Global Competition Victor Camlek VP Market Intelligence Thomson Reuters

Global Competition
Victor Camlek
VP Market Intelligence
Thomson Reuters
Feb. 28, 2012
Measuring Global Competition
• Global competitiveness is difficult to state as a simple metric
• GC is viewed in a number of ways based on authoritative sources
• Various reports rank regions and nations of the world based upon:
– Economic Performance
– Global Innovation
– Research & Development
– Patent Filings
– Education Trends
– Scholarly Metrics
• Reporting organizations utilize a detailed series of parameters and
sub-parameters to achieve an overall scaled ranking
• A review of selected rankings indicates no consistent “winner”
• Leadership within the various rankings depends on the data to be
assessed and the various analytic frameworks utilized
2
Economic Leadership
• GDP offers a standard measurement of economic performance
• Three leading sources provide GDP PPP forecasts
– International Monetary Fund Database
– World Bank
– US CIA World Fact Book
• GDP based on purchasing power parity (PPP) is a good metric. It
adjusts exchange rates so that an identical good in different
countries has the same price when expressed in the same currency
• In terms of GDP, the US continues to lead the world
• China has moved into a number two position. Analysts have
forecast China will eventually assume global leadership.
• GDP measures global output, but it is not intended to gauge material
well-being, rather it serves as a measure of a nation's productivity
3
Top 10 Global Economies Based on PPP
• Chart displays growth in China’s GDP heading toward global leadership
• GDP is a valid economic measurement but it does not measure the distribution
wealth
$40T $42T $42T $45T $47T $50T
100% Brazil Brazil Brazil France France France
France France France Brazil
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
80
Germany
United
Kingdom
United
Kingdom
$56T
$60T
France
France
$64T
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Rus.
Fed.
Rus.
Fed.
Rus. Fed. Rus. Fed. Rus. Fed. Rus. Fed.
Germany
Germany Germany Germany Germany Germany
Brazil
Brazil
India India India India Japan Japan
Japan
Japan
Japan
Japan
India
India
India
India
India
China China China China China China
China
China
China
United
States
20 United United United United United United United
United
States States States States
States States States States
United
States
China
2015
2016
60 Japan Japan Japan Japan India
40
Number 1
Position
$53T
France
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2012
2013
2014
Source
IMF: International Monitory Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, September 2011
4
The Global Innovation Index (GII)
• Source: Insead, 2011
• Detailed global analysis
• Ranks 125 countries based
on a complex series of
pillars and sub-Pillars
• Knowledge Partners:
Insead, Alcatel-Lucent,
Booz and Company,
Confederation of Indian
Industry, WIPO
5
The Global Innovation Index
• Computed as an average of the scores across inputs pillars
(describing the enabling environment for innovation) and output
pillars (measuring actual achievements in innovation)
• Five pillars constitute the Innovation Input Sub-Index: 'Institutions,'
'Human capital and research,' 'Infrastructure', 'Market sophistication'
and 'Business sophistication‘
• The Innovation Output Sub-Index is composed of two pillars:
'Scientific outputs' and 'Creative outputs
• The Innovation Efficiency Index, calculated as the ratio of the two
Sub-Indices, examines how economies leverage their enabling
environments to stimulate innovation results.
6
GII Number One Ranking: Switzerland
• Switzerland achieved first place in the overall 2011 GII rankings (up
from position 4th last year) on the basis of its strong position in both
the Input and Output Sub-Indices (3rd and 2nd). Although the
country does not top any individual pillar, it places within the top 5 in
three Input pillars (Institutions at 5th, Market sophistication at 5th,
and Business sophistication at 4th) and both Output pillars (Scientific
outputs at 2nd and Creative outputs at 3rd). Its many strengths
include its top 10 positions on 30 indicators several sub-pillars.
• The top 10 economies in the Innovation Efficiency Index are Côte
d’Ivoire, Nigeria, China, Pakistan, Moldova, Sweden, Brazil,
Argentina, India, and Bangladesh. Three BRIC economies (Brazil,
India, and China) are in this select list, with the fourth, the Russian
Federation, coming in at 52nd place. By region, the best performers
are Côte d’Ivoire (1st), China (3rd), Pakistan (4th), Moldova (5th),
Brazil (7th), Jordan (16th), and the US (26th). By income group, in
descending order of income , the leaders are Sweden, Brazil, Côte
d’Ivoire, and Bangladesh.
