OXFORD INTERNATIONAL MODEL UNITED NATIONS 12TH ANNUAL CONFERENCE 7TH – 9TH NOVEMBER 2014 INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND CONTENTS Contents ......................................................................................................................................3 International Monetary Fund .......................................................................................................3 A Message from your Directors:............................................................................................................ 3 Topic A:................................................................................................................................................ 1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................................... 1 History of the topic............................................................................................................................... 3 Discussion of the Problem .................................................................................................................... 5 bloc positions ....................................................................................................................................... 9 Points a Resolution Must address ......................................................................................................... 2 Further Reading ................................................................................................................................... 3 Bibliography......................................................................................................................................... 3 Topic B ................................................................................................................................................. 6 Introduction ......................................................................................................................................... 6 History of the Topic .............................................................................................................................. 2 Discussion of the Problem: ................................................................................................................... 2 The Future: .......................................................................................................................................... 3 Points Resolutions Should Address: ...................................................................................................... 3 Bloc Positions: ...................................................................................................................................... 3 Further Reading: .................................................................................................................................. 4 Bibliography......................................................................................................................................... 4 Committee Director: Christopher Siakkas [email protected] Assistant Directors: Dharrnesha Inbah Rajah [email protected] Jaikishan Agarwal [email protected] www.oximun.org Page 3 INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Topic A: Discussion of reforms in the instigation of the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) programmes. Topic B: The BRICS initiative to create the Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA), and the potential of a future collaboration. A MESSAGE FROM YOUR DIRECTORS: Dear Delegates, We are truly delighted to form part of this outstanding conference, and more importantly to chair such a committee. I am personally confident about each and every one‘s research and debating skills –hence you are now delegates in one of the globe‘s well-esteemed Model UN conferences; what I expect to see is what I call ‗RDP‘, that is Research, do not expect the Study Guide to be your sole pillar during the session, because it will not be; Debate, debate and debate, do not be afraid to raise your voice, these are real-world issues and each representative is carrying particular aims; and pragmatism, from the moment the topic contemplation commences, you become the real players of the game. Feel free to contact us in our committee‘s email or our personal emails (designated above) with any queries. For those of you who have read up to this point: Well done guys! That was a perfect beginning! For those who have not… well, there is no point in elaborating here; we shall meet them in the committee. Till then, good luck people and really looking forward to meeting you all! www.oximun.org Page 3 Director Hello and welcome to the IMF council of the Oxford MUN! No different to you, I am excitedly looking forward to meeting each and everyone one of you and can't wait to hear your intellectual debates and witness diplomatic engagements being formed - all in the name of a fast-paced and erudite weekend. It is with much joy and pleasure than I join a commendable (and handsome!) board of directors to provide any form of support and guidance that you may need. Till then, save up your wits and all the best with your research! Assistant Director 1 Assistant Director 2 www.oximun.org Page 4 TOPIC A: Discussion of reforms in the instigation of the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) programmes. INTRODUCTION History of the Fund whereas the World Bank is mostly occupied with ‗structural adjustment‘ and ‗development‘.3 But in many cases their fields become naturally collinear, whereby they are assigned ‗concessional financing‘ to low-income countries. ‗Concessional‘ is the lending at a rate (0.5%, or as it has been recently decided upon with IMF‘s exceptional forgiveness, zero interest rates until the end of 20144) below market interest rate intended to poor countries. The Second World War triggered a sequence of developments that shaped the post-war cosmos in a way that no historical event had done so in the past. One of these developments was the establishment of a modern international financial world. The first stage toward this new ordre établi was through the Bretton Woods Agreement, even before the de facto end of the war, in 1944. The Bretton Woods system, as henceforth functional, set the ‗development of the productive resources of all members‘1 as one of the principal objectives of the Bretton Woods Institutions (BWI: IMF and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development or World Bank nowadays). Thus the new organs of the global economy would aim for an equitable level of development across their members. The term of economic development has always been a difficult one to define; it entails numerous parameters, and its frequent linguistic misuse or intentional misapplication for political reasons has contributed to this perplexity. The two organs were founded to maintain the equilibrium in the global economy and lead the way to ‗development‘ and alleviation of poverty. Since their establishment, a rule of thumb dictates their according fields, and although throughout the years their trajectories seem to converge, their main difference is that the Fund is concerned with ‗stabilisation‘ and maintenance of an ‗orderly system of payments‘2 amongst countries, 1 2 "Articles of Agreement of the International Monetary Fund -- 2011 Edition." Articles of Agreement of the International Monetary Fund -- 2011 Edition. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014 The IMF and the World Bank: How Do They Differ?" The IMF and the World Bank: How 3 4 Do They Differ? N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. Ibid. "Factsheet -- IMF Lending." Factsheet -- IMF Lending. