Environmental Review Educational Sessions Chevron Revised Renewal Project Refinery Energy Efficiency Considerations April 4, 2012 6 pm to 8 pm 1 PUBLIC OUTREACH AND EDUCATION 2 Environmental Review Educational Sessions Educational Sessions July 25: Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Accounting August 22: Health Risk Assessment for Airborne Emissions September 29: Refinery 101 October 19: Guidelines CEQA 101 and New BAAQMD April 4, 2012: Energy Efficiency 3 CEQA Environmental Review Educational Sessions Purpose - review basic information helpful for understanding topics addressed in EIRs Educational Sessions are being held prior to the publication of the Draft Revised EIR Educational Sessions are general in nature and independent of any specific project 4 4 Environmental Review Educational Sessions Purpose of Educational Session is not to review or discuss specific elements or potential effects of the Chevron Revised Renewal Project. There will be future opportunities to ask questions and provide comments specific to the Revised Project and Revised EIR. 5 5 Environmental Review Educational Sessions Anticipated Review Sessions for Revised Draft EIR Intensive 1-Day “guided tour” of Draft Revised EIR Technical Workshop: Draft Revised EIR overview and “stations” with technical experts by topic Review Session for Responses to Comments and Final Revised EIR 6 Tonight’s Meeting Agenda –Presentation –Questions and Answers Participation Protocol 7 Tonight’s Meeting Participation Protocol Actively listen Respect others Wait to be recognized before asking questions Allow others an opportunity to speak Stay on topic Future opportunities to ask questions and provide comments specific to the Revised Project and EIR Questions/comments specific to the Revised Project will not be addressed 8 Shari Beth Libicki, PhD Global Air Quality Practice Leader Prepared numerous air quality and GHG sections for EIRs PhD Chemical Engineering, Stanford University Emphasis on emissions inventories and dispersion for risk assessments MS Chemical Engineering, Stanford University Development of Air Emission Reduction Programs BSE Chemical Engineering, University of Michigan Fluent with BAAQMD CEQA guidelines 9 Experience with industrial operations Tonight’s Speakers Moderator: Shari Libicki, Ph.D., Global Air Quality Practice Area Leader, ENVIRON Introduction to Refinery Operations: Thomas R. Hogan, Senior Vice President Turner, Mason & Company Speakers: Greg Karras, Senior Scientist, Communities for a Better Environment Bill Trout, Vice President, Refining Studies, Solomon Associates 10 REFINING – ENERGY EFFICIENCY CONSIDERATIONS 11 Thomas Hogan, P.E. Sr. Vice President - Turner, Mason & Co. BS Chemical Engineering - Michigan State University – 1971 Formerly associated with Mobil Oil and Husky Oil. Experienced in refinery planning and economics, linear programs, petroleum transportation and trading, environmental assessment, regulatory fuels compliance, litigation support, and wastewater treating. Licensed Professional Engineer (TX) 12 Presentation Objectives Basics of refining Refinery Equipment Products Define energy efficiency Describe refinery energy sources Outline refinery energy uses 13 Refineries Separate Crude and Transform Hydrocarbons More energy required to transform molecules than to separate crude Less energy to transform heavier crudes into heavy products and lighter crudes into lighter products Source:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Crude_Oil_Distillation.png 14 Refinery Configuration (Equipment): “Topper” “Hydro-skimmer” refinery (few) Light sweet crudes gasoline Heavier crudes residual fuel Cracking refinery Separates and transforms molecules; heaviest product is residual fuel Cracking/coking refinery Separates and transforms molecules; produces coke rather than residual fuel 15 Refinery Products Residual fuel – Generally low value product, market usually small Gasoline – Generally most energy intensive product, many processes – Predominant product in US Diesel/Heating oil – Also energy intensive but not as many processes to produce diesel – Predominant product in Europe Specialty Products like Lubes – Need additional equipment 16 Crude Oil Characteristics: Yields Distillation vs Refinery Output Output from distillation only . . . Net average products out of refinery for 2010 More gasoline No gas oil Less residual fuel Volume % gain is 107% (no weight % gain) 17 From Doe/EIA What is energy efficiency? Useful energy/total energy A compact fluorescent light bulb is more energy efficient than an incandescent light bulb because it turns a higher fraction of the incoming energy into light rather than heat The energy to create an outcome Passive solar heating is more efficient than solar electric heating, as the sun goes directly to heat, rather than from sun to electricity to heat 18 Refinery Energy Sources Refinery fuel gas produced from inputs (all refineries) Purchased or generated electricity (all refineries) Heat recovery (all refineries) Purchased natural gas (most refineries) Coke on catalyst produced in the plant (most refineries) 19 Supplemental Utilities/Facilities Hydrogen Plant Steam Electricity Storage (for liquids or LPGs) Loading and unloading 20 Where is Energy Used in a Refinery Furnaces providing heat to processes Boilers producing steam Run lights, instruments, pumps, compressors, etc. Natural gas as a feed to process unit, i.e. hydrogen