PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related STROKES with Anticoagulants September 2012 - June 2013 PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Disclosure of Commercial Support STROKES with Anticoagulants This activity is supported by educational grants from Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer Inc. This slide presentation and artwork was independently developed by Boston University School of Medicine’s Powerpoint designer. Boston University School of Medicine’s Disclosure Policy Boston University School of Medicine asks all individuals involved in the development and presentation of Continuing Medical Education (CME) activities to disclose all relationships with commercial interests. This information is disclosed to CME activity participants. Boston University School of Medicine has procedures to resolve any apparent conflicts of interest. In addition, faculty members are asked to disclose when any unapproved use of pharmaceuticals and devices is being discussed. 2 PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Accreditation Information STROKES with Anticoagulants This activity has been planned and implemented in accordance with the Essential Areas and Policies of the Accreditation Council for Continuing Medical Education (ACCME) through the joint sponsorship of Boston University School of Medicine and Anticoagulation Forum. Boston University School of Medicine is accredited by the ACCME to provide continuing medical education for physicians. Boston University School of Medicine designates this live activity for a maximum of 1.0 AMA PRA Category 1 Credit(s)™. Physicians should claim only the credit commensurate with the extent of their participation in the activity. Continuing Nursing Education Provider Unit, Boston University School of Medicine is accredited as a provider of continuing nursing education by the American Nurses Credentialing Center’s Commission on Accreditation. CNE Contact Hours: 1.00 Nurses will receive contact hours for those sessions attended, after completion of an evaluation and claim for credit form. Continuing Pharmacy Education Credits The University of Rhode Island College of Pharmacy is accredited by the Accreditation Council for Pharmacy Education as a provider of continuing pharmacy education. Attendance and completion of program evaluations at the conclusion of the program are required for a statement of credit. This knowledge-based activity is approved for 1.0 Contact Hours (0.1 CEUs). UAN: 0060-9999-12- 040-L01-P. Expiration date: September 5, 2013. 3 PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Learning Objectives STROKES with Anticoagulants At the conclusion of this activity participants will be able to: : • Describe benefits of oral anticoagulants for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation • Identify the population of patients who would be at risk of stroke with atrial fibrillation • Compare current and new oral anticoagulants with regards to safety, efficacy, pharmacology, cost and convenience • Compare the benefits and risks of oral anticoagulant therapy for reducing the risk of stroke in atrial fibrillation patients • Utilize available decision making tools to stratify the risks and benefits of anticoagulation therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation 4 PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Highlights STROKES with Anticoagulants • Prevalence and incidence of AF • Risk stratification for stroke and bleeding • New oral anticoagulants • Guidelines • Practical considerations for choosing an anticoagulant PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Highlights STROKES with Anticoagulants • Prevalence and incidence of AF • Risk stratification for stroke and bleeding • New oral anticoagulants • Guidelines • Practical considerations for choosing an anticoagulant Question #1 An 82 year old man is in your office for an annual Medicare physical. What is the chance he has atrial fibrillation? 