European Investor Visits London – Frankfurt – Zurich – Geneva – Milan 17-20 November, 2014 Safe Harbor Safe Harbor statement Some of the statements in this document concerning future company performance will be forward-looking within the meanings of the securities laws. Actual results may materially differ from those discussed in these forward-looking statements, and you should refer to the additional information contained in Duke Energy’s 2013 Form 10-K filed with the SEC and our other SEC filings concerning factors that could cause those results to be different than contemplated in today's discussion. Reg G disclosure In addition, today's discussion includes certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under SEC Regulation G. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available on our Investor Relations website at www.duke-energy.com/investors/. Supplemental information Supplemental information related to today’s presentation can be accessed via our Investor Relations website at www.duke-energy.com/investors/. This supplemental information includes presentation appendix materials. 2 | European Investor Visits Duke Energy representatives Steve Young EVP – Chief Financial Officer Bill Currens Vice President – Investor Relations (704) 382-1603 [email protected] Beau Pratt | Sr. Analyst – Investor Relations (704) 382 -2284 | [email protected] Additional Information For more information on Duke Energy, please visit www.duke-energy.com/investors 3 | European Investor Visits Table of contents Duke Energy overview Financial highlights Appendix Q&A 4 | European Investor Visits DUKE ENERGY OVERVIEW FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS 5 | European Investor Visits Business mix reinforces growth and optimization efforts Regulated Utilities - 84% of mix (1) International – 12% of mix (1) Commercial Power – 4% of mix (1) Guatemala 300 MW El Salvador 300 MW Midwest Ecuador 200 MW Peru 800 MW Carolinas v Florida vChile 400vMW Brazil 2,100 MW Argentina 500 MW Wind – 1,625 MW Solar – 115 MW – Largest U.S. utility with significant regulated earnings and cash flows – Operating in six constructive regulated jurisdictions with fuel mix diversity – Advancing significant growth investments to benefit customers and investors – Optimization efforts ongoing with the Commercial Businesses (1) Based upon mid-point of the original 2014 EPS guidance range of $4.45 to $4.60 per share 6 | European Investor Visits Duke Energy: scale, balance and diversity Largest Utility in the United States (1) Total assets: ~$120 billion, Regulated Utilities $106 billion Market capitalization: ~ $59 billion U.S. generation capacity: ~ 50 GW (owned MW) Electric customers: 7.2 million Balanced customer mix (MWh sales) Highly-regulated business with earnings diversity (2) 4% 9% Regulated Utilities 12% 24% PreMerger International 67% 84% PostMerger Commercial Power Fuel diversity (MWh output) (3) 5% 3% 1% 3% 24% 36% 38% 55% 35% 2005 2015 (1) (2) (3) Coal Nuclear Natural Gas Oil Hydro Total assets, US generation capacity, and electric customers as of September 30, 2014; market cap as of November 10, 2014 Pre-merger business mix based upon 2011 Duke Energy adjusted net income; post-merger business mix based upon midpoint of the original forecasted 2014 adjusted diluted EPS guidance range of $4.45 - $4.60; all amounts exclude “Other” 2005 represents pro-forma regulated generation combining Duke Energy and Progress Energy. Crystal River 3 excluded from 2015. Assumes CR1-2 retirement (no definitive decision has been made), but does not assume replacement generation 7 | European Investor Visits Commercial businesses largely contracted & provide diversity International Energy 4,600 MW of generation in Latin America 25% investment in National Methanol Highly contracted business Historically strong earnings growth Strategic review in progress to review cash optimization and growth opportunities Guatemala 300 MW (bunker & diesel) El Salvador 300 MW (bunker & diesel) Ecuador 200 MW (diesel) 2013 Net Income Peru 800 MW 3% (hydro, gas & diesel) v 16% 27% NMC Peru Chile 400 MW (hydro & gas) Other Brazil 2,100 MW (hydro) Argentina 500 MW (hydro & gas) Brazil v v 54% Commercial Power Renewables – long-term contracted projects with creditworthy counterparties Commercial Transmission – electric and natural gas infrastructure investments, including the Atlantic Coast Pipeline Midwest generation – announced sale of merchant generation business to Dynegy for $2.8B; expect to close by end of 1Q 2015 Current Operating Portfolio of ~1,750 net owned MW Wind – 1,625 MW Solar – 120 MW 8 | European Investor Visits Announced agreement to sell Midwest generation to Dynegy Transaction overview Announced sale of Midwest generation business to Dynegy for $2.8 billion in cash in August Zimmer Generating Station Use of proceeds could include a combination of: ― Reinvestment in growth projects ― Avoidance of future holding company debt issuances ― Stock buyback Transaction expected to be accretive to adjusted diluted EPS, depending upon timing of closing and ultimate use of proceeds Approvals needed / closing timeline Department of Justice under the Hart-Scott Rodino Act Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Duke’s release from certain credit support obligations Expect to close the transaction by the end of 1Q 2015 9 | European Investor Visits DUKE ENERGY OVERVIEW FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS 10 | European Investor Visits Financial objectives for 2014 and beyond Achieve revised 2014 EPS guidance range of $4.50 - $4.65 (1) Grow EPS 4 - 6% through 2016 (1)(2) Grow dividend within 65 - 70% target payout (1) Maintain strong credit ratings and balance