Cameron Brick Representative publications p. 2 Brick, C., & Lewis, G. J. (2014). Unearthing the “green” personality: Core traits predict environmentally friendly behavior. Environment and Behavior. p. 27 Binning, K. R., Brick, C., Cohen, G. L., & Sherman, D. K. (2015, forthcoming). Going along versus getting it right: The role of self-integrity in political conformity. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 56, 73-88. p. 43 Updegraff, J. A., Brick, C., Emanuel, A. S., Mintzer, R. E., & Sherman, D. K. (2014). Message framing for oral health: Moderation by perceived susceptibility and motivational orientation in a diverse sample of Americans. Health Psychology. Environment and Behavior http://eab.sagepub.com/ Unearthing the ''Green'' Personality: Core Traits Predict Environmentally Friendly Behavior Cameron Brick and Gary J. Lewis Environment and Behavior published online 15 October 2014 DOI: 10.1177/0013916514554695 The online version of this article can be found at: http://eab.sagepub.com/content/early/2014/10/14/0013916514554695 Published by: http://www.sagepublications.com On behalf of: Environmental Design Research Association Additional services and information for Environment and Behavior can be found at: Email Alerts: http://eab.sagepub.com/cgi/alerts Subscriptions: http://eab.sagepub.com/subscriptions Reprints: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsReprints.nav Permissions: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.nav Citations: http://eab.sagepub.com/content/early/2014/10/14/0013916514554695.refs.html >> OnlineFirst Version of Record - Oct 15, 2014 What is This? Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 554695 research-article2014 EABXXX10.1177/0013916514554695Environment and BehaviorBrick and Lewis Article Unearthing the “Green” Personality: Core Traits Predict Environmentally Friendly Behavior Environment and Behavior 1–24 © 2014 SAGE Publications Reprints and permissions: sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.nav DOI: 10.1177/0013916514554695 eab.sagepub.com Cameron Brick1 and Gary J. Lewis2 Abstract Pro-environmental attitudes and behaviors show substantial individual differences, and exploring their predictors can help reveal the origins of pro-environmental behavior. Basic personality traits may provide a partial explanation, but it is unclear which personality traits are reliably associated with pro-environmental behaviors. This article uses a specific type of environmental behavior, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, to clarify which personality correlates are most robustly associated with behavior, and to test mediation of those effects through attitudes. A large (N = 345) sample of United States adults representative in age, gender, and ethnicity completed the 100-item HEXACO personality inventory, a novel self-report measure of behaviors that reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and scales of environmental and political attitudes. Accounting for demographics, emissions-reducing behaviors were most strongly predicted by Openness, Conscientiousness, and Extraversion, and these effects of personality were mediated by attitudes toward the natural environment. These observations broaden the understanding of the etiology of environmental attitudes and behavior. 1University 2University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USA of York, York, UK Corresponding Author: Cameron Brick, Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA. Email: [email protected] Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 2 Environment and Behavior Keywords personality, carbon footprint, environmental behavior, environmental attitudes, climate change Individual behaviors that negatively affect the environment, including driving cars, energy use, and diet, account for major ecological damage and are a threat to human society (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC], 2013). Many psychological factors predict individual environmental behaviors, including attitudes, values, and norms (e.g., Kaiser, Wölfing, & Fuhrer, 1999; Stern, 2000). Despite the established relationship between personality and behavior across diverse domains (e.g., Paunonen, 2003), basic personality traits (e.g., the Big Five; John & Srivastava, 1999) have been infrequently used as predictors of individual environmental behaviors, and in particular, use of the HEXACO model (Lee & Ashton, 2004) is rare. Moreover, in addressing personality predictors of environmental behavior, none of the studies have focused on a critical component of environmentalism: individual actions that reduce greenhouse gas emissions (IPCC, 2013). This article advances our understanding of the personality bases of environmentalism by examining links between the widely used and psychometrically sound HEXACO personality framework and self-reported emissions-reducing behaviors, and tests whether environmental attitudes mediate the predicted effects. Personality: A Brief Overview Individuals differ on stable psychological features (Eysenck & Eysenck, 1985). These differences have been conceptualized at many levels, from broad temperaments of approach and avoidance motivation (Elliot & Thrash, 2002; Gray, 1981) to various taxonomies of personality traits. A vast literature on personality structure and assessment supports a descriptive theory of five broad and replicable personality traits, often labeled as follows: Openness, Conscientiousness, Extraversion, Agreeableness, and Neuroticism, and referred to as the “Big Five” (John & Srivastava, 1999). Openness reflects rich, abstract thinking and an appreciation for variety and unusual experiences. Conscientiousness is indicated by high levels of self-discipline, respect for duty, and desire for achievement. Extraversion is characterized by an energetic engagement with the world, sociability, and breadth of activities. Agreeableness is the tendency to value social harmony and getting along with others. Finally, Neuroticism is the tendency to experience negative emotions, such as anger, anxiety, and depression (McCrae & Costa, 1997). A six-factor Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 Brick and Lewis 3 model (HEXACO; Ashton & Lee, 2007; Ashton, Lee, & de Vries, 2014; Lee & Ashton, 2004) also demonstrates discriminant validity. The HEXACO model re-labels Neuroticism “Emotionality”—although Emotionality and Neuroticism are not interchangeable (Lee & Ashton, 2004)—and identifies a sixth core trait, Honesty-Humility, which taps sincerity, fairness, greed avoidance, and modesty. Honesty-Humility shares variance with Agreeableness and Conscientiousness as conceptualized in Big Five models, and its inclusion as a separate factor contributes useful and unique personality variance when predicting attitudes and behavior (Lee & Ashton, 2005; Lee, Ashton, Ogunfowora, Bourdage, & Shin, 2010). Honesty-Humility (but not Agreeableness) predicts active cooperation and Agreeableness (but not Honesty-Humility) predicts non-retaliation (Hilbig, Zettler, Leist, & Heydasch, 2013). Each of the six HEXACO traits has demonstrated predictive validity through associations with life outcomes and behaviors (e.g., Caspi, Roberts, & Shiner, 2005). Personality can also be measured within traits, by fractionating each trait into facets (e.g., DeYoung, Quilty, & Peterson, 2007). This level of analysis can reveal the underlying components responsible for the main effect of traits. Below, we review the literature on core personality and environmental behavior. Personality and Environmental Behavior Core personality traits, such as the Big Five and HEXACO dimensions, are promising candidates for individual differences predictors of environmental behavior because they are cross-culturally reliable (McCrae & Costa, 1997), have excellent internal validity, and may partially determine factors such as attitudes. Broad models of environmental behavior (Kaiser et al., 1999; Stern, 2000) situate basic personality earlier in the chain of causation than values, ideology, and attitudes. This causal hierarchy is supported by longitudinal evidence showing the enduring effects of early personality on outcomes later in life (e.g., Block & Block, 2006), and in particular by evidence that early temperament (e.g., in 3-year-olds) predicts later values, attitudes, and behaviors before values and attitudes could have existed for the individual (e.g., Caspi & Silva, 1995; Slutske, Moffitt, Poulton, & Caspi, 2012). This path structure is also consistent with common theorizing within the personality literature (e.g., McCrae & Costa, 1999). Therefore, empirical papers can seek to test path models between core personality, intermediate constructs of attitudes, values, and beliefs, and then behavior. Next we summarize findings on which personality traits predict environmental behavior. Each association is zero-order and p < .05 unless otherwise stated. Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 4 Environment and Behavior There is a strong argument for how Openness relates to environmentalism. Openness is characterized by flexible, abstract thinking, exactly what is necessary to imagine long-term and long-distance environmental consequences such as those associated with climate change. Openness also has a component of counterculture. Since the status quo is damaging the environment, becoming concerned about the environment means rejecting the is-ought fallacy that the way things are reflects the way they should be. This rejection requires intellect and alternative thinking. In line with this logic, Openness has shown the most robust links to environmentalism. In three studies and five samples (Hilbig, Zettler, Moshagen, & Heydasch, 2012; Hirsh & Dolderman, 2007; Markowitz, Goldberg, Ashton, & Lee, 2012), Openness showed moderate associations (rs = .23-.46) with environmental intentions, goals, or self-reported behavior. The first hypothesis is based on these findings. Hypothesis 1 (H1): Of the core personality traits, Openness will show the strongest unique prediction of emissions-reducing behavior. The other core personality traits have shown mixed results. One study reported a significant effect for Conscientiousness, r = .14 (predicting electricity conservation; Milfont & Sibley, 2012, Study 2). This report is atypical because it contains the only study in which Openness was non-significant as a predictor of behavior. Two studies reported small or inconsistent effects of Conscientiousness on environmental concern (Hirsh, 2010) and self-reported environmental behavior (Markowitz et al., 2012); another report contained one study with no effect on behavior and a second with a moderate relationship, r = .22 (Hilbig et al., 2012). Despite expectations that duty and selfdiscipline would relate to conservation behaviors, previous work has fallen short of delivering strong evidence for Conscientiousness. For Extraversion, two samples using structural equation modeling and accounting for the other traits showed that Extraversion predicted environmental behavior at r = .20 and in a second sample r = .31 (correlation coefficients between latent factors; Hilbig et al., 2012). In a study using multiple measures of Extraversion across two samples, Extraversion correlated with environmental behavior at the zero-order level at rs = .04-.19 (Markowitz et al., 2012; several correlations n.s.). In another study, there was no significant relationship between Extraversion and environmental goals, r = .09, n.s. (Hirsh & Dolderman, 2007). Overall, there is moderate evidence for a unique contribution for Extraversion. Agreeableness is also linked with environmental behavior. The personality framework in each study is noted below since Agreeableness in the Big Five and HEXACO are not equivalent. Big Five Agreeableness broadly taps Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 Brick and Lewis 5 motivation for social harmony, concern for others, and cooperation, but HEXACO Agreeableness does not contain elements of empathic concern or humility/modesty (the latter is tapped by HEXACO Honesty-Humility), and so the HEXACO arguably provides a more focal measure of pure Agreeableness than the Big Five. Within the HEXACO framework, HEXACO Agreeableness can be viewed as capturing common variance among characteristics including forgivingness, gentleness, flexibility, and patience, whereas HEXACO Honesty-Humility can be viewed as capturing common variance among characteristics including sincerity, fairness, greed avoidance, and modesty. One paper found a strong effect of Big Five Agreeableness on environmental goals, r = .31 (Hirsh & Dolderman, 2007), and another set of three studies using an abbreviated Big Five personality scale observed that Agreeableness modestly predicted electricity conservation, r = .15 (Milfont & Sibley, 2012, Study 2). Using the HEXACO, one paper reported r = .30 for Agreeableness (Hilbig et al., 2012, Study 1). However, that same paper reported a sample with no effect for HEXACO Agreeableness (Hilbig et al., 2012, Study 2), and another paper using both HEXACO and Big Five measures found no relationship with Agreeableness across two samples (Markowitz et al., 2012). This pattern of results may indicate that Big Five Agreeableness is more robustly associated with environmentalism, although this account does not fully explain the mixed results to date (e.g., Markowitz et al., 2012, report a null association for Big Five Agreeableness). The role of Honesty-Humility is unclear. In one report, it correlated with environmental behavior r = .41 and r = .42 in two samples and accounted for more variance than all of the other traits combined (Hilbig et al., 2012); however, in the only other study using the HEXACO, Honesty-Humility showed no relationship with environmental behavior (Markowitz et al., 2012). Potential explanations include that the German versus United States populations have meaningful differences; that the behavioral measures between the studies tapped different types of environmental behavior; and that because Hilbig et al. (2012) did not control for age or gender in their analyses, but Markowitz et al. (2012) did, it’s possible that the relationship between Honesty-Humility and environmental behavior is a cohort effect. Another report measured the Big Five and also added a Honesty-Humility trait, creating a mix of the two approaches, and found that Honesty-Humility, Agreeableness, and Openness each predicted environmental concern (Sibley et al., 2011). The second hypothesis is based on the existing results concerning Agreeableness and Honesty-Humility. Hypothesis 2 (H2): Agreeableness and Honesty-Humility are expected to uniquely predict environmental behavior accounting for the other personality traits. Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 6 Environment and Behavior More specifically, we expected Honesty-Humility to relate more strongly than Agreeableness to pro-environmental behavior because HonestyHumility reflects the lack of exploitation of others. In contrast, HEXACO Agreeableness most closely reflects the lack of retaliation (Hilbig et al., 2013). Next, we turn to individual differences beyond the Big Five and HEXACO frameworks, and their associations with environmental behavior. Values, Attitudes, and Environmental Behavior Environmental attitudes are a key individual difference that predict behavior. As mentioned above, broad models of environmental behavior place attitudes at an intermediate casual step later than personality and values and earlier than behavior (e.g., Kaiser et al., 1999; Stern, 2000). There is substantial empirical evidence for a mediating role of attitudes between personality and behavior (Conner & Abraham, 2001) and between values and behavior (Milfont, Duckitt, & Wagner, 2010). The second paper included samples from three countries, which boosts the external validity of this claim. The third hypothesis is based on this framework and evidence. Hypothesis 3 (H3): Environmental attitudes will mediate the relationships between personality traits and environmental behavior. Two validated self-report attitude scales show consistent associations with environmental behavior (e.g., Hirsh & Dolderman, 2007; Markowitz et al., 2012, Study 2). The New Ecological Paradigm (NEP; Dunlap, Van Liere, Mertig, & Jones, 2000) measures environmental values and concern, and the Connectedness to Nature Scale (CNS; Mayer & Frantz, 2004) measures emotional connectedness with the natural world, and the CNS is less reflective and cognitive than the NEP. In studies where both scales are included and their common effects partialled out, the more affective CNS appears to more strongly predict environmental behavior than the more reflective and cognitive NEP (Mayer & Frantz, 2004), which reinforces the importance of affective values in the etiology of environmental behavior. Many other environmental values measures appear in the literature, and the focus in the current article on these two scales is because previous work suggests they provide sufficient coverage to explain the relationship between personality and behavior. In Markowitz et al. (2012, Study 2), the relationship between Openness and environmental behavior was mediated by the NEP and CNS. In Hilbig et al. (2012), the relationship between Honesty-Humility and ecological behavior was partially mediated by a related attitudes scale. In addition, Agreeableness and Openness were the strongest trait predictors of environmental concern in a large sample of German adults (Hirsh, 2010). These Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 Brick and Lewis 7 results show that core personality partially drives environmental attitudes and beliefs. When investigations of environmental behavior include attitude and belief measures, these studies can help verify broad models that explore the proximate and distal causes of environmental behaviors. Besides personality traits and environmental attitudes, previous research on pro-environmental behavior has also examined the role of sociodemographic variables such as political orientation (e.g., Costa & Kahn, 2013; Gromet, Kunreuther, & Larrick, 2013). Political conservatism predicts lower concern for the natural environment, even after accounting for demographic variables related to political orientation such as age and gender (Allen, Castano, & Allen, 2007; Dunlap, Xiao, & McCright, 2001), and it also predicts less environmental behavior (e.g., Gromet et al., 2013). However, the unique predictive value of political orientation for behavior has not been demonstrated, because personality, political orientation, environmental attitudes, and behavior have not yet been modeled together. Personality and environmental attitudes may partially account for the effects of political orientation on environmental behavior. Next, we explore the limitations of the existing literature on individual actions that affect the natural environment. Environmental Behavior Pro-environmental behavior is multidimensional and perhaps too diverse to measure in a brief self-report scale (Balderjahn, 1988; Diekmann & Preisendörfer, 1998; Stern, 2000). Environmental behavior spans dissimilar actions such as using fabric softener during laundry (Hilbig et al., 2012) and working from home (Markowitz et al., 2012). Covering just private environmental actions is challenging with a brief measure (e.g., Kaiser et al., 1999), and therefore existing behavioral scales lack comprehensive content coverage, and may be more heterogeneous between papers than they first appear. The goal in the current study of introducing a novel behavioral scale was to specify a face-valid type of pro-environmental behavior that is of interest to public policy. Emissions-reduction is one of the most important aspects of individual environmentalism (IPCC, 2013). Emissions-reducing behaviors uniquely span diverse types of environmental actions (transportation, diet, energy use) while still belonging to a coherent category. The new scale therefore has the potential to increase construct coverage and validity. Current Study Previous work provided important insights into which personality traits might predict individual differences in emissions-related behaviors, but this Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 8 Environment and Behavior is the first study to directly test the question. A large, geographically diverse United States sample reported their personality with the 100-item HEXACO Personality Index-Revised, a psychometrically sound and well-established instrument (Lee & Ashton, 2004) that allows for facet-level analyses, and then completed a novel and meaningful measure of environmental actions: emissions-reducing behavior (see below). In addition to the three hypotheses, demographics will be used to test for cohort effects, facet-level results will be compared to previous research, and we report the first examination in this literature of two-way trait interactions. These results will clarify the predictive power of each trait for emissionsreducing behavior and inform the mixed literature on the role of Honesty-Humility. Material and Methods Participants and Procedure In all, 345 U.S. adults completed an online survey through Amazon MTurk. Student populations have narrow geographic and age range and poor external validity for many psychological inquiries (Henrich, Heine, & Norenzayan, 2010). MTurk samples can improve external validity through more representative population sampling, and many classic effects are reliable across MTurk samples (Berinsky, Huber, & Lenz, 2012; Mason & Suri, 2012). The current sample was diverse compared with most student samples: M (SD)Age = 36.7 (13.2) years; 53.3% female; 80.0% White, 5.8% Black, 6.7% Asian, 5.2% Latino, and 2.3% Other; modal education = bachelor’s degree (36.8%); and modal household income = $25,001-$60,000 (42.0%). Improving on previous studies that relied on a single region, Internet Protocol addresses revealed the sample spanned 47 U.S. states and no one participated from a non-U.S. location (MaxMind, 2013). Fifty-five additional participants did not complete the outcome measure and were excluded. This drop-out rate is typical for surveys with modest payment. To ensure a large sample, we aimed for a sample size of 300+ after exclusions, and finalized data collection before hypothesis testing. Measures Personality. Participants first completed the 100-question HEXACO-PI-R (Lee & Ashton, 2004), which assesses personality across six core traits and yields 24 sub-trait facets (see Tables 1 and 2 for reliability). Example item (Conscientiousness): “When working, I often set ambitious goals for myself,” Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 9 Brick and Lewis Table 1. Means, Standard Deviations, Reliability, and Zero-Order Correlations Between HEXACO Traits, Political Conservatism, Environmental Attitudes, and Emissions-Reducing Behavior. r(345) H Em eX A C O Pol NEP CNS EB M (SD) 3.42 (0.72) .89 3.20 (0.58) .80 .11 3.16 (0.67) .88 .04 –.15* 3.04 (0.67) .88 .29* –.07 .32* 3.64 (0.55) .84 .31* .00 .32* .13 3.58 (0.68) .87 .11 .00 .09 .05 .13 3.04 (1.85) n/a –.08 –.12 .09 –.02 .10 –.14 3.61 (0.74) .90 .28* .26* –.05 .06 .13 .24* –.43* 3.54 (0.74) .90 .28* .17* .11 .23* .17* .47* –.22* .57* 2.85 (0.51) .73 .22* .07 .22* .14* .25* .28* –.08 .36* .47* Cronbach’s H Em eX A C O Pol NEP CNS Note. Alpha = .01 to provide a more stringent threshold in light of multiple comparisons. H = HonestyHumility; Em = Emotionality; eX = Extraversion; A = Agreeableness; C = Conscientiousness; O = Openness; Pol = political conservatism; NEP = New Ecological Paradigm; CNS = Connectedness to Nature Scale; EB = emissions-reducing behavior. *p .01. rated 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree). Reducing concern about content overlap between personality and behavior, none of the items mention conservation or environmentalism, and only one refers to nature (“Sometimes I like to just watch the wind as it blows through the trees” [Openness–Aesthetic Appreciation]). As noted above, the HEXACO trait items differ from the Big Five scales, but the constructs overlap considerably and recent work suggests similar trait relationships with environmental behavior (Markowitz et al., 2012), with the possible exception of Agreeableness (see above). Attention check. Twenty-two participants (6.4%) failed a standard attention check consisting of a question ostensibly about what activities the participant enjoys. At the end of a long instruction block, participants were asked to ignore the question, select “Other,” and write a specified word to demonstrate they were paying attention (Oppenheimer, Meyvis, & Davidenko, 2009, Study 1). Carelessness in questionnaire response (defined as 5 consecutive repeated values) was uncorrelated with failing the attention check, r(346) = .02, p = .78, and there was no difference on visual inspection in the length or quality of written responses between individuals passing or failing the attention check. Finally, the main results did not substantively change when those who failed were excluded. The attention check appeared not to yield useful discrimination, so all participants were retained. Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 10 Environment and Behavior Table 2. Means, Standard Deviations, and Zero-Order Correlations of HEXACO Facets With Political Conservatism, Environmental Attitudes, and EmissionsReducing Behavior (N = 345). M (SD) H: Sincerity H: Fairness H: Greed avoidance H: Modesty Em: Fearfulness Em: Anxiety Em: Dependence Em: Sentimentality eX: Social self-esteem eX: Social boldness eX: Sociability eX: Liveliness A: Forgiveness A: Gentleness A: Flexibility A: Patience C: Organization C: Diligence C: Perfectionism C: Prudence O: Aesthetic appreciation O: Inquisitiveness O: Creativity O: Unconventionality Cronbach’s Pol NEP CNS EB .19* .19* .12 .15* .27* .26* .33* .28* .16* –.01 .21* .05 .12 .12 .23* .31* .02 .07 –.04 .11 –.07 .11 –.06 .05 –.03 .13 .12 .25* .10 .25* .02 .10 .07 .11 .14* .19* .14* .18* .03 .01 .30* .51* .17* .21* .16* .11 .00 –.02 .08 .14 .11 .18* .24* .14 .08 .14 .14 .08 .16* .18* .25* .17* .33* 3.29 (0.90) 3.48 (1.01) 3.20 (0.97) 3.69 (0.79) 3.12 (0.82) 3.45 (0.85) 2.87 (0.81) 3.37 (0.81) 3.72 (0.76) 2.82 (0.89) 2.85 (0.92) 3.25 (0.89) 2.67 (0.86) 3.26 (0.84) 2.95 (0.78) 3.29 (0.91) 3.52 (0.90) 3.83 (0.74) 3.63 (0.65) 3.57 (0.73) 3.55 (0.88) .79 .85 .80 .75 .65 .71 .71 .69 .71 .76 .81 .81 .80 .78 .66 .79 .78 .78 .58 .70 .69 –.06 .02 –.08 –.17* –.10 –.11 –.07 –.06 .06 .05 .09 .07 .02 –.04 –.02 –.01 .10 –.01 .09 .09 –.11 3.65 (0.84) 3.59 (0.91) 3.54 (0.76) .70 .77 .63 –.07 –.10 –.15* .14* .17* .16* .32* .36* .29* .20* .25* .10 Note. Alpha = .01 to provide a more stringent threshold in light of multiple comparisons. Pol = political conservatism; NEP = New Ecological Paradigm; CNS = Connectedness to Nature Scale; EB = emissions-reducing behavior. *p .01. Environmental attitudes and values. Next, participants reported their attitudes and values regarding the environment with two scales. The 15-item NEP (Dunlap et al., 2000) is a widely used attitudes measure, with items such as “Humans are severely abusing the environment” and “The earth has plenty of natural resources if we just learn how to develop them” (reversed), 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree), Cronbach’s alpha = .90. The 14-item CNS (Mayer & Frantz, 2004) taps affective as well as cognitive content with items Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 Brick and Lewis 11 such as “I often feel a kinship with animals and plants” and “I have a deep understanding of how my actions affect the natural world,” rated 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree), Cronbach’s alpha = .90. Environmental behaviors: Reducing emissions. Fifteen behaviors were adapted from reports of how individual behaviors impact climate change (Carbon Footprint, 2012; IPCC, 2013) and from pilot studies, and items measuring personal frequency of those behaviors were combined into a scale (see also Brick, Kim, & Sherman, in press). Behaviors were included when they were repeated and accessible to a wide variety of demographics, for example, “How often do you walk, bicycle, carpool, or take public transportation instead of driving a vehicle by yourself?” and “How often do you eat meat?” (reversed), rated 1 (never) to 5 (always); see Appendix. Actions like buying a high-efficiency furnace or insulating the home were excluded, because although these have a significant impact on emissions, they are only applicable to homeowners and are infrequent, limiting their utility for tapping ongoing psychological processes in a diverse population. The previous literature demonstrates it can be difficult to identify individual differences measures of personality that stably relate to behavior. This novel behavioral measure targets repeated actions and each data point represents an average across many individual decisions, features which help to reveal trait effects (Fleeson, 2004). Behavior frequency ratings ranged from 2.15 to 3.93 with skew |x| < 1.2, although kurtosis ranged from 1.83 to 3.70. Principal components analysis with oblimin rotation yielded a single coherent factor explaining 24.1% of the variance, and Cronbach’s alpha was .76. Participants also reported the frequency of performing five non-emissions environmental behaviors as a pilot for future studies (see Brick, Kim, & Sherman, in press), and they are not discussed here further. Uncertainty. Two exploratory questions regarding participants’ feelings of uncertainty did not show significant relationships with any key variables and are not discussed further. Political orientation. Political orientation was measured as in the American National Election Studies (Center for Political Studies, 2013), and yielded a continuous rating from 1 (strong Democrat) to 7 (strong Republican). Demographics, suspicion, and fluency check. Participants reported their age, gender, education, household income, and ethnicity; guessed at the goal of the research; reported any technical problems or comments; and wrote 1 to 2 open-response sentences to demonstrate fluency in English. All measures and Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 12 Environment and Behavior conditions are reported above and no unreported studies or samples were excluded. Results Alpha was set at .01 for all tests to provide a more stringent threshold in light of multiple comparisons. Trait Correlations All analyses below have 345 participants. Descriptive statistics and zeroorder trait correlations are presented for the NEP, CNS, and emissions behavior to allow the full model to be reconstructed (see Table 1). All the HEXACO traits except Emotionality (r = .07, p = .22) were positively correlated at the zero-order level with emissions-reducing behavior, rs .17, ps .01. Supporting H1, this association was most strongly observed for Openness, r = .28, p < .001 (this value was not statistically tested against the other zeroorder correlations). Facet Correlations The average correlation between facets within personality traits was r = .35 (range = .14-.52), showing that the facets within each trait were overlapping but distinct. Next, we report the zero-order facet correlations with the NEP, CNS, and emissions behavior (see Table 2). At least one facet from each trait was significantly correlated with behavior. The one previous study with HEXACO facets reported significant zero-order Openness, Extraversion, and Conscientiousness facet correlations with emissions-reducing behavior (Markowitz et al., 2012), and the facet effects reported there partially overlap with those observed here. The facet most associated with environmental behavior was Openness–Aesthetic Appreciation in both studies, Markowitz et al. (2012): r = .42, the current study: r = .33, ps < .001. Aesthetic Appreciation in the HEXACO Personality Inventory-Revised reflects the enjoyment of beauty in music, poetry, art galleries, and wind in the trees. Regression A hierarchical linear regression explored which personality traits robustly predicted emissions-reducing behavior (see Table 3). In Step 1, the six HEXACO traits were entered, and Honesty-Humility, Extraversion, Conscientiousness, and Openness were the strongest predictors of behavior Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 13 Brick and Lewis Table 3. Hierarchical Linear Regression Predicting Emissions-Reducing Behavior (N = 345). Step 1 Predictor Step 2 Standardized Honesty-Humility Emotionality eXtraversion Agreeableness Conscientiousness Openness Age Female Education Income Political conservatism Openness × Conscientiousness Openness × eXtraversion Conscientiousness × eXtraversion .13 (.06) .08 (.05) .16* (.06) .03 (.05) .13 (.06) .23* (.05) Step 3 (SE) .08 (.06) .06 (.06) .13 (.06) .05 (.06) .13 (.06) .23* (.05) .08 (.06) .04 (.06) .00 (.05) .07 (.05) –.06 (.05) .08 (.06) .06 (.06) .14 (.06) .05 (.06) .13 (.06) .24* (.05) .08 (.06) .04 (.06) .00 (.05) .07 (.05) –.06 (.05) –.02 (.06) .01 (.05) .00 (.05) Note. Alpha = .01 to provide a more stringent threshold in light of multiple comparisons. *p .01. (βs = .13-.23, ts 2.3, ps .02). Contrary to H2, neither Agreeableness nor Honesty-Humility uniquely predicted behavior. The significant results are vulnerable to cohort effects, so in Step 2, age, gender, income, education, and political conservatism were entered as demographic covariates. These covariates help isolate the effects of personality, and none were significant unique predictors of behavior when accounting for core traits. Although political conservatism showed a correlational trend at the zero-order level with fewer emissions-reducing behaviors, r = –.10, p = .08, in Step 2 political conservatism did not predict behavior, p = .21. However, these covariates did reduce the effect of Honesty-Humility to non-significance, β = .08, t = 1.29, p = .20. Further supporting H1, Openness still uniquely predicted emissions-reducing behavior (β = .23, t = 4.50, p < .001), and Conscientiousness (β = .13, t = 2.39, p = .02) and Extraversion (β = .13, t = 2.34, p = .02) trended toward significance at alpha = .01. In Step 3, mean-centered traits were combined to form interaction terms for Openness × Conscientiousness, Openness × Extraversion, and Conscientiousness × Extraversion. None of the interactions was significant, ps .66, nor did their inclusion alter the previous results. Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 14 Environment and Behavior Mediation In a confirmatory analysis, the NEP and CNS were entered as potential mediators of the relationship between Openness and emissions-reducing behavior, using nonparametric bootstrapping (Preacher & Hayes, 2008) because it offers several advantages including no distributional assumptions. All mediation effects are reported with unstandardized coefficients and the point and interval estimates are interpreted directly avoiding the terms full and partial as recommended by Hayes (2013). This analysis included the covariates of age (B = .01, t = 2.66, p < .01), female gender (B = –.01, t = 0.27, p = .79), ethnicity (White vs. Non-White; B = –.08, t = −1.29, p = .20), political orientation (B = .02, t = 1.48, p = .14), education (B = .02, t = 1.11, p = .27), and income (B = .03, t = 1.34, p = .18). A total of 10,000 bootstrapped samples (N = 345) indicated that the effects of Openness on the NEP (B = .21, t = 4.09, p < .001) and the CNS (B = .48, t = 9.45, p < .001) were both significant. The effects of the mediators on behavior were also significant, NEP (B = .13, t = 2.80, p < .01) and CNS (B = .26, t = 5.58, p < .001). As hypothesized, the NEP and CNS mediated the effect of Openness on behavior: the indirect effect of Openness on behavior was significant (B = .15, 95% CI = [.10, .21]), but the direct effect accounting for the mediators was not (B = .06, t = 1.44, p = .15, 95% CI = [–.02, .15]; overall model R2 = .28). Participants who were high in Openness held positive environmental attitudes and performed more behaviors to reduce emissions, and this effect was mediated by environmental attitudes, supporting H3 (see Figure 1). In an exploratory analysis, we tested a second mediation model using Conscientiousness for the predictor, again including the covariates of age (B = .00, t = 2.34, p = .02), female gender (B = –.03, t = .50, p = .62), ethnicity (White vs. Non-White; B = –.09, t = −1.44, p = .15), political orientation (B = .01, t = .93, p = .35), education (B = .02, t = 1.12, p = .26), and income (B = .03, t = 1.14, p = .25). A total of 10,000 bootstrapped samples (N = 345) indicated that the effects of Conscientiousness on the NEP (B = .19, t = 2.93, p < .01) and the CNS (B = .22, t = 3.15, p < .01) were both significant. The effects of the mediators on behavior were also significant, NEP (B = .12, t = 2.52, p = .01) and CNS (B = .28, t = 6.51, p < .001). The NEP and CNS mediated the effect of Conscientiousness on behavior: the indirect effect of Conscientiousness on behavior was significant (B = .08, 95% CI = [.03, .14]), and the direct effect accounting for the mediators was still significant (B = .15, t = 3.11, p < .01, 95% CI = [.05, .24]; overall model R2 = .29). Participants who were high in Conscientiousness also held positive environmental attitudes and performed more behaviors to reduce emissions, and this effect was mediated by environmental attitudes, supporting H3 (see Figure 2). To follow-up on the marginal effect of Extraversion, an exploratory mediation was Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 15 Brick and Lewis NEP .13 [.04-.22] .21 [.11-.32] indirect = .15 [.10-.22] Openness direct = .06, n.s. [-.02-.15] .48 [.38-.58] Emissionsreducing behavior .26 [.17-.35] CNS Figure 1. Bootstrapping mediation of Openness on emissions-reducing behavior through environmental attitudes, controlling for age, gender, political orientation, education, and income, shown with unstandardized path coefficients and 95% confidence intervals in brackets (N = 345, R2 = .28). Note. NEP = New Ecological Paradigm, CNS = Connectedness to Nature Scale. All paths p < .01 except for the direct effect of Openness on behavior accounting for the mediators (p = .15). also run for Extraversion. It revealed a direct effect on behavior, B = .13, p < .001, and a weak indirect path through the NEP and CNS, B = .04, entirely accounted for by the CNS, reflecting that about a third of the marginal total effect of Extraversion on behavior was mediated by the CNS. Please contact the first author with requests for data. Discussion We examined the role of personality in a critical type of environmentalism: emissions-reducing behavior. Openness and Conscientiousness independently predicted these behaviors, and their effects were mediated by proenvironmental attitudes. The finding for Openness is consistent with previous reports. However, only one paper reported a unique effect for Conscientiousness on environmental behaviors (Milfont & Sibley, 2012), and notably it included three large samples with diverse participants. The lack of other Conscientiousness findings may reflect the unique properties of emissionsreducing behaviors among other environmental actions, but may also be due to other samples having been geographically limited with potential restrictions in range on the independent and/or dependent variables. In the current Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 16 Environment and Behavior NEP .12 [.03-.21] .19 [.06-.32] indirect = .08 [.03-.14] Conscientiousness direct = .15 [.05-.24] .22 [.08-.35] Emissionsreducing behavior .28 [.19-.36] CNS Figure 2. Bootstrapping mediation of Conscientiousness on emissions-reducing behavior through environmental attitudes, controlling for age, gender, political orientation, education, and income, shown with unstandardized path coefficients and 95% confidence intervals in brackets (N = 345, R2 = .31). Note. NEP = New Ecological Paradigm, CNS = Connectedness to Nature Scale. All paths p < .01. study, zero-order correlations were observed of Emotionality, Agreeableness, and Honesty-Humility with emissions-reducing behavior, and in line with previous work distinguishing active cooperation from non-retaliation, the correlation of Honesty-Humility with behavior appeared larger than that for Agreeableness. However, these effects dropped out when controlling for the other HEXACO traits and key demographics. Consistent with Markowitz et al. (2012), after controlling for age and gender, Honesty-Humility did not uniquely predict pro-environmental behavior. Because these results call into question previous reports of Honesty-Humility’s unique role (i.e., Hilbig et al., 2012), we requested and were graciously provided access to both studies’ data from Hilbig et al. (2012; data from personal communication, May 13th, 2014). Using linear regression, Honesty-Humility still uniquely predicted environmental behavior when including age and gender as covariates, indicating that these mixed results for Honesty-Humility were not likely due to confounding age effects in those samples. Future research can explore other possibilities for the remaining discrepancy, including the different sample populations and environmental behavior scales. These results support H1, that Openness is a key predictor of emissions-reducing behavior, and provide evidence against H2, that Agreeableness or Honesty-Humility substantially predict such behaviors. Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 Brick and Lewis 17 The current model revealed that interactions between Extraversion, Conscientiousness, and Openness did not improve predictions of emissionsreducing behavior. Each of the effects was non-significant, but not all possible interactions were tested. Further studies may choose to include trait interactions. Next, exploratory analyses were performed at the facet level, and the findings largely mirrored the factor-level zero-order correlation results, with facets from each domain correlating significantly with emissions-reducing behavior. There was no suggestion of facet-level suppression on trait-level effects. Brief personality scales that only measure broad factors appear sufficient for most future work on core personality traits in this area. The facet associations can also help interpret the main results. The strongest facet predictor of emissions-reducing behaviors was Openness–Aesthetic Appreciation. In contrast, Openness–Unconventionality was uncorrelated with emissions-reducing behavior. This suggests that emissions-reducing behavior was not driven by low rebelliousness or contrariness, as might be predicted under a model where environmentalism were partly an outlet for unconventional self-expression, and where such behavior would not reflect concerns with environmental issues beyond the need for a rebellious identity. Instead, the facet results revealed that pro-environmental behavior was predicted by appreciation and connection to the aesthetics and the natural environment. This finding, seen here and in Markowitz et al. (2012), reveals new research questions. We encourage researchers to use more detailed measures of aesthetic appreciation to further evaluate its relationship with environmental behavior and possibly identify differences between types of aesthetic targets (e.g., music; paintings). Mean shifts in personality traits are observed across the lifetime (Roberts, Walton, & Viechtbauer, 2006), so perhaps training in aesthetic appreciation such as the study of visual arts, even when thematically unrelated to nature, could increase pro-environmental behavior. All of the Conscientiousness facets including Organization, Diligence, Perfectionism, and Prudence were significant predictors of emissionsreducing behavior, unlike in Markowitz et al. (2012). A few explanations are possible. A recent report shows Conscientiousness ratings for every U.S. state, and it varies considerably (Rentfrow et al., 2013). The standardized scores in that report make it difficult to see if Oregon specifically has lower than average variance in Conscientiousness. Because the Markowitz et al. sample was entirely from the state of Oregon, that could have obscured variation in Conscientiousness facets through restricted range. However, Markowitz et al. kindly provided us with HEXACO means and standard deviations for their sample, and the values for Conscientiousness are closely overlapping with the current study (Markowitz et al., 2012, data from personal communication, April 24th, 2014). Therefore, restricted range is not the Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 18 Environment and Behavior explanation. Another possibility is that emissions-reducing behaviors are particularly self-sacrificing and characterized by less consumption, which contrasts with environmental behaviors that could be fun, for example attending “environmental rallies” (Markowitz et al., 2012, p. 99). These discrepancies reinforce the argument that covering even just private environmental actions is too ambitious for a brief measure, and suggest that previous behavioral scales may have lacked content coverage and are more varied between studies than they appear. The new scale presented here was not designed to integrate all of the previous findings, but rather to provide novel insight into emissions-reducing behaviors. A limitation of the current design is that measuring environmental attitudes before behavior could potentially have caused social desirability effects. This could compromise the direct interpretability of the means of reported behavior. However, universal increases of reported behavior would not have changed the trait findings. The effect of Openness on emissions-reducing behavior was mediated by attitudes to the point where the direct effect became non-significant (this does not preclude the existence of additional, independent mediators). The relationship between the CNS, NEP, and environmental behavior was previously known. Incorporating the mediation results of Markowitz et al. (2012) and the current study suggest a new addition: these attitude scales meaningfully overlap with the personality construct Openness and its components, especially Aesthetic Appreciation. The effect of Conscientiousness was also mediated, but the direct effect remained significant, indicating that additional mediating variables are required to fully explain the effects of Conscientiousness on environmental behavior. Behaviors have such varied and complex causes that any effects of personality will likely be mediated and moderated by intervening individual differences (e.g., values, attitudes) and context (e.g., the presence of observers). The lesser mediation of Conscientiousness by the NEP and CNS suggests these scales may not capture the full diversity of pro-environmental attitudes. A close examination reveals language that suggests classic, liberal environmentalism (e.g., “Like a tree can be part of a forest, I feel embedded within the broader natural world,” CNS), and when they mention consequences they focus on harm and fairness, the hallmarks of liberal morality (Haidt, 2007; for example, “Plants and animals have as much right as humans to exist,” NEP). These scales focus less on the moral foundations associated with conservatism, such as purity, which includes concerns about physical and spiritual contamination. We therefore call for new scales of environmental attitudes that allow for different ways of relating to the environment. For example, a speculative scale item that may better represent how conservatives relate to pro-environmental attitudes could be “When we pollute the Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 Brick and Lewis 19 earth, we pollute ourselves,” and a potential item that might better mediate Conscientiousness could read, “It is our duty to protect and conserve wildlife.” New scales could better mediate the effects of conservatism and high Conscientiousness on environmental behaviors. Recent studies have shown that congruency between environmental appeals and political values can increase pro-environmental behavior (Feinberg & Willer, 2012; Gromet et al., 2013; Kidwell, Farmer, & Hardesty, 2013). The current results showed no unique contribution of political orientation for emissions-reducing behavior. Therefore, messages targeting personality differences could be more effective than those based on political orientation. It is possible that targeting high Openness and targeting Democrats could be aiming at the same people, but the modest correlation between Openness and political conservatism in this sample (r = –.14, p = .01) suggests they comprise distinct groups. The behaviors in the emissionsreducing scale do not appear to signal environmental identity as strongly as attending environmental rallies, using pro-environmental stickers, or driving a hybrid-electric car, all of which appear in previous work. This weaker link between emissions-reducing behaviors and identity could explain the modest effect of political conservatism above. It would be unwise to generalize from these results to all cultures. Although the structure of five or six personality traits appears universal and crossculturally reliable (McCrae & Costa, 1997), the effects of personality on behavior may be expressed differently based on cultural and social context. In an individualistic culture like the United States (Markus & Kitayama, 1991), higher Conscientiousness might predict certain kinds of environmental behavior, but in a collectivistic culture such as Japan, higher Conscientiousness could promote greater sensitivity to interpersonal harmony, and only predict environmental behavior when social norms reflect positive attitudes for such behavior. Thus, the effect of personality on environmental behavior could be moderated by social context. Different types of environmental behavior may even be predicted by different personality traits across populations, which could explain the mixed results for Conscientiousness between the current study and Markowitz et al. (2012). These observations open new avenues for research, and also create difficulty in interpreting results from geographically limited populations. A strength of the current study is the geographically diverse sample spanning 47 U.S. states. Future studies are encouraged to use diverse samples and explore cultural effects through cross-cultural comparisons. In summary, core personality traits predicted emissions-reducing behavior, in particular Openness and Conscientiousness, and these links were mediated by environmental attitudes. Political orientation had no unique Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 20 Environment and Behavior contribution to predicting behavior, which suggests previous work focused on political orientation may have overlooked the relative importance of personality and environmental attitudes. Stable individual differences and social influence processes are both important for understanding and changing behaviors that affect the natural environment (see Fleeson, 2004), and core personality is a robust, reliable individual difference associated with environmental behavior. Appendix Emissions-reducing behaviors (Cronbach’s α = .78), rated from 1 (never) to 5 (always). 