Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Private and Confidential DTZ No. 1 Marsden Street Manchester M2 1HW Contents Page 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................... 1 2. THE SURVEY RESPONDENTS ................................................................................... 3 3. TARGET GROUPS ............................................................................................... 18 4. KEY MESSAGES.................................................................................................. 52 Appendices A. SUMMARY TABLES AND MAPS B. ORGANISATIONS THAT TOOK PART IN THE RESEARCH & KEY STAKEHOLDERS This document should be read alongside a complementary report looking at workers Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 1. Introduction Aims and objectives 1.1 This report presents findings from two surveys DTZ undertook on behalf of Bridging NewcastleGateshead (BNG). The main objective of the surveys was to provide information to help BNG attract and retain more residents, in this case graduates. 1.2 The study is the second phase of DTZ’s work with BNG, the first stage1 being collation of existing ‘baseline’ information about the housing needs and regeneration implications of students and graduates in the area. This phase of the assignment is dedicated to exploring new avenues of information, and has been undertaken through two surveys: Graduate survey: a survey of the alumni of Newcastle and Northumbria Universities. In the case of the alumni survey, contact was made with the alumni offices of Northumbria and Newcastle Universities, who both agreed to take part. The worker questionnaire was used as the basis for the housing needs questions and were developed taking into account the more diverse circumstances that alumni could possibly experience if, for instance, they had left the area, or indeed the country. At Newcastle University the link to the survey was sent out to a large group of alumni identified from the database as largely still being based in Newcastle and a smaller sample of others based in the UK. At Northumbria, the link was included in an online newsletter which was disseminated to alumni in the UK and overseas. Worker survey: a survey of the housing needs and aspirations of people working in Newcastle and Gateshead (for this report, focussing on those who classified themselves as graduates). 1.3 This report considers the needs, aspirations and perceptions of graduates and reports on findings from both the graduate survey and from those workers who responded to the worker survey that are also graduates. A total of 225 alumni took part in the survey, and the results of this survey have been combined with that of the 1,168 graduates from the workers’ survey, and reported in this, the graduate report. 1,393 respondents are contained within the graduate report. 1.4 The main outputs of these surveys will respond to BNG’s need to understand local housing needs and to provide market intelligence to support BNG in providing the right type of housing in the right place, at the right cost and the right time to retain and attract people, who live, study or work in NewcastleGateshead. 1 Baseline Review, 2007 1 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Survey method 1.5 The surveys have been a triumph of collaboration and goodwill between the stakeholders and those working in the public and private sectors within Newcastle and Gateshead. The surveys were initially developed by DTZ taking into account the information requirements identified in the first phase of the study, and supplemented with a series of housing needs assessment questions. The draft surveys were then reviewed with the stakeholder group, and uploaded into the online survey mechanism, Survey Monkey. Once uploaded, a wide stakeholder group piloted the surveys and then links were circulated to local workers and alumni as appropriate, with the aid of the universities and a range of public and private sector bodies (see Appendix B)2. 1.6 It is important to note that the methodology, via online surveys, meant that workers or graduates without access to a computer were obviously excluded from the study. Structure of the report 1.7 This report reflects the results of the graduate survey – including alumni and graduate workers. The results will breakdown into the following sections: An overview of the results from all respondents – who took part, their housing needs generally, their perspectives on the pathfinder area. A profiling exercise which looks in detail at the characteristics, housing needs and aspirations of a set of target groups of graduates who responded positively to the prospect of living in the pathfinder area or the housing offer that BNG is developing. Outcomes and recommendations. 1.8 The report is intended to be a short and strategic paper, highlighting the key findings of the graduate survey. It is supported by a database of results, analysed to some degree, and provided in Excel format for the use of stakeholders interested in sub themes within the results. 2 Additionally SMEs (businesses with less than 249 employees) who are based in managed workspace and incubator facilities provided by the local authorities were asked to take part by the two councils. 2 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 2. The Survey Respondents 2.1 A total of 1,393 graduates responded to the online surveys. Figure 2.1 shows where the 664 who gave their 4-digit postcode currently live. As expected the catchment area for those working in the conurbation is large, however residential hotspots for graduates exist mainly in Newcastle - in NE3 (broadly: Jesmond, Gosforth) and NE6 5 (Heaton). The spread of graduates across the postcodes is very wide, with a representation in Gateshead, but the eastern segment of the Newcastle Pathfinder area represents an area less likely to be inhabited by graduate respondents. Figure 2.1: Respondents by postcode in the North East3 2.2 3 Respondents to the worker survey were asked whether they work in the public or private sector. 78% (918 of 1,168 graduates) work in the public sector, with 19% of respondents in the private sector (only 3% did not reveal which sector they work in). Alumni were asked a more detailed question about their occupation. Table 2.1 shows the results. Detailed maps can be found in the appendix 3 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Table 2.1: Industry vs Occupation code - Alumni Professional Technical Clerical/ secretarial Sales Personal service Other Other 23% 4% 9% 1% 1% 0% 3% Education 10% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% Health, social work 8% Public administration 3% Construction 4% Manufacturing 2% Banking, insurance 1% Power, water supply 2% Wholesale, retail 1% Agriculture, hunting, 1% forestry, fishing Real estate 2% Transport, storage, distribution 1% Hotels, restaurants 1% Base: 189 of 225 alumni who responded to 2.3 Manager 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 3% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% this question 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Figure 2.2 shows the education institutions attended by the graduates that answered the workers survey – bearing in mind that some respondents will have attended more than 1 institution more recently and some quite some time ago. Figure 2.2: Where did you study for your degree(s)? 26% 23% Northumbria University Newcastle University Yorkshire and Humber 8% Sunderland University North West Midlands 23% 6% 5% 5% 4% Durham University Other Base: 1,168 responses 2.4 In the Baseline Review (2007), issues of graduate retention were explored. One of the indicators used in the analysis looked at how a graduate had come to be based in a particular region. The original research was undertaken by Prospects, the graduate advisory website, and the same analysis has been undertaken in the graduate survey, as shown in Table 2.2. The graduate survey has shown (as with the worker survey) a more diverse pattern of graduates than the results of the prospects survey. 4 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Table 2.2: Prospects Graduate Types Loyals North East (prospects) Graduate survey (Base 1,066) Returners Stayers Incomers (Students from (Students who (Students not (Graduates the region, returned home from the region, attracted to the studying and after study staying in the region, no remaining in the outside their region) previous links) region) home region) 59% 18% 16% 7% 45% 18% 22% 15% 2.5 Graduate retention was raised in the previous report as a particularly important issue to the economic and housing development in the region. The alumni survey asked respondents if they still lived in the region, and if not, where they lived and why they had left. Of the 225 alumni who responded to the survey, 98 (43%) had left the North East. Of those 98, 69 (70%) left the North East due to their career. Only 8 (8%) of them left due to family and the remaining 21 (21%) due to other reasons, but mainly citing a combination of career and family or personal desire to live elsewhere as reasons. Survey respondents who had left the North East were asked what factors would tempt them to move back to the region – the over-riding theme in the open text responses focussed on the availability of work/career opportunities for themselves or their partners. Employment opportunities are therefore one of the primary drivers in graduate housing decisions. 