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. www.oximun.org Page 1 Principal lending facilities IMF lending is classified to various lending instruments, or ‗facilities‘. Some of the Fund‘s most important facilities are the Stand-By Arrangements (SBAs), the Extended Fund Facility (EFF), both concerning short-term nonconcessional credit to countries facing financing problems; the newly established Flexible Credit Line (FCL) (designed in 2009 as pre-emptive facility to prevent financial contagion5); as well as a long-established lending facility: Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (hereby PRGF). The PRGF differs from the rest lending instruments: it traces funding from a separate ‗trust fund‘ (PRGF Fund) and not the Fund‘s conventional quota system, which borrows or receives grants from nations or international institutions and lends eligible countries on a ‗pass-through‘6 fashion. The Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) replaced the PRGF and the ESF (which remained effective for another three months to be absorbed by PRGT 5 6 M. Copelovitz, The IMF in the Global Economy, p. 13 Ibid. Instruments) in January 20107. Currently, the PRGT Facilities can be summarized in Diagram 1: Diagram 1: PRGT Facilities 7 “A New Architecture of Facilities for LowIncome Countries and Reform of the Fund’s Concessional Financing Framework 14354(09/79)." A New Architecture of Facilities for Low-Income Countries and Reform of the Fund’s Concessional Financing Framework 14354-(09/79). N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sd /index.asp?decision=14354(09/79)#P2050_383764>. www.oximun.org Page 2 Rapid Credit Facility Standby Credit Facility (RCF) Staff-Monitored Program (SMP) (SCF) Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) Poilcy Support Instrument (PSI) The Extended Credit Facility (ECF) is intended to medium-term financial assistance, and is the most common form of concessional lending nowadays. The Standby Credit Facility covers the ‗short-term and precautionary needs‘ of a country8 that faces periodically financial difficulties, other than balance of payments. Both ECF and SCF require adjustment programmes and commit the authorities to UCT Conditionality (Upper-Credit Tranche), that is they are obliged to implement a set of designated policies to correct any external imbalances and repay the Fund9 Lastly, the Rapid Credit Facility (RCF) provides an upfront assistance to LICs, especially following a severe internal shock that destabilizes and disturbs the normal business cycle. Examples of 8 9 "Factsheet -- IMF Support for Low-Income Countries." Factsheet -- IMF Support for LowIncome Countries. N.p., n.d. Web. 30 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts /poor.htm>. International Monetary Fund. Handbook of IMF Facilities for Low-Income Countries. The IMF, 21 Mar. 2012. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/ 2012/032112.pdf>. Extended Credit Facility (ECF) countries resorting RCF are the cancellations by Cote d‘Ivoire and Central African Republic in July 2011 and Jun 2014 respectively of their ECF running programs and their request to enter RCF program. RCF assistance is provided without any explicit ex-post conditionality, but rather economic policies are proposed that are streamlined with the nation‘s ‗poverty reduction and growth objectives‘.10 The Policy Support Instrument is available to all PRGT-eligible countries that do not currently have and do not prospectively need borrowing arrangements with the Fund, but rather want guidance and support by the Fund in terms of their policies. Being a non-financial instrument, PSI gives the markets a signal that the country‘s policies are run efficiently under its auspices and standards; currently the Fund has enacted 16 PSIs in 7 country members.11 Another non10 11 "Factsheet -- IMF Rapid Credit Facility." Factsheet -- IMF Rapid Credit Facility. N.p., 19 Mar. 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/fact s/rcf.htm>. "Factsheet -- The Policy Support Instrument." Factsheet -- The Policy Support 2 financial facility for LICs is the Staff-Monitored Program (SMP), which operates parallel to the PSI, to be utilized by countries with fragile economies but not eligible for PSI.12 Examples of countries operating under SMPs are Zimbabwe and Sudan. disbursed under 90 ESAFs with 52 countries. 13 The key innovations the PRGF brought were the following14: 1 HISTORY OF THE TOPIC This type of concessional lending of HeavilyIndebted Poor Countries (HIPCs) was initially instituted by the World Bank in 1979 through the Structural Adjustment Programmes. In Nov. 1986 the Fund followed the World Bank‘s initiative with the instigation of Structural Adjustment Facility (SAF). In December 1987, the Fund established the Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF), which set two eligibility criteria for poor countries to receive the Fund‘s loans: firstly the per capita income to be below the World Bank‘s GDP/capita lending ceiling, and secondly to comply with the eligibility criteria of International Development Association. In the context of the review process of the Fund‘s facilities, after a decade of operations, a program enlargement in 1993 and the transformation from temporary facility to a permanent one in September 1996, the ESAF was replaced by the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility in November 1999. Until that point more than $10.7 billion had been 12 Instrument. N.p., 03 Apr. 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/fact s/psi.htm>. "The IMF's Framework for Low-income Countries - Bretton Woods Project." Bretton Woods Project. N.p., 17 June 2010. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.brettonwoodsproject.org/2010 /06/art-566378/>. 2 3 4 5 • PRSP (Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper) and Interim-PRSP: country-owned/government-led: extensive discussions with stakeholders for the determination of policy proposals • Poverty as an explicit aim of the instrument; emphasis that was not given under ESAF •PRSPs go public: more transparent process; as contasted with the Policy Framework Papers (PFPs) •Limited Conditionality; restricted to areas of the Fund's reponsibility •Greater cross-institutional co-operation with the World Bank; Joint Staff Assessment Although the PRGF introduced several innovative features in the field of concessional financing to HIPCs, the instrument does not come without criticism and concerns. A report conducted by IEO (Independent Evaluation 13 14 "Factsheet - IMF Concessional Financing through the Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF)." Factsheet - IMF Concessional Financing through the Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF). N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/fact s/esaf.htm>. “IMF Lending to Poor Countries - How Does the PRGF Differ from the ESAF? -- An IMF Issues Brief." IMF Lending to Poor Countries How Does the PRGF Differ from the ESAF? -An IMF Issues Brief. