MEMBERS’ MEETING
23RD October 2014
SOMALIA
AGENDA
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Introduction and overview of agenda
Highlights of the Post-Gu results
Alerts/field updates
FSC responses and plans
SRP review
New Information Management Tool
Cash guidelines
Schedule of regional coordination meetings
Capacity building
AOB
SOMALIA
Information for Better Livelihoods
KEY FINDINGS FROM THE 2014 POST GU
SEASONAL FOOD SECURITY AND
NUTRITION ASSESSMENT IN SOMALIA
AND RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
Food Security Cluster Meeting
23 October 2014, Nairobi
SOMALIA
Summary Results of the Post-Gu 2014 FS
and Nutrition Situation
 Poor rains, conflict, trade disruptions and reduced humanitarian
assistance led to a worsening of the food security situation
across Somalia in the post-Gu 2014. Acute malnutrition
increased in many parts of the country, particularly among
children.
 1.025 million people are acutely food insecure (IPC Phases 3
and 4) - a 20 % increase since Jan 2014; these are found in
large numbers in rural and urban areas and among displaced
populations of Bari, Nugaal, South Mudug, Galgaduud, Hiraan,
Middle Shabelle, Lower Shabelle, Bakool, Gedo, Middle Juba
and Banadir regions.
 Over 2.1 million additional people are classified as Stressed
(IPC Phase 2);
 218,000 children under 5 years of age are acutely malnourished
of which 43,800 are severely malnourished and face a higher
risk of morbidity and death
 Population groups with Global Acute Malnutrition rates
exceeding 15 percent are found in urban parts of Bari Region
and rural parts of Hiraan, Bay, Bakool, Lower Shabelle, Gedo,
East and West Golis of Wooqoi Galbeed, Sanaag and Bari
regions, and among displaced populations in Mogadishu,
Kismayo, Dhobley, Dollow, and Dhusamareb.
SOMALIA
SUMMARY RESULTS
SOMALIA ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION
Global Acute Malnutrition Projections: August–October 2014
ACUTE FOOD SECURITY SITUATION OVERVIEW
Rural, Urban and IDP Populations: August - December 2014,
Projection
SOMALIA
COMPARISON OF KEY INDICATORS
Pre-2011, Gu 2011 (Famine) and Recent Seasons
Major FS and Nutrition Indicators
Deyr
2009/10
Gu
2010
Gu 2013
Deyr
13/14
Gu
2014
Crop production in southern Somalia
(Tonnes)
Consumer Price Index (CPI) for
southern Somalia (March 2007=100)
Average cereal price for southern
regions
Average Terms of Trade (daily labour
wage to cereals) for southern regions
Median Global Acute MalnutritionGAM rates (South-central)
126 400
198 200
17 900
48 500
128 200
87 800
89 500
192
215
254
358
187
211
235
7 240
8 490
12 162
18 789
7 113
7 719
11 099
11
10
6
4
13
12
8
21.2
15.95
25.85
39.5
16.1
15.1
17.3
Median Severe Acute MalnutritionSAM rates (South-central)
Median Crude Death Rate-CDR (Southcentral)
5.4
2.05
5.2
17.2
3.9
2.8
3.7
0.9
0.80
0.34
1.85
0.38
0.76
0.6
Climate/rainfall
Deyr
Gu 2011
2010/11
(Famine)
Worst drought in 60
years (La Nina)
Deyr
2014/15
Near to
above
normal
rainfall
expected
(El Nino)
SOMALIA
KEY MESSAGES
 Over 1 million people who are acutely food insecure (IPC Phases 3 and 4) require urgent
and robust life saving and livelihood support through the end of the year
 An additional 2.1 million people who are in IPC Phase 2 and who struggle to meet their
minimal food requirements through the end of the year will remain highly vulnerable to
shocks that could push them back to food security crisis if appropriate support is not
provided
 The estimated 218 000 acutely malnourished children (including the 43 800 who are
severely malnourished) based on malnutrition prevalence rates at the time of the
nutrition surveys are expected to increase to 393 000 and 78 600, respectively, through
