November 9, 2014 NYSE: PPG PPG INDUSTRIES INC BUY A+ A A- HOLD B+ B Annual Dividend Rate $2.68 B- C+ C Annual Dividend Yield 1.30% SELL C- D Beta 1.24 Sector: Materials PPG BUSINESS DESCRIPTION PPG Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes coatings, optical and specialty materials, and glass products. The company operates in five segments: Performance Coatings, Industrial Coatings, Architectural Coatings, Optical and Specialty Materials, and Glass. D+ D- E+ E E- F Market Capitalization $28.3 Billion Sub-Industry: Specialty Chemicals Weekly Price: (US$) SMA (50) BUY 52-Week Range $171.56-$213.01 RATING SINCE TARGET PRICE 05/18/2010 $266.62 Price as of 11/6/2014 $206.09 Source: S&P SMA (100) 1 Year 2 Years 275 TARGET TARGET TARGETPRICE PRICE$266.62 $266.62 PRICE $266.62 TARGET 250 225 200 175 STOCK PERFORMANCE (%) 3 Mo. Price Change 3.62 1 Yr. 12.74 3 Yr (Ann) 32.54 150 125 GROWTH (%) Last Qtr 4.26 64.15 91.48 Revenues Net Income EPS 12 Mo. 9.61 -29.06 51.14 3 Yr CAGR 1.35 27.99 11.24 100 Rating History BUY Volume in Millions 50 RETURN ON EQUITY (%) PPG 21.25 17.34 19.45 Q3 2014 Q3 2013 Q3 2012 Ind Avg 27.69 22.71 22.49 S&P 500 14.28 13.75 13.93 25 2012 2013 0 2014 COMPUSTAT for Price and Volume, TheStreet Ratings, Inc. for Rating History RECOMMENDATION We rate PPG INDUSTRIES INC (PPG) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its increase in stock price during the past year, impressive record of earnings per share growth, increase in net income, revenue growth and largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows weak operating cash flow. P/E COMPARISON 22.28 37.61 19.70 PPG Ind Avg S&P 500 HIGHLIGHTS Compared to where it was a year ago today, the stock is now trading at a higher level, reflecting both the market's overall trend during that period and the fact that the company's earnings growth has been robust. Looking ahead, unless broad bear market conditions prevail, we still see more upside potential for this stock, despite the fact that it has already risen over the past year. 2012 2013 Q3 2.70 Q2 2.80 Q1 1.97 Q4 1.78 Q3 1.41 Q2 2.19 Q1 1.29 Q4 1.23 Q3 1.86 PPG INDUSTRIES INC reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past year. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, PPG INDUSTRIES INC increased its bottom line by earning $6.67 versus $4.69 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($9.60 versus $6.67). Q2 1.92 Q1 -0.32 EPS ANALYSIS¹ ($) The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Chemicals industry. The net income increased by 64.2% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $226.00 million to $371.00 million. 2014 NA = not available NM = not meaningful 1 Compustat fiscal year convention is used for all fundamental data items. Despite its growing revenue, the company underperformed as compared with the industry average of 9.9%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 4.3%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share. The current debt-to-equity ratio, 0.55, is low and is below the industry average, implying that there has been successful management of debt levels. Along with the favorable debt-to-equity ratio, the company maintains an adequate quick ratio of 1.23, which illustrates the ability to avoid short-term cash problems. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2014. All rights reserved. Report Date: November 9, 2014 PAGE 1 November 9, 2014 NYSE: PPG PPG INDUSTRIES INC Sector: Materials Specialty Chemicals Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate $2.68 Annual Dividend Yield 1.30% PEER GROUP ANALYSIS 12% SHW ECL V FA -8% LE AB -5% 35% EBITDA Margin (TTM) Companies with higher EBITDA margins and revenue growth rates are outperforming companies with lower EBITDA margins and revenue growth rates. Companies for this scatter plot have a market capitalization between $5.6 Billion and $33.6 Billion. Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. *EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization. 