MERCURY SECURITIES SDN BHD (113193-W) MARKET FLASH FRIDAY, 17 OCT 2014 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) NEWS HIGHLIGHTS DOMESTIC BAT Q3 net profit rises to RM241mil Eco World to subscribe for 30% stake in SPAC for RM562.5mil Ireka unit wins RM276.79mil contract from KL Eco City LOCAL Close Day Chg FTSE KLCI 1,767.77 (19.07) Volume (mil) 2,557.45 513.23 Value (RM’mil) 2,679.08 513.12 Up Down Unchanged 64 1,001 141 FOREIGN Dow Jones 16,117.24 (24.50) Nasdaq CI 4,217.39 2.07 S&P 500 1,862.76 0.27 FOREIGN FTSE 100 6,195.91 (15.73) BHP Billiton to spin-off ops worth US$16bil Nikkei 225 14,738.38 (335.14) 2,356.50 (17.17) HSI 22,900.94 (239.11) STI 3,154.21 (44.51) 3.2835 0.006 83.1 1.70 1,238.51 (0.35) Protasco duo to file defence by Oct 30 Google profit misses estimates on slower advertising growth Shanghai CI Other Stats ECONOMY / COMMODITY / CURRENCY USD/MYR Ringgit eases against US$ at close WTI (USD/barrel) Gold futures rebound Gold (USD/troy oz) Rubber mart declines Top Volume (RM) Chg CPO slips on weak sentiment SUMATEC 0.300 (0.015) PDZ 0.235 (0.020) BJCORP 0.470 (0.005) HUBLINE 0.040 0.000 SKPETRO 3.160 (0.250) TASEK-PA 15.700 1.880 BAT 66.720 1.220 HLFG 16.980 0.240 REX 1.120 0.100 LITRAK 3.800 0.090 F&N 15.680 (0.760) TASEK 15.720 (0.480) 4.220 (0.470) ALLIANZ 10.840 (0.460) TAKAFUL 11.380 (0.420) Oil slips to 4-year low Top Gainers Top Losers MPI MERCURY SECURITIES SDN BHD (113193-W) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Consensus Target Price Userguide: To complement the top down approach, Mercury Securities will be compiling the top three underpriced equities of the respective sectors based on the consensus target price premium over the current price on a weekly basis. Methodology: These consensus target prices are sourced from Bloomberg and the equities are covered by at least 4 research houses, excluding Mercury Securities. The purpose is to ensure the credibility, conformity and objectivity of the consensus target prices are is maintained for the reader. Sector Finance Property Plantation Consumer Ticker Company MAY MK Equity MALAYAN BANKING BHD HLFG MK Equity HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP 11.14 16.3% 16.74 19.42 16.0% BURSA MK Equity BURSA MALAYSIA BHD 7.94 8.94 12.6% NHB MK Equity NAIM HOLDINGS BERHAD 2.98 4.84 62.5% ECW MK Equity ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP 4.15 6.49 56.3% TRCB MK Equity TROPICANA CORP BHD 1.23 1.71 39.0% FGV MK Equity FELDA GLOBAL VENTURES 3.03 3.82 26.2% SOP MK Equity SARAWAK OIL PALMS BERHAD 5.55 6.85 23.4% KUL MK Equity KULIM MALAYSIA BHD 3.32 3.70 11.4% BON MK Equity BONIA CORP BHD 1.02 1.73 69.6% PAD MK Equity PADINI HOLDINGS BERHAD 1.76 2.05 16.2% 11.42 12.83 12.4% 3.78 5.92 56.7% PRESS MK Equity PRESS METAL BERHAD 5.00 7.72 54.5% LLB MK Equity LION INDUSTRIES CORP BHD 0.59 0.90 52.0% BHB MK Equity BENALEC HOLDINGS BHD 0.80 1.28 60.0% MRC MK Equity MALAYSIAN RESOURCES CORP BHD 1.50 2.07 38.0% EVSD MK Equity EVERSENDAI CORP BHD 0.85 1.11 30.9% BAB MK Equity BUMI ARMADA BERHAD 1.11 1.87 68.6% PPT MK Equity PERISAI PETROLEUM TEKNOLOGI 3.41 5.47 60.4% SAKP MK Equity SAPURAKENCANA PETROLEUM BHD 0.70 1.12 59.5% COCO MK Equity Construction Trad&Serv Premium 9.58 UMWH MK Equity UMW HOLDINGS BHD Ind Prod Closing Price Target Price COASTAL CONTRACTS BHD Source: Bloomberg as of 17th October 2014 MERCURY SECURITIES SDN BHD (113193-W) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) NEWS HEADLINES Commodity, Currency and Economic News Ringgit eased against the US dollar at close yesterday amid worries about sluggish European economy as well as awaiting domestic consumer index, dealers said. At 5pm, the ringgit was quoted at 3.2765/2785 against the greenback compared with 3.2650/2680 on Tuesday. Dealers said investors were also remaining on the sideline awaiting September consumer inflation data due later in the day. In August, the local consumer price index rose marginally above market expectations at 3.3 per cent from a