sheet (1) Based on adjusted diluted EPS / 2014 EPS guidance range assumes normal weather for Q4 2014 (2) Long-term adjusted diluted EPS growth rate of 4-6% through 2016 is based upon the midpoint of the original 2013 adjusted diluted EPS guidance range of $4.20-$4.45 11 | European Investor Visits Established track record of long-term, attractive total shareholder returns 24.0% 25.2% 22.5% 20.6% 19.5% 17.5% 16.6% 15.1% 13.1% 13.0% 12.2% 2014 YTD 1 Year DUK 3 Year Annualized Philadelphia Utility Sector 15.7% 5 Year Annualized S&P 500 Total Shareholder Returns per Bloomberg as of November 10, 2014 12 | European Investor Visits Established track record of dividend growth DUK has an above-average dividend yield compared to its peer group DUK annual dividend per share (1) DUK is growing the dividend annually, but at a rate slower than the growth in EPS DUK will reach its targeted 65-70% payout ratio in 2014 (2) Once the targeted dividend payout range is achieved, DUK board has additional flexibility to grow dividend more consistent with earnings growth rate $2.88 $2.94 $3.00 $3.06 $3.12 $3.18 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E Attractive current dividend yield of 3.9% (3) (1) Annual dividends reflect annualized Q4 dividend per share for each year and have been adjusted for the 1-for-3 reverse stock split; 2014 projected dividend is subject to Board discretion (2) Based on adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) (3) As of November 10, 2014 13 | European Investor Visits Achieving long term earnings growth of 4-6% through 2016 (1) Adjusted diluted EPS summary (1) EPS CAGR Contribution Thru 2016 Long-term segment earnings drivers Regulated Utilities Investments in regulated fleet 1% (net of depreciation and regulatory lag) Improving economy and long-term load 1% growth of 0.5% - 1.0% $4.60 Wholesale and customer program growth $4.45 Flat O&M, net of merger synergies $4.32 International Undertaking a strategic review of this business in 2014 Commercial Power 2% -0% - 1% Renewables growth Sale of Midwest generation business to 1% Dynegy; closed in 4Q ‘14 or 1Q ‘15 Other HoldCo interest expense and higher effective tax rate 2013 2014 2016 (1) 2016 amount is illustrative based on 4-6% growth from original midpoint of 2013 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.20 to $4.45 per share (1%) 4 - 6% Our $16-$20 billion investment portfolio from 2014-2018 supports our long-term 4-6% earnings growth target (1) 14 | European Investor Visits Base plan supported by incremental growth opportunities 4% Adjusted EPS growth highly achievable with base plan 0.5% Retail Load Growth Wholesale Growth Cost Control Annual Growth Investments (~$3 billion) Carolinas & Florida generation Indiana T&D infrastructure plan (SB 560) Regulated & Unregulated Renewables Optimize Commercial Businesses Incremental Growth Initiatives NCEMPA Purchase ($1.2 billion investment by 2016) Atlantic Coast Pipeline (2) ($2 billion investment from 2016 – 2018) Accretive deployment of Midwest generation sales proceeds International strategic review Accelerate growth in Renewables Retail Load Growth >0.5% As of Sept. 30, rolling twelve month trend is ~0.7% Remain confident in longer-term growth assumption of 1% Illustrative only, boxes are not to scale (1) Based upon the midpoint of the original 2013 adjusted diluted EPS guidance range of $4.20-$4.45. (2) May change depending upon how project and DUK investment are financed 15 | European Investor Visits Growth investments of $16-20B from 2014-2018 T&D infrastructure investments in Indiana (SB 560) Environmental compliance Midwest Carolinas Non-regulated Businesses Atlantic Coast Pipeline Commercial renewables and transmission projects NCEMPA asset purchase (1) W.S. Lee CCGT in SC Regulated solar investments in NC (~128 MW) Environmental and NRC compliance T&D investments Grid modernization New generation projects: Florida Calpine CCGT acquisition or peaking generation at Suwannee in 2017 Hines uprate projects by 2017 Citrus Co. CCGT in 2018 Grid modernization (1) Jointly owned plants include Harris Nuclear Plant, Brunswick Nuclear Plant, Roxboro Steam Plant Unit 4 and the Mayo Plant (totaling ~700 MW) 16 | European Investor Visits Growing renewables portfolio (~$2 billion of investments through 2018) Commercial Renewables Regulated Solar Rooftop solar installation in NC Happy Jack Wind Farm Wind – Construction of Los Vientos III and IV wind projects (400 MW capacity); long-term PPA with Austin Energy – Expected online in 2015 and 2016 – Construction of Los Vientos V wind project (110 MW capacity); long-term PPAs with Garland Power & Light, Greenville Electric Utility System and Bryan Texas Utilities (BTU) – Expected online in 2015 Solar – ~110 MW under construction in North Carolina and California; long-term PPAs with SO Cal. Edison and institutional customers – Expected online in 2014 and 2015 North Carolina Solar RFP – On Sept. 15th, company announced (1) PPAs with 5 new projects (150 MW) and (2) the acquisition and construction of 3 projects (128 MW); all online by end of 2015 – 8 projects (278 MW) represent total commitment of $500M – NCUC approval needed for CPCN transfer of owned projects South Carolina Legislation – New legislation passed addressing (1) cost recovery for utility renewable investments, (2) a commission review of net metering rates, and (3) solar leasing – Potential 150 MW investment for DEC and DEP by 2021 17 | European Investor Visits Regulated Utilities weather-normal volume trends Rolling 12 month and YTD weather-normalized load growth is ahead of our 2014 expectations of 0.5% growth Regulated Load Growth Trends 1.6% Growth by customer class: ― Residential +0.5% ― Commercial +1.1% ― Industrial +0.6% Excluding two DEP industrial closings, growth improves to +0.9% in Q3 ‘14 0.