PARTNERS’ MEETING 13th October 2014 SOMALIA AGENDA • • • • • • • • • • • Introduction and overview of agenda Highlights of the Post-Gu results Alerts/field updates FSC responses and plans CHF allocation-update SRP review New Information Management Tool REACH Cash guidelines Capacity building AOB SOMALIA Information for Better Livelihoods KEY FINDINGS FROM THE 2014 POST GU SEASONAL FOOD SECURITY AND NUTRITION ASSESSMENT IN SOMALIA 13 October 2014, Nairobi SOMALIA SUMMARY RESULTS Poor rains, conflict, trade disruptions and reduced humanitarian assistance led to a worsening of the food security situation across Somalia. Acute malnutrition increased in many parts of the country, particularly among children. 1.025 million people are acutely food insecure (IPC Phases 3 and 4) a 20 % increase since Jan 2014; these are found in large numbers in rural and urban areas and among displaced populations of Bari, Nugaal, South Mudug, Galgaduud, Hiraan, Middle Shabelle, Lower Shabelle, Bakool, Gedo, Middle Juba and Banadir regions. Over 2.1 million additional people are classified as Stressed (IPC Phase 2); 218,000 children under 5 years of age are acutely malnourished of which 43,800 are severely malnourished and face a higher risk of morbidity and death Population groups with Global Acute Malnutrition rates exceeding 15 percent are found in urban parts of Bari Region and rural parts of Hiraan, Bay, Bakool, Lower Shabelle, Gedo, East and West Golis of Wooqoi Galbeed, Sanaag and Bari regions, and among displaced populations in Mogadishu, Kismayo, Dhobley, Dollow, and Dhusamareb. The situation is likely to continue deteriorating further until the start of the Deyr rains in October. There is also a severe water shortage for livestock mainly in the northeast but also in parts of northwest, central and North Gedo and Juba regions of Somalia SOMALIA SUMMARY RESULTS SOMALIA ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION Global Acute Malnutrition Projections: August–October 2014 ACUTE FOOD SECURITY SITUATION OVERVIEW Rural, Urban and IDP Populations: August - December 2014, Projection SOMALIA Comparison of Key Indicators Pre-2011, Gu 2011 (Famine) and Recent Seasons Major FS and Nutrition Indicators Deyr 2009/10 Gu 2010 Gu 2013 Deyr 13/14 Gu 2014 Crop production as % of Post-War Average for southern Somalia (Tonnes) Consumer Price Index (CPI) for southern Somalia (March 2007=100) Average cereal price for southern regions Average Terms of Trade (daily labour wage to cereals) for southern regions Median Global Acute MalnutritionGAM rates (South-central) 126 400 198 200 17 900 48 500 128 200 87 800 89 500 192 215 254 358 187 211 235 7 240 8 490 12 162 18 789 7 113 7 719 11 099 11 10 6 4 13 12 8 21.2 15.95 25.85 39.5 16.1 15.1 17.3 Median Severe Acute MalnutritionSAM rates (South-central) Median Crude Death Rate-CDR (Southcentral) 5.4 2.05 5.2 17.2 3.9 2.8 3.7 0.9 0.80 0.34 1.85 0.38 0.76 0.6 Climate/rainfall Deyr Gu 2011 2010/11 (Famine) Worst drought in 60 years (La Nina) Deyr 2014/15 Near to above normal rainfall expected (El Nino) SOMALIA KEY MESSAGES Over 1 million people who are acutely food insecure (IPC Phases 3 and 4) require urgent and robust life saving and livelihood support through the end of the year An additional 2.1 million people who are in IPC Phase 2and who struggle to meet their minimal food requirements through the end of the year will remain highly vulnerable to shocks that could push them back to food security crisis if appropriate support is not provided The estimated 218 000 acutely malnourished children (including the 43,8000 who are severely malnourished) based on malnutrition prevalence rates at the time of the nutrition surveys are expected to increase to 393 000 and 786 000, respectively, through the end of the year (based on malnutrition incidence rates) – these groups of children require urgent and adequate life saving nutrition and health support; Pastoral populations experiencing severe water shortage would require support at least until the stat of the Deyr rains in October In the context of an underlying extreme vulnerability in Somalia, there is an urgent need to take early action