2.6 Figure 2.3 shows the age breakdown of respondents to the graduate survey. The working graduates represent 84% of respondents, thus having an effect upon the average age of respondents. Figure 2.3: Age Breakdown of Respondents 600 Respondents 500 400 300 200 100 0 23-26 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-49 50-59 60+ Blank Age Range Base: 1,393 respondents 5 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Views on the Pathfinder 2.7 The surveys elicited the views of graduates about the BNG area. When asked if BNG was improving, importantly 65% of respondents said that they didn’t know, raising the key issue of a general lack of awareness of activity in the area by the working population reached by the survey. Some neighbourhoods were known better than others, and the perceptions expressed about neighbourhoods are illustrated in Figure 2.4. It is clear that there is still a lot to do to improve perceptions of many parts of the BNG area. Figure 2.4: Perceptions of change in the Pathfinder neighbourhoods Saltwell Dunston Kenton Fenham Felling Pelaw and Heworth Bensham Teams Wingrove Byker Walkergate Fawdon Walker Scotswood Arthurs Hill Gateshead Town Centre Blakelaw Benwell Deckham Elswick -100% -80% -60% Not Improving -40% -20% 0% 20% Perception of Area Don't know responses removed 40% 60% 80% 100% Improving Base: 647 respondents to the worker and alumni surveys who expressed opinions 2.8 Interestingly, 197 respondents (14% of 1,393) already live in pathfinder neighbourhoods, and of these 59% are planning to move in the next 5 years. By way of comparison, 54% of people who don’t live in the pathfinder will consider moving in the next 5 years. Compared to all workers, graduates have a higher likelihood of moving generally. 2.9 Top locations for those graduates living in the pathfinder area now, and for those who wish to live there in the future are shown in Table 2.3. 6 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Table 2.3: Top 3 pathfinder locations Residents Now (197 pathfinder residents of 1,393) Fenham & Wingrove Bensham, Saltwell and Lobley Hill Kenton & Blakelaw 2.10 Future Potential Residents (140 respondents who would like to move to the pathfinder of 711 respondents likely to move generally) Fenham & Wingrove Bensham, Saltwell and Lobley Hill Pelaw and Heworth There are a number of common reasons behind the decision to move away from the house that respondents are currently living in, whether it be bought or rented. Figure 2.5 shows these common reasons, but also highlights the nuances in response for those residents in the pathfinder area against all respondents. The main message derived from the analysis is that while the pathfinder houses are more affordable than in the whole of Newcastle and Gateshead, graduates perceive them to be based in less attractive locations, and have less garden space associated with them. Figure 2.5: Main reasons graduates are thinking of moving house in the next 5 years % Respondents likely to move in next 5 years 35% 30% 25% 20% All 15% Pathfinder 10% 5% 0% More attractive location Larger property Would like a Get on the (larger) property garden ladder Base: 704 respondents, including pathfinder residents, likely to move in next 5 years 2.11 Looking to reasons why people would like to live in the pathfinder, some themes are evident from the open text responses of the respondents. From graduates not living there now, but would consider living there: If the surrounding area was sufficiently regenerated If perceptions of safety/antisocial behaviour were alleviated As relatively more affordable House types - good quality refurbished older homes are popular As there is a sense of community. 7 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 2.12 2.13 Equally there are some common reasons why graduates who are not currently living in the pathfinder neighbourhoods are not considering moving there: Social problems/Crime/Reputation/Safety Transport links Too far away from family and friends Perceived lack of open/green space Would like a more rural setting/near to the coast. Respondents were asked if any of the interventions planned through BNG and their partners would be more likely to attract them to live in the area. The interventions likely to have the strongest effect were those that sought to improve the areas and to build new homes close to community facilities. Figure 2.6: Interventions most likely to change perceptions, improve reputation, improve the BNG area Work to improve the reputation of the area (lower crime rates, etc) Whole street improvement schemes Large, new, good quality housing developments with new schools and shops Less council and housing association housing and more housing for sale Greater regulation of private landlords and improvements to private rented housing More family housing Options to buy a share in a new home, by myself or with partner/friends More Likely Less Likely More council/housing association housing 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% % Respondents Base: 1,239 respondents 8 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Current house type 2.14 Survey respondents were most likely to live in a semi-detached house with three bedrooms, as highlighted in figures 2.7a and 2.7b. This is one area of the survey where there were differences depending upon age and personal circumstances, and these are explored in further detail in Section 3. 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 600 Respondents 500 400 300 200 5 4 3 2 0 1 Other Bungalow Detached House Semi-detached House Terraced House 100 Other Apartment/Flat Tyneside Flat Respondents Figures 2.7a & b: Current house type of respondents Number of bedrooms House Type Bedroom s Base: 1,363 2.15 69% of (1,393) respondents owned their house with a mortgage, with only 10% owning without a mortgage, a further were 14% in the private rented sector, and 2% renting from the council. Respondents were most likely to own their house with their partner – 50% of total respondents owned their house in this way, with a further 15% having a mortgage on their own. 2% of respondents had a mortgage with their parents, 1% in a group and less than 1% respondents had a mortgage with friends. 2.16 The main reasons for respondents to have chosen their current home are price (47% against 44% for non graduates), location (47% against 38% for non graduates) and size/type of property (42% against 40% for non graduates). 21.5% of graduates would look to be closer to work – a positive finding for BNG considering its ambitions to link housing developments to employment opportunities in the area. The house having character was a variable where graduates and non graduates differed in opinion – 20% of graduates stated this was a factor in choosing their home compared to only 13% of non graduates. 9 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Figure 2.8: Why did you originally choose your home? 700 600 Respondents 500 400 300 200 100 Close tofriends Other (please specify) Good school nearby The garden Close to social/leisure Close to family The house has character Close to work Good transport links Right size/type Attractive location Good price/affordable 0 Base: 1,393 respondents The average monthly spend on rent/mortgage payments for graduates generally is between £400 and £600 per month, peaking in the £500-£599 range. This is affected by age and the results are described in further detail in the next section. (By way of comparison, Figure 2.13 in the worker report shows the results for employees that answered this question.) Figure 2.9: What would your household be able to spend on rent/mortgage payments each month? 140 120 Respondents 100 80 60 40 20 1400+ 1100-1399 900-1099 700-899 600-699 500-599 400-499 300-399 200-299 0 Less than 200 2.17 Base: 637 10 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 2.18 Survey respondents were asked how likely it is that they will move house or change tenure in the next 5 years. The chart below reveals that 44% of graduates are not likely to move house or tenure, with the other 56% either moving and/or changing tenure. The results also reveal that in real terms, around 51% of respondents (or 665 graduates) are likely to buy a house in the next 5 years. (This chart can be directly compared to Figure 2.14 in the worker report.) Figure 2.10: In the next 5 years it is likely that I will… 120% Respondents 100% 4% 17% Rent 80% Buy 1st time 35% 60% Buy not 1st time Stay w here I am 40% 44% 20% 0% Graduates Base: 1,292 2.19 The top preferred locations in the future are set out in Table 2.4. Table 2.4: Top 5 locations for the future by conurbation Conurbation Newcastle Neighbourhood % of Total responses conurbation 903 Jesmond & Sandyford 159 18% South Gosforth 157 17% North Gosforth (inc. Great Park) 104 12% High Heaton & Dene 97 11% City Centre (inc. Shieldfield & Battlefield) 53 6% Gateshead 310 Low Fell 89 29% Whickham North 30 10% Ryton, Crookhill & Stella 20 6% Bensham, Saltwell and Lobley Hill 18 6% 18 6% Pelaw and Heworth Other North East Other 488 Northumberland 171 35% North Tyneside Other 115 205 24% Base: 707 respondents, 1,906 responses (some chose more than 3 locations) 11 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 2.20 Looking at a subsection of table 2.4 from the perspective of age and lifestyle, it is clear that the popularity of neighbourhoods varies through life, with the only BNG neighbourhood to appear in the list (Bensham, Saltwell and Lobley Hill) showing noone from the 36-49 age group, a core group in terms of potential earning and spending power. Figure 2.11: Preferences for future location cross tabulated with age 40% % Responses by Age 35% 30% 19-26 25% 27-35 36-49 20% 50+ 15% 10% 5% Bensham, Saltwell and Lobley Hill Whickham North Low Fell High Heaton & Dene North Gosforth (inc. Great Park) North Tyneside South Gosforth Jesmond & Sandyford Northumberland 0% Base: 931 responses Choosing a new home 2.21 A number of questions in the survey related to how a person will choose a new home. This question was asked to those respondents who stated that they are likely to move from their current home in the next 5 years. Analysing the factors that respondents looked for in a future home, the most important are mainly related to space and quality of life factors first, and other practicalities second as illustrated in the following chart. 