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/ib/ 2001/043001.htm>. www.oximun.org Page 3 Office) chartered certain areas of weakness in the instigation and running of PRGF: -Role of Bretton Woods Institutions: primary role in setting the agenda and selecting the actual policies after the I-PRSPs were submitted; -Nature of domestic participation: flawed process with final report reflecting very different aspects and sometimes in a different language style than in consultations. There are furthermore concerns over the asymmetric participation of the respective stakeholders in the deliberations phase of the PRSPs; for instance ‗insufficient weight to MPs and private sector‘; -Need for independent monitoring mechanism: According to the report the lack of an independent credible monitor that supervises the entire process of discussions and evaluates the trustworthiness of the data arguments is a hindrance for the efficient running of the PRGF. Since January 2010, the Fund has put into force a holistic transformation of the concessional lending architecture; indeed under the Decision No. 14354-(09/79)15 the Trust was renamed Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) from its predecessor PRGF-ESF, but always pursuant to the same goals, as established by ESAF. Pursuing further innovative reforms, in 2012 the Executive Board approved a strategy rendering the PRGT ‗self-sustaining‘16 organ, 15 16 "A New Architecture of Facilities for LowIncome Countries and Reform of the Fund’s Concessional Financing Framework 14354(09/79)." A New Architecture of Facilities for Low-Income Countries and Reform of the Fund’s Concessional Financing Framework 14354-(09/79). N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sd /index.asp?decision=14354(09/79)#P2050_383764>. "Factsheet -- Financing the Fund's Concessional Lending to Low-Income strategy that includes: a) average annual lending capacity of SDR 1¼ billion; b) provisional course of action in case the financing demands exceed this annual average; c) future concessional financing shall also be selfsustaining.17 The IMF is renowned for the dynamic development of its programs, which are adjusted to the demands of the contemporary politicoeconomic period. A concrete example of this is the frequent modification of its lending instruments, such as in 2009 when the Fund replaced the Short-term Liquidity Facility (SLF) along with the SRF with the Flexible Credit Line to better serve the demands of the global recession. The current status of PRGF programs is benumbed, and there is little evidence that the review process has been thorough and consistent throughout the time. Evidently, the Great Recession shook the economic state of affairs and rebalanced the priorities of some developed nations; accordingly the interest of third-party and donor nations shifted away from concessional lending of HIPC. Indicative of this trend is the out-of-date list of countries eligible for the PRGF18 as it enlists the eligibility ―as of August 2008‖. This might result from the synchronised movement of low-income countries into the ―middle-income‖ category in recent years19, nonetheless an assessment of the Countries." Factsheet -- Financing the Fund's Concessional Lending to Low-Income Countries. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts /concesslending.htm>. 17 Ibid. 18 "Factsheet -- The Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF)." Factsheet -- The Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF). N.p., 31 July 2009. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts /prgf.htm>. 19"What Are Middle-income Countries?" Middle Income Countries. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. www.oximun.org Page 4 PRGF mechanism conducted by the IMF Executive Board demonstrated the paradox of well-performing macroeconomic indicators in many instances coupled with a very low per capita income20. DISCUSSION PROBLEM OF THE PRGT Eligibility for Small Countries Access to the Fund‘s scarce concessional resources is preserved for members with low income and related vulnerabilities, while keeping PRGT eligibility closely aligned with International Development Association (IDA) practices. Under the framework, countries enter the list if their annual GNI per capita income is below the IDA operational cut-off (currently at US$1,175 for FY2012) and they do not have capacity to access international financial markets on a durable basis. For these countries, the concessionality of Fund financing is considered to be important for providing effective balance of payments support, while limiting risks of debt distress. 20 2014. <http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTE RNAL/EXTOED/EXTMIDINCCOUN/0%2C% 2CcontentMDK%3A21453301~menuPK%3A 5006209~pagePK%3A64829573~piPK%3A6 4829550~theSitePK%3A4434098%2C00.ht ml>. "Public Information Notice: IMF Executive Board Discusses PRGF Program Design." Public Information Notice (PIN) No. 05/127. N.p., 16 Sept. 2005. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pn/ 2005/pn05127.htm>. There is generally no accepted definition of a small country. In the 2010 PRGT-eligibility review, small states were defined as having a population below 1 million which is inconsistent with the World Bank‘s which uses a threshold of 1.5 million people. On average, compared with other countries at the same stage of development, GDP growth and per capita income are higher in small countries. At the same time, they are exposed to significantly higher economic volatility.21 The discrepancies in the definition of a small country often blurs the line of measuring its economic position and therefore restricts PRGT eligibility to countries that share the key vulnerabilities of small states such as but not limited to limited diversification, openness, insularity, and susceptibility to natural disasters. Swaziland, which is not currently PRGT-eligible, has per capita GNI that is relatively close to the entry criteria for small states and can possibly qualify for entry onto the PRGT-eligibility list in the near future, depending on the level of its income per capita if the Fund‘s threshold were to be modified.22 21 Kose and Pasad (2002) 22 Selm, Bert van, et. Al (2012) www.oximun.org Page 5 Poverty Reduction and Growth in LICs A report by Martin and Watts23 for the Development Finance International, found that there is only very limited evidence of an enhanced focus on growth and poverty reduction compared to the previous PRGF facilities programmes, it can be considered as only formalising these impactful changes that have been occurring since 2000. There have been steps forward showing increased flexibility by the Fund, but most were introduced before the PRGT and those relating to macroeconomic policy are shaping up to look increasingly fragile. One major criticism of the Fund‘s past programmes was that they neither monitored systematically nor aimed to protect the level of anti-poverty and pro-MDG spending in each country. As such, the main changes to the PRGT programs after the financial crisis was that the Fund under its conditionality reform stated that they programmes would include a poverty related or social expenditure floor, which would help protect the vulnerable in society. But, it is important to realise that these types of targets are not a result of the new facilities, rather from decisions taken in the past to track and protect social spending more clearly, which was piloted in PRGF and passed over on to PRGT. Minimum social spending ‗floors‘ have been much more extensively used under the PRGT, in 70% of the programmes as compared to prePRGT programmes. However, in 16% of member countries, floors have been revised 23 Martin and Watts, (2012) downwards in PRGT reviews, and it is not clear why this is happening or how it is compatible with the MDGs. Besides, the spending covered by the floors and by structural benchmarks in a few countries varies widely, in some countries all the spending is on the health sector and in others, virtually no spending in the aforesaid sector. There are no flexible enough recommendations or guidelines that countries can adopt but would