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% -0.1% Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 Rolling Twelve Months (RTM) 18 | European Investor Visits Residential customer growth continues to outpace usage Number of residential customers continues to consistently grow at around 1% over the last 12 months Residential Customer Trends Customer growth in our jurisdictions was led by Florida: ― Florida +1.5% ― Carolinas +1.0% ― Midwest +0.5% Usage per customer trends remain volatile and can be driven by: ― Changes in energy efficiency and conservation ― Median household incomes and unemployment trends ― Construction of multi-family housing 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 YoY Growth in Avg. # of Customers 19 | European Investor Visits Wholesale sales growth provides earnings support (1) 2014 total wholesale net margin is expected to be ~$1.1 billion New long-term contracts in the Carolinas – New 20-year contract with NCEMC at Duke Energy Progress began in 2013 – 18-year contract with Central EMC at Duke Energy Carolinas delivers 115 MW of new load in 2013, growing to 900 MW by 2019 Incremental EPS growth (2): $0.07-$0.08 in 2014 and 2015 $0.01-$0.02 in 2016 (1) As presented on February 18, 2014 (2) Based upon adjusted diluted EPS Wholesale Net Margin $1 B 2013 2014 2015 2016 Note: amounts not to scale Carolinas provides ~70% of total wholesale net margin in 2013 with Florida (~15%) and the Midwest (~15%) making up the difference 20 | European Investor Visits Non-fuel Operations & Maintenance (O&M) cost targets through 2016 (1) 9% merger savings to keep O&M flat through 2014 Cost Reductions, by category Figures rounded and chart not to scale Emerging Costs Inflation (~2.5% annually) Fukushima Costs Cyber Security New Generation Flat O&M expense from 2014 through 2016 Benefits & Other IT Systems & Operations Supply Chain Leverage our scale to drive overhead costs lower through work elimination and efficiency improvements Leverage our merger-related system consolidation investments to drive further standardization and efficiencies Manage headcount through natural attrition Reduce use of contract workforce $550 million Functional Consolidation ~$6 B Our Objective ~$6 B FLAT O&M THROUGH 2014 2011 O&M Inflation (2)(3) Actual (~2.5% annually) Emerging Costs Cost Savings Initiatives Original 2014 O&M Forecast (1)(2) (1) As presented on February 18, 2014 (2) 2011 actuals based on pro forma results of Duke Energy and Progress Energy (3) O&M of ~$6 billion includes ~$500 million of recoverable costs. Excludes costs to achieve associated with Progress Energy merger 21 | European Investor Visits Coal ash management activities moving forward 3Q 2014 Activities Next Steps – Implemented new internal Coal Combustion Products (CCP) organization to oversee ash basin facility improvements, maintenance, and beneficial re-use – Developing excavation plans for four high-priority sites (Dan River, Asheville, Riverbend and Sutton), as required by Coal Ash Management Act – Final risk classifications will inform ultimate closure method and cost at other ten sites in North Carolina – Developing comprehensive solutions at our remaining sites outside of North Carolina (34 ash basins) – Established a National Ash Management Advisory Board (NAMAB), a panel of nine independent experts to help guide the company’s strategy for permanent ash storage Includes expertise from industry and academia Skill sets include engineering, waste management, coal technologies, environmental science and risk analysis Coal Ash Management Act of 2014 Plans will vary based upon site-specific factors Plans will be informed by final EPA rule, expected Dec. 2014 14 Sites in North Carolina (32 ash basins) North Carolina law enacted in September – Requires North Carolina ash basins to be closed over a 5 -15 year period based on NC DENR’s risk classifications – Establishes a Coal Ash Management Commission to approve closure methods and oversee implementation – North Carolina Utilities Commission continues to regulate cost recovery (1) (1) Costs related to the Dan River discharge clean-up activities will be borne by the company High Priority Classification TBD 22 | European Investor Visits Edwardsport IGCC plant operations on track IGCC Rider Proceeding Status Operational Status – Plant began commercial operations in June 2013 – Performance testing is complete; reviewing test data received with GE Achieved nameplate capacity of 618 MW – Output and overall performance in 2014 has improved since extreme winter weather in January and February Achieved gasifier availability of ~75 percent in Q2 Achieved gasifier availability of ~70 percent in Q3 (including planned maintenance outage in September) Gasifier availability of ~90 percent in the peak summer months of July & August – Plant is well positioned to reliably serve customers for decades to come Tracker Costs Thru Filed Status IGCC-11 Mar. 2013 May 2013 Awaiting order; expected in 1H 2015 IGCC-12 Sept. 2013 Dec. 2013 IGCC-13 Mar. 2014 June 2014 IGCC-14 Sept. 2014 Hearings scheduled for February 2015, order expected 1H 2015 Expect to file in December 2014 Fuel Adjustment Clause (FAC) Status Tracker Time Period Filed Status FAC-99 Sept. – Nov. 2013 Jan. 2014 Approved in April FAC-100 Dec. 2013 – Feb. 2014 Apr. 2014 Approved in June FAC-101 Mar 2014 – May 2014 Jul. 2014 Approved in September – FAC-99 sub-docket being held in abeyance pending outcome of the IGCC-12 and 13 proceedings – December 2013-March 2014 fuel costs approved subject to refund, pending outcome of the IGCC-12 and 13 proceedings 23 | European Investor