year earlier. The local unit was also mostly lower against other major currencies. It ended higher against the Singapore dollar to 2.5626/5661 from Tuesday’s 2.5634/5662 but weakened against the yen to 3.0567/0594 from 3.0517/0556. The ringgit was lower against the British pound to 5.2142/2184 from 5.2119/2177 and depreciated against the euro to 4.1458/1486 from 4.1403/1451 previously. (Bernama) Gold futures contracts on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives rebounded from Wednesday’s losses to close higher yesterday as investors shifted to safe-haven assets. Phillip Futures Sdn Bhd dealer Lim Eng Wee said the weakening dollar and European shares, amid worries over the strength of the global economy, boosted demand for the precious metal. “We expect gold futures to continue their bullish trend on weakness in the global equities market and worries over global economic growth,” he said. October 2014 jumped 48 ticks to RM131.65 a gramme, November 2014 and December 2014 soared 52 ticks each to RM132 a gramme and RM132.20 a gramme respectively, April 2015 improved 44 ticks to RM133.35 a gramme and August 2015 advanced 51 ticks to RM133.85 a gramme. Open interest grew to 2,778 contracts from 2,680 contracts on Wednesday while turnover was higher at 158 lots worth RM2.08 million from 78 lots worth RM1.006 million previously. The physical price of gold was RM1.72 higher at RM126.50 a gramme from RM124.73 a gramme on Wednesday. (Bernama) Malaysian rubber market recorded a decline yesterday, tracking the lower performance of the Tokyo Commodity Exchange (Tocom) and Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE). He said companies in China are set to cut capital spending by around seven per cent this year, the biggest annual reduction since the global financial crisis. “This will likely impact the local rubber market,” he said. The noon benchmark Malaysian Rubber Board’s official physical price for tyre-grade SMR 20 was 3.5 sen lower at 472.5 sen a kg, while latex-in-bulk slid 0.5 sen to 372 sen a kg. The 5pm unofficial closing price for tyre-grade SMR 20 eased three sen to 474 sen a kg, and latex-in-bulk was down by one sen to 372 sen a kg. (Bernama) MERCURY SECURITIES SDN BHD (113193-W) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Crude palm oil (CPO) futures prices on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives closed lower yesterday dampened by weak market sentiment and lacklustre export performance. For the first 15 days in October, Malaysia’s palm oil exports fell 16.5 per cent from the same period last month to 626,482 tonnes. November 2014 fell RM18 to RM2,135 a tonne, December 2014 eased RM12 to RM2,121 a tonne, January 2015 lost RM18 to RM2,119 a tonne while February 2015 was RM17 lower at RM2,125 a tonne. Volume decreased to 50,959 lots against 59,068 lots on Wednesday while open interest fell to 309,076 contracts from 332,370 contracts previously. On the physical market, October South was RM10 lower at RM2,150 a tonne. (Bernama) Oil fell more than US$1 a barrel yesterday to a four-year low below US$83 a barrel as growing concerns over the global economy stretched a four-month rout. Global benchmark Brent has lost more than 28 per cent since June on slow demand and abundant supply. Losses have accelerated in October on signals that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has no plan to cut output. Brent crude for November delivery had dropped to US$82.60 a barrel, the lowest since November 2010 and was down 93 cents at US$82.85 a barrel by 1245GMT. US crude was down US$1.45 at US$80.33 a barrel, after falling below US$80 for the first time since June 2012 to a low of US$79.78. “The market still seems very bearish,” said Eugen Weinberg, analyst at Commerbank in Frankfurt. (Reuters) Global and Local Headlines 7-Eleven Malaysia Holdings Bhd has received a consent judgment from the Kuala Lumpur High Court allowing its convenience stores to continue to stay in 34 Shell stations across the country until June 2016. 