the end of the year (based on malnutrition incidence rates) – these groups of children
require urgent and adequate life saving nutrition and health support;
 In the context of an underlying extreme vulnerability in Somalia, there is a need for
continued humanitarian assistance to prevent further deterioration of the food security
and nutrition, particularly in southern parts of the country affected by the conflict
SOMALIA
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
 During Hagaa dry season rangeland conditions have significantly deteriorated in: north Gedo (Dawa pastoral),
parts of Bakool, pastoral/ agropastoral livelihoods of Middle Juba and Hiran as well as parts of Central and
Northeast (coastal of Bari region). This resulted in worsening livestock conditions and reduced milk production. In
most of these areas, water prices have surged by 19-31% between July and September
 Off-season maize harvest, estimated at 4 000 tonnes, was collected in riverine areas of Middle Shabelle, Middle
and Lower Juba and Gedo regions in Sep-Oct 2014;
 Cereal prices have reduced between July-September in most parts of the South (17-31%), but are still higher than
a year ago. However, in areas affected by trade restrictions (Bakool, Gedo) from insurgents the prices continued
upward trend
 Preparation for Deyr planting has started in late September in most parts of the South. However, a military
offensive carried out by Somalia’s National Army and allied forces against the insurgents in the South, has
adversely affected land preparation activities in parts of Lower and Middle Shabelle regions
 The Deyr rains started on time in the 1-2 dekads of October in most parts of the country; until now the rains have
been of light to moderate intensity and mostly of poor coverage
 Localised river flooding is reported in parts of Middle Shabelle, Lower Juba and Gedo regions (affecting some cash
crops/ fruit trees); The risk level of flooding along the Juba and Shabelle rivers, especially in the lower reaches, is
High during the coming week due to anticipated rains in Somalia and within the Ethiopian Highlands (SWALIM,
Flood Watch Bulletin, 21 Oct 2014).
SOMALIA
IMPLICATIONS FOR FOOD SECURITY
OUTCOMES
 The post-Gu (August-December 2014) food security
situation currently remains unchanged
 There are concerns over impacts of conflicts and floods
(in the riverine) on Deyr seasonal activities; this may
have implications in terms of reduced farm labour
opportunities for poor farmers and possibly reduced/
delayed Deyr crop harvest
 The Deyr rains have slightly improved rangeland
conditions in parts of the country, but some areas still
remain dry
 FSNAU will continue close monitoring and providing
updates of the situation in a timely manner.
SOMALIA
TIMELINE OF FOOD SECURITY ASSESSMENTS
FS assessments
Dates of assessments
Areas to be assessed (specify in brackets)
Joint Food Security/ Nutrition IDP
representative surveys
Oct. 25- Nov. 12, 2014
Northeast (Bossaso, Qardho and Garowe)
Northwest (Hargeisa, Ber-bera and Burao)
Central (Galka'ayo)
Central (Dhusamareb/Guri-Ceel)
Baidoa
Mogadishu
Kismayo
South (Dhobley and Dolow)
Northeast (Bari)
Northwest (Sool)
South (Mogadishu/ Kismayo)
South (Middle and Lower Juba, Gedo, Bay,
Bakool,
M. & L. Shabelle and Hiran)
Northwest (Awdal& W. Galbeed)
Northeast
Northwest
Central
South
Joint Food Security/ Nutrition Urban Oct. 25 - Nov. 16, 2014
representative surveys
Urban Rapid Assessment
Dec. 1-7, 2014
Gu-Karan Assessments
Deyr Preliminary Assessment
Nov. 10-20, 2014
Nov. 20-27, 2014
Deyr rural assessment
Dec. 18-31, 2014
Regional Analysis
Jan 3- 8/9, 2015
Hargeisa & Garowe
FSNAU All Team/ Partner Analysis
of Deyr assessments results
Jan 10-22, 2015
Hargeisa
SOMALIA
Questions?