Visits Duke Energy key takeaways Largest U.S. utility Substantial, diversified regulated earnings and cash flows Attractive dividend yield with growth commitment Strong balance sheet and credit profile A solid, low risk long-term holding 24 | European Investor Visits Appendix 25 | European Investor Visits Business segment structure DUKE ENERGY REGULATED UTILITIES COMMERCIAL POWER Duke Energy Carolinas North and South Carolina Duke Energy Renewables Duke Energy Progress North and South Carolina Duke Energy Retail (1) Duke Energy Florida Florida Duke Energy Indiana Indiana Duke Energy Ohio (including Duke Energy Kentucky) Ohio T&D Midwest Coal Generation (1) Ohio Gas Distribution Midwest Gas Generation (1) INTERNATIONAL ENERGY Kentucky Electric and Gas (1) Midwest Coal & Gas Generation and Duke Energy Retail are reflected in “Discontinued Operations” for GAAP reporting purposes. 26 | European Investor Visits Update on key 2014 earnings guidance assumptions Original 2014 assumptions (1) 2014 YTD (thru 9/30/14) $2,855 $2,346 International Energy $430 $356 Commercial Power $130 $77 Other ($215) ($171) Duke Energy Consolidated $3,200 $2,608 $1,650 $1,212 33 – 34% 32% (3) Debt AFUDC and capitalized interest $80 $55 AFUDC equity $140 $99 $5,825 – $6,125 $3,836 707 million 707 million ($ in millions) Adjusted segment income (expense) (2): Regulated Utilities Additional consolidated information: Interest expense Adjusted effective tax rate Capital expenditures (4) Weighted-average shares outstanding (1) (2) (3) (4) As disclosed on February 18, 2014 Original 2014 adjusted net income assumptions based upon midpoint of the original adjusted diluted EPS guidance range of $4.45 to $4.60 per share Expect full year 2014 adjusted effective tax rate between 32 and 33 percent Includes debt AFUDC and capitalized interest 27 | European Investor Visits Key 2014 earnings sensitivities Driver Regulated Utilities International Commercial Power Consolidated EPS Change 100 bps change in earned return on equity +/- $0.39 $1 billion change in rate base +/- $0.08 1% change in USFE&G volumes +/- $0.10 10% change in BRL/US$ foreign exchange rate +/- $0.03 $10/barrel change in brent crude oil prices +/- $0.02 $10/MW-day change in PJM capacity prices +/- $0.02 1% change in interest rates +/- $0.07 1% change in assumed return on pension plan assets +/- $0.07 1% change in pension discount rate +/- $0.06 Note: EPS amounts based on 2014 share count of 707 million shares 28 | European Investor Visits 3Q 2014 Key Accounting Matters Coal Ash Asset Retirement Obligation Midwest Generation Business – Accounting rules require the company to recognize an Asset Retirement Obligation (ARO) liability of ~$3.4 billion in 3Q 2014 as a result of the NC Coal Ash Management Act of 2014 – Announced plans to exit the Midwest generation business in February 2014 and recognized a $1.4 billion pre-tax impairment in 1Q 2014 based on estimated market value – In late August, announced agreement to sell business to Dynegy for $2.8 billion – In 3Q 2014: – Obligation is capitalized on the balance sheet as PP&E (active sites) and regulatory asset (retired sites) – The ARO is estimated using a probability-weighted net present value model for a number of closure scenarios – The ARO will be adjusted over time, as new information becomes available Reversed ~$475 million of the previously recognized impairment, due to higher than estimated fair value The business is reflected as “Discontinued Operations” for GAAP reporting purposes (for current and prior periods) Midwest generation’s earnings in 2014 will be included in Duke Energy’s adjusted EPS 29 | European Investor Visits Primary 4Q 2014 EPS drivers (1) Primary 4Q 2014 year-over-year EPS drivers (1)(2) ▼ Nuclear outage cost levelization benefits ▼ Lower results in Latin America $3.69 ~$0.80 ~$0.95 ▼ Reduced COR amortization in Florida ▼ Normal weather ▼ Higher effective tax rate ▲ Higher PJM capacity prices 3Q 2014 YTD EPS(1) Projected 4Q 2014 EPS(1)(2) ▲ Retail & wholesale load growth 4Q 2014 earnings are expected to decline from prior year; expect full-year 2014 earnings between $4.50 and $4.65 per share (1)(2) (1) Based upon adjusted diluted EPS (2) Assumes normal weather 30 | European Investor Visits Growth Investments 31 | European Investor Visits Diverse set of growth initiatives across our jurisdictions Infrastructure ($7-9 Billion) Generation ($6-8 Billion) Atlantic Coast Pipeline Potential $2 billion investment (1) 2016 – 2018 construction Indiana SB 560 Plan Requested IURC approval for $1.9 billion investment 2015 – 2021 implementation NCEMPA Asset Purchase Potential $1.2 billion investment Gas Combined Cycles $0.6 billion, Lee facility in SC $1.5 billion, Citrus Co. in Florida Renewable generation ~$2 billion of commercial renewables and regulated solar Compliance ($3 Billion) EPA regulations Existing and potential air, water and waste regulations Nuclear regulations NRC Fukushima-related Grid and Cyber security Growth capital investments of between $16-20 billion thru 2018 underpin long-term financial objectives (1) Duke Energy’s 40 percent ownership interest in the total $4.5-5.0 billion project. Investment level will depend upon how the project and Duke investment are financed 32 | European Investor Visits New generation projects 2018 Citrus County CC – Florida ($1.5 Billion Investment) Major Generation Projects ($ millions) 1,640 MW CCGT, expected online in 2018 CPCN issued by FPSC in October 2014 2017 Lee CC – Carolinas ($600 Million Investment) (1) 750 MW CCGT, expected online in late 2017 (2) Received CPCN in May 2014 Initiated sourcing of long lead time equipment 2017 Gas Capacity – Florida ($350 Million Investment) (3) 220 MW uprate at