ECONOMICS UPDATE WORKSHEET

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BLIZZARD BAG 3 ACTIVITY
Case Study Update: An updated article, worksheet, and lesson plan for the Case Study.
Fueling Automobile Demand
At GM, Lutz's Bets Starting to Pay Off
by David Welch and David Kiley
Reprinted from the March 2, 2007 issue of Business Week by special permission, copyright © 2007 by
The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
In an otherwise bleak month for Detroit's carmakers, General Motors (GM) had a strong
month powered by a big boost from its rekindled Saturn division.
The long-starved Saturn brand saw sales rise 60%, helping GM post a 3.5% gain in a
flat car market. New models like the Saturn Aura midsize sedan—voted the North
American Car of the Year in January—and the Outlook crossover sport-utility vehicle
seem to be winning converts. And there are signs that import buyers will give the brand
a look.
Growth at Saturn is a sign that GM Vice-Chairman Robert Lutz's new cars are starting
to gain traction with consumers. "Saturn finally has some new cars to sell," says
longtime industry watcher Mary Ann Keller, who does consulting work and sits on the
board of dealer Lithia Automotive (LAD). "They always had good dealers; it was just a
question of getting product."
Detroit Rivals Falter
Make no mistake, GM's problems are far from solved. Sales are down more than 6% so
far this year. And the boost in February, when retail sales rose 11% for GM, was helped
in part by 0% financing deals offered in the middle of the month.
While GM had a pretty strong month, its crosstown rivals Ford Motor (F) and
DaimlerChrysler's (DCX) Chrysler Group both took a hit. Ford's sales fell 13% and
Chrysler's were off 8%. Meanwhile, Toyota (TM) keeps surging ahead with a 12%
jump—record sales for February. Honda (HMC) sales rose 3%. Kia was up 13.5%.
Mitsubishi was up 22%. Audi was up 37%. BMW was up 15%.
Growth from Saturn could be a big boost for GM. The brand took the U.S. by storm
when it was launched in the early 1990s with just one model, the S-series compact.
Buyers loved the no-haggle pricing strategy and folksy, friendly dealers. But years of
neglect and a weak midsize sedan, the failed L-series launched in 1998, kept the brand
from realizing its potential.
Blizzard Bag 3: Economics p. 1
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Running with the Imports
Lutz has long said that Saturn was GM's best bet to win import owners, so he gave the
brand the Sky roadster and Aura last year, as well as the Outlook, in a play to win
market share back from the likes of Honda, Toyota, and Nissan (NSANY). Soon
enough, Saturn will replace the woeful Ion compact with the Astra, the popular compact
sold in Europe by GM's German Opel brand (see BusinessWeek.com, 12/14/06, "For
Saturn, the Time Is Now").
Edmunds.com says that of the top 10 vehicles cross-shopped by Saturn buyers across
the brand's lineup, nearly all of them are import nameplates. No other GM brand comes
close to that level of cross-consideration. Conversely, says online car shopping site
Edmunds.com, Saturn is seeing huge spikes in reverse cross-shopping as well; that is,
shoppers who had Honda, Nissan, Toyota, and Volkswagen on their lists but decided to
look at a Saturn model as well. Saturn reports double- and triple-digit increases in
reverse cross-shopping figures with the new vehicles it has launched.
Saturn is also doing well on the West Coast, traditionally hostile territory for domestic
brands. Saturn says its No. 1 dealer in February, based on sales volume, was in Los
Angeles. Four of the top 10 Saturn dealers are in the L.A. area.
On the Shopping List
But Saturn's total sales volume is still relatively small when compared to GM's breadand-butter Chevrolet division. Chevy sold 187,000 vehicles last month to Saturn's
22,000. But Saturn sells mostly to retail customers, as opposed to other GM passenger
car brands that do significant business with rental agencies and corporate fleet
customers.
GM is working to reduce its reliance on low-margin rental car sales. Paul Ballew, GM's
executive director of global market and industry analysis, said GM cut fleet sales by
15,000 vehicles in February as the company tries to focus on selling higher-priced cars
to retail customers.
Though Saturn's numbers are small—just 1,900 Outlooks and 3,800 Aura sedans sold
in February—there are reasons for Saturn to be optimistic. Edmunds.com tracks what
buyers look at when shopping for a new car. Aura buyers most commonly shop the
Toyota Camry, Honda Accord, and Nissan Altima, an indicator that at the very least,
Saturn is doing a pretty good job of keeping some of its shoppers from defecting to
Japanese family cars.
Similarly, the Outlook, which hit the market late last year, gets looks from import
shoppers. About one-quarter of Outlook buyers look at its stablemate, the GMC Acadia,
but the next two models on their shopping list are the Mazda CX-9 and Honda Pilot
crossover SUVs.
Blizzard Bag 3: Economics p. 2
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Economics
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Back to Branding
Saturn was once GM's brightest light when it came to advertising. The brand, however,
dimmed the last five years as Saturn ads lurched from campaign to campaign and
slogan to slogan. Last month, though, Saturn General Manager Jill Ladjiak fired agency
Goodby, Silverstein & Partners, San Francisco, and hired Deutsch/LA, which aired its
first Saturn work during this week's Academy Awards telecast. The ad showed Saturn
Aura owners who bought their cars before the car was named North American Car of
the Year, opening up a box containing the actual award. Deutsch had the idea that
owners should house the award like National Hockey League players on the
championship team each get to take turns housing the Stanley Cup. When one Saturn
owner is through, he or she mails it to another.
Saturn's brand strength has long been in its dealer service and the sense of community
Saturn owners have felt since the brand was launched as "A Different Kind of Car
Company." The new ad strategy seems to be to foster that part of the brand again
without being folksy or old-fashioned.
For Saturn and GM, the challenge will be maintaining momentum. Ballew says he
expects some heavy competition and, as a result, higher incentives from other
carmakers. But at least Saturn is off to a good start.
Blizzard Bag 3: Economics p. 3
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Economics
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Case Study: Fueling Automobile Demand
Article title At GM, Lutz’s Bets Starting to Pay Off
Source BusinessWeek, March 2, 2007
Activate Prior Knowledge
Complete the table with the terms below.
low margin
retail
no-haggle pricing
Category
type of incentive
types of automobile customers
import buyers
fleet
cross-shop
Example
and
people who purchase Kias
amounts of profit gained from sales
to look at Toyota Camrys as well as Saturn Auras
Guided Reading Questions
Read these questions before you read the article and take notes as you read.
1. Which cars accounted in the rise in General Motors sales?
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2. How did the automobile sales of U.S. manufacturers compare with those of foreign companies?
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Discussion Questions
Answer these questions on a separate piece of paper.
1. Why is it significant that shoppers who were looking at Hondas, Nissans, Toyotas, and Volkswagens
were considering Saturns as well?
2. Why is GM trying to switch focus from fleet sales to retail sales?
3. What is GM’s strategy for increasing demand for the Saturn?
Blizzard Bag 3: Economics p. 4