1. 1% 2. 5% 3. 10% 4. 25% 7 Prevalence of Diagnosed AF Stratified by Age and Sex 12.0 10.0 Women Men 11.1 10.3 9.1 8.0 7.3 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 1.7 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 <55 0.9 7.2 5.0 x-axis = % y-axis = # of men/women 3.4 1.7 1.0 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 > 85 # Women 530 310 566 896 1498 1572 1291 1132 # Men 1529 634 934 1426 1907 1886 1374 759 Go AS, JAMA. 2001 May 9;285(18):2370-5. Pub Med PMID: 11343485 8 Question #2 A 46 year old male patient is in for an annual physical exam. What is his lifetime risk of developing AF? 1. 1% 2. 5% 3. 10% 4. 25% 9 Incidence of AF Lifetime Risk for AF at Selected Index Ages by Sex Index Age, yrs Men Women 40 26.0% (24.0 – 27.0) 23.0% (21.0 – 24.0) 50 25.9% (23.9 – 27.0) 23.2% (21.3 – 24.3) 60 25.8% (23.7 – 26.9) 23.4% (21.4 – 24.4) 70 24.3% (22.1 – 25.5) 23.0% (20.9 – 24.1) 80 22.7% (20.1 – 24.1) 21.6% (19.3 – 22.7) 1 in 4 Men & women >40 Years will develop AF Lifetime risk if currently free of AF Lloyd-Jones DM, et al. Circulation. 2004 Aug 31;110(9):1042-6. Pub Med PMID: 15313941. 10 PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Highlights STROKES with Anticoagulants • Prevalence and incidence of AF • Risk stratification for stroke and bleeding • New oral anticoagulants • Guidelines • Practical considerations for choosing an anticoagulant Question #3 68 year old female with atrial fibrillation and no other comorbidities. How would you classify her stroke risk? 1. Low 2. Moderate 3. High 12 Scoring Systems in Atrial Fibrillation • Given that anticoagulant therapy has both risks (principally bleeding) and benefits (a reduced risk of thrombosis) many authors have attempted to produce scoring systems which estimate the risks of these outcomes • No one scoring system is universally accepted or highly predictive (in individual patients) 13 Scoring Systems in Stroke Risk • A variety of systems have been published – Outlined on next slide • All use selected clinical characteristics to predict the risk of stroke • Most widely used is the CHADS2 score • All scores provide a rough estimate of risk of thrombosis in a population at similar risk as patient being reviewed 14 Atrial Fibrillation Risk Stratification 12 Schemes applied to 1000 patients from SPAF III study High Moderate Stroke Risk in Atrial Fibrillation Working Group. Stroke. 2008 Jun;39(6):1901-10. Pub Med PMID: 18420954. Low 15 CHADS2: Risk of Stroke National Registry of Atrial Fibrillation Participants (NRAF) CHADS2 Score # Patients (n = 1733) # Strokes (n = 94) NRAF Crude Stroke Rate per 100 Patient-yrs NRAF Adjusted Stroke Rate (95% CI)† 0 120 2 1.2 1.9 (1.2-3.0) 1 463 17 2.8 2.8 (2.0-3.8) 2 523 23 3.6 4.0 (3.1-5.1) 3 337 25 6.4 5.9 (4.6-7.3) 4 220 19 8.0 8.5 (6.3-11.1) 5 65 6 7.7 12.5 (8.2-17.5) 6 5 2 44.0 18.2 (10.5-27.4) Scoring: 1 point: Congestive heart failure, HTN, < 75 years, and DM 2 points: Stroke history or transient ischemic attack † Expected stroke rate per 100 pt-yrs from the exponential survival model, assuming aspirin not taken Gage BF, Waterman AD, Shannon W, Boechler M, Rich MW, Radford MJ. JAMA. 2001 Jun 13;285(22):2864-70. Pub Med PMID: 11401607. 