Hines, to be online by the end of 2017 CPCN issued by FPSC in October 2014 Acquisition of Calpine’s Osprey CC or additional CTs at Suwannee (320 MW), expected online in 2017 Filings expected in 4Q 2014 or 1Q 2015 $600 $350 2015 Solar – Carolinas (~$250 Million Investment) (4) Acquire and construct 3 projects (128 MW) by the end of 2015 Filed for approval of CPCN transfer from previous owner (1) Represents Duke Energy’s 650 MW share of the project (2) NCEMC to own ~100MW of 750 MW plant (1) $1,500 Florida CCGT Carolinas CCGT ~ $250 Florida 2017 Capacity Carolinas Solar Estimated expenditures to complete project (Including AFUDC) (3) Cost estimate assumes construction of Suwannee CTs (4) Represents cost of constructing three owned projects; excludes value of five PPA agreements 33 | European Investor Visits Atlantic Coast Pipeline provides DUK investment opportunity of ~$2 billion (1) Joint Venture Ownership Structure Parent Company Ownership Percentage 45% 40% 10% 5% – Total investment of $4.5 - 5 billion (3) – Pipeline is over 90 percent subscribed; open season launched to fill remaining capacity – Duke Energy Carolinas and Duke Energy Progress will enter into transportation agreements (1) Investment level will depend upon how project and DUK investment are financed (2) Project requires additional local, state and federal approvals other than those listed (3) Excludes financing costs and expansion potential Next Steps and Necessary Approvals (2) Event Timing NCUC approval of affiliate agreement Fall 2014 Pre-filing with FERC Fall 2014 File FERC application Summer/Fall 2015 Obtain CPCN from FERC Summer/Fall 2016 Begin construction After receipt of CPCN In-service November 2018 – North Carolina Utility Commission (NCUC) approved affiliate agreement between Carolinas utilities and the pipeline (required due to Duke’s ownership interest) – Federal Regulatory Energy Commission (FERC) to approve Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity (CPCN) 34 | European Investor Visits Agreement in place to purchase NCEMPA’s joint ownership – Agreement to purchase the North Carolina Eastern Municipal Power Agency (NCEMPA) joint ownership in several Duke Energy Progress plants (1) – Purchase price of approximately $1.2 billion (2) – Transaction requires approval from FERC, US Department of Justice, NRC, and the Carolinas utilities commissions Harris Nuclear Plant – DEP will enter into a full-requirements wholesale contract to continue supplying power to NCEMPA Next Steps – Required to close transaction by the end of 2016 FERC Filing Fall 2014 – Expect annualized EPS impact between $0.05 and $0.10 File with Carolinas Commissions TBD Final Approvals TBD Close Transaction by end of 2016 (1) NCEMPA’s ownership interest includes Harris Nuclear Plant, Brunswick Nuclear Plant, Roxboro Steam Plant Unit 4 and the Mayo Plant. NCEMPA owns approximately 700 megawatts of combined generating capacity in these plants. (2) Subject to certain adjustments as set forth in the asset purchase agreement 35 | European Investor Visits Duke Energy Indiana files $1.9 billion T&D infrastructure plan – On August 29th, filed a seven-year T&D infrastructure improvement plan with the Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission (IURC) under the provisions of Senate Enrolled Act 560 – Total investments of ~$1.9 billion over 7-year term – Transmission & Distribution system modernization – Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) – Economic Development and T&D support – Project benefits – – – – – Improved reliability and safety More efficient customer outage management Enhanced information for customers Quicker customer requested connects and disconnects Energy savings – Cost recovery (if approved) – – – – Plan results in approximate 1% per year customer rate impact 80 percent of approved costs through a semi-annual rider Remaining 20 percent deferred until next general rate case Utility to file a general rate case by the end of the 7-year plan Next Steps Evidentiary Hearings December 2014 IURC decision on filing 2Q 2015 Begin project work Upon approval 36 | European Investor Visits Regulated Utilities supplement 37 | European Investor Visits Constructive Carolinas jurisdictions provide growth opportunities Jurisdictional Details Total assets in rate base: ~$23.5 billion Allowed ROE : 10.2% in DEC-NC, DEC-SC and DEP-NC; 12.75% in DEP-SC Average Electric Customers: 3.9 million Annual Customer Growth: 1.1% (3Q14 vs. 3Q13) Average Customer Rate (cents/kwh)(1) US Average: 13.8 US Average: 12.0 US Average: 10.3 11.3 11.1 10.7 10.6 7.9 8.2 8.0 8.8 8.3 7.9 8.3 7.8 Constructive Environments Constructive settlements in all three rate cases in 2013 Coal Ash Management Act of 2014 in NC Distributed Energy Resource Program Act of 2014 in SC Economic Development Residential DEC - NC Commercial DEP - NC DEC - SC Industrial DEP - SC Helped recruit ~$2.4 billion in capital investment and approximately 5,500 new jobs to the Carolinas in 2014 Notable sectors include Textiles, Automotive, and Pharmaceuticals Focus Areas Enhance customer experience and communications Implement provisions of Coal Ash Management Act Achieve five-year fuel and joint dispatch savings commitment Complete purchase of NCEMPA’s generation assets Execute construction of Lee combined cycle (1) Duke Energy Carolinas Duke Energy Progress Overlapping Territory EEI Typical Bills and Average Rates report, Summer, 2014; values based on typical bill 38 | European Investor Visits Florida jurisdiction remains an attractive region for new customers Jurisdictional Details Total assets in rate base: ~$8.1 billion Allowed ROE: 10.5% Average Electric Customers: 1.7 million Annual Customer Growth: 1.5% (3Q14 vs. 