Th u rs d ay 1 3 , N ove m b er 2014 News & Report Analysis Currency Market Precious Metal Base Metal Energy Market Govt mulls raising import duty on steel to check cheap Chinese imports: Tomar Govt to complete coal block allotment by Feb: Coal Secy Anil Swarup Centre mulls lowering iron ore export duty if prices stay subdued Posco to invest $20 mn in Gujarat: Korean ambassador Tata Steel Q2 net profit up 37% to Rs 1,254 cr 2 Thursday 13, November 2014 Daily MMR Landed Prices London Metal Exchange : Wednesday 12, November 2014 Pr. Sell (1) Morning Session Buy Sell * (2) Afternoon Session Buy Sell Kerb Change (2) - (1) Value Stk(tns) change $/ton Rs/ton Copper Grade A Spot 6688.00 6752.00 6752.50 6753.00 6754.00 6710.00 64.5 1,60,800 MMR LP 4,49,138 3-mth 6625.50 6688.00 6689.00 6684.00 6685.00 6675.00 63.5 -1225 14-D MA 4,47,482 PP (HCL) 4,51,551 Average 10-days - 6735.10 20-days - 6730.40 30-days - 6732.60 Tin High Grade Spot 19925.00 20145.00 20150.00 20149.00 20150.00 22840.00 225.0 9,905 -- -- 3-mth 19975.00 20100.00 20125.00 20149.00 20150.00 22865.00 150.0 -90 -- -- -- -- Average 10-days - 19905 20-days - 19727.50 30-days - 19890.20 Lead Spot 2018.00 2032.00 2034.00 2045.00 2046.00 2040.75 16.0 2,16,375 MMR LP 1,40,095 3-mth 2025.00 2042.00 2043.00 2055.00 2056.00 2049.00 18.0 -1225 14-D MA 1,38,109 PP (HZL) 1,47,000 Average 10-days - 2005.90 20-days - 2005.20 30-days - 2028.20 Zinc Special High Grade Spot 2237.00 2274.00 2274.50 2280.00 2281.00 2120.00 37.5 6,89,700 MMR LP 1,60,910 3-mth 2243.00 2279.50 2280.00 2287.00 2288.00 2132.00 37.0 -2025 14-D MA 1,60,311 PP (HZL) 1,69,500 Average 10-days - 2268.2 20-days - 2251.50 30-days - 2269.30 Aluminium Spot 2018.00 2061.50 2062.00 2082.00 2083.00 1865.50 44.0 44,06,575 MMR LP 1,58,150 3-mth 2014.50 2049.00 2049.50 2072.00 2073.00 1900.00 35.0 -7925 14-D MA 1,56,978 PP (Nalco) 1,66,900 Average 10-days - 2046.80 20-days - 2003.90 30-days - 1969.20 Aluminium Alloy Spot 2030.00 2035.00 2045.00 2047.00 2048.00 1975.00 15.0 26680 3-mth 2060.00 2060.00 2070.00 2073.00 2074.00 1975.00 10.0 -20 Average 10-days - 2055 20-days - 2072 30-days - 2076.30 Nickel Spot 15090.00 15525.00 15535.00 15684.00 15685.00 18693.00 445.0 3,88,776 -- -- 3-mth 15160.00 15590.00 15600.00 15749.00 15750.00 18775.00 440.0 -558 -- -- -Copper Aluminium -01-Nov 01-Nov Zinc Lead 10-Nov 06-Nov Average 10-days - 15306.50 20-days - 15244.50 30-days - 15626.30 Note: 1. MMR LP = MMR Landed Prices, excluding excise duty. 2. PP = Producer Prices ex-smelter, excl. excise Minor Metals ($/LB) Antimony 99.65% 9,200 Cadmium 99.80% 90.00 Cobalt HG Moly.oxide 99.80% 14.00 14.25 Tantalite 30% Ta2O5 86.00 Titanium Ferro-vana Con. Ti02 585.00 24.90 Silicon 2,050 Week ended Avg of Steel Prices: 08/11/2014 (Incl. Excise duty) Sponge Iron Pig Iron Ferro Alloys : Mandi 29,600 HMS 29,200 CRP(LSLP) Mumbai Mkt rates in kgs : Mumbai 29,900 32,600 Ferro Moly Kolkata 29,400 1200 Indicative Domestic Market Rates (Rs./kg) Mumbai 12-Nov Chennai 28,800 MS Ingots 29,800 83 Titanium Bhiwandi 38,800 Prev Prev -510.0 -510.0 450.0 - 450.0 - Alum Ingot Zinc Slab Lead Ingot Tin Slab Nickel (4x4) Scrap Copper Heavy Copper Uten. 173.0 185.0 137.0 1,485.0 1,090.0 173.0 185.0 137.0 1,485.0 1,090.0 180.0 189.0 132.0 1,467.0 1,108.0 180.0 189.0 132.0 1,465.0 1,103.0 475.0 435.0 474.0 435.0 --- --- Copper Mixed Brass Utensil Brass Huny Brass Sheet Alum Utensil -329.0 -341.0 136.0 -329.0 -341.0 136.0 435.0 -330.0 147.0 435.0 -330.0 146.0 Nov'14 Dec'14 Jan'15 Rate 303.45 302.50 302.60 Kanpur 38,500 Durgapur 34,800 168 Comex Copper (cents/lb) Delhi 12-Nov Virgin Metals Copper Pat Copper W/Bar Delhi 29,900 Ferro Silicon Change -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 Comex Al (cents/lb) Rate - Change - Precious Metals : Indicative Rates Metal Gold Std Silver Gold Silver Gold Silver Market Mumbai Mumbai London London Comex Comex Unit Rs./10g Rs./kg $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. 