GAZA NGO SAFETY OFFICE GANSO R E P O R T I NG P E R I O D : 3 0 O C T - 1 2 NO V 2 0 1 4 BI-WEEKLY SAFETY REPORT VOL 7.36 -IN THIS ISSUE- GAZA STRIP SUMMARY & OUTLOOK Summary & Outlook 1 Upcoming Dates 1 Analysis 2 Access Update 3 General Information 3 After a period of relative calm in terms of key security and political developments post-Operation Protective Edge (OPE), the reporting period witnessed several important events of note to GANSO members. While the frequency of border and naval fire did not change significantly from the prior periods, incidents of political violence and access issues dominated the situation. Demonstrations also remain a key feature of the security environment, with 30 for the period. GANSO does not anticipate any improvement in the situation in the short term, either in terms of political stability or with issues disrupting NGO movement and operations such as demonstrations and access problems. The overall number of incidents in the reporting period was up, with 31 security incidents as compared with 18 in the previous period. A large portion of these additional events were the multiple IED explosions on 07NOV, discussed in more detail below. Looking ahead, delays are likely to both the ceasefire process and political reconciliation. The reasons behind these challenges are addressed further in the Analysis section. Precisely how these delays will affect NGO operations remains to be seen, though it is becoming increasingly clear that GANSO members need to be prepared for a prolonging of the current scenario of a tense truce with sporadic periods of escalation. Contingency planning needs to accommodate both this likely scenario of sustained ’status quo’ activity and the worst-case scenario of increased violence and instability. There is the possibility of a fuel supply problem in the coming days, as a consequence of damage incurred in the explosion at Kerem Shalom on 11NOV, involving a fuel truck and/or pipeline. Further details on the cause of the incident and its likely impact are yet to emerge, though in view of existing supply problems, any further disruption to services is expected to have a severe impact, from both the humanitarian and operational perspectives. Regional Summaries • Rafah • Khan Yunis • Middle Area • Gaza City • North Gaza 4 4 5 5 6 Contact Information 6 -ABOUT GANSOGANSO is a project of CARE International, funded by SDC with the aim of providing the information and analysis the NGO community needs in order to implement humanitarian projects safely. UPCOMING DATES & EVENTS NOTE: GANSO Bi-Weekly Reports and other products are for the exclusive use of the NGO community and are not for resale. GANSO accepts no liability for the results of activities conducted or omitted on the basis of this report. 15NOV: 24NOV: 03DEC: Palestinian Independence Day (public holiday) No major security implications expected though the date may be a flashpoint in Jerusalem/West Bank given current tensions; related gatherings and associated disturbances possible in Gaza. GANSO Training Session: Security Risk Assessments @ GANSO office 1000/1400hrs GANSO Monthly Briefing - 1100 (English) & 1200 (Arabic) PAGE 1 GAZA NGO SAFETY OFFICE Analysis Political troubles Several developments during the reporting period highlighted the significant challenges still facing the reconciliation between Fatah and Hamas. An event that was intended to be a symbol of the consensus government— the memorial for late Palestinian Authority President Yasser Arafat on the 11NOV anniversary of his death—was cancelled. The cancellation was partially prompted by a series of IED blasts (possibly as many as 15) early on 07NOV, targeting the residences and vehicles of senior Fatah figures in Gaza City and North Gaza, as well as the platform constructed to host the Arafat memorial at Al Katiba Square. While the bombings did not cause casualties—and were likely not intended to, given their timing at 0200hrs— they could be viewed as a warning. Fatah blamed Hamas for the explosions, though involvement was emphatically denied. Subsequently, Hamas stated that it could not support the event due to ‘security and logistical concerns’, believed to be linked to the non-payment of security force salaries under the consensus government. The combination of factors led to the cancellation and appears likely to have distanced the prospect of reconciliation in the short term. Exacerbating the challenges, both sides have engaged in negative rhetoric. The next steps in this process are now unclear. Reconstruction The political situation is also having an impact on Gaza reconstruction. Under the mechanism negotiated for the delivery of materials into the Gaza Strip, the crossings need to be supervised by the national consensus government. However, disputes over the process have hampered the establishment of a crossings administration. Hamas has objected to the UN supervisory role in the delivery of building materials and claimed that this element of the mechanism has not been agreed to. Demonstrations related to the pace of reconstruction continue, becoming more frequent and often focusing on the UN. Typically these pass off peacefully, though there