plant 21 THANK YOU FOR ATTENDING 22 Combustion emissions from refining lower quality oil Presented at the City of Richmond 4 April 2012 Greg Karras, CBE Communities for a Better Environment (CBE) builds grassroots power to achieve environmental health and justice in and with communities of color and working class communities using organizing, legal advocacy and science. WWW.CBECAL.ORG 23 Refinery emissions by region and year Burning fuels for process energy emits CO2 & toxic pollutants from refineries. But some refineries emit more than others. CO2 emission intensity ranges by 56% among U.S. refining regions & years, from 257 to 401 kg/m3 crude refined.1, 2 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 24 Why? What causes differences in refinery combustion emissions? Can it be verified by real-world data from operating refineries? Can we predict how much it could increase or decrease emissions? WWW.CBECAL.ORG 25 How CBE did this research Factors affecting refinery combustion emissions were identified using petroleum engineering knowledge. Publicly reported data on these causal factors were gathered from refineries in actual operation across the U.S. over 10 years and across California over 6 years (~ 5,000 annual data). Analysis of the data quantified the contributions of the causal factors and combinations of factors to refinery emissions. This research was peer reviewed and published by the American Chemical Society1 and the Union of Concerned Scientists.2 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 26 Crude feed quality data1, 2 Refinery feedstock varies significantly. Oil quality (OQ) was defined as the density (d) and sulfur content (S) of crude feeds. Observed OQ ranged by more than 7.8 kg/m3 crude for S and 42 kg/m3 crude for d among regions & yrs. WWW.CBECAL.ORG 27 Refining denser, higher sulfur crude requires putting more of the barrel through aggressive processing that burns more fuel for energy, increasing emissions Refineries A and B refine the same amounts (volumes) of oil. Refinery B runs low quality oil. More of the low quality oil goes through aggressive processing (vacuum distillation, cracking, and aggressive hydroprocessing) at Refinery B. The extra energy for that added processing makes Refinery B burn more fuel/barrel refined. WWW.CBECAL.ORG 28 Processing intensity data1, 2 Crude processing intensity (PI) was defined as the ratio of vacuum distillation capacity, conversion capacity (catalytic, thermal, and hydrocracking), and crude stream (gas oil and residua) hydrotreating capacity to atmospheric crude distillation capacity. PI ranged by 79%. WWW.CBECAL.ORG 29 Energy intensity data1, 2 Energy intensity (EI) was defined as total refinery process energy consumed per volume crude feed, based on reported fuels consumed. EI ranged by 71%, from 3.30–5.63 gigajoule per cubic meter crude (GJ/m3) refined, among these regions and years. WWW.CBECAL.ORG 30 Recap: Petroleum engineering knowledge tells us refining lower quality oil requires increased processing intensity; this increases refinery energy intensity; and that increases refinery emissions by burning more fuel for energy. Real-world data reveal substantial differences in each of these variables among refining regions and years. Question: Can this causal factor be verified by analysis of these real-world data? WWW.CBECAL.ORG 31 Process intensity (PI) vs oil quality (OQ) — U.S. data Process intensity is strongly & positively associated with worsening oil quality; OQ can explain 94% of differences in PI among regions and years (US data1). Chart adapted from American Chemical Society.1 For color key see charts above WWW.CBECAL.ORG 32 Energy intensity (EI) v process intensity (PI) – U.S. data Energy intensity is strongly & positively associated with process intensity; PI can explain 92% of differences in EI among regions and years (US data1). Chart adapted from American Chemical Society.1 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 33 Energy intensity (EI) vs oil quality (OQ) — U.S. data Energy intensity is strongly & positively associated with worsening oil quality; OQ can explain 90% of differences in EI among regions and years (US data1). Chart adapted from American Chemical Society.1 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 34 EI explained by OQ — including California data Including California data & accounting for nonlinear relationships among causal factors: Energy intensity remains strongly & positively associated with worse oil quality; OQ can explain 97% of differences in EI among refining regions and years.2 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 35 CO2 emissions explained by OQ — including Calif. data Including California data & accounting for nonlinear relationships among causal factors: Emissions remain strongly & positively associated with OQ; Oil quality can explain 96% of differences in emissions among refining regions and years.2 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 36 Emission rates cannot be explained by other factors Fuel mix: CO2 emission impacts due to “dirtier-burning” fuel mixtures are not significant in the strong relationship between refinery energy and emission intensities.1 The same refining by-products dominate emissions from fuels burned by refineries across regions and years.1, 2 Capacity utilization: Differences in the portion of refining capacity used are not significant in the strong relationship between energy