MALTA NIPPREMJAW IL-BŻULIJA ECONOMIC SURVEY 2014 Economic Survey November 2014 Economic Policy Department Ministry for Finance 17th November, 2014 CIP Data Economic Survey November 2014 / Economic Policy Department. - Valletta : Ministry for Finance, 2014. 179 p. 24 cm. ISBN: 978-99932-94-92-4 The following symbols have been used throughout this document: ... to indicate that data are not available; 0 to indicate that the figure is zero; - to indicate that data are not applicable or cannot be determined; — to indicate that the figure is negligible; National Accounts estimates and other statistics which appear in this Economic Survey are provisional and subject to revision. Figures may not add up due to rounding. This document is based on statistical information available up to 31st October 2014. Printed at the Government Press Price: €5.00 Contents page 1. Executive Summary ................................................................................................................3 2. Economic Growth ...................................................................................................................9 The International Context ....................................................................................................9 The Maltese Economy .......................................................................................................10 Private Final Consumption Expenditure .....................................................................17 General Government Final Consumption Expenditure ...............................................17 Gross Capital Formation .............................................................................................18 Foreign Demand and Supply.......................................................................................19 Sectoral Growth in Gross Value Added .............................................................................20 Gross Domestic Product from the Income Approach ........................................................23 Gross National Income ......................................................................................................26 3. Employment ..........................................................................................................................31 Labour Market Developments ...........................................................................................31 Recent Employment Trends ........................................................................................31 Developments in the Unemployment Rate .................................................................34 General Labour Market Developments in the Euro Area and the EU ........................37 Sectoral Employment ........................................................................................................40 Private Sector Employment................................................................................................43 Public Sector Employment.................................................................................................48 A Profile of Registered Unemployed under Part 1 ............................................................51 Part-time Activity ..............................................................................................................53 4. Productive Activities .............................................................................................................59 Industrial Turnover............................................................................................................59 Manufacturing Performance .............................................................................................60 Computer, Electronic and Optical Products ................................................................60 Food Products .............................................................................................................60 Basic Pharmaceutical Products ...................................................................................61 Other Manufacturing ...................................................................................................61 Printing and Reproduction of Recorded Media ..........................................................61 Motor Vehicles, Trailers and Semi-Trailers ................................................................62 Economic Survey November 2014 i Other Non-Metallic Products.......................................................................................62 Electrical Equipment....................................................................................................62 Agriculture and Fisheries ..................................................................................................70 Agriculture ..................................................................................................................70 Fisheries ......................................................................................................................72 5. Services Activities.................................................................................................................79 Tourism ..............................................................................................................................79 Monthly Distribution...................................................................................................80 Tourist Nationality ......................................................................................................82 Cruise Passengers ........................................................................................................84 Accommodation ..........................................................................................................84 Employment ................................................................................................................86 Tourism Earnings ........................................................................................................87 Regulatory Activity.............................................................................................................88 Malta Financial Services Authority ............................................................................88 Lotteries and Gaming Authority..................................................................................90 Development and Investment Promotion ...................................................................91 6. Prices and Incomes ...............................................................................................................95 Inflation .............................................................................................................................95 International Comparison ...........................................................................................95 Retail Price Index and COLA............................................................................................98 Sectoral Wages ................................................................................................................101 7. Foreign Trade and Payments............................................................................................... 111 Exports ............................................................................................................................ 111 Geographical Distribution - Exports .........................................................................112 Imports ............................................................................................................................114 Geographical Distribution - Imports .........................................................................115 Trade Balance..................................................................................................................117 Geographical Distribution - Trade Balance ..............................................................119 Balance of Payments .......................................................................................................120 The Current Account .......................................................................................................120 The Goods and Services Account .............................................................................121 Primary Income..........................................................................................................124 Secondary Income......................................................................................................126 ii Economic Survey November 2014 The Capital and Financial Account .................................................................................126 8. Financial Developments......................................................................................................131 Public Finance .................................................................................................................132 Revenue .....................................................................................................................133 Expenditure ...............................................................................................................136 Recurrent Expenditure ..............................................................................................137 Capital Expenditure...................................................................................................139 International Comparison ..........................................................................................140 Monetary Developments .................................................................................................148 Contribution of Resident MFIs to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates ........................148 Contribution of Resident MFIs to Counterparts to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates................................................................................................150 The Money Market....................................................................................................152 Deposit and Lending Rates .......................................................................................155 The Capital Market ...................................................................................................156 Exchange Rate Developments .........................................................................................159 Boxes 2.1 ESA 2010..........................................................................................................................12 3.1 Developments in Private Sector Employment in Manufacturing......................................44 3.2 Employment in Gozo........................................................................................................50 4.1 The Industrial Production Index ......................................................................................63 4.2 Economic Accounts for Agriculture 2013 ........................................................................73 8.1 General Government Budgetary Developments .............................................................146 Tables 2.1 GDP by Category of Expenditure .....................................................................................10 2.2 GDP by Category of Expenditure - Percentage Changes .................................................11 2.3 Gross Fixed Capital Formation .........................................................................................18 2.4 Sectoral Gross Value Added..............................................................................................21 2.5 Average Weekly Wage per Employee ...............................................................................25 2.6 Gross Domestic Product from the Income Side ................................................................26 2.7 Gross National Income .....................................................................................................27 3.1 Labour Market Performance (Persons aged 15 and over) ................................................32 3.2 Distribution of Employed Persons by Type of Employment in Main Occupation ...........33 3.3 Employment Rates by Age................................................................................................34 Economic Survey November 2014 iii 3.4 Unemployment Rates by Age ...........................................................................................36 3.5 Employment Rates across EU ...........................................................................................38 3.6 Unemployment Rates across EU ......................................................................................39 3.7 Labour Market Indicators ................................................................................................41 3.8 Private Sector Employment .............................................................................................46 3.9 Contribution to Growth in Private Sector Employment - Direct Production...................46 3.10 Employment in Market Services ......................................................................................47 3.11 Contribution to Growth in Private Sector Employment - Market Services .....................47 3.12 Public Sector Employment ..............................................................................................48 3.13 Registered Unemployed - by duration of registration......................................................52 3.14 Registered Unemployed - by age distribution .................................................................52 3.15 Registered Unemployed Classified by Occupation..........................................................53 3.16 Part-Time Employment ....................................................................................................54 4.1 Indicators of Industrial Activity ........................................................................................64 4.2 Short-term Activity Indicators for Manufacturing ............................................................65 4.3 Agricultural Indicators ....................................................................................................71 4.4 Imports of Major Agricultural Commodities ...................................................................72 5.1 Main Tourism Indicators ..................................................................................................79 5.2 Monthly Inbound Tourists ................................................................................................81 5.3 Quarterly Distribution of Inbound Tourists .....................................................................82 5.4 Inbound Tourists by Nationality ......................................................................................83 5.5 Main Types of Tourist Accommodation ...........................................................................85 5.6 Monthly Accommodation Occupancy Rates ...................................................................86 5.7 Expenditure from Inbound Tourism .................................................................................87 6.1 Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices - September 2014 ..............................................96 6.2 Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices - Annual rate of change (y-o-y) ........................98 6.3 Index by Commodity Group - Average for 12 months ....................................................99 6.4 Retail Price Index - 12-Month Moving Average Inflation Rate .....................................100 6.5 Average Weekly Wages - September 2013.....................................................................103 6.6 Average Weekly Wages - September 2014.....................................................................104 6.7 Changes in Average Weekly Wages - September 2014 - September 2013 ....................105 6.8 Proportion of Sampled Employees in Wage Ranges......................................................107 7.1 Commodity Breakdown of Exports ............................................................................... 111 7.2 Total Exports by Main Geographical Areas ...................................................................113 7.3 Imports by Broad Economic Category ..........................................................................115 7.4 Total Imports by Main Geographical Areas ...................................................................116 7.5 Foreign Trade..... ............................................................................................................118 7.6 Trade Balances with Various Countries .........................................................................119 7.7 Balance of Payments - Goods, Services and Income Account (Net) .............................122 7.8 Balance of Payments - Current Account ........................................................................125 7.9 Current, Capital and Financial Flows - per cent of GDP ...............................................127 8.1 Government Revenue and Expenditure - January - September ......................................132 iv Economic Survey November 2014 8.2 General Government Net Lending (+) or Borrowing (-) ................................................141 8.3 General Government Gross Debt ....................................................................................142 8.4 Contribution of Resident MFIs to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates ..............................149 8.5 Resident Deposits ...........................................................................................................150 8.6 Contribution of Resident MFIs to Counterparts to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates..................................................................................................................151 8.7 Credit to Other Residents - Loans by Economic Activity...............................................152 8.8 Government Stocks - Activity on the Secondary Market ...............................................157 8.9 Selected Indicators of the Capital Market .......................................................................158 Appendix Tables 8.1 Government Revenue - January - September .................................................................162 8.2 Government Recurrent Expenditure - January - September ...........................................163 8.3 Government Capital Expenditure - January - September ...............................................165 Charts 2.1 Quarterly Gross Domestic Product .....................................................................................9 2.2 Contribution to Growth in Gross Value Added .................................................................21 2.3 Compensation of Employees ............................................................................................22 2.4 Average Weekly Compensation per Employee - (excludes employers' N.I. contributions).................................................................................................................23 3.1 Harmonised Deseasonalised Unemployment Rate ...........................................................36 3.2 Employment Growth Rate - Apr-June 2013 - Apr-June 2014...........................................37 3.3 Change in Unemployment Rate - Apr-June 2013 - Apr-June 2014 ..................................38 5.1 Inbound Tourists ...............................................................................................................80 5.2 Tourist Market Shares - January - December....................................................................83 5.3 Expenditure from Inbound Tourism ..................................................................................88 6.1 Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices ............................................................................97 7.1 Commodity Breakdown of Exports - January - August 2014 .........................................112 7.2 Foreign Trade ..................................................................................................................118 7.3 Current Account - As a per cent of GDP.........................................................................121 7.4 Goods and Services Account ..........................................................................................124 8.1 Consolidated Fund Balance ............................................................................................133 8.2 Government Total Revenue ..........................................................................................134 8.3 Government Total Expenditure .......................................................................................136 8.4 Capital Expenditure ........................................................................................................139 8.5 Local Interest Rates and Margins....................................................................................156 8.6 Euro Exchange Rate Movements ....................................................................................159 Economic Survey November 2014 v Statistical Annex I. Population ......................................................................................................................169 II. Social Indicators ............................................................................................................170 III. Factor Incomes in Gross National Income....................................................................171 IV. Gross National Income and Expenditure ......................................................................172 V. Labour...........................................................................................................................173 VI. Tourism .........................................................................................................................174 VII. Foreign Trade ...............................................................................................................175 VIII. Balance of Payments ....................................................................................................176 IX. Government Revenue and Expenditure ........................................................................177 Xa. Monetary Aggregates and Their Counterparts ..............................................................178 Xb. Contribution of Resident MFIs to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates and Counterparts ...............................................................................................................179 vi Economic Survey November 2014 1. Executive Summary 1. Executive Summary The global economy remains characterised by an elevated level of uncertainty. The moderate recovery that started during 2013 failed to gain momentum as weaker-than-expected activity in the European Union (EU) and other major economies during the first half of 2014 damped growth prospects. Indeed, in the first half of 2014, economic growth averaged 1.4 per cent in the EU and 0.8 per cent in the Euro Area with an uneven recovery among the various Member States. Over the course of next year, growth in the EU and the Euro Area is expected to gradually rise. However, growth prospects remain susceptible to many downside risks, particularly the increasing geo-political tensions and the lingering risks of more protracted low growth and low inflation. Labour market conditions in the Euro Area remain subdued with job creation remaining moderate and unemployment rates falling only slightly over recent months. In fact, the unemployment rate declined by 0.5 percentage points to 11.4 per cent in the second quarter of 2014. Meanwhile, the Euro Area-wide inflation rate stood at 0.8 per cent by the end of the second quarter, substantially below the European Central Bank’s (ECB) price stability objective. In contrast to developments in the EU, the Maltese economy continued to register encouraging results. During the first half of 2014, the Maltese economy expanded by 3.2 per cent in real terms, outperforming growth in the EU. In nominal terms, this increase was reflected in a growth rate of 4.5 per cent, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) standing at €3,791.0 million up from the €3,626.4 million recorded in the same comparable period last year. This performance was underpinned by buoyant domestic demand. Net exports also contributed positively as imports dropped more than exports in the period under review. Growth in Gross Value Added was attributed to a positive performance in the majority of the sectors of the economy particularly in the service sectors. Manufacturing activity was uneven with an overall decline being registered. Growth in gross value added declined in agriculture and fisheries whilst the construction industry registered a positive turnaround. Figures for the first half of 2014 indicate that the increases in the activity rate were reflected into higher employment and lower unemployment rates. The Labour Force Survey reports an increase of 1.2 per cent in employment when the second quarter of 2014 is compared to the same quarter in 2013. The Eurostat Economic Survey November 2014 3 harmonised and seasonally adjusted unemployment rate stood at 5.8 per cent, 0.8 percentage points lower than that recorded in the second quarter of 2013. Recent labour market developments indicate that employment increased across most segments of the Maltese labour market, with a significant increase registered in private sector employment, both the services and the direct production categories. The higher level of employment in direct production was mainly a reflection of developments in the construction and the manufacturing sector while employment increases in the services sector were largely attributable to professional, technical and administrative activities, wholesale and retail, and information and communication. It is also notable that the share of females in total employment continued to increase, meaning that the underlying trend of a rising female employment rate was sustained. This also reflects Government efforts to increase the participation rate in this segment of the labour market. The performance of industrial turnover weakened during the first seven months of 2014, mainly on account of a deterioration in the export market which was not compensated by the rise in domestic sales. Employment in industry remained broadly at the level recorded during the same period last year, while the number of hours worked decreased. Nevertheless, in the same period, remuneration for industrial employees increased. The average weekly wage as derived from a study concerning collective agreements stood at €294.78 up by €4.50 or 1.6 per cent over the same period last year, with the strongest increase registered in the Community & Business Sector and in the Transport Sector. The performance of the tourism industry continued to register a positive outcome in the first eight months of 2014. Inbound tourists increased by 8.4 per cent over the previous corresponding period, reaching the 1.16 million mark. The increase was broad-based with positive results recorded in almost all salient tourism indicators, including, in the nights spent by inbound tourists, which increased by 4.9 per cent and expenditure from inbound tourism which increased by 6.5 per cent. Moreover, average full-time employment in the accommodation and food service activities recorded a marginal increase of 0.7 per cent during the year to May 2014. With regards to the cruise passenger industry, between January-September 2014, arrivals that exclude the embarkations and the Maltese cruise passenger arrivals, increased by 2.7 per cent over the corresponding period in 2013. In September 2014, the domestic annual inflation rate was recorded at 0.6 per cent. During the last twelve months, inflation remained broadly constant, with an upward trend registered up to February 2014 followed by a generally lower rate of inflation thereafter. Malta’s inflation rate in September 2014 was slightly higher than that recorded in the Euro Area, which stood at 0.3 per cent. 4 Economic Survey November 2014 The General Government deficit in Malta decreased to 2.7 per cent of GDP in 2013. During the first nine months of 2014, both revenue and expenditure components increased, with the latter registering a slightly higher increase. This resulted in a widening of the shortfall between Government recurrent revenue and expenditure in the Consolidated Fund of €12.5 million when compared to the same period in the previous year, mainly reflecting excise payments owed by Enemalta to Government. The current account surplus stood at 3.8 per cent of GDP during the first half of 2014, in contrast to the deficit of 0.6 per cent of GDP recorded during the same period in 2013. This development was mainly underpinned by the increase in the surplus on the services account together with a reduction in primary income net payments which more than offset the increase in the goods account deficit and reduction in secondary income net receipts. Meanwhile, net lending in the financial account amounted to €301.8 billion, as a result of the decrease in net assets of direct investment and other investment coupled with the increase in net assets within portfolio investments and financial derivatives. These movements were also complemented by the increase in reserve assets. Short-term deposits, in particular overnight deposits, exhibited a significant increase during the Survey period reflecting depositors’ preferences in a relatively low interest rate environment. In addition, deposits with agreed maturity of up to three months and up to two years also contributed positively, albeit very mildly. Moreover, interest rate spreads declined very marginally remaining broadly stable. The dynamics of such a stable spread level between local lending and deposits rates reflect an overall marginal decrease in deposit rates which on the whole was higher than the minimal general decline registered in lending rates. Economic Survey November 2014 5 2. Economic Growth 2. Economic Growth The International Context Seven years after the onset of the Great Recession, the world economy is still struggling to get back to the pre-crisis levels of performance. According to the IMF’s most recent Economic Outlook, a fragile and uneven recovery has followed; whilst growth in the US and the UK has strengthened, growth in the Euro Area and Japan remains more anaemic. In emerging markets growth is expected to be subdued in Russia and Brazil, slow in China but stronger in India and emerging Asia. Data for the first half of 2014 remains positive but disappointing compared to earlier growth projections. Inflation remains subdued in most advanced economies, but particularly in the Euro Area and Japan. Downside risks have also strengthened, also reflecting increased geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East. Whilst financial markets have remained largely up-beat and financial risk has diminished, investment activity particularly in advanced economies remained weak. Growth in global trade volumes in the first half of 2014 has also underperformed relative to global activity growth but is expected to recover albeit at a more modest pace when compared to previous recoveries. Chart 2.1 Quarterly Gross Domestic Product Y-O-Y Percentage Change 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2010Q1 2010Q3 2011Q1 2011Q3 2012Q1 Nominal GDP Economic Survey November 2014 2012Q3 2013Q1 2013Q3 2014Q1 Real GDP 9 The Maltese Economy1 Amidst the fragile economic performance of most countries in the Euro Area, the Maltese economy continued to grow by an average rate of 4.5 per cent in nominal terms and 3.2 per cent in real terms in the first half of 2014 when compared to the same period in the previous year. Year-on-year economic growth rates are presented in Chart 2.1. From the expenditure side, growth was primarily attributed to the domestic side of the economy, which contributed positively by 4.3 percentage points. This was mainly driven by gross fixed capital formation which increased by 9.4 per cent in real terms as a number of large scale projects, namely the Malta-Sicily interconnector and other projects set out to reconstruct GDP by Category of Expenditure Table 2.1 € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun At Current Market Prices Private Final Consumption Expenditure(1) 3,814.9 4,003.5 4,120.2 4,237.1 2,061.7 2,110.5 Consumption Expenditure 1,286.4 1,340.1 1,443.7 1,487.6 734.5 796.8 Gross Fixed Capital Formation 1,411.6 1,226.0 1,259.7 1,314.1 647.3 712.7 164.5 191.4 (29.2) 28.8 68.0 (15.0) General Government Final Changes in Inventories Acquisitions less Disposals of Valuables (17.9) (24.1) 0.7 12.5 2.7 4.2 Exports of Goods and Services 10,114.1 10,933.8 11,772.9 11,614.3 5,618.9 5,596.1 Total Final Expenditure 16,773.7 17,670.5 18,568.0 18,694.4 9,133.2 9,205.2 Less Imports of Goods and Services 10,174.2 10,776.2 11,389.1 11,184.3 5,506.8 5,414.3 6,599.5 6,894.4 7,178.9 7,510.1 3,626.4 3,791.0 3,814.9 3,908.9 3,927.6 3,992.6 1,941.8 1,981.3 Consumption Expenditure 1,286.4 1,323.4 1,405.8 1,413.4 699.7 747.2 Gross Fixed Capital Formation 1,411.6 1,170.5 1,161.6 1,187.3 585.4 640.2 Gross Domestic Product At Chain Linked (2010) Volumes Private Final Consumption Expenditure(1) General Government Final Changes in Inventories Acquisitions less Disposals of Valuables Exports of Goods and Services 10,114.1 10,298.6 10,952.2 10,776.4 5,150.0 5,079.6 Total Final Expenditure 16,773.7 16,872.5 17,434.9 17,431.9 8,450.3 8,451.8 Less Imports of Goods and Services 10,174.2 10,125.1 10,555.1 10,379.4 5,149.6 5,045.4 6,599.5 6,747.5 6,879.9 7,052.5 3,300.6 3,406.4 Gross Domestic Product (1)Includes NPISH final consumption expenditure Source: National Statistics Office 10 Economic Survey November 2014 roads and infrastructure, started to materialise. Public and private consumption also contributed positively towards economic growth as they increased by 6.8 per cent and 2.0 per cent, respectively. Growth in private consumption was in turn backed by positive employment developments and growing disposable income, lower interest rates, lower inflation and less fiscal drag. At the same time, improved consumer confidence and economic sentiment, as confirmed by GDP by Category of Expenditure Percentage Changes Table 2.2 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun At Current Market Prices Private Final Consumption Expenditure(1) 4.9 2.9 2.8 2.1 2.4 4.2 7.7 3.0 3.7 8.5 -13.2 2.8 4.3 2.6 10.1 -0.4 General Government Final Consumption Expenditure Gross Fixed Capital Formation Changes in Inventories Acquisitions less Disposals of Valuables Exports of Goods and Services 8.1 7.7 -1.3 -2.3 Total Final Expenditure 5.3 5.1 0.7 -0.0 0.8 Less Imports of Goods and Services 5.9 5.7 -1.8 -2.8 -1.7 Gross Domestic Product 4.5 4.1 4.6 4.4 4.5 2.5 0.5 1.7 0.6 2.0 2.9 6.2 0.5 1.5 6.8 -17.1 -0.8 2.2 1.1 9.4 -1.4 At Chain Linked (2010) Volumes Private Final Consumption Expenditure(1) General Government Final Consumption Expenditure Gross Fixed Capital Formation Changes in Inventories Acquisitions less Disposals of Valuables Exports of Goods and Services 1.8 6.3 -1.6 -3.1 Total Final Expenditure 0.6 3.3 -0.0 -1.0 0.0 -0.5 4.2 -1.7 -3.2 -2.0 2.2 2.0 2.5 2.6 3.2 Less Imports of Goods and Services Gross Domestic Product (1) Includes NPISH final consumption expenditure Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 11 Box 2.1 ESA 2010 As from September 2014, the new framework for national accounts statistics, the European System of Accounts (ESA) 2010, came into force. This is the newest internationally compatible EU accounting framework for a systematic and detailed description of an economy. The ESA 2010 differs in scope as well as in concept from its predecessor ESA 95, reflecting developments in measuring modern economies, advances in methodological research and the needs of users. The main methodological changes with an impact on GDP are: • • Research and Development (R&D) spending is now considered as investment rather than current expenditure. This increased the level of EU GDP in 2010 by 1.9 per cent. Expenditure on weapon systems is now considered as investment, rather than intermediate expenditure. This increased the level of EU GDP in 2010 by 0.2 per cent. For most Member States, including Malta, the implementation of the ESA 2010 guidelines is accompanied by the incorporation of statistical improvements in data. The main changes other than those related to ESA 2010 are: • • Benchmark revisions, in which national methodologies and data sources are reviewed and updated. In some cases, benchmark revisions may generate a more significant revision to GDP than the changeover to ESA 2010. The harmonisation of measurement of certain illegal activities, notably prostitution and the production and trafficking of drugs. While these were already included in the official definition of GDP under the old standard, implementation varied from country to country. A common methodology for recording these activities is now being applied. While these two changes produced shifts in the GDP levels of most Member States, growth rates were almost unaffected. Indeed, the average annual difference between the level of GDP in current prices under ESA 2010 and ESA 95 over the period 1997-2013 amounted to +3.4 per cent in both the Euro Area (EA18) and the EU28. Meanwhile, the change in the annual GDP growth rates over the years 1997-2013 was around +/-0.1 percentage points for both the Euro Area and the EU28. Table 1 gives a preliminary assessment of the impact of methodological changes and statistical improvements on the level of GDP in 2010 (per cent of GDP) for the EU28. 12 Economic Survey November 2014 Impact of methodoloical changes and statistical improvements on the level of GDP in 2010 (% of GDP) Table 1 GDP Statistical Improvements and Benchmark Revisions ESA 2010 Total Total of which R&D Total EA18 EU28 Belgium Bulgaria Czech Republic Denmark 3.5 3.7 2.8 2.0 4.3 2.5 2.2 2.3 2.5 0.4 3.1 2.7 1.9 1.9 2.4 0.3 1.2 2.6 1.3 1.4 0.3 1.6 1.2 -0.2 Germany Estonia Ireland Greece 3.3 1.2 4.2 1.8 2.7 1.4 3.6 1.3 2.3 0.9 3.5 0.6 0.6 -0.2 0.6 0.6 Spain France Croatia Italy 3.3 3.2 1.3 3.4 1.6 2.4 0.5 1.5 1.2 2.2 0.4 1.3 1.7 0.8 0.8 1.9 Cyprus Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg 9.5 -0.1 1.1 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.8 1.6 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 8.4 -1.2 0.2 -1.4 Hungary Malta Netherlands Austria 1.6 2.2 7.6 3.2 1.6 0.5 1.7 3.7 1.2 0.5 1.8 2.3 0.0 1.7 5.9 -0.6 Poland Portugal Romania Slovenia 1.5 4.1 1.9 2.1 1.2 2.1 0.6 2.0 0.5 1.3 0.5 1.9 0.2 2.0 1.3 0.1 Slovakia Finland Sweden United Kindgom 1.9 4.7 5.5 4.9 1.8 4.2 4.4 2.3 0.6 4.0 4.0 1.