3Q13) Average Customer Rate (cents/Kwh)(1) US Average: 13.8 US Average: 12.0 12.5 US Average: 10.3 10.2 9.6 Constructive Environments (2) RRA ranks Florida as Above Average Comprehensive regulatory settlement in 2013 Economic Development Helped recruit ~$100 million in capital investment and approximately 1,000 new jobs in 2014. Notable sectors include Advanced Manufacturing, Pharmaceuticals, and Logistics Residential Focus Areas Commercial Industrial Duke Energy Florida Improve customer experience and communications Execute on replacement generation needs (1) EEI Typical Bills and Average Rates report, Summer, 2014 ; values based on typical bill (2) RRA maintains three principal rating categories for regulatory climates: Above Average, Average, and Below Average 39 | European Investor Visits Pro-business Midwest jurisdictions value healthy utilities Average Customer Rate (cents/Kwh)(1) Jurisdictional Details Total assets in rate base: ~$9 billion Allowed ROE Indiana: 10.5% Ohio/Kentucky: 9.84% Average Electric Customers: 1.6 million Annual Customer Growth: 0.5% (3Q14 vs 3Q13) US Average: 13.8 US Average: 12.0 12.4 12.2 9.2 9.6 9.9 8.8 US Average: 10.3 9.0 8.8 8.0 Constructive Environments (2) RRA ranks Indiana as Above Average Indiana Senate Bill 560 Ohio and Kentucky have constructive regulatory environments Economic Development Residential Duke Energy Indiana Commercial Duke Energy Ohio Industrial Duke Energy Kentucky Helped recruit ~$500 million in capital investment and approximately 3,500 new jobs in 2014 Notable sectors include Advanced Manufacturing, Pharmaceuticals, and Logistics Focus Areas Execute smart grid deployments and transmission, distribution and storage investment strategy (IN SB 560) Achieve positive outcomes from OH ESP filing, including new distribution rider Sustain operational performance at Edwardsport IGCC (1) (2) Duke Energy Indiana Duke Energy Ohio/Kentucky EEI Typical Bills and Average Rates report, Summer, 2014; ; values based on typical bill RRA maintains three principal rating categories for regulatory climates: Above Average, Average, and Below Average 40 | European Investor Visits Fuel and Joint Dispatch savings update Fuel and Joint Dispatch (JDA) Savings Guaranteed $687 million in fuel and joint dispatch savings to Carolinas customers over 5 years (1) – During 3Q 2014 achieved ~$50 million in total savings – ~$360 million in cumulative savings to date – Achieved or locked-in ~82% of guaranteed fuel and joint dispatch savings through renegotiated contracts Quarterly Savings Results ($ in millions) $50 $400 $350 $40 $300 $250 $30 $200 $20 $150 $100 $10 $50 $- $3Q '12 4Q '12 1Q '13 2Q '13 3Q '13 4Q '13 1Q '14 2Q'14 3Q'14 Fuel Savings [L] JDA Savings [L] Cumulative Savings [R] Joint dispatch continues to deliver benefits to customers in the Carolinas (1) Additional 18 months (6.5 years total) allowed to achieve savings if actual coal usage is lower than projected due to natural gas commodity prices 41 | European Investor Visits Open Major Regulatory Proceedings (as of November 4, 2014) Entity Filing Docket number Status Intervener filings Staff Filing Evidentiary Hearings Expected Order Ohio 2014 ESP 14-0841-ELSSO Intervener and PUCO staff testimony filed, evidentiary hearing in process Sep. 26, 2014 Oct. 2, 2014 Oct. 22, 2014 1H 2015 Indiana IGCC-11 43114-IGCC 11 Fully briefed, awaiting order Oct. 31, 2013 Oct. 31, 2013 Dec. 17, 2013 1H 2015 Indiana IGCC-12 IGCC-13 43114-IGCC 12 43114-IGCC 13 Procedural schedule set Dec. 15, 2014 Dec. 15, 2014 Feb. 2, 2015 1H 2015 Indiana FAC Subdocket 38707-FC99S1 Held in abeyance pending outcome of IGCC-12 and IGCC-13 TBD TBD TBD TBD Indiana 7-year TDSIC (SB 560) 44526 Procedural schedule set Nov. 12, 2014 Nov. 12, 2014 Dec. 18, 2014 2Q 2015 South Carolina Net Metering 2014-246-E Procedural schedule set Dec. 11, 2014 Dec. 11, 2014 Feb. 3, 2015 1H 2015 42 | European Investor Visits Pending environmental regulations Rule overview Potential impacts to Duke Energy Regulates Hazardous Air Pollutants (e.g., mercury & non-mercury HAPs) Compliance deadline April 16, 2015 with possible one-year extension DC Circuit Court upheld the rule in its entirety Supreme Court has been requested to review the DC Circuit Decision Additional air emissions control equipment Timing of unit retirements Execute strategy as planned Regulates NOx and SO2; D.C. Circuit issued a stay in December 2011 D.C. Circuit lifted the stay on rule in October 2014 Phase I of CSAPR Rule to go into effect January 1, 2015 Additional issues are still under review by the D.C. Circuit No additional CapEx investment anticipated Greenhouse Gas New Source Performance Standard (New Sources) Proposed rule published Jan 8, 2014; expect final rule 2015 Regulation of CO2 emissions for new pulverized coal, IGCC, and natural gas combustion turbine and combined-cycle facilities Partial CCS required for coal Could affect technology selection for future new generation Potential to affect long-term fuel diversity Greenhouse Gas New Source Performance Standard (Existing Sources) Proposed rule published June 18, 2014; comments due December 1, 2014 States to develop regulations based on final EPA guidance EPA targeting June 1, 2015 to finalize A broad ranging proposal for limiting CO2 emissions from existing coal-fired Outcome of proceedings unknown power plants Mercury and Air Toxics Standards Rule (MATS) Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) 43 | European Investor Visits Pending environmental regulations, cont. Rule overview Coal Combustion Residuals Rule (CCR) Regulates coal combustion residuals (e.g., coal ash) Rule proposed in June 2010 EPA expected to finalize the rule by December 19, 2014 Targets minimizing the impact to