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. When you visit the grocery store, how often do you use reusable bags? How often do you walk, bicycle, carpool, or take public transportation instead of driving a vehicle by yourself? How often do you drive slower than 60 mph on the highway? How often do you go on personal (non-business) air travel? [reversed] How often do you compost your household food garbage? How often do you eat meat? [reversed] How often do you eat dairy products such as milk, cheese, eggs, or yogurt? [reversed] How often do you eat organic food? How often do you eat local food (produced within 100 miles)? How often do you eat from a home vegetable garden (during the growing season)? How often do you turn your personal electronics off or in low-power mode when not in use? When you buy light bulbs, how often do you buy high-efficiency compact fluorescent (CFL) or LED bulbs? How often do you act to conserve water, when showering, cleaning clothes, dishes, watering plants, or other uses? When you are in PUBLIC, how often do you sort trash into the recycling? When you are in PRIVATE, how often do you sort trash into the recycling? Acknowledgment We thank David Sherman and his research group, and the reviewers and editor, for helpful comments. Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 Brick and Lewis 21 Declaration of Conflicting Interests The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. 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Psychological Bulletin, 132, 1-25. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.132.1.1 Sibley, C. G., Luyten, N., Purnomo, M., Mobberley, A., Wootton, L. W., Hammond, M. D., . . .Robertson, A. (2011). The Mini-IPIP6: Validation and extension of a short measure of the Big-Six factors of personality in New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Psychology, 40, 142-159. Slutske, W. S., Moffitt, T. E., Poulton, R., & Caspi, A. (2012). Undercontrolled temperament at age 3 predicts disordered gambling at age 32: A longitudinal study of a complete birth cohort. Psychological Science, 23, 510-516. doi:10.1177/0956797611429708 Stern, P. C. (2000). New environmental theories: Toward a coherent theory of environmentally significant behavior. Journal of Social Issues, 56, 407-424. doi:10.1111/0022-4537.00175 Author Biographies Cameron Brick is a PhD candidate in Psychological and Brain Sciences at the University of California, Santa Barbara, USA. He studies how individuals think about and react to environmental problems such as climate change. Gary J. Lewis, PhD, is a Lecturer in Psychology at the University of York, York, UK. His research broadly addresses issues concerning the biological and environmental etiologies of social attitudes and personality. Downloaded from eab.sagepub.com at UNIV CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA on October 16, 2014 Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Experimental Social Psychology journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jesp Going along versus getting it right: The role of self-integrity in political conformity Kevin R. Binning a,⁎, Cameron Brick b, Geoffrey L. Cohen c, David K. Sherman b a b c University of Pittsburgh, USA University of California, Santa Barbara, USA Stanford University, USA H I G H L I G H T S • • • • Participants who affirmed their self-integrity were not swayed by political norms. Participants who affirmed their self-integrity were swayed by evidentiary data. The effects persisted over time and transferred to novel political stimuli. The effects were moderated by participants' identification with America. a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 11 February 2014 Revised 23 July 2014 Available online 06 September 2014 Keywords: Social influence National identity Conformity Presidential approval Opinion polling a b s t r a c t People often conform to the opinions of ingroup members, even when available evidence suggests that the group is misinformed. Following insights from the social identity approach and self-affirmation theory, it was hypothesized that people conform to salient opinions in an effort to maintain global self-integrity. In a series of experiments examining Americans' approval of President Obama and his policies, approval was consistently swayed by normative information (national polling data) but not by evidentiary information (indicators of national economic health), except under theory-predicted conditions. When participants had satisfied their sense of self-integrity with a self-affirmation exercise (Democrats in Study 1, Republicans in Study 2), or when they had low levels of American identification and thus were less concerned with national norms (Democrats and Republicans in Study 3), they showed the opposite pattern and were swayed by evidence in spite of contradicting normative information. The extent to which people are influenced by norms versus evidence in political judgment is shaped by social identity, one aspect of self-integrity. The results highlight a social psychological means to attenuate and potentially reverse conformity in the face of contradicting evidence, a finding with both practical and theoretical implications. © 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. We are no longer led by men. We are led around by the polls. [Edward Bernays (1945)] Opinion polls reflect public opinion and, through processes of social influence, can also shape it. The observation that polls can “wag the dog” and causally affect opinion was made by Edward Bernays (1891–1995), a pioneer in the field of public relations and the science of political spin (Tye, 1998; see also Ceci & Kain, 1982; Marsh, 1985; Simon, 1954). ⁎ Corresponding author at: Department of Psychology, University of Pittsburgh, 3103 Sennott Square, Pittsburgh, PA 15260, USA. Fax: +1 412 624 9149. E-mail address: [email protected] (K.R. Binning). http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp.2014.08.008 0022-1031/© 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Social psychological research has found that descriptive norms – that is, norms that describe how typical group members think, feel, or behave (Grube, Morgan, & McGree, 1986; Terry & Hogg, 1996) – can powerfully affect individual behavior (e.g., Schultz, Nolan, Cialdini, Goldstein, & Griskevicius, 2007), particularly when norms are regarded as neutral and authoritative (Petty & Cacioppo, 1986), as polls often are (Bernays, 1945). People's susceptibility to normative social influence has implications for democratic decision-making and speaks to longstanding concerns about psychology of conformity and independence in judgment (see Asch, 1951; Cohen, 2003; Kahan, Jenkins‐Smith, & Braman, 2011; Sherif, 1936). People who make evidence-based decisions that diverge from the group can play an essential role in preventing destructive group processes such as groupthink (Janis, 1982) and can halt social inertia toward what John Adams called “the tyranny of the majority” (Adams, 1794, p. 261). This paper explores 74 K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 conditions that foster independence in political judgment and resistance from the sway of normative information. We offer a self-integrity approach (Steele, 1988; see also Sherman & Cohen, 2006) to understand when people are likely to conform to salient ingroup norms (normative information, such as opinion polls about the state of the economy), and when they are likely to engage in independent judgment based on probative indicators of fact (evidentiary information, such as concrete economic indicators like unemployment or housing sales). The division between normative and evidentiary information has roots in theory suggesting that people process these two types of information in qualitatively different ways (see Deustch & Gerard, 1955), and that, depending on how people construe the psychological environment, either type of information may carry judgment (e.g., Campbell & Fairey, 1989; Chen, Shechter, & Chaiken, 1996). We argue that normative and evidentiary information are likely to produce different effects on judgment because each type of information serves unique psychological functions (e.g., Katz, 1960; Snyder & DeBono, 1985). People may use normative information for collective-level goals (to get along, to fit in), whereas they may use evidentiary information in pursuit of individual-level goals (accuracy or neutrality in judgment). Our central thesis is that people's concerns with their self-integrity in the social context will determine the type of information that they use. Integrating insights from the social identity approach (Tajfel & Turner, 1986; Terry & Hogg, 1996; Turner & Reynolds, 2011) and self-affirmation theory (Cohen & Sherman, 2014; Sherman & Cohen, 2006; Steele, 1988), we explain when and why people are likely to follow the crowd at the expense of evidence-based decision-making. We suggest that knowledge of the role of self-integrity in information processing highlights a means to halt conformity and foster independent evaluations based on salient evidentiary data. Normative information and collective identity People's perceptions of descriptive group norms are powerful predictors of a range of diverse outcomes, such as exercise behavior (Terry & Hogg, 1996), environmental conservation (Schultz et al., 2007), judgments of prejudice (Binning & Sherman, 2011), and likelihood of voting (Coleman, 2007). Such conformity is pervasive, in part, because conformity can be socially and evolutionarily adaptive (Coultas, 2004). Normative information helps specify how to behave in ambiguous situations, informing people about what is seen as the right way to act for “people like us” (e.g., Abrams, Wetherell, Cochrane, Hogg, & Turner, 1994; Binning, 2007; Hogg & Reid, 2006). Group norms provide information about how to maintain acceptance in the group and, by extension, how to avoid becoming a “black sheep” (Marques, Yzerbyt, & Leyens, 1988). People are especially likely to conform to groups they find attractive (Jackson & Saltzstein, 1958) and to groups that have a high level of cohesion or interdependence (Deustch & Gerard, 1955). Notably, people are generally unaware of the powerful impact of normative information on their own attitudes and behavior (Cialdini & Goldstein, 2004; Cohen, 2003; Latanè & Darley, 1970; Nolan, Schultz, Cialdini, Goldstein, & Griskevicius, 2008; Ross & Ward, 1996). Social identity theory (Tajfel & Turner, 1979) and the related selfcategorization theory (Turner, Hogg, Oakes, Reicher, & Wetherell, 1987; Turner & Reynolds, 2011) help explain how group norms get their power. A core assumption of the social identity approach is that the self-concept is constructed along an individual–social continuum (Tajfel & Turner, 1986), such that people pursue individual goals and behaviors (e.g., accuracy and individual performance) when selfcategorized at the individual level, but they pursue group goals and behaviors (e.g., to maintain a positive social identity) when selfcategorized on the social level. Definitions of the self shift fluidly along this continuum, as people define themselves as an individual in one context and as a member of a social group in the next, depending on what aspect of identity is salient in that context (Tajfel & Turner, 1986; Turner & Reynolds, 2011). Another core assumption of the social identity approach is that regardless of which aspect of the self-concept is salient, people have a basic motivation to maintain a positive self-concept. When collective identity is made salient, people may be compelled to go along with group norms in order to be a good group member and maintain their positive standing. When individual identity is made salient, people may instead ignore group normative information and strive to maintain a positive individual identity. In a study on group norms for physical exercise behavior, for example, people's own exercise behavior varied in line with group norms, but only among individuals who strongly identified with the group (Terry & Hogg, 1996). People with low identification, by contrast, were not affected by group norms but rather by perceptions of behavioral control, an individual-level factor. The information people attended to was determined by the immediate relevance of each type of information to the self-concept. When norms conflict with evidence: a self-integrity approach In many cases, average group beliefs and norms converge with available evidentiary information (see Hardin & Higgins, 1996; Insko, Drenan, Solomon, Smith, & Wade, 1983; Surowiecki, 2004). In political contexts, when norms align with evidence, normative information simply provides a reflection or barometer of reality, which is the presumptive purpose of most opinion polling. However, a critical question for both democratic decision-making and the present research is what happens when the group ignores or disregards emerging facts and evidence (e.g., Fast, Heath, & Wu, 2009). In such cases, resistance to group norms and attention to evidence could be advantageous — at least from the standpoint of people's desire to be accurate and independent decision-makers (Chaiken, Liberman, & Eagly, 1989). Imagine, for example, that the public tends to believe that the economy is in decline when major indicators suggest that the economy is on the rebound. If someone is asked for their opinion about the state of the economy, they would be more accurate if they followed the economic evidence and ignored the bubble created by popular consensus. However, as scholars have noted for well over a century (Asch, 1951; Le Bon, 1897), it is often difficult to go against the group. When categorized at the collective level, going against group norms requires going against a part of one's self (e.g., Tajfel & Turner, 1986). Self-affirmation theory (Sherman & Cohen, 2006; Steele, 1988) offers a perspective to understand how people may transcend the pressure of collective identities on judgment. The theory suggests that although concerns with individual and collective identity may fluctuate from context to context, an overarching psychological goal is to maintain a global sense of self-integrity: a general feeling of being efficacious, adequate, and “good enough” (Cohen & Sherman, 2014; Sherman, 2013; Sherman & Cohen, 2006; Steele, 1988). We argue in the present research that this general goal guides what people attend to in their environment. In some situations, people are concerned more with collective goals and are therefore likely to rely on group norms in judgment. In other situations, people may feel less attached to the group norms and instead have an interest in being accurate or independent (e.g., a neutral judge or referee). However, common to both of these situations is people's concern with self-integrity. We hypothesize that regardless of whether people rely on normative or evidentiary information, they do so in an effort to maintain global self-integrity. Following this reasoning, by manipulating global self-integrity it should be possible to shift the manner in which people process information. Under certain circumstances, manipulating self-integrity should halt conformity and orient people toward independent, evidence-based decision-making. To illustrate how global self-integrity concerns might shape conformity and independence, we use the experimental paradigm developed K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 in self-affirmation research. Typically, to examine the role of selfintegrity motivations in a social psychological process, two experimental conditions are compared (for a review see McQueen & Klein, 2006). In the control condition, participants are exposed to information that threatens their sense of self-integrity (e.g., information indicating they engage in risky health behaviors) and their psychological responses are observed. People generally respond defensively and resist or downplay the implications of such evidentiary information (Dunning, 2003; Kunda, 1987; Liberman & Chaiken, 1992). The other experimental condition involves a self-affirmation exercise. Prior to being exposed to the threatening information, participants write about an important personal value (e.g., their sense of humor, love of family) unrelated to the threatened domain. They typically express why this value is important to them and a time in their life when it was particularly important. Because values are central to people's self-definition (Rokeach, 1973), this exercise affirms people's self-integrity (Steele, 1988). In this condition, people tend to be more open to the threatening information, as if the assurance they got from the affirmation exercise allowed them to evaluate the subsequent information more openly and candidly. The theory holds that by satisfying global self-integrity, affirmations psychologically equip people to tolerate threats to self-integrity and respond less defensively (Cohen & Sherman, 2014; Sherman & Hartson, 2011). In political contexts where integrity is maintained by conforming to group norms and resisting evidentiary data, the act of securing selfintegrity prior to judgment should attenuate conformity. Conversely, in contexts where self-integrity is maintained by being neutral, accurate, and even-handed (e.g., being a neutral judge or referee), affirmation may attenuate such accuracy motivation (see Cohen et al., 2007). Thus, self-affirmation should attenuate conformity in contexts where people conform out of a desire to maintain self-integrity. Previous work supports the idea that self-affirmation attenuates identity-defensive processes. For example, people who self-affirmed prior to group activity were more willing to acknowledge wrong-doing by an ingroup (Adams, Tormala, & O'Brien, 2006; Čehajić-Clancy, Effron, Halperin, Liberman, & Ross, 2011); they showed lower partisan bias in the days prior to a presidential election (Binning, Sherman, Cohen, & Heitland, 2010); and they displayed fewer group-serving attributions for group success and failure (Sherman & Kim, 2005). When Americans were presented with a report that was critical of U.S. foreign policy, affirmed participants were less partisan in their evaluations of the report (Cohen et al., 2007). By satisfying global self-integrity prior to engaging in judgment, self-affirmation appeared to relieve pressure associated with the collective self and salient social identities. Notably, such research has typically focused on how affirmations can increase receptiveness to threatening information. Research has yet to examine whether affirming self-integrity can actually increase resistance to normative pressure. We suggest that affirmations of self-integrity should not only make group members resistant to normative political information, they should also simultaneously increase accuracy motivation and openness to facts and evidence. Prior research supports this argument. For example, in several studies affirmed participants were more likely to engage deliberative, systematic thinking. Affirmed participants were more sensitive to the strength (versus weakness) of arguments when responding to questions about capital punishment (Correll, Spencer, & Zanna, 2004; see also Klein, Harris, Ferrer, & Zajac, 2011) and were more persuaded by evidence challenging their views toward capital punishment (Cohen, Aronson, & Steele, 2000). In the health domain, affirmed participants became better calibrated to their personal risk levels after evaluating threatening health messages, as affirmed individuals saw themselves at high risk when they were at high risk and at low risk when they were at low risk (Griffin & Harris, 2011; also see Harris & Epton, 2009, 2010; Harris & Napper, 2005). These findings suggest that affirmed participants are less likely to over-rely on heuristic cues like group norms and more likely to be persuaded by factual evidence. 