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.6 Source: Eurostat Economic Survey November 2014 13 Implementation in Malta In the case of Malta, the adoption of the new system meant that the entire time series from 1995 onwards was revised. The main changes in the GDP and GNI levels between 2010 and 2013 for Malta are presented in Table 2. GDP at current prices and impact of revisions: 2010-2013 Table 2 ESA 2010 Revision on GDP Benchmark Revision on GDP Total impact of all revisions on GDP Total impact of all revisions on GNI per cent 2010 2011 2012 2013 0.5 1.7 2.2 4.8 0.4 2.6 3.0 4.8 0.4 3.4 3.8 6.0 0.5 2.9 3.4 5.3 Source: National Statistics Office Effects of ESA 2010 During this period the introduction of ESA 2010 increased the GDP by an average of 0.4 percentage points and the GNI by an average of 0.6 percentage points. The main reason for this increase is the capitalisation of R&D expenditure as Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF). In 2013, this reclassification was responsible for 0.5 percentage points of the increase in the GDP level. Effects of Statistical Improvements and Benchmark Revisions Methodological improvements increased the GDP by an average of 2.7 percentage points and GNI by an average of 4.6 percentage points. The main improvements mainly relate to the financial sector. New estimates are now inclusive of special purpose entities and incorporate the results of a statistical project on the insurance sub-sector, where the compilation method was reviewed. Other enhancements include the identification of new data sources for holding companies and trusts. Reclassifications in the banking sector were also taken on board for the whole time series. The benchmark revision also incorporates updates which resulted from the finalisation of supply and use tables. Some of the most important improvements relate to the methodological 14 Economic Survey November 2014 Impact of Statistical Improvements and Benchmark Revisions on GDP per cent Table 3 2010 2011 2012 2013 GDP 1.7 2.6 3.4 2.9 GNI 4.2 4.2 5.3 4.6 GDP/GNI GDP/GNI 0.3 1.8 0.3 2.0 0.3 1.9 0.3 GDP 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 GNI 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.6 Benchmark of which: SBS 2011/Other Illegal Activities SPEs Source: National Statistics Office Revisions national accounts: Results for 2010 Table 4 Indicator Revision * New level Origin of main revision GDP 2.2% €6,599.5 million GNI 4.8% €6,321.3 million GDP per capita 2.2% €15,922.0 million ESA 2010, SPEs, Insurance, Alignment with balance of payment statistics, Regular revisions, New sources, Illegal activities Total exports 72.9% €10,114.1 million Integration of SPEs Exports ratio (exports as a % of GDP) 62.7% 153.3% Integration of SPEs Total imports 72.9% €10,174.2 million Integration of SPEs Imports ratio (imports as a % of GDP) 63.0% 154.2% Integration of SPEs GFCF 9.8% €1,411.6 million Expenditure of R&D and Transfer costs for Dwellings GFCF as a % of GDP 1.5% 21.4% Expenditure of R&D and Transfer costs for Dwellings Private household consumption expenditure -0.8% €3,717.9 million Expenditure on food, culture, accomodation and financial services Government consumption expenditure -0.4% €1,286.4 million R&D expenditure is now recorded as capital formation Compensation of employees 0.6% €2,845.3 million New data sources Property income received from the rest of the world 309.0% €6,571.1 million Integration of SPEs Property income paid to the rest of the world 237.2% €6,853.2 million Integration of SPEs * Compared to the GDP and its sub-components in ESA1995 as published in news release 159/2014 Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 15 alignment in the compilation of the national accounts and balance of payments statistics. A number of pending methodological issues where Malta was not fully aligned with Eurostat methods were also dealt with. The revisions presented from 2011 onwards include other routine updates based on the latest Structural Business Statistics (SBS) survey and the availability of financial statements. The effects of the main benchmarks revisions are summarised in Table 3, whilst Table 4 presents more the revision (together with the source of revision) in some of the main variables of national accounts for benchmark year 2010. Another major methodological improvement relates to changes in the compilation of national accounts data in real terms. To meet EU requirements, the ESA 2010 volume series of quarterly national accounts shall be calculated at chain-linked prices rather than at constant base-year prices as was the case under ESA 1995. In addition, the reference year for the GDP calculated with the chain-linking method was moved from 2000 to 2010. This new method provides a better description of economic changes, yet users should be cautioned that as a result of this change, levels of sub-components of GDP in real terms do not add up to the level shown by aggregate categories. Non-additivity arises for purely mathematical reasons and does not reflect low quality of calculations. More information on ESA 2010, including legal documents, manuals and guidelines are available on the dedicated sections of the National Statistics Office (NSO) and Eurostat websites. the Consumers Surveys published by the European Commission, also supported the strong domestic demand registered in the first half of the year. In the first two quarters of 2014, the external side of the economy also contributed positively to economic growth. Specifically, net trade contributed 1.0 percentage point to economic growth, reflecting a decline in real imports which exceeded the decline in exports. On the other hand, stock building, acted as a downward drag on economic growth, contributing negatively by 2.1 percentage points. As a result of these developments, growth reached 3.2 per cent in real terms in the first half of the year. Data related to these developments is presented in Table 2.1 and Table 2.2 which present GDP data by category of expenditure and the respective relevant percentage changes, respectively. 16 Economic Survey November 2014 Private Final Consumption Expenditure The private final consumption expenditure category (defined as household final consumption expenditure and non-profit institutions serving households (NPISH) final consumption expenditure) continued to grow by an average rate of 2.4 per cent in nominal terms and 2.0 per cent in real terms in the first half of 2014. These growth rates point to an improvement in private final consumption which grew by 2.1 per cent in nominal terms and 0.6 per cent in real terms during the same period of 2013. These positive developments were largely backed by strong employment growth, improved confidence and increases in disposable income which were partly supported by the reduction in utility tariffs as of April 2014. At the same time however, the proportion of private consumption in real GDP declined slightly over the course of 2014 compared to the same comparable periods in 2012 and 2013. While in the first half of 2012 this proportion stood at 60.0 per cent, the ratio declined by 1.2 percentage points to 58.8 per cent for the same period in 2013 and by 0.6 percentage points to 58.2 per cent for the same period in 2014. The increase in aggregate nominal private consumption in the first half of 2014 was broadly distributed among all the different expenditure categories, with the exception of the recreation and culture subcategory and the housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels subcategory which declined by 4.0 per cent and 1.4 per cent, respectively. On the other hand, increases were recorded among all the other subcategories with notable performance in the transport subcategory (8.8 per cent), the hotel and restaurants subcategory (7.7 per cent), the education subcategory (7.0 per cent) and the furnishings, housing equipment and routine household maintenance subcategory (6.0 per cent). General Government Final Consumption Expenditure General Government expenditure registered an increase of 8.5 per cent in nominal terms during the Survey period. This represents a 4.8 percentage point increase over the same period of last year. In real terms, general Government expenditure increased by 6.8 per cent compared to an increase of 1.5 per cent recorded in the first half of 2013. General Government final consumption expenditure as a ratio of real GDP increased from 21.2 per cent in the first half of 2013 to 21.9 per cent in the corresponding period of 2014, an increase of 0.7 percentage points. It is pertinent to note that general Government final consumption expenditure excludes transfer Economic Survey November 2014 17 payments, such as Social Security benefits, subsidies and grants since such items of expenditure do not reflect the production of goods and services but constitute a redistribution of funds between different sectors of the economy. Gross Capital Formation Gross Capital Formation comprises gross fixed capital formation, changes in inventories and acquisitions less disposals of valuables. The main item within this component, gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), registered a nominal increase of 10.1 per cent in the first two quarters of 2014, from €647.3 million in the first half of 2013 to €712.7 million in the same period of 2014. The increase in GFCF was underpinned by increases in both Government investment of 40.1 per cent, equivalent to €36.9 million, and private investment of 5.1 per cent, equivalent to €28.4 million. Growth in Government investment is largely the result of a one-off purchase of new transport equipment and other investment in road infrastructure and construction projects, whilst growth in private investment is attributed to increases in the investment of the other construction and the metal production and machinery subcategories which more than offset the declines registered in all other subcategories. Gross Fixed Capital Formation Table 2.3 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun 712.7 At Current Market Prices Gross Fixed Capital Formation (€ million) 1,411.6 1,226.0 1,259.7 1,314.1 647.3 26.6 (13.2) 2.8 4.3 2.6 10.1 GDP (€ million) 6,599.5 6,894.4 7,178.9 7,510.1 3,626.4 3,791.0 (GFCF/GDP) % 21.4 17.8 17.5 17.5 17.9 18.8 1,411.6 1,170.5 1,161.6 1,187.3 585.4 640.2 26.4 (17.1) (0.8) 2.2 1.1 9.4 GDP (€ million) 6,599.5 6,747.5 6,879.9 7,052.5 3,300.6 3,406.4 (GFCF/GDP) % 21.4 17.3 16.9 16.8 17.7 18.8 % change At Chain Linked (2010) Volumes Gross Fixed Capital Formation (€ million) % change Source: National Statistics Office 18 Economic Survey November 2014 Further analysis of the components of investment indicates a significant increase in the construction subsector mainly driven by increases in the other construction subcategory (24.2 per cent) and other products subcategory (5.5 per cent), which compensated for the decline in housing investments (9.6 per cent). During this period, investment in equipment also registered increases. This was attributed to the positive performance of the metal products and machinery equipment subcategory (14.4 per cent) which helped mitigate the decline registered in the transport equipment subcategory (2.3 per cent). During the first half of 2014, the ratio of GFCF to nominal GDP increased by 0.9 percentage points to reach 18.8 per cent. In real terms, the ratio increased from 17.7 per cent in the first half of 2013 to 18.8 per cent in the comparable period of 2014. Gross fixed capital formation in nominal and constant terms together with the ratio of GFCF to GDP is presented in Table 2.3. Foreign Demand and Supply Developments in the external sector, particularly the modest, uneven recovery in global activity and the resultant pick up in world trade have led to marginal improvements in the performance of the external side of the Maltese economy in the first half of 2014 over the same period of last year. During this period, real exports fell by 1.4 per cent whilst real imports fell by 2.0 per cent, so that net exports contributed positively towards economic growth. These developments represent relative improvements when compared to performance recorded in the same period of 2013 where real exports and imports declined by 3.1 per cent and 3.2 per cent, respectively. In nominal terms, exports fell by 0.4 per cent whilst imports declined by 1.7 per cent in the first half of 2014. During the first half of 2014, imports of goods in real terms registered an increase of 2.5 per cent but declined by 5.9 per cent in nominal terms as the prices of imported goods fell. Imports of services declined by 4.5 per cent in real terms but increased 0.6 per cent as price of service imports increased. A marginally higher volume of exports of goods of 0.2 per cent was recorded in the first half of 2014. However, due to a substantial drop in the price of exported goods, the nominal value of goods exports decreased by 7.5 per cent. Meanwhile, exports of services decreased by 2.0 per cent during the first half of 2014 but increased by 2.1 per cent in nominal terms as price of service exports increased. A more disaggregated analysis reveals that the nominal decline in imports of goods was primarily driven by declines in machinery and transport equipment as well as in miscellaneous manufactured articles and in food. Similarly, the decrease in exports of goods was primarily the result of declines in the exports of Economic Survey November 2014 19 machinery and transport equipment and to a lesser extent, the result of declines in miscellaneous manufactured articles and in food. Sectoral Growth in Gross Value Added Gross Value Added (GVA) is defined as the value generated by units engaged in production activities and is obtained by taking the excess of output over intermediate consumption. Intermediate consumption consists of the value of goods and services consumed as inputs in the production process, excluding the consumption of fixed assets. Gross value added at basic prices does not include taxes less subsidies on products as output is valued at basic prices, while intermediate consumption is measured at purchasers’ prices. The sectoral contributions to growth in GVA during the Survey period are shown in Chart 2.2 whereas the growth in GVA at sectoral level at basic prices is shown in Table 2.4. During the Survey period, GVA at basic prices increased by 3.6 per cent compared with a 5.0 per cent increase in the same period of 2013, primarily reflecting a relatively subdued growth in turnover. Growth in GVA at basic prices is primarily attributable to a positive performance in services (except for financial and insurance activity). Manufacturing activity was uneven with an overall decline being registered. GVA in agriculture and fisheries declined whilst the construction industry registered a positive turnaround. Significant increases were recorded in the public administration and defence, compulsory social security, education, human health and social work activities sector, in the wholesale and retail trade, transportation and accommodation sector, in the professional, scientific and technical activities sector and in the arts, entertainment and recreation, repair of household goods and other services sector. During the period under analysis, GVA at basic prices in agriculture, forestry and fishing fell by €3.5 million, from €49.7 million in the first half of 2013 to €46.2 million in the same period of 2014, mainly reflecting declines in crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities. The construction industry showed signs of a robust recovery during the first half of 2014 as GVA in this sector increased by 3.1 per cent or €4.4 million when compared to the same comparable period last year. This positive performance contrasts with the declining trend that prevailed in the first half of 2012 and 2013, whereby a decline of 1.0 per cent and a decline of 2.2 per cent were registered respectively. 20 Economic Survey November 2014 Chart 2.2 Contribution to Growth in Gross Value Added Percentage Points Gross Value Added Arts, entertainment and recreation Public administration, education & human health Professional, scientific and technical activities Real estate activities Financial and insurance activities Information & communication Wholesale & retail; transportation; & accommodation* Construction of which Manufacturing Electricity, Water, & Manufacturing** Agriculture & fishing -1 0 Jan-June 2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 Jan-June 2013 *Includes food services activities **Includes quarrying Sectoral Gross Value Added (at basic prices) Table 2.4 € million 2010 Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and quarrying; manufacturing; and utilities of which Manufacturing Construction Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles; transportation and storage; accommodation and food service activities 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun 96.1 94.1 99.6 108.5 49.7 46.2 893.6 874.4 833.8 856.0 435.8 423.5 749.7 790.4 802.3 745.5 380.7 367.9 270.3 285.3 283.5 279.5 138.9 143.3 1,236.9 1,303.8 1,402.9 1,464.1 681.1 713.8 Information and Communication 319.7 370.8 391.2 431.2 211.3 225.7 Financial services 452.0 455.5 522.3 516.2 264.8 245.1 Real estate activities 347.1 373.6 367.2 375.3 186.5 192.5 Professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support service activities 536.5 567.6 598.1 666.4 309.4 336.3 1,061.7 1,113.5 1,181.4 1,248.1 617.1 666.8 576.7 578.8 618.2 637.9 317.4 335.0 5,790.8 6,017.4 6,298.3 6,583.4 3,212.1 3,328.3 Public administration and defence; compulsory social security; education; human health and social work activities Arts, entertainment and recreation, repair of household goods and other services Gross Value Added Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 21 During the same period, GVA in the wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, transportation and storage, accommodation and food services increased by €32.7 million or 4.8 per cent. At a more disaggregated level, GVA at basic prices in the wholesale and retail trade sector in the January-June 2014 period stood at €361.2 million, a rise of 3.8 per cent when compared to the same period in 2013. On the other hand, the transportation and storage sector increased by 3.9 per cent to €202.5 million. Meanwhile, the accommodation and food service activities sector registered a rise of 8.5 per cent in GVA at basic prices, amounting to €11.8 million. The manufacturing sub-sector’s GVA declined by €12.8 million or 3.4 per cent during the first two quarters of 2014 over the same period of 2013. This decrease follows the downward trend that prevailed in the first half of 2012 and 2013 where declines of 2.1 per cent and 3.6 per cent were registered respectively in comparison to the corresponding period of the previous year. At the same time, a more detailed analysis reveals that the decline in manufacturing was not broad-based. Indeed, significant increases were recorded in the manufacturing of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (€9.7 million), in the manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (€3.1 million), in the manufacture of furniture (€2.4 million) and in the manufacture of rubber and plastic products (€1.7 million). On the other hand, there were significant declines in the manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products (€13.6 million), in the manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations (€7.7 million), in the printing and reproduction of recorded media (€5.6 million) and in the manufacture of textiles (€2.2 million). During the first two quarters of 2014, the financial and insurance activities reported a decline in GVA of 7.4 per cent, equivalent to €19.7 million, when compared with the same period in 2013. At a more disaggregated level, this decline was predominantly the result of a decline in the activities auxiliary to financial and insurance activities (€15.8 million) and a decline in the financial service activities, (€9.8 million). A closer look, however, reveals that this decline was not broad-based but was largely prompted by overseas developments effecting two players in the industry. Specifically, one company involved in lending and brokerage reduced the scale of its operations in Malta following changes in regulations abroad whilst a subsidiary bank operating in Malta was sold as part of its parent company’s restructuring plan to downsize its overseas investments. On the other hand, an increase was recorded in insurance, reinsurance and pension funding (€5.2 million). The information and communication sector registered an increase in GVA of 22 Economic Survey November 2014 6.8 per cent in the first half of 2014, equivalent to €14.4 million, thus reaching the level of €225.7 million by the end of the period under analysis. GVA in the professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support services activities increased by €27.0 million or 8.7 per cent. This increase follows the upward trend that prevailed in the corresponding period of the previous years. GVA in the public administration and defence, compulsory social security, education, human health and social work activities sector increased by 8.0 per cent during the Survey period. At the same time, GVA in the sector comprising arts, entertainment and recreation, repair of household goods and other services increased by 5.6 per cent, as the developments in the gambling and betting activities continue to underpin the positive performance of this sector. Gross Domestic Product from the Income Approach Compensation of employees increased by 5.6 per cent (or €93.4 million) during the first half of 2014 compared to an increase of 4.7 per cent for the same period of 2013. This increase was attributed to employee compensation growth registered in all sectors of the economy, with the exception of agriculture, forestry and fishing sector. Notable increases were recorded in the compensation of employees in the public administration and defence, compulsory social security, education, human health and social work activities sector, in the professional, scientific and technical activities sector, in the wholesale and retail trade, transportation, accommodation and food services sector as well as in the financial and insurance activities sector. During the first six months of 2014, the share of employee compensation to GDP at market prices increased by 0.5 percentage points to 46.1 per cent, as the growth rate in the compensation of employees exceeded the rate of GDP growth. Chart 2.3 illustrates the developments in compensation of employees at market prices over the period 2010-2013 and the first two quarters of 2014. Compensation per employee as measured by average nominal weekly gross wages and salaries per employee stood at €380.72 during the first half of 2014, up by 2.3 per cent from the same comparable period of 2013. In real terms, average weekly compensation during the first half of 2014 stood at €352.40 compared to €345.80 in the same period of the previous year. This represents an increase of 1.9 per cent. These robust growth rates in compensation per employee are underpinned by a strong increase in nominal compensation of employees reflecting the resilient growth in employment. It is noteworthy that data in respect of wages and salaries relates to national accounts data and hence Economic Survey November 2014 23 Chart 2.3 Compensation of Employees Y-O-Y Percentage Change 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2010Q1 2010Q3 2011Q1 2011Q3 2012Q1 2012Q3 2013Q1 2013Q3 2014Q1 incorporate the earnings of both full-time and part-time primary employees, with the latter becoming increasingly more relevant, partly as a result of the increasing female participation in the economy. Furthermore, in estimating average weekly wages per employee, the segment of National Insurance contribution paid by employers is excluded from calculations. Real average weekly wage figures were obtained by deflating the latter using inflationary developments in the Retail Price Index (RPI). Developments in wages and salaries are shown in Chart 2.4 and Table 2.5. Meanwhile, taxes on production and imports increased by 11.9 per cent, equivalent to €52.7 million during the first two quarters of 2014 while subsidies increased by 19.3 per cent, equivalent to €8.2 million when compared to the same comparable period last year. This resulted in an increase in net taxes of €44.6 million or 11.1 per cent during the first half of 2014. Developments in GDP from the income approach are presented in Table 2.6. In view of the moderate increase in gross value added and the relatively strong increase in compensation of employees and net tax intake, gross operating surplus and mixed income increased moderately by €26.7 million or 1.7 per cent during the first half of 2014, compared to an increase of 5.3 per cent during the same comparable period last year. This relative slowdown in growth resulted in a decline in the ratio of gross operating surplus to GDP at market prices of 1.2 percentage points to 42.1 per cent. 24 Economic Survey November 2014 Chart 2.4 Average Weekly Compensation per Employee (excludes employers' N.I. contributions) Euro 390 380 370 360 350 340 330 320 310 2010Q1 2010Q3 2011Q1 2011Q3 2012Q1 Nominal 2012Q3 2013Q1 2013Q3 2014Q1 Real Average Weekly Wage per Employee* Table 2.5 Nominal Real** Value Change Value Change € % € % 2010 345.7 2.1 341.1 0.6 2011 358.7 3.7 344.5 1.0 2012 372.6 3.9 349.5 1.4 2013 372.1 (0.2) 344.2 (1.5) 2013 (Jan-Jun) 372.1 0.6 345.8 (1.2) 2014 (Jan-Jun) 380.7 2.3 352.4 1.9 *Excludes employers’ National Insurance contributions **Base year of RPI index (December 2009=100) Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 25 Gross Domestic Product from the Income Side Table 2.6 € million 2010 Compensation of employees 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun 2,845.3 3,035.8 3,210.6 3,340.3 1,654.2 1,747.5 2,961.5 2,995.8 3,116.7 3,274.4 1,570.9 1,597.6 865.4 927.9 943.9 990.9 443.5 496.2 72.6 65.1 92.3 95.6 42.2 50.4 6,599.5 6,894.4 7,178.9 7,510.1 3,626.4 3,791.0 Gross operating surplus and mixed income Taxes on production and imports Less Subsidies Gross Domestic Product at current market prices Source: National Statistics Office Gross National Income Gross National Income (GNI) is calculated by adjusting Gross Domestic Product at market prices for net compensation received from or paid to the rest of the world, subsidies less taxes from/to the rest of the European Union and net income property from the rest of the world. Hence, GNI represents the total primary income receivable by resident institutional units irrespective of where that income was generated. During the first six months of 2014, GDP at market prices increased by €164.6 million, or by 4.5 per cent. Due to the net payments on property income from abroad, GNI at current market prices has typically been less than GDP. Nevertheless, during the first half of 2014, the net property income payments declined by €19.0 million to a net outflow of €164.0 million. On the other hand, net outflows by way of compensation of employees remained practically unchanged whilst net subsidies received from the EU increased marginally over the Survey Period. Developments in GNI are shown in Table 2.7. As a result of these developments, GNI increased by 5.4 per cent during the first half of 2014. 26 Economic Survey November 2014 Gross National Income Table 2.7 € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun Gross Domestic Product at current market prices 6,599.5 6,894.4 7,178.9 7,510.1 3,626.4 3,791.0 -3.2 1.4 -3.8 -1.5 -1.1 -1.1 7.1 3.4 7.9 11.5 3.9 5.7 -282.2 -251.7 -338.7 -350.0 -182.9 -164.0 6,321.3 6,647.5 6,844.3 7,170.1 3,446.2 3,631.6 Net compensation of employees from the rest of the world Subsidies less Taxes on products from/to the rest of the EU Net property income from the rest of the world Gross National Income at current market prices Source: National Statistics Office Footnotes: 1 The data presented in this Chapter is based on national accounts data compiled according to the European Systems of Accounts (ESA10) methodology. 2 Gross Domestic Product at current market prices is estimated by the National Statistics Office (NSO) from the production side, involving the aggregation of the output of various productive sectors net of the cost of intermediate inputs. A reconciliation of the production side with estimates of expenditure on output produced is then carried out and the residual between the two approaches is included in the changes in inventories component. 3 Over the short-term international trade data may be affected by fuel imports and re-exports. According to data for the first half of the year, fuel accounted for around 46.0 per cent of exports of goods and 44.0 per cent in imports of goods. Economic Survey November 2014 27 3. Employment 3. Employment This Chapter presents an overview of developments in the labour market, covering the period from 2011 up to the first half of 2014. The main source of data is the Labour Force Survey (LFS)1 as it enables comparison across EU Member States. Nevertheless, administrative records of the Employment and Training Corporation (ETC) are also used to analyse sectoral developments of employment activity. The classification of this data is based on NACE Rev. 2. It is to be noted that LFS data is not directly comparable to statistics originating from the ETC primarily due to differences in the definitions and methodology underpinning the two databases. Labour Market Developments The labour market continued to perform well during the first half of 2014 as increases in the activity rate translated into higher employment whilst at the same time the unemployment rate decreased in comparison to 2013. Overall, the positive patterns of labour market dynamics were exhibited by the majority of segments of the Maltese labour market. Sustained employment growth in sectors which were relatively resilient to the international financial and economic crisis ensured that the performance of the labour market continued to improve, whilst positive employment developments in private direct production also contributed to labour demand. Recent Employment Trends By the end of the second quarter of 2014, the labour force for persons aged 15 and over (i.e. the total number of people employed plus unemployed) increased to 187,893, reflecting an increase of 698 or 0.4 per cent over the second quarter of 2013. During the same period, total employment increased by 2,126 or 1.2 per cent to 176,969. This reflected an increase in female employment of 1,821 or 2.8 per cent from 65,507 in the second quarter of 2013 to 67,328 in the second quarter of 2014 as well as an increase in male employment from 109,336 in the second quarter of 2013 to 109,641 in the second quarter of this year. Consequently, at the end of this period, male employment accounted for 62.0 per cent of total employment while female employment accounted for the remaining 38.0 per cent. It is to be highlighted that throughout the same period, the percentage increase of females in employment exceeded that in the labour force thus sustaining the underlying trend of a rising female employment rate.2 Economic Survey November 2014 31 The unemployment rate during the second quarter of 2014 stood at 5.8 per cent, 0.8 percentage points lower than that recorded in the second quarter of 2013. This reflected decreases in both the male and female unemployment rates. In fact, the former decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 6.0 per cent while the latter decreased by 0.9 percentage points to 5.6 per cent. The developments outlined above are presented in Table 3.1. The ratio of part-time employment over total employment continued to increase, rising from 11.1 per cent in 2011 to 12.4 per cent in 2013 and further up to 13.6 per cent by mid-2014. As shown in Table 3.2, the latter result reflected an increase of 2,738 workers in part-time jobs – which exceeded that of fulltime employment (1,215) – and a decline in full-time with reduced hours jobs (1,827). In addition, females accounted for a smaller share of the increase in part-time employment than males. The share of full-time jobs with reduced hours also increased over the period 2011 to 2013 from 2.3 per cent in 2011 to 2.7 per cent in 2013. However, it declined again from 3.2 per cent in the second Labour Market Performance (Persons aged 15 and over) Labour Force Survey Table 3.1 2011 2012 2013 2013 Apr-June 2014 Apr-June Labour Supply Male Female 177,970 115,064 62,906 181,731 114,805 66,926 187,436 116,776 70,660 187,195 117,153 70,042 187,893 116,602 71,291 Employment Male Female 166,628 108,203 58,425 170,249 108,224 62,025 175,472 109,231 66,241 174,843 109,336 65,507 176,969 109,641 67,328 11,342 6,861 4,481 11,482 6,581 4,901 11,964 7,545 4,419 12,352 7,817 4,535 10,924 6,961 3,963 167,906 56,447 111,459 167,371 58,382 108,989 165,310 58,543 106,767 165,086 57,895 107,191 167,794 60,384 107,410 6.4 6.0 7.1 6.3 5.7 7.3 6.4 6.5 6.3 6.6 6.7 6.5 5.8 6.0 5.6 Unemployment Male Female Inactive Persons Male Female Unemployment Rate Male Female The figures for years 2011, 2012 and 2013 are revised and were published only on the Eurostat website. Source: National Statistics Office 32 Economic Survey November 2014 Distribution of Employed Persons by Type of Employment in Main Occupation Table 3.2 2011 2012 2013 2013 Apr-June 2014 Apr-June Full-time job Full-time job with reduced hours job Part-time job 144,267 3,830 18,531 146,295 4,062 19,892 148,842 4,807 21,823 147,896 5,558 21,389 149,111 3,731 24,127 Total 166,628 170,249 175,472 174,843 176,969 The figures for years 2011, 2012 and 2013 are revised and were published only on the Eurostat website. Source: National Statistics Office quarter of 2013 to 2.1 per cent in the second quarter of 2014. A detailed sectoral breakdown of employment is provided further on in this Chapter. In the second quarter of 2014, the employment rate (defined as the number of persons engaged in employment as a per cent of the population of working age) stood at 61.6 per cent, following an increase of 1.0 percentage points over the second quarter of 2013. Table 3.3 shows that this development reflected an increase in the female employment rate of 1.8 percentage points to 48.2 per cent and an increase in the male employment rate of 0.3 percentage points to 74.6 per cent. Overall, the observed developments over this period are in part a continuation of past trends. Indeed, between 2011 and 2013, the employment rate continued to exhibit an upward trend, rising from 57.9 per cent in 2011 to 60.8 per cent in 2013. During the same three-year period, the female employment rate improved by 5.5 percentage points to 47.0 per cent, while the male employment rate decreased marginally by 0.1 percentage points in 2012 and rose by 0.3 percentage points to reach 74.1 per cent in 2013. Turning to the age distribution of employment rate presented in Table 3.3, it is noted that in the second quarter of 2014 the highest employment rate (75.1 per cent) was observed in the age group 25-54, followed by the age groups 15-24 (44.0 per cent), and 55-64 (37.9 per cent). The gender distribution shows that males have a higher employment rate in all age groups. However, the female employment rate has been converging to the male employment rate in all age brackets. Furthermore, age group 15-24 exhibits the narrowest gender gap, while age group 55-64 has the widest gender gap in employment rate. Economic Survey November 2014 33 Employment Rates by Age Table 3.3 2011 2012 2013 2013 Apr-June 2014 Apr-June Total (15-64) Male Female 57.9 73.9 41.5 59.1 73.8 44.0 60.8 74.1 47.0 60.6 74.3 46.4 61.6 74.6 48.2 15-24 Male Female 45.0 48.1 41.8 43.8 46.7 40.7 46.0 47.5 44.3 44.3 46.1 42.4 44.0 45.7 42.2 25-54 Male Female 70.7 90.0 50.8 72.5 89.7 54.9 74.0 89.6 57.8 74.4 90.6 57.7 75.1 89.8 59.8 55-64 Male Female 33.2 51.5 15.1 34.6 53.1 16.3 36.2 53.8 18.7 35.7 53.5 18.0 37.9 56.1 19.9 The figures for years 2011, 2012 and 2013 are revised and were published only on the Eurostat website. The methodology applied to the activity and/or the employment rate used by Eurostat is different than that used by the NSO thus the figures may differ slightly. Source: National Statistics Office Moreover, such changes in employment rates by age and gender are fairly in line with past trends, such that between 2011 and 2012 most changes in employment rates were a result of improvements in the female employment in all age groups, particularly in the age group 25-54 in which an increase of 7.0 percentage points was recorded in the female employment rate. By contrast, during the three-year period to 2013, the only age bracket that reported an increase in the male employment rate was 55-64, which increased by 2.3 percentage points. Meanwhile the female employment rate for the age group 55-64 increased by 3.6 percentage points to stand at 18.7 per cent in 2013. Developments in the Unemployment Rate According to the LFS, during the period April to June 2014, the number of unemployed persons stood at 10,924, following a decrease of 1,428 when compared to the same period a year earlier. Consequently, the unemployment rate (defined as unemployed persons as a percentage of the labour force) 34 Economic Survey November 2014 decreased by 0.8 percentage points, from 6.6 per cent in the second quarter of 2013 to 5.8 per cent, as shown in Table 3.1. This reflects increases in job creation which exceeded the rising labour force participation. Statistics for the period 2011 to 2013 indicate that the unemployment rate was relatively unchanged, hovering around 6.4 per cent. Meanwhile, more recent statistics released by Eurostat indicate that the deseasonalised harmonised unemployment rate in September 2014 stood at 5.8 per cent, reflecting declines in the unemployment rate attained in 2014. During the year to the second quarter of 2014, the number of unemployed males and females decreased by 856 and 572 to reach 6,961 and 3,963, respectively. As a result, men accounted for 63.7 per cent of the total unemployment whereas women accounted for the remaining 36.3 per cent. In June 2014, the female unemployment rate stood at 5.6 per cent, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points when compared to the second quarter of 2013. Furthermore, the male unemployment rate declined by 0.7 percentage points to 6.0 per cent. When compared to the period between 2011 and 2013, the recent unemployment developments reflect a reversal of the upward trend in the male unemployment rate and a sustained fall in the female unemployment rate. Table 3.4 shows that, similar to the trends experienced in the EU, the unemployment rate is relatively higher for young individuals below 25 as compared with 25-plus age groups. Indeed this trend continued in the first half of 2014 as the youth unemployment rate stood at 13.0 per cent whilst that for persons aged 25-plus, stood at 4.6 per cent. Nevertheless, during the same period, the decline in youth unemployment rate which fell sharply by 2.7 percentage points was higher than that for persons aged 25-plus which decreased by 0.3 percentage points. Chart 3.1 presents the monthly harmonised deseasonalised unemployment rate for Malta. In spite of the observed volatility, the harmonised unemployment rate generally followed a downward trend to reach 6.3 per cent in December 2012. Marginal increases were registered in 2013 due to strong positive increases in the activity rate. However, during the first eight months of 2014, the unemployment rate declined from 6.2 per cent in January to 5.8 per cent in September, as increases in participation rates were translated into increases into higher employment levels. Economic Survey November 2014 35 Unemployment Rates by Age Table 3.4 Total (15-74) 15-24 25-74 2011 2012 2013 2013 Apr-June 2014 Apr-June 6.4 13.3 5.0 6.3 14.1 4.9 6.4 13.0 5.2 6.6 15.7 4.9 5.8 13.0 4.6 Source: National Statistics Office Chart 3.1 Harmonised Deseasonalised Unemployment Rate 7.5 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.7 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Apr-13 Oct-12 Jan-13 Jul-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 Oct-11 Apr-11 Oct-10 Jan-11 Jul-10 Apr-10 Jan-10 5.5 Source: Eurostat 36 Economic Survey November 2014 General Labour Market Developments in the Euro Area and the EU The depth and duration of the decline in international economic activity led to a fragile labour market dynamics in the EU, but continued to vary substantially between Member States. As shown in Chart 3.2, the rate of employment growth – measured as the second quarter year-on-year growth rate – was robust in Hungary (4.8 per cent), Luxembourg (3.4 per cent), Slovenia (2.9 per cent), and the United Kingdom (2.8 per cent) while employment losses were recorded in Romania (7.1 per cent), Estonia (1.2 per cent), the Netherlands (0.9 per cent), and Finland (0.7 per cent). With a rate of 1.3 per cent, Malta recorded an employment growth rate similar to Austria, Sweden, Bulgaria, and Croatia which in turn was higher than the Euro Area (0.3 per cent) and EU28 (0.6 per cent) averages. During the second quarter of 2014, the evolution of the employment rate for the age group 15-64 showed different patterns across Member States. The employment rate for the EU28 increased by 0.8 percentage points to 64.9 per cent while the employment rate of the Euro Area improved by 0.3 percentage points to stand at 63.9 per cent. As shown in Table 3.5 and Chart 3.3, Hungary (61.7 per cent), Portugal (62.6 per cent), and Latvia (66.6 per cent) registered the highest increases in employment rates. Until mid-2014, the highest employment Chart 3.2 Employment Growth Rate Apr-June 2013 - Apr-June 2014 per cent 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 Economic Survey November 2014 Hungary Slovenia Luxembourg United Kingdom Ireland Portugal Poland Croatia Bulgaria Malta Sweden Spain Austria Slovakia Lithuania EA18 EU28 Denmark Germany France Czech Republic Cyprus Italy Latvia Finland Belgium Estonia Netherlands Romania -8 Greece -6 37 Employment Rates across EU Table 3.5 EU28 EA18 Belgium Bulgaria Czech Republic Denmark Germany Estonia Ireland Greece Spain France Croatia Italy Cyprus 2013 Apr-June 2014 Apr-June 64.1 63.6 62.0 59.5 67.8 73.0 73.3 69.4 60.2 49.1 54.8 64.3 53.1 55.7 61.5 64.9 63.9 61.9 61.0 68.7 72.7 73.4 69.2 61.3 49.4 56.0 64.5 54.6 55.7 62.2 Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Hungary Malta Netherlands Austria Poland Portugal Romania Slovenia Slovakia Finland Sweden United Kingdom 2013 Apr-June 2014 Apr-June 64.8 63.8 65.4 58.3 60.6 74.4 72.5(b) 59.8 60.4 60.2 63.0 59.8 70.3 74.6 70.4 66.6 65.1 66.7 61.7 61.6 73.6 72.8 61.3 62.6 61.2 64.5 60.7 70.0 75.0 71.9 (b) break in time series Source: Eurostat Chart 3.3 Change in Employment Rate 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 38 Netherlands Denmark Finland Estonia Belgium Italy Germany France EA18 Greece Austria Sweden Cyprus EU28 Czech Republic Slovakia Malta Romania Ireland Spain Lithuania Luxembourg Bulgaria Croatia Poland Slovenia United Kingdom Latvia Portugal Hungary