to prevent further deterioration of the food security and nutrition situation and the water crisis in the affected areas SOMALIA Gedo Region Update Region/ Population Assessed 2014 Gu Food Access Rainfall North Gedo Pastoral Below normal North Gedo AgroPastoral North Gedo Riverine South Gedo Pastoral Near Average to South Gedo AgroAverage Pastoral Minimally adequate to meet food consumption requirements Nutrition 2014 Gu survey results 20.7% GAM (Critical) 1.0% SAM 14.9% GAM (Serious) 0.2% SAM 19.3% GAM (Critical) 3.0% SAM 16.9% GAM-MUAC (Critical) 1.9% SAM-MUAC 15.6% GAM-MUAC (Critical) 2.2% SAM-MUAC South Gedo Riverine 17.7% GAM-MUAC (Critical) 3.4% SAM-MUAC Dolow IDPs 18.8% GAM (Critical) 4.1% SAM Aggravating Factors Poor rainfall Poor infrastructure, Poor health services, High morbidity Below average crop production, Reduced cereal stocks, Civil insecurity Severe water shortage Reduced milk availability Food Security Aug-Dec 2014 (IPC) Stressed/Crisis Stressed/Crisis Stressed Stressed Stressed/Crisis Remarks Food security and nutrition likely to deteriorate until the start Deyr rains around mid October; deterioration is expected to be faster/more severe in some areas than others Stressed Crisis Hagaa (dry season) Impact Overall 2014 Gu (Apr-Jun) seasonal rainfall performance was near average to average in Southern Gedo and poor Southern Agro-pastoral and Dawa Pastoral livelihoods in the North (30-50% below Long Term Mean) Dry Hagaa season (Jul-Sep) has exacerbated the situation in north Gedo, particularly in Dawa pastoral livelihood. This has resulted in a significant surge in water prices (17-33%) between July and September 2014, putting additional pressure on poor pastoral households' budgets. SOMALIA The situation is expected to improve with the start of Deyr rains around mid October, which is predicted as average/ to above average". Extra Slides for Q & A SOMALIA Market Analysis for Gedo Region Sep-13 Gedo Combined North Gedo South Gedo Gedo Combined North Gedo South Gedo Jul-14 Sep-14 % change from Jul-14 % change from Sep- 13 ToT labour wage/Red Sorghum 19 13 14 8% -26% ToT labour wage/White Maize 15 10 11 10% -27% ToT labour wage/Red Sorghum 20 13 15 15% -25% ToT labour wage/White Maize 17 11 13 18% -24% ToT labour wage/Red Sorghum 17 14 11 -21% -35% ToT labour wage/White Maize 12 10 8 -20% -33% ToT local goat/Red Sorghum 130 82 88 7% -32% ToT local goat/White Maize 105 63 73 16% -30% ToT local goat/Red Sorghum 112 65 63 -3% -44% ToT local goat/White Maize 98 53 55 4% -44% ToT local goat/Red Sorghum 164 116 136 17% -17% ToT local goat/White Maize 116 82 101 23% -13% Red Sorghum 1kg 7,780 10,550 10,720 2% 38% White Maize 1kg 9,600 13,625 12,875 -6% 34% Red Sorghum 1kg 8,666 11,916 11,800 -1% 36% White Maize 1kg 9,933 14,666 13,500 -8% 36% Red Sorghum 1kg 6,450 8,500 9,100 7% 41% 9,100 12,062 12,250 2% 35% Gedo Combined White Maize 1kg Goat Prices 1,008,000 861,000 939,600 9% -7% North Gedo Goat Prices 973,333 775,833 739,333 -5% -24% South Gedo Goat Prices 1,060,000 988,750 1,240,000 25% 17% Dawa Pastoral (Ara ase) Water Prices 4,000 6,000 8,000 33% 100% SIP (Ceel cadde) Water Prices 3,000 3,000 3,500 17% 17% Gedo Combined North Gedo South Gedo SOMALIA FIELD UPDATE: September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto • Inter-cluster assessment conducted in Bulo Burto on September 23rd. • Focus group discussion with farmers and agropastoralist. • Key informant interviews with AMISOM, elders, NGOs, local authorities and women and youth representatives. SOMALIA FIELD UPDATE: September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto • Below average cereal production Table 2: Cereal Production in Bulo Burto/Maxaas District in 2014 Gu Production Gu 2014 as % of Gu Gu 2014 as % of Gu Post War Average Gu 2014 Season (Metric Tons) 2013 (1995-2013) Maize and Sorghum 200 36% 19% Gu 2014 as % of 5 year average (2009-2013) 51% • 2014 FSNAU food security outlook (Jul-Dec) Table 3: Population and Number of People in Need in Bulo Burto/Maxaas District by Livelihood Zone, Jul-Dec 2014 Livelihood Zone UNDP 2005 Population Estimate Stressed (IPC Phase 2) Crisis (IPC Phase 3) Emergency (IPC Phase 4) Hiraan Agro-Pastoral 46 669 25 668 8 167 0 Southern Inland Pastoral 28 003 9 801 0 0 Hiraan Riverine 14 001 8 016 2 660 0 Urban 22 365 0 0 8 946 111 038 43 485 10 827 8 946 Total SOMALIA FIELD UPDATE: September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto • Riverine – Lower than average harvest. – Lack of proper irrigation systems. Non-functioning equipment and low fuel availability. Lack of inputs. • Agro-pastoral/Pastoral – Lower than average harvest. – Livestock deaths reported. Livestock diseases reported. • Markets – Some availability of goods and presence of multiple retailers. – Significantly higher than average prices SOMALIA FIELD UPDATE: September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto Bulo Burto Market Prices 60000 Price (SOS) 50000 40000 Red Sorghum (1 kg) 30000 White Maize (1 kg) 20000 Rice (1 kg) 10000 Sugar (1 kg) 0 Vegetable Oil (1 litre) Fuel (1 litre) Price Comparison: Sorghum 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Beletweyne - Red Sorghum (1 kg) Bulo Burto -Red Sorghum (1 kg) SOMALIA FIELD UPDATE: September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto Any market based intervention requires more market analysis to avoid causing inflation Recommendations • Food assistance by FSC partners already underway. • Monitoring household food security and market conditions. • Once security access improves in peri-urban and rural areas, livelihood support to riverine and agropastrolist. • Based on security access and market conditions; cash for work. • Vaccination and treatment of livestock. • Limited restocking for destitute pastoralists. SOMALIA FSC MONTHLY RESPONSES (GAPS AND CHALLENGES) SOMALIA IASN & LA: Achieved Through August 1000000 900000 800000 700000 Responses Delivered On average FSC Partners have delivered 328,320 LA responses and 378,117 IASN responses per month 600000 Livelihood Assets 500000 400000 Improved Access and Safety Nets 300000 200000 100000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug SOMALIA Partners Reporting 16 14 On average 11 partners report per month 12 10 UN 8 LNGO INGO 6 4 2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug SOMALIA FSC Responses – August SOMALIA IASN - Forecast SOMALIA CHF Allocation Update SOMALIA CHF process • Two call for proposals (one for the first US$2 million on 7th August 2014 and then for the second US$2 million on 5th September 2014). • A total of 46 proposals were received by the FSC. • CRC review and scoring SOMALIA Response objective Activity Location Livelihood assets Cash for work Bay (Burhakaba) Improved access to food Unconditional cash transfers Gedo/Gharbaharey 250,000 Livelihood assets Cash for work/Rehabilitation Galgaduud(Adado, Baxdo,Hardere) of water catchments 200,000 Livelihood investment Focus on animal vaccination and treatment Lower Shabelle/Bay/Lower Juba 900,000 Unconditional cash grants Garowe/Dangaroyo-IDPs 200,000 Unconditional cash transfers Lower Shabelle- Afgoye-IDPs/GalgaduudDhusamareb 500,000 Livelihood assets Cash for work Middle Juba/Buale focus on CFW with water catchments/irrigation canals 200,000 Livelihood assets Cash for work/Rehabilitation and construction of water Lower Juba (Afmado//Kismayu/Badhaade/Lugato) catchments Improved access to food General food distribution Hiran/Burlo Burte, Maxaas (newly accessible areas) and Lower Shabelle (Qoryoley) Improved access to food Food vouchers Middle Shabelle/Johwar-targeting also IDPs at the airport Improved access to food Improved access to food Amount ($) 250,000 250,000 1,000,000 250,000 SOMALIA Total 4,000,000 Allocations- Organisation type Organisation Type Number UN 2 Local NGOS 4 International NGOs 4 Total 10 SOMALIA 2015 SRP Review - FSC SOMALIA 2015 SRP Review Current plan is in draft form Targeting 3.1 million food insecure individuals Setting response targets based on FSNAU results Cluster Objective 1a: Provide immediate improved household access to food to Somali people in Emergency throughout the year and Crisis during the livelihood lean season Supports Strategic Objective: 1 Indicator Baseline Target 1. Reduce the number of people in acute food security Crisis