SOMALIA
FIELD UPDATE:
September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto
• Inter-cluster assessment conducted in Bulo Burto on
September 23rd.
• Focus group discussion with farmers and agropastoralist.
• Key informant interviews with AMISOM, elders,
NGOs, local authorities and women and youth
representatives.
SOMALIA
FIELD UPDATE:
September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto
• Below average cereal production
Table 2: Cereal Production in Bulo Burto/Maxaas District in 2014 Gu
Production
Gu 2014 as % of Gu
Gu 2014 as % of Gu Post War Average
Gu 2014 Season
(Metric Tons)
2013
(1995-2013)
Maize and Sorghum
200
36%
19%
Gu 2014 as % of 5 year
average (2009-2013)
51%
• 2014 FSNAU food security outlook (Jul-Dec)
Table 3: Population and Number of People in Need in Bulo Burto/Maxaas District by Livelihood Zone, Jul-Dec
2014
Livelihood Zone
UNDP 2005
Population
Estimate
Stressed
(IPC Phase 2)
Crisis
(IPC Phase 3)
Emergency
(IPC Phase 4)
Hiraan Agro-Pastoral
46 669
25 668
8 167
0
Southern Inland Pastoral
28 003
9 801
0
0
Hiraan Riverine
14 001
8 016
2 660
0
Urban
22 365
0
0
8 946
111 038
43 485
10 827
8 946
Total
SOMALIA
FIELD UPDATE:
September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto
• Riverine
– Lower than average harvest.
– Lack of proper irrigation systems. Non-functioning equipment
and low fuel availability. Lack of inputs.
• Agro-pastoral/Pastoral
– Lower than average harvest.
– Livestock deaths reported. Livestock diseases reported.
• Markets
– Some availability of goods and presence of multiple retailers.
– Significantly higher than average prices
SOMALIA
FIELD UPDATE:
September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto
Bulo Burto Market Prices
60000
Price (SOS)
50000
40000
Red Sorghum (1 kg)
30000
White Maize (1 kg)
20000
Rice (1 kg)
10000
Sugar (1 kg)
0
Vegetable Oil (1 litre)
Fuel (1 litre)
Price Comparison: Sorghum
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
Beletweyne - Red Sorghum
(1 kg)
Bulo Burto -Red Sorghum
(1 kg)
SOMALIA
FIELD UPDATE:
September Assessment Mission to Bulo Burto
Any market based intervention requires more market analysis to avoid causing inflation
Recommendations
• Food assistance by FSC partners already underway.
• Monitoring household food security and market conditions.
• Once security access improves in peri-urban and rural
areas, livelihood support to riverine and agropastrolist.
• Based on security access and market conditions; cash for
work.
• Vaccination and treatment of livestock.
• Limited restocking for destitute pastoralists.
