February 4, 2015 NASDAQ: GILD GILEAD SCIENCES INC BUY A+ A A- HOLD B+ B Annual Dividend Rate NA B- C+ C Annual Dividend Yield NA SELL C- D+ Beta 0.75 Sector: Health Care GILD BUSINESS DESCRIPTION Gilead Sciences, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines for the treatment of life threatening diseases in North America, South America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. STOCK PERFORMANCE (%) 3 Mo. Price Change -2.55 1 Yr. 35.96 3 Yr (Ann) 57.66 Last Qtr 134.43 340.60 363.82 12 Mo. 122.19 293.56 303.27 3 Yr CAGR 43.71 62.82 60.80 RETURN ON EQUITY (%) GILD Q4 2014 76.49 Q4 2013 26.89 Q4 2012 27.83 Ind Avg 22.41 20.10 0.53 S&P 500 14.59 13.97 13.23 D D- E+ E E- F BUY Market Capitalization $161.7 Billion Sub-Industry: Biotechnology Weekly Price: (US$) SMA (50) 52-Week Range $63.50-$116.83 RATING SINCE TARGET PRICE 07/27/2011 $140.67 Price as of 2/3/2015 $107.18 Source: S&P SMA (100) 1 Year 2 Years 150 TARGET PRICE $140.67 TARGET TARGETPRICE PRICE$140.67 $140.67 125 100 75 50 GROWTH (%) Revenues Net Income EPS 25 Rating History BUY Volume in Millions 200 100 2013 2014 2015 0 COMPUSTAT for Price and Volume, TheStreet Ratings, Inc. for Rating History P/E COMPARISON RECOMMENDATION We rate GILEAD SCIENCES INC (GILD) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its robust revenue growth, notable return on equity, attractive valuation levels, expanding profit margins and solid stock price performance. Although no company is perfect, currently we do not see any significant weaknesses which are likely to detract from the generally positive outlook. 14.52 77.27 19.35 GILD Ind Avg S&P 500 HIGHLIGHTS GILD's very impressive revenue growth greatly exceeded the industry average of 43.1%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues leaped by 134.4%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share. EPS ANALYSIS¹ ($) 2012 2013 Q4 2.18 Q3 1.67 Q2 2.20 Q1 1.33 Q4 0.47 Q3 0.47 Q2 0.46 Q1 0.43 Q4 0.47 Q3 0.43 Q2 0.46 Q1 0.29 The company's current return on equity greatly increased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of significant strength within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Biotechnology industry and the overall market, GILEAD SCIENCES INC's return on equity significantly exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500. 2014 NA = not available NM = not meaningful 1 Compustat fiscal year convention is used for all fundamental data items. The gross profit margin for GILEAD SCIENCES INC is currently very high, coming in at 85.47%. It has increased from the same quarter the previous year. Along with this, the net profit margin of 47.67% significantly outperformed against the industry average. Powered by its strong earnings growth of 363.82% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by 35.96% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Turning to the future, naturally, any stock can fall in a major bear market. However, in almost any other environment, the stock should continue to move higher despite the fact that it has already enjoyed nice gains in the past year. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 4, 2015 PAGE 1 February 4, 2015 NASDAQ: GILD GILEAD SCIENCES INC Sector: Health Care Biotechnology Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate NA Annual Dividend Yield NA PEER GROUP ANALYSIS 350% PCYC V FA AB OR R VO FA LE AB -100% UN Revenue Growth (TTM) LE REGN INCY -30% Market Capitalization $161.7 Billion 52-Week Range $63.50-$116.83 Price as of 2/3/2015 $107.18 INDUSTRY ANALYSIS The biotechnology industry employs biological and biochemical knowledge to develop, manufacture and trade products and processes for the diagnosis and treatment of diseases and ailments. It also develops genetically modified plant and animal species and food varieties. The industry has a noncyclical growth profile, which is insensitive to overall economic conditions. The industry focuses on specialty markets with primary sales and efforts targeted towards specialists such as hematologists, oncology physicians, rheumatologists and dermatologists. Consequently, the industry is highly reliant on research and development (R&D). US biotech companies dominating the market include larger players like Amgen (AMGN), Gilead (GILD) and Biogen (BIIB). REVENUE GROWTH AND EBITDA MARGIN* BMRN Beta 0.75 50% Medical spending is expected to grow significantly in the coming quarters due to an aging population, increasing obesity and demand for quality treatment. Healthcare service providers have shown a willingness to incur higher costs to treat diseases and this supports margin expansion for successful treatments. US healthcare spending for the next decade is expected to be around $4.2 trillion or 20% of GDP. The biotechnology pipeline has become an important consideration for the pharmaceutical industry and its suppliers. The industry has witnessed an increase in financing and multi-billion-dollar mergers and acquisitions. R&D spending remains robust. The US continues to dominate in R&D spending, with approximately 81 cents of global expenditures being domestic. EBITDA Margin (TTM) Companies with higher EBITDA margins and revenue growth rates are outperforming companies with lower EBITDA margins and revenue growth rates. Companies for this scatter plot have a market capitalization between $12.2 Billion and $161.7 Billion. Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. *EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization. PEER GROUP: Biotechnology 350% REVENUE GROWTH AND EARNINGS YIELD PCYC V FA AB OR LE R VO FA VRTX ALXN BIIB INCY REGN CELG GRFS AMGN LE AB -100% UN Revenue Growth (TTM) GILD BMRN -3% An average drug takes about 10 to 15 years from pre-clinical development to market approval. According to the FDA, for every 20 drugs that enter the clinical testing stage, only a few pass trial and gain approval. The traditional sales and profit metrics do not completely reveal the biotech companies’ otherwise lengthy, cost-intensive product-development periods. It is essential for investors to consider the number of products the biotech companies have in their pipeline, the time necessary for development and the potential market size of drugs. Patents held, effectiveness of these patents to protect market share, cash position, and current leverage position all impact biotech company outlook. Finally, R&D effectiveness, management competency and potential synergies from new or proposed M&A activities are important factors for investors to consider. 7% Ticker GILD CELG BIIB REGN ALXN VRTX BMRN GRFS INCY PCYC AMGN Recent Company Name Price ($) GILEAD SCIENCES INC 107.18 CELGENE CORP 117.60 BIOGEN IDEC INC 393.89 REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS 409.20 ALEXION PHARMACEUTICALS IN 177.51 VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INC 108.72 BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC 92.76 GRIFOLS SA 34.60 INCYTE CORP 75.96 PHARMACYCLICS INC 161.23 AMGEN INC 152.23 Market Cap ($M) 161,699 93,928 93,019 40,794 35,198 26,285 14,583 13,459 12,833 12,179 115,695 Price/ Earnings 14.52 49.00 31.79 138.24 54.45 NM NM 22.18 NM 147.92 22.72 Net Sales TTM ($M) 24,889.73 7,670.40 9,703.32 2,627.64 2,233.73 580.42 667.06 4,086.63 484.59 563.09 20,063.00 Net Income TTM ($M) 12,101.28 1,999.90 2,934.78 334.70 656.91 -738.56 -126.16 542.77 -54.41 86.88 5,158.00 The peer group comparison is based on Major Biotechnology companies of comparable size. Earnings Yield (TTM) Companies that exhibit both a high earnings yield and high revenue growth are generally more attractive than companies with low revenue growth and low earnings yield. Companies for this scatter plot have revenue growth rates between -52.1% and 312.2%. Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 4, 2015 PAGE 2 February 4, 2015 NASDAQ: GILD GILEAD SCIENCES INC Sector: Health Care Biotechnology Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate NA Annual Dividend Yield NA COMPANY DESCRIPTION Gilead Sciences, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines for the treatment of life threatening diseases in North America, South America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. The company's products include Stribild, Complera/Eviplera, Atripla, Truvada, Viread, Emtriva, Tybost, and Vitekta for the treatment of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in adults; and Sovaldi, Viread, and Hepsera products for the treatment of liver disease. It also offers Letairis, an endothelin receptor antagonist for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension; Ranexa, a tablet used for the treatment of chronic angina; Lexiscan/Rapiscan injection for use as a pharmacologic stress agent in radionuclide myocardial perfusion imaging; Cayston, an inhaled antibiotic for the treatment of respiratory systems in cystic fibrosis patients; and Tamiflu, an oral antiviral capsule for the treatment and prevention of influenza A and B. In addition, the company provides other products, such as AmBisome, an antifungal agent to treat serious invasive fungal infections; Vistide, an antiviral injection for the treatment of cytomegalovirus retinitis in adult patients with AIDS; and Macugen, an anti-angiogenic oligonucleotide to treat neovascular age-related macular degeneration. Further, it has product candidates in various stages for the treatment of HIV, liver, oncology/inflammation, cardiovascular, and respiratory diseases. The company markets its products through its commercial teams and/or in conjunction with third-party distributors and corporate partners. Gilead Sciences, Inc. has collaborations with BMS, Janssen, and Japan Tobacco to develop and commercialize various products. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Foster City, California. GILEAD SCIENCES INC 333 Lakeside Drive Foster City, CA 94404 USA Phone: 650-574-3000 Fax: 650-578-9264 http://www.gilead.com Beta 0.75 Market Capitalization $161.7 Billion 52-Week Range $63.50-$116.83 Price as of 2/3/2015 $107.18 STOCK-AT-A-GLANCE Below is a summary of the major fundamental and technical factors we consider when determining our overall recommendation of GILD shares. It is provided in order to give you a deeper understanding of our rating methodology as well as to paint a more complete picture of a stock's strengths and weaknesses. It is important to note, however, that these factors only tell part of the story. To gain an even more comprehensive understanding of our stance on the stock, these factors must be assessed in combination with the stock’s valuation. Please refer to our Valuation section on page 5 for further information. FACTOR SCORE 5.0 Growth out of 5 stars weak Measures the growth of both the company's income statement and cash flow. On this factor, GILD has a growth score better than 90% of the stocks we rate. strong 3.5 Total Return out of 5 stars weak Measures the historical price movement of the stock. The stock performance of this company has beaten 60% of the companies we cover. strong 5.0 Efficiency out of 5 stars weak Measures the strength and historic growth of a company's return on invested capital. The company has generated more income per dollar of capital than 90% of the companies we review. strong 4.5 Price volatility out of 5 stars weak Measures the volatility of the company's stock price historically. The stock is less volatile than 80% of the stocks we monitor. strong 5.0 Solvency out of 5 stars weak Measures the solvency of the company based on several ratios. The company is more solvent than 90% of the companies we analyze. strong 0.5 Income out of 5 stars weak Measures dividend yield and payouts to shareholders. This company pays no dividends. strong THESTREET RATINGS RESEARCH METHODOLOGY TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates. While our model is quantitative, it utilizes both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company earnings. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company cash flows. Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e.how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits; the level of acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's performance. These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted, and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of selecting stocks. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 4, 2015 PAGE 3 February 4, 2015 NASDAQ: GILD GILEAD SCIENCES INC Sector: Health Care Biotechnology Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate NA Annual Dividend Yield NA Consensus EPS Estimates² ($) IBES consensus estimates are provided by Thomson Financial Beta 0.75 Market Capitalization $161.7 Billion 52-Week Range $63.50-$116.83 Price as of 2/3/2015 $107.18 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS GILEAD SCIENCES INC's gross profit margin for the fourth quarter of its fiscal year 2014 has increased when compared to the same period a year ago. The company has grown sales and net income significantly, outpacing the average growth rates of competitors within its industry. At the same time, stockholders' equity ("net worth") has greatly increased by 38.36% from the same quarter last year. 2.48 9.84 E 11.07 E Q1 FY15 2015(E) 2016(E) STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12-months. To learn more visit www.TheStreetRatings.com. INCOME STATEMENT Net Sales ($mil) EBITDA ($mil) EBIT ($mil) Net Income ($mil) Q4 FY14 7,314.00 NA 4,436.00 3,487.00 Q4 FY13 3,119.83 1,314.37 1,208.27 791.41 Q4 FY14 11,726.00 34,664.00 NA 15,819.00 Q4 FY13 2,131.56 22,496.79 6,635.68 11,432.90 Q4 FY14 85.47% NA 60.65% 0.72 34.91% 76.49% Q4 FY13 75.91% 42.12% 38.73% 0.50 13.66% 26.89% Q4 FY14 NA NA 130.00 34.12 Q4 FY13 1.15 0.37 73.15 16.52 Q4 FY14 1,514 0.00 2.18 10.45 NA 17,207,218 Q4 FY13 1,534 0.00 0.47 7.45 NA 14,700,830 BALANCE SHEET Cash & Equiv. ($mil) Total Assets ($mil) Total Debt ($mil) Equity ($mil) PROFITABILITY Gross Profit Margin EBITDA Margin Operating Margin Sales Turnover Return on Assets Return on Equity DEBT Current Ratio Debt/Capital Interest Expense Interest Coverage SHARE DATA Shares outstanding (mil) Div / share EPS Book value / share Institutional Own % Avg Daily Volume 2 Sum of quarterly figures may not match annual estimates due to use of median consensus estimates. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 4, 2015 PAGE 4 February 4, 2015 NASDAQ: GILD GILEAD SCIENCES INC Sector: Health Care Biotechnology Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate NA Annual Dividend Yield NA RATINGS HISTORY Our rating for GILEAD SCIENCES INC has not changed since 7/27/2011. As of 2/3/2015, the stock was trading at a price of $107.18 which is 8.3% below its 52-week high of $116.83 and 68.8% above its 52-week low of $63.50. 