12% REVENUE GROWTH AND EARNINGS YIELD AB OR LE RPM V FA ECL SHW VAL PPG CE LE AB -8% Global annual plastics consumption is in excess of 180 million metric tons. Total world plastic materials consumption is forecasted to double by 2015 from 2003 levels, with annual demand growth of more than 5%. This is due to growing global demand for processed foods and beverages, which implies higher demand for packaging materials. Demand is expected to come from multiple industries as manufacturers across business lines switch to lighter and more durable plastic alternatives. The industry is the second-largest consumer of energy and efforts are underway to improve efficiency. ACC reported that the energy consumption per unit of output has declined by nearly half since 1974. Apart from energy consumption, there is growing concern about excessive usage of non-biodegradable plastic bags. In the US alone, plastic bags form a $4 billion industry, with about 110 billion units used yearly. Such environmental concerns and an increased focus on sustainable development are driving extensive application of technology to produce biodegradable alternatives. Another area of focus is nanotechnology, which is being employed in the development of composites, coatings, and specialty materials. Looking ahead, the chemicals industry is expected to recover along with the overall economic condition. However, high crude oil prices may raise production costs and lackluster demand in emerging economies may offset certain positives. The industry may see increased consolidation due to intense competition, the need for cost efficiencies, and economies of scale. R VO FA ASH The correlation with other industries is high. For example, the severe construction downturn has adversely impacted demand for insulation, plastic pipes, paints, windows, and hundreds of other basic building materials. The industry is evolving and manufacturers are moving up the value chain by including engineering, design, and logistics support services, in addition to core manufacturing. In order to improve margins, chemical companies are looking at outsourcing and off-shoring options. UN Revenue Growth (TTM) IFF ROC GRA SIAL 0% Price as of 11/6/2014 $206.09 The industry is capital-intensive. The industry annually spends roughly $50 billion on research and development. The industry is cyclical and affected by costs for basic commodities, especially oil and gas. Price fluctuations impact dependent industries such as resins, plastics, synthetic fibers, pesticides, lubricants, paints, coatings, adhesives, soaps and cleaners, pharmaceuticals, and many other products with special applications. R VO FA ASH 52-Week Range $171.56-$213.01 The industry includes around 10,000 companies. Major publically-traded players are Dow Chemical Company (DOW), Monsanto (MON), DuPont (DD), Potash (POT), Huntsman (HUN), and LyondellBasell Industries (LYB). According to the American Chemistry Council, or ACC, the industry is a $689 billion enterprise in the US, employing over 850 thousand people. ROC IFF GRA SIAL UN Revenue Growth (TTM) RPM LE CE AB OR PPG Market Capitalization $28.3 Billion INDUSTRY ANALYSIS The chemicals industry is comprised of companies that produce commodity chemicals, diversified chemicals, fertilizers and agricultural chemicals, industrial gases, and specialty chemicals. The industry is concentrated in areas where a few large manufacturers hold significant market share. The larger manufactures benefit from supply chain integration and economies of scale, whereas smaller manufacturers utilize product specialization and efficient operations in order to compete. REVENUE GROWTH AND EBITDA MARGIN* VAL Beta 1.24 15% Earnings Yield (TTM) Companies that exhibit both a high earnings yield and high revenue growth are generally more attractive than companies with low revenue growth and low earnings yield. Companies for this scatter plot have revenue growth rates between -6.3% and 11.1%. Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. PEER GROUP: Chemicals Ticker PPG CE ASH IFF GRA VAL RPM ROC ECL SHW SIAL Company Name PPG INDUSTRIES INC CELANESE CORP ASHLAND INC INTL FLAVORS & FRAGRANCES GRACE (W R) & CO VALSPAR CORP RPM INTERNATIONAL INC ROCKWOOD HOLDINGS INC ECOLAB INC SHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO SIGMA-ALDRICH CORP Recent Price ($) 206.09 59.55 108.71 98.94 95.35 83.88 46.17 78.46 111.94 233.22 135.34 Market Cap ($M) 28,283 9,149 8,485 8,011 7,076 6,950 6,163 5,590 33,595 22,389 16,118 This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2014. All rights reserved. Price/ Earnings 22.28 6.82 120.79 21.01 25.22 24.24 21.68 45.88 29.77 27.21 32.69 Net Sales TTM ($M) 15,355.00 6,859.00 6,121.00 3,057.62 3,215.60 4,397.66 4,415.58 1,420.10 14,159.20 11,017.18 2,764.00 Net Income TTM ($M) 2,273.00 