12-Nov 26,300 35,800 1,164.5 15.62 1,158.9 15.61 Prev 25,070 35,900 1,156.5 15.57 1,162.8 15.66 Forex: Nov 11, 2014 (Rs/Unit Currency) Buy USD 61.65 61.56 EURO 76.56 GBP 97.76 97.63 SGD 47.65 — — AUD 53.19 YEN 0.5320 0.5312 SFR 63.69 Sell 76.47 47.57 53.13 63.58 Buy Sell Customs Notified Rates: Oct 02, 2014 [Rs.(Imp/Exp)]: US$ 62.30/61.30;Pound Sterling 101.25/99.00;Euro 79.00/77.10 Daily 3 Thursday 13, November 2014 Asian stocks fell for the first time in five days largest economies bear a certain responsibility after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index retreated to take the lead in fighting climate change, from a record and the yen gained against the other nations may be more willing to follow suit dollar. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slipped 0.2 when envoys meet in Lima next month for the percent to 141.06 as of 9:01 a.m. in Tokyo. More next round of UN-organized negotiations. than $3 trillion has been added to the value Currency Market signs the U.S. economy is weathering the end of Abe will delay a planned sales-tax increase and call an early election. Among the global macro updates, the USD/INR Overnight VAR Data releases today 17:00 16:00 growing speculation that Prime Minister Shinzo 15:00 extending a six-year high, as the yen fell amid 14:00 Japanese stocks rose, with the Topix (TPX) index 13:00 while European GDP data are due tomorrow. 12:00 on retail sales and industrial output today, 11:00 and Asia move to bolster growth. China reports USD/INR - 12/11/14 61.47 61.48 61.49 61.50 61.51 61.52 61.53 61.54 61.55 61.56 61.57 9:00 bond purchases, and as central banks in Europe 10:00 of global equities in the past four weeks amid 0.3271 Forecast Previous USD Unemployment Claims 282K 278K USD JOLTS Job Openings 4.81M 4.84M Source : Mecklai Financial historic emissions deal between China and the U.S. removes a key barrier in United Nations- The yen fell toward a seven-year low on led efforts to craft a global climate pact. Now reports Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe President Barack Obama has to find a way to decided call a general election. Australia’s dollar make it happen at home. An international slid after a Reserve Bank official said policy agreement to curb greenhouse gases would go makers haven’t ruled out intervention. The yen nowhere without participation from China and dropped against 15 of 16 major peers as the Jiji the U.S., the two biggest producers of carbon newswire reported ruling Liberal Democratic emissions, and until yesterday they were far Party lawmaker Tadamori Oshima as telling apart on numerous issues. reporters “it seems Prime Minister Shinzo Abe With Obama and Chinese President Xi has also finally made his decision and chosen Jinping now in accord that the world’s two to go to the people.” The currency dropped this week amid speculation Abe would delay a sales tax increase so he could win a mandate for it at the polls. The euro held a loss before German data forecast to confirm consumer prices fell last month. The US Dollar Index (DX) traded higher by 0.2 percent yesterday on the back of weak market sentiments in later part of the trade which led to increase in demand for the low yielding 4 Thursday 13, November 2014 Daily 6 mth LIBOR Major Currencies Today’s Crosses Spot Cash v/s INR 0.33 USD / INR - ATM Options (put/call) 0.15 Forward Rates v/s INR (Export/ Import) November December January April July October 61.51/ 51 61.45/ 46 61.68/ 71 62.11/ 14 62.51/ 54 63.68/ 71 64.78/ 81 65.84/ 87 - - - 0.00/0.52 0.00/0.73 0.00/0.90 0.00/1.35 0.00/1.73 0.00/2.10 EUR / USD 1.2439 76.51/ 51 76.44/ 45 76.73/ 76 77.29/ 32 77.79/ 84 79.31/ 35 80.76/ 79 82.18/ 21 0.15 USD / JPY(100) 115.79 53.12/ 