The Economic Impact of Omaha Children’s Museum on the City of Omaha, 2006 - 2009 A Study Produced by Creighton University, College of Business Administration Dr. Anthony Hendrickson, Dean; and Dr. Ernest Goss, MacAllister Chair College of Business Administration Creighton University Omaha, NE 68178-0130 Voice (402) 280-4757 Fax: (402) 280-2172 Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected] June 2010 The Economic Impact of Omaha Children’s Museum on the City of Omaha, 2006 - 2009 Preface This study was completed at the request of Omaha Children’s Museum (OCM). The study was fully funded by Creighton University’s College of Business Administration. Creighton University College of Business seeks to develop women and men for others, a value central to our Jesuit philosophy. Part of that process involves providing our students with guidelines for making ethically and morally sound decisions during their educational experience at Creighton University. Ranked in the top 2 percent of business schools in the world, the College of Business at Creighton University is helping students get to where they want to go. From Nike internships to Ivy League school placements and study abroad opportunities in developing countries, business is booming at Creighton. Findings remain the sole property of the College of Business and OCM and may not be used without prior approval. Any errors or mistatements contained in this study are solely the responsibility of the author. A copy of the principal investigator’s biography is provided in Appendix G. Please address all correspondence to: Dr. Ernest Goss, Principal Investigator MacAllister Chair College of Business Administration Creighton University Omaha, NE 68178-0130 (402) 280-4757 Fax: (402) 280-2172 Email: [email protected] Research Assistants Melanie A. Lotspeich, Goss & Associates, [email protected] Keithen Weeces, Goss & Associates, [email protected] Photography All photographs contained in this study were provided by Omaha Children’s Museum. LOREM IPSUM | The Economic Impact of Omaha Children’s Museum on the City of Omaha, 2006 - 2009 Table of Contents 1 Executive Summary 4 2 Omaha Children’s Museum: A Brief History 6 3 Omaha Children’s Museum as a Tourist Attraction 9 OCM Attendance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 OCM Compared to Other Nebraska Tourist Destinations . . . . . . 12 OCM Volunteers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 4 The Economic Impacts of OCM 15 Total Impacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Impacts by Industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Tax Impacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Appendices 19 Appendix A: Impact of OCM on Omaha . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Appendix B: Types of Economic Impacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Appendix C: The Multiplier Effect . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Appendix D: Choosing a Technique to Measure Impacts . . . . . . 23 Appendix E: IMPLAN Multipliers Used in This Study . . . . . . . . 24 Appendix F: References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Appendix G: Biography, Ernie Goss . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 3 4 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 4 1 Executive Summary General • Omaha Children’s Museum (OCM) attendance has grown steadily for the past five years and continues to grow. • Visitors from Nebraska and Iowa account for 91.5 percent of all OCM attendees. • From 2006 - 2009, volunteer numbers nearly doubled and the hours of volunteer service increased at a steady rate. • As a Nebraska arts and cultural tourist destination, OCM is second only to Henry Doorly Zoo in terms of annual attendance. • From 2006 - 2009, OCM and its visitors spent more than $126.6 million in Omaha. It is estimated that this spending generated the following impacts for the Omaha economy1: To State & Local Tax Collections • From 2006 - 2009, it is estimated that OCM generated almost $16.1 million in Nebraska and Omaha tax collections. To the Labor Force • From 2006 - 2009, spending due to OCM operations supported an average of 520 jobs with a total payroll of approximately $57 million. To the Overall Economy • Spending by OCM patrons from 2006 - 2009 added an estimated $176.5 million to the Omaha economy. Approximately $75 million of this impact represented spillover impacts.2 1 This study was completed using the Implan Input-Output methodol- ogy explained in Appendices B - D. It is assumed that similar impacts, adjusted for inflation, will result in future years. 2 $176.5 million (total impact) minus $101.5 million (direct impact). Spillover impacts represent ‘ripple’ impacts in related businesses as OCM dollars are re-spent in the community. For example, OCM vendors will spend a portion of their earnings in the retail sector. This spending creates sales, earnings and jobs, termed spillover impacts, for business in the retail trade sector. 