16 CHA2DS2-VASc 2009 Birmingham Schema Expressed as a Point-Based Scoring System Risk Factor Score Congestive heart failure/LV dysfunction Hypertension Age ≥ 75 y Diabetes mellitus Stroke/TIA/TE Vascular disease (prior myocardial infarction, peripheral artery disease, or aortic plaque) Age 65-74 y Sex category (i.e. female gender) 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 LV = left ventricular; TE = thromboembolism Lip GY, Nieuwlaat R, Pisters R, Lane DA, Crijns HJ. Chest. 2010 Feb;137(2):263-72. Pub Med PMID: 19762550. 17 CHA2DS2-VASc Stroke or Other TE at One Year CHA2DS2VASc Score # #TE Events TE Rate During 1 yr (95% CI) TE Rate During 1 yr, Adjusted for Aspirin RX 0 103 0 0% (0-0) 0% 1 162 1 0.6% (0.0-3.4) 0.7% 2 184 3 1.6% (0.3-4.7) 1.9% 3 203 8 3.9% (1.7-7.6) 4.7% 4 208 4 1.9% (0.5-4.9) 2.3% 5 95 3 3.2% (0.7-9.0) 3.9% 6 57 2 3.6% (0.4-12.3) 4.5% 7 25 2 8.0% (1.0-26.0) 10.1% 8 9 1 11.1% (0.3-48.3) 14.2% 9 1 1 100% (2.5-100) 100% Total 1,084 25 P Value for trend 0.003 Lip GY, Nieuwlaat R, Pisters R, Lane DA, Crijns HJ. Chest. 2010 Feb;137(2):263-72. Pub Med PMID: 19762550. 18 CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 Score 0–1 Refines stroke risk stratification in AF patients: nationwide cohort 1 Year Follow-up 12 Years Follow-up Person Yrs Events Stroke rate (95%CI) Person Yrs Events Stroke rate (95%CI) CHADS2 score 0–1 40,272 1,405 3.49 (3.31–3.68) 187,200 4,599 2.46 (2.39–2.53) CHA2DS2-VASc = 0 6,919 58 0.84 (0.65–1.08) 39,500 299 0.76 (0.68–0.85) CHA2DS2-VASc = 1 8,880 159 1.79 (1.53–2.09) 45,926 662 1.44 (1.34–1.56) CHA2DS2-VASc = 2 11,863 435 3.67 (3.34–4.03) 51,595 1,489 2.89 (2.74–3.04) CHA2DS2-VASc = 3 11,473 660 5.75 (5.33–6.21) 45,799 1,933 4.22 (4.04–4.41) CHA2DS2-VASc = 4 1,137 93 8.18 (6.68–10.02) 4,380 216 4.93 (4.32–5.64) CHADS2 score = 0 17,327 275 1.59 (1.41–1.79) 92,531 1182 1.28 (1.21–1.35) CHA2DS2-VASc = 0 6,919 58 0.84 (0.65–1.08) 39,500 299 0.76 (0.68–0.85) CHA2DS2-VASc = 1 6,811 119 1.75 (1.46–2.09) 35,079 504 1.44 (1.32–1.57) CHA2DS2-VASc = 2 3,347 90 2.69 (2.19–3.31) 16,710 353 2.11 (1.90–2.34) CHA2DS2-VASc = 3 250 8 3.20 (1.60–6.40) 1,242 26 2.09 (1.43–3.07) CHADS2 Score = 1 22,945 1,130 4.92 (4.65–5.22) 94,669 3417 3.61 (3.49–3.73) CHA2DS2-VASc = 1 2,069 40 1.93 (1.42–2.64) 10,847 158 1.46 (1.25–1.70) CHA2DS2-VASc = 2 8,516 345 4.05 (3.65–4.50) 34,885 1136 3.26 (3.07–3.45) CHA2DS2-VASc = 3 11,223 652 5.81 (5.38–6.27) 44,557 1907 4.28 (4.09–4.48) CHA2DS2-VASc = 4 1,137 93 8.18 (6.68–10.02) 4,380 216 4.93 (4.32–5.64) Olesen JB, Torp-Pedersen C, Hansen ML, Lip GY. Thromb Haemost. 2012 Jun;107(6):1172-9. Pub Med PMID: 22473219. 19 Question #4 78 year old male with atrial fibrillation and hypertension (CHADS2 score = 2 [4% stroke rate per year]). What is his annual major bleeding rate? 1. 1% 2. 2% 3. 3% 4. 5% 5. 10% 20 Bleeding Risk Scores • Variety of scoring systems developed to predict risk of bleeding in patients initiating anticoagulants, as with stroke risk • Less predictive than stroke risk scores, in general • Each score incorporates clinical characteristics and provides estimate of risk of bleeding in a population similar to patients being considered • Unclear whether to include risk scores in decision making for individual patients 21 Bleeding Risk Scores Widely Used in AF • HAEMORRHAGES1 • HASBLED2 • ATRIA Score3 1. Gage BF, et al. Am Heart J. 2006 Mar;151(3):713-9. PMID: 16504638. Pub Med PMID:16504638. 2. Pisters R, Lane DA, Nieuwlaat R, de Vos CB, Crijns HJ, Lip GY. Chest. 2010 Nov;138(5):1093-100. PMID:20299623. 3. Fang MC, et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2011 Jul 19;58(4):395-401. Pub Med PMID:21757117. 