12 53.07/ 08 53.27/ 29 53.67/ 69 54.03/ 06 55.10/ 14 56.13/ 17 57.13/ 18 0.69 GBP / USD 1.5770 96.99/ 00 96.90/ 92 97.27/ 74 97.93/ 26 98.51/ 71 100.28/ 95 101.94/ 01 103.55/ 92 0.05 USD / CHF 0.9665 63.63/ 64 63.57/ 59 63.82/ 84 64.28/ 31 64.74/ 77 66.05/ 06 67.35/ 27 68.56/ 51 3.06 AUD / USD 0.8695 53.50/ 51 53.45/ 47 53.64/ 68 54.01/ 06 54.36/ 41 55.37/ 43 56.33/ 38 57.25/ 31 Source : Mecklai Financial currency. However, unfavorable economic data sentiments remained bearish as outflows from from the country restricted upside in the DX. the SPDR gold trust showed no signs of slowing. The currency touched an intra-day high of 87.98 Among the other precious metal prices, spot and closed at 87.91 on Wednesday. silver prices also declined taking cues from The Indian Rupee appreciated around 0.2 falling gold prices. Strength in the dollar and percent in yesterday’s trading session. The declining speculative interest in the commodity currency appreciated on the back of inflow of is acting as a negative factor for prices. As per foreign funds in equities and debt markets. Angel Broking analyst report, precious metals India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped to pack to trade lower continuing its recent run of 5.52 percent in October as against 6.46 percent losses as investment demand remains weak due in September. Industrial Production grew by to outflows from the ETF while lack of economic 2.5 percent in September from 0.4 percent data from the US will also act as a negative factor in August. Manufacturing Output rose by 2.5 for prices as investors look for cues from energy percent in September with respect to fall of 1.4 markets. The optimism in the US will lead to percent a month ago. strength in dollar in turn exerting downside Precious Metal pressure on the precious metals pack. Spot gold prices declined on Wednesday as Base Metal drop in crude oil prices coupled with gains in The base metals pack apart from Copper dollar index pulled the metal down. The overall traded on a positive note in yesterday’s trade. Prices rose on the back of expectations of Market Highlights - Gold (% change) Gold Gold (Spot) Gold (Spot -Mumbai) Comex Gold (Dec’14) MCX Gold (Dec’14)** Unit Last Prev. day as on November 12, 2014 favorable Chinese economic data on Thursday WoW MoM along with recovery in industrial activity in the YoY Euro Zone. However, sharp upside in the prices $/oz 1160.5 -0.34 1.7 -5.2 -8.5 Rs/10 gms 25800.0 0.58 2.0 -4.1 -13.4 $/oz 1158.9 -0.34 1.2 -6.6 Rs /10 gms 25788.0 -0.03 1.2 -4.3 -15.2 was prevented due to weak market sentiments in later part of the trade. Strength in the DX also -9.5 Source: Angel Broking restricted upside movement in the prices. In the Indian markets, sharp upside in the prices was 5 Thursday 13, November 2014 Daily capped due to appreciation in the Indian Rupee. The benchmark contract of Copper plunged Market Highlights - Crude Oil (% change) as on November 12, 2014 Crude Oil Unit Last Prev. day trade on the back of estimates of more supplies Brent (Spot) $/bbl 80.7 -0.6 -3.1 -10.8 -24.1 in the next year. Further, unfavorable economic Nymex Crude (Dec’14) $/bbl 77.2 -1.0 -1.9 -6.7 -17.0 ICE Brent Crude (Dec’14) $/bbl 80.4 -1.6 -3.1 -10.7 -24.0 MCX Crude (Nov ’14) Rs/bbl 4756.0 -0.4 -1.6 -9.7 -21.2 marginally around 0.2 percent in yesterday’s data from the US, weak market sentiments in later part of the trade along with strength in the DX exerted downside pressure on the prices. However, sharp downside in the prices WoW MoM YoY Source: Angel Broking was prevented due to recovery in the industrial activity in the Euro Zone. Copper prices closed at Angel Broking report suggest that crude oil $6678.80/tonne in yesterday’s trading session. prices to trade lower a s low demand from Euro Today’s intra-day session, Angel Broking report - zone