5 LOREM IPSUM | To non-OCM Related Industries (spillovers) from 2006 - 2009 • More than 266 of Omaha’s 274 industries experienced impacts from OCM. For example, for the area’s real estate industry, OCM spending supported 13.7 jobs, $1.1 million in wages and salaries and $7 million in sales. To State & Local Long-Term Economic Growth • The presence of OCM increases the attractiveness of the community and encourages the startup and/or relocation of other businesses in the state. Table 1 summarizes the monetary impact of OCM on local and state economies from 2006 - 2009. By supporting an average of 520 jobs each year, OCM’s total monetary impact on Omaha and the state economy is estimated to be $176.5 million and accounts for over $16.1 million in total tax collections. Table 1: Summary of Monetary Impacts of OCM on Omaha and State Economies, 2010 Dollars 3 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total Total or overall $56,754,600 $40,395,748 $39,482,816 $39,901,948 $176,535,112 Wages & salaries $18,497,012 $13,000,815 $12,711,000 $12,762,762 $56,971,589 Number of year round jobs Total tax collections 672.6 474.7 463.9 467.2 519.6 $5,206,194 $3,685,979 $3,577,252 $3,614,414 $16,083,839 Source: Implan Multiplier System The assumptions and methodologies used to produce these estimates are contained in accompanying Appendices A - D. 3 2006 impacts include significant capital spending for exhibit renovation at OCM. 5 6 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 6 2 Omaha Children’s Museum: A Brief History4 Levin, Hiller and Hawthorn envisioned a bigger, more permanent home for the museum and their programs. After arranging a more formal organization, the Omaha Children’s Council was even more motivated when they received their first donation from Susan Buffett. With her generous contribution of $25,000, Omaha Children’s Museum was able to officially open its doors in 1977 at the City/County Connector Building. Located in the heart of the downtown area, Omaha Children’s Museum (OCM) is the city’s primary participatory museum, dedicated to engaging the imagination and creating excitement about learning among children ages 0 - 8 years. As one of the country’s largest children’s museums, it is difficult to imagine that it began in the back of a station wagon 34 years ago. In 1974, Karen Levin recognized that Omaha lacked a program or museum that provided children with art and creative After just eight months, the education. As a result, museum founders quickly During the 1990s, OCM took on a variety Levin, and colleagues realized that with all of the Betty Hiller and Jane of challenges, from raising $2.7 million in school groups visiting on field Ford Hawthorn, packed trips, as well as visits by parents donations coupled with a $4.47 million the trunk of Levin’s and children, the need for space station wagon and capital campaign, to taking on an enormous was becoming a pressing issue. traveled around Omaha Soon they moved to a location renovation project. to bring hands-on art at 18th Street and St. Mary’s experiences to children Avenue. in a way that the city With this move came much more space, a paid staff hadn’t seen before. Together they offered about 20 and the opportunity to become a more significant art activities and creative experiences to children at organization in the community. community centers, libraries, schools and malls. With their traveling art program such a success, 4 Provided courtesy of Omaha Children’s Museum. During the 1990s, OCM took on a variety of challenges, starting with raising $2.7 million in donations followed by a $4.47 million capital campaign. When the museum 7 outgrew its first permanent space, renovation work began on the McFayden Ford building at 20th and St. Mary’s to accommodate its first traveling exhibition with a robotic T-Rex. Soon after, additional renovations led to the site becoming the museum’s permanent home. By the end of the 1990s, not only had OCM tackled a wealth of challenges, they also opened the 5,000-squarefoot Charlie Campbell Science and Technology Center, giant entryway aquariums and played host to a number of successful exhibits. In 2007, OCM completed a $6.6 million renovation of its permanent exhibits through the Building on the Best Capital Campaign. This campaign signified the museum’s importance to the community and its commitment to early childhood development. Today, the Omaha Children’s Museum ranks in the top 15% of children’s museums nationally. The museum features over 45,000 square feet of exhibit space, with permanent exhibits including: • Charlie Campbell Science & Technology Center • Creative Arts Center • Imagination Playground (early childhood area) LOREM IPSUM | In addition to its permanent exhibits, Omaha Children’s Museum offers educational programs, traveling exhibitions, field trips, outreach programs, summer camps and birthday parties. Through the past years, Omaha Children’s Museum has grown into a place enjoyed by children, adults and families where learning and fun are wrapped up into one exciting package. Importantly, OCM has become an integral element of Omaha’s portfolio of tourist attractions. As such, OCM encourages Omaha residents to spend in the local area, stimulates non-Omaha visitor spending in the community and increases the overall attractiveness of the city to new businesses and economic development. By the end of the 1990s, not only had OCM tackled a wealth of challenges, they also opened the 5,000-square-foot Charlie Campbell Science and Technology Center, giant entryway aquariums and played host to a number of successful exhibits. 