Apr-June 2013 - Apr-June 2014 (percentage points) Economic Survey November 2014 rate was observed in Sweden (75.0 per cent), followed by the Netherlands (73.6 per cent), and Germany (73.4 per cent). Meanwhile, Malta (61.6 per cent) recorded a percentage point increase in the employment rate over the same period. Despite the positive and steady development in the employment rate for Malta over recent years, the rate remains 3.3 percentage points and 2.3 percentage points below the rates for the EU28 and Euro Area average, respectively. Nonetheless, the gaps between Malta and the EU28, and between Malta and the Euro Area have been reduced by around 0.2 and 0.7 percentage points, respectively over the same period. Table 3.6 shows that in the second quarter of 2014, the EU unemployment rate Unemployment Rates across EU Table 3.6 EU28 EA18 Belgium Bulgaria Czech Republic Denmark Germany Estonia Ireland Greece Spain France Croatia Italy Cyprus Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Hungary Malta Netherlands Austria Poland Portugal Romania Slovenia Slovakia Finland Sweden United Kingdom 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 Apr-June 2014 Apr-June 9.6 10.1 8.3 10.3 7.3 7.5 7.1 16.7 13.9 12.7 19.9 9.3 12.3 8.4 6.3 19.5 17.8 4.6 11.2 6.9 4.5 (b) 4.4 9.7 (b) 12.0 7.0 7.3 14.5 8.4 8.6 7.8 9.6 10.1 7.2 11.3 6.7 7.6 5.9 12.3 14.7 17.9 21.4 9.2 13.9 8.4 7.9 16.2 15.4 4.8 10.9 6.4 4.4 4.2 9.7 12.9 7.2 8.2 13.7 7.8 7.8 8.1 10.4 11.3 7.6 12.3 7.0 7.5 5.5 10.0 14.7 24.5 24.8 9.8 16.1 10.7 11.9 15.0 13.4 5.1 10.9 6.3 5.3 4.3 10.1 15.8 6.8 8.9 14.0 7.7 8.0 7.9 10.8 11.9 8.4 13.0 7.0 7.0 5.3 8.6 13.1 27.5 26.1 10.3 17.3 12.2 15.9 11.9 11.8 5.9 10.2 6.4 6.7 4.9 10.3 16.4 7.1 10.1 14.2 8.2 8.0 7.6 10.8 11.9 8.1 13.0 6.8 6.7 5.3 8.0 13.9 27.3 26.1 10.1 16.8 12.0 15.5 11.4 11.7 5.6 10.3 6.6 6.6 4.5 10.5 16.7 7.3 10.4 14.0 9.1 8.7 7.6 10.1 11.4 8.2 11.4 6.0 6.3 5.0 6.9 11.9 26.6 24.5 9.9 16.6 12.3 15.5 10.7 11.2 5.8 8.0 5.8 7.0 4.7 9.1 14.1 6.7 9.3 13.2 9.6 8.7 6.2 (b) break in time series Source: Eurostat Economic Survey November 2014 39 recorded marginal improvements from the rates recorded during the previous year. The EU28 and the Euro Area unemployment rates were 10.1 per cent and 11.4 per cent, down from 10.8 per cent and 11.9 per cent respectively. The unemployment rate in most EU countries remains nonetheless very high. Between April and June 2014, among the Member States, the lowest unemployment rates were recorded in Austria (4.7 per cent), Germany (5.0 per cent), and Malta and Luxembourg (both 5.8 per cent). Conversely, the highest on record were those in Greece (26.6 per cent) and Spain (24.5 per cent). The unemployment rate for the majority of EU28 Member States remained above that recorded in 2010 by, on average, 3.4 percentage points. On the other hand, Member States that registered notable declines in the unemployment rate, albeit starting from high levels, were Estonia (-8.1 percentage points), Latvia (-7.6 percentage points), and Lithuania (-6.0 percentage points). Over the same period, Germany, Czech Republic, Denmark and Malta registered a fall in the unemployment rate over the three-year period, in spite of having a comparably low rate in 2010. Sectoral Employment The analysis of sectoral employment in the labour market presented in this section is based on administrative records compiled by the Employment and Training Corporation (ETC). This section covers the period from December 2011 to December 2013 and, on the basis of more recent data, the period between May 2013 and May 2014. Data on registered unemployed persons is also used to shed light on the profile of unemployed persons up to September 2014. The ETC regularly revises provisional data in line with its objective of maintaining a continuous update of labour market data. It is also noteworthy that 3,050 full-time employees who were formerly classified as employees of the Ministry for Resources and Rural Affairs (MRRA) were reclassified to either the Ministry of Sustainable Development, Environment and Climate Change or the Ministry for Transport and Infrastructure. Therefore, the data in this Chapter are not directly comparable with those presented in previous issues of the Economic Survey. Employment trends in Malta point towards increased reliance of market services as the main generator of employment. These developments are in line with the trends noted in previous years. Indeed, between December 2011 and December 2013, employment in private market services increased by 7,108 or 9.1 per cent, whilst the number of gainfully occupied in direct production remained, on 40 Economic Survey November 2014 average, stable. This highlights the fact that over the years Malta has become more services-oriented. Meanwhile, public sector employment increased by 1,285 or 3.1 per cent, over the three-year period. As shown in Table 3.7, at the end of May 2014, the full-time gainfully occupied population increased by 5,432 or 3.5 per cent to reach 162,156 at the end of Labour Market Indicators Administrative Source Table 3.7 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2013 May 2014 May Labour Supply Males Females 157,143 104,461 52,682 159,493 104,645 54,848 166,342 107,748 58,594 164,016 106,910 57,106 169,297 109,285 60,012 Gainfully Occupied Males Females 150,556 99,307 51,249 152,682 99,366 53,316 158,941 102,111 56,830 156,724 101,325 55,399 162,156 103,844 58,312 Total Private Sector Private Direct Production Private Market Services of whom Temporary Employment 109,420 31,172 78,248 501 111,672 31,038 80,634 463 116,520 31,164 85,356 417 114,966 31,539 83,427 433 118,577 31,851 86,726 412 Total Public Sector of whom Temporary Employment 41,136 131 41,010 126 42,421 104 41,758 120 43,579 107 Registered Unemployed* Males Females 6,587 5,154 1,433 6,811 5,279 1,532 7,401 5,637 1,764 7,292 5,585 1,707 7,141 5,441 1,700 Self-Employed** Males Females % of Gainfully Occupied 17,713 14,707 3,006 11.8 17,975 14,874 3,101 11.8 18,338 15,060 3,278 11.5 18,135 14,939 3,196 11.6 18,643 15,256 3,387 11.5 37,657 112,899 37,287 115,395 34,359 124,582 37,667 119,057 34,954 127,202 Total Private Sector Share Total Public Sector Share 72.7% 27.3% 73.1% 26.9% 73.3% 26.7% 73.4% 26.6% 73.1% 26.9% Part-time Employment as Primary Job 29,785 31,646 33,295 32,736 34,794 Memorandum: Total Direct Production*** Total Market Services*** *Includes both Parts I and II of the Registered Unemployed **Included in the Private Sector ***Including temporary employees Source: Employment and Training Corporation Economic Survey November 2014 41 the period under analysis. This was mainly due to an expansion of 3,299 or 4.0 per cent in the private market services category and an increase of 312 or 1.0 per cent in the private direct production category. As a result of these developments, the share of total private sector employment in the full-time gainfully occupied population decreased marginally by 0.3 percentage points, reaching 73.1 per cent at the end of May 2014. Employment in the public sector (inclusive of temporary employees) increased marginally by 1,821 or 4.4 per cent over the year to 2014. Consequently, the share of public sector employment in the gainfully occupied population increased to 26.9 per cent. This latter development needs to be interpreted with caution, since an increase of 756 full-time employees in the public sector, from May 2013 to May 2014, reflected the temporary transfer of ownership of the public transport services. On gender basis, the increase in the gainfully-occupied population recorded over recent years was driven by a higher number of females in employment. In fact, during the year to May 2014, the female component in gainfully employment increased by 2,913 or 5.3 per cent while the male component rose by 2,519 or 2.5 per cent. Consequently, the share of males in full-time employment declined by 0.6 percentage points to 64.0 per cent while the share of females in full-time employment rose from 35.3 per cent to 36.0 per cent at the end of May 2014. The number of self-employed persons has increased consistently during the period under observation. In fact, by the end of May 2014, the number of selfemployed stood at 18,643, an increase of 508 or 2.8 per cent over May 2013. The share of self-employed in the total gainfully occupied population remained relatively unchanged at around 11.5 per cent. This development was driven by increases amongst both males and females. Male self-employed recorded an increase of 317 or 2.1 per cent over the one year period to May 2014, to stand at 15,256. During the same period, the number of female self-employed increased by 191 or 6.0 per cent to stand at 3,387. Despite the increases recorded by female self-employed, their share in total self-employed persons remained relatively low in comparison to the share of females in the gainfully occupied population. As shown in Table 3.7, labour supply increased by 9,199 or 5.9 per cent in the three-year period from 2011 and 2013. Meanwhile, labour supply rose from 164,016 in May 2013 to 169,297 in May 2014, representing an increase of 5,281 or a growth rate of 3.2 per cent. The female labour supply was the main driver behind the upward trend in the years up to December 2013. Indeed, they increased by 5,912 persons or 11.2 per cent over the three year period, reaching 60,012 in May 2014. During the period between December 2011 and December 2013, the male component of the labour supply rose by 3,287 persons or 3.2 per cent to stand at 109,285 by the end of May 2014. 42 Economic Survey November 2014 Private Sector Employment The upward trend recorded in employment in the private sector (inclusive of temporary employees) over the period December 2011 to December 2013, and more recently between May 2013 and May 2014, reflected a significant expansion in employment in the private market services category. The increase in private sector employment was also partly reinforced, albeit to a lesser extent, by an increase in employment in the private direct production activities category. As presented in Table 3.8, employment in private direct production at the end of May 2014 stood at 31,851, an increase of 312 or 1.0 per cent over May 2013. The declines that were mainly recorded in the twelve months to December 2012 were reversed in the subsequent twelve-month period. Consequently, by the end of December 2013, the share of private direct production in total private sector employment stood at 26.7 per cent, 1.7 percentage points lower than the share recorded in December 2011. Meanwhile, by the end of May 2014, the share of private market services in the total private sector employment stood at 73.1 per cent. Table 3.9 presents the sectoral contribution to employment growth. The higher level of employment in direct production recorded between May 2013 and May 2014 reflected mainly developments in the construction sector. In fact, during the year to May 2014, the construction sector recorded an increase of 155 employees or 1.7 per cent. The manufacturing sector also contributed positively towards employment growth as full-time employment increased by 137 persons or 0.7 per cent during the year to May 2014. Meanwhile, the electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply; water supply and waste management; the agriculture, hunting and forestry; and mining and quarrying sector also recorded increases albeit significantly smaller. Data for private sector employment confirms that, during the Survey period, the primary source of job creation in the Maltese economy was market service activities. As shown in Table 3.10, by the end of May 2014, total employment stood at 86,726. The share of private market services in the total gainfully occupied population went up from 53.2 per cent in May 2013 to 53.5 per cent in May 2014. Table 3.10 shows that by the end of May 2014, wholesale and retail (including repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles and personal and household goods) stood out as the largest subsector (23,770) as it accounted for 27.4 per cent of the private market service employment level. Professional, technical and administrative activities recorded an employment of 17,531, while full-time employment in accommodation and food service activities amounted to 10,094. Economic Survey November 2014 43 Box 3.1 Developments in Private Sector Employment in Manufacturing The manufacturing sector includes a wide range of production activities, from small-scale enterprises using traditional production techniques to very large enterprises which can reap economies of scale. Over the past years, the Maltese economy has become increasingly service-oriented as the share of market services constitutes the major part of employment in total gainfully occupied population. The manufacturing industry, however, is still considered important in terms of export market share and economy diversification. Consequently, an analysis of the manufacturing sector as a whole sheds light on the diverse performance of the manufacturing industry, since it comprises a wide spectrum of activities within the non-financial business sector. Private Manufacturing Employment* Table 1 Mfg of Food Products, Beverages and Tobacco Mfg of Textiles and Leather Products Mfg of Wood and Printing Mfg of Coke, Chemical and Pharmaceutical Products Mfg of Rubber, Plastic and Other Non-Metallic Products Mfg of Basic Metals and Fabricated Metal Products Mfg of Computer, electronic equipment and machinery Mfg of Transport Equipment Mfg of Furniture Manufacturing n.e.c. Total Manufacturing Employment 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2013 May 2014 May 3,184 923 1,816 1,395 2,735 3,138 902 1,849 1,452 2,717 3,168 841 1,840 1,421 2,754 3,324 762 1,870 1,486 2,858 3,367 747 1,857 1,378 2,817 1,417 3,147 1,015 1,213 3,200 1,250 3,066 1,077 1,183 3,153 1,271 3,084 1,178 1,160 3,271 1,317 3,101 1,102 1,125 3,195 1,288 3,091 1,142 1,123 3,467 20,045 19,787 19,988 20,140 20,277 * Including temporary employees Source: Employment and Training Corporation The NACE division level classifies the manufacturing sector into 24 different subsectors. In May 2014, the largest subsectors in terms of private sector employment were the manufacture of food products (2,509), the manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products (2,173), and other manufacturing (2,085). This data, as presented in Table 1, also show that over the year to May 2014, employment increased in the manufacturing n.e.c. (272), while the largest declines in the manufacturing sector were recorded in the manufacturing of coke, chemical and pharmaceutical products (108). Between December 44 Economic Survey November 2014 2011 and December 2013, the most notable increase was recorded in the manufacturing of transport equipment (163). Meanwhile, the manufacturing of basic metals and fabricated metal products (146) and the manufacturing of textiles and leather products (82) accounted for the most significant declines in the manufacturing sector over the same period. Over the twelve-month period to May 2014, total employment increases amounted to 3,299 or 4.0 per cent, originating mainly in activities related to professional, technical and administrative activities (1,458), wholesale and retail (582), and information and communication (356). All other sectors, except the transport and storage subsector, registered increases in their employment levels. Table 3.11 shows the main drivers of employment growth rate in market services, namely, professional, technical and administrative activities; wholesale and retail services; information and communication; financial and insurance activities; health and social work; and arts, entertainment and recreation. The professional, technical and administrative activities sub-sector increased significantly by 1,458 over the year to May 2014. This increase reflects positive advancement in advertising and market services; activities of head offices; management consultancy activities; legal and accounting activities; and activities relating to architectural and engineering activities, including technical testing and analysis. This development is also a continuation of past trends recorded during the period December 2011 to December 2013. Another sub-sector reporting an increase in employment was the wholesale and retail services, including repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles and personal and household goods. Indeed, during the year to May 2014, employment in this sector increased by 582 to 23,770. The significant share of this increase comes from retail trade (except of motor vehicles and motorcycles activities) sub-sector. Furthermore, when December 2013 is compared to December 2011, employment within this sub-sector increased by 711. The other significant contributors to employment growth in market services, as outlined above, all contributed 0.4 percentage points each to the total private market services employment growth rate, during the Survey period. Similar developments were recorded throughout the three-year period ranging from December 2011 to December 2013. The health and social work subsector grew by 307 persons during the twelve-month period to May 2014. Throughout the Economic Survey November 2014 45 Private Sector Employment* Table 3.8 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2013 May 2014 May Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and Quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply Water supply and waste management Construction 1,955 312 20,045 3 318 8,539 1,907 290 19,787 9 336 8,709 1,886 298 19,988 17 321 8,654 1,904 285 20,140 11 340 8,859 1,893 303 20,277 15 349 9,014 Total Employment in Direct Production 31,172 31,038 31,164 31,539 31,851 * Including temporary employees Source: Employment and Training Corporation Contribution to Growth in Private Sector Employment* Direct Production per cent Table 3.9 Dec-2012/ Dec-2011 Dec-2013/ Dec-2012 May-2014/ May-2013 Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and Quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply Water supply and waste management Construction -0.2 -0.1 -0.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 -0.1 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 Total -0.4 0.4 1.0 * Including temporary employees 46 Economic Survey November 2014 Employment in Market Services* Table 3.10 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2013 May 2014 May Wholesale and Retail (including Repair of Motor Vehicles, Motorcycles and Personal and Household Goods) Transport and Storage Accomodation and food service activities Information and communication Financial and insurance activities Real estate activities Professional, technical and administrative activties Education Health and social work Arts, entertainment and recreation Other service activties 22,908 6,875 9,427 4,363 6,289 976 14,190 3,991 2,680 3,203 3,346 23,229 6,983 9,744 4,656 6,419 957 14,915 4,275 3,009 3,193 3,254 23,619 7,077 9,805 5,001 6,784 1,034 17,059 4,492 3,364 3,713 3,408 23,188 7,067 9,849 4,896 6,862 972 16,073 4,485 3,126 3,646 3,263 23,770 6,376 10,094 5,252 7,193 1,077 17,531 4,579 3,433 3,965 3,456 Total Employment in Market Services 78,248 80,634 85,356 83,427 86,726 * Including temporary employees Source: Employment and Training Corporation Contribution to Growth in Private Sector Employment* Market Services per cent Table 3.11 Wholesale and Retail (including Repair of Motor Vehicles, Motorcycles and Personal and Household Goods) Transport and Storage Accomodation and food service activities Information and communication Financial and insurance activities Real estate activities Professional, technical and administrative activties Education Health and social work Arts, entertainment and recreation Other service activties Total Dec-2012/ Dec-2011 Dec-2013/ Dec-2012 May-2014/ May-2013 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 -0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 2.7 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.7 -0.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 3.0 5.9 4.0 * Including temporary employees Economic Survey November 2014 47 three-year period, from December 2011 to December 2013, employment within this subsector increased by 684, mainly in light of activity related to residential care activities and social work activities without accommodation. Meanwhile, in May 2014, employment in financial and insurance activities increased by 331when compared to the same month in 2013. When comparing December 2013 to December 2011, employment within the subsector increased by 495. Similar developments were recorded in arts, entertainment, and recreation services. Between May 2013 and May 2014, employment in this subsector increased by 319. The major contributors to this growth were gambling and betting activities. Over the period between December 2011 and December 2013, arts, entertainment, and recreation services recorded an increase in employment of 510. Public Sector Employment During the year to May 2014, as shown in Table 3.12, public sector employment increased by 1,821, primarily due to an increase of 804 or 2.6 per cent in employees in Government Departments, mainly in the health and education sectors. An increase of 760 was recorded in companies with public sector majority shareholding. This increase is mainly attributable to the temporary nationalisation of the Maltese public transport system. Independent statutory bodies recorded an increase in employees of 257. Consequently, total public sector employment increased from 41,758 in May 2013 to 43,579 in May 2014. Public Sector Employment* Table 3.12 Government Departments Companies with public sector majority shareholding Independent Statutory Bodies of which Temporary Employees Total 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2013 May 2014 May 30,485 30,468 31,788 31,181 31,985 1,981 8,670 1,789 8,753 1,820 8,813 1,842 8,735 2,602 8,992 131 126 104 120 107 41,136 41,010 42,421 41,758 43,579 * Including temporary employees Source: Employment and Training Corporation 48 Economic Survey November 2014 Table 3.12 shows that, during the year to May 2014, employment in Government Departments increased by 804 or 2.6 per cent. This mainly reflects increases in human health and social work activities (438) and activities in education (130). Nevertheless, by the end of the period under observation, the share of Government Department employees in total public sector employment decreased from 74.7 per cent to 73.4 per cent due to developments in other categories of public sector employment. During the year to May 2014, employment in companies with public sector majority shareholding increased by 760. The temporary nationalisation of the Maltese public transport system was mainly attributed to this temporary increase. The setting up of the Malta Public Transport Services Ltd contributed to almost all of this net increase. As a result of these developments, the share of employees in companies with a public majority shareholding in total public sector employment increased from 4.4 per cent in May 2013 to 6.0 per cent in May 2014. Meanwhile, employment in Independent Statutory Bodies increased to 8,992 in May 2014, reflecting an increase of 257 or 2.9 per cent when compared to May 2013. Economic Survey November 2014 49 Box 3.2 Employment in Gozo A geographical analysis of the gainfully occupied population, including both the private and the public sector, reveals that the general positive trends experienced during the year to May 2014 were also reflected in Gozo. As shown in Table 1, the gainfully occupied population stood at 9,854 at the end of May 2014, an increase of 600 or 6.5 per cent over May 2013. The increase in the gainfully occupied population is mostly driven by the private sector, and mainly reflects increases in education (170), accommodation and food service activities (92), and wholesale and retail, including repair of motor vehicles and personal and household goods (56). During the period December 2011 to December 2012, the gainfully occupied population rose by 57 or 0.6 per cent to reach 9,149, while during the year to December 2013, the increase amounted to 375 or 4.1 per cent. Since May 2013, total part-time employment increased by 156 or 3.8 per cent to reach 4,226 by end of May 2014. This reflects increases in both part-timers holding a fulltime job (83 or 4.2 per cent) and part-time as a primary job (73 or 3.5 per cent). Additionally, the number of persons registering for employment under Part I of the Register decreased by 36 to 698 by the end of September 2014. Gainfully-Occupied Population in Gozo Table 1 Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and Quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply Water supply and waste management Construction Wholesale and Retail (including Repair of Motor Vehicles, Motorcycles and Personal and Household Goods) Transport and Storage Accomodation and food service activities Information and communication Financial and insurance activities Real estate activities Professional, technical and administrative activties Administrative and support service activities Public administration and defence; compulsory social security Education Human health and social work activities Arts, entertainment and recreation Other service activties Total 50 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2013 May 2014 May 472 48 938 47 174 936 471 45 877 46 161 923 466 43 870 52 158 897 473 40 916 47 160 935 485 35 955 52 148 947 1,297 476 636 173 279 101 225 299 1,322 467 687 174 293 97 258 314 1,314 461 704 205 300 89 278 314 1,235 455 705 179 294 91 264 314 1,291 459 797 216 305 93 291 347 798 1,014 888 166 125 786 1,014 921 169 124 827 1,257 969 182 138 822 1,033 941 223 127 866 1,203 980 231 153 9,092 9,149 9,524 9,254 9,854 Economic Survey November 2014 A Profile of Registered Unemployed under Part 1 The analysis in this section focuses on the registered unemployed under Part I of the Unemployment Register. Part I of the Register includes those who are eligible for work and registering with the ETC as jobless. By contrast, Part II include those who have been dismissed from work due to disciplinary action, left work of their own free will, refused work or training opportunities or were struck off the register after an inspection by the Law Enforcement personnel. This section will analyse the profile of those who are registering as unemployed under Part I of the Register. At the end of September 2014, the number of registered unemployed persons under Part I of the Register stood at 6,120, compared to 7,092 a year earlier. The decline in the number of unemployed persons was reflected in both the male and female components. Whilst male unemployment declined by 708 to stand at 4,660, the female component decreased by 264 to stand at 1,460. Consequently, the share of female unemployment accounted for 23.9 per cent of total unemployment in September 2014, marginally down by 0.4 percentage points from 24.3 per cent a year earlier. The share of persons registering for work for less than 6 months declined from 40.4 per cent to 35.8 per cent, while persons registering for work for more than 2 years increased marginally from 25.2 per cent in September 2013 to 32.7 per cent as shown in Table 3.13. Meanwhile, the proportion of persons registering for work between 6 to 12 months and 12 to 24 months declined by 2.6 percentage points and 0.3 percentage points, to 11.2 and 20.2 per cent, respectively. Table 3.14 illustrates the age structure of the unemployed. During the year ending September 2014, the share of youth unemployment, defined as those falling in the 16-24 age bracket, decreased by 2.9 percentage points, from 15.7 per cent to 12.8 per cent, while the share of those between 25-49 increased by 0.2 percentage points to stand at 52.8 per cent in September 2014. The share of persons aged 49 or more increased by 2.7 percentage points, to stand at 34.4 per cent as at September 2014. Data for the registered unemployed classified by occupation as at September 2014 is produced in Table 3.15. The drop in unemployment during the twelve months to September 2014 is mainly attributable to the decline in the services and sales workers (514). Notable declines were also registered in plant and machinery operators and assemblers (297), and clerks and support workers (245). During the same period, persons registering for professional activities Economic Survey November 2014 51 Registered Unemployed* by duration of registration Table 3.13 Registered Unemployed under 6 months % 6 - 12 months % 12 - 24 months % over 24 months % 6,952 5,986 5,924 6,291 6,956 7,092 6,120 45.3 45.0 46.6 42.2 38.4 40.4 35.8 15.1 13.0 13.1 14.4 13.3 13.8 11.2 18.8 18.1 16.6 19.3 21.1 20.5 20.2 20.8 23.9 23.7 24.1 27.3 25.2 32.7 2009 (Dec) 2010 (Dec) 2011 (Dec) 2012 (Dec) 2013 (Dec) 2013 (Sep) 2014 (Sep) *Includes Part I of the Registered Unemployed Source: Employment and Training Corporation Registered Unemployed* by age distribution Table 3.14 2009 (Dec) 2010 (Dec) 2011 (Dec) 2012 (Dec) 2013 (Dec) 2013 (Sep) 2014 (Sep) Registered Unemployed 16 - 24 years % 25 - 49 years % over 49 years % 6,952 5,986 5,924 6,291 6,956 7,092 6,120 19.5 17.5 17.1 15.8 15.0 15.7 12.8 55.5 54.4 53.4 52.3 52.5 52.6 52.8 25.0 28.1 29.5 32.0 32.5 31.7 34.4 *Includes Part I of the Registered Unemployed Source: Employment and Training Corporation 52 Economic Survey November 2014 Registered Unemployed Classified by Occupation* at September 2014 Table 3.15 Registered Unemployed Males Females Total Elementary Occupations Plant and machinery operators and assemblers Crafts and related trade workers Skilled agriculture, fishery and forestry workers Services and sales workers Clerks and support workers Technicians and Associate Professionals Managers Total Percentage Share Males Females Total 647 77 724 13.9 5.3 11.8 398 68 466 8.5 4.7 7.6 830 27 857 17.8 1.8 14.0 248 698 607 424 593 215 1 325 353 361 164 84 249 1,023 960 785 757 299 5.3 15.0 13.0 9.1 12.7 4.6 0.1 22.3 24.2 24.7 11.2 5.8 4.1 16.7 15.7 12.8 12.4 4.9 4,660 1,460 6,120 100.0 100.0 100.0 *Includes Part I of the Registered Unemployed Source: Employment and Training Corporation increased by 252, while persons registering for crafts and related trade services, and skilled agriculture, fishery and forestry activities, remained approximately unchanged. Part-time Activity As shown in Table 3.16, since December 2011, total part-time employment increased by 4,890 or 9.3 per cent when compared to December 2013, reflecting increases in the numbers of both part-timers holding a full-time job and those holding a part-time job as a primary job. The former increased by 1,444 or 6.4 per cent and the latter rose by 3,446 or 11.6 per cent over the same period. As shown in Table 3.16, part-time employment based on administrative data, continued to increase, such that at the end of May 2014, total part-time employment stood at 59,249, a substantial increase of 3,107 or 5.5 per cent over twelve months earlier. At the end of May 2014, the number of part-timers stood at 59,249, of whom 30,779 were males and 28,470 were females. Compared to May 2013, the number of part-timers holding a full-time job increased by 1,049 or 4.5 per cent. The gender distribution shows that, both male and female part-timers Economic Survey November 2014 53 Part-Time Employment Table 3.16 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2013 May 2014 May Part-Timers holding a full-time job Males Females 22,712 15,709 7,003 23,460 15,918 7,542 24,156 16,231 7,925 23,406 15,863 7,543 24,455 16,401 8,054 Part-Timers as a primary job Males Females 29,785 12,379 17,406 31,646 13,215 18,431 33,231 13,743 19,488 32,736 13,676 19,060 34,794 14,378 20,416 Total Part-Time Employment Males Females 52,497 28,088 24,409 55,106 29,133 25,973 57,387 29,974 27,413 56,142 29,539 26,603 59,249 30,779 28,470 Source: Employment and Training Corporation holding a full-time job increased, with females registering a higher increase (511 or 6.8 per cent) than males (538 or 3.4 per cent). Consequently, the share of females employed as part-timers and also holding a full-time job in total part-time employment increased. The number of part-timers holding a part-time job as their primary occupation increased by 2,058 or 6.3 per cent over the level recorded in May 2013. Females continue to hold the largest share of persons holding part-time jobs as their primary occupation. Indeed, this stood at 58.7 per cent at the year ending May 2014, up by 0.5 percentage points when compared to 58.2 per cent in May 2013. During the year to May 2014, the number of females and males with part-time as their primary job increased by 1,356 and 702 or 7.1 per cent and 5.1 per cent to 20,416 and 14,378, respectively. 54 Economic Survey November 2014 Footnotes: 1 The LFS is a household survey carried out on a quarterly basis by the National Statistics Office (NSO). The LFS decomposes the working-age population (15-64 year old) into three independent groups, namely, the employed, unemployed, and inactive. This survey is based on a random sample of 2,500 private households. Changes in LFS data have to be interpreted with due caution as minor changes in employment of less than or equal to 1,800 may be the result of a sampling error. 2 It is noteworthy that the employment reported in the LFS is different from the gainfully-occupied population as reported by the ETC. Whereas the LFS measures resident persons in employment (EC: No. 577/98), gainfully-occupied data are based on the administrative records of the ETC which captures what the employer declares in the Engagement Form upon the commencement of employment, irrespective of the residential status. Economic Survey November 2014 55 4. Productive Activities 4. Productive Activities This Chapter covers Malta's industrial sector including manufacturing, mining and quarrying, electricity and water supply, and the agriculture and fisheries sector. Industrial Turnover Data in this Chapter is based on a sample of industrial enterprises. However, one should note that it has to be treated with caution in view of the various inconsistencies created by the sample, in particular with regards to employment and turnover. As can be seen in Table 4.1, total industrial turnover declined by 9.3 per cent in the first seven months of 2014 when compared to the same period in 2013. The decline in industrial turnover was mainly brought about by the deterioration of 17.7 per cent in the export market, which outweighed the 16.4 per cent increase in domestic sales. During January-July 2014, employment increased slightly by 0.2 per cent at the expense of hours worked, which decreased by 0.8 per cent when compared to the same period last year. Wages and salaries increased by 1.5 per cent. A closer look at the industry components reveals an overall downward trend in turnover in all the sectors. The mining and quarrying sector experienced a decline of 2.6 per cent in turnover. During the period under review, employment in this sector declined by 10.3 per cent. Meanwhile, the number of hours worked and wages and salaries declined by 6.9 per cent and 6.3 per cent, respectively. In the first seven months of 2014, turnover of the electricity and water supply declined by 5.6 per cent, when compared to the same months in 2013. Although employment declined by 1.0 per cent, the number of hours worked increased by the same proportion. The wages and salaries in this sector increased by 4.0 per cent. The manufacturing industry registered a decline of 9.9 per cent in turnover during the same period, arising from lower exports which were 17.7 per cent less than the level registered in the previous comparable period a year earlier. At the same time, domestic sales increased by 27.9 per cent. These growth trends Economic Survey November 2014 59 are contrary to those observed during the first seven months of 2013, where domestic sales registered a decrease of 8.5 per cent and export sales grew by 3.6 per cent. During the period under review, employment increased by 0.4 per cent, while the number of hours worked decreased by 1.0 per cent. Wages and salaries in the manufacturing industry increased by 1.2 per cent. During the first two quarters of 2014 gross value added in the agriculture and fisheries sector declined by 7.0 per cent. A more comprehensive analysis of this sector is presented towards the end of the chapter. Manufacturing Performance The manufacturing industry is the main driver behind industrial turnover. As a result, the subdued performance in the manufacturing industry was the major determinant of the decline in industrial turnover. A sectoral analysis of the major manufacturing sectors is featured in this subsection, while the short-term activity indicators for the manufacturing industry are presented in Table 4.2. Computer, Electronic and Optical Products The turnover of the manufacturing of computer, electronic and optical products decreased by 23.8 per cent during the first seven months of 2014, when compared to the same period in 2013. Since this sub-sector is mainly export-oriented, the decrease in exports by 24.2 per cent has more than outweighed the increase in domestic sales of 206.0 per cent. It is noteworthy that this sub-sector is largely affected by international economic developments due to the small number of relatively large foreign subsidiaries which make up this sub-sector. This decrease in turnover has led to a decrease in the overall industry turnover of 8.5 percentage points. During this period, employment decreased by 1.0 per cent, while the number of hours worked decreased by 2.9 per cent. On the other hand, wages and salaries increased by 1.7 per cent. Food Products Sales of locally manufactured food products are mainly directed towards the local market. During the first seven months of this year, turnover decreased by 2.5 per cent when compared to the same period in 2013, contributing to a 0.3 percentage points decrease in the total manufacturing industry turnover. This 60 Economic Survey November 2014 resulted mainly in a reduction in both domestic sales and exports of 2.9 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively. Employment in this sector remained relatively stable, with a marginal decrease of 0.1 per cent, when compared to the same period in the previous year. Wages and salaries increased by 3.2 per cent, while the number of hours worked decreased by 3.0 per cent. Basic Pharmaceutical Products Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products was negatively affected by the reduction in export sales. The turnover for this sector decreased by 20.6 per cent due to a decrease of 20.7 per cent in exports. Meanwhile, local sales decreased by 0.8 per cent. The lower turnover of this sub-sector contributed to an overall 1.7 percentage points decrease in total manufacturing industry turnover. During the first seven months of 2014, the employment level in this sector decreased by 8.8 per cent, while the number of hours worked decreased by 5.9 per cent. Wages and salaries decreased by 8.1 per cent. Other Manufacturing The other manufacturing sub-sector is composed of businesses engaged in the manufacture of toys, games and jewellery items, and is mostly export-oriented. During the period January-July 2014, the turnover of this sub-sector decreased by 1.7 per cent due to a decrease in sales in both the domestic and foreign markets. In particular, domestic sales decreased by 0.5 per cent, while exports decreased by 0.3 per cent. This contributed to a 0.1 percentage points decrease to the overall manufacturing industrial turnover. Despite the decrease in turnover, employment increased by 6.0 per cent during this period. In addition, the number of hours worked increased by 0.6 per cent, while wages and salaries grew by 0.7 per cent. Printing and Reproduction of Recorded Media The printing and reproduction of recorded media industry is mostly exportoriented. This sub-sector has experienced a decline in both domestic and overseas markets, with decreases of 14.7 per cent and 20.0 per cent, respectively. Overall this resulted in a decrease in turnover of 17.9 per cent during the Economic Survey November 2014 61 first seven months of 2014 when compared to the same period last year. This resulted in the sector contributing negatively by 0.9 percentage points to the manufacturing industry total turnover. Consequently, the employment level decreased by 12.1 per cent. At the same time, the number of hours worked and wages and salaries also decreased, by 4.8 per cent and 2.5 per cent, respectively. Motor Vehicles, Trailers and Semi-Trailers During the first seven months of 2014, the manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers maintained the positive trend in turnover experienced during recent years. In the period January-July 2014, turnover for this subsector increased by 10.2 per cent over the same period in 2013. This was the result of an increase in exports of 11.0 per cent which outweighed the 13.0 per cent decrease in domestic sales. The resulting effect on the total manufacturing industry turnover was an increase of 0.4 percentage points. Wages and salaries