75 In summary, affirmations have been shown to reduce both identity defense and to increase accuracy motivation. The present research attempts to integrate and test both research outcomes simultaneously. People's judgment may be guided by either norms or evidence, depending on which type of information is relevant to maintaining selfintegrity. Following the continuum metaphor of the self-concept from social identity theory, normative and evidentiary information may each be relevant to different aspects of the self-concept. Normative information should guide judgment when social identity is made salient because such information informs group members how to maintain self-integrity by responding like good or typical group members. Evidentiary information should guide judgment, by contrast, when selfintegrity has been affirmed and group members are therefore freed from the need to maintain the integrity of their social identity. Rather than being swayed by group norms, affirmed group members may be more concerned with individual-level goals of accuracy and independence in judgment. Overview and predictions Conformity is a ubiquitous social phenomenon, and political contexts provide rich and consequential forums to study it. In the present research we focus on how Americans go about the task of evaluating a sitting United States president, Barack Obama. The standards for judging presidents are ambiguous (e.g., with regard to who or what they are compared), and research suggests that people actually seek out opinion polls when faced with difficult or ambiguous political decisions (Boudreau & McCubbins, 2010). Exposure to such group normative information may directly shape public opinion, a possibility that has led a number of countries to restrict or ban the reporting of pre-election opinion polls (Chung, 2012). The scope of the hypotheses that we test broadens with each of the three studies presented below. Study 1 is an initial demonstration that self-affirmation can untether group members from the influence of salient ingroup norms. For this study we draw on actual news reports that made American identity salient while spinning the president's poll numbers in opposite ways (favorably or unfavorably), and we examine how control and affirmed participants respond to the polls. Study 2 examines the hypothesis that while affirmations can increase group members' resistance to salient norms, affirmations should simultaneously increase reliance on evidentiary information. Thus we examine not only how selfaffirmation affects responses to normative information (i.e., approval of Obama's handling of the economy), but also how it affects responses to evidentiary information regarding the president's performance (i.e., actual economic activity during Obama's tenure as president). Based on findings that affirmation effects can persist over time (see Cohen & Sherman, 2014 for a review), Study 2 included a four-month follow-up to test for the effects of the original affirmation. Both Study 2 follow-up and Study 3 further tested key theoretical predictions. If, as suggested by our interpretation of social identity theory, normative and evidentiary information are processed with respect to different psychological goals, then simultaneously contrasting normative and evidentiary information should yield predictable responses. We theorized that control participants would be responsive to norms but not to evidence, whereas affirmed participants would be responsive to evidence but not to norms. To test this, norms and evidence were contrasted within a single persuasive message about the president (e.g., people think President Obama is doing great on the economy, but the economic data suggest otherwise vs. people think President Obama is doing poorly on the economy, but the economic data suggest otherwise). These predictions are motivated by insights from the social identity approach and self-affirmation theory. Study 3 seeks to illustrate the theoretical integration of these approaches. First, the social identity 76 K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 approach suggests that people who identify with a social category tend to pursue social identity goals more so than individual-level goals when that identity is salient (e.g., Terry & Hogg, 1996; see also Cohen et al., 2007). Study 3 sought to test this idea by examining how individual differences in social identification influence attention to normative and evidentiary information. We predicted that higher identification with America is predictive of conformity to normative but not evidentiary information, but critically, this should not hold among individuals with low levels of identification, as those norms are not relevant to the selfconcept in low-identified individuals. Instead, these individuals may remain categorized at the individual level and, as a result, be more likely to pursue individual-level goals of accuracy and independence in judgment (cf. Terry & Hogg, 1996). Self-affirmation should, in turn, attenuate the style of processing people engaged in to maintain self-integrity in a given situation. Study 1 This study was conducted in mid-2009, when President Obama had an approval rating of roughly 56% (Gallup, 2014) and was attempting to rally support for health care reform legislation. Although overall approval for President Obama was strong, his approval ratings had declined from their initial highs during the early part of his presidency. As such, it was possible to spin the president's poll numbers in different ways: by focusing on the objective strength of the poll numbers, a favorable picture could be painted; by focusing on the relative decline in poll numbers, a more negative picture could be painted. After researching the current news coverage of the president's poll numbers, we located two news articles, one framing the president's poll numbers positively (Anderson, 2009) and another framing them negatively (Schoen & Rasmussen, 2009). Using actual content from these articles, we then manipulated popular opinion by giving half the participants the favorable content that Obama was soaring in the polls and the other half the unfavorable content that Obama was sinking in the polls. Thus, the articles were intended to manipulate normative information in an ecologically valid fashion (whereas in Study 2 and Study 3 we constructed fictitious articles to rigorously control for content and strength of message). Prior to reading a news article, participants were randomly assigned to either a control condition or a self-affirmation condition. Our primary question was whether this self-affirmation manipulation would affect how participants responded to the articles. In the control condition, we used the social identity approach as a basis for our predictions. Based on the idea that people tend to conform to salient ingroup norms, in the control condition approval should conform to the national polling data: participants who receive the positive spin should be more favorable toward Obama than participants who receive the negative spin. In the self-affirmation condition, we predicted that bolstering self-integrity prior to reading the polling articles would untether the self-concept from the implications of the norms. Thus, we expected that unlike control participants, affirmed participants would not be swayed by the article spin. To help rule out the possibility that participants simply responded favorably (or unfavorably) to all targets when they received positive (or negative) news about Obama, we examined participants' evaluations of a non-salient group, Congressional Republicans, whom we predicted would not be swayed by the polling articles. Finally, as exploratory measures, we predicted that control (Democratic supporting) participants would donate more money to the Democratic Party in a hypothetical allocation task and that their self-feelings would be more positive in the favorable spin than in the unfavorable spin condition. The allocations and self-feelings of affirmed participants, by contrast, should be affected less by the article spin in favor or against Obama and his policies. Method Participants and design One hundred fifteen adults (70% women; 70% White, 19% Asian or Asian American, 9% African American, 4% Latino/a; MAge = 34.50 years) were recruited from a university-maintained listserv of US residents and were compensated with a $5 US gift card to an online retailer. To help limit noise created by variance in political persuasion, participants were recruited if they indicated an affiliation with the Democratic Party during pre-screening and were randomly assigned to one of four cells in a 2 (Affirmation status: Affirmation vs. Control) × 2 (Normative information: Soaring in polls vs. Sinking in polls) factorial design. Participants were not made aware that they were pre-selected based on their political party preference. Procedure After providing consent, participants completed a standard affirmation manipulation (see McQueen & Klein, 2006). All participants were presented with a list of 11 nonpolitical values.1 Participants in the self-affirmation condition were instructed to “pick the one value that is most important to you” and to type that value in a text box. Next, participants were instructed to “think about a time when your #1 value or characteristic was important to you” and to “write a few sentences about a time when this value was important.” Consistent with previous research, participants in the control condition received the same list but indicated their least important value and described why someone else might think the value is important (see Binning et al., 2010; Cohen et al., 2007). A great deal of research has employed a similar approach to self-affirmation and supports the idea that the affirmation condition reduces defensiveness and increases self-security, whereas the control condition produces reactions that are orthogonal to participants' sense of self-integrity (McQueen & Klein, 2006; Sherman & Hartson, 2011). All participants were then randomly assigned to receive one of two news articles, which were formatted to resemble an authentic online article from a high -profile, international newspaper. Each article included factual content from news articles circulating 1–2 months prior to the study, but each had a very different political spin (i.e., Anderson, 2009; Schoen & Rasmussen, 2009). Participants randomly assigned to the Obama Soaring condition read an article titled, “Obama Soaring in the Polls,” which described how Obama was performing well in the polls (e.g., “56% of Americans gave Obama an excellent or good job rating”), together with a picture of Obama smiling and waving toward the camera. Participants assigned to the Obama Sinking condition read an article matched for length and level of detail titled, “Obama's Poll Numbers are Falling to Earth,” which described how the American people were showing increasing doubts about Obama's presidency (e.g., “33% of Americans now strongly disapprove of the presidents' performance”). This article featured a picture of Obama with his hand on his forehead while looking down at the ground. After reading their respective news articles, all participants watched two one-minute YouTube videos. In the first video, President Obama described three pillars of his health care reform agenda, which was being debated by Congress at the time of the study. In the second video, Republican congressional leaders presented a rebuttal to the president's position. Immediately after the videos, participants were asked to complete the measures below. 1 The 11 values listed for the manipulation were Artistic skills/esthetic appreciation, Sense of humor, Relations with friends/family, Spontaneity/living life in the moment, Social Skills, Athletics, Musical ability/appreciation, Physical attractiveness, Creativity, Business/managerial skills, and Romantic values. 77 K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 Approval of Obama Participants evaluated Obama and his approach to health care using the following items: “How balanced and objective is Obama's health care outline?” (1 = Not balanced or objective at all; 9 = Very balanced and objective), “In general, how knowledgeable about health care issues is Barack Obama?” (1 = Not knowledgeable at all; 9 = Very knowledgeable). Two additional items measured general approval using wording from a recent Gallup Poll (Saad, 2009): “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?” (1 = Strongly disapprove; 9 = Strongly approve), and “How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president so far?” (1 = Excellent, 2 = Good, 3 = Just Okay, 4 = Poor, 5 = Terrible). This item was reverse-scored and transformed to a 9-point scale. The four items loaded on a single factor and the mean composite of all four items displayed good reliability (α = .89, M = 7.00, SD = 1.41). Evaluations of Republicans Although no polling data about Republicans were presented to participants, we examined if evaluations of Republicans were affected by the presidential polling data, the affirmation manipulation, or both together. Participants completed four items that paralleled the four Obama-evaluation items above: “How balanced and objective is the Republicans' health care outline?” “In general, how knowledgeable about health care issues is the Republican leadership?” “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Republicans are handling their job in Congress?” and, “How would you rate the job Republicans in Congress have been doing?” The composite also showed unidimensionality and good reliability (α = .85, M = 3.96, SD = 1.59). Three participants did not complete this measure and their data were treated as missing. Hypothetical allocation Having seen the arguments from both sides of the health care debate, participants were provided a scenario in which they considered having a fixed sum of $10,000 to distribute between the Democratic and Republican Parties to help work toward health care reform. They were presented with five options for allocating the money, with higher scores representing higher sums of money given to the Democratic Party relative to the Republican Party (1 = $0 for Democrats and $10,000 for Republicans; 2 = $2500 for Democrats and $7500 for Republicans; 3 = $5000 for each party, 4 = $7500 for Democrats and $2500 for Republicans; 5 = $10,000 for Democrats and $0 for Republicans) (M = 3.83, SD = 0.84). One participant did not complete this measure and is treated as missing. 2 In all studies, the focal outcome variable was a composite of participants' approval for President Obama, and we measured it in a consistent manner across replications of the key findings (i.e., the focal measure in Study 2 is analogous to that used in Study 1, and the focal measure in Study 3 is analogous to that used in the Study 2 follow-up). In addition, we report analyses of data on participants' self-feelings and assessments of Republicans (Studies 1 and 2), and we report results from a theoretically relevant allocation task used in Study 1. In the interest of full transparency (Simmons, Nelson, & Simonsohn, 2011), we note that data from several exploratory variables are not reported here. These assessed participants' beliefs about the appropriate role of government in daily life (in Study 1), their attitudes about Sarah Palin, a measure of Republicans' collective-self-esteem, and perceptions of American opinion about Obama (in Study 2), their feelings of selfcertainty, life satisfaction, and construal levels (in the Study 2 four-month follow-up), and a behavioral measure of media preferences (in the Study 2 follow-up and Study 3). Across all studies, an item that tapped perceptions that President Obama was ideologically biased was also assessed but not analyzed because it consistently did not load together with the main approval items. The former measures were exploratory because they were tangential to the key dependent measure assessing participants' conformity to the normative political information. Additionally, an exploratory manipulation was introduced following participants' completion of the main dependent measure in Study 3. Some participants were randomly assigned to read an article that attempted to threaten them in the health domain because we were interested in potential spill-over effects of the affirmation beyond the first domain of judgments. Additional data relevant to this hypothesis and obtained after this manipulation are not reported here but may be the subject of a forthcoming report. Self-feelings Near the end of the study they were asked to respond to a single item “How are you feeling about yourself right now?” on a nine-point scale, with end points labeled 1 (Very negatively) and 9 (Very positively). This one-item measure of self-feelings has been used in prior research to assess momentary feelings after completing affirmation manipulations (Cohen et al., 2000; Sherman, Nelson, & Steele, 2000). Two participants did not complete this measure and their data were treated as missing. Results and discussion The composite of evaluations of President Obama were subjected to a 2 (Affirmation Status: Affirmation vs. Control) × 2 (Normative information: Soaring vs. Sinking) between-subjects analysis of variance (ANOVA). Results revealed a main effect of normative information, such that favorability toward Obama was higher when he was soaring in the polls (M = 7.24, SE = .18) than when he was sinking in the polls (M =6.73, SE = .19), F(1, 111) = 3.93, p = .050, η2P = .03. The main effect for affirmation status was not significant, F(1, 111) = 0.12, p = .732. However, as hypothesized, there was a significant twoway interaction, F(1, 111) =5.80, p = .018, η2P = .05, depicted in Fig. 1. Simple effects tests revealed that in the control condition, participants were significantly swayed by group norms, as they were more favorable toward Obama when he was soaring in the polls (M = 7.51, SE = .26) than when he was sinking the polls (M = 6.37, SE = .28), F(1, 111) = 8.80, p = .004, η2P = .07. Also as hypothesized, affirmed participants resisted the pressure of group norms, as there was no difference in favorability toward President Obama when he was up in the polls (M = 6.98, SE = .24) than when he was down in the polls (M =7.09, SE = .26), F(1, 111) = 0.10, p = .752. Evaluations of Republicans In contrast to evaluations of President Obama, there were no main effects, Fs b 1.0, ps N .875, nor a two-way interaction, F(1, 108) = .01, p = .934, in participants' evaluations of the Republican leadership, consistent with predictions. Hypothetical allocation Participants' ingroup allocation scores were subjected to a 2 (Affirmation status) × 2 (Normative information) ANOVA. Results revealed a marginal main effect for affirmation status, F(1, 110) = 3.30, p = .072, η2P = .03, suggesting that participants in the self-affirmation condition were marginally less biased in their allocations to the ingroup (M = 3.71 or $6775 of the $10,000 allocated for Democrats, SE = .10) than were participants in the control condition (M = 3.98 or $7450 for Democrats, SE = .11). Notably, this main effect suggests that selfaffirmation slightly attenuated partisan identity bias, perhaps because FAVORABILITY TOWARD OBAMA Measures2 9 8 7 6 Obama soaring 5 Obama sinking 4 3 2 1 Control Affirma"on Fig. 1. Democrats' mean favorability toward President Barack Obama (±1 standard error) as a function of affirmation status and normative data regarding Obama's status in the current polls in Study 1. 78 K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 participants' identity as Democrats may have been active and affecting their overall responses. The effect was qualified by a significant twoway interaction, F(1, 110) = 12.24, p b .001, η2P = .10. Simple effects tests showed that in the control condition, participants' allocation decisions followed the national norms, as they allocated marginally more money to the Democrats when President Obama was soaring in the polls (M = 4.18 or $7950, SE = .15) than when he was falling in the polls (M = 3.78 or $6950, SE = .17), F(1, 110) = 3.16, p = .078, η2P = .03. By contrast, affirmation participants showed the opposite pattern, as they actually gave significantly more to the Democrats when Obama was falling in the polls (M = 4.03 or $7575, SE = .15) than when he was soaring in the polls (M = 3.38 or $5950, SE = .14), F(1, 110) = 10.61, p = .001, η2P = .09. We return to this finding in the discussion. Self-feelings Participants' self-feelings were analyzed with a 2 (Affirmation status) × 2 (Normative information) ANOVA. The analysis revealed a significant main effect of normative information, F(1, 109) = 4.07, p = .046, η2P = .04, such that the Democratic participants felt significantly more positive about themselves when President Obama was soaring in the polls (M = 6.80, SE = .20) than when he was falling in the polls (M = 6.20, SE = .22). There was no main effect for affirmation status F(1, 109) = 0.18, p = .677. However, the two-way interaction term approached significance, F(1, 109) = 3.89, p = .051, η2P = .03. Simple effects tests revealed that the self-feelings of participants in the control condition were strongly influenced by the polling data, as the (Democratic) participants reported significantly more positive feelings about themselves when Obama was soaring in the polls (M = 7.03, SE = .30) than when he was falling in the polls (M = 5.84, SE = .33), F(1, 109) = 7.23, p =.008, η2P = .06. By contrast, the self-feelings of participants in the affirmation condition exhibited no difference when Obama was soaring (M = 6.57) versus falling in the polls (M = 6.55), F(1, 109) = 0.001, p = .973. Affirmed participants' self-feelings appeared to be untethered from their political party's success or failure, as it did not fluctuate in response to the polling information. Summary and next steps Study 1 provided the first direct evidence that affirmations of self-integrity affect responsiveness to normative social influence. The attitudes of control participants, all of whom were selfidentified Democrats, were swayed by the salient American polling norms. In line with predictions from the social identity approach to group norms, participants were more favorable toward President Obama and his approach to health care, they allocated more hypothetical dollars toward Obama's party, and they may have felt better about themselves when Obama was soaring in the polls than when he was sinking in the polls. By contrast, affirmation appeared to free participants from the implications of the group norms, as their evaluations of Obama were not swayed by the group norms, they actually gave more dollars to Republicans, and their self-feelings were unmoved by whether Obama was soaring or sinking in the polls. The national norms did not appear to affect participants' evaluations of Republicans, a non-salient but relevant social group (cf. Binning et al., 2010). Also consistent with expectations of the social identity approach, this latter finding suggests that participants' evaluations of Obama were responding to the national norms but not to other, non-salient partisan norms. One potential limitation of Study 1 is that all participants were Democrats and therefore shared both their Democratic and national identity with the president. For instance, from participants' self-feelings, it is unclear if control participants were responding as Americans or as Democrats. Participants felt better when Obama was soaring than when he was sinking in the polls, which could be expected both among selfidentified Americans and among self-identified Democrats. The main effect on the allocation task suggested that Democratic identity may have been active. We reasoned that although Obama is a Democrat, only the national norms were manipulated while Democratic norms were not. Thus, we expected exposure to national norms to tap American, not Democratic identity. Following this logic, an equivalent pattern of results should emerge for Republican participants, a prediction we examine in the next study. Study 2 aims to replicate the core finding of Study 1 with a sample of self-identified Republicans. If normative pressure sways participants' evaluations of Obama as a function of salient American norms as reflected in polls, then these salient American norms should exert their influence among Republicans as they did with Democrats. Although counter-intuitive on the surface, this prediction rests on the theoretical assumption that participants' social identity concerns are driven by whatever identity is most salient in the social context. Because we aim to highlight American national norms (and not Republican or Democratic norms), we expected that Republicans would be swayed in the direction of national norms, even when such norms ran counter to their interests as Republicans (i.e., to see Obama perform poorly). This study therefore presents a strong test of the idea that it truly is salient national norms and not partisan norms to which participants are responding (cf. Bolsen, Druckman, & Cook, 2014; Leeper & Slothuus, 2014). In addition, Study 2 compares and contrasts how affirmation affected participants' responses to normative (polling) information versus evidentiary (factual) information. Half the participants received polling information regarding how Americans view President Obama's handling of the economy, and the other half received evidentiary information regarding how the economy was actually doing under Obama's economic stewardship (e.g., unemployment rate). The distinction between these two types of information maps onto the distinction between normative versus informational forms of social influence (e.g., Chaiken, Giner-Sorolla, & Chen, 1996; Deustch & Gerard, 1955; Petty & Cacioppo, 1986). Thus we manipulated affirmation status (Affirmation vs. Control) and orthogonally manipulated both the favorability of the information (favorable vs. unfavorable to Obama), as in Study 1, and also the type of information participants received (normative vs. evidentiary), yielding a 3-factor design. We predicted a three-way interaction: whereas control participants should tend to be swayed by normative but not evidentiary information, affirmation participants should tend to be swayed by evidentiary but not normative information. Our dependent measures consisted of participants' approval of President Obama, their approval of Republicans, and their feelings of selfworth in response to the manipulations. Study 2 When this study was conducted in early 2010, Obama's approval among the American people hovered around 50% (Gallup, 2014). Although the economic recession had technically ended in 2009, national unemployment remained high (just under 10%) and was seen as among the top problems facing the country (Jones, 2010). At the same time, the U.S. stock market had recorded big gains over the previous year, with the S&P 500 rising 24%. As such, the economic picture was uncertain, and the mix of favorable and unfavorable data made it possible to spin the public's perceptions of the economy under Obama (normative information) as well as the actual state of the economy under Obama (evidentiary information) in either negative or positive directions. Actual reports at the time of this research indicated that favorable public opinion about Obama had been slipping (see Condon, 2010). Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's (2010) first quarter Survey of Professional Forecasters projected a low but upwardly revised projection of a 2.7% annual rate of growth for the US economy in 2010 after contracting − 2.8% in 2009 (The World Bank, 2014). As such, both Obama's popularity and the state of the economy could be plausibly described as weak/declining or strong/growing. K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 Method Participants and design Participants were 159 adults (62% female; 88% White, 6% Asian or Asian American, 4% Latino/a, 2% from other categories; MAge = 35.69 years) recruited from the same listserv used in Study 1, but this time emails were sent only to self-identified Republicans. Participants received a $7 gift card to an online retailer. Participants were randomly assigned to one of the eight cells of the 2 (Affirmation status: Affirmation vs. Control) × 2 (Direction of data: Favorable toward Obama vs. Unfavorable toward Obama) × 2 (Type of data: Normative vs. Evidentiary) between-subjects factorial design. Four months after the completion of the study, participants were invited to take part in another study in exchange for a $5 gift card, and 124 (78%) completed the follow-up study. Procedure After providing consent, participants received the same affirmation manipulation used in Study 1 and then read a news article written and formatted to appear to be from a prominent global news agency (a different agency than in Study 1). Half the participants completed a similar procedure as participants in Study 1. Participants assigned to this study's normative conditions read one of two articles that featured a picture of a large crowd. Those in the favorable normative data condition read an article titled, “Poll: More Americans Have Faith in Obama's Policies,” which reported four pieces of data describing Obama's rise in the national polls with respect to his handling of the economy (e.g., approval of Obama's handling of the economy “had steadily improved more than 6%”). Participants in the unfavorable normative data condition read a parallel article titled, “Poll: More Americans Doubt Obama's Policies,” which cited four pieces of data on the president's declining approval with parallel wording (e.g., approval of Obama's handling of the economy “had steadily declined more than 6%”). The remaining participants were assigned to one of two evidentiary conditions that did not contain normative information and instead manipulated factual economic indicators. The evidentiary articles were matched for length and level of detail with the normative articles and featured a close-up photo of a stock ticker board with reporting on four pieces of economic data gathered during Obama's tenure. Participants who received favorable evidentiary data read an article titled, “Experts: Economic Data Lend Support to Obama's Policies,” which reported on four signals of improving economic strength under Obama's leadership (e.g., gross domestic spending had “steadily increased by 6%” during the current year). Participants assigned to receive unfavorable evidentiary data read an article titled, “Experts: Economic Data Cast Doubt on Obama's Policies,” which reported four signals of declining economic strength under Obama's leadership (e.g., domestic spending had “steadily decreased by 6%”). Notably, both the normative and evidentiary information articles were fabricated for the purposes of this research and constructed to use identical numbers and comparable levels of detail and complexity. A pilot test3 on a bipartisan sample of 60 participants using the news materials suggested there was a marginal tendency for participants to regard information unfavorable to Obama as more “reliable” than favorable information (F[1, 57] = 2.89, p = .096), perhaps reflecting the public's declining opinion of Obama noted above (Condon, 2010). However, there was no difference in the perceived reliability of the normative versus evidentiary information (F[1,57] = 0.08, p = .776), nor was there a two-way interaction on perceived reliability between 3 Participants in the pilot test were randomly assigned to cells of a 2 (Direction of data: Favorable toward Obama vs. Unfavorable toward Obama) × 2 (Type of data: Normative vs. Evidentiary) between-subjects factorial design and asked to indicate “how reliable was the data presented in the article” with endpoints labeled 1 (Not at all reliable) and 7 (Very reliable) (Ms = 3.72 and 4.35; SEs = .26 and .27, for favorable and unfavorable data, respectively). 79 direction and type of data (F[1,57] = 0.05. p = .826). As such, we went forward with the materials but aimed to follow up with participants four months after the initial manipulation to examine whether the effects of the manipulations held over time. Approval of Obama Participants responded to four items that paralleled the four items used in Study 1, but which substituted “economic issues” where Study 1 had used “health care issues.” The composite ranged from 1 (unfavorable toward Obama) to 9 (favorable toward Obama; α = .81; M = 3.74, SD = 1.80). Evaluations of Republicans Although participants did not receive any Republican-specific articles or stimuli, we assessed their perceptions of Republicans with two items: “How balanced and objective is the Republicans' approach to economic issues?” (1 = Not balanced or objective at all; 9 = Very balanced and objective) “In general, how knowledgeable about economic issues is the Republican leadership?” (1 = Not knowledgeable at all; 9 = Very knowledgeable; α = .73; M = 5.68, SD = 1.50). Feelings of self-worth Participants completed the feelings of self-worth scale (Brown & Dutton, 1995), which we used to expand our measure of self-feelings beyond the single-item measure used in Study 1. Participants indicated how well each of eight items described how they were feeling “right now” on a scale from 1 (Not at all) to 7 (Very much). Reflecting the scale's conceptual structure, four items assessed feelings that directly implicate the self: humiliated*, proud, ashamed*, pleased with myself (*reverse-scored; α = .62; M = 5.35, SD = 0.97). Four more items assessed more general mood and were not directly related to the self: glad, unhappy*, sad*, happy (α = .83; M = 5.20, SD = 1.31). Results and discussion Study 2 was designed to examine two potential effects of selfaffirmation. First, it tested the Study 1 findings with Republicans, examining whether self-affirmation can untether people from salient normative group pressure, as previously observed with Democrats; and second, it examined whether self-affirmation would simultaneously make people more attuned to evidentiary data. Evaluations of President Obama were subjected to a 2 (Affirmation status: Affirmation vs. Control) × 2 (Direction of data: Favorable toward Obama vs. Unfavorable toward Obama) × 2 (Type of data: Normative vs. Evidentiary) between-subjects ANOVA. The analysis yielded a main effect of direction of data, F(1, 151) = 4.01, p = .047, η2P = .03, indicating that favorability toward Obama was higher when the data were favorable (M = 3.88, SE = .19) than when they were unfavorable (M = 3.35, SE = .18). However, this effect was moderated by the predicted three-way interaction, F(1, 151) = 3.99, p = .047, η2P = .03 (see Fig. 2, top panel). We decomposed the three-way interaction by examining the effects within the normative condition (two way effect: F[1, 151] = 1.93, p = .167) and evidentiary condition (two way effect: F[1, 151] = 2.02, p = .154). The pattern of responses in the normative conditions replicated Study 1: participants in the control condition were significantly more favorable toward President Obama when he was up in the polls (M = 4.19, SE = .40) than when he was down (M = 3.08, SE = .37), F(1, 151) = 4.24, p = .041, η2P = .03. By contrast, as in Study 1 affirmed participants were untethered from the group norms, as there was no difference in their approval when Obama was up (M = 3.67, SE = .37) versus down (M = 3.60, SE = .37) in the polls, F(1, 151) = 0.02, p = .890. The pattern further suggested that control participants were unaffected by the (favorable vs. unfavorable) economic evidence. Participants in the control condition were not responsive to the data, as their favorability toward Obama was low overall and did not differ when 80 K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 Immediately A#er the Manipula"on Norma!ve (Polling) Data 8 7 6 Improving data 5 Declining data 4 3 2 FAVORABILITY TOWARD OBAMA FAVORABILITY TOWARD OBAMA 9 1 9 Eviden!ary (Economic) Data 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Control Affirma"on Control Affirma"on Four Months A#er the Manipula"on Norma!ve (Polling) Data 8 7 6 Improving data 5 Declining data 4 3 2 1 FAVORABILITY TOWARD OBAMA FAVORABILITY TOWARD OBAMA 9 9 Eviden!ary (Economic) Data 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Control Affirma"on Control Affirma"on Fig. 2. Republicans' mean favorability toward Obama (±1 standard error) as functions of affirmation status, direction of data, and type of data immediately after the manipulation (top) and at four-month follow-up (bottom) for Study 2. the economy was improving (M = 3.60, SE = .39) versus declining (M = 3.67, SE = .37), F(1, 151) = 0.02, p = .895. By contrast, among affirmed participants, favorability toward Obama was marginally higher when the economy was improving (M = 4.07, SE = .40) versus declining (M = 3.05, SE = .38), F(1, 151) =3.53, p = .062, η2P = .02. The overall pattern therefore suggested that affirmation attenuated conformity to polls but increased openness to economic data. Evaluations of Republicans Evaluations of Republicans were tested with a 2 (Affirmation status) × 2 (Direction of data) × 2 (type of data) ANOVA. The analysis did not yield any significant main effects, Fs b 1.34, ps N .247, or interactions, Fs b 1.0, ps N .398. Feelings of self-worth (FOSW) Separate analyses were conducted on the two facets of the FOSW scale (self-feelings and general feelings; cf. Brown & Dutton, 1995). First, a 2 (Affirmation status) × 2 (Direction of data) × 2 (type of data) ANOVA was conducted on self-feelings. The analysis did not yield any significant main effects, Fs b 1.0, ps N .497. There was, however, a significant Affirmation status × Direction of data (two-way) interaction, F(1, 151) = 4.41, p = .037, η2P = .03. Although the simple effects comparisons were not significant, they were in the direction (symmetrical to Study 1) that control (Republican) participants felt worse about themselves when Obama faced improving data (M = 5.24, SE = .16), than when he faced declining data (M = 5.53, SE = .15), F(1, 151) = 1.71, p = .193. Affirmed participants, by contrast, felt marginally better about themselves when Obama faced improving data (M = 5.46, SE = .16) than when he faced declining data (M = 5.10, SE = .15), F(1, 151) = 2.77, p = .098, η2P = .02. There were no other two-way interactions, Fs b 1.77, ps N .185, nor a three-way interaction, F(1, 151) = 0.06, p = .809. These results are consistent with the idea that the affirmation changed the way participants felt in response to identity-relevant political information. They are also suggestive of a complex relationship between social identities and responsiveness to political information: it seems that participants may go along with salient national norms (as seen in the normative information conditions), even when those norms threaten the self. Although such inferences are tentative given the partial and marginal nature of these findings, the overall pattern suggests, consistent with Study 1, that the affirmation can reduce and even reverse the impact of positive and negative identity-relevant information on immediate feelings about the self (see Sherman & Kim, 2005). A 2 (Affirmation status) × 2 (Direction of data) × 2 (Type of data) ANOVA on the general mood dimension of the FOSW scale did not reveal any main effects Fs b 2.39, ps N .124, or interactions Fs b 1.75, ps N .187. Such a finding is consistent with other research suggesting that self-affirmations affect the way people feel about themselves but tend not to change general positive mood (Cohen et al., 2000; Fein & Spencer, 1997; Schmeichel & Martens, 2005; Sherman & Kim, 2005; Sherman et al., 2000; for an exception see Koole, Smeets, Van Knippenberg, & Dijksterhuis, 1999). Four-month follow-up Study 2 provided evidence suggesting that self-affirmation can reverse the tendency for people to follow their group at the expense of following evidence. Based on theorizing that affirmation might have 81 K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 4 A chi-squared test A chi-squared test revealed that the sample at Time 2 did not differ from the sample at Time 1 in their assignment to conditions χ2(7) = 1.19, p = .991; nor were their differences in gender, χ2(1) = 1.06, p = .303, or age, t(275) = 1.08, p = .282. There was, however, a marginal decline in approval for Obama at Time 2 (M = 3.31, SE =.16) compared to Time 1 ( M = 3.60, SE = .13), t(281) = 1.84, p = .067. This may be partly attributable to a decline in Obama approval also seen in the general population over this time period (Gallup, 2014). 9 FAVORABILITY TOWARD OBAMA changed participants' motivational goals when processing political information, we sought to examine if this effect held up over time. The 124 participants who completed the follow-up were given the identical measure of Obama support at the very beginning of the follow-up study.4 They were given this measure without reminding them of their previous condition assignment (or the nature of the prior study). The critical three-way interaction replicated, F(1, 116) = 6.84, p = .010, η2P = .06, indicating that the original manipulations continued to affect participants' attitudes over time (see Fig. 2 bottom panel). Next, participants in the four-month follow-up received a new manipulation. Specifically, we sought to address what would happen when normative and evidentiary information directly conflicted. To take a recent example, the New York Times recently published an article with the headline, “Obama's Puzzle: Economy Rarely Better, Approval Rarely Worse” (Calmes, 2014). That is, sometimes public norms suggest that the president is unpopular, but the factual data indicate that his economic policies are effective. How would participants respond to such conflicting information? We predicted that control participants would be swayed by the normative information contained in the article (and not by the evidentiary information), whereas affirmation participants would be swayed by the evidentiary information (and not by the normative information). To get at this idea, we randomly assigned all participants to read a new article about President Obama. They either received an article headlined, “Americans Have Doubts About Obama, But Economy is Growing” or an article with the opposite headline, “Americans Continue to Support Obama, But Economy is Weakening.” Each article contained one paragraph describing how Obama was faring in the polls (either soaring or sinking) and one conflicting paragraph describing how the economy under Obama was actually doing (either declining or rising). To control for order effects, the order of presentation of normative and evidentiary information was counterbalanced for each subject. We then assessed evaluations of Obama's economic policies with three new items that used nine-point scales. These questioned the likelihood that “Obama's economic policies will help the economy,” whether Obama had “the econom y on the right track,” and if Obama has “the right leadership qualities to lead the country out of the recession.” The three items formed a reliable composite (α = .91; M = 3.12, SD = 1.85). The hypotheses were supported. Keeping in mind that the new article represented a fourth factor in our experimental design, we used a statistical model that included all prior manipulated factors, the new manipulation, and all two- and three-way interactions terms among these variables. Given the lack of power in the design, we omitted the four-way interaction term from this model, although the effects reported below hold when it was included. There was a significant two-way interaction (Affirmation status × New article content), F(1, 109) = 5.59, p = .020, η2P = .05 (see Fig. 3), and this effect was not moderated by the two other factors, Fs b 1.0, ps N .679. Consistent with the findings thus far, simple effects tests suggested that evaluations by control participants were swayed by the normative information, as they trended toward being more favorable toward Obama when the poll information was favorable (M = 3.41, SE = .45) than when it was unfavorable (M = 2.48, SE = .31), F(1, 109) = 2.64, p = .107, η2P = .02. By contrast, evaluations by affirmation participants were swayed by evidentiary information, as they were marginally more favorable toward Obama when the economy was doing well (M = 3.50, SE = .32) than when the economy was doing poorly (M = 2.68, SE = .32), F(1, 109) = 8 7 6 Rising polls, sinking economy 5 Rising economy, sinking polls 4 3 2 1 Control Affirma"on Fig. 3. Republicans' mean favorable evaluations of President Obama's economic policies (±1 standard error) in response to a news article that contained conflicting normative and evidentiary information at Study 2 four-month follow-up (net of the effects of the prior manipulated factors). 3.31, p = .072, η2P = .03. In summary, the affirmation had lasting effects on the type of information that participants were responsive to, decreasing their responsiveness to normative information and increasing their responsiveness to evidentiary information.5 We return to this experimental design, in which normative and evidentiary information simultaneously conflict, in Study 3. Summary and next steps Study 2 provides more evidence that adhering to normative and evidentiary information is moderated by concerns about self-integrity. Participants were exposed to either normative information, evidentiary information, or (in the Study 2 follow-up) both types of information simultaneously. Participants' American identity was potentially relevant to both types of information: whereas normative information conveyed how group members were evaluating Obama's economic policies, evidentiary information conveyed how Obama's economic policies were actually performing. But consistent with our expectations, participants in the control condition were only responsive to the normative information. Only the normative information – which was conveyed via (fictitious) polling data on how most Americans felt about Obama and his handling of the economy – provided information about how to behave and respond like a typical group member. Evidentiary information, we argue, was useful not for gleaning how to behave like a typical group member, but for pursuing individual level goals of accuracy and independence in judgment. If the experimental manipulation successfully activated collective identity goals of conformity but not individual level-goals of accuracy, participants in the control condition should be expected to conform to collective norms but to ignore or resist the implications of evidentiary data. This was the case immediately after exposure to the stimulus and four months later when participants were recontacted and presented with new stimuli. 5 The original three factors (but not the new article) also interacted to affect participants' evaluations following the new article (3-way interaction), F(1, 109) = 6.43, p = .013, η2P = .06. This pattern of results suggested that the manipulations from fourmonths earlier continued to affect participants' judgments after exposure to the new article in the predicted fashion. That is, independent of the new manipulation, no-affirmation participants were significantly more favorable toward Obama if they had been previously exposed to favorable normative data (M = 4.24, SE = .77) rather than unfavorable normative data (M = 2.37, SE = .42), F(1, 109) = 4.51, p = .036, η2P = .04. Affirmed participants resisted the sway of normative influence (Ms = 3.26 and 3.37, SEs = .39 and .45, for favorable and unfavorable normative data, respectively), F(1, 109) = 0.04, p = .853. The pattern reversed for evidentiary information: no-affirmation participants were not influenced by the evidentiary data about Obama they had seen four months earlier (Ms = 2.42 and 2.75, SEs = .52 and .43, for favorable and unfavorable evidentiary data, respectively), F(1, 109) = 0.24, p = .624. By contrast, affirmation participants were more favorable toward Obama when they had been exposed to favorable evidentiary data (M = 3.52, SE = .52) than when they had been exposed to unfavorable evidentiary data (M = 2.19, SE = .43), F(1, 109) = 3.94, p b .050, η2P = .04. 82 K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 The role of self-integrity in driving the above results can be inferred from participants' responses after self-affirmation. We predicted that affirmations of self-integrity in a domain unrelated to the experimental context would effectively lead self-evaluation to be less tightly linked to focal social identities. When relieved from pressures to behave like a typical group member, participants in the affirmation condition may be more prone to pursue individual goals of accuracy and independence in judgment. The results bore this reasoning out. Affirmation appeared to produce an enduring shift in people's situational goals away from “going along” and toward “getting it right.” This effect persisted over time for the domain of evaluating Obama's performance, and it continued to affect participants' evaluations of new information about Obama and the economy. Our explanation for these effects rests on several theoretical arguments. In particular, we argue that in the control condition, the experimental context induced participants to self-categorize at the collective level and to thereby pursue collective identity goals of conformity and not individual identity goals of accuracy. The above results support this view, but they do not directly examine the role of social identification. For example, following this logic, participants with a low level of identification as American should be less likely to conform than participants with a high level of American identification. Such individuals might not self-categorize as Americans and, as such, would tend not to conform to the American norms as expressed in the polling data. Lowidentified individuals may instead be concerned with individual goals of accuracy (Terry & Hogg, 1996). Research suggests that the individual-level self tends to be the most primary or default dimension of self-definition (Gaertner, Sedikides, Vevea, & Iuzzini, 2002), and thus when identification with a salient identity is low, participants should remain categorized at the individual level. In Study 3, we seek to directly test our predictions about the role of social identification in shaping the type of information that matters to self-integrity and the tendency for people to follow norms, even in the face of conflicting evidence. First, we hypothesized that among highly-identified Americans, selfintegrity concerns should be especially likely to come online in the face of salient American group norms. As such, in these situations it is among the highly identified for which affirmation can untether the self-concept from social identity and thereby open people up to evidentiary information. Second, we predict that in these situations, control participants who do not identify with America should tend to follow the evidentiary but not the normative polling information. Since people with low American identification should not be compelled to follow the salient American group norms, they should be more open to evidentiary data and willing to neglect the salient normative data. As such, there are two general conditions under which people may be inclined to follow evidentiary data and neglect group normative data. The first is when people who identify with the group self-affirm prior to judgment, thereby alleviating the need to protect the integrity of salient social identity. The second is when low-identified individuals are exposed to the same information. Their low level of identification means that they are not invested in the salient group norms in the first place. As such, we theorize that affirmation should have contrasting effects among the high and low identified. Specifically, affirmation should attenuate conformity and enhance accuracy in judgment among people who identify strongly with Americans, but it should have the opposite effect and attenuate accuracy while enhancing conformity among people with low American identification. Thus, affirmed and low-identified individuals may process information in similar ways, showing a stronger proclivity toward “getting it right” than with “going along.” Study 3 tests these possibilities by measuring participants' American identification and testing whether it moderates the effects of affirmation. Study 3 also sought to expand the generalizability of the findings by recruiting participants from a new subject pool including both Republicans and Democrats. In examining only Democrats (Study 1) or only Republicans (Study 2), both previous studies held partisan identity constant, which helped to reduce variability in partisan