Nielsen/IRI Intro Session What are Nielsen & IRI? • Supplier of information to consumer packaged goods industry • Information supplied: – Scanner data – Manufacturer coupons & features – Manufacturer displays • Information helps companies to make more informed decisions How is Data Collected? • Sample of stores (Grocery, Drug, Convenience, Mass Merch., Warehouse stores) • Scanner data – UPC info, Price, Quantity all recorded • Features – Centrally collected and coded (daily) • Displays – Collected by store auditors (1X/week) 4 Data Dimensions • Market • Product • Time • Measure Dimensions:Markets • Markets can be organized by class of trade, region, or both (also custom markets created by firms) – COT • Food • Drug • Mass • Combined – Region (usually dependent on company’s sales force organization, I.e. Colgate= North, South, Pacific) • North • South • East • West UAP CATEGORY- Size Trend - by COT •Large sizes are increasing, small decreasing YTD 00 YAG % Chg 3-O Small Large 46% 54% -5% +10% Food Small Large 54% 46% -9% +10% Mass Small Large 37% 63% -3% +12% Drug Small Large 53% 47% -1% +7% Dimension: Product • The Brand? • Particular Flavor? • Particular Size? You can select more than one SKU (including competitors). Product Category: Manufacturer: Type: Trademark: Flavor: Diet Regular: Caff. Free: Size: Carbonated Soft Drinks Pepsi-Cola Company Pepsi Colas Pepsi Colas Pepsi Colas-Wild Cherry Pepsi Colas-Wild Cherry R Pepsi Colas-Wild Cherry Regular C Pepsi Colas-Wild Cherry Regular Caff.12oz. 6 ct can Time • Generally 2 years available in database • Broken into periods by Weeks – – – – – 52 Weeks 26 Weeks 13 Weeks Months – 4 or 5 Weeks Individual Weeks • Customizable periods • Back data available Measures • Volume • Distribution • Sales • Price Measure:Volume • Baseline – Normal expected volume for the product in absence of any store level promotional activity – Estimated through modeling • Incremental – The proportion of total volume exceeding expected (baseline) volume. • Incremental Volume = Actual - Baseline Changes in Volume (Baseline) • Distribution Related • Velocity Related – – – – Price Support (coupon, TV) Awareness/Image Competition Volume • Promoted – Sold on either • Display • Feature • Price Decrease (TPR) • Non-Promoted – Actual sales recorded for the weeks with no promotional activity. Comparison of Promoted and Incremental Volume 120 100 40 50 60 50 Base & Incremental Promoted & Non-Promoted 80 60 40 20 0 Base Incremental Promoted Non-Promoted 10 cases of subsidized volume (volume that would have been expected without a promotion) Measure: Distribution • • • • All Commodity Volume (ACV) ACV Weighted Distribution % Stores Selling Average Weekly ACV Wtd Measure: Distribution Measure: All Commodity Volume (ACV) Definition: The total annual dollar sales of all items sold. ACV can be expressed for a particular geographic area, retail outlet type (Food, Drug, Mass), key account or RMA. New York Total Market $100MM ACV New York Pathmarks $30 MM (30%) New York A&P $15MM (15%) Measure: Distribution How Much Distribution Does My Brand Have? Measure: ACV Weighted Distribution Definition: The % of total ACV represented by stores where at least one of a product was scanned. ACV Brand X Brand Y Store A $30 MM X Store B $40 MM X Store C $15 MM X Store D $15 MM X Total Mkt $100 MM 70% 30% Measure: Distribution How Much Distribution Does My Brand Have Over a 4 Week Time Period? Store %ACV Wk 1 Store A 30% Store B 40% 0% Store C 15% 0% Store D 15% 0% Total Mkt 100% Answer: 30% X 30% Wk 2 X 30% Wk 3 X 30% Wk 4 X 30% 4Wk Total 30% 30% Measure: Distribution How Much Distribution Does My Brand Have Over a 4 Week Time Period? Store %ACV Store A 30% Store B 40% Store C 15% Store D 15% Total Mkt 100% Wk 1 Answer: 55% Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 4Wk Total 0% X X 40% 0% 40% X X 55% 15% 15% 0% 55% Measure: Distribution ACV Weighted Distribution vs. Stores Selling Over a 4 Week Time Period? Store %ACV Store A 30% Store B 40% Store C 15% Store D 15% Total Mkt 100% Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 4Wk Total 0% X X 40% 0% 40% X X 55% 15% ACV Wtd Distribution=40% + 15%= 55% % Stores Selling=2/4=50% 15% 0% 55% Measure: Distribution ACV Weighted Distribution vs. Avg Weekly ACV Weighted Distribution Over a 4 Week Time Period? Store %ACV Store A 30% Store B 40% Store C 15% Store D 15% Total Mkt 100% Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 4Wk Total 0% X X 40% 0% 40% X X 55% 15% 15% 0% 55% ACV Wtd Distribution=40% + 15%= 55% Avg Weekly ACV Wtd Distribution=(40+55+15+0)/4=27.5% Measure: Sales • Development Index: Per capita sales of a product/category/brand in a particular geography indexed to per capita sales of the same product/category/brand at Total U.S. (Product’s Volume in Market/Population in Market) (Product’s Volume in Total U.S./Population in Total U.S.) X 100 Sales • CDI – Category Development Index – Measures the Category’s volume development in a market compared to the category’s development in the Total U.S. • BDI – Brand Development Index – Measures the Brand’s volume development in a market compared to the brand’s development in the Total