increased by 10.1 per cent during the period under review. Employment and the number of hours worked also increased, by 4.1 per cent and 5.4 per cent, respectively. Other Non-Metallic Products During the January-July 2014 period, the turnover of the manufacturing of other non-metallic products increased by 13.7 per cent. This increase was brought about by an increase in both the domestic and foreign markets, with increases of 13.2 per cent and 26.2 per cent, respectively. This sector contributed positively by 0.6 percentage points to the total industry turnover. Notwithstanding the increase in turnover, employment decreased by 3.5 per cent, the number of hours worked decreased by 5.4 per cent and wages and salaries in this sector declined by 4.2 per cent. Electrical Equipment The turnover of the manufacturing of electrical equipment decreased by 48.4 per cent during the first seven months of 2014, when compared to the same period last year. This was mainly the result of lower exports, which decreased by 50.0 per cent. Meanwhile, domestic sales increased by 26.8 per cent during this period. These developments resulted in an overall negative contribution of 62 Economic Survey November 2014 2.0 percentage points in the total manufacturing industry turnover. Despite the decrease in turnover, wages and salaries increased by 11.5 per cent in this sub-sector. During the same period, employment decreased by 2.3 per cent, while the number of hours worked registered a decline of 5.6 per cent. Box 4.1 The Industrial Production Index The Industrial Production Index is a measure of economic activity. Developments in this index can be used to describe the economic cycles of industry. The index monitors the changes in production in leading products taken from a sample of industrial enterprises and is compiled using 2010 as a base year. The number of companies surveyed add up to around 180 and cover over 95.0 per cent of total industrial production. Data on physical quantities are collected from 50.0 per cent of these enterprises whilst 30.0 per cent are estimated according to the number of hours worked and the remaining 20.0 per cent have their turnover deflated by use of the Industrial Producer Prices. In 2013, the overall industrial production index sustained a negative performance and decreased by 4.7 per cent. In the first seven months of 2014, the overall industrial production index decreased by 6.5 per cent. This was due to decreases in the production index of all components of the industry. These decreases were particularly more pronounced in the mining and quarrying sector and the manufacturing sector. During the first seven months of 2014, the manufacturing sector’s production index decreased by 7.4 per cent. It is to be noted that the production index decreased by 3.9 per cent during the same months in 2013. The decrease in the manufacturing sector’s production index in 2014 can be largely explained by the double digit decrease in the basic pharmaceutical products (46.1 per cent), computer, electronic and optical products (22.9 per cent), leather and related products (21.2 per cent) and in the machinery and equipment sector (12.4 per cent). The effect of these decreases was to some extent mitigated by double digit increases in other sectors, including fabricated metal products (19.6 per cent), furniture (15.2 per cent), food products (11.5 per cent) and the motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers sector (11.0 per cent). Economic Survey November 2014 63 Indicators of Industrial Activity (2010=100) Table 4.1 % of growth indices 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL INDUSTRY Turnover Domestic Exports 0.7 7.2 -0.6 6.4 6.8 6.7 -2.0 -5.1 -3.1 2.5 -5.5 3.6 -9.3 16.4 -17.7 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -0.1 0.6 2.8 -0.9 -0.8 2.7 -1.4 -0.8 1.5 -1.2 -0.4 1.3 0.2 -0.8 1.5 MINING AND QUARRYING Turnover Domestic Exports 13.0 13.0 - -7.8 -7.8 - 5.9 5.9 - -3.1 -3.1 - -2.6 -2.6 - Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -3.6 -7.0 -3.2 -8.2 -7.9 -6.4 -5.3 -7.3 -6.6 -6.1 -9.8 -7.7 -10.3 -6.9 -6.3 MANUFACTURING TOTAL Turnover Domestic Exports 0.8 11.1 -0.6 6.3 6.6 6.7 -2.1 -7.1 -3.1 2.8 -8.5 3.6 -9.9 27.9 -17.7 0.1 1.0 2.7 -0.2 0.2 3.0 -1.3 -0.4 1.8 -1.0 0.2 1.8 0.4 -1.0 1.2 ELECTRICITY AND WATER SUPPLY Turnover Domestic Exports -0.4 -0.4 - 7.8 7.8 - -1.1 -1.1 - 0.7 0.7 - -5.6 -5.6 - Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries 1.4 -1.3 3.8 -6.6 -7.6 1.0 -1.6 -3.5 -0.2 -2.3 -5.2 -1.4 -1.0 1.0 4.0 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries 2013 2014 Jan-July Jan-July Source: National Statistics Office 64 Economic Survey November 2014 Short-term Activity Indicators for Manufacturing (2010=100) Table 4.2 % of growth indices SECTORAL MANUFACTURING INDICES 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-July 2014 Jan-July MANUFACTURE OF FOOD PRODUCTS Turnover Domestic Exports -2.1 -0.3 -0.8 8.7 6.7 16.1 6.1 4.0 14.1 8.3 7.9 9.6 -2.5 -2.9 -0.8 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -2.2 -0.3 -3.0 3.7 2.2 6.1 -1.6 3.5 5.7 -1.6 3.6 5.5 -0.1 -3.0 3.2 MANUFACTURE OF BEVERAGES Turnover Domestic Exports 2.6 2.0 21.8 4.2 5.7 -33.7 6.6 6.4 20.2 5.9 5.2 47.4 5.3 5.3 9.3 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -1.6 -1.3 0.6 0.5 2.5 1.5 -3.6 0.6 3.8 -6.3 1.2 2.4 3.0 0.4 4.9 15.8 -14.7 16.4 -5.7 2.7 -5.8 -25.9 7.5 -26.3 -18.4 -2.2 -18.6 -29.8 73.4 -31.4 4.8 5.2 35.5 0.6 1.7 18.2 -8.9 -11.5 -17.7 -7.0 -6.4 -13.5 -6.5 -14.9 -18.6 -53.4 -24.1 -64.2 2.3 3.6 1.8 7.7 23.5 2.1 7.3 19.1 3.2 -33.3 -29.1 -35.2 -9.9 -7.2 3.5 -2.6 3.1 8.0 5.0 8.3 3.5 4.0 9.5 1.9 18.2 4.9 10.8 MANUFACTURE OF TEXTILES Turnover Domestic Exports Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries MANUFACTURE OF WEARING APPAREL Turnover Domestic Exports Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries Economic Survey November 2014 65 Short-term Activity Indicators for Manufacturing (2010=100) Table 4.2 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-July 2014 Jan-July MANUFACTURE OF LEATHER AND RELATED PRODUCTS Turnover Domestic Exports -7.6 -53.8 8.4 -3.2 -31.8 -0.2 9.8 -2.9 10.7 31.4 -2.9 33.8 -8.1 64.3 -14.6 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -32.1 -35.3 -29.4 -9.4 -6.2 -0.5 -6.3 -5.4 -7.6 -4.5 -3.2 -2.2 -17.2 -16.5 -10.5 MANUFACTURE OF WOOD AND WOOD PRODUCTS Turnover Domestic Exports -13.4 -3.4 -80.3 5.5 0.9 147.5 -1.3 -0.6 -10.0 3.3 4.6 -9.6 -36.4 -38.6 -14.4 0.7 3.0 6.2 -0.3 -1.7 0.4 0.9 3.0 3.1 -1.3 0.2 -0.6 5.3 4.6 6.1 MANUFACTURE OF PAPER AND PAPER PRODUCTS Turnover Domestic Exports 12.8 12.8 0.0 5.8 5.8 0.0 -2.3 -2.3 0.0 -1.3 -1.3 0.0 -9.5 -9.5 0.0 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -2.7 -1.4 -1.0 -1.7 -6.9 -2.8 0.5 2.5 -2.1 2.5 3.0 -0.5 -1.3 -5.0 -8.8 PRINTING AND REPRODUCTION OF RECORDED MEDIA Turnover Domestic Exports 25.5 25.6 21.3 2.2 2.6 0.8 -0.8 -34.5 12.5 6.6 -22.3 16.1 -17.9 -14.7 -20.0 0.4 5.7 3.8 -2.2 -0.3 4.6 -21.0 -24.8 -16.8 -17.1 -22.5 -16.0 -12.1 -4.8 -2.5 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries 66 continued Economic Survey November 2014 Short-term Activity Indicators for Manufacturing (2010=100) Table 4.2 continued 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-July 2014 Jan-July MANUFACTURE OF CHEMICALS AND CHEMICAL PRODUCTS Turnover Domestic Exports 7.5 8.8 -6.0 20.5 12.0 74.4 30.6 3.5 141.7 34.6 12.1 134.3 -26.5 -14.1 -43.8 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -0.1 -3.6 5.3 0.1 -0.1 3.3 8.1 7.1 9.2 8.6 8.8 9.0 0.7 -0.3 3.4 MANUFACTURE OF BASIC PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCTS Turnover Domestic Exports -0.8 23.7 -0.9 9.5 21.6 9.5 -0.3 -16.4 -0.3 -0.1 -20.1 -0.1 -20.6 -0.8 -20.7 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries 9.1 4.4 15.5 7.5 9.9 9.3 2.4 -4.7 2.7 5.4 -2.6 2.9 -8.8 -5.9 -8.1 MANUFACTURE OF RUBBER AND PLASTIC PRODUCTS Turnover Domestic Exports 12.3 25.9 8.9 10.6 36.8 -0.4 7.0 11.9 3.5 5.9 15.4 0.2 4.4 14.3 0.8 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries 10.5 13.1 7.9 9.1 10.4 7.8 11.8 15.0 15.6 15.9 19.4 16.8 7.1 4.9 4.4 Turnover Domestic Exports -4.8 -6.9 3.8 2.9 4.8 -18.6 -2.5 -1.0 -23.7 -2.9 -0.6 -32.5 13.7 13.2 26.2 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -7.5 -7.7 -3.5 -0.6 -1.6 0.4 -0.9 0.1 1.5 0.1 1.9 2.6 -3.5 -5.4 -4.2 MANUFACTURE OF OTHER NON-METALLIC PRODUCTS Economic Survey November 2014 67 Short-term Activity Indicators for Manufacturing (2010=100) Table 4.2 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-July 2014 Jan-July MANUFACTURE OF FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS Turnover Domestic Exports -3.3 -1.6 -10.7 -9.0 -8.2 -16.3 -0.3 -1.3 12.4 -11.5 -14.4 19.1 80.3 97.8 -40.2 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -10.4 -12.2 0.1 -6.6 -10.8 -9.7 -12.8 -14.3 -6.3 -14.7 -16.8 -11.6 -1.2 2.5 5.6 MANUFACTURE OF COMPUTER, ELECTRONIC AND OPTICAL PRODUCTS Turnover Domestic Exports 1.1 250.0 0.5 3.5 -23.9 4.0 -18.0 -86.3 -17.9 -7.4 -93.3 -7.1 -23.8 206.0 -24.2 4.3 4.3 -1.5 -4.7 -1.1 -2.5 -1.6 1.4 2.0 -2.9 3.4 2.7 -1.0 -2.9 1.7 -62.0 -17.5 -64.6 84.3 -9.7 99.5 46.3 -15.0 50.8 59.9 -17.4 63.9 -48.4 26.8 -50.0 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -1.4 -4.0 -4.3 -3.4 -0.4 -0.4 -2.2 -6.0 2.3 -2.3 -6.5 0.7 -2.3 -5.6 11.5 MANUFACTURE OF MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT N.E.C. Turnover Domestic Exports 24.2 27.0 18.2 -1.3 2.3 -4.1 -5.1 -14.5 2.7 -8.4 -17.9 -0.8 -16.1 -18.0 -12.5 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries 19.4 17.9 20.1 -1.4 -7.3 -0.2 4.9 8.6 12.5 1.9 5.7 11.4 5.5 -0.0 -2.8 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries MANUFACTURE OF ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT Turnover Domestic Exports 68 continued Economic Survey November 2014 Short-term Activity Indicators for Manufacturing (2010=100) Table 4.2 continued 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-July 2014 Jan-July MANUFACTURE OF MOTOR VECHICLES, TRAILERS AND SEMI-TRAILERS Turnover Domestic Exports 4.4 16.4 3.7 12.2 7.1 12.4 24.9 3.6 25.6 26.4 15.1 26.8 10.2 -13.0 11.0 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries 12.4 14.8 10.2 -1.0 -1.2 5.5 5.5 8.6 8.6 5.1 10.3 8.0 4.1 5.4 10.1 MANUFACTURE OF OTHER TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT Turnover Domestic Exports 13.8 13.8 - 9.9 9.9 - -3.0 -3.0 - -8.5 -8.5 - -35.4 -35.4 - Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries 5.2 18.4 11.2 -2.0 -13.2 3.5 3.8 18.1 23.6 5.2 42.4 16.3 2.9 -3.3 27.2 MANUFACTURE OF FURNITURE Turnover Domestic Exports -16.4 -11.9 0.0 -2.0 -2.0 0.0 8.8 8.8 0.0 12.5 12.5 0.0 27.7 27.7 0.0 Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries -12.4 -16.1 -16.8 -2.8 -6.8 -5.7 1.7 1.2 2.3 1.8 -0.7 3.2 -0.7 -4.2 -4.6 18.4 10.2 15.0 2.6 -2.8 3.3 9.4 11.2 10.0 11.8 9.6 12.3 -1.7 -0.5 -0.3 6.0 5.5 6.5 -1.4 -0.7 4.7 -0.1 -1.7 3.2 0.1 -2.7 3.9 6.0 0.6 0.7 OTHER MANUFACTURING Turnover Domestic Exports Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries Economic Survey November 2014 69 Short-term Activity Indicators for Manufacturing (2010=100) Table 4.2 REPAIR AND INSTALLATION OF MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT Turnover Domestic Exports Employment Hours Worked Wages and salaries continued 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-July 2014 Jan-July 9.5 36.3 -15.0 14.6 68.5 9.6 3.6 -2.7 8.0 -8.3 -38.3 -3.4 16.8 120.7 0.9 -6.1 -9.1 -7.5 -3.6 -1.9 1.1 -2.2 -2.7 -0.1 -3.3 -4.2 0.1 1.9 3.4 7.8 Source: National Statistics Office Agriculture and Fisheries The value of the agriculture and fisheries sector stems from the important environmental impact this sector has in view of the utilisation of important natural resources. Notwithstanding its relatively small contribution to the Maltese economy, this sector ensures the availability of fresh regional produce to the local population, while also contributing to tourism and to the local heritage. A decrease of 7.0 per cent in the gross value added from the agriculture and fisheries sector was recorded during the first six months of 2014 when compared to the same period a year earlier. Consequently, this resulted in a lower contribution by the agriculture and fisheries sector in relation to the total gross value added, which decreased from 1.6 per cent in the first six months of 2013 to 1.4 per cent during the same period in 2014. The sector’s contribution to total gross value added was also slightly lower than that registered on average during the period 2010-2013, which averaged 1.6 per cent. Agriculture The total volume of slaughtered beef, pork and broilers increased by 2.8 per cent to 7,466 tonnes during the first eight months of 2014, when compared to the same period in 2013. This can be attributed mainly to a 7.2 per cent increase in the volume of slaughtered pork, which is on a rising trend following the 70 Economic Survey November 2014 closure of a number of farms during 2011. As can be seen in Table 4.3, in the period under review, the volume of slaughtered beef increased by 2.2 per cent, while the slaughtering of broilers declined by 3.1 per cent. The amount of fresh fruit and vegetables sold on organised markets during the first eight months of 2014 was 31,586 tonnes, which is in line with the sales in the same period in 2013. However, the composition of the sold fresh fruit and vegetables has slightly changed, with an increase of 12.3 per cent in the volume of fresh fruit sold and a decrease of 0.7 per cent in sales of fresh vegetables. The increase in the volume of fresh fruit can be mainly attributed to increases in the sales of strawberries and sweet oranges. Between January and August 2014, the wholesale value of agricultural products sold through organised markets fell by 10.1 per cent, to €13.1 million, when compared to the same period in 2013. This resulted from a 12.2 per cent fall in the wholesale value of fresh vegetables, which was partly compensated by an increase of 0.8 per cent in the value of fresh fruit. The decline in wholesale value of fresh vegetables was mainly due to a decline in value for dry onions, potatoes, vegetable marrows and watermelons. During the same period, as shown in Table 4.4, the total value of imports of Agricultural Indicators Table 4.3 Slaughtering (tonnes) Beef Pork Broilers 2013 Jan-Aug 2014 Jan-Aug 759 3,758 2,746 775 4,028 2,662 2010=100 Fresh Fruit Price Index Volume Index 134.9 95.0 112.9 106.7 Fresh Vegetables Price Index Volume Index 97.8 108.9 86.8 108.1 Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 71 Imports of Major Agricultural Commodities Table 4.4 Live Animals Meat and Edible Offals Fish Dairy Produce Edible Fruits and Nuts Cereals Preparations of Meat, Fish Sugar & Confectionery Cereal Prep. Veg. and Fruit Prep. Misc. Edible Prep. Beverages, Spirits, Vinegar Feeds Total € million 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-Aug 2014 Jan-Aug 0.3 49.9 24.4 41.6 31.3 27.8 36.8 23.4 53.6 22.2 33.1 47.1 31.3 0.3 50.1 57.3 43.4 30.4 50.3 42.1 23.8 53.7 25.4 34.1 53.5 34.7 0.3 49.6 53.7 44.4 33.6 44.3 42.7 23.8 57.8 26.4 33.5 55.8 35.1 0.2 32.0 39.2 28.4 21.4 30.9 29.3 16.3 36.5 18.1 23.5 37.6 21.5 0.1 32.4 36.2 29.2 20.7 17.3 31.5 12.8 35.3 17.5 25.4 39.1 21.1 422.8 499.1 501.0 334.9 318.6 Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding. Source: National Statistics Office major agricultural commodities declined by 4.9 per cent to €318.6 million. The major contributors to this decline were cereals, which decreased by 44.0 per cent, equivalent to €13.6 million and sugar & confectionery, which decreased by 21.5 per cent, equivalent to €3.5 million. Fisheries Notwithstanding its small size, the Maltese fisheries sector provides an important contribution to the environment and the social-economic aspect of the country. The fisheries sector mainly utilises traditional fishing methods and fish farming aquaculture methods. Traditional fishing techniques mainly provide for dolphinfish (lampuki), blue fin tuna and swordfish for the local community. Aquaculture fish farming, on the other hand, caters mostly for the export sector. During the period January-August 2014, the price and volume indices of fresh fish changed only marginally when compared to the same period of 2013. An increase of 0.2 per cent was registered in the volume index of fresh fish, while the price index fell by 1.5 per cent. This reflects a total of 571 tonnes of fresh fish landings with a total value of €3.8 million recorded during the first eight months of 2014. 72 Economic Survey November 2014 Box 4.2 Economic Accounts for Agriculture 2013 Agricultural production in Malta is mainly composed of livestock products, crop products, animal products and secondary activities, which include the production of wine and cheese. This productive sector faces a number of challenges mainly arising from the size of the country and the limited availability of agricultural land, which makes it difficult to exploit the benefits of economies of scale. The scarcity in agricultural water supply and the fragmented land ownership arising from traditional inheritance patterns are also amongst the challenges faced by this sector in Malta. The final production of the agricultural sector at basic prices increased by 3.3 per cent in 2013, when compared to 2012. This increase in production was mainly attributable to an increase in livestock products of 5.8 per cent which together with increases registered in animal products (4.2 per cent) and crop production (1.9 per cent) more than outweighed a decline of 4.6 per cent in secondary activities, which includes the production of wine and cheese, during the same period. Overall, final total production has increased nominally by around €4.3 million in the period under review. Table 1 indicates that final production at basic prices has grown each year since 2010, with the largest growth rate being registered between 2012 and 2013. During 2010-2013, the composition of individual agricultural activities as a proportion of the final agricultural production did not follow a particular trend. However, on average, the share of crop products as a proportion of total final Final Production at Basic Prices by Type of Product at Current Market Prices Table 1 € thousand 2010 Final production at basic prices Livestock products Animal products Crop products Secondary activities 2011 2012 2013 126,134 127,421 127,962 132,213 45,256 44,172 43,001 45,492 24,083 24,201 28,168 29,343 49,803 52,299 49,323 50,250 6,992 6,749 7,470 7,128 Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 73 Box 4.2 cont. production stood at 39.3 per cent, while the share of livestock products and animal products was 34.6 per cent and 20.6 per cent, respectively. Secondary activities contributed the least to final production, with an average of 5.5 per cent, during the four years under review. As illustrated in Table 2, intermediate consumption at purchase prices has overall declined by 2.5 per cent in 2013, when compared to 2012. This can be mainly attributed to the continued decline in all components of the various services, as well as a decline in animal feed which in total declined by 4.4 per cent and 2.0 per cent, respectively. The highest contributor to the decline registered in the various services category was the other agricultural services component. A decline of 3.6 per cent in energy and lubricants, which was mainly caused by a decline in other fuels and propellants, was also experienced, nevertheless, due to its small share, its negative contribution to total intermediate consumption was low. On the other hand, the cropping category increased by 1.6 per cent, mainly due to increases in the fertilisers and soil improvers component. Factor income at current market prices for the agricultural sector increased by 7.1 per cent in 2013, mainly due to the 3.4 per cent increase in total final production at producer prices and the 2.5 per cent decrease in intermediate consumption. As a result of the continued phasing out of the Special Market Factor Income at Current Prices Table 2 € thousand 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total final production at producer prices add subsidies on production 121,877 125,185 126,265 130,526 4,258 2,236 1,697 1,687 Total final production at basic prices less intermediate consumption 126,135 127,421 127,962 132,213 67,680 71,055 70,902 69,123 Gross value added at basic prices less fixed capital consumption 58,455 6,745 56,365 6,967 57,060 6,891 63,091 7,647 Net value added at basic prices add other subsidies not directly linked with production 51,710 49,398 50,169 55,444 24,807 17,319 18,212 17,816 Factor income at current prices 76,518 66,717 68,381 73,260 Source: National Statistics Office 74 Economic Survey November 2014 Box 4.2 cont. Policy Programme for Maltese Agriculture (SMPPMA), subsidies on production have declined by 0.6 per cent. Other subsidies which are not directly linked with production also registered a decrease. Table 3 illustrates the distribution of factor income at current prices. The increase of 7.1 per cent in factor income was mainly earned by entrepreneurs, who experienced an increase in entrepreneurial income of 8.1 per cent in 2013. It is noteworthy that the largest share of factor income was derived from profits, which were on average around 92.0 per cent of the total factor income, followed by wages with an average share of 5.7 per cent. In 2013, compensation of employees and rents decreased by 5.5 per cent and 2.4 per cent, respectively. On the other hand, interest increased by 11.2 per cent. Table 4 illustrates the annual producer price indices related to agricultural products for the period 2010-2013. Changes in prices of fruit, vegetables, animals and animal products are represented in the output index, while changes in the prices of raw materials and services utilized by the agricultural sector are represented by the input price index. The narrower the gap between the input costs and the value of outputs, the greater the compression experienced in the profitability gap of the agricultural sector. Such dynamics are explained by the relative rate of change between the two price indices. The output price index and the input price index increased by 1.2 per cent and 1.0 per cent, respectively in 2013, when compared to 2012. The main driver behind the increase in the output price index was a broad-based increase in the sub-categories mainly led by increases registered in animals, animal products and potatoes and which more than outweighed the decline registered in the price Distribution of Factor Income (at Current Prices) Table 3 Factor Income Entrepreneurial income (profits) Compensation of employees (wages) Interest Rents € thousand 2010 2011 2012 2013 76,517 70,426 4,606 1,028 457 66,717 60,741 4,616 841 519 68,380 62,680 4,457 762 481 73,260 67,731 4,212 848 469 Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 75 Box 4.2 cont. Annual producer price indices for agricultural products (2010 = 100) Table 4 Weight 2010 2011 2012 2013 100.0 100.0 103.2 113.2 114.6 Forage 3.4 100.0 111.8 113.9 115.5 Potatoes 4.6 100.0 89.8 114.6 128.1 26.3 100.0 100.9 116.0 103.1 4.7 100.0 84.5 90.6 99.5 Animals 39.2 100.0 102.6 108.4 114.6 Animal products 21.8 100.0 112.4 122.8 128.7 100.0 100.0 109.4 114.8 115.9 80.3 100.0 111.0 116.3 117.8 4.5 100.0 99.8 101.0 99.8 10.3 2.3 1.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 118.1 101.8 55.5 124.0 105.2 55.5 124.2 111.2 55.8 Veterinary expenses 1.7 100.0 107.1 102.4 103.5 Animal feeding stuffs 37.6 100.0 119.5 128.4 130.3 Maintenance of materials 8.4 100.0 101.6 102.5 107.0 Maintenance of buildings Other goods and services 2.9 11.5 100.0 100.0 103.1 97.6 107.3 98.4 110.5 97.8 19.7 100.0 103.2 108.7 108.1 Output index at producer prices Fresh vegetables Fruit Input total Goods and services currently consumed in agriculture Seeds and planting stock Energy; lubricants Fertilisers and soil improvers Plant protection products and pesticides Goods and services contributing to agricultural investment Source: National Statistics Office of fresh vegetables. The increase in the price of inputs can be mainly attributed to the increase in the price of fertilisers and soil improvers and maintenance of materials which increased by 5.7 per cent and 4.4 per cent, respectively, in the period under review. These increases more than outweighed the marginal declines registered in the price of other goods and services and the price of seeds and planting stock, as well as a decline in the price index for goods and services contributing to agricultural investment. 76 Economic Survey November 2014 5. Services Activities 5. Services Activities This Chapter presents developments within Malta’s services sector, with a particular focus on the domestic tourism industry. As well as analysing the developments within the tourism sector, some of the regulatory, development and investment promotion activities within the services sector, will also be reviewed. Tourism In the first eight months of 2014, tourist activity has continued to prosper, with inbound tourism increasing by 8.4 per cent, over the previous corresponding period as total incoming tourists rose from 1,067,204 to 1,157,238. An increase was recorded in the majority of salient tourism indicators over last year, including, the nights spent by inbound tourists, which increased by 4.9 per cent as well as the expenditure from inbound tourism, which rose by 6.5 per cent. Average full-time employment in the accommodation and food service activities recorded an increase, albeit less pronounced, of 0.7 per cent during the year to May 2014. With regards to the cruise passenger industry, arrivals that exclude the embarkations and the Maltese cruise passenger arrivals, increased by 2.7 per Main Tourism Indicators Table 5.1 2011 Inbound Tourists 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Aug Jan-Aug 1,157,238 1,415,018 1,443,414 1,582,153 1,067,204 Nights spent (000’s) 11,241 11,860 12,890 8,835 9,264 Cruise Passengers* 493,172 555,680 424,566 305,083(1) 313,174(1) 9,612 9,800 9,909 9,894(2) 9,962(2) Average full-time employment in accommodation and food services activities** *Excluding embarkations and Maltese cruise passengers. **The data presented is based on the distribution of the administrative records of the ETC of the gainfully occupied population according to the standard NACE classification of economic activities. (1) Data for January-September. (2) Data shows average for January-May. Source: National Statistics Office, Employment and Training Corporation Economic Survey November 2014 79 cent between January to September of this year over the corresponding period of 2013. This positive outcome in the tourism industry reflects the collaboration between the Government, the Malta Tourism Authority (MTA) and the other involved stakeholders which continued to enhance accessibility to Malta as well as ensure adequate seat capacity and stress product development. Table 5.1 and Appendix Table VI present a selection of tourism indicators. Monthly Distribution Inbound tourists recorded a positive result throughout the first eight months of 2014. Arrivals during the first half of 2014, reached a significant level of 724,755, an 8.7 per cent increase over the previous corresponding period. A glance at the monthly figures which are presented in Table 5.2, and illustrated in Chart 5.1, reveals that August remained the peak month of inbound tourism during the period under review, accounting for 20.3 per cent of the inbound tourists, followed by July with a share of 17.1 per cent. With Easter falling in April, there was also a significant increase of 11.3 per cent in tourist arrivals in April of this year over April 2013. Table 5.3 shows the quarterly distribution of tourist departures for the period January to December 2010 to 2013. When compared to 2012, in 2013, the share of inbound tourists declined in the first and third quarters and increased in the second and fourth quarters. Such a pattern suggests a lower element of Chart 5.1 Inbound Tourists Thousand 250 200 Total 150 100 50 0 UK Aug-08 80 Aug-09 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Aug-13 Aug-14 Economic Survey November 2014 Monthly Inbound Tourists Table 5.2 January February 2011 2012 2013 2014 64,092 61,353 64,887 69,525 65,661 61,788 61,442 65,299 March 100,203 80,142 89,286 97,800 April 120,817 122,979 133,173 148,188 May 130,355 133,648 155,366 166,497 June 138,733 147,361 162,879 177,446 July 162,994 174,805 181,899 197,389 August 191,570 199,430 218,271 235,094 January/August 974,424 981,505 1,067,204 1,157,238 0.7 8.7 8.4 % change September 153,989 163,251 176,370 October 147,886 151,794 173,306 November 83,817 85,491 99,928 December 54,902 61,373 65,345 1,415,018 1,443,414 1,582,153 2.0 9.6 Total % change Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 81 Quarterly Distribution of Inbound Tourists Table 5.3 per cent 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1 13.8 16.3 14.1 13.6 Q2 27.4 27.6 28.0 28.5 Q3 37.8 35.9 37.2 36.4 Q4 21.0 20.3 20.7 21.4 Source: National Statistics Office seasonality in tourism in Malta in 2013, with a reduction in the troughs and peaks when compared to the previous years. Tourist Nationality Chart 5.2 illustrates the relative market share of Malta’s main source markets over January to December 1990 to 2013. The UK remained the major market in the Maltese tourism sector, notwithstanding the fact that its share has declined from 51.6 per cent in 1990 to 28.7 per cent in 2013. The German market increased its share between 1990 and 2000 but then registered a drop in its market share to 9.3 per cent in 2013. By contrast, the share of the Italian market fluctuated from 7.3 per cent in 1990 to 14.8 per cent in 2013. Meanwhile, the share of the French market increased to 6.5 per cent in 1995 and subsequently increased to 7.4 per cent in 2013. The share of the ‘other’ markets category increased from 22.2 per cent in 1990 to 39.8 per cent in 2013. As indicated in Table 5.4, which provides a detailed breakdown of tourist departures by nationality, during the first eight months of 2014, marked additions were registered in almost all of the tourist markets. The largest absolute increases stemmed from the UK market with an increase of 23,577 tourists constituting more than a quarter of the overall increase, followed by that of the Italian market with an increase of 20,199 tourists. Notable increases were recorded in departures originating from Libya, mainly resulting from the political developments which caused significant increases of Libyan arrivals in Malta, in the months of July and August. Tourist arrivals from France, the 82 Economic Survey November 2014 Chart 5.2 Tourist Market Shares* per cent January-December 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 UK Germany Italy 1990 France 2000 1995 Others 2013 *As from 2001 tourism data is based on the Inbound Tourism Survey, and therefore is not strictly comparable to previous periods. Until March 2004, data for sea arrivals was taken from embarkation cards. Thereafter, data for sea departures was taken from the Inbound Tourism Survey. Inbound Tourists by Nationality Table 5.4 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Aug Jan-Aug 327,705 United Kingdom 438,783 441,275 454,659 304,128 Germany 134,306 137,500 147,110 93,342 88,246 Italy 201,774 202,200 233,777 163,756 183,955 France 103,629 107,893 116,533 83,991 91,867 Spain 63,088 60,223 53,278 40,050 29,819 Netherlands 38,897 39,191 41,486 29,504 31,705 Scandinavia* 93,783 97,363 105,068 70,416 76,605 6,273 17,217 34,621 19,975 27,517 31,742 27,279 28,948 20,251 22,386 Libya Belgium Austria 19,647 19,827 25,739 18,225 18,786 Switzerland 25,046 25,758 28,702 18,505 20,584 USA 16,499 18,027 19,502 13,381 15,115 Others 241,552 249,661 292,728 191,681 222,948 TOTAL 1,415,018 1,443,414 1,582,153 1,067,204 1,157,238 *Includes Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 83 Scandinavian countries, Netherlands, Belgium and Switzerland also increased considerably whereas the Spanish and the German market recorded declines of 10,231 and 5,096 arrivals, respectively. Cruise Passengers The contractionary trend in cruise passenger arrivals recorded in 2013 was reversed in the first three quarters of 2014, with the number of cruise passengers (excluding embarkations and Maltese cruise passengers) increasing from 305,083 arrivals to 313,174 arrivals. From January to September of this year, there were 203 cruise liner calls an increase of 9 calls over the corresponding 2013 level. Furthermore, during the same period, the French market was the main source market of the arrivals with an absolute increase of 15,512 passengers, followed by the German market with an increase of 9,769 arrivals. It is noteworthy that 21,183 passengers of the total cruise passengers spent a night at a hotel in Malta, in comparison to 7,156 passengers in the same period of 2013. Accommodation Table 5.5 provides data on accommodation capacity by category of units and beds for the period ending August 2014. It is to be noted that the MTA licensing department has reclassified all collective accommodation establishments which were registered as aparthotels to hotels. This was due to the publication of Legal Notice 351 of 2012 ‘Tourism Accommodation Establishment Regulations’, which conformed Malta’s classification of hotels to the criteria issued by the EU. These changes were taken on board as from January 2013. As a result of these changes, the ‘tourist village’ category was added to the ‘Guesthouses’ category whereas previously it was added to the ‘Aparthotels’ category. As illustrated in Table 5.5, by the end of August 2014, the number of hotels increased by 16 units over the December 2013 level, reflecting increases in the number of 4-Star, 3-Star and 2-Star hotels. In terms of hotel bed-stock capacity, this resulted in an increase of 5,730 beds or 17.5 per cent. During the same period, the total number of guesthouses and hostels increased by 4 units and the number of beds in this category rose by 93 beds or 3.1 per cent. Another important indicator in the analysis of the tourism industry is the occupancy rate for various types of accommodation. As shown in Table 5.6, from January to August 2014, all the accommodation categories except for the 2-Star category, reached their peak inflow in August. During August, the 5-Star hotel accommodation category recorded the highest occupancy rate of 98 per cent followed by that of the 4-Star hotel with 91.0 per cent occupancy rate. 84 Economic Survey November 2014 Main Types of Tourist Accommodation Table 5.5 2012 (Dec) 2013 (Dec) 2014 (Aug) Establishments Bed-Places Establishments Bed-Places Establishments Bed-Places Hotels 5-Star 15 6,909 15 6,904 15 7,256 4-Star 37 14,995 38 13,759 45 18,038 3-Star 33 7,870 43 10,684 49 11,593 2-Star 7 519 13 1,372 16 1,562 92 30,293 109 32,719 125 38,449 1,337 Total Other N.E.C.* Guesthouses 13 390 22 1,310 24 Aparthotels 19 3,885 - - - - 7 1,293 15 1,654 17 1,720 39 5,568 37 2,964 41 3,057 Hostels Other N.E.C. Total * The Malta Tourism Authority (MTA) licensing department reclassified all collective accommodation establishments registered as aparthotels to hotels (refer to Legal Notice 351, 2012). These changes were taken on board from January 2013. The ‘tourist village’ category was added to the ‘Guesthouses. category from January 2013, whereas previously it was added to the ‘Aparthotels’ category. Source: National Statistics Office Over the period January to August 2014, the 4-Star hotel category recorded the highest average occupancy rate of 72.0 per cent from that of 67.0 per cent in the same 2013 period. This result was followed by that of the 5-Star hotel, which increased to 69.0 per cent, from an average occupancy rate of 65.0 per cent in the corresponding period of 2013. The average length of stay by tourists is another important indicator of the performance of the tourism industry. Between January and August 2014, the average length of stay declined marginally to 8 nights. This marginal decline may be attributable to the fact that during the period under review, business travellers, who on average tend to spend fewer nights than leisure visitors, accounted for a significant proportion of the increase in arrivals. Economic Survey November 2014 85 Monthly Accommodation Occupancy Rates* Table 5.6 per cent Hotels Hostels & Guesthouses1 5-Star 4-Star 3-Star 2-Star 65 67 57 47 44 January 34 41 31 29 25 February 43 54 36 36 25 March 48 61 43 43 32 April 72 72 54 50 43 2013 Average (Jan-Aug) 2014 May 76 73 61 51 44 June 82 79 65 52 49 July 91 89 82 66 61 August 98 91 84 64 62 Average (Jan-Aug) 69 72 58 50 43 * Net Occupancy levels for Collective Accommodation Establishments based on the ACCOMSTAT Census 1 The Malta Tourism Authority (MTA) licensing department reclassified all collective accommodation establishments registered as aparthotels to hotels (refer to Legal Notice 351, 2012). These changes were taken on board from January 2013. Source: National Statistics Office Employment During the period of January to May of 2013, employment in the accommodation and food service activities increased from an average of 9,894 persons between January and May 2013 to an average of 9,962 persons, hence exhibiting an increase of 68 jobs. As a share of the gainfully occupied population, employment in this sector declined marginally by 0.2 percentage points, to 6.2 per cent. Similarly, as a share of the total private gainfully occupied population, the private sector employment in the accommodation and food service activities declined marginally by 0.2 percentage points, to 8.5 per cent. 86 Economic Survey November 2014 Tourism Earnings The source of the data presented in this section is the Tourstat survey used by the National Statistics Office (NSO) and is therefore not comparable with previous issues of the Economic Survey, where the data source for expenditure was the Balance of Payments, also used by the NSO. During January to August 2014, total spending reached €1,050.6 million, up by 6.5 per cent in annual terms, as shown in Table 5.7 and Chart 5.3. This year-on-year increase in expenditure was mainly the result of a 9.0 per cent increase in non-package spending which in turn reflected increases in both fares and accommodation, with the latter registering a higher rise of 14.8 per cent, than the former with an increase of around 4.0 per cent. Tourists’ expenditure on package holidays increased by 4.2 per cent during the period under review, while expenditure on the ‘other’ component of tourist expenditure increased by 6.8 per cent. In per capita terms, tourist expenditure decreased by 1.8 per cent to €907.8 while expenditure per nights spent increased to €113.4 from January toAugust 2014 from €111.7 in the corresponding 2013 period. Expenditure from Inbound Tourism* Table 5.7 Total Expenditure (€ million) Per Capita Expenditure (€) Expenditure Per Nights Spent (€) 2011 1,221.3 863.1 108.6 2012 1,326.5 919.0 111.8 2013 1,440.4 910.4 111.7 2013 (Jan-Aug) 986.5 924.4 111.7 2014 (Jan-Aug) 1,050.6 907.8 113.4 *This table is not comparable with the same table in previous issues of the Economic Survey since as from this Survey, the source of data is the Tourstat Survey. Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 87 Chart 5.3 Expenditure from Inbound Tourism Euro million 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan - Aug Regulatory Activity This section focuses on the developments within the regulatory authorities in the services industry in Malta during the period January to September 2014, in particular, the Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA) and the Lotteries and Gaming Authority (LGA). The MFSA is the single regulator and supervisory authority for the financial services activities in Malta, while the LGA is Malta’s regulatory agency for online gaming. Malta Financial Services Authority During the period January to September 2014, the MFSA has continued to take an active part in the European System of Financial Supervisors (ESFS) and in the three European Supervisory Authorities, which include the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the European Banking Authority (EBA), the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA), along with the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB). The MFSA has also been involved in on-going work related to the establishment of the Banking Union, in particular the Single Supervisory Mechanism conferring banking supervisory powers to the European Central Bank (ECB), and the proposed Single Resolution Mechanism, which jointly contribute to enhance financial stability. With the aim of addressing its macro-prudential supervisory role, the MFSA 88 Economic Survey November 2014 issued a revised version of Rule 01 of 2012 on Foreign Currency Lending. Through these changes, new provisions that reflect guidelines issued by the EBA on capital measures for foreign currency lending to unhedged borrowers under the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP),could be incorporated. The MFSA has also worked on the implementation of ESRB Recommendation on Funding of Credit Institutions. Additional legislative developments were undertaken by the MFSA during the period under review. On 28 March 2014, two Legal Notices concerning the Investment Services Act (Legal Notice 105 of 2004 and Legal Notice 106 of 2014) were published. Moreover, on 25 April 2014, the Trusts and Trustees (Amendment) Act made amendments with the objective of enhancing Malta’s status as a trustee jurisdiction. Furthermore, the MFSA has been involved in EU development work on the Capital Requirements Directive IV, Solvency II, the Insurance Mediation Directive, and the Directive on Institutions for Occupational Retirement Provision (IORP) Directive. Between January and September 2014, the MFSA formalised the implementation of the National Private Placement Regime (NPPR) in Malta. This regime allows Alternative Investment Fund Managers (AIFMs) to market Alternative Investment Funds (AIFs) in the instances where these cannot be marketed, in terms of the passporting regimes outlined in Articles 31 to 33 of the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD). The MFSA has also signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Financial Intelligence Analysis Unit (FIAU), with the objective of further preventing money laundering and funding of terrorism. During the same period, a significant number of new licences were issued by the Authority. Financial institutions were issued 4 new licenses, increasing the total to 33. In total, 18 investment services licences were issued, leading to 137 licences by the end of September 2014. The number of recognised fund administrators increased by a unit to 28 administrations. The MFSA also issued 88 new Collective Investment Scheme (CIS) licences, increasing the total number of CIS licences to 1,074, as at the end of September 2014. With regards to insurance companies, 2 new licenses were issued, bringing the total to 59 insurance companies. Moreover, trustees increased by 4, to an aggregate of 143 trustees. In the first nine months of 2014, 3,597 companies and partnerships were registered with the Registry of Companies. With regards to retirement schemes, 3 schemes and 2 administrators were licensed, increasing the total retirement Economic Survey November 2014 89 schemes to 35 and administrators to 14. Furthermore during the same period, licenses to 4 asset managers were issued, increasing the total of asset managers to 10. Lotteries and Gaming Authority Malta’s Lotteries and Gaming Authority (LGA) is an independent regulatory body established under The Lotteries and Other Games Act, Chapter 438 of the Laws of Malta. The LGA is responsible for the regulation of all forms of gaming in Malta (online and land based), including those of casinos, amusement machines, gaming devices, distance communication games (remote gaming), commercial bingo halls, national lottery and other lotteries, sports betting, and non-profit games. During the first nine months of 2014, the total number of licenses increased by 27.0 per cent, whereby class 1 licenses increased from 155 in the corresponding 2013 period to 218, class 2 licenses increased from 83 to 94, class 3 licenses increased from 61 to 67, while class 4 licenses increased from 44 to 56 licenses. During the same period under review, the total number of companies in this sector increased from 232 to 276. There were 640 permits for 1,544 tombola sessions and 32 permits for small lotteries. In all, the LGA regulates more than 400 licenses spread within a portfolio of 265 international companies. Moreover, looking at the legal and regulatory developments that took place during this year in this sector, the LGA initiated a number of consultations with the industry in order to identify and address a number of key priority areas warranting special focus. Furthermore, the LGA has also published a number of policy updates aimed at reducing bureaucracy and simplifying compliance for both land based and remote based activities. A set of amendments to the Gaming Devices Regulations were introduced by means of Legal Notice 85 of 2014 with the aim of make the gaming devices market more attractive and competitive by further protecting players, increasing players’ winnings, and alleviating the problems faced by licensees. Through Legal Notice 12 of 2014, the LGA has launched the Responsible Gaming Fund Regulations with the aim of organising and funding projects that are directed to the rehabilitation of gamers and encouraging activities alternative to gaming. Other initiatives that were undertaken include the educational campaigns about responsible gaming, and directing funds for the support of individuals affected by gaming related problems. Furthermore, the LGA has actively participated at EU level at expert groups 90 Economic Survey November 2014 related to gambling services and consumer protection as well as match fixing. Besides, the LGA has contributed towards the drafting of the 4th Anti-Money Laundering Directive. It has also continued to participate in the negotiations which led to the finalisation of the drafting of the Council of Europe Convention against the Manipulation of Sports Competitions, which ended in January 2014. In addition, the LGA has introduced regulatory statements that attest the probity and compliance aspects of its licensees’ operations in order to, assist them when applying in other markets and to facilitate their application process. By the end of September 2014, 31 regulatory statements were issued in favour of licensees. Development and Investment Promotion Malta Enterprise (ME), which is the national economic development agency, is empowered and regulated by the Malta Enterprise Act and the Business Promotion Act. ME’s core business is the promotion of direct investment, both local and foreign, with the key objectives of, promoting exports, research and development and innovation (R&D&I), industrial clusters, and an ongoing relationship between education and industry. While the Malta Industrial Parks Ltd. (MIPL), which works closely to ME, administers and maintains a substantial portfolio of industrial spaces including over 500 factories in various industrial estates as well as the Safi Aviation Services Park. Between January and September 2014, the Corporation approved 106 projects, of which 71 were carried out by locally-owned companies and 35 by foreign owned companies. Approved projects were related to activities in a number of sectors including, pharmaceuticals, manufacturing, digital game development, energy and environment, as well as electronics, printing and the provision of specialised services. These projects benefited from, working space and industrial premises as well as incentives and support measures intended to facilitate new productive investment and expansions. In fact, during this period, ME has reviewed and approved Investment Aid Tax Credits based on eligible investment for a total value of €46.5 million in favour of 187 beneficiaries. ME continued to offer support aimed primarily at small to medium sized enterprises (SMEs), whereby during January-September 2014, ME processed around €7.0 million in fiscal aid for SMEs, in order to help them improve the quality of their operations, services and products. ME also offered fiscal incentives through schemes such as Get Qualified and MicroInvest. Indeed in the first nine months of 2014, the Corporation approved 551 applications under the Get Qualified Scheme, to a value of €3.0 million Economic Survey November 2014 91 in tax credits while around 890 enterprises benefited from the MicroInvest Scheme with a total tax credit value of €6.2 million for a declared investment of €16.9 million. Through the Enterprise Europe Network (EEN), 15 cross border partnership agreements were signed in 2014. With respect to business incubation, 2 new start-up companies started their pre-incubation program at the Kordin Business Incubation Centre (KBIC) such that as at end of September 2014, occupancy at KBIC stood at 75.0 per cent. Furthermore, in March 2014, a MoU was signed with MCAST, whereby a number of units within KBIC were dedicated to students seeking to set up their own business. As a result, by June 2014, 4 such projects were approved. During the period under review, MIPL concluded the organisational review it undertook and restructured its finances. MIPL managed to facilitate the expansion projects and job creation for existing companies as well as for a number of SMEs, with an allocation of a total of 27 factories and 14 sites for the development of factories and workshops. This amounted to more than 100,000 sqm of industrial space. In the administration of the European Regional Development Funds (ERDF), MIPL continued with the project for the embellishment of 4 industrial estates and the construction of 3 new child care centres with a total project cost of €16.0 million. In addition, ME continued to be actively engaged in promoting the Life Sciences Park internationally, whereby the first tenants will start operating by not later than the first quarter of 2015. Furthermore, in view of the fact that Malta is emerging as an important destination in the production of digital games, ME has continued its work on the Digital Hub. Work on this project is reaching its final stages of completion, with the target completion date of the first quarter of 2015. ME continued to promote Gozo’s economic development. During the period under review, in collaboration with the Ministry for Gozo, several commitments were agreed including a feasibility study that will be carried out on the laying of a fibre optic cable between Malta and Gozo. ME is also focusing on setting up a world class medical and rehabilitation hub in Gozo within the framework of a medical tourism perspective with the aim of promoting FDI in the field of advanced education and training. ME is also committed to facilitating the provision of infrastructure without which the development of a digital hub in Gozo would not be possible. 92 Economic Survey November 2014 6. Prices and Incomes 6. Prices and Incomes This Chapter provides an analysis of domestic price movements during the twelve months to September 2014, together with a comparison of Malta’s inflation rate to that of other EU Member States. Furthermore, it also includes an analysis of the developments in average sectoral wages, on the basis of collective agreements of a representative sample of companies deposited within the Department of Industrial and Employment Relations. The Harmonised Index for Consumer Prices (HICP) rate published by Eurostat provides the official measure of consumer price inflation in the Eurozone for the purposes of monetary policy in the Euro Area and assessing inflation convergence as required under the Maastricht criteria. Malta’s monthly yearon-year harmonised inflation rate (HICP) as reported by Eurostat continued to show lower levels when compared to previous years. In fact, it increased gradually from 0.6 per cent in September 2013 to 1.6 per cent in February 2014 and decreased again to 0.6 per cent in September 2014. The 12-month moving average inflation rate stood at 0.8 per cent in September of this year down from 1.6 per cent in September 2013. The overall average weekly wage increased by €4.50 or 1.6 per cent. The highest weekly wage increase of 1.9 per cent was registered in the Transport and the Community and Business sub-sectors. Meanwhile, the highest percentage share of employees (35.3 per cent) earned a weekly wage within the range of €233.40 and €283.39 while around 19.1 per cent of all employees in the sample earned an average weekly wage of more than €333.40. Inflation International Comparison Table 6.1 presents data on the inflation rates for European Union (EU) Members States as at September 2014. The inflation rate is based on the HICP, which enables direct comparability among Member States. In addition, Chart 6.1 shows domestic inflationary trends in the 12-month moving average and annual HICP. Inflationary developments in the EU in September 2014 show that Romania registered the highest annual rate of inflation at 1.8 per cent, followed by Finland at 1.5 per cent, Austria at 1.4 per cent, United Kingdom and Latvia both at 1.2 per cent. On the other hand, eight countries recorded negative inflation with the Economic Survey November 2014 95 Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (September 2014) Table 6.1 per cent Member States Annual Rate 12-Month Moving Average Austria Belgium Bulgaria Cyprus Croatia Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom 1.4 0.2 -1.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.5 0.4 0.8 -1.1 -0.5 0.5 -0.1 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 -0.2 0.0 1.8 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 1.2 1.6 0.8 -1.4 0.3 -0.4 0.6 0.4 1.0 1.4 0.7 1.0 -1.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.4 -0.1 1.3 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.8 EU 28 Euro Area 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.6 Malta 0.6 0.8 Source: Eurostat, National Statistics Office 96 Economic Survey November 2014 Chart 6.1 Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices per cent 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 Sep-09 Sep-10 Sep-11 12-month moving average Sep-12 Sep-13 Sep-14 Annual lowest rate being that of Bulgaria at -1.4 per cent. This was followed by that of Greece at -1.1 per cent, Hungary at -0.5 per cent and Spain at -0.3 per cent. In addition, there were four countries that showed no change in their annual rate of inflation. These were Croatia, Lithuania, Portugal and Sweden. The average inflation rate for the EU28 Member States was 0.4 per cent, down from 1.3 per cent in September 2013. Declines in EU28 inflation during this period were noticed in prices related to Communications (-2.3 per cent), Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-0.4 per cent) and Transport (-0.2 per cent) while prices related to Education (3.1 per cent), Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics (2.8 per cent) and Restaurants and Hotels (1.7 per cent) sub-sectors recorded the highest increases. The annual rate of inflation in Malta in September 2014 stood at 0.6 per cent, unchanged from the same level as previous year. Domestic annual inflation in September 2014 was driven by developments in prices for Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics (6.1 per cent), Education (6.0 per cent) and Clothing and Footwear (4.3 per cent). Price drops were mainly driven by the Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and other fuels sub-index with an annual decline of 8.1 per cent. Other sub-indices that showed negative annual rates during the same month were Communications (-1.4 per cent), Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance (-0.5 per cent) and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-0.4 per cent). Table 6.2 illustrates the monthly annual rate of HICP for the period January 2011 and September 2014. Economic Survey November 2014 97 Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices Annual rate of change (y-o-y) Table 6.2 per cent 2011 2012 2013 2014 3.3 2.7 2.8 2.4 2.5 3.1 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.5 1.7 1.5 1.7 2.6 2.6 3.8 3.7 4.4 4.2 3.2 2.9 3.2 3.6 2.8 2.4 1.8 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 January February March April May June July August September October November December Source: National Statistics Office In light of the developments in the annual rate of inflation, the 12-month moving average for Malta in September 2014 stood at 0.8 per cent, slightly above the rate for EU28 which stood at 0.7 per cent. Retail Price Index and COLA The Cost of Living Adjustment agreement (COLA) is based on the 12-month moving average measure of the Retail Price Index (RPI). The RPI index has a different weighting structure when compared to the HICP index. This measure is calculated by comparing the average RPI in the 12-months leading to the month under consideration with the corresponding average in the previous 12-month period. Malta’s RPI 12-month moving average inflation rate in September 2014 stood at 0.3 per cent. Fluctuations at sub-index level provide insight on the underlying contributors to domestic inflation. Indeed, as Table 6.3 illustrates, the highest increase in September 2014 is noted in the Beverages and tobacco sector followed by the Recreation and culture, Household equipment and house 98 Economic Survey November 2014 Index by Commodity Group (Average for 12 months) Table 6.3 Commodity Group Food Beverages and Tobacco Clothing and Footwear Housing Water, Electricity, Gas and Fuels Household Equipment & House Maintenance Costs Transport and Communications Personal Care and Health Recreation and Culture Other Goods and Services December 2009=100 per cent Sep-12 Sep-13 Sep-14 4.34 4.15 -2.97 1.72 1.17 1.75 2.06 1.12 0.84 5.03 5.77 3.94 0.47 1.16 0.17 1.34 -0.85 2.12 2.19 1.54 0.66 4.91 0.13 0.58 -9.36 1.99 -1.46 1.45 2.87 -0.01 Source: National Statistics Office maintenance costs and Personal care and health sub-indices. Table 6.4 shows the 12-month moving average of the RPI overall inflation rate. In September 2014, the Food sub-index 12-month moving average recorded a relatively minor change compared to the change in September 2013. Indeed, prices increased by 0.66 per cent compared to 5.77 per cent in 2013. The contribution to the overall inflation rate stood at 0.14 percentage points, mainly reflecting developments in served meals and food, take-aways, chocolate, poultry, rabbit, beef and pork meat, fresh bread and fresh pastry. Negative contributions were mainly noticed with respect to vegetables and fish prices. The 12-month moving average rate for the Beverages and Tobacco sub-index, increased from 3.94 per cent in September 2013 to 4.91 per cent during the same month in 2014, with a resulting contribution of 0.30 percentage points to the headline inflation rate. The principal contributors to inflationary developments for this sub-index were mainly related to cigarettes prices. This accounted for more than half of the overall contribution of this sub-index to headline inflation. In September 2014, the Clothing and Footwear sub-index continued to show marginal average changes. Indeed, it recorded a 12-month average increase of 0.13 per cent from 0.47 per cent registered in the comparable period in 2013. Economic Survey November 2014 99 Retail Price Index (12-Month Moving Average Inflation Rate) Table 6.4 January February March April May June July August September October November December per cent 2011 2012 2013 2014 1.65 1.79 1.99 2.10 2.25 2.41 2.50 2.64 2.73 2.82 2.82 2.72 2.65 2.67 2.61 2.63 2.51 2.42 2.36 2.28 2.30 2.30 2.36 2.42 2.46 2.40 2.40 2.30 2.31 2.26 2.25 2.19 2.01 1.76 1.52 1.38 1.23 1.17 1.10 0.99 0.80 0.66 0.48 0.35 0.30 Source: National Statistics Office The contribution to headline inflation stood at 0.01 percentage point. These minor developments mainly emanated from mens' footwear and underwear while negative contributions were attributed to women and girls' outwear. The Housing sub-index registered an increase of 0.58 per cent in September 2014, thus contributing 0.04 percentage points to the overall 12-month moving inflation rate. This rate of inflation was lower than the 1.16 per cent recorded during the previous 12-month period. The contribution under this sub-index is mainly attributed to various construction works. In September 2014, the Water, Electricity, Gas and Fuels sub-index showed a significant decrease of 9.36 per cent contrasting with the 0.17 per cent increase recorded in September 2013. This mainly reflected the decrease in water and electricity tariffs announced earlier this year. In September 2014, the contribution of this sub-index to headline inflation stood at -0.31 percentage points. The 12-month moving average rate for the Household Equipment and House Maintenance Costs sub-index, increased by 1.99 per cent recorded in September 2014, up from 1.34 per cent in September 2013. The contribution of this subindex to the overall rate stood at 0.13 percentage points mainly underpinned 100 Economic Survey November 2014 by developments in furniture and household appliances. On the other hand, marginal negative contributions to inflationary developments were reported in carpets and glassware sub-categories. In September 2014, the 12-month moving average inflation rate for the Transport and Communications sub-index stood at a negative rate of 1.46 per cent. The overall contribution to headline inflation of this sub-index was also negative at 0.33 percentage points and this emanated from developments pertaining to air transport services, fuels and telephone services. In September 2014, the 12-month moving average rate for the Personal Care and Health sub-index was 1.45 per cent with a contribution of 0.12 percentage points to the RPI inflation rate. The change was lower than the 2.12 per cent increase recorded in the previous comparable period of 2013. Major developments were recorded in hygienic articles and medical services. The 12-month moving average growth rate in the Recreation and Culture subindex recorded an increase of 2.87 per cent in September 2014, compared to a 2.19 per cent growth rate recorded during the comparable month of 2013. In September 2014, the contribution to the overall rate was that of 0.27 percentage points with the main contributions to the rise in inflation were books and newspapers and education expenses. Meanwhile, audio visual equipment contributed negatively to headline inflation. The 12-month average inflation rate, of the Other Goods and Services sub-index declined from 1.54 per cent to - 0.01 per cent. This was mainly attributed to changes observed in jewellery, watches and clocks. On the other hand, positive contributions were registered in items like travel articles, domestic help and other personal effects. In line with these developments, the overall contribution of this sub-index to the headline inflation rate was negligible. Sectoral Wages On the basis of collective agreements deposited within the Department of Industrial and Employment Relations, this section analyses changes and developments in sectoral average weekly wage rates recorded between September 2013 and September 2014. The sample under review is made up of 189 firms employing 25,839 employees, where 69 firms are engaged in direct production and employ 10,960 employees Economic Survey November 2014 101 while the remaining 120 firms operate in market services with 14,879 employees. The data for weekly wages is divided into four major employment categories namely labourers, skilled tradesmen, clerical and managerial grades. It is to be noted that definite contracts of employment are not considered in this analysis. The data also excludes employment benefits over and above the basic wage, such as production bonuses, overtime payments, social security and allowances, and other non-wage income. This source of non-wage income can be quite significant for some categories of employment, hence it follows that the employees’ actual average weekly remuneration might be higher than that reported in this analysis. Since the information in this Chapter is based on a sample of collective agreements and includes only the basic weekly wage, the results shown in the following tables cannot be directly compared to data based on the gainfully occupied population included in other Chapters of this Economic Survey. Consequently, the tables and data presented in this Chapter are also not directly comparable to those published in previous Economic Surveys. Direct comparability is hampered by the methodology and sampling procedure adopted, mainly the inclusion of additional firms and exclusion of others. This means that the weighting of individual firms in each category would change according to the changes in employment levels. The reported average wage rates may also change either when a new collective agreement results in a reclassification of grades or when new trainees are paid the entry level wage. The methodology used in this analysis groups collective agreements on the basis of economic activity. The average of the minimum and maximum wage scales for each individual collective agreement is then calculated. This gives the subsectoral mean wage. In cases where the collective agreement excludes the cost of living increases, the figures are then adjusted accordingly. The COLA for the year 2014 as announced during the last budget speech amounted to €3.49. Table 6.5 shows the average weekly wage rate for the various employment categories in the sampled firms as at September 2013. The overall weighted average wage of all firms stood at €290.28 per week, reflecting a weighted average wage for those employed in direct production and market services of €267.62 and €306.96 respectively. This implies a sectoral wage gap of €39.34 per week. The highest average weekly wage rates were recorded in the Paper & Printing sub-sector (€334.17), Community & Business sub-sector (€324.44) and the Communications sub-sector (€313.04). On the other hand, the lowest paid sub-sectors were the Machinery (€216.06), Textiles, Footwear & Clothing sub-sector (€223.06) and the Non-Metallic Products sub-sector (€229.19). The lowest weekly average wage rate in September 2013 amounted to €188.79 and 102 Economic Survey November 2014 Average Weekly Wages - September 2013 Table 6.5 € Labourer Skilled Clerical/ Tradesman Executive Managerial Weighted Average Oil Drilling Food Beverages Textiles, Footwear and Clothing Furniture & Fixtures Paper & Printing Chemicals Non-Metallic Products Metal Products Machinery Electrical Machinery Transport Equipment Miscellaneous Electricity & Gas Services Wholesale & Retail Trade Banking & OFI Transport Storage and Warehousing Communications Community & Business Recreation Services Hotels & Catering Ests 220.22 229.38 252.11 216.48 247.74 298.38 254.64 204.99 261.04 188.79 209.00 232.86 286.38 240.89 225.97 265.37 228.98 226.11 271.00 247.61 214.89 230.61 275.38 296.20 309.24 243.38 281.15 360.12 301.14 250.41 267.77 223.98 271.57 261.20 348.15 273.35 253.06 290.29 283.07 263.12 295.90 305.16 242.65 252.35 282.56 242.67 260.61 212.67 307.50 304.48 207.32 234.94 257.36 291.86 269.32 284.57 277.75 278.80 253.07 261.84 247.08 224.78 243.98 437.63 393.72 332.64 222.86 302.71 343.97 339.21 259.14 285.69 250.64 312.83 287.81 331.56 420.73 311.69 479.97 638.95 302.15 483.24 410.58 287.68 259.05 272.08 269.67 279.66 223.06 276.80 334.17 276.17 229.19 254.93 216.06 238.80 260.20 308.99 273.54 256.30 298.41 297.13 256.91 313.04 324.44 230.29 241.71 All Firms 237.56 292.10 265.51 407.26 290.28 Direct Production Market Services 236.35 240.89 292.76 291.06 267.55 265.27 341.01 425.63 267.62 306.96 Compiled from data provided by the Department of Industrial and Employment Relations and Employment and Training Corporation was earned by labourers in the Machinery sub-sector while the highest weekly average wage rate was earned by the Transport managerial grade (€638.95). Table 6.6 shows the average weekly wage rates for the various employment categories in the sampled firms as at September 2014. The fact that both Table 6.5 and Table 6.6 use the same employment weighting structure and the same sample of firms makes them directly comparable. Thus, the differences in the corresponding wage rates represent the actual change in wages occurring during Economic Survey November 2014 103 Average Weekly Wages - September 2014 Table 6.6 € Labourer Skilled Clerical/ Managerial Weighted Tradesman Executive Average Oil Drilling Food Beverages Textiles, Footwear and Clothing Furniture & Fixtures Paper & Printing Chemicals Non-Metallic Products Metal Products Machinery Electrical Machinery Transport Equipment Miscellaneous Electricity & Gas Services Wholesale & Retail Trade Banking & OFI Transport Storage and Warehousing Communications Community & Business Recreation Services Hotels & Catering Ests 223.71 232.87 255.88 219.97 251.23 302.10 258.40 208.48 264.61 192.28 212.63 236.35 289.87 244.38 229.46 268.86 236.42 229.60 274.49 252.47 218.38 234.10 278.87 299.69 313.01 246.87 284.64 365.73 304.67 253.90 271.46 227.47 275.31 264.69 351.64 276.84 256.55 293.78 286.80 266.61 299.39 310.14 246.14 255.84 286.05 246.16 264.25 216.16 311.29 307.97 210.81 239.54 260.85 295.35 272.81 288.06 281.24 282.58 256.56 265.33 253.27 228.27 247.47 441.12 397.21 336.65 226.35 306.20 347.60 342.70 262.63 289.86 254.13 316.76 291.30 335.05 424.22 315.18 483.46 657.83 305.64 490.59 417.72 291.17 262.54 275.57 273.16 283.44 226.55 280.29 338.80 279.84 232.68 258.45 219.55 242.52 263.69 312.48 277.03 259.79 301.90 302.81 260.40 317.27 330.68 233.78 245.20 All Firms 241.49 296.11 269.80 413.59 294.78 Direct Production Market Services 239.96 245.70 296.68 295.22 271.25 269.63 344.68 432.69 271.35 312.04 Compiled from data provided by the Department of Industrial and Employment Relations and Employment and Training Corporation the period under observation. The weighted average weekly wage for all firms as at September 2014 stood at €294.78. The best performing sub-sector as at September 2014 remained unchanged from that of September 2013, namely Paper & Printing sub-sector which had a weekly average weighted remuneration of €338.80. This was followed by the Community & Business sub-sector, registering an average wage of €330.68. As in the case of the previous year, the least remunerated sub-sectors in the sample were the Machinery sub-sector (€219.55), the Textiles, 104 Economic Survey November 2014 Footwear and Clothing sub-sector (€226.55) and the Non-Metallic Products sub-sector (€232.68). The lowest reported wage was recorded for the labourer grade under the Machinery sub-sector (€192.28), which was €26.60 or 16.1 per cent over the National Minimum Wage for 2014 which stood at €165.68. The highest average wage remained that of the managerial grade in the Transport sub-sector at €657.83, while other relatively high wages were those for the managerial grade in the Communications sub-sector (€490.59) and the Banking & OFI sub-sector (€483.46). Changes in Average Weekly Wages September 2014 - September 2013 Table 6.7 per cent Labourer Skilled Clerical/ Managerial Tradesman Executive Weighted Average Oil Drilling Food Beverages Textiles, Footwear and Clothing Furniture & Fixtures Paper & Printing Chemicals Non-Metallic Products Metal Products Machinery Electrical Machinery Transport Equipment Miscellaneous Electricity & Gas Services Wholesale & Retail Trade Banking & OFI Transport Storage and Warehousing Communications Community & Business Recreation Services Hotels & Catering Ests 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.3 3.2 1.5 1.3 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.7 2.0 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 2.5 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.1 0.7 3.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.5 1.4 All Firms 1.7 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 Direct Production Market Services 1.5 2.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.1 1.7 1.4 1.7 Compiled from data provided by the Department of Industrial and Employment Relations and Employment and Training Corporation Economic Survey November 2014 105 Table 6.7 shows percentage changes in the average weekly wage recorded between September 2013 and September 2014. The weighted average increase for all firms stood at 1.6 per cent in September 2014. The average wage in the direct production increased by €3.73 or 1.4 per cent to reach €271.35 in September 2014, while the average weekly wage rate in the market services sector increased by €5.08 or 1.7 per cent, thus reaching €312.04 in September 2014. Furthermore, the sub-sectors which recorded the highest percentage increase were the Community & Business and Transport sub-sectors with an increase of 1.9 per cent, followed by the Machinery, Textiles, Footwear and Clothing and Electrical Machinery sub-sectors with an increase of 1.6 per cent. More specifically, the labourer and the managerial grades in the Transport subsector registered the highest percentage increases at 3.2 per cent and 3.0 per cent, respectively. This was followed by increases registered in the labourer grade at 2.0 per cent and the clerical grade at 2.5 per cent both under the Community & Business sub-sector. Table 6.8 provides information about the distribution of average weekly wages along different brackets as at September 2014. The largest share of employees (35.3 per cent) earned on average a weekly wage in the range of €233.40 €283.39. Similarly, in the case of both direct production and market services, the highest portion of average wages stood within the same range of earnings. The second largest proportion of all firms (25.2 per cent) fell within the €283.40 - €333.39 bracket while the percentage of employees earning up to €183.39 per week stood at 0.7 per cent. The Electrical Machinery sub-sector showed the highest relative share under lowest income range (3.6 per cent) while the Paper & Printing and Miscellaneous sub-sectors registered the highest percentage of earnings above €333.40. As already stated earlier in this section, it should be noted that the take home pay of those employed in direct production might be significantly higher due to production bonuses and allowances. Accordingly, Table 6.8 is only an indicator of the differences in average weekly wage rates between the different sub-sectors and between firms arising from the different skill levels and degree of expertise. 106 Economic Survey November 2014 Proportion of Sampled Employees in Wage Ranges Table 6.8 per cent Up to €183.39 €183.40 -€233.39 €233.40 €283.39 €283.40 -€333.39 Over €333.40 Oil Drilling Food Beverages Textiles, Footwear & Clothing Furniture & Fixtures Paper & Printing Chemicals Non-Metallic Products Metal Products Machinery Electrical Machinery Transport Equipment Miscellaneous Electricity & Gas Wholesale & Retail Trade Banking & OFI Transport Storage and Warehousing Communications Community & Business Recreation Services Hotels & Catering Ests 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 3.6 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 47.1 13.3 4.8 81.0 0.0 5.6 4.1 48.1 3.7 78.4 56.3 0.0 9.6 0.0 26.8 0.0 8.2 17.8 0.9 19.4 45.0 28.7 14.3 55.3 52.3 19.0 37.9 16.6 58.9 51.9 90.2 18.4 23.8 86.1 2.9 90.5 49.9 41.5 68.8 64.4 38.6 17.3 45.0 62.7 25.7 19.6 38.8 0.0 62.1 23.7 19.9 0.0 6.1 0.6 15.3 13.9 46.1 0.0 19.2 43.7 16.8 17.8 43.8 27.4 10.0 4.6 12.9 11.7 4.0 0.0 0.0 54.1 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 40.7 9.5 4.1 14.8 6.2 0.0 16.6 35.7 0.0 4.1 All Firms 0.7 19.7 35.3 25.2 19.1 Direct Production Market Services 1.4 0.1 29.1 12.7 36.8 34.3 18.5 30.2 14.2 22.7 Sector \ Wage Range Compiled from data provided by the Department of Industrial and Employment Relations and Employment and Training Corporation Economic Survey November 2014 107 7. International Trade 7. International Trade Exports Exports contracted by 3.4 per cent when compared to the corresponding period in 2013, amounting to €2,486.8 million during the January to August period of 2014. This contraction mainly stemmed from the reduction registered in machinery and transport equipment and miscellaneous manufactured articles1, which declined by 14.1 per cent and 8.8 per cent, respectively. The breakdown of commodity exports is outlined in Table 7.1 and Chart 7.1. During the period January to August 2014, fuel, which is the largest export category, accounted for 46.0 per cent of total exports, increasing by 4.0 per cent and contributing positively by 1.7 percentage points towards total export growth. Meanwhile, machinery and transport equipment, which represents the second largest export category with a share of 25.7 per cent of total exports, declined by €105.4 million over the corresponding period in 2013. This category contributed negatively by 4.1 percentage points towards total export growth. Exports of miscellaneous manufactured articles amounted to €249.4 million during the period under review, decreasing by €23.9 million over the level Commodity Breakdown of Exports Table 7.1 € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Aug Jan-Aug Food, Beverages and Tobacco Fuels Chemicals Machinery and Transport Equipment Miscellaneous Manufactured Articles* Other Manufactures 158.2 151.4 226.9 247.5 718.9 1,621.7 2,010.8 1,665.7 273.8 258.8 321.2 357.9 1,180.5 1,241.3 1,322.2 1,112.4 331.1 383.2 400.9 404.5 146.8 162.5 156.6 137.3 121.9 1,100.4 238.0 745.7 273.3 94.1 121.9 1,144.7 238.7 640.3 249.4 91.7 Total Exports 2,809.3 3,819.0 4,438.6 3,925.2 2,573.5 2,486.8 Total Exports excl. Fuels 2,090.4 2,197.3 2,427.9 2,259.5 1,473.1 1,342.1 * This category includes: furniture and fixtures, travel goods and accessories, clothing and accessories, footwear, scientific instruments and optical equipment. Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding. Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 111 Chart 7.1 Commodity Breakdown of Exports January - August 2014 Other Manufactures 3.7% Miscellaneous Manufactured Articles* 10.0% Food, Beverages and Tobacco 4.9% Machinery and Transport Equipment 25.7% Fuels 46.0% Chemicals 9.6% recorded in 2013. In fact, this export category contributed negatively by 0.9 percentage points towards total export growth. During the period under review, this category constituted 10.0 per cent of total exports. Chemicals, which accounted for 9.6 per cent of total exports with a total value of €238.7 million, increased by 0.3 per cent when compared to the corresponding period in 2013, hence contributing 0.03 percentage points towards export growth. During the period under review, the share of other manufactures, which is the smallest export category, remained unchanged at 3.7 per cent of total exports, however, export of other manufactures registered a decline of 2.5 per cent over the same period a year earlier. This decline contributed marginally by 0.1 percentage points, towards the decline in total export growth. Geographical Distribution – Exports Distribution of exports by geographical area is represented in Table 7.2. During the January to August period of 2014, exports were primarily directed towards the European Union (EU), Africa and Asia, which accounted for 28.7 per cent, 28.0 per cent and 18.8 per cent, respectively. Maltese exports towards Europe, amounted to €877.3 million during the period under review, decreasing by €161.1 million, when compared to the first eight 112 Economic Survey November 2014 Total Exports by Main Geographical Areas Table 7.2 € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Aug Jan-Aug Europe EU Italy Germany France UK Netherlands Spain Others Euro Area Other European Countries Africa Libya Others America USA Others Oceania Asia Japan Singapore China Hong Kong India South Korea Others Ships & Aircraft 1,199.2 1,149.1 157.6 281.6 238.6 131.4 21.8 20.8 297.3 906.8 50.1 182.7 85.3 97.4 228.8 196.1 32.7 11.1 686.5 104.2 229.4 61.2 162.2 9.9 36.3 83.4 501.1 1,579.1 1,301.9 171.2 326.2 244.9 150.4 26.0 35.1 348.1 1,033.6 277.2 234.3 47.7 186.6 226.8 169.0 57.8 5.2 1,092.1 98.0 206.3 71.5 286.1 14.3 18.8 397.1 681.6 1,646.4 1,295.8 174.2 358.3 296.9 124.6 97.4 49.0 195.3 1,042.0 350.7 776.8 199.7 577.1 255.4 198.0 57.4 6.3 1,020.4 116.9 246.6 61.1 340.2 15.0 9.8 230.9 733.2 1,535.1 1,245.8 154.1 348.6 253.0 107.8 47.3 34.6 300.4 953.5 289.3 617.3 238.0 379.3 224.7 170.0 54.7 9.8 1,059.6 196.5 272.2 45.6 199.2 31.5 11.3 303.3 478.7 1,038.4 824.6 80.1 229.7 166.3 72.0 38.6 25.4 212.5 634.9 213.7 390.0 178.2 211.8 154.0 122.7 31.3 5.4 692.3 111.5 191.6 32.5 120.1 19.7 4.4 212.6 293.5 877.3 714.9 97.1 216.0 122.2 62.6 27.2 24.0 165.8 542.0 162.3 697.0 164.7 532.3 156.6 115.4 41.2 8.0 466.9 24.5 117.4 14.5 127.9 22.1 31.2 129.3 281.1 Total Exports 2,809.3 3,819.0 4,438.6 3,925.2 2,573.5 2,486.8 40.9 34.1 29.2 31.7 32.0 28.7 Exports to the EU as % of Total Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding. Source: National Statistics Office months of 2013. This was mainly due to lower fuel imports and electrical machinery and equipment, which decreased by €119.9 million and €9.4 million, respectively. Additionally, 38.6 per cent of Maltese exports to Europe were directed towards Germany and France, amounting to €216.0 million and €122.2 million, respectively. Concomitantly, Africa became the second largest export partner during the Economic Survey November 2014 113 period under review, replacing Asia. In fact, exports directed towards Africa increased by €307.1 million when compared to the corresponding period in 2013, amounting to €697.0 million during the period under review. It is noteworthy to indicate that the majority of these movements related to fuel exports which amounted to €302.3 million. More importantly, exports were primarily directed towards other African countries, other than Libya, since exports directed towards the latter remained relatively constant as a share of total exports. Exports directed towards Asia amounted to €466.9 million during the period under review, decreasing by €225.4 million due to declines in exports to Japan, Singapore and China of €86.9 million, €74.2 million and €18.0 million, respectively. Moreover, the decline in exports towards Asia was mainly attributable to the decline registered in fuels of €117.2 million and electrical machinery and equipment of €107.8 million. Exports to other Asian countries also declined by €83.3 million. Imports Aggregate imports amounted to €4,005.6 million during the January to August period of 2014, increasing by €42.2 million or 1.1 per cent, over the level recorded during the corresponding period in 2013. It is pertinent to note that fuels constituted the largest import category, amounting to 43.2 per cent of aggregate imports. Moreover, fuels imports, which amounted to €1,729 million during the period, increased by 5.8 per cent when compared to the same period a year earlier. In fact, when excluding fuels from total imports, the latter declines by 2.2 per cent when compared to the corresponding period during 2013. Table 7.3 provides details of imports by broad economic category. Capital and other goods imports, which represented 60.3 per cent of total imports, amounted to €2,415.2 million during the period under review. This import category increased by €158.3 million primarily due to the increase in fuels and capital goods of €94.5 million and €72.9 million, respectively. The increase in capital goods was primarily attributed to ships and vessels (including yachts) and contributed 4.0 percentage points towards total import growth. Concurrently, industrial supplies imports contributed negatively by 3.4 percentage points towards total import growth, during the period under review. In fact, imports of this category, which amounted to €899.8 million, decreased by €135.5 million when compared to the corresponding period a year earlier. This was specifically due to lower imports to the tune of €150.0 million in 114 Economic Survey November 2014 Imports by Broad Economic Category Table 7.3 € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-Aug 2014 Jan-Aug 378.6 337.8 219.2 935.7 404.2 338.6 237.8 980.7 427.5 339.4 256.4 1,023.3 448.8 334.9 252.5 1,036.1 289.6 215.2 166.4 671.2 293.0 228.3 169.2 690.6 Industrial Supplies Primary Semi-finished Finished Total 59.4 1,237.0 164.5 1,461.0 52.3 1,328.7 134.2 1,515.1 111.6 1,272.9 150.8 1,535.4 95.1 1,273.3 159.9 1,528.3 69.2 858.2 107.9 1,035.2 51.2 750.1 98.4 899.8 Capital and Others Capital Goods Fuel Non-specified and Gold Total 837.6 1,055.6 40.4 1,933.6 874.5 1,933.8 35.3 2,843.6 810.0 2,788.3 30.5 3,628.8 866.7 2,229.7 22.2 3,118.6 604.4 1,635.2 17.4 2,257.0 677.2 1,729.7 8.3 2,415.2 Total Imports 4,330.3 5,339.4 6,187.5 5,683.1 3,963.4 4,005.6 Total Imports excl. Fuel 3,274.7 3,405.6 3,399.2 3,453.4 2,328.2 2,275.9 Consumer Goods Food and Beverages Durable Goods Others Total Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding. Source: National Statistics Office integrated circuits. Imports of consumer goods amounted to €690.6 million, an increase of €19.4 million, thereby contributing 0.5 percentage points towards total import growth. This stemmed from the increases registered in durable goods, food and beverages and other capital goods, which increased by €13.2 million, €3.4 million and €2.8 million, respectively. Geographical Distribution – Imports Table 7.4 represents the geographical distribution of imports. During the period under review, imports from Europe accounted for 68.8 per cent of total imports, of which 73.2 per cent originated from EU countries. Imports from the EU amounted to €2,019.0 million during the 2014 January to August period, hence registering a decline of €292.6 million when compared to the corresponding Economic Survey November 2014 115 period a year earlier. This reflected a reduction of €309.9 million in imports from Italy attributable to the reduction in fuels imports (€137.3 million), electrical equipment and machinery (€122.7 million) and cereal (€10.9 million). It is also pertinent to note that imports from Italy accounted for 18.0 per cent of total imports, thus remaining the leading exporter to Malta. In addition, imports from Euro Area countries also decreased by €326.6 million, to stand at €1,587.8 million. Meanwhile, imports from Africa, which constituted 4.7 per cent of total imports, Total Imports by Main Geographical Areas Table 7.4 € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-Aug 2014 Jan-Aug Europe EU Italy Germany France UK Netherlands Spain Others Euro Area Other European Countries Africa Libya Others America USA Others Oceania Asia Japan Singapore China Hong Kong India South Korea Others Ships & Aircraft 3,208.0 2,716.6 1,066.2 295.2 338.5 359.7 172.3 108.8 375.9 2,195.1 491.4 151.5 52.4 99.1 276.9 92.8 184.2 80.2 611.7 53.8 127.5 117.9 12.1 100.7 82.2 117.6 1.9 4,227.2 3,357.5 1,445.9 317.6 376.1 362.6 132.6 165.9 556.7 2,665.2 869.7 35.8 10.9 24.9 353.5 225.3 128.2 20.4 641.9 37.5 100.5 149.7 16.1 78.7 58.8 200.5 60.7 4,894.4 3,950.1 1,987.2 319.9 369.1 372.6 198.8 214.0 488.5 3,335.6 944.3 197.2 110.0 87.2 278.9 134.1 144.8 34.4 769.9 39.4 76.9 161.9 20.6 74.6 87.5 309.0 12.7 4,109.8 3,288.9 1,406.1 321.0 285.6 308.4 202.2 168.2 597.3 2,684.0 820.9 256.4 113.1 143.4 387.9 187.9 200.0 18.1 827.6 49.0 80.8 136.5 17.4 86.9 77.6 379.4 83.2 2,890.5 2,311.7 1,041.0 219.6 200.7 208.2 153.9 92.3 396.0 1,914.3 578.8 216.9 100.0 116.9 183.9 80.9 103.0 13.7 582.7 33.1 63.5 94.8 12.0 58.1 58.4 262.9 75.7 2,756.4 2,019.0 731.1 217.2 145.1 204.0 172.7 142.8 406.1 1,587.8 737.4 188.2 18.3 169.9 457.2 418.7 38.5 66.2 458.8 29.1 35.7 93.8 11.1 64.5 41.9 182.6 78.8 Total Imports 4,330.3 5,339.4 6,187.5 5,683.1 3,963.4 4,005.6 62.7 62.9 63.8 57.9 58.3 50.4 Imports from the EU as % of Total Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding. Source: National Statistics Office 116 Economic Survey November 2014 decreased by €28.7 million to amount to €188.2 million. It is noteworthy that imports from Libya decreased substantially from €100.0 million to €18.3 million, reflecting the current geopolitical tensions in the region. On the other hand, imports from America increased by €273.3 million, mainly attributable to higher imports related to fuels (€309.0 million). Geographically, most of the increase in imports from America was due to increased imports from the US. Consequently, this increased the share of total imports from the US from 4.6 per cent to 11.4 per cent. Imports form Oceania also increased by €52.4 million. Concurrently, imports from Asia decreased by €123.9 million when compared to the corresponding period in 2013, to stand at €458.8 million, mainly due to lower imports originating from other Asian countries, Singapore and South Korea. Moreover, the largest declines were recorded in fuels of €106.8 million and electrical equipment and machinery of €44.9 million. Nonetheless, increases were reported in chemicals imports and pharmaceutical imports of €22.7 million and €15.9 million, respectively. During the period under review imports from ships and aircraft increased by €3.1 million, to reach €78.8 million. Trade Balance The visible trade gap widened by €128.9 million or 9.3 per cent, to stand at €1,518.8 million during January-August 2014, attributable to the decrease in exports of €86.7 million coupled with an increase in imports of €42.2 million. In terms of growth, exports contracted by 3.4 per cent whilst imports expanded by 1.1 per cent. These developments are illustrated in Table 7.5 and Chart 7.2. Maltese international trade data has in recent years been highly conditioned by the involvement of offshore oil bunkering activities and trans-shipment of oils as reflected in imports and exports of fuels. It is worthy to note that such activities have a limited impact on national accounts, balance of payments and employment data given their limited economic linkages to the Maltese economy. When excluding fuels from trade data, the visible trade gap amounted to €933.9 million, growing by 9.2 per cent over the level recorded during the corresponding period during 2013. Net non–fuel imports decreased by €52.3 million to amount to €2,275.9 million whilst net non-fuel exports decreased by €131.0 million to amount to €1,342.1 million. Economic Survey November 2014 117 Foreign Trade Table 7.5 € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Aug Jan-Aug Imports (c.i.f.) 4,330.3 5,339.4 6,187.5 5,683.1 3,963.4 4,005.6 Total Exports (f.o.b.) 2,809.3 3,819.0 4,438.6 3,925.2 2,573.5 2,486.8 Trade Gap -1,520.9 -1,520.4 -1,748.9 -1,757.8 -1,389.9 -1,518.8 Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding. Source: National Statistics Office Chart 7.2 Foreign Trade Euro Million Euro Million 0 7,000 -200 6,000 -400 5,000 -600 -800 4,000 -1,000 3,000 -1,200 -1,400 2,000 -1,600 1,000 -1,800 0 -2,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Aug Imports (c.i.f.) 118 Total Exports (f.o.b.) Trade Gap (Secondary Axis) Economic Survey November 2014 Geographical distribution – Trade Balance The developments within the visible trade gap primarily reflected the increase in the trade deficit with European countries as well as non-European countries. These developments are outlined in Table 7.6. The trade deficit with the EU, which is Malta’s largest trading partner, decreased by €182.9 million, primarily due to the lower trade deficit recorded with Italy. In fact, during the period under review, the Maltese trade deficit with Italy decreased by €326.9 million. Furthermore, a decrease in the trade deficit was also recorded with France. On the other hand, the trade deficits with Germany, UK, the Netherlands, Spain and other EU countries widened. Meanwhile, the Maltese trade surplus with Libya and Hong Kong widened by €68.2 million and €8.7 million, respectively. On the other hand, a decline in the trade surplus with Singapore was registered. During the January to August period of 2014, the trade deficit with China increased by €17.0 million, whilst trade deficits were also registered with US, Trade Balances with Various Countries Table 7.6 EU Italy Germany France UK Netherlands Spain Other EU € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-Aug 2014 Jan-Aug -1,567.5 -908.6 -13.6 -99.9 -228.3 -150.5 -88.0 -78.6 -2,055.6 -1,274.7 8.6 -131.2 -212.2 -106.6 -130.8 -208.6 -2,654.3 -1,813.0 38.4 -72.2 -248.0 -101.4 -165.0 -293.2 -2,043.1 -1,252.0 27.6 -32.6 -200.6 -154.9 -133.6 -296.9 -1,487.1 -960.9 10.1 -34.4 -136.2 -115.3 -66.9 -183.5 -1,304.1 -634.0 -1.2 -22.9 -141.4 -145.5 -118.8 -240.3 32.9 103.3 50.4 101.9 -56.7 150.1 36.8 -56.3 60.5 105.8 -78.2 270.0 89.7 63.9 77.5 169.7 -100.8 319.6 124.9 -17.9 147.5 191.4 -90.9 181.8 78.2 41.8 78.4 128.1 -62.3 108.1 146.4 -303.3 -4.6 81.7 -79.3 116.8 Other Countries Libya USA Japan Singapore China Hong Kong Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding. Source: National Statistics Office Economic Survey November 2014 119 and Japan. It is also important to note that the trade flows with US reversed from a surplus of €41.8 during the first eight months of 2013 to a deficit of €303.3 million during the corresponding period in 2014. Balance of Payments The current Balance of Payments statement is based on the Sixth Edition of the IMF’s Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6). Apart from different representations of the reports, the statement is also incorporating data in respect of special purpose entities as well as adopting a new treatment for international banks. Currently, conversion to BPM6 format only covers the period from 2009 to 20142. Moreover, the income account is now being referred to as the primary income account and this is now excluding FISIM (financial intermediation service charges indirectly measured) which is being included under services. Also, the secondary income account has now replaced the current transfers account. Another notable change is that the column headings in the financial account have been changed to net acquisition of financial assets and net incurrence of liabilities (instead of credits and debits, respectively), consistent with their contents. Consequently, negative signs are not used for an increase in assets and positive signs are not used for a reduction in assets. Instead, increases for both assets and liabilities are denoted with a positive sign while decreases are denoted with a negative sign. Moreover, direct investment is no longer reported on a directional principle, that is, inwards and outwards, but rather as assets and liabilities, in line with the rest of the financial account. The Current Account The Maltese current account, as depicted in Chart 7.3, registered a surplus of €144.6 million or 3.8 per cent of GDP during the first six months of 2014. This contrasts to the deficit of €23.1 million recorded during the first half of 2013. This marked improvement was primarily driven by the expansion of the services surplus coupled with the decrease registered in the primary income account deficit which together mitigated the increase in the goods account deficit. Historically, the current account balance is financed through foreign direct investment (FDI) in the form of equity and reinvested earnings. Nonetheless, recent developments indicate that portfolio investment through the operations of foreign owned banks is also a dominant factor underpinning the financing 120 Economic Survey November 2014 Chart 7.3 Current Account As a per cent of GDP 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Jun of the current account balance. The Goods and Services Account During the first half of 2014, goods and services contributed positively towards the current account balance. Indeed, during the period under review, the surplus amounted to €186.2 million, increasing by €37.5 million when compared to the corresponding period during 2013. This stemmed primarily from the decrease in goods and services imports which outpaced the decrease registered in exports. These developments are illustrated in Table 7.7 and Chart 7.43. The visible trade deficit, which refers to the international trade of physical goods, amounted to €544.0 million during the first half of 2014, contracting by €8.8 million when compared to level recorded during the corresponding period during 2013. These movements stemmed primarily from the developments within the general merchandise and nonmonetary gold accounts. During the period under review, general merchandise net imports amounted to €536.9 million, increasing by €15.7 million over the level recorded during the first six months of 2013. Nonetheless, as a share of GDP, the general merchandise deficit decreased by 0.2 percentage points to a level of 14.2 per cent of GDP. Net imports of nonmonetary gold declined by €6.7 million, to amount to €3.9 million. In addition, net export for goods under merchanting Economic Survey November 2014 121 Balance of Payments Goods, Services and Income Account (Net) Table 7.7 € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-Jun 2014 Jan-Jun -1,221.7 -30.8 1.3 -1,251.2 -1,181.1 -24.4 -2.3 -1,207.8 -1,083.1 -19.8 -5.4 -1,108.4 -1,074.6 -17.0 -6.6 -1,098.1 -521.2 -10.6 -3.4 -535.2 -536.9 -3.9 -3.2 -544.0 -24.5 580.4 655.1 1,211.0 -44.8 672.1 783.9 1,411.1 -24.0 723.4 902.7 1,602.2 -44.8 768.4 874.7 1,598.3 -34.2 280.9 437.2 684.0 -42.9 314.7 458.4 730.2 -40.3 203.3 493.8 500.2 148.8 186.2 INCOME Compensation of employees Investment Income Total Income -3.4 -259.8 -263.2 1.4 -211.7 -210.3 -4.6 -292.5 -297.1 -1.5 -326.9 -328.4 -1.1 -216.7 -217.8 -1.1 -67.7 -68.8 Total Goods, Services and Income -303.4 -7.0 196.7 171.8 -69.1 117.4 GOODS General Merchandise Transactions Nonmonetary Gold Others Total Goods SERVICES Transportation Travel Other Services Total Services Total Goods and Services Note: The balance of payments is presented in accordance with the sixth edition of the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual. Source: National Statistics Office Chart 7.4 Goods and Services Account Euro Million 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 -100 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Jun 122 Economic Survey November 2014 remained relatively stable at 0.1 per cent of GDP. Concomitantly, the invisible trade surplus, which pertains to the international trade of services, amounted to a net export of €730.2 million. When compared to the first half of 2013, net export of services increased by €46.3 million, specifically due to the increase in services exports of €102.1 million which more than offset the increase in services imports of €55.8 million. Net travel receipts of €314.7 million were recorded during the first half of 2014, increasing by €33.8 million. This occurred due to an increase in tourism earnings of €35.4 million, which more than offset the increase in expenditure of €1.6 million by Maltese tourists abroad. During the period under review, net transportation payments amounted to €42.9 million, increasing by €8.7 million when compared to the first half of 2013. These developments reflected both an increase in transportation payments coupled with a decrease in transportation receipts. Net receipts from other services increased by €21.2 million, primarily reflecting the increase registered in other services receipts of €70.3 million which outpaced the increase in other services payments of €49.1 million. These developments were underpinned by the movements within financial services, personal, cultural, and recreational services as well as telecommunications, computer and information services. Financial services net receipts amounted €246.6 million, decreasing by €55.8 million when compared to the first half of 2013 as financial services payments increased by €42.1 million while receipts declined by €13.8 million. Meanwhile, net receipts of personal, cultural and recreational services, which is the largest constituent of other services in terms of net levels, increased by €36.6 million to stand at €907.4 million during the period under review mainly reflecting an increase in receipts. Telecommunications, computer and information services net payments decreased by €12.2 million, to a level of €14.5 million during the period under review, mainly due to both an increase in net receipts and lower payments. Concurrently, net payments of other business services, which includes services related to research and development, professional and management consultation as well as technical, trade related and other business services, decreased by €8.6 Economic Survey November 2014 123 million to register €646.2 million. This stemmed from a reduction in payments of technical, trade related and other business services together with research and development services whilst payments to professional and management related services increased. Insurance and pensions services net payments decreased by €2.3 million, to stand at €35.2 million during the period under review. Government services registered an increase of €1.5 million in net receipts from abroad when compared to the level recorded during the first half of 2013. Net payments of charges for the use of intellectual property decreased marginally by €0.5 million to stand at €51.1 million during the first half of 2014. During the period under review, net payments of construction services remained relatively stable at €1.3 million. Primary Income The primary income net payments, which includes investment income and the compensations of employees, contracted by €148.8million when compared to the first half of 2013, to reach a level of €108.3 million during period under review. This primarily reflected the developments within investment income since compensation of employees and other primary income remained relatively stable, at €1.1 million and €39.6 million, respectively. It is worthy to note that other primary income includes taxes on production, subsidies and rental income. Table 7.8 illustrates these developments within the primary and secondary income account. During the period under review, investment income net payments amounted to €67.7 million, contracting by €149.0 million when compared to the corresponding period in 2013. This occurred primarily due to the decrease registered in investment income payments from abroad. Following the developments within the financial account which was mainly characterised by lower equity investment by foreign direct investors, higher borrowing from direct investors and lower lending to direct investors, direct investment income net payments decreased by €112.9 million to €4.1 billion during the period under review. These flows primarily reflected lower returns on equity by quasi-corporations owned by foreign investors. In line with the developments within portfolio investments involving purchase of long-term debt instruments (bonds) and equity instruments by domestic 124 Economic Survey November 2014 Balance of Payments Current Account Table 7.8 € million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun GOODS AND SERVICES Exports of Goods and Services 10,139.9 10,952.0 11,964.8 11,840.5 5,745.5 5,726.2 Imports of Goods and Services 10,180.1 10,748.7 11,471.0 11,340.3 5,596.7 5,540.0 Goods and Services Account -40.3 203.3 493.8 500.2 148.8 186.2 PRIMARY INCOME Income Received Income Paid Primary Income Account 6,668.5 10,073.0 9,964.8 9,514.6 4,743.9 4,738.8 6,968.7 10,340.2 10,315.8 9,920.6 5,001.0 4,847.2 -300.2 -267.2 -351.0 -406.1 -257.2 -108.3 SECONDARY INCOME (Net) General Government Other Sectors Secondary Income Account 89.7 -13.0 76.8 110.0 -23.3 86.6 140.8 -22.5 118.3 177.6 -30.3 147.3 100.9 -15.6 85.3 76.3 -9.6 66.7 Balance on Current Account -263.7 22.7 261.1 241.5 -23.1 144.6 Note: The balance of payments is presented in accordance with the sixth edition of the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual. Source: National Statistics Office residents, net receipts of portfolio investment income amounted to €3.9 billion, increasing by €111.2 million, during the first half of 2014. This increase reflected the increase in receipts registered in both portfolio investment income on equity and interest income, which increased by €73.8 million and €37.4 million, respectively. Other investment net payments amounted to €100.7 million during the period under review, declining by €75.1 million when compared to level registered during the corresponding period a year earlier. The reduction of other investment receipts was the main driver behind these developments, particularly due to other interest income. This follows the lower short-term lending and the increase in deposits held with banks observed in the other investment account in the financial account of the balance of payments. Economic Survey November 2014 125 Secondary Income Secondary income, which includes current transfers, decreased by €18.6 million during the first six months of 2014, to stand at €66.7 million. This largely reflected the decrease in secondary income receipts of €36.8 million, which more than offset the decrease of €18.2 million recorded in secondary income payments. In addition, this stemmed from both a decrease in net inflows of current transfers attributable to general government, which more than offset the reduction in net outflows of current transfers attributable to financial corporations, non –financial corporations, households and NPISHs. The Capital and Financial Account The capital and financial account include transactions made between domestic and foreign residents which involve the net acquisition of financial assets and the net incurrence of financial liabilities. The development within the capital and financial account are illustrated in Table 7.9. During the period under review, net inflows in the capital account amounted to €39.7 million, decreasing by €5.5 million when compared to the corresponding period a year earlier. It is also pertinent to note that this resulted primarily due to the general government capital transfers. Moreover, this decline in net capital inflows reflected the increase in capital account outflows of €27.9 million, which more than outpaced the increase registered in capital inflows of €22.5 million. During the first half of 2014, direct investment recorded a net assets decreased by €1.6 billion or 42.4 per cent of GDP, compared to €4.3 billion decline registered during the corresponding period in 2013. This occurred as the decrease in asset holdings surpassed the decrease in liability holdings during the period under review. Asset holdings of direct investment decreased by €3.4 billion primarily reflecting investment in debt instruments by domestic residents. Meanwhile, liability holdings of direct investment contracted by €1.8 billion primarily reflecting lower equity investments by foreigners in domestic enterprises of €2.9 billion which was only partly offset by higher liability holdings of debt securities by direct investors in direct investment enterprises of €1.1 billion. During the period under review, liability holdings of reinvested earnings increased by €263.9 million as opposed to the decrease of €68.2 million recorded a year earlier. 126 Economic Survey November 2014 Current, Capital and Financial Flows* (per cent of GDP) Table 7.9 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 Jan-Jun 2014 Jan-Jun Current Account -4.0 0.3 3.6 3.2 -0.6 3.8 Capital Account 2.0 1.2 1.9 1.7 1.2 1.0 -47.0 19.6 42.9 -4.0 -14.3 -167.6 116.7 49.9 -3.6 11.1 -122.8 100.9 28.9 -6.1 10.1 -94.9 96.0 22.5 -1.3 -28.7 -119.3 97.9 42.8 -4.6 -37.8 -42.4 109.2 82.8 5.4 -158.2 Reserve Assets 2.4 -0.8 1.7 -0.5 -1.7 11.2 Net Errors and Omissions 1.7 4.3 7.2 -11.9 -23.3 3.1 Financial Account excl. Reserves Net Foreign Direct Investment Net Portfolio Investment Equity Flows Net Portfolio Debt Flows Net Financial Derivatives Net Other Investment Flows * A positive sign represents an increase in assets or in liabilities. A negative sign represents a decrease in assets or in liabilities. Note: The balance of payments is presented in accordance with the sixth edition of the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual. Source: National Statistics Office Net asset holdings of portfolio investment increased by €7.3 billion during the first half of 2014, resulting from the increase in assets holdings which more than outpaced the increase in liability holdings. These developments where mainly underpinned by the movements within equity and investment fund shares and debt asset holdings. Indeed, other financial corporations increased their equity and investment fund shares asset holdings by €4.5 billion whilst debt asset holdings also increased by €3.2 billion, mostly reflecting the acquisition of long-term debt securities by deposit-taking corporations. Meanwhile, portfolio liability holdings were increased by €438.9 million, primarily due to the operations of nonfinancial corporations, households and NPISHs. Net financial derivatives asset holdings increased by €205.5 million during the first half of 2014, when compared to the decrease in net financial derivative asset holdings of €166.8 million recorded during the first six months of 2013. Moreover, these developments stemmed mainly from the operations of other financial corporations. Economic Survey November 2014 127 Moreover, other investment net assets decreased by €6.0 billion during the first half of 2014, when compared to the €1.4 billion decrease registered a year earlier. This flow primarily reflected the contraction in other investment assets holdings, which decreased by €4.4 billion when compared to the increase of €1.1 billion recorded during the first six months of 2013. These developments were mainly underpinned by the decrease in short-term lending of €4.9 billion, particularly as a result of the operations by deposit-taking corporations. Net assets of other account receivables increased by €484.6 million during the period under review. Concurrently, holdings of other investment liabilities increased, albeit at a slower rate than that recorded during the first six months of 2013, by €1.6 billion during the period under review. This reflected primarily an increase in short term currency and deposits held by deposit taking corporations together with an increase in trade credits by other financial corporations. Net errors and omissions amounted to a net inflow of €117.5 million or 3.1 per cent of GDP during the January –June period of 2014. This contrasts with the net outflow of €843.3 million registered during the corresponding period in 2013. The current account surplus of €144.6 million together with the capital account surplus of €39.7 million and net errors and omissions of €117.5 million more than financed the financial account deficit of €122.0 million, which resulted in reserve assets to increase by €423.8 million during the period under review. It is to be noted that reserve assets decreased by €61.0 million during the first half of 2013. Footnote: 1 This category includes; furniture and fixtures, travel goods and accessories, clothing and accessories, footwear, scientific instruments and optical equipment. 2 In light of the recent adoption of BPM 6, the data prior 2012 still work in progress and subject to revision. 3 Differences between exports and imports of goods and services within the BOP data and National Accounts data are mainly due to different cut-off dates. 128 Economic Survey November 2014 8. Financial Developments 8. Financial Developments Between January and August 2014, Maltese Monetary Financial Institutions’ (MFIs) contribution to the stock of broad money (M3) of the Euro Area registered an increase of 6.9 per cent reaching €12,424.7 million. This was mainly the result of a positive contributory effect from a decline in other counterparts and an increase in the credit counterpart. These developments more than offset the decline in net claims on non-residents of the Euro Area during the review period. Following the onset of the global financial and economic crisis, the European Central Bank (ECB) played a vital role in sustaining financial intermediation within the Euro Area, as its unprecedented actions were aimed towards restoring confidence in financial markets as well as economic and financial stability, while maintaining its price stability objective. The ECB provided liquidity assistance to the banking sector in the early stages of the crisis and made use of conventional policy tools such as reductions in interest rates. As the financial turmoil continued to intensify, the ECB opted for additional non-standard measures to support the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. In fact, in addition to a series of Refinancing Operations, the ECB suspended the weekly fine-tuning operation sterilising the liquidity injected under the Securities Markets Programme. Moreover, it intensified the preparatory work related to outright purchases in the Asset Backed Securities (ABS) market. Since mid-2011, the Euro registered declines with respect to the three major currencies, namely the US Dollar, the UK Sterling and the Japanese Yen. This trend was to some extent different to the initial phase of the financial crisis, where the Euro currency had retained a degree of strength in respect of the aforementioned currencies, in particular, in respect of the US Dollar. The latter was primarily due to the significant easing of monetary policy in the US by the Federal Reserve. Following these periods, the Euro experienced further volatility and continued to depreciate throughout the first six months of 2012, before subsequently registering diverging dynamics in terms of appreciations vis-à-vis the Japanese Yen and a relatively more stable performance with respect to the US Dollar and the UK Sterling up until the first nine months of 2014. At the end of September 2014, the Euro/US exchange rate was around 6.8 per cent lower than the level prevailing a year earlier. Likewise, the Euro also depreciated vis-à-vis the British Pound by around 7.0 per cent from the level recorded in the same comparable month in 2013. In addition, during the same period, the Euro traded at around JPY 138.11 which was 4.8 per cent higher than that recorded in the corresponding month of the previous year. Economic Survey November 2014 131 Public Finance Unless otherwise stated, the analysis in this section is based on Government finance data as classified in the statement of the Consolidated Fund, where such data is defined on a cash basis rather than on an accruals system. Consequently, this data is to be interpreted with caution since developments in Government’s net financial position may not fully reflect actual spending and revenue flows on an accruals basis. Table 8.1 presents Government’s fiscal position during the January to September 2011 to 2014 period, whilst Chart 8.1 illustrates trends in the consolidated fund balance. During the January to September 2014 period, the shortfall between recurrent revenue and total expenditure of central Government increased by €12.5 million Government Revenue and Expenditure (January-September) Table 8.1 € million 2011 2012 2013 2014 Recurrent Revenue Tax Revenue Direct Tax Revenue Indirect Tax Revenue Non-Tax Revenue 1,822.1 1,608.7 918.4 690.3 213.4 1,921.4 1,686.0 1,007.9 678.1 235.5 2,056.2 1,831.5 1,125.2 706.3 224.7 2,227.3 1,950.2 1,208.5 741.8 277.1 Total Expenditure Recurrent Expenditure Interest on Public Debt Capital Expenditure Productive Infrastructure Social 2,010.6 1,667.7 159.5 183.4 36.7 110.1 36.6 2,203.6 1,792.2 168.0 243.4 70.2 141.4 31.8 2,327.6 1,905.5 165.5 256.7 75.8 145.4 35.4 2,511.2 2,060.0 172.0 279.2 57.4 169.5 52.3 Balance of recurrent revenue and total expenditure -188.4 -282.2 -271.4 -283.9 Financed by: Sinking Funds of Converted Loans Sinking Fund Contribution and Direct Loan Repayments Equity Acquisition Loan Facility Agreement with Hellenic Republic Loan Facility Agreement with Air Malta plc 9.6 -135.0 0.0 -25.1 -52.0 28.4 -355.1 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -155.5 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 -293.2 13.8 0.0 0.0 Public Sector Borrowing Requirement -390.9 -597.9 -415.2 -563.4 401.6 0.0 510.6 0.0 449.3 0.0 573.8 0.0 Local Loans Repayment of Loan made by government Source: The Treasury, Ministry for Finance 132 Economic Survey November 2014 Chart 8.1 Consolidated Fund Balance Euro million -400 -350 -300 -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan - Sep to reach €283.9 million. This was the result of higher recurrent, capital and interest expenditure, which was not offset by the increase in recurrent revenue. During the period under review, the public sector borrowing requirement increased from €415.2 million to €563.4 million mainly on account of the developments in the sinking fund contribution and direct loan repayments. To a lower extent, a negative influence on the public sector borrowing requirement1 was also exerted by the deterioration in the balance of recurrent revenue and total expenditure. Revenue During the first nine months of 2014 recurrent revenue increased by €171.1 million, over the same period in 2013, to reach €2,227.3 million. The increase was mainly the result of higher tax revenue, and also, but to a lower extent, higher non-tax revenue. Developments in the components of Government revenue for the periods January to September 2011 to 2014 are presented in Appendix Table 8.1. Furthermore, Chart 8.2 illustrates recent trends in the components of Government revenue. During the first three quarters of 2014, the share of Government revenue from taxes stood at its lowest in the past four years, at 87.6 per cent of total recurrent revenue. Nonetheless, revenue from taxes increased by €118.7 million during the period January to September 2014 reaching €1,950.2 million. This increase Economic Survey November 2014 133 Chart 8.2 Government Total Revenue Euro million 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan - Sep Indirect Tax Revenue Direct Tax Revenue Non-Tax Revenue was mainly characterised by the robust performance of direct tax revenue which increased by €83.3 million, advancing from €1,125.2 million in the first three quarters of 2013 to €1,208.5 million in the corresponding period of this year. The increase in direct tax revenue reflected the impact of further economic growth and higher employment. Meanwhile, over the same comparative period, revenue from indirect taxes also registered an increase of €35.4 million, rising from €706.3 million in the first three quarters of 2013 to €741.8 million. The increase in the latter was driven by higher receipts from Value Added Tax (VAT) of €50.0 million and an increase in revenue from licences, taxes and fines of €15.2 million. Lower income from customs and excise duties of €29.8 million, which was mainly due to lower revenue from excise duty on petroleum as Enemalta is expected to pay its dues with Government towards the end of 2014, partially offset the registered increase in revenue from indirect taxes. When compared to the same period of 2013, revenue from income tax receipts during the first nine months of 2014 increased by €45.7 million to reach €728.9 million. This is mainly attributable to the positive developments in the domestic labour market and in the property and financial services sectors, as reflected in higher proceeds under the Final Settlement System and from capital gains taxation, respectively. These positive developments more than offset the impact of the further adjustment in the income tax bands implemented earlier in 2014. 