identity. However, doing so also made it difficult to investigate the role of political orientation. Thus, Study 3 sampled participants across the political continuum to model its effects. We expected that American identification would moderate the effects of affirmation, and that this should occur both prior to and after controlling for the influence of political orientation. Study 3 The final study was conducted in the summer of 2012, during the Republican presidential primary season and at the end of President Obama's first term. We modeled the stimulus materials on the Study 2 follow-up, and we sampled participants across the political spectrum — both Republicans and Democrats. The main purpose of this study was to test whether the tendency for affirmation to lead to greater receptivity of evidentiary over normative information (the pattern observed in the Study 2 follow-up) would be further moderated by American identification. Because this study sampled participants across the political spectrum, we also modeled the effects of political identification and compared it with the effects of American identification using multiple regression. We predicted that because American norms but not partisan norms were made salient by the polling stimuli, only American identification should moderate the proposed effects. Method Participants, procedure, and design Two hundred forty-nine Americans were recruited from Amazon Mechanical Turk and each was paid $0.55 to participate. We restricted the sample to participants with IP addresses located within the United States. Twenty-four participants had a significant amount of missing data (including the key dependent measures), and one participant experienced a technical problem. The analyses reported below are based on the remaining 224 participants (54% women; 73% White, 10% Asian or Asian-American, 8.4% African-American, 6.2% Latino/a). The sample had a median age of 30 years (M = 34.76) and a median education level of college graduate (1 = Some high school; 6 = Graduate degree; M = 3.58, SD = 1.14). After indicating their American identification and political orientation, participants were randomly assigned to one of four cells in a 2 (Affirmation status: Affirmation vs. Control) × 2 (Article type: Favorable normative data and unfavorable evidentiary data vs. Unfavorable normative data and favorable evidentiary data) factorial design. American identity and political orientation Participants first completed several scales related to identity. They indicated their level of identification with America with three questions modeled from previous measures of group identification (e.g. Huo, Binning, & Molina, 2010): “Being an American is an important part of who I am”, “I am proud to be an American”, and “When someone praises the accomplishments of the United States, I feel it is a personal compliment to me” (1 = Strongly disagree; 7 = Strongly agree). These three items were combined into a mean composite that displayed excellent reliability (α = .93, M = 4.94, SD = 1.59). Participants also reported their political orientation: “Which political party do you support the most?” (1 = Green; 2 = Democratic; 3 = Independent; 4 = Republican; 5 = Libertarian; 6 = None [recoded as Independent]), “Would you say your political beliefs are closer to the Democrats or the Republicans?” (1 = Much closer to the Democrats; 4 = In the middle; 7 = Much closer to the Republicans), and “When it comes to politics, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative?” (1 = Very liberal; 2 = Liberal; 3 = Somewhat liberal; 4 = Moderate; 5 = Somewhat conservative; 6 = Conservative; 7 = Very conservative). The three items were all coded on a 7-point scale and then averaged into a mean composite with higher scores indicating a more right-leaning orientation. The K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 measure displayed good reliability (α = .88, M = 3.34, SD = 1.52). The composite of political orientation revealed the sample leaned to the left, as 62% of participants scored below the midpoint of the scale, 10% were on the midpoint, and 28% scored above the mid-point of the scale. The liberal skew of the data is a common feature of samples of from Amazon M-Turk (Berinsky, Huber, & Lenz, 2012). Although liberally skewed data can be problematic when trying to make general claims across the political spectrum, we believed that there was enough variability in political orientation to allow us to test our key hypotheses. News article The two news articles were very similar to the articles introduced in the Study 2 follow-up. The article appeared to be from a reputable national newspaper. Half the participants were randomly assigned to an article reporting that 55% of Americans approved of President Obama's handling of the economy despite evidence that the economy was flagging (“Americans Continue to Support Obama, But Economy is Weakening”). The other half of participants received the opposite information, which indicated that 55% of Americans disapproved of Obama's handling of the economy despite evidence that the economy was improving (“Americans Have Doubts About Obama, But Economy is Growing”). Approval of Obama Immediately after reading the article, participants evaluated Obama with the same three items reported at the end of the Study 2 follow-up (participants indicated if they thought “the economy on the right track,” the likelihood that “Obama's economic policies will help the economy,” and if Obama has “the right leadership qualities to lead the country out of the recession”). As above, participants answered the questions using a 9-point scale with end points labeled 1 (Strongly disagree) and 9 (Strongly agree). The composite displayed excellent reliability (α = .95, M = 4.99, SD = 2.07).6 Results and discussion Analytic approach To test the study hypotheses, we used a multiple regression approach with the methods recommended by Aiken and West (1991). Because we did not have full experimental control over all the independent variables, we controlled for participant age, gender, ethnicity (White = 0; non-White = 1), and educational achievement (1 = Some high school; 6 = Post-graduate degree), to help isolate the unique contribution of American identification on approval. The correlations among the measured variables used in the regression models are displayed in Table 1. We tested our hypotheses using two different multi-step regression models, the first controlling for political orientation and the second not controlling for political orientation. In the first model, we tested all control variables on Step 1, the three focal main effects on Step 2 (mean-centered American identification, affirmation status, and article type), the three two-way interaction terms on Step 3 (American ID × Affirmation status; American ID × Article type; Affirmation status × Article type) and the critical three-way interaction term on Step 4 (American ID × Affirmation status × Article type). Model 2 included all of these terms and also the main and interactive effects of political orientation. That is, the second model also included political orientation on Step 2, three additional two-way terms on Step 3 (American ID × Political orientation; Affirmation status × Political orientation; Article type × Political orientation), three additional three-way terms on Step 4 6 Participants also answered two questions asked in Study 2, “How balanced and objective is Obama's health care outline?” (1 = Not balanced or objective at all; 9 = Very balanced and objective), and “In general, how knowledgeable about health care issues is Barack Obama?” (1 = Not knowledgeable at all; 9 = Very knowledgeable).” Including these two items in the composite did not affect the reliability or significance of the focal threeway effect reported below, however, they were excluded from the analyses to keep the primary measure for this study the same as was used in the Study 2 follow-up. 83 (America ID × Affirmation status × Political orientation; America ID × Article type × Political orientation; Affirmation status × Article type × Political orientation), and the four-way interaction term on Step 5 (American ID × Affirmation status × Article type × Political orientation). This four-way term did not explain a significant amount of variance and is not discussed further. Approval of Obama's economic policies Did American identification moderate the impact of the experimental variables on approval of Obama's economic policies? In both models (with and without political orientation), the central hypotheses pertained to a three-way effect in Step 4 involving American ID, affirmation status, and article type. In short, we expected the patterns seen in the prior studies to hold only among those with high American ID. In both models the three-way effect was significant on Step 4 (Model 1: B = –.76, SE = .37, β = –.25, p = .043; Model 2 :B = –.84, SE = .31, β = –.27, p = .007) and revealed patterns in line with our hypotheses. Table 2 displays all regression coefficients from Step 4 from each analysis. Fig. 4 displays the estimated means for each condition at high (+1 SD) and low (–1 SD) American identification. Controlling for the influence of political orientation (Model 2) appeared to help to isolate the unique contribution of American identification on the dependent measure.7 Focusing on Model 2, we decomposed the three-way interaction by first examining the simple two-way interactions between the manipulated variables (affirmation status × article type) at high (+ 1 SD) and low (− 1 SD) American identification. Among highly identified Americans, the two-way interaction approached significance, B = –1.16, SE = .68, β = –.23, p = .088. As hypothesized, simple effects tests found that affirmed participants' evaluations of Obama were lower when the economy was sinking (Estimated M = 5.22, SE = .33) than when the economy was rising (Estimated M = 6.05, SE = .32), B = − .82, SE = .46, β = –.18, p = .076. This did not hold among control participants, as highly identified control participants were not responsive to the different articles (Estimated Ms = 5.23 and 5.57, SEs = .34 and .36, for sinking and rising economy, respectively), B = .34, SE = .50, β = .08, p = .498. Among low identified Americans, the two-way (affirmation status × article type) interaction was significant, B = 1.52, SE = .66, β = .30, p = .023, and the pattern of means conformed to predictions. Control participants based their evaluations on the evidentiary data, as their evaluations of Obama were significantly higher when the economy (evidentiary information) was rising (Estimated M = 5.46, SE = .39) than when it was sinking (Estimated M = 4.50, SE = .29), B = −.96, SE = .47, β = − .21, p = .045. This pattern was eliminated among 7 Speaking to the interplay between American identification and political orientation, Step 3 of the analysis also revealed a two-way interaction between political orientation and American identification (B = −13, SE = .06, β = −.13, p = .022). Simple effects tests showed that among more politically conservative participants (+1 SD on political orientation), there was no relationship between American identification and approval of Obama (B = −.02, SE = .17, β = −.01, p = .913), but among more liberal participants (–1 SD on political orientation), higher American identification predicted higher approval of Obama (B = .40, SE = .16, β = .28, p = .014). This finding hints that the three-way effect in Model 1 may have been muddied by the uncontrolled influence of political orientation. When political orientation was examined on its own as a moderator of the experimental manipulations, it was not a significant moderator. However, as seen in Table 2, when political orientation was included in the four-way model that also included (and thereby controlled for) American identification, its effect on the manipulations strengthened to reveal a marginal three-way interaction (political orientation × affirmation status × article type), B = .57, SE = .32, β = .20, p = .078. Although no simple slopes approached significance, the overall pattern suggested that left-leaning participants – participants who shared a political identity with the president – responded like highly identified Americans, while right-leaning participants responded like low identified Americans. That is, when American identity was controlled, political orientation behaved similarly to it. It is notable that this effect only emerged in the model in which American identification was included, as it suggests that controlling the effects of a salient (American) identity might reveal the workings of less salient identities in the social context. 84 K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 Table 1 Bivariate correlations among measured variables included in Study 3 regression models. Non-White Non-White Age Female Education American ID Political orientation Obama eval. Age 1.00 −.26⁎⁎⁎ −.09 −.10 −.03 −.09 .21⁎⁎ 1.00 .28⁎⁎⁎ .20⁎⁎ .25⁎⁎⁎ .02 −.03 Female Education 1.00 .00 .03 −.17⁎ .18⁎⁎ 1.00 .01 .18⁎⁎ −.15⁎ American ID 1.00 .30*** −.04 Political orientation Obama eval. 1.00 −.62⁎⁎⁎ 1.00 ⁎ p b .05. ⁎⁎ p b .01. ⁎⁎⁎ p b .001. affirmed participants with low American identification (Estimated Ms = 4.79 and 5.35, SEs = .37 and .35, for rising and sinking economy, respectively), B = .56, SE = .50, β = .12, p = .263, suggesting that among lowidentified participants, affirmation actually reduced the processing of evidentiary information. Consistent with hypotheses, the affirmed participants with high American identification and the control participants with low American identification processed the article information in similar ways—as they were both more swayed by evidence than normative information. We argue that this is because for both groups, people's selfconcept was less linked to salient American group norms, and thus both groups of participants were free to evaluate Obama based on the merits of the country's economic performance rather than on salient ingroup norms. General discussion Three studies support a self-integrity explanation for why people conform to political group norms, even when evidence suggests that Table 2 Unstandardized coefficients (B), standard errors (SE), standardized coefficients (β) and significance levels for regression models in Study 3. Model 1 does not control for political orientation; Model 2 does. Model 1 B (Constant) White vs. Non-White Age Male vs. Female Education American identification Affirmation status Article type Political orientation American ID × Affirmation status American ID × Article type Affirmation status × Article Type Article type × Political orientation Affirmation status × Political orientation American ID × Political orientation American ID × Affirmation status × Article type Article type × Affirmation status × Political orientation American ID × Article type × Political orientation American ID × Affirmation status × Political orientation ⁎ p b .05. ⁎⁎ p b .01. ⁎⁎⁎ p b .001. Model 2 SE β 5.12 1.18 .00 .88 −.22 −.31 .43 −.31 – .31 .29 .34 .01 .30 .13 .20 .41 .42 – .27 .23 .01 .19 −.11 −.22 .10 −.07 – .15 .47 −.10 .26 .58 .23 −.02 −.76 .37 −.25 p ⁎⁎⁎ ⁎⁎ ⁎ B SE 5.35 .74 −.01 .35 −.01 −.07 .08 −.31 −.56 .47 .24 .28 .01 .25 .11 .17 .33 .34 .17 .23 .15 −.06 .08 .00 −.05 .02 −.07 −.38 .23 .41 .18 .22 .46 .20 .03 −.24 .23 −.12 −.68 .24 −.33 ⁎⁎ −.24 .10 −.25 ⁎ −.84 .31 −.27 ⁎⁎ .57 .32 .20 .05 .11 .04 .21 .11 .15 β p ⁎⁎ ⁎⁎ ⁎ the group norms are wrong. This research proceeded from the assumption that people respond differently to normative and evidentiary information because each type of information serves different psychological functions. Whereas normative information is often used for belonging and acceptance in social groups, evidentiary information is often used for accuracy and independence in judgment. In service of the desire to maintain a global sense of self-integrity, people should respond to which ever type of information aligns with the most salient aspect of their identity. When collective identity is salient, people conform to group norms and tend to ignore evidentiary information because only the normative information is relevant to maintaining self-integrity. But when a valued collective identity is not salient, concerns about individual-level identity may be more likely to guide judgment. In such circumstances, self-integrity may be maintained not by following group norms, but by attending to evidentiary information that could lead to an accurate, evidence-based judgment. Support for this reasoning was obtained in two primary ways. First, following the social identity approach, when a relevant collective identity was made salient, participants in the control condition responded to normative information describing the ingroup's beliefs about President Obama (Studies 1 and 2) but not to evidentiary information describing how the economy was performing under his policies (Study 2). By contrast, participants in the affirmation condition were consistently untethered from the norms of the ingroup, as neither their self-feelings nor their approval of Obama were swayed in the direction of the polls. Affirming global selfintegrity prior to judgment produced a qualitative shift in the types of information people found self-relevant: affirmed participants judged the president based on evidentiary information (Study 2) and were inattentive to ingroup-normative information (Studies 1 and 2). This effect persisted over four months and continued to affect attention to novel political information (Study 2 follow-up), suggesting the effects of the affirmation persisted and propagated to produce a general change in the identity relevance of normative information. Second, participants' level of identification with America moderated the self-relevance of normative and evidentiary information. Following the idea that people attend to different types of information to maintain their self-integrity, participants who do not strongly identify with the group should be relatively inattentive to its norms. Instead, low identifiers may be attentive to information serving individual-level goals, such as goals of accuracy and independence in judgment. In Study 3, individual differences in social identification with America did indeed moderate participants' responses to normative and evidentiary information in the predicted fashion. Control participants with low American identification were inattentive to national polls about President Obama but were responsive to evidentiary information regarding Obama's economic performance. Together these results suggest that social identity processes help determine which types of information are relevant to the self-concept, findings consistent with prior research showing that social identification moderates responsiveness to salient ingroup norms (Terry & Hogg, 1996). K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 85 Fig. 4. Estimated means and standard errors for evaluations of President Obama's economic policies as functions of affirmation status and article type, plotted at low (−1 SD) and high (+1 SD) American identification from Study 3 without controls for political orientation (top), and with controls for political orientation (bottom). These findings provide the first direct evidence that affirmations of self-integrity are a means to attenuate conformity and encourage independent, evidence-based decision-making. However, the findings also suggest affirmations of global self-integrity should not always lead to reductions in conformity and increases in evidence-based processing. That is, affirmations do not attenuate conformity per se. They do so only when people's immediate sense of self-integrity is tied to their collective identity, since it is these situations where people may be more concerned with “going along” than with “getting it right.” This reasoning is suggested by the results of Study 3. There, affirmation appeared to shift attention to either normative or evidentiary information, depending on the type of information people were attending to in order to maintain global self-integrity. For example, Americans in the control condition who were weakly identified with America appeared to resist the group norms and follow the evidence (Study 3). For low-identified Americans, a lack of investment in the group should correspond with a lack of reliance on ingroup norms and, perhaps, an increased concern with individual level goals of accuracy. Indeed, affirmation appeared to attenuate evidence-based processing among the low-identified participants. Although preliminary, this finding is informative. For example, the finding that affirmation can actually reduce the use of evidentiary information means that affirmation does not necessarily reduce heuristic processing and increase deliberative processing of evidence (see Jacobson, Mortensen, & Cialdini, 2011): it does so primarily when the norms of a valued group are salient. Likewise, research suggests that feelings of love and social connectedness may underpin the effects of affirmation on the processing of threatening information (e.g., Burson, Crocker, & Mischkowski, 2012; Crocker, Niiya, & Mischkowski, 2008). The Study 3 findings suggest that if this is the case, such feelings do not necessarily make people less concerned with normative information, since affirmation appeared to make low identified Americans more concerned with normative information. More generally, we suggest that among people whose sense of selfintegrity depends on being independent, accurate, or neutral (e.g., a judge or referee), an affirmation of self-integrity prior to judgment could actually attenuate accuracy concerns. Consistent with this idea, Cohen et al. (2007) found that when participants were instructed to be even-handed in their judgment, control participants heeded the instructions whereas affirmation participants were actually more biased. Self-affirmation prior to judgment is not simply a de-biasing strategy that should always make people more likely to make evidencebased decisions. Rather, when self-integrity depends on making evidence-based decisions, affirmation could actually make people less likely to rely on evidence. In short, affirmation is a tool to free people from self-evaluative concerns, for good or for ill (Cohen & Sherman, 2014). Effects over time The long-term effects observed in Study 2 showed that brief affirmations propagated their impact over the surprisingly long period of four months (cf. Cohen, Garcia, Purdie-Vaughns, Apfel, & Brzustoski, 2009; Cohen & Sherman, 2014; Sherman et al., 2013). Evidence from the follow-up study suggests that this perseverance occurred through two processes. First, the newly acquired attitude persisted, such that the attitude change seen at Time 1 continued with no additional manipulations at Time 2. Affirmed participants resisted normative information and attended to evidentiary information at Time 1, and they continued to show these effects at Time 2. This finding is consistent with research showing that attitude change persists when it emerges from systematic processing of the central merits of the attitude object (Correll et al., 2004; Petty & Cacioppo, 1986). Second, the affirmation continued to exert effects on the processing of new political information. When participants were randomly assigned to a read a new article about Obama 86 K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 and the economy, participants who had been affirmed four months earlier were still less likely to respond to polling information and more likely to respond to evidentiary economic data when evaluating Obama. This finding suggests that affirmation may have produced a general shift in the self-concept's relationship to political information. When American norms were salient, affirmation seemed to turn down the relevance of normative information and turn up the relevance of evidentiary information. Although speculative, one explanation for these findings is that the affirmation — timed to immediately precede the presentation of selfrelevant political information (Critcher, Dunning, & Armor, 2010)produced a subtle shift in participants' self-narratives in the political realm (Wilson, 2011). Perhaps when affirmed subjects became untethered from group norms, they came to see themselves as more open-minded or rational. Subsequent information may have been viewed through this shifted lens, with people giving more attention to evidentiary information when making political judgments. In one study, affirmed participants in a politically charged context rated themselves as more open-minded immediately after responding to persuasive political appeals (Binning et al., 2010). Research also suggests that the cumulative impact of a relatively small change in the nature of