ley de Aguas Nacionales para avanzar en el manejo integrado de 10s recursos hidricos. Las enmiendas se orientarian a la definicion de mecanismos para la operacion de organismos de cuenca descentralizados en 10s que 10s distintos usuarios del agua pueden discutir 10s temas relevantes sobre el us0 del recurso, el fortalecimiento del sistema de derechos de agua y modificaciones que contribuiran a un mejor funcionamiento del mercado de agua. e Como medidas complementarias a las enmiendas de la Ley de Aguas Nacionales, se realizan acciones orientadas a asegurar que 10s usuarios del agua cumplan con sus obligaciones en terminos del us0 de agua conforme a 10s derechos adquiridos y de descargas de sustancias contaminantes, ajustar 10s programas de las regiones hidricoadministrativas para que reflejen la disponibilidad real del recurso y la elaboracion de una estrategia para aumentar la cobertura de tratamiento de aguas residuales a lo largo del territorio nacional. e La puesta en marcha de medidas para racionalizar el us0 del agua y contribuir al mejor funcionamiento del mercado de agua, que incluyen la publicacion de la disponibilidad de agua en 10s principales acuiferos del pais, asi como la implementacion de un proyecto piloto en el Valle de Queretaro para la negociacion entre autoridades y usuarios de medidas que resulten en una menor extraccion de agua de 10s acuiferos sobreexplotados. 72 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) ii) Mejorar la eficiencia y eficacia de 10s procesos de gestion ambiental en Mexico. 0 0 Avance en la consolidacion de espacios para la participacion publica y rendicion de cuentas, conforme a las disposiciones de la Ley Federal de Transparencia. Las medidas concretas para avanzar en este frente incluyen la publicacion anual de estadisticas ambientales y de informes de gestion ambiental que permiten dar a conocer a la ciudadania las tendencias en terminos de la calidad del medio ambiente, asi como 10s resultados de 10s esfuerzos de gestion ambiental que lleva a cab0 el Gobierno Federal. Adecuacion 10s marcos normativos y procedimientos administrativos para establecer reglas claras que favorezcan la inversion y fomenten el cumplimiento de la normatividad ambiental. En este sentido caben destacar las modificaciones a las guias de impact0 ambiental que han logrado reducir la duracion de 10s tramites, identificar 10s impactos acumulativos y abrir espacios para mejorar la participacion de las comunidades que podrian ser afectadas por 10s proyectos en consideracion. Fortalecimiento del proceso de descentralizacion a traves de un esquema de monitoreo y evaluacion del desempetio de las autoridades ambientales estatales con relacion a las funciones que les han sido transferidas. Con base en este modelo, se han identificado funciones prioritarias para ser transferidas a 10s estados que estan relacionadas con el manejo de ZOFEMAT, bosques y suelos, asi como vida silvestre. Este esquema busca responder a las limitantes del modelo de descentralizacion que se habia adoptado al inicio de la administracion y que ha sido modificado en esta segunda etapa de la administracion ambiental. Apoyo a las discusiones para la aprobacion de instrumentos fiscales y de mercado que generen recursos para financiar la gestion ambiental en 10s ambitos federal y estatal. En este contexto, la Secretaria de Hacienda y Credit0 Pljblico (SHCP) ha desarrollado 10s criterios para la fijacion de derechos ambientales, 10s lineamientos para 10s impuestos, tarifas y sobrecargos ambientales a nivel local y un borrador de la Ley de lmpuestos Ambientales. 73 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) Mr. James Wolfensohn President World Bank The government o f Mexico has concluded the First Phase o f the Program for Structural Adjustment o f Public Policies (EnvSAL) in support o f the National Program for Environment and Natural Resources 200 1-2006 (PNMARN). The proposal to enter into a loan agreement with the World Bank for EnvSAL was presented M a y 26, 2002, by Official Note 00953, signed by the Secretary o f Environment and Natural Resources, to which a positive reply was granted with the signing o f Loan Agreement No. 7136ME. A s a result o f this Environment Structural Adjustment Program, the present administration o f the government o f Mexico has implemented environmental public policies at the federal level in the subject areas selected for this purpose (water, forestry, energy, tourism, decentralization, and fiscal policy instruments). The continuation o f these efforts would be guaranteed by a second phase o f the program (EnvSAL 11). During the first two years in which the program came into effect, the regulatory and environmental policy frameworks were reformed, and progress was made to integrate environmental management in the aforementioned sectors. These advances contribute to the consolidation o f an institutional framework that gives confidence to investors and ensures the internalization o f environmental costs and the efficient use o f natural capital to strengthen the country’s competitiveness. For these reasons, the government o f Mexico considers it necessary to develop a second phase o f the program. This operation will be directed at the consolidation o f actions carried out within the framework o f the first phase and drive other identified activities to continue the strategic actions in the aforementioned sectors. The Secretariat o f Environment and Natural Resources (SEMARNAT) is convinced o f the need to build bridges between different sectors in order to advance toward sustainable development. The already constituted Intersectoral Working Groups have contributed decisively to the intersectoral coordination and the shaping o f the mainstreaming agendas, which constitute a Presidential priority. 74 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) For the preceding reasons, the Ministry o f Environment and Natural Resources (SEMARNAT) requests the assistance o f the World Bank to develop the second phase o f the program and to obtain the corresponding loan within the EnvSAL framework. Without any other particulars, I reiterate the assurance o f my attentive and distinguished consideration to you. Effective Suffrage. N o Re-election. Secretary Ing. Albert0 Chrdenas JimCnez Cc: Dr. Fernando Tudela Abad, Undersecretary o f Planning and Environmental Policy Dr. Mauricio Lim6n Aguirre, General Justice Coordinator Annexes: 1. 2. 3. 4. National Development Plan and the Mexican Commitment to Sustainable Development National Environment and Natural Resources Program Principal Achievements o f the First Operation (detailed actions o f the first phase) General Components o f the Second Phase o f the Environment Structural Adjustment Program (EnvSAL 11) 75 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) Annex 1. The National Development Plan and Mexico’s Commitment to Sustainable Development Mexico’s current environmental policy i s a reflection o f the present administration’s commitment to the country’s sustainable development. This policy stems directly from the 200 12006 National Development Plan (NDP) which establishes the priorities, objectives, and strategies o f the Federal Public Administration (APF) for this period. The N D P sets the stage for environmental policy in the following areas: i. Sustainable Development as a cross-cutting issue: The P N D recognizes sustainability as one o f the four key criteria for the nation’s development. In line with the above, the environment and natural resources sector stands out as the only sector that participates in the three commissions created by the Federal Executive Authority to achieve inter-institutional coordination in the design and execution o f public policies on the issues o f Social and Human Development, Growth with Quality, and Order and Respect. ii. Environmental management that responds to the challenges o f economic development and democratic governance. The PND includes competitiveness as another o f the key criteria for the nation’s development and indicates that transparency and accountability are part o f the five norms o f government action. From this standpoint, environmental management i s conceived as a tool that makes it possible to clearly define rights o f ownership and access to natural resources, as well as to create robust environmental institutions, to give certainty to investment decisions and thereby strengthening the competitiveness o f the country and i t s enterprises. Likewise, environmental authorities are obliged to open their decision-making processes to public scrutiny. Finally, accountability implies that sectoral authorities are responsible for informing citizens about the efficiency with which they administer public resources in order to carry out government policies and programs, as well as their effectiveness in improving the quality o f l i f e o f Mexican citizens. 