SOMALIA
FSC MONTHLY
RESPONSES
(GAPS AND CHALLENGES)
SOMALIA
IASN & LA: Achieved Through
August
1000000
900000
800000
700000
Responses Delivered
On average FSC
Partners have
delivered 328,320
LA responses and
378,117 IASN
responses per
month
600000
Livelihood Assets
500000
400000
Improved Access
and Safety Nets
300000
200000
100000
0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
SOMALIA
Partners Reporting (Through Aug)
16
14
On average
11 partners
report per
month
12
10
UN
8
LNGO
INGO
6
4
2
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
SOMALIA
Improved Access & Safety Nets
July
August
September
SOMALIA
Livelihood Assets
July
August
September
SOMALIA
2015 SRP Review - FSC
SOMALIA
2015 SRP Review
 Current plan is under review
 Targeting 3.1 million food insecure individuals
 Setting response targets based on FSNAU results. Targets
are completed but need to be endorsed by the SAG
 2015 is the final year of the 3 year SRP
 2015 SRP projects have been submitted and reviewed
SOMALIA
2015 SRP Review
2014
Objective
1:
Objective
2A:
Improved
Food
Access
Safety
Nets
Objective 2B:
Livelihood
Inputs
Livelihood
Assets
Objective
4:
Capacity
Building
SOMALIA
2015 SRP Review
Draft Objectives
Strategic
Objective
(SO)
Cluster objective (CO)
Key cluster indicators
SO 1
Provide
immediate
improved
household access to food to people
in “emergency” throughout the
year; and those in “crisis” during
the livelihood lean season
Indicator 1: Percentage of individuals in Emergency accessing at least 50% of
MEB per person per day on a monthly basis through humanitarian assistance
Baseline: 89%
Target: On average, 90% of the target population reached per month for 12
months for “emergency” caseloads; and 90% of target population reached per
month during lean season for “crisis” caseloads
Indicator 2: Number of vulnerable individuals benefiting from relevant safety
nets activities (as a function of the cluster target)
Baseline: 94% of target population
Target: 95% of targeted population
SO 3
Provide seasonally appropriate and
livelihood specific inputs to
increase the productive capacity of
rural livelihoods; invest in the
construction and/or restoration of
household
and
community
productive assets to build resilience
to withstand future shocks and
prevent further deterioration.
Indicator 1: Percentage of target population in Crisis and Stressed IPC phases
receiving a basket of livelihood inputs (seeds, tools, animal
vaccinations/treatments, irrigation pump hours, tractor hours, fishing gear, etc.
Baseline: 77%
Target: On average, 75% of target population reached per season.
Indicator 2: Percentage of target population that have participated in the
rehabilitation/construction of assets or received training
Baseline: 32 %
Target: On average, 75% of target population reached
SOMALIA
gFSC Information
Management Tool
SOMALIA
What is global Food Security Cluster?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x2wifpLS-Ig
SOMALIA
SOMALIA
Food Security Cluster Information
Management
When an emergency strikes, among the responsibilities of a
country-level Food Security Cluster is to:
Coordinate partner responses to ensure that planning and
implementation of food security responses avoid gaps and
duplications, and are comparable and timely to affected
populations.
 Information Management is essential
SOMALIA
At the moment, this is achieved through various 4/3W matrixes, vary
country-by-country
SOMALIA
gFSC IM Tool
• To facilitate and harmonize the Food Security Clusters’
data collection and sharing, the gFSC has developed a
web-based Information Management (IM) Tool that will
be accessible to all Food Security Clusters around the
world.
• The IM tool aims to make data collection, processing and
response analysis globally comparable.
• By producing standard reports and maps the IM tool can
visualize gaps of partner responses, and help avoid
duplication of humanitarian assistance.
• Consistent information sharing by partners will facilitate
project tracking, and result in evidence based decision
making for strategic intervention and improved
implementation.
SOMALIA
History of Tool Development
• Based on Somalia Food Security Cluster
IM Tool (first version in 2011), and
South Sudan IM Tool, now taken to
global scale
SOMALIA
Users
• Country-level Food Security Clusters
– Country Admin: CC/IMO
– Country User : IMO
• Partners
• Donors
• User support at global level
SOMALIA
What doesn’t change?
Data Capture and Analysis Process
Partners complete a
planning sheet for
EACH planned
activity in their over
all programme
Standard
Reports/Maps
Reporting
Deadline
Project entered
into tool by Cluster
IMO
Partners enter
monthly outputs of
each activity
compared to planned
information in tool.
