Debt Advisory Insights from Clearwater International Autumn 2014 clearthought Debt Funds in the Funding Market An overview of recent trends in the market and expectations for the future 17% Introduction 2011* The appetite for alternative credit is soaring with debt funds raising record amounts. In this Clearthought, we examine the impact on corporates. The speed of change and return of confidence in debt markets is notable. Debt markets were largely closed for raising finance in 2009, it was a struggle even for some of the best credits. Since then we have seen a return in the banks’ appetite to grant loans - partly driven by the need to lend after a number of years of shrinking balance sheets, and partly as a result of the improvement in risk appetite - as they seek higher returns on their lending. There have been fundamental changes across Europe, as alternative finance providers and debt funds have seen their market share increase, often at the expense of traditional lenders. This structural shift has led to a more diverse lending environment than was seen prior to the credit crunch. According to Market Monitor data, non-bank lenders were involved in 17% of deals in Europe with ¤1.3bn or less of debt in 2011. However, by 2013 non-bank lenders were involved in 46% of these deals. 31% 83% 2012* 46% 69% 2013* 54% n Deals including non-bank lenders n Bank only deals * 12 months to end of September. Multi-banked transactions with ¤1.3bn or less of debt Trends in detail After a number of years with limited choice in the mid-market, there is now a diverse range of lenders and lending products available to businesses. Some of the new products in the market, such as the much-discussed unitranche, are not only supporting buy-out transactions and leveraged deals but also offer an alternative form of finance for businesses that require more flexibility in their funding structure. For instance, this could be in the form of lower or no amortisation of the loan, providing the business with additional cash resources to spend on acquisitions or capital expenditure. We have seen loan pricing reduce materially in the last 18 months, as competition in the European mid-market between banks and debt funds has increased. The driver for this has been the relatively low number of deals and transactions taking place, meaning lower demand from businesses, and the entry of new non-bank lenders which have raised large funds from investors that need to be put to use. With the exception of when debt funds participate in club and syndicated deals with banks, pricing from debt funds is generally more expensive than banks. This is a function of returns expected by investors. As a quid pro quo, commitment periods can be longer, covenants lighter and amortisation less or non-existent. Lower amortisation from banks is also becoming more popular in the Leveraged Buy-Out (LBO) market, with larger proportions of non-amortising B tranche term loans forming part of the structure. Within some larger mid-market leveraged finance deals, there have even been some term-loan-B-only arrangements. Seasonal and/or very cash generative businesses have benefitted from amortising Revolving Credit Facilities (RCFs) being offered by senior lenders. This structure is a committed working capital facility where the limit reduces each year. This reduces the refinance risk for the lender and also cuts the interest cost for the borrower during positive periods of their working capital cycle. Term loans and unitranche facilities do not tend to offer this flexibility. Higher proportion B tranche term loan structures and amortising RCFs have been used by senior lenders in order to compete and differentiate themselves from the debt funds offering unitranche style products. The terms in the lower mid-market are not quite so favourable as those in the midmarket, but we continue to see an improvement in liquidity, interest from banks and alternative funders, and an increase in the leverage multiples offered to businesses. This can only be good for increased deal activity and growth. clearthought | Autumn 2014 Debt Advisory Insights from Clearwater International Interview: Ed Jolly, Pricoa Capital Group Tell us about Pricoa Pricoa Capital Group is the direct lending arm of Prudential Financial Inc* (NYSE: PRU), and has been one of the leading global providers of private debt to companies for the past 75 years. We have been in the UK for over 25 of those years. Pricoa is also active in Europe, with offices in Paris and Frankfurt. Long-term lending has been a consistent part of our investment mandate and our business has grown steadily, even during the recent global economic crisis. If anything, the crisis has helped our growth - when banks were turning away companies in the depths of the crisis, businesses turned to us as an alternative capital source. In 2013, we provided more than ¤1.5bn in capital out of our London office alone. We have long-standing relationships with many corporates and have been in the private debt space for a long