7 8 8 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore Statistics of the World’s Children’s Museums5 • The first children’s museum opened in 1899 in Brooklyn, New York • 30 million children and families visit children’s museums annually • Children’s museums can be found in 22 countries • Sixty-five percent of children’s museums are located in urban areas • Thirty-five percent of children’s museums are flagships in downtown revitalization projects • Approximately 38 children’s museums existed in 1975; 80 more were created between 1976 - 1990; 125 were opened since 1990; finally, 78 children’s museums are in the planning phase • Forty-nine percent run after-school programs Statistics of Omaha Children’s Museum • Omaha Children’s Museum was named Omaha’s Non-Profit Organization of the Year in 2010 by the Greater Omaha Chamber. • The museum is in the top 15% of children’s museums worldwide based on size with over 45,000 square feet of interactive exhibits. • Omaha Children’s Museum revenue is currently comprised of 65% Earned Revenue (Admissions, Membership, Programs) and 35% Contributed Revenue (Sponsorships, Donations, Grants). • The museum currently has 6,200 member families (approximately 20,000 people). • Omaha Children’s Museum exhibits and most programs are targeted to early childhood (ages 0-8). • Omaha Children’s Museum provides a rotating schedule of traveling exhibitions to the community. Many of these blockbuster exhibits are rented from third parties, however, the museum has recently begun to create its own exhibits starting with the popular, Construction Zone. • Interactive learning through play, as provided at Omaha Children’s Museum, provides cognitive, emotional, physical and social developmental benefits. Research ties play to reading readiness and school success. 5 The data in this section is provided by the Association of Children’s Museums. www.childrensmuseums.org 9 3 LOREM IPSUM | Omaha Children’s Museum as a Tourist Attraction OCM Attendance Table 2 lists OCM attendance from July 2005 to June of 2009. As of April 8, 2010, 168,222 visitors had enjoyed OCM for 281 days in fiscal 2010. Of course, this number does not include data for most of April, all of May and June 2010. The Creative Arts Center encourages children to be creative and explore their “inner artist.” This area features a theater, face painting, costumes and a stage for performances. The Artist-in-Residence studio is an area where kids can learn about different types of art from community artists, sculptors and more. Table 2: OCM Attendance by Fiscal Year6, 2006 - 2009 Date Children Fiscal 20066, 7/1/05 - 6/30/06 Fiscal 2007, 7/1/06 - 6/30/07 Fiscal 2008, 7/1/07 - 6/30/08 Fiscal 2009, 7/1/08 - 6/30/09 Total Attendance 119,019 81,558 200,577 - 149,248 112,547 261,795 30.5% 150,699 107,465 258,164 (-1.4%) 159,974 111,368 271,342 5.1% Source: Omaha Children’s Museum, 2010 6 Fiscal years begin July 1 and end June 30. Overall % Increase/ Decrease Adults 9 10 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 10 As it is presented in Figure 1, while the most significant rise in attendance occurred from 2006 to 2007, a small dip during the 2007 - 2008 season is not discouraging, seeing as how numbers are back on the rise for the remainder of 2010.Table 3 lists attendance by state from 2006 - 2010. Nebraska and Iowa account for 91.5 percent of OCM attendance. As indicated, outside of Nebraska, the highest share of visitors comes from Iowa, followed by Kansas and Wisconsin. Perhaps the most surprising attendance numbers were those from Wisconsin. Despite not sharing a border with Nebraska, visitors from Wisconsin constituted 1.6 percent of OCM attendance between 2006 and 2010. Given the higher likelihood that visitors from more distant locations will spend greater amounts in Omaha for each visit and attend other area venues, the economic development importance of these OCM attendees is quite significant. OCM visitors came from across the nation. 8,456 traveled from California and another 5,163 came from Texas from 2006 to 2010. Figure 2 offers an alternative view of the data in Table 3 showing the number of OCM visitors by zip code. With this Figure 1: OCM Attendance by Fiscal Year, 2006 - 2010 Table 3: Top 10 Attendance by State, 2006 - 20107, State Attendance Percentage Nebraska 920,891 79.4% Iowa 139,853 12.1% Kansas 36,809 3.2% Wisconsin 18,317 1.6% Missouri 13,603 1.2% California 8,456 0.7% South Dakota 7,583 0.7% Texas 5,163 0.4% Colorado 4,792 0.4% Minnesota 4,633 0.4% Source: Omaha Children’s Museum, 2010 7 2010 data is partial year attendance. 11 LOREM IPSUM | 11 representation, it is clear that the majority of OCM visitors come from the Midwest. Outside of Nebraska, the area (or zip code) with the most visitors was that of 51503, or Council Bluffs, Iowa. This Council Bluffs zip code alone Visitors from Council Bluffs, by spending in Nebraska, add to state and local tax coffers. accounted for 20,019 visitors from 2006 - 2010. Visitors from Council Bluffs, by spending in Nebraska, add to state and local tax coffers. Figure 2: Attendance by State, 2006 - 2010 12 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 12 OCM Compared to Other Nebraska Tourist Destinations In Table 4 is listed the ranking of Nebraska’s arts and cultural tourist destinations between 2005 and 2007. As presented, OCM is second only to Henry Doorly Zoo in terms of annual attendance at Nebraska’s arts and cultural tourist destinations. Table 4: Nebraska’s Top Arts and Cultural Destinations, 2005-2007 City Attraction 2005 2006 2007 2008 1 Omaha Henry Doorly Zoo 