U.S. • PDI – Product Development Index – Measures the Product’s volume development in a market compared to the product’s development in the Total U.S. Sales Example: Product Development Index NY Mkt. Total U.S. Sales 150,000 4,550,000 Population Sales/Pop. 8,484,000 .01768 206,000,000 .0221 PDI = (.01768/.0221) x 100 = 80 Sales Why use Development Indices? – Help you to understand development by market – Identify needs and opportunities Guidelines for Reading Development Indices: 89 or below: Underdeveloped 90-110: Average Development 111 or above: Highly Developed Sales Basic Merchandising Conditions: • Any Merchandising – Includes all types of trade merchandising • • • • • Feature Display Feature and Display Special Pack Price Reduction (5% or greater) Sales Feature Only vs. Any Feature Any Display Any Feature Display Only Feature Only Feature & Display Sales Merchandising Measures: • % of Volume – Percent of retail volume sold in conjunction with trade merchandising activity • % of ACV – Measures “support” – Percent of geography ACV that participated in the trade merchandising activity Measure: Share • Share is a calculation based on unit, equivalized unit, or dollar volume. • Share measures – Share = (product vol/ category vol) * 100 – EQ share (EQ units = # of equivalent weighted units scanned for a product class or item) – Share change vs. year ago (point change) • This year’s share – last year’s share – Look at relationship between share changes and category volume changes COT Segmentation - EQ Share Mass is the largest and fastest growing COT 1999 Category EQ Volume by Class of Trade (% Change vs. YAG) Drug 19.3% (-0.7%) Mass 46.3% (+2.0%) Food 34.4% (-1.3%) Category Dynamics -Consumer Hierarchy of Needs • Consumers choose an AP/Deo product based on a hierarchy of needs which begins with form, first and foremost 1. Form •Sticks •Gels •Aerosols •Roll-On •Soft Solids 2. Gender •Male •Female •Unisex Low Transferable Demand Source: Nielsen Household Panel 3. Brand •Speed Stick •Right Guard •Lady Speed Stick •Secret 4. Type •AP •Deo 5. Scent •Scented •Unscented 6. Size •Large •Small High Transferable Demand Measure: Price • Retail price facts are gathered from: – Retailer’s tapes – Retail displays (marketing reps) – Feature ads (feature coders) • Price data is gathered separately from store movement data (if feature prices found are lower than tape prices, tape price is over-ridden) Price • Price Metrics – Price per unit • Package price for all scanned sales of a particular product – Price per Equivalent Unit • The package price for all sales of a particular product divided by the customdefined unit equivalency (i.e., price per pound) – Average price • Weighted average price for all scanned sales of a product (weighted average price for a period is computed by dividing total dollars during the period by total units sold [instead of dividing total price each week by the number of weeks]) – Non – promoted price • Actual product price in absence of a trade promotion (feature, display, tpr) – Promoted price • Price in stores with a feature, display, or tpr Okay, so how does this relate to Brand Management and my job this summer? So, How Does This Apply to BM? Hey Fuqua Intern, How can we sell the sales force on supporting Diet Mtn Dew? Volume % Chg vs. YAG (G/D/M) 15% 13.7% 13.0% Diet Dew 13.1% 10% Diet Flavors 6.9% 5% 7.9% 5.8% 5.5% 5.3% 3.8% Diet CSDs 2.6% Diet Colas 3.1% 1.2% 0% 1998 Source: IRI G/D/M 7/00 1999 YTD So, How Does This Apply to BM? Hey Fuqua Intern, which SKUs do we really need to get out on shelf? Channel ACV Weighted Distribution Grocery Diet Dew Diet Pepsi Source: IRI ‘99 C&G Diet Dew Diet Pepsi 6 Pack 45% 76% 9% 43% 12 Pack 88% 99% 22% 79% 24 Pack 28% 67% NA 12% 2 Liter 92% 98% 25% 85% 20 oz 48% 87% 91% 98% TM 99% 100% 92% 100% So, How Does This Apply to BM? Hey Fuqua Intern, Which 15 markets should we sample Diet Mtn Dew in? Market 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Bottler PBG PBG PBG PBG PBG PBG PBG PBG PBG Detroit, MI Tulsa, OK Peoria/Springfield Baltimore/Washington Nashville, TN Richmond/Norfolk Mississippi Birmingham/Montgom Source: IRI G/D/M 7/00 PBG PBG PBG PBG PBG F'99 Diet F'99 Reg F'99 Diet CDI Dew PDI Dew PDI 168 360 581 162 378 563 158 234 336 153 401 427 140 202 165 140 257 308 138 150 199 134 207 250 130 177 236 127 154 160 127 215 217 126 90 38 124 251 193 123 110 97 120 232 394 119 166 136 118 99 79 116 106 90 115 107 99 115 163 200 114 160 163 111 202 366 108 134 104 105 144 129 102 155 116 101 54 47 100 125 130 100 105 113 99 106 125 99 160 262 F'99 Diet CSD F'99 Diet F'99 Diet Volume Coke CSD Per Sales Share Cap 3,466,558 9 5.7 4,108,059 9 5.5 13,342,060 11 5.3 4,598,626 11 5.2 7,845,883 10 4.8 10,477,238 8 4.7 5,102,365 11 4.7 8,362,537 11 4.5 4,135,501 11 4.4 6,602,234 13 4.3 11,582,494 13 4.3 11,927,926 12 4.2 8,379,668 8 4.2 11,628,930 11 4.2 10,056,763 9 4.1 2,568,449 12 4.0 9,828,287 12 4.0 2,829,239 6 3.9 9,109,999 11 3.9 16,170,348 10 3.9 10,812,777 10 3.9 7,157,525 8 3.7 17,392,666 10 3.7 3,089,248 8 3.6 6,674,394 10 3.5 23,253,498 12 3.4 4,455,948 9 3.4 8,475,255 10 3.4 7,650,893 12 3.3 11,909,382 9 3.3 Questions?
© Copyright 2024