SOMALIA
Improvements
Automated Reports
1) Planned Response by geographic area
2) Total Actual Response by geographic area
3) Target Report by geographic area
4) Pivot Data
Automated Reports/Maps
1) Percentage Actual/Planned: Beneficiaries by
geographic area
2) Gap Analysis: Beneficiaries by geographic area
SOMALIA
Partner Module: Log In
SOMALIA
Example: Updating Actual Values
SOMALIA
SOMALIA
Example: Planned Response Report
SOMALIA
SOMALIA
SOMALIA
Somalia FSC IM Tool Training
• First training:
Late 2014
• Contact:
Patricia Michael
[email protected]
Ruco Van Der Merwe
[email protected]
SOMALIA
CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA
Guidelines for cash based
programming in Somalia
Background
Objective of the initiative
Structure of the guidelines
Brief overview of the content
SOMALIA
CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA
Background and objectives
Background
 There is an increased use of cash based programming in Somalia.
 Numerous guidelines already exist for cash programming,
including for Somalia.
 Increased expectation of accountability / monitoring.
Objectives
 To develop a “practical” document supporting field manager to
develop cash programming proposals.
 Support
some
standardization
coordination/funding platforms.
across
project
for
 Support accountability and justifications for cash programming.
(monitoring / review of proposal).
SOMALIA
CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA
Structure of the guidelines
Guidelines structured as:
• Key aspects to consider when designing a cash transfer
project.
• Limited plain text. Table, ticking boxes.
• Nine modules.
List of references available for further readings, proposed
template.
SOMALIA
CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA
Overview of the content
Module 1: The basics of cash transfer programming
• Definition of type of cash and voucher approaches.
• History of cash transfers in Somalia.
• Lessons learnt on cash transfer programming in Somalia.
• Key stakeholders in a typical cash transfer programming.
Module 2: When is cash appropriate?
• Needs assessment and response analysis.
• Market analysis.
• Access.
• Types of risks and mitigation strategies.
• Gender issues, power relations and vulnerable groups.
• Cost-effectiveness.
• Coordination and political feasibility.
• Timeliness effectiveness.
• Seasonality.
Module 3: Planning and designing cash interventions
• Determining the project objectives.
• Selection of cash transfer programming.
• Complementary programming.
• How much to give and when to give it?
SOMALIA
CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA
Overview of the content
Module 4: Implementing cash interventions
• Participation, sensitisation and accountability.
• Targeting and registration.
• Cash delivery mechanisms, monitoring and accountability.
Module 5: Monitoring and evaluation
• Monitoring.
• Evaluation.
Module 6: Focus on vouchers
• When to use vouchers.
• Cash or commodity vouchers.
• Designing vouchers.
• Vouchers redeemable with local shops and traders.
Module 7: Focus on cash for Work
• Appropriateness.
• Project selection.
• Targeting.
• Payment amounts and frequency.
• Implementation.
• Gender and vulnerable groups.
SOMALIA
CASH BASED PROGRAMMING IN SOMALIA
Overview of the content
Module 8: Focus on unconditional cash transfer
• Appropriateness.
• Implementation.
• Delivering cash.
Module 9: Risk management
• List of risks and their related mitigation strategy.
SOMALIA
FSC CAPACITY
DEVELOPMENT
SOMALIA
TRAINING UPDATES
TRAINING
VENUE
DATE
NO. OF
PARTICIPANTS
Introduction to Project Cycle
Management
Dolo
22nd - 25th Sep 2014
14
Intermediate Targeting and
Protection in the Project Cycle
Management
Dolo
27th- 29th Sep 2014
12
SOMALIA
TRAINING PLAN – NOVEMBER
TRAINING TITLE
Introduction to Project
Cycle Management
VENUE
Hargesia
Intermediate Training
on Targeting and
Protection in the Project
Cycle Management
Hargeisa
FSC VC/Focal Point
Workshop
ACTUAL TRAINING
DATES
3rd – 6th Nov 2014
8th – 10th Nov 2014
12th – 14th Nov2014
Hargesia
SOMALIA
Thank you for your time
• For any inquiries or comments please contact :
[email protected]
SOMALIA