22 Bleeding Risk Scores in AF ATRIA HAS-BLED HEMORR2HAGES Anemia1 3 Hypertension4 1 Hepatic10 or disease2 1 1 Severe renal disease2 3 Abnormal Renal5 or 1 1 Ethanol abuse 1 Age ≥75 yrs 2 Stroke 1 Malignancy 1 Any prior hemorrhage 1 Bleeding 1 Older Age (>75 yrs) 1 Hypertension3 1 Labile INR8 1 Reduced platelet number 1 Elderly (>65 yrs) 1 Rebleeding12 2 Drugs9 or 1 1 Hypertension4 1 Anemia13 1 Genetic factors14 1 Excessive fall risk15 1 Stroke 1 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. Liver function6 Alcohol Hemoglobin <13 g/dl men; <12 g/dl women Estimated glomerular filtration rate <30 ml/min or dialysis-dependent Diagnosed hypertension Systolic blood pressure >160 mmHg Presence of chronic dialysis or renal transplantation or serum creatinine ≥200 mmol/L Chronic hepatic disease (eg cirrhosis) or biochemical evidence of significant hepatic derangement (eg bilirubin 2 x upper limit of normal, in association with aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase/alkaline phosphatase >3 x upper limit normal, etc.) Unstable/high INRs or poor time in therapeutic range (eg <60%) Concomitant use of drugs, such as antiplatelet agents, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, or alcohol abuse etc. Cirrhosis, two-fold or greater elevation of AST or APT, or albumin <3.6 g/dl Platelets <75,000, use of antiplatelet therapy (eg daily aspirin) or NSAID therapy; or blood dyscrasia Prior hospitalization for bleeding Most recent hematocrit <30 or hemoglobin <10 g/dl CYP2C9*2 and/or CYP2C9*3 Alzheimer's dementia, Parkinson's disease, schizophrenia, or any condition predisposing to repeated falls Renal or function11 Apostolakis S, Lane DA, Guo Y, Buller H, Lip GY. J Am Coll Cardiol 2012;60:000–000. 2012 Jul 24. [Epub ahead of print] Online Appendix. PMID: 22858389. 23 AMADEUS Cohort Stratified by the HEMORR2HAGES, HAS-BLED, and ATRIA Schemes All Patients Clinically Relevant Bleeding Major Bleeding 1,738 (76.6) 182 (10.5) 25 (1.4) 517 (22.8) 63 (12.2) 13 (2.5) 13 (0.5) 3 (23.1) 1 (7.7) 2,268 248 (10.9) 39 (1.7) Low Risk (<3) 1,739 (75.9) 159 (9.1) 22 (1.3) High Risk (≥3) 553 (24.1) 92 (16.6) 17 (3.1) 2,292 251 (11.0) 39 (1.7) Scheme HEMORR2HAGES Low (≤1) Risk Intermediate Risk (2–3) High Risk (>3) TOTAL HAS-BLED TOTAL ATRIA Low Risk (<4) 2,038 (90) 220 (10.8) 31 (1.5) Intermediate Risk (4) 102 (4.4) 13 (12.7) 3 (2.9) High Risk (>4) 128 (5.6) 18 (14.1) 5 (3.9) 2,268 248 (10.9) 39 (1.7) TOTAL Apostolakis S, Lane DA, Guo Y, Buller H, Lip GY. J Am Coll Cardiol 2012;60:000–000. 2012 Jul 24. [Epub ahead of print] Online Appendix. PMID: 22858389. 24 Risks of Bleeding with Warfarin or Dabigatran in AF Oldgren J, et al. Ann Intern Med. 2011 Nov 15;155(10):660-7, W204. Pub Med PMID: 22084332. 25 Adjusted HR for Death After Stroke, MI, or Major Hemorrhage In Patients Who Received Antiplatelet Therapy in the ACTIVE Trials Event Pts With Event, n Subsequent Deaths, n (Adjusted Rate) HR for Death (95% CI)† Relative Weights‡ Ischemic stroke 785 362 (36.4) 5.74 (5.10 – 6.47) 1.00 (reference) Hemorrhage stroke 59 48 (81.4) 17.67 (13.15 – 23.75) 3.08 Subdural hemorrhage 42 15 (32.4) 3.44 (2.06 – 5.74) 0.60 Major extracranial bleeding event 435 162 (31.6) 3.82 (3.24 – 4.51) 0.67 Myocardial infarction 260 120 (38.9) 5.44 (4.51 – 6.56) 0.95 † Compared to no event ‡ ratio of hazard ratios Connolly SJ, et al. Ann Intern Med. 2011 Nov 1;155(9):579-86. Pub Med PMID: 22041946. 