maintain some form of stability in spending proportions. It should also be of significant concern that there is little or no discussion in the Fund‘s review of why countries have or have not met their floors, and what is being done to ensure that this changes and anti-poverty spending increases in future. This seems to indicate that the issue was not a major subject of policy discussion during review missions or on the Fund‘s Board. Loan Conditionality “When a country borrows from the IMF, its government agrees to adjust its economic policies to overcome the problems that led it to seek financial aid from the international community.” IMF Conditionality, 31st March 2014. Conditionality covers both the design of IMFsupported programs — that is, the macroeconomic and structural policies and the specific tools used to monitor progress toward the goals outlined by the country in cooperation with the Fund. Conditionality helps countries solve balance of payments problems without resorting to measures that are harmful to national or international prosperity. At the same www.oximun.org Page 6 time, the measures are meant to safeguard the Fund‘s resources by ensuring that the country‘s balance of payments will be strong enough to permit it to repay the loan. particularly flagrant example of donourship, involving an ex post conditionality, that is; funds were suspended as the result of an action which had not been specified as unacceptable. The key difference between SCF/ECF and RCF is the use of structural benchmarks. Due to the short period of RCF loan agreements; there are no structural benchmarks though there are prior actions in the Kyrgyz Republic. Therefore, whilst both SCF countries had wage management benchmarks, neither RCF country did. This leads to questions of loan security and the impact on wage ceilings – would it still be under full government autonomy as promised or would it just serve as the Fund‘s façade? National Sovereignty Participation Four PRGT programmes, namely Côte d‘Ivoire, Honduras, Moldova and Nicaragua still contain ceilings on government wage bills, and 10 countries including Côte d‘Ivoire and Honduras who also have wage bill ceilings, have structural benchmarks specifically relating to wage bill management. In addition, early PRGT evidence is that the fiscal framework contains forecasts of reduced wage bills in most programmes whether or not there is a structural benchmark for a ceiling24. An extreme case of modification conditionality arises when, in the funder‘s view, the recipient government takes an action that violates some fundamental principle of the assistance agreement. An example of this is when the Department for International Development of the United Kingdom suspended the release of funds in response to the decision by the Tanzanian government to purchase a particular air traffic control system. This represents a 24 and Domestic Participation was meant to ensure deeper understanding of poverty facets and to include local differences, whilst commitment was expected to be higher in an attempt to reaffirm and tackle the issue of challenging LICs‘ national sovereignty. Domestic participation is not significant especially in LICs due to limited technical capacities that may lead to a flawed input feed resulting in ineffective policy formulations. In Bangladesh, for instance, participation was little and in spite of the theory, a top-down bureaucratic process was implemented where only 21 consultation meetings were held on average. This gap in goals and content reality would need to be realised to avoid substantial divergences between the ambitions and disposable resources. Besides, while the participatory process initially raises expectations on the policy formulations, the final version of the PRGT programmes does not always reflect conclusions of the domestic society based consultation process. In the case of Grenada is 2013, in efforts to overcome its competitiveness challenges, the Fund has predisposed the government to create a conducive environment such as fiscal consolidation and tight income policies for the private sector to take over as the main driver of economic growth, including potential privatisation of the energy sector while formulating a new loan package under the ECF Martin and Watts (2012) www.oximun.org Page 7 mechanism25. Moreover, the participatory process still gives insufficient weight to the views of different domestic stakeholders such as parliamentarians, unions, workers‘ organisations, farmer and fisher groups, women‘s groups, indigenous peoples, medical associations and academics with adverse costs of the policy debate comprehensiveness, although the PRGT was formulated to be more flexible and accommodative of the each countries‘ needs. Mali and Mongolia are positive examples of strong line ministry involvement. However some line ministries are typically less involved, for example ministries of transport and rural development. The inability of the participatory process, as implemented, to address policy trade-offs means that it inevitably has a limited impact at the execution stage. Such problems may be greatest for macro-economic policy formulation where the Fund has primary responsibility. Environmental Impact The mechanisms under the PRGT programme does not fully address the negative impacts that may come with rapid growth; problems related to urban congestion, rural migration, the overall limits to the carrying capacity of the earth‘s natural and human resources. It also fails to consider the major environmental impacts. Some of the macroeconomic reforms have positive environmental impacts, for example, by intensifying commercial agricultural production, promoting less-erosive crop mixes, and reducing subsidies for agricultural inputs. Others have negative outcomes, as exemplified by widespread extension of substance farming, acceleration of deforestation, and overtaxing of soil productivity. Downward pressures on living 25 IMF Country Reports (2014) standards and informalisation of the economy have obliged many urban and rural poor to increase their reliance and pressures on natural resources and environmental services just to survive. A principle response of economies heavily reliant on its primary sector was to expand and intensify extraction of natural resources to be traded on international markets. This is consistent with the type of policy changes applied, including removing barriers to capital flows, encouraging expansion of the export sector, and reducing the state‘s regulatory capacity as regards natural resource management. Subsistence farmers extend production in response to deteriorating economic and social conditions, leading to major environmental damage. The environmental degradation in broad areas of some countries indicates that environmental problems will worsen in coming years. THE FUTURE Under a plan initially launched in 2009 aimed at raising concessional lending capacity to US$17 billion over the period 2009-2014, the Fund decided to distribute to the membership in proportion to their quota shares of about US$1.1 billion26 in reserves attributed to a part of the profits from its 2009-2010 gold sales programme. As of 25th August 2014, 143 countries representing 94.25% of the proposed distribution had pledged to use their portion of the distribution to subsidize lending to low26 IMF (2014) www.oximun.org Page 8 income countries, which may currently borrow at zero interest from PRGT. The Fund is actively encouraging more countries to not just adopt the pledge, culminating to a 5.6% increase in resources but also but also planning a new financial commitment