time. alternatives and this is where we find our proposition resonates strongly. As a term lender, we are under less pressure to get our money back so quickly. Therefore, we provide a longer-term funding option than bank debt. Much of our activity this year has been funding companies’ growth and investment plans. What is your view on the new funds that have entered the market? There is a considerable structural shift yet to happen in a region such as Europe, and it is the beginnings of this shift that have been driving our business in recent years. However, one of the challenges is that there are barriers to entry in setting up the funds in the first place. You have to have people on the ground who can structure the transactions, and it is a very hands-on asset class. Big US insurers have been doing this for a while, but it is a big investment to launch a platform. That has been a barrier for European institutions which are serious about entering this market. However, a new asset class has undoubtedly emerged over the past few years. How does the Pricoa model work? What we do breaks down into two main areas. Firstly, private placement financing for medium to large companies with longterm fixed rate funding. Secondly, mezzanine and senior lending to lower midmarket companies (¤5m EBITDA upwards). The fact that our model is built around longterm relationships gives us a big advantage. Half of what we do is offering repeat business. We find a company, deliver finance, and then continue to provide capital in the future for that business. We provide capital in both sponsored and non-sponsored transactions. Private equity (PE) and corporates are becoming more aware of non-bank options. Nonsponsored transactions still lack funding What is your view on the current market? Over the last six months, the market definitely feels far more positive whether from public or private companies. There are more conversations about M&A and investment opportunities, which is starting to drive deal flow. We have also seen activity pick up in the PE market. Ultimately, company default rates are very low right now. Many corporates have weathered the storm and paid down their debt. The main factor that could derail the corporate debt market in the short term is some kind of big global economic shock. * Prudential Financial Inc is not affiliated in any manner with Prudential plc, a company incorporated in the United Kingdom. clearthought | Autumn 2014 Debt Advisory Insights from Clearwater International Hot Topics New funders European Leveraged Loan Issuance Volume (¤bn) A number of new debt funds have entered the European market, adopting a range of different strategies including private debt, mezzanine, special situations and distressed debt. This inflow of liquidity has helped to drive a number of leveraged refinances, leading to the high issuance seen opposite. 80 Debt funds can generally be split into two distinct categories. Firstly, the direct lending arms of pension funds and insurance companies; and secondly, those that have raised a specific lending fund from an investor pool. The debt funds often have structures similar to those seen in the PE market, with investment periods of three to five years and a life of around 10 years. The limited partners in these funds are usually insurance companies, pension funds, private wealthy investors, banks and sovereign wealth funds. 20 Key differences in the debt funds compared with banks are: 4 n Higher leverage multiples (as demonstrated in the graph opposite) n Non-amortising / bullet structures n Structural flexibility around covenants, headroom, cash sweeps and dividends (lower graph shows loosening of covenant controls) n n 60 58 50 43 42 40 29 30 15 10 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 European Leveraged Loan Pro Forma Debt/EBITDA Ratios 5.9 6 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.1 5 4.5 4.1 4.2 2009 2010 4.7 4.4 4.5 2011 2012 3 2 1 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2013 Q1 2014 Options across the capital structure with senior, second lien, unitranche, mezzanine and quasi-equity instruments, including warrants Average Number of Covenants per European Leveraged Transaction Shorter credit decision processes 5 Limitations of debt funds include: n 67 70 Inability to offer clearing or ancillary facilities n Higher pricing to account for the increased flexibility offered n Lack of track record managing distressed situations 4.3 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.2 3.9 4 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.0 3 2 1 Increase in Leverage Leverage has increased over the past 18 months, moving gradually towards precredit crunch levels. Leverage levels in the European LBO market have risen steadily 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 clearthought | Autumn 2014 Market Outlook n Debt funds’ share of the market will continue to increase, but the banks will fight to retain market share n Appetite for a wider range of deals will grow to get funds out the