12 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Figure 2.12: Please specify what things you would look for in a home 900 800 Respondents 700 Very important 600 Important 500 400 300 200 Open plan space I don't want to do any DIY Mobile phone coverage Energy efficient/carbon neutral/green design Lovely view Garage Broadband availability Home that can adapt to my changing needs Large rooms Garden/outdoor space 0 Off road parking 100 Base: 1,365 respondents 2.22 Although some attributes are valued equally between all age groups, there are some that vary in importance depending upon the age of the respondent, as Figure 2.13 shows. Essentially this is related to lifestyle, with older people valuing garages and off road parking, and younger people valuing technological attributes such as availability of broadband and mobile phone coverage. Figure 2.13: Importance of attributes of houses cross-tabulated against age % respondents within age group 16% 14% 12% 19-26 10% 27-35 8% 36-49 6% 50+ 4% 2% Open plan space no DIY Garage Lovely view Energy efficient adaptable home Mobile phone coverage Broadband availability Off road parking Large rooms Garden/outdoor space 0% Base: 1,365 respondents 2.23 A breakdown of choice factors for graduates against non-graduates has also been 13 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 undertaken to show the differences between the two, as highlighted in the following chart. Figure 2.14: Please specify what things you would look for in a home (attributes which were specified as important or very important, split by graduate and non graduate responses) 100% Graduate Non Graduate 90% % Responses 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Open plan space I don't want to do any DIY Mobile phone coverage Energy efficient/carbon neutral/green design Garage Broadband availability A home that adapts to my changing needs Off road parking Large rooms Garden/outdoor space 0% Lovely view 10% Base: 1,161 graduate responses, 968 non graduate responses, total 2,141 respondents 2.24 Overall the proportion of responses from graduates which specified that features of a home were either important or very important exceeded those responses from non graduates, indicating that graduates are more particular and demanding when choosing a home. Graduates tend to value gardens/outdoor space, large rooms, energy efficiency and technical features including broadband and mobile phone coverage more highly than non graduates. Non graduates value off road parking and garages, a home that can adapt to changing needs and no need for DIY more highly than graduates. 2.25 When going about choosing where to live, there are also some common themes. Graduates were most likely to agree that the environment around the house was very important in the search. The safety of a neighbourhood was an important factor when looking for a new home. Respondents also agreed that finding a house near to some green space and within a reasonable distance/travel time to work was important. In Figure 2.15 responses of “strongly agree” and “agree” were combined to sort the chart in order of factors most important in the search for a new home. 14 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Figure 2.15: When I am looking for somewhere to live, ... Agree Strongly agree Lo ca la I l rea oo k sur a t ro Ic th un on e si s a din g de r t I pr fet h ra ef y o ou ve er f t se lt im to l he is im Ic e/ iv e ne p i di ho s t ne ghb orta Is o an ar I a se ou nt ea c e gr s k th rh rc h e of ee oo o fo r a I l o t he are I l o tra n s p d o ok ve If ac n k rs f a f in d I l o eig fo r or v i rs t, fo r l to e a ou o hb a w i th e Il o k im t w fo o ur hom ws en quie rk i t ha r a h o e on th t a m e t w o h n t d y p re i se he c om wi th c ei g ro a e th ar h h p ch oun wh al a ra bou erty by ci l ere l th c te rh Is w ta x I c e fa r/h ood al ee ki /ho an c il eri S a Is c h ng m e br iti e tag p in s e ro d / ea o pe ol s i sta car g u I n rc r ty i n n c i n p e e h s fo a d , a flu e u ra nd e n to ran fam ne p c c i l t ig I l o he e m ubl e th y hb o n ic o u k f de y l o tra ere rh o r ci d ca ns oo a e ti p d mo i f I on c ort w ith der li ke ho yo n/n th ic e un ew e ar g pe pro ea op pe l e rty an d. .. Respondents 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Base: 1,365 2.26 There are some notable variations in the environment that respondents seek when the results are analysed by age group. The main themes are common to all age groups, whereas younger respondents were more interested in safety and travel to work distances than others. They were also more likely to ask others their views on a neighbourhood (having an impact upon how quickly their perceptions of an area change). Younger people were less interested in living near green space or living in a quiet area or finding a house with character. Due to their age, attributes associated with families were also low on their priorities, whereas the 36-49 age group were particularly interested in schools, and houses where they could bring up families. 15 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Figure 2.16: When I am looking for somewhere to live,...cross tabulated with age % Respondents by age group 12% 10% 8% 19-26 27-35 36-49 50+ 6% 4% 2% Th e Il oo k at lo ca th la e sa re fe a ty su of r ro Ic th un on e d sid ne ing Ip ig er re a hb fe tra h ou rt ou ve o rh s lt e liv oo im is e d e/ n i m ea di p st or rg an t an re ce en t of Ia sp Ic t ra ac sk Il Is ho oo ve e ot ea os l to k he rc e fo r h Il w r t he pe oo fo a or op ra qu k ar k fo le ie ea ne r t fo a a fir ig rt re ho hb st, Il he a oo m ou th ir e k e r v h n If wi f i o o e th in ra od th ws Il d e ch im ho wi ou pr ar it t o m h t pe m ac th e y e rty te wh all t se co r/h he er ar u er e fa nc ch it I cil il t by itie age ax can wa s /h b rin In om lki Is g ee ng ee e/ Sc up d ca di a h a st r oo pr i f a n a o l nc s su m pe Is in il y e ra rty ee flu to nc ,a k e p e nc ne u nd co bli e ig st th ct hb e n my ra ou Il l o n de oo rh sp ca oo cid k or tio fo t ds n e ra ch if I wi oic m th lik o e e yo de th un rn e /n g a re ew pe a op pr le op an er t d stu y de nt s 0% Base: 1,365 2.27 The house type that most graduates would choose in the future is a 3 bedroom semi-detached house 14% of responses (1,608 responses, 661 respondents). 2.28 Overall, graduates responding to the survey stated that they will consider mainly buying a house with a mortgage shared with their partner (45% of 1,082 responses from 649 respondents), or alone (24%), or will own the house outright (9%). Less common options, but ones which may become more popular in the future are using parents as guarantors (6%), shared ownership (4%), and shared equity (2%). Summary 2.29 Key implications arising from this section are summarised as follows: The availability of appropriate job/career opportunities for graduates is the main reason for graduates leaving the area, and encouraging them to return. The graduates from the worker survey form the main group of responses in this report, and therefore there is major crossover between the worker and the graduate reports in terms of general views. Graduate expectations would seem 16 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 to be higher than the average – and graduates are more likely to move away from BNG in the future. It would seem that the graduates were more likely to want to move in order to find a more attractive location and a larger garden for instance, than workers overall. This may be a factor of their potentially higher wages and expectations. Graduates were also vocal in expressing how important they thought a sense of community was in the attractiveness of an area. 2.30 Some of these indicators used in this section will serve as benchmarks as we look at subsections of the graduate population locally, and further afield, who are likely to be retained in and attracted to the BNG area. Section 3 explores these groups in detail. 17 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 3. Target Groups 3.1 The report so far has presented an overview of the results from all graduate respondents whilst also outlining a broad picture of who took part, their housing needs and their perspectives on the pathfinder areas. 