7
GII: Innovation Leaders
Country
Scale (0100)
Income
2011
2010
2009
Switzerland
63.82
HI
1
4
7
Sweden
62.12
HI
2
2
3
Singapore
59.64
HI
3
7
5
Hong Kong
(SAR) China
58.80
HI
4
3
12
Finland
57.50
HI
5
6
13
Denmark
56.96
HI
6
5
8
USA
56.97
HI
7
11
1
Canada
56.33
HI
8
12
11
Netherlands
56.31
HI
9
8
10
UK
55.96
HI
10
14
4
Source: Data from 2011 GII
8
GII: Additional Countries of Interest
Country
Scale (0100)
Income
2011
2010
2009
Japan
50.32
HI
20
13
9
China
46.43
LM
29
43
37
Brazil
37.35
UM
47
68
50
Russian
Federation
35.85
UM
56
64
68
India
34.52
LM
62
56
41
Source: Data from 2011 GII
9
GII: Rankings Within The Pillars Show
Variations in Performance and Leadership
Scientific Output Scale
R&D
Sweden
62.1
Israel
93.7
Switzerland
62.0
Iceland
73.5
Finland
58.5
Finland
73.5
Israel
57.7
Sweden
73.2
USA
57.4
USA
70.2
Netherlands
53.8
Qatar
68.1
Korea Republic
53.7
Japan
65.1
Iceland
53.2
Denmark
63.6
China
52.7
Switzerland
63.5
UK
52.3
Singapore
60.2
Source: Data from 2011 GII
Scale
10
World Economic Forum
• Source: The Global Competitiveness
Report 2011-2012. World Economic
Forum, Geneva Switzerland,
September 2011
• Detailed analysis based on 12 Pillars
(Institutions; Infrastructure;
Macroeconomic environment; Health
and Primary Education; Higher
Education and Training; Goods
Market Efficiency; Labor Market
Efficiency; Financial Market
Development; Technological
Readiness; Market Size; Business
Sophistication; Innovation
11
Global Competitiveness Report
Country
Score
2011-2012
2010-2011
Switzerland
5.74
1
1
Singapore
5.63
2
3
Sweden
5.61
3
2
Finland
5,47
4
7
USA
5.43
5
4
Germany
5.41
6
5
Netherlands
5.41
7
8
Denmark
5.41
8
9
Japan
5.40
9
6
UK
5.39
10
12
BRIC Rankings: China 26; Brazil 53; India 56; Russian Federation 66
Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2011-12, c2011
12
Global Competitiveness Report Summary
• Switzerland tops the overall rankings
• Singapore overtakes Sweden for second position. Northern and
Western European countries dominate the top 10 with Sweden (3rd),
Finland (4th), Germany (6th), the Netherlands (7th), Denmark (8th)
and the United Kingdom (10th). Japan remains the second-ranked
Asian economy at 9th place, despite falling three places since last
year.
• The United States continues its decline for the third year in a row,
falling one more place to fifth position; Macroeconomic
vulnerabilities continue to build, some aspects of the United States’
institutional environment continue to raise concern among business
leaders - low public trust in politicians and concerns about
government inefficiency. More positive note, banks and financial
institutions are rebounding for the first time since the financial crisis.
13
Global Competitiveness Report Summary
• Germany maintains a strong position within the Eurozone, although
it goes down one position to sixth place, while the Netherlands (7th)
improves by one position in the rankings, France drops three places
to 18th, and Greece continues its downward trend to 90th.
Competitiveness-enhancing reforms will play a key role in
revitalizing growth in the region and tackling its key challenges, fiscal
consolidation and persistent unemployment
• The results show that while competitiveness in advanced economies
has stagnated over the past seven years, in many emerging markets
it has improved, placing their growth on a more stable footing and
mirroring the shift in economic activity from advanced to emerging
economies.
14
Global Competitiveness Report Summary
• The People’s Republic of China (26th) continues to lead the way
among large developing economies, improving by one more place
and solidifying its position among the top 30. Among the four other
BRICS economies, South Africa (50th) and Brazil (53rd) move
upwards while India (56th) and Russia (66th) experience small
declines. Several Asian economies perform strongly, with Japan
(9th) and Hong Kong SAR (11th) also in the top 20.