information processing can compound significantly over time (Cohen et al., 2009; Garcia & Cohen, 2012; McGuire, 1960; Sherman et al., 2013). The effect of affirmation may not end after the encoding of the original message. When timed appropriately, affirmation may trigger new processes (a change in self-narratives, perhaps) that carry the effect forward over time (Cohen & Sherman, 2014). Untethering threats from the self In a review, Sherman and Hartson (2011) and Sherman (2013) proposed a general model for understanding the effects of values affirmations. According to one facet of the model, affirmation enables people to untether threats from the self by promoting self-evaluations that are independent of the potential threat (Cook, Purdie-Vaughns, Garcia, & Cohen, 2012; Sherman & Kim, 2005; Sherman et al., 2013). The present studies found support for this aspect of the model in the analysis of self-feelings (Study 1) and feelings of self-worth (Study 2). In Study 1, Democrats felt better about themselves when Obama was rising in the polls than when he was falling, but the affirmation made people psychologically immune to this information, as affirmed participants resisted the influence from the polls. In Study 2, the overall pattern of results on self-feelings indicated that Republicans in the control condition felt better when Obama was doing poorly, and this pattern was marginally reversed in the affirmation condition. Taken together, along with other research showing how affirmation buffers the rise and fall of self-feelings in response to collective events (e.g., Adams et al., 2006; Čehajić-Clancy et al., 2011; Sherman & Kim, 2005), the studies suggest that affirmation can reduce the negative impact of collective events on the self. Whereas previous research has tended to infer the presence of group norms based on characteristics of the situation, in the present research group norms were directly manipulated. In doing so, this research provides the first experimental evidence that self-affirmation affects the way the people respond to salient group norms. Implications for the psychology of political approval The present findings shed light on a variety of research illustrating conformity in political contexts. As seen among control participants, research suggests that presidential approval is influenced by salient social norms (Ceci & Kain, 1982; Hayes, Matthes, Hively, & Eveland, 2008; Marsh, 1985). In an experimental study on how people evaluate political debate performances, exposure to the opinion “worm” on the bottom of the television screen – which ostensibly reflected the real time opinion of undecided voters – strongly predicted who was deemed to win the debate (Davis, Bowers, & Memon, 2011). More broadly, the post-election glow in approval that US presidents experience after assuming office (Stimson, 1976 id="cf95) and the rally-around-thepresident effect that presidents experience in times of conflict (see Kam & Ramos, 2008), might partly feed off conformity to group norms in times of uncertainty and fear (also see Landau et al., 2004; Schmeichel & Martens, 2005). Political science research has also found that approval can be influenced by evidentiary information, albeit with some notable qualifications. In an analysis of US presidential approval data from 1955 to 2005, a president's economic performance was related to their approval levels, but only among participants for whom the president was in the political outgroup (Democrat or Republican), and thus, when social identity was not shared with the president (Lebo & Cassino, 2007). When social identity was shared with the president, information about the economy's performance was unrelated to approval of the president. Such findings are supportive of the present theorizing that people tend to be more receptive to evidentiary information and less responsive to group norms when social identity concerns are attenuated. Limitations An important limitation of the present work is that much of the theoretical rationale was tested indirectly. For example, across all studies the role of self-integrity on political conformity was assessed by affirming participants (or not), presenting them with normative information, and then observing the effects of this manipulation on opinions of President Obama. From the results we inferred that the affirmation manipulation untethered participants from normative pressure, but participants' perceptions of the national norms was not consistently measured across studies or, when it was measured (in Study 2), it did not mediate the observed effects. This recommends caution in drawing conclusions about the impact of affirmation on group norms because the mediating role of perceived norms was not observed directly. Similarly, in Study 3 social identification with America was measured and then used as a moderator of the experimental manipulations. Although social identification moderated the effects as expected, we did not directly test if social identification changed the perceived significance of social norms or evidentiary information. The present findings therefore make a novel theoretical contribution but also point to directions for new research. One important direction is to directly test for the processes theorized to mediate the effects of the affirmation manipulation on participants' attitudes. On and off the political bandwagon When a candidate or position is perceived to be popular in the polls, the salient group norms can increase the target's popularity among the masses, which can increase others' perceptions of the target's popularity, and so on in a continuing cascade (Bikhchandani, Hirshleifer, & Welch, 1992; Salganik & Watts, 2008). The present studies suggest that such recursive processes may depend not, as some scholars have suggested, on intellectual or moral shortcomings of the public (e.g. Le Bon, 1897; see Ewen, 1996, for a review). Rather, the effects of political messages on the public appear to depend critically on perceivers' identification with the group and their immediate sense of self-integrity in the social context. After completing a brief affirmation exercise and being exposed to a political message, perceivers' judgments of political information changed in predictable and significant ways. The results suggest that theory-driven interventions in the political domain can attenuate the power of public pressure on political beliefs. Being detached from group norms, either via self-affirmation or low identification, may make people more concerned with independent and evidence-based decision-making. During situations where unchecked conformity can lead to groupthink, unjust social policies, or ill-conceived wars, a well- K.R. Binning et al. / Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 56 (2015) 73–88 timed reminder of self-integrity may be one means to break the spell of the group and promote independent decision-making. Acknowledgments The authors thank Ishani Banerji, Danieli Evans, Kimberly Hartson, David Hoffman, Dan Kahan, Heejung Kim, Jonathan Kunstman, Brenda Major, Anthony Scroggins, and Dimitri Voisin for their comments on previous versions of this manuscript. 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Self-categorization theory. In A. W. Kruglanski, E. T. Higgins, & P. A.M. van Lange (Eds.), Handbook of theories of social psychology: Volume two (pp. 399–417). London: Sage. Tye, L. (1998). The father of spin: Edward Bernays and the birth of public relations. New York: Holt. Wilson, T. D. (2011). Redirect: The surprising new science of psychological change. New York: Little, Brown, and Company. Health Psychology 2014, Vol. 33, No. 5, 000 © 2014 American Psychological Association 0278-6133/14/$12.00 http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/hea0000101 Message Framing for Health: Moderation by Perceived Susceptibility and Motivational Orientation in a Diverse Sample of Americans John A. Updegraff Cameron Brick This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Kent State University University of California, Santa Barbara Amber S. Emanuel Roy E. Mintzer University of Florida University of Southern California David K. Sherman University of California, Santa Barbara Objective: The present study examined how gain- and loss-framed informational videos about oral health influence self-reported flossing behavior over a 6-month period, as well as the roles of perceived susceptibility to oral health problems and approach/avoidance motivational orientation in moderating these effects. Method: An age and ethnically diverse sample of 855 American adults were randomized to receive no health message, or either a gain-framed or loss-framed video presented on the Internet. Self-reported flossing was assessed longitudinally at 2 and 6 months. Results: Among the entire sample, susceptibility interacted with frame to predict flossing. Participants who watched a video where the frame (gain/loss) matched perceived susceptibility (low/high) had significantly greater likelihood of flossing at recommended levels at the 6-month follow-up, compared with those who viewed a mismatched video or no video at all. However, young adults (18 –24) showed stronger moderation by motivational orientation than by perceived susceptibility, in line with previous work largely conducted with young adult samples. Conclusion: Brief informational interventions can influence long-term health behavior, particularly when the gain- or loss-frame of the information matches the recipient’s beliefs about their health outcome risks. Keywords: perceived risk, message framing, oral care, oral health, persuasive communication Supplemental materials: http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/hea0000101.supp relative effectiveness of gain- and loss-framed health messages depends on characteristics of the message recipient. In this study, conducted over 6 months among a large, age and ethnically diverse sample of Americans, we examine two classes of psychological characteristics—the motivational orientation of the message recipient and beliefs about one’s health risk—that have each received considerable support as moderators of successful message framing (Rothman & Updegraff, 2010). Health behavior interventions often seek to educate people about the consequences of a health behavior. Information about consequences can be framed as either gains or losses. Gain-framed messages emphasize the benefits of adherence, such as “Flossing daily can lower your risk for periodontitis.” Loss-framed messages, on the other hand, emphasize the costs of nonadherence such as “Not flossing daily can increase your risk for periodontitis.” Although no overall advantage of gain- versus loss-framed messages exists in many domains of health behavior including oral health (for meta-analysis, see Gallagher & Updegraff, 2012), the Motivational Orientation People differ in the degree to which they monitor for and respond to favorable versus unfavorable outcomes (Carver & White, 1994; Elliot & Thrash, 2002). Approach/avoidance theorists (Carver & White, 1994; Elliot & Thrash, 2002) view this disposition as the extent to which people are motivated to approach favorable outcomes (approach orientation) or avoid unfavorable outcomes (avoidance orientation). Regulatory focus theorists (Higgins, 1997) view this disposition as the extent to which people are sensitive to the presence or absence of positive events (promotion regulatory focus) or to the presence or absence of negative events (prevention regulatory focus). Both views converge on the prediction that approach-oriented and promotion-focused people should respond more favorably to gain-framed appeals, whereas avoidance-oriented and prevention-focused people John A. Updegraff, Department of Psychology, Kent State University; Cameron Brick and David K. Sherman, Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, University of California, Santa Barbara; Roy E. Mintzer, Herman Ostrow School of Dentistry of the University of Southern California; Amber S. Emanuel, Department of Community Dentistry and Behavioral Science, University of Florida. Funding for this project was provided by a grant from the National Institute of Dental and Craniofacial Research (R21 DE019704). Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to John A. Updegraff, Department of Psychology, Kent State University, Kent, OH 44242-0001. E-mail: [email protected] 1 This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. 2 UPDEGRAFF, BRICK, EMANUEL, MINTZER, AND SHERMAN should respond more favorably to loss-framed appeals, because congruently framed messages yield more regulatory fit (Lee & Aaker, 2004) and lead to greater elaboration (Updegraff, Sherman, Luyster & Mann, 2007).1 Support for these predictions was first shown in the domain of oral health (Mann, Sherman, & Updegraff, 2004; Sherman, Mann, & Updegraff, 2006; for a review, see Sherman, Updegraff, & Mann, 2008). Similar effects of matching message frame to motivational orientation have now been observed for HPV vaccination (Gerend & Shepherd, 2007; Nan, 2012), physical activity (Latimer, Rivers, et al., 2008), calcium consumption (Gerend & Shepherd, 2013), fruit and vegetable consumption (Latimer, Williams-Piehota, et al., 2008), and smoking prevention (Zhao & Pechmann, 2007). With few exceptions (Latimer, Rivers, et al., 2008; Latimer, Williams-Piehota, et al., 2008), moderation by motivational orientation has only been shown in adolescent or young adult populations. Meta-analyses show the health behavior of younger people to be driven by different factors than that of middle-aged and older adults (e.g., Albarracin, Johnson, Fishbein, & Muellerleile, 2001; Hagger, Chatzisarantis, & Biddle, 2002). Adolescents’ physical activity, for example, is more strongly related to personality traits such as achievement orientation and sensation-seeking than it is to specific beliefs about the behavior such as attitudes, outcome expectations, or perceived benefits of physical activity (Sallis, Prochaska, & Taylor, 2000; see Ulleberg & Rundmo, 2003, for similar patterns in the domain of adolescent risky driving behavior). Young adults typically have fewer health problems than their older counterparts, and unrealistic optimism about health risks (cf. Renner, Knoll, & Schwarzer, 2000; Weinstein, 1984). As such, young adults’ beliefs about their health status may be less dominant in shaping their responses to health communications than their dispositional motivations. Perceived Susceptibility Perceived susceptibility is another key moderator of people’s responses to framed health messages. When people perceive themselves as susceptible to a health condition, they may be especially vigilant against possibility of negative health outcomes; in regulatory focus terms, they are prevention-focused concerning the health issue. In contrast, when people perceive low susceptibility to a health condition, they may be especially eager to achieve and maintain positive outcomes; they are promotion-focused concerning the health issue. This regulatory focus-based account (cf. Lee & Aaker, 2004) predicts that gain-framed messages should be more effective for those who perceive low susceptibility to a health problem, but loss-framed messages should be more effective for those who perceive high susceptibility. In a study that manipulated young adults’ perceptions of risk for mononucleosis, Lee and Aaker (2004) found that a gain-framed message promoted more interest in a preventive supplement against mononucleosis than a loss-framed message among people told that they were at low risk; in contrast, a loss-framed message promoted more interest for those told that they were at high risk. Naturally occurring beliefs about susceptibility likewise moderate message framing effects, as shown in studies of middle-to-olderaged women considering mammography screening (Gallagher, Updegraff, Rothman, & Sims, 2011), middle-aged adults considering colorectal cancer screening (Ferrer, Klein, Zajac, Land, & Ling, 2012), and young adults considering HIV-testing (Hull, 2012). Hull (2012) also showed that perceived susceptibility interacted with message framing to increase participants’ elaboration of the message, which mediated the effects of framing on intentions to get tested. Most studies that have reported a moderating role of people’s beliefs about susceptibility have found it among middle- to olderadult samples (Ferrer et al., 2012; Gallagher et al., 2011), perhaps because beliefs about susceptibility to health issues become more salient with age. In the domain of oral health, most message framing studies have utilized adolescent or young adult samples (Mann et al., 2004; Sherman et al., 2006; Uskul, Sherman, & Fitzgibbon, 2009), perhaps limiting the ability to identify beliefs about susceptibility as moderators of message framing effects, although that it should be noted that these aforementioned studies did not assess susceptibility so it remains an open question. Study Objectives Dental caries, gingivitis, and periodontitis are widespread health problems, and may increase one’s risk for serious medical conditions such as cardiovascular disease (Beck & Offenbacher, 2005; Loos, Craandijk, Hoek, Wertheim-van Dillen, & van der Velden, 2000). Many Americans remain nonadherent to practices that can prevent the onset of oral health problems (McCaul, Glasgow, & Gustafson, 1985), with over 70% of American adults not flossing daily and over 30% not flossing at all (CDC/NCHS, 2010). To address this issue, we evaluated an online message framing intervention to improve oral health behaviors. We recruited a large sample of Americans, diverse in both age and ethnic/racial background, randomly assigned participants to view an Internet-administered gain- or loss-framed educational video about the importance of dental flossing (or no video), and observed the impact of these videos on flossing over 6 months. We predicted that gain-framed messages would be more persuasive for approach-oriented and low-susceptibility people but loss-framed messages would be more persuasive for avoidance-oriented and high-susceptibility people. We also expected that motivational orientation would moderate effects among the young adults in our sample, but expected that perceived susceptibility might moderate among a more age-diverse sample. The no message control condition allowed us to examine whether “mismatched” messages provided any benefit compared with no message at all. When behavioral effects were observed, a secondary aim was to explore potential psychological mediators, including attitudes and intentions. Method Participants Participants were recruited by Knowledge Networks®, a survey research firm that maintains a large panel of Americans. Details of 1 Regulatory focus theory makes further distinctions, including (a) promotion-oriented people should be more responsive to gains representing the presence of positive outcomes rather than the absence of negative outcomes and (b) prevention-oriented people should be more responsive to losses representing the presence of negative outcomes rather than the absence of positive outcomes. This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. MESSAGE FRAMING FOR HEALTH this panel can be found here: http://www.knowledgenetworks .com/knpanel/. Knowledge Networks utilizes probability-based sampling with a mix of random-digit-dialing and address-basedsampling to recruit and select members into the panel. Households that have a home computer and Internet access earn incentive points (redeemable for cash) for completing surveys. Households that do not have a computer and access to the Internet are provided with free monthly Internet access and an Internet-enabled device (either laptop or WebTV) in return for completing a short survey weekly. The typical survey commitment for panel members is one survey per week or four per month with a duration of 10 to 15 min per survey, and typical payment is approximately $5 per month. Panel members have the option to not respond to any surveys or individual survey items. Participants in this study were drawn from panel members who preferred to complete surveys in English and were invited via an e-mail that did not immediately reveal the focus on oral health until the informed consent process. The inclusion criteria were flossing less than twice a day at baseline, staying on the assigned video page for the full duration of the video (! 5 min), and providing at least one follow-up (see Figure 1 for CONSORT Diagram; Moher, Schulz, & Altman, 2001). Eight-hundred fifty-five participants met inclusion criteria. The sample was 46.6% female, with average age of 45, ranging from 18 to 89. The sample was comparably distributed between Hispanic (28.7%), Black/African American (26.8%), White (22.3%), and Asian (22.2%) participants.2 Due to panel limitations, a sizable proportion of American Indians, Alaska Natives, and Native Hawaiians could not be recruited, although a few participants who identified as Hispanic also identified as Native American or Alaska Native (N " 5) or as Native Hawaiian (N " 1). Thirty-two percent had a high school education or less, 29.1% had some college, and 39.0% had a bachelor’s degree or higher. Median household income was approximately $50,000 per year. Procedure All surveys were presented online. All participants completed baseline measures of oral health behaviors, perceived susceptibility, and motivational orientation. Participants were then randomly assigned to a gain-framed video (n " 352), loss-framed video (n " 334), or no video control condition (n " 169), with an a priori decision to run approximately half as many in the control condition as in each of the framed conditions. Next, participants reported intentions to engage in oral health behaviors. After 2 and 6 months, individuals were again e-mailed (and phoned, if needed) to complete an online follow-up survey about their recent oral health behaviors. Participants who remained at the 6-month survey were no different from those who dropped out on any demographic or health variable including flossing behavior at 2 months, all ps ! .20. However, there was more dropout in the no video control condition than in the video conditions at 2 months (#2(1) " 3.11, p " .08) and 6 months (#2(1) " 7.79, p $ .01). Importantly, there was no significant difference in dropout between the gain- and loss-framed conditions at either 2 months (p " .85) or 6 months (p " .73). Measures and Materials Past flossing. Frequency of flossing at baseline was assessed with a single item used in a prior national survey of oral health 3 behavior (Davidson, Rams, & Andersen, 1997): “In general, how often do you floss your teeth?” with response options of never, once per month, a few (2–3) times per month, once per week, a few (2– 6) times per week, once per day, and two or more times per day. Motivational orientation. Motivational orientation was assessed using the Behavioral Inhibition System (BIS) and Behavioral Activation System (BAS) scales (Carver & White, 1994), which include 13 items that assess approach (BAS) orientation (% " .86) and seven items that assess avoidance (BIS) orientation (% " .73). Consistent with procedures used elsewhere (Mann et al., 2004; Sherman et al., 2006), we computed a measure of predominant motivational orientation by subtracting the mean score on the avoidance items from the mean score on the approach items, so higher values represent stronger approach relative to avoidance orientation. The BIS/BAS has been validated in adult community samples (Jorm et al., 1998). Perceived susceptibility. Perceived susceptibility to oral health problems was assessed by a five-item scale (Batchelor & Sheiham, 2002) on the perceived likelihood of having a filling, getting gum disease, or having other oral health problems within the next 12 months and the next 5 years (% " .86). Framed videos. Each of the videos were created for this study, were 5 1/2 min in length, and featured a female dentist who described the health consequences of regular brushing, flossing, and dental visits. Most of the video covered the importance of flossing, including a section with the dentist and a patient that instructed viewers how to floss according to American Dental Association recommendations (ADA, 2013; spool method, at least once per day). Approximately 40% of the script consisted of framed statements. Pilot testing validated the manipulation of framing and showed that the videos were easy to understand and pay attention to (see supplementary materials for more details and video scripts). Potential mediators. At the end of the baseline survey and the 2-month survey, several possible mediating beliefs were assessed. Intention to floss was assessed by a single item “How many times do you plan to floss your teeth in the upcoming week?” with options ranging from 0 –14 (see also Sherman et al., 2006). Attitude toward flossing was assessed with a single item developed for this study that asked “What is the value of flossing your teeth?” (1 " extremely worthless, 5 " extremely valuable). Self-efficacy specifically related to dental flossing was assessed with seven items used in prior research (Sherman et al., 2006), % " .95. Flossing at 2 and 6 months. To obtain a sensitive measure of flossing behavior at each of the follow-ups, we asked participants to report how many times in the past week they flossed their teeth, on a scale ranging from 0 –14. This measure shows significant correlation with clinical indices of oral health (CDC/NHCS, 2010). Analytic Strategy We used generalized estimating equations (GEE; Liang & Zeger, 1986) in Stata 12 to examine the influence of the framed 2 A secondary purpose of recruiting equal numbers of Whites, Blacks, Asians, and Hispanics was to examine whether cultural exposure moderates differential effectiveness of gain versus loss frames (e.g., Uskul et al., 2009). This is the focus of a forthcoming report (Sherman et al., 2014). This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. 