1,362.00 233.00 385.89 290.50 300.86 287.64 611.60 1,154.40 849.27 498.00 Report Date: November 9, 2014 PAGE 2 November 9, 2014 NYSE: PPG PPG INDUSTRIES INC Sector: Materials Specialty Chemicals Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate $2.68 Annual Dividend Yield 1.30% COMPANY DESCRIPTION PPG Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes coatings, optical and specialty materials, and glass products. The company operates in five segments: Performance Coatings, Industrial Coatings, Architectural Coatings, Optical and Specialty Materials, and Glass. It offers coatings products for automotive and commercial transport/fleet repair and refurbishing, light industrial coatings, and specialty coatings for signs; sealants, coatings, maintenance cleaners, and transparencies for commercial, military, regional jet, and general aviation aircraft and transparent armor for specialty applications; and coatings and finishes for the protection of metals and structures to metal fabricators, heavy duty maintenance contractors, and manufacturers of ships, bridges, and rail cars. The company also provides industrial and automotive coatings for manufacturing companies; adhesives and sealants for the automotive industry; metal pretreatments and related chemicals for industrial and automotive applications; and packaging coatings to aerosol, food, and beverage container manufacturers. In addition, it offers architectural coatings used by painting and maintenance contractors and by consumers to decorate and maintain residential and commercial building structures, as well as purchased sundries to painting contractors and consumers. Further, the company provides optical products, such as lenses, optical lens materials, and sun lenses; silicas comprising amorphous precipitated silicas for tire, battery separator, and other end-use markets; and substrates used for radio frequency identification tags and labels, e-passports, drivers' licenses, and identification cards applications. Additionally, it offers flat glass and continuous-strand fiber glass products for commercial and residential construction markets, and the wind energy, energy infrastructure, transportation, and electronics industries. The company was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. PPG INDUSTRIES INC One PPG Place Pittsburgh, PA 15272 USA Phone: 412-434-3131 http://www.ppg.com Beta 1.24 Market Capitalization $28.3 Billion 52-Week Range $171.56-$213.01 Price as of 11/6/2014 $206.09 STOCK-AT-A-GLANCE Below is a summary of the major fundamental and technical factors we consider when determining our overall recommendation of PPG shares. It is provided in order to give you a deeper understanding of our rating methodology as well as to paint a more complete picture of a stock's strengths and weaknesses. It is important to note, however, that these factors only tell part of the story. To gain an even more comprehensive understanding of our stance on the stock, these factors must be assessed in combination with the stock’s valuation. Please refer to our Valuation section on page 5 for further information. FACTOR SCORE 4.0 Growth out of 5 stars weak Measures the growth of both the company's income statement and cash flow. On this factor, PPG has a growth score better than 70% of the stocks we rate. strong 3.5 Total Return out of 5 stars weak Measures the historical price movement of the stock. The stock performance of this company has beaten 60% of the companies we cover. strong 5.0 Efficiency out of 5 stars weak Measures the strength and historic growth of a company's return on invested capital. The company has generated more income per dollar of capital than 90% of the companies we review. strong 4.0 Price volatility out of 5 stars weak Measures the volatility of the company's stock price historically. The stock is less volatile than 70% of the stocks we monitor. strong 5.0 Solvency out of 5 stars weak Measures the solvency of the company based on several ratios. The company is more solvent than 90% of the companies we analyze. strong 3.5 Income out of 5 stars weak Measures dividend yield and payouts to shareholders. The company's dividend is higher than 60% of the companies we track. strong THESTREET RATINGS RESEARCH METHODOLOGY TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates. While our model is quantitative, it utilizes both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company earnings. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company cash flows. Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e.how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits; the level of acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's performance. These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted, and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of selecting stocks. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2014. All rights reserved. Report Date: November 9, 2014 PAGE 3 November 9, 2014 NYSE: PPG PPG INDUSTRIES INC Sector: Materials Specialty Chemicals Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate $2.68 Annual Dividend Yield 1.30% Consensus EPS Estimates² ($) IBES consensus estimates are provided by Thomson Financial 1.97 9.60 E 11.17 E Q4 FY14 2014(E) 2015(E) INCOME STATEMENT Net Sales ($mil) EBITDA ($mil) EBIT ($mil) Net Income ($mil) Q3 FY14 3,935.00 651.00 532.00 371.00 Q3 FY13 3,774.00 592.00 479.00 226.00 Q3 FY14 3,038.00 17,087.00 3,348.00 6,121.00 Q3 FY13 2,249.00 16,638.00 3,395.00 5,211.00 Q3 FY14 43.35% 16.54% 13.52% 0.90 13.30% 21.25% Q3 FY13 42.74% 15.68% 12.69% 0.84 19.25% 17.34% Q3 FY14 1.82 0.35 51.00 10.43 Q3 FY13 1.86 0.39 50.00 9.58 Q3 FY14 137 0.67 2.70 44.60 NA 809,035 Q3 FY13 142 0.61 1.41 36.69 NA 553,787 Beta 1.24 Market Capitalization $28.3 Billion 52-Week Range $171.56-$213.01 Price as of 11/6/2014 $206.09 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS PPG INDUSTRIES INC's gross profit margin for the third quarter of its fiscal year 2014 is essentially unchanged when compared to the same period a year ago. The company has grown its sales and net income during the past quarter when compared with the same quarter a year ago, and although its growth in net income has outpaced the industry average, its revenue growth has not. PPG INDUSTRIES INC has average liquidity. Currently, the Quick Ratio is 1.23 which shows that technically this company has the ability to cover short-term cash needs. The company's liquidity has decreased from the same period last year, indicating deteriorating cash flow. During the same period, stockholders' equity ("net worth") has increased by 17.46% from the same quarter last year. Together, the key liquidity measurements indicate that it is relatively unlikely that the company will face financial difficulties in the near future. STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12-months. To learn more visit www.TheStreetRatings.com. BALANCE SHEET Cash & Equiv. ($mil) Total Assets ($mil) Total Debt ($mil) Equity ($mil) PROFITABILITY Gross Profit Margin EBITDA Margin Operating Margin Sales Turnover Return on Assets Return on Equity DEBT Current Ratio Debt/Capital Interest Expense Interest Coverage SHARE DATA Shares outstanding (mil) Div / share EPS Book value / share Institutional Own % Avg Daily Volume 2 Sum of quarterly figures may not match annual estimates due to use of median consensus estimates. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2014. All rights reserved. Report Date: November 9, 2014 PAGE 4 November 9, 2014 NYSE: PPG PPG INDUSTRIES INC Sector: Materials Specialty Chemicals Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate $2.68 Annual Dividend Yield 1.30% RATINGS HISTORY Our rating for PPG INDUSTRIES INC has not changed since 5/18/2010. As of 11/6/2014, the stock was trading at a price of $206.09 which is 3.3% below its 52-week high of $213.01 and 20.1% above its 52-week low of $171.56. 2 Year Chart Beta 1.24 Market Capitalization $28.3 Billion BUY: $123.19 Price/Earnings 1 2 3 premium $150 4 5 PPG 22.28 Peers 37.61 • Discount. A lower P/E ratio than its peers can signify a less expensive stock or lower growth expectations. • PPG is trading at a significant discount to its peers. Price/Projected Earnings From Buy To Buy RATINGS DEFINITIONS & DISTRIBUTION OF THESTREET RATINGS 3 49.24% Buy - We believe that this stock has the opportunity to appreciate and produce a total return of more than 10% over the next 12 months. 29.51% Hold - We do not believe this stock offers conclusive evidence to warrant the purchase or sale of shares at this time and that its likelihood of positive total return is roughly in balance with the risk of loss. 21.25% Sell - We believe that this stock is likely to decline by more than 10% over the next 12 months, with the risk involved too great to compensate for any possible returns. 