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Future for industrial policies
Dr. Alexander Tettenborn
Federal Ministry of Economics and Energy
The German Digital Economy
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228 bn. € Sales volume (ICT branch)
79 bn. € Sales volume (internet
economy)
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4.9 % of the worldwide sales in ICT
 4.7 % value creation
 #5 in worldwide ranking (behind U.S.A., S-Korea, Japan, U.K.)
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23% of productivity gains result from ICT investments
900.000 jobs ICT branch + 360.000 jobs other sectors
8.5% incorporation rate (ICT foundations)
Source: Monitoring Report TNS Infratest 2013
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Mission Statements (Digital Agenda 2014-2017)
http://www.digitale-agenda.de
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„Besides energy transition and skills shortage, the digital agenda is the
central challenge of our country“
Sigmar Gabriel, Minister for Economic Affairs & Energy
The Internet has become ubiquitous. It will continue to fundamentally
change our economy and society.
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How can we keep and improve our (industrial) competitiveness?
Who will be the drivers of innovation?
Digital Agenda defines the main work areas for German funding policy:
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Foster digital infrastructures and digital businesses:
transform conventional industry & boost start-ups / entrepreneurs
Create an adequate regulation framework in accordance with Europe
Improve Security and Trust in ICT
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Industry 4.0
Digital upgrade
of Germany‘s
Industrial
Locations
http://www.plattform-i40.de/
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Lighthouse project: Industry 4.0
Embedded into High-Tech-Strategy of Federal Government
 Manufacturing is the
backbone of prosperity in Germany
 Jobs directly affected: 7,7 Mio.
 Peripheral Jobs: 7,1 Mio.
 With Cyber Physical Systems, we can
radically change the set-up of manufacturing:
(e.g. individualized production, batch size 1).
Quelle: Abele,
Eberhard/Reinhart, Gunther
(2011): Zukunft der
Produktion.
Herausforderungen,
Forschungsfelder, Chancen,
Hanser, München.
 We are heading towards the design of
versatile, self-configuring and
self-organizing production systems
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From sensor based applications to the Internet of Things: BMWi funding history of sensor / radio based smart applications & systems
2006‐2011: „Next Generation Media“ (11 Projects): Consumer electronics, health monitoring, logistics (RFID), manufacturing
2009‐2014: Autonomics: Autonomous, simulation‐based systems for small and medium‐sized enterprises (14 projects): Logistics, manufacturing
Tools and systems that are able to network via Internet, identify situations, adapt to changing operating conditions and interact with users on their own
2013‐2017: Autonomics for Industry 4.0 (14 Projects) Smart Factories, Service Robotics, Home Automation
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Where are the Chances ?
2015
ICT-share
75
%
Area
2025
Cumulated Turn-over
German Market
Annual
Growth
Cumulated Turn-over
German Market
2.300 Mio. €
+23,5%
19.000 Mio. €
1.400
Mio. €
+23,3%
100.300 Mio. €
+6,3%
60.200 Mio.
€
+6,3%
Smart Home
Proportion value added - German providers
50
%
Maschinenbau
Prop value added German Providers
Area
Smart Home
11.400 Mio. €
185.000 Mio. €
111.000 Mio. €
prop. value added German
Providers
Maschinenbau
Pro. Value added German prov.
18.000 Mio. €
+8,0%
Prop. Value added German prov.
1.800 Mio. €
+23,6%
60
%
70 %
38.700 Mio. €
prop. value added German provider
+20,2%
100%
80
%
prop. value added German
Providers
+8,0%
50 %
ICT-share
100%
15.000 Mio. €
prop. value added German provider
Quelle: Technologische und wirtschaftliche Perspektiven Deutschlands durch die Konvergenz der elektronischen Medien, VDI/VDE‐IT, 2011
„Autonomics for Industry 4.0“
Objectives
 Human-machine-interfaces for integrating internet-provided data to the real
world, perception and decision support („AugmentedX“ technologies)
 Developing objects, products and systems featured with the capability to
autonomously manage complex tasks („SmartX“ technologies)
 Existing technologies have to become fit for mass markets, by developing
system kits, standardization and solutions for consumer markets
 Stimuli for new products, services and business models
Next generation systems, services and business models in production
(smart factories), service robotics and home automation
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Some new
challenges:
Individualization
and fast delivery
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Now, more seriously:
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IT-Security and Industry 4.0
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Challenges: Cyber Crime, Terrorism, Espionage, Sabotage etc.
Task: Baseline study of major aspects of security for Industry 4.0
(start about June/14) - major content:
Analytics of future value chains and networks in the field of
industry 4.0.
Characterization of new challenges concerning IT-Security
Recommendations of actions for stakeholders of economy,
regulators (standardization, legal actions) and industry
Cost-benefit analysis esp. For SMEs
Brief account of current state of available technologies
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New R&D program: „Smart Data“:
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Other new challenges: „Big Data“:
acatech study predicts a shift of control points
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Products will be sold as „Smart Services“
Businesses must get ready to cooperate and continuously
adapt their portfolios
Services, Business control point
= Return on investment
Cyber physical Systems, Technology control point
= Investment
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Let‘s work together.
Thank you for your attention.
Dr. Alexander Tettenborn
Head of Division „Development of Converging ICT“
[email protected]
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