134 Economic Survey November 2014 Developments in the domestic labour market are also reflected in higher revenue from social security contributions which, during the first nine months of 2014, increased by €37.6 million to €479.5 million. The positive developments in social security contributions are also supported by the pension reform initiatives legislated in 2006, resulting in higher social contribution rates and a lower number of retirees reflecting the increase in the retirement age. During the period under review, receipts from customs and excise duties decreased by €29.8 million to €111.8 million. The decline was mainly due to lower revenue from excise duty on petroleum as Enemalta is expected to pay its dues towards the end of 2014. This was partially offset by higher proceeds from excise duty on cigarettes and cement following the measures announced in the 2014 Budget. When compared to January to September 2013, revenue from licenses, taxes and fines increased by €15.2 million in the corresponding 2014 period, reaching €175.9 million. This increase was mainly on account of higher proceeds from the annual circulation licence fee, and to a lower extent, higher proceeds from duty on documents and the motor vehicle registration tax. Receipts from VAT during the January to September 2014 period amounted to €454.0 million, thus increasing by €50.0 million when compared to the January to September 2013 period. Alongside with a more pronounced consumption pattern evident in the Maltese economy, these developments partially reflect higher expenditure by foreign tourists in Malta during the period under review. Non-tax revenue, which mainly comprises grants, the transfer of profits generated by the Central Bank of Malta, fees of office, and rents, increased by €52.4 million in the first nine months of 2014 to reach €277.1 million when compared to the corresponding period in 2013. This increase was mainly underpinned by significantly higher revenue from grants. When compared to the first three quarters of 2014, revenue from grants increased by €41.8 million during the period under review, reflecting higher Structural and Cohesion Funds under the EU 2007-2013 Financial Framework. During the first nine months of 2014, revenue from miscellaneous receipts increased by €5.4 million to €21.0 million. Furthermore, revenue from fees of office and rental income also increased by €5.0 million and €3.6 million, respectively to reach €29.9 million and €22.6 million. Moreover, the transfer of profits of the Central Bank of Malta (CBM) reached €44.0 million for the January to September 2014 period, an increase of €2.0 million when compared to the same period in 2013. Economic Survey November 2014 135 Meanwhile, while revenue from reimbursements and revenue from repayment of Government loans and interest remained relatively stable during the period under review and totalled €18.9 million, revenue from dividends on investments decreased by €5.8 million to €5.1 million during January to September 2014. Expenditure During January to September 2014, total Government expenditure, comprising both recurrent and capital expenditure, as well as interest payments on public debt, increased by €183.6 million over the same period in 2013, to €2,511.2 million. This increase was mainly attributable to higher recurrent expenditure. During the first three quarters of 2014, recurrent expenditure was up by €154.5 million over the corresponding period of the previous year. At the same time, capital expenditure increased by €22.5 million to €279.2 million. Moreover, interest on public debt increased by €6.5 million to €172.0 million. Chart 8.3 illustrates recent trends in Government expenditure. Chart 8.3 Government Total Expenditure Euro million 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan - Sep Capital Expenditure 136 Recurrent Expenditure Interest on Public Debt Economic Survey November 2014 Recurrent Expenditure Recurrent expenditure is classified under four categories, namely Personal Emoluments, Operational and Maintenance Expenditure, Contributions to Government Entities, and Programmes and Initiatives. The Programmes and Initiatives category accounted for more than half the rise in recurrent expenditure during the nine months up to September 2014. Programmes and Initiatives, which accounted for 62.3 per cent of total recurrent expenditure, comprises of expenditure and social transfer payments made in respect of ad hoc programmes run by Government, as well as subsidies, payments and grants for the provision of services to citizens and to charitable and private institutions but excludes operational costs of Government departments. During the first three quarters under review, this category of expenditure increased by €82.3 million to €1,282.9 million. This increase was on account of higher outlays to various programmes and initiatives in prime sectors including transport, environment, energy, health, education and social welfare. More specifically, higher expenditure outlays were allocated towards the Public Service Obligation due to the temporary takeover of the Public Transport by Government, the Transport Malta administration fee, the ex-gratia grant scheme for motor vehicles and initiatives with respect to landscaping and local councils. With respect to social welfare, higher outlays were recorded in respect of social security benefits and towards the State Contribution which also features as revenue. Furthermore, higher outlays were also recorded in respect of medicines and surgical materials, towards assistance to help the elderly live independently, energy support measures, support to voluntary organisations and Church schools, and towards free child care provision to all. On the other hand, lower outlays were recorded towards ECO reduction and street lighting. Personal Emoluments, which in the first nine months up to September 2014 accounted for 23.6 per cent of total recurrent expenditure, includes all salaries and wages paid to elected officials and civil servants, as well as any bonuses and supplements paid to employees in excess of standard remunerations including any allowances and overtime payments. In the period under review, this category of expenditure increased by €36.8 million to €485.9 million when compared to the corresponding period of the previous year. Contributions to Government Entities, which reflects funding to Government entities including Parastatals, Corporations and Authorities stood at 9.5 per cent of total recurrent expenditure. This category of expenditure reached €196.2 Economic Survey November 2014 137 million during the period under review, thus representing an increase of €31.2 million when compared to the same period a year earlier. Developments in this category mainly reflected higher outlays towards the University of Malta and towards the Employment & Training Corporation (ETC). A higher allocation was also registered towards Mount Carmel Hospital and Karen Grech Hospital, together with a higher allocation towards the Drainage Directorate. During the first three quarters of 2014, Operational and Maintenance expenditure represented a share of 4.6 per cent in total recurrent expenditure and includes payments for utilities, contractual services, materials and supplies, transport and rent. During the period under review, this category of expenditure increased marginally by €4.3 million over the same period in 2013, to €95.0 million, mainly due to higher rent expenditure by the Ministry for Tourism. On the other hand, lower outlays were registered under this category of expenditure in respect of Mater Dei Hospital contractual services. Appendix Table 8.2 presents the developments in Government’s recurrent expenditure on a cost centre basis for the first nine months of 2014. The nomenclature of Ministries as well as the cost centres referred to in this Chapter reflect the allocation of portfolios and assignment of responsibility for Government Departments and Government Entities under the new administration as from March 2013. A direct comparison with data for past years is therefore not always possible. Around a third of Government’s total recurrent expenditure consists of retirement pensions, children’s allowances, social assistance, as well as other benefits. These expenditures are highly influenced by developments in compensation of employees, inflation, as well as demographic changes. During the first three quarters of 2014, these welfare payments increased by €14.9 million to €638.6 million, mainly due to higher contributory benefits since the increase in noncontributory benefits was more subdued. The increase in contributory benefits of €9.2 million mainly reflects increases in outlays towards retirement pensions including the increase in pensions due to the cost of living adjustment (COLA). Meanwhile, the increase in non-contributory benefits was mainly due to higher outlays towards social assistance, which increased by €4.2 million. Expenditure by the Department of Social Security relating to the State contribution in terms of the Social Security Act 1987 (Cap. 318), which also features as revenue, increased by €10.6 million to €152.4 million during the first three quarters of 2014. 138 Economic Survey November 2014 Capital Expenditure Central Government capital expenditure consists of three broad categories, namely productive investment, infrastructural investment and capital outlays on social development. Capital expenditure is presented on a Ministry basis as per the Departmental Accounting System (DAS). Total capital expenditure increased further by €22.5 million to €279.2 million during the first nine months of 2014 over the same period in 2013. The increase in expenditure was due to higher infrastructural and social capital outlays, which more than outweighed lower productive investment expenditure. The share of infrastructural investment in Government’s total capital programme increased by 4.1 percentage points to 60.7 per cent in the first nine months of 2014, whilst the share of social investment capital outlays increased by 4.9 percentage points to 18.7 per cent. Furthermore, spending towards productive investment made up 20.6 per cent of total capital expenditure in the January to September 2014 period, 9.0 percentage points lower than the share recorded during the corresponding 2013 period. Appendix Table 8.3 displays a breakdown of Government’s capital expenditure programme for the January to September 2011-2014 period. Chart 8.4 presents developments in capital expenditure over recent years. During the period under review, Government’s capital outlays for productive investment decreased by €18.4 million to €57.4 million. This decrease was Chart 8.4 Capital Expenditure Euro million 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan - Sep Social Economic Survey November 2014 Infrastructural Productive 139 mainly underpinned by a lower equity injection of €15.0 million in the national air carrier, down by €25.0 million from €40.0 million last year. This was partly offset by increases recorded in expenditure towards productive investment classified under the ‘Other’ category, as well as higher capital outlays financed from the EU Agriculture Fund for Rural Development, EU Agriculture Guarantee Fund and EU Fisheries Fund. Infrastructural investment recorded an increase of €24.1 million, reaching €169.5 million during the January to September 2014 period when compared to the same period a year ago. This increase was largely the result of a €21.1 million increase in capital outlays with respect to road construction and improvement together with an increase in capital outlays towards several infrastructural projects co-financed by EU funds. Higher outlays on infrastructural investment were also registered in relation to the ICT core services agreement and outlays towards the integrated flood relief project. However, these higher outlays were partially offset by lower expenditure towards the waste water treatment infrastructure. Lower expenditure outlays were also recorded in relation to development of industry, acquisition of property, and infrastructural investment classified under the ‘Other’ category. Social investment amounted to €52.3 million in the first three quarters of 2014, increasing by €16.9 million over the corresponding period of the previous year. This increase was mainly due to an increase in investment funded by the External Borders Fund, which mainly consists of capital outlays on inshore patrol crafts and to a lesser extent, expenditure on the modernisation of communications infrastructures. Other increases were also attributable to initiatives in the education, waste management and health sectors, in particular in respect of projects by the University of Malta, new football facilities in Malta and Gozo, and works and equipment at Mater Dei Hospital. Meanwhile, lower capital outlays were recorded towards social investment classified under the ‘Other’ category. International Comparison The following is an analysis of the fiscal position of the EU Member States between 2011 and 2013. Table 8.2 presents the Government budgetary position as a percentage of GDP, while Table 8.3 presents the general Government debt position, also as a percentage of GDP. Data presented in this section is based on the ESA 2010 system of national accounts2, and is therefore not directly comparable with data presented in previous sections of this Chapter and with data presented in the same section of previous years’ Survey. It is pertinent to note that data for EU Member States, including data for Malta, reflect the 140 Economic Survey November 2014 General Government Net Lending (+) or Borrowing (-) as a percentage of GDP Table 8.2 per cent 2011 2012 2013 -2.6 -3.9 -2.0 -7.7 -5.8 -2.9 -2.1 1.0 -1.0 -5.1 -0.9 -10.1 -5.5 -12.6 -3.5 -3.4 -9.0 0.3 -4.3 -4.9 -7.4 -5.5 -4.1 -6.2 -9.4 -0.1 -7.6 -2.3 -4.1 -0.5 -5.6 -5.8 -4.0 -3.9 -0.3 -2.1 -4.9 0.1 -8.6 -2.3 -8.0 -3.0 -0.8 -3.2 0.1 -4.0 -3.7 -5.5 -3.0 -4.2 -3.7 -10.3 -0.9 -8.3 -1.5 -2.9 -1.2 -5.2 -4.9 -1.3 -0.7 -0.5 -2.4 -4.1 0.1 -12.2 -2.4 -5.7 -2.8 -0.9 -2.6 0.6 -2.3 -4.0 -4.9 -2.2 -2.6 -14.6 -6.8 -1.3 -5.8 EU 28 Euro Area United States Japan -4.5 -4.1 -9.9 -9.8 -4.2 -3.6 -8.6 -8.7 -3.2 -2.9 -5.8 -8.2 Malta -2.6 -3.7 -2.7 Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom* * Data pertains to UK financial year (1 April to 31 March) Source: Eurostat, IMF World Economic Outlook Economic Survey November 2014 141 General Government Gross Debt as a percentage of GDP Table 8.3 per cent 2011 2012 2013 Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom* 82.1 102.1 15.7 59.9 66.0 41.0 46.4 6.0 48.5 85.0 77.6 171.3 81.0 111.1 116.4 42.7 37.3 18.5 61.3 54.8 111.1 34.2 43.5 46.2 69.2 36.1 81.9 81.7 104.0 18.0 64.4 79.5 45.5 45.6 9.7 53.0 89.2 79.0 156.9 78.5 121.7 122.2 40.9 39.9 21.4 66.5 54.4 124.8 37.3 52.1 53.4 84.4 36.4 85.8 81.2 104.5 18.3 75.7 102.2 45.7 45.0 10.1 56.0 92.2 76.9 174.9 77.3 123.3 127.9 38.2 39.0 23.6 68.6 55.7 128.0 37.9 54.6 70.4 92.1 38.6 87.2 EU 28 Euro Area United States Japan 80.8 85.8 99.0 229.8 83.5 89.0 102.5 237.3 85.4 90.9 104.2 243.2 69.8 67.9 69.8 Malta * Data pertains to UK financial year (1 April to 31 March) Source: Eurostat, IMF World Economic Outlook 142 Economic Survey November 2014 Government deficit and debt data based on figures reported in the second 2014 notification by EU Member States for the years 2011-2013, for the application of the excessive deficit procedure (EDP) in accordance with Council Regulation (EC) No. 479/2009, amended by Council Regulation No. 679/2010. Data for the United States and for Japan is reproduced from the International Monetary Fund October 2014 update of the World Economic Outlook. The slow economic recovery that commenced in 2010 and impinged positively on the fiscal position of the EU economies was sustained throughout 2011 and 2012. Indeed, in the Euro Area (EA18) the Government deficit-to-GDP ratio decreased from 6.1 per cent in 2010 to 3.6 per cent in 2012, and in the EU28 the ratio declined from 6.4 per cent to 4.2 per cent. Despite the slight deterioration in economic conditions in 2012 (real GDP growth in the EU28 was a negative 0.4 per cent in 2012, while a positive 1.6 per cent growth was registered in 2011), the fiscal position of the EU economies was sustained in 2012. As economic growth turned once again positive in 2013, the Government deficit-to-GDP ratio in EA18 improved by a further 0.7 percentage points to 2.9 per cent in 2013. In the EU28, the ratio declined from 4.2 per cent to 3.2 per cent of GDP. In 2013, 18 Member States (MSs) recorded an improvement in their Government balance relative to GDP when compared with 16 MSs in 2012. The most pronounced improvement in the budget balance was recorded in Spain, which registered a 3.5 percentage points decrease in the Government deficit-to-GDP ratio, to 6.8 per cent of GDP. Spain3 exited successfully the financial assistance programme for the recapitalisation of financial institutions in January 2014 although after exiting the programme, the monitoring of the Spanish economy and its financial sector continues in the context of the post-programme surveillance. A notable fiscal consolidation effort of 3.2 and 2.5 percentage points of GDP was undertaken by Denmark and the United Kingdom, respectively, supported by a stronger economic recovery compared to the rest of the EU. Meanwhile, a fiscal effort of 2.7 and 2.3 percentage points was registered by the Czech Republic and Ireland in spite of their subdued economic growth. Among the other large economies, a fiscal adjustment of 0.8 and 0.2 percentage points of GDP was undertaken in France and Italy respectively amidst a background of subdued or negative economic growth in these Member States. Luxembourg and Germany were the only two Member States to register a budget surplus in 2013. The Netherlands, Slovakia, Belgium, and Malta also registered notable improvements in their budget balance of between 1.0 and 1.7 percentage points. Economic Survey November 2014 143 Bulgaria, Sweden, Finland, Poland, Estonia, Latvia and Hungary registered only marginal deteriorations of between 0.1 and 0.7 percentage points. Nonetheless, a total of 10 MSs had budget deficits in excess of 3.0 per cent of GDP, of which two had a deficit-to-GDP ratio in excess of 10.0 per cent. Slovenia registered both the highest fiscal imbalance, as well as the highest deterioration in its budget balance in 2013, as its deficit-to-GDP ratio increased from -3.7 per cent in 2012 to -14.6 per cent in 2013. In 2014, the Council closed excessive deficit procedures for Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands and Slovakia. It adopted decisions abrogating previous Council decisions on the existence of excessive deficits in these countries, confirming that they have reduced their deficits below 3.0 per cent of GDP, as defined in accordance with Article 126(6) of the Treaty on the functioning of the European Union (ex Article 104(6) of the Treaty establishing the European Community) and specified in the Stability and Growth Pact legislation. As a consequence, 11 of the EU’s 28 MSs remain subject to an excessive deficit procedure, down from 24 during a 12-month period in 2009-2010. It is to be noted that many procedures were opened subsequent to the global financial crisis and recession of 2008 and 2009. Meanwhile, despite fiscal consolidation efforts, Government debt continued to increase in both the EA18 and the EU28. Indeed, in the Euro Area the Government debt-to-GDP ratio increased from 85.8 per cent at the end of 2011 to 90.9 per cent at the end of 2013, and in the EU28 the ratio increased from 80.8 per cent to 85.4 per cent. It is interesting to note that although 18 EU Member States recorded an improvement in their budget balance, only three of these, namely Denmark, Lithuania and Austria, managed to actually reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio. Germany reduced the debt-to-GDP ratio despite registering no change in its budget balance. Furthermore, it is to be noted that Latvia and Hungary decreased their debt ratio despite the marginal deterioration in their budget balance. Moreover, 16 EU Member States registered Government debt ratios higher than 60.0 per cent of GDP in 2013. Out of these, Greece, Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Belgium and Cyprus reported debt-to-GDP levels in excess of 100.0 per cent of GDP. The two remaining countries undergoing a programme of fiscal and economic adjustment, Cyprus and Greece, recorded an increase in their debt-to-GDP ratio of 22.7 and 18.0 percentage points, respectively, to reach 102.2 and 174.9 per cent, respectively by the end of 2013. Meanwhile, the debt-to-GDP ratio in Croatia and Slovenia increased in excess of 11.0 percentage points. Nevertheless, several Member States still reported low ratios of Government debt-to-GDP at the end of 2013, in particular Estonia, Bulgaria and Luxembourg 144 Economic Survey November 2014 which registered debt ratios below 25.0 per cent of GDP. In 2013, the United States (US) reported a Government fiscal deficit-to-GDP ratio of 5.8 per cent, representing a 2.8 percentage point improvement from that reported in 2012. The gross debt-to-GDP ratio increased further from 102.5 per cent in 2012 to reach 104.2 per cent in 2013. Meanwhile, in Japan, the Government deficit-to-GDP ratio in 2013 decreased to 8.2 per cent of GDP when compared to 8.7 per cent recorded in 2012. Furthermore, Japan’s debtto-GDP ratio increased to 243.2 per cent in 2013 when compared to 237.3 per cent in 2012. In this context, it is noted that both the EU28 and the EA18 compare favourably to the US and Japan with respect to both the deficit and debt ratios to GDP. Economic Survey November 2014 145 Box 8.1 General Government Budgetary Developments The Quarterly Accounts of General Government published by the National Statistics Office (NSO) depict the Government’s fiscal position using the updated European System of Accounts (ESA) 2010 methodology. Under this system, mandatory for all EU Member States, adjustments are carried out to the cash balances of the Consolidated Fund transactions to include all government accounts, exclude all financial transactions, and include accrual adjustments. Moreover, data pertaining to Extra Budgetary Units and Local Councils are also included. It is therefore pertinent to note that the data presented below is not comparable to that classified in the statement of the Consolidated Fund as provided in other sections of this Chapter. Nevertheless, conformity to the use of ESA 2010 methodology in line with the procedure defined in Article 104 of the Maastricht Treaty, allows for the international comparability of data for reporting purposes. The following analysis relates to general Government budgetary developments during the first two quarters of 2014. It is worth noting that due to seasonal factors, a larger proportion of revenue and to a lesser extent expenditure materialises in the last quarter of the year. As a result, the in-year budgetary performance will not be symmetrical between the first half and the second half of the year. Seasonal patterns may also vary from one year to the next due to the timing of payments and receipts. Therefore, inyear deficit-to-GDP figures which measure the in-year budgetary performance should be read with caution. As depicted in Chart 1, during the first half of 2014 the deficit ratio stood at 5.1 per cent of GDP, deteriorating by 1.0 percentage point over the corresponding period in 2013 as the rise in the expenditure ratio more than outweighed the increase in the revenue ratio to GDP. The revenue-to-GDP ratio for the first six months of 2014 increased from 40.0 per cent to 40.7 per cent. The increase of 0.7 percentage points was mainly underpinned by a higher ratio to GDP of other capital transfers and investment grants of 0.9 percentage points stemming from revenue from EU funds under the 2007-2013 Financial Framework. In addition, taxes on production and imports as a percentage of GDP increased by 0.8 percentage points. The increase of 1.7 percentage points of GDP was partially offset by a lower ratio to GDP of current taxes on income and wealth of 1.2 percentage points. 146 Economic Survey November 2014 Box 8.1 continued Chart 1 Public Finance Developments (in accordance with ESA 2010 methodology) % of GDP % of GDP 4 50 45 2 40 35 0 30 25 -2 20 -4 15 10 -6 5 0 -8 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 Jan - Jun GG Expenditure GG Revenue GG Deficit (secondary axis) When compared to the first two quarters of 2013, the expenditure-to-GDP ratio in the first half of 2014 increased by 1.7 percentage points to 45.7 per cent of GDP. This increase is mainly on account of higher outlays on gross fixed capital formation, primarily reflecting higher expenditure on projects financed from EU funds under the 2007-2013 Financial Framework as well as higher outlays on projects financed from national sources. Higher ratios were also recorded for intermediate consumption and compensation of employees. Meanwhile, a lower ratio of capital transfers was mainly the result of lower expenditure related to the equity injection in the national airline as part of the ongoing restructuring programme. Economic Survey November 2014 147 Monetary Developments During January-August 2014, the contribution of Maltese monetary financial institutions (MFIs) to the stock of Euro Area Broad Money (M3) increased. This was mainly the result of an increase in overnight deposits. Deposits redeemable at notice up to three months and deposits with agreed maturity of up to two years also contributed positively, albeit marginally, towards M3. On the other hand, there was a decline in net claims on non-residents of the Euro Area while developments in the credit and other counterparts components contributed positively to M3. The Bank Lending Survey (BLS) conducted in July 2014 revealed that credit standards applied to lending to enterprises and households remained unchanged during the second quarter of the year. Meanwhile, according to the CBM quarterly review for the second quarter of 2014, local banks reported that demand for loans picked up somewhat during the aforementioned quarterly review period. At the same time, depositors continued to prefer holding highly liquid short-term deposits, reflecting the relatively low interest rate environment. Contribution of Resident MFIs to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates During the first eight months of 2014, the contribution of Maltese resident MFIs to total monetary aggregates (M3) of the Euro Area increased by 6.9 per cent, reaching €12,424.7 million in comparison to €11,626.3 million registered in December 2013. Higher overnight deposits were the main driver of such an increase. In addition, deposits with agreed maturity of up to three months and up to two years also contributed positively, albeit very mildly. The dynamics in the main monetary indicators are illustrated in Table 8.4. The developments show the continued preference towards short-term liquid money balances in the form of overnight deposits, though two-year term maturity deposits remain substantial. Narrow money (M1) reached €7,483.2 million between January-August 2014, reflecting an increase of 11.3 per cent when compared to €6,725.7 million recorded in December 2013. This was largely the result of a 12.2 per cent increase in overnight deposits during the same corresponding period. The increase in overnight deposits during the first eight months of 2014 resulted primarily from higher deposits by Maltese residents as well as higher deposits from Euro Area residents. Throughout the same period, currency issued grew by 3.9 per cent, reaching €808.6 million in August 2014, though the positive contribution to M1 was low due to its small share. 148 Economic Survey November 2014 Contribution of Resident MFIs to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates(1) Table 8.4 € million 2013 (Dec) 2014 (Mar) 2014 (Jun) 2014* (Aug) Aug-14 Dec-13 % Change Narrow Money (M1) 6,725.7 7,014.8 7,120.0 7,483.2 11.3 Currency issued(2) 778.7 5,947.0 777.9 6,236.9 800.5 6,319.4 808.6 6,674.5 3.9 12.2 11,460.9 6,725.7 113.1 11,875.2 7,014.8 111.4 11,762.7 7,120.0 112.4 12,298.7 7,483.2 121.2 7.3 11.3 7.2 4,622.1 4,749.1 4,530.3 4,694.3 1.6 11,626.3 11,460.9 165.4 12,037.0 11,875.2 161.7 11,890.2 11,762.7 127.4 12,424.7 12,298.7 126.0 6.9 7.3 -23.8 Overnight deposits(3) Intermediate Money (M2) Narrow Money (M1) Deposits redeemable at notice up to 3 months(3) Deposits with agreed maturity up to 2 years(3) Broad Money (M3)(4) Intermediate Money (M2) Debt securities issued up to 2 years initial maturity * Provisional (1) Figures show the contribution of Maltese monetary financial institutions (MFIs) to the Euro Area totals, and include deposit liabilities (2) Comprises the Central Bank of Malta’s share of Euro banknotes issued by the Eurosystem, plus coins issued by the Bank on behalf (3) Deposits with MFIs exclude interbank deposits and deposits held by central government. (4) M3-M2 comprises repurchase agreements and debt securities up to 2 years’ maturity issued by MFIs in Malta less holdings by MFIs in Malta to both residents of Malta and other Euro Area residents. of the Treasury, less holdings of issued Euro banknotes and coins held by the MFI sector. of such securities issued by MFIs anywhere in the Euro Area. Figures also include MMFs shares/units issued less holdings in such units by MMFs and credit institutions resident in the Euro Area and holdings by non-residents of the Euro Area. Source: Central Bank of Malta During the first eight months of 2014, deposits redeemable at notice up to three months increased by 7.2 per cent over the level registered in December 2013, reaching €121.2 million. This increase was driven by the dynamics in deposits from residents of Malta as the developments in deposits from other Euro Area residents were negligible due to their very small share. During the period January-August 2014, deposits with an agreed maturity of up to two years registered an increase of 1.6 per cent when compared to the same period in 2013, thus reaching €4,694.3 million in August 2014. Table 8.5 portrays the developments in resident deposits. Between JanuaryAugust 2014, total resident deposits grew by 9.3 per cent and stood at €10,569.1 million, in contrast to December 2013. This was mainly the result of the positive contribution from overnight deposits, which grew by 11.8 per cent during the Survey period. Deposits redeemable at notice up to three months increased by 7.2 per cent, during the period under review, while two year maturity deposits increased by 5.5 per cent. Nevertheless, the latter had a higher positive contribution towards the growth in total resident deposits. Economic Survey November 2014 149 Resident Deposits Table 8.5 € million 2011 (Dec) 2012 (Dec) 2013 (Dec) 2014* (Aug) Aug-14 Dec-13 % Change Overnight Deposits(1) Deposits redeemable at notice up to 3 months Deposits with agreed maturity up to 2 years 4,590.9 5,047.7 5,771.0 6,454.7 11.8 122.5 151.7 113.0 121.1 7.2 3,693.1 3,683.0 3,783.7 3,993.2 5.5 Total resident deposits 8,406.4 8,882.4 9,667.7 10,569.1 9.3 * Provisional (1) Overnight deposits are deposits withdrawable on demand and exclude interbank deposits and deposits held by central Government. Source: Central Bank of Malta Contribution of Resident MFIs to Counterparts to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates Table 8.6 portrays the changes in the contribution of resident MFIs to counterparts to Euro Area monetary aggregates since December 2013. During the first eight months of 2014, Maltese MFIs’ contribution to the Euro Area broad money stock (M3) increased, led by the positive contributory effect from a decline in other counterparts and an increase in the credit counterpart which more than offset the decline in net claims on non-residents of the Euro Area. In the period January-August 2014, the credit counterpart of broad money reached €15,114.6 million, representing an increase of 4.7 per cent when compared to December 2013. This increase was mainly the result of higher credit to both Maltese residents and other non-Maltese Euro Area residents. During the first eight months of 2014, credit to residents of Malta increased by 4.9 per cent, reaching €11,685.6 million when compared to December 2013. Notwithstanding that due to its share, lending to the private sector was the main driver of the developments in total credit to residents of Malta, both lending to general Government and to the private sector increased at rates of 9.5 per cent and 3.5 per cent, respectively during the period under review. Concurrently, credit to other Euro Area residents increased by 4.3 per cent, reaching €3,428.9 million in August 2014. This increase was driven by a 9.5 per cent increase in credit to the private counterpart which more than offset a decline in credit to 150 Economic Survey November 2014 Contribution of Resident MFIs to Counterparts to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates Table 8.6 2013 (Dec) 2014 (Mar) 2014 (Jun) 2014* (Aug) Aug-14 Dec-13 % Change Broad Money (M3) 11,626.3 12,037.0 11,890.2 12,424.7 6.9 Credit Counterpart Credit to residents of Malta Credit to general Government Credit to other residents Credit to other Euro Area residents 14,433.3 11,144.2 2,478.0 8,666.2 3,289.1 14,822.0 11,357.9 2,640.7 8,717.2 3,464.1 14,959.1 11,546.0 2,735.3 8,810.7 3,413.1 15,114.6 11,685.6 2,712.5 8,973.1 3,428.9 4.7 4.9 9.5 3.5 4.3 Net claims on non-residents of the Euro Area 9,567.1 8,941.5 8,624.7 8,003.7 -16.3 12,374.0 11,726.5 11,693.7 10,693.5 -13.6 Other counterparts (net) * Provisional (1) This does not represent holdings of M3 by residents of Malta but rather the contribution of MFIs in Malta to the Euro Area aggregate. (2) Credit includes, besides lending, claims in the form of debt securities and shares and other equity. (3) Includes net interbank claims/liabilities within the MFI sector. These counterparts make a negative contribution to M3. Source: Central Bank of Malta general Government of 3.9 per cent. Table 8.7, which displays loans to Maltese residents excluding general Government, delves further into the 3.5 per cent increase in private sector credit during the first eight months of 2014 when compared to December of last year. This increase was mainly the result of further increases in loans to ‘households and individuals’ followed by increases in loans to ‘electricity, gas and water supply’, as well as to ‘manufacturing’. Indeed, the aforementioned registered increases of 4.3 per cent, 45.8 per cent and 27.4 per cent, respectively in the first eight months of 2014 when compared to the last month of 2013. Loans to the ‘other’ category and ‘transport, storage and communication’ increased by 2.3 per cent and 3.0 per cent respectively. Declines in loans were recorded in the ‘construction’, ‘hotels and restaurants’, ‘wholesale, retail trade and repairs’ and ‘real estate, renting and business activities’ sectors which declined by 6.1 per cent, 4.7 per cent, 3.6 per cent, and 1.1 per cent, respectively. The growth dynamics in M3 were also affected by the developments in foreign capital from outside the Euro Area. Indeed, net claims, which represent the external counterpart of M3 decreased substantially by 16.3 per cent during the Economic Survey November 2014 151 Credit to Other Residents(1) Loans by Economic Activity Table 8.7 Total Credit Total Loans(2) Electricity, gas & water supply Transport, storage & communication Manufacturing Construction Hotels & restaurants Wholesale & retail trade; repairs Real estate, renting & business activities Households & individuals Other(3) 2011 (Dec) 2012 (Dec) 2013 (Dec) 2014* (Aug) Aug-14 Dec-13 % Change 8,550.5 8,704.1 8,666.2 8,973.1 3.5 8,440.6 539.8 526.5 280.8 1,092.7 459.8 847.9 396.6 3,589.8 8,568.6 280.1 502.0 308.8 1,024.0 468.2 829.9 423.4 3,776.8 8,544.6 293.1 478.0 297.3 894.7 462.5 782.2 455.4 3,959.4 8,857.3 427.2 492.5 378.9 840.1 440.6 754.0 450.2 4,130.1 3.7 45.8 3.0 27.4 -6.1 -4.7 -3.6 -1.1 4.3 706.7 955.4 922.1 943.7 2.3 * Provisional (1) Credit to other residents consists mainly of loans and holdings of securities, including equities, issued by the non-bank private sector and public non-financial companies, and financial derivatives. Interbank claims are excluded. Data only include credit to residents of Malta. (2) Data presented in this Table is compiled in accordance with NACE Rev2 (3) Includes agriculture, mining & quarrying, public administration, education, health & social work, community recreation & personal activities, extra-territorial organisations & bodies and non-bank financial institutions. Source: Central Bank of Malta first eight months of 2014 when compared to December 2013, thus reaching €8,003.7 million in August 2014. The decline in net claims on non-residents of the Euro Area was offset by the decline in the other counterparts net balance which declined by 13.6 per cent during January-August 2014 over December 2013, reaching €10,693.5 million. The decline in the net claims component reflects a more rapid decline in resident credit institutions’ liabilities to other Euro Area banks with respect to their claims on them while the other counterparts’ component mainly reflects interbank transactions across the Euro Area and has a negative contribution to M3. The Money Market The ECB has taken unprecedented action over recent years to restore economic and financial stability, following the onset of the global financial crisis in 2007, while at the same time targeting its price stability objective. During the initial phases of the crisis, the ECB provided liquidity to the banking sector and continued to use conventional monetary policy tools such as reductions 152 Economic Survey November 2014 in interest rates as the financial turmoil continued to intensify. Subsequently, however, conventional monetary policy was complemented by additional nonstandard measures (particularly through the Securities Market Programme) which supported the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. As the crisis unfolded, the ECB continued to play an important role in sustaining financial intermediation within the Euro Area while safeguarding the refinancing tools of solvent banks and helping restore confidence in financial markets. Following the appointment of Mario Draghi as ECB President, the ECB issued its Long-Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO) with an unprecedented term of three years and 1.00 per cent interest rate. Government securities, mortgagebacked securities and commercial paper were allowed as collateral. This was followed in February by LTRO providing Eurozone banks with cheap loans with a view to ensure enough liquidity in the banking system. The ECB’s Governing Council decided that the interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and deposit facility should remain unchanged at 1.00 per cent, 1.75 per cent and 0.25 per cent respectively. By mid-2012, the ECB decided on the details relating to the tender procedures as well as the modalities to be applied in its refinancing operations up to 15 January 2013, in particular to continue its fixed rate tender procedures with full allotment. The ECB’s Governing Council also decided to decrease the interest rate on the main refinancing operations by 25 basis points to 0.75 per cent and to decrease the interest rates on both the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility by 25 basis points, to 1.50 per cent and 0.00 per cent, respectively. It is notable that all these extraordinary measures coupled with the ECB President’s announcement that “the ECB would do whatever it takes to preserve the Euro …” sovereign bond yields finally started to decline even in the most troubled economies of the Euro Area. In September 2012, the ECB decided on additional procedures and opted to conduct further liquidity provisioning measures. In particular, it announced the modalities for undertaking Outright Monetary Transactions (OMTs) in secondary markets for sovereign bonds in the Euro Area. In addition, in December 2012, the Governing Council of the ECB also decided on the details relating to tender procedures and modalities to be applied in its refinancing operations up to 9 July 2013, particularly to continue its fixed rate full allotment tender procedures. In May 2013, a decision was taken by the Governing Council of the ECB to decrease the interest rate on the main refinancing operations by 25 basis points Economic Survey November 2014 153 to 0.50 per cent and to also decrease the interest rate on the marginal lending facility by 50 basis points to 1.00 per cent. At the same time, it was also decided to keep the interest rate on the deposit facility unchanged at 0.00 per cent. During the same meeting the Governing Council also decided to continue its fixed rate tender procedure with full allotment for its refinancing operations up to 8 July 2014. The ECB continued to reduce key interest rates in November 2013, notably the rate on the main refinancing operations as well as the rate on the marginal lending facility which were both decreased by 25 basis points to reach 0.25 per cent and 0.75 per cent, respectively. At the same time, a decision was also taken to continue the fixed rate tender procedure refinancing operations with full allotment up to the 7 July 2015. As of mid-2014, the ECB continued its pro-active stance and reduced further its main interest rates, resulting in rates of 0.15 per cent and 0.40 per cent for rates relating to the main refinancing operations and the marginal lending facility respectively, whilst for the first time set a negative interest rate of -0.10 per cent on its deposit facility. The pick-up in non-standard measures adopted by the ECB in the second half of 2014 was aimed at augmenting the banking sector’s access to liquidity and consequently to support the functioning of the Euro Area money market and to prolong the provision of credit to households as well as non-financial corporations. With this intention, in addition to a series of Refinancing Operations, the ECB also suspended the weekly fine-tuning operation sterilising the liquidity injected under the Securities Markets Programme and intensified the preparatory work related to outright purchases in the Asset Backed Securities (ABS) market. In September of this year, the ECB also cut further its main interest rates, resulting in an interest rate on main refinancing operations of 0.05 per cent, a rate on marginal lending of 0.30 per cent and a rate on the deposit facility of -0.20 per cent. Moreover, the ECB also decided to purchase a broad portfolio of simple and transparent ABSs with underlying assets consisting of claims against the Euro Area non-financial private sector under an ABS purchase programme and to purchase a broad portfolio of euro-denominated covered bonds issued by MFIs domiciled in the Euro Area under a new covered bond purchase programme. Interventions under both of these programmes started in October 2014. Interbank rates are considered as an indicator of risk aversion in financial markets. Lending institutions would be less willing to provide credit to each 154 Economic Survey November 2014 other in the interbank market during periods of heightened risk aversion. During the first half of 2010, interbank rates remained relatively stable. However, in the following twelve months, some volatility was experienced in interbank rates which increased up to around mid-2011, signalling renewed tensions and intensified risk aversion levels in financial markets. Interbank rates broadly reached their peak towards mid-2011. Following this period, however, overnight rates declined steadily and reached 0.07 per cent in December 2012, remaining relatively stable until November 2013 following which, the overnight rate edged up to 0.25 towards May 2014 before it bottomed out at 0.02 per cent in August 2014. Long-term rates remained higher compared to their shorter-term counterparts in the same comparable period, albeit continuing to decline steadily reaching 0.47 per cent in August 2014. Euro Area interbank money market interest rates have a bearing on Maltese Treasury Bills, as they represent an alternative portfolio investment opportunity to the local investors. In the first nine months of 2014, the local Government issued €682.4 million worth of Treasury Bills on the primary market. This level is €136.6 million less than the level of Treasury Bills that were issued during the same period in 2013. Yields in the primary and secondary markets for Malta Treasury Bills have been on a declining trend since the third quarter of 2012. In fact, as at August 2014, the yield on three-month bills in the primary market stood at 0.21 per cent whilst the yield on six-month bills stood at 0.29 per cent when compared to rates registered in September 2012 of 1.27 per cent and 1.36 per cent for three-month bills and six-month bills respectively. The turnover in the secondary market for Treasury Bills reached €10.1 million during January-September 2014, representing an increase of €0.9 million when compared to a turnover of €9.2 million recorded in the comparable period of 2013. Deposit and Lending Rates Chart 8.5 portrays the local developments in relation to deposit and lending rates, in conjunction with the interest margin between their weighted averages, as well as the minimum bid rate of the ECB. As from 2011 onwards, the spread declined very marginally remaining largely stable, despite the decline in the ECB minimum bid rate which decreased steadily from 1.5 per cent in July 2011 to 0.15 per cent in the period June-August 2014. As at the end of August 2014, the spread stood at 2.90 per cent when compared to 2.99 per cent in January 2011. Economic Survey November 2014 155 Chart 8.5 Local Interest Rates and Margins percentage points 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 Spread - Interest margin Weighted average deposit rate Weighted average lending rate Non-financial companies lending rate Households and individuals lending rate ECB minimum bid rate Jul-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jan-14 Nov-13 Sep-13 Jul-13 May-13 Jan-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Nov-12 Jul-12 May-12 Jan-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Nov-11 Jul-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jan-11 0.0 The Capital Market In the first nine months of 2014, the Government issued €575.0 million worth of stocks on the primary market. In addition, stocks worth €635.0 million were re-integrated into other issued stock during the period reviewed while total redeemed stocks amounted to €263.4 million. A strong increase in the primary corporate bond market was experienced between January and September 2014 when compared to the same period a year earlier. Indeed, newly issued corporate bonds increased by €198.2 million when compared to the same period of last year, reaching €208.0 million as at September 2014. In addition, redeemed corporate bonds reached €38.0 million in the first nine months of 2014, representing an increase of €9.2 million compared to the same period in 2013. These developments were also accompanied by lower deductions which stood at €1.0 million as at September 2014 when compared to €12.8 million during the same period in 2013. Table 8.8 illustrates the activities in Government stock in the secondary market. Trading activity in the secondary market for Government bonds was strong between January-September 2014, with turnover levels increasing by 30.3 per cent when compared to the same period a year earlier, to reach €678.0 million. The number of deals also saw a similar increase during the same period. Indeed, the number of deals during the first nine months of 2014 reached 6,841 from 156 Economic Survey November 2014 Government Stocks Activity on the Secondary Market Table 8.8 2014 Jan-Mar 2014 Apr-Jun 2014 Jul-Sep 2014 Jan-Sep Nominal Value (€ million) 187.5 201.7 226.1 615.4 Market Value (€ million) 202.6 219.7 255.7 678.0 Number of Transactions 1,754 2,236 2,851 6,841 106,911 90,218 79,310 89,952 Amount sold by CBM (€ million)** 83.5 89.1 91.8 264.4 Amount bought by CBM (€ million)** 101.0 100.0 88.7 289.6 Turnover in Government Stocks: Average Value per Transaction (€)* * Based on Nominal Values ** Based on Market Values Source: Central Bank of Malta 5,388 recorded in January-September 2013, representing an increase of 27.0 per cent. In the period January-September 2014, trading was mainly concentrated in two issues: 4.5 per cent MGS 2028 and 4.45 per cent MGS 2032, registering 1,421 and 877 deals, respectively. The value transacted by the Central Bank of Malta in the local secondary Government bond market amounted to €554.0 million during the first nine months of 2014. A range of secondary market indicators is presented in Table 8.9. Between January-September 2014, corporate bonds turnover in the secondary market increased by 16.5 per cent to reach €28.5 million, from €24.5 million recorded during the same comparable period in 2013. As at September 2014, the total listing of corporate bonds stood at 44, which remained unchanged from the level of listings registered a year earlier. Similarly to corporate bond developments, aggregate turnover for equities increased to €38.5 million in the first nine months of 2014, compared to a level of €37.7 million registered in the comparable period of 2013. Between January-September 2014, Bank of Valletta p.l.c. and HSBC Bank Malta p.l.c. share issues registered the largest level of trading activity standing at 2,596 Economic Survey November 2014 157 Selected Indicators of the Capital Market Table 8.9 2014 Jan-Mar 2014 Apr-Jun 2014 Jul-Sep 2014 Jan-Sep Corporate Bonds* Number of Listings** Turnover (€ million) 40.