intensity and oil quality.1 Refiners consistently used 81–95% of operable crude capacity on average across regions and years.1, 2 Refined products: Differences in refinery product slates are not significant in the strong relationships between refinery energy intensity, process intensity, and oil quality.1 (continued…) WWW.CBECAL.ORG 37 Refined products (continued) As oil quality worsens and emissions increase across regions and years: • Combined yield of the main refined products (gasoline, distillate-diesel, and jet fuels) changes little or declines slightly; • Incomplete conversion of denser oil tends to decrease combined yield of gasoline and distillates slightly; • Capacities of major processes that act on product streams change little or decrease slightly; • Instead of being driven by product hydrotreating, hydrogen production increases to feed increased hydrocracking; and • CO2 emissions calculated from differences in processing product slates alone change relatively little and tend to decrease slightly.1, 2 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 38 Recap: Oil quality is the major driver of differences in average refinery CO2 emission intensity. This is verified by analysis of real-world operating data from the major U.S. refining regions and California over multiple years. Question: How accurately can this analysis predict the increased CO2 emissions from refining even worse quality oil? For example: If we did not already know the extreme-high California refinery emissions, could we predict them based on crude feed quality? WWW.CBECAL.ORG 39 OQ predicts California refinery emissions WWW.CBECAL.ORG 40 Predictions compared to observations — key points Predictions are relatively accurate for average CO2 emissions from large, multi-plant refinery groups with diverse, well-mixed crude feeds.1, 2 Example: Crude feed density and sulfur content predict long-term average 2004–2009 California refinery emissions within 1%.2 Analysis of individual refineries should consider other factors too (other properties of oil; refinery equipment efficiency, products, and/or fuel).1, 2 Example: The Richmond refinery reported higher GHG emissions than the average from refining crude of similar density and sulfur content.2 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 41 95% confidence of prediction for average refinery CO2 emissions from a complete switch to low–quality oils (a) US avg. 1999–20081 (b) California avg. 2004–20092 (c) Shell Martinez 20082 (d) Prediction for switch to average heavy oil1 (e) Prediction for switch to average tar sands bitumen1 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 42 Implication: Use cleaner not dirtier energy resources For our climate: These findings support the high estimates by others of emissions from extracting and refining low-quality oil.1–3 This raises the possibility that a switch to “dirtier” oil could impede or foreclose total global efforts to avoid severe climate disruption. And for health: This research1, 2 quantified emissions only for CO2, but burning more fuel to refine lower quality oil emits toxic and smog-forming pollutants along with CO2.1 That would exacerbate a serious health problem. Refinery emissions of these combustion products already cause disparately high and health-threatening exposures in nearby communities of color.4, 5 WWW.CBECAL.ORG 43 Acknowledgments: The American Chemical Society; Union of Concerned Scientists; Richard & Rhoda Goldman Fund; Kresge Foundation; Ford Foundation; San Francisco Foundation, and CBE’s members. Special thanks to the people of Richmond, where much of this work started. References cited: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Karras, 2010. Combustion emissions from refining lower quality oil: What is the global warming potential? Env. Sci. Technol. 44(24): 9584. DOI: 10.1021/es1019965 (available free of charge at http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/es1019965). Oil refinery CO2 performance measurement; Union of Concerned Scientists: Berkeley, CA. September 2011. Technical analysis for UCS by CBE. Includes technical report and appendix (available from Union of Concerned Scientists and CBE). Brandt, 2011. Variability and uncertainty in life cycle assessment models for greenhouse gas emissions from Canadian oil sands production. Env. Sci. Technol. 46: 1253-1261. DOI: 10.1021/es202312p Brody et al., 2009. Linking exposure assessment science with policy objectives for environmental justice and breast cancer advocacy: The Northern California household exposure study. Am. J. Pub. Health 99(S3): S600. DOI: 10.2105/APJH.2008.149088 Pastor et al., 2010. Minding the climate gap: What’s at stake if California’s climate law isn’t done right and right away; USC Program for Environmental and Regional Equity: Los Angeles, CA. Available from USC (http://college.usc.edu/pere/publications). WWW.CBECAL.ORG 44 Solomon Petroleum Refining Efficiency Metrics Creating a Level Playing Field Benchmarking Energy & CO2 Performance Today’s Speaker – Bill Trout Solomon Associates VP Global Refining Studies MS Mechanical Engineering University of Oklahoma – 1973 38 years of worldwide petroleum refining experience Experienced in seeking solutions for assessing and driving improvements in global energy and CO2 efficiency Leads collaborative efforts between governmental regulatory agencies and the refining industry Successful in assisting Europe and California