and Emergency food security (IPC Phases 3 and 4: considered unable to meet minimum food requirement) 1,025,000 <750,000 Cluster Objective 1b: Provide reliable, predictable, targeted and appropriate support to prevent further deterioration of vulnerable people and households in a state of food insecurity using existing public services or community mechanisms. Supports Strategic Objective: 1 Cluster Objective 2: Provide seasonally appropriate and livelihood specific inputs to increase the productive capacity of rural livelihoods; invest in the construction and/or restoration of household and community productive assets to build resilience to withstand future shocks and prevent further deterioration. Supports Strategic Objective: 3 Indicator Baseline Target 1. Stabilize the number of people in stressed food security (IPC Phase 2) 2,100,000 <2,250,000 SOMALIA 2015 SRP Review 2015 2014 Objective 1: Objective 2A: Improved Food Access Safety Nets Objective 2B: Livelihood Inputs Livelihood Assets Objective 4: Objective 1A: Objective 1B: Capacity Building Improved Food Access Safety Nets Objective 2: Livelihood Inputs Livelihood Assets Tangible investments Intangible investments SOMALIA 2015 SRP Review October 9-14th Partners Submit Projects Via OPS October 15-18th FSC/CRC Reviews October 30th HC Reviews Cluster Projects November 7-10th Final Cluster Projects Published On OPS SOMALIA gFSC Information Management Tool SOMALIA What is global Food Security Cluster? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x2wifpLS-Ig SOMALIA SOMALIA Food Security Cluster Information Management When an emergency strikes, among the responsibilities of a country-level Food Security Cluster is to: Coordinate partner responses to ensure that planning and implementation of food security responses avoid gaps and duplications, and are comparable and timely to affected populations. Information Management is essential SOMALIA FSC Information Manager • Together with a Cluster Coordinator, Information Management Officer (IMO) is one of the core Food Security Cluster team members • IMO plays a vital role in collecting, analysing, and sharing information that is important for the cluster partners to make informed and evidence based, strategic decisions • Fundamental to the job is – ability to collect, clean, collate, analyse and disseminate data – present information in a way that is easily understood by the FSC partners. Sometimes this is through graphic means such a mapping but also through tables, charts, and narrative writing. SOMALIA At the moment, this is achieved through various 4/3W matrixes, vary country-by-country SOMALIA gFSC IM Tool • To facilitate and harmonize the Food Security Clusters’ data collection and sharing, the gFSC has developed a web-based Information Management (IM) Tool that will be accessible to all Food Security Clusters around the world. • The IM tool aims to make data collection, processing and response analysis globally comparable. • By producing standard reports and maps the IM tool can visualize gaps of partner responses, and help avoid duplication of humanitarian assistance. • Consistent information sharing by partners will facilitate project tracking, and result in evidence based decision making for strategic intervention and improved implementation. SOMALIA History of Tool Development • Based on Somalia Food Security Cluster IM Tool (first version in 2011), and South Sudan IM Tool, now taken to global scale SOMALIA Users • Country-level Food Security Clusters – Country Admin: CC/IMO – Country User : IMO • Partners • Donors • User support at global level SOMALIA What doesn’t change? Data Capture and Analysis Process Partners complete a planning sheet for EACH planned activity in their over all programme Standard Reports/Maps Reporting Deadline Project entered into tool by Cluster IMO Partners enter monthly outputs of each activity compared to planned information in tool. SOMALIA Improvements • Captured Data: – Beneficiary Information: • Rural/Urban • Targeted Beneficiaries • Vulnerability Categories – Input Catalogue SOMALIA Improvements Reports 1) Planned Response by geographic area By Response