3.2 In order to take the analysis a step further a profiling exercise was carried out, which looked in detail at the characteristics, housing needs and aspirations of graduates target groups who perceive living in the pathfinder area or the housing offer that BNG is developing as favourable. This section explores the types of graduates who are very interested in living in the BNG area, or perhaps in a house like those being built or refurbished by BNG and its partners. 3.3 The database of 1,393 graduate respondents was therefore divided into target groups by using the following two questions as filters to identify these people: 3.4 1. Would you consider living in the following houses? 2. BNG will be building new, and refurbishing existing, homes in parts of NewcastleGateshead: Would you consider living in homes like those above if they were in BNG neighbourhoods, including Scotswood, Bensham and Walker? Three core target groups have been identified as a result of the profiling where: Group 1 are willing to consider moving into a house such as those developed or refurbished by BNG and partners within the BNG neighbourhoods Group 2 are willing to consider moving into a house such as those developed or refurbished by BNG and partners but not within the BNG neighbourhoods Group 3 are not willing to move into a house such as those developed or refurbished by BNG and partners but they would consider moving into the BNG neighbourhoods. 18 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 3.5 All three of the target groups differ in terms of their size. The relative proportions of these groups and the dynamics of the remaining graduate database are set out in Table 3.1. Table 3.1: Target Groups Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Other Blanks TOTAL BNG House BNG Neighbourhood Yes/Maybe Yes/Maybe No No Yes No Yes No Number of Respondents 314 558 5 334 182 1,393 % 22.5% 40.1% 0.4% 24.0% 13.1% 100.0% 3.6 Table 3.1 shows that Group 2 is the largest of the graduate target groups with 558 respondents (40.1%); the types of homes BNG are building and/or refurbishing are therefore attractive to graduates looking to move. Group 1 comprises 314 respondents (22.5%) and is the second largest target group. This is a very positive finding given the relatively early stage of the programme. It is important to note that Group 3 is an extremely small group (5 respondents or 0.4%) when compared to the other target groups. However besides the group’s relatively small size it is important to recognise and acknowledge their views and opinions. The relative proportions of these groups must be kept in mind when looking at the responses in more detail. 3.7 The three graduate target groups can be arranged into the following matrix format. BNG House 3.8 Yes No BNG Neighbourhood Yes Group 1 (22.5% of all graduate responses) No Group 3 (0.4% of all graduate responses) Group 2 (40.1% of all graduate responses) The remainder of this section explores the three profiles in greater detail – personal background, current housing situation, future housing situation of the groups and their perceptions of BNG. Maps showing the respondent densities (by 4-digit postcode) are also included for the main groups. 19 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 - PROFILE - Graduates who would consider living in a home such as those being built/refurbished by BNG and Partners within the BNG area Individuals within Group 1 are young (typically aged between 23 and 26 years) and are reasonably well-educated up to at least undergraduate level. The majority of this loyal4 group are living with at least one other adult and few have children or other dependents within the pathfinder area. This young urban group are currently living in terraced properties typically sized at 3 bedrooms and are aspiring to buy a larger property with gardens and outdoor space. There is a significant proportion of first time buyers in this group as well as a significant proportion who are aspiring to stay where they are in the next five years. Of those that are looking to move out of the BNG areas (popular locations include South Gosforth and Jesmond & Sandyford) there is an opportunity for BNG to encourage them to continue to look within the pathfinder areas as BNG are able to offer the characteristics they are looking for in a home, within their budget (£400-£599 per month). 4 Individuals that have grown up, studied and remained in the area. 20 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 PROFILE Live in the Yes or Maybe house? Live in the BNG Yes areas? Personal Statistics Background Group 1 consists of 314 respondents - 22.5% of the total graduate sample size (1,393 respondents) Comments Age 35% Base: 314 respondents. Group 1 comprises of 314 graduates of which the majority are graduates from the worker survey (92% or 289 respondents). All of the respondents answered the question on age and thus provided the age cohort most relevant to them. In this case the majority of respondents (30.6% or 96 respondents) in Group 1 fall within the 23-26 age group. 30.6% 30% 25% 21.7% 20% 15.6% 15% 11.8% 9.2% 10% 5% 7.6% 3.2% 0.3% 0% 19-22 Prospects Classifications 23-26 Classification Loyals Returners Stayers Incomers 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-49 Description Students from the region, studying and remaining in the region Students who returned home after study outside their home region Students not from the region, staying in the region Graduates attracted to the region, no previous links 50-59 60+ Number of respondents 102 % 32.7% 69 22.1% 76 24.4% 65 20.8% Base: 312 respondents. The majority of group 1 are ‘loyal’ graduates - 102 respondents (32.7%) are therefore students from the region, who studied in the region and they remained in the region. The remaining 210 respondents are returners (69 respondents or 22.1%), stayers (76 respondents or 24.4%) and incomers (65 respondents or 20.8%). 21 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 PROFILE Personal Statistics Background Highest Qualification Highest Qualification Undergraduate Degree or Equivalent Postgraduate Taught (e.g. MA, MSc, MBA) Postgraduate Research (e.g. PhD, MPhil) Postgraduate Diploma/Certificate Postgraduate Degree Other (please specify) TOTAL Where did they study? Institution Newcastle University Northumbria University Yorkshire and Humber North West Sunderland University Number of Responses 85 70 36 28 23 Comments Number of Responses 149 3 2 57 101 2 314 % 22.5% 18.6% 9.5% 7.4% 6.1% % 47% 1% 1% 18% 32% 1% 100% Base: 314 respondents. In order to understand the dynamics in terms of educational diversity, Group 1 were asked about their highest qualification to which all of the respondents in Group 1 provided an answer. Of the 314 that responded to the question, 149 (47%) are qualified to undergraduate level or equivalent and 101 (32%) hold a postgraduate level degree. Base: 377 responses. In terms of educational institutions, respondents were asked to comment on where they studied for their degree(s), bearing in mind that some respondents will have attended more than one institution. In terms of the top five institutions/locations most of Group 1 studied for their degree(s) at Newcastle (22.5% or 85 responses) and Northumbria (18.6% or 70 responses) universities. 64 of the remaining 87 respondents studied outside of the North East. 22 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 PROFILE Personal Statistics Background Any student debt? Effects? No debt Some debt, but no effect Student debt has delayed me buying a house, so I rent Student debt has delayed me buying a house, so I live with my parents/other family Other (please specify) Student debt has led me to buy with others Student debt has prevented me from buying a house Comments Base: 307 responses. Most of Group 1 do not have Number of any student debt with 122 respondents (39.7%) Responses % stating this. Interestingly, 101 respondents do have 122 39.7% some form of student debt but it has not impacted on 101 32.9% their housing choices. Student debt has delayed 56 40 13.0% respondents buying a house and consequently 40 (13%) rent properties and 16 (5.2%) live with their 16 5.2% parents or other family. 10 3.3% 10 3.3% 8 2.6% 23 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 PROFILE Current Housing Situation Where do they live now? Statistics Postcode NE6 5 NE8 4 NE9 5 NE2 1 NE11 9 NE8 1 NE3 2 NE13 6 NE21 4 NE3 1 Comments Number of Respondents Heaton & Shields Road 14 Shipcote & Saltwell 11 Low Fell & Carr Hill 7 Sandyford 6 Dunston & Whickham 5 Gateshead Town Centre & Bensham 5 Kingston Park & North Fawdon 4 Stannington 3 Blaydon 3 Gosforth 3 Base: 314 responses. A significant proportion of Group 1 live in the pathfinder area - 287 (91%). The postcode data shown in the table indicates the top ten living areas. The respondents in this group are living primarily in the Newcastle area with areas such as Saltwell and Heaton having a high density of respondents. Low Fell also accommodates a significant number of respondents. A detailed map of respondent density can be found at the end of this section and in the appendix. 