1,347,853 1,283,647 1,335,170 1,388,014 2 Omaha Omaha Children’s Museum 200,577 261,795 258,164 265,131 3 Omaha Orpheum Theater 4 Omaha Joslyn Art Museum n/a n/a 219,689 97,008 239,334 224,425 201,021 163,000 5 Lincoln Lincoln Children’s Zoo 145,000 145,000 155,000 155,000 6 Omaha Lauritzen Gardens - Omaha’s Botanical Center and Kenefick Park 106,961 108,857 132,973 146,070 7 Omaha Holland Performing Arts Center n/a n/a 131,129 n/a 8 Lincoln 9 Ashland Lincoln Children’s Museum 141,000 128,000 129,423 129,950 Strategic Air & Space Museum 179,528 175,937 124,129 120,000 10 Omaha Durham Museum 104,019 117,446 118,464 125,088 11 Lincoln Lied Center for Performing Arts 120,635 150,000 110,967 n/a 12 Omaha Omaha Community Playhouse 103,791 92,593 90,555 n/a 13 Omaha The Rose Theater 56,795 80,333 76,112 57,225 14 Omaha El Museo Latino 58,900 69,764 72,374 72,761 15 Hastings Hastings Museum / Lied Super Screen Theatre / J.M. McDonald Planetarium 70,885 70,076 66,949 84,727 Source: Nebraska Department of Tourism 13 LOREM IPSUM | 13 Table 5: Nebraska’s Top Tourist Destinations, 2005 - 2007 8 City Attraction 2005 2006 2007 2008 1 Omaha 2 Ashland Henry Doorly Zoo 1,347,853 1,283,647 1,335,170 1,388,014 Mahoney State Park 1,047,900 1,050,600 n/a 1,085,003 3 Raymond Branched Oak State Recreation Area 650,000 800,000 1,247,656 1,178,289 4 Omaha Old Market 5 Fremont Fremont Lakes State Recreation Area n/a n/a 900,000 n/a 827,000 827,000 840,000 853,710 6 Ogallala Lake McConaughy and Lake Ogallala State Recreation Areas 800,000 808,000 811,600 748,229 7 Ponca Ponca State Park 615,550 697,732 749,250 745,300 8 Louisville Platte River State Park 545,035 598,397 625,003 681,371 9 Louisville Louisville Lakes State Recreation Area 595,000 580,000 600,000 535,900 10 Alma Harlan County Lake 424,394 491,545 514,925 509,446 Omaha Wehrspann Lake at Chalco Hills Recreation Area 400,000 400,000 480,000 n/a 12 Crawford Fort Robinson State Park 361,230 359,708 460,154 309,458 13 Lincoln Pioneers Park 450,000 440,000 440,000 n/a 14 Burwell Calamus Reservoir State Recreation Area 435,470 498,872 406,266 264,116 15 Omaha Amazing Pizza Machine n/a 400,000 400,000 n/a 16 Lincoln Pawnee State Recreation Area n/a 300,000 318,660 219,304 17 Lincoln Haymarket Park 432,730 330,000 310,000 n/a 18 Venice Two Rivers State Recreation Area 272,806 223,548 265,567 256,278 19 Omaha Omaha Children’s Museum 200,577 261,795 258,164 265,131 Crofton Lewis and Clark Lake State Recreation Area 270,000 350,000 221,873 263,365 Omaha Orpheum Theater n/a n/a 219,689 97,008 11 20 21 Source: Nebraska Department of Tourism 8 Data for OCM, contrary to that for many other venues, is an actual head count and not an estimate. 14 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 14 OCM Volunteers9 This shows the need for more volunteers each year most likely due to the growing number of exhibits the museum brings to the community. From 2006 to 2009, volunteer numbers nearly doubled and the hours of volunteer service increased at a steady rate, as shown in Table 6. An OCM volunteer is anyone, aside from paid OCM employees, who donates their time and efforts to OCMrelated activities. Examples of volunteer duties may include greeting visitors, assisting with administrative duties, answering visitor questions, maintenance and interacting with children. This indicates a growing volunteer engagement in museum efforts, exhibits and an overall sense of involvement by museum supporters. Additionally, hours of service rose in tandem with the rise of volunteers. Table 6: Summary of Volunteers and Hours of Service, Year Over Year Year Number of Volunteers % Change Hrs. of Service % Change Special Event Volunteer Hours % Change 2006 43 - 452 - 111 - 2007 70 62.8% 2,811 521.9% 899 709.9% 2008 86 22.9% 5,363 90.8% 712 (- 20.8)% 2009 84 (- 2.3)% 6,688 24.7% 2134 199.7% Source: Omaha Children’s Museum, 2010 9 Does not include contribution of hours by OCM Board Members or Rainbow Connectors Guild. 15 LOREM IPSUM | 15 4 The Economic Impacts of OCM Table 7 presents overall spending by OCM visitors from 2006 to 2009.10 The most spending occurred in 2006, due to significant OCM exhibitor spending. This spending includes the annual expenditures of OCM plus spending by OCM visitors outside of the museum. Non-OCM spending listed in Table 7 are based on data from the Nebraska Department of Economic Development (NDED). According to the NDED, the average size of a party visiting the state is 2.4 persons that stays 2.2 days. The NDED estimates that of total spending, 1 percent is for air travel, 12 percent is for arts, entertainment & recreation, 26 percent is for eating and drinking, 26 percent is for gasoline service stations, 5 percent is for grocery & convenience stores, 19 percent for hotels and motels and 11 percent is for retail sales. Applying this NDED data to OCM visitor data generates spending data in Table 7. Note that data in Table 7 were adjusted for OCM visitor patterns. OCM attendees who stay the night in Omaha will pay for a hotel room, food at restaurants as well as for other miscellaneous retail items. Table 7: 2006 - 2009 Spending by OCM Visitors Industry Air Transportation 2006 2007 2008 2009 $174,937 $164,767 $153,523 $165,527 Arts, Entertainment & Recreation $5,164,286 $3,816,663 $3,897,027 $4,133,631 Eating & Drinking $11,189,286 $8,269,436 $8,443,559 $8,956,201 Gasoline Service Stations $11,189,286 $8,269,436 $8,443,559 $8,956,201 Grocery & Convenience Stores $2,151,786 $1,590,276 $1,623,761 $1,722,346 Hotels & Motels $3,323,794 $3,130,573 $2,916,935 $3,145,006 Retail Sales $4,733,929 $3,498,607 $3,572,275 $3,789,162 $37,927,304 $28,739,758 $29,050,639 $30,868,074 Total 10 It is assumed that 50 percent of visitors from Omaha would have visited the sites outside the city had they not attended OCM. 16 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 16 Total Impacts Based on spending listed in Table 7 and using inputoutput multipliers, the study provides sales, earnings and job impacts in addition to estimating the impact of OCM on state and local tax collections. Basically Input-Output multipliers show how spending changes initiated in one industry are filtered throughout the local economy. For each dollar generated by OCM via construction and economic development activities, there are direct effects, for the initial spending, plus the spillover impacts into the rest of the regional economy. Input-Output multiplier models are the most frequently used type of analysis tool for economic impact assessment. Inputoutput analysis assumes that each sector purchases products and services from other sectors and then sells its output to other sectors and/or final consumers. The multiplier system used is Implan. This is a widely used and accepted methodology. A more detailed Table 8: Estimated Impact of OCM Visitor Spending on Omaha Economy 2006 - 2009 Wages & Salaries $56,971,592 Sales or Output $176,535,120 Average Yearly Jobs Supported State & Local Taxes 520 $16,083,839 Source: Implan Multiplier System discussion of the multipliers used is provided in the accompanying appendices. Table 8 lists total impacts generated from the initial spending listed in Table 7. Wages and salaries include the total payroll costs (including benefits) of workers who are paid by employers, as well as benefits such as health/life insurance, retirement payments and non-cash compensation. Sales or output represents the value of total production. 17 LOREM IPSUM | 17 Impacts by Industry Table 9 lists impacts by industry. More than 266 industries and countless companies in Omaha experienced increases in revenues as a result of OCM. For instance, Nebraska’s Wholesale Trade Industry benefited from OCM and its visitors’ spending even though there were no OCM dollars spent directly in this industry. According to estimates, 2006 - 2009 OCM and its visitors’ spending created over 4.9 jobs, $1,660,301 in wages and salaries and $4,219,292 in sales for this one industry. Even the area’s hospitals experienced positive impacts. From 2006 to 2009, it is estimated that OCM and its visitors’ spending supported 4.4 jobs, $975,376 in wages/salaries and $2,025,134 in revenues for area hospitals. Table 9: Impact of OCM and its Visitors’ Spending on Omaha by Industry, 2006 - 2009 Industry Accounting, tax preparation and payroll services Jobs Wages & Salaries Output 2.4 $501,142 $1,007,696 Employment services 6.5 $752,297 $1,089,504 Food services and drinking places 199 $14,042,566 $44,226,628 Hotels and motels, including casino hotels 42.9 $4,608,479 $14,062,662 Insurance carriers 2.9 $816,780 $3,456,112 Management of companies and enterprises 2.7 $1,264,571 $2,842,117 Management, scientific, and technical consulting services 2.3 $675,747 $1,428,338 Nursing and residential care facilities 2.2 $309,816 $438,100 Hospitals and clinics 3.6 $1,093,015 $1,878,340 Other amusement and recreation industries 41.3 $3,397,814 $19,195,854 Private hospitals 4.4 $975,376 $2,025,134 Real estate establishments 13.7 $1,100,706 $6,977,415 Retail Stores - Food and beverage 17.9 $1,698,610 $2,876,555 Retail Stores - Gasoline stations 19.7 $1,972,419 $6,696,959 Retail Stores - General merchandise 2.5 $238,889 $558,344 Retail Stores - Miscellaneous 45.3 $3,834,681 $7,562,687 Securities, commodity contracts, and related activities 2.3 $393,366 $1,238,307 Services to buildings and dwellings 5.6 $488,262 $1,188,051 US Postal Service 4.4 $693,767 $885,434 Wholesale trade businesses 4.9 $1,660,301 $4,219,292 All Other Industries 93.4 $16,452,988 $52,681,591 519.9 $56,971,592 $176,535,120 Total Source: Implan Input-Output Multipliers 18 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 18 Tax Impacts Table 10 lists the estimated impact from 2006-2009 OCM spending on state and local tax collections. While OCM is a not-for-profit organization and does not pay a corporate income tax, its independent contractors and their employees pay state taxes and many firms doing OCM business pay corporate income taxes.11 Furthermore, many companies that receive indirect OCM spending pay corporate taxes. It is estimated that OCM and its visitors’ spending generated nearly $16.1 million from 2006-2009 in state and local tax collections. Table 10: Impact of OCM on State and Local Tax Collections Description Corporate Income Tax Personal Income Tax 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total $104,672 $56,343 $54,790 $55,260 $271,065 $581,791 $411,181 $375,150 $376,678 $1,744,800 $1,145,157 $833,418 $815,905 $831,081 $3,625,561 $873,333 $611,699 $644,148 $649,671 $2,778,851 Other Taxes $2,501,241 $1,773,338 $1,687,258 $1,701,724 $7,663,562 Total State and Local Tax $5,206,194 $3,685,979 $3,577,251 $3,614,414 $16,083,839 Property Tax Sales Tax 11 Compensation includes fringe benefits and FICA taxes paid by the employer on behalf of the employee. 