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 6.7 9.6 12.2 28.5 Equities* Number of Issues Outstanding** Turnover (€ million) 24.0 23.0 24.0 24.0 14.8 11.0 12.7 38.5 Total Listed Securities* Total Turnover (€ million)*** Market Capitalisation (€ million)**/*** MSE Ord. Share Index** 224.2 249.6 281.6 755.4 9,535.3 9,879.0 10,139.2 10,139.2 3,424.0 3,297.6 3,333.2 3,333.2 *Including the Alternative Companies listing **As at end of period ***Including Malta Government Stocks and Treasury Bills Source: Malta Stock Exchange and 1,220 deals, respectively. As at September 2014, the Malta Stock Exchange Share Index closed at 3,333.2 reflecting a decline of 2.5 per cent over the same period in 2013. Market capitalisation in the equity market decreased from €3,016.4 million in September 2013 to €3,003.8 million at the end of September 2014. As at September 2014, total market capitalisation stood at €10,139.2 million, increasing by €676.7 million from the level of €9,462.5 prevailing in the same month last year. This increase was underpinned mainly by increases in the market capitalisation for Government bonds and to a lesser extent an increase in market capitalisation for corporate bonds. Contrary to these developments, during the same period, a decline was registered in market capitalisation for treasury bills and for equities. 158 Economic Survey November 2014 Exchange Rate Developments Movements in exchange rates have a direct impact on firms and consumers since the exchange rate is one of the key relative prices for an economy having a bearing on both the real, as well as the financial sectors of an economy. Indeed, the exchange rate has economy-wide implications influencing price competitiveness, international trade flows as well as impacting the real return of investors’ portfolios. Exchange rates are also sensitive to developments in monetary policy. Chart 8.6 outlines an indexed Euro exchange rate against the three major currencies, namely the US Dollar, the UK Sterling and the Japanese Yen since the end of 2011. Since mid-2011, as the Euro debt crisis intensified, the Euro registered declines with respect to the major currencies under analysis. This is somewhat in contrast with the first two years of the financial crisis, where the Euro currency retained a degree of strength in respect of the major currencies, especially in respect of the US Dollar, mainly due to the significant easing of monetary policy in the US. Following these periods, the Euro depreciation continued throughout the first half of 2012 before subsequently registering diverging dynamics in terms of appreciations vis-à-vis the Japanese Yen and a relatively more stable performance with respect to the US Dollar and the UK Sterling until the first nine months of 2014. Chart 8.6 Euro Exchange Rate Movements (Index of End of Month Rates, End 2011=100) 150.00 145.00 Japanese Yen 140.00 135.00 130.00 125.00 120.00 115.00 110.00 105.00 US Dollar 100.00 95.00 90.00 UK Sterling 85.00 80.00 75.00 70.00 65.00 D M J S 2012 Economic Survey November 2014 D M J 2013 S D M J S D 2014 159 Throughout 2013 until April 2014 the Euro reached US$1.39 but depreciated thereafter vis-à-vis the US Dollar reaching US$ 1.26 in September 2014. The depreciation in the Euro currency experienced during this period primarily reflected the weaker than expected economic activity of a number of Euro Area Member States and a stronger than anticipated recovery in the USA. At the end of September 2014, the Euro/US exchange rate was around 6.8 per cent lower than the level prevailing a year earlier. From a longer-term perspective, at the end of September 2014, the Euro was trading at 6.1 per cent below its 10-year average level of US$ 1.34. During the period under review, the largest decline in the Euro’s strength was registered in respect of the UK Sterling. Whilst the value of the Euro vis-àvis the Sterling somewhat stabilised into the first half of 2013, it depreciated throughout the second half of the year (in July 2013, the Euro stood at GBP 0.87 when compared to the level of GBP 0.78 registered in July 2012) and continued following this trend until September 2014, where the Euro was trading at around GBP 0.78. This meant that as at September 2014, the Euro depreciated by around 7.0 per cent from the level prevailing in the same comparable month in 2013. Nevertheless, from a longer-term perspective, this is largely in line with the average Euro-UK Sterling bilateral exchange rate for the past 10 years which stands at GBP 0.79. As illustrated in Chart 8.6, the Euro experienced a high degree of volatility in respect of the Japanese Yen during recent years which was predominantly marked by an upward trend in the value of the former vis-à-vis the latter. During the first quarter of 2012, the Euro appreciated and stood at JPY 109.56 in March 2012. These developments reversed almost immediately as the Euro depreciated to reach JPY 96.03 in July 2012. Subsequently, however, the Euro experienced a strong positive trend which persisted up to December 2013 reaching a high of JPY 144.72, effectively reflecting the new regime of monetary policy easing introduced by the Bank of Japan. This exchange rate stabilised somewhat in the following months and at September 2014 the Euro traded at JPY 138.11 which was 4.8 per cent higher than the value in the corresponding month of the previous year. From a longer-term perspective, the Euro is currently trading notably above the 10-year average mark of JPY 132.56. 160 Economic Survey November 2014 Footnotes: 1 The statistics for Public Finance contained in this Chapter go beyond the cut-off date. 2 Data for Japan and the United States follow the ESA95 classification. 3 Along with Spain, Portugal exited the Programme in June 2014. Ireland is now following post programme surveillance, leaving only Cyprus and Greece undergoing a programme of fiscal and economic adjustment. Economic Survey November 2014 161 Government Revenue (January-September) Appendix Table 8.1 € thousand 2011 Tax Revenue Direct Tax Revenue Income Tax Social Security Indirect Tax Revenue Customs and Excise Duties Licences, Taxes and Fines Value Added Tax Non-Tax Revenue Fees of Office Reimbursements Rents Dividends on Investments Repayment of Government Loans and interest Miscellaneous Receipts Public Corporations Central Bank of Malta Grants Recurrent Revenue Extraordinary Receipts Loans Repayment of Loans made by Government Total Revenue 2012 2013 2014 1,608,700 1,685,952 1,831,532 1,950,242 918,436 1,007,863 1,125,193 1,208,477 518,449 595,133 683,236 728,948 399,987 412,731 441,957 479,529 690,264 678,089 706,339 741,765 147,637 117,823 141,578 111,822 170,747 171,946 160,744 175,911 371,880 388,320 404,017 454,031 213,430 27,832 15,375 18,206 10,699 235,467 23,859 19,794 18,554 13,251 224,713 24,959 17,108 18,981 10,914 277,076 29,923 17,748 22,614 5,118 1,168 33,095 0 48,000 59,056 570 53,907 0 42,000 63,531 1,408 15,593 0 42,000 93,751 1,120 20,962 0 44,000 135,592 1,822,130 1,921,419 2,056,245 2,227,318 9,622 401,610 0 28,425 510,582 0 0 449,321 30 0 573,841 0 2,233,362 2,460,425 2,505,596 2,801,160 Source: The Treasury, Ministry for Finance 162 Economic Survey November 2014 Government Recurrent Expenditure (January-September) Appendix Table 8.2 € thousand 2011 2012 2013 2014 Office of the President House of Representatives Office of the Ombudsman National Audit Office Office of the Prime Minister Public Service Commission Armed Forces of Malta Tourism [Ministry for Tourism and Culture] Local Government Information Government Printing Press Electoral Office 1,689 2,215 328 1,600 20,337 289 27,945 31,091 25,891 947 833 3,997 1,629 2,297 550 1,638 22,417 307 26,426 32,809 34,630 923 939 4,142 1,603 1,963 700 1,780 12,979 341 27,111 38,611 27,742 908 930 7,518 1,958 2,325 700 2,180 19,971 331 28,064 46,771 36,082 802 934 6,507 Ministry of Foreign Affairs Ministry for Gozo 16,032 40,509 17,454 41,185 13,900 17,174 14,345 18,970 Ministry for Infrastructure, Transport and Communication Land and Public Registry Division Ministry for Resources and [Infrastructure] Rural Affairs Ministry of Education, [Culture, Youth and Sport] Employment and the Family Education Libraries and Archives Social Security Social Security Benefits Social Welfare Standards Ministry of Health, the Elderly & Community Care [Health] Elderly and Community Care Industrial and Employment Relations Ministry of Finance, the Economy and Investment Treasury Pensions Inland Revenue 30,133 1,747 60,905 27,964 2,638 59,160 0 2,902 0 0 3,264 0 148,865 103,482 1,044 126,266 525,245 634 222,414 35,763 795 80,303 3,606 65,362 5,037 149,841 110,351 131,889 561,164 626 249,345 37,703 849 115,274 3,772 68,321 5,145 128,984 126,576 141,715 623,651 686 276,117 47,824 878 0 3,031 66,007 5,167 149,262 135,774 152,359 638,575 675 300,026 55,360 863 0 3,362 69,392 5,303 Economic Survey November 2014 163 Government Recurrent Expenditure (January-September) Appendix Table 8.2 continued Customs V.A.T. Contracts Economic Policy Government Property Division Commerce Consumer and Competition Ministry for Justice and Home Affairs Judicial Police Correctional Services Civil Protection Probation and Parole Ministry for Energy and the Conservation of Water Ministry for European Affairs and Implementation of the Electoral Manifesto Ministry for Sustainable Development, the Environment and Climate change Ministry for Social Dialogue, Consumer Affairs and Civil Liberties Ministry for the Economy, Investment and Small Business Ministry for the Family and Social Solidarity Ministry for Home Affairs and National Security Ministry for Finance Ministry for Transport and Infrastructure Recurrent Expenditure € thousand 2011 2012 2013 2014 7,321 4,174 830 709 3,467 1,144 1,229 14,357 7,338 32,447 6,622 2,721 - 7,310 4,190 824 742 2,871 1,124 12,826 8,157 33,094 6,284 3,030 403 7,309 4,322 757 704 6,465 1,056 0 9,058 36,749 6,529 2,912 587 30,529 5,247 34,398 6,543 19,881 26,427 17,130 77,942 34,163 8,108 4,009 873 833 5,848 1,154 0 9,092 38,579 7,181 3,034 612 23,880 6,509 32,797 7,342 19,936 34,872 21,095 73,989 66,141 1,667,663 1,792,243 1,905,506 2,060,037 Note: [ ] denotes change in name of cost centres Source: The Treasury, Ministry for Finance 164 Economic Survey November 2014 Government Capital Expenditure (January-September) Appendix Table 8.3 € thousand 2011 2012 2013 2014 Productive Investment 36,696 70,172 75,834 57,393 Development of Industry Gozo Ferries Gozo 3,032 1,018 8,495 355 4,068 184 4,660 250 14,464 2,248 11,000 4,934 12,551 5,510 18,034 20,000 5,227 12,967 1,092 14,000 40,000 3,522 14,904 1,021 14,700 14,980 6,878 110,095 141,431 145,409 169,510 Acquisition of Property Upgrading Works at main Touristic Areas Roads Integrated Health Information System ICT Gozo Waste and Sewarage Treatment Freeport PC Leasing Integrated Flood Relief Jeremie Financial Engineering Development of Industry Other EU Funded Projects Other 7,529 2,704 14,691 3,071 15,586 4,298 5,035 2,717 3,952 8,737 34,362 7,414 9,613 2,263 25,307 1,853 19,022 3,692 9,125 1,149 5,828 3,636 45,740 14,203 8,222 1,460 14,491 2,258 13,113 2,447 20,495 0 5,600 7,974 2,000 4,993 46,998 15,359 5,337 578 35,608 2,922 17,991 3,945 6,970 0 3,945 10,219 1,582 67,145 13,268 Social 36,648 31,762 35,427 52,303 4,921 446 5,953 1,815 1,883 7,675 9,872 4,083 5,410 1,414 1,719 2,887 1,541 7,907 6,883 4,001 11,197 1,190 0 1,010 572 7,454 6,044 7,960 14,597 541 3,690 719 1,809 11,504 14,093 5,351 183,439 243,364 256,670 279,206 EU Agriculture Fund for Rural Development, EU Agriculture Guarantee Fund and EU Fisheries Fund Film Industry Contribution to Treasury Clearance Fund Equity Acquisition - Air Malta plc Other Infrastructure Health Elderly and Community Care Waste Management Gozo Housing Education External Borders Fund Other Total Capital Expenditure Source: The Treasury, Ministry for Finance Economic Survey November 2014 165 Statistical Annex Economic Survey November 2014 169 3.7 Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 births) 18.0 16.2 19.6 6.3 Crude Marriage Rate (per 1000 population) Life Expectancy (at age 65) Males Females 7.9 Crude Mortality Rate (per 1000 population) 79.5 77.0 82.0 9.3 Crude Birth Rate (per 1000 population) Life Expectancy (at birth) Males Females 563 Source: National Statistics Office 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 18.6 16.7 20.3 79.9 77.6 82.2 6.6 6.1 7.6 9.3 654 18.7 17.1 20.1 79.7 77.1 82.3 8.5 6.1 7.9 9.8 770 18.9 16.8 20.6 80.4 77.9 82.7 5.5 5.7 7.8 9.8 808 20.0 18.5 21.1 81.5 79.3 83.6 5.6 6.3 7.3 9.4 888 21.0 17.7 19.4 80.9 78.7 83.0 6.5 6.2 7.8 10.0 898 19.4 17.6 21.0 80.9 78.6 83.0 5.3 6.7 8.1 9.8 712 20.1 18.4 21.5 81.9 79.6 84.0 6.7 6.1 7.6 9.5 796 405,616 407,832 410,926 414,027 414,989 417,546 421,364 425,384 201,519 202,734 204,607 206,203 206,405 207,695 209,880 212,424 204,097 205,098 206,319 207,824 208,584 209,851 211,484 212,960 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 2006 Population Natural Increase per annum Total Population (000’s) Males (000’s) Females (000’s) % Increase per annum Table I 170 Economic Survey November 2014 2,260.7 243.0 657.6 Electricity Total Generated (000 MWh)* Number of Consumers (000)* Domestic Consumption (million kwh)* Source: National Statistics Office *Refer to Financial Year 796.6 471.5 325.2 68 Social Security Total Payments (€ million) Total Contributions (€ million) Welfare Gap (€ million) 30.5 Total annual production (million m) Average daily consumption (000 m) Water 8,922 8.8 86.3 686 235.4 852.6 503.4 13,291 2006 835.5 480.3 355.3 69 30.8 2,296.0 246.0 645.0 9,556 8.8 83.2 704 214.1 900.9 563.3 14,155 2007 Social Indicators of which: University students (All Courses) Education Number of teachers (000) Number of pupils/students (000) Quality of Life Motor Vehicle Licences per 1000 population Internet Subscriptions per 1000 population Mobile Phone Subscriptions per 1000 population Fixed Telephone Lines per 1000 population GDP at current market prices per capita (€) Table II 927.2 510.1 417.1 70 30.8 2,275.0 254.1 670.0 9,238 8.5 82.4 717 250.0 937.0 585.8 14,971 2008 1,027.7 526.1 501.6 68 29.2 2,167.0 265.7 443.3 9,724 9.5 83.1 719 270.4 1,023.3 598.6 14,883 2009 1,096.4 552.1 544.3 68 28.8 2,113.0 272.0 590.86 10,004 10.0 84.0 734 293.5 1,099.1 597.4 15,923 2010 1,106.7 585.6 521.1 69 29.6 2,169.0 274.2 597.6 10,188 8.6 79.0 747 308.2 1,249.6 556.1 16,562 2011 1,190.3 609.7 580.6 72 30.8 2,268.0 280.3 616.41 10,533 8.0 78.6 746 322.2 1,263.1 545.2 17,109 2012 1,264.0 645.3 618.7 73 30.5 2,216.0 285.7 608.9 10,873 8.0 78.7 763 336.2 1,308.6 543.8 17,774 2013 Economic Survey November 2014 171 Includes energy and construction (2) 24.9 72.7 23.5 74.3 2.2 4,966.1 -183.2 22.4 75.4 2.2 5,170.0 -216.1 5,386.1 2,339.4 781.1 99.4 2,365.0 2006 21.2 76.8 2.0 5,600.7 -156.8 5,757.5 2,534.3 826.2 105.9 2,503.0 2007 22.0 76.6 1.4 6,032.6 -96.1 6,128.7 2,722.6 858.1 121.0 2,668.9 2008 20.3 78.0 1.7 5,805.4 -333.2 6,138.6 2,632.2 831.1 60.8 2,736.1 2009 20.1 78.2 1.7 6,321.3 -278.2 6,599.5 2,961.5 865.4 72.6 2,845.3 2010 Factor Incomes in Gross National Income Source: National Statistics Office Note: The data presented in this Table is based on national accounts data compiled according to the European Systems of Accounts (ESA 10) methodology. Includes fishing and operation of fish hatcheries and fish farms (1) Industry (2) Services Activities Agriculture, hunting and forestry (1) 2.3 4,835.6 Gross National Income at market prices Sectoral Percentage Contribution to Gross Value Added (at basic prices) -16.8 5,149.3 2,268.6 740.8 89.6 2,093.9 653.2 71.1 4,852.4 2,229.5 2005 2,176.5 2004 Net Income from Abroad Gross Domestic Product at market prices Compensation of employees Gross operating surplus and mixed income Taxes on production and imports Subsidies Table III 19.3 79.2 1.6 6,647.5 -246.8 6,894.4 2,995.8 927.9 65.1 3,035.8 2011 17.7 80.7 1.6 6,844.3 -334.6 7,178.9 3,116.7 943.9 92.3 3,210.6 2012 17.2 81.1 1.6 7,170.1 -340.0 7,510.1 3,274.4 990.9 95.6 3,340.3 2013 2012 2013 2014 20.1 78.3 1.5 3,100.0 -253.0 3,353.0 1,465.3 415.0 34.7 1,507.4 18.1 80.5 1.4 3,289.6 -183.8 3,473.4 1,491.3 446.9 44.9 1,580.2 17.9 80.6 1.5 3,446.1 -180.2 3,626.4 1,570.9 443.5 42.2 1,654.2 17.0 81.6 1.4 3,631.6 -159.4 3,791.0 1,597.6 496.2 50.4 1,747.5 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun Jan-Jun Jan-Jun 2011 € million 172 Economic Survey November 2014 926.9 932.4 1,002.7 1,120.5 1,102.2 1,155.7 19.1% 18.1% 18.6% 3,063.1 3,243.8 3,419.1 3,534.2 3,634.9 3,738.4 63.1% 63.0% 63.5% 999.6 1,132.9 1,183.2 1,107.7 1,286.2 1,319.6 20.6% 22.0% 22.0% General Government Final Consumption Expenditure current market prices constant prices Ratio (%) of Government consumption to GDP at m.p. Private Final Consumption Expenditure(1) current market prices constant prices Ratio (%) of private consumption to GDP at m.p. Gross Fixed Capital Formation current market prices constant prices Ratio (%) fixed investment to GDP at m.p. 1,288.2 1,393.9 22.4% 3,485.0 3,763.2 60.5% 1,032.7 1,166.4 17.9% 4,517.7 4,932.4 78.5% 6,323.0 5,600.7 8.3% 5,757.5 6.9% 2007 2009 1,203.1 1,114.8 1,266.3 1,116.4 19.6% 18.2% 3,605.5 3,742.3 3,755.4 3,822.6 58.8% 61.0% 1,209.4 1,213.9 1,309.9 1,266.2 19.7% 19.8% 4,814.8 4,956.2 5,063.3 5,089.2 78.6% 80.7% 6,534.6 6,373.7 6,032.6 5,805.4 7.7% -3.8% 6,128.7 6,138.6 6.4% 0.2% 2008 1,411.6 1,411.6 21.4% 3,814.9 3,814.9 57.8% 1,286.4 1,286.4 19.5% 5,101.3 5,101.3 77.3% 6,599.5 6,321.3 8.9% 6,599.5 7.5% 2010 Source: National Statistics Office Note: The data presented in this Table is based on national accounts data compiled according to the European Systems of Accounts (ESA 10) methodology. Including NPISH final consumption expenditure 3,990.0 4,176.1 4,421.8 4,656.7 4,740.8 4,897.1 82.2% 81.1% 82.1% Total Final Consumption Expenditure current market prices constant prices Ratio (%) of consumption to GDP at m.p. (1) 5,753.7 5,971.4 6,080.6 2006 GDP at constant prices 2005 4,835.6 4,966.1 5,170.0 2.8% 2.7% 4.1% 4,852.4 5,149.3 5,386.1 2.0% 6.1% 4.6% 2004 Gross National Income and Expenditure GNI at current market prices % annual increase of GNI GDP at current market prices % annual increase of GDP Table IV 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun Jan-Jun Jan-Jun 659.0 651.6 19.7% 708.3 689.1 20.4% 734.5 699.7 20.3% 796.8 747.2 21.0% 1,226.0 1,259.7 1,314.1 1,170.5 1,161.6 1,187.3 17.8% 17.5% 17.5% 635.2 612.4 18.9% 631.0 578.9 18.2% 647.3 585.4 17.9% 712.7 640.2 18.8% 4,003.5 4,120.2 4,237.1 1,973.8 2,019.4 2,061.7 2,110.5 3,908.9 3,927.6 3,992.6 1,931.0 1,931.2 1,941.8 1,981.3 58.1% 57.4% 56.4% 58.9% 58.1% 56.9% 55.7% 1,340.1 1,443.7 1,487.6 1,323.4 1,405.8 1,413.4 19.4% 20.1% 19.8% 5,343.5 5,563.8 5,724.7 2,632.9 2,727.7 2,796.2 2,907.3 5,232.3 5,332.8 5,405.6 2,582.6 2,620.0 2,641.1 2,727.9 77.5% 77.5% 76.2% 78.5% 78.5% 77.1% 76.7% 6,747.5 6,879.9 7,052.5 3,161.2 3,218.1 3,300.6 3,406.4 6,647.5 6,844.3 7,170.1 3,100.0 3,289.6 3,446.2 3,631.6 5.2% 3.0% 4.8% 1.0% 6.1% 4.8% 5.4% 6,894.4 7,178.9 7,510.1 3,353.0 3,473.4 3,626.4 3,791.0 4.5% 4.1% 4.6% 5.5% 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 2011 € million Economic Survey November 2014 173 Source: Employment and Training Corporation * Includes both Parts I and II of the registered unemployed Note: Employment data has been revised Self Employed Registered Unemployed* Males Females of which Temporary Employment Public Sector of which: Government Departments Independent Statutory Bodies Companies with Public Sector majority s/hldg Private Market Services of which: Wholesale and Retail (including Repair of Motor Vehicles, Motorcyles and Personal and Household Goods) Accomodation and Food Services Financial and Insurance Activities Others 17,620 7,335 5,652 1,683 17,747 7,055 5,542 1,513 627 29,938 8,513 2,156 30,030 8,532 2,235 673 40,607 22,664 9,498 5,945 36,960 22,329 9,718 5,801 35,270 40,797 75,067 8,809 19,800 2,634 9,429 19,514 2,666 73,118 31,243 146,917 98,617 48,300 153,972 2010 31,609 145,524 98,686 46,838 Private Direct Production of which: Construction Manufacturing Others 152,859 2009 Gainfully Occupied Males Females Labour Labour Supply Table V 17,705 6,570 5,179 1,391 658 30,328 8,628 2,067 41,023 22,810 9,574 6,218 38,710 77,312 8,614 20,258 2,592 31,464 149,799 99,284 50,515 156,369 2011 17,891 6,839 5,303 1,536 604 30,286 8,756 1,851 40,893 23,063 9,800 6,400 40,873 80,136 8,724 20,002 2,551 31,277 152,306 99,791 52,515 159,145 2012 18,147 7,382 5,626 1,756 558 31,294 8,793 1,831 41,918 23,344 9,908 6,708 43,897 83,857 8,656 20,088 2,542 31,286 157,061 101,373 55,688 164,443 2013 17,864 6,698 5,237 1,461 614 30,287 8,762 1,823 40,872 22,989 9,782 6,358 40,487 79,616 8,874 20,025 2,558 31,457 151,945 99,782 52,163 158,643 2012 May 18,135 7,292 5,585 1,707 553 31,181 8,735 1,842 41,758 23,188 9,849 6,862 43,528 83,427 8,859 20,140 2,540 31,539 156,724 101,325 55,399 164,016 2013 May 18,643 7,141 5,441 1,700 519 31,985 8,992 2,602 43,579 23,770 10,094 7,193 45,669 86,726 9,014 20,277 2,560 31,851 162,156 103,844 58,312 169,297 2014 May 174 Economic Survey November 2014 998.5 9,441 6.7 250.4 Expenditure from Inbound Tourism (€ million)(3) Total Sector Employment in Hotels and Restaurants % of Gainfully Occupied Outbound Tourists (000’s) 0.0 Expenditure data is not comparable with the same data in previous issues of the Economic Survey since as from this Survey, the source of expenditure data is the Tourstat Survey. Data shows average for January-May. Data for January-June period. (5) 0.0 0.9 32.1 7.6 0.0 13.6 31.8 13.2 0.9 11,860 331.1 9,800 6.4 1,326.5 555.7 441.3 202.2 137.5 17.2 97.4 547.9 1,443.4 2012 0.0 1.0 33.1 6.9 0.0 12.6 31.3 14.4 0.7 12,890 363.5 9,908 6.3 1,440.4 424.6 454.7 233.8 147.1 34.6 105.1 606.9 1,582.2 2013 149.8(5) 135.5(5) 0.0 0.9 31.8 8.1 0.0 13.6 31.3 13.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 32.7 7.3 0.0 12.3 31.4 14.5 0.8 8,835 9,894(4) 6.3(4) 9,767(4) 6.4(4) 8,092 986.5 305.1(2) 304.1 163.8 93.3 20.0 70.4 415.6 1,067.2 2013 Jan-Aug 901.8 424.7(2) 289.8 143.5 88.1 10.5 68.4 381.2 981.5 2012 Jan-Aug 0.0 1.0 34.3 2.5 0.0 11.8 30.8 18.2 1.3 9,264 160.5(5) 9,962(4) 6.2(4) 1,050.6 313.2(2) 327.7 184.0 88.2 27.5 76.6 453.2 1,157.2 2014 Jan-Aug Source: National Statistics Office, Employment & Training Corporation The Malta Tourism Authority (MTA) licensing department reclassified all collective accommodation establishments registered as aparthotels to hotels (refer to Legal Notice 351, 2012). These changes were taken on board from January 2013, whereas previously it was added to the 'Aparthotels' category. 0.0 0.6 30.3 6.8 0.0 15.3 33.0 12.9 1.1 11,241 308.5 9,612 6.4 1,221.3 493.2 438.8 201.8 134.3 6.3 93.8 540.1 Data for January-September period. (6) 2011 1,415.0 (4) 0.0 0.8 31.3 6.9 0.0 14.2 32.9 13.0 1.0 11,148 294.3 9,571 6.5 1,132.0 467.9 415.1 219.7 126.2 15.9 92.9 469.1 1,338.8 2010 Excluding embarkations and Maltese cruise passengers. 0.0 0.6 31.4 7.0 0.0 16.4 31.2 12.0 1.4 9,949 264.5 9,789 6.7 924.9 415.5 398.5 161.7 127.4 14.3 66.8 413.8 1,182.5 2009 (3) 0.0 1.0 28.7 7.2 0.0 14.1 33.4 13.1 2.4 10,962 261.0 10,211 7.0 1,069.4 532.3 454.4 144.5 150.8 9.4 85.5 446.3 1,290.9 2008 (2) 0.0 0.5 27.6 7.0 0.0 14.0 33.5 15.3 2.1 11,017 229.0 9,638 6.9 1,061.1 473.7 482.4 113.7 130.0 9.3 87.3 420.9 1,243.5 2007 Tourism (1) 0.0 0.5 27.2 6.7 1 star Unclassified Guest Houses Flats/Private Residences Tourist Village/Aparthotels/Hostels/Holiday Complex/Camp Sites/Bed & Breakfast(6) 11.8 35.3 16.6 1.9 5 star 4 star 3 star 2 star 10,661 389.0 Cruise Passengers (000’s)(1) Days Stayed / Nights Spent (000's) % of which spent in : 431.3 112.5 125.8 9.2 73.7 371.7 1,124.2 2006 United Kingdom Italy Germany Libya Scandinavian Countries Other Inbound Tourists of which from: Table VI Economic Survey November 2014 175 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Aug Jan-Aug Jan-Aug € million 655.0 635.8 610.2 710.3 838.9 875.9 811.0 868.3 659.7 605.6 678.5 2,499.9 2,597.4 2,455.8 2,087.4 2,809.3 3,819.0 4,438.6 3,925.2 2,934.4 2,573.5 2,486.8 3,537.1 3,603.9 3,897.2 3,475.2 4,330.3 5,339.4 6,187.5 5,683.1 4,348.7 3,963.4 4,005.6 953.9 1,024.7 1,158.9 1,057.8 1,199.6 1,464.1 1,720.3 1,593.6 1,165.3 1,080.0 1,123.0 1,928.2 1,943.4 2,128.0 1,707.2 2,291.8 2,999.4 3,656.2 3,221.2 2,523.6 2,277.8 2,204.1 2006 Foreign Trade Source: National Statistics Office 457.5 165.4 290.5 306.8 420.1 271.3 241.4 279.7 29.3 121.3 597.2 719.9 405.9 326.7 218.2 298.8 50.3 120.5 635.0 631.4 597.8 713.9 128.5 132.4 132.9 209.5 381.4 237.3 267.6 270.4 902.7 1,027.5 90.8 114.6 499.6 222.1 263.2 283.0 1,015.2 85.6 344.5 213.2 359.7 131.4 362.6 150.4 372.6 124.6 308.4 107.8 268.3 78.5 208.2 72.0 457.7 528.1 72.4 137.2 229.5 185.3 338.9 187.4 272.4 222.0 35.8 234.3 353.5 226.7 376.1 244.9 317.6 326.2 197.2 776.8 278.9 255.4 369.1 296.9 319.9 358.3 256.4 617.3 387.9 224.7 285.6 253.0 321.0 348.6 611.7 641.9 769.9 827.6 686.5 1,092.1 1,020.4 1,059.6 151.5 182.7 276.9 228.8 338.5 238.6 295.2 281.6 547.1 598.6 88.0 449.3 206.0 177.7 239.6 196.9 225.0 255.6 582.7 692.3 216.9 390.0 183.9 154.0 200.7 166.3 219.6 229.7 861.3 1,066.2 1,445.9 1,987.2 1,406.1 1,398.6 1,041.0 105.2 157.6 171.2 174.2 154.1 105.7 80.1 380.3 100.5 458.8 466.9 188.2 697.0 457.2 156.6 145.1 122.2 217.2 216.0 731.1 97.1 204.0 62.6 3,537.1 2,591.6 2,755.8 2,425.8 2,716.6 3,357.5 3,950.1 3,288.9 2,771.4 2,311.7 2,019.0 1,154.9 1,108.8 954.2 820.7 1,149.1 1,301.9 1,295.8 1,245.8 859.0 824.6 714.9 * Based on Jan-Jun GDP and Trade data EU Imports Exports United Kingdom Imports Exports Italy Imports Exports Germany Imports Exports France Imports Exports America Imports Exports Africa Imports Exports Asia Imports Exports Selected Groupings of which manufactures 2,419.3 2,481.7 2,350.7 2,065.5 2,729.4 3,745.6 4,334.6 3,809.7 2,911.1 2,542.5 2,459.3 Trade Gap -1,037.2 -1,006.5 -1,441.4 -1,387.8 -1,520.9 -1,520.4 -1,748.9 -1,757.8 -1,414.3 -1,389.9 -1,518.8 as % of GDP at 5,386.0 5,757.0 6,129.0 6,139.0 6,600.0 6,894.0 7,179.0 7,510.0 3473.4* 3626.4* 3791.0* current market prices Imports and Exports Imports (c.i.f.) Consumer goods Industrial supplies Capital goods and others Total Exports (f.o.b.) Table VII 176 Economic Survey November 2014 74.4 -22.9 128.9 22.7 398.2 81.6 -17.5% 20.5% -3.9% 0.3% 261.1 909.8 135.3 -15.4% 22.3% -4.9% 3.6% -521.1 130.1 -14.6% 21.3% -5.4% 3.2% 241.5 147.3 177.6 -30.3 477.8 44.7 -16.7% 20.4% -5.4% -0.2% -5.9 51.0 62.6 -11.6 -187.0 -2.5 -184.5 709.1 -0.8 261.3 448.6 -579.1 2,220.4 1,641.3 -821.2 45.2 -14.8% 18.9% -7.1% -0.6% -23.1 85.3 100.9 -15.6 -257.2 -1.1 -256.0 684.0 -34.2 280.9 437.2 -535.2 1,927.6 1,392.4 For Balance of Payments purposes, both imports and exports are taken at f.o.b. thus the trade balance is different from that shown under Table VII The Financial Account-Net in this Table includes Reserve Assets but does not include Errors and Omissions. (2) Source: National Statistics Office Note: The balance of payments is being presented in accordance with the sixth edition of the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual. As from 1 January 2008, following Malta’s entry into the Euro Area, a reclassification of the external reserves of the country has been carried out. Indeed, this meant that, as from this date, all cross-border claims that Malta has within the Euro Area as well as all claims that the country has in Euro-denomination are no longer considered as being part of Malta’s reserve assets. In addition, as happened in other Euro Area Member States, Malta has transferred a fraction of its external reserves to the European Central Bank (ECB) in exchange for a claim on the ECB; which, being an intra-Eurosystem asset, is also not considered as being part of the country’s external reserves. As a result of this, the portfolio investment account, the financial derivatives account and the other investment account recorded significant changes in their net balances. (3) 301.8 39.7 -14.4% 19.3% -2.9% 3.8% 144.6 66.7 76.3 -9.6 -108.3 -1.1 -107.3 730.2 -42.9 314.7 458.4 -544.0 1,815.0 1,271.0 -3,230.9 -3,103.8 -11,553.7 -8,814.8 -7,130.2 -4,257.2 -4,325.7 -1,608.1 6,227.7 4,128.9 11,484.2 9,318.7 8,903.0 4,235.3 5,103.3 7,279.4 288.1 -262.6 -246.7 -438.5 -99.8 -64.0 -166.8 205.5 -4,312.8 -945.5 767.2 722.9 -2,155.3 419.3 -1,371.1 -5,998.7 160.2 160.2 -52.9 121.4 -38.8 144.4 -61.0 423.8 -867.8 -263.7 -19.0% 18.3% -4.5% -4.0% 118.3 140.8 -22.5 € million 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Jun Jan-Jun Jan-Jun (1) Direct Investment-net Portfolio Investment-net(3) Financial Derivatives-net(3) Other Investment-net(3) Reserve Assets(3) Financial A/C-Net(2) Capital A/C-Net -18.2% 17.0% -3.8% -3.6% -222.8 Goods Balance(1) as % of GDP at m.p. Invisible Balance as % of GDP at m.p. Income a/c Balance as % of GDP at m.p. Current a/c Balance as % of GDP at m.p. 86.6 110.0 -23.3 -406.1 -1.5 -404.5 1,598.3 -44.8 768.4 874.7 Current A/C-Net 76.8 89.7 -13.0 -351.0 -4.6 -346.4 1,602.2 -24.0 723.4 902.7 89.4 107.2 -17.8 -267.2 1.4 -268.6 1,411.1 -44.8 672.1 783.9 Secondary Income-Net General Government-net Private-net -300.2 -3.4 -296.8 1,211.0 -24.5 580.4 655.1 -234.3 7.6 -241.9 2013 Primary Income- Net Compensation of Employees-net Investment Income-net 2012 1,038.9 86.3 432.8 519.8 2011 Services-Net Transport-net Travel-net Other Services-net 2010 -1,116.9 -1,251.2 -1,207.8 -1,108.4 -1,098.1 3,116.2 3,777.7 4,052.7 4,303.5 3,951.9 1,999.3 2,526.5 2,844.9 3,195.1 2,853.8 2009 Balance of Payments Goods Balance(1) Imports (f.o.b.) Exports (f.o.b.) Table VIII Economic Survey November 2014 177 256.2 Loans Repayment of Loans made by Government Source: National Statistics Office -147.9 Public Sector Borrowing Requirement 59.6 50.8 8.9 -32.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 -175.4 Balance of recurrent revenue and total expenditure Financed by: Extraordinary Receipts Receipts from sale of shares Sinking Funds of Converted Loans Sinking Fund Contribution & Direct Loan Repayment Equity Acquisition Loan Facility Agreement with the Hellenic Republic Loan Facility Agreement with Air Malta plc 1,835.9 319.2 13.7 180.2 1,784.3 305.1 13.5 174.2 0.0 40.3 201.8 172.8 29.0 -26.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 -134.8 2,335.4 3.2 1,857.1 1,069.0 788.1 343.5 1,724.4 972.0 752.4 363.6 2,263.5 7.1 2,200.6 5.4 2006 2,088.1 10.3 2005 126.0 -115.5 14.9 0.0 14.9 -21.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -109.1 1,896.6 257.9 11.1 179.1 2,333.6 -0.1 1,982.0 1,143.7 838.3 242.4 2,224.5 1.1 2007 285.7 -317.7 33.3 0.0 33.3 -111.4 -6.5 0.0 0.0 -233.1 2,124.1 222.1 8.8 189.0 2,535.3 8.6 2,098.3 1,246.0 852.3 203.8 2,302.1 3.5 2008 455.8 0.0 -564.2 2.8 0.0 2.8 -269.4 -0.5 0.0 0.0 -297.0 2,204.4 271.3 10.2 192.0 2,667.8 5.2 2,130.1 1,265.5 864.6 240.6 2,370.8 3.0 2009 577.7 0.0 -506.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -207.4 -0.2 -19.8 0.0 -279.2 2,296.3 311.5 11.1 196.8 2,804.6 5.1 2,242.5 1,353.3 889.2 282.8 2,525.4 6.5 2010 Government Revenue and Expenditure Total Government Expenditure Increase/(Decrease) % per annum of which: Recurrent Expenditure Capital Expenditure % of Total Government Expenditure Interest on Public Debt Government Recurrent Revenue Increase/(Decrease) % per annum of which: Tax Revenue Direct Tax Revenue Indirect Tax Revenue Non-Tax Revenue Table IX 567.8 0.0 -439.8 9.6 0.0 9.6 -141.9 -6.0 -30.8 -52.0 -218.6 2,361.3 288.7 10.1 212.5 2,862.4 2.1 2,323.4 1,361.7 961.7 320.5 2,643.8 4.7 2011 645.7 52.0 -780.6 28.4 0.0 28.4 -361.3 -33.4 0.0 -52.0 -362.3 2,488.4 363.8 11.8 225.8 3,078.0 7.5 2,393.0 1,475.6 917.3 322.8 2,715.7 2.7 2012 627.1 0.0 -642.1 28.4 0.0 28.4 -380.8 -26.5 0.0 0.0 -263.2 2,632.6 394.7 12.1 227.9 3,255.3 5.8 2,602.5 1,612.9 989.6 389.6 2,992.1 10.2 2013 401.6 0.0 -390.9 9.6 0.0 9.6 -135.0 0.0 -25.1 -52.0 -188.4 1,667.7 183.4 9.1 159.5 2,010.6 1.2 1,608.7 918.4 690.3 213.4 1,822.1 8.0 510.6 0.0 -597.9 28.4 0.0 28.4 -355.1 11.0 0.0 0.0 -282.2 1,792.2 243.4 11.0 168.0 2,203.6 9.6 1,686.0 1,007.9 678.1 235.5 1,921.4 5.4 449.3 0.0 -415.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -155.5 11.7 0.0 0.0 -271.4 1,905.5 256.7 11.0 165.5 2,327.6 5.6 1,831.5 1,125.2 706.3 224.7 2,056.2 7.0 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Sep Jan-Sep Jan-Sep 573.8 0.0 -563.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 -293.2 13.8 0.0 0.0 -283.9 2,060.0 279.2 11.1 172.0 2,511.2 7.9 1,950.2 1,208.5 741.8 277.1 2,227.3 8.3 2014 Jan-Sep € million 178 Economic Survey November 2014 2,053.6 977.6 1,785.5 752.6 2,172.4 Other Counterparts to Broad Money 2,833.6 2,142.6 1,580.5 3,723.1 22.8 1,324.0 4,423.4 5,747.5 3,472.9 1,072.4 5.4 2,400.4 67.1 3,096.9 6,636.9 2.4 6,636.9 2003 3,052.9 2,027.3 1,759.7 3,786.9 1.7 1,269.7 4,793.9 6,063.7 3,682.5 1,132.1 5.6 2,550.4 70.0 3,045.2 6,797.8 2.4 6,797.8 2004 3,271.8 2,172.4 2,042.6 4,215.0 11.3 1,031.2 5,110.6 6,141.8 3,890.2 1,162.2 2.7 2,728.0 73.3 3,121.5 7,085.0 4.2 7,085.0 2005 4,059.1 2,214.9 2,590.0 4,804.9 14.0 850.1 5,855.8 6,705.9 3,859.4 1,112.9 -4.2 2,746.5 71.8 3,520.6 7,451.7 5.2 7,451.7 2006 4,349.1 2,532.9 2,667.0 5,199.9 8.2 1,023.8 6,400.6 7,424.5 3,695.4 610.2 -45.2 3,085.2 105.3 4,474.6 8,275.3 11.1 8,275.3 2007 € million Source: Central Bank of Malta * In October 2003, the definitions of the main monetary aggregates and their counterparts were revised in accordance with ECB Regulation 2001/13. Thus, data prior to October 2003 are estimates based on this regulation. 2,146.1 3,031.2 19.4 1,256.7 4,337.3 1,192.6 4,221.1 2,538.1 5,593.8 5,413.7 Net Foreign Assets Increase/(Decrease) % per annum of which: Central Bank of Malta Other Monetary Financial Institutions Domestic Credit of which: Net Claims of Central Government Claims on other residents 3,185.2 1,017.5 4.3 2,167.5 65.0 3,229.0 2,988.4 975.8 2,012.6 61.3 2,729.8 6,479.2 12.1 5,779.4 Intermediate Money (M2) % Increase per annum of which: Narrow Money (M1) Currency in Circulation % Increase/ (Decrease) per annum Deposits withdrawals on demand Deposits redeemable at notice up to 3 months Deposits with agreed maturity up to 2 years 6,479.2 2002 5,779.4 2001 Monetary Aggregates and Their Counterparts* Broad Money (M3) Table X a Economic Survey November 2014 179 Overnight deposits 10,995.6 13,279.4 Figures show the contribution of Maltese monetary financial institutions (MFIs) to the Euro Area aggregates 10,649.4 14,238.0 7,840.0 10,903.9 5,170.4 16,074.3 3,921.3 125.1 4,715.0 710.6 5.4 5,425.6 9,472.0 3.8 9,676.3 2011 15,254.6 10,169.1 10,991.2 4,612.0 15,603.3 4,166.4 153.2 5,280.1 726.5 2.2 6,006.6 10,326.3 9.0 10,517.8 2012 12,374.0 9,567.1 11,144.2 3,289.1 14,433.3 4,622.1 113.1 5,947.0 778.7 7.2 6,725.7 11,460.9 11.0 11,626.3 2013 10,693.5 8,003.7 11,685.6 3,428.9 15,114.6 4,694.3 121.2 6,674.5 808.6 3.9 7,483.2 12,298.7 7.3 12,424.7 2014* Jan-Aug € million Credit includes, besides lending, claims in the form of debt securities and shares and other equity. Includes net interbank claims/liabilities within the MFI sector. These counterparts make a negative contribution to M3. (5) (6) Source: Central Bank of Malta Deposits with MFIs exclude interbank deposits and deposits held by central government. (4) and coins held by the MFI sector. (3) Comprises the Central Bank of Malta’s share of Euro banknotes issued by the Eurosystem, plus coins issued by the Bank on behalf of the Treasury, less holdings of issued Euro banknotes Euro Area and holdings by non-residents of the Euro Area. MFIs in Malta to the Euro Area aggregate. As from December 2008 figures also include MMFs shares/units issued less holdings in such units by MMFs and credit institutions resident in the (2) M3 comprises M2, repurchase agreements and debt securities with agreed maturity of up to 2 years. This does not represent holdings of M3 by residents of Malta but rather the contribution of (1) * Provisional Other counterparts (net) 8,183.3 6,646.9 7,367.8 Net claims on non-residents of the Euro Area (6) 10,279.1 4,187.6 9,719.8 3,512.2 8,885.0 3,258.4 14,466.7 4,005.6 124.3 4,324.6 13,232.0 4,199.9 111.7 3,719.8 12,143.4 4,860.7 114.3 3,180.4 674.4 5.4 4,999.0 9,128.9 5.3 9,370.5 2010 Credit Counterpart(5) of which: Credit to residents of Malta Credit to other Euro Area residents Deposits with agreed maturity up to 2 years(4) Deposits redeemable at notice up to 3 months(4) (4) 639.8 -4.4 4,359.5 669.2 3,849.6 Currency issued(3) % Increase/ (Decrease) 8,671.1 -1.7 8,824.5 8,883.3 8,861.8 2009 Intermediate Money (M2) % Increase/ (Decrease) of which: Narrow Money (M1) 2008 Contribution of Resident MFIs to Euro Area Monetary Aggregates and Counterparts(1) Broad Money (M3)(2) Table X b
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