Purpose, Response Priority, Modality, Targeted Beneficiary Group 2) Total Cluster Response by geographic area • By Response Purpose, Response Priority, Modality, Targeted Beneficiary Group 3) Target Report by geographic area • By Response Priority 4) Pivot Data • Aggregated Operation Data, Disaggregated Operation Data, Operation Inputs SOMALIA Improvements Reports/Maps 1) Percentage Actual/Planned: Beneficiaries by geographic area • By Response Purpose, Response Priority, Modality, Targeted Beneficiary Group 2) Gap Analysis: Beneficiaries by geographic area • By Response Purpose, Response Priority, Modality, Targeted Beneficiary Group • Aggregation of response priority for all reports/maps when applicable SOMALIA Partner Module: Log In SOMALIA Example: Updating Actual Values SOMALIA SOMALIA Example: Planned Response Report SOMALIA Maps SOMALIA SOMALIA SOMALIA SOMALIA Somalia FSC IM Tool Training • First training: 28-29 October • Contact: Patricia Michael [email protected] Ruco Van Der Merwe [email protected] SOMALIA REACH: Somalia Food Security Cluster Partners Meeting 13 October 2014 SOMALIA SOMALIA TITLE 1 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 What is REACH SOMALIA 3 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 TheTITLE REACH1Consortium SOMALIA 4 SOMALIA TITLE 1 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 REACH Strategic Framework SOMALIA 6 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 Global Partners SOMALIA 7 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 REACH Somalia 2012 CREATE Map REACH established its incountry presence , building off its 2010 GSC partnership. Its aim was to provide surge capacity and technical support contributing to the formulation of countrywide needs analysis and response strategies. Assessments: Hargeisa, Burao, Bossasso, Qardho, Mogadishu 2013 REACH established partnership with the WASH and education cluster focusing on the geographic identification of internally displaced peoples (IDPs) living in settlements and collects a core baseline of household specific information. Assessment areas: Mogadishu, Doolow and Baidoa. 2014 REACH continues its tricluster assessment through enhanced capacity buildings to handover phase 1 and move to phase 2 Monitoring and evaluation and technical support. Assessments: Kismayo, Galkayo, (Luuq). SOMALIA 8 TITLE 1 TITLE TITLE 1Building Food Security Cluster1Capacity Somalia Food Security Cluster would like to conduct response analysis activities in order to strengthen the capacity of partners to link food security analysis with appropriate response. A total of 15 organizations and 60 individuals from international and national NGOs will be trained in related response analysis capacity building workshops. SOMALIA 9 1 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 GapTITLE Analysis • To better prepare for the capacity building workshops, REACH will hold a consultative meeting with various stakeholders to review response analysis in the Somalia context. • A gap analysis will be conducted where 1. Data providers will review existing data analysis frameworks 2. Data users will highlight how existing datasets are translated/adapted to create targets 3. Group discussions will link existing datasets and assessment mechanisms to response analysis SOMALIA 10 TITLEFraming 1 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 Content • The main areas of focus of these capacity building efforts will be to link Forecasting & Scenario Building to Response Analysis. • This includes the formulation of response objectives and priorities by answering five questions: • Where (locations) • Who (groups) • When (period) • What (type of activities) • How (modalities) • Appropriateness, scope and feasibility will be addressed at this stage SOMALIA 11 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 How to Implement • Locations of capacity building workshops will be determined by project steering committee and based on partners’ needs • The project will be, as much as possible, linked to existing funding decisions (ex. CHF, CAP), existing training initiatives, and/or to Cluster Strategic Documents, so