ADS-B Everywhere
Cyriel Kronenburg
Vice President
Singapore, November 11, 2014
Conceptual ATM Performance
COM
Separation &
Efficiency
Airspace /
Automation
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11/11/2014
Surveillance
Conceptual ATM Performance
COM
CONOPS
Airspace /
Automation
3
11/11/2014
Procedural
Conceptual ATM Performance
COM
CONOPS
Airspace /
Automation
4
11/11/2014
ADS-C
Tracking
Enabling ATM Performance
COM
CONOPS
Airspace /
Automation
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11/11/2014
Radar
Surveillance
Improving ATM Performance
COM
CONOPS
Airspace /
Automation
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11/11/2014
ADS-B
<$
Improving Global ATM Performance
COM
CONOPS
Airspace /
Automation
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11/11/2014
Today’s surveillance challenges:
Physical:
• No surveillance over oceans and remote terrain
Cost
• Installation cost of radar / ground stations
• Maintenance costs for remote sites
• ADS-C Equipage & subscription
Operational
• SWIM / Data sharing / Border safety
• Flow Management
• Contingency of signals
• Downtime of physical structures
• Lack of harmonization
• Differences in separation standards
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Resulting in challenges for airlines
• Safety
• High infrastructure costs
• Varying equipage mandates
• Equipage costs
• Inefficient routes based on corridors
• Inefficient separation based on tracking
• No optimum flight paths
• Flow restrictions
• Lack of service predictability
• Situational awareness
• Flight tracking
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11/11/2014
“It’s just ADS-B”
“Don’t develop CONOPS around space based ADS-B but enable ADS-B into
the ATM system to work anywhere in your FIR with surveillance performance”
• Sole source sensor surveillance
• Provide a signal, suitable for surveillance, to an ATM system where it
currently does not exist to enhance safety, efficiency and operational
performance
• Multi sensor surveillance
• Augment existing ADS-B or radar surveillance to fill gaps, improve
performance, lower infrastructure costs, improve safety, share
surveillance data and provide seamless contingency
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Delivering real value
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Value for ANSPs
• Instant Surveillance Across Any FIR
Low cost coverage of oceanic and remote
areas
Fill gaps / Eliminate Line of Sight / MLAT
Contingency signal for backup purposes
• Safety Enhancement
Surveillance where it currently does not
exist Extend your visibility across FIR
boundaries.
• Infrastructure Cost Reduction / Avoidance
Reduce or avoid maintenance or
replacement costs of physical ground
infrastructure
• Improve Customer Experience
Flexible routing for airlines over ocean and
remote regions, enable new route
structures
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11/11/2014
Value for Airlines
• No investment: Utilize existing ADS-B equipment
• Safety Enhancement
Eliminate surveillance gaps over oceans and
regions with limited/unreliable infrastructure
• Operational Efficiencies / Fuel Savings
Optimized flight paths, altitudes, airspeeds.
More direct routing, allow tactical avoidance
• Service Predictability
Global harmonization of surveillance, seamless
transitions between FIR’s
• ATM Infrastructure Savings (ANSP Costs)
Reduction of ground based infrastructure costs
Avoidance of investments in ground infrastructure
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11/11/2014
Cost Benefit Analysis
A standard cost benefit analysis model has been designed in close cooperation with
NAV CANADA and our other investors to be used for regional analysis, prospect
customers and more detailed business cases.
The basics of the service are simple
• The costs model for space based ADS-B is similar to any other surveillance signal
• ANSPs pay monthly operating costs for radar / ADS-B but also a high upfront costs
• Space based ADS-B will be a signal provided to the ANSP with monthly or annualized
costs, charged to the ANSP the same way they pay for radar or ground based ADS-B
but without the upfront investment.