door n Term loan B tranches will increase in popularity as banks look to compete with credit funds n Lower mid-market space to become more competitive, offering options for borrowers n Europe will see further liquidity inflows from the US n Greater collaboration between banks and debt funds Debt Advisory Insights from Clearwater International since a low in 2009 of 4.1x, up to 4.7x in 2013 and now a high for the first quarter of 2014 at 5.3x. The pricing of senior loans in the European mid-market also appears to be following that seen for larger loans, with margins now reducing to sub 5%. This increased appetite from senior lenders and banks could cause issues for debt funds which may struggle to achieve the return required by their investors. In turn, increased supply and reduced margins may lead to looser terms being offered by the debt funds as a differentiator to compete on flexibility. Cov-Loose & Cov-Lite Cov-loose & cov-lite refer to the practice of reducing or having no covenants attached to a loan facility. The terms available today have improved since the credit crunch. The average number of covenants in a mid-market leveraged deal reduced to 3.0 in 2013. Clearwater International has also seen an improvement in the level of headroom in the covenants that have been set. Basket levels for acquisitions, demergers and asset disposals have shown an improvement in favour of the borrowers, allowing larger baskets without seeking the prior consent of lenders. We expect the larger baskets to drive increased acquisition activity, although larger deals for any particular business will still see borrowers seeking consent from lenders. Although covenant-loose structures have become more common in mid-market businesses, following the trend of large market deals, we do not expect to see cov-lite deals proliferating in the midmarket. This will principally be driven by lenders wanting to see greater control over smaller market deals, due to the increased risk of default with smaller businesses. “The entry of debt funds to the European markets and the improved risk appetite of banks has benefitted businesses, with improved flexibility and better terms supporting deal activity and business investment.” Summary The growth of new lenders in the mid-market has brought many new options to businesses and dealmakers looking to raise finance. There remains some scepticism about debt funds, with a need for lenders to build further trust and relationships with advisors and businesses. Credibility is key. There is a track record with the traditional “known” funders, but they should not be put on a pedestal given differing levels of support during recent distressed times. both operational management and investors, with the current low levels of interest rates assisting here. There will be greater collaboration between traditional lenders, debt funds, asset based lenders and the direct lending arms of pension funds & insurance companies, resulting in a new mix in the funding market, longer term. There are concerns that increased competition amongst lenders is pushing the lending market back towards the leverage multiples and minimal covenants seen ahead of the credit crunch, however these terms are only available for the best companies. We see increasing confidence in Our opinion is that the entry of debt funds to the European markets and the improved risk appetite of traditional funders has benefitted businesses, with improved flexibility and better terms supporting deal activity and business investment. clearthought | Autumn 2014 Debt Advisory Insights from Clearwater International Interview: Jerry Wilson, UK Private Credit - Chenavari Investment Managers Tell us about Chenavari We are an asset manager investing across a broad range of credit products throughout Europe and Asia, with some ¤4bn of assets under management. Chenavari has grown successfully on the back of very solid results since it was formed in 2008 and our funding comes from a broad range of institutional investors across the US, Europe and Asia. How does the Chenavari model work? Chenavari's UK Private Credit business offers an alternative to successful, well-run SMEs (EBITDA ¤4m - ¤20m) in a market where there is a significant disconnect between the supply and demand for credit. Our model consists of three principal components which differentiate us from the mainstream commercial banks. Firstly, any debt capital the firm structures does not have scheduled regular amortisations, giving the management team the flexibility to reinvest free cashflow back into the business. Secondly, management teams and stakeholders gain direct access to our decision-makers as the UK Private Credit partners are members of the investment committee. Thirdly, there is goal alignment. Chenavari partners are invested in the funds, which drives a distinct difference in behaviours and philosophy when compared with 'salarymen' in the mainstream banking community. Making our funds available to companies in this SME segment affords management teams