15
Measuring Research and Development
• Source: 2012 Global R&D
Funding Forecast
December 2011, Battelle
and R&D Magazine
• Reports results of an
annual survey of
researchers
16
Headlines
• US Industry R&D Increases 3.8% to $280 billion
• Growing worldwide emphasis on basic research
• Global R&D Spending to increase 5.2% to $1.4 trillion
• Increasing importance of R&D ROI and collaboration
• Numerous tables and text summarize R&D trends by geography and
Industry
17
Trends in R&D
• Global R&D spending is
expected to grow by about 5.2%
to more than $1.4 trillion in 2012
• Slightly less than the 6.5%
growth seen in 2011
• Most of the global funding growth
is being driven by Asian
economies, which are expected
to increase nearly 9% in 2012
• European R&D will grow by
about 3.5%
• North American R&D will grow by
2.8%. U.S. R&D is forecast to
grow 2.1% in 2012 to $436 billion
Share of Total Global R&D Spending
2010
2011
2012
Americas
37.8%
36.9%
36.0%
US
32.8%
32.1%
31.1%
34.3%
35.5%
36.7%
Japan
11.8%
11.4%
11.2%
China
12.0%
13.1%
14.2%
India
2.6%
2.8%
2.9%
24.8%
24.5%
24.1%
3.0%
3.1%
3.2%
Asia
Europe
Rest of
the World
Source: Battelle, R&D Magazine
18
Global R&D Forecast
19
R&D Forecast Trends
• Emerging economies are increasing their global technological
presence
• Economic issues in established economies limit their ability to
support R&D
• Established economies are losing their unique “tech-opolies”
• Sustainability is becoming a competitive advantage
• Energy has created new techology opportunities and hazards
• Rapid technology innovation is creating a more knowledge-intensive
world
• Product and technology sourcing has created new techno-politico
issues
Source: 2012 Global R&D Funding Forecast, Battelle and R&D Mag
20
Measuring Trends In Education
21
Number of College Degrees Worldwide
National Bureau of Economic Research
% Population Aged 15 and Older: Completed Tertiary Degree
©2010 Thomson Reuters.
Year USA
India
1950 6.3
0.3
1955 7.1
0.3
1960 8.5
0.3
1965
9
0.5
1970 11.4
0.6
1975 13.3
0.9
1980 16.7
1.2
1985 18.6
1.7
1990 20.9
2.1
1995
22
2.2
2000 26.4
2.4
2005 16.2
2.7
2010 15.8
3.1
Source: A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World,
1950–2010, Robert J. Barro, Jong-Wha Lee
http://www.nber.org/papers/w15902
China
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.8
1
1.8
2.6
3.6
5.2
Brazil
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
2.3
2.8
2.8
3.1
3.4
3.8
3.8
4.4
•
Trending trajectories can be assumed based on
metrics tracking percent of attainment across
wide population groups (Barro-Lee data).
•
A trajectory is illustrated that supports the
argument that attainment of undergraduate and
graduate degrees is increasing in emerging
economies (Brazil, India, China) while US
attainment appears to be less than the peak year
of 2000, although based on full population is still a
substantial number of people.
22
University Enrollment
• India's government speaks of increasing the
proportion of young people going to university
from 12% at present to 30% by 2025 approaching the levels of many Western
countries
©2010 Thomson Reuters.
• The amount of money in India’s central budget
for higher education in the current five year
plan (2010-2015) is nine times the amount of
the previous five years
• China has twice as many university graduates
as the United States, which used to be the
world leader, according to statistics published
by UNESCO.
**WEI (World Education Indicator) Countries = Argentina, Brazil, Chile, China, Egypt,
India, Indonesia, Jamaica, Jordan, Malaysia, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines,
Russian Federation, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Tunisia, Uruguay and Zimbabwe
• In 2005, more students graduated from
universities in the 19 WEI* countries than in
the 30 Member States of the OECD combine
Source: “India: The next university superpower?”
Mar 2011; UNESCO
23
Number of First University/Doctoral Degrees
©2010 Thomson Reuters.