76 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) Annex 2. The National Environmentaland Natural Resources Program Mexico’s environmental policy i s articulated in the 2001-2006 National Environment and Natural Resources Program (PNMARN), developed by the Secretariat o f the Environment and Natural Resources (SEMARNAT). P N M A R N was the result o f a public participation process that included 125 state forums for citizen consultation, as well as the collection and integration o f inputs from National and Regional Consultative Councils o n Sustainable Development. Environmental policy stems from the recognition o f the close relationship between the environment and global competitiveness. The deterioration o f natural capital implies the destruction or depletion o f natural resources that may be used to promote development and place goods and services in national and intemational markets. Environmental degradation also threatens human health and ecosystems and thus contributes to inefficient production. The economic growth model observed in Mexico is evidence o f this, since the country’s development models have led to a significant loss o f natural capital which affects the poorest people and places Mexico’s economic development at risk in the short, medium, and long terms. In this context, the current environmental policy constitutes the key instrument with which SEMARNAT seeks to influence the decisions o f economic sectors so as t o align their activities with the country’s sustainable development objectives. The environmental policy is based o n six key elements: 1. .. 11. ... 111. iv. V. Comprehensiveness. Natural resources management i s carried out by means o f a comprehensive watershed approach, taking into account the inter-relationship among water, air, soils, forests, and biodiversity and incorporating social and economic considerations. Commitments of Federal Government sectors. Commitment to sustainable development represents a task shared by SEMARNAT and various federal secretariats and institutions responsible for different sectors o f the economy. This is reflected in the environmental mainstreaming agenda, in which various Federal Government agencies adopt environmental targets. Management. SEMARNAT’s organic structure was changed to allow its decentralized units and agencies to combine their efforts in order to address environmental problems. Management promotes collaboration by state and municipal authorities under a new federalism; the efficient use o f environmental management instruments; the development of environmental performance indicators; and the consolidation o f the regulatory and development framework to promote proper environmental behavior. Valuation of Natural Resources and Environmental Services. The aim i s to ensure that the use o f environmental goods and services reflects the true environmental cost and that the communities and individuals who are the owners o f natural resources receive payment both for the goods they produce and for the environmental services they maintain. Legality and efforts to combat impunity. The law shall be applied without exception and unrestricted efforts will be made to combat environmental crimes and impunity. 77 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) Social participation and accountability. Citizens have the right to access information o n the state o f the environment and i t s effects on their social and economic well-being. Furthermore, SEMARNAT has established performance indexes and targets so that citizens can evaluate environmental management. vi. Based on these key elements, SEMARNAT and i t s decentralized agencies prepared 17 programs grouped under the following categories: 1. .. ... 111. 11. Sectoral and Institutional Programs: National Water Program, National Forest Program, Environmental Justice Mandate Program, and Program o f the National Commission for Natural Protected Areas. National Crusades: Crusade for Forests and Water, and Crusade for a Clean Mexico. Strategic Programs: Program to Stop and Reverse Air, Water, and Soil Pollution; Program to Stop and Reverse the Loss o f Natural Capital; Program to Conserve Ecosystems and their Biodiversity; and Program to Promote Sustainable Development in the Federal Government. iv. Regional and Multisectoral Pronrams: Northern Frontier Program; Strategic Program for the South-Southwest; Program for the Sea o f CortCs and Mesoamerican Biological Corridor. V. Special Programs: Indigenous Peoples Program; Gender Equity, Environment and Sustainability Program; and Environmental Program for Youth. Among these programs, the Program to Promote Sustainable Development in the Federal Government should be mentioned. It i s the key vehicle to ensure the incorporation o f the principle o f sustainability in the duties o f the Federal Public Administration. The Program began as an inter-institutional forum to bring together the APF’s 16 institutions for discussions, interaction, and reaching agreement on sustainability . As o f January 2005 SEMARNAT had incorporated 32 institutions which, along with their agreements and commitments, make up the environmental mainstreaming agenda. The Agenda contains measurable, verifiable targets to which each agency i s committed, for the purpose o f improving their environmental performance and promoting Mexico’s sustainable development. Complementary to the above-mentioned programs, P N M A R N identifies three mechanisms and instruments needed to establish the guiding principles o f environmental policy in all spheres and sectors that participate in the attainment o f sustainable development. The first refers to a legal reform promoted by SEMARNAT to ensure effective access to justice in environmental matters, apply the integrated watershed management approach, socially and economically evaluate natural resources and environmental services, contribute the elements needed for effective decentralization, and in general adapt existing legal instruments to the country’s changing needs. The second includes the financing and realization o f a fiscal reform in order to meet environmental policy targets. The latter includes setting fees for the use o f nationally owned 78 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) natural resources and environmental services, with the possibility o f specifically allocating the resources collected to the maintenance o f the natural resources which are the basis o f the economic activity for which the fee i s charged. The third relates to public participation and the need to establish means and mechanisms to ensure the responsible participation o f members o f all social sectors and government agencies interested in environmental protection and ecological equilibrium. 79 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) Annex 3. Principal Achievements o f the First EnvSAL Operation The first ENVSAL loan (known as ENVSAL I)sought to support the implementation o f the P N M A R ” s strategic components and i t s programs aimed at: a) promoting environmental mainstreaming through the incorporation o f environmental considerations in the policies and activities o f four key sectors for Mexico’s sustainable development: tourism, energy, forests, and water; and b) strengthening the internal capacity o f the environmental and natural resources sector to fulfill i t s responsibilities more efficiently and effectively. In general, it may be stated that ENVSAL Icontributed to Mexico’s sustainable development by creating a forum to allow different sectors and subsectors to coherently and comprehensively address problems o f common interest in which each sector had traditionally operated alone. The working methodology o f ENVSAL I,based on a policy matrix and on the formation o f intersectoral working groups, allowed the different sectors to aim their efforts at developing solutions to problems and at achieving clearly defined results. This methodology made it possible to include environmental considerations in the decision-making processes o f sectors that play a key role in Mexico’s development. In this regard, the Bank’s role as promoter o f interinstitutional coordination should be highlighted. In terms o f strengthening environmental management, efforts under E N V S A L Iwere aimed at increasing transparency in the environmental sector’s decisionmaking process and consolidating instruments for accountability, as well as supporting SEMARNAT’s efforts to move forward in the decentralization process. The following are some o f the specific activities supported by E N V S A L I, 1. .. 