towards the PRGT for the post-2014 period in order to maintain valued input over the Fund‘s policy in this area by the next PRGT review in 2015. The Fund is also vigorously targeting for an increase in funding for individual countries with focus on the Middle Eastern region, by keeping the access limits of the ECF, SCF, and especially the RCF at current levels in the context of the doubling of quotas, so as to double the Fund‘s lending ceilings for individual LICs. In the most recent PRGT review, the Fund has identified a greater emphasis to ensure analysis of distributional impact through the Poverty and Social Impact Analysis is included in all programmes with significant distributional impact. This should be a vital part of the analysis underlying all the Fund‘s programmes and national development strategies, to ensure accelerated and equitable growth. The Fund‘s Executive Board also reviewed the framework for determining eligibility to use its concessional resources, including the criteria for determining PRGT eligibility and the list of PRGT-eligible countries in April 2013. Applying the revised framework, the Board endorsed the proposed entry to the PRGT eligibility list of three microstates: Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and Tuvalu and the graduation of Armenia and Georgia27. They reaffirmed the objectives of improving the tailoring and flexibility of the Fund‘s toolkit to meet the financing needs of its low-income members while preserving the selfsustainability of the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT). The Board broadly supported the proposal to include transitional arrangements in line with the objectives of the PRGT and the practices of the International Development Association28. Considering the nature and scarcity of the Fund‘s resources, once the quota increases under the Fourteenth General Review of Quota becomes effective, access norms and limits as a percentage of quota and the quota levels that determine the application of the procedural should be reduced by half. This would be followed by a proposed increase in the cumulative access limit under the Rapid Credit Facility (RCF). The Standby Credit Facility will also see relaxation of rules for to encourage its use as precautionary, including permitting greater front-loading of support and easing time limitations on repeated use of arrangements treated as precautionary. This would better enhance the attractiveness of the Policy Support Instruments29. BLOC POSITIONS Donors are willing to replace the IMF‘s signalling role with a joint donor and government agreement on the conditions 27 28 29 IMF (2013a) IMF (2013b) International Monetary Fund Annual Report (2013) www.oximun.org Page 9 governing reduction, suspension or increase in aid so that donor views are given weightage as opposed to being dominated by the Fund. Donors are also willing to provide impartial support for independent analysis on growth strategies and related policy choices as identified by country governments, post 2012 external review of the PRGT. Transparency, openness and the prioritisation of poverty reduction are already in action or are prepared to actively get acted upon by governments of borrowing countries, among others such as corruption issues in most African countries. These governments are also ready to show leadership and vision in bringing the actors in the development of the country together to frame coherent strategic planning frameworks, for those with the capacity to do so and those that do not, are willing to learn to do as such, given the support. PRGT are to indicate how the program advances poverty reduction and growth; Greater concessionality: PRGT loan agreements have zero per cent interest rates on outstanding loans and a minimal 0.25% for the Standby Credit Facility; 2. 3. More flexible and streamlined conditionality: At the same time as restructuring the facilities, the Fund announced that it would abolish structural performance criteria in PRGT facilities, replacing them with structural benchmarks30. The IMF is continuing to provide short-term support when shocks occur, but enhancing research for effective medium to long-term recovery methods for an enhanced and more efficient use of the Standby Credit Facility and the Extended Credit Facility. The civil societies welcome the idea of nationallevel based policy monitoring and analysis with support from donor countries in terms of knowledge transfers. The Fund is actively working to improve the PRGT programmes, such as being open to constructive discussions for improved transparency policies, including visiting the possibility of releasing draft PRGT programmes, to better serve the three main differences from the PRGF-ESAF programmes to the new PRGT programmes, as listed below: 1. Enhanced focus on poverty reduction: All countries seeking any financial assistance under 30 Martin and Watts (2012) www.oximun.org Page 10 POINTS A RESOLUTION MUST ADDRESS A more holistic emphasis in employing effective guidelines and processes that would generate growth and tackle deepening poverty concerns equally, rather than relying heavily on the trickledown effect. Borrowing countries‘ governments looking to come up with a domestic decision-making process to adopt the unique characteristics of the PRGT programmes, rather than implementing parallel planning processes. Donor countries should look to revise their aid modalities towards those that strengthen government systems, focusing on budget support and guaranteeing predictable multi-annual aid flows as much as possible. Possible ways the Fund can work to be prepared to subject their proposed macroeconomic and structural reforms to independent Poverty and Social Impact Analysis and have analysis carried out on the trade-offs associated with macroeconomic policy choices, such as the fiscal stance. Alternatives platforms to enhance broad stakeholder participation, including government, parliament, civil society, donors and the IFIs should be adopted as a structure within which to hold dialogue on key dimensions of the national planning framework. Aim to provide more common parameters and/or bloc specific solutions and recommendations to enable a more effective initiative as opposed to the current one size fits all methods. The question of the loosening of the loan conditionality and the population threshold criterion to accommodate more low-income countries in a revised PRGT eligibility list. The inclusion of PRSPs in the Standby Credit Facility to complement the conditionality, implementation reviews and disbursements under this mechanism; Structural solutions to tackle the environmental consequences of rapid development in low-income countries. 2 FURTHER READING Barro, R.J. and Lee, J.W. (2002) ‗IMF programs: who is chosen and what are the effects?‘. NBER Working Paper No. 8951. Easterly, William. (2003). IMF and World Bank Structural Adjustment Programs and Poverty. National Bureau of Economic Research. p.361-390. Goldstein, M. (2000) ‗IMF structural conditionality: how much is too much?‘ Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics. Imam, Patrick. (2007). Effect of IMF Structural Adjustment Programs on Expectations: The Case of Transition Economies. IMF Working Paper. 7 (261). Independent Evaluation Office (2002) Evaluation of the Prolonged Use of IMF Resources, Report, Washington, DC: IMF. Paloni, Alberto and Zanardi, Maurizio (ed.) (2006). The IMF, World Bank and Policy Reform. Oxon: Routledge. Picciotto, Robert. (1996) Poverty, Adjustment and the World Bank. Washington, DC: Presentation to the Religious Working Group on the World Bank/IMF on August 8, 1996. Ray, R., Johnston, J., Cordero, J. A., & Montecino, J. A. (2009). IMF-supported macroeconomic policies and the world recession: a look at forty-one borrowing countries. Centre for Economic Policy Research. Streeten, Paul. (1987) ―Structural Adjustment: A Survey of the Issues and Opinions‖. World Development. 