• China now
produces an
equal or greater
number of natural
science and
engineering
(NS&E) doctoral
degrees
compared to the
United States,
rising four-fold
from approx
5,000 in 1997 to
over 20,000 in
2007
• Asia Expanding Researchers and High-Tech Education
In terms of total researchers, the U.S. and the E.U. experienced moderate annual growth of about 3% between 1995
and 2006, while growth in the Asian region outside Japan ranged from 7-11%. China averaged nearly 9% growth
annually in researchers, far outstripping any other country. Over this period the number of China’s researchers nearly
tripled, from just over half a million to more than 1.4 million, boosting its global share from 13% to 25%. The U.S. also
has around 1.4 million researchers, which places China at a level playing field in overall numbers (although there are
questions about the quality of Chinese researchers)
Source: National Science Board, “Science and
Engineering Indicators 2010”
24
CGS International Graduate Admissions
Survey – International Applications by
Discipline
25
Patent Filings
26
Global Patent Data
•Worldwide filings rebounded in 2010
• China and the US accounted for the
majority of worldwide growth (4/5ths)
China IP growth more than doubled
GDP growth
• Patent growth in Europe represented
by France, Germany and the UK
plus applications from the EPO far
exceeded GDP growth rate
• Japan growth rate more than
doubled GDP
• Republic of Korea only reported
office where GDP growth exceeded
patent growth
Source: WIPO 2011 World Intellectual Property Indicators
http://www.wipo.int/export/sites/www/freepublications/en/intproperty/941/wipo_pub_941_2011.pdf
27
Research Metrics
28
ESI Listings: By Papers
Rank Country
1
USA
2
Papers
Citations
Cites per paper
3,049,662
48,862,100
16.02
Peoples R China
836,255
5,191,358
6.21
3
Germany
784,316
10,518,133
13.41
4
Japan
771,548
8,084,145
10.48
5
England
697.763
10,508,202
15.06
6
France
557,322
7,007,693
12.57
7
Canada
451,588
6,019,195
13,33
8
Italy
429,301
5,151,675
12,00
9
Spain
339,154
3,588,655
10.58
10
Australia
304,160
3,681,595
12.10
Source: Thomson Reuters
http://sciencewatch.com/dr/cou/2011/11decALL
29
Sorted by Citations
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Country
USA
Germany
England
Japan
France
Canada
Peoples R
China
Italy
Australia
Spain
Papers
Citations
3,049,662 48,862,100
784,316 10,518,133
697.763 10,508,202
771,548
8,084,145
557,322
7,007,693
451,588
6,019,195
836,255
5,191,358
429,301
304,160
339,154
Cites per paper
5,151,675
3,681,595
3,588,655
Source: Thomson Reuters
http://sciencewatch.com/dr/cou/2011/11decALL
16.02
13.41
15.06
10.48
12.57
13,33
6.21
12,00
12.1
10.58
30
Research Metrics
• Source: Thomson Reuters (2010) Global
Research Report, United States,
November 2010
• “The US is no longer the Colossus of
Science, dominating the research
landscape in its production of
scientific papers, that it was 30 years
ago. It now shares this realm, on an
increasingly equal basis, with the
EU27 and Asia-Pacific. In terms of
relative citation impact — an indicator
of utility, influence, significance and
similar concepts — the US still holds a
commanding but eroding peak
position. Europe is beginning to match
US performance in citation impact, and
analysts are likely to be tempted to
predict that, in a decade or two, Asian
nations will do so as well”
31
Research Metrics
• Source: Thomson Reuters (2009) Global
Research Report, China November 2009
• “Beginning around the mid-1990s,
China’s output of scientific reports
expanded dramatically, commencing a
steep upward trajectory that has only
increased in recent years.” Charts
covering the years 1999 to 2008,
capture “the increase in the annual
number of Thomson Reuters-indexed
papers featuring at least one author
address in China. From just over
20,000 papers in 1998, China’s output
increased to upwards of 112,000
papers by 2008 —with the nation more
than doubling its output since 2004
alone. By the measure of annual
output, China surpassed Japan, the
UK and Germany in 2006 and now
stands second only to the USA.”
32
China: Dramatic Growth
Annual volume of research output compared to 1981
100
75
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
50
•
•
The numbers of papers from large regions make it tricky to appreciate change.
The data here are indexed back to the starting totals in 1981.
The value for each region is set at 1.0 in 1981. Later years are compared back to that point.