19 LOREM IPSUM | 19 17 A Appendix Impact of OCM on Omaha OCM revenues are more powerful than revenues of firms that deal in intra-state commerce in terms of job and income creation since a high proportion of these revenues are “new” to the area and are not offset by reduced spending in other area industries. For example, increased spending in Omaha’s real estate sector may be offset by reduced spending in Omaha’s retail industry. This is not the case with OCM since a high share of attendees come from outside the state. Even dollars spent by Omaha residents at OCM are very important since a large share of them would likely have been otherwise spent on entertainment and recreational activities outside the city. From an economic perspective, these sources represent new dollars to the state’s economy and are thus very powerful in generating jobs and income for the region. Businesses and organizations funded primarily by dollars generated from within the state have less economic impact than OCM spending since a high proportion of these dollars are diverted from other industries in the state. Economic impacts identified in this study are shortrun in nature and represent annual, recurring events. Indicators are provided for long run, more intangible impacts on the regional economy such as workforce development and knowledge enhancement, but no attempt is made to assign dollar values. In terms of long-term but less measurable impacts, the presence of OCM increases the attractiveness of the community and encourages the startup and/or relocation of other businesses in the state. By contributing to an area’s attractiveness via access to art, entertainment and education, OCM influences community growth in non-tourist related industries. Moreover, by making the nation more aware of Nebraska and Omaha, OCM contributes to the overall growth of state and local economic activity. Table A.1 summarizes the impact OCM has on the City of Omaha. Table A.1: Impact of OCM on Omaha Economic Community Attractiveness Direct involvement Wages paid to employees Increases sense of collective identity; Builds social capital; Learning opportunities Audience participation Tourists spend money at local venues Builds community pride; Personal interaction of diverse individuals Philanthropic and government support Brings new dollars to the comMatching funds provide a multiple of the initial munity from area non-professional gift or grant users of the facility 20 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 20 B Induced Economic Impacts Appendix Types of Economic Impacts Table B.1 depicts examples of the flow of funds in to and out of Omaha as a result of OCM. As indicated, the total impact is the sum of direct (blue arrows), indirect (yellow arrows) and induced (pink arrows) impacts minus leakages (black arrows). Leakages represent OCM spending outside of Omaha. Input-output multiplier systems are used to estimate each of the impacts in Figure B.1 by industry. Direct Economic Impacts Induced impacts in the region occur as the initial spending feeds back to industries in the region when workers in the area purchase additional output from local firms in a second round of spending. That is, OCM increases overall income and population, which produces another round of increased spending adding to sales, earnings and jobs for the area. Examples of induced economic impacts are color coded pink in Figure B.1. Table B.1 lists estimated impacts for each additional $1,000,000 in OCM spending. It is assumed that the additional revenue is not produced by reduced spending at other establishments in the area. In terms of spillover, or indirect plus induced impacts, data indicate that for the Omaha area, each $1,000,000 of OCM spending generates another $826,503 across other industries with $38,134 for insurance carriers, $119,047 for real estate establishments, and $29,214 for wholesale trade businesses. Spending by OCM visitors has direct economic effects on their local economies by making expenditures for goods and services and by paying employee salaries. The most obvious direct expenditures are payment of wages to workers employed by OCM. In addition, Table B.1: Direct, Indirect and Induced Impacts of $1,000,000 in expenditures by business visitors to OCM produce OCM spending (2010 dollars) Direct Indirect Induced Total direct impacts on the region, affecting primarily the wholesale and retail trade industries. Direct Total $1,000,000 $369,963 $456,540 $1,826,503 economic impacts are color coded blue in Figure Wages & Salaries $512,610 $113,737 $146,995 $773,342 B.1. Jobs Indirect Economic Impacts OCM also produces indirect economic effects on the area economy. OCM generates indirect effects by increasing: (a) the number of firms drawn to a community, (b) the volume of deposits in local financial institutions and, (c) economic development. Examples of indirect economic impacts are color coded yellow on Figure B.1. 