15 (12). United Nations (2011): The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011, New York. BIBLIOGRAPHY "A New Architecture of Facilities for Low-Income Countries and Reform of the Fund‘s Concessional Financing Framework 14354-(09/79)." A New Architecture of Facilities www.oximun.org Page 3 for Low-Income Countries and Reform of the Fund‘s Concessional Financing Framework 14354-(09/79). N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sd/index.asp?decision=14354(09/79)#P2050_383764>. "Articles of Agreement of the International Monetary Fund -- 2011 Edition." Articles of Agreement of the International Monetary Fund -- 2011 Edition. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. "Factsheet -- Financing the Fund's Concessional Lending to Low-Income Countries." Factsheet -- Financing the Fund's Concessional Lending to Low-Income Countries. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/concesslending.htm>. "Factsheet - IMF Concessional Financing through the Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF)." Factsheet - IMF Concessional Financing through the Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF). N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/esaf.htm>. "Factsheet -- IMF Lending." Factsheet -- IMF Lending. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. "Factsheet -- IMF Rapid Credit Facility." Factsheet -- IMF Rapid Credit Facility. N.p., 19 Mar. 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/rcf.htm>. "Factsheet -- IMF Support for Low-Income Countries." Factsheet -- IMF Support for LowIncome Countries. N.p., n.d. Web. 30 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/poor.htm>. "Factsheet -- The Policy Support Instrument." Factsheet -- The Policy Support Instrument. N.p., 03 Apr. 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/psi.htm>. "Factsheet -- The Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF)." Factsheet -- The Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF). N.p., 31 July 2009. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/prgf.htm>. International Monetary Fund. Handbook of IMF Facilities for Low-Income Countries. The IMF, 21 Mar. 2012. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2012/032112.pdf>. International Monetary Fund Annual Report. (2013). Annual Report 2013: Promoting a More Secure and Stable Global Economy. <Available: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/ar/2013/eng/>. "IMF Lending to Poor Countries - How Does the PRGF Differ from the ESAF? -- An IMF Issues Brief." IMF Lending to Poor Countries - How Does the PRGF Differ from the ESAF? -- An IMF Issues Brief. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/ib/2001/043001.htm>. IMF. (2013a). IMF Executive Board Reviews Facilities for Low-Income Countries and Eligibility for Using Concessional Financing. Available: https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pn/2013/pn1345.htm www.oximun.org Page 4 IMF. (2013b). Reviews of Facilities for Low-Income Countries – Proposals for Implementation. Available: http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2013/031813/ IMF Country Reports (2014). Grenada: 2014 Article IV Consultation and Request for An Extended Credit Facility Arrangement-Staff Report; and Press Release. Washington: International Monetary Fund Western Hemisphere Department. p.45-56. IMF (2014). IMF Conditionality. Available: http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/conditio.htm. IMF (2014). IMF Lending. Available: http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/howlend.htm. IMF. (2014). Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) Pledges Linked to SDR 700 Million Distribution of Reserves Associated with Gold Sales. Available: https://www.imf.org/external/np/fin/prgt/ Kose, M. Ayhan and Eswar S. Pasad (2002) ―Thinking Big,‖ Finance and Development, Vol. 39, No. 4, International Monetary Fund. Martin, Matthew and Watts, Richard. (2012). Enhancing The IMF‘s Focus on Growth and Poverty Reduction in Low-Income Countries. Development Finance International. p.2-93. "Public Information Notice: IMF Executive Board Discusses PRGF Program Design." Public Information Notice (PIN) No. 05/127. N.p., 16 Sept. 2005. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pn/2005/pn05127.htm>. Reed, D. (1996) Structural Adjustment, the Environment, and Sustainable Development. London: Earthscan Publications Ltd. p.34-67. Selm, Bert van, Farhan, Nisreen, Shirono, Kazuko and Dabrowska, Barbara. (2010). Eligibility to Use the Fund‘s Facilities for Concessional Financing. International Monetary Fund. p.2-17. Selm, Bert van, Farhan, Nisreen, Shirono, Kazuko and Dabrowska, Barbara. (2012). Eligibility to Use the Fund‘s Facilities for Concessional Financing. International Monetary Fund. p.2-20. "The IMF and the World Bank: How Do They Differ?" The IMF and the World Bank: How Do They Differ? N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. "The IMF's Framework for Low-income Countries - Bretton Woods Project." Bretton Woods Project. N.p., 17 June 2010. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.brettonwoodsproject.org/2010/06/art-566378/>. "What Are Middle-income Countries?" Middle Income Countries. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/EXTOED/EXTMIDINCCOU N/0%2C%2CcontentMDK%3A21453301~menuPK%3A5006209~pagePK%3A64829 573~piPK%3A64829550~theSitePK%3A4434098%2C00.html>. www.oximun.org Page 5 TOPIC B The BRICS initiative to create the Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA), and the potential of a future collaboration. INTRODUCTION The Bretton Woods Institutions (BWIs) were founded in 1944 upon the principle of preserving the global and intra-national financial equilibria and thereof creating the conditions of international recovery and concurrent economic development. The new institutional framework aimed to facilitate economic cooperation, enabling then- non-industrialized but most importantly industrializing economies to be part of that Great Recovery. Nevertheless, throughout its 70 years of prevalence in the international finance scene, the International Monetary Fund has not managed to develop in an ever-adaptive manner so as to include ‗newcomers‘. The term BRICS was firstly introduced by a Goldman Sachs economist, Jim O‘Neill to signify the safe havens for investors, hence it has ever since been used by media and scholars. The BRICS, whereby Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa used to represent in the 90s‘ and 00s‘ the a sort of second-rate economies with a lot of potential, however this race between the ‗advanced‘ economies and these rapidly-advancing new-comers is a fait accompli. The BRICS currently represent more than 40 per cent of the world‘s population and account for some of the currently fastest growth rates, nevertheless the structure of the Fund does not allow for an equally grave and weighty role in the decision-making process, as they are only possessing 11% of the votes in the IMF. Being deprived of a say in the financial arrangements nowadays could severely impact the performance of these newcomers. The US dollar stands hegemonic in the international transactions, much due to its robustness and universal trustworthiness. Indicatively, the US dollar constitutes the 60.9%31 of the Official Allocated Reserves globally, whereas the yuan for instance, as well as the other BRICS currencies are nowhere near in becoming a global currency32. Developing economies‘ currencies simply lack the institutional and legal infrastructure that could bolster them. 31 "Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (COFER)." Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (COFER). IMF, 30 June 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/sta/cofer /eng/>. 32 Ruan, Victoria. "Yuan Decades Away from Being Global Reserve Currency." South China Morning Post. N.p., 11 Apr. 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.scmp.com/business/money/a rticle/1475607/yuan-decades-away-beingglobal-reserve-currency?page=all>. =all www.oximun.org Page 6 HISTORY OF THE TOPIC During the East Asian financial crisis (1997-8) many middle-income, developing economies experienced severe crises and recessions; it was then that few of them, including China, Japan and Taiwan devised an initiative to create their own ‗Asian‘ Monetary Fund in order to provide liquidity and correct financial gaps in some countries‘ balance of payments. This is known as the Chiang Mai Initiative (CMI). The neuralgic reactions of the IMF, though delayed, contained partly the crisis; notwithstanding some of its weaknesses were shown. It was then that the idea of an alternative creditor was conceived, and although it was met by the US veto, it streamlined the trajectory for criticism and alternative seeking. The then-IMF Managing Director Horst Köhler commended the initiative, pointing out that it would be advisable for such an initiative to ‗pursue regionalization… in a complementary fashion [with the Fund]‘33. Evidently, although the initiative expanded quantitatively over the years, reaching the $240 billion in 2012, the swap lines and credit have never been used, that is not even during the Great Recession and the global financial crisis of 2008/9; which can be credited to the very divergent pursuits of its creators as well as the potential creditors and borrowers. The CMI became a regional complement to the Fund, rather than a substitute. On March 27, 2013, in the context of the V BRICS Summit, the leaders of BRICS decided to embark upon their plan and create the New Development Bank (NDB). One year later, during the first session of the VI BRICS Summit in Fortaleza, Brazil, the group of leaders reaffirmed their intention and co-signed the 33 "Address by Horst Köhler Chairman of the Executive Board and Managing Director of the IMF to the Board of Governors of the Fund." Address by Horst Köhler Chairman of the Executive Board and Managing Director of the IMF to the Board of Governors of the Fund. N.p., 26 Sept. 2000. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/speeche s/2000/092600.htm>. 2 Charter, creating a $100 billion Development Bank and a $100 billion Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA) to rival the World Bank and the IMF accordingly. A key determining factor that seems to have opened up the way for this agreement at this particular time, is the prospect of the reversal of US‘s expansionary monetary policy, which has enabled for an investment flow (and indeed cash flow) toward many developing, middle-income economies, in which case the latter would face a siphoning of vital funding. The original Instruments of CRA, as set by the Treaty for the Establishment of a Brics Contingent Reserve Arrangement34 can be viewed below: Liquidity Instrument Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA) Precautionary Instrument The Liquidity Instrument will provide financial assistance in case of ―short-term balance of payments pressures‖,35 whereas the Precautionary Instrument shall provide assistance en vue of such short-term pressures. The objective of this reserve is to provide protection against global liquidity pressures (Novosti). This includes currency issues where members' national currencies are being adversely affected by global financial pressures. The CRA is an integral part of the New Development Bank (formerly called the BRICS Development Bank), which was agreed upon by the five member nations at the 5th BRICS Summit held in Durban, South Africa on March 27, 2013. (Powell) On 15 July 2014, the first day of the 6th BRICS summit held in Fortaleza, Brazil, the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) signed the long-anticipated document to create the $100 billion BRICS Development Bank and a reserve currency pool worth over another $100 billion. (Watson) Both are expected to counter the influence of Western-based lending institutions and the dollar. Documents on cooperation between BRICS export credit agencies and an agreement of cooperation on innovation were also signed. Shanghai was selected as the headquarters after competition from New Delhi and Johannesburg. An African regional centre will be set up in Johannesburg. (Reporter) The first president will be from India, (Bloomberg) the inaugural Chairman of the Board of directors will come from Brazil and the inaugural chairman of the Board of Governors will be Russian. The CRA and the Fund "VI BRICS Summit." Treaty for the Establishment of a BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement – Fortaleza, July 15. N.p., 15 July 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://brics6.itamaraty.gov.br/media2/pre ss-releases/220-treaty-for-theestablishment-of-a-brics-contingent-reservearrangement-fortaleza-july-15>. 35 Ibid. 34 In the Treaty, there are several explicit references to t he Fund. One of the most important thereof is the requirement for Requesting Parties that require more than 30% of their swaps (maximum access) to have an on- www.oximun.org Page 3 going /―on-track arrangement with the IMF‖.36 This condition clearly resembles the CMI‘s exactly same provision of 30/70 rule, by which the 70% of their access is drawable only under the condition that the Requesting Party has been subject to IMF non-concessional financing. This is what the Treaty refers to as IMF-linked Drawing. Moreover, the Swap Transactions are to be carried out through the means of US dollar, as well as the BRICS individual commitments to the CRA are designated in USD. Paradoxically, the CRA is intended to smoothly deprive the BRICS of their dependence upon the US dollar and West-led monetary institutions, and that is to be done through the $100-billion pool of foreign exchange reserves, however they are very intertwined with the current international financial status quo of the Fund and the US dollar. The Fund‘s reactions have been prudent, yet commending vis-à-vis the CRA project. The current IMF Managing Director, Christine Lagarde, via a press statement praised the CRA initiative by the BRICS and welcomed future cooperation.37 36 37 Ibid. "Press Release: Statement by IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde on the BRICS Summit." Press Release: Statement by IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde on the BRICS Summit. Christine Lagarde, n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/ 2014/pr14349.htm>. www.oximun.org Page 4 DISCUSSION PROBLEM: OF THE The volatility of global markets post the 2008 recession shed light on the lack of comprehensive contingency plans from the IMF, World Bank and the individual member nations. Despite being economically sound, certain mechanisms in regional economies had failed spectacularly and there were no fail-safes in place to avoid a recessionary trend. The problem that arises is that certain countries perceive a lack of initiative from the Washington-based institutions in countering the recession and developing counter-measures for the future. Hence, the bone of contention lies in the CRA becoming a possible threat to the IMF‘s programs and global initiatives and weakening of its role as a global financial institution. Another alarming problem to be addressed is the possible failure of this CRA from the BRICS which will result in a grave impact on global markets considering the risk involved. The NDB has an initial capital of $100 Billion dollars from the BRICS and an equal amount in a reserve currency pool. The currency pool can potentially rival the US Dollar or even the Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) for international trade but it can also cause a devastating economic bubble, similar to the Asian Currency crisis of 1997. Therefore, the two problems the IMF faces are: a) The CRA may be formed to counter the IMF‘s mandate thereby drastically reducing our role, and b) is the CRA an intelligent investment 2 for Least Developed and Medium Developed countries? 