Each country is then tracked in terms of growth as a ratio.
The USA grows more slowly than world average but the EU-27 does better
China
China accelerates past these, growing its published research output to
more than 75 times the total in 1981 (135,000 articles cf 1,750).
In some technology fields it already exceeds US output
In Chemistry it has grown 150-fold and now produces 27,000 papers
EU-27
per year compared to 23,000 for the US.
Initial signs of reaching a plateau – but growth in physical sciences
is being mirrored by growth in biomedical and social sciences
Still, plenty of room for further expansion of the research portfolio
World
25
USA
0
1981
1985
1989
1993
1997
2001
2005
2009
Data and analysis: Evidence Thomson Reuters
Source: Thomson Reuters
33
33
IMPACT PROFILE CURVES ENABLE A RICH
COMPARISON
40%
USA ~ 2,900,000 papers
Un-cited Papers
Percentage of national output
UK ~ 700,000 papers
China ~ 500,000 papers
30%
20%
Normalized
against relevant
world average
10%
Most cited papers
0%
Uncited
> 0 < 0.125 ≥ 0.125 < 0.25 ≥ 0.25 < 0.5
≥ 0.5 < 1
≥1< 2
Citation impact - 1999-2008
Source: Thomson Reuters
≥2< 4
≥4< 8
≥8
34
Research Metrics
• Source: Thomson Reuters . Global
Research Report, Brazil, June 2009
• “Brazil is an increasingly important
and competitive research economy. Its
research workforce capacity and R&D
investment are expanding rapidly,
offering many new possibilities in a
diversifying research portfolio. It has
received much less policy attention
than China, however, and the research
base in Latin America in general is
unfamiliar to many in Europe and Asia.
The report shows that Brazil’s output
has doubled in ten years to 2007, part
of a long-term trend of growth that far
exceeds established G7 economies.
Relative to the rest of the world, Brazil
has exceptional capacity in biologybased disciplines and research related
to natural resources.”
35
Research Metrics
• Source: Thomson Reuters. Global
Research Report, India, October 2009
• “In the modern era, science and
technology have been central to
India’s development efforts since the
nation achieved independence in
1947...Despite these achievements,
recent years have seen a growing
realization among scholars,
policymakers, and other observers
that India lags behind other key
countries and some of its BRIC
partners in research investment and
output... A nagging problem,
however—perhaps paradoxically for
the second-most populous nation on
earth—is a current lack of human
resources: the availability of qualified
researchers has not kept pace with the
increased funding ”
36
Research Metrics
• Source: Thomson Reuters. Global
Research Report, Japan, June 2010
• “Japan has a well-established
research enterprise, world-class
universities and government
laboratories, and has produced a
number of Nobel Prize winners. Yet its
relative impact, across all fields taken
together, remains below the world
average. While its neighboring
nations’ citation impact is on the rise,
Japan’s numbers have lagged ...In
contrast to the scientific output of two
surging Asian economies previously
examined in these Global Research
Reports—India and China—Japan’s
yield of research publications has
been comparatively flat over the last
decade.”
37
Research Metrics
• Source: Thomson Reuters. Global
Research Report, United Kingdom,
October 2011.
• “The UK spends 4% of the world’s Gross
Expenditure on R&D on 6% of the world’s
researchers who are authors on 8% of the
world’s research articles and reviews. These
papers attract 11% of the world’s citations
and so create 14% of the world’s highly cited
output. Those exceptional articles include
17% of the world’s research papers with
more than 500 citations and 20% of those
with more than 1000 citations. Its average
research impact now surpasses that of the
USA. Despite this outstanding performance
– in terms of research efficiency,
effectiveness and excellence – the level of
private-sector research investment in the UK
is surprisingly low and has fallen relative to
comparators. The innovative capacity and
potential of the UK is therefore not matched
by its engagement with economic
competitiveness, but this is not the fault of
the research base.
38
Research Metrics: Latest View
• China
–
Plateau in growth in physical sciences and engineering but continued growth in biomedical
sciences. .
• Brazil
–
Growing in a different way to China because of its emphasis as a ‘natural knowledge’ economy,
which may give it great sustainability.
• Outside the BRIC(Korea) group,
–
Singapore is small but operates in a very efficient manner.
–
Iran has a very dynamic profile that is not limited to suspect technologies.