as to be of best use and interest for the humanitarian community SOMALIA 12 TITLE Next Steps1 TITLE 1 TITLE 1 • Consultative Stakeholder Meeting in November • Invitation to be circulated this week • Information requested (data collection tools, situation analysis, frameworks, etc.) • Several stakeholders will be asked to present a brief PowerPoint presentation at the consultative meeting • Capacity Building workshops in early 2015 • 1 Nairobi • 3 Somalia • 15 organizations • 60 individuals SOMALIA 13 CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA Guidelines for cash based programming in Somalia Background Objective of the initiative Structure of the guidelines Brief overview of the content SOMALIA CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA Background and objectives Background There is an increased use of cash based programming in Somalia. Numerous guidelines already exist for cash programming, including for Somalia. Increased expectation of accountability / monitoring. Objectives To develop a “practical” document supporting field manager to develop cash programming proposals. Support some standardization coordination/funding platforms. across project for Support accountability and justifications for cash programming. (monitoring / review of proposal). SOMALIA CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA Structure of the guidelines Guidelines structured as: • Key aspects to consider when designing a cash transfer project. • Limited plain text. Table, ticking boxes. • Nine modules. List of references available for further readings, proposed template. SOMALIA CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA Overview of the content Module 1: The basics of cash transfer programming • Definition of type of cash and voucher approaches. • History of cash transfers in Somalia. • Lessons learnt on cash transfer programming in Somalia. • Key stakeholders in a typical cash transfer programming. Module 2: When is cash appropriate? • Needs assessment and response analysis. • Market analysis. • Access. • Types of risks and mitigation strategies. • Gender issues, power relations and vulnerable groups. • Cost-effectiveness. • Coordination and political feasibility. • Timeliness effectiveness. • Seasonality. Module 3: Planning and designing cash interventions • Determining the project objectives. • Selection of cash transfer programming. • Complementary programming. • How much to give and when to give it? SOMALIA CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA Overview of the content Module 4: Implementing cash interventions • Participation, sensitisation and accountability. • Targeting and registration. • Cash delivery mechanisms, monitoring and accountability. Module 5: Monitoring and evaluation • Monitoring. • Evaluation. Module 6: Focus on vouchers • When to use vouchers. • Cash or commodity vouchers. • Designing vouchers. • Vouchers redeemable with local shops and traders. Module 7: Focus on cash for Work • Appropriateness. • Project selection. • Targeting. • Payment amounts and frequency. • Implementation. • Gender and vulnerable groups. SOMALIA CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA Overview of the content Module 8: Focus on unconditional cash transfer • Appropriateness. • Implementation. • Delivering cash. Module 9: Risk management • List of risks and their related mitigation strategy. SOMALIA FSC CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT SOMALIA TRAINING UPDATES TRAINING VENUE DATE NO. OF PARTICIPANTS Introduction to Project Cycle Management Dolo 22nd - 25th Sep 2014 14 Intermediate Targeting and Protection in the Project Cycle Management Dolo 27th- 29th Sep 2014 12 SOMALIA TRAINING PLAN – OCTOBER TRAINING TITLE Introduction to Project Cycle Management VENUE Hargesia Intermediate Training on Targeting and Protection in the Project Cycle Management Hargeisa FSC VC/Focal Point Workshop ACTUAL TRAINING DATES 3rd – 6th Nov 2014 8th – 10th Nov 2014 12th – 14th Nov 2014 Hargesia SOMALIA Thank you for your time • For any inquiries or comments please contact : [email protected] SOMALIA
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