is REPORTING PERIOD: 30OCT -12NOV 2014 potential for unrest to build if it is perceived that the UN’s involvement in the process is slowing the delivery of goods. Rocket fire At approximately 2100hrs on 31OCT, a rocket hit was recorded in the western Negev; no injuries or damage were caused. This was only the second rocket launch to have reached Israeli territory since the end of OPE. In response, Israel closed the Erez—with the exception of international staff and emergency cases—and Kerem Shalom crossings; neither reopened fully until 04NOV. The alleged perpetrators of the rocket launch were arrested. Both sides claimed that the developments—the rocket and the crossing closure— were ceasefire violations. Further similar developments are likely in the near future. Movement planning should always take into account the potential for short-notice access issues or spikes in tensions/violence. Jerusalem/West Bank violence During the reporting period, a sharp increase in unrest was noted in East Jerusalem and the West Bank. Key incidents of violence include three vehicle ramming incidents, two random stabbing attacks and numerous incidents of vandalism and arson by both sides, generally in and around Israeli settlements. Clashes between Israeli forces and Palestinian activists typically follow, often resulting in casualties. Many analysts now consider a third intifada to be inevitable, if not already begun. Regardless of such defining terms as this, it appears increasingly unlikely that a solution will emerge to defuse the situation in the short term. Any prospect of peace negotiations are practically inconceivable in the current climate. The instability—combined with the political strife plaguing the consensus government—also limits the immediate prospect of an agreement over the Gaza conflict. The developments in Jerusalem/West Bank will increase the frequency of solidarity demonstrations. They may also embolden Salafist groups within Gaza. Incidents such as the rocket fire noted above could be staged as a response. PAGE 2 GAZA NGO SAFETY OFFICE Electricity supply problems It was hoped that a pledge by the Qatar government to fund fuel supplies would significantly improve the operational capacity of the Gaza power plant, allowing the provision of 16 hours electricity per day. However, a fuel tanker exploded at the Kerem Shalom border crossing on 11NOV, killing one person and injuring two others. This forced the temporary closure of the cargo crossing. Of longer term concern is the likely impact on fuel supplies, already a critical issue for Gaza. The full extent of disruption to supply is not yet clear; neither is the cause of the explosion. However, operational challenges should be expected in the coming weeks if serious supply problems are experienced. Additionally, shortages may exacerbate existing humanitarian issues. Access Issues Erez and Kerem Shalom As noted in connection with the rocket fire incident, the Erez terminal and Kerem Shalom crossing were closed on 02-03NOV, with the exception of international and emergency cases. Kerem Shalom was also closed on 11NOV following the fuel explosion. It was subsequently reopened, though goods movement was delayed. Rafah crossing The Rafah crossing with Egypt remains closed and there is no clear indication of an expected reopening date. It is unlikely that the crossing will reopen while the Egyptian military continues its preparations for the establishment of a buffer zone along the border with the Gaza Strip. This is despite the Egyptian government acknowledging that Hamas had nothing to do with two attacks in North Sinai on 24OCT. We remind members to visit the UN Access Coordination Unit website for specifics on movement and to inform the unit of any access-related incident to ensure the ACU can advocate on behalf of NGOs. Website: www.accesscoordination.org and for 24/7 access support call: +972 (0) 54 331 1850. R E P O R T I NG P E R I O D : 3 0 O C T - 1 2 NO V 2 0 1 4 General Information GANSO Training: Risk Assessments To help member agencies build internal safety & security capacity, training sessions will be held on Monday 24NOV at 1000 and 1400hrs, at the GANSO office. The sessions will cover the process of undertaking a security risk assessment, targeted at security focal points with relatively limited security management experience. The sessions will be conducted in English, though a series of similar sessions in Arabic will be introduced next year. Space is limited and sessions heavily subscribed so prior registration is required. Please contact our Radio Room or email [email protected] to register. We hope to see these fully subscribed, to help build GANSO’s training capacity going forward. UNMAS Awareness Sessions We remind members that the volume of ordnance used in the recent conflict and the scale of resulting damage have led to Unexploded Ordnance (UXO) representing a significant threat, particularly for field staff. The new UNMAS information booklets have been distributed and are available on the GANSO website. UNMAS is continuing to conduct regular awareness sessions for NGO staff at the GANSO office, every Tuesday at 1100 (Arabic) and at 1200 (English). These sessions have proven extremely valuable and are often heavily subscribed; please contact us to arrange a session for your staff. Weekend Headcounts As you will have seen from our emails, GANSO is continuing to conduct the ‘full details’ headcount for international and West Bank/Jerusalem ID holder staff. This is a precautionary measure while issues around the ceasefire and reconciliation remain unresolved. While the truce continues to hold, we remind members that a comprehensive solution will likely still be some time coming. PAGE 3 GAZA NGO SAFETY OFFICE R E P O R T I NG P E R I O D : 3 0 O C T - 1 2 NO V 2 0 1 4 REGIONAL SUMMARIES RAFAH Incidents in Rafah governorate were up slightly on the previous period. Most incidents (3) were naval fire; on 10NOV two people were injured in one of these incidents. The development involving the explosive device occurred on 03NOV when the police discovered three IEDs and defused them. Separately, an operative was killed in an accident during a training exercise on 07NOV. Two demonstrations took place, one of which was protesting against the prolonged closure of the Rafah border terminal. More protests at the terminal are likely in the coming weeks, if the crossing with Egypt remains closed. KHAN YUNIS There was little change in the situation in Khan Yunis governorate during the reporting period. The explosive device incident was a UXO detonation on 12NOV in Khuza’a area, east of Khan Yunis, in which two people were injured while trying to clear rubble. No injuries were incurred in the three border fire incidents recorded during the reporting period. Two demonstrations took place, the first a small gathering at UNRWA on 30OCT while the other protest on 07NOV was a much larger rally of around 3,000 people, hosted by Islamic Jihad in support of Al Aqsa mosque. PAGE 4 GAZA NGO SAFETY OFFICE R E P O R T I NG P E R I O D : 3 0 O C T - 1 2 NO V 2 0 1 4 REGIONAL SUMMARIES MIDDLE AREA The situation was quiet in the Middle Area during the reporting period. The border fire incident involved warning shots as an unarmed Palestinian attempted to cross the border on 02NOV; he was arrested. Two tanks and three bulldozers entered Middle Area on 10NOV, conducting levelling and excavating tasks. There were also relatively few demonstrations in the governorate. Of note were two events held to commemorate the anniversary of Yasser Arafat’s passing in Nuseirat Camp on 07 and 10NOV. The first event was dispersed by the police and some disturbances were reported. GAZA CITY The situation in Gaza City was the busiest of all governorates, as has typically been the case. The explosions all occurred early in the morning of 07NOV and were part of the wider series of coordinated blasts outside the homes of Fatah leaders in Gaza City and North Gaza, causing no injuries. The rocket launched east of Shejaya reached Israeli territory; this was the incident that prompted the temporary closure of Erez and Kerem Shalom crossings. On 09NOV a 19-year old was shot and killed near Dolphin Club; the motive remains unclear. No injuries was recorded in the border and naval fire incidents. Of note was the frequency of demonstrations, with 18 during the reporting period. This is a further increase on recent weeks. The largest portion of these focused on UN facilities, as has been the trend recently; the biggest of these at the UNRWA compound saw 750 participants on 05NOV. Other gatherings marked those killed in OPE or supported Al Aqsa mosque. More protests should be expected in the coming weeks, with a potential increase in frequency, scale and level of disturbance. PAGE 5 GAZA NGO SAFETY OFFICE REPORTING PERIOD: 30OCT -12NOV 2014 REGIONAL SUMMARIES NORTH GAZA In comparison to the previous reporting period, the situation was relatively active in North Gaza. Naval fire was noted on 07, 09 and 12NOV, though none of the four incidents resulted in damage or injuries. A rocket was fired from west of Jabalia on 07NOV, though it dropped short of Israeli territory. The explosive detonations were part of the series of IED blasts targeting the residences of Fatah leaders on 07NOV; no injuries resulted from the bombings. Warning fire on 07NOV targeted a group gathered east of the Islamic cemetery; one injury was reported. There were more demonstrations than is commonly the case in North Gaza during the reporting period. Around 3,000 people gathered peacefully on 30OCT in Beit Lahia to mark the anniversary of the assassination of Islamic Jihad leader Fathi Shaqaqi. A similar gathering was held the following day in support of Al Aqsa mosque. Three small demonstrations focused on UNRWA facilities. CONTACT US PROJECT DIRECTOR Penelope Kinch | [email protected] | +970 (0)59999 7537 | +972 (0)54779 7717 RADIO ROOM [email protected] | +970 (0)82821481 or Toll Free 1800 122 122 ANALYST Joana Costa | [email protected] | +970 (0) 59 9997535 | +972 (0) 54 779 7715 This document has been produced with the assistance of the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation. The views expressed herein should not be taken in any way to reflect the official opinion of the SDC. PAGE 6
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