11. ... Tourism. The loan supported the formulation and start-up o f the execution o f the 20012006 National Tourism Program which emphasizes the need to integrate efforts and policies to achieve the sustainability o f tourist destinations. In addition, reforms articles 198 and 198a o f the Federal Rights L a w were reformed by Congress, allowing for user fees for visits to Natural Protected Areas, marine parks, and whale watching. The income generated by these fees was allocated to specific rights to be invested in the conservation o f those sites that generated this income. This scheme made it possible to increase income by over 500 times the original amount for natural areas. Energy. With the support o f ENVSAL I,the Secretariat o f Energy (SENER), in collaboration with other institutions, prepared and began the execution o f the Energy Sector’s Environmental Program. The Intersectoral Technical Working Group was formed, with the participation o f different agencies, to build consensus o n the sector’s environmental policy. 111. Forests. E N V S A L Ifacilitated the establishment o f an intersectoral group for the forestry sector. This allowed the sector’s medium-term targets to be established and consensus building on sectoral policies under the responsibility o f S E M A R N A T and the National Forest Commission (CONAFOR). iv. Water. The achievements o f the water sector under the framework o f ENVSAL I included the preparation o f the National Water Program in conjunction with PNMARN. 80 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) In addition, a Presidential Decree was published, by which the Federal Government forgave the debt caused by lack o f payment o f water tariffs for those municipalities that agreed to utilize future Federal Government allocations for water and sanitation as a guarantee of future payment. Likewise, the Federal Water Rights L a w was approved. This law considers the possibility that all income collected from water tariffs will be returned to municipalities, in exchange for their commitment to allocate this amount and an additional, equivalent amount to investments in water programs. As a result o f the latter two actions, the percentage o f municipalities with populations o f over 2,500 people which, together with the Federal District, pay their water tariffs, increased from 24% in 2002 to 58% in 2003. In turn, the Secretariat o f Finance and Public Credit (SHCP) returned 95% o f water fees to municipalities, as stipulated by the Law. The Government published information concerning the total amounts channeled to municipalities under this scheme. v. Environmental Management. In terms o f decentralization, E N V S A L supported the establishment o f the Institutional Environmental Development Program (PDIA), through which funds were transferred for technical assistance to, and the institutional development of, 27 states, based on environmental performance agreements. In terms o f transparency and accountability, ENVSAL supported the Government o f Mexico in the modifications to regulations related to the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) and other processes, with the objective o f opening spaces for public participation. 81 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) General Components o f the Second Operation of the Environment Structural Annex 4: Adjustment Program (EnvSAL 11) I. Background The first phase o f the Environment Structural Adjustment Program (EnvSAL I)supported the promote orchestration o f the strategic components o f P N M A R N and its programs oriented to: (i) the environmental mainstreaming by means o f incorporating environmental considerations in policies and activities o f four sectors fundamental to sustainable development in Mexico: strengthen the internal capacity o f the environment tourism, energy, forestry and water; and (ii) and natural resources sector to fulfill i t s responsibilities in a more efficient and effective manner. The support o f the World Bank has helped to consolidate the sustainable development bases in Mexico through EnvSAL I,as the participating sectors began consensus-building and promotion o f policy reform, and started to address in a coherent arid integrated manner environmental issues o f common interest, whereas traditionally each sector had worked in an isolated manner. The work methodology established by the Government o f Mexico was based upon the construction o f a policy matrix and in the formation o f intersectoral technical working groups, which facilitated the inclusion o f environmental considerations in the decision-making process o f the sectors participating in EnvSAL I.In this sense it i s worth emphasizing the roles o f the World Bank, as the driving force, and the Secretariat o f Finance, as guarantor for the inter-institutional coordination. In terms o f strengthening environmental management, the efforts o f EnvSAL Iwere channeled to increase the transparency o f the decision-making process within the environment sector, and to consolidate fiscal instruments, such as supporting the efforts o f SEMARNAT to advance the decentralization process. 11. Justification for the Second Loan The World Bank’s assistance allowed the country to achieve reforms in the policy and regulatory frameworks, representing unprecedented advances in Mexico’s efforts to achieve sustainable development. Nevertheless, these reforms represent merely the foundations upon which an institutional framework will be consolidated to provide certainty to investors, ensure the internalization of environmental costs, and ensure the efficient use o f natural capital to strengthen the country’s competitiveness. Therefore, the Government o f Mexico considers it necessary to continue with the second operation contemplated under EnvSAL. In particular, this second operation will be oriented to support a set o f actions that will deepen and ensure the sustainability o f reforms achieved during the first loan. This support will be channeled towards strategic actions that fulfill the following criteria: i. Contribute to the sustainable use o f the country’s natural capital in order to utilize the richness o f Mexico’s ecosystems as a source o f competitive advantage to satisfy the demands o f more selective and lucrative niche markets. 82 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) ii. Define government actions directed at addressing market flaws and policy distortions that result in the deterioration o f environmental quality, such as public health and therefore the productivity and competitiveness o f the country. iii. Adopt strategies to create the appropriate climate for the competitiveness o f the productive sector, including the definition o f clear, simple and permanent rules, as well as the provision o f high quality government services. 