7-Eleven has been in a tenancy dispute with Shell Malaysia Trading Sdn Bhd since March 2012. The convenience store operator said the consent judgment was filed in the High Court on Wednesday. The two parties have achieved “a full and final global settlement of the claim and counter claim” on a “without admission of liability basis”, 7-Eleven said in a filing to Bursa Malaysia yesterday. (BTimes) British American Tobacco (M) Bhd’s (BAT) net profit increased 9.9 per cent in the third quarter ended September 30 to RM241.1 million, or 84.4 sen a share. Group revenue increased marginally to RM1.2 billion from RM1.17 billion previously, BAT said in a filing to Bursa Malaysia yesterday. For the nine months ended September 30, its net profit increased 12.6 per cent to RM714.6 million while revenue rose 5.9 per cent to RM3.6 billion. The company declared a tax-exempt dividend of 78 sen per share, 10 sen more than previously, amounting to a payout of RM222.7million. (BTimes) Eco World Development Bhd has proposed to acquire a 30% stake in a real-estate special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) for RM562.5mil. Eco World said on Thursday it would subscribe for the stake, comprising of 1.125 billion shares of one sen each with 1.125 billion free warrants in Eco World International Bhd (EWI). Eco World said the proposed subscription would enable Eco World MERCURY SECURITIES SDN BHD (113193-W) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) to venture overseas via investing in a property SPAC with a management team that has a proven track record in identifying, acquiring and implementing overseas projects successfully. (Star) Ireka Corporation Bhd's unit has bagged a RM276.79mil contract by KL Eco City Sdn Bhd for the construction of the main building works for the Retail Podium, Office Block A and the remaining works for the basement levels. In a statement on Wednesday, Ireka said the contract, awarded via Ireka Engineering & Construction Sdn Bhd will commence on Oct 15, 2014 and it is expected to complete in 29 months’ time. The group said this is KL Eco City’s second contract awarded to Ireka Engineering. Ireka said the contract has brought the group's order book to about RM1.44bil, of which RM1.08 still remained outstanding. (Star) Protasco Bhd directors Tey Por Yee and Ooi Kock Aun have finally broken their silence on the multi-million ringgit suit filed by the company on September 22, accusing them of conspiracy to defraud and making secret profits. Tey and Ooi, in a statement yesterday, denied all of Protasco’s allegations and said they would be filing their defence by October 30. The two have retained the law firm Gideon Tan Razali Zaini to enter a defence and entered an appearance at the Kuala Lumpur High Court on Wednesday. BHP Billiton said yesterday it would list a proposed spin-off company comprised of unwanted businesses on the London Stock Exchange as well as in Australia, responding to pressure from some investors. BHP announced in August plans to spin off operations worth roughly US$16 billion (RM52.5 billion), most of them acquired in its 2001 merger with South Africa’s Billiton, to focus on its most profitable activities. BHP said at the time the business would be listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, with a secondary listing on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. (Reuters) Google Inc. (GOOGL) missed profit and revenue estimates for the third quarter as the search provider stepped up spending to reignite slowing advertising sales. Profit, excluding some items, was $6.35 a share, the company said in a statement today, falling short of analysts’ average projection for $6.53. Revenue, excluding sales passed on to partners, was $13.2 billion, just below analysts’ prediction, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Chief Executive Officer Larry Page, looking for new opportunities beyond desktop-based search ads, is ramping up investments