26 PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Highlights STROKES with Anticoagulants • Prevalence and incidence of AF • Risk stratification for stroke and bleeding • New oral anticoagulants • Guidelines • Practical considerations for choosing an anticoagulant Pharmacokinetics of NOACs Apixaban Dabigatran Rivaroxaban Xa IIa Xa 80% 6% 80% 1–3 hr 1–3 hr 1–3 hr Protein binding 84% 35% 92–95% Renal clearance 25% 80% 33% Elimination half life with creatinine clearance > 80 ml/min Elimination half life with creatinine clearance 50–79 ml/min Elimination half life with creatinine clearance 30–49 ml/min 15.1 hr 13.8 hr 8.3 hr 14.6 hr 16.6 hr 8.7 hr 17.6 hr 18.7 hr 9.0 hr Elimination half life with creatinine clearance < 30 ml/min 17.3 hr 27.5 hr 9.5 hr Direct factor inhibition Bioavailability (Frel) Peak action (tmax) Kaatz S, et al. Am J Hematol. 2012 May;87 Suppl 1:S141-5. Pub Med PMID: 22473649. 28 Measuring the Effect of NOACs Coagulation Assays Apixaban Rivaroxaban Dabigatran PT -dilute PT -modified PT Not useful Data n/a Qualitative Qualitative Data n/a Data n/a Not useful Data n/a Data n/a aPTT Not useful Not useful Qualitative TT -dTT/HEMOCLOT No effect No effect No effect No effect Qualitative Quantitative Quantitative No effect Quantitative No Effect No effect Quantitative Chromogenic Assays -Anti-Xa -Anti-Iia n/a = not available Garcia DA, et al. In review. 29 Reversal of NOACs Types of Studies Evaluating Reversal of New Oral Anticoagulants Apixaban Dabigatran Rivaroxaban Oral activated charcoal No data In vitro No data Hemodialysis No data Human volunteers No data Hemoperfusion with activated charcoal No data In vitro No data Fresh frozen plasma No data Mouse model No data Activated factor VIIa No data Rat model Rat and baboon model 3-factor PCC No data No data No data 4-factor PCC No data Human volunteers and rat model Human volunteers Kaatz S, et al. Am J Hematol. 2012 May;87 Suppl 1:S141-5. Pub Med PMID: 22473649. 30 Reversal of NOACs Suggestions for Reversal of New Oral Anticoagulants Apixaban Dabigatran Rivaroxaban Oral activated charcoal Yes Yes Yes Hemodialysis No Yes No Hemoperfusion with activated charcoal Possible Yes Possible Fresh frozen plasma No No No Activated factor VIIa Unclear Unclear Unclear 3-factor PCC Unclear Unclear Unclear 4-factor PCC Possible Possible Possible Kaatz S, et al. Am J Hematol. 2012 May;87 Suppl 1:S141-5. Pub Med PMID: 22473649. 31 Meta-analysis of Efficacy and Safety of New Oral Anticoagulants Dabigatran, Rivaroxaban, Apixaban vs. Warfarin in AF patients All cause stroke/SEE Ischemic and unspecified stroke Hemorrhagic stroke 32 Miller CS, Grandi SM, Shimony A, Filion KB, Eisenberg MJ. Am J Cardiol. 2012 Aug 1;110(3):453-60. Pub Med PMID: 22537354.. Meta-analysis of Efficacy and Safety of New Oral Anticoagulants Dabigatran, Rivaroxaban, Apixaban vs. Warfarin in AF patients Major bleeding Intracranial bleeding GI Bleeding Miller CS, Grandi SM, Shimony A, Filion KB, Eisenberg MJ. Am J Cardiol. 2012 Aug 1;110(3):453-60. Pub Med PMID: 22537354.33 PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Highlights STROKES with Anticoagulants • Prevalence and incidence of AF • Risk stratification for stroke and bleeding • New oral anticoagulants • Guidelines • Practical considerations for choosing an anticoagulant Question #5 78 year old female with atrial fibrillation, hypertension and CHF. CHADS2 = 3 CHA2DS2-VASc = 5 HAS-BLED = 2 What would you use for stroke prevention? 