2 Year Chart Beta 0.75 BUY: $40.56 $120 Price/Earnings $80 $60 52-Week Range $63.50-$116.83 1 2 3 premium 4 5 GILD 14.52 Peers 77.27 • Discount. A lower P/E ratio than its peers can signify a less expensive stock or lower growth expectations. • GILD is trading at a significant discount to its peers. Price/Projected Earnings 1 2 3 premium From Buy To Buy Price reflects the closing price as of the date listed, if available RATINGS DEFINITIONS & DISTRIBUTION OF THESTREET RATINGS (as of 2/3/2015) 29.83% Hold - We do not believe this stock offers conclusive evidence to warrant the purchase or sale of shares at this time and that its likelihood of positive total return is roughly in balance with the risk of loss. 22.81% Sell - We believe that this stock is likely to decline by more than 10% over the next 12 months, with the risk involved too great to compensate for any possible returns. TheStreet Ratings 14 Wall Street, 15th Floor New York, NY 10005 www.thestreet.com Research Contact: 212-321-5381 Sales Contact: 866-321-8726 5 1 2 3 4 5 Price/Sales 1 2 premium 3 4 5 Price to Earnings/Growth 4 5 discount 1 2 3 premium 4 5 discount GILD 0.03 Peers 0.60 • Discount. The PEG ratio is the stock’s P/E divided by the consensus estimate of long-term earnings growth. Faster growth can justify higher price multiples. • GILD trades at a significant discount to its peers. Earnings Growth 1 2 3 4 lower 5 higher GILD 303.27 Peers 142.39 • Higher. Elevated earnings growth rates can lead to capital appreciation and justify higher price-to-earnings ratios. • GILD is expected to have an earnings growth rate that significantly exceeds its peers. Sales Growth discount GILD 6.52 Peers 197.06 • Discount. In the absence of P/E and P/B multiples, the price-to-sales ratio can display the value investors are placing on each dollar of sales. • GILD is trading at a significant discount to its industry on this measurement. 3 GILD NA Peers 40.74 • Neutral. The P/CF ratio is the stock’s price divided by the sum of the company's cash flow from operations. It is useful for comparing companies with different capital requirements or financing structures. • Ratio not available. discount GILD 10.26 Peers 11.64 • Discount. A lower price-to-book ratio makes a stock more attractive to investors seeking stocks with lower market values per dollar of equity on the balance sheet. • GILD is trading at a discount to its peers. 2 premium discount premium 47.36% Buy - We believe that this stock has the opportunity to appreciate and produce a total return of more than 10% over the next 12 months. 4 GILD 9.69 Peers 26.10 • Discount. A lower price-to-projected earnings ratio than its peers can signify a less expensive stock or lower future growth expectations. • GILD is trading at a significant discount to its peers. Price/Book 1 Price/CashFlow discount 2014 MOST RECENT RATINGS CHANGES Date Price Action 2/1/13 $40.56 No Change Price as of 2/3/2015 $107.18 VALUATION BUY. The current P/E ratio indicates a significant discount compared to an average of 77.27 for the Biotechnology industry and a discount compared to the S&P 500 average of 19.35. For additional comparison, its price-to-book ratio of 10.26 indicates a significant premium versus the S&P 500 average of 2.73 and a discount versus the industry average of 11.64. The price-to-sales ratio is well above the S&P 500 average, but well below the industry average. Upon assessment of these and other key valuation criteria, GILEAD SCIENCES INC proves to trade at a discount to investment alternatives within the industry. $100 2013 Market Capitalization $161.7 Billion 1 2 3 lower 4 5 higher GILD 122.19 Peers 79.29 • Higher. A sales growth rate that exceeds the industry implies that a company is gaining market share. • GILD has a sales growth rate that significantly exceeds its peers. DISCLAIMER: The opinions and information contained herein have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but TheStreet Ratings cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness, and that of the opinions based thereon. Data is provided via the COMPUSTAT® Xpressfeed product from Standard &Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., as well as other third-party data providers. TheStreet Ratings is a division of TheStreet, Inc., which is a publisher. This research report contains opinions and is provided for informational purposes only. You should not rely solely upon the research herein for purposes of transacting securities or other investments, and you are encouraged to conduct your own research and due diligence, and to seek the advice of a qualified securities professional, before you make any investment. None of the information contained in this report constitutes, or is intended to constitute a recommendation by TheStreet Ratings of any particular security or trading strategy or a determination by TheStreet Ratings that any security or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of the information contained herein may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person. Your use of this report is governed by TheStreet, Inc.'s Terms of Use found at http://www.thestreet.com/static/about/terms-of-use.html. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 4, 2015 PAGE 5
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