Cost Benefit
• In the case of the North Atlantic it was a no brainer, the fuel benefits far outweigh the
costs of the system: 450 litres per NAT crossing, 2.9 billion over the life of the system
• For ANSP benefits we will look at the benefits of not replacing a radar, not investing in
new ADS_B ground, removing ADS-C or VSAT backup, removing expensive SWIM
data sharing needs, dual feeds for ACC backup, double coverage
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Aireon Proprietary and Confidential
11/11/2014
Template Cost Benefit Analysis
Business Case
Net Benefits
Future Benefits
Safety Benefits
FAST TIME SIMULATION (Optional)
Traffic &
Airspace
Annual by Flow
% ADS-B
Route
Structure
Optimal routing, Fuel burn by Flow
BADA
BADA
Infra Costs
Infra Costs
Climb Profile by
Flow
Time Savings by
Flow
Climb Benefit
Delay Benefit
Reduced Need
of Current
infrastructure
Avoided Future
Investment
(GANP, ASBU)
Reduce Fuel
Costs & GHG
Reduce Fuel
Costs & GHG
System Cost
Reduction
Investment Cost
Avoidance
Airline Benefits
One-Time Costs
Incremental O&M Costs
Training
Comm
Other/ATM
ATC
Comm
SB-ADS-B (Aireon)
ANSP Costs
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Aireon Proprietary and Confidential
11/11/2014
ANSP Benefits
Total
Annual
Benefits
Total
Annual
Costs
Enhanced Safety
Collision Risk
Model, Existing
Structure, Added
Surveillance
Net Benefits
Benefits Start
Years of Benefit
Discount Rate
Cash Flow, NPV
ANSP Implementation Roadmap
Education
• Workshops
• Value proposition
• ANSP cooperation
• ICAO/CANSO/IATA
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Aireon Proprietary and Confidential
MOA
• Cont. Education
• Exploration
• Consulting
• Decision
11/11/2014
DSA
• Pricing
• SOW
• ICD
• Program Plan
• Regulatory Plan
• Contract
Implement
• Install
• SLA
• CONOPS
• Validation
• Trial
• Regulatory
Approval
MOA Process
•Introduce the
system:
•MOA Process
•Aireon System
•Performance
•ANSP Airspace
•Regulatory
•Services
•Example CONOPS
Education
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Aireon Proprietary and Confidential
Exploration
•Learn from the
customer:
•Airspace
•Constraints
•OPS
•Strategic plans
•Airlines
•GAP Analysis
11/11/2014
•Help the customer:
•CONOPS
•Business case
•Safety Case
•Technical
Requirements
•Is there a value
proposition?
Consulting
Decision
•Sign:
•Negotiate Price
•SOW
•ICD
•Program Plan
•Contract
Possible scenarios
Developing new CONOPS with ANSP partners
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Polar / Low COM Applicability
HF or /
SATCOM
Only
Tracks /
Random
19
N-Canada
Polar Routes
Central Africa
Arctic
Procedural
Polar / Low COM Applicability
HF or /
SATCOM
Only
Tracks /
Random
20
N-Canada
Polar Routes
Central Africa
Arctic
Safety
Predictability
Cost
Avoidance
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Aireon Proprietary and Confidential
11/11/2014
Oceanic / Remote Applicability
HF /
CPDLC
Tracks /
Random
22
North Atlantic
Pacific Tracks
South China Sea
Bay of Bengal
EUR/SAM
ADS-C
Tracking
- Safety
- Reduced
Separation
- Route
Optimization
- SWIM
- Cost
Avoidance
Oceanic / Remote Applicability
HF /
CPDLC
Tracks /
Random
23
North Atlantic
Pacific Tracks
South China Sea
Bay of Bengal
EUR/SAM
UI
<15 Sec
Oceanic
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Source: Skyvector
11/11/2014
Remote
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Source: ASECNA
11/11/2014
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Aireon Proprietary and Confidential
11/11/2014
Applicability
DCPC
Terrestrial
Airspace
Routes /
Random
27
Radar / Ground
Based ADS-B
Surveillance
Applicability
DCPC
- Flow
Management
- SWIM
- Contingency
- Cost
Reduction /
Avoidance
Terrestrial
Airspace
Routes /
Random
28
Augment or
replace Radar /
Ground Based
ADS-B
UI
<8 Sec
Terrestrial
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Source: DECEA
11/11/2014
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Aireon Proprietary and Confidential
11/11/2014
Making it a reality
The path to implementation
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Aireon Proprietary and Confidential
11/11/2014
Early ANSP engagement is key
• Partnership approach
• Development of operational requirements
• Identification of quick wins
• Identification of airline / ANSP benefits
• Early engagement of regulators / ICAO
• Introduction into regional ATM plans
• Development of cross border agreements
• Airline equipage, deliver early benefits
• Validation & Operational Trials
• Regulatory Approval
• Implementation
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11/11/2014
Transforming the way
you see the sky