15.4 2.7 3.7 Source: Implan Multiplier System 21.8 21 LOREM IPSUM | 21 Figure B.1: Diagram of OCM Impacts Business Investment From Outside Omaha OCM Visitors From Outside Omaha Business Visitors Spillover Impacts: * Wholesale suppliers * Banking & Finance Direct Impacts: * OCM Salaries * Retail Purchases ∗ Retail Purchases by Visitors Direct Impacts: Induced Impacts: * Added Wages * Added Rents * Added Pro ts * Construc on Companies Construction And Renovation of Areas Retention of Area Residents & Firms Leakages: * Spending by Firms and Individuals Outside of Area Total Impact = Direct + Indirect + Induced - Leakages 22 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 22 C Appendix The Multiplier Effect When OCM employees spend their salaries within the community, this spending filters through the local economy, causing increased overall spending greater than the initial spending. The impact of this re-spending is known as the multiplier effect. Economic impacts that take place outside the local economy, for example employee spending in Kansas City or Des Moines, are called leakages and reduce the multiplier and overall impacts. They are excluded when estimating regional economic impacts. While the direct effects of OCM can be measured by a straightforward methodology, the indirect and induced effects of OCM spending must be estimated using regional multipliers. Community characteristics that affect leakages, and consequently the multiplier include: Location. Distance to suppliers affects the willingness to purchase locally. For example, if Nebraska firms are unable to provide supplies at competitive prices, and there are alternative suppliers in Des Moines who are more price competitive, then the museum will be more likely to spend outside the community. This results in greater leakages, lower multipliers and smaller impacts. Population size. A larger population provides more opportunities for companies and workers to purchase locally. Larger population areas are associated with fewer leakages and larger multipliers. Thus, in general, tourist dollars flowing into Omaha will have larger impacts than the same level of dollars flowing into Beatrice or South Sioux City. Clustering. A community will gain more if the inputs required by local industries for production match local resources and are purchased locally. Thus, over time, as new firms are created to match the requirements of OCM, leakages will be fewer, resulting in larger multipliers and impacts. This issue is at the heart of economic development, amplifying the impacts of the clustering of museum investment and jobs. As Omaha gains more and more of OCM investment and jobs, educators and training institutions become more proficient and focused on meeting the needs of the industry. Furthermore, suppliers unique to OCM are more likely to locate in close proximity to these organizations. This not only expands income and jobs in Omaha, it increases the size of multipliers related to OCM. The next section discusses the selection of an estimation technique to measure the direct, indirect and induced impacts of OCM on the community and region. While the direct effects of a museum can be measured by a straighforward methodology, the indirect and induced effects of OCM spending must be estimated using regional multipliers. 23 LOREM IPSUM | 23 D Appendix Choosing a Technique to Measure Impacts The three most common types of impact models are economic base, econometric and input-output (I-O). Many types of public and private-sector decisions require an evaluation of probable regional effects. Since important impacts are often economic, this requirement has created a need for regional economic impact models. Two of the three impact models have inherent disadvantages that markedly reduce their viability for estimating the impact of retail spending on the economy. Economic Base Model. The economic base model divides the economy into two sectors--the local/ service sector and the export sector. The economic base multiplier is an average for all the economy making it impossible to distinguish, for example, the impact of retail spending from that of a new manufacturing plant. Econometric Models. Econometric models have two major weaknesses. First, the time series data used in constructing econometric models are often unavailable at the state and metropolitan area level, thus precluding county-level analysis. This is especially true for rural counties and for counties with small populations. Second, econometric models are costly to build and maintain. Input-Output (I-O) Models. I-O models are the most frequently used types of analysis tool for economic impact assessment. Input-output is a simple general equilibrium approach based on an accounting system of injections and leakages. Input-output analysis assumes that each sector purchases supplies from other sectors and then sells its output to other sectors and/or final consumers. IMPLAN and RIMS (Regional InputOutput Modeling System) are two of the most widely used mulitplier models. Historically, high development costs precluded the extensive use of I-O models in regional impact analysis. However, with the advent of “ready-made” multipliers produced by third parties, such as the U.S. Forestry Service, I-O multipliers became a much more viable option for performing impact analysis. All purely non-survey techniques or “ready-made” multipliers take a national I-O table as a first approximation of regional inter-industry relationships. The national table is then made region specific by removing those input requirements that are not produced in the region. This study uses the most widely recognized “ready-made” multiplier system, IMPLAN Multipliers. 