in everything from business software to mobile services. Revenue at Google’s own websites grew 20 percent, compared with 23 percent in the prior period. At the same time, the company ramped up hiring and boosted research and development spending by almost 50 percent. (Bloomberg) MERCURY SECURITIES SDN BHD (113193-W) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) SECTORIAL RETURN The chart below depicts the performance of the respective KLCI sectors over a five year period including the current and forward PE. The sector’s performance is ranked against each other based on absolute returns for that particular year. The user can track the progressive performance of a sector based on the sector’s unique colour. One could observe that the finance sector is the best performing sector over a five year period between 2009 and 2013 with a compound annual growth rate of 16.1%. The user will also be able to identify sector value based on the current PE and the corresponding 5 year high, low and average PE. For example, finance sector PE is currently at 12.23 times, which is marginally below 5 year PE of 12.78 times, suggesting financials valuation are not overvalued at the moment. For a significant impact to reduce market noise, overview of sectorial performance will be updated on a weekly basis. 5 year average P/E Current P/E Forward 1 year P/E Finance High: 16.78 Average: 12.18 Low: 9.54 High: 17.15 Average: 12.78 Low: 9.54 12.23 12.29 High: Average: Low: - High: 25.57 Average: 16.27 Low: 13.21 30.15 15.84 High: 19.97 Average: 17.04 Low: 12.50 High: 19.97 Average: 15.92 Low: 11.98 12.76 13.00 High: 14.32 Average: 7.95 Low: 3.81 High: 17.76 Average: 10.15 Low: 3.81 8.76 11.91 High: 18.01 Average: 16.09 Low: 14.34 High: 23.70 Average: 17.05 Low: 14.34 16.07 16.19 High: 42.70 Average: 20.65 Low: 10.76 High: 42.70 Average: 18.87 Low: 10.72 14.37 18.43 High: 69.72 Average: 27.11 Low: 5.04 High: 69.72 Average: 24.44 Low: 5.04 18.81 18.54 High: 20.90 Average: 14.06 Low: 5.01 High: 34.34 Average: 18.26 Low: 5.01 12.76 13.00 2011 2012 2013 Ind Prod Property Consumer product Consumer product Property 39.5% 30.6% 7.6% 12.0% 22.1% 5.3% 5.3% 16.1% Finance Construction Plantation Finance Ind Prod Consumer product Property Ind Prod 35.9% 27.1% 1.6% 12.0% 15.9% -3.4% 4.8% 16.1% Plantation Plantation KLCI KLCI Construction Finance Finance Consumer product 26.3% 26.3% 0.8% 10.6% 14.6% -0.9% 3.3% 14.1% KLCI Finance Trade & services Ind Prod Trade & services Property Plantation Property 24.0% 25.4% 0.8% 9.3% 14.3% -3.1% 3.0% 13.6% Consumer products Consumer product Ind Prod Trade & services Finance Ind Prod KLCI KLCI 21.8% 21.0% 0.4% 7.9% 11.8% -3.1% 1.8% 12.3% Trade & services KLCI Finance Property Consumer product KLCI Consumer product Plantation 17.0% 19.4% -1.1% 6.1% 8.8% -2.9% 1.5% 11.9% Property Trade & services Property Plantation KLCI Trade & services Ind Prod Trade & services 14.3% 18.8% -2.1% 1.1% 8.4% -3.4% 1.3% 11.5% Construction Ind Prod Plantation Plantation Trade & services Construction 12.4% 17.2% 6.9% -9.5% 1.0% 6.7% -13.5% *CAGR: Compound annual growth rate -2.5% 2Q2014 3 year average P/E 2010 Construction Construction YTD 5 yr CAGR* (2009 - 2013) 2009 Construction Construction Source: Bloomberg as of 17th October 2014 MERCURY SECURITIES SDN BHD (113193-W) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Disclaimer All information, views and advice are given in good faith but without legal responsibility. Mercury Securities Sdn. Bhd. (113193-W) or companies or individuals connected with it may have used research material before publication and may have positions in or may be materially interested in any stocks in the markets mentioned. Strictly for internal circulation only. For any enquiries, please contact us at: L-7-2, No.2, Jalan Solaris Solaris Mont Kiara 50480, Kuala Lumpur Tel: 603-6203 7227 or E-mail: [email protected] • PENANG • BUTTERWORTH • KUALA LUMPUR • MALACCA • JOHOR BAHRU
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