4 5 Price/Book 1 2 3 premium 4 5 Price/Sales 1 2 premium 3 4 5 Price to Earnings/Growth 4 5 discount 1 2 3 premium 4 5 discount PPG 0.64 Peers 1.55 • Discount. The PEG ratio is the stock’s P/E divided by the consensus estimate of long-term earnings growth. Faster growth can justify higher price multiples. • PPG trades at a significant discount to its peers. Earnings Growth 1 2 3 4 lower 5 higher PPG 51.14 Peers 51.36 • Average. Elevated earnings growth rates can lead to capital appreciation and justify higher price-to-earnings ratios. • PPG is expected to keep pace with its peers on the basis of earnings growth. Sales Growth discount PPG 1.84 Peers 2.28 • Discount. In the absence of P/E and P/B multiples, the price-to-sales ratio can display the value investors are placing on each dollar of sales. • PPG is trading at a discount to its industry on this measurement. 3 PPG 18.00 Peers 15.01 • Premium. The P/CF ratio, a stock’s price divided by the company's cash flow from operations, is useful for comparing companies with different capital requirements or financing structures. • PPG is trading at a premium to its peers. discount PPG 4.62 Peers 4.58 • Average. A lower price-to-book ratio makes a stock more attractive to investors seeking stocks with lower market values per dollar of equity on the balance sheet. • PPG is trading at a valuation on par with its peers. 2 premium discount PPG 18.45 Peers 19.06 • Premium. A higher price-to-projected earnings ratio than its peers can signify a more expensive stock or higher future growth expectations. • PPG is trading at a premium to its peers. (as of 11/6/2014) Research Contact: 212-321-5381 Sales Contact: 866-321-8726 2 premium Price reflects the closing price as of the date listed, if available TheStreet Ratings 14 Wall Street, 15th Floor New York, NY 10005 www.thestreet.com 1 1 Price/CashFlow discount 2013 MOST RECENT RATINGS CHANGES Date Price Action 11/6/12 $123.19 No Change Price as of 11/6/2014 $206.09 VALUATION BUY. This stock's P/E ratio indicates a significant discount compared to an average of 37.61 for the Chemicals industry and a premium compared to the S&P 500 average of 19.70. Conducting a second comparison, its price-to-book ratio of 4.62 indicates a significant premium versus the S&P 500 average of 2.72 and a premium versus the industry average of 4.58. The current price-to-sales ratio is similar to the S&P 500 average, but it is below the industry average, indicating a discount. The valuation analysis reveals that, PPG INDUSTRIES INC seems to be trading at a discount to investment alternatives within the industry. $250 $200 52-Week Range $171.56-$213.01 1 2 3 lower 4 5 higher PPG 9.61 Peers 3.54 • Higher. A sales growth rate that exceeds the industry implies that a company is gaining market share. • PPG has a sales growth rate that significantly exceeds its peers. DISCLAIMER: The opinions and information contained herein have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but TheStreet Ratings cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness, and that of the opinions based thereon. Data is provided via the COMPUSTAT® Xpressfeed product from Standard &Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., as well as other third-party data providers. TheStreet Ratings is a division of TheStreet, Inc., which is a publisher. This research report contains opinions and is provided for informational purposes only. You should not rely solely upon the research herein for purposes of transacting securities or other investments, and you are encouraged to conduct your own research and due diligence, and to seek the advice of a qualified securities professional, before you make any investment. None of the information contained in this report constitutes, or is intended to constitute a recommendation by TheStreet Ratings of any particular security or trading strategy or a determination by TheStreet Ratings that any security or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of the information contained herein may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person. Your use of this report is governed by TheStreet, Inc.'s Terms of Use found at http://www.thestreet.com/static/about/terms-of-use.html. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2014. All rights reserved. Report Date: November 9, 2014 PAGE 5
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