aquatic life from the location and operation of cooling water intake structures 316(b) Cooling Water Intake Structures Rule Final rule effective October 14, 2014 Litigation has been filed challenging the rule Revisions to the Steam Electric Effluent Limitations Guidelines (ELG) Potential impacts to Duke Energy Close or upgrade wet ash ponds Convert wet ash handling to dry New wastewater treatment systems Modification of existing cooling water intake structures or cooling tower installations Site specific evaluations will occur over the next 3 to 5 years with modifications, if necessary, expected to occur in 5 to 8 years Potential capex range of $400 - $500 million Establishes technology based wastewater discharge limits for steam Convert wet ash handling to dry electric generating facilities New/upgraded wastewater treatment Applies to coal, gas-fired, combined cycle, and nuclear, with proposed systems revisions primarily affecting coal Coordination with the CCR rule expected Proposed rule published on June 7, 2013 EPA to finalize rule in September 2015 per revised settlement agreement 44 | European Investor Visits International Energy supplement 45 | European Investor Visits International strategic review Strategic review of International is underway International owns and operates 4,600 MW of net generation – Wide range of options being considered – Includes optimizing offshore cash and development of growth plan; $1.6 billion offshore as of September 30 – Expect to complete review late 2014 or early 2015 Earnings Contribution by Segment (1) Commercial Power 2% Regulated Utilities 86% Peru 16% NMC 27% Other 3% International 12% Brazil 54% 414 MW Chavantes Hydro Plant ~ Brazil (1) Based upon 2013 actual adjusted net income. Amounts exclude the “Other” segment. 46 | European Investor Visits Brazil’s reservoir levels – SE region Reservoir Level (% Maximum Volume) 90 80 70 62.45 50 60.83 43.18 40 30 45.48 28.86 55.06 54.13 40.30 34.60 36.30 38.80 37.40 48.71 45.05 41.62 43.18 36.30 37.46 34.40 30.30 25.30 20 10 2000 Dec – 63.75 60 0 – 62.90 Jan Feb 2001 Mar Apr 2012 May Jun 2013 Jul Aug Sep 2014 Oct Nov Dec In 3Q 2014, the country’s thermal generation units continue to be used to preserve the nation’s reservoir levels and meet customer demand. Brazil has more thermal generation compared to 2001. In anticipation of low reservoir levels and high electric demand, we strategically reduced our targeted 2014 contracted percentage, and have taken similar actions for 2015. 47 | European Investor Visits Duke Energy International – National Methanol Company (NMC) – Background – NMC is a producer of methanol and MTBE in Saudi Arabia – Current ownership: Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC) - 50%, Celanese - 25%, and Duke Energy - 25% – JV agreement extended to 2032 (effective April 1, 2010) – Upon NMC finishing construction of a 50,000 ton polyacetal facility, DEI’s share of NMC distributions will decrease to 17.5% (expected in mid 2016) – DEI’s share of earnings from NMC are expected to be reduced by approximately 25-30% on an annualized basis due to the change in ownership percentage – Strong Historical Earnings and Cash Flows – DEI’s share of NMC’s earnings has historically contributed 20-30% of DEI’s Adjusted Net Income – NMC’s earnings are positively correlated with brent crude oil – An approximate $10/barrel change in the average annual price of brent crude oil has roughly a US$0.02 EPS impact annually 48 | European Investor Visits Commercial Power supplement 49 | European Investor Visits Duke Energy Renewables – Grown to scale since entry in 2007 Happy Jack Wind Farm, Wyoming Current Operating Portfolio of 1,750 net owned MW (1) Wind – 1,625 MW Solar – 120 MW Low risk profile with long-term PPAs – Continue wind investment and accelerate growth in solar (1) 100-percent capacity of the entire portfolio totals 2,200 MW. A full list of generation facilities can by found at http://www.duke-energy.com/pdfs/Duke-Energy-Generation-Portfolio.pdf 50 | European Investor Visits Commercial transmission announced project pipeline Project / In-service date Total Cost of Project Milestones Achieved Next Milestone 2014-2016 (Total ~$100M) 2017 & beyond Pioneer – JV formed in 2008 with AEP MISO Segment $330 million 70 miles 765kV lines in Indiana (2018 in-service) FERC/MISO approved Routing/ siting PJM Segment $620 million 175 mi 765kV lines in Indiana FERC approved Submitted plan to PJM Secure inclusion in PJM expansion plan ~$40 million ~$150 million DATC – JV formed in 2011 with American Transmission Co. (ATC) Path 15 $56 million Closed acquisition Service rights on 500kV line in California (2004 in-service) File FERC rate case Feb. 2014 Zephyr $3.5 billion 850 mile 500kV NVDC line connecting 3,000MW of WY wind to SW load centers (2020 in-service) FERC rate authority; first round of public outreach File Federal Plan of Development w/ BLM MW Portfolio $4 billion 8 projects in 5 states (2022-2024 in-service) FERC incentive treatment; submitted to MISO/PJM MISO/PJM approval ~$1 billion ~$875 million $ represent Duke Energy’s share of capital requirements Anticipate potential capital expenditures of up to ~$2 billion over 10 years 51 | European Investor Visits Financing assumptions 52 | European Investor Visits Simplified financing structure Duke Energy (HoldCo) Cinergy Corp. (HoldCo) Duke Energy Carolinas Duke Energy International Duke Energy Ohio Duke Energy Indiana Duke Energy Kentucky Duke Energy Renewables and Other Progress Energy (HoldCo) (1) Duke Energy Progress Duke Energy Florida Commercial Paper and LT Financings Money Pool and LT Financings Project / International Financings (1) Progress Energy HoldCo has long-term debt outstanding, but