–
Attention can also be drawn to Mexico, Egypt, Turkey and Poland as countries that have
significant potential likely to be realised in the next ten years.
–
“This changes the geography quite a bit, and then you start to look at the changing collaboration
which is becoming less G7 orientated and more regional. It may be that regionalisation that will
affect the trans-Atlantic hegemony as much as any single growth country. The Asia-Pacific
network could be very powerful; a Latin America network around a Brazil-Mexico axis should also
emerge. This may then boost the status of regional journals, and that could affect our strategy,
although the predominance of English as the common research language may constrain that).”
Source: Thomson Reuters disaggregation of data allow this disaggregation to be analysed
Source: Thomson Reuters
39
GROWTH OF PHYSICAL SCIENCES HAS BEEN
SIGNIFICANT IN ASIA-PACIFIC (e.g. Materials)
Materials papers per year indexed in Web of Science
30,000
20,000
• Materials science captures a diversity of critical new technologies.
• This is a domain where growth of the newly emergent
research economies is very marked.
• The US led in the 1980s but stopped growing
• China bypassed the US in 2004 and now produces
13K papers per year. US produces less than 8K
• Other AP countries have also invested in this area
(Singapore, S. Korea, Taiwan).
• The Middle East is now beginning to take off
ASIA PACIFIC
EU-15
CHINA
USA
JAPAN
10,000
MIDDLE EAST
LATIN
AMERICA
0
1981
1985
1989
1993
1997
2001
2005
2009
Data and analysis: Evidence Thomson Reuters
Source: Thomson Reuters
40
40
40
40
The Middle East is Typical of New Regional Growth
Annual publications in Web of Science
20,000
Turkey’s research growth
in this decade is faster
than China’s
Turkey
Iran
15,000
Egypt
10,000
Saudi Arabia
5,000
Jordan
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Source: Thomson Reuters
2006
2007
2008
2009
41
What About The Publishers?
Development
Description
IET and INASP
Agreement to provide certain developing and emerging countries
within Africa, Asia and Latin America access to IET Research and
Letters Journals. The result is that users in selected regions are
able to gain access to IET resources and other scientific
information free of charge or at significantly reduced cost.
ProQuest
Will distribute SIAM (Society for Industry and Applied Mathematics
to libraries worldwide.
Knovel
Expands partner ecosystem with six new global publishing
partners.
NPG
Announces open access for Japanese Titles
Swets
Libraries R-evolution project now contains contributions from over
70 of Asia’s distinguished libraries and institutions; Swets
announced sales and marketing partnership with Wisers, a Hong
Kong-based Ghina news information provider.
Springer
Partners with Edanz Group, editing service for international
authors who’s first language is not English.
42
What About The Publishers?
Development
Description
Thomson Reuters
Web of Knowledge selected by Conseo Nacional de Cliencia Y
Technologia (CONACYT), a national council promoting science
and technologies polices in Mexico, to enhance the research and
analytic capabilities of researchers across Mexico.
ProQuest Serials
Solution Summon
Selected by Peking University in China to improve the
dscoverability and usability of a vast collection of digital resources
and materials. Peking University claims to serve more than
45,000 students.
Wolters Kluwer
Acquired India-based OA STM publisher MedKnow.
UK
UK research faces challenge from emerging according to The
Assn. of the British Pharmaceutical Industry (ABPI). ABP warned
that the UK must continue to attract investment for research, or
risk being surpassed by emerging markets.
McGraw-Hill
McGraw-Hill and Wipro will develop mobile learning platform for
emerging markets.
Elsevier
Bilingual publications to enhance medical education in the Middle
East; Elsevier has collaborated with Tsinghua University
Department of Computer Science and Technology in Beijing to
introduce four new research productivity enhancing applications
for SciVerse Applications.
43
What About The Publishers?
Development
Description
Gale
Introduces Gale World Scholar: Latin America and the Caribbean
Springer
In deal with Dai Nippon Printing for POD solutions in Japan
Thomson Reuters
InCites selected by the South Africa National Research
Foundation to analyze institutional productivity.
Springer
Springer and Asia Briefing announced ePublishing agreement to
enhance business and management book programs. The
agreement is for technical and business guides.