governments in establishing efficiency metrics 46 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com Objectives • Overview of CA Air Resources Board (ARB) carbon dioxide (CO2) efficiency metrics for refineries • Examine concepts and discuss key factors to consider when comparing refinery efficiency performance • Describe how efficiency metrics are calculated • Explain what factors drive good energy efficiency • Address whether crude quality effects energy efficiency • Provide reasons for ARB’s future shift from energy efficiency to complexity-weighted tonne metric 47 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com ARB – Refinery CO2 Efficiency Metrics • Refineries are covered entities subject to annual and triennial compliance obligations under Cap & Trade per CA Global Warming Solutions Act (AB 32) • 1st Compliance Period: 2013 - 2014 ARB adopted Solomon’s Energy Intensity Index™ (EII®) for those CA refineries participating in Solomon’s biennial study of refinery efficiency Refineries without an EII will use the “simple barrel” metric • 2nd and 3rd Compliance Periods: 2015 - 2020 ARB to pursue a complexity-weighted CO2 metric approach for all CA refineries 48 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com Different Types of Refineries – Likes to Like Must take into account what’s inside a refinery Topping Refinery Light crude, low complexity & low energy (& CO2) Cracking Refinery Average crude, medium complexity & more energy (& CO2) Coking Refinery Heavy crude, high complexity & most energy (& CO2) 49 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com Refineries Produce Different Products Simple refineries produce more fuel oil and asphalt Volume Yield, % 100 80 60 40 20 0 Topping Refinery Coke Cracking Refinery Fuel Oil & Asphalt Diesel Coking Refinery Gasoline Naphtha I t takes m ore energy to generate higher yields of transportation fuels (gasoline & diesel) to m eet consum er needs 50 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com How does ARB Assess Refinery Efficiency Methods: EII and Simple Barrel Metric • Metric: EII = 100 x Actual Energy Usage Standard Energy Usage Where: Actual Energy Consumption = uses of all energy types (fuel, steam and electrical power) Standard Energy Consumption = “expected” use of energy by a average global refinery of similar configuration Average Global Refinery = 100 EII • Metric: Simple Barrel = Total CO2 Emitted Barrels of Product Produced 51 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com Does EII Vary With Crude Quality • Change in crude quality results in changes to individual process unit feed rates and sometimes in processing intensity (higher energy consumption per barrel of feed) Lighter crudes typically have natural yields with more light products (naphtha/distillates) and fewer heavy products (gas oils/residuum) – requires less energy to upgrade Heavy crudes typically have fewer light products and more heavy products – requires more energy to upgrade Refinery configuration is intrinsically linked to crude quality as previously demonstrated – very limited crude flexibility ARB EII standard energy is uniquely designed to normalize for changes in crude/other raw materials quality 52 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com Does EII Vary Much Across Refineries • YES - considerable differences in EII across the world • Typical range for global EII performance is about +/- 40% CA Range of Performance Worse EII Global Industry Average = 100 Better 0 100 Percent of Total Global Refineries 54 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com What Drives Differences in Energy Efficiency? • Energy practices – heat exchanger cleaning, furnace tuning, steam leak control, minimizing process steam, etc. • Reducing total steam usage – using more efficient forms of steam production such as cogeneration facilities, etc. • Economic incentives – cost of energy and CO2 credits • Technology applications – additional heat exchangers, new heat exchanger designs, furnace air preheaters, etc. 55 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com Who Uses EII Other Than ARB • US EPA - ENERGY STAR Program • The Netherlands Government - “Dutch Covenant” goal of achieving world’s top 10% in energy efficiency • Japan Ministry of Economy, Trade & Industry (METI) - using streamlined EII in regulations – Energy Benchmark (EBM) • New Zealand Ministry for the Environment – using world- class EII for the New Zealand Refining Company 56 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com Why Is ARB Moving to a CWT CO2-Based Efficiency Metric • Need a CO2 efficiency metric that is more directly tied to CO2 emission performance EII is a good “proxy” for CO2 efficiency in the interim • In addition to improving energy efficiency, ARB wants to also manage the type of fuels burned Cleaner burning fuels (lower CO2 per BTU) – hydrogen, natural gas and refinery-produced fuel gas Less clean fuels – heavy fuel oils and coke • A CO2-based metric to be used in Europe’s Phase III of Cap & Trade program 57 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com Drive Improvements in CO2 Efficiency Through Use of Credible Efficiency Metrics CO2 Metrics Reduce CO2 Emissions to 1990 Levels by 2020 CWT Industry Government Community “W ork ing Together To Achieve Our Goals” Current CO2 Emissions 58 2012 HSB Solomon Associates LLC www.SolomonOnline.com
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