91% (287 respondents) already live in the pathfinder areas. Current home - type Tenure Terraced House Semi-detached House Tyneside Flat Other Apartment/Flat Detached House Bungalow Other Number of responses 109 71 51 44 34 4 4 % 34.4% 22.4% 16.1% 13.9% 10.7% 1.3% 1.3% Base: 317 responses. In order to investigate the dynamics of the respondents in terms of tenure, respondents were asked to describe their current home, to which 317 responses were made for group 1. Of the 317 respondents, 109 (34.4%) live in terraced houses, 71 (22.4%) live in semi-detached houses and 51 (16.1%) live in Tyneside flats. 24 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Current rooms home - number GROUP 1 PROFILE Current Housing Situation of Number of Bedrooms 1 Bedroom 2 Bedrooms 3 Bedrooms 4 Bedrooms 5 Bedrooms More than 5 Bedrooms Number of responses 14 96 122 52 23 10 Base: 317 responses. Closely related to tenure is the size of current home. Most respondents have 3 bedrooms (122 responses or 38.5%) or 2 bedrooms (96 responses or 30.3%). % 4.4% 30.3% 38.5% 16.4% 7.3% 3.2% Statistics Current home - living situation & who lives there Comments Number of Respondents Situation Owned (with mortgage) 178 Private Rented (furnished) 53 Private Rented (unfurnished) 23 Owned (no mortgage) 23 Living Rent Free 10 Other 9 Rented from the Council 8 7 Rented from Housing Associa Provided with Employment 2 Shared Ownership 2 Who lives in your home? 2 Adults 1 Adult (you) 3 Adults 4 Adults 5+ Adults Number of Respondents 174 64 37 24 15 % 56.5% 16.8% 7.3% 7.3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% Base: 317 responses. 56.5% of (317) respondents own their own house with a mortgage, with only 7.3% owning their own house outright, and a further 24% (16.8% furnished accommodation and 7.3% in unfurnished accommodation) in the private rented sector; 2.5% rent from the council. Respondents were also asked about who lives in their current home, to which 314 responses were made. Respondents in this group are most likely to own their own house with a mortgage with another adult (partner) - 55.4% of total respondents own their house in this way, with a further 20.4% living in their home on their own. % 55.4% 20.4% 11.8% 7.6% 4.8% 25 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 How long have they been in their current home? How long in current home? Less than a year 1-2 years 2-3 years 3-6 years More than 6 years Number of respondents 94 63 42 46 69 % 29.9% 20.1% 13.4% 14.6% 22.0% Base: 314 responses. Almost half of respondents have been in their current home for less than two years. 26 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 PROFILE Current Housing Situation Statistics Reasons for choosing current home Reasons for choosing current home Good price/affordable Transport links are good here Right size/type Attractive location Close to my work/my partner's work Comments Number of responses 184 113 109 94 75 % 20.9% 12.8% 12.4% 10.7% 8.5% Base: 314 respondents. The main reasons for respondents to have chosen their current home are price (20.9% or 184 responses), good transport links (12.8% or 113 responses) and size/type of property (12.4% or 109 responses). 27 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 PROFILE Future Housing Situation Statistics Comments In the next 5 years, it is likely that the majority will… In the next 5 years it is likely that I will… Stay where I am Buy a different property (I would be a 1st time buyer) Buy a different property (I would not be a 1st time buyer) Rent a different property (private rented) Rent a different property (social rented) Buy this property (I would be a 1st time buyer) Are more considering leaving Top 5 locations group 1 would like to the NE? move to given their budget South Gosforth Jesmond & Sandyford Low Fell High Heaton & Dene North Tyneside Number of Base: 314 respondents. It is likely that in responses % the next 5 years many of the respondents in 100 31.8% this group will stay where they are, with 100 95 30.3% respondents (31.8%) giving this answer. 94 29.9% However a significant proportion of this group 13 4.1% are likely to buy a different property in the next five years (30.3% are first time buyers), which 8 2.5% is clearly beneficial to BNG. 4 1.3% Number of responses 53 50 43 41 32 % 8.3% 7.8% 6.7% 6.4% 5.0% In terms of locations, Group 1 graduates are diverse. Given their budget the top five locations are spread across the Newcastle and Gateshead conurbations and other North East. 28 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 PROFILE Future Housing Situation Willing and able to spend on payments a rent/mortgage month… Statistics Comments Base: 195 respondents. The average monthly spend for Group 1 graduates generally is between £400 and £599 per month, peaking in the £400-£499 range. This is the amount their household is willing and able to spend on rent/mortgage payments a year. 30% 24.6% 25% 23.6% 20% 15.4% 13.8% 15% 10% 9.2% 7.7% 3.6% 5% 2.1% 0% £200£299 They are likely to move… £300£399 £400£499 Likely to move… To get on the property ladder To a larger property To a more attractive location As I would like a (larger) garden Because of affordability £500£599 £600£699 £700£899 £900£1099 Number of Responses 80 71 67 51 45 £1100£1399 % 15.2% 13.5% 12.7% 9.7% 8.6% Base: 526 responses. Respondents were asked to provide reasons as to why they are likely to move and they were allowed to give more than one reason. The top five reasons for Group 1 graduates to move are to get on the property ladder, to move to a larger property, to move to a more attractive location, to have a larger garden and because of affordability issues. 29 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 PROFILE Future Housing Situation Things they look for home… demand characteristics in Statistics a Demand Characteristics Comments Number of Responses (Important) Large rooms Garden/outdoor space A home that can adapt to their changing needs Off road parking Lovely view 186 175 151 147 132 Number of When they are looking for Responses somewhere to live they are Agree likely to look for… I look at the safety of the neighbourhood 167 I do not ask other people for their views on a neighbourhood 158 I look for a quiet area 156 I do not consider travel time/distance of travel to work 146 I look for a modern/new property When Group 1 graduates are looking for a home they are likely to look at room size and garden/outdoor space. Other features that are important to this group include: a home that can adapt to their changing needs, views and off road parking. When they are looking for somewhere to live there are some common themes. Graduates in this group are likely to look first and foremost at the safety of the neighbourhood. Travel time and distance to work are not as important factors when choosing a home. 130 30 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 1 PROFILE Perceptions of BNG? Consider moving to the pathfinder neighbourhoods? Do you think improving? the areas BNG A significant proportion of Group 1 graduates would consider moving to the pathfinder neighbourhoods which is interesting as few are currently living there. Popular areas where the graduates would consider: Kenton, Fawdon, Bensham, Saltwell and Fenham. Respondents favour these areas because they are close to their friends/work and the areas are affordable. A specific comment made on Fenham included: “Fenham is a vibrant, upcoming area”. are There appears to be a lack of awareness of BNG neighbourhoods amongst Group 1 as the majority are unaware if the pathfinder area is improving or not. Several improvements to the BNG areas would make this group more willing to move to the areas. Large new good quality housing developments and more family housing were felt to be the most important. Options to buy and whole street improvement schemes were also popular. It is interesting to note that more council/housing association housing is likely to make this group less likely to move to the areas. Improvements to the BNG area more likely/less likely to move there? M o re co uncil/ho using asso ciatio n ho using Less co uncil & ho using asso ciatio n ho using and mo re fo r sale Large, new, go o d quality ho using develo pments with new scho o ls & sho ps Who le street impro vement schemes Optio ns to buy a share in a new ho me, by myself o r with partner/friends M o re family ho using Wo rk to impro ve the reputatio n o f the area M o re Likely Less Likely Greater regulatio n o f private landlo rds & impro vements to private rented ho using 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 31 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 32 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 2 - PROFILE - Graduates who are willing to consider moving into a house such as those developed or refurbished by BNG and partners but not within the BNG neighbourhoods Group 2 comprises of individuals that are new to their careers, homes and personal lives. Individuals within Group 2 are educated up to at least undergraduate level with fewer qualified to postgraduate level than Group 1. At present Group 2 own and live in larger (3 bedrooms) semi-detached houses with a partner. The reasons for choosing their current home are variable, with the attractiveness of a location being the clearest attractor. Group 2 individuals are unlikely to move in the next 5 years, staying where they are. However, of those that are thinking of moving in the next five years, they are less likely to be first time buyers; they are also less willing to consider moving to the pathfinder areas but are willing to consider the BNG houses. 