111. Main Actions o f the Second Operation Based o n these criteria, the following demonstrates the principal actions and objectives that make up the second operation, which recognize the important advances Mexico has made in the development and implementation o f policies that contribute to sustainable development, and furthermore are consistent with the principles, objectives and lines o f action outlined by the PND and the PNMARN. i. Ensure the inclusion of environmental considerations and criteria in the development agendas of the priority sectors (tourism, energy, forestry and water). Tourism 0 0 0 0 0 The adoption and implementation o f local Agenda 21 in 10 tourist destinations that reflect the agreements o f various sectors and the government orders to carry out actions that promote protection o f the environment and natural resources as necessary elements to increase competitiveness and ensure the sustainability o f the tourism industry. Based upon the consensus achieved by the Intersectoral Technical Working Group for Tourism, carry out the necessary studies to consolidate the national sustainable development strategy coordinated by the Secretariat o f Tourism (SECTUR) in conjunction with the other dependents that participate in the Tourism Working Group. By means o f Presidential Decree, consolidate the Inter-sectoral Tourism Commission as a mechanism for inter-sectoral coordination at the highest levels, which will permit the integration o f public policy to achieve the objectives o f the National Tourism Plan 2001-2006, including the promotion o f sustainable tourist destinations. Consolidation by SECTUR and PROFEPA o f the Environmental Quality Program for Tourism, which recognizes good environmental performance o f tourist installations and represents a n incentive to comply with environmental laws. The certification in the context o f the program i s awarded based o n results o f an environmental audit to which the tourist installations submit voluntarily. Consolidation o f the Integrated Program for Clean Beaches, which includes a system o f indicators and base lines that allow the monitoring o f water quality in tourism centers. The indicators are publicly accessible, so that the general public can make informed decisions for the selection o f tourism destinations that they visit. 83 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) 0 Implementation o f a public policy for Tourist Cruises that recognize the growth o f this activity in the country and seeks to ensure that the number o f cruises that visit the country do not exceed the carrying capacity o f the ecosystems. At the same time, it seeks to promote the provision o f services to cruises that result in a more pleasant experience for the tourists and mitigates environmental impacts. Ensure the application o f the new General L a w for Prevention and Integrated Waste Management, which provides the legal framework for the appropriate handling o f wastes in urban centers, as well as the development o f mechanisms for the participation o f the private sector and the general public with the purpose o f developing and implementing plans for integrated waste management. Energy 0 0 Achievement o f concrete actions that reduce environmental impacts from the energy sector on public health. Among these can be highlighted the improvement o f fuel quality, in particular the reduction o f sulfur content from 1000 to 300 ppm in gasoline sold in the Mexico Valley Metropolitan Zone. At the same time, carry out rural electrification projects that allow for the substitution o f fuels currently used by rural communities that have negative impacts on health, affecting mainly the vulnerable groups such as women and children. The development, according to the agreements reached by the Inter-sectoral Energy Working Group, o f prospective studies on the energy sector that will guide Mexican sectoral policies to achieve economic, social and environmental objectives. Encourage the use o f renewable energy sources, such as by an Official Mexican N o r m to regulate geothermal energy. In a complementary manner, develop institutional mechanisms that allow for the establishment o f economic incentives and market mechanisms that favor investment in these types o f energies. 0 0 Reduce the environmental impact o f parastatal companies in the sector, in particular PEMEX and the Federal Electricity Commission (CFE). Both companies have adopted environmental management systems that allow them to achieve important results in the short-term and continue to help improve environmental performance in the future. A s part o f the efforts o f the sector to mitigate i t s impacts o n a global level and consistent with Mexico’s participation in international negotiations regarding climate change, support the operation o f the Clean Development Mechanism Office, whose functions include the implementation o f methodologies that permit the measurement and verification o f carbon reductions, as well as the strengthening o f the portfolio o f investment projects that have the potential to be financed through this mechanism. The office was established to conform to the guidelines established by the international community at the Conference o f the Parties to the Framework Convention o n Climate Change held in Bonn and Marrakesh. 84 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) Forestry Application of the General Law o n Sustainable Forestry Development and the promotion o f the creation o f i t s regulations. The law represents a fundamental component of the reforms that the sector has undertaken to strengthen the legal framework o f the sector and to ensure that the development o f forestry activity conforms to well-defined rules that promote investment. The law assigns functions and responsibilities to different government entities for conservation, protection, restoration, production, harvesting and management o f the country’s forestry resources. 0 0 Approval o f regulations o f the Forestry L a w which defines the regulatory framework to achieve among other objectives, payment for environmental hydrological services that forests provide within the hydrographic basins. Elaboration o f studies to develop fiscal, financial and market mechanisms to generate economic resources to promote the sustainable use o f forest resources and payment for environmental services that they provide. Water 0 0 0 ii. Amendments to the National Water L a w to advance the integrated management o f water resources. The amendments aim to define operational mechanisms for decentralized water basin authorities in which different water users can discuss relevant topics regarding water resource use, the strengthening o f the system o f water rights and modifications that will contribute to a better functioning water market. As complementary measures to the National Water L a w amendments, carry out actions designed to ensure that the water users comply with their obligations in terms o f water usage according to the acquired rights and the discharge o f contaminant substances, adjust the regional water administration programs in order to reflect the actual availability o f the resource, and develop a strategy to increase residual water treatment coverage nationwide. Implement measures to rationalize water use and contribute to the improved functioning o f the water market, including the publication o f water availability in the principal aquifers in the country, such as the pilot project implemented in the QuerCtaro Valley to negotiate measurements between authorities and users that resulted in a lower water extraction o f the over-exploited aquifers. Improve the efficiency and effectiveness o f the environmental management process in Mexico. 0 Advance the consolidation o f areas for public participation and accountability in accordance with the resolutions o f the Federal Transparency Law. Concrete measures to move ahead o n this front include the annual publication o f environmental statistics and environmental management reports that allow citizens to know the trends in 85 ANNEX 4: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY (cont.) environmental quality, as weil as the results o f the environmental management efforts carried out by the Federal Government. 0 0 0 Adaptation o f the legal framework and administrative processes to establish clear rules that favor investment and promote the compliance with environmental law. In this context should be highlighted the modifications that have been made to the environmental impact guidelines in order to reduce processing times, identify cumulative impacts, and open up areas o f public consultation for communities that could be affected by projects under consideration. Strengthening o f the decentralization process through a monitoring and evaluation scheme for the performance o f the state environmental authorities with relation to the functions that have been transferred to them. Based on this model, priority functions to be transferred to states have been identified that are related to the management o f ZOFEMAT, forests and soil, as well as wildlife. This scheme seeks to respond to the limitations o f the decentralization model that was adopted at the beginning o f the administration and has been modified in this second phase o f environmental management. Support discussions to approve fiscal and market instruments that generate income to finance environmental management in the federal and state levels. In this context, the Secretariat o f Finance (SHCP) has developed criteria for establishing environmental rights, the guidelines for taxes, tariffs and environmental surcharges at the local level, and a draft o f the Environmental Tax Law. 86 ANNEX 5: FUND RELATIONS NOTE Under Article I V o f the IMF’s Articles o f Agreement, the IMF holds bilateral discussions with members, usually every year. The IMF released the attached Public Information Notice (PIN) on December 23, 2004 summarizing the views o f the Executive Board as expressed during i t s discussion o f the staff report that concluded the Article I V consultation. An up-date on recent developments i s being provided separately. 