1. No anti-thrombotics 2. Aspirin 3. Aspirin + clopidogrel 4. VKA antagonist 5. Dabigatran or Rivaroxaban 35 European Society of Cardiology Guidelines CHA2DS2-VASc and Stroke Rate Risk Factors For Stroke and Thrombo-embolism in Non-valvular AF Risk Factor Score Congestive heart failure/LV dysfunction* 1 Hypertension* 1 Age >75** 2 Diabetes Mellitus* 1 Stroke / TIA / Thrombo-embolism** 2 Vascular Disease* 1 Age 65-74* 1 Sex category (i.e. female sex)* 1 Maximum Score 9 Note: maximum score is 9 since age may contribute 0,1, or 2 points * ‘Clinically relevant non-major’ risk factor ** “Major” risk factor Camm AJ. Europace. 2010 Oct;12(10):1360-420. Pub Med PMID: 20876603. 36 European Society of Cardiology Guidelines Approach to Thromboprophylaxis in Patients with AF Score Recommended Antithrombotic Therapy1 >2 OAC CHA2DS2-VASc Risk Category One ‘major’ risk factor or > 2 ‘clinically relevant non-major’ risk factors One ‘clinically relevant non-major’ risk factor’ No risk factors Risk of Bleeding Low risk Measurable risk, or 1 clinicallyrelevant non-major risk factor 1 0 • • Either OAC or aspirin 75-325 mg daily Preferred: OAC rather than aspirin • Either aspirin 75-325 mg daily or no antithrombotic therapy Preferred: no antithrombotic therapy rather than aspirin • HAS-BLED Score Dabigatran Dosage2 0–2 150 mg b.i.d. ≥3 110 mg b.i.d. 1. Camm AJ. Europace. 2010 Oct;12(10):1360-420. Pub Med PMID: 20876603. 2. Connolly SJ, et al. N Engl J Med 2009;361:1139–1151. PMID: 19717844. 37 2011 ACCF/AHA/HRS Guidelines Antithrombotic Therapy for Patients with Atrial Fibrillation 1 Risk Category Recommended Therapy No risk factors Aspirin, 81 to 325 mg daily One moderate risk factor Aspirin, 81 to 325 mg daily, or warfarin (INR 2.0 to 3.0, target 2.5) Any high risk factor or > 1 moderate-risk factor Warfarin (INR 2.0 to 3.0, target 2.5)* Less Validated / 1 Weaker Risk Factors Moderate Risk Factors High Risk Factors Female gender Age >75 years Previous stroke, TIA or embolism Age 65 to 74 years Hypertension Mitral stenosis Coronary artery disease Heart failure Prosthetic heart valve* Thyrotoxicosis LV ejection fraction <35% * If mechanical valve, target international normalized ratio (INR) > 2.5 Diabetes mellitus 2011 Focused Update Recommendation Class I 2 Dabigatran is useful as an alternative to warfarin for the prevention of stroke and systemic thromboembolism in patients with paroxysmal to permanent AF and risk factors for stroke or systemic embolization who do not have a prosthetic heart valve or hemodynamically significant valve disease, severe renal failure (creatinine clearance <15 mL/min) or advanced liver disease (impaired baseline clotting function). (Level of Evidence: B) 1. Fuster V. Circulation. 2011 Mar 15;123(10): Pub Med PMID: 21382897. 2. Wann LS, et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2011 Mar 15;57(11):1330-7. Pub Med PMID: 21324629. Comments New Recommendation 38 ACCP Guidelines For patients with Nonrheumatic AF, including those with Paroxysmal AF ACCP Recommendation Alternative* Not Recommended Low Risk (CHADS2 = 0) No Therapy Aspirin Oral anticoagulation or combination therapy with aspirin and clopidogrel Intermediate Risk (CHADS2 = 1) Oral anticoagulation Aspirin with clopidogrel Aspirin High Risk (CHADS2 = 2) Oral anticoagulation (dabigatran 150 mg b.i.d. vs. VKA**) Aspirin with clopidogrel Aspirin Level of Risk *For patients with AF unsuitable for, or who refuse, oral anticoagulant (for reasons other than concerns about major bleeding) **VKA = adjusted-dose vitamin K antagonist You JJ, et al. Chest. 2012 Feb;141(2 Suppl):e531S-75S. Pub Med PMID: 22315271. 