33 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 2 PROFILE Live in the house? Yes or Maybe Live in the BNG areas? Personal Background Age No Statistics Group 2 consists of 558 respondents - 40.1% of the total graduate sample size (1,393 respondents) Comments Base: 557 respondents. Group 2 comprises of 558 graduates, of which the majority are graduates from the worker survey (93% or 520 respondents). All but one of the respondents answered the question on age and thus provided the age cohort most relevant to them. In this case the majority of respondents in Group 2 fall within the 23-30 age group but with significant numbers of other groupings. 25% 20.8% 21.2% 20% 17.6% 16.5% 15% 11.8% 8.6% 10% 5% 2.9% 0.5% 0% 19-22 Prospects classifications 23-26 Classification Loyals Returners Stayers Incomers 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-49 Description Students from the region, studying and remaining in the region Students who returned home after study outside their home region Students not from the region, staying in the region Graduates attracted to the region, no previous links 50-59 60+ Number of respondents % 262 47.4% 109 19.7% 121 21.9% 61 11.0% Base: 553 respondents. Group 2 graduates are typically classified as loyals as nearly half of the sample size (47.4% or 262 respondents) are students from the region that studied and remained in the region. The remaining 291 respondents are returners (109 respondents or 19.7%), stayers (121 respondents or 21.9%) and incomers (61 respondents or 11%). 34 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 2 PROFILE Personal Background Highest qualification Statistics Highest Qualification Undergraduate Degree or Equivalent Postgraduate Taught (e.g. MA, MSc, MBA) Postgraduate Research (e.g. PhD, MPhil) Postgraduate Diploma/Certificate Postgraduate Degree TOTAL Number of Responses 273 14 1 104 165 557 Where did they study? Institution Northumbria University Newcastle University Yorkshire and Humber Sunderland University North West Number of Responses 202 129 56 39 32 % 29.1% 18.6% 8.1% 5.6% 4.6% % 49.0% 2.5% 0.2% 18.7% 29.6% 100% Comments Base: 557 respondents. In order to understand the dynamics in terms of educational diversity, Group 2 were asked about their highest qualification, to which all but one of the respondents in Group 2 provided an answer. Of the 557 that responded to the question, 273 (49%) are qualified to undergraduate level or equivalent and 165 (29.6%) hold a postgraduate level degree. Base: 693 responses. In terms of education institutions, respondents were asked to comment on where they studied for their degree(s), bearing in mind that some respondents will have attended more than one institution. In terms of the top five institutions/locations most of Group 2 studied for their degree(s) at Northumbria (29.1% or 202 responses) and Newcastle (18.6% or 129 responses) universities. Of the remaining 127 respondents, 88 studied outside of the North East. 35 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 Any student debt? Effects? Where do they live now? Number of Responses % 292 53.1% 166 30.2% 28 5.1% 28 5.1% No debt Some debt, but no effect Other (please specify) Student debt has delayed me buying a house, so I rent Student debt has delayed me buying a house, so I live with my parents/other family Student debt has prevented me from buying a house Student debt has led me to buy with others Number of Respondents Postcode NE6 5 Heaton & Shields Road 16 NE3 1 Gosforth 14 NE3 4 West Gosforth & Kenton 8 NE7 7 High Heaton 8 NE3 2 Kingston Park & North Fawdon 7 NE2 2 Jesmond 6 NE40 3 Ryton 6 NE10 0 Pelaw & Old Fold 5 NE12 8 Longbenton 5 NE16 5 Sunniside 5 Current home – Tenure Tenure Semi-detached House Terraced House Other Apartment/Flat Detached House Tyneside Flat Bungalow Other Number of responses 175 158 86 65 64 9 2 % 31.3% 28.3% 15.4% 11.6% 11.4% 1.6% 0.4% 23 10 3 Base: 550 responses. Similar to Group 1, the majority of Group 2 graduates have no form of debt (53.1% or 292 respondents). 166 graduates (30.2%) in this group have some debt but it has not effected their housing choices. 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% Base: 558 respondents (of which 535 (95.9% in pathfinder areas already)). In terms of respondent density, the postcode table illustrates that there is a strong presence of respondents in the NE6 5 and NE3 1 postcodes. A detailed map of respondent density can be found at the end of the section and in the appendix. Base: 559 responses. In order to investigate the dynamics of the respondents in terms of tenure they were asked to describe their current home, to which 559 responses were made for Group 2. Of the 559 responses, 175 (31.3%) live in semidetached houses, 158 (28.3%) live in terraced houses and 86 (15.4%) live in apartments/flats. 36 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 2 PROFILE Current Housing Situation Statistics Current home - number of rooms Number of Bedrooms 3 Bedrooms 2 Bedrooms 4 Bedrooms 5 Bedrooms 1 Bedroom More than 5 Bedrooms Current home - living situation & who lives there Comments Number of responses 213 189 95 27 22 13 Situation Owned (with mortgage) Owned (no mortgage) Private Rented (furnished) Private Rented (unfurnished) Living Rent Free Rented from the Council Other Rented from Housing Association Shared Ownership Provided with Employment Who lives in your home? 2 Adults 1 Adult (you) 3 Adults 4 Adults 5+ Adults % 38.1% 33.8% 17.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.3% Number of Respondents % 397 71.0% 42 7.5% 36 6.4% 29 5.2% 18 3.2% 16 2.9% 11 2.0% 7 1.3% 3 0.5% 0 0.0% Number of Respondents 374 119 41 15 8 Base: 559 responses. Closely related to tenure is the size of current home. Respondents were asked about the number of bedrooms they have. Over a third have 3 bedrooms (213 responses or 38.1%) and 2 bedrooms (189 responses or 33.8%). Base: 559 responses. 71.0% of (397) respondents own their own house with a mortgage, with only 7.5% owning outright, and a further 11.6% (6.4% furnished accommodation and 5.2% in unfurnished accommodation) the private rented sector; 2.9% rent from the council. Respondents were also asked about who lives in their current home, to which 557 responses were made. Respondents in this group are most likely to own their own house with a mortgage with another adult (partner) - 67.1% of total respondents own their house in this way, with a further 21.4% living in their home on their own. % 67.1% 21.4% 7.4% 2.7% 1.4% 37 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 2 PROFILE Current Housing Situation Statistics How long have they been in their current home? Reasons for choosing current home How long in current home? More than 6 years Less than a year 3-6 years 1-2 years 2-3 years Comments Number of respondents 178 116 110 90 63 Reasons for choosing current home Attractive location Good price/affordable Right size/type Transport links are good here Close to my family/my partner's family Base: 557 responses. 32% of respondents in Group 2 have been in their current home for more than 6 years, the same for less than two years. % 32.0% 20.8% 19.7% 16.2% 11.3% Number of responses 265 260 229 177 126 % 16.4% 16.1% 14.2% 11.0% 7.8% Base: 1,613 responses (respondents were allowed to make more than one choice). The main reasons for respondents have chosen their current home are location (16.4% or 265 responses), price (16.1% or 260 responses) and size/type of property (14.2% or 229 responses). GROUP 2 PROFILE Future Housing Situation Statistics In the next 5 years, it is likely that the majority will… In the next 5 years it is likely that I will… Stay where I am Buy a different property (I would not be a 1st time buyer) Buy a different property (I would be a 1st time buyer) Rent a different property (private rented) Buy this property (I would be a 1st time buyer) Rent a different property (social rented) Buy this property (I would not be a 1st time buyer) Comments Number of responses % 221 39.6% 213 38.2% 87 15.6% 22 3.9% 8 1.4% 6 1.1% 1 0.2% Base: 558 respondents. It is likely that in the next 5 years many of the respondents in this group will stay where they are, with 221 (39.6%) giving this answer. However a significant proportion of this group are likely to buy a different property in the next five years (15.6% are first time buyers) which is clearly beneficial to BNG. 38 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 2 PROFILE Future Housing Situation Statistics Comments Are more considering leaving Top five locations group 2 would like to move to given their Number of the NE? budget responses Jesmond & Sandyford South Gosforth Northumberland North Tyneside North Gosforth (inc. Great Park) In terms of locations for the future, Group 2 are diverse. Given their budget the top five locations are Jesmond & Sandyford, South Gosforth, Northumberland, North Tyneside and North Gosforth: Very few are considering leaving the North East. Willing and able to spend on rent/mortgage payments a month… % 91 89 71 64 50 10.2% 10.0% 8.0% 7.2% 5.6% Base: 306 respondents. The average monthly spend for graduates generally is between £400 and £699 per