87 EXTERNAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT Public InformationNotim (PIN) No. 041140 FOR 1MMEDIATE RELEASE December 23,2004 InternationalMonetary Fund 700 19'" Street, NW Washington, D. C. 20431 USA IMF Executive 8oard Concludes 2004 Article W Consultation with Mexico On October 13,2004, the ExecutiveBoard of the IntemationaiMonetary Fund (IMF) concluded the Article IV consultatfanwith Mexico.' Background After three years of weak activity, the broad-basedrecovery underway this year provides encouraging evidencethat the factors hddlng back Mexico's growth were temporary. Business confidence and investment have risen, foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows are strengthening, exports have picked up sharply, and market perceptionsof Mexico remain favorable. While inflation has risen moderately above the authorities' objective, it remains far below levels historically experiencedby Mexico. Higher oil prices and a recovery in nansil exports have led to a narrowing in the current account deficit. The current account deficit has been more than matched by FDI infkom. Economic activity acceleratedto 3.8 percent In the half of 2004 OW the previous year. This recovery is partly attributable to strengthening . industrial production, as reflected in growth in Mexican manufactured exports of 10% percent {seasonalty adjusted) in the first seven months of 2004 over the same period in 2003. Inflation accelerated from 4 percent at end2003 to 5.1 percent in September, boosted by supply shocks, induding a temporary suspension of some meat imports from t States, higher oil and commodity prices, and their impact on administered prices. tion was lower, standing at 3.8 percent, but has shown no signs of decelerating since early 2003. ' Under Artide IV of the IMPSArtides of Agreement, the IMF holds bilateraldiscussions with members, usually every year. A stalf team visits the country, coilects economic and Rnanclai information,and dlsarsses with officials the country's economic developments and poldes. On return to headquarters, the staff prepares a repod, which hthe basis for dwssian by the ExecutbteBoard. At the candusion of the discussion, the Man or, as Chairman of the Board, summarizes the views of Executive Diredors, and this summary is to &hecountry's authorilies. Washington, DC, 20431 Telephone 202-623-7100 88 Fax 202-b234?72 wwW.lmfaOrQ -2. Net internationalreserves increased to US$!% billion in August 2 USM8 billion at end-2002, reflecting strong PEMEX receipts. A change was made to the mechanismfor auctioning international reserves in March 2004. The Banco de Mexico continues to pre-announce the amount of dollars to be sdd in the market, equal to 50 percent of net reserve accumulation in the previous three-month period. The sale of dollars will now, however, be spread over the following 12 months, as opposed to three months, to reduce volatility in the amount sold throughout the year. Targets for the traditional deficit have been met in recent years. But the pace of fiscal consolidation, viewed in terms of the augmented public sector deficit, has been slower than envisaged in the authorities' 2002 medium-term plan. W this deficit was reduced from 3.7 percent of GDP in 2000 to 3.1 percent In 2003, gro blic debt rose by about 1.75 percentage points to 51 percent of GDP during those years, reflectingbo# currency depreciation and slow growth. For 2004, the augmented deficit is expected to remain broadly unchanged, while the traditional deficit would fall slightly to 0.4 percent of GDP, in line with budget targets. The draft budget for 2005 calls for a decline in the augmented deficit to 2.2 percent of GDP, while the traditional deficit would fall to 0.1 percent of GDP? The Banco de Mexico has tightened policy seven times since the beginning of 2004 via increases in the corto (the borrowed reserves objective), In addition, domestic market conditions have been affected by the two increases in the US. federal funds target rate. The ovemight inter-bank (fondeo)rose from about 5 percent in January to slightly over 8 percent in mid-September. Long-term interest rates rose by slightly less over this period, with the 1Q-year government bond yield increasing from about 8% percent in January to 10% percent in September. The peso depreciated by 2 percent through end-September after falling by 6% percent against the US. dollar in 2003. Market sentiment toward Mexico remains positive, as reflected in its investment-grade status. After a short-lived spike to 250 basis points in mid-May as US. interest rates rose, Mexico's EMEW spread has fallen back to about 180 basis points. The government has made significant progress in strengthening the structure of public debt. Several liability management operations, including an exchange of giobal bonds in early 2004, have helped to improve the efficiency of the yield curve. Domestic public debt management has concentrated on extending meturities, improving the liquidity of benchmrk issues, and deepening domestic financial markets. Nevertheless, some public debt vulnerabilities remain, with a large portion of domestic debt either short term or linked to short-term interest rates, The publlc sector also has a significant gross financing need. ~ Methoddogical differences mean that the figures in this document may differ from those published by the Ministry of Finance. 89 -3- Executive Board Assessment Executive Directors commended the Mexican authorities for their continuedpursuit of sound macroeconomic policies, and welcomed signs that recently the economic recovery has gthened and become more broadly based, while business confidence and investment risen. Meanwhlb, FDI inflows have been strong, exports have picked up, and market erceptions of Mexico remain favorable. Progress in modemkingthe financial tinued, and balance.shee y. The key challenges goin ance Mexico’s economic a lasting basis by bringing g-term objective, reducing debt vulnerabilities, and reinvigorating the reforms. On fiscal policy, Directors welcomed the authorities’ continuing commitment to medium-terrn fiscal consolidation, and commended the authorities’ track record in meeting fiscal targets, They noted that the budget is dependent on volatile oil revenues. In this context, most Directors encouraged the authorities to aim at saving significantly m r e of the excess oil revenues for the medium term, while some considered the use of part of these revenues far productive investments to be a prudent strategy, Looking ahead, Directors urged the authorities to estabtish stronger mechanisms to ensure that a substantial portion of the windfall is saved. This will require redoubled efforts to ensure that medium-ten expenditure reduction is combined with measures to achieve significant increases in non-oil revenues. Directors considered that fiscal reforms will have a crucial role to play in achie consolidation. In particular, formal fiscal responsibility principles based on the fiscat measures should be helpful in avoiding slippages in meeting medium-term targets. Directors regretted the setback to efforts aimed at enhancing the efficiency of the tax system and promoting fiscal stability. They believed that tax reform to raise non-oil revenues will be needed to avoid budget cuts that could jeopardize spending in social areas and on public infrastructure. Pension reform will also be required to ensure that the fiscal accounts remain on a sound path. Directors encouraged the authorities to take actions to enhance the accountability and efficiency of several public enterprises, including PEMEX, in order to strengthen the fiscal position and raise the quality of Mexico’s infrastructur Directors identified several other key elements of the These indude stepped up efforts to improve governance and enhance flexibility in the labor market. Directors considered that