39 Canadian Cardiovascular Society Guidelines Assess Thromboembolic Risk (CHADS2) CHADS2 = 0 CHADS2 = 1 CHADS2 = 2 OAC Increasing stroke risk No antithrombotic No additional risk factors for stroke ASA OAC* OAC* Either female sex or vascular disease Age > 65 yrs Age >or65 yrs or combination combination female sex female sex and and vascular vascular disease disease *ASA is a reasonable alternative for some as indicated by risk/benefit When OAC therapy is indicated, most patients receive: • Dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or apixaban (after Health Canada approval) • In preference to warfarin • Conditional Recommendation, High-Quality Evidence Skanes AC, et al. Can J Cardiol. 2012 Mar-Apr;28(2):125-36. Pub Med PMID: 22433576. 40 PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Highlights STROKES with Anticoagulants • Prevalence and incidence of AF • Risk stratification for stroke and bleeding • New oral anticoagulants • Guidelines • Practical considerations for choosing an anticoagulant Optimal Candidates for New Drugs Patients who: • Find INR testing burdensome • Despite adherence to provider recommendations, have low ‘time-in-range’ • Can afford (or arrange to get) the new drugs • Have normal renal function 42 Optimal Candidates for Warfarin Patients who: • Have (borderline) renal insufficiency • Are taking stable dose of warfarin and do not find INR testing burdensome • Have access to self-testing machine • Are concerned about the lack of an evidence-based reversal strategy 43 Taiwan Mexico Peru Romania India Columbia Russia Brazil China Korea Greece Thailand Malaysia Poland Japan South Africa France Slocakia Portugal Israel Czech Republic Philippines Bulgaria Hungary Hong Kong Turkey Belgium Austria USA Spain Germany Switzerland Singapore Argentina Netherlands Norway Canada Italy Ukraine UK Denmark Austrailia Finland Sweden TTR per Country in RELY 90 80 70 60 50 44 47 48 49 49 53 53 54 55 55 56 56 56 57 58 58 64 64 64 64 64 60 60 62 62 65 65 66 66 66 67 Wallentin L, et al. Lancet. 2010 Sep 18;376(9745):975-83. PMID: 20801496. 68 68 74 74 70 70 70 71 71 72 72 72 77 40 30 20 10 0 USA: Improvement Needed 44 Stroke and Systemic Embolism By Center TTR in RELY • TTR=optimum therapeutic range • cTTR=center's mean TTR Wallentin L, et al. Lancet. 2010 Sep 18;376(9745):975-83. Pub Med PMID: 20801496. 45 Major Bleeding By Center TTR in RELY • TTR=optimum therapeutic range • cTTR=center's mean TTR Wallentin L, et al. Lancet. 2010 Sep 18;376(9745):975-83. PMID: 20801496. 46 Stroke and Systemic Embolization by Center Proportion of INR in Therapeutic Range in ROCKET AF Rivaroxaban Center TTR‡ Rivaroxaban vs. Warfarin Warfarin Total Event Rate (100 Pt Yrs)§ Total Event Rate (100 Pt Yrs)§ Hazard Ratio (95% CI)II 0.00-50.6% 45/1735 (2.59) 1.77 62/1689 (3.67) 2.53 0.70 (0.48, 1.03) 50.7%-58.5% 53/1746 (3.04) 1.94 63/1807 (3.49) 2.18 0.89 (0.62, 1.29) 58.6-65.7% 54/1734 (3.11) 1.90 62/1758 (3.53) 2.14 0.89 (0.62, 1.28) 65.7-100.0% 37/1676 (2.21) 1.33 55/1826 (3.01) 1.80 0.74 (0.49, 1.12) N=7061 rivaroxaban N=7082 warfarin P value for interaction=0.736 Time in therapeutic range-2-3 inclusive ‡Center TTR calculated using total INR values in target range from all warfarin subjects within center, divided by total INR values from all warfarin subjects within center §Number of events per 100 patient-years of follow-up II Hazard ratio from Cox proportional hazard model with treatment as a covariate Patel MR, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011 Sep 8;365(10):883-91. Pub Med PMID: 21830957. 47 PREVENTING Atrial Fibrillation Related Summary STROKES with Anticoagulants • Prevalence and incidence of AF • Risk stratification for stroke and bleeding • New oral anticoagulants • Guidelines • Practical considerations for choosing an anticoagulant 48
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