Q3 2014 EARNINGS PRESENTATION Presented by: Joe Nemeth, Presented by: President & CEO Kevin J. Clarke, Brian Baarda, VP Finance President & CEO Brian Baarda, November 5, 2014 VP Finance & CFO May 7, 2013 1 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014March 6, 2013 & CFO FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS The presentation and answers to questions today contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that address or discuss activities, events or developments that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future and can be identified by the use of words such as “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “plan”, “likely”, “predict”, “estimate”, “forecast”, and similar words or phrases or the negative of such words or phrases. These forward-looking statements reflect our current beliefs, intentions or expectations based on certain assumptions and estimates, which could prove to be significantly incorrect, including our ability to develop, manufacture and sell new products and services that meet the needs of our customers and gain commercial acceptance, our ability to continue to sell our products and services in the expected quantities at the expected prices and expected times, our ability to successfully obtain cost savings from our cost reduction initiatives, our ability to implement business strategies and pursue opportunities, expected cost of goods sold, expected component supply costs and constraints and expected foreign exchange and tax rates. While considered reasonable by management, these forward-looking statements are inherently subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results or events to differ from historical or anticipated results or events. These risks, uncertainties and other factors include the impact of general economic conditions in the countries in which we do business, conditions in the capital markets and our ability to obtain financing and refinance existing debt, market conditions and demand for our products (including declines in advertising and circulation), product selling prices, the implementation of trade restrictions in jurisdictions where our products are marketed, fluctuations in foreign exchange or interest rates, raw material prices (including wood fibre, chemicals and energy), our ability to successfully obtain cost savings from our cost reduction initiatives, the effect of, or change in, environmental and other governmental regulations, labour relations, the availability of qualified personnel, legal proceedings, the effects of competition from domestic and foreign producers, our ability to implement business strategies and pursue opportunities, the risk of natural disaster and other factors beyond our control. As a result, no assurance can be given that any of the events or results anticipated by such forward-looking statements will occur or, if they do occur, what benefit they will have on our operations or financial condition. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. We disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. 2 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 NON-GAAP MEASURES Except where otherwise indicated, the financial information in this presentation is determined on the basis of U.S. GAAP. “Adjusted EBITDA” is a non-GAAP measure, calculated as operating earnings (loss) plus depreciation and amortization and impairment. We focus on adjusted EBITDA as we believe this measure enables comparison of our results between periods without regard to debt service, income taxes, capital expenditure requirements, and impairment. “Adjusted EBITDA before restructuring costs”, “net earnings (loss) attributable to the Company before specific items”, and “net earnings(loss) per share attributable to the Company’s common shareholders before specific items” are non-GAAP measures. We use measures excluding specific items in evaluating our results between periods without regard to specific items that adversely or positively affect our adjusted EBITDA and net earnings (loss). “Free cash flow” is a non-GAAP measure, calculated as adjusted EBITDA after capital expenditures, interest and taxes paid, and adjustments to reflect employee future benefit payments. The closest GAAP measure is cash provided by operating activities less cash used by investing activities. We report free cash flow as we believe it is useful for investors and other users to be aware of this measure so they can better assess our operating performance. 