building a consensus around these efforts, as well as on actions to enhance competition in the telecommunications sector, will be vital for promoting Regarding monetary poftcy, Directors recognized the sucmss of Mexico’s inflation targeting framework in bringing inflation down to low singledigit levels. They noted that, although the long-term inflation target is dose to being met, sustained achievement of the target is proving shocks. Directors accordingly viewed to be problematic in an environment of priate to ensure the credibility of the the recent tightening of the monetary s authorities’ cammitment to lowering inflation. Looking ahead irectors agreed that a tightening 90 -4- bias in p o k y will remain appropriate until there are clear signs that inflationexpectations are declining toward the longterm objective. Directors supported the authorities' efforts to refine monetary cy announcements to signal the policymakers' views more directly to markets. Steps in this direction have led to more stable short-term interest rates in recent months well as to more predi responses to policy actions. Directors generally ed that there is scop transparency and predictability in policy implementation over time, includ interest rate instrument when conditions warrant, Directors were enmu framework. Many Directors acknowledged the drawbacks refinements to the i~flation-~r~eting to moving toward publication of an official inflation forecast in the immediate circumstances, given the evolving nature of monetary instruments and the risks of adding to uncertainty about policy intentionsat a critical time. However, this Issue should be kept under review, Directors observed that MexWs flexible exchange rate regime has been effective in cushioning the economy from external shocks. They viewed external competitivenessto be broadly oonsistent with a sustainable balance of payments position, They agreed that the rules-based mechanism for accumulating foreign reserves appropriately reflects the authorities' transparent approach to reserves management and their commitment to a marketdetermined exchange rate. Directors welcomed the continued improvement in broad indmtors of banking sector soundness. They noted that the banking system as a whole has a sound level of profitabiti and capital adequacy. A significant challenge in the period shead will be to deepen financial activity without excessive risk-taking, and to streamline financial regulation to encourage innovation and competition. In this regard, Directors encouraged the authorities to review the operations of the nonbank financial sector and the development banks to ensure that they do not pose a source of hidden financial risks. Directors endorsed the authorities' continued commitment to reduce vulnerabilities relatingto pubficdebt. In addition to sustained progress With fiscal consolidation, they welcomed plans to improve the debt structure further by continuing to increase fixed-rate domestiecurrency instruments, extending the domestic yield curve, and diversifying the investor base. Public Infwmalion No&# (PINSJ form part of the IMF's efforts to promote transparencyof the IMF's views and analysis of economicdevelopments and policies. With the consent of the country (or countries) concerned, PINSare issued after Executive Board discussions of Article IV cwrsultations with member countries, of Its surveillance of developmentsat the regional levef, of post-program monitoring, and of ex post assessments of member countries with longer-term ptogram engagements. PINSare also issued after Executive Board disarssions of general policy matters, unless otherwise decided by the Executive Board in a particularcase. 91 I Mexico: Selected Economic and Financial Indicators ” percentage changes, unless otherwise indicated) National accounts and prices Reel GDP Real GDP per capita 2f trws domestic invesment(in percent of GDP) Gross national savings (in percent of GW) Consumer prim index (end period) 3.6 2.6 23.5 20.5 12.3 External sector Exports, f.0.b. 3 Imports, f.0.b. 41 Externalcurrent account balance(in percent of GDP) Change in net internationalreseffes (end of period, billions of US. dollars) Outstanding extemal debt fin percent of GDP) Totel debt service ratio 5f (in percent of exports of goods. services, and transfers) 14.8 10.8 -2.9 6.6 4.8 23.7 20.6 9.0 0.0 -1.5 21.1 18.2 4.4 0.6 -0.9 20.8 18.6 5.7 21.8 23.1 -3.7 -1.7 -2.3 -2.3 -2.1 4.3 1.9 -1.4 -3.1 0.6 1.3 -0.2 19.8 18.4 4.0 0.6 37.0 28.3 2.8 7.3 28.1 7.1 25.2 9.5 26.1 43.2 44.6 38.4 31.1 31.0 Nonfinanelalpublic sector (tn percent of GDP) Augmented overall balance 6l Tradilional overall balance Net augmented public sector debt -6.3 -1.1 46.5 -3.7 -1.1 42.2 -3.7 -0.7 41.5 -3.3 -2.2 43.3 -3.4 -0.6 45.4 Money and credlt Monetary base Broad money (M4) (induding public sector) Treasury bill rate (28-day cetes, In peroent, annual average) 43.5 19.6 21.4 10.7 12.9 152 8.0 16.0 11.3 7.1 6.2 Sources: National Institute of SlatlsUca and Geography; Bank of Mexico; and Ministry of Finance and Public Credit. llMethodoiogicaf differences mean that the figures in this table may differ from those published by the authorities. ;IIFund staff estimates. 31 Includes exports less imports from in-bond industries. 41 Excludes imports of in-bond industries. 51 Piivate and public sectors, 61The augmented balance is the public sedw borrowing requirement less nonrecurring revenues. 92 ANNEX 6: MEXICO AT A GLANCE Mexico at a glance 4/26/05 Access to improved water source GDP (US$ bi//ions) Gross domestic investmenffGDP Exports of goods and serviceslGDP Gross domestic savingsIGDP s national savlngs Present value of debtfexports Indebtedness (average annual growthl ~ STRUCTURE of the ECONOMY (% of GDPJ Agriculture Industry Manufacturing Services Private consumption General government consumption Imports of goods and services (average annual growth) Agriculture Industry Manufacturing Services Private consumption General government consumption Gross domestic investment lrports of goods and services 1984 1994 2003 2004 9.4 34.9 22.7 55.7 6.0 26.8 18.7 67.2 3.9 25.8 18.0 70.3 2;: 18.1 69.5 63.1 9.2 9.6 71.4 11.5 21.6 68.6 12.4 29.5 68.5 11.7 31.9 1984-94 1994-04 0.8 3.3 3.5 2.7 1.9 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.5 -0.2 -1.3 1.9 4.0 3.8 3.8 4.6 3.6 2.2 5.6 14.6 3.7 1.2 4.8 10.6 2.3 0.8 -4.2 0.7 5.5 -1.2 1.5 10.2 Mexico 1 Growth of exports and imports (Oh) 25 20 15 10 5 0 5 -101 -Eworts --+"-Imports Note: 2004 data are preliminatyestimates, Group data are for 2002, 'The diamonds show four key indicators in the country (in bold) compared with its income-group average. If data are missing, the diamond will be incomplete. 93 Mexico PRICES and GOVERNMENT FINANCE 1984 1994 2003 2004 65.4 59.1 7.0 8.5 4.5 8.5 4.7 6.1 31.2 -1.2 -6.4 22.7 3.3 -0.3 23.2 2.2 -0.7 21.0 2.4 -0.3 1984 1994 2003 2004 29,100 16,601 1,461 10,499 15,916 60,882 7,445 2,678 50,402 79,346 164,923 18,654 4,664 141,087 170,546 189,159 23,706 5,421 159,093 197,247 2,573 13,322 20,205 22,599 120 79 153 95 95 100 111 105 106 111 107 104 1984 1994 2003 2004 33,926 21,028 12,898 71,184 91,616 -20,432 177,395 187,680 -10,285 202,625 215,718 -13,094 -10,076 1,361 -13,012 3,782 -12,160 13,858 -12,662 17,044 Current account balance 4,183 -29,662 -8,587 -8,712 Financing items (net) Changes in net reserves -2,034 -2,149 12,463 17,199 18,420 -9,833 12,774 -4,061 7,355 0.2 6,300 3.4 59,027 10.8 64,241 11.3 Domestic prices (% change) Consumer prices Implicit GDP deflator Government finance (% of GDP, includes current grants) Current revenue Current budget balance Overall surplusldeficit TRADE (US$ millions) Total exports (fob) Oil Agriculture Manufactures Total imports (cif) Food Fuel and energy Capital goods Export price index (1995.100) Import price index (1995=100) Terms of trade (1995=100) BALANCE of PAYMENTS (US5 millions) Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Resource balance Net income Net current transfers Memo: Reserves including go!d (US$ millions) Conversion rate (DEC, locaVUS$) EXTERNAL DEBT and RESOURCE FLOWS . (US5 millions) Total debt outstanding and disbursed IBRD IDA 1984 1994 2003 2004 94,830 2,852 0 138,545 13,038 0 140,391 10,717 0 140,778 9,567 0 Total debt service IBRD IDA 16,960 465 0 20,076 1,989 0 34,279 1,972 0 33,568 2,499 0 Composition of net resourceflows Official grants Official creditors Private creditors Foreign direct investment Portfolio equity 27 832 791 390 0 47 -583 5,296 10,973 4,064 -372 -418 12,625 -162 