and China coupled with high supplies suggest that copper prices to trade higher from the OPEC nations and the United States today on the back of expectations of favorable will exert downside pressure. Besides, stronger economic data from the Chinese economy. dollar and reluctance from the OPEC to cut Further, upbeat market sentiments coupled down its supplies will act as a negative factor for with weakness in the DX will support an upside prices. Inventory buildup in the US and hopes in the prices. of further rise will also exert downside pressure. Energy Market News & Report Analysis Crude oil prices declined on both sides of the atlantic with Brent and WTI falling by 0.6 percent and 1 percent respectively. The pressure was on account of technical selling, pressure from a strong dollar and after Saudi Arabia's oil minister refused to say if the kingdom will support calls from some OPEC members to cut crude output. The American Petroleum Institute said U.S. crude inventories shrank by 1.5 million barrels last week. On Thursday, the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration will issue official weekly inventory data. In the week ending November 7, crude stocks are expected to rise by 800,000 barrels on average last week. Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, were seen down 1.3 million barrels last week. Gasoline stocks were expected to have increased 500,000 barrels. Govt mulls raising import duty on steel to check cheap Chinese imports: Tomar On the plea of domestic steelmakers, government is soon expected to initiate measures to counter cheap and galloping imports from China, the world's largest producer. "Steel companies have written to me and we Thursday 13, November 2014 Daily are discussing the issue which will be resolved soon. Give us time for a day or two," Steel and Mines Minister Narendra Singh Tomar said when asked if the government was mulling to take measures in view of the rising steel imports from China. Steel firms and their representative body, India Steel Association, recently wrote to the Steel Ministry seeking its intervention on the galloping imports from China. Reaping benefit from a host of advantages including lower rate of interest, cheaper raw material and encouragement from the government, Chinese steelmakers are increasingly exporting steel, impacting both allotment through auction) by February 28...We large, medium and small steel makers in India. have defined timelines for each set of activities," They are also sending steel right from the Coal Secretary Anil Swarup said. "I can't give basic grade to high-quality bypassing Indian you the exact date of auction because we are standards and circumventing the existing duties, debating on a few issues and once we are able both levied by India and China, and taking to do that we will be probably able to announce advantage of their lower cost of production, as the date as well," he said. Around 74 coal mines per the industry. are likely to be put up for sale in the first round India levies between 2.5 per cent and 10 per cent on imports of various grade of steel. of auction. The Supreme Court had in September had According to Joint Plant Committee, a unit quashed allocation of 204 coal blocks alloted under the ministry, imports from China have to various companies since 1993 terming it as surged by a whopping 108 per cent during the "fatally flawed", and allowed the Centre to take April-September period of the current fiscal to over operation of 42 such blocks which are 1.34 million tonnes (MT). During the period, India's functional. total imports rose by 27 per cent to 3.86 MT. Govt to complete coal block allotment by Feb: Coal Secy Anil Swarup The government is planning to complete coal block allocation through auction by February next year, a top official said on Wednesday. "As