access to a model that until recently had only been available to bigger midmarket companies, where many of the larger US-owned debt funds operate. What is your view on the new funds that have entered the market? The recent arrival of debt funds to Europe is a positive move for the market. In the US, some 70% of debt is sourced from funds independent of mainstream commercial banks whereas in Europe the reverse is the case. I expect companies in Europe to increasingly reduce their reliance on the commercial banks for credit, although I don’t expect it to approach the 70:30 US ratio anytime soon. Considering the market further, in Europe I see two segments. Firstly, there are the core mid-market companies with an Enterprise Value (EV) of anything between ¤90m and ¤650m. These businesses have increasing levels of choice when it comes to sourcing their debt and there has been a wholesale influx of debt capital in recent years from American-owned institutions such as Alcentra, Ares, Babson, BlueBay, Hayfin and HIG. This influx of capital has been good for companies, particularly with regard to higher degrees of leverage with reduced pricing available for transactions. However, this has reduced visibility over stable returns for investors. We therefore deliberately don't target this segment, instead focusing on the lower mid-market arena (EBITDA ¤4m - ¤20m) where SMEs have had limited options when it comes to sourcing credit, other than the commercial banks. What is your view on the current market? The current market is healthy. There are many great businesses run by talented management teams seeking funding to support their next phase of growth. Whilst these companies have overcome the recent economic turbulence, private owners have perhaps been cautious about exiting or taking on additional finance. The relative scarcity of debt in the lower midmarket may have hampered company valuations and FDs may also have been struggling to garner decent levels of traction from their relationship bank. I believe that leverage levels, and the approach to covenants and documentation, will remain sensible in this lower midmarket segment. In the core mid-market (EV ¤90m - ¤650m), the increasing supply of debt will push leverage positions and result in more relaxed documentation and financial covenant terms, contributing to an increase in the volatility of risk and returns for investors. With regard to the 'great wall’ of refinancing, whilst the benign interest rate environment has led to subdued levels of portfolio churn amongst the mainstream banking community, our analysis indicates that in Europe Basel III means that banks today have a shortfall of core Tier 1 capital of around ¤1tn that will need to be met by 2019. There will undoubtedly be a myriad of further portfolio and individual deal refinancing opportunities ahead. clearthought | Autumn 2014 Debt Advisory Insights from Clearwater International Meet the team Mark Taylor Partner, UK Royal Westmoreland Gascan ¤24m refinance ¤38m debt restructure Luxury golf and spa resort in Barbados Portuguese distributor and marketer of propane gas Clearwater International secured funding from Grovepoint Credit to refinance existing borrowings Clearwater International led the process and negotiated the restructuring of the ¤38m debt portfolio +44 845 052 0346 [email protected] Chris Smith Partner, UK +44 845 052 0308 [email protected] Rui Miranda Partner, Portugal +351 918 766 799 [email protected] Vanguard Healthcare Joules ¤21m debt refinancing Buy-side debt raise Provider of mobile surgical facilities Leading British lifestyle brand Clearwater International advised the company on refinancing, leading negotiations and raising senior debt facilities Clearwater International advised LDC on its minority equity investment including raising debt facilities to fund the ongoing growth of the business Optos Cepsa S.A. Kai Bech Andersen Associate Partner, Denmark +45 25 27 00 52 kai.bech.andersen@ cwicf.com Barry Chen Partner, China +86 6341 0699 x 881 [email protected] Antonio Tomás Director, Spain Strategic advice on offbalance sheet refinancing Recapitalisation/ Development Capital +34 629 024 286 [email protected] Leading provider of devices and solutions to eyecare professionals Supplier and manufacturer of mid-stream chemicals Tom Barnwell Clearwater International provided guidance to this UK plc on its international vendor refinancing exercise, introducing new US funders to the process Clearwater International represented the buyer in the restructuring of the company’s phenol operations Associate Director, UK +44 845 034 4767 [email protected] Jesper Agerholm Associate, Denmark +45 29 92 91 06 jesper.agerholm@ cwicf.com www.clearwaterinternational.com David Burton Associate, UK AARHUS • BARCELONA • BEIJING • BIRMINGHAM • COPENHAGEN • LISBON LONDON • MADRID • MANCHESTER • NOTTINGHAM • PORTO • SHANGHAI +44 845 052 0357 [email protected] Afonso Lima Associate, Portugal +351 910 766 229 [email protected]
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