1,578 16,602 Wodd Bank program Commitments Disbursements Principal repayments Net flows Interest payments Net transfers 576 682 253 430 233 197 2,380 942 1,065 -123 924 -1,046 688 1,258 1,359 -101 613 -714 1 Inflation (%) I L Export and Import levels (US$ mill.) 98 G3 W 01 Exports .Imports I Current account balance to GDP ~ 03 02 O4 I ~~ (%) Composition of 2004 debt (US$ mill.) G: 9,900 A: 9,567 F 112.001 Development Economics 621 767 1,976 -1,209 524 -1,733 A - IBRD B - IDA C - IMF D - Other multilateral E - Bilateral F - Private G - Short-term 4/26/05 94 ANNEX 7: SOCIAL INDICATORS Mexico Social Indicators Same regionlincome group Latest single year POPULATION Total population, mid-year (millions) Growth rate (% annual average for period) Urban population (% ofpopulation) Total fertility rate (births per woman) 1970-75 1980-85 1998-04 Lath America & Carib. Uppermiddleincome 59.1 3.1 62.8 5.8 75.5 2.2 69.6 3.9 103.8 1.4 75.2 2.4 534.2 1.5 76.6 2.5 334.9 1.2 75.8 2.4 1,470 0 2,180 3 6,550 293 3,260 5,340 3.3 4.5 3.7 4.4 POVERTY (% of population) National headcount index Urban headcount index Rural headcount index INCOME GNI per capita (US$) Consumer price index (1995=100) Food price index (1995=100) INCOMElCONSUMPTlON DISTRIBUTION Gini index Lowest quintile (% of income or consumption) Highest quintiie (% of income or COnSUmption) SOCIAL INDICATORS Public expenditure Health (% of GDP) Education (% of GNU Social security and welfare (% of GDP) Net primary school enrollment rate (% of age group) Total Male Female Access t o an improved water source (% of population) Total Urban Rural Immunization rate (% of children ages 12-23 months) Measles DPT Child malnutrition (% under 5 years) Life expectancy at birth (years) Total Male Female Mortality Infant (per 1.000 /ive births) Under 5 (per 1,000) Adult (15-59) Male (per 1,000 p0pUlation) Female (per 1,000 population) Maternal (per 100,000 live births) Births attended by skilled health staff (%) 54.6 3.1 59.1 2.7 3.6 2.2 3.3 83 83 82 100 99 99 100 94 94 95 93 93 94 88 95 69 86 94 65 89 93 77 64 40 96 91 8 91 88 94 90 64 61 67 69 66 72 74 71 77 71 68 74 73 70 77 79 110 56 74 24 29 28 34 19 22 246 188 216 135 180 101 83 222 125 197 103 04/26/05 CAS Annex 85. This table was produced from the CMU LDB system. Note: 0 or 0.0 means zero or less than half the unit shown. Net enrollment rate: break in series between 1997 and 1998 due to change from ISCED76 to ISCED97. Immunization: refers to children ages 12-23 months who received vaccinations before one year of age. 95 ANNEX 8: KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS Mexico In&cat& - Key Economic Indicators A a w H I m1 b a t i o n a l accounn (as % of C D P ) Gross domestic producta Agriculture 100 4 M 2001 Eaimsto zw 3 2004 2005 ROjd 2008 2007 2006 100 4 100 4 100 4 100 4 100 4 100 4 100 4 100 4 Industry 28 27 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 Services 68 69 70 70 69 70 70 70 70 Total Consumption Gross domestic fixed investment Government investment Private investment 78 21 4 18 81 20 4 16 81 19 4 15 81 19 5 14 80 20 5 15 82 19 2 17 82 20 2 18 82 20 2 18 84 18 2 15 Exports (GNFS)b Imports (GNFS) 31 33 28 30 27 29 28 29 30 32 30 33 30 33 30 33 30 33 Gross domestic savings Gross national savingsc 22 21 19 18 19 19 19 19 20 21 18 18 18 18 18 18 16 16 581426 622093 649076 639076 676497 645383 681118 727455 774711 5110 5560 5960 6290 6550 6400 6450 6540 6850 -0.2 0.0 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.1 4.4 3.8 3.8 3.1 4.0 3.8 4.3 4.3 4.0 4.0 -0.6 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.8 2.9 3.2 4.0 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.1 2.7 4.9 5.2 Memorandum i r e m Gross domestic product (US$ million at current prices) GNI per capita (US, Atlas method) Real annual growth rates (%, calculated t o m 1993 prices) Gross domestic product at market prices 6.6 Gross Domestic Income 7.8 Real annual Der rates (%, calculated Bom 1993 nrices) . cauita . nrowth Gross domestic product at market prices 5.1 -1.6 0.5 Total consumption 5.9 1.0 Private consumption 6.7 Balance of Payments (USS millions) Exports (GNFS)b Merchandise F O B Imports (GNFS)b Merchandise F O B Resource balance Net current transfers Current account balance 179833 166121 190494 174458 -10661 6994 -18523 171440 158780 184614 168396 -13174 9338 -17842 173738 161046 185419 168679 -11681 10268 -13410 177395 164766 187680 170546 -10285 13858 -8587 202625 188626 215718 197156 -13094 17044 -8712 192977 177872 210623 191620 -17646 15403 -18065 205214 189128 227054 206816 -21840 16947 -21504 219100 201970 242702 221087 -23601 17796 -23929 233995 215751 256243 233225 -22249 18687 -23 199 16781 -1383 -526 -857 10275 -7150 27635 2517 -669 3186 -4971 -7338 15129 -3906 246 -4152 9563 -7376 11373 -139 -372 233 7186 -9833 16602 4200 -182 4382 -8028 -4061 15276 4438 -35 4474 0 -1650 16040 7683 -198 7881 0 -2220 16842 8932 80 8852 0 - 1845 17684 6613 172 644 1 -1.8 -2.1 -1.8 -1.6 -1.9 -2.7 -3.2 -3.2 -2.9 Publie finance (as % of GDP a t m a r k e t prices)e Current revenues 21.6 Current expenditures 20.1 Current account surplus (+) or deficit (-) 1.5 Capital expenditure 2.7 Foreign financing 21.9 20.0 1.9 2.6 22.1 20.1 2.0 3.2 -0.4 23.2 21.0 2.2 2.9 -0.2 21.0 18.6 2.4 2.7 0.4 23.1 20.3 2.7 2.9 0.5 23.0 20.1 2.9 2.9 0.4 22.9 20.0 2.9 3.0 0.8 22.8 19.8 3.0 3.0 -0.1 27.3 -4.5 68.9 29.0 12.5 -1289.0 29.3 8.9 80.7 28.5 7.2 35.1 30.0 16.3 -415.9 33.3 6.9 84.0 33.3 7.1 87.6 33.3 7.4 86.6 33.3 7.1 88.3 Price indices( YR93 4 0 0 ) Merchandise export price index Merchandise import price index Merchandme terms of trade index Real exchange rate (US$lLCU)f 69.0 62.9 61.2 67.0 69.1 69.8 70.4 70.4 70.4 Real interest rates Consumer price index (%change) GDP deflator (%change) 9.5 12.1 6.4 5.9 5.0 7.0 4.5 8.5 4.7 6.1 3.4 -7.4 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 Net private foreign direct investment Long-term loans (net) Official Private Other capital (net, incl. errors & ommission Change in reservesd Memorandum ifems Resource balance (YOof GDP) Real annual growth rates (YR93 prices) Merchandise exports (FOB) Primary Manufactures Merchanmse m p o r t s (CIF) Monetary indicators M2lGDP Growth o f M 2 (%) Private sector credit growth i total credit growth (%) a. GDP at factor cost b. "GNFS" denotes "goods and nonfactor services." c. d. e. f Includes net unrequited transfers excluding official capital grants. Includes use o f IMF resources. Consolidated central government. "LCU" denotes "local currency units." An increase in U S S R C U denotes appreciation. 96 0 -1098 ANNEX 9: MEXICO ENVIRONMENTAL INDICATORS44 ~~ Environmentalstrategy/actionplan prepared in Grouo Data Population (millions) Urban population(% of total) GDP ($ billions) GNI per capita, Atlas method ($) Agriculture and fisheries Land area (1,000 sq. km.) Agricultural land (56 of land area) irrigated land (% of crop land) Fertlizer consumption (100 grams/ ha arable land) Populationdensity, rural (people / sq. km. arable land) Fish catch, total (1,000 metric tons) Forests Forest area (1,000 sq. km.) Forest area share of total land area (%) - Annual deforestationPA chanae. 1990 2000) Biodiversity Mammal species, total known Mammal species, threatened Bird species, total breeding Bird species, threatened Nationally protected area (% of land area) Energy GDP per unit of energy use (2000 PPP$ / kg oil equiv) Country Data 102.3 Latin America Caribbean 533 Upper middle income 333 75.0 626.1 6,230 76.6 1,741 3,280 75.4 1,856 5,440 1,909 56 23.2 690 102 1,475 20,057 39 12.5 892 210 17.804 12,741 48 13.5 796 193 10,082 552 28.9 1.1 9,552 47.6 0.5 2,427 19.1 0.6 491 70 440 39 10.2 11.2 17.3 5.6 6.1 4.3 1,560 5.2 46 1,660 12.1 1,156 14.6 -42 1,506 50 2,232 4.1 -9 1 2,496 23.9 C 0 2amissions per unit of GDP (kgR000 PPP$ GDP) 0.5 C02 emissions per capita (metric tons) Particulatematter (pop weighted average, pg / w.m.) Passenger cars (per 1,000 people) 4.3 53 107 0.4 2.7 40 0.6 6.3 29 153 3,998 25,245 10,741 19.0 78 91 2.0 74 89 5.7 71 72 97 77 39 90 28 69 96 74 44 84 33 18.7 10.5 19.5 10.3 4.2 6.4 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 5.3 Energy use per capita (kg oil equiv) Energy from biomass products and waste (36 of total) Energy imports, net (% of energy use) Electric power consumption per capita (kwh) Electriaty generated by mal (% of total) Emissions and pollution Water and Sanitation Internalfreshwater rasources per capita (a.m.) Freshwater withdrawal Total (%of internal resources) Agriculture (% of total freshwater withdrawal) Access to improved water source (% of total pOpUlatiOn) Rural (% of rural population) Urban (%of urban population) Access to sanitation Rural (% of rural population) Urban (%of urban population) Under five morality rate (per 1,000) 96 22 National accounting aggregates, 2003 Gross national savings (56 of GNI) Consumption of fixed capital (% of GNI) 5.1 6.