Springer also announced that the University of Hong Kong
Libraries has signed a renewal agreement that allows researchers
with affiliation to the HKU to publish their research results in
Springer journals using Springer Open Choice.
NPG
NPG expanded an open access publishing in China. Under the
initiative, NPG will publish two open access journals 0
International Journal of Oral Science and Light Science &
Applications – with Chinese universities from 2012.
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Publishers: Emerging Global Competitors?
• For the most part, publishers have developed a global presence and
partnered with various regional companies rather than face direct
competition
• Scholars continue to benefit from publishing in global journals
–
The goal to demonstrate quality rather than quantity tends to support the traditional
publishers
–
However, there are a combination of emerging and legacy publishers visible in
China, India and Brazil.
• A good portion of the STM market in emerging economies focuses
on books or indices.
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China: Notable STM Data Sources
• CNKI: Chinese National Resource Integrated Database
• Wanfang: As an affiliate of Chinese Ministry of Science &
Technology, Wanfang Data has been the leading information
provider in China since 1950s. With a wide range of database
resources and value-added services, Wanfang Data has become a
gateway to understand Chinese culture, medicine, business,
science, etc.
• Notable STM Publishers:
– Higher Education Press
– China Science Publishing Group Co Ltd (Science Press)
– People’s Medical Publishing House
– Chemical Industry Press
– Chinese Medicine Net
– Shanghai Scientific & Tec
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CNKI
47
Wanfang
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India STM Publishing
• Leading Publishers in India
1.
CBS Publishers & Distributors Pvt
Ltd
2.
Medknow Publications (WK)
3.
McGraw-Hill Professional India
4.
Nature India
5.
Reed Elsevier
6.
Sage Publications
7.
Springer India
8.
The Indian Academy of Sciences
(IAS)
9.
Thieme Medical Publishers Inc
Wiley India
• Indian Citation Index: developed by
"The Knowledge Foundation“ with
support of M/s Divan Enterprise. Mr.
Prakash Chand thought to bring out
Indian Citation Index (ICI) database
covering ~1000 top Indian scholarly
journals encompassing all disciplines of
knowledge. The ICI database enables
access and empowers users to search,
track, measure and collaborate in the
sciences, social sciences, arts, and
humanities to turns raw data/information
into the powerful knowledge one needs.
ICI like other indexes enables user to
move back in time to previously
published papers, but uniquely one can
also look forward in time to determine
who has subsequently cited an earlier
piece of research.”
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Indian Citation Index
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Brazil: STM Publishing Market
Market Dynamic
Commentary
Majority of STM
content focuses on
books
STM Segment earned $306M om 2009.
Major Players:
• Grupo Editorial Nacional Participacoes (GEN). GEN is the
market leader with $62M (2009). It publishes technical books.
• Grupo A Editoras: Created by the Artmed publishing house in
2010 is an umbrella for several imprings: McGraw-Hill
Interamericana de Brasil, Artmed Editoria, Bookman, Tekne,
Artes Medicas and Penso.
Journal Coverage
• SciELO (Scientific Electronic Library Online) is open access
Latin American bibliographic database with 638 scientific
journals in full-text. 251 titles are from Brazil
• Brazil has no established commercial STM journal publishing
industry, though several international publishers have a
substantial presence in Brazil.” These include Elsevier,
Springer and Brazilian Physical Society.
Source: Outsell, Brazillian STM Publishing on the Wax, June 5, 2011
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Global Issue: Professional User Challenges
• Professional users
face more “obstacles”
in the most recent
survey from Outsell
than they did in 2008
when it comes to
getting information
• The availability of time,
TMI, lack of staff support
and budget rank at the top
of the list
• Also notable: issue of quality
Source: End-User Update: 2008 Survey, Joanne Lustig, Outsell, April 27, 2011
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Conclusion
• Global competitiveness is accelerating in many ways.
• Established economies continue to lead in-depth innovative indices
based on complex parameters. However, RDEs are rising through the
rankings at an incremental pace.
• There is continuing evidence of growth in emerging economies in terms
of economic potential, R&D expenditures, academic trends and
bibliometric trends.
• STM remains as a stable market, publishers are partnering and locating
business units abroad. New competition is not quickly emerging in STM.
• Based on scholarly metrics additional RDE’s are following the high
growth patterns established by China.
• Major question moving forward on all measures: Sustainability?
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