4 UPDEGRAFF, BRICK, EMANUEL, MINTZER, AND SHERMAN Figure 1. CONSORT diagram of eligibility, allocation, and attrition. (Note: One participant was missing outcome data at 2 months but remained in the study at 6 months; hence the difference in the 2-month and final analysis N). video messages on flossing across the 6-month study period. GEE is an extension of the generalized linear model for regressions involving repeated outcomes. By analyzing both follow-up waves simultaneously, Type I error is reduced. When a significant effect was found across follow-ups, we used multiple regression to identify the influence of framing separately at each of the waves. Missing data other than attrition was negligible (see Figure 1); thus, missing values were not imputed. As our hypotheses predicted interactions between perceived susceptibility, motivational orientation, and message framing, we use procedures (outlined by Aiken & West, 1991) to test moderation. Continuous measures were mean-centered prior to computing product terms with the message framing variable. To ensure that standard errors and all associated significance tests were robust to any violations of normality in the residuals, we report bootstrapped standard errors. Baseline demographic differences in flossing were also examined. Females (M " 4.25, SD " 1.73) flossed more than males (M " 3.69, SD " 1.86), p $ .001. Asians (M " 4.32, SD " 1.77) flossed significantly more than Caucasians (M " 4.00, SD " 1.72), Hispanics (M " 3.91, SD " 1.85), and Blacks (M " 3.63, SD " 1.86) combined, p " .001; Blacks flossed significantly less than all other groups combined, p " .002. Higher age (r " .13) and income (r " .16) were associated with greater flossing. These variables were retained as covariates in all further analyses. Results Comparison of Video and Control Groups Table 1 presents descriptive data by experimental condition. We first examined the effects of our videos on subsequent flossing by comparing those who viewed either of the framed videos with those in the control condition, while controlling for past flossing. Participants who saw a video reported flossing significantly more (M " 3.82, SE " .057) than those who did not see a video (M " 3.48, SE " .11), B " .29, SE " .12, p " .017, Cohen’s d " .15. Moderators of Message Framing Effects Next we examined the relative effectiveness of the gain- and loss-framed videos and their interaction with perceived susceptibility and motivational orientation (see Table 2 for results of GEE MESSAGE FRAMING FOR HEALTH Table 1 Demographic and Analytical Variable by Condition This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Age Female Race: White Race: Black Race: Hispanic Race: Asian Median income Susceptibility Motivational orientation Flossing at baseline! Flossing at 2 months Flossing at 6 months Dental visit by 6 months!! Gain video Loss video No video (N " 334) (N " 352) (N " 169) 43.69 (14.81) 45.46 (15.80) 44.25 (15.84) 46% 23% 25% 29% 23% $47,100 2.35 (.97) .08 (.57) 2.97 (2.79) 3.68 (3.33) 4.02 (3.69) 47% 46% 22% 27% 29% 22% $47,500 2.39 (1.08) .07 (.58) 3.03 (2.84) 3.79 (3.64) 3.86 (3.85) 54% 49% 21% 30% 27% 22% $47,900 2.50 (1.11) .09 (.58) 3.06 (2.91) 3.47 (3.46) 3.68 (3.77) 48% ! Values reported in this table derive from converting the baseline measure into a days/week metric; as such, direct comparisons between baseline and subsequent flossing measures should be interpreted cautiously. !! Dental visitation was not significantly predicted by framing condition. Furthermore, it did not predict overall levels of flossing, nor interact with the video intervention to significantly predict flossing at either the 2-month or 6-month follow-up. analysis), while also controlling for past flossing and demographics. There was no overall effect of gain versus loss framing (p " .53). However, there was a significant Frame & Perceived Susceptibility interaction (p " .03), indicating that the influence of message framing on flossing depended on the recipient’s level of perceived susceptibility.3 For participants with low ('1 SD) perceived susceptibility, those who viewed the gain-framed video flossed significantly more across the 6-month period (M " 3.97, SE " .12) than those who viewed the loss-framed video (M " 3.60, SE " .11), z " 2.32, p " .02. For participants with high ((1 SD) perceived susceptibility, this pattern was reversed; those who viewed the loss-framed video flossed somewhat but not significantly more (M " 3.96, SE " .13) than those who viewed the gain-framed video (M " 3.75, SE " .13), z " 1.22, p " .22. The 2- and 6-month follow-ups were separately examined for the Frame & Susceptibility effect. At 2 months, the Frame & Susceptibility was not significant. At the 6-month follow-up, the Frame & Susceptibility interaction was significant (p " .004, see Figure 2).4 Consistent with the pattern observed in the GEE analyses, among the participants with low perceived susceptibility ('1 SD), those who viewed the gain-framed video flossed more (M " 4.35, SE " .25) than those who viewed the loss-framed video (M " 3.44, SE " .25), z " 2.56, p " .01. Among participants at high perceived susceptibility ((1 SD), this pattern was different, with those who viewed the loss-framed video flossing somewhat but not significantly more (M " 4.19, SE " .26) than those who viewed the gain-framed video (M " 3.83, SE " .24), z " 1.01, p " .31. To examine the potential practical effect of this finding, we examined the proportion of participants flossing once a day or more at the 6-month follow-up as a function of match between frame and perceived susceptibility. People considered as matches (N " 276) were either (a) those with susceptibility at or above 3 and who received a loss-framed message, or (b) those with susceptibility below 3 and who received a gain-framed message; 5 mismatches (N " 290) were the remaining participants. Indeed, a significant matching effect was observed, as shown in Figure 3. A greater proportion of participants who received a matched message flossed at recommended rates (34.5%, SE " 2%) compared with those with a mismatched message (27.4%, SE " 2%), odds ratio (OR) " 1.58, SE " .35, p " .04. Incorporating the no video group into analyses, planned contrasts showed that matched participants were more likely to floss at recommended levels than those in the mismatched and no video groups combined (OR " 1.50, SE " .29, p " .03), and those in the mismatched group were no more likely to floss at recommended levels than those in the no video group (30.3%, SE " 3%; OR " .80, SE " .21, p " .40). Moderation Among Young Adults As Table 2 shows, there was no significant moderation of framing by motivational orientation. Because these results are at odds with past findings of A Frame & Motivational Orientation interaction found in mostly young adult samples, we ran an additional GEE model (as described earlier) restricted to participants younger than 25 (N " 62; 35 females), an age cutoff frequently used in meta-analytic reviews (e.g., Hagger et al., 2002; Sheeran & Orbell, 1998). Within this subsample, the Frame & Motivational Orientation interaction was significant (B " 2.60, SE " 1.20, z " 2.16, p " .031) but the Frame & Susceptibility interaction was not significant (B " '.14, SE " .36, z " '.40, p " .69).5 Follow-up regression analyses showed that the Frame & Motivational Orientation predicted flossing at 6 months (B " 5.17, SE " 2.03, z " 2.55, p " .011) but not at 2 months (B " .12, SE " 1.83, z " .07. p " .95).6 Among approach-oriented young adults, the gainframed video led to significantly greater flossing at 6 months (M " 3.04, SE " .56) than the loss-framed video (M " 0.26, SE " .12), z " 4.99, p $ .001. However, among avoidance-oriented young adults, the loss-framed video led to greater flossing (M " 4.34, SE " .92) than the gain-framed video (M " 2.29, SE " .43), z " 2.13, p " .03. Thus, young adults in this sample exhibited a pattern of framing effects consistent with prior work using young adults. Mediation of Behavioral Effects Because behavioral effects of framing and perceived susceptibility were observed across the 6-month study period, we also examined whether attitudes, intentions, or self-efficacy might have 3 This Perceived Risk & Framing interaction was not moderated by ethnicity. 4 To ensure that this finding was not attributable to attrition, we also conducted a last-observation-carried-forward analysis in which 2-month flossing values were carried forward to 6-months for participants who dropped out at 6-months. In this analysis, The Frame & Susceptibility interaction was likewise significant (B " '.54, p " .014). 5 We also examined the age-dependence of framing effects by including age as a moderator variable using the full sample. A marginally significant Frame & Motivational Orientation & Age interaction was found (p " .086), showing that the congruency effect became stronger with decreasing age. In contrast, the Frame & Susceptibility & Age interaction was not significant (p " .31), suggesting that it was largely robust across the age spectrum of our sample. 6 Both BIS and BAS contributed to this interaction. As BIS increased, loss frames became more effective (BIS & Frame B " '5.45, p " .04). As BAS increased, gain frames became somewhat more effective (BAS & Frame B " 4.63, p " .14). 6 UPDEGRAFF, BRICK, EMANUEL, MINTZER, AND SHERMAN This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Table 2 Generalized Estimation Equation Model Predicting Reported Flossing Across Both the 2- and 6-Month Follow-Ups, Among Participants in the Gain and Loss Video Conditions Prior flossing Female Age Race: White Race: Black Race: Asian Household income Gain frame Susceptibility Motivational orientation (MO) Gain Frame & Susceptibility Gain Frame & MO Intercept B SE Z p 1.25 0.41 0.02 '.72 '.27 '.70 '0.03 0.07 0.18 '0.01 '0.29 '0.05 '2.12 0.03 0.12 0.00 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.02 0.11 0.09 0.15 0.13 0.22 0.32 37.89 3.34 6.19 '4.40 '1.55 '4.22 '1.70 0.63 1.98 '0.08 '2.22 '0.23 '6.63 $.01 $.01 $.01 $.01 .12 $.01 .09 .53 .05 .93 .03 .82 $.01 95% CI 1.18 0.17 0.02 '1.03 '.60 '1.03 '0.06 '0.16 0.01 '0.30 '0.54 '0.48 '2.75 1.31 0.65 0.03 '.40 0.07 '0.38 0.00 0.30 0.36 0.28 '0.03 0.38 '1.49 Note. N " 686 with 1,251 observations. Wald #2(12) " 1812.66. The reference group for the race indicator variables was the numerically largest group (Hispanic). As this model predicts flossing across 6 months while controlling for baseline flossing, all other coefficients including those for demographic variables represent change in flossing behavior from baseline through follow-up. mediated this effect, assessed immediately after the video and at the 2-month follow-up. None of these tests were significant, suggesting that the interaction between framing and perceived susceptibility was not explained by changes in participants’ stated attitudes, intentions, or efficacy regarding flossing. However, another pathway by which perceived susceptibility and framing might interact to predict flossing is by changing how much a mediator predicts subsequent flossing: in other words, by influencing the “intention-behavior gap” (Sheeran, 2002). To test this possibility, we conducted a regression analysis that predicted flossing at the 6-month follow-up from 2-month intentions to floss, framing condition, perceived susceptibility, and their 2- and 3-way interactions, controlling for flossing at the 2-month follow-up. The 3-way interaction was key, as it represented the interaction between intentions and the 2-way Framing & Susceptibility interaction on subsequent flossing, and it was significant, B " '.19, SE " .08, p " .02, indicating that the interaction between susceptibility and framing moderated the link between intentions and behavior. To simplify interpretation, we collapsed the Frame & Susceptibility interaction into a single variable representing match versus mismatch, as described earlier. Among those who viewed a matched video, intentions significantly predicted subsequent flossing, B " .26, SE " .05, p $ .001. Among those who viewed a mismatched video, intentions predicted subsequent flossing (B " .13, SE " .05) but to a significantly lesser extent (difference test Figure 2. Interaction between perceived susceptibility and message frame on self-reported flossing (times/ week) at the 6-month follow-up. This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. MESSAGE FRAMING FOR HEALTH 7 Figure 3. Predicted likelihood of daily flossing at the 6-month follow-up, depending on whether participant received video matched or mismatched to perceived susceptibility, or no video. Bars represent standard errors of estimates. Planned contrasts show matched video to increase likelihood of daily flossing relative to mismatched and no video combined, and mismatched video to be no different than no video. t " 2.58, p " .01). Thus, the interaction between framing and perceived susceptibility may have influenced long-term flossing not by raising intentions, but by leading to intentions that more reliably predicted behavior. Discussion Consistent with recent approaches to health message framing, we found that the effectiveness of gain- and loss-framed messages depended on individual differences of the message recipient. Most generally, individuals’ perceived susceptibility to health problems shaped their responses to framed appeals. This moderation by susceptibility has been found in other studies of screening behaviors (Ferrer et al., 2012; Gallagher et al., 2011; Hull, 2012), but has never extended to preventive behaviors or been demonstrated over as extended of a timeframe as in this study. We showed significantly greater odds of adhering to the American Dental Association’s recommended rate of flossing at the 6-month follow-up among participants who received a brief intervention in which the frame was matched to their beliefs about susceptibility, as compared with those who received an intervention with a mismatched frame or no intervention at all (these groups did not differ significantly). Given that framing is an inevitable part of most health educational interventions, these findings attest to the benefits of strategically tailoring the frame of a health behavior intervention to the relevant health beliefs of the recipient. Theoretical Implications This is the first study to show that naturally occurring beliefs about susceptibility shape people’s responses to framed messages in promoting an illness prevention behavior such as dental flossing. Framing effects were most pronounced among participants with low perceived susceptibility, underscoring the importance of using framing as a way to motivate healthy behavior among people who may not yet perceive a risk. Although the pattern of framing was somewhat reversed among participants with high perceived susceptibility, it was not significant. Prior studies that have examined the interaction between perceived susceptibility and framing have found the effects either driven by those with low perceived susceptibility (Hull, 2012, HIV intentions; Lee & Aaker, 2004, impressions of mono-fighting supplement ads), or by those with high perceived susceptibility (Ferrer et al., 2012, colorectal cancer screening intentions; Gallagher et al., 2011, mammography screening). No study has found significant effects of framing at both low and high levels of susceptibility. Thus, although mounting evidence shows the role of perceived susceptibility in moderating effects of framed messages, more work is needed to predict exactly where along the susceptibility spectrum framing effects emerge. Perhaps differences in how people arrive at perceptions of risk may explain some of this variability (Gallagher et al., 2011). With HIV and oral health, people may come to a clear awareness of their low risk status because they have not engaged in known behavioral risk factors for HIV or because they show no symptoms of oral health problems (e.g., pain, bleeding gums). In contrast, risk factors for breast and colorectal cancer are less controllable and less visible than for HIV or oral health, so even people who report low perceived susceptibility may not be fully convinced of their risk status (Gallagher et al., 2011). There are many other factors that could solidify a person’s perceived susceptibility to a given health threat— objective risk feedback, genetic testing, regular engage- This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. 8 UPDEGRAFF, BRICK, EMANUEL, MINTZER, AND SHERMAN ment in preventive behavior—so future research may benefit from examining the interaction of message framing and perceived susceptibility in contexts that involve any of these factors. Differential moderation by age. Consistent with prior research (see Sherman et al., 2008 for review), motivational orientation moderated framing effects among young adults but not among the full sample. Furthermore, perceived susceptibility did not moderate framing effects among young adults but did among the full sample. It may be that beliefs about perceived susceptibility to health problems are not particularly grounded beliefs for young adults, as they typically experience few health problems and have unrealistic optimism about health risks (cf. Renner, Knoll, & Schwarzer, 2000; Weinstein, 1984). In situations where people’s beliefs about a health issue are not particularly strong—as may be the case with young adults and oral health—their responses to framed messages may be more influenced by dispositional factors such as approach/avoidance motivation orientation (Rothman, Wlaschin, Bartels, Latimer, & Salovey, 2008) that lead to a greater depth of processing of strongly constructed health arguments (Updegraff et al., 2007). Thus, tailoring framed messages to approach/ avoidance motivations may be a useful strategy for interventions targeting young adults, but may not meet with as much success when targeting older individuals. Framing and the intention-behavior gap. Like many prior framing studies (see Gallagher & Updegraff, 2012, for review), we did not find evidence that our framing effects were directly mediated by changes in intentions or attitudes toward flossing. Instead, the Frame & Susceptibility interaction may have been due to a bridging of the intention– behavior gap. When people viewed a video that matched their perceived susceptibility to oral health problems, their intentions more reliably predicted behavior than when the video was mismatched. This finding is consistent with research by Hull (2012), who found that the interaction between perceived susceptibility and framing on intentions to HIV test was mediated by elaborative processing of the message. When elaboration on a persuasive message is high, attitudes should be more stable over time and more predictive of behavior than when elaboration is low (Briñol & Petty, 2006). Thus, our findings reinforce the argument that matching the frame of a health message to personal factors such as susceptibility or motivational orientation is a simple technique that increases a recipient’s attention and elaboration on a health message. Health Implications These findings have implications for oral health research as well. Relatively few behavioral interventions have shown longterm improvements in oral health care among adults (Watt & Marinho, 2005; but see Halvari & Halvari, 2006; Stewart et al., 1991; Tedesco, Keffer, Davis, & Christersson, 1992 for exceptions). Our Internet-delivered framed videos produced more selfreported flossing behavior over a 6-month period than a no intervention control. Thus, these findings attest to the feasibility of using the Internet in future oral health interventions. Internetdelivered interventions can be less expensive and wider-reaching than intensive, in-person treatments. The long-term behavior change we observed should be interpreted within the context of the manipulation’s brevity: It was just a 5-min educational video. Other oral health interventions have been more intensive, utilizing in-person consultation with dental hygienists over multiple sessions (Halvari & Halvari, 2006; Stewart et al., 1991; Tedesco et al., 1992). These interventions have shown greater self-reported flossing behavior at 6-month followups compared with no intervention controls, corresponding to effect sizes ranging from small (d " .24 in Tedesco et al., 1992) to large (d " 1.2 in Halvari & Halvari, 2006 and d " 2.4 in Stewart et al., 1991). In comparison, we found a small but significant effect of our videos on self-reported flossing behavior (d " .15, compared to no video), with the most notable effects emerging when the frame of the video matched people’s beliefs about perceived susceptibility (d " .19, compared with no video). Thus, our brief intervention produced effects comparable with one study of an in-person intervention (Tedesco et al., 1992), but not as strong of an effect as interventions that included more than 60 min of interaction with an oral health professional. However, a tailored, Internet-administered intervention can have a far greater reach than in-person oral health interventions. A central challenge for Internet-administered intervention will be getting and holding an audience’s attention; we show that matching the frame to beliefs about susceptibility is one strategy that may help. Thus, matching an intervention’s frame to beliefs about susceptibility could be profitably incorporated into other types of tailored interventions, whether those interventions be brief or extensive, in-person or online. Limitations There are several limitations of this research that should be noted and addressed in future work. There was considerable attrition in this study. Although there was no difference in attrition between the gain and loss video conditions, there was more attrition in the no video control condition than in the video conditions. Thus, comparisons involving the control condition should be interpreted with some caution. As our study relied on self-reports of flossing, future research may benefit by examining the effects of a message framing intervention on more objective measures of behavior or on clinical indices of oral health. Furthermore, attitudes and intentions were assessed with single-item measures. Although we excluded a few participants who skipped through the video early, we could not verify that all participants watched the video; this may have attenuated the influence of the framed videos. Lastly, our study focused on a general population of Americans, but due to panel limitations the study did not include a sizable proportion of American Indians, Alaska Natives, and Native Hawaiians. Future research should evaluate the use of framed interventions in such populations as well as in populations with higher rates of oral health problems both in the U.S. and internationally (see Iranians; Pakpour, Yekaninejad, Sniehotta, Updegraff, & Dombrowski, in press). Conclusion Framing is an inevitable part of interventions that seek to educate people about the consequences of their health behaviors, and interventions can benefit by strategically using particular message frames. This study integrates and reconciles two bodies of work in the health message framing literature, and yields the following recommendations for the strategic use of framed mes- MESSAGE FRAMING FOR HEALTH sages. Among young adults, motivational orientation shapes responses to framed messages. However, among middle- and older-adult samples, $!----!interventions should focus on perceived susceptibility. 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