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.5 6.0 Education expenditure (56 of GNI) Energy depletion ( % of GNI) Mineral depletion (% of GNI) Net forest depletion (% of GNI) C02damage (% of GNI) Particulateemission damage (% of GNI) Adiusted net savinas (% of GNI) 44 The Little Green Data Book 2005. Washington, DC: The World Bank. 2005. (p. 148) 97 22.1 10.7 5.0 11 4 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.6 3.3 ANNEX 10: SELECTED INDICATORS* OF BANK PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE AND MANAGEMENT Mexico Selected Indicators* of Bank Portfolio Performance and Management As of April 22,2005 Indicator Portfolio Assessment Number of Projects Under Implementation a Average Implementation Period (years) Percent of Problem Projects by Number a* Percent of Problem Projects by Amount Percent of Projects at Risk by Number Percent of Projects at Risk by Amount Disbursement Ratio (%) e Portfolio Management CPPR during the year (yes/no) Supervision Resources (total US$) Average Supervision (US$/project) 2002 2003 2004 2005 28 3.1 3.6 8.1 3.6 8.1 14.7 26 3.4 11.5 22.6 11.5 22.6 25.5 24 3.2 12.5 21.2 12.5 21.2 20.0 24 3.6 8.3 11.3 8.3 11.3 21.o No 2,006.0 71.6 Yes 2,625.0 101.0 Yes 2,257.0 94.0 Planned 1,922.0 80.1 * Memorandum Item Proj Eva1 by OED by Number Proj Eva1 by OED by Amt (US$ millions) % of OED Projects Rated U or HU by Number % of OED Projects Rated U or HU by Amt Since FY80 Last Five FYs 139 24 26,219.2 5657.8 26.7 19 17.5 7.6 a. b. c. d. e. As shown in the Annual Report on Portfolio Performance (except for current FY). Average age of projects in the Bank's country portfolio. Percent of projects rated U or HU on development objectives (DO) and/or implementationprogress (IP). As defined under the Portfolio Improvement Program. Ratio of disbursements during the year to the undisbursed balance of the Bank's portfolio at the beginning of the year: Investment projects only. * All indicators are for projects active in the Portfolio, with the exception of Disbursement Ratio, which includes all active projects as well as projects which exited during the fiscal year. 98 ANNEX 11: IBRD / IDA PROGRAM SUMMARY Mexico IBRDKDA Program Summary Proposed IBRD/IDA Base-Case Lending Program As o f April 22,2005 ~~ Fiscal year us$(M) 2004 Community Forestry I1 Irrigation & Drainage Modernization Decentralized Infrastructure Development E-Business for Small Enterprises Mexico Afford Housing & U Savings & Credit Sec Strength 21.3 303.0 108.0 58.4 100.0 75.5 Result 666.2 Basic Education Development APL I11 (Approved) State Judicial (Approved) Housing & Urban Program TAL I(Approved) Innovation for Competitiveness Access to Land for Young Farmers Environmental S A L I1 300.0 30.0 7.8 250.0 100.0 Rmult 887.8 Water Res. Mgmt Project I1 (Integ. M a o f Basins & Aquif) Rural Electrification Project (GEF) Lifelong Learning & Training Water & Sanitation TAL Property Rights Tertiary Education Student Assistance Social Development Policy Loan ( S A L ) Housing & Urban Program S A L I1 Strengthening Public Finances (SAL+TAL) 100.0 40.0 240.0 25.0 100.0 181.1 300.0 100.0 200 ~~ 2005 2006 200.0 300.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 Health System (Seguro Popular) SWAP Indigenous Loan Highway Finance Loan Education Quality Environmental Services (GEF) Access to Financial Services Access to Justice I1 ENVSAL I11 Water Rights 40.0 300.0 40.0 200.0 100.0 M M H M M M L L M L M M M H M H M M L M M M L L M M M M M M H H H L L M L L L M H M M H H M M M H M M M M M L L M L L M H H M M M M M L H L L L L L 1.580.0 Results 2008 Implementation Risks 1.2861 RuruItr 2007 Strategic Rewards Decentralized Infrastructure Development I1 Housing & Urban Program S A L I11 Water Policy Development SAL+TAL Water & Sanitation Modernization Irrigation & Drainage Modernization I1 Environmental Management Community Forestry I11 250.0 200.0 350.0 300.0 300.0 100.0 50.0 1.550.0 Results 5 9 70.1 Overall Results Of which Quick-disbursing is 1750.0 29% 1650.0 31% F Y 2005-2008 Results Of which Quick-disbursing is 5,303.9 99 ANNEX 12: SUMMARY OF NONLENDING SERVICES Mexico Summary o f Nonlending Services JW05-OS As of April 22,2005 FY 2005 Product 2007-08 Objective 88 KG,PD KG, PD KG,PD KG,PD Poverty Programmatic Ill Main Report a) Social Protection b) Monitoring & Eva1 tl c) Health Service Delivery I I Quality o f Education Programmatic I I Competitiveness Competitiveness & Trade Programmatic I I a) Crops t.! ~ g r Competitibeness o Public Finances and Management Program IIGR Institutionality Env. Sustainability Water Programmatic II c) Environmental & Social Standards Review 171 176 91 91 171 171 91 176 171 91 G,B,PD G, B,PD G,B,PD G,B, PD G,B, PD G,B,PD G,B G,B,PD G, B G, B KG,PD KG, PD KG,PD KG,PD KG,PD KG,PD KG KG,PD KG KG, PS Poverty Programmatic N Poverty Programmatic V Quality o f Education Programmatic Lll Quality o f Education Programmatic N Rural Decentralization Competitiveness Competitiveness & Trade Programmatic ID Competitiveness & Trade Programmatic IV Institutionality Public Finances and Management Programmatic I I I PFM Programmatic I I- State Pension Survey Policy Notes Country Assistance Strategy Env. Sustainability Water Programmatic Lll Water Programmatic IV 171 176 171 176 88 176 176 171 176 G, B, PD G, B,PD G, B,PD G,B, PD G, B G, B,PD G,B, PD G,B, PD G,B,PD G, B G, B G, B,PD G, B, PD KG, PD KG,PD KG,PD KG,PD KG KG,PD KG, PD KG,PD KG,PD KG KG KG,PD KG,PD Poverty - Poverty (a) G = Government; B = Bank; PD = Public dissemination (b) KG = Knowledge generation; PD = Public debate; PS = Problem solving 100 176 176 176 a G,B, PD G,B,PD G,B,PD G,B, PD Poverty Competitiveness Institutionality 2006 Poverty Programmatic I I- Main Report Education Quality I Competitiveness & Trade Programmatic I Inftas Public Expenditure Review cost ( ~ ~ $ 0 0 0 )Audience 238 23 8 171 ANNEX 13: STATEMENT OF IFC'S COMMITTED AND OUTSTANDING PORTFOLIO tnternatlonal Finance Corporation MIS Statement af tFC's Committed and &"nts Countrp MWCQ ACtQUMIng 20011 2B04 2002 - 1999 GWa ZOOf 1998 20001 2004 lza"a .G&wdSm !2@duuu Camaaatamas GSm.&l 2005 2004 2001 2000 l997t 200t I998 f?lEd Ealwi Education ha&U%w= - EorumWw GEl.lrrrte Report Run Date. 0412532005 ing Fortiolio m US &#arh Data AS Of. 0313112005 Paae 1 20 75 0 0 0 8.40 4.80 0 0 6 75 0 0 0 100 0 100 30 05 066 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 840 480 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 3000 066 0 0 0 0 0 557 300 0 0 557 300 0 0 20.52 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 A? 4 25 0 0 0 150 0 0 0 2130 225 0 0 0 150 0 0 0 436 0 0 0 011 650 0 650 300 0 0 5.36 0 El 0 650 335 300 0 0 a 0 6 GEGA 50 00 8.11 0 0 0 5000 0 0 0 19911 1996 D 0 2729 8.11 0 0 2729 199612000 GlBsB 28 93 0 600 143 3857 2893 2600 250 2600 0 600 143 0 3857 2 50 0 0 0 716 0 477 002 0 0 0 716 2001 199812004 $989 1997 1Y92l 1943119!W 194611999 1998 2004 2005 2000 !iBuama cluaa=h Haw kiQrm& 2000 LE 2000 2004 lauMitcfl 2003 1998 2003 199511999 19961193912000/ 2001 2003 2004 2003 2000 2002 li&a?& Lomuk5I 19eurlalll bW2lal k%mwa&a kEWA i.?.Uu eouMx2A BuuWuai zi&amls 0 002 4 77 0 o 0 0 500 moo 5 0 500 1000 4 80 0 0 157 4.AO 0 0 0 i 57 101 17 0 0 897 0 0 0 0 If 0 0 897 0 0 0 0 19 71 9 00 0 0 0 0 679 233 0 0 0 0 900 0 0 2.33 0 0 1500 0 0 0 001 0 0 0 1500 001 0 0 0 0 49 23 26 02 0 2000 10403 4923 0 2000 10403 B 0 5721 2602 0 0 5721 0 0 $000 0 0 0 1000 0 0 448 4 3 0 448 3860 2895 0 0 451 0 0 0 0 0 38 60 5 0 999 0 0 0 565 0 0 0 0 0 1058 434 0 0 0 0 0 rot 0 D 28 95 0 0 5 65 999 0 0 10 56 434 0 453 0 0 0 0 0 0 250 350 0 0 2.50 50 0 0 0 5233 48.12 0 0 5233 0 0 0 2002 Gl&a 2000 BILmYQ 46 12 salhwu. 0 0 e 4500 0 0 0 32 61 0 0 3746 3261 0 0 3796 705 1593 1 BO 1062 0 138 621 0 705 2593 190 1062 0 t38 621 0 141 0 296 489 1.41 0 296 489 2004 2000 2000 200112004 1997 .fisuw& 3awKl% aGa& w 45 oe 101 Report Run Date. 04Q512005 Internatma1Finance Gorporation Statement of FC's Committed and Uutstanding Portfolio 2003 50.00 0 2000 107.09 5000 0 2000 10709 2002 0 0 1000 0 0 8.30 0 169 0 0 0 0 1.69 D 0 0 $998 102
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