no future issuance is planned at this financing entity 53 | European Investor Visits Progress on 2014 financing plan (as of November 4, 2014) (1) ($ in millions) $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $- Duke Energy (HoldCo)(2) Full-year Maturities Duke Energy Progress (3) Duke Energy Florida (3) Expected LTD issuances International Renewables Expected CP issuances Duke Energy Ohio Duke Energy Carolinas Completed issuances (1) Debt issuances and maturities exclude potential pre-funding of 2015 needs. Holdco issuances included funding to pay-down ~$400 million of DE Ohio tax-exempt debt related to the Midwest Generation asset transfer. (2) Expected to be achieved through issuances of commercial paper; a portion of the proceeds from the sale of Midwest Generation will be used to reduce outstanding commercial paper. (3) Full year maturities at DE Progress and DE Florida include ~$450 million and ~$250 million of expected calls on tax-exempt debt, respectively. 54 | European Investor Visits Access to capital – 2014 long-term debt financing activity Amount ($ in millions) Entity Date Issued Credit Ratings (M/S&P/F) Term $225 DE Florida March 2014 N/A 3 Year $650 $1,000 DE Progress HoldCo Type Rate Accounts Receivable Initial variable rate of securitization ~0.85% Aa2 / A / A+ $400 million – 30 year First Mortgage Bond Aa2 / A / A+ $250 million – 3 year Floating Rate Notes Initial variable rate of ~0.44% A3 / BBB / BBB+ $600 million – 10 year Senior Notes 3.75% -fixed rate A3 / BBB / BBB+ $400 million – 3 year Floating Rate Notes Initial variable rate of ~0.60% March 2014 April 2014 4.375% fixed rate $218 DEI Brazil June 2014 Baa3 / BBB- $108.5 million – 5 year $109 million – 7 year Unsecured Amortizing Notes Initial variable rate of ~12.30% $129 DE Renewables July 2014 N/A 22 year final term (12.7 year average life) Senior Secured Amortizing Notes 5.34% fixed rate 55 | European Investor Visits Liquidity summary (as of September 30, 2014) ($ in millions) Duke Energy (1) $ Master Credit Facility Less: Commercial paper (2) Outstanding letters of credit (LOCs) Tax-exempt bonds $ Available capacity Cash & short-term investments 2,250 Duke Carolinas Duke Progress $ $ 1,000 750 Duke Florida $ Duke Indiana 650 (784) (300) (27) - (56) (4) (2) - (35) - 1,410 $ 661 $ 721 $ $ 700 Duke Ohio $ Duke Kentucky 550 $ 100 Total $ 6,000 (163) - (4) (1) (1) - - (64) - (81) - - (116) 649 $ 455 $ 550 $ 96 (1,278) $ (3) Total available liquidity 4,542 328 $ 4,870 (1) Master Credit Facility supports tax-exempt put bonds, LOCs and the Duke Energy commercial paper program of $4 billion (2) Includes permanent layer of commercial paper of $450 million, which is classified as long-term debt (3) Excludes certain cash and short-term investments in foreign jurisdictions of approximately $1.6 billion 56 | European Investor Visits Strength of balance sheet supports credit metrics and ratings Credit metrics summary (As of November 6, 2014) 2014E Target FFO / Debt 19% >17% FFO Interest Coverage 5.3x >3.5x DUKE ENERGY Debt to Capitalization ~49% <50% Senior Unsecured Debt Commercial Paper Holdco Debt / Total Debt ~30% ≤ 30% Holding company Fitch Moody's S&P Stable BBB+ F-2 Stable A3 P-2 Positive BBB A-2 Stable Aa2 Stable Aa2 Stable A1 Stable Aa3 Stable A2 Stable Baa1 Positive A Positive A Positive A Positive A Positive A Positive BBB+ Operating companies Liquidity summary as of September 30, 2014 ($ in billions) DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS Senior Secured Debt $1.5 DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS Senior Secured Debt DUKE ENERGY FLORIDA Senior Secured Debt $6.0 $4.8 $0.3 Domestic cash Master and short-term Credit (1) investments Facility DUKE ENERGY INDIANA Senior Secured Debt DUKE ENERGY OHIO Utilized amount Available liquidity (1) Excludes cash and short-term investments in foreign jurisdictions of ~$1.6 billion Senior Secured Debt DUKE ENERGY KENTUCKY Senior Unsecured Debt Positive A+ Stable A+ Stable A Stable A Stable A Stable A- No equity issuances planned through 2016 57 | European Investor Visits Other 58 | European Investor Visits Sustainability Ratings and Rankings 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Score: 76 North America and World Indices Score: 78 North America and World Indices Score: 73 North America Index Score: 78 North America Index Score: 75 North America Index (9th consecutive year) - ESG Disclosure Score: 58.9 (Highest among peers) ESG Disclosure Score: 68.3 (Highest among peers) ESG Disclosure Score: 68.7 (Highest among peers) Rank: 43 Rank: 97 Rank: 35 (5th U. S. 500 Green Rankings Rank: 26 consecutive year) Rank: 70 Global 100 Most Sustainable Corporations Not Listed Not Listed Not Listed - - On Sustainable Utility Leaders Index Best In Class Sustainability Achievement Award - Sustainability Leader Rank #3, overall Sustainability Leader Rank: 486 (# 24 in our industry) Rank: 382 (# 9 in our industry) Rank: 409 (# 10 in our industry) ESG Disclosure Score: 66.8 Not Listed Rank: 47 Global 100 Most Sustainable Corporations Top-Ranked Energy Company - Rank: 159 (# 6 in our industry) (1) Duke/Progress Composite Score 59 | European Investor Visits Investor Relations App – Free mobile app for Investor Relations materials now available for iPhone, iPad, and Android mobile devices – The Duke Energy app provides mobile access to commonly used IR materials, including: – – – – SEC Filings Earnings Materials Company Presentations Press Releases – Search for “Duke Energy Investor Relations” in the app store or scan the QR Code 60 | European Investor Visits For additional information on Duke Energy, please visit: www.duke-energy.com/investors
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