6) What can the IMF do in order to diffuse the tense credit environment for troubled and developing economies? THE FUTURE: The CRA‘s future is uncertain because of its unique nature and agenda. Presently, it has a corpus of $100 Billion but as the BRICS open their NDB to other LDCs and MDCs, we can expect the membership of the NDB to increase along with the contributions from other member nations. Although there is no imminent threat to the IMF, the future looks challenging, especially with the emergence of a reserve currency pool. The one factor we can predict the increase in the allocation and utilization of SDRs in international trade in order to counter the CRA from BRICS. In respect to all other factors, the IMF remains unsure of the application of this CRA in global geo-politics and use or misuse of this arrangement by its member nations. POINTS RESOLUTIONS SHOULD ADDRESS: 1) Does the IMF stand to gain or lose from the creation of the CRA? 2) What changes in the IMF‘s structure can be encouraged in order to counter the BRICS NDB? 3) Can the IMF increase SDR allocations to make international trade more LDC-friendly? 4) Is there a possibility of a future collaboration between the IMF and the CRA? 5) Can the IMF afford to create a currency reserve or a contingency reserve considering the viability of the same in the global economy? BLOC POSITIONS: Due to the contemporaneity of the topic, one cannot identify concrete and explicitly defined blocs or fields. The Fund has expressed its willingness to cooperate with the CRA initiative. It is certain though, that the project has drawn support from particular countries, and naturally criticism by others. Many commentators have actually pointed out the likelihood of the two international financial institutions being complementary to each other, rather than rivals. BRICS and other developing economies The CRA debate is argued by two main blocs: BRICS and the other LDCs and the developed economies. The BRICS argue that the CRA is a viable alternative to LDCs for loans, grants and aid for development without the additional burden of falling prey to western domination. They advocate the NDB as the easier and safer credit-lending alternative to the IMF but it is evident that their intention is to drastically www.oximun.org Page 3 reduce the economics western influence on global Moreover South American countries were warmly invited to meet BRICS leaders during the VI Summit, and due to the openly aversive feelings towards the IMF, many of them will view in the CRA a light of hope for an alternative. Many African countries, unsatisfied with their running IMF programme might support the initiative, opposing to any cooperation with the Fund and willing to see institutional competition for their own benefits. The other major bloc is the High income countries led by the United States, the EU, Japan and others, who argue that the CRA is worsen the volatility of global markets as it aims to inject billions of dollars in troubled economies which were denied funds from the IMF due to lack of adherence to certain prerequisites. This bloc also believes that there is no intention of the BRICS to sponsor real development, rather this is a gambit to increase their influence over Africa dramatically by acting as the ―heralds of development‖ in the LDCs. This bloc believes that the CRA is ―good politics but bad economics‖ because there is already a global financial institution charged with maintaining the stability of the global markets and the CRA defies popular belief. FURTHER READING: http://www.pbc.gov.cn/publish/english/955/2014/20140717154639176510565/20140717154 639176510565_.html http://rt.com/business/173008-brics-bank-currency-pool/ http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/21/us-brics-bank-idUSBRE92K0R820130321 http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/sdr.HTM http://www.imf.org/external/np/fin/data/rms_five.aspx http://www.imf.org/external/about/borrow.htm http://www.imf.org/external/about/lending.htm BIBLIOGRAPHY "Address by Horst Köhler Chairman of the Executive Board and Managing Director of the IMF to the Board of Governors of the Fund." Address by Horst Köhler Chairman of the Executive Board and Managing Director of the IMF to the Board of Governors of the Fund. N.p., 26 Sept. 2000. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/speeches/2000/092600.htm>. Bloomberg. Bloomberg India. 16 July 2014. <http://www.btvin.com/videos/watch/8003/india-gets-firstpresidency-of-the-brics-bk>. "Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (COFER)." Currency Composition of Official Foreign www.oximun.org Page 4 Exchange Reserves (COFER). IMF, 30 June 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.imf.org/external/np/sta/cofer/eng/>. Novosti, Ria. Russia and India Report. 17 July 2014. <http://in.rbth.com/world/2014/07/17/brics_currency_fund_to_protect_members_from_volatility__russias_top_ba_36767.html>. Powell, Anita. Voice of America . 27 March 2013. <http://www.voanews.com/content/brics-summit-leadersoptimistic-about-new-development-bank/1629583.html>. "Press Release: Statement by IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde on the BRICS Summit." Press Release: Statement by IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde on the BRICS Summit. Christine Lagarde, n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2014/pr14349.htm>. Reporter, Staff. Yahoo! News. 24 July 2014. <http://news.yahoo.com/cabinet-welcomes-brics-developmentbank-115111670.html>. Ruan, Victoria. "Yuan Decades Away from Being Global Reserve Currency." South China Morning Post. N.p., 11 Apr. 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://www.scmp.com/business/money/article/1475607/yuan-decadesaway-being-global-reserve-currency?page=all>. "VI BRICS Summit." Treaty for the Establishment of a BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement – Fortaleza, July 15. N.p., 15 July 2014. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://brics6.itamaraty.gov.br/media2/press-releases/220-treaty-for-theestablishment-of-a-brics-contingent-reserve-arrangement-fortaleza-july-15>. "VI BRICS Summit." Treaty for the Establishment of a BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement – Fortaleza, July 15. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Aug. 2014. <http://brics6.itamaraty.gov.br/media2/press-releases/220-treaty-for-theestablishment-of-a-brics-contingent-reserve-arrangement-fortaleza-july-15>. Watson, Katy. BBC News Business. 15 July 2014. <http://www.bbc.com/news/business-28317555>. www.oximun.org Page 3
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