3 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 Q3 OVERVIEW FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: YTD Financial Performance has significantly improved vs 2013: YTD Adjusted EBITDA is $40.8M vs $27.0M in the first 9 months of 2013. Q3 Adjusted EBITDA of $8.0M was $0.9M higher than Q2 2014 YTD free cash flow was negative $5.0M vs negative $27.3M in the first 9 months of 2013. Q3 free cash flow was negative $8.0M for the quarter Q3 results were negatively impacted by Powell River’s Total Mill Outage (TMO) and maintenance work on our power boilers at Powell River and Port Alberni Operating results reflected record pulp productivity and lower pulp manufacturing costs We sold our interest and repaid the related mortgage receivable on the PRSC Limited Partnership and PRSC Land Development Ltd. for $3.0M proceeds 4 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 Q3 OVERVIEW OPERATIONS: Safety performance: Q3 MIR of 3.08 vs 3.91 in 2013 2014 YTD MIR is 2.50 Pulp Productivity: Best pulp productivity since 2007 Paper Productivity: Impacted by the Powell River’s TMO MARKETS: North American paper demand and price declined in the 3rd quarter Announced paper price increases of US$20/ton on our Coated Grades effective November 1 and US$40/ton on Soft Calendered grades effective December 1 NBSK prices remained flat in the quarter and pulp shipments were down from Q3 2013 5 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 Q3 OVERVIEW PURCHASE OF PAPER MILLS IN WISCONSIN AND MAINE: Entered into Asset Purchase Agreement with NewPage to acquire the Biron paper mill in Wisconsin and the Rumford pulp and paper mill in Maine for consideration of US$74.0M, subject to certain adjustments The Biron paper mill produces 355,000 tonnes of lightweight coated and ultralightweight coated paper The Rumford pulp and paper mill produces 510,000 tonnes of coated specialty, coated freesheet, coated groundwood paper and 130,000 tonnes of Kraft market pulp Catalyst intends to finance the acquisition through a combination of advances under our ABL Facility and US$25.0M in additional 2017 Notes Pending regulatory approval and completion of the previously announced acquisition by Verso of NewPage and other customary closing conditions 6 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 DEMAND & SHIPMENTS North American Paper Demand and NBSK Pulp Shipments (in thousands of metric tonnes) Source: PPPC North American demand declined compared to Q3 2013 for all paper segments 3,500 2,625 1,750 Pulp shipments declined compared to Q3 2013 875 ‐ Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2011 NEWSPRINT Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2012 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 2014 1,261 1,221 1,247 1,279 1,230 1,216 1,259 1,236 1,105 1,108 1,119 1,138 1,030 1,037 1,010 933 872 965 923 865 870 935 940 825 833 891 830 773 762 826 UNCOATED MECHANICAL* 1,033 1,018 1,069 986 833 873 862 905 833 887 968 975 828 922 892 LIGHTWEIGHT UNCOATED 135 130 130 128 111 105 110 94 94 89 98 81 75 71 81 3,254 3,117 3,071 2,954 3,340 3,058 3,242 3,125 3,310 3,162 3,286 3,306 3,204 3,170 3,149 COATED MECHANICAL NBSK PULP * Uncoated mechanical is comprised of high-gloss and standard grades 7 Q1 2013 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS 2013 ($millions, except per share amounts) Sales Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 $ 247.1 $ 263.4 $ 268.8 $ 272.1 $ 273.9 $ 283.5 $ 272.0 7.1 8.0 - - Adjusted EBITDA Restructuring costs Adjusted EBITDA before restructuring costs 2014 $ Adjusted EBITDA margin before restructuring costs 11.2 (0.6) 16.4 19.1 25.7 - 0.1 - 1.1 - 11.2 $ (0.5) $ 16.4 $ 4.5% (0.2%) (9.8) $ (28.0) Net earnings (loss) attributable to the Company before specific items (11.6) (18.1) (3.5) 1.7 EPS from continuing operations EPS before specific items (0.89) (0.80) (1.93) (1.25) 0.36 (0.24) Average F/X spot rate (USD/CAD) 0.992 0.977 Average effective F/X rate (USD/CAD) 0.992 0.977 Net earnings (loss) attributable to the Company 8 $ 6.1% 20.2 $ 5.2 $ 7.4% $ (95.0) 25.7 $ 9.4% (3.8) 2.5% $ $ 8.0 2.9% (6.3) $ (22.5) 6.5 (13.6) (10.8) (6.55) 0.12 (0.26) 0.45 (0.43) (0.94) (1.55) (0.74) 0.963 0.953 0.906 0.917 0.918 0.963 0.953 0.906 0.917 0.918 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 2014 $ 7.1 8 ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION ($millions) Adjusted EBITDA (before restructuring costs) Paper Prices Pulp Prices Impact of Canadian dollar Volume and mix Furnish mix and costs Power and fuel costs Labour costs Maintenance costs Selling, general and administrative costs Lower of cost or market impact on inventory De-recognition of interest in PREI Power generation Other, net Q2 2014 $ 2014 Q3 Adjusted EBITDA (before restructuring costs) Depreciation 2014 Q3 Adjusted Operating Earnings (Loss) Restructuring (costs) recovery 2014 Q3 Reported Operating Earnings (Loss) 9 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 $ 7.1 $ (1.0) (3.9) 0.4 3.5 (2.0) 2.3 3.2 (2.9) 1.3 1.7 (1.7) Q3 2013 16.4 $ (4.7) 2.3 8.6 (0.3) (4.4) (2.0) (1.4) (4.2) 1.7 (1.5) (0.3) (2.2) 2013 YTD 27.1 (15.9) 15.6 35.3 10.5 (13.8) (7.7) (4.7) 3.3 3.3 (1.4) (4.3) 0.7 (7.2) 8.0 8.0 40.8 (11.2) (11.2) (33.1) (3.2) (3.2) 7.7 - - - (3.2) $ (3.2) $ 7.7 FREE CASH FLOW 2014 2013 ($millions) Adjusted EBITDA before restructuring costs Q1 Q2 $ 11.2 $ Restructuring costs Q3 Q1 Q4 (0.5) $ 16.4 - (0.1) - Adjusted EBITDA 11.2 (0.6) 16.4 Interest expense, excluding amortization (10.6) (8.2) Capital expenditures (5.9) Reorganization costs $ 20.2 $ 7.1 Q3 $ 8.0 - - - 19.1 25.7 7.1 8.0 (8.0) (8.7) (9.1) (7.7) (8.6) (8.5) (5.3) (3.7) (3.1) (4.7) (5.7) (0.6) - - - - - - Employee future benefits, net of funding (1.9) (2.0) (2.3) (0.8) (1.9) (3.3) (1.7) Net operating cash flow from discontinued operations (1.0) - - - - - - 5.9 $ 11.6 Free cash flow 10 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 $ (8.8) $ (19.3) $ 0.8 (1.1) $ 25.7 Q2 $ $ (8.6) $ (8.0) LIQUIDITY 2014 2013 ($millions) Borrowing base $ Letters of credit Net amount drawn Available to be drawn2 Q1 Q2 133.5 $ 138.7 (22.1) (19.8) (4.7) $ 106.7 Cash on hand 14.1 Restricted cash 20.0 Total liquidity $ Q3 $ $ 140.8 $ 118.9 $ 16.0 134.9 $ Q4 145.8 $ 140.4 $ Q1 Q2 Q3 148.2 $ 141.3 $ 139.9 (19.8) (19.3) (18.6) (18.5) (18.6) (11.8) (10.6) (1.3) (7.8) (20.0) 114.2 $ 110.5 128.3 $ 115.0 $ 101.3 $ 13.8 12.1 9.9 8.2 - - 22.5 - 128.0 $ 122.6 $ 160.7 $ 123.2 $ 9.1 110.4 1 Borrowing base for the ABL Facility is reduced by reserves of $1.3 million for pension, $2.0 million for creditor insurance deductibles, $2.0 million for landlord waivers, $1.6 million for employee source deductions, $0.3 million related to WorkSafeBC and $0.4 million related to mark-to-market exposure on our foreign currency revenue hedges. 2 Requirement to maintain a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio of 1.0/1.0 if excess availability falls below $21.9 million. 11 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 1 PLANNED MAJOR MAINTENANCE SHUTDOWNS IN 2014 Q1 Mill Location Alberni TMO Boilers Crofton TMO Pulp Boilers Powell TMO Capital Boilers Total 2014 Q3 Q2 – – – – – – – – – – – 1.5 – – – 0.5 – – – 2.0 – – – – – – – 10,400 – – 6.9 – – – – – – – – 1,600 – – 1.0 3.9 – 12,000 – – 7.9 3.9 – – – – – – – – – – – 10,400 – – – 6.9 9,800 – – 9,800 2.3 – 2.8 6.6 – – – 1,600 – – – 5.4 9,800 – – 21,800 2.3 – 2.8 18.9 12 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 Tonnage Impact Mtce Cost ($mm) Total Tonnage Impact Tonnage Impact Mtce Cost ($mm) Q4 Mtce Cost ($mm) Tonnage Impact Mtce Cost ($mm) Tonnage Impact Mtce Cost ($mm) OUTLOOK ECONOMY: • Economic growth expected to be sustained in the United States, which is expected to support continued weakness in the C$ MARKETS: • Demand decline for specialty paper grades expected to be tempered by recently announced North American capacity reduction • Softwood pulp expected to trade in a narrow range for the balance of the year OPERATIONS: • Maintenance work scheduled for 4th quarter includes a limited maintenance shut on Crofton’s recovery boiler and batch digester and maintenance on Crofton’s power boiler • Powell River’s paper machine 9 curtailed on October 31st for 3 weeks whereby 6,500 tonnes specialty paper grades were removed from the market • Approval pending on paper mill purchase agreement 13 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 APPENDIX 14 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 ADJUSTED EBITDA SENSITIVITIES ($millions) Adjusted EBITDA (1), (2) Product prices Impact of US$10/t change in price of: Specialty printing papers Newsprint Pulp $ 7 4 4 15 (3) Foreign exchange Impact of $0.01 change in US dollar relative to the Canadian dollar 7 (1), (4) Energy cost sensitivity Impact of 5% change in price of: Natural gas and oil – direct purchases Electricity – direct purchases 1 7 Freight cost sensitivity Impact of US$5/bbl change in price of West Texas Int. (WTI) Oil 3 (1), (4) Fibre sensitivity Impact of US$5/unit change in the price of wood chips (Bdt) (1) (2) (3) (4) $ 9 Based on a foreign exchange rate of US$0.92. Based on annualized sales of Q3 2014. Based on Q3 2014 annualized net cash flows and a foreign exchange movement to US$0.93 from US$0.92 and excluding our hedging program and the impact of the translation of U.S. dollar denominated debt. Based on annualized Q3 2014 consumption levels. 15 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 SUMMARY OF SEGMENTED FINANCIAL INFORMATION 2013 ($millions, except where otherwise stated) Sales (000 MT) Specialty printing papers Newsprint Pulp Sales Specialty printing papers Newsprint Pulp Adjusted EBITDA Specialty printing papers Newsprint Pulp Adjusted EBITDA before restructuring costs Specialty printing papers Newsprint Pulp 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 LTM 180.0 69.3 80.3 329.6 195.8 72.6 78.2 346.6 197.4 66.1 87.1 350.6 188.8 75.3 82.4 346.5 175.9 77.6 82.2 335.7 184.9 93.2 78.4 356.5 171.1 82.1 95.0 348.2 720.7 328.2 338.0 1,386.9 $ 149.6 46.6 50.9 $ 161.1 49.4 52.9 $ 164.6 44.3 59.9 $ 159.8 52.0 60.3 $ 153.5 $ 54.4 66.0 158.2 63.4 61.9 $ 145.5 55.6 70.9 $ 617.0 225.4 259.1 $ 247.1 $ 263.4 $ 268.8 $ 272.1 $ 273.9 $ 283.5 $ 272.0 $ 1,101.5 $ 7.7 2.1 1.4 $ (0.8) $ 3.1 (2.9) 6.5 2.5 7.4 $ 11.6 5.8 1.7 $ 5.9 $ 5.5 14.3 0.8 2.4 3.9 $ (7.4) 1.9 13.5 $ 10.9 15.6 33.4 $ 11.2 $ (0.6) $ 16.4 $ 19.1 $ 25.7 $ 7.1 $ 8.0 $ 59.9 $ 7.7 2.1 1.4 $ (0.8) $ 3.2 (2.9) 6.5 2.5 7.4 $ 12.2 6.1 1.9 $ 5.9 $ 5.5 14.3 0.8 2.4 3.9 $ (7.4) 1.9 13.5 $ 11.5 15.9 33.6 $ 11.2 $ (0.5) $ 16.4 $ 20.2 $ 25.7 $ 7.1 $ 8.0 $ 61.0 $ (2.9) $ (10.7) $ (85.3) $ (2.7) $ (8.2) $ $ (112.4) 3.8 13.7 1.0 3.3 0.1 12.9 14.8 $ (3.9) $ (3.2) Operating earnings (loss) Specialty printing papers Newsprint Pulp 0.7 1.0 $ (1.2) $ 1.9 (3.2) (12.0) $ (3.4) $ 1.4 6.9 4.9 4.4 1.4 $ (79.5) $ Numbers for all periods exclude the results of our Snowflake mill which have been classified as discontinued operations. 16 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 (16.2) 9.3 31.3 $ (71.8) IMPACT OF SPECIFIC ITEMS ON NET EARNINGS (LOSS) ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE COMPANY 2013 ($millions, except where otherwise stated) Net earnings (loss) attributable to the Company as reported Specific items, after taxes: Foreign exchange loss (gain) on long-term debt Settlement loss on PIUMPF pension liability Impairment and other closure costs Restructuring costs Reorganization items, net (Gain) Loss on purchase of debt Net gain on sale of non-core assets Settlement gain on special pension portability election Net earnings (loss) attributable to the Company before specific items Net earnings (loss) per share attributable to the Company’s common shareholders before specific Q1 $ Q2 (9.8) $ (28.0) $ 5.9 0.2 0.4 1.1 (9.4) - 9.6 0.1 (2.1) - $ (11.6) $ (20.4) $ 2014 Q3 5.2 Q4 $ (95.0) (6.1) (2.6) Q2 Q1 $ 9.4 86.9 1.1 (0.7) - LTM Q3 (3.8) $ (6.3) $ (22.5) 11.2 (0.9) - (8.9) 1.9 (0.3) - $ (127.6) 12.6 1.2 (2.1) - 24.3 1.2 86.9 1.1 1.0 (3.1) - (3.5) $ 1.7 $ 6.5 $ (13.6) $ (10.8) $ (16.2) $ (0.80) $ (1.41) $ (0.24) $ 0.12 $ 0.45 $ (0.94) $ (0.74) $ (1.11) 17 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 CAPITALIZATION ($millions) Term Loan, due July 2017 Senior secured notes, 11.0% due October 2017 (US$235.5 million; December 31, 2013 – US$250.0 million) Floating rate senior secured notes, due September 2016 (December 31, 2013 – US$19.4 million) Revolving asset based loan facility of up to $175.0 million due July 2017 Capital lease obligations Total debt Less: Current portion Total long-term debt 18 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014 December 31, 2013 $ - September 30, 2014 $ 19.0 265.9 263.9 20.2 286.1 282.9 10.6 7.1 20.0 8.3 303.8 (2.0) $ 301.8 311.2 (3.0) $ 308.2 19 | Q3 Earnings Presentation, November 5, 2014
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