The Structure and Dynamics of Coherent Vortices in the Eyewall Boundary Layer of Tropical Cyclones Daniel P. Stern George H. Bryan National Center for Atmospheric Research NCAR is sponsored by the National Science Foundation Motivation • Dropsondes occasionally sample 10‐25 m/s updrafts within (and near) the TC boundary layer (Stern and Aberson, 2006). Vertical Velocity vs. Height • Such extreme updrafts are almost exclusively a phenomenon of the eyewall region of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes. 22 m/s Motivation • The extreme updrafts appear to be associated with extreme horizontal windspeeds (> 90 m/s). Wind Speed vs. Height height (m) Windspeed (m/s), Isabel 030913 4000 3800 3600 3400 3200 3000 2800 2600 2400 2200 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0 175248 175422 175427 175436 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 windspeed (m/s) • Hypothesis: Extreme updrafts and near‐surface wind speeds are associated with small‐scale (~1 km) coherent vortices. 100 m/s Goal: Use LES simulations to investigate the structure and dynamics of these features. • What is the relationship between extreme updrafts and horizontal wind speed? • Where do near‐surface wind maxima originate? • Is buoyancy important for driving strong updrafts in and near the boundary layer? • How should we interpret dropsonde “vertical” profiles? Numerical Model • CM1 (Bryan and Rotunno 2009, MWR) • A single domain, with grid stretching • Fine‐mesh part of domain: Fine‐mesh part of domain: – 70 km × 70 km × 3 km – Δ = Δx = Δy = constant; Δz = Δx/2 – Modified Deardorff subgrid model (TKE scheme, e.g., “1.5 order”) • Rest of domain: – Δx, Δy, Δz increase gradually – Parameterized turbulence (i.e., PBL scheme) Model Setup • 125 m horizontal grid spacing • 62 m vertical grid spacing below 4 km height. • 28 C SST • Homogeneous environment (Dunion “Moist Tropical” mean sounding). • No mean flow or shear • f‐plane (20 N) +20 m/s W +90 m/s Wind Speed +0.18 Vorticity Where Do Near‐Surface Extreme Windspeeds Originate? Where Do Near‐Surface Extreme Windspeeds Originate? • A number of studies (Wurman and Winslow 1998, Franklin et al. 2003, Aberson et al. 2006) have hypothesized that extreme surface winds result from downdrafts. Where Do Near‐Surface Extreme Windspeeds Originate? • A number of studies (Wurman and Winslow 1998, Franklin et al. 2003, Aberson et al. 2006) have hypothesized that extreme surface winds result from downdrafts. • We can test this idea in our simulations, through parcel trajectory analysis. Where Do Near‐Surface Extreme Windspeeds Originate? • A number of studies (Wurman and Winslow 1998, Franklin et al. 2003, Aberson et al. 2006) have hypothesized that extreme surface winds result from downdrafts. • We can test this idea in our simulations, through parcel trajectory analysis. • Next, we examine a trajectory which enters a near‐ surface wind maximum. What is the relationship between the updraft, horizontal winds, and vorticity? • We next examine composite fields from many updrafts 1. At a given level, find all points where w >= 12 m/s. 1. Interpolate to cylindrical coordinates. 1. Take a 1x1 km box (in radius/azimuth) around each point. 1. Average all such boxes. z=100 m Vertical Velocity Vertical Vorticity Perturbation Vt Perturbation Vr Downstream/Cyclo nic Towards Center z=100 m Vertical Velocity Perturbation v Buoyant Acceleration Dynamic Acceleration Downstream/Cyclo nic Towards Center How Should We Interpret Dropsondes? • Dropsondes are advected by the horizontal and vertical wind, but also fall relative to the air at 10‐12 m/s. • Profiles are not actually vertical, nor are dropsondes necessarily following along with dynamical features. • We can use “simulated” dropsondes to try to understand what real dropsondes are actually sampling. Wind Speed vs. Height Isabel Wind Speed vs. Height 2400 2200 2000 Isabel Dropsonde W vs. Height Isabel 1800 height (km) 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 windspeed (m/s) Wind Speed vs. Height 2400 Simulated Dropsonde Simulated 2200 2000 1800 height (km) 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 windspeed (m/s) 90 95 100 105 Simulated z=560 m z=10 m z=560 m z=10 m Wind Speed=75 m/s Wind Speed>90 m/s z=560 m z=10 m z=560 m z=10 m z=800 m z=560 m z=10 m Summary and Conclusions • Strong updrafts in the boundary layer are closely associated with intense small‐scale vortices, as well as extreme near‐surface horizontal wind speeds. • Near‐surface extreme winds can result from surface‐ layer inflow, without the need for a downdraft to bring high momentum air to the surface. • We quantitatively showed that buoyancy is not a significant contributor to extreme low‐level updrafts. • Apparent sharp vertical gradients in dropsonde profiles are likely horizontal. Bonus Slides How does the distribution of simulated updrafts compare to observations? Observed Updrafts Jorgensen et al. (1985) Simulated Updrafts How does the distribution of simulated updrafts compare to observations? Observed Updrafts Jorgensen et al. (1985) Simulated Updrafts Storm Center Increasing Radius Marks et al. (2008) Storm Center Increasing Radius Wind Speed Marks et al. (2008) Storm Center Increasing Radius Vertical Velocityy Marks et al. (2008) Examine updraft in a 1x1x1 km cube w =+12 m/s z (km) x (km) y (km) Add Vorticity Isosurface w =+12 m/s z (km) x (km) +0.15 s‐1 y (km) Total Acceleration (ms‐2; +/‐ 0.5 black) w =+12 m/s z (km) x (km) +0.15 s‐1 y (km) Acceleration from “dynamics” (ms‐2; +/‐ 0.5 black) w =+12 m/s z (km) x (km) +0.15 s‐1 y (km) Acceleration from buoyancy (ms‐2; 0 black) w =+12 m/s z (km) x (km) +0.15 s‐1 y (km)
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