per our plan, as of now, we plan to complete the exercise (of coal blocks Replying to another question, Swarup said the target of doubling the domestic coal production from current 490 million tonne was "eminently doable" and within a month's time the ministry will come out with a strategy paper for taking it to one billion tonne annually by 2019. Swarup also expressed hope that the critical rail link in Odisha will be operational in December 2017. "Railway line in Odisha will be operational 6 Daily Thursday 13, November 2014 in December 2017 much before 2019 that state of Goa are not very enthusiastic about we are talking of. So there is lot of interaction resuming their recently renewed mines saying with railways. We are discussing with state with each tonne of production, they may have governments to resolve the issues....similary we to end up shelling out USD one from their own are looking at various other aspects." pockets. Low-grade iron ore prices are trading at Centre mulls lowering iron ore export duty if prices stay subdued USD 50-55 a tonne now. Posco to invest $20 mn in Gujarat: Korean ambassador South Korean steel giant Posco will establish a coil mill in Gujarat with investment of around $20 million, the country's Indian envoy said on Wednesday. "Posco is a big name in steel, they have decided to start a coil mill, probably steel coil, in Gujarat. That investment will be about 20 million. I do not know the area where they will start it. The project is already decided," The Steel Ministry on Wednesday said it may Ambassador Joongyu Lee stated. think of lowering export duty on iron ore from Lee, who was here to mark celebration of the present rate of 30 per cent if the prices of the Korea day, also said that the state government key steel-making raw material remain subdued. had proposed `Exclusive Industrial Zone' for "We have not given a thought on this but, if Korean companies. He added that there is the current situation continues in the coming already an exclusive industrial zone for Korean days, we will have to think on this," Steel and firms in Rajasthan. Mines Minister Narendra Singh Tomar said. Earlier in the day, Lee met Chief Minister Tomar was answering to a question on if the Anandi Patel. A delegation of about 15 government was mulling over reducing export industrialists accompanied him. He also praised duty on outbound iron ore shipments with the Prime Minister Narendra Modi's `clean India' nosediving global price of the raw material. and 'make in India' campaigns. The international price of the raw material, which is now ruling at its five-year low at USD 75 per tonne, has led iron ore exports unviable for the domestic producers. Tata Steel Q2 net profit up 37% to Rs 1,254 cr Tata Steel Ltd reported 37 per cent YoY In a research note, released on Wednesday, increase in net profit number to Rs 1,254 crore Citi has predicted an average price of USD 74 a on Wednesday for the quarter ended September tonne for iron ore in the first quarter of the next 30, helped by one-time gain of Rs 1,147 crore. year, USD 60 by September 2015 and further The outperformance was largely led by sale of down to USD 50 per tonne. non-current asset. The steel major reported a Some miners in low-grade iron ore producing consolidated net profit of Rs 917 crore in the corresponding quarter of last fiscal. Ahead of 7 Daily 8 Thursday 13, November 2014 crore as compared to Rs 296 crore outgo in the corresponding period last fiscal. Jindal Stainless said the increase was due to higher utilisation of working capital facilities and conversion of certain foreign currency short term borrowings into rupee borrowings on account of change in regulatory guidelines. Depreciation charge for the quarter was lower by Rs 43.59 crore to Rs 133 crore. the results, shares of Tata Steel closed 2.3 