month, peaking in the £400-£599 range. This is the amount their household is willing and able to spend on rent/mortgage payments a year. 25% 19.6% 20% 19.3% 18.3% 16.3% 15% 10% 8.2% 8.2% 5.9% 5% 2.6% 1.6% 0% £200£299 £300£399 £400£499 £500£599 £600£699 £700£899 £900£1099 £1100£1399 £1400+ 39 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 2 PROFILE Future Housing Situation Statistics They are likely to move… Comments Likely to move… To a larger property To a more attractive location As I would like a (larger) garden To get on the property ladder As I would like off road parking/garage Things they look for in a Demand Characteristic home…demand characteristics Large rooms A home that can adapt to their changing needs Garden/outdoor space Off road parking Broadband availability Number of responses Number of Responses (Important) When they are looking for Number of somewhere to live they are Agree Responses likely to look for… I look for a quiet area I look at the safety of the neighbourhood I prefer to live near green space I choose the area first, then the property I search for a neighbourhood with all the facilities I need such as doctors % 168 109 105 79 45 357 303 274 262 233 307 293 285 20.6% 13.4% 12.9% 9.7% 5.5% Base: 814 responses. Respondents were asked to provide reasons as to why they are likely to move - they were allowed to give more than one reason. Group 2 respondents are likely to move to a larger property, to move to a more attractive location or to have a larger garden. When Group 2 are looking for a home they are likely to look for a property with large rooms and that can adapt to their changing needs. Other features that are important to this group include: garden/outdoor space, off road parking and broadband availability. When they are looking for somewhere to live there are some common themes emerging. Graduates in this group are likely to look first and foremost for a quiet area. Safety and neighbourhood facilities are also important factors. 274 266 40 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 2 PROFILE Perceptions of BNG? Consider moving to the BNG pathfinder neighbourhoods? Many of the respondents in this group (140 respondents) would consider moving to the pathfinder neighbourhoods. The group recognises that there are reasonably nice houses in good locations that are close to the hospitals and other facilities etc. There appears to be a lack of awareness of BNG neighbourhoods amongst Group 2 graduates as the majority are unaware if they are improving or not. Several improvements to the BNG area would make Group 2 more likely to move to the areas. The main factor is large, new, good quality housing developments with new schools and shops. More family housing and options to buy a share in a new home, alone or with partner/friends also gained support. Do you think the areas are improving? Improvements to the BNG area - more likely/less likely to move there? M ore council/housing association housing Less council & housing association housing & more housing for sale Large, new, good quality ho using developments with new schools and shops Whole street improvement schemes Options to buy a share in a new ho me, by myself or with partner/friends M ore family ho using Work to improve the reputation of the area (lower crime rates, etc) More Likely Greater regulation o f private landlords & improvements to private rented housing Less Likely 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 41 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 42 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 3 – PROFILE: Graduates who are not willing to move into a house such as those developed or refurbished by BNG and partners but they would consider moving into the BNG neighbourhoods Individuals within Group 3 are well-established and well-educated individuals that would not necessarily consider moving into the BNG houses but would consider moving into the BNG neighbourhoods. This group comprises of incoming individuals, with the majority aged between 31 and 35 years. Individuals in this group currently live in terrace houses. People within Group 3 have no debt and of the few that do have some debt, it has not affected their housing choices. It must be remembered however, that findings relate to only 5 respondents. 43 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 3 PROFILE Live in the house? No Live in the BNG areas? Personal Background Yes Statistics Group 3 consists of 5 respondents 0.4% of the total graduate sample size (1,393 respondents) Comments Age 45% Base: 5 respondents. Group 3 is the smallest of the three groups of the graduate survey and comprises of 5 graduates all of which are graduates from the worker survey. In this case the majority of respondents in Group 3 fall within the 31-35 age group (40% or 2 respondents). 40.0% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 50-59 60+ 0% 19-22 Prospects classifications Classification Loyals Returners Stayers Incomers 23-26 27-30 31-35 36-39 Description Students from the region, studying and remaining in the region Students who returned home after study outside their home region Students not from the region, staying in the region Graduates attracted to the region, no previous links 40-49 Number of respondents % 1 20.0% 0 0.0% 1 20.0% 3 60.0% Base: 5 respondents. The majority of Group 3 are incomers - 3 graduates were attracted to the region and have had no previous linkages. 44 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 3 PROFILE Personal Background Highest qualification Statistics Highest Qualification Postgraduate Degree TOTAL Where did they study? Institution North West Northumbria University Durham University Yorkshire and Humber South West Number of Responses 5 5 Number of Responses 2 1 1 1 1 Comments Base: 5 respondents. All of the respondents in this group are qualified upto a postgraduate level. % 100% 100% Base: 6 responses. In terms of educational institutions most of Group 3 studied for their degree(s) in the North West (28.6% or 2 respondents). % 28.6% 14.3% 14.3% 14.3% 14.3% Any student debt? Effects? No debt Some debt, but no effect Other (please specify) Student debt has delayed me buying a house, so I live with my parents/other family Student debt has delayed me buying a house, so I rent Student debt has led me to buy with others Student debt has prevented me from buying a house Number of Responses 3 1 0 % 75.0% 25.0% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Base: 4 responses. Although this is a smaller group all four of the responses to this question indicate that student debt has not effected them in anyway. 45 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 3 PROFILE Current Housing Situation Statistics Comments Where do they live now? Base: 5 responses. All live in the pathfinder areas. Current home - tenure Tenure Terraced House Semi-detached House Detached House Tyneside Flat Other Apartment/Flat Bungalow Other Current home – Number of rooms Number of Bedrooms 1 Bedroom 2 Bedrooms 3 Bedrooms 4 Bedrooms 5 Bedrooms More than 5 Bedrooms Number of Responses % 60.0% 20.0% 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 Number of responses 0 2 1 2 0 0 % 0.0% 40.0% 20.0% 40.0% 0.0% 0.0% Base: 5 responses. All respondents live in a house. Base: 5 responses. The majority have 2 bedrooms and 4 bedrooms. 46 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 3 PROFILE Current Housing Situation Statistics Comments Current home – Living situation & who lives Situation there Owned (with mortgage) Private Rented (furnished) Rented from Housing Association Living Rent Free Other Private Rented (unfurnished) Provided with Employment Shared Ownership Rented from the Council Owned (no mortgage) Who lives in your home? 2 Adults 1 Adult (you) 4 Adults 3 Adults 5+ Adults How long have they been in their current home? How long in current home? Less than a year More than 6 years 2-3 years 1-2 years 3-6 years Number of responses 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Number of Responses 3 1 1 0 0 % 60.0% 40.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Base: 5 responses. 60% of (3) respondents own their own house with a mortgage; the remaining 40% (all in furnished accommodation) are in the private rented sector. Respondents in this group are most likely to own their own house with a mortgage with another adult (partner. % 60.0% 20.0% 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% Number of respondents 2 2 1 0 0 % 40.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% Base: 5 respondents. Respondents in Group 3 have typically been in their current home between one and six years. 