24 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 24 E Appendix IMPLAN Multipliers Used in This Study The Forestry Service of the U.S. Department of Agriculture developed the IMPLAN multipliers in the 1980s (U.S. Forest Service, 1985). For very populous areas, IMPLAN divides the economy into approximately 500 industrial sectors. Industries that do not exist in the region are automatically eliminated during user construction of the model (e.g. coal mining in Omaha). IMPLAN uses an industry-based methodology to derive its input-out coefficients and multipliers. Primary sources for data are County Business Patterns data and Bureau of Economic Analysis data. Researchers have used IMPLAN to estimate the impact of changes in military spending on the Washington State economy (Hughes, et. al, 1991).12 IMPLAN and RIMS (Regional Input-Output Modeling System) are two of the most widely used multiplier models. IMPLAN has been compared to other multiplier systems and found to produce reliable estimates (Richman and Schwer, 1993). Likewise, Crihfield and Campbell (1991), in estimating the impacts of opening an automobile assembly plant, concluded that IMPLAN’s outcomes are, on balance, somewhat more accurate than RIMS. 12 Data and software: Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc., IMPLAN System (data and software), 1725 Tower Drive West, Suite 140, Stillwater, MN 55082 www.implan.com IMPLAN multipliers possess the following advantages over other I-O Multiplier Systems: 1. Price changes are accounted for in the creation of the multipliers. 2. Employment increases or decreases are assumed to produce immediate in or out-migration. 3. Multipliers are produced at reasonable costs by third party vendors. In this case, the Minnesota IMPLAN Group produces the multiplier system used in this study. 25 LOREM IPSUM | 25 F Appendix References Bartik, T. Who benefits from state and local economic development policies? Kalamazoo, MI: W.E. Upjohn Institute, 1991. Crihfield, J. B. and Harrison S. Campbell. “Evaluating Alternative Regional Planning Models.” Growth and Change, 22, 1991, pp. 1-16. Gooding, E.P. and S.J. Weiss. “Estimation Of Differential Employment Multiplier in a Small Regional Economy,” Research Report No. 37, 1966, Federal Research Bank of Boston, Boston, MA. Goss, E.P. and G.S. Vozikis. “High Tech Manufacturing: Firm Size, Industry and Population Density,” Small Business Economics, Vol. 6(3), 1994, pp. 291-297. Hughes, D., Holland, D. and P. Wandschneider, “The Impact of Changes in Military Expenditures on the Washington State Economy,” The Review of Regional Studies, Vol. 21(3), 1991, pp. 221-234. Leontief, W. The Structure of the American Economy, 1919-1929. New York: Oxford University Press, 1941. Richman, D.S. and R. K. Schwer. “A Systematic Comparison of the REMI and IMPLAN Models: The Case of Southern Nevada.” Review of Regional Studies, Vol. 23 (2), 1993, pp. 143-161. U.S. Forestry Service. 1991 IMPLAN Multiplier Reports, Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc., 1995, Stillwater, MN. 26 | Enicaper ficaed susta nondin is es nonim et dolore 26 G Association-Nebraska. He also serves on the Board of Directors of Mosaic, Inc. Appendix Biography, Ernie Goss Ernie Goss is currently the MacAllister Chair and Professor of Economics at Creighton University in Omaha, Nebraska. He received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Tennessee in 1983. He was a visiting scholar with the Congressional Budget Office for 2003-04 and in the Fall of 2005, the Nebraska Attorney General appointed Goss to head a task force examining gasoline pricing in the state. He was also a faculty research fellow with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) in 1991 and 1992. He has published over eighty research studies focusing primarily on economic forecasting and on the statistical analysis of business and economic data. His book, Changing Attitudes toward Economic Reform during the Yeltsin Era was published by Praeger Press in 2003 and his book Governing Fortune: Casino Gambling in America was published by the University of Michigan Press in 2007. He is editor of Economic Trends, an economics newsletter published three times per year. He is the past president of the Omaha Association of Business Economics, and the National Purchasing Management To gauge regional economic conditions, Goss conducts a monthly survey of bank CEOs in rural areas of 9 states and two monthly surveys of businesses in 12 states. Results from the three surveys are carried in over 100 newspapers, 20-30 radio stations and scores of other media outlets each month. Recent citations appeared in the Wall Street Journal, Business Week, Forbes, and scores of regional newspapers such as the Denver Post, the Kansas City Star and the Minneapolis Pioneer Press. Research Assistants Melanie Lotspeich has worked on a variety of economic impact studies with Dr. Goss since 2003. Melanie’s duties have included photography, copy writing, editing and desktop publishing. Melanie graduated from Creighton University in 2002 with a B.A. in Journalism and a minor in Philosophy. She is currently a Communications and Events Coordinator at the Greater Omaha Chamber. Keith Weeces is currently in his first Summer working with Dr. Goss. Keith assists in the research, as well as, the use of the IMPLAN InputOutput Multiplier System for this and various other projects. He is currently an undergraduate student at Creighton University working toward a B.S.B.A in Economics and Finance.
© Copyright 2024