per cent lower at Rs 468.30. They hit a low of Rs 466.55 and a high of Rs 483 in trade today. Nalco posts 91% jump in Q2 net profit National Aluminium Company Limited Tata Steel reported net sales of Rs 35,503 (Nalco), has posted a 91% jump in net profit crore for the second quarter of the current fiscal, to Rs 342 crore in the second quarter ended down 2 per cent YoY as compared to Rs 36,369 September 30, 2014 against a net profit of crore reported in the year-ago period. Rs.179 crore in previous corresponding quarter. Jindal Stainless narrows net loss in Q2 to Rs 255 cr Similarly, the sales turnover surged by about 14 % to Rs.245 crore over the comparative quarter of FY14. Jindal Stainless on Wednesday said it Nalco's net profit and sales turnover for the narrowed net loss for the July-September half year ended September 2014 were also higher quarter to Rs 255 crore on higher income and at Rs.613 crore and Rs.3607 crore, respectively, lower depreciation charges.The largest stainless as against the corresponding figures of Rs.339 steel producer in the country had reported Rs crore and Rs.3247 crore achieved during the first 412 crore net loss for the same quarter of the six months of the previous fiscal. last fiscal. On the production front, during the first Total income from operations in the second half, NALCO achieved a production of 9.64 quarter ended September 30, 2014-15, grew by lakh tonnesof alumina hydrate, while metal 9 per cent to Rs 3,304 crore as against Rs 3,037 production was at 1.61 lakh tonne. crore a year ago. "EBITDA for the second quarter is Rs 214 crore which is 12 per cent lower than the previous year corresponding period figure of Rs 245 crore," the company said. During Q2, stainless steel sales volume increased by around 1 per cent to 2.64 lakh tonne from 2.61 lakh tonne a year ago. Net power generation was of 333 million units, up 32 per cent. Interest cost for the quarter increased by around 16 per cent to Rs 343 Daily Thursday 13, November 2014 NMDC-led consortium may buy 30% in Russian firm Acron State-run NMDC-led consortium is planning to buy 30 per cent stake in the Russian potash firm Acron, which may result in an investment of around Rs 1,000 crore. Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers (RCF), National Fertilizers Ltd (NFL), Fertilizers and Chemicals Travancore Ltd (FACT) and fertiliser cooperative Kribhco are the four other entities which are part of this consortium. Along with purchasing 30 per cent stake, the consortium is also looking to enter into an offtake agreement for import of potash from the Russian firm, a top official of NMDC said. At present NMDC) is conducting a feasibility study at a cost of Rs 2 crore on this proposal, the official added. The official also said that buying a 30 per cent stake in Acron would cost something around Rs 1,000 crore. When contacted a senior official in the government confirmed the development and said that final decision would be taken after the final report of feasibility study, and added, "if proposal turned out to be feasible an agreement may be signed during the visit of Russian President to the country this year." India imports 100 per cent of its requirement of potash, which was about 3 million tonne (MT) in 2013-14. In 2013-14, potash was imported at average price of USD 390 per tonne. In the current fiscal so far the country has imported 2.7 MT of potash at an average price of about USD 330 per tonne. Indian Potash Ltd is one of the major importers of potash while Russia and Ukraine are major suppliers. Potash is a decontrolled fertiliser and government pays fixed subsidy on it. It is mainly used in the form of Muriate of Potash (MoP) by farmer as soil nutrient and also used in the manufacturing of complex NPK fertilisers. 9
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