47 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 3 PROFILE Current Housing Situation Statistics Reasons for choosing current home GROUP 3 PROFILE Future Housing Situation Reasons for choosing current home Transport links are good here Right size/type Good price/affordable Attractive location The house has character Comments Number of Responses 3 2 2 1 1 Base: 13 responses (respondents were allowed to make more than one choice). The main reasons for respondents to have chosen their current home are transport links (23.1% or 3 responses), size/type (15.4% or 2 responses) and price (15.4% or 2 responses). % 23.1% 15.4% 15.4% 7.7% 7.7% Statistics In the next 5 years, it is likely that the majority will… In the next 5 years it is likely that I will… Stay where I am Buy a different property (I would be a 1st time buyer) Buy a different property (I would not be a 1st time buyer) Buy this property (I would be a 1st time buyer) Rent a different property (private rented) Rent a different property (social rented) Buy this property (I would not be a 1st time buyer) Are more considering leaving Top locations group 3 would like to move to given their the NE? budget Chapel Park, Westerhope & Denton Throckley, Newburn & Walbottle Northumberland Scotland Comments Number of responses 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 % 60.0% 20.0% 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Base: 5 respondents. It is likely that in the next 5 years many of the respondents in this group will stay where they are with a small proportion buying a different property in the period (20% are first time buyers). Base: 4 respondents. In terms of locations for the future, Group 3 are generally more suburban locations. 48 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 3 PROFILE Future Housing Situation Willing and able to spend on rent/mortgage payments a month… Statistics Comments Base: 2 respondents. It is difficult to draw conclusions from answers to this question due to the number of responses. 60% 50.0% 50.0% £400-£499 £700-£899 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% They are likely to move… Likely to move… To a larger property To a more modern property To get on the property ladder To be nearer to work Number of responses % 2 1 1 1 40% 20% 20% 20% Base: 5 responses. The top reason for Group 3 respondents to move is to move to a larger property. 49 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 3 PROFILE Future Housing Situation Statistics Things they look for in a Demand Characteristic home… demand characteristics Off road parking Garden/outdoor space Garage Energy efficient/carbon neutral/green design A home that can adapt to their changing needs Comments When Group 3 are looking for a home they appear to be as interested in the ‘external’ attributes as the home itself. Number of Responses (Important) 4 3 3 2 2 When they are looking for Agree somewhere to live they are likely to look for… I look at the safety of the neighbourhood I limit my search by walking distance to public transport I look for a quiet area I look for a home where I can bring up a family I search for a neighbourhood with all the facilities I need such as doctors Number of Responses 4 2 2 When they are looking for somewhere to live graduates in this group are likely to look for a safe neighbourhood. Being close to public transport and other family factors are also important. 2 1 50 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 GROUP 3 PROFILE Perceptions of BNG? Consider moving to the BNG pathfinder neighbourhoods? Base: 2 respondents. Both of the respondents are willing to move to the pathfinder neighbourhoods, including Fenham, Felling and Fawdon. This is mainly because of the good transport links and affordable housing offer. Do you think the areas are improving? There appears to be a lack of awareness amongst Group 3 as to whether the pathfinder area is improving or not. More family housing, large, new good quality housing developments with new schools and shops are likely to make the group consider moving to the BNG pathfinder area. Improvements to the BNG area - more likely/less likely to move there? M o re co uncil/ho using asso ciatio n ho using Less co uncil and ho using asso ciatio n ho using and mo re ho using fo r sale Large, new, go o d quality ho using develo pments with new scho o ls and sho ps Who le street impro vement schemes Optio ns to buy a share in a new ho me, by myself o r with partner/friends M o re family ho using Wo rk to impro ve the reputatio n o f the area (lo wer crime rates, etc) M o re Likely Greater regulatio n o f private landlo rds and impro vements to private rented ho using Less Likely 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 51 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 4. Key Messages 4.1 This report has provided a short, strategic summary of the findings relating to graduates from the “Work here, like to live here?” survey and parallel alumni survey5. The profiling exercise has helped to shape an understanding of the characteristics and housing needs of the graduates that are likely to be attracted to the BNG neighbourhoods at present and/or the developing BNG housing offer. This research has therefore created a platform for BNG to understand not only graduate housing needs but also other influencing and contributory factors that shape graduate housing choices and will help inform policy and strategy decisions in the future. 4.2 The data collected through this survey and the resulting analysis provides an evidence base, which will support policy development, both for site specific and strategic policies and guidance across the BNG area and NewcastleGateshead. 4.3 The importance of the availability of graduate employment opportunities is identified as one of the main drivers in determining why people choose to move away from the core of the Tyneside conurbation, pointing towards housing and economic policies as being intrinsically linked. The Universities, ONE North East Regional Development Agency and Local Educational Authorities are engaged in economic policy support that will help to retain a skilled population, ultimately linking with the aims of the Northern Way – it is notable that the development of suitable housing is one of the support strands in this issue. 4.4 The analysis shows a need to rebalance the housing tenure profile within the pathfinder area, particularly through introducing more housing for private sale. The target group analysis presented also supports the need to develop policies, which promote the development of a broader range of housing types within the BNG area, which may include family housing, detached and semi-detached housing, but also flexible housing which can adapt to the changing needs of graduates and other residents, throughout their lifetimes. Flexible housing has broad appeal to people of all ages and is cited as being important or very important to 62% of respondents. 4.5 As well as issues of image and reputation environmental factors figure highly on the scale of influence on housing choices - the research points towards the need for site specific development briefs, along with area wide planning policies which encourage the development of well designed areas of public realm and open space to support new and existing housing development. Of particular importance was green space and larger properties, which at the moment are perceived to be in short supply and are reasons why existing pathfinder residents choose to relocate. Improved streets were also a popular choice amongst the respondents. 4.6 Perceptions of the BNG neighbourhoods could be improved upon as the research has indicated that across the entire set of graduate target groups there is a lack of awareness of 5 Overall the results of the two reports are similar due to the nature of the graduate sample. Graduates working in Newcastle and Gateshead make up 49% of the results of the worker survey, and constitute 83% of the graduate population in this report. 52 Bridging NewcastleGateshead Work here, like to live here? Survey Findings and University Alumni Study (Graduates) December 2007 the possible housing options in the BNG area and neighbourhoods within it. BNG are active in carrying out several initiatives to help raise awareness inside the BNG area and to the whole of NewcastleGateshead - widening this offer to those outside NewcastleGateshead could be a successful option, attracting and retaining communities from outside of the immediate BNG area. 4.7 Alongside policy development to support graduate retention in the medium to longer term, there is also a clear need for strong marketing in order to raise awareness and combat negative perceptions of areas of people living outside as well as within the pathfinder area in the short to medium term. 53 Appendices A. SUMMARY TABLES AND MAPS B. ORGANISATIONS THAT TOOK PART IN THE RESEARCH & KEY STAKEHOLDERS ORGANISATIONS THAT TOOK PART IN THE RESEARCH The survey has been extremely successful and we would like to take this opportunity to thank the alumni offices of Northumbria and Newcastle universities for their assistance in the distribution of the survey across their former students. Gateshead Council Newcastle City Council One NorthEast North East Assembly Government Office North East English Partnerships Housing Corporation Northumbria Police Newcastle University Northumbria University Gateshead College Newcastle College Your Homes Newcastle The Gateshead Housing Company Home Persimmon Northern Rock Nathaniel Lichfield & Partners Gardiner Richardson KEY STAKEHOLDERS & CONSULTEES Bridging NewcastleGateshead - Karen Anderson, Kevin Davy One NorthEast – Eddie Halstead Newcastle University – Margaret Hunter, Nick Keeley, Stephen Teal, Chris Humphreys, Sophie Nicolaysen Northumbria University - Michelle Anderson, Natalie